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The Spine Journal - (2013) -

Clinical Study

Impact of imaging guidelines on x-ray use among American provider


network chiropractors: interrupted time series analysis
Andre E. Bussieres, DC, MSc, PhDa,b,*, Anne E. Sales, RN, PhDc,d,
Timothy Ramsay, MSc, PhDe,f,g, Steven M. Hilles, DC, MBAh,
Jeremy M. Grimshaw, MBChB, PhD, FRCGPf,g,i
a
School of Physical and Occupational Therapy, Faculty of Medicine, McGill University, 3630 Promenade Sir-William-Osler, Hosmer House, Room 205,
Montreal, Quebec H3G 1Y5, Canada
b
Universite du Quebec a Trois-Rivieres, Trois-Rivieres, Quebec, boul. Des Forges, C. P. 500, Trois-Rivieres, Quebec G9A 5H7, Canada
c
School of Nursing, University of Michigan, 400 N. Ingalls, Ann Arbor, MI 48109-0482, USA
d
Center for Clinical Management Research, VA Ann Arbor Health Care System, 2215 Fuller Road, Mail Stop 152 Ann Arbor, MI 48105 USA
e
Department of Epidemiology and Community Medicine, University of Ottawa, 451 Smyth Road, Ottawa, Ontario, K1H 8M5, Canada
f
Clinical Epidemiology Program, Ottawa Health Research Institute, 725 Parkdale Ave, Ottawa, Ontario, K1Y 4E9, Canada
g
Centre for Practice-Changing Research, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, The Ottawa Hospital - General Campus, 501 Smyth Rd, Box 711, Ottawa,
Ontario K1H 8L6, Canada
h
Clinical Quality Management, American Specialty Health Network, Inc, 10221 Waterbridge Circle, San Diego, CA 92121, USA
i
Department of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario K1H 8L6, Canada
Received 12 November 2012; revised 15 July 2013; accepted 26 August 2013

Abstract BACKGROUND CONTEXT: Overuse and misuse of spine x-rays for nonspecific back and neck
pain persists among chiropractors. Distribution of educational materials among physicians results in
small-to-modest improvements in appropriate care, such as ordering spine x-rays, but little is known
about its impact among North American chiropractors.
PURPOSE: To evaluate the impact of web-based dissemination of a diagnostic imaging guideline
on the use of spine x-rays among chiropractors.
STUDY DESIGN/SETTING: Quasi-experimental design that used interrupted time series to eval-
uate the effect of guidelines dissemination on spine x-ray claims by chiropractors enlisted in man-
aged care network in the United States.
PATIENT SAMPLE: Consecutive adult patients consulting for complaints of spine disorders.
OUTCOME MEASURES: A change in level (the mean number of spine x-ray claims per month
immediately after the introduction of the guidelines), change in trend (any differences between pre-
intervention and postintervention slopes), estimation of monthly average intervention effect after
the intervention.
METHODS: The imaging guideline was disseminated online in April 2008. Administrative claims
data were extracted between January 2006 and December 2010. Segmented regression analysis with
autoregressive error was used to estimate the impact of guideline recommendations on the rate of
spine x-rays. Sensitivity analysis considered the effect of two additional quality improvement strat-
egies, a policy change and an education intervention.
RESULTS: Time series analysis revealed a significant change in the level of spine x-ray ordering
weeks after introduction of the guidelines (0.01; 95% confidence interval50.01, –0.002;
p5.01), but no change in trend of the regression lines. The monthly mean rate of spine x-rays within
5 days of initial visit per new patient exams decreased by 10 per 1000, a 5.26% relative decrease

FDA device/drug status: Not applicable. * Corresponding author. School of Physical and Occupational Therapy,
Author disclosures: AEB: Support for travel to meetings for the study Faculty of Medicine, McGill University, 3630 Promenade Sir-William-
or other purposes: Faculty of graduate and postgraduate studies, University Osler, Hosmer House, Room 205, Montreal, Quebec H3G 1Y5, Canada.
of Ottawa (B). AES: Nothing to disclose. TR: Nothing to disclose. SH: Tel.: (514) 398-4400 ext 00849.
Nothing to disclose. JMG: Nothing to disclose. E-mail address: andre.bussieres@mcgill.ca (A.E. Bussieres)
The disclosure key can be found on the Table of Contents and at www.
TheSpineJournalOnline.com.

1529-9430/$ - see front matter Ó 2013 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.spinee.2013.08.051
2 A.E. Bussieres et al. / The Spine Journal - (2013) -

after guideline dissemination. Controlling for two quality improvement strategies did not change
the results.
CONCLUSIONS: Web-based guideline dissemination was associated with an immediate reduc-
tion in spine x-ray claims. Sensitivity analysis suggests our results are robust. This passive strategy
is likely cost-effective in a chiropractic network setting. Ó 2013 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
Keywords: Chiropractors; Health care; Primary care; Quality assurance; Test ordering; X-rays; Utilization

Introduction about the impact of dissemination of diagnostic imaging


guidelines for spine x-ray ordering behavior among chiro-
Poor-quality care, including overuse and misuse of im-
practors in the US setting [22]. To our knowledge, this is
aging for spine disorders, has been reported in the medical
the first study to use a large database that reflects real-
[1,2] and chiropractic literature [3,4]. Overuse may be de- world chiropractic care delivery to assess the impact of
fined as patients receiving unnecessary tests or procedures
a guideline dissemination strategy. We undertook an inter-
with associated risks and side effects, whereas misuse are
rupted time series (ITS) to assess the impact of web-
mistakes that can harm people [5]. Spine x-rays are of little
based dissemination of a spine imaging guideline on spine
clinical use in the absence of clinical indicators of poten-
x-ray claim rates among chiropractors enlisted with the
tially serious pathology requiring specialist referral or ur-
American Specialty Network (ASH), a large chiropractic
gent surgical intervention (red flags) [6,7]. The yield of
provider network (PN) in the United States.
a positive finding on imaging studies that would alter man-
agement is considered extremely low (only 1 in 2,500 lum-
bar spine radiographs) in the absence of red flags [8].
Potential harms from inappropriate use of spine x-rays in- Methods
clude unnecessary patient exposure to ionizing radiation Design
[9–11], and inefficient and potentially inappropriate further
investigations, including magnetic resonance imaging, We performed a retrospective, quasiexperimental design
computed tomography, and any subsequent treatment using segmented regression analysis of ITS data to assess
[12–14]. Although evidence-based diagnostic imaging the significance of changes in level and slope of the regres-
guidelines are available, chiropractors remain divided on sion lines before and after the introduction of a spine imag-
whether current recommendations for spine imaging apply ing guideline [26,27]. ITS design allows for the statistical
to them [3,15,16]. investigation of potential biases in the estimate of effect
Clinical practice guidelines (CPGs) are particularly use- of the intervention and is widely regarded as the strongest
ful where overuse and misuse of services exist, because quasiexperimental design for causal inference guideline
they aim to describe appropriate care based on the best- [26]. These potential biases include: secular trend, seasonal
available scientific evidence and broad consensus while effects, duration of the intervention, random fluctuations,
promoting efficient use of resources [17,18]. The Diagnos- and autocorrelation [28].
tic Imaging Guidelines for Adult Spine Disorders were de-
veloped to assist clinical decision-making and promote Setting
more selective use of imaging studies by chiropractors
The PN provides complementary health care networks
and other primary health care professionals [19]. Although
for health plans across the United States and includes more
these guidelines were released in 2008, recent systematic
than 15,000 chiropractors from 50 states [29].
reviews [6], best-evidence synthesis [7], and national
guidelines [20,21] still support the key recommendations
for spine imaging of uncomplicated neck and back pain. Participants
In a review on the impact of guideline implementation Contracted providers who received payment for at least
and dissemination strategies in allied health professions, one claim submitted between 2006 and 2010 for con-
only 3 of the 14 included studies focused on physiothera- secutive adult patients consulting for complaints of spine
pists, and there were none on chiropractors [22]. disorders were identified from the PN administrative
Distribution of printed educational material (PEM), in- databases.
cluding the posting of guidelines on the web, is a widely
used passive dissemination strategy to improve knowledge,
Interventions
awareness, attitudes, skills, professional practice, and pa-
tient outcomes [23]. High-quality reviews suggested distri- The primary intervention was the introduction of the Di-
bution of PEM was effective for improving physician agnostic Imaging Guidelines [19]. These open access guide-
ordering x-rays for low back pain [24,25] and other muscu- lines were first published in the Journal of Manipulative and
loskeletal conditions [24,25]. However, little is known Physiological Therapeutics in January 2008 [19]. In March
A.E. Bussieres et al. / The Spine Journal - (2013) - 3

Table 1
Description of the delivery of the primary intervention (guidelines dissemination) and the PN quality improvement strategies, and corresponding periods
Event Description Period
Preintervention January 1, 2006 - March 31, 2008 (28 months)
Rationale: PN clinical service managers’
verification of medical necessity for x-ray
services submitted was based on the existing
PN guidelines available on their website
before March 31, 2008.
Primary intervention
Web-based guideline dissemination The primary intervention was the introduction of April 1, 2008 (Month 29)
the DIGASD. The full guidelines were first Rationale: Given a few months’ delay is
published in a peer-reviewed journal in expected between guideline publication and
January 2008, are open access, and available guideline awareness, and web posting
through PubMed. In March 2008, the (NGC and PN) occurred in March 2008, the
guidelines were posted on the NGC and the intervention is considered to have occurred on
PN updated their web-based diagnostic April 1, 2008.
imaging guidelines accordingly.
Postintervention April 1, 2008 - December 31, 2010 (32 months)
Rationale: PN clinical service managers’
verification of medical necessity for x-ray
services submitted was based on the PN
updated guidelines available on their website
after April 1, 2008. Accordingly, the primary
intervention may consider as sustained until
the end of the study period.
Provider Network quality improvement
initiatives
PN policy change focusing on new and New providers: Tier* 2 credentialing process December, 2006 (Month 12)
existing providers across its network was implemented by the PN in March 2006, Rationale: Considering that PN tier 2
enabling the PN to accept applicants with credentialing and remedial educational
high x-ray use while maintaining quality processes for new providers occurred during
oversight. These chiropractors received an a 12-month period, and the PN revised x-ray
educational packet (notification letter, parameters and tier level change for existing
description of tier 2 requirements, and PN providers started in December, PN tier 2
x-ray guidelines), followed by an educational policy change, a multifaceted intervention
phone call and three educational letters over according to the Effective Practice and
their first 12 months. Organizational Care taxonomy [49], is
Existing providers: In December 2006, the PN reputed to have occurred in December 2006.
implemented a program focused on
contracted chiropractors with high x-ray rates.
On annual review, providers exceeding the
revised parameters (spine x-ray ratesO60%
and/or full spine x-ray ratesO5%) were
assigned to tier 2. Under tier 2, all x-ray
services required medical necessity review
before submitting x-ray claims for
reimbursement.
Educational intervention in Georgia state Education letter sent to all Georgia providers September 2007 (Month 21)
whose x-ray use rate was equal or greater
than 60%
Phone outreach educational calls to providers
seeing a minimum of 10 patients and x-ray
utilization was greater than 60% (not already
in tier 2)
DIGASD, Diagnostic Imaging Guideline for Adult Spine Disorders; NCG, National Guideline Clearinghouse; PN, provider network.
* Provider tier: As part of a quality improvement initiative implemented in 2005, PN assigned chiropractors to one of six levels (provider tier) on the basis
of service use, including x-ray ordering practice, and quality data. Each level defines the number of patient visits and services permitted before verification of
medical necessity is required. Provider tier ranges from having to submit documentation for medical necessity verification for all services after the first visit
(tier 1) to no medical necessity verification (tier 6). Providers can move up or down in tier level on an annual basis based on compliance with both quantitative
and qualitative criteria.

2008, the guidelines were posted on the National Guideline Consequently, the intervention is considered as occurring
Clearinghouse [30], and the PN updated their web-based di- on April 1, 2008. Table 1 provides a description of the deliv-
agnostic imaging guidelines accordingly in May 2008. ery of the intervention with the corresponding periods.
4 A.E. Bussieres et al. / The Spine Journal - (2013) -

Associated quality-improvement (QI) initiatives Ethics


The PN clinical staff retrospectively identified QI initia- A data use agreement was signed by involved parties
tives to improve appropriate use of spine x-rays. The PN as- and ethics approval was granted by the Ottawa Health Re-
signed chiropractors to one of six levels (provider tier search Ethics Boards.
system) on the basis of service use, including x-ray ordering
practice, and quality data. Each level defines the point at
which medical necessity review is applied. Two QI strategies Data analysis and management
were targeted at more frequent x-ray users during the study
Encrypted data were downloaded into an Excel file,
period: (1) a policy change introduced across the network in
December 2006, and (2) an educational intervention deliv- transposed into a 60-month observation period, and con-
ered in September 2007 in the state of Georgia (Table 1). verted using SAS statistical software (version 9.2) in July
2011. A two-sided p!.05 was considered statistically sig-
nificant, and analyses were performed using SAS enterprise
Data sources guide (version 4.2). We estimated changes in level and
trend for the dissemination of the guidelines and conducted
Data were extracted between January 1, 2006 and De-
sensitivity analyses on the PN QI strategies (Supplementary
cember 31, 2010 from the ASH administrative claims data-
file 1). The Durbin-Watson (dw) statistic was used to test
base. The database contains claims data for billed services
for autocorrelation. The dw statistic detected no evidence
submitted by the PN contracted practitioners. Data were ex-
of autocorrelation (dw51.95, p5.99). Nonetheless, be-
tracted for consecutive patients older than the age of 18
who were treated for complaints of neck, back, or low back cause time series data typically are auto-correlated, we un-
dertook a conservative approach and used regression
pain. Duplicate claims submissions and Medicare contracts
analysis with autoregressive errors.
were excluded. Diagnostic and procedure codes used are
classified under the International Classification of Disease,
Primary analysis
Ninth Revision [31] and the Current Procedural Terminol-
ogy, Fourth Edition [32]. Estimating changes in level and trend for the dissemination
The following complete datasets were extracted each of the guidelines
month at the care provider level for patients consulting To determine the expected mean number of the depen-
for spinal complaints during the study period: (1) number dent variable following exposure to the intervention, three
of ‘‘unique’’ patients defined as insured individuals using variables were entered into the time series model: (1) a time
chiropractic services for which there was at least one al- variable; (2) an indicator variable to differentiate between
lowed paid service during the reporting period); (2) number pre- and postguideline publication period; and (3) a postin-
of ‘‘new patient exams’’ claims for complaints of spinal tervention term. The autoregressive error structure (vt) rep-
disorders; and (3) spine x-ray ordering claims data (cervi- resents the random variability not explained by the model.
cal, thoracic, lumbar, and full spine x-rays) were extracted We specified the following linear regression model:
for the entire study period and if ordered within 5 days of
a billed initial patient visit. Each service for a radiographic Yt 5b0 þ ðb1  Timet Þ þ ðb2  Interventiont Þ þ ðb3
examination as identified by the applicable Current Proce-  Timet after Interventiont Þ þ vt ðerror termÞ
dural Terminology code was counted as an x-ray study. PN
ð1Þ
officials routinely assess billing patterns and audit chiro-
practors to ensure billing accuracy. In addition, reliability
of data extraction process were assessed by two study in-
vestigators on two occasions (February and June 2011) at Intervention effects
the PN headquarters in San Diego by comparing randomly Three outcomes in the ITS analysis are: first, change in
selected cases with the original dataset. level immediately after the intervention; second, difference
between preintervention and postintervention slopes; and
third, the estimation of monthly average intervention effect
Outcome measures after the intervention [27,33,34]. To estimate the interven-
The primary measure was a change in level or the mean tion effect across PN providers, the expected results from
number of spine x-ray claims ordered within five days of regression equation 1 at month 60, which is 32 months after
initial patient visit per 1,000 new patient exams per month the CPGs were disseminated, is expressed as [27,34]:
immediately after the introduction of the guidelines, and b 60ðwith
g CPGsÞ 5 b 0
b þb
b 1  60 þ b
b2  1 þ b
b 3  32 ð2Þ
any differences between preintervention and postinterven-
tion trends. A third outcome of ITS analysis is the estima- The following expresses regression equation 1 at month
tion of monthly average intervention effect after the 60 had the CPGs not been disseminated (ie, without any
intervention [26,27]. postintervention effect in the model):
A.E. Bussieres et al. / The Spine Journal - (2013) - 5

Fig. 1. Monthly use of spine x-ray per new patient exams across the provider network before and after guidelines dissemination, controlling for provider
network policy change. Rate_5dNP, immediate spine x-rays.

b 60ðwithout
g b þb
CPGsÞ 5 b 0b 1  60 ð3Þ We performed a separate analysis using data for the state of
Georgia only, adding both QI strategies, the policy change
Intervention effects may be expressed as the absolute interven- at month 12 and an educational intervention at month 21
tion effect: g b 60ðwith CPGsÞ  g b 60ðwithout CPGsÞ 5 b
b2 þ b
b 3  32, (Fig. 2).
or as the relative change in outcome associated with
the CPGs, expressed as percentage increase or decrease:
bg 60ðwith CPGsÞ bg 60ðwithout CPGsÞ Results
 100:
bg 60ðwithout CPGsÞ During the 5-year period, more than 605,500 new patient
examination claims were made for 4,554,362 patients. Spine
Sensitivity analysis x-ray use claims decreased steadily during the 5-year period,
with a mean of 248.2 (95% confidence interval [95% CI]
Estimating changes in level and trend for the PN quality 247.9–248.5) spine x-ray claims per 1,000 new patient
improvement strategies exams per month before, and 203.3 per 1,000 (95% CI
To control for changes in level and trend of the series 202.9–203.6) after guidelines dissemination (Table 2).
that are caused by reasons other than the release of the Di-
agnostic Imaging Guidelines, we conducted separate time
series by adding the PN QI strategies as a change point Primary analysis: guidelines dissemination
in the segmented regression analysis of ITS, along with Visual inspection suggests a downward trend in use of
the primary intervention disseminated at month 29. The spine x-ray claims throughout the study period, with an
model with two point changes was as follows [27]: abrupt level change occurring soon after the intervention
Yt 5b0 þ ðb1  Timet Þ þ ðb2  Interventiont Þ þ ðb3 at around month 29 (Fig. 1). The coefficients, associated
95% CIs, and significance level for each variable are pre-
 Timet after Interventiont Þ þ ðb4  QI strategyt Þ sented in Table 3. At the beginning of the observation pe-
þ ðb5  Timet after QI strategyt Þ þ vt ðerror termÞ riod, chiropractors claimed for average 265 of 1,000
spine x-rays within 5 days of initial visit per new patient
ð4Þ
exams per month. A small but significant level change in
We first conducted a time series analysis adding the pol- the mean number of spine x-ray claims per new patient
icy change implemented across the PN at month 12 (Fig. 1). exams per month (about 10 per 1,000) was observed

Fig. 2. Monthly use of spine x-ray per new patient examinations in Georgia State before and after guidelines dissemination controlling for two quality im-
provement strategies. Rate_5dNP, immediate spine x-rays.
6 A.E. Bussieres et al. / The Spine Journal - (2013) -

Table 2
Mean monthly number of new patient examinations, spine x-rays within 5 days of initial examination, and rate of spine x-rays within 5 days per 1,000 new
patient examinations before and after the intervention among provider network chiropractors in the United States
Pre-CPG (first 28 months: Post-CPG (last 32 months:
Across provider network January 2006-March 2008) April 2008-December 2010)
New patient examinations*
Mean per month (SD) 10,708.6 (1,040.7) 9,552.8 (817.1)
Spine x-rays within 5 days of initial examination
Mean per month (CI) 2662.1 (2,677.0–2,787.6) 1945.2 (1,945.16–2,029.4)
Mean monthly rate of spine x-rays within 5 days per 1,000 new patient exams
Mean per month (CI) 248.22 (247.93–248.51) 203.29 (202.99–203.59)
CI, confidence interval; CPG, clinical practice guideline; SD, standard deviation.
* New patient exams: Patient between age 18 and 65 years with chief complaints of neck, thoracic, or low back pain during the study period 2006–2010.

immediately after the guidelines were released (0.0104, Discussion


95% CI –0.0182, –0.0026, p5.0114). There was a signifi-
Segmented regression analysis of a 5-year ITS showed
cant overall decrease in the rate of spine x-rays claims over
that web-based dissemination of a diagnostic imaging guide-
the study period (p!.0001), but the rate of decrease did not
line among a large group of chiropractors in a PN setting was
appear to change after the intervention (p5.8536). After
stepwise elimination of nonsignificant terms, the most par- associated with a significant change in level (step) but not
simonious model contained only the intercept, the baseline trend in x-ray claims. The change in level remained signifi-
cant after we controlled for previous PN quality improve-
trend, and the level change in the mean number of spine x-
ment strategies targeting high x-ray users, suggesting our
rays claims after guidelines release (0.0103, 95%
findings were not caused by relevant factors we were able
CI50.0180, –0.0026; p5.0109).
to measure. We also observed an underlying secular reduc-
Using results in Table 3, we estimated that at 60 months,
tion in x-ray claims during the study period. Such downward
PN chiropractors claimed for 186 spine x-rays per 1,000 new
trend has been observed over the past decades among chiro-
patient exams per month. Had the CPGs not been introduced,
the mean monthly rate of spine x-ray claims per new patient practors in North America [3,35–37] and overseas [38,39].
examinations would have been 196 per 1,000. Thus, the av- To our knowledge, this is the first study to document,
with a strong quasi-experimental design, a decrease in spine
erage rate of spine x-ray claims per new patient examina-
x-ray claims after web-based dissemination of PEMs
tions per month decreased by 10 spine x-rays per 1,000
among chiropractors enlisted in a PN. Our results concur
(the absolute intervention effect), or 5.26% after the CPGs
with the recent updated Cochrane review that suggests
were disseminated, compared with what it would have been
PEMs generally are effective strategies for improving pro-
without the CPGs (a relative percentage decrease).
cess of care among physicians and result in small to modest
improvements [40]. Giguere’s review included 45 studies
Sensitivity analysis: PN QI strategies
comprising 14 randomized controlled trials and 31 ITS
A significant level change remained after controlling for studies [40]. For randomized controlled trials , the median
PN QI strategies across the network (Fig. 1) and in Georgia absolute improvement in continuous professional practice
State (Fig. 2). outcomes was 0.13 SMD (range from 0.16 to þ0.36)
when PEMs were compared with no intervention. Results
Table 3
Parameter estimates, CIs, and p values from the full and most parsimoni-
for ITS studies were consistent across studies and support
ous segmented regression models predicting mean monthly numbers of the aforementioned conclusions (standardized median
spine x-rays within 5 days of initial visit per new patient exams across change in level of 1.69, range from 6.96 to þ14.26). Only
provider network over time three studies included nonphysicians (nurses, pharmacists,
Guidelines dissemination Coefficient (95% CI) p Value or psychologists), and mode of delivery of PEMs rarely
Full segmented regression model consisted of web-based dissemination. A recent random-
Intercept B0 0.2645 (0.2586, 0.2701) !.0001 ized trial in the United Kingdom showed that posted
Baseline trend B1 0.0011 (0.0015, 0.0008) !.0001 PEM can shift chiropractors’, osteopaths’, and physiother-
Level change after guidelines 0.0104 (0.0182, 0.0026) .0114 apists’ beliefs and self-reported behavior toward treatments
release B2
Trend change after guidelines 0.00004 (0.0005, 0.0004) .8536
more in line with guideline recommendations [41]. How-
release B3 ever, the trial did not include recommendations for lumbar
Most parsimonious segmented regression model x-rays and had a short follow-up.
Intercept B0 0.2649 (0.2606, 0.2692) !.0001
Baseline trend B1 0.0012 (0.0014, 0.0009) !.0001 Implications for research
Level change after guidelines 0.0103 (0.0179, 0.0026) .0109
release B2 Although the evidence-based movement is now promi-
CI, confidence interval. nent in allopathic medicine, this approach to clinical
A.E. Bussieres et al. / The Spine Journal - (2013) - 7

practice has been a much slower process in chiropractic limitations must be considered. First, determinants of health
[42]. Although there is a substantial evidence base focusing care use, including patient health status and extent of health-
on changing physician practice (eg, improving prescribing care insurance coverage, were not available for analysis.
and medicines use) [43], the applicability of this research Second, appropriateness of x-ray ordering cannot be ad-
to chiropractic is uncertain given the differences in chiro- dressed as the available administrative data lacked detailed
practors’ training and practice patterns [44,45]. To date, clinical information such as presence of red flags, specific
there has been little knowledge translation research in chi- diagnosis, and disease severity. Third, providers could have
ropractic. We are aware of only one (ongoing) cluster trial ordered x-rays without submitting claims for them. Fourth,
evaluating Australian chiropractors’ compliance with it is unclear if other tests were being substituted for under-
a CPG to reduce lumbar x-rays for acute lower back pain going x-rays such as magnetic resonance imaging.
[46]. More knowledge translation research in chiropractic The biggest threat to time series analysis is an event oc-
is needed to identify optimal strategies to improve practice curring at the same time as the intervention producing
in this professional group. a similar effect (ie, history) [26,53]. Although a number
of national guidelines on back pain were released or up-
dated during the study period [20,21], CPGs made available
Implications for practice and policy makers
in 2008 were in Finnish [54] or housed under the National
Chiropractic care and complementary and alternative Health Service in the UK [55], a website unlikely to be fre-
medicine are increasingly being used [47] and integrated quently visited by US chiropractors. One other notable
into group practice organizations and mainstream health event was the online release of a chiropractic imaging
care [48] with significant potential economic benefits guideline at the end of 2007 [16]. History is not plausible,
[49]. Further integration of complementary and alternative however, because this chiropractic guideline promoted the
medicine, however, should be founded on sound evidence- routine use of spine x-rays, a behavior in the opposite direc-
based principles of quality health care delivery [48]. tion of the Diagnostic Imaging Guideline, which consis-
Although a formal cost analysis was not conducted, tently recommends not using x-rays in the absence of red
web-based dissemination of these imaging guidelines flags. A second common threat to time series analysis is
appeared to be cost-effective. Developing the Diagnostic a change in the composition of the study population. This
Imaging Guidelines for Adult Spine Disorders and web seems unlikely because: (1) there was no atypical change
posting in three open sources cost less than 45,000 USD. in the mean number of providers per month in the adjacent
Considering an average of 9,553 new patient exams were months before and after the intervention; (2) there are no
performed each month across ASH network after guidelines compelling reasons why patient characteristics, severity
were disseminated, we estimate a reduction of 3,056 x-rays of presenting complaints, and co-morbidity would change
series over the study period (10 fewer spine x-rays/1,000 when CPGs were disseminated; and (3) it seems improba-
new patient examinations9,553 new patients exams/ ble that such a large number of providers would stop using
month32 months). This would translate in direct savings their x-ray equipment in response to the dissemination of
to the PN on the order of $152,848 USD during the the guidelines. Two other common threats to time series
32-month period (average of $50,00/spine x-rays). Further- analysis are seasonality and testing effect. No important
more, the observed 5% decrease in the rate of ordering seasonality (cyclical variation) was expected, and inclusion
x-rays also resulted in less patient ionizing radiation expo- of 60 data points likely captured potential seasonal varia-
sure [9–11], and possibly reduced inefficient and poten- tions in the pre- and post-intervention periods. Lastly, test-
tially inappropriate invasive diagnosis and subsequent ing effect is unlikely as there was no change in the way
treatment [12,14,50]. Such issues are likely significance claims were recorded during the study period.
both at the clinical and the population health level [10,51].
Policy makers within a PN setting should consider
Conclusions
web-based dissemination of evidence-based guidelines as
an initial step to reduce knowledge-practice gap. Greater Web-based dissemination of diagnostic imaging guide-
effects may be achieved through active dissemination strat- lines was associated with a reduction in the x-ray claims
egies [52]. by chiropractors enlisted with a large network of providers
in the United States. Passive guidelines dissemination ap-
peared to be a simple, cost-effective strategy in this setting
Limitations
to improve x-ray ordering rates. More research is needed to
Although our study had a number of strengths, including find more efficient guideline dissemination strategies. Inter-
use of a strong quasiexperimental design, a large sample ventions aiming to further reduce x-ray utilization should
size, inclusion of consecutive patient encounters with chiro- identify barriers to change and target high users in identi-
practors enlisted in one of the largest PN across the United fied geographical areas, and aim to clarify the effect of
States, and a long study period (this study had 60 time point a provider tier system on x-ray ordering practice in a man-
observations and no autocorrelation was found), some aged system.
8 A.E. Bussieres et al. / The Spine Journal - (2013) -

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