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The World Politics of Social Investment Volume Ii The Politics of Varying Social Investment Strategies International Policy Exchange Julian L Garritzmann All Chapter
The World Politics of Social Investment Volume Ii The Politics of Varying Social Investment Strategies International Policy Exchange Julian L Garritzmann All Chapter
Edited by
JULIAN L. GARRITZMANN
SILJA HÄUSERMANN
AND BRUNO PALIER
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the University’s objective of excellence in research, scholarship, and education
by publishing worldwide. Oxford is a registered trade mark of Oxford University
Press in the UK and certain other countries.
DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780197601457.001.0001
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Printed by Integrated Books International, United States of America
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CON TEN TS
Acknowledgments xv
Contributors xix
INTRODUCTION
1.
Structural Constraints, Institutional Legacies, and the Politics of Social
Investment Across World Regions 1
Silja Häusermann, Julian L. Garritzmann, and Bruno Palier
2.
Legacies of Universalism: Origins and Persistence of the Broad Political
Support for Inclusive Social Investment in Scandinavia 37
Alexander Horn and Kees van Kersbergen
3.
Loud, Noisy, or Quiet Politics? The Role of Public Opinion, Parties, and
Interest Groups in Social Investment Reforms in Western Europe 59
Marius R. Busemeyer and Julian L. Garritzmann
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vi
viii Contents
4.
The Partisan Politics of Family and Labor Market Policy Reforms
in Southern Europe 86
Reto Bürgisser
5.
Reforming Without Investing: Explaining Non–Social Investment
Strategies in Italy 108
Stefano Ronchi and Patrik Vesan
6.
The Politics of Early Years and Family Policy Investments in
North America 135
Susan Prentice and Linda A. White
7.
Nation (Re)Building Through Social Investment? The Baltic
Reform Trajectories 159
Anu Toots and Triin Lauri
8.
Explaining the Weakness of Social Investment Policies in
the Visegrád Countries: The Cases of Childcare and
Active Labor Market Policies 185
Dorota Szelewa and Michał Polakowski
9.
Explaining the Contrasting Welfare Trajectories of the Baltic and
Visegrád Countries: A Growth-Strategy Perspective 209
Sonja Avlijaš
10.
The Politicization of Social Investment in the Media and
Legislature in North East Asia 231
Jaemin Shim
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Contents ix
11.
An Increasing but Diverse Support for Social Investment: Public Opinion
on Social Investment in the North East Asian Welfare Systems 259
Ijin Hong, Chung-Yang Yeh, Jieun Lee, and Jen-Der Lue
12.
The Quiet Diffusion of Social Investment in Japan: Toward Stratification 285
Mari Miura and Eriko Hamada
13.
Politics of Social Investment in Post-industrial South Korea 303
Sophia Seung-yoon Lee and Yeon-Myung Kim
14.
The Politicization of Social Investment in Latin America 327
J. Salvador Peralta
15.
Social Policy for Institutional Change: Bolivia, Brazil, and Peru 358
Jane Jenson and Nora Nagels
16.
The Politics of Conditionality in Latin America’s Cash Transfer Reforms 379
Cecilia Rossel, Florencia Antía, and Pilar Manzi
17.
How Democracies Transform Their Welfare States: The Reform
Trajectories and Political Coalitions of Inclusive, Stratified, and
Targeted Social Investment Strategies in Capitalist Democracies 402
Bruno Palier, Julian L. Garritzmann, Silja Häusermann, and
Francesco Fioritto
Index 477
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Toward a Worldwide View on the Politics of Social Investment
Bruno Palier, Julian L. Garritzmann, and Silja Häusermann
2
The Politics of Social Investment: A Global Theoretical Framework
Silja Häusermann, Julian L. Garritzmann, and Bruno Palier
3
Multiple Sources of the Social Investment Perspective:
The OECD and the World Bank
Jane Jenson and Rianne Mahon
4
The Politics of European Union’s Social Investment Initiatives
Caroline de la Porte and Bruno Palier
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5
Social Investment and Social Assistance in Low-and
Middle-Income Countries
Armando Barrientos
6
Political Linkage Strategies and Social Investment Policies:
Clientelism and Educational Policy in the Developing World
Haohan Chen and Herbert Kitschelt
7
State Capacity and Social Investment: Explaining Variation in
Skills Creation Reforms in Latin America
Juan A. Bogliaccini and Aldo Madariaga
8
The Emergence of Knowledge Economies: Educational Expansion,
Labor Market Changes, and the Politics of Social Investment
Julian L. Garritzmann, Silja Häusermann, Thomas Kurer,
Bruno Palier, and Michael Pinggera
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Employers and Social Investment in Three European Countries:
The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly
Emmanuele Pavolini and Martin Seeleib-Kaiser
10
Social (Investment) Partners?: Trade Unions and the Welfare State for
the Knowledge Economy
Niccolo Durazzi and Leonard Geyer
11.
Trade Unions, Labor Market Dualization, and Investment in
Early Childhood Education and Care in Latin America
Melina Altamirano and Bárbara Zárate-Tenorio
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12
Public Preferences Toward Social Investment: Comparing Patterns
of Support Across Three Continents
Björn Bremer
13
Social Investment and Neoliberal Legacies in Latin America:
Breaking the Mold?
Evelyne Huber, Claire Dunn, and John D. Stephens
14
Different Paths to Social Investment?: The Politics of
Social Investment in North East Asia and Southern Europe
Margarita Estévez-Abe and Margarita León
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Social Investment or Childcare on the Cheap?: Quality, Workforce,
and Access Considerations in the Expansion of Early Childhood
Education and Care
Kimberly J. Morgan
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The Politics of Social Investment in the Knowledge Economy:
Analytical Insights from a Global Comparison
Julian L. Garritzmann, Silja Häusermann, and Bruno Palier
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xv
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xvi
xvi Acknowledgments
Acknowledgments xvii
xix
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xx Contributors
Contributors xxi
Yeon-Myung Kim obtained his PhD in social policy from Chung-Ang University
in Seoul and is a professor of social policy at Chung-Ang University. He served
as the Senior Secretary to the President for Social Policy in the Republic of Korea
from 2018–2020. He has written numerous articles on East Asian welfare states,
Korean pension reform, and social investment policy.
Jieun Lee was recently awarded her PhD by the department Social Policy and
Social Work at the University of York, the UK. Before undertaking her PhD she
worked for the National Pension Research Institute in South Korea. Her research
interests lie in pensions, family policy, social investment, poverty, and inequality
xxi
xxii Contributors
Sophia Seung-yoon Lee obtained her Dphil (PhD) in comparative social policy
from the University of Oxford, UK and is an Associate Professor of Social Policy
at Chung-Ang University. She has written numerous articles on precarious
workers in East Asian welfare states and also on new forms of work and social
security in South Korea. She is also the first Vice Chair of the Committee for
Youth Policy Coordination in the Republic of Korea.
Contributors xxiii
Susan Prentice holds the Duff Roblin Professor of Government and is Professor
of Sociology at the University of Manitoba. Her research focusses on historical
and comparative family policy, with a particular interest on gender and social
care, and a specialty in childcare. She is co-editor, most recently, of Caring for
Children: Social Movements and Public Policy in Canada (UBC Press, 2017).
xxiv Contributors
Anu Toots is Professor of Social Policy in Tallinn University, Estonia. Her research
interests are related to macro-level changes of the welfare state such as impact of
the de-industrialization, turn to the social investment regime, transformation of
the welfare state in the era of political discontent and fiscal adjustment. In 2018–
2022 she chaired the COST Action ‘Transdisciplinary solutions to cross sectoral
disadvantage in youth’ (YOUNG-IN). In 2021 she has been nominated to the
High Level Group on the Future of Social Protection and of the Welfare State in
the EU, Tallinn, Estonia.
Linda A. White is the RBC Chair in Economic and Public Policy and a Professor
of Political Science and the Munk School of Global Affairs and Public Policy
at the University of Toronto. Her areas of research include comparative social
and family policy, particularly maternity and parental leave and early childhood
education and care; the politics of education policy; ideas, norms, and public
policy development; federalism, law and public policy; and gender and public
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Contributors xxv
policy. She is the author, most recently, of Constructing Policy Change: Early
Childhood Education and Care in Liberal Welfare States (UTP, 2017).
1
STRUCTURAL CONSTRAINTS, INSTITUTIONAL
LEGACIES, AND THE POLITICS OF SOCIAL
INVESTMENT ACROSS WORLD REGIONS
Silja Häusermann, Julian L. Garritzmann, and Bruno Palier
Around the globe, welfare states are undergoing transformation. This is hap-
pening against the background of largely parallel global trends of changing
capitalism, technological innovation and an accompanying shift towards skill-
focused knowledge economies, adjusting labor markets, intensifying glob-
alization, and demographic changes leading to both fiscal pressures as well
as “new social risks” such as single parenthood, youth unemployment, and
working poverty. As a reaction to these global trends, existing welfare states
are adapting. In many countries around the world, policy-makers’ main re-
sponse to these challenges has been to modernize welfare states by focusing
on future-oriented policies that aim at creating, mobilizing, and preserving
human capabilities and skills. These policies are what we call social investment.
Social investment policies, such as—typically—education over the life course,
early childhood education and care, employment-oriented family policies, and
active labor market policies, aim to simultaneously fulfill both economic and
social goals.
Yet, this generalized upswing of social investment policies has taken very dif-
ferent forms and has happened to different degrees and at different points in
time across world regions and across democratic countries around the globe
Silja Häusermann, Julian L. Garritzmann, and Bruno Palier, Structural Constraints, Institutional Legacies, and the
Politics of Social Investment Across World Regions In: The World Politics of Social Investment (Volume II). Edited by:
Julian L. Garritzmann, Silja Häusermann, and Bruno Palier, Oxford University Press. © Oxford University Press 2022.
DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780197601457.003.0001
2
(e.g. Szelewa and Polakowski 2008, Cecchini and Madariaga 2011, Morel et al.
2012, Morgan 2013, Hemerijck 2013, Peng 2014, Huber and Stephens 2014, León
and Pavolini 2014, van Kersbergen and Kraft 2017, Fleckenstein and Lee 2017,
Sandberg and Nelson 2017). And while the existing literature delivers increas-
ingly detailed insight into the determinants of social investment policies within
particular regions, countries, and policy fields, there is neither a joint conceptu-
alization and mapping of social investment development across world regions
and fields, nor an analytical framework that integrates the various ways in which
policy legacies and structural developments across world regions interact to
shape the political supply of and demand for social investment policy and to
enable the formation of the political coalitions shaping concrete reforms (see
Häusermann et al., Chapter 2, Volume I, in Garritzmann et al. 2022). Such a
global analytical perspective is necessary, however, in order to assess whether
what we observe is indeed a trend that relates to a shared (possibly implicit)
policy paradigm, to identify the scope conditions for social investment politici-
zation, and to determine the link between institutional social policy legacies in
a world region and the actors and policy functions that prevail in the regional
politics of social investment. Ultimately, we also need a global perspective to
determine whether the development of social investment policies around the
globe indeed represents a paradigm “shift,” i.e. a turn away from consumptive to
investive policies, or whether—alternatively—consumptive and investive social
policies are developed in parallel as complements to each other.
Only the study of social investment politics across a very wide range of dif-
ferent contexts allows us to integrate the study of social investment in the estab-
lished conceptual and analytical toolbox of welfare state research. In the existing
literature, social investment is usually treated as somewhat “special,” since the
logic of such policies deviates fundamentally from the traditional principle of
decommodification. Scholars have also been skeptical about the balance of ec-
onomic and social goals that social investment is pursuing simultaneously, and
about the possibility of drawing a clear line between social investment on the
one hand and purely liberal commodification on the other. As a result, social
investment as a social policy strategy has been held to higher standards than
traditional social policy in terms of distributive implications.
We argue that an integration and “normalization” of the study of social in-
vestment requires that we conceptualize social investment politics in a way that
enables us to acknowledge the systematic variation in policy dimensions and
determinants, just as welfare state research routinely does for social compensa-
tion policies. For example, social investment policies may indeed have regres-
sive distributive effects (the famous Matthew effects), but they certainly do not
have these regressive effects universally and necessarily. Hence, our objective as
scholars is not to assess whether social investment per se is regressive but to un-
derstand the structural and political conditions under which progressive or re-
gressive distributive policies are adopted. To allow for the study of this systematic
3
improving human capital, skills and capabilities so that people can better handle
life events and transitions (preservation). Capability and skill creation focus on
the formation of resources, mobilization focuses on the effective use of existing
resources, and preservation focuses on the maintenance or enhancement of ex-
isting human capital, skills and capabilities.
The distributive profiles of social investment policies are defined fully in
line with established categories in comparative welfare state research: Inclusive
policies are encompassing and egalitarian, including all or large parts of so-
ciety in a joint policy scheme, with benefits being widely and relatively equally
distributed; stratified policies distribute different benefits to different (vertical)
segments of society, thereby fragmenting groups of beneficiaries along usually
vertical class lines (it is here that we would expect Matthew effects); and targeted
policies channel benefits to lower social classes and precarious social groups spe-
cifically, often using needs-based criteria.
In their varied functions and distributive profiles, social investment policies
are as diverse as traditional compensatory social policies; and the typology
presented in Table 1.1 allows for the categorization and systematic compar-
ison of social investment proposals, programs, and reforms across the world
and over time. When analyzing a specific strategy in terms of this typology, we
look at the proposals or reforms (i.e., the policy outputs) and not the outcomes
of the respective reform in terms of actual policy effects as these depend on
further conditions. In other words, we categorize policy reform strategies as
our key dependent variable (i.e., individual policies and sets of policies, not
policy outcomes). More specifically, we study two dimensions of these reform
strategies: 1) the politicization of social investment and 2) social investment
reforms (or inaction).
When it comes to explaining the politicization of social investment and the
reform strategies, the two volumes resulting from our research differ in their
orientation and perspectives: Volume I (Garritzmann et al. 2022) highlights the
similarities and trends our project revealed across different world regions and is
organized around the explanatory factors (i.e. “independent variables”) driving
social investment reform strategies, while the present Volume II engages more
with the differences between the world regions we have selected and between coun-
tries within those world regions and provides comparative analyses of social in-
vestment politics for and within each region.
Figure 1.1 Theoretical framework of the World Politics of Social Investment project.
1. The concluding chapter of Volume I (Garritzmann et al. 2022) presents the same graph as in
Figure 1.1 while summarizing the main findings of the overall project regarding the relevant
factors supporting the adoption of social investment reforms.
6
Investment +
Strong focus on human
capital and employment
HC creation,
mobilization, and HC creation
preservation
Compensation + (sustainability) Compensation –
Strong and encompassing Weak and fragmented
social security social security
HC mobilization None or targeted
and preservation HC creation
Investment –
Weak focus on human
capital and employment
Figure 1.2 Institutional legacies and prevailing social investment functions in the political debate.
where both investment and compensation have developed in tandem for many
decades. North East Asian countries tend to exhibit investment-heavy legacies
of the productivist welfare paradigm when it comes to education and labor
market policies, as well as (stratified) compensation—and insurance-oriented
policies when it comes to pensions and families. Within the Central and Eastern
European region, countries’ legacies diverge, with the Visegrád countries being
more compensation-oriented and the Baltics more investment-heavy in their
legacies. And finally, we find a similar duality between the “mature” welfare
states in Continental Europe, which are typically predominantly compensation-
oriented, and liberal Anglo-Saxon welfare regimes that attribute relatively higher
weight to investment as compared to consumption. This is only a brief charac-
terization to illustrate the thrust and heuristic ambition of Figure 1.2, and we
will address the specific legacies in somewhat more detail when addressing the
specific configurations by region. To reiterate, our main point here is that policy
legacies vary systematically across world regions, resulting in different kinds of
social investment politics, as we describe in detail in the next section.
each region, to identify the research questions and analytical foci that are partic-
ularly relevant for each of them.
electorally entrenched, more volatile, and more prone to clientelist practices; and
the progressive-traditionalist divide of party competition correlates with econom-
ically left–right positions in very different ways than it does in the Western Europe
and North America regions (Engler, 2016; Enyedi, 2006, Kitschelt et al., 2012).
Accordingly, the partisan influences on social policies in Central and Eastern
Europe differ in important ways from those in Western democracies (Aidukaite,
2009; Lipsmeyer, 2000), not least because left parties were often associated with
the authoritarian past (Orenstein, 1998). While parties (re-)constituted them-
selves newly after the transition to democracy, crucial bureaucrats remained
largely in place and influential (Inglot, 2008). Moreover, the role of trade unions
differed in Central and Eastern European contexts as trade union membership
was often obligatory during the Soviet period, so membership declined drasti-
cally and unions had to reinvent themselves rather independently from the party
system after 1990 (Aidukaite, 2009). The implication of this electoral-democratic
context is that the links between collective actors, in particular parties, and social
groups of voters are less tight and stable, and thus governments, together with
bureaucrats and technocrats, tend to have more political and ideological leeway
for agency (Haggard & Kaufmann, 2008; Kriesi et al., 2020).
The break with the communist past in the early 1990s also had massive
implications for the welfare legacies that continue to structure the politics of
social investment. Central and Eastern European welfare regimes developed in
a “layered” fashion (Inglot, 2008), with Soviet-style welfare policies first being
layered upon preexisting Bismarckian and corporatist social policies (espe-
cially in the Visegrád countries) and the new post-Soviet elites then adding so-
cial insurance policies on top, punctuated by severe economic crises (Haggard
& Kaufmann, 2008). The implication of this non-linear, rather cyclical welfare
development is a more volatile context, with policy strategies shifting over time
between more liberal and more conservative approaches, resulting in more com-
plex policy feedback effects and more difficult reform trajectories than in Western
Europe. Overall, however, the welfare legacies in Central and Eastern European
countries remained rather strongly focused on social insurance (Cerami, 2006;
Kuitto, 2016) and passive welfare benefits, used by elites to “divide and pacify”
potential protests amid acute economic crises (Vanhuysse, 2006). This focus
on insurance and compensation as opposed to investment in the post-transi-
tion period also needs to be understood against the delegitimization of the
employment-oriented welfare policies of the communist period. While activa-
tion, in particular for women, has always had a connotation of independence and
progressivity in the West, universal “forced” commodification of both men and
women in the Central and Eastern European countries had a much more neg-
ative, oppressive connotation (Szelewa & Polakowski, 2008; Vanhuysse, 2006).
With these ideational and institutional legacies in place, the context for so-
cial investment development certainly looked rather dire at the end of the 1990s
in this region. However, the different subregions have subsequently embarked
12
forms of trade unions, increasing our leverage for studying under what conditions
trade unions are protagonists, consenters, or even antagonists to social investment.
Fourth, the differences in the development of programmatic party competition
allow us to investigate the relative power of partisan governments and bureaucrats
under different democratic conditions. Finally, Latin America provides a “hard”
test to study the extent to which left-wing governments develop inclusive social
investment policies that benefit the lower classes or whether they favor stratified
policies to mobilize the middle classes.
Before presenting the outline of the volume, we briefly come back to the compar-
ative logic and design of our research project and to what we think is the analyt-
ical value of comparing the politics of social investment across world regions and
within these regions (besides a substantive interest in each specific region). It is
indeed both very unusual and a daunting task to compare the politicization and
decision-making processes of welfare reform across and within four world re-
gions, and it is only fair to ask whether this strategy is not too strong a temptation
to lump very different empirical phenomena in too simple theoretical baskets
and to end up with a juxtaposition of country-or region-specific analyses.
We are convinced—and demonstrate with these volumes—that there in fact is
substantial analytical added value in comparing the politics of social investment
across and within world regions. First, there are two main research objectives
that we can only fulfill if we go beyond a comparative design of regionally similar
cases: the assessment of a parallel, worldwide development, on the one hand, and
an evaluation of the importance of institutional legacies and their interaction
with structural change in shaping basically all aspects of reform politics, on the
other hand.
Let us start with the parallel trend the cross-regional analysis allows us to de-
tect: A core finding of this volume and its sister volume (Garritzmann et al.,
2022) is that the paradigmatic idea of social policy as creating, mobilizing, and
preserving human skills and capabilities has gained traction in discussions of
welfare state reform since the turn of the 21st century across all regions studied.
Put differently, there are hardly any countries where social investment has not
been politicized or where reforms have not happened. Of course, there is vari-
ation in the extent and substantive types of social investments being politicized
and the resulting policies, but overall, the logic of social investment as a welfare
strategy has indeed spread across all regions. Observing and assessing this al-
most universal spread of the social investment paradigm in welfare politics of
the 21st century—irrespective of the specific political label attached to it in a
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