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JANUARY 21,1980 Vol. 115 No. 3 TIME THE WEEKLY NEWSMAGAZINE

to lowa’s voters, broke away to join Agriculture Secretary Bob


ALetter from the Publisher Bergland as he tried to explain the Administration’s grain-
sales policy to the state’s farmers. During his 24 years in the bu-
ith 15 states and nearly a third of the U.S.’s population reau, Hillenbrand, previously a foreign correspondent, has re-
under its purview, our Chicago-based Midwest bureau is ported many agriculture stories and developed a fondness for
never short of stories. But last week, with the embargo of So- the men who farm. “They are some of the few Americans who
viet grain sales sending shock waves through SILL DANIEL really put the country ahead of making a buck,”
the Great Plains and a herd of presidential he says. “Many support the embargo; though,
hopefuls campaigning in Iowa before the state’s like Manhattan cab drivers, they never stop
party caucuses, the bureau’s correspondents complaining about their lot.”
found their list of assignments unusually heavy. | Besides being one of our largest domestic
Says Benjamin Cate, who has been Midwest’s news bureaus, in terms of the population and
chief since 1975: “It was our busiest week with | territory it covers (from North Dakota and
breaking stories since our cover on the Big © Minnesota south to Oklahoma), the Midwest
Freeze of the winter of 1977. And it was just bureau is also the oldest. It was established in
as frantic and even more complicated than any 1929 and counts as the first cover it reported
election-week reporting.” a 1930 piece on Mobster Al Capone. Nowadays
Cate was already out in snow-choked Des _ the big stories that occupy the bureau can range
Moines with the G.O.P. candidates who had from projects involving long-term reporting,
come to Iowa when TIME’s editors in New York like our November 1978 cover on “The New
scheduled the cover story on the grain embar- U.S. Farmer” to this week’s fast-breaking ex-
go. Filling in for Cate in Chicago, Correspon- TIME’s BenCate in Des amination of “Grain Asa Weapon.” Such high- —
dent Madeleine Nash marshaled stringers pressure assignments can be tough, but, as Nash
(part-time correspondents) to assess reaction to the embargo explains, they also have their compensations. Says she: “It’s like
in the farm states and tapped her own agriculture sources. Pa- the man who when asked why he climbed mountains replied:
o”
tricia Delaney reported on the hectic commodities trading at “Because it feels so good when I stop.
the Chicago Board of Trade, while David Jackson interviewed
experts on the gasohol program. Barry Hillenbrand, who had

We Ce Megan
1/ been following Ted Kennedy’s efforts to explain his candidacy

Cover: Photograph by Grant Heilman.

12 27 36
Cover: The debate Nation: Candidates World: The shocks
over Carter's embargo crisscross snowbound from Afghanistan
of Soviet grain sales Towa in search of sup- were strong—notably
reverberates thunder- port in the state’s com- in Pakistan, which
ously. Will farmers plex caucus. » How also worried about the
suffer despite the Gov- John Sears directs return to power of
ernment’s promise to Reagan's surprisingly | Moscow-leaning Indi-
bail them out? Will low-key campaign. } ra Gandhi. The dra-
the move have any ef- > US. labor's durable mas in Kabul and Iran
fect on Moscow? See chief, George Meany, clouded an Egyptian-
NATION. dies at 85. Israeli summit.

52 56 61 62 70
Religion Sexes Sport Law Economy & Business Press
Theologian Hans A new book examines Super Bowl: the Pitts- Who must pay when A retreat on the ener- Hollywood bites back
King is back teach- the agony and ecstasy burgh Steclers, owned products cause harm? gy front as plans fora at the National En-
ing despite Vatican of “limerence,” an ob- by a benevolent patri- Makers of the Pinto, gas tax are shelved. quirer.» Trial by in-
crackdown. » In Af- session that can turn arch, vs. the Los An- Agent Orange and as- >» More power to gas- terview: Quinn and
rica, churches are the meek into Mean geles Rams, owned by bestos await answers ohol. » Worries over Fallaci. » A moon
booming. Joe Greene. a determined widow. from the courts. strategic metals. shot’s triple play.

77 79 81 84 91 S American Scene
Architecture Television Music Theater Essay 10 Letters
Denver's newly From the folks who It's harder for women British Playwright The ’70s produced a 58 Medicine
opened, $13 million gave preschoolers Big to succeed in rock, but Harold Pinter’s dra- lot that was new, but 69 Education
Helen G. Bonfils The- Bird and Ernie comes four singers from ma, Betrayal, has all not much of it was 72 Cinema
ater Complex has a show that tries to around New York are the old pauses but a predicted. Why did 80 People
profited from its pre- teach science with the exploring brave, new new twist: the plot is forecasters flub so 88 Books
decessors’ mistakes. same pizazz. sounds. revealed in reverse. badly? 92 Milestones

TIME (ISSN greeks is published weekly at the subscription price of $31 per year, by Time Inc., 541 N. Fairbanks Court, Chica; . Ill, 60611, Principal office: Rocketeller Center, New York,
N.Y. 10020. James R. Shepley, President; J. Winston Fowlkes, Treasurer; Charles 8. Bear, Secretary. Second class postage paid at Chicago, lil., and at additional mailing offices. Vol. 115 No. 3
@ 1980 Time inc. All rights reserved. Reproduction in whole or in part without written permission is prohibited. POSTMAST! R: Send address changes to TIME, Time/Life ac 541 N. Fairbanks
Court, Chicago, Ill. 60611. oaaa

2 TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980


Getting oil from stone?
Texaco’s trying.
e

Shale contains oil /4 j


which you can actually set afire. \. a/
To unlock the oil from the stone
will cost millions. A

Theres a big section of this country thats other companies in Utah on an experimental
loaded with oil that we haven't been able to touch, _process that uses radio-frequency electric fields to
because its too hard to get at with conventional heat the shale to recover the oil.
methods. The process is very expensive and will
That oil has been solidly locked in rock-like take years to perfect. But ifwere successful, it could
formations called oil shale. And some estimates mean that a lot more oil will be available, nght
say that there could be as much as here in the United States.
a hundred and fifty years supply of When it comes to finding you
oil available. TEX AC 0 new sources of energy, Texaco won't
Were working with several eS leave a stone untumed.

We're working to keep your trust.


:

2 ; : “The TR7 convertibl must rank as one of the most


e
eae comfortable, practical and entertaining sports cars
os o "ota
. dealer a

“It tracks as Ut as a laser and speaks through the Tas


+

steering in positive, reassuring tones. Peeling back


the top reveals a roomy and striking interior... this
is one of the great remaining bargains.” 73)2.2855<<.

“With several thousand miles on


the clock, the TR7 convertible
still felt tight and solid, and all
things considered, it’s an
exhilarating car to drive.”

SCCA NATIONAL
CHAMPION IN
D PRODUCTION!

For the name of


your necrest Triumph dealer ool
800-447-4700; in Illinois call: 800-322- 44000.
Jaguar Rover Triumph Inc. Leonia, New Jersey 07605.
American Scene

In California: New Doc on the Hill


eople around Feather Falls remember next to the victim and ran jumper cables shirts, green silk dotted ties and baggy, un-
when anyone who got seriously in- from the car battery to the man’s chest. pressed jeans. His walrus mustache, gold-
jured was likely to be strapped into a ca- Even so, the voltage was too weak, and the rimmed glasses and long brown hair
noe for a bumpy 20-mile ride down the man could not be revived. brought to mind not young Dr. Kildare |
lumber flume to the Marysville hospital. Doc Rose’s work load is a throwback but Billy Shears from the Beatles’ Sgr. |
Those less ill were treated by the Widow to the days of black bags and horse-drawn Pepper. |
Griffith—until she died at the age of 98. buggies. In the 3% years since he came to Long before John Rose was born, |
Says Marysville’s Dr. Lynn Frink: “They Feather Falls, he has been careening general practitioners began disappearing
would come in with half their face eaten around its twisty roads in a flower-speck- from the American landscape. But a dec- |
away with a cancer that could have been led 68 VW Bug pretty much day and ade ago, medical schools started offer-
treated successfully three years ago; or night. Rose talks in an easy country twang ing a new specialty called family prac- |
they'd be in bad shape from heart disease that belies his Princeton (B.A. ’69) and tice. Rose signed up, and so did many
when all they needed was digitalis. If they Baylor (M.D. '73) education. After serving others. Today there are 54,000 family
should have been treated months before, his residency in an urban Oakland, Calif., physicians in the U.S. (as compared with |
you could bet they were from up that hill.” hospital, he came to Feather Falls and 21,000 in 1969). “The problem in med- |
Medically, things are looking up for
people on the Hill, a rough, largely un-
changed slab of the California Sierras,
=
dotted with gold-panners’ shanties and
crisscrossed by streams of flashing gold NINERS
MOSINd

and speckled trout. Fortnight ago, for ex-


ample, when Logger Bill Lingenfelter was
pinned by a “widowmaker”—a tree fall-
ing in the wrong direction—his crew
mates rushed him to Dr. John Rose. The
“Doc” swiftly took 30 stitches in Lingen-
felter’s right leg and put splints on him.
The stitching was done at the new
Yuba-Feather Health Center, three log
cabins built as a staging site for fighting
forest fires but recently transformed into
a medical resource serving 8,000 people
spread over 900 sq. mi. of mountain. It
was paid for out of federal and private
funds, which cover the salaries of two full-
time physicians: Rose, 32, and his part-
ner, Dr. William Hoffman, 34. Both the
center and the young doctors who staff it
are signs of a national effort to bring doc- Making a house call, Dr. John Rose checks reflexes of Stroke Victim Jim Miller
toring back to rural America.
Just before this winter’s storms ar- found himself delivering goats, prescrib- icine used to be the discovery of causes
rived, along with an anticipated 18 ft. of ing for sick dogs and sewing up deer at- and cures of diseases,” Rose explains.
snow, the Yuba-Feather Health Center tacked by dogs. All that, of course, was in “Now it is the distribution and appli-
held its first open house. Furniture in the addition to morning rounds and surgery in cation of that knowledge. For that, the
waiting room was pushed back for danc- the Marysville hospital, afternoon office generalist is what’s needed.” Getting the
ing. Hill people arrived from lumbering hours, evening community-health meet- information across can be a slow pro-
Outposts, such as Shenanigan Flats, Tim- ings and late-night calls from the preg- cess. Rose is deep into organizing Grange
buctoo, Challenge and Strawberry Valley. nant or the lonely. dances and fishing trips. He plays on
Carrying plastic wine glasses, they poked the local basketball team (9 won, 5 lost
their heads into the X-ray area, the phar- ose makes about $32,000 a year. “I so far), and has led lobbying to keep
macy and the psychologist’s quarters. could be making more money in the Yuba County from paving the rutted
They wandered through the cook’s shack, valley,” he says. “But what else could I country roads, thus bringing unwanted
now transformed into a dentist’s office. want? I think I'm just a hick at heart.” traffic to the Hill. On Rose’s wall is
And they studied twinkling, gyrating ma- Says an ancient patient, with an approv- tacked a sign. GOD GRANT ME PATIENCE
chines in the laboratory, formerly a fire ing smirk: “The Doc is busier than a long- ... ANDI WANT IT RIGHT NOW.
fighters’ shower room. tailed cat in a roomful of rocking chairs.” During the center’s open house, Har-
Every bit of equipment was proudly That kind of approval came hard. ry Hollis, 64, a retired carpenter, chatted
introduced to potential patients by young Whispered exchanges over backyard at the punch bowl with Jim Miller, 48.
Doc Rose. In the main hallway, a donated fences about the Doc’s “live-in” girl- Hollis, the day before, had held in his
defibrillator drew special attention. Ev- friend, a lab technician at the center, are hands a strip of eleven color photographs
erybody knew that shortly after Rose ar- just now dying down. Feather Falls is a taken of the inside of his stomach. Miller
rived on the Hill, he was called out to help company town, wholly owned by the Lou- had recently spent a day patched to a por-
a man electrocuted while stringing a tele- isiana-Pacific Corp. Its 800 citizens live in table EKG machine. Doc Rose’s calendar
vision antenna. The man’s heart had white-trimmed, barn-red houses, paying showed an appendectomy first thing in
Stopped, and Rose needed a defibrillator an average $125-a-month rent. They did the morning. It no longer seemed to mat-
to jolt it back to life with electricity. There not know what to make of an antiwar ac- ter how long it had been since his last
was noneon the Hill, so Rose drove his car tivist like Rose who dressed in red flannel haircut. — Dick Thompson

TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980 5


..-it is for people who are curious about the last nights of Pom-
peii.... how salamanders use body electricity to regrow lost
limbs... the history of humble pie... mussel power... paleonto-
logical hoaxes... where 100 million Monarch butterflies winter
... giant Chinese junks of antiquity... the Faroe islanders who
still salt away puffins and whale meat... the wolf that lost its
genes...the vacant lots where orchids grow wild... underwater
volcanoes...and other enthralling phenomena oflife on and
around this planet. American Museum of Natural History
PO. Box 5000, Des Moines, lowa 50348
We're looking for a special kind of isfy your curiosity. It will enrich you with
reader. If you fill the bill, we'd like to invite fascinating articles by learned guides to YES, please enter my 12-issue subscription to
you to become an Associate Member of the natural world. It will delight your eye NATURAL HISTORY for one year.
the American Museum of Natural History with spectacular full-color photography.
Bill me just $10 as dues for a year's membership
and to enjoy a whole cornucopia of mem- As an Associate Member of the
bership benefits— including a subscrip- Museum, you pay $10 a year and receive in the American Museum of Natural History,
tion to our official magazine, Natural a 12-issue subscription to Natural History which includes this subscription and the other
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If you're the person we're looking for And that's not all. You will also receive ship Card and magazines to
chances are you long for the great out- Free Museum admission. Free tickets to
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all around us. You are intrigued by the AD79 and Gold of El Dorado. Access to Name
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Ogy, oceanography— and want to know facts, books, even toys. Travel opportuni- Street Addres
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And you are curious about the antics if you are curious, sign up now. Simply
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and adaptions of the human animal, too complete the coupon today. You needn't
— whether it’s the white magic of exorcists send your $10 dues now...we'll be glad to
of Sri Lanka, the last primitive Eskimos bill you later Payment enclosed Bill me
the recipes of Hopi Indians, or the curious
rituals of customers at McDonald's. We promise never tolet your Please allow 7 weeks for first copy. Outside U.S. please
Natural History will both pique and sat- curiosity down. -------—-
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Founders:
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HeneyR.LUCE 1898-1967
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WELL
SEE
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HER
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AGAIN
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cer Davidson, Frederic Golden, Paul Gray, Dorothy Haystead, Marguerite Johnson, John busy street. A little
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STAFF WRITERS: David Aikman, Patricia Blake, E. Graydon Carter, Julie Connelly, cement pipe. Tattered
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CONTRIBUTORS: AT. Baker, Jay Cocks, Thomas Griffith, Melvin Maddocks, Jane
O'Reilly, Christopher Porterfield, Richard Schickel, John Skow
nourished. That pleading oy
REPORTER-RESEARCHERS: Ursula Nadasdy de Gallo, Sue Raftety, Betty Sat-
terwhite Sutter ‘tment Heads); Audrey Bail, Amanda Macintosh Berman, Pepey
look. At a glance we knew *2 Vou become a
Berman, Nancy McO.Chase, Eileen Chiu, Georgia Harbison, Anne Hopkins, Sara
dina, Nancy Newman, Susan M. Reed, Victoria , Raissa Silverman, Zons Sparks, F
she needed help. / er Parent, your
Sydnor Vanderschmidt, Susanne Washburn, Genevieve A. Wilson-Smith, Rosemarie T
Zadikow (Senior Statf)
The problem is... <ehild and her family
Peter Ainslie, Charles P. Alexander, Janice Castro, LydiaChavez, Oscar Chiang, Barbara
B. Dolan, Rosamond Loyag Elaine Dutka, Cassie T.Furgurson, Tam Marti Gray
she's one of many. And 34 c- will get help with their
Robert T. Grieves, Carol A. Johmann, Adrianne Jucius, John Kohan, Laurie Upson Mamo, we already have a waiting list ' “= ~ ° most immediate needs.
Ekzabeth D. Meyer, Jamie Murphy, Jeanne-Marie North, Brigid O'Hara-Forster, Barry
Rehfeld,
D. Walsh,
Elizabeth Ruduiph, Alain L. Sanders, Marion H. Sanders, Jane Van Tassel, Joan
Linda Young
of children who need help. NEXT: We make sure
CORRESPONDENTS: Richard L. Duncan (Chief); William R. Doerner, Rudolph S. Before we can help her, we that school-aged children can go
Rauch |i! (Deputies); Donald Neff (News Services Editor)
Washington Contributing 3 Hugh Sidey need to know there’s someone to school. Their future depends
Diplomatic Strobe Talbot
National Political John F. Stacks who cares ... someone who wants on it. SOON: You can exchange
Senior Correspondents: Laurence | Barrett, James Bell, Ruth Mehrtens Galvin,
to help. letters and begin getting to know
Washington: Robert Ajemian, R. Edward Jackson, Joelle Attinger, Jonathan Beaty,
Richard Bernsten, is Brew, Simmons Fentress, Hanne, Richard Hornik, Maybe the next time we see your child. You can begin forming
Walter Isaacson, Neil MacNeil, Johanna McGeary, Christ Ogee ; her we can offer her a better life.
Eileen Stielts, Don Sider, Roberto Suro, Evan T as,Gregory |. Wierzynski Chica- a very warm and personal relation-
bey W. Cate, Patricia Delaney, Hell . a
‘son, J. Madeleine Nash Los = William Rademaekers, William Blaylock, If we see her again. . . . If enough ship . . . a loving friendship that
EdwardJ.Boyer, Robert L.Goldstein, JosephJ.Kane, Michael Moritz, James Willwerth
New York: Peter Stoler, Gisela Bolte, Dean Brelis, Mary Cronin, Doro! gaor people care. will offer her the security and en-
Robert Geline, Janice C.Simpson, JohnTompkins,
James Wide’ A Joseph
, Anne Corsa Bostonshays iy Marlin Levin, Jeff Meivoin Detroit: Bar- Please let us know that you couragement of knowing that you
Seaman, Christopher Redman Francisco: Gavin Scott, Paul A. Witteman
Houston: Robert C. Wurmstedt Mami: chard Woodbury care... that you want to help. care very much about her.
Lawrence Matin London: Bonnie , Erik Amfitheatrot, James Shep-
herd, White Paris: Henry Muller, Sandra Burton Bonn: 8.William Mader, Lee
Griggs Eastern Europe: Bary Kalb s Friedel Ungeheuer Rome: Wilton We believe that just sustaining life
Wynn, Roland Flamin Jerusalem: Dean Fischer, David Halevy Cairo: William Droz-
is not enough. Foster Parents Plan The sooner we
diam Bruce van Voorst Moscow: Bruce W.Nelan
t e
2 Marsh Clark,
is committed to giving needy children
Call us TOLL-FREE
cia Gauger Tokyo:
Edwin M.Reingold, S. ae hear from you,
Canada: uM. : Ogle and their families the skills and 800-621-5809. the sooner we
Anytime, day or night!
(Vancouver) Buenos Aires: George Russell Mexico City: Bernard Dedernc!
encouragement—and the love—they
News Desk: Mnme Maqarine, Margaret G. Boeth, Al Buist, Susan Lynd, Suzanne can help your
Davis, Blanche Holley, Jean R.White, Arturo Yanez ‘tration: Emily Friedrich, need to take charge of their own
Linda D. Vartoogian
lives. Our goal is to help them (In Hlinois call toll-free 800-972-5858.) Foster Child.
ART: Rudolph Hoglund (Deputy Director); Arturo Cazeneuve, Anthony J. Libardi, Irene
Ramp, Wi Spencer (Assistant Directors); Leonard S. Levine (Designer); Roseman become truly self-sufficient.
L. Frank (Covers) Layout Staff: Burjor Nargolwala, Steve Conley, John P. Dowd,

e==EVERY DAY MAKES A DIFFERENCE!=~


2Nrol Dunham, JohnF.Geist, Lily Hou, Modris Ramans, Kenneth Smith, Barbara Wilhelm
and Charts: Pau! J. Pughese, Joseph Amon, Nigel Holmes Researchers: £
Noel Mc Coy, Sara Paige Noble
PHOTOGRAPHY: Arnold H. Drapkin (Picture Editor); Sue Considine, Michele Ste-
phenson (Assistant Picture Editors); Demetra Kosters (Administration) Research-
ers: Evelyn Merrin, Nancy Baye,‘Anne Callahan, GayFranklin, Marti Haymaker, Francine I would like to help After 10 days I'll become a Foster
Hyland, Peter J. Kellner, Rose Keyser, Susan
Saner, Elizabeth Statler, Mary Themo Photo;
do, Eva Nutt, Julia Richer, Carol
is Walter Bennett, Sahm Do: a boy CD) a girl (either, Parent or I'll return the material to you
, Arthur Grace, Dirck Halstead, Peter Jordan, Nei Leiter, Ben Martin, Mark Meyer, (age 3 to 14 I want to help! But I prefer to make
E. Mims, Ralph Morse, Stephen Northup, Bill Pierce, John Riddle, David Rubing from (1) Bolivia, () Colombia, a contribution. Enclosed is $
er, Ted Thai, John Zimmerman
MAKEUP: Charles P. Jackson (Chief); Leonard Schulman, John M. Cavanagh -) Ecuador, El Salvador, C) Guate- | This is a group/club/school project.
(Deputies); Peter J.McGullam mala, () Haiti, (1) Honduras,
OPERATIONS MANAGER: EugeneF.Coyle; Mary Ellen Simon (Deputy) _) Indonesia, (1)Mali, Nepal, .
COPY COORDINATION MANAGER: Anne &. Davis
PROCESSING MANAGER: StephenF.Demeter; Joseph J. Scafidi, Walter
() Nicaragua, () Peru, the Philip- Senne se SRPED
1, Tate (Deputies); Marcia L. Love, James D. Mountjoy, L Rufino-Armstrong ines, |) Sierra Leone, 0 the Sudan, My Name
(Assistants) ) Upper Volta, () any country.
COPY DESK: Susan B. Hahn (Chiel); Cleanor Edgar, Judith Anne Paul (Deputies
Frances Bander, Minda Bikman, Robert Brane, Madeline Butler, Joan Cleary, Leo Devel, () EMERGENCY WAITING LIST. sAdre
Cia Elkin, Lucia Hamet, Evelyn Hannon, Katherine Mibok, Marilyn Minden, Emily Mitchell, Please select my Foster Child from ; =
Maria Paul, Ameta Weiss, Shirley Zimmerman
PRODUCTION: Sue Aitkin (Chief); Manuel Delgado, Agustin Lamboy, Lee R. Sparks,
your list of the neediest City State Zip
Pearl Amy Sverdin, Alan Washburn [) PLEASE BEGIN HELPING MY
LETTERS: Maria Luisa Cisneros (Chief) FOSTER CHILD AS SOON AS Please mail to
EDITORIAL SERVICES: Norman Airey (Director); George Karas, Michael E. Keene, POSSIBLE. Enclosed is my first
Benjamin Lightman, Carolyn R. Pappas, Elizabeth G. Young Reinhart B. Gutmann, A.C.S.W.
Jobin
A. Meyers monthly check of $19. Please send me FOSTER PARENTS PLAN
Associate Publisher: Reginald K.BrackJr my child's photograph, case history 157 Plan Way, Warwick, RI 02887
and complete Foster Parent Informa-
tion Kit.
Chinas Ss ltt Vio-eco a nan
po tical poceenee: naaees asrien independent
©LJ I would like to know more about Se etlabie ol
available on requesteen from ee
either Foster Parents
ADVERTISING
SALES DIRECTOR: William M.KellyJr the child before I decide. Please send lac orof Charities
Plan Conains Registration
asttrelion Section,
Bocike: Department
Dien
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Sales Manager: George W.McClellan
Associate U.S. Adv. Sales Directors: Kenneth E.Clarke, John A.Higgons eo
se
ee
ee
eeeme e a photograph
ot and case
ase history
hi r of State, y 12231
Albany, New York NTBI21A ee
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TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980 9
Letters
At a time when the country needs a know or understand your intention? You
Man of the Year model to aid in unifying and upgrading
our democratic lives, you glorify a self-
could have shown true courage in pub-
lishing the Man of the Year issue with
To the Editors: appointed deity who seeks only to humil- an all black-and-blank cover.
Your selection of the Ayatullah Kho- iate and destroy us. Joseph Napora
meini as Man of the Year [Jan. 7] denies Peter C. Zimmermann Baltimore
all respect to those in this country who Loma Linda, Calif.
value the most honorable characteristics You had no other choice than to go
of modern civilization. You bestow this Is TIME going backward? Its Man of with that old bearded baggage. Unfortu-
honor on a person for the mere reason that the Year comes from the Middle Ages. nately, there are no giants challenging
he created and influenced news, “for bet- Ephraim Rein him, and there is such a dearth of top can-
ter or for worse.” I am sure Jesse James Oakland, Calif. didates among men of good will.
would have been pleased to see his face on Jim Griffith
something other than a WANTED poster. That beast Khomeini as Man of the Cincinnati
Allen S. Benas Year? Most of the people I know look
Clayton, N.Y. upon the choice as an honor, comparable I applaud TIME’s courage. Your crit-
only to the Nobel Peace Prize. ics reveal a fear and inability to recog-
I suppose you'll get a lot of complaints, Constance Tierney nize the dynamics of world politics.
but may I suggest to the complainers that Denver Steve Collins
this is not a popularity contest or glorifi- Mexico, Mo.
cation of anybody. It is a choice of who has Recognition of this kind is pure stu-
had the most influence on the news in pidity. You should flagellate yourselves. Your Man of the Year cover “por-
1979. l applaud TIME for the guts to make Ruth Carney trait” of Khomeini, complete with red-
the obvious choice in the face of predict- Mt. Vernon, N.Y. dened eyes and baleful glare, simply
able protest during a time of high emotion. serves to show how the media can be per-
Robert J. Weaver Your choice was obvious. Despite the verted to propagate prejudice, hatred and
Layton, Utah humanitarian efforts of persons like ill feeling among people. Is this respon-
Mother Teresa of India and even Pres- sible journalism?
ident Carter, the demonic Khomeini was Edward York
the person who made news. 1979 was a Fort Collins, Colo.
horrible year, which included Three Mile
Island, continued violence in Northern Your cover will be reproduced in Iran
Ireland, a coup in Afghanistan, as well on placards, in newspapers, on television
as the embassy takeover in Iran. It is fit- and will become just one more piece of ev-
ting that Khomeini, the devil’s hench- idence that the madman of Qum is win-
man, is the Man of the Year. ning his war of wills with the American
Kenneth Traisman people.
Chicago Michael A. Heymann
Broad Brook, Conn.
If you insist upon using as your cri-
terion “The person or group who ... has It looks too easy—all you need to do
done the most to change the news, for bet- is wave to illiterate crowds, give your sup-
ter or for worse,” then you might at least port to a group of uncontrollable “stu-
consider changing the title to Newsmaker dents,” and blast fiery criticisms to a dis-
of the Year. tant superpower—to get selected TIME’s
Jill Menkes Kushner Man of the Year.
Robb A. Kushner Pat Wood III
Trumbull, Conn. Groves, Texas
Disgusting! Even Jane Fonda would
have been an improvement. Congratulations on making it perfect- If one tiny man can make a fool of
Bennett W. Bubb ly clear, once and for all, that the Man of the entire U.S., then I say he deserves
Topeka, Kans. the Year award goes to the person who the title.
made the greatest impact, as opposed to Angel M. Rosado
In the future, try not to pick a snake the greatest contribution. New York City
in the grass but a dove in the sky. Gil Campbell
June Wilson Boulder, Colo. Apparently an international crime
Staunton, Va. made Khomeini your Man of the Year.
Change your definition or do away Upon what roll of national honor do you
After reading “Portrait of an Ascetic with the award. record the names of the U.S. hostages who
Despot” I feel, for the first time, sorrow in- Madeline Tortolano brought him to your attention?
stead of hatred for the Ayatullah Kho- Royalton, Vt. Martha and Henry Hodges
meini. He looks for a utopia for his peo- Carson City, Nev.
ple, but all that he can manage, or will I understand it is the person who gen-
manage, is the “rah, rah” of emotionalism. erates the most news, but does it have to An excellent choice. Khomeini ac-
An excellent article. be the person who generates the most bad complished what no politician or preach-
Dan Tuharsky news? Disgusting! er in the U.S. could do. He aroused and
New London, Conn. Donna Herrmann unified our nation.
West Allis, Wis. Leo Sporko
You showed us the man we have to Scranton, Pa.
deal with and why he is doing it. That is To be blinded by the illusion of jour-
your responsibility: to inform. nalistic integrity is no less dangerous than
Christopher Larson to be blinded by religious zeal. Millions Address Letters to TIME, Time & Life Build-
ing, Rockefeller Center, New York, N.Y. 10020
Randallstown, Md. will see the cover, but how many will
TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980
=f *

It was a very good year.


.
»

1 mountains of grain intheMidwest areanobject of theworld's wonder, but some storage piles are bynowthree years old

TIME/JAN. 21. 1980


COVER STORIES

Grain Becomes a Weapon _—


Carter uses it to pressure the Soviets, but U.S. farmers call for help
The singling out of food as a | That was the mood in which Carter To limit the damage at home, the Ad-
bargaining weapon is some- had gone on television to order an un- | ministration announced that it would bail
thing that I would not do. If we precedented series of retaliations against out U.S. farmers and exporters from their
want to put economic pressure the Soviet Union, highlighted by an em- unfulfilled Soviet grain contracts. The
on another nation under any circumstances bargo on the sale of $2.6 billion worth of Government will offer some of the grain
... Lwould not single out food. corn, wheat and soybeans. For the first to hungry Third World nations, use some
—Jimmy Carter, 1976 time in two months the 50 American cap- in a stepped-up gasohol program, and
lives in Tehran faded into the back- store the remainder until it can be sold
And sometimes they say that you eat ground. Said one high U.S. official: “The without disrupting markets. The price tag
the bear hostages are a burning but historically in- for the program may top $4 billion, in-
But sometime the bear eats you. significant issue.” Instead, the world now cluding the cost of the exporters’ con-
—Jim Croce, Hard Time Losin’ Man focused its attention on the more impor- tracts, storage fees. and extra support
tant—and potentially far more dangerous loans to farmers.
It violated all Jimmy Carter's instincts —confrontation between the U.S. and the
—his political instinct for the charitable Soviet Union. © give the industry time to digest
gesture, his personal instinct for compas- Whether Carter's move would have the new moves, Washington sus-
sion—to break his own campaign prom- any serious effect on the Soviets remained pended all trading in grain futures
ise and cut off the golden flow of US. a matter of strong debate, but it caused for two days; never in peacetime
grain to the Soviet Union. But at the same thunderous reverberations last week had such a move been necessary (see box).
time he was filled with rage and frustra- through the great grain belt of the U.S. When the market did open, grain prices
tion at the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan, Middle West. Grain prices plunged on the | fell as much as the daily limit permitted,
and particularly by what he felt was Com- commodities markets and the politically | but by the weekend they appeared to be |
munist Party Chief Leonid Brezhnev's powerful farmers protested mightily that stabilizing. Still, Carter's critics charged
lying justification of it. He stalked around they were being ruined. Most of Carter's that the embargo would severely damage
the White House. bristling with anger. | rivals for the presidency denounced his the US. balance of trade. and that his ef-
| “Because of the way that I've handled embargo as unfair and ineffective. and forts to soften the blow would seriously in-
Iran, they think I don’t have the guts to there were some predictions that these crease the inflationary budget deficit
do anything.” he told one aide. “You're criticisms would soon be translated into Still, the Administration pressed its
going to be amazed at how tough I'm go- Opposition votes in the lowa caucuses on efforts to let its fury over the Afghanistan
ing to be.” Jan. 21 and in early primary elections. invasion be plain for Moscow to see. Car-
12
ZA
This Soviet ship was hastily loaded by night in Baltimore in order to sail before a longshoremen's boycott of Russian cargoes

. tp-Beore US. EXPORTS | ter told a group of Congressmen that the The Administration also pointedly
xs of grain and Soviet attack was “the greatest threat to paid court to the Soviets’ bitter foes, the
soybeans in millions peace since the second World War Chinese. While on a trip to Peking that
of metric tons >» Government officials last week sus- had been scheduled some months before
(crop years)
pended all shipments to the Soviets of so- Defense Secretary Harold Brown suggest-
phisticated machinery, such as computers ed that, despite their obvious differences
and drilling bits, until they determine the U.S. and China might seek “comple-
a} | what items are covered by the President's mentary actions” to counter Soviet expan-
TOTAL TO USSR. ban on selling high technology to Mos- sionism. Brown announced that the U.S
Crop years run trom the
start of one harvest cow. Quipped an Administration official would provide Peking with a ground sta-
to the start of the next “We will exempt nothing but shoes and tion for receiving signals from satellites
lies the sort of high technology that is being
>» The Department of Transportation dis- denied to the Soviets. Further, Brown and
patched two big 378-ft. Coast Guard cut- his hosts indicated that they would hold
ters, the Midgett and the Rush, to keep future talks on military affairs, which sig-
watch over Soviet trawlers fishing off naled Washington's interest in creating
Alaska. The Soviet catch in U.S. waters an important new element in the strate-
will be limited to the 75,000 metric tons al- gic balance of power by linking U.S. and
lowed under permits issued by the U.S Chinese security interests. As a symbolic
in November; the Soviets had counted on touch, Brown even posed in a Chinese-
netting about 435,000 tons of fish in made T-59 tank
American waters this year, about 3% of
their annual consumption he Administration quickly found
> The State Department withdrew an ad- itself with some unofficial support
vance party of seven American consular Acting on its own, the Internation-
officials from Kiev and expelled 17 So- al Longshoremen’s Association
viet diplomats from a temporary consul- declared a boycott in ports from Maine
ate in New York City to Texas on all cargo to or from the
> The Administration suggested that the US.S.R., leaving Moscow with no way to
Olympics now scheduled for Moscow this obtain the 3.4 million metric tons* of U.S
summer should be moved elsewhere, corn that is exempt from Carter's embar-
which would severely embarrass the go. The corn is-part of the 6 million to 8
Kremlin. Said Vice President Walter million tons that the U.S. had promised
i Mondale: “This would permit athletes to sell to the U.S.S.R. each year under a
3 from around the world to hold that im long-term agreement signed by both gov-
Fe : ~ NG portant event without politics but not ernments in 1975; at least an additional

:| z. ee1978-79 Fe
iy)
y
in a setting where we are in effect grant-
Y ing legitimacy toa country that has just *Grain exports are measured in metric tons, equal
to about 2.205 Ibs. A metric ton of soybeans c

|
1970-71 1979-80
(estimated)
committed an outrageous and indecent
act of aggression.”
tains about 37 bu., of wheat about 37 bu.. of corn
about 39 bu

Tl =| E, JANUARY 21, 1980


4 million to 6 million tons have al- the Soviet Union, which has less
ready been delivered. rainfall, less arable land, a short-
The U.S. also found some sup- er growing season anda far less ef-
port among governments in its ficient agricultural system, one
anger at the Soviets. Delegates farmer feeds only ten people
from 17 Muslim countries attend- Though most American farm
ing a conference on Islam in products are still consumed at
Kuala Lumpur condemned “the home, ever increasing quantities
dastardly crime by the Soviet are sold overseas. US. food ex-
Union against the Afghan peo- ports grew at a steady pace in the
ple.” At the U.N., scores of na- 1950s and 1960s, then quintupled
tions denounced the U.S.S.R. be- in the 1970s, from $6 billion to
fore both the Security Council $32 billion last year, thus holding
and the General Assembly (see down the deficit caused by $70 bil-
WORLD) lion in oil imports. The U.S. now
When it came to taking direct exports more wheat, corn and oth-
action in support of the U.S. em- er coarse grains (barley, oats, sor-
bargo, however, many US. allies ghum) than all the rest of the
proved skittish. Two of the other world combined. About one-
major grain exporters—Canada fourth of America’s 413 million
and Australia—agreed not to in- acres of crop land are planted for
crease their sales to the Soviets, export, and foreign demand is ex-
but they would not cancel any ex- pected to keep on growing for the
isting contracts. The other big ex- foreseeable future.
porter, Argentina, refused to co- Grain farmers had bin-burst-
operate at all with Washington ing harvests in 1979, and that was
The West Europeans are not sell- for the fifth year in a row. Farm-
ing grain to the Soviets, but re- ers raised a record 7.6 billion bu
fused to curb their sales of high of corn. Much of it, 60%, will be
technology. Said French Foreign used as animal feed; only about
Minister Jean Frangois-Poncet 10% will be consumed directly by
“We have no intention of mod- Americans, usually in bread,
ifying our commercial relations An American Agricultural Movement protester in Kansas breakfast cereal and fructose (a
with the U.S.S.R.” Added a Ger- “We planted fence post to fence post, and now this happens.” sweetener). The remainder, before
man Foreign Ministry official Carter's embargo, was destined
with a keen sense of national ‘priorities: port more food products than it export- for export, along with 36% of the 1979
“Which is more important to the West as ed, but starting in the mid-1940s, crop of soybeans and 60% of the year’s
a whole—West Berlin or Kabul?” American agriculture was revolutionized wheat. The embargo is expected to re- |
Only Britain’s Prime Minister Mar- by better technology, better seeds, and duce overall exports from the °79 grain
garet Thatcher proved truly resolute. She better use of chemical fertilizers and pes- crop by 8%. Most export grain travels by
announced that Britain would stop sup- ticides. Farms grew larger and the num- barge or railroad car to ships in New Or-
plying the Soviets with high technology, ber of people on them dwindled—to less leans and the Texas Gulf ports. At Hous-
would refuse to negotiate new trade agree- than 5% of today’s population, compared ton, Cargill Inc., one of the world’s big-
ments with them and would suspend vis- with 23% in 1940. One farmer in the U.S gest grain exporters, receives up to 300
its by Soviet officials, including Foreign now feeds 75 people. By comparison, in railroad cars of grain a day. The grain is
ARRY E. NE BERGAL transferred by a conveyor system to
Minister Andrei Gromyko. In pri-
vate she scoffed at the continental al- towering, 125-ft. elevators (capacity
lies as “bloody wets,” meaning, 4 million bu.), then poured into ships
roughly, drips from twelve spouts at the rate of
Even if America’s allies were 70,000 bu. an hour
more enthusiastic in their support, Since the Depression, the US. |
the brunt of Carter’s campaign would Government has protected farmers
still have to be borne by the U.S from disastrous drops in grain prices
grain industry, which has long been Until the early 1970s the Agriculture
one of the wonders of the world. A Department bought farmers’ surplus-
century ago, when the enormous es and stored them temporarily in
fields of the West were first being huge and expensive granaries. The
sown, Frank Norris marveled at the department also paid farmers mil-
richness of the wheat crop: “There it lions to take some of their land out
lay, a vast silent ocean, shimmering of production—perhaps the biggest
a pallid green under the moon and and most expensive support program
under the stars; a mighty force, the the U.S. ever had. This all changed
strength of nations, the life of the when Agriculture Secretary Earl
world. There in the night, under the Butz took advantage of the world-
dome of the sky, it was growing . .” wide grain shortage to sell the Gov-
In the decades since, production has ernment’s storage facilities and urged
doubled and redoubled until -today farmers to plant from “fence post to
the U.S. grows almost half of all the fence post.” At the same time, Con-
world’s corn, two-thirds of its soy- gress rewrote the farm-support law
beans and more than a tenth of its so that nearly all crops would end
wheat. Producing food is the nation’s up being sold on the private market,
most efficient and most productive not to the Government
industry But the law still provides farm-
Until World War II, the burgeon- ers with considerable protection from
ing U.S. population still needed to im- the vicissitudes of the marketplace

14 TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980


Nation
Washington makes cash payments to the storage fee that it pays farmers, from logically and actually depress market
them if prices fall below Government-set 25¢ to 26.5¢ a bu. for corn and wheat. prices. The grain exporters and elevators
“target prices.” In addition, the Govern- The intent of both steps, which will cost are large enough to survive the crisis. The
ment encourages farmers to store on their an estimated $409 million this year, is to real hardship will be down on the farm.”
own. land, partly at taxpayers’ expense, enable farmers to withhold their crops Experts figure that the embargo will cut
any crops that they do not sell immedi- from the market. In addition, the Admin- farm income this year by 10%. The loss
ately. These can be used as collateral for istration is considering paying farmers to will ripple through the farm economy, af-
low-interest loans from the Government, take land out of production this spring, fecting rural bankers, storeowners, feed
which annually sets a “loan price.” which some experts estimate will cost tax- companies and fertilizer manufacturers.
When Carter decided to intervene in payers about $950 million.
this enormous agricultural machine, In the week-long confusion, farmers, hat prospect—though it may not
Treasury Secretary G. William Miller was exporters, transport operators, equipment actually come true—filled many
vacationing in the Bahamas, and nobody manufacturers—everyone touched by the farmers with indignation. Some of
summoned him back home. “The eco- grain industry—tried to figure out wheth- them gathered glumly at local
nomics of this thing were simply not par- er they were winners or losers. Almost grain elevators, the first stop for much
amount in anyone’s mind,” says one none of them came up with any final an- USS. grain after it leaves farm storage bins.
White House economist. Observes anoth- swers. Few could even keep up with the At Secor, IIl., four farmers watched the
er Carter aide: “I really think the Pres- drum roll of announcements from Wash- prices fall on a TV screen. “I don’t think
ident is tired of economists theorizing ington. Complained Charles H. Fields, a the shock has hit them,” said Manager
about what the U.S. can and cannot do.” spokesman for the American Farm Bu- John Aeschliman. Just before the embar-
But the White House seems not even reau Federation: “The Government just go he bought corn at up to $2.96 a bu.;
to have known where most of the em- hasn’t made clear what it is going to do. his first purchase last week was from a
bargoed grain was, or what its owners How can we operate when the rules scared farmer at $2.12 a bu. At the Pro-
would do when they heard that their sales
were being canceled. Administration of-
ficials did not even plan to meet with grain
exporters until last Tuesday. By then the
grain market would have been in a state
of anarchy. Saturday, the day after Car-
ter’s announcement, about 20 represen-
tatives of large grain exporters rushed to
Washington to give the Administration LNYHEIIO
3HiG
NOLONINSYM
BV1S
the bad news: they owned most of the em-
bargoed grain and would have to dump
it on the market Monday morning. That
would send prices through the floor.
Washington officials huddled hastily and
decided to suspend trading in corn, wheat
and soybeans for two days, Then, with
Carter’s blessing, the officials announced
that the Government would buy all the
grain held by the exporters, at an esti-
mated cost of $2.25 billion. This stopped
all talk ofa fire sale of grain contracts,
“When it comes to wanting to blow the hell outa the Ayatullah, I'm as patriotic as anyone.
he 17 million tons of embargoed But I don't see embargoing our dear Russian friends over some little misunderstanding.”
grain is now in the US. agribiz
i pipeline, stretching from the Da- change every day?” Not only farmers Farmer elevator in Cedar Rapids, Iowa,
kotas to the Gulf of Mexico. A were confused. Members of the Carter two farmers were willing to sell corn at
large quantity is in the huge elevators of Administration also had not figured out $2 a bu., compared with $2.25 a bu. be-
New Orleans and the Texas ports. Some the ramifications of the President’s new fore the embargo, but found no takers.
is aboard barges and railroad cars that policies. Sniped Robert Russell, a Senate Members of the American Agricul-
were still moving south last week, while expert on international finance who at- ture Movement, which sponsored a trac-
the rest is in the elevators of Midwestern tended two Administration briefings on tor drive-in to Washington last year to
farm cooperatives or in farmers’ storage the embargo: “They are still trying to de- protest low farm prices, demonstrated in
bins. When trading reopened on Wednes- cide what it is that they are doing and front of Government agriculture offices in
day, prices dropped immediately. what it is that they have done.” more than half of Oklahoma’s 77 coun-
Still undetermined is where the Gov- In the absence of any solid informa- ties. In Sharon Springs, Kans., angry AAM
ernment will store the grain it buys. Mid- tion on the embargo’s effect on them, members mounted their tractors and sur-
western elevators and storage bins are al- farmers did what they normally do in rounded the office of the U.S. Agricultural
ready bulging with the largest grain times of uncertainty: assumed the worst. Stabilization and Conservation Service.
stockpiles since 1972-73, when sharp-eyed So did many farm economists. Most ex- Protest Leader Paul Wilson accused the
Soviet traders cleaned out most U.S. re- perts predicted that the embargo’s long- Government of betrayal. Said he: “We
serves at bargain-basement prices in what term effect on U.S. grain prices will be planted fence post to fence post like they
has been known ever since as the great bad for the grain farmer. However, this wanted, and now this is what happens.”
grain robbery. Some Administration crit- may eventually mean somewhat lower Said Wheat Farmer Lysle Davidson Jr.
ics predict that the excess grain will wind food prices for the general public. It would of Johnson City, Kans.: “We think of our-
up rotting in sheds or under plastic tarps. also be a benefit to those U.S. farmers selves as patriotic. We want to do what
The Administration also took action who buy grain for their livestock. Says we can. But we shouldn’t have to go broke
to protect the farmers from price drops. Sung Won Son, senior vice-president and being patriotic.”
It increased support loan prices from chief economist for Northwestern Na- Some farmers rallied to Carter’s
$2.35 to $2.50 a bu. for wheat and from tional Bank in Minneapolis: “Having the cause. One was Ronald Johnson, 41, who
$2 to $2.10 a bu. for corn. It also increased grain overhang the market will psycho- farms 1,100 acres in Eureka, Ill. Sitting
TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980
SEE

— — Nation
in his kitchen, with a view over his win-
| plant in Bloomington, 20 miles to the switch more of his land to durum wheat
ter brown fields, Johnson declared: “All south. Says he: “I've covered my expens- —all of which is sold to domestic man-
that people like the Russians understand es. Now I've only got 15,000 bu. of corn ufacturers of spaghetti and macaroni—or
is raw, naked power. Ijust hope the Amer-that hasn't been marketed—my profit.” to sunflowers and sugar beets. But sun-
ican farmer doesn’t have to be the goat.” In the Red River Valley of western flowers are in oversupply, and sugar-beet
Most Eureka farmers have not yet sold Minnesota, Tom Sinner, 51, who farms processors are working overtime to ab-
75% of their 1979 crops. But Johnson was 2,000 acres with his family, was also in a sorb the 1979 harvest. Said Sinner: “Prob-
luckier than his neighbors: he contractedquandary. “I don’t like what the Russians ably there’s going to be some crop switch-
to sell his record 1979 harvest of corn and
are doing,” he said, “and I don’t like sell- ing. But I figure it’s a big guessing game
soybeans even before the seed was in the ing them high technology, or food for that every spring anyway.”
ground, when prices were fairly high. Just
matter. But we have no illusions about it Secretary of Agriculture Bob Bergland =<
a few days after Carter’s announcement, not costing us. We would like to see ev- delivered much the same message to
Johnson loaded part of his production, eryone else sacrifice too.” Sinner has yet farmers in Iowa, where many of them last
about 8,000 bu. of soybeans, aboard a to sell most of his 1979 crop and has yet year planted extra acres in corn, expect-
truck bound for the Ralston Purina Co. to decide on his spring planting. He could ing to sell it to the Soviets. He told an au-

ing, and far more complex investment techniques as well.


Playing with the Futures So do the nation’s large grain trading companies and food
corporations like General Mills and ITT Continental Bak-
~ pages hedges, shorts, longs. To most people, the ar- ing Co, Countless more ordinary investors are in the mar-
got of commodities trading is about as exciting and in- ket hoping to make quick and stunning profits. If they are
telligible as the fine print in a Eurobond offering. Not, how- wrong, speculators must be prepared to lose big. Anyone
ever, to the traders and speculators who wheel and deal on who bet last autumn that January wheat prices would be
the floors of the commodity exchanges of the Midwest, where headed up, and bought the maximum permissible number
most of the nation’s grain trading takes place. For the high of 600 wheat futures contracts, could have lost $600,000 in
rollers in the mysterious world of wheat and corn futures, a single day last week. Conversely, anybody who had cor-
soybean stop orders and daily limit moves, commodities are rectly bet months ago that prices would decline in January,
the stuff of fast fortunes. would have reaped rich profits.
For two days last week, of course, no one made or lost With so much money at risk, commodities investors gen-
anything in grain futures trading. By temporarily halting erally were furious that the Administration had halted any
the activity altogether to prevent a panicky overreaction to commodities trading last week. In fact the 48-hr. cooling-
the cutoff of grain exports to the Soviets, off period was necessary. With millions of
the Administration simply told everyone tons of grain suddenly available to flood
to calm down and wait before trying to the market, the Administration needed a
buy or sell in the unsettled market. breathing spell to convince investors that
Commodities trading is a nerve-rack- it had a plan to keep prices from plunging
ing business even under the best of cir- to ruinous depths. When grain trading re-
cumstances, and hundreds of thousands of sumed on Wednesday morning, however,
dollars can be won—and lost—by a 10¢ it seemed for a while as if panic had not
swing in the price of, say, soybeans, which been prevented but merely postponed. No
were selling last week for as much as $6.58 sooner did the opening bell sound in the
per bu. But the speculative market per- pits of the Chicago Board of Trade than a
forms an essential function: it helps give roar of sell orders flooded the hall. A rec-
stability, or at least predictability, to the fu- ord 100 million bu. of corn were offered
ture price of grain. That enables everyone for sale, but there were few takers. Sim-
from Nebraska wheat growers to Boston ilar sell orders hit wheat and soybeans.
bakers to make intelligent forecasts. Each Within minutes, trading came to a virtual
one can determine just how much hewill halt as one commodity after another
have to spend to buy or, conversely, how slumped to the maximum daily limit per-
much he can count on receiving for sell- mitted under exchange rules. The limits ©
ing, grain as much as 14 months into the fu- were 10¢ a bu. for corn, 20¢ for wheat and
ture. The futures contracts that are traded Gigiadinas Gckgeaaron 30¢ for soybeans.
on the commodity exchanges enable peo- By Thursday morning, there were
ple in the grain business, or anyone at all, to “lock in” a guar- signs that the market was stabilizing. Wheat, corn and soy-
anteed future price for the commodity. beans opened down the maximum limit, but buyers soon
Say, for example, that an Iowa farmer expects to har- came into the market for soybeans, the crop least affected
vest 50,000 bu. of corn in six months’ time. By checking by the embargo. By day’s end there were also a few cau-
with his broker, he finds that the six-month future price of tious buyers for corn and wheat. On Friday the recovery con-
conn is$2.75 partes. The Bernier calcuees that$275 per tinued. Grain prices were still below their week-earlier lev-
bu. for his crop would be a fair price, so he guarantees that els, but the slide had halted, at least temporarily, as investors
he will get it by “hedging,” or agreeing in advance to sell a took note of the Administration’s steps to help farmers.
contract for 50,000 bu. at that price in the futures market. Among the first bargain hunters to come back into the
This protects him against a drop in grain prices. market were buyers from Europe and Taiwan. By the Fri-
On the other hand, if the price rises to, say, $3 a bushel day close, some optimistic grain men were talking of a full
in six months’ time, the farmer would not collect that extra rally by springtime. Said Wallace Weisenborn, vice pres-
25¢-a-bushel profit. But farmers are often willing to forgo ident for commodities at Chicago's Harris Bank: “In the
the opportunity for additional profit in order to guarantee long run, the world needs U.S. grain. We're the ¢lass in the
in advance what they consider to be a fair return. league, and no one else can come close. We have to win out.
Every day farmers and others use commodities hedg- We're not selling Edsels, you know.”

16 TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980


America’s true colors
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That Cigarette Smoking Is Dangerous to Your Health.
dience in Harlan: “They knew they were
taking a risk. Risk taking is part of farm-
ing. I have the tough and brutal decision:
Do I accommodate those people who have Should the Torch Be Passed?
made the wrong decision? Well, no, I
don’t think we should.” he President first brought up the matter in his television address decrying the
Soviet invasion of i and the threat was unmistakable.
ergland’s tough talk caused Duane “Although the United States would prefer not to withdraw from the Olympic
Linden to rise in protest, his voice Games scheduled in Moscow this summer,” said Jimmy Carter, “the Soviet
quivering with emotion and anger. Union must realize that its continued aggressive actions will endanger both the
Said he: “We were told that we participation of athletes and the travel to Moscow by spectators who would nor-
would have a free market. I was told that mally wish to attend the Olympic Games.”
we would not have an embargo. I’m an That warning of a U.S. boycott of the Moscow Games was followed last week
enemy of the Soviet Union just as much by a potentially even more humiliating suggestion from Vice President Walter
as the President is. But you are damn un- Mondale. Said he: “It is my personal belief that the Olympics ought to be held
fair to make me take such a loss on the somewhere else.” Rosalynn Carter, campaigning in Iowa, also said the Olympic
crop.” The crowd applauded. After the site should be changed, and at week’s end the State Department said American
meeting, Linden told neighbors: “If I participationin the Olympics was “an open question.”
don’t get more for my crops, I’m finished.” Thus was the Carter Administration wrestling publicly with the thorny ques-
If grain sales volume drops substan- tion of whether its reprisals against the Soviets should, for the first time, include
tially because of the embargo, elevator op- the Olympic Games as a target. Many supporters of the Games argue that a boy-
erators will be hurt along with the farm- cott for any political reason is totally wrong and inappropriate. “If the Olympic
ers. Richard Goldberg, who owns an Games are to survive,” says Don Miller, executive director of the U.S. Olympic
elevator and feed firm in Fargo, N. Dak., Committee (U.S.0.C.), “they must be apolitical and remain in the private sector.”
figures his profits will drop 50% this year. That sentiment about the Olympics has not always held true. In Berlin in
Said he: “It took us years to get a foot in 1936, Hitler turned the Games into a goose-stepping showcase of Nazi propagan-
ciancsou—sroarsiiiustaateo da World Wars I and II
the door of Soviet grain sales. U.S. ag-
riculture is getting kicked in the shins be- snuffed out the 1916, 1940
cause it was doing a good job.” and 1944 Olympiads. The
The large companies that handle the 1972 Munich Games were
grain on the next step in its journey shattered by an Arab ter-
abroad—the railroads, the exporters and rorist attack on the Israeli
the shippers—all will suffer too. Said Rod team that left eleven Israeli
Turnbull, spokesman for the Kansas City athletes dead. Past Games
board of trade: “There is grain on barges, have also been boycotted:in
in train cars, in elevators and on farms 1956, for example, Spain,
that is contracted for overseas delivery. Switzerland and The Neth-
We will have a terrific problem straight- erlands withdrew from the
ening it all out.” Said John Lambert, a Melbourne Olympics as a
barge operator in St. Paul: “We're con- protest of the Soviet inva-
cerned, particularly about our debt ser- sion of Hungary. And in
vice. You can tie a barge to the shore, Moscow’s Lenin Stadium, where the 1980 Games open 1976, 28 African nations
but you can’t shut off bankers.” abandoned the Montreal
Though the Government will reim- Games as a protest against the participation of New Zealand, a country with
burse the exporters for the embargoed strong sports ties with the apartheid government of South Africa.
grain that they hold, they note that they Any major boycott or relocation of theGames would deeply embarrass and
will still have to absorb the cost of can- disappoint the Kremlin, which has tried ever since the early ’60s to be named as
celed transport contracts, a total of $300 host. Soviet leaders, notoriously insecure about their country’s position in the
million. Cargill Inc. has invested about world, view the Moscow Games as a way to greatly increase their nation’s pres-
$100 million in export facilities recently, tige, even as a way to legitimize their system. In the past three years, the Soviets
partly for shipments to the U.S.S.R. Its have spent an estimated $375 million in constructing facilities. They are looking
newest elevator, a 6 million-bu. behemoth forward to tourist crowds of up to 300,000, plus, more important, world television
in Reserve, La., cost $50 million. Since audiences in the hundreds of millions. To deprive them of this might have more
Cargill is a heavy seller to Japan, which impact than any move the U.S. has yet made, including the grain embargo.
buys about 17 million tons of U.S. grain Even if Carter decides to order a U.S. boycott, he lacks the authority to en-
a year, the investment is hardly a total force it. According to Olympic rules, only a country’s Olympic committee may
loss. But Cargill Spokesman Stuart Baird withdraw its athletes, and the U.S.0.C. is strongly opposed to any boycott. Wheth-
predicts that it will take from two to five er it would refuseaformal presidential request is hard to say.
years for the U.S. to find new markets Rather than pushing fora boycott, many in the Administration prefer Mon-
for the embargoed grain. Says he of the dale’s suggestion about relocating the Games. The only two likely alternatives:
lost Soviet sales: “It filled out the pipe- Munich and Montreal, sites of the 1972 and 1976 Olympics. Such a move could be
line, added to our productivity and prof- authorized only by the International Olympic Committee, which is reported dead
itability all the way down the line. Tak- set against moving the Games at such a late date. But the matter may well come
ing it out will have a significant impact.” up when it meets at Lake Placid, N.Y., during the Winter Olympics. The U.S. has
In the grain ports along the Gulf, ship- made no move to keep Soviet athletes from competing at Lake Placid.
pers had the additional headache of find- The Administration is in no hurry to decide about the Moscow Games. The
ing storage space for the grain that keeps White House is taking soundings on the idea, and is holding “tentative” discus-
arriving. Said a Cargill official in Hous- sions with the U.S.0.C. Meanwhile, other countries are assessing the same option.
ton: “It’s a madhouse right now, chang- Saudi Arabia has announced it will boycott the Games, The Netherlands has said
ing every five minutes. What do we do it is withdrawing financial support for its team and Prime Minister Joe Clark of
with all that grain?” At first, it was load- Canada has “questioned the appropriateness” of aMoscow Olympics.
ed aboard ships destined for the Soviet
Union; under normal circumstances, it
TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980 21
Nation
would take four months to ship the grain pound for pork and four-tenths of a pen- been mild so far, and there is a good
that the U.S.S.R. is still entitled to receive. ny for poultry. chance that by May the grass will be up
But then the International Longshore- Apart from its effects in the Midwest, and cattle can be sent out to graze.
men’s Association refused to handle So- will the embargo actually hurt the Sovi- “The eventual result will be a meat
viet shipments at all. I.L.A. President ets? Not in the short run. And not even shortage, but there is always one in the
Thomas Gleason vowed that the union in his moments of greatest optimism has U.S.S.R. Soviet per capita meat consump-
boycott would last “as long as the Soviets Carter thought that it will remove a sin- tion is about 121 Ibs. annually. While meat
insist on being international bullyboys.” gle Soviet soldier from Afghanistan. and fish account for about 20% of the av-
The black-hulled Droman, loaded with Economic sanctions have rarely been erage American diet, they provide only
33,000 tons of wheat, was the last Soviet- successful. There are too many middle- 8% of the Soviet diet. Demand in the
bound ship to leave Houston loaded. men for supplies to be effectively shut off U.S.S.R. is intense, but the current Five-
Exporters and farmers are also con- —they can simply be routed through Year-Plan calls for increasing it only 27%
cerned about the future. For the time friendly countries. There is no global by 1985. That target probably could not
being, the Soviets cannot go elsewhere for shortage of grain for those who can af- be reached even without the embargo. But
large shipments of corn and wheat be- ford to buy. The Soviets do not really need no one will go hungry because of the em-
cause nearly all of the world’s large grain wheat. They already produce more than bargo. Russians are breadeaters, and
exporters have promised not to undercut they consume; they contracted to buy U.S. there is no concern on that score.”
the U.S. embargo. But some major grain wheat only because it is a cheaper way of
producing nations could eventually supplying some western and northern So- arter’s ban on sales of high tech-
change their minds and start filling the viet cities than transporting grain from nology and strategic items also
gap. Says Economist Sung Won Son: central Asia. Of far more importance to faces an uncertain prospect. For
“Some countries will get the message the Soviet economy is U.S. corn, all of the most part, Moscow has avoid-
ed buying significant amounts of sophis-
ticated American equipment precisely be-
cause it looks on the U.S. as an unreliable
2102A08
supplier—one result of Carter’s cancella-
tions of sales of some advanced comput-
ers to the Soviet Union in 1978 and 1979.
Less sophisticated equipment can easily
be bought in Western Europe. There are
a few categories, like oil-drilling equip-
ment, for which the Soviets badly want
US. products. If no substitutes can be
found, Moscow will probably try to cir-
cumvent the embargo by buying Amer-
ican machinery through a satellite or a
smaller country. As one expert remarked
last week, “If all the computers shipped
to Vienna were really there, the city would
sink.”
Still, the results of the U.S. embargo
we ) f) a I
are not by any means negligible. Though
Soviet citizens are accustomed to depriva-
Cattle being fattened formarket ona collective farm inSiberia tion, more meat is one of their basic de-
The supply of meat symbolizes the success or failure of the system. mands, and one of the major promises that
their leaders have made to them. It sym-
through to the Soviets that they, not the which is fed to livestock. Of the embar- bolizes, in a way, the success or failure of
US., are reliable suppliers. Then the U.S. goed grain for which the Soviets had the system. A slight decline in Moscow's
will get only residual sales.” American signed contracts, 65% was corn. CIA stud- ability to feed its people will not be a cat-
farmers still are paying the penalty for the ies show that without U.S. corn, the aclysm, but it will be felt by Soviet citizens.
Nixon Administration’s embargo of soy- Kremlin’s schedules for increasing meat Economic warfare may be an uncer-
bean exports to avoid a livestock-feed output would be set back by a decade. tain weapon, its consequences hard to
shortage in 1973. Backed by Japanese and Reports TIME Correspondent Bruce measure in economic terms, but it is ul-
West German investors, the Brazilians Nelan from Moscow: timately a form of political warfare and
plunged into soybeans for the first time must be assessed in that connection too.
and now have about 25% of the world soy- “During the last three months of Carter’s judgment was that a Soviet in-
bean market. Said Morton Sosland, pub- 1979, the Soviet Union imported 9 mil- vasion of a neighbor could not go unan-
lisher of the Milling and Baking News in lion tons of feed grains, enough to keep swered, lest the Soviet army soon be
Kansas City, of the grain embargo: the embargo from being felt for three standing guard over the oilfields of the
“America has just shot itself in the foot.” months. Soon, however, agricultural of- Persian Gulf. Any reaction that conveyed
ficials will begin making plans for a pre- the U.S. outrage in practical terms was
or did most food supply experts be- liminary cutback of their flocks and herds better than mere hand-wringing. Nor are
lieve lower grain costs resulting —first poultry, which can be replaced the reprisals necessarily over. A boycott
from the embargo would have quickly in better times, and then pigs. of the Olympic Games remains a definite
much effect on retail food prices. which also can be brought back fairly fast. threat, and there are other means of in-
Fully 87% of the price increases in food This will result in more chicken and pork citing the world’s anger. Indeed, by tak-
since 1973 have reflected the rising costs in the stores, but because the country lacks ing action, even at a considerable cost to
of transportation and processing. Farmers enough freezers, the supply will run out its own citizenry, the U.S. becomes a ral-
receive only about 30% of the money in a few months. Western experts believe lying point for other nations that look to
spent in food stores. Thus, according to the Soviets will try not to reduce their cat- it for guidance and inspiration. In that, it
farm economists, a 10% cut in the price tle herds by much because they are hard carries out, in the most fundamental way,
per bushel of corn would lead to retail to rebuild and beef is the meat that every the demands and obligations of world
price reductions of only a penny per Soviet citizen wants most. The winter has leadership. a
22 TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980
and poultry rather than simply bread and cereals. As a re-
The Plains of Plenty sult, the vast majority of American agricultural production
is for animal rather than human consumption. Ninety per-
Everything planted in the ground by man would grow as cent of the corn crop is fed to livestock, while soybeans are
if by magic, filling out with an amazing fruitfulness, as the the largest single source of protein for animals.
long warm days passed in endless array. Relaxed East-West relations also opened major new ex-
—O.E. Rolvaag, Giants in the Earth port markets. In the 1960s American farm products were
sold mainly to Britain and The Netherlands or given away
J ust as good earth and climate around Epernay, France, to India, Egypt and other developing nations as foreign aid.
provide nature’s ideal spot for nurturing champagne Through the *50s, and well into the "60s, the U.S. simply did
grapes, the Midwest’s long growing season, heavy spring or not know what to do with its surplus grain and stored it at a
summer rains and rich, two-foot-deep topsoil are perfect cost of billions. But in the past decade the surplus produc-
for grain cultivation. Kansas and Oklahoma are wheat coun- tion began being exported to the Soviet Union, China and
try. Just north in the hardy soil of Illinois and Iowa lie the newly rich Japan. Americans take justified pride in high
great corn belt and vast fields of soy- technology exports like computers or
beans. Farther north, in the Dakotas jet planes, but the largest U.S. sales
and Minnesota, grow wheat, soybeans, abroad by far are agricultural products;
sugar beets. Here is the richest farm they account for just over one-fifth of
land east of Eden, where the biblical all U.S. exports.
seven years of bountiful harvests are As American agriculture has be-
usually followed not by famine but come more productive, it has become
by seven more years of plenty. both larger in scale and more ex-
In addition, the modern farmer has pensive. In 1950 there were 5.6 mil-
helped nature tremendously and cre- lion American farms, averaging 214
ated one of the most advanced and pro- acres. By 1978 the number of farms
ductive sectors of the American econ- had fallen by one-half, but the size
omy. Mechanization has vastly expand- had almost doubled to 400 acres. Small
ed his reach. As late as 1955 there were farmers earning less than $20,000 an-
more horses and mules than tractors nually are still 70% of the total, but
in American farmyards. Now there are the remaining 30% take in 90% of all
4.4 million tractors on 2.7 million farms. cash receipts from agriculture.
A US. farmer today can seed 300 acres Grain farms in Cass County,
of wheat a day, vs. 85 acres in 1950. N. Dak., one of the largest
Meanwhile, land grant state universi- counties in the state, average
ties, which were started under a pro- 1,000 acres, and good wheat-
gram of President Lincoln’s, have re- land costs $1,500 an acre. Thus
searched and spread technological |the typical Cass County farmer is run-
breakthroughs. Out of the agricultural ning a business worth $1.5 million just
experiment stations in the early for property. Then comes equipment.
1930s came means of cross-pollinat- | A tractor that sold for $16,000 in 1974
ing two types of purebred corn. The 1970-71 316 | now costs at least twice as much, and
resulting hybrid was particularly har- farmers already talk glumly about the
dy and produced 50% higher yields. | advent of $100,000 combines.
Later the Green Revolution, for Modern farm-belt agriculture, how-
which U.S. Scientist Norman E. ever, has brought with it a new man-
Borlaug won the 1970 Nobel Peace ifestation of an age-old problem
Prize, produced more bountiful —soil erosion. Inadequate conser-
strains of wheat with strong stalks to vation measures combined with
bear the weight of larger yields. U.S. very heavy planting have led to
wheat output likewise increased 50%. excessive runoffs of soil into riv-
Pesticides and herbicides were pro- ers and streams. In such Plains states
duced by researchers in companies, uni- as Nebraska and Kansas, where often
versities and the Government to con- only scattered trees break the wind,
quer the plagues of locusts and other some farmers watch helplessly as their
insects that regularly beset grain crops. most valuable asset blows away. The
Bug- and disease-resistant seeds were Agriculture Department considers the
developed. As a result, U.S. corn country has not suffered a loss of five tons of soil an acre annually to be excessive;
severe blight since 1970. During the past decade petrochem- below that, the land can renew itself fairly well. Yet Il-
ical fertilizers again increased harvests. linois farms are eroding at an average of 6.72 tons, and
These innovations created spectacular crops. Since 1940 losses are also high in parts of Iowa, Tennessee and Mis-
the American wheat yield per acre has more than doubled, souri. Farmers, often with federal prodding and financial
from 15.3 bu. to 34,2 bu., and the corn output has almost qua- help, have begun to adopt better conservation techniques.
drupled, from 28.4 bu. to 109.2 bu. Soybeans, which grow lav- Despite the mechanization and scientific revolutions,
ishly in the same weather and soil conditions as corn, ex- the modern giants of the earth still fear the whims and
panded spectacularly. Production increased from 555 million challenges of nature. Last week, while farmers outside
bu. in 1960 to 2.2 billion bu. last year. While a Soviet farm- Fargo, N. Dak., fed their livestock and waited to plant
er grows 45 bu. of corn an acre, his American counterpart their spring wheat, temperatures fell to 18° below zero,
produces 109 bu. and the steady icy winds were a bone-numbing 15 m.p.h.
The abundant American harvests arrived just in time Cracked U.S. Congressman Mark Andrews, who is a North
to satisfy a meat-hungry world. More affluent and more de- Dakota farmer: “Up here we say that 40 below zero keeps
manding consumers around the globe wanted beef, pork the riffraff out.”

[=
TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980
Nation © |
which he felt had preoccupied postwar

Back to Maps and Raw Power


American diplomacy. His advisers en-
couraged him. Cyrus Vance is, by nature
and by his legal training, a problem solv-
The Kremlin teaches Carter a lesson in geopolitics er and a conciliator, a troubleshooter rath-
er than a theoretician. His approach to
The Soviet invasion of Af- political systems, but about the power of huge, complex challenges has been to di-
ghanistan may have profoundly moral principles. The strength of the US., vide and conquer them one by one. He is
altered the way Jimmy Carter he said in his Inaugural Address, was uncomfortable with, and not very adept
| looks at the world, and there- “based not merely on the size of an ar- at, historical generalizations or global
fore the way he shapes U.S. foreign policy. senal but on the nobility of ideas.” He de- grand designs. Zbigniew Brzezinski, on
TIME Diplomatic Correspondent Strobe clared war on “poverty, ignorance and the other hand, is a well-established, if
Talbott examines the consequences: injustice, for those are the enemies against somewhat controversial, geostrategist. He
which our forces can be honorably mar- began talking of an “arc of crisis” around
When a grim-faced President went on shaled.” In his Notre Dame speech of the Indian Ocean more than a year ago.
television Jan. 4 to denounce the Soviet May 1977, Carter promised a “new” He is also an anti-Soviet hard-liner of long
army’s blitz against Afghanistan, he used American foreign policy “based on con- standing. But Brzezinski too wanted the
what for him was an unfamiliar prop. As stant decency in its values and on op- Carter Administration to distinguish it-
Carter talked about “the strategic impor- timism in our historical vision.” Even self from its predecessors by being “less
tance” of the attack, a color-coded map when he addressed the threat of Soviet hung up,” as he once put it, on the Soviet
of the embattled region flashed on the expansionism, it was in terms that sound- challenge. He sought a “differentiated”
screen. It illustrated his warning that the ed more Quaker than Baptist: “We hope foreign policy freed from the we/they,
Soviet jackboot was now firmly planted to persuade the Soviet Union that one East/West bipolarity that underlay Hen-
on “a stepping stone to possible control country cannot impose its system of so- ry Kissinger’s Realpolitik no less than
Dean Acheson's containment and John

a = Foster Dulles’ brinkmanship.

PPR
e Ts. > he trouble was, de-emphasizing the
Soviet-American relationship neces-
sarily meant defusing the Soviet-Amer-
ican rivalry, and just the opposite has
happened. The Soviets were angry over
the human rights policy, rapid Sino-
American rapprochement, the hawkish
tone of the Senate SALT debate, the go-
ahead for the MX missile, and the de-
cision to deploy new weapons in Eu-
rope. Partly because of that anger and
partly because of the imperatives of their
own national security, the Kremlin re-
buffed U.S. attempts at “persuasion.” It
was as though the old men in the Po-
litburo had decided to teach Carter a les-
son in what happens when moralism is
pitted against amorality backed up by
to A f = aot armor and firepower. Carter was sur-
a - prised not so much by the invasion of
‘Whe Pvesidesdl olbouilitast tdlalliia ohhasialeshi terete valle Afghanistan (the National Security Coun-
A test by the forces of amorality backed by armor and firepower. cil’s Special Coordination Committee,
chaired by Brzezinski, had all but pre-
over much of the world’s oil supplies.” ciety on another.” Neither in his mind’s dicted the invasion a week in advance);
Presidents have used maps on TV be- eye nor on his podium was there a map rather, Carter was shocked by the So-
fore. John Kennedy and Richard Nixon of the world. viets’ duplicity and cynicism in killing
pointed to the political borders and battle- Carter’s deliberate playing down of their own erstwhile protégé, Hafizullah
fronts of Indochina as they briefed the na- the power relationships of traditional geo- Amin, branding him a CIA agent, and
tion on their policies toward Laos and politics was more than just rhetorical. He then claiming that Amin’s government
Cambodia, respectively. But Kennedy came into office determined to normalize had “invited” the invasion.
and Nixon were used to thinking and talk- relations with Hanoi and Havana, despite The Carter Administration will al-
ing geopolitically. Their careers took their close ties to Moscow. He unveiled most certainly continue to pursue human
shape in the 1950s, when the entire globe an agenda of new objectives that were am- rights, nuclear nonproliferation and curbs
was starkly and simplistically color-cod- bitious and admirable, although they on arms sales. But it will now do so, Brze-
ed to differentiate the free world from the often proved elusive and sometimes mu- zinski told TIME, “with a more sober re-
Communist bloc, and when America’s un- tually contradictory.’ These goals cut alization—which might be salutary—that
questioned obligation was to keep the Red across not only national and regional the Soviets won’t be benign partners.”
stain from spreading on the map. boundaries but across the ideological Carter’s concern with what he has proud-
Carter, by contrast, refined his world Great Divide as well. Among them: the ly called “global issues” has already been
view in the late 60s and early "70s, when crusade for human rights, the promotion thoroughly institutionalized.
geopolitics was in some disrepute, large- of better understanding between develop- There is a variety of interagency com-
ly because charts of Southeast Asia and ing and industrialized nations, and curbs mittees in the Executive Branch, backed
slogans about the free world had helped on the proliferation of nuclear technology up by special laws and watchdog Con-
bring the U.S. to grief in the Viet Nam and conventional arms sales. gressmen, to make sure that foreign aid re-
War. Carter came to the presidency think- Carter was also eager to de-empha- quests are vetted with an eye to whether
ing not about the power of armies and size the Soviet-American relationship, the recipient country tortures political |

24 TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980


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prisoners or is embarked on its own Man-
hattan Project. The Presidency /Hugh Sidey
But those criteria will be given less
priority now, at least in countries di-
rectly threatened by the Soviet Union or
indirectly by its proxies. As it moves to On the Frosted Campaign Trail
shore up relations with nations around
the arc of crisis, from radical Libya to re- ut in lowa, Ted Kennedy is not so bad a performer as his Eastern drama crit-
actionary Saudi Arabia, the Carter Ad- ics make out. He has his bad days and hours, his dismal speeches, his tan-
ministration is being less fastidious about gled syntax. But traveling along the frosted campaign trail in those wide spaces,
the humanitarian virtues of the various one can pick up echoes of some of the old magic from John and Bob.
regimes than it would have been before Ted is a presence. When he arrived outside the Perry city hall one morning
the Afghan crisis. A month ago, for ex- last week, the small shock wave of anticipation that precedes an energetic per-
ample, Pakistan was a triple target for sonality reached the corners of the stuffy meeting before the candidate did. Young
American pressure: the U.S. was work- women shifted, craned, raised themselves to tiptoe. Wisecracking high school stu-
ing to thwart the country’s nuclear as- dents shut up. Then a little of the Kennedy legend walked through the door.
pirations, goading the military govern- There was impact. He looked presidential in his dark blue suit, so much in
ment to restore democracy, and with- contrast with the work-clothed audience. He was polite, deferential, but very
holding military supplies. Now USS. much in charge. Things are out of control at home and abroad, he fairly shouted,
policymakers look at Pakistan as a vital pumping the air in that familiar Kennedy gesture, fingers folded, thumb on top.
and vulnerable piece on the strategic Brow furrowed, age and care showing deeply in the youngest Kennedy face, he
chessboard, and they are muting their went quickly to questions. “Yes, you ... in the red shirt,” he half commanded.
civics lectures and reversing their arms- The smile had sparkle, but there was the hint of Irish toughness behind it.
sale policy accordingly. In Boone a midmorning slump had hit him and some of his power waned.
He gave rambling answers to questions about the Soviets and about abortion.
e akistan is also an example of the dan- But his adrenaline was pumping again among Iowa State University students in
ger that the pendulum could swing Ames. His speech was good, though undistinguished; a firm call for a resto-
too far in the other direction. The U.S. secan—cameras ration of America’s control over its
could throw itself foursquare behind the own destiny. There was an impatience
military rule of President Mohammed Zia about Ted Kennedy, as if he were rush-
ul-Haq just before Zia came tumbling ing away from the past into a dan-
down—another client-dictator the US. gerous but strangely exhilarating fu-
would then have “lost.” ture. Something calling him.
Carter seems aware of that danger It is clear he does not have the
and determined to avoid it. “He’s always depth and breadth of intellect of John.
been stubborn in his convictions,” says a Ted’s answers do not have the rich mix
close adviser, “and in the past few weeks of history, fact and humor that J.F.K.’s
he’s acquired a new one, that the Rus- years of reading produced. Nor does
sians will use raw power anywhere they Ted possess the genuine interest in his
think they can get away with it. But he’s surroundings that Bob carried every-
still got his old convictions, too, and he’s where. Ted is vaguely indifferent to
not going to abandon them.” Iowa, a state that takes learning to
The President now faces two tasks: love. Yet, all things considered, Ken-
first, he must figure out how to convince nedy is up to the family tradition in po-
the Soviets—presumably not by friendly litical performance. He could have
persuasion but not by going to war either Kennedy campaigning in lowa last week held his own in 1960 or 1968.
—that they can't get away with invasions, Therein may be his real problem.
And second, he must reconcile his con- Kennedy is not up against Wayne Morse or Gene McCarthy or, for that matter,
version to a belief in the pre-eminence of Richard Nixon. Nor is he performing in an experimental and not quite ma-
geopolitics with his old, still strongly held tured communications environment. Indeed, television may be one reason why
belief in the importance of global issues America tends to disparage all the men running for President. They are very
and abstract principles. But already his good in this bizarre world of show-business politics—and there are a lot of
Administration has had to revise, if not re- them. But they also have become electronically (meaning superficially) well
verse, its course in a number of key re- known to their audiences. In such a crowded and intense drama, nobody really
spects. As a consequence of the increase stands strikingly above the others.
in East-West tensions, the world is far- The murmured comments in the rooms before and after Kennedy appeared
ther than ever from the objective of dis- revealed that the Republican debate of the previous Saturday had a remarkable
armament that Carter proclaimed in his impact on the audience. It seemed that every person had watched it. Some of
Inaugural Address. With Harold Brown's those Iowans liked Philip Crane’s fast, hard answer against the grain embargo
statements in China last week about Sino- better than Ted Kennedy’s hesitant objection. Moreover, the Crane jaw was
American common interests in counter- just as finely formed and the hair was equally abundant. John Anderson's el-
ing Soviet expansionism, the Administra- oquent appeal for compassionate government had more fact and fervor than
tion abandoned the last pretense of the did Teddy's. Anderson’s endorsement of the grain embargo, while not liked by
“evenhandedness” it promised in its pol- those folks, nevertheless set him up as a more creditable figure than Kennedy.
icies toward Moscow and Peking. Far While Teddy may not have realized it, he was battling far more than
from playing down the Soviet-American Carter. He was contending against an entire wide screen filled with articulate
relationship, Carter and his advisers to- and forceful Republicans, television’s insistent commentators and an audience
day are more preoccupied with the prob- that considered itself part of the action, not mere spectators. A lot of those
lem of how to deal with the Russians than farmers came to the rallies with their FM radios tuned to hear Chicago com-
any American leaders since the Cuban modity markets and news about Jimmy Carter and Leonid Brezhnev. For
missile crisis. And Carter may, for some Ted Kennedy, winning attention, let alone devotion, is a job bigger than that
time to come, use maps when he address- faced by his brothers.
es his countrymen on the world. tl]
TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980
Nation =

cated political game is organization. A

And Now It Begins—Sort Of


voter has to be highly motivated to leave
his home, brave the inevitable snowstorm
and then spend hours wrangling with his
Towa is the first revealing, if confusing, test of the campaign neighbors. While nearly 30% of a party’s
registered voters turn out for primaries
“ey "ve never seen so many politicians in where everything starts for everybody.” in other states, only 10% are expected to
my life,” said the bewildered news- The system is probably the closest to show up for the Iowa caucuses, about
stand lady in downtown Des Moines. Un- the grass roots that the mind of man could 50,000 Democrats and 45,000 Republi-
derstandably, she could not begin to keep devise. The 2,531 precinct caucuses that cans. Says Ralph Brown, former execu-
Straight all the presidential candidates will be held in private homes, public halls, tive director of the Iowa Republican Cen-
who were hurrying past. Her sentiments churches, fire stations and schoolrooms tral Committee: “Going to the polls
were shared by other Iowans, whose votes throughout the state are only the first step doesn’t take much of acommitment. Go-
have never been so energetically courted in a four-stage sequence that eventually ing to a caucus does.”
in the history of their state. To win or selects Iowa’s delegates to the Republican The Democrats will decide between
make a good showing in the Jan. 21 par- and Democratic national conventions. In- Carter and Ted Kennedy. In August a
ty caucuses—the first real test of the long dependents can participate in either par- poll showed that they favored Kennedy
presidential campaign—all the candi- ty’s caucus. over Carter 49% to 26%. But a survey
dates of both parties are crisscrossing pianawacken taken in early January indicated that
the frozen state, landing their small 57% would vote for Carter, 24% for
aircraft in near-blinding snowstorms, Kennedy. Still, the outcome could de-
navigating icy roads fit only for hock- pend in large part on events abroad.
ey practice. They wolf down chilling Any improvement in the status of the
chicken, cold “hot barbecue,” un- hostages in Iran, for example, would
dunkable doughnuts and crumbling obviously help the President; a con-
cookies at countless gatherings in tinued stalemate might hurt. The So-
tiny towns and villages. They tout viet invasion of Afghanistan auto-
their talents at press conferences, talk matically improved Carter’s stand-
shows, town meetings, union halls, ing; in a crisis, Americans tend to
Rotary Clubs and American Legion § rally toa President. Carter's decision
posts. Their faces beam forth from to impose a grain embargo, on the
television and newspaper ads. For- other hand, cost him some of the sup-
mer Republican National Chairman port he had gained.
Mary Louise Smith sums up the grim Though Carter is unwilling to
reality: “Iowa has become the new leave the White House to barnstorm
New Hampshire.” the state 1976-style, he is much bet-
Jimmy Carter can be thanked § ter organized in Iowa than he was
—if that is the word—for lowa’s four years ago. His campaign has
prominence. Nobody paid much at- about 30 full-time paid operators and
tention to the state’s early and un- some degree of organization in each
usual caucus system until Jimmy of the 99 counties. His Des Moines
Who? decided to blitz the state in headquarters, which was a mere
1976 and thus get a jump on his op- storefront in 1976, now occupies an
ponents. The press, awakened to this entire floor of the same building. A
event perhaps by Carter himself, pro- phone bank is constantly buzzing
claimed the Georgian’s Iowa results with calls to supporters.
a surprising victory, and a bandwag- Carter has spent almost an hour
on started rolling. Actually, Carter every day for the past month phon-
did not win the Iowa caucuses four ing backers in Iowa, and invitations
years ago at all: “Uncommitted” did. Rosalynn Carter seeking votes for Jimmy in Des Moines to White House functions have been
Carter got 29.1% of the delegates, Charmingly informal and frustratingly inconclusive. pouring into the state. Says Floyd
Senator Birch Bayh 11.4%, former Gillotti, deputy auditor of Polk Coun-
Senator Fred Harris 9%, Congressman The actual process is charmingly in- | ty, who wears a gold tie clip with the pres-
Morris Udall 5.8%, and the remaining formal and can be frustratingly inconclu- idential seal and Carter's signature: “Who
vote was scattered among also-rans. No sive. Voters at the Democratic caucuses would have thought a son of an immi-
matter. By the time of the National Con- indicate their choices by gathering in dif- grant born on the southwest side of Des
vention in July, Carter uncommitteds had ferent parts of the room, including an area Moines would pick up the phone and have
sorted themselves out and he had 25 of for “uncommitted.” Any candidate who the White House calling?” Says Steven
the state’s 47 delegates. has 15% or more of the vote in the room Schier, a political scientist who has writ-
This year’s presidential hopefuls is entitled to at least one delegate to the ten about the Iowa caucuses: “There’s a
would like to pull a Carter in Iowa or, fail- county convention, the next step in the se- lot of residual loyalty to Carter because Io-
ing that, do well enough so that their cam- quence. Backers of a candidate who gets wans are proud ofthe fact that they made
paigns are not derailed. Victory is as much less than 15% are asked to transfer their him in 1976.”
a matter of perception as it is of votes. support to another candidate or “uncom- To fill in for the absent President, Vice
The television networks and the press will mitted.” As for the Republicans, they will President Walter Mondale, Rosalynn and
provide national coverage and instant take a straw poll at the caucuses as part Chip Carter, Muriel Humphrey and a va-
analysis. In the maneuvering preceding of their process for selecting delegates for riety of Cabinet officials have been vis-
the caucuses, all the candidates are play- the next round. What is more, the del- iting the state. Last week Rosalynn gave
ing down their chances, an obvious ploy egates in sturdily independent Iowa can a series of speeches to try to offset the pre-
designed to make whatever vote they get change their allegiances right up to the sumed unfavorable reaction to the grain
look as good as possible. Sums up G.O.P. time that the final deciding vote is cast at embargo among Iowa’s farmers. Dressed
Candidate George Bush, one of the top the National Convention. | in knee-high boots to blunt the biting
players: “The action begins in Iowa. It’s The secret to success in this compli- wind, Rosalynn would begin: “Jimmy |

28 TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980


ed himselfas an alternative to discontent-
ed voters. He said that if people do not
want to vote for him, they should at least
stay uncommitted.
YARVD—SNYAR Though he has little
organization in Iowa, he is supported by
some political zealots, and they tend to
nostyn
go to caucuses. Local politicians estimate
that Brown might pick up from 5% to
10% ofthe vote.
Among Republicans, Ronald Reagan
is still the front runner, and he looked
presidential indeed as he swept into a ral-
ly last week in Davenport. The high
school band even struck up Hail to the
Chief. Yet an ironic commentary was un-
intentionally offered by a banner stretch- |
ing across the balcony. It read: WELCOME,
DUTCH [Reagan’s nickname when he was
a sportscaster in Iowa] THERE’S NO DE-
BATE, REAGAN IS NUMBER ONE.
sends his love and wishes he could be in since he has been one of the Senate’s most But there was a debate, and Reagan
Iowa.” As for the grain embargo, she as- outspoken doves on foreign and defense failed to show while the other six G.O.P.
sured her audiences: “Jimmy is going to policies. While campaigning in Iowa, candidates put on an impressive perfor-
make absolutely sure the farmers aren’t Mondale charged that Kennedy was mo- mance. “Republicans were tickled to
going to suffer. We want the Russians to tivated by the “politics of the moment,” death with the debate,” says Howard Bak- |
suffer.” while the President had to decide “wheth- er, one of the participants. “It made the
The turnouts for Rosalynn were mid- er to do the political thing or the thing party as a whole look good.” Reagan was
dling and the reaction to the grain em- that best serves this nation. Carter put all the more conspicuous by his absence. |
bargo at her meetings was mixed. Said the country first.” acinincen—contact That absence, pro-
Ron Pfiefer, a social worker in Council Like the Presi- claimed the Quad
Bluffs: “It’s more important that he’s seen dent, Kennedy is City Times, was “a
doing something than nothing.” Randy making full use of cowardly attempt to
Anson, a contractor, disagreed: “It’s | his family; 23 mem- maintain a lead in the
bound to hurt him. You take someone’s | bers of the clan polls.”
| bread away and he screams like a chick- | have visited the If that was Rea-
en with his wing torn off.” state. Joan, who ac- gan’s strategy, it had |
Making his fifth foray into Iowa last companied Ted for clearly backfired—at
week, Ted Kennedy was trying to regain the first time on his least for the mo-
his credibility as a candidate after his ear- campaign swing last ment. In December a
ly fumbles. Hopping around the state with week, was looking poll by the Des
his cavalcade of little planes capable of healthier and more Moines Register- |
| landing on short strips, he seemed more relaxed than in pre- Tribune showed Rea-
poised than in some of his earlier poor vious months. The John and Nellie Connally at reception gan the choice of 50%
showings. And he drew crowds. In his campaign rests to a of the G.O.P. voters
speeches, Kennedy accused Carter of los- large extent on the early draft-Kennedy George Bush was favored by 14%, John
ing control at home and abroad: “People movements that were started mainly by Connally by 12% and Howard Baker by
are wondering why we lurch from crisis union members. Iowa's biggest union, the 11%. Last week's survey indicated that
to crisis. People are wondering why we United Auto Workers, is supporting the Reagan’s support had been cut to 26%.
are seeing our embassies burned, hostages Senator, though it backed Carter in 1976. Some 58% said they felt that his absence
being taken, Cuban troops in Africa, So- Explains Sheet Metal Worker Stan Kolbe: from the session had hurt him. Bush
viet troops in Cuba, Soviet troops in Af- “Carter has let us down.” Still, the Ken- rose to 17%, Baker to 18%, and Connally
ghanistan.” But the attack on Carter was nedy forces feel they are out-organized by got 10%.
somewhat out of character for Kennedy, Carter. “It is a race against the clock,” During and after the debate, Reagan
says Bob Miller, a top Kennedy aide in
the state. “We are doing six months’ work =
in two.” z
©
3}]
California Governor Jerry Brown
trails far behind the front runners. He was °

12 badly hurt when the Des Moines debate


¥LNOD—U3ONINITE
>
with Carter and Kennedy was canceled
because the President felt he could not get
that visibly involved in domestic politics.
Appearing in the same forum with his op-
ponents would have given Brown expo-
sure in a state where he is little known. But
last week he flew through a snowstorm in
his vintage 1942 DC-3 for a reception in
Des Moines. It was a typical Brown crowd
of the beautiful and the bizarre. “I don’t
know where some of these people come
from,” said one woman.
Dressed in a meticulously tailored
three-piece suit with a muffler tossed
George Bush emphasizing
point in Clinton Howard Baker hugging supporter at debate
around his neck as though he were a
Reassurance from a patrician. | Princeton undergraduate, Brown present- Several thousand handshakes behind.
TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980
Nation
was derided by Connally, who cracked:
“I guess I don’t know much about Rea-
gan’s positions because you can’t get much Going Far by Going Slow
on the three-by-five cards that he has used
for decades to make speech notes.” Rea- Sears has persuaded Reagan to emulate the tortoise
gan shot back later: “[Connally] must
have been living under a rock.” Reagan, he man who advised Ronald Reagan | choice as his vice-presidential running
68, brushed aside questions about his age. to ignore the Republican debate in mate would be Pennsylvania Senator
One retort: “I’m really not that old. They Iowa and who is masterminding Reagan’s Richard Schweiker, whose liberal image
mixed up the babies at the hospital.” surprisingly low-key and slow-starting on some issues cost the Californian sup-
Bush has spent so much time in Iowa presidential campaign remains supremely port in his close but losing fight with Ger-
that some people think he lives there. He confident that the strategy is sound. John ald Ford. This time Sears has resolved to |
has logged a total of 27 days in the state, Sears, 39, Reagan’s campaign boss in be much more cautious. Says he: “Each
compared with Carter’s 17 in the 1976 1980, as in 1976, still feels that if Reagan campaign is an original. The game goes
| campaign. Bush has the best organization had debated in Iowa he would have made to the one who recognizes the changes
of the Republicans: 18 full-time and 80 himself just one of the pack. Says Sears: and knows how to act on them.”
part-time workers have pinpointed the “Being the front runner can give you con- No one doubts Sears’ ability to un-
Republican voters likely to attend the cau- trol. The race cannot really start before derstand shifting politica! realities. “Sears
cuses and have given them kits instruct- he begins to compete. Without him, it’s is the best strategist in the business,” de-
ing them where to go and how to vote. just practice.” clares David Keene, who is managing the
Bush also has more endorsements than Even as Reagan hopscotched across national campaign of George Bush, Rea-
any of his rivals, and there are indica- the country last week, speaking in South gan’s rival with the finest organization in
tions that he has strength in the state’s Carolina, Florida, New Hampshire, Mas- Iowa. “But this is his last shot. He has
more populated areas. something to prove.”
Combining an ease of manner with a If Reagan fails to win the nomination,
touch of the patrician Yankee and an im- Sears will get much of the blame. More
| pressive intellectual grasp, Bush does not than the manager of any other presiden-
excite his audiences; he reassures them. tial candidate,
¥nossS—AcOHOY he totally controls his
Emphasizing his considerable foreign af- man’s campaign apparatus. Says Reagan
fairs experience (CIA director, Ambassa- Press Secretary Jim Lake: “He has the
dor to the U.N. and China), he criticizes strongest will and the strongest mind. He’s
Carter for overemphasizing human rights the board chairman among the staff.”
and calls instead for a policy based on Sears’ dominance of the staff was
strategic interests. Says he: “I sense that shown when he maneuvered two of Rea-
people are frustrated about foreign affairs. gan’s longtime aides out of the campaign.
It is not a frantic cry but more of a muted As finance director, Lyn Nofziger had ar-
feeling about how to restore respect for the gued with Sears’ decision to start the cam-
US.” He admits that the caucuses will be paign slowly and to replace some Reagan
a “first test of whether organization can loyalists from 1976 with more moderate
overcome lack of name identification. I organizers. When fund raising lagged and
have to do well in Iowa to get forward mo- Nofziger became more combative, Sears
mentum to go into New Hampshire and forced him to quit. Aide Mike Deaver
| then down South.” then took charge of money raising, but
Baker and Connally also have been Sears resented Deaver’s independence. To
following a catch-up strategy. Lacking the spare Reagan the pain of choosing be-
organization of the top two, they are con- tween the two, Deaver resigned.
ducting a lavish media blitz aimed at
bringing out as big a caucus vote as pos- tories of Sears’ control of his cam-
sible. “The more people who turn out, the paign have irked Reagan, who fears
more it helps me,” says Baker. But that that voters will think that he is being
is a strategy better calculated to work in molded by his manager. Reagan told
a primary than in a caucus. Connally and TIME’s Barrett: “There’s all this talk that
Baker are both also trying to shake as he is ‘moderating’ me. I'm the candidate
many hands as possible, but they are sev- and I decide what I think the issues are
eral thousand behind Bush. As Dick Red- and what my position is.”
man, Baker’s Iowa campaign chairman, Sears directing strategy Indeed, Reagan has not reversed his
| puts it: “In Iowa, folks who haven't spent “Strongest will and strongest mind.” stand on any significant issue since 1976,
15 minutes with a candidate feel jilted.” nor has Sears urged him to. “He would
Back in the pack, Robert Dole, Phil sachusetts, Illinois, as well as lowa, the lose credibility if he did that,” says Sears.
Crane and John Anderson may draw suave Sears described his candidate's But he has successfully encouraged Rea-
more votes than expected because of their campaign as still being only in second gear gan to tone down his rhetoric and to ease
performances in the debate. Anderson —and right where it should be. Tracing his image of being too reactionary.
stood out by forthrightly telling people designs in the air with long, delicate fin- Actually, Sears cares less for issues
things they do not want to hear: the grain gers and a Viceroy cigarette, Sears told than he does for the challenge of the con- |
embargo was justified, gas should be taxed TIME Senior Correspondent Laurence I. test. He is a political technician who
50¢ a gal. Yet Anderson has hardly both- Barrett: “Political campaigning is a col- could, and did, consider working for other
ered to campaign in Iowa. “The caucuses lection of enthusiasms, instincts, energy Republican candidates this year, includ-
don’t mean anything,” he says. “It is New and emotion. You don’t want to get your ing Howard Baker. As late as the summer
Hampshire that counts.” And that is people spent too early if you don’t have of 1978, Reagan was promising party
where he spent last week. But all the other to.” Witness, says Sears, Ted Kennedy. hard-liners still bristling over the selection
presidential hopefuls would not trade In 1976 Sears gambled and lived to re- of Schweiker that Sears would not be giv-
snowbound Iowa for a South Seas paradise gret it. He persuaded Reagan to announce en similar control over his 1980 campaign.
until the votes are countedonJan.21, before the G.O.P. convention that his That promise ended in late 1978 when

30 TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980


People sometimes forget.
Labels never do.
It’s easy to forget even the simplest directions right on the label. So you can
things: a name, a birthday, a phone number. always be sure you're taking it right. To make
And most of the time it doesn’t matter much. sure your medicine works right for you.
But when it comes to taking medicine What's more, a label can never forget.
—how much, how often, even when not to So why trust your memory?
take it—it really matters if you forget. A lot. — Or anyone else’s?
That’s why all medicines —prescription Read the label instead.
and nonprescription alike —have the Don’t trust your memory. Read the label.

Council on Family Health


a:
a
a \ PUBLIC SERVICE OF THE MANUFACTURERS OF MEDICINI
Nation
Reagan not only enlisted Sears but also
accepted three of Sears’ preconditions on
strategy: 1) Reagan must appeal to all seg-
ments of the party; 2) Reagan, rather than
his opponents, would dictate the timing
and pace of the campaign; 3) the prima-
ry race would be run with the general elec-
tion always in mind.
After getting degrees from Notre
Dame and Georgetown University Law
Center, the New York—born Sears joined
Richard Nixon’s Manhattan law firm in
1965. He soon impressed Nixon with his
political instincts and was enlisted in the
campaign. After Nixon won the presiden-
cy, Sears fell out of favor with the White
House staff because he retained close ties
with people outside Nixon’s inner circle
—and was even wiretapped as a suspect-
ed source of press leaks. He now feels Demonstrators protest police brutality outside the courthouse in Dade County, Florida
some regret over his role in helping Nix-
on win. During the 1976 campaign, Sears’ The killing blow was struck squarely be-
tendency to drink too much grew worse.
A Roman Catholic who will readily in- “Crazy” Cops tween the eyes. Investigators believe that
one of the officers grabbed a flashlight in
terrupt a poker game to attend evening his fists and swung it like a sledgehammer.
Mass, he has since become a teetotaler. Four Miami police are Then, to make the injuries appear to have
In a profession of the glad-hander, charged with manslaughter been the result of a crash, police allegedly
Sears—a man with prominent, intense drove a squad car over the motorcycle.
blue eyes and the softening physique of a t first the police reports aroused little What has heightened outrage in Mi-
person seldom exposed to sun, wind or ex- suspicion. At 1:59 on the morning of ami is the fact that the indicted policemen
ercise—at times muses introspectively Dec. 17, a black male was said to have —Ira Diggs, 31, Alex Marrero, 25, Mi-
about his profession. Says he: “You never crashed his Kawasaki motorcycle in Mi- chael Watts, 30, and William Hanlon, 27
really win anything in politics. All you ami while dodging police at speeds of up —had a history of brutality charges. So
get is a chance to play for higher stakes to 100 m.p.h. He supposedly battled po- did Herbert Evans Jr., 33, who was im-
and perform at a higher level. Even if licemen, who tried to subdue him with plicated in the cover-up. In all, the five
you get elected, you've won larger respon- nightsticks. Four days later he died of men have been cited in 47 citizen com-
sibilities to be carried out in a more fear- head injuries, but by then the story was plaints and 13 internal review probes in
some world.” s taking quite a different turn. the past seven years. Not one ever re-
Arthur McDuffie, 33, was no wild-rid- ceived severe disciplinary measures, al-
ing motorcycle freak. A former Marine, though Diggs and Evans were relieved of
Unseen Hand he was an insurance salesman who
worked as a volunteer with unemployed
street patrol for short periods. With the
trial set for March, the four officers could
ghetto youths. He had no criminal record. go to prison for up to 35 years.
A plane flies itself The divorced father of three, McDuffie Dade County’s blacks have picketed
into the Atlantic Ocean was planning to remarry his childhood the courthouse and marched through
sweetheart. Police officials became suspi- downtown Miami with a black coffin. Says
ccidents in private aircraft, which last cious of inconsistencies in the officers’ re- McDuffie’s mother: “They beat my son
year killed 1,215 people, occur ina va- ports and started an intensive investiga- like a dog.” The family has filed a $5 mil-
riety of ways, but none more bizarre than tion. Evidence began to indicate that the lion suit against Dade County and the ac-
the one that happened last week when Pi- “accident” had been faked. Last week cused policemen. “The facts are blatant
lot Lou Benscotter picked up Robert four Metro policemen, all white, stood and obvious,” says Dade County’s acting
(“Bo”) Rein, the new football coach at charged with manslaughter and fabricat- public safety director, Bobby Jones. “It
Louisiana State University, and began to ing evidence in the case. was revolting, the most shocking damn
fly from Shreveport to Baton Rouge. As detectives reconstruct the event, thing I've seen in 20 years of police work.”
Heading into storms, Benscotter ap- McDuffie may well have tried to flee the Last week the Metro Commission, the
parently put the twin-engine Cessna 441 police. He had accumulated traffic viola- governing body of Dade County, began re-
into a climb to get over the weather. Lat- tions and was driving with a suspended li- sponding to public outcry by taking the |
er, radar detected the plane flying an er- cense. Investigators believe that when first step toward some reforms: psycho- |
ratic course, and the Air Force scrambled McDuffie finally slowed down, police logical tests for police applicants and of-
jets to investigate. Captain Daniel Zoerb pulled him off his motorcycle. ficers to detect signs of vio-
spotted the Cessna off Norfolk, Va., now Then one officer held him as lence-prone personalities,
more than 1,000 miles from Shreveport. It the others started to slug. plans for a community appeals
was flying at 41,000 ft., 5,000 ft. above the “Adrenalin gets going during board to handle brutality com- |
maximum altitude for which it is certified, any high-speed chase,” says plaints directly, and giving the |
and presumably on automatic pilot. Zoerb one officer. “The cops just went public access to some of the |
tried to make contact with the Cessna by crazy. They wanted to teach force’s internal review files
radio, but got no answer. He saw the plane him a lesson.” Says another “The same people who beat a
go into a steep dive and crash into the At- who witnessed the incident: black or a chicano today will
lantic Ocean. Aviation officials theorize “They looked like a bunch of © beat a white person tomor-
that Rein and Benscotter had passed out animals fighting for meat.” row,” says N.A.A.C.P. Chief
from lack of oxygen and that the Cessna A medical examiner found Benjamin Hooks. “This is not
had flown itself hundreds of miles before that the 138-lb. McDuffie suf- ‘ * just a black problem but a cit-
disappearing into the sea. a fered six severe head wounds. Arthur McDuffi izens’ problem.” g

32 TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980


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Nation +

father died in 1916, George suddenly


found himself the sole financial support
Labor’s Voice Is Stilled ——
of his grandfather, his mother and six
| younger brothers and sisters. He was a
George Meany: 1894-1980 plumber, like his father, and he worked
hard at his trade until 1922, when he be-
rusty George Meany. The adjective Meany despised politicians and pow- came a professional trade unionist as
was so often tied to his name that erbrokers whose positions seemed to bend business agent of his local.
Meany would growl (he never just spoke, with every shift of public opinion or the Impatient and energetic, Meany com-
of course, always growled): “Don’t they latest headlines. He dismissed them con- bined his workingman’s blunt rhetoric
know my first name isn’t Crusty?” Yet temptuously as “jitterbugs.” Meany did with a knack for grasping the essence of
the description was apt. The downturned not jitter. A stubborn conservative, he was complex labor-management conflicts. In
lips, the jowls, the half-closed lids—all one of the first cold warriors, urging la- 1934 he was elected president of the New
were dour. As the decades passed and he bor to shun cooperation with the Soviet York State Federation of Labor; in 1939
retained power as American labor’s most Union even before World War II had end- he became secretary-treasurer of the na-
dominant and durable leader, Meany’s ed. In 1959, when Soviet First Deputy Pre- tional AFL; in 1952 he was made its
ideas as well as his manner sometimes mier Anastas I. Mikoyan wanted a Sun- president.
seemed encrusted by the past. When he day tour of the AFL-CIO’s impressive new Meany’s greatest achievement was to
criticized Presidents from Franklin srack—aiacksta® engineer the merger of the AFL and
D. Roosevelt to Jimmy Carter in the CIO, two jealous and differently
his raspy Bronx accent, he did in- conceived umbrella organizations.
deed growl. If he did not literally The AFL organized crafts, the CIO
rattle windows at the White House tackled industries, and they often
across Lafayette Park from his im- fought for turf. Meany’s biographer,
posing headquarters, he often shook Joseph C. Goulden, tells how the
the occupant. former plumber felt that the rival-
When William George Meany ry was less a matter of philosophical
died last week of cardiac arrest principle than it was a split caused
in George Washington University by personality collisions and pow-
Hospital at the age of 85, he had er grabs. Meany broke the impasse
completed 24 years as the first and, by making a practical and simple
until his retirement last November, proposal: no individual union would
the only president of the AFL-CIO. lose any of its existing authority.
He had outlived such powerful The merger was completed in
challengers as John L. Lewis, Jim- 1955, with Reuther, head of the CIO,
my Hoffa and Walter Reuther. All readily agreeing that Meany should
too often his foes had underestimat- get the top spot.
ed Meany as being merely an ex-
plumber with a thick skull. “I don’t n recent years Meany’s influence
think that the Federation has a faltered as the AFL-CIO member-
head,” scoffed Lewis at an AFL con- ship declined. In 1979 it was down
vention in 1947. “I think its neck to 14 million, only 14% of the
has just grown up and haired over.” U.S. work force. Devastated by the
After Meany assailed corruption in death last March of his wife Eu-
the Teamsters in 1963, Hoffa de- genia, Meany began to lose in-
clared: “When you're old and de- terest in his job—and even in liv-
crepit on top of being stupid, you're ing. The aging Irishman who had
in trouble. He’s blocking us now, liked to sit at a piano and sing
but he can’t live forever.” such ballads as Cockles and Mussels
Meany was, in fact, a crafty ma- —somehow managing to keep his
nipulator of the strong-willed men cigar (never in recent years from
who fought for influence in labor's Havana) from going out—stopped
biggest house. Finding no way to His battles won, his rivals routed, Meany muses in 1975 singing. Forced first to use a cane
dislodge Meany, first Lewis and his Said the Pope: “You do good work for your people.” and then a wheelchair, he had giv-
miners, then Hoffa and his Team- en up his favorite sport of golf. De-
sters, finally Reuther and his auto work- headquarters (it stands, in effect, as a spite his bulk (usually more than 200
ers, went their separate ways. Thus for monument to Meany), he rejected a State Ibs.), he had often broken 80. By the
almost a quarter of a century, Meany ran Department official's plea that he unlock time Meany finally retired, his health
the organization he had created. It includ- the doors, declaring “Hell, no. I don’t was already rapidly deteriorating.
ed as many as 111 unions and 17 million want him on the premises.” The labor boss’s fiercely loyal aides
workers at times, and he did not hesitate Nor did Meany ever budge from his had joked about proposing a two-volume
to consider himself the spokesman for all-out support of U.S. intervention in Viet biography of their leader. Volume I was
USS. labor Nam, and he insisted that Chicago po- to have been titled George Meany: The
If he lacked the missionary fervor of lice had not overreacted in clubbing First 100 Years. They could console them-
a Eugene Debs (“Ideology is baloney,” antiwar protesters during the 1968 Dem- selves last week that 85 years was not bad.
Meany scoffed) or the organizing zeal of ocratic National Convention. They had President Carter praised Meany for his
a Samuel Gompers, he clung with con- merely subdued, he contended, a “dirty- service to labor and recalled a meeting be-
Sistency to his conviction that no nation necked and dirty-mouthed group of tween the old battler and Pope John Paul
could be free if its trade unions are shack- kooks.” II at the White House just three months
led. Meany fought hard for the basics: Meany’s tough view of life was nur- ago. Carter said that the Pope had clasped
higher wages, shorter hours, safer work- tured early. He grew up in The Bronx Meany’s hands and said simply, “You do
ing conditions, and limits on corporate as the second of ten children in a Ro- good work for your people.” That summed
profits in any wage-price control plan. man Catholic Irish family. When Meany’s upa lifetime. cy
TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980
World
AFGHANISTAN

The Soviets Dig In Deeper


An invasion turns into an occupation, but the rebels fight on
As Soviet forces fanned tric generators, bulldozers and
out to consolidate their building materials—telltale fixtures
hold on Afghanistan last of an army that was digging in for
week, the aftershocks of a long stay. At least five Soviet com-
the invasion were causing tremors bat divisions were in the country
all over Southwest Asia. In neigh- According to Western intelligence
boring Pakistan, which must now estimates, they controlled the five
worry about Soviet incursions main population centers, the three
across its border in pursuit of Mus- big airfields at Bagram, Shindand
lim Afghan rebels, the unsteady and Kandahar, and all the impor-
government of President Moham- tant intersections of the paved
med Zia ul-Haq appeared ready to “beltway” linking Kabul and other |
accept emergency military aid from main Afghan cities.
the U.S. and its allies. In India the Moscow’s army of occupation
stunning resurgence of Indira Gan- was substantially larger than Af-
dhi, long a friend of Moscow, raised Rebel attack ghanistan’s own military forces.
the prospect of an ominous tilt to- Soviet controlled Kabul’s conscript forces, once more
ward the Soviet Union in the sub- Refugee camps than 100,000 strong, had been re-
continent's largest country. In Iran, U.S.S.R. motorized duced to fewer than 65,000 by de-
Ayatullah Khomeini’s chaotic re- Z) tifle division fections. Morale was further eroded
~\ U.S.S.R. airborne by Soviet commanders, who or-
gime now had a Soviet threat on p/) division
its eastern border as it struggled to dered the disarming of Afghan bat-
cope with rebel autonomists and in- talions considered to be of suspect
ternal squabbles over what to do loyalty. Consequently, Soviet troops
with the American hostages. In Egypt, cupation. Moscow’s divisions spread into have had to take on an increasing share
Moscow’s audacious conquest of Afghan- the hinterlands to stiffen the Afghan of the combat against the rebels, who still
istan cast a darkening shadow over a sum- army’s wavering resistance against the control about 80% of Afghanistan’s bar-
mit between President Anwar Sadat and Muslim insurgency. A huge Soviet mil- ren countryside.
Israeli Premier Menachem Begin. In New itary airlift, which set the stage for the The stubborn bands of mujahidin
York City, one Third World country af- Christmas overthrow and execution of (holy warriors), as the guerrillas call
ter another rose in the United Nations President Hafizullah Amin, showed no themselves, appeared to have concentrat-
General Assembly to excoriate the Sovi- sign of slowing. Each day, eight to ten gi- ed their fighting in two regions: in the des-
et Union (see following stories). gantic Antonov transport planes landed ert flats of the southwest, mainly around
On the snow-blown slopes of the Af- at Kabul and Bagram airports. Besides the city of Kandahar; and in the mountain
ghan mountains, 75,000 Soviet troops an arsenal of T-62 tanks and armored per- provinces of Takhar and Badakhshan in
turned their invasion into a full-scale oc- sonnel carriers, the planes disgorged elec- the northeast. Last week the Soviets found
Wearing uniform fur hats and belted greatcoats, a relaxed group of Soviet soldiers wait alongside main highway to Jalalabad a
themselves rushing to the rescue of Af- however, not more than 500 prisoners had | from Western correspondents with blus-
ghan units in both sectors. actually been released. The next morn- ter and even downright lies. How many
In the southwest, Soviet troops were ing the Interior Ministry was besieged by Soviet soldiers have been killed or cap-
urgently summoned to shore up the de- disappointed families, many in tears and tured since the start of Afghanistan’s in-
fenses of Kandahar after mass defections some screaming in grief. ternal war? “Not even one Soviet soldier
from Afghan units stationed there. In the Karmal, who had appeared only once has been killed, captured or wounded,”
northeast, where rebels last week cap- on television since the Soviets forcibly in- he answered. When a British correspon-
tured Takhar's provincial capital of Tali- stalled him, finally turned up in person at dent tried to ask a question, Karmal boor-
gan, Soviet battalions were believed to be a press conference in sumptuous Chilsi- ishly denounced him as a representative
advancing along the highway from Ka- toon Palace, once the summer retreat of of British imperialism. “You invaded us
bul to forestall a rebel seizure of Faiza- Afghan monarchs. The new President dis- three times and you got a rightful and de-
bad in neighboring Badakhshan. In ad- ingenuously pledged that what he called served answer from the people of Afghan-
dition, a Soviet column was trying to “the very limited Soviet contingent” istan,” he growled at the Briton, to the
reopen the key highway at Jalal- MANOUKIAN SYGMA approving guffaws of Soviet embas-
abad, between Kabul and the Khy- sy diplomats. No Western corre-
ber Pass, after repeated harass- spondent bothered to remind them
ments by a marauding battalion of that back in Moscow, readers of the
Afghan defectors. The Soviets were Soviet press would have had a hard
not advancing unscathed; every time figuring out that there were
night at Kabul airport, loaded am- any Russian troops in Afghanistan
bulances were seen driving into the @& at all.
holds of transport planes bound for As daily life in Kabul began to
bases in the Soviet Union. return to normal, Soviet troops low-
How long the rebels can put up ered their profile. During the day
| an effective resistance is uncertain. * few soldiers or military vehicles
| The guerrillas are armed primarily were in evidence, except for cruis-
with homemade or captured Soviet ing armored cars with mounted
rifles, plus a few Chinese-made au- loudspeakers blaring messages of
tomatic weapons smuggled in from friendship and reassurance. But the
Pakistan; relatively few of the de- Russian presence was keenly felt if
fecting Afghan soldiers have joined not always seen, and after dark it
the “holy warriors.” Moreover, materialized in force. “Nobody has
there are at least 60 different rebel any illusions about the fact that Ka-
groups, divided by ideology as well bul today is run by men with well-
as old tribal enmities, and they lack oiled Kalashnikov rifles and chauf-
a magnetic leader to unify them. fered Volga sedans,” TIME Corre-
In Kabul, the Soviet-imposed spondent David DeVoss reported
government of President Babrak Karmal would withdraw as soon as “foreign inter- from the Afghan capital. “Every night,
tried to project an image of legitimacy. It vention” was halted. He reiterated his just before 11 p.m. curfew, fleets of ar-
announced a few cosmetic changes, like government's stock charge that the US., mored personnel carriers roll into Kabul
a new campaign for land reform, and Kar- China and Pakistan, as well as Saudi Ara- from depots outside. Bristling with four
mal promised to release 2,073 political bia and Egypt, were supporting the insur- machine guns each, they rumble alongside
prisoners from Pul-e-Charkhi prison, sev- gency. “The Soviet Union is our sincere the frozen Kabul River past shuttered
en miles outside Kabul. Clinging to the and reliable friend,” said Karmal, adding, mosques and deserted bazaars, and halt
sides of trucks and squatting on the tops straight-faced, that “the U.S.S.R. has nev- momentarily in front of each government
of buses, thousands of relatives converged er interfered and is not now interfering in building. The elite paratroops who alight
on the prison gates to reclaim their loved the affairs of other governments.” do not doze or socialize like the less disci-
ones in a crushing mob scene. Thousands Applauded sporadically by obsequi- plined Afghans from whom they assume
more, lined up six deep, waited in the ous Soviet diplomats and reporters, Kar- command. Dressed in fur hats, bulky
streets of Kabul. At the end of the day, mal tried to turn aside tough questions greatcoats and elephantine boots, they

Soviet heavy tanks lined up at a snow-covered bivouac outside Kabul; above, a band of Muslim guerrillas BORREL—SIPA/ BLACK STAR
World
stand alert in the shadows waiting for the most common form of attack was for en- der. To some intelligence analysts in
armored personnel carriers to pick them raged bands of teen-agers to catch a So- Kabul, the pattern pointed to the possi-
up again just before dawn.” viet soldier alone and beat him to death bility ofa strike into Iran if the Khomeini
It was not easy for the Red Army to with rocks. In addition, shortly after the regime were to disintegrate.
be unobtrusive; more than 16,000 of its coup, twelve to 20 more members of the “These are the divisions I would want
soldiers had encircled the capital. The occupying army were reported to have if |were to make a run for Tehran,” one
Russian presence did not sit at all well been killed in a raid on their encamp- military attaché speculated in Kabul.
with most Afghans. Before the invasion, ment five miles outside Kabul. “The Soviets are sitting pretty,” concurred
the poor, illiterate, devoutly Muslim peo- The deployment of the five Soviet di- a South Asian expert. “Coming down
ple of Kabul’s mud-flecked Old Quarter visions in Afghanistan raised ominous from the north and across from Afghan-
routinely invited foreigners to take tea in questions about Moscow's strategic inten- istan, they would have the eastern half of
their shop stalls. Now they assumed that tions. Two of the mechanized divisions Iran before the U.S. could react. There is
all unfamiliar foreigners were Russian were positioned in western Afghanistan, no force that could stop them. The only
and thus to be glared at coldly and jos- and more troops were on their way there. impediment the Soviets would face is one
tled. The Soviets were understandably In addition, two to three other divisions wretched Iranian infantry division in
wary. At least 30 soldiers had been mur- still in the U.S.S.R. were said to have Mashad.”
dered in the streets since the coup. The moved westward toward the Iranian bor- Officials in Washington tended to dis-
agree. They did not rule out the possibility
if Iran were to tumble into complete cha-
os. In the Administration’s view, howev-

Confronting the Armor Gap er, it was considered more likely that the |
Soviets would pour increasing numbers of
troops into Afghanistan in order to quell
| haere alighting at Kabul airport shortly after the Soviet invasion have the rebellion as quickly as possible and set
been greeted by a menacing spectacle: a line-up of one of the meanest look- Karmal firmly in the saddle. Then, U.S.
ing, deadliest vehicles in the world’s arsenal of armor. The vehicles are BMDs, a officials predict, the Kremlin would prob-
combination light tank and armored personnel carrier used by Soviet airborne di- ably want to pull out as many of the troops
visions. The versatile, 8-ton vehicle is armed with a 73 mm gun, three machine as possible—though some tens of thou-
guns and an antitank missile launcher, and carries a crew of five. Like all Soviet- sands would have toremain—and go ona |
armed vehicles—including the similar but slightly larger BMPs that are also propaganda offensive trumpeting the
being shipped to Afghanistan—the airtight BMDs can churn through clouds of “stability” of Afghanistan. “They don’t
nerve gas, impervious to biological, chemical and radiological warfare. want to stay in there,” one policy expert
The massive Soviet deployment of armored vehicles in Afghanistan has said of the Soviets. “They're putting a lot |
pointed up a growing armor gap between the U.S.S.R. and the U.S. The BMDs, in to get it over with quickly.”
BMPs and the Soviets’ main battle tank, the T-72, are as good as, if not better than, The international outrage sparked by |
any armored vehicle the U.S. presently has in use. The Pentagon is trying to sur- the Afghanistan conquest was the most se-
pass Soviet tank technology with the Chrysler-built XM1, which has had numer- vere since the Soviet invasion of Czecho- |
ous problems with its gas-turbine engine. Only 110 of the 54-ton XMIs are ex- slovakia in 1968. Seeking to capitalize on |
pected to be produced this year. Meanwhile, the U.S.S.R. currently has between the shock and dismay, the U.S. promot- |
45,000 and 50,000 tanks in its arsenal, about five times as many as the U.S., and ed a U.N. Security Council resolution de- |
Soviet production is outdistancing American by about 6 to 1. manding the immediate withdrawal of So-
Warns Christopher Foss, British editor of the authoritative Jane's Armour viet troops. The vote was 13 to 2 in favor,
and Artillery 1979-1980:*The armor gap is so great that the West is falling hope- but the Soviet Union promptly, and pre-
lessly behind in getting vehicles into the field.” By 1987, the U.S. Army hopes dictably, exercised its veto.
to deploy 7,000 XM1 tanks to counter the threat of the 25,000 T-72s and tens of
thousands of other armored vehicles the Soviets will have by that year. But the ith that, the drive to condemn
Pentagon's goals are at the mercy of congressional cutbacks and increased pro- Moscow shifted to an emergen-
duction costs. Meanwhile, the Soviets are developing a brand-new tank, the cy session of the General As-
T-80, that is meant to surpass the XM1. According to U.S. Assistant Secretary sembly, where vetoes do not
of the Army Percy Pierre, a successor to the T-80 is probably already “on the apply and where Third World countries
drawing boards of one of the Soviet tank plants, where thousands of engineers hold a strong majority. The Soviets let Af-
spend their days doing nothing but designing tanks.” ghan Foreign Minister Shah Mohammed
BORMEL—-SIPA/ BLACK STAR Dost carry their case at the debate’s open-
ing. He protested that the U.N. was re-
viving the “dark days of the cold war.”
Other delegates remained unpersuaded.
Charged Colombia's delegate Indalecio
Lievano: The Soviets’ arrogant abuse of
power represents “a return to the law of
the jungle in the era of nuclear weapons.”
Scoffed Amoakon Thiemele of the
Ivory Coast: “Moscow had the brazenness
to proclaim that it had come in at the re-
quest of the overthrown government.” La-
mented Nigeria’s B. Akporode Clark
“No country had assisted the Third World
more than the Soviet Union. Thus Ni-
geria has now felt a great sense of dis-
appointment.” One after the other, the
delegates lashed out at Moscow. It was al-
Two Soviet BMP armored personnel carriers parked near a highway in Afghanistan most without precedent as a show ofanti- |

|
Soviet sentiment among the Third World
countries. 5
TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980
PAKISTAN Administration that New Delhi under-

Props for a Tottering Domino


stands the immediate need to bolster Zia
militarily and indicated that the new In-
dira Gandhi government would not ob-
But Zia’s government is less than enthusiastic about U.S. aid ject, provided the equipment Zia receives
is not overly sophisticated. India’s reason-
Relations between the two na- ing: if Pakistan was truly threatened with
tions could hardly have been attack, it could not defend itself without
worse. A mob of fanatical Mus- American military intervention. There-
lims had attacked the U.S. em- fore, the Indians say, the only use Pak-
bassy in Islamabad last November; by the istan would have for highly sophisticated
time the siege was lifted, seven hours lat- weapons would be against India.
er, two Americans were dead. The US., One fear in Washington is that Zia |
meanwhile, had consistently obstructed might use his new weaponry to keep him- |
Pakistani efforts to build a uranium- selfin power. His coup against Bhutto ini- |
enrichment plant—which would give the tially had widespread popular support.
country a nuclear weapons capability The first truly devout Muslim leader in
—had cut off economic and military aid, Pakistan’s history, Zia inspired an Islam-
and had criticized the execution last April ic revival among the country’s 73 million
of former Prime Minister Zulfikar Ali Muslims (96% of the population). He re-
Bhutto. Such actions, complained the stored stability after a period of political
government-owned Pakistan Times, chaos. But despite his original promises,
“amounted almost to interference in our he will not release the reins of power; he
internal affairs.” Said a State Department continues—like Bhutto—to put his polit-
official of the embassy attack: “That left a ical opponents in jail, and the economy
scar that hasn't really healed.” President Mohammed Zia ul-Haq has continued its downward slide. Bhut-
SHCLDON— contact to’s followers have not
Yet last week, as
the Soviet invasion of forgiven Zia for having
neighboring Afghani- their leader martyred.
stan swelled the Afghan Some diplomatic ex-
refugee population in perts believe that the Zia
Pakistan to 400,000 or government has no pub-
more, the Carter Ad- lic support. In the words
ministration was sud- of one Washington ana-
denly searching for ways lyst: “The U.S. is about
to prop up this tottering to rush great aid toa gov-
domino of Southwest ernment that represents
Asia. Nobody in Wash- nothing.” Another ob-
ington predicted that server in Washington of-
Pakistan faced the im- fers the chilling sugges-
mediate threat of an all- tion that the situation

anak e
out invasion, although the U.S. now faces in
the possibility that Sovi- Iran could arise in Pak-
et troops might cross the Refugees from the Soviet invasion of A fghanistan in Pakistan's frontier province istan. Says he: “We
border in hot pursuit of Worried about unrest among the border peoples and a breakaway “Baluchistan.” might end up again giv-
the Afghan rebels could ing guns to a tyrannical
not be ruled out. Some Washington con- concluded: “Pakistan must accept the of- regime that will use them against its own
tingency planners feared that the Soviets fer of military aid from the United States.” citizens. And if Zia falls, then we'll be in
might use their new base in Afghanistan Relations between the two countries, a worse position than we started with.”
to encourage unrest among the Pushtun which were good during the Nixon Ad- Zia, meanwhile, has strongly en-
and Baluch peoples who populate the bor- ministration, have deteriorated in recent dorsed the revolutionary regime in Iran,
der areas and are openly hostile to the years, and turned notably sour after Gen- and cooperation with Ayatullah Kho-
Pakistan government. A major fear was eral Mohammed Zia ul-Haq took power meini’s archenemy—Washington—will
that the Soviets might sponsor a revolt by in a 1977 military coup. Washington was not be a popular move among many Pak-
the Baluch, whose traditional homeland annoyed by the general’s refusal to abide istani Muslims. Thus the Zia government,
stretches along the Arabian Sea into east- by his promise to hold elections and says a high-ranking U.S. official, has been
ern Iran. Such a breakaway by Baluchi- restore civilian rule, and was alarmed debating “how closely it can embrace us.”
stan would give Moscow access to ports as well by Pakistan's plan to build a To make things easier, the White House
leading into the Indian Ocean, threaten uranium-enrichment plant, reportedly has been able to put together a “consor-
the Persian Gulf oil supply routes, and financed in part by Libya. tium” of aid-giving nations, so Zia will
probably lead to the end of Pakistan as a In trying to dissuade Pakistan from not be put in the position of accepting
viable state creating an “Islamic bomb,” Washington handouts direct from the U.S.
Washington's worries are shared by has used both carrot and stick, with equal Will some of the aid find its way to
the Pakistan government, which nonethe- lack of success. Last spring the Carter Ad- the Afghan rebels? The Soviets certainly
less prepared to accept the offers of Amer- ministration offered 50 F-SE fighters and think so. Last week an article in Pravda
ican help with something less than full en- help in developing a nonmilitary nuclear charged that the rebels were being trained
thusiasm. A grim editorial in the Pakistan program. Less than a month later, after by American, Chinese and Pakistani of-
Times charged the US. with having Pakistan refused to renounce its nuclear- ficers and that money and weapons were
, adopted a “hostile tone” toward Islama- development program, the U.S. withdrew flowing in “an endless stream from the
bad and being blind to “the danger posed its military and economic aid (about $85 United States, China and a number of oth-
to Pakistan” by the original Marxist coup million). er Western countries.” Warned Pravda:
in Afghanistan in 1978. It was, said the ed- A massive infusion ofaid to the Zia re- “Participation in such adventures is by
| itorial, “amazing that the event was lost gime would be a worry for India, Pak- no means in accord with the interest of
on Washington and London.” But in a istan’s traditional foe. But Indian diplo- the Pakistani people or the principles of
certain teeth-gritting spirit, the editorial mats have privately told the Carter good-neighborly relations.” a
TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980
— World
INDIA with 295 in 1977. Particularly mortifying

For Indira: Victory and Vindication to Ram, an Untouchable, was the fact that |
the majority of his 85 million fellow hari-
Jans had voted for the party of Mrs. Gan-
From deepest disgrace to an overwhelming landslide dhi, an upper-class Brahmin.
Charan Singh, the caretaker Prime
Overturning nearly all predic- nents, the censorship of the press. Mrs. Minister and leader of Janata’s spin-off,
tions, confounding every pun- Gandhi had successfully appealed to the the Lok Dal party, fared little better. His |
dit, Indira Gandhi swept back elemental needs and concerns of India’s campaign warnings that the election of
into power as Prime Minister rural masses with her two election slo- Indira and Sanjay heralded a return to
of India last week. In the biggest elec- gans: “Banish Poverty” and “Law and dictatorship were ignored. Lok Dal won
toral victory of her checkered political ca- Order.” Combining charisma with ex- only 41 seats in Parliament, including
reer, and in one of the most extraordi- traordinary endurance, she had given as Singh’s own. It seemed unlikely that the
nary political comebacks of all time, Mrs. many as 20 campaign speeches a day on bitterly quarrelsome Lok Dal and Janata
Gandhi led her Congress Party to recap- a 40,000-mile, 63-day campaign tour of parties could repair their breach in order
ture India less than three years after vot- 384 constituencies, during which she was to form an effective opposition to Gan-
ers had resoundingly repudiated her 21- seen and heard by an estimated 240 mil- dhi’s Congress Party. An ominous pros-
month “emergency” dictatorship. When lion people. None of her opponents re- pect, however, is an alliance between the
the last of the 196 million votes in na- motely approached having such exposure. Communist parties that won a total of 37
tional elections were counted, her party Mrs. Gandhi had delivered her most seats in West Bengal. Though the parties
had won 351 of the 525 contested seats in crushing blow to Jagjivan Ram's Janata have ideological differences, they may join
the Lok Sabha (lower house of Parlia- Party, which had emerged triumphant in with leftist parties and splinter groups in
ment). With a two-thirds majority, she the 1977 election. Though Janata had split other states to qualify as India’s only of-
can legally abolish the constitutional safe- into two factions last summer, pundits fa- ficial opposition bloc in Parliament. |
guards set up to prevent a recurrence of vored Ram to become Prime Minister as After receiving congratulations from
her 1975-77 oppressive rule. head of a coalition government. Ram was Ram and Singh, Mrs. Gandhi proceeded
Mrs. Gandhi's triumph virtually re-elected to Parliament last week, but his to New Delhi's imposing Parliament
wiped out her Congress Party’s two ma- party picked up only 31 seats, compared House. Dressed for the occasion in a shiny
jor contenders: neither the Ja- DILIP MEHTA—-CONTACT new red and gold sari, she re-
nata nor the Lok Dal party ceived bouquets of roses and
gained the requisite 54 seats to garlands of white flowers from
qualify for recognition as the the 350 legislators who had
official opposition. In her own been elected under her leader-
home state of Uttar Pradesh, ship. President Neelam San-
where Mrs. Gandhi had been jiva Reddy then formally invit-
ignominiously turned out of ed her to form a government.
her parliamentary seat in the This scene was all the more
1977 elections, she won 56% of - extraordinary because the last
the vote in the constituency of time she had appeared in Par-
Rae Bareli. She also won in a liament was in December
second constituency, in An- 1978, when she was expelled
dhra Pradesh, capturing 66% on charges involving harass-
of the vote. ment of government officials
Underscoring the extent of during the emergency rule. She
her victory—and her vindica- is still under investigation on
tion—was the election of her four charges of abuse of pow-
son Sanjay, 33, who had been er, although the assumption is
held responsible for many of that these will be shelved. Ear-
the excesses of the emergency lier this month, she dismissed
rule. Out of prison on appeal the charges as having “nothing
of a three-year sentence for in them.” She also called for
crimes connected with abuses an investigation “from a pure-
of power, Sanjay won his first | ly legal point of view” of the
parliamentary seat with a plu-| special courts assigned to pro-
rality of more than 100,000 cess the various cases pending
votes in an Uttar Pradesh against her and her son San-
district. jay. Still she attempted to quiet
A jubilant Indira declared fears that her new government
that her party had won “en- would strike back at those she
tirely on my name.” Indeed, claims have persecuted her.
there was little doubt that the Calling for national reconcil-
country had responded once iation, she said: “We are not
again to the dynastic magic of | petty people. We do not think |
the daughter of India’s vener- in terms of vendetta and per- |
ated first Prime Minister, Ja- sonal vindictiveness.”
waharlal Nehru. Apparently Meanwhile, Sanjay was
forgotten were her authoritar- celebrating his debut as a leg-
jan ways: the coercive pro- islator and the now probable |
grams of enforced male ster- success of the appeal of his con-
ilization and slum clearance viction. (He was found guilty
that took place during the of stealing and then destroying
emergency, the arrest of tens Indira Gandhi accepting flowers from her supporters after theelection the master print of amovie sat-
of thousands of political oppo- The country had once again responded to her dynastic magic. irizing his mother’s rule.) Re-
40 TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980
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i

oa

turning to the capital from his new con-


Stituency in Amethi, he was greeted at
New Delhi airport by several hundred vo-
ciferous supporters playing flutes, bugles
and drums. Sanjay, who has long been
“Things Are in a Mess Here”
his mother’s most influential adviser, will rg Fe coche an Staph tar ran. So far as hostages are concerned,
wield additional power through a num- 12 Willingdon
Crescent in New Del- they have nothing to do with policy or
ber of new M.P.s who were handpicked hi, Prime Minister Indira Gandhi last anything (meaning, in effect, that they
by him to run for Parliament. week briefly outlined some of her for- J.
With her solid majority in the lower eign policy views for TIME New Delhi
house, Mrs. Gandhi can probably provide Bureau Chief Marcia Gauger. Mrs. Gan-
the stable government that voters clearly dhi declined to say what specific role
wanted after the dithering months of in- India would play in the politics of the re-
effective Janata rule. Her hyperbolic vow gion since, as she put it, “before you can
to banish poverty in India is clearly out offer some leadership, you have to set
of reach; still, she can and will please the your house in order. At this moment
poor by keeping her promise to reduce things are in a mess here.” But then she
the prices of cooking oil, kerosene, sugar added: “That doesn’t mean we can ig-
and, especially, the onions that are essen-
tial to the Indian cuisine. Indeed the price
of onions dropped S¢ per Ib. in the wake
of her election victory, as merchants re-
duced their prices to forestall anticipated plans for military assistance to Pakistan?
controls. In most other respects, howev-
er, India’s 21% inflation rate will prove A. well, we don’t view it very kindly.
tougher to control. A poor summer har- Pakistan has always said it’s either go-
vest has already raised food prices, while
the impact on industry of the rising cost
of imported oil is bound to further boost
inflation.
In Washington and other Western
capitals, there was concern whether In-
dira’s India would drift from the strictly
nonaligned posture of the Janata regime
into a closer relationship with the Soviet cr |WDIRA PART OF HISTORY
Union. The country’s 20-year friendship ls PART OF THE FUTURE
treaty with the U.S.S.R. was signed in any kind of alliance which
1971, before Mrs. Gandhi's fall. The new — eat ber always increases
Prime Minister, long regarded as sympa- and creates problems. So this
thetic to Moscow, was characteristically ued of linkup with the U\S., Pakistan
mild in her censure of the Soviet inva- China I think is dangerous for our
sion of Afghanistan during her interview
with TIME (see box). Since the election, In- Sind eels ea kar clas
dia’s delegate at the U.N. has been in-
structed to support the Soviet position on nore what's happening on our borders.”
Afghanistan. Excerpts from the interview:

eanwhile, there were subtle changes Q. Did you say you “deplored” the Soviet
in New Delhi, as voters and bureau- interference in Afghanistan's internal
crats prepared for the likelihood that Mrs. affairs?
Gandhi's promise of law-and-order would versify as much as possible.
apply first to the capital. Drivers no long- A. I said 1 disapproved. I disapprove of
er ran red lights at will, and government any foreign presence. And that’s a for- Qa.As between countries?
employees, who were accustomed to ar- eign presence.
riving at their offices around 11 a.m., were A. As between countries. When I be-
now at work by 10 a.m. Above all, the Q. What other foreign presences are there came Prime Minister [for the first time]
election results had reflected the voters’ inAfghanistan? our foreign exchange was at rock bot-
conclusion that leadership is better than tom. It was during my time that we built
no leadership. The Janata experiment A. No, no, I mean on principle I dis- it up. So we were forced
to buy arms
had never worked, because Janata was approve of foreign presence in develop- even if they were more expensive, if we
not a party. It was a collage of special in- ing countries. [In Afghanistan] the So- could pay in rupees. [During the 1950s,
terests united on only one issue: Indira viets say they were asked to go in. I have the U.S. would accept payment for
must go. That accomplished, the coali- no way of checking whether they were weapons only in hard currency.]
tion disintegrated in parliamentary and or not.
personal squabbles. Now, Indians believe Q. Then would you be in the market for
that a chastened Mrs. Gandhi can run a Q. What will be the position of your gov- U.S. arms?
single-party government with enough ernment on the holding of the U.S. hostages
room to maneuver. Still, there is peril in in tran? A. well, it just depends—we've never
the fact that the only coherent opposi- been against it; it just depends on what
tion is in the hands of the Communist A. Ihave deplored that. Iam very much we need, what the army needs. And
bloc. With the options cast in such ex- against the politics of violence in Teh- whether we can afford it.
treme terms, India’s democracy may be
entering its severest test. B
42 TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980
MR. GOODWRENCH
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IRAN since the Soviets have threatened to veto

A New Hostage Tug of War it. But Washington insisted that it would
go ahead with its own sanctions; more-
over, the major Western industrial nations
At home and abroad, Khomeini faces mounting pressures and Japan have agreed to respect most of
the U.S.-proposed measures regardless of
Wearing his familiar black tur- claimed ten lives in southeastern Balu- the Security Council vote. Predicted one
ban and cape, Ayatullah Ru- chistan province, and religiously motivat- US. official: “Sanctions won't bring them
hollah Khomeini sat on the flat ed gunfights between Sunni and Shi'ite to their knees, but they will hurt.”
roof of his single-story house Muslims left at least 40 dead and 200 US. diplomats, however, also admit
in Qum and waved impassively to thou- wounded in the Persian Gulf port of Ban- that there is little if any likelihood that
sands of followers jamming the narrow dar Lengeh. About the only good news sanctions would lead to freedom for the
Streets below. The occasion was the sol- that greeted the Ayatullah was the arrest | hostages. Meeting with 80 Congressmen
emn Shi'ite religious holiday known as in Tehran of the leader and 35 members at the White House last week, President
Arba‘un. Many of the pilgrims ritualist- of an anticlerical Islamic terrorist ring, Carter painted a bleak picture of pros-
ically flogged themselves with small known as Forghan, which has claimed re- pects for their speedy release. The main
chains to the beat of drums and tambou- sponsibility for the murder of at least two problem, he said, was that “there’s no-
rines; others wore white shrouds, symbol- members of the Revolutionary Council. body there with whom we can get in
izing their willingness to die for Islam. Against this backdrop of domestic un- touch.” He questioned Khomeini’s abil-
“The only leader is Khomeini!” chanted rest, the Khomeini regime faced growing ity to control the “international terrorists
the multitude, as red-lettered posters pro- external pressure as a result of its refusal or the kidnapers who are holding our hos-
claimed DEATH TO AMERICA. It was one to release the 50 U.S. hostages who have tages.” Echoing that view, one senior
of the Ayatullah’s last appearances be- been held captive in the Tehran embassy State Department official told reporters
fore going into seclusion for two weeks be- since Nov. 4. Reporting to the Security that “these terrorists are swimming in a
cause of“fatigue.” Council on his mission to Iran, United sea of support from the Iranian govern-
The spiritual leader of Iran’s revolu- Nations Secretary-General Kurt Wald- ment and people.” The goal of the sanc-
tion might indeed be feeling some strain. heim held out little hope for a speedy res- tions strategy, he explained, was “to sep-
Even as he basked in the adulation of the olution, since Iranian authorities contin- arate them from that support.”
mobs at Qum, armed Azerbaijani mili- ued to demand the extradition of the Shah American hopes of isolating the self-
tants loyal to Ayatullah Seyed Kazem and the return of his assets. described “students” from the political
Sharietmadari were battling Khomeini’s The Carter Administration, which leadership may have been unexpectedly
followers and Revolutionary Guards in apparently accepts Waldheim’s gloomy advanced by a week-long tug of war over
the streets of Tabriz. Last week’s outburst, forecast, moved last week to bring a res- USS. Chargé d’Affaires L. Bruce Laingen,
the latest clash in a simmering Azerbai- olution calling for economic sanctions who has been held at the Foreign Min-
jani rebellion against the central govern- against Iran to a Security Council vote. istry since the embassy takeover. Two
ment, left at least six dead and 100 wound- The American proposal calls on U.N. weeks ago, the militants had imperiously
ed before Tabriz was brought under members to halt all exports to Iran, except demanded that Foreign Minister Sadegh
control by local police, army troops and food and medicine. In addition, it would Ghotbzadeh send Laingen to the embas-
Revolutionary Guards. curb the Iranians’ ability to obtain new sy for questioning about alleged “docu-
In the neighboring province of Kur- foreign loans or convert their dollars into ments of espionage.”
distan, meanwhile, autonomist rebels other Western currencies.
killed at least four government military There was little chance that the reso- eeing Laingen as an important liai-
officers. Antigovernment riots also lution would pass the Security Council, son for possible future negotiations
with Washington and anxious to shore up
his own authority, Ghotbzadeh shrewdly
referred the matter to Khomeini. Despite
the entreaties of a student delegation that
visited Qum, Khomeini maintained his si-
YROAS—T3ANVKD
lence—thereby tacitly backing his For-
eign Minister and the Revolutionary
Council, which had originally decided to
“harbor” Laingen and two US. aides.
Said a Ghotbzadeh aide with satisfaction:
“I guess we have given the students an
idea where the line should be drawn.”
The Laingen dispute also suggested
that the Revolutionary Council, which
Khomeini had cold-shouldered for sever-
al weeks, was rising in his esteem again.
Said one insider of the clerical Establish-
ment: “Council members have agreed on
the need to distinguish between firmness
and rashness. The students should not be
allowed to think they are the only reliable
interpreters of the Imam’s wishes and ide-
als.” That development was mildly en-
couraging to some Administration offi-
cials, who feel that some moderate
at
»
2 members ofthe council are eager for a res-
. —_ ‘
Fad
a & olution of the hostage situation. Still, cau-
tioned a White House source, “there is no
Supporters of Ayatullah Sharietmadari rioting in the streets of Tabriz feeling that anybody in the Revolutionary
Domestic upheavals and threatened sanctions, but little hope for a speedy solution. Council is ready to move yet.” B

TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980


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In January, 1976, MERIT was
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era in low tar smoking began.


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MAN AND HIS GOLD, A SERIES

Youll understand why gold


is SO precious when you
know how . little exists.

For more than 60 centuries man has relent- cubic foot weighs about halla ton. Recovering
lessly scratched, tunneled, panned, stripped. this would add maybe another fifty percent to
dredged and blasted for gold. the block on this page. But not even that
In the process he has moved, crushed and amount, at current usage, would prevent gold
sifted enough rock to build a mountain range. from being in critical supply before the end of
overcoming the most incredible of mining this century.
obstacles. World production has been in a genera!
Even more incredible, and certainly decline since the 1960's, and two countries
unknown to many, is what he has gained for now dominate it. South Afriea with 51% and
his effort. Man has relatively little gold. Russia with 30% in 1978. Canada is third with
This is'demonstrated by the illustration about 3°4°o and the U.S., once the world’s
here. Beside the Washington Monument is an largest producer, is now fourth with just over
imaginary block of gold. The Monument is 2'4%. The Russian output has been on the
555 feet, or 185 yards, in height —the block is increase in recent vears, so possession of the
18 vards on each side, about one-tenth the metal could take on a more strategic impor-
Monument’s mass. + tance. In any event, it appears one day we will
This block represents not just the gold of have to live with our short and precious
America, but all the gold mankind owns. It is supply.
your watch, your ring, your necklace, as well According to scientists, gold exists on Mars,
asall the gold in all government reserves. It is Mercury and Venus and also in the waters of
al! the gilding of churches, the solid gold our own oceans The former is somewhat
museum artifacts, the dental fillings and even absurd to contemplate and the latter was
the gold plating on dime store doodads. It is all judged financially impractical,
One should really reflect again on that Another once seriously proposed idea to
dimension—an 18-yard-high eube—this is the obtain gold contained an almost doomsday
vold of 6000 years. No wonder it is precious: aspect. The idea was to drill, as one would for
no wonder man seeks more of it. ail, some 2000 miles into the earth’s molten
As itis he goes deeper into the earth for gold core. This was abandoned mostly for reasons
than for anything else, in some places as far of cost and technical unfeasibility, but prob-
as two-and-a-half miles. There the temperature, ably also because it ran a tremendous risk—
despite fresh air circulation, reaches 130 that of creating. the world’s first man-made
degrees and rocks can explode spontaneously volcano
from the pressure of the earth above This advertisement is part of a series produced
One might wonder how much more gold in the interest of a wider knowledge of man’ most
exists. Well, according to experts, there's not prec 1OUS metal For more information on gold.

a lot. A recent estimate puts some 41,000 write to The Gold Informa-
metric tons as the probably attainable reserve tion Center, De partment
This sounds like a large quantity but we must T81, PO. Box 1269, FDR
remember that gold is extremely heavy—a Station, N.Y. N.Y 10022
© The Gold Information Center
=! World Sh

MIDDLE EAST effort to end the stalemate, Sadat offered


a new two-part proposal: an overall agree-
Troubled Summit at Aswan ment on autonomy for the occupied ter-
ritories, which would be first put into ef-
A unity in global outlook, but no progress on autonomy fect in Gaza. The 146-sq.-mi. strip along
the Mediterranean was under Egyptian
The view was soothing and so | fense Minister, Kamal Hassan Ali, dis- administration from 1948 until 1967, and
was the 80° weather: the two closed that the Egyptian and US. air does not carry the emotional and religious
men chatting together by the forces had conducted joint exercises in re- overtones for Israeli nationalists that the
sun-drenched pool of Aswan’s cent weeks, to prepare for a contingency West Bank does. Begin promised that he
Oberoi Hotel on the Nile might have been that might require the Americans to use would discuss the proposal with his
old friends planning their next family va- Egypt's facilities. Among the US. aircraft Cabinet. “Autonomy is a novelty,” he said
cation together. But the impression was deployed for the exercises were two E-3A before he left Aswan, “and we must be
deceptive. For Israel’s Premier Mena- Sentry AWACS (Airborne Warning and patient.”
chem Begin and Egypt's President Anwar Control System), which carry highly The Israeli leader came away from
Sadat, the relaxed atmosphere at last sophisticated electronic surveillance the summit with further tokens of Sadat’s
| week’s summit could not conceal trouble- equipment. determination to make peace a reality.
some problems ahead in giving “momen- Begin and Sadat may see eye to eye The leaders agreed that there would be
tum to the peace process,” as Sadat put about the problems of the region, but there an exchange of ambassadors on Feb. 26,
it. The two leaders agreed to establish for- was no detailed discussion at Aswan about one month after the formal establishment
mal relations between Egypt and Israel
on Jan. 26, in accordance with the time- CC
—————_—
table laid down at Camp David. But Begin
and Sadat remained far apart on the na-
ture of an autonomy plan for the Pales-
tinian Arabs of the West Bank and Gaza.
The summit was the fifth that the two
have held since the signing of the peace
treaty last March. Sadat and Begin, who
were accompanied to Egypt’s best-known
winter resort by their wives, resumed the
warm, almost joshing relationship of pre-
vious meetings. When Begin gallantly
made a dinner toast to Sadat’s wife Jehan
(“To our dear lady, or perhaps I should say
our beautiful lady”) his Egyptian host,
amid roars of laughter, responded with
mock jealousy: “Begin, be careful.”
For all the banter, there was an un-
derlying sense of urgency about the talks.
The seizing of American hostages in Iran
and the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan
had transformed the summit, said a Be-
gin aide, “from just a discussion on Pal-
estinian autonomy to a broad consider-
ation of regional matters.” At their second
session, beside the hotel swimming pool,
the two men pored intently over a large President Sadat and Premier Begin studying map, at pool of the Oberoi Hotel
map of the Middle East and Southwest For all the banter, there was an underlying sense of urgency about the talks.
Asia, with Sadat using his pipestem as a
pointer. The leaders found that their views Israeli-Egyptian military or strategic of relations. The Egyptians also expressed
of the Iranian and Afghan crises coin- cooperation—which would make Sadat willingness to establish direct air service
| cided. Responding to a dinner toast, with even more of a pariah to his Arab col- between Tel Aviv and Cairo, to set up
Sadat nodding his approval, Begin de- leagues than he already is. Besides, noted postal and telecommunications links, and
nounced Khomeini’s rule as “an outburst a senior Egyptian official, “we must con- open the land borders between the two
of dark fanaticism, of black hatred.” Lat- centrate on solving the Palestinian prob- countries to civilian traffic. In agreeing
er he termed the Soviet intervention in Af- lem before thinking about military strat- to go ahead with these arrangements, de-
ghanistan “one of the most brutal acts of egy.” The Israelis insist that autonomy clared a beaming Begin, Sadat had shown
our time.” “Thank God,” he noted some- himselfto be “a man ofhis word.”
means only a limited measure of self-rule |
what smugly at one point, “Egypt and Is- for the Palestinians; the Egyptians argue Good will may not be enough to un-
rael, unlike these two negative phenom- | lock the autonomy issue. Though Sadat
that there must be steps of substance to-
ena, are on the side of right, not wrong, ward the ultimate goal of independence graciously conceded that there were still
ofjustice, not its opposite, of freedom, and for the West Bank and Gaza. “four months to agree on autonomy,” his
not slavery.” | next scheduled meeting with Begin is not
Even before the summit began, Sadat | uring the talks, Egypt’s Minister of until April, in Israel. That puts the two
had reacted strongly to the Kremlin- | State for Foreign Affairs, Butros leaders working on their own, perilously
decreed coup in Kabul. He ordered a cut- Ghali, complained bitterly in several in- close to deadline. Despite firm denials by
back in Soviet diplomatic personnel in terviews that time was running out on the US. officials in Washington, both Israeli
Cairo, severed all ties with the pro- autonomy problems. When Begin ex- and Egyptian observers were speculating
Moscow regimes in Syria and South pressed irritation at these heavyhanded that Jimmy Carter may yet have to con-
Yemen, and announced that Egypt would warnings, Sadat was quick to assure him vene Camp David II to produce an au-
provide training camps and military assis- that he was not orchestrating a “good cop, tonomy plan—one that will somehow sat- |
tance for the Afghan rebels. Sadat’s De- bad cop” approach to the summit. In an isfy both parties to the peace treaty. a |

TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980 49


Religion
Kiing
protest committee. Last week worshipers Ecumenical Research. But in compliance |
emerged from Mass at the cathedral in with the concordat, Kiing will no longer
Cologne to find 37 protesting priests and officially instruct would-be priests or those
Unrepentant seminarians hanging King in effigy and
burning his books: the pantomime was
training to teach Catholic theology, for-
merly 60% of his students. They may sit
While Vatican holds firm intended to satirize the church’s decision. in on his lectures, but will not receive ac-
Otherwise, the Kiing case has so far pro- ademic credit. The minister-president of
hen Hans Kiing arrived last week duced joint protests from scholars but Baden-Wiirttemberg state, Lothar Spath,
for his first lecture after the Uni- little of the general uproar that attend- plans a “careful legal examination” ofthe
versity of Tibingen’s holiday break, the ed, say, Pope Paul’s birth control en- concordat to determine whether King
classroom was jammed with 300 students cyclical. In West Germany, King en- can remain on the Catholic faculty at
and onlookers. Another 300 next door lis- joys wide—but not overwhelming—back- Tubingen. If not, he promised King an
tened in via loudspeaker. The Vatican ing among younger priests and the laity. “adequate alternative” and “full protec-
may have declared him unfit to be con- In Rome, he is viewed more as a pop- tion as a tenured civil servant.” But if the
sidered a Roman Catholic theologian, but ularizer than a serious theologian. education ministry tries to switch King
Father Kiing was back at his Tibingen The Vatican acted under terms of its to another department, he is prepared to
lectern, at which he has taught since 1960 concordat with Germany, a holdover take his case to court.
and now occupies as bestselling author, from the era of the diplomat Popes, un- Whatever the legal outcome, the hi-
West German celebrity and a focus of der which professors of Roman Catholic erarchy is adamant. “The true faith is that
Catholic theological rebellion. theology at state institutions must have a of St. Peter and the bishops, not that of
Kiing scrapped his scheduled lecture missio canonica (canonical mission to the professors. Otherwise the word of God
on the Apostles’ Creed and instead read teach) from the local bishop. In King’s would be abandoned in chaos and con-
fusion,” declares Cologne’s Joseph Car-
dinal Hdffner, head of the West German
bishops’ conference. Adds Bishop Moser:
“The church cannot become a playground
for conflicts of theology.” Bw

Faith in Africa |
VE®
AN
Ye3—NNYN
AN
NNVH

A tale of joyful numbers


any churches in North America and
Western Europe have seen their
membership dwindle for years. But
throughout the Third World, and partic-
ularly in Africa, Christianity is undergo-
ing the largest numerical expansion in
church history. David Barrett, a Nairobi-
. of S:
based researcher who is completing a
Hans King last week delivering first campus lecture since papal meeting on his case major multivolume work on world reli-
To one side an ice age in the making, to the other a danger of “chaos and confusion. - gious trends, estimates that more than
6 million Africans are added to Chris-
a long statement titled “Why I Remain case, this is Bishop Georg Moser of Rot- tianity every year, at an astonishing rate
a Catholic,” and answered questions. He tenburg-Stuttgart. Austria is the only of 16,600 believersa day.
emphasized again his rejection of the other nation where a concordat gives bish- Much of the increase is simply the
doctrinal infallibility of the Pope and ops so much power over theologians at result of the rise in population, but An-
the bishops. “I have no intention of giv- secular campuses. Elsewhere, except for glican Barrett reckons that two-fifths of
ing up my duties as a priest and theo- schools under direct church control, the the total are converts. He sees “a grass-
logian, or of leaving the church,” he Vatican has only the power to inform roots turning away from local tribal re-
stated. “To teach absolute obedience to Catholics that a professor's views are not ligions to a universal religion.” Besides
the leader is a disservice to the younger sanctioned. Christianity, of course, there is a second
generation.” universal religion in Africa—Islam—and
The West German hierarchy did not iting has long declined to go to Rome Barrett figures its continent-wide increase
agree. In a “declaration” to be read from unless the Vatican guarantees him an at 4,784,000 people a year, of whom 6%
every pulpit in the nation this week, it open hearing, which it has refused to do. are converts from other faiths. All of
said: “Not even the Pope himself is free When the decree was issued, he met with the church groups are prospering, he re-
from error. But if the bishops and the Pope Bishop Moser, who agreed to take a let- ports: Roman Catholic, Anglican, Prot-
state that something is God-revealed, then ter from Kiing to the Pope. After that, estant, “African Independent” and het-
the help of the Holy Spirit prevents them John Paul II held a five-hour meeting on erodox sects like the Jehovah’s Witnesses.
from error. This is what Professor King the case with three Vatican officials, Mo- The decline of colonial protection has
denies, and it is a fundamental tenet of ser and four other German bishops. The not discouraged the growth of Chris-
the faith.” result: all participants agreed to stand tianity; neither has the existence of those
After the Vatican acted against King firm, and Moser returned to notify the uni- hostile regimes that have often replaced
last month, 2,000 demonstrators rallied versity and the education ministry of the colonialism. The spread “is true of the
in Lucerne, Switzerland, waving such state of Baden-Wirttemberg. entire tropical belt of Africa from east
banners as: AFTER THE VATICAN COUNCIL As things stood last week, Kiing is a | to west,” says Barrett. And southward
—THE ICE AGE. In Rottenburg, West supposedly verbotener theologian who re- too, except that growth is slower in South
Germany, within 48 hours, 4,000 peo- mains a member of Tiibingen’s Catholic Africa, There “Christianity is still as-
ple signed a petition from an ad hoc faculty and head of its Institute for sociated with white Afrikanerdom.” =

50 TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980


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—_ §exes
ate the old me-Tarzan-you-Jane sex roles
—once the game gets started, a perfectly
Let’s Fallin Limerence sensible woman becomes dithery and
feebleminded and every spidery little fel-
A new book codifies the agony of romantic love low starts pounding around like Mean Joe
Greene. And heaven help the woman who
| Dear Ralph, Tennov says the average limerent love takes her limerence problem to a shrink!
Your four love letters arrived today. affair lasts about two years. In the first Tennov thinks that limerence is as likely
| My landlady said a heavily sweating man wave of passion, the limerent thinks of to break out in psychotherapy (me shrink,
stuffed them in the mailbox and lurched the LO about 30% of the time, but in you supplicant) as almost anywhere else
off like a wounded kiwi, so I assume you the second wave, which hits some months This may be why you hear about so many
delivered them yourself. A million thanks, later, it can rise to 100%. The poor lim- shrinks limerencing their patients. On the
really. erent is so hooked that nothing matters other hand, you have to admit that Ten- |
All the letters make fine reading, but except the beloved, and feelings swoop nov doesn’t much like shrinks. She’s the |
I was particularly struck by your com- between ecstasy and pain. This can be a author of Psychotherapy: The Hazardous |
plaint (letter 2, page 27) of a persistent drawback. You spend much of your time Cure.
heavy feeling in the chest that can only writing letters or diaries; you can’t get Ican hear you asking, Ralph, why the
be relieved by sighing. Ralph, this is a your work done; all your friends decide | limerent picks one person and not anoth-
er. Some therapists say it’s because the LO
reawakens an unsolved psychic problem,
and seems to offer a solution to it. The be-
loved, glimpsed across a crowded room,
may resemble a parent, grandparent or
sibling. Family Therapist Norman Paul of
Boston says the beloved “tends to match
someone else in your life that you've for-
gotten about.” Tennov thinks the process
is far simpler. The limerent scans the field
and picks out the most attractive available
lover that can reasonably be expected to
return one’s love.
Most cultures think of the limerent
as a bit crazy, but you’re in good com-
pany, Ralph. Stendhal, Héloise and
Henry VIII were limerent. Lord Byron
is the best-known dropout from limer-
ence; after the Sturm und Drang
with Lady Caroline Lamb, he simmered
down. Something worth thinking about,
Ralph.
Still, most people probably can’t do
much about their limerence (or non-lim-
erence). The problems come when a lim-
erent hooks up with a non-limerent, and
each tries to guide the other into behav-
ior that does not come naturally. Tennov
found that some non-limerents manage
to con themselves into thinking they are
limerent, just to please a flagrantly lim-
erent LO. Others feel suffocated by the
constant demands.
DRAWING BY WM. HAMILTON: © 1976 THE NEW YORKER MAGAZINE, (NC This never works, Ralph, and I must
“When I fell in love with you, suddenly your eyes didn t seem tell you flat out that I am not a limerent
close together. Now they seem close together again.” In fact, lam what Tennov callsa “pseudo-
limerent nonlimerent.” If Iwere a limer-
clue. You are not just in love, you are /im- you are a bore (mostly because you are). ent, believe me, there is no one else I'd
erent. This is a brand-new word made up Limerence can strike at almost any age, rather limer with than you, and I mean
by a University of Bridgeport psycholo- and men seem to be just as susceptible that most sincerely. You and I are caught
gist, Dorothy Tennov, in her new book as women. There’s also an edge of vi- in a world we never made, but in the fu-
on romance, Love and Limerence. If you olence in limerence. On the basis of an ture limerents and non-limerents will
haven't guessed it already, limerence is informal survey, Tennov estimates that identify themselves at the very start of an
the ultimate, near obsessional form of ro- 11% of limerents have attempted sui- affair. Tennov says so right on page 263
mantic love. cide when a love affair has gone Until then, the only thing a limerent can
Now pay attention to this, Ralph. badly. do, if attracted to a non-limerent, is “run
Here are the telltale signs of limerence Feminists, if they come down with it, like hell” from the word go, she says. Poi-
pressure in the chest (literally “heart- have it worse than anyone else. This is be- gnantly late for us, I'd say. Have lots of
ache”), an acute longing for reciprocation, cause limerence depends on game play- limerence, Ralph, and if you'll just send
fear of rejection, drastic mood swings, the ing, coyness, trial balloons and all sorts around a U-Haul, I'll be happy to return |
growth of passion through adversity, and of other manipulations that the women’s your letters
intrusive thinking about the LO, or “lim- movement can't abide. And besides that, Sincerely,
| erent object.” Tennov says, limerence tends to re-cre- Wanda |
Reece

52 TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980


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Steve, who has since become general

Super Bowl: A Family Affair


manager of the New Orleans Saints, chose
not to sit in the owners’ box for the Rams’
games. He grew a beard, wore a hat let-
The teams of a patriarch and a widow go for the title tered “Mack Trucks” and sat in the stands
to watch his old team in action. The play-
ake no mistake about it. The Pitts- bloom taught his son Steve, 35, and his ers registered their support of Rosen-
burgh Steelers are one big happy second wife Georgia, 52, who was to be- bloom fi/s by calling him into the dress-
family. The team that will try this Sun- come his widow, and therein lay the rub. ing room to receive a game ball after one
day to win its fourth Super Bowl isahome- Steve, who had started as a youngster exhibition victory and then demanded
grown crew. No Steeler has ever played picking up wet towels and sweaty uni- —and got—a meeting with Mrs. Rosen-
for another pro team, and the club is forms from the Colts’ dressing room floor, bloom in which she assured them that
bankrolled by a kindly patriarch and was left only 6% of the Rams’ stock in their jobs, and those of their coaches,
brainrolled by his savvy sons. his father’s will, but he also got the pow- were secure.
Make no bones about it. The Los An- er to run the day-to-day operations of the The Rams were undefeated in exhi-
geles Rams are one big battling family. club. Young Steve promptly demoted bition games, but disaster struck once the
Appearing in their first Super Bowl after General Manager Don Klosterman, con- regular season got under way. The Los
14 years as the league’s perennial bride- sidered by many experts to be one of the Angeles roster resembled the casualty list

ICYS
OouYA

Pittsburgh Coach Chuck Noll Widow Rosenbloom with Dryer (standing), Charle Young and Cullen Bryant (right)
A season worse than a voyage on the Bounty: injuries, feuds, firings and a stepson who saw the handwriting on the wall.

grooms, the Rams are a motley crew pre- league’s shrewdest executives, and put from a 40-car freeway pile-up: 18 of the
sided over by a beautiful and stubborn himself in charge of player personnel, 45-man squad missed all or part of the sea-
widow who fired her stepson, hinted of picking draft choices and making trades. son, Quarterback Pat Haden, a Rhodes
plans to unload her coach and outraged Widow Georgia, however, inherited 70% scholar, broke a finger; Fullback John
her players. The Steelers, as befits the de- of the stock, and, determined to use her Cappelletti missed the whole year because
fending Super Bowl champions, sailed clout, started attending Rams workouts | of a groin injury; Defensive Tackle Cody
through their season like a proud flag- A onetime showgirl, she turned up at Jones sat it out with a torn achilles
ship; the Rams endured the football equiv- training camp in powder blue jogging tendon.
alent of a voyage on the Bounty. suits, took a turn at place-kicking and As the team wallowed, rumors began
The psychodrama ofthe Rams began pecked the tobacco-filled cheek of Head flying that the widow was going to fire
last spring when Owner Carroll Rosen- Coach Ray Malavasi. Coach Malavasi and bring back George
bloom drowned in the surf off the Flor- A family fight for power began be- Allen, whom her late husband had fired
ida coast. Rosenbloom was a man fierce- hind the scenes between Steve and his during the pre-season training in 1978 af-
ly determined to have stepmother, not on the best of terms to ter sharp policy and
Ferragamo things his way: when begin with. Steve maintains that Georgia personality differenc- Bradshaw
he wanted to move to held an elaborate wake for his father that es. Recalls Defensive
Los Angeles, he sim- appeared to him to look like “a celebra- End Fred Dryer: “It
ply swapped his Bal- tion.” Said he: “It was sickening. It wasn’t was a macabre sce-
timore Colt franchise my father’s style.’ Steve also claims she nario. We were told
with then Rams was an hour late for the funeral. at times that George
Owner Robert Irsay The feud got rough just after the ex- Allen was showing
and also managed to hibition season began. Georgia called her up, that [Coach] Don
make a tax-free $4.4 stepson in and, with a lawyer on hand to Shula was on the next
million profit on the back her up, fired him. Said Steve later plane from Miami. If
deal. Going it alone “I knew the handwriting was on the wall this was a soap opera,
was a quality Rosen- when my father died.” you couldn’t make up
a ]
a script for it. No one would believe it.” |
Coach Malavasi survived, barely
(“This is the roughest season I've ever
been through”), and so did Mrs. Ro-
senbloom, despite the efforts of the Los
Angeles press. The Times assigned two
newsmen to poke into her past for a
month and reported that she had been
married five times before wedding the
Rams’ owner and that her first mar-
riage had been annulled when she was
154 years old.
With just five games left, the Rams
had won five and lost six and appeared
on their way to missing the playoffs for
the first time in seven years. But some of
the walking wounded returned or, as was
the case with Linebacker Jack Young-
blood, who appeared in two playoff games
with a broken left fibula, simply kept on
walking. (Youngblood: “I've gotten over
the worst of it, which is the idea of play-
ing with a broken leg.”) The Rams beat
their hated rivals, the Dallas Cowboys,
21-19, in one playoff game, then outdueled
—some would say outdulled—Tampa Bay
for the National Conference title, 9-0.

ith Klosterman restored as general


manager, Mrs. Rosenbloom is busy
overseeing the team’s move next season
from the Coliseum to Anaheim, 30 miles
to the south. No one doubts she is in
charge. Says she: “I don’t give up; I'm
very stubborn. I wish I could laugh at my-
self at times like this, but I can't. I am
just so darned determined.”
Mrs. Rosenbloom’s determination
will be pitted in the Super Bowl against
a carefully constructed football team
coached by Chuck Noll that may be the
finest in the history of the game. The fam-
ily franchise in Pittsburgh is as peaceful
as the Rams’ is stormy. Owner Art Roo-
ney Sr., 78, has turned over the operation
of the Steelers to his two sons. Dan, 46,
team president, runs the business side. Art
Jr., 43, is a vice president and the man
who has assembled a marvelously bal-
anced team led by Quarterback Terry
Bradshaw, 32, who survived his trial by
fire when the Steelers were still losers, and |
became a seasoned, consistent and fierce- |
ly competitive team leader.
Bradshaw's oppositive number is
Vince Ferragamo, Haden’s back-up, who
frankly admits: “I’m a young, inexperi-
enced quarterback. I've had to rely heav-
ily on my instincts and earlier training
because I haven't had much time to work
with my receivers.”” The strength of the
Rams is their defense and their goad is a
history of failure ever to reach the Super
Bowl. On Sunday the team’s many vet-
erans will be trying to make up for a dec-
de of fi ion. na : :
rn will
wie cuneate “The tae. When are they going to send us .
ers, Art Rooney Jr. said last week, ai 2
“are like the great Yankee teams used Chit as Regal:
to be. The peer pressure is very strong.
Just putting on the uniform motivates
a player to perform beyond his poten-
tial.” At week’s end, the Steelers were
ll-point favorites to keep right on Chivas Regal ¢ 12 Years Old Worldwide ¢ Blended Scotch Whisky ¢ 86 Proof. General Wine & Spirits Co... NY.
| winning. a
TIME. JANUARY 21, 1980 57
Doctors Prove You Can Help Shrink
Swelling Of Hemorrhoidal Tissues Due To — Medicine —
Inflammation. Relieve Pain And Itch Too.
Gives prompt temporary relief from Baby Jones
hemorrhoidal pain and itch in many cases. O.K. for U.S. test-tube clinic
Doctors have found a most effective Tests by doctors on hundreds of pa-
ver since the birth of Britain’s Louise
medication that actually helps shrink tients showed this to be true in many
Brown, the world’s first test-tube
painful swelling of hemorrhoidal tis- cases. The medication the doctors used
baby, in July 1978, infertile American
sues caused by inflammation. In many was Preparation H®—the same Prepa-
cases, the first applications give ration H you can get without a prescrip- couples have been clamoring for similar
prompt relief for hours from such pain tion. Ointment and suppositories. Use medical miracles on their side of the At-
and burning itching. only as directed. lantic. Now the pleas may be answered
Last week, after a year of acrimonious de-
bate, Virginia became the first state to ap-
prove establishment ofa center for in vitro
fertilization.
The clinic, at Norfolk General Hos-
pital, will be directed by Drs. Howard
Jones Jr. and Georgeanna Seegar Jones,
When you help start a a well-known husband-and-wife obstet-
rical and gynecological team, as part of
Scout troop, there's no the fertility program at Eastern Virginia
guarantee one of the Medical School. They will use a vari-
ation of the technique developed by Brit-
Scouts will grow up to ish Scientists Patrick Steptoe and Rob-
ert Edwards. An egg will be removed,
hit 755 home runs. through a small incision in the abdo-
men, from the ovary of a woman whose
fallopian tubes are either hopelessly
But you never know. blocked or too damaged to permit nat-
For all the facts on how your organization
ural fertilization. Then it will be placed
Can support a Scout troop, call Boy Scouts
of America The Ebenezer AME Zion in a laboratory dish with the husband’s
Church of toulminvilie, Alobomo did. and sperm. (Unmarried women are not el-
look what they've got fo snow for ft
igible.) About two days later, the fer-
ye
&Bein tilized egg will be inserted into the wife’s
womb.
Eleven women have already been se-
lected out of 2,500 applicants and begun
| preliminary tests; 30 more are in the next
group waiting for treatment (estimated
cost: $3,000 to $4,000). Exulted Jill
Schroeder, 31, a Norfolk bookkeeper:
“This is an answer to our prayers.” Sar-
ah Smith, 33, of Virginia Beach, wept with
joy. Said her husband: “It sent chills up
and down my spine.”
Right-to-lifers are far from pleased
Charles Dean Jr., president of the Tide-
water chapter of the Virginia Society for
Human Life, which heatedly attacked the
clinic proposal at two public hearings,

to renew your subscription? vowed to continue the fight in court. The


group contends that in vitro fertilization
can lead to abortion since flawed embryos
You can check the expiration date of your subscription by consulting the upper left hand corner of your
will be destroyed before or after implan-
mailing label. If that date is fast approaching, the easiest, most convenient way to guarantee uninter-
rupted service ond get our low basic rate is to
tation. Objections have also been voiced
in other quarters. Last week Harvard Bi-

call toll-free 800-621-8200"


Or, if you preter til! out this coupon ond send it wath your mailing lobe! to TIME, 541 North Fairbanks Court
ologist Ruth Hubbard, an outspoken fem-
inist, charged that “the push toward this
technology reinforces the all-too-preva-
Chicago, Ilinors 6061 lent view in our society that women’s lives
[_} Please send TIME for 1 yeor ot $31. ]Poyment enclosed CJBill me later
are unfulfilled or indeed worthless unless
we bear children.” Since so little is known
about the consequences of such methods,
MeJMs Ese aneUa ce she said, women and their test-tube ba-
(please print)
bies will be the “guinea pigs of research.”
Address Apt. No. Controversy is sure to continue; sev-
City State/Province Zip] Post Code eral institutes in other states are consid-
YOU CAN ALSO USE OUR TOLL-FREE NUMBER TO: Order a change of address. Enter a new subscription. ering opening similar clinics. Meanwhile
Order a gift subscription. Have your name removed from our mailing list. the Virginia doctors hope to do their first
* In IMinois cal! 800-972-8302. Rate volid for U.S. only. implant in March. 8
TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980
SOLDIERS START
COLLEGE RICHER.
UP TO $14,000 RICHER
iis called ies Veterane Eau-
two-for-one matching funds
add up to $8100. -
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(VEAP for short). f ? dF sigan “: re9 100. Now’s the time to learn more
And if you qualify, in Ee ae SENSE ; about VEAP and to decide
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In four years, “Tol: $225. «$5400. ~+$8100~+«$8100° the toll-free
$14,100. VEAP Bonus: $2000 number below.
Here’s how Total VEAP Benefits: $7400 3 : Better yet, call
it works: every : your local
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and $75 of your pay. To If you serve for four years, a s in the Yellow Pages.
every dollar you save the you get another $2000 added. Ue '0$3,000 more isavailable
inlump sum,
government adds two. Total: $14,100.
So if you save the maxi- AWEALTH OF
mum for three years, your After serving in the Army,
savings plus the government’s you'll have more than just
the money to pay for college.
You'll have the maturity to
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seen and done things most
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In N.Y, call 800-942-1990
Law
the costs, since it was the Pentagon that |
ordered the special compound and the Air
Who Pays for the Damage? Force that applied it in Viet Nam—and
in a higher concentration than the com-
Pintos, Agent Orange and asbestos await court answers panies recommended. For its part, the
Government is likely to rely on a 1950 Su-
n a courtroom in Winamac, Ind., last all federal standards and have been on a preme Court decision that an on-duty ser-
par with their competitors in safety. The viceman injured because of negligence by
week, former Watergate Prosecutor
trial probably will last two months. military personnel cannot sue the U.S.
James F. Neal was asking prospective ju-
rors in his Tennessee drawl what cars they In the Agent Orange case now being The nation’s asbestos makers have
brought in Westbury, N.Y., on behalf of tried to get the Government involved in
owned and whether they had heard of
Consumer Advocate Ralph Nader. When 3,000 ex-servicemen, a veterans group is paying the potentially huge bill for treat-
Raymond Schramm responded that a suing Dow, Monsanto and three other ment of abdominal and lung disease con-
member of his family had a 1976 Pinto, manufacturers of the herbicide. The or- tracted by people who have inhaled as-
the attorney, now representing the Ford ganization, Agent Orange Victims Inter- bestos particles. But a federal court in
Motor Co., asked him if that might affect national, charges that soldiers who came Norfolk has ruled that the companies
in contact with the herbicide in Viet Nam, alone must compensate workers who have
hisjudgment. “I don’t think so,” Schramm
where it was sprayed from airplanes to de- contracted diseases after exposure to as-
replied. “I used to drive a Corvair.”
foliate jungles, have had many resulting bestos in a naval shipyard. If that
Though the remark brought guffaws,
the basic issue before the court is serious: maladies, including skin disorders, can- ruling is followed by other courts, the
What is a manufacturer's responsibility cer, sexual dysfunction and birth defects cost to the industry could be enormous.
when injury results from the use of a prod-
uct? That question is currently being ad-
dressed in a number of potentially far-
reaching cases. To date, Ford has been
the target of more than 50 civil suits in-
volving allegations that Pintos made from
1971 through 1976 are unusually prone
to catching fire when hit from the rear. 3Hi—NOLNTAO
¥M¥T3
Mifws
1
But in the Indiana trial, the company is
facing criminal charges of reckless homi-
cide, the first such action ever brought
against an automaker. The makers of
Agent Orange, a herbicide used in Viet
Nam, are being sued by ex-servicemen
who say the chemical caused a variety of
ailments. Asbestos producers face enor-
mous claims for diseases caused by their
product’s dust.
In civil suits involving Pinto crashes,
courts have awarded damages as high as
$6 million. In the criminal case now being
tried, Ford may be fined a maximum of
only $30,000 if it is found guilty under the
two-year-old Indiana law allowing corpo-
rations to be charged with reckless homi-
cide. No jail sentences are threatened be- 2 ths. Sx me "3
cause no individual was accused. Yet a
guilty verdict could affect the 23 pending Police atscene after 1978 Indiana crash that ledtocriminal charges against Ford
civil suits. It could also trigger a rash of Potential fine of only $30,000, but guilty verdict could affect 23 civil suits.
criminal charges against other companies
in their offspring. Former Medic John The asbestos manufacturers agree
involved in product-safety disputes.
The Indiana trial grew out of a 1978 Wood, for example, went blind tempo- with some legal critics who argue that
rarily. He also fathered two children with case-by-case resolution is not the best way
accident involving a 1973 Pinto that was
hit from the rear by a van; the Pinto’s birth defects; two daughters born before to compensate victims. A swifter, simpler
gas tank burst, flames erupted, and three the war are in perfect health. alternative, they say, is a “white lung” |
program patterned after the black-lung |
teen-age girls in the car burned to death.
nes plaintiffs want a portion of the program that helps coal miners. A bill be- |
To win his case, Prosecutor Michael Co-
sentino must prove that 1) the fuel-tank companies’ profits to be put into a fore Congress calls for just that—with
design was extremely dangerous, 2) Ford trust fund whose proceeds would be chan- financing by the asbestos makers and the
was aware of that fact but chose not to cor- neled to those who can prove injury. Al- Federal Government. So far, this bill has
though Hyman Herman, one of the made little headway, and at least one in-
rect the problem, and 3) the design led to
group’s lawyers, insists, “We're not seek- dustry critic, Dallas Lawyer Frederick M.
the girls’ deaths. The judge is expected to
ing to bankrupt these companies,” the Baron, argues that that is just as well. Says
rule this week on the critical question of
whether the purported Ford documents trust fund envisioned would amount to Baron, who won a fee of more than $1 mil-
that Cosentino has are authentic and many millions of dollars. lion in one asbestos suit: “If the manu-
The manufacturers argue that Agent facturer does something wrong, should the
therefore admissible evidence.
Ford’s lawyers argue that states have Orange is harmless when properly dilut- taxpayer bail him out? Should we have a
no business hearing such cases because ed. Also, the companies now say that if Pinto Act, a Cotton Dust Act, a Benzene
the auto industry is federally regulated. the courts decide Agent Orange did do Act, a Firestone 500 Act? Where will it
Moreover, they say, Ford’s cars have met great harm, the Government should pay | allend?” £
61
TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980
Economy & Business

Retreat on the Energy Front ©


The White House shelves plans for an election-year gasoline tax
ae Nf ; ee ‘ oe ae
| the Northeast, the region that uses the
+ most fuel. Even more important has
been the drop in gasoline use. Last
year prices rose 35%, to a current na-
tionwide average of approximately $1.09
per gal. for unleaded regular, and |
last week several oil companies, including
Texaco, Shell and Chevron announced
new increases of from 2¢ to S¢ per
gal. As prices have climbed, consumption
has slumped to about 95% of 1978's
level.
The decline in demand will probably
accelerate as the U.S. economy weakens.
Though preliminary reports show that
the gross national product rose at an un-
expectedly strong annual rate of some-
where between 2% and 3% in last year’s
final quarter, most economists are per- |
suaded that a recession will get under
way in the current quarter. Home sales |
are down and sales of large cars have
hit the skids; auto industry layoffs this
ith turmoil spreading through- | brought almost daily warnings from the week will reach 220,000 for the first time
| out the oil-rich Middle East, it Administration of a looming energy since the current sales slump began last
hardly seems the time to put en- pinch. Increased conservation by home- autumn, and closings will include Ford's
ergy on the back burner. Yet just when owners, along with an unseasonably warm Los Angeles assembly plant
Jimmy Carter should be pushing hard- winter, have helped to reduce heating Inflation is expected to slow, but not
| est to cut consumption and conserve sup- oil consumption. It has dropped by at by much. Producer prices in December
| plies, he seems to be taking a surpris- least 10% from last year throughout increased at a compounded annual rate
| ingly soft approach. Not only has the
Administration shelved plans to levy a
$5 per bbl. tariff on foreign crude, but it
has also backed off from calling for a trucks because, say, a Mobil truck pull-
steep new gasoline tax of perhaps 50¢ a
gal. The tax had been urged by John Saw-
The Big Steal ing up to an Exxon station might draw
the attention of a prowl car. They drive
hill, Deputy Secretary of Energy, and N° there are certain guys in and to a friendly gas station, usually an off-
supported by Treasury Secretary G. Wil- around Brooklyn who have been hi- brand place where a deal had been pre-
liam Miller, Chief Presidential Economist jacking 3,000-gal. gasoline trucks for a arranged, sort of a hijack-to-order. It is
Charles Schultze and James McIntyre, month or so and making themselves a not too shrewd to grab a tank truck and
Director of the Office of Management nice piece of change. So far, they have
and Budget. But, said a high Admin- knocked over at least 15 belonging to
istration official last week, “the tax has | Texaco, Mobil, Exxon and others. The
gone down for the third time.” companies store gasoline and oil in
Instead of building upon the sense Greenpoint, a factory area in Brooklyn
| of urgency in the nation, top Admin- where the barges come up Newtown
istration officials are now arguing that Creek and unload. The gas is trucked
| no new taxes or tariffs are really need- around New York City, and it does not
ed. Reason: imports have begun to slow, take a genius to know that the trucks all
and consumption of gasoline, which ac- | have to take the same main roads.
counts for nearly 40% of all US. pe- These guys stand at a stop light
troleum use, is also declining as steadily where the trucks pass, and when one
rising fuel prices force more and more stops they step up to the driver’s side and
people to conserve. Says Energy Sec- shove a piece in his ear and tell him to
retary Charles W. Duncan: “To hold get down on the floor unless he wants his
down demand for oil is just about an ab- brains blown out. The driver, not being
solute imperative. For now it is hap- willing to die for dear old Texaco, does
pening in a satisfactory way.” what he is told, and a plastic bag is
The nation’s energy outlook does | yanked over his head to help keep him
seem somewhat brighter than it did last | quiet. These guys prefer unmarked Texaco trucks with large new logos are
| autumn, when fears of heating oil short-
ages and a squeeze on gasoline supplies
ee a
62 TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980
— = —

of 10%, down from the 14.9% average gasoline rationing if only a 5% fuel short-
of the past five months. Much of the age develops, instead of waiting until
change was caused by an easing in food the shortage becomes a crippling 20%,
costs, but economists expect prices to as the law now requires. This is also a
jump right back up again as last month’s victory for Eizenstat, but there are prob-
round of oil price increases begin rip- lems with that plan. Carter’s request will
pling through the economy. have a tough time passing Congress, |
Because inflation continues to weaken which set the 20% requirement last year
the dollar, members of the OPEC cartel to make rationing only a last-ditch ac-
are now actively considering pricing their tion. Also, details of an emergency ra-
petroleum not in greenbacks but in a bas- tioning plan are not expected to be ready
ket of stronger currencies, including West before this autumn. It will contain many
German marks. This would cause de- exemptions that the public will consider
mand for those currencies to surge and unfair; for example, people with com-
the dollar to drop. Then, of course, OPEC pany cars stand to get considerably more
would argue that the U.S. must pay even gas than ordinary drivers. The sad re-
more for its oil. sult of all this: the U.S. has neither a
consumption-cutting gasoline tax nor a
hus the Administration’s stand-pat workable and effective rationing program
policy on energy is risky. The rea- to fall back on if a shortage suddenly
son new initiatives on energy have develops.
been put off and perhaps scrapped is In addition, the Administration now
not only that Congress showed no will- seems inclined to switch away from its
ingness to act on them, but also that original plan to take all revenues from
White House aides, particularly Domestic the oil windfall profits tax and use them
Affairs Adviser Stuart Eizenstat, exhib- for energy development, mass transit, and
ited a growing fear that bold moves could help for the poor to pay their energy Making the magic brew in Decatur, Ill.
cost Carter votes in the primaries and bills. Instead, the idea now is to spend
in the presidential election. Asserts
one Energy Department official: “Energy
much of the money on a broad range of
federal programs. Says a high Admin- Gasohol Power
policy in 1980 is going to be spelled istration official: “The tax is going to
N-o-v-e-m-b-e-r.” raise more money than is needed. Our Putting corn in the tank
Never a strong believer in the ef- concern now is that the money is not
fectiveness or fairness of using higher tied up.” This change might well incite I looked like a practical, patriotic and
prices to cut consumption, Eizenstat new debate in Congress over the em- eminently political solution to the prob-
sniped incessantly at the gasoline tax. battled windfall profits tax and thus delay lem of what to do with the grain that Jim-
He managed to derail the proposal just passage of Carter’s energy program. In my Carter embargoed. Some of it, pledged
before Christmas, when Carter’s im- sum, the present U.S. energy policy de- the President, would be used for a “‘mas-
proved standing in the polls made the pends largely on the voluntary conser- sive increase” in domestic production of
President even less willing than before vation by the American public and a gasohol. A federally supported program
to take an unpopular position. hope that the oil-producing countries will would provide something for almost ev-
In place of a tax, Carter intends to continue their current levels of output eryone: more customers for farmers, more
call for authority to impose nationwide without unforeseen interruption. eo fuel for motorists and more protection for
the nation from OPEC’s oil price increas-
es and supply cuts. But, when the Ad-
ministration plan to boost the gasoline
stretcher was unveiled last week, it looked
a lot less than massive and even a bit ill
conceived and unrealistic.
The problems lie not with the pro-
cessing or marketing of the fuel itself. Gas-
ohol is already sold at more than 1,000 |
gas stations across the country. Since gas- |
ohol seems to offer slightly better accel-
eration in exchange for only fractionally
less mileage per gallon, it is also increas-
ingly popular with drivers.
It is simply a mixture of unleaded
gasoline and anhydrous ethanol, which
is 200-proof, water-free grain alcohol
much like the stuff that gives the kick
to gin and vodka. In the US., the mix
is 9 to 1, but in other countries the eth-
anol content is higher to save even more
oil. Brazil, for example, expects all of its
citizens to be driving on gasohol with a 4-
to-1 mix by the end of 1980, at a saving
of about $500 million on its oil import
bill. Moonshiners can distill a lower proof
ethanol from such materials as corn, sug-
ar cane, potato peelings, even garbage
or grass. Says Victor Ray, an alcohol ex-
pert at the National Farmers Union:
“It is about as complicated as making
bread. We tell farmers that if they can- |

TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980


Economy & Business
not do it, their wives certainly can.”
The reaction of the oil companies to
gasohol remains mixed. Exxon has re-
fused to let its credit card be used to buy
Strategic Metals, Critical Choices
gasohol. Texaco, by contrast, is expanding Worries over dependence on dubious suppliers
its network of gasohol pumps, from 600 to
1,100 this spring, and is studying a joint he rising use of trade sanctions around of several of these materials is suscepti-
project with CPC International, the for- the world has demonstrated how eco- ble to interruption because they come
mer Corn Products Refining Company, to nomic warfare is now diplomacy by oth- from either the Soviet Union or from un-
make ethanol. The largest manufacturer er means. Since 1973 oil producers have stable southern African nations that suf-
of the additive, Archer Daniels Midland, openly used their petroleum weapon to fer serious internal troubles. The most im-
has increased annual output at its Deca- further their Middle East political objec- portant minerals include:
tur, Ill., plant from 5 million to 55 million tives. Last year Nigeria introduced nat- Cobalt. A white metal used in jet air-
gal. in less than two years. ural resources trade-offs by threatening craft engines as well as mining and ma-
But the political promise of gasohol to cut oil exports to the U.S. if the Carter chine-tool bits, cobalt is supplied mainly
outreaches reality. As prematurely out- Administration lifted the American boy- by Zaire, which has 65% of the non-Com-
lined two weeks ago by Deputy Secretary cott on chrome imports from racially trou- munist world’s reserves. Recurrent civil
of State Warren Christopher, the Admin- bled Zimbabwe Rhodesia. Both the pos- wars over the past three years have kept
istration program called for about “5 mil- sibility of other OPEC-type raw material the price dancing between $6.40 and $50
lion tons of corn” to be used this year to cartels and Soviet economic retaliation per lb. Other producers include the
make “over 500 million gal.” of ethanol. against the U.S. have begun to worry the U.S.S.R. and Cuba. Reports Charles Riv-
That would be enough to displace a little er Associates, a consulting firm in Bos-
more than one day’s worth of oil imports. ton: “The cobalt situation is one of the
The present annual US. alcohol distill- RESOURCE PRODUCERS most serious problems facing consumers
ing capacity is only about 80 million gal. of critical materials today.”
irr 41978 output in tor
and nowhere near enough to consume 5 Manganese. The Soviet Union and
million tons of corn a year. South Africa provide more than 60% of
The Administration’s actual gasohol the world’s supply of this metal, which is
incentive program aims to boost produc- COBALT METAL essential in steel production. Australia is
tion and consumption. It defers that annu- Zaire 14,500 a major exporter, but its potential for ex-
al target of 500 million gal. of ethanol pro- New Caledonia 4,600 pansion is limited. Other non-Communist
duction to 1981, While generous, it falls Australia 3,800 exporters, such as Brazil and Gabon, have
far short of what some had hoped. It fails USSR. 2,200 either declining exports or unstable in-
to ensure that federal farm policies will ternal politics. The Boston consultants
provide distillers with enough grain year call the manganese situation “a cause for
after year. Instead of big new investment some concern” because the possibility of
tax credits, it offers would-be distillery finding substitutes is “extremely limited.”
builders loans and loan guarantees total- Chromium. The major deposits of this
ing $300 million a year for ten years. material, used in stainless steel, ball bear-
4,759,000
ings and surgical equipment, are in South
ifCongress approves, the program would Africa, Zimbabwe Rhodesia and the So-
also extend to the year 2000 the ex- viet Union. Says Allen G. Gray, techni-
emption that gasohol now enjoys from the cal director of the American Society of
4¢ federal tax on each gallon of gasoline. Metals: “A cutoff of our chromium sup-
The tax break adds up to 40¢ per gal. of ply could be even more serious than a cut-
ethanol since there is only 10% alcohol off of our oil supply. We do have some
in each gallon of gasohol. The benefit only oil, but we have almost no chromium.”
partly offsets gasohol’s cost disadvantage. Titanium. As strong as steel but 45%
The wholesale price of a gallon of eth- lighter, this metal suddenly became scarce
anol can be as much as $1.70 vs. about around the world early last year, after the
85¢ for premium unleaded gas; at the Soviet Union, the largest supplier of ti-
pumps, gasohol typically retails for 6¢ to tanium “sponge,” the semiprocessed
8¢ more even with the federal tax advan- metal, abruptly stopped signing new ex-
tage. Adding together the costs of the new port contracts. Military experts speculate
program, the tax breaks and several ex- that the Soviets have diverted their nor-
isting gasohol support programs in place mal 3,500 tons of exports to the construc-
at the Departments of Energy, Commerce tion of many submarines and aircraft.
and Agriculture and the Small Business Since the metal is used extensively in
Administration, the Administration’s en- high-performance jets, missiles and nu-
tire support package will cost between clear plants, U.S. and European aerospace
$8.5 billion and $12.8 billion in the cur- experts. Warns Harry J. Gray, chairman companies have been scrambling to buy
rent decade. of United Technologies: “The minerals the remaining titanium sponge produced
Ultimately this energy source stands situation is similar to oil. Without an in- by Japan, Britain and China. As a result,
to succeed. It comes not from OPEC but telligent national minerals policy now, we since last March prices in Europe have
from the nation’s own abundant natural will become increasingly vulnerable.” jumped from $3.98 to $25 per Ib.
resources. Even if the big distilleries are The U.S. is already alarmingly depen- Ever since oil-exporting countries
never built, there is much promise and dent on imports for many of its most crit- showed how to run up prices by banding
fast growing interest in the fuel self-suf- ical industrial raw materials. In all, 98% together, other developing countries have
ficiency that could stem from cellar and of America’s manganese, 97% of its co- dreamed of emulating OPEC’s success. Dis-
barnyard do-it-yourself stills.The ethanol balt, 93% of its aluminum and 91% of its cussions have been held about forming
they produce could be mixed with gas- chromium come from foreign ores. More cartels to cover commodities as varied as
oline and used to fuel private autos and than 50% ofits tin, nickel, zinc and tung- coconut oil, copper and phosphate rock.
tractors. a | sten ores are also imported. The supply Such Xerox copies of OPEC have almost
64 TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980
universally failed because of easily avail- Both RCA and Magnavox accept that
able substitute products or the unwilling- only one of them can win. Their tech-
ness of would-be cartel members to cut nologies are so dissimilar that the discs
production enough to maintain high of one cannot be played on the other's ma-
prices. The copper exporting organiza- chine. Just as the 33-r.p.m. audio rec-
tion, for example, was weakened when in- ord won out over the 45-r.p.m., ultimate-
dustrial users began replacing that metal ly one company will dominate the market.
with plastics and aluminum, and effec- While RCA essentially uses a phono-
tively collapsed when the last recession graph-like needle to “read” its discs, Mag-
produced a worldwide copper glut. The navox uses an optical laser. Magnavox
danger of other cartels remains remote machines offer more features, such as ste- |
—for now. Even so, individual nations reo sound, freeze frame, slow motion and
may be moved to reduce exports, and reverse viewing. Partly because of its ad-
those actions could severely tighten sup- vanced technology, Magnavox’s players
plies and send prices surging. are likely to be more expensive: they list
The American dependence has fo- for $775, vs. RCA’s expected $500 or less.
cused attention on the size of current Magnavox players are already on sale
stockpiles and the feasibility of developing in Atlanta, Seattle and Dallas, and the
new domestic sources. Since World War company hopes to be selling coast to coast
II the Government has maintained stra- by early 1981. RCA has not sold a single
tegic stockpiles of 93 key materials, in- unit yet, but is aiming for nationwide
cluding tin, copper and titanium, for use launch at about the same time. The stakes
in a national emergency. Some are crit- will be high. Every one of the 72 million
ically low. Only 32,000 tons of titanium US. homes that now have TV sets is a po-
are stockpiled, far below the 130,000-ton Demonstrating RCA’s SelectaVision player tential customer for a video-disc system.
goal. Cobalt reserves are 22,000 tons short On an estimated 30% to 50% penetration
of the 43,000-ton target. of that market by the end of the decade,
Disc Wars RCA projects industry annual sales of 5
million to 6 million players and 200 to
hough no modern industrial nation
can be a totally self-sufficient island, CBS allies with RCA 250 million discs. Potential total revenues:
the US. has little choice except to build more than $7.5 billion a year. a
safe stockpiles of those essential materials, he consumer electronics business has
such as chromium and manganese, that
are found in quantity in only a few coun-
produced some fierce marketing wars,
but none is likely to be quite so cutthroat Wheels Deal
tries. The mineral-rich American West, as the struggle that is starting for control
Alaska and the oceans bordering the U.S. of the video-disc industry. Video-disc Chrysler's daring guarantee
contain vast unmined natural resources players look much like any stereo deck,
that hold the longer-term promise of more but, plugged into a TV, they play pre- f Brigham Young were alive today, he
domestic sufficiency and security. These recorded movies, sports events, opera, sit- might want to trade in his covered wag-
minerals often remain in the ground or coms and documentaries. They promise on for a shiny new Chrysler. At least that
under water because of ecological con- to advance significantly the cause of view- is the hope of company officials, who this
cerns or the higher profits that firms can ers’ lib, giving TV addicts freedom to week kick off a test campaign in north-
earn abroad. Steep mining taxes in Min- watch what they want when they want ern Utah that promises an unheard-of
nesota, Montana and other states have to watch it. money-back guarantee if buyers are not
also discouraged digging. Geologists have The big U.S. competitors, RCA and satisfied with any 1980 model Chrysler
singled out 40,000 acres of federal land Magnavox, are battling for the new mar- Corp. car or small truck. Anybody who
in Idaho as a possible source of cobalt. ket and for partners to adopt their totally meets normal credit tests can make a
Yet last November the Senate Energy and different technologies. Last week RCA, down payment, take home a new Chrys-
Natural Resources Committee designated the parent of NBC, signed a major deal ler vehicle for 30 days and, if not fully sat-
2.2 million acres surrounding the site as with its TV network rival, CBS. It was isfied, return it. He will then get back his
a wilderness preserve, and banned any one of the rare times that the two giant en- down payment, the cash value of any used
commercial activity that would disturb tertainment and electronic companies car that he might have traded in, plus
the elk, bighorn sheep and 188 other spe- have cooperated in an important way. any fees that he paid for the title.
cies that inhabit the area. Using RCA Selecta Vision technology This may seem like an open invita-
Of course, companies can do more under a license, CBS will manufacture tion for a sharpie to have the free use of
to develop secondary and tertiary sourc- discs to be played on RCA machines. a new car for 30 days. Probably the Salt
es, many of which will become both eco- This will give CBS, the nation’s largest Lake City metropolitan area was chosen
nomically feasible and absolutely nec- record maker, entry into the business. for the test because its heavily Mormon
essary as conventional minerals become RCA will win not only royalty fees but population has a reputation for stability
costlier in the 1980s. For example, the also the support of CBS, which spent and honesty. Another safeguard is that
U.S. imports 93% of its bauxite, the ma- months looking at the systems of both dealers may turn down sales to prospects
jor aluminum ore, but the Bureau of video-disc competitors. Now CBS's li- who look chancy. Losses from returns will
Mines is experimenting with a process brary of programs will be available to be borne mostly by the dealers, not the
to extract alumina from clays found in owners of RCA machines. company. Chrysler will test the program
Georgia and Arkansas. More experi- In addition, RCA has signed licens- for a month, then decide whether to con- |
ments, more domestic mining and some ing agreements with nearly 20 Japanese tinue and expand it to other areas.
compromises on the environmental front and European companies, including Ples- Detroit competitors are skeptical.
would help avoid repetition of the oil sey in Britain and Matsushita in Japan. American Motors President W. Paul Tip-
saga of the 1960s and 1970s, when the Of course, Magnavox, a subsidiary of pett Jr. says that if there are many re-
U.S. became needlessly overdependent North American Philips, has not been turns, the losses could be “staggering.”
on dubious foreign suppliers. In an era idle. Sony has a license to use Magna- But, he adds about Chrysler: “I admire
of growing economic confrontation, in- vox’s video-disc technology, and the U.S. that they’re trying to do different things.
creasing reliance on imported minerals company also has a longstanding deal One of the things that we in Detroit are
creates a potentially dangerous breach with MCA, the parent of Universal Pic- not is unconventional.”
in the nation’s defenses. tl] tures, to make its discs. Chrysler has tried several unconven-

TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980 65


Economy & Business
tional ideas. In 1976 it gave the first re-
bates of modern times to customers, and Executive View/ Marshall Loeb
it repeated the rebates last year. In Kan-
sas City and Cincinnati last month it
began dispensing checks of $50 and $25
respectively to anyone who first test drives Climbing that First Job Rung
a Chrysler product and then buys a car
—any car, even a Chevrolet. The promo- ecause he teaches at Temple University, just eight scabrous blocks from
tions all aim to get the potential buyer where he was raised as the son of a housemaid and a man who left when
behind the wheel of a Chrysler. Once he the boy was three, Walter Williams jokes that he never really broke out of the
is there, asserts Vice President John R. Philadelphia slums. As a kid, he drifted. He determined to make something of
Givens, there is a better-than-even chance himself only when he was leaving the Army. Married, broke and 25, Williams
that he will buy one of the company’s cars. drove a Yellow Cab, saved some money, went to California and invested the
Certainly Chrysler is beginning to ben- next ten years in study. “When I first attempted the written exam for a Ph.D.
efit from the credibility it gained after in economics at U.C.L.A., 17 people took it, and 15 flunked. I was among the
Congress passed the federal loan guaran- 15.” Williams earned his doctorate the second time around. Says he: “I’m glad
tee on Dec. 21. From that day through that I got most of my education before it became fashionable for white people
Dec. 30, Chrysler's sales jumped 71% over to give special treatment to black people.”
the previous ten-day period. H An authority on blacks and jobs, Economist Williams, 43, is much in de-
mand to write articles, give speeches, testify before Congress. The New Year

Pix in a Fix
finds him depressed, for a reason: on Jan. | the federal minimum
wage went up from $2.90 to $3.10 an hour. In Williams’ view, the rising min-
imum guarantees maximum unemployment for the young and unskilled, par-
Silver costs hit film users ticularly blacks.
Almost all economists agree that hundreds of thousands of people cannot
amera buffs may continue urging sub- land jobs because their work is not worth the minimum wage. Williams cal-
jects to “Smile,” but there probably culates that this year’s 7% increase in the minimum wage will cause unem-
will be little smiling on the other side of ployment among low-skilled black teen-agers to rise from 35% to at least 40%.
the shutter. Reacting to the rise in the He sees evidence all around: “How else do you explain the massive change
price of silver from $6 per oz. to a high of from waiter service to self-service in restau- SALD/ MARCOJR.
$41.50 over the past year, Kodak last rants? How else do you explain the absence
week announced increases of up to 75% of ushers in movies and youngsters at su-
on its whole line of film products. A permarkets to take your bags to the car? We
twelve-exposure cassette of Kodacolor II, have cut the bottom rungs off the economic
for example, went from $1.86 to $2.15, ladder, and the consequence is that for the
and a 36-picture roll of Kodachrome first time in U'S. history, we have developed
slides jumped from $4.40 to $5.29. The a permanent welfare class.”
steepest increases were for graphic arts At very least, says Williams, the wage
films and photo typesetting paper used by law should be amended to provide youth dif-
newspapers. Du Pont, a manufacturer of ferential, allowing employers to pay people
X-ray and industrial films, has raised its under 20 less than the federal minimum. This
prices by as much as 80% in the past year. would create no hardship because almost all
Polaroid boosted prices 6% earlier this people on the minimum wage are unmar-
month and said it was considering fur- ried or part-time employees; no more than
ther increases. Polaroid is fortunate be- one-half of 1% are responsible for support-
cause its instant film uses less silver than ing a family. Minimum Wage Critic Williams
other companies’ conventional film prod- More heretically, Williams believes that
ucts do. “child labor laws should be re-examined. Back in the 1930s, they protected
Kodak is experimenting with ways to young people from working in cold and damp or dangerous mines. Today these
reduce the silver content of film, but sci- same laws protect them from working in air-conditioned offices. If a 14-year-
entists have yet to find any other mate- old is not benefiting from school, perhaps he should be allowed to leave and get
rial as sensitive to light. With black and work in a car wash. Perhaps then he will discover he cannot get ahead without
white film, the image is etched into grains an education, and that lesson in life will motivate him to return to school.”
of silver salts coated on the thin piece of Williams also favors adopting the European-style apprentice system, in
plastic. Silver also captures the original which young people work at relatively low wages for several years as as-
image for color pictures, but is later re- sistants to skilled plumbers, carpenters or other craftsmen, learning their
placed by colored dyes during develop- trade. Another way to help minorities onto that crucial first rung of the ca-
ment. Nonsilver film is being manufac- reer ladder would be to ease or eliminate state licensing laws that keep many
tured, though it is used primarily for slow- occupations tight and closed. Williams is appalled that “roughly 600 occu-
exposure microfilm. In all, the photo pations are licensed in the U.S. In some states you need a license to be a cos-
industry accounts for nearly half of the metologist or a landscaper. To become a commercial photographer in Texas,
160 million oz. of silver that the nation you need a negative Wassermann test.” Says Williams: “Our founding fathers
consumes annually. thought that a man had a right to practice his trade without going to the
While waiting and hoping for silver feudal lord or the king to ask permission. But we have built the same system
prices to decline, Kodak has stepped up that our founding fathers sought to escape.”
its recycling procedures. The company al- In sum, Government has passed many laws designed to help the lowest-
ready recovers 20 million oz. of the metal skilled worker but has actually hurt him. Says Williams: “The whole process
a year in processing amateur film and in was aptly described in the play Green Pastures. God remarks to the angels,
scrap from its manufacturing operations. ‘That’s always the trouble with miracles. When you pass one, you always gotta
Even the silver that is punched out to rar back and pass another.’” What is required is less miracle-making legis-
make the tiny sprocket holes on 35-mm lation. Or, as Williams puts it, “Black people do not need any special programs.
and home-movie film is meticulously col- All they need is for Government to get off their backs.”
lected and used again. =|
TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980
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On the other hand, when you invest in a Certificate of
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= Z
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Education
Favorite Son
Columbia hails a new chief
F or Columbia University the 1970s
ended better than they began. The
decade saw the campus marred by stu-
dent antiwar protests and disputes with
tenant neighbors in Morningside Heights.
The university's cumulative deficit rose
to a crunching $87.2 million, while the
need for more space grew and reliance
on federal dollars became burdensome.
Some promising students and scholars
shunned the Ivy League campus, and
os letter:
just talk of sharing the faculties of Co- “This isa letter I received from ~ to school, or whatever the child
lumbia and Barnard colleges provoked Marites, the little girl Isponsor needs most.
anxiety at the distinguished sister school through Christian Children’s Fund. “You needn't send any money
across the street. Each letter I receive makes me very right away. Just send the coupon.
Under the skillful presidency of Wil- proud and happy. Christian Children’s Fund will send
liam J. McGill, the future of the na- “Here is a little girl who has you a child’s picture and background
tion’s Sth oldest degree-granting school suffered a lifetime of hunger and information. And tell you the child’s
(founded in 1754) has lately seemed verty. Yet the spirit of her letters age, how the child lives, and how your
brighter: the budget
1s always filled with joy and hope. 50¢ a day can help
is balanced, the cam-
pus is peaceful, and
“Somewhere there make a world of
renovations of facil- is a child oe owes moe

fami Cpaseticer ies wives


ities are under way. waiting to ee al gor? rw poorcl ’s life.
Now the trustees
are determined that
the healing process wonderful be ae > today. Find out
continue into the feling of Seer te Se OT how youcan
1980s. Last week, af- owing you oe wnite to the c
ter screening 700 are i J ovpear Taek cece : we and tecrivevery
candidates, Colum- “You wi ww ane OS «special letters
bia chose a favorite
son ideally equipped
findyour child, one SS NOEat inretum
e way | foun é ; wa, mewhere
for the task: Michael Marites, by be: Sumer eneiyoh Sets a childs
1. Sovern, 48, provost coming a sponsor Yow 9 7 Sad du BY | waiting to
and former dean of Columbia’s School through Christian Y,g8 8 er Ng cane (hear from
of Law, who will become the university's Children’s Fund.
17th president when McGill retires
S75 ‘< Sobre” ‘ go” you.”
“And the cost is “ee SoathegCae Santos
on July 1.
A gifted lawyer and labor mediator, so little. For just $15
Sovern made his mark on Morningside a month, you can help
Heights in 1968 when he used reason to a child like Marites od
calm a divided faculty and helped estab- have et
lish a democratic campus senate. He has meals, decent clothing, Ms
shown similar peacemaking skills in help- a chance to go a '®

ing to settle New York City’s strikes; for


14 years he has also served as consultant
to TIME’s Law section. Born in The For the love of ah
Dr. Verent J. Mills
child —~
Bronx, Sovern attended the Bronx High CHRISTIAN CHILDREN’S FUND, Inc., Box 26511, Richmond, Va. 23261
School of Science, took both his B.A. and NTIM13
I wish to sponsor a O boy DO girl. 0 Choose any child who needs help
law degrees at Columbia as a scholarship
student and at 28 became the youngest Please send my information package today.
0 I want to learn more about the child assigned to me. If I accept the child, I'll send
full professor in the school’s history. He my first sponsorship payment of $15 within 10 days. Or I'll return the photograph
and his wife Joan, a sculptor, live in Man- and other material so you can ask someone else to help.
hattan; they have six children by previ- OI prefer to send my first payment now, and I enclose my first monthly payment of $15
ous marriages. O I cannot sponsor a child now but would like to contribute $
Urbane, open-minded and endowed Name
with a joshing good humor, Sovern calls
himself a subscriber to the “broad ap- Address =
proach to liberal arts study,” and hopes City 2 State Zip
to build on it. Does that mean imposing Member of American Council of Voluntary Agencies for Foreign Service, Inc
some new credo or curriculum on the uni- Gifts are tax deductible. Canadians: Write 1407 Yonge St., Toronto, Ontario M4T 1Y8
Statement of income and expenses available on request
versity? “Wise presidents do not impose,”
he says, in a lesson on mediation. “They
encourage.” a
ew
Pree
ee
eee
ee
eee
Chnistian Childreris Fund, Inc. eee
ll
TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980 6 ro)
Press
The fiurry of lawsuits comes at a time
when the Enquirer is trying to recapture
Hollywood Goes to War lost gusto. The paper abandoned its no-
torious I-Ate-My-Baby emphasis on gore
The stars are coming out to sue the National Enquirer and shock years ago, mainly to become
=
salable at food stores and other family
y Ee among the usual news of mir- 4
= shopping haunts (the Enquirer boasts that
>
acle diets and life after death in the it is now in every U.S. supermarket). Af-
Oct. 18, 1977, National Enquirer was hd
s ter CBS’s 60 Minutes ran a scorching story
2
an intriguing report from the world of im
= in 1976 questioning Enquirer reporting
show business: “Ed McMahon abruptly methods, the paper set up an elaborate re-
knocked over his chair and bumped into search and fact-checking staff, now num-
tables at a Rome restaurant as he made bering 22, at its Lantana, Fla., headquar-
a mad scramble for the door. Ready Ed- ters. Among its rules: gossip items require
die wanted to introduce himselfto a stun- two independent sources, and all inter-
ning 6-foot 2-inch black model, Ajita Wil- views must be recorded on tape so quotes
son, who was about to leave.” can be verified.
The only trouble, McMahon later in-
sisted, was that he had not been in Rome ™ a eanwhile, the competition was com-
in four years. He demanded a retraction Owner-Publisher Generoso Pope Jr. ing on strong: the Star, a tabloid
but instead got sizzled again in a sub- Putting back the old pizazz. launched in 1974 by Australian Publisher
sequent issue: “Big Ed McMahon is look- Rupert Murdoch, came up with a smart
ing younger following a restful vacation vers and Paul Lynde sued late last year, new design, four-color printing and a
in Europe—the Tonight Show announcer and Carol Burnett, Shirley Jones and $6 million advertising blitz. The Star's
secretly treated himself to a facial snip- Rory Calhoun have libel actions pend- circulation rose from 1 million to 3 mil-
and-tuck on the trip.” Completely false, ing. For years Hollywood pressagents lion while the Enquirer dropped from a
McMahon complained. After that salvo, have played footsie with the Enquirer; peak of 5.9 million in 1978 to 5 million.
he filed a $2.5 million libel suit against some even stooped to passing along dirt Enquirer Owner and Publisher Generoso
the tabloid. Says he: “The suit is really about stars. Their aim: favorable public- Pope Jr. belatedly introduced color print-
a statement: Enough is enough. How ity for their own clients. Marty Ingels, ing last year and reportedly got the word
many more lies are they going to print Jones’ husband and co-plaintiff, was a fre- out to staffers to put the old pizazz back
about [entertainers]? Somebody has got quent Enquirer source. But now Ingels into their stories. Recalls a former re-
to be responsible.” seems eager to foment an uprising against porter: “He reminded the editors about
Other show-biz personalities are this tawdry symbiosis: “I want to attract the importance of being accurate, but
reaching the same conclusion. Phil Sil- other victims out ofthe closet.” everyone knew he couldn't stand the re-
search department.”
The result is a breathless blend of
thrills (“Murder by Cancer—A Bizarre
Plot That Killed 2 and Doomed 3 Oth-
Hitting a Magazine Trifecta ers”), chills (“CHiPs Star Erik Estrada: I
Left My Body After My Motorcycle
tyes naldlng Dsctdbeersc eget halle wg rbliceiatgpmeer arty Crash”) and practical, if occasionally far-
like three Palm Beach socialites turning up in the same Pucci. In their Jan- fetched, advice (“Secret of Lifelong Youth
uary issues, the Smithsonian, Scientific American and National Geographic all ap- Discovered, Claims Scientist”). Most ce-
peared with cover photos showing a volcano erupting on Jupiter’s moon Io. lebrities get good-guy treatment—young
Though having look-alike covers is an editor’s nightmare that all too frequently actors on the rise and show-biz legends
comes true, the science magazines’ trifecta was an interplanetary long shot. The like Bob Hope are particular favorites
picture is a computer composite of images radioed to earth by Voyager | last —but the paper is always on the lookout
March. The three monthlies (total circ. 12,750,000) all sent their covers to press for a sharp edge. Burnett, whose lawsuit
many weeks ago, and the editors say they are not in a lava over the coin- is scheduled to go to trial next month, dis-
cidence. Says the Smithsonian's Don Moser: “It just confirms our good judg- putes an article that had her arguing loud-
ment.” Confirmation does not end at home: China’s Ziran Zazhi (Nature) mag- ly with Henry Kissinger in a Washington
azine also ran the same cover—on its December issue. restaurant, then giggling when she
knocked a glass of wine over another din-
er. Says her attorney, Barry Langsberg:
Snuthsonian SCIENTIFIC “She was in the restaurant and so was Kis-
AMERICAN NATIONAL singer, and they were introduced by a mu-
tual friend. But somebody just made up
GEOGRAPHIC the rest of the story.”
Reporters at the Enquirer are gener-
ously paid: some start at $35,000, and the
paper’s 5,000 part-time correspondents
receive up to $500 for a cover tip and
$1,000 for a cover photo. In return,
they are expected to bring in stories
that other journalists cannot or will
not touch. Says Sue Reilly, a PEOPLE
Fomna
ryS80 magazine reporter in Los Angeles who
worked four months at the Enquirer:
“When I told them I wouldn't stake out
Ali MacGraw’s kid’s school for a story,

70 TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980


an editor told me, ‘We bought you, so
shut up.’ ”
The pressure to produce has led some
Enquirer staffers to misrepresent them-
selves or their publication to gain access
to people or places. One reporter tried to
pass herself off as a tourist with a broken-
down car when she went to see Warren sorpee olbeled be'pursued bySh ein opeaere
Beatty in late 1978, hoping to find out if Omadine cecil re rete fig-
he planned to marry Diane Keaton. (He bearers: riascd mecbisht) Phabinary atonal Gecueiy weiss tint
was not fooled and refused to answer her eee tnettetict. Mats Gata Ceteea oars tithe Weeoe Fee
questions.) More invidious are the pay- damaged Brzezinski in passing, but it damaged the Post even more.
offs that have long been a part of gossip The Post is one of the nation’s best papers, though nowadays it often seems ex-
journalism. Typically, a bartender or cessively bent on topping its Watergate success, That may explain the Brzezinski
maitre d’ will be paid $25 to $50 for a lapse. It didn’t help when Executive Editor Ben Bradlee (who is married to
story tip, and a publicity agent or some- Quinn) had to run a box saying it wasn’t true that Brzezinski had unzipped his fly
one else in the know will get a couple of in front of a female reporter. Quinn had written this on the basis of a vague rec-
hundred dollars for confirmation. Says ollection, without bothering to recheck. The Charlotte Observer was outraged:
Paul Corkery, a former Enquirer report- “Such errors raise questions about the newspaper’s motives as
er and now an editor at the Los Angeles well as its competence.” The Post felt obliged to runa letter from
Herald Examiner: “One thing I liked is nine former members of Brzezinski’s staff disputing Quinn’s as-
that it is the last refuge of scoundrels. You sertion that he had singularly failed to “inspire loyalty or affec-
do anything to get the story.” tion or admiration in some group, no matter how small.”
The Enquirer's checkers attempt to be began and ended her series by saying that Brzezinski
especially careful about medical and tech- would consent to be interviewed only if she would move in with
nical subjects, but even in these areas him while his wife was away for a few weeks. Brzezinski is gen-
there is a temptation not to research a erally regarded as a happily married square with an unfortunate
choice tale to death. Last month the paper taste forjocular banter ofthe kind that Henry Kissinger, the “se-
reported: “A young woman was apparent- cret swinger,” used to affect, as if being considered sexy im-
ly made pregnant by a flying bullet proved on the dour image of being brainy. But reporters always
—which tore off the testicle of a Civil War have the advantage: their account of any conversation is what
soldier and then passed through her abdo- gets printed. Quinn’s friends probably put it down as jocular
men!” Many celebrity stories are also dif- banter when she herself was quoted as having “had to promise Sally Quinn
ficult to verify. Admits Chief of Research my body over and over to the higher-ups” to get an interview
Ruth Annan: “Gossip is gossip.” Critics with the Shah’s wife. But in a book she wrote called We're Going to Make Youa
argue that at the Enquirer, getting sources Star, Quinn says that her well-publicized failure to make itas an
is just a matter of finding some informant
to say what the paper wants to hear. “It’s
worth a lawsuit just to find out who the in- zine wasmaking 5 eis Ogee ee eee
sider is,” says Lynde, who is suing the frankly. The first time he said it I was really shocked. I laughed nervously and
paper for reporting last fall that excessive tiie sochange themihiect, Shispeceies Cee eee eee
drinking had caused him to collapse and Brzezinski got burned by refusing to be interviewed. More intriguing
is why
that he was forced off the television show public fiperes conasat tpSeesseae i ee ee eee e
Hollywood Squares (Lynde says he quit to
pursue other options).

he Enquirer maintains that it has not


lost a major lawsuit in the three years
since the research department was set up.
“We can’t afford to touch an iffy story,”
says Dick Allison, assistant to the pres-
ident. “If it doesn’t pass the lawyers,
we don’t run it.” Adds an Enquirer free-
lancer: “Ninety percent of our stories are
true. They may be defamatory, but they're
accurate.”
Win or lose, the entertainers suing the
Enquirer say they want to make the pa- Oriana Fallaci lah Khomeini may have agreed to see her because she
per less sensational and thus less destruc- had been so rough on the Shah (“Let’s get back to you,
tive. Back in the 1950s, lawsuits by Actor Majesty. So intransigent, so harsh, maybe even ruthless, behind that sad face”).
Robert Mitchum and Heiress Doris Duke Fallaci wore a floor-length black chador to interview the Ayatullah, then, getting
helped force Confidential magazine to angry, dramatically announced, “I’m going to take off this stupid medieval rag
stop printing its unsupportable exposés; saith now.” Shoetek Libsa’y dicsatne, Colotiel Gasset tbattieeb-actig coe.
circulation plunged from 4.1 million to duct a “kind of trial” of him to find out “why you are so little liked in the world.”
300,000, and the scandal sheet folded. A She says of herself: “I make scenes, I yell and scream.” As the Anna Magnani of
similar collapse by the Enquirer is highly interviewers, she gets memorable quotes.
improbable, but the celebrities feel it is But what gives her the right, and the audacity, to assault the powerful? She in-
time to make a stand. Says Calhoun, who terviews “with a thousand feelings of rage,” she writes, hoping to understand
charges that the paper erred last Septem- “in what way, by being in power or opposing it, those people determine our des-
ber in reporting that he had cancer: “It’s tiny.” She is convinced they are “not really better than ourselves; they are nei-
such a tacky little rag the wonder of it is ther more intelligent nor stronger nor more enlightened.”
that anyone takes it seriously. [But] it ap- Leaders now safely dead, like Napoleon or Frederick the Great or George
pears you can fool enough of the people Washington, never had to cope with such aphenomenon, which may be one rea-
enough of the time to destroy careers, lives son why contemporary political leaders often seem so small.
and reputations.” a
TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980 71
Cinema
Some Things Decent Try
Just Feel CHAPTER TWO
Directed by Robert Moore
Screenplay by Neil Simon
Right oO ne of the clichés that can be set aside
is Scott Fitzgerald’s notion that
American lives lack second acts. We have
become a nation of second-acters (or
should it be actors?). Everyone seems to
be scurrying about trying to re-create him-
self at least once before his final scene.
Neil Simon’s screen adaptation of his
Broadway success Chapter Two takes this
touching phenomenon seriously. Simon's
central characters, a newly widowed writ-
er (James Caan) and a newly divorced ac-
tress (Marsha Mason), snap zingers at
each other during a wary meeting, a
breathless courtship and a marriage that
almost fails before it gets started, con- Mason as divorcee in Chapter Two
forming to the theatrical convention Verbal twitches in a blurred comedy.
Simon has created for himself. But they
have the good grace to be self-conscious In short, there is an old-fashioned
about their verbal twitchiness. They un- man beneath the smart patter of Simon's
derstand there are more important mat- dialogue. Moore has given his work a flat,
ters at stake here. As a result, the movie is old-fashioned production. And although
rather blurred—an owlish comedy, as it Mason and Caan are agreeable people,
were. Yet, if Simon still does not quite they (and Moore) seem not quite up to the
trust himself to express his feelings large emotions the film’s dark second half
fully, Chapter Two remains thought requires them to express. Everything is a
provoking. little too gingerly. In the end, the film
Simon’s most interesting theme is the must be judged as muted, likable, not all it
accelerated pace of emotional lives today. might have been, but a nice—and terribly
These seem not to move to natural decent—try. — Richard Schickel
rhythms but at the speeds of the media,
where the compulsion for at least one new
sensation a week hinders the sensible sort- Cat Catcher
ing out of the significant from the trivial.
Simon’s lovers understand that they can- TK
not stay the rush oftheir feelings: lives are Directed by Carl Reiner
so crowded, things pile up so rapidly that Screenplay by Steve Martin,
there is a compulsion to lurch after possi- Carl Gottlieb and Michael Elias
bilities that might otherwise be explored
more thoughtfully. man who invents a completely new
Caan’s character particularly needs perversion at this stage in humanity's
more time to digest the loss of his wife. His march to glory must be held in deepest re-
guilty anger and depression impose terri- spect. Comedian Steve Martin managed
ble requirements of patience on his new the trick in his second record album, A
love after she has committed herselfto the Wild and Crazy Guy. He had heard about
Slender, balanced, more cheerful persona he originally these absolutely disgusting exhibitions
distinctive —Cross showed her. Simon, of course, is writing that were being held in Mexico, he said.
Writing Instruments autobiographically here; Marsha Mason, Cat juggling. “They take the little kitties
now Mrs. Simon, is playing at least a ver- ...” It is funny, because it calls to mind a
complement your style.
sion of herself in this film. This speaks bizarre vision of serious cats slashing at a
In lustrous chrome,
well of everyone’s bravery; Mason’s demented Mexican juggler, while an audi-
gold filled, sterling silver ence of gringo tourists giggles obscenely.
speech accepting the notion that she is
and solic gold— The cruelty that would be involved in ac-
worthy of love and encouraging her new
from $8.00 to $350.00." husband to embrace a similar self-accep- tually juggling cats is not offensive, partly
tance is truly moving. because Martin mutes it by hysterically
The flexibility of the screen allows Si- expressing his own disgust.

CROSS
mon to integrate more smoothly than he There’s a cat-juggling scene in The
did onstage a broadly comic subplot in Jerk, the first movie in which Martin has
which Joe Bologna, playing a brother, and starred, and although it is a direct cine-
Valerie Harper, as a best friend, fail to matic translation of the record album
SINCE 1846 have an extramarital affair. Simon does sketch, it does not work very well. The kit-
not think much of those; commitments are tens used by the juggler (a gent listed in the
the basis for the order he believes to be a credits as Pig Eye Jackson) seem pretty
“Suggested prices personal and social necessity. confused, and they don’t do much ex-
TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980
Chevrolet Monte Carlo for 1980.
Even standing still
it knows how to move you.

To help keep your new


Monte Carlo looking qood
look into the double-pane!
construction of its doors
hood and deck lid
Fenders inside fenders
provide extro protection
agains! corrosion.

If that impressive new front-end “Allin a Monte Carlo with these


styling flowing into the unmistakable impressive 1980 EPA estimates.
mark of Monte Carlo’s sculptured
fenderline moves you, read on t
| mies
CHEVROLET EPA2 HIGH.
,
For as commanding as the 1980 |MONTECARLO fst Ear
Monte Carlois to the eye, its true beauty
comes when you turn the key Standard 3.8 Liter
V6
You'll be moved by what you see. —
And by what you don't. } Available 3.8 Liter
Prepare to feel special behind the | V6 Turbo
Sapece oes
wheel
Dials and gages with international REMEMBER: Compare the “estimated
markings cluster in front of you. A rich MPG" to the “estimated MPG" of other
new look of vinyl wood-grain sweeps cars. You may get different mileage
across the instrument panel. integrating depending on how fast you drive,
with elegant new interiors for 1980 weather conditions, and trip length
As you drive, a highly tuned sport Actual highway mileage will probably be
suspension imparts a solid fee! of the less than the estimated highway fuel
road economy. Monte Carlo is equipped with
Up front, a standard 3.8 Liter GM.-built engines produced by various
V6 engine moves you with a smooth divisions. See your dealer for details
rush of power, a sensation you can Its Chevrolet price
amplify in 1980 with a new available will move you, too.
turbocharged V6 If by now you think there’s never
been a Monte Carlo quite like our
1980, you're quite right
ZOUTSHL A refined new Monte Carlo. With
New available 3.8 Liter automatic transmission, power front
turbocharged V6 with up to disc brakes and power steering.
47% extra power on demand All standard. All at a Chevrolet
for passing or merging
price
Remove the available See your Chew dealer about
glass roof panels and
nvite the sun into
buying or leasing Monte Carlo today.
Monte Carlo’s rich And be moved
new intenor
And finally, it's much more Cinema
economical and convenient to buy.
But naturally, there are many other cept twist a little in the air. Martin ex
presses his ambivalent disgust, but since
features that make the Canon P10-D he helped write the screenplay, and since
the best-selling portable printer real kittens, no doubt much confused
display in America. must have been used to film the sequence
It has an easy-to-read 10-digit the moviegoer feels somewhat ambivalent
display in bright, fluorescent blue himself. If the scene is not actually sick
it is at least somewhat indisposed
A live memory for storing or accu
mulating inputs and calculated results he Jerk will not drive away any Steve
An item counter to help you keep Martin fans, but neither is it likely to
track of entries. convert many unbelievers. Its humor is
A convenient add-mode with successful and unsuccessful by turns, and
Canon P10-D is the world's first floating decimal. although Comedian Carl Reiner is the di-
A percentage key, automatic rector, the instinct here is to give most of
portable printer/ display to use stan-
both credit and blame to Martin. The ba
dard paper tape. constant and more. sic idea is clever: Martin is cast as the lov
This offers several advantages Complete with rechargeable NiCd ing, beloved adopted son of a family of
over printing calculators that use batteries, it is so portable, and so black sharecroppers. He is dumb as cow-
thermal or coated paper. compact, you use it anywhere— flop and hopeless at foot shufflin’ and fin-
One advantage is that plain paper office, home, or work situation. ger snappin’, but he tries hard. When he
is ready to go out into the big world and
tape is easier to write on. Canon P10-D.
his black mother (Mabel King) tells him
Another is that the printout is The established leader in portable that he was adopted, he is horrified: “You
clearly more legible. printer/display calculators in America. mean I’m gonna stay this color?
On his way to fame and fortune he
has goofy romantic collisions with a cou-
ple of formidable and very amusing la
dies, a mean, mean carnival motorcyclist
(Catlin Adams), who beats him up, and
a virtuous cosmetologist (Bernadette Pe
ters), who plays cornet solos to express
her love. He makes and loses a great
pile of money, and eventually is rescued
from drunken bumdom by his black par-
ents, who are now rich from the money
he has been sending home. The rube
role works fairly well when Martin re-
members to play a harmless nitwit of
the Jerry Lewis variety. But that really
is not his kind of humor. During most
of this film he is way out of character
(so is his rough language). He does not
impersonate a rube or a lovable nitwit
his twitchy, leering mug is that of a
loony who may be dangerously mad, a
secret aficionado of cat juggling whose
gift is for making audiences laugh un
easily. That is to say that he is, ap-
proximately, a white Richard Pryor, and
how about casting the two of them to-
gether in a remake of The Prince and
the Pauper? John Skow

Where quality is the constant factor.

ELECTRONIC CALCULATORS Martin emoting in The Jerk


Pe If not sick, somewhat indisposed

TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980


it comes with its own paper storage
Bedrock Taboo chamber, so the paper is fully
protected when traveling.
STAY AS YOU ARE But don't let its compact size
Directed by Alberto Lattuada deceive you.
Screenplay by Alberto Lattuada It offers you all the features you
and Enrico Oldoini
need.
It gives you answers on plain
omantic fictions depend on difficulty
Something has to keep the lovers paper tape, with printout that is clear
apart for a while to build suspense and and legible.
the audience’s sympath efore they can “© An easy-to-read 10-digit display in
get together. And, of course, there has to bright, fluorescent blue.
goo a.
be something to sunder them at the end ooo ae: A live memory for storing or accu-
But nowadays all the old reliable prob ooo @:
lems—differences of years, background ao @Q@: mulating inputs and calculated results.
and religion, for example—are carelessly And comes complete with re-
surmounted all the time by lovers. So the chargeable NiCd batteries so you can
search for something to deter, for a few If you've been looking for a conve- use it inside a plane, train, wherever
reels, a middle-aged, middle-class Mar- nient printing calculator to take with you do business.
cello Mastroianni from turning his one- you on business trips, this is it. Canon PalmPrinter.
night stand with Nastassia Kinski, a
spunky student, intoa full-scale affair has
Canon PalmPrinter. Another fine addition in Canon's
led the creators of this film to bedrock The first plain paper printing quality line of calculators
taboo: the possibility of incest calculator in a size this small. To help you along on your road to
Mastroianni has no sooner bedded the A printing calculator so portable, SUCCESS.
girl than he learns there is achance that
she might be his daughter, the issue of
one of his youthful liaisons. The mother
is long dead, and the truth is never de-
finitively determined, but the scandalous
possibility is not to be taken too literally
anyway; it serves mainly as something for
a naturally cautious, rather distracted
male to employ as justification for his hes
itations. Even without it the man evident-
ly would come to resist the impulsiveness
and vitality of his young lover. When she
finally leaves him, it is not the taboo that
drives them apart, but her romantic in-
sistence on ending the affair at its peak
before quarrelsomeness sets in
Despite its predictability, this rela
tionship has a certain charm, thanks
largely to the acting of the principals
Mastroianni is one of the few actors who
can play weakness and retain an audi
ence’s sympathy, mostly because of his
ability to make sweet-tempered comedic
comments on male vulnerability. Kinski
is simply ravishing, genuinely sexy and
high-spirited without being painfully ag-
gressive about it. The result is asurprising-
ly pleasant diversion ~ RS.

Where quality is the constant factor

alae i = <
Kinski and Mastroianni in Stay As You Are
ELECTRONIC CALCULATORS
If predictable, charming
justria ve. f t
TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980 €
rmM Mor au “| get great, satisfying taste
witn More. And More is 120mm
_- = 55 long, so the taste lasts longer
That's why | get an extra measure
of satisfaction
& “More also has the style that ‘
could only come from a long,
slim, brown cigarette. I’m much A
‘ . more satisfied with More.”
More. For that extra
(si measure of satisfaction.
4|ee

Warning: The Surgeon General Has Determined


That Cigarette Smoking Is Dangerous to Your Health
21 mg. “tar”, 1.8 mg. nicotine av. per cigarette by FTC method
Architecture a

center, patrons come into a great glass


tent, held up by concrete and steel gird-
ers. The effect is both dramatic and ex-
hilarating. The sense of excitement is
heightened as visitors walk up to a sec-
ond level, which curves around the Stage
and offers—smog permitting—views of
the Rocky Mountains. The feeling is like
that on the promenade of an ocean liner,
and in warm weather doors will be opened
to an outdoor balcony. The architects,
who designed the Ford Foundation build-
ing in Manhattan and the new wing of
Deere & Co. headquarters in Moline, IIL,
have always been masters of glass-en-
closed interiors. The Bonfils site has
shown them equally adept at providing
dramatic vistas to the world outside.
Dimly lit, tunnel-like passageways
provide a transition between the bright
public areas and the theaters and their
mysteries. The only real weakness in the
Se Bonfils design is that it bears no relation-
The giass-walled Bonfils Theater Complex, with the Boettcher Concert Hallatleft ship at all to its two-year-old neighbor,
the brick-walled Boettcher Concert Hall,
designed by Hardy Holzman Pfeiffer As-
A New Theater in the Rockies sociates for the Denver Symphony. Both
buildings are admirable but in disquiet-
The future meets the present in Denver ingly different ways. It is unfortunate that
the same architect was not assigned to
46% he Dawning of the Denver Decade the director can use the room any way both. The disunity may be less noticeable,
in American Theater,” proclaim he wants, his only restraints being the however, when the 76-ft.-high glass Galle-
the promotional brochures. “What other limitations of his own imagination. ria, which now leads to both entrances, is
cities did in the ’60s and °70s, Denver is The entire complex is so adaptable, extended to cover the entire plaza. Shops
doing better in the ’80s!” It is home-town in fact, that the Stage and the Space can and restaurants will soon be opened along
boosterism, of course, but in this case the be combined into a giant cyclorama mere- the sides of the 60-ft.-wide Galleria, and
hyperbole is close to the truth. There is ly by raising the soundproof screen that eventually the city’s dreary downtown
an advantage to being last, and Denver's divides them. “Just because everybody may be provided with some of the street
Helen G. Bonfils Theater Complex, which else was building shoeboxes didn’t mean life it now lacks.
opened with the new year, has learned we wanted shoeboxes too,” says Donald Beautiful as it is, the theater complex
from everybody else’s mistakes. Elegantly R. Seawell, chairman of the Denver Post is only as good as those who work inside,
beautiful, it also boasts what may be the and the man behind the arts center. and in that respect Denver is particularly
most flexible and workable cluster of For audiences, the most obvious plea- lucky. Almost at once, Call has fashioned
theaters in the country. sure is Roche and Dinkeloo’s stunning de- a true repertory, capable of switching be-
The $13 million complex is an un- sign. Entering from the plaza, which the tween Moliére’s The Learned Ladies and
usually solid marriage between architect complex shares with the rest of the arts Brecht’s The Caucasian Chalk Circle in
and artist. Theater Consultant Gor- sucrierce the Stage and Orson Welles’ Moby
don Davidson, director of Los An- Dick—Rehearsed in the Space. Per-
geles’ Mark Taper Forum, worked on formances are uniformly excellent,
details for six years with Architects and the only quibble is Call’s choice
Kevin Roche and John Dinkeloo. of plays. Moliére is always Moliére.
The result of all that planning, says } But all Brecht is not good Brecht, and
Artistic Director Edward Payson , it would take more than the Denver
Call, can only be compared to a won- company to turn the overlong, te-
derful playpen for directors, who can dious Chalk Circle into an exciting |
use dramatic concepts impossible in evening. Welles’ play shows the enor- |
many other places. mous capabilities of the Space, but
The largest house, named simply that is about all. It is good theater,
the Stage, has a thrust stage, with but not good drama.
the audience on three sides. Not The people who run the Bonfils,
one of its 643 seats is more than 50 : however, are testing themselves and
ft. from center stage. Six hydraulic their audience. Center Chairman
lifts can carry actors and scenery Seawell, who was a successful Broad-
up and down; plays will be done in way producer (The Great Sebastians
repertory, so there is ample room with Lunt and Fontanne) before he
in wings and flies for sets from at moved west in the 60s, is already sat-
least two productions. Behind the isfied with Denver's response. “I
Stage’s thrust is the second theater, thought I was building for the fu-
a pentagonal house, 100 ft. in di- —_— ture,” he says. “The audiences made
ameter, which is aptly dubbed the The arts center’s soaring, 76-ft.-high Galleria me realize I was building for the
Space. All seats are movable, and Home-town boosterism and a chance for street life. present.” — Gerald Clarke

TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980 77


One of these mayors now runs a city
with safer-driving employees, lower taxes
and a brand new fire truck.
The mayor on the left saw that his city was headed communities to participate in loss control programs
for problems. A dangerously high accident rate among These programs can reduce municipal liability
drivers of city-owned vehicles and a growing exposure costs, help keep taxes in line and make communities
to lawsuits made his community especially vulnerable better, safer places in which to work and live
to liability losses. At the same time, the city needed a
new piece of fire-fighting equipment it couldn't afford
The solution was provided by cooperation between Here's what we're doing to keep municipal
city government and private enterprise. liability costs down:
The insurance company that provides coverage
= Working with communities to help develop loss control
analyzed the community's loss record and safety pro- programs designed to reduce the number of accidents
cedures. The company helped set up a new loss con-
and injuries
trol program which included a training course for drivers
# Supporting state government legislation to restore
of city-owned vehicles. The result was a substantial
balance to the legal liability system
decrease in the number of preventable accidents.
That in turn made it possible for the insurance com-
pany to reduce the city’s municipal liability insurance Here's
what you can do:
premium by $35,000-enough to purchase the new
fire truck m= Encourage your local and state governments to
We represent a major group of property and establish loss control programs
casualty insurance companies, and we encourage 2 Report hazards to the proper authorities

Affordable insurance is our business...and yours.


This message is presented by the American Insurance Association, 85 John Street, New York, N.Y. 10038.
Television |
CTW’s announcement of the show, have

Teaching the Scientific ABCs


requested 100,000 copies of a free class-
room guide. Though the show will gen-
erally be aired after school, the Friday
3-2-1 Contact /ifts offon public TV | program, which reviews the week’s ma-
| terial, will also be broadcast during morn-
How do you pet a bee? | Wilder illustrates communication by talk- ing hours for classroom use.
Very care-ful-ly. ing to a dog. The episodes end with a 3-2-1 Contact was developed at a cost
minimystery film starring three young of $11.7 million, using grants from the
hat sort of whimsical patter is a spe- detectives, known as the Bloodhound US. Office of Education and National
cialty of the Children’s Television Gang, who reason their way to the Science Foundation, as well as the Cor-
Workshop, producers of prizewinning solution ofa crime. poration for Public Broadcasting and the
Sesame Street, which uses the pizazz of CTW President Joan Ganz Cooney ex- United Technologies Corp. The sponsors
commercial TV to teach preschoolers plains that her team wants “to build an hope that the show can help close a gap
their ABCs. In a new educational TV se- appetite for science, not force feed it.” El- in science education in the early grades.
ries that begins this week on most of the ementary-school teachers, responding to Says CTW Research Director Milton
Chen: “In surveys of science achievement,
you see a pattern of declining interest in
science around junior high. We're trying
to intervene earlier to try to encourage
kids to stay tuned in to science.” Anoth-
er goal: stimulating interest in scientific
careers among minorities, who now make |
up only 4.4% of scientists and engineers,
and among women, who constitute just
9.7% of the total. Host Marc is a young
black; Trini, one of his two girl compan-
ions, occasionally speaks Spanish on the
show.

or each week of the 13-week series,


the shows stick to a general theme,
such as hot and cold, near and far, big
and little. “These are dimensions that
eight- to twelve-year-olds use themselves
in organizing their own experience,” says
Chen. For example, to demonstrate that
sound consists of vibrations, Marc and
Lisa play with a toy telephone made by
stretching a string between two tin cans.
Then the scene shifts to two cartoon char-
acters who joke about dialing wrong num-
bers. To introduce gravity, 3-2-/ Contact
Trini, Marc and Lisa use dish detergent to make lava for a mock volcano skips the traditional account of Sir Isaac |
Newton and the falling apple and shows
| 282 US. public television stations, CTW a Hollywood stunt man plummeting from
| now applies its zingy production style to a four-story building; sensibly, Marc
BLOODHOUND
a more complex and elusive subject: sci- refuses to follow him.
ence. The series of 30-min. shows, with DETECTIVE CTW surveyed 10,000 youngsters to
the space-age title 3-2-/ Contact, provides help develop the series. The surveys found
glimpses of everything from leaping liz-
AGENCY that students were quick to grasp pictures,
ards and killer whales to computers that but yawned at lengthy explanations. 3-2-/
talk and roller coasters that whip their Contact thus keeps the film rolling and di-
riders upside down. alogue fast paced. The inevitable result:
Big Bird, Ernie and other Sesame few detailed discussions of scientific the-
Street favorites are gone from CTW's new- ories or principles. National Frisbee
est undertaking, which aims at a some- Champion Krae Van Sickle, for instance,
what older and presumably savvier au- likens the spinning disc to a gyroscope,
dience, ages eight to twelve. The show's but fails to explain what a gyroscope is,
hosts are three young people, Lisa, Marc or how it works. The show rushes on to a
and Trini, who are forever leaving their glider sailing through the Colorado skies.
Tinkertoy clubhouse for short, filmed sor- It is all pleasant viewing, but does it real-
ties to labs, beaches and races—a total ly teach science? Probably not, in any sys-
of 100 trips in 65 shows. At the start of tematic sense, as CTW admits. Says Re-
each episode, Marc announces, “Science search Director Chen: “This is a show
is fun,” and then tries to prove it. Car- focused on attitudes, on encouraging pos-
toons are shown to explain how things itive feelings toward science.” Adds Joan
work, and celebrity guests occasionally | Duea, past president of the Council for El-
drop by to take part in the action: Ten- ementary Science International: “The
nis Pro Arthur Ashe, for example, hits Youthful sleuths: The Bloodhound
Gang show doesn’t replace teaching. The teach-
a serve timed by radar, and Actor Gene Arthur Ashe serves, Gene Wilder talks. erstill has a job to do.” Me

TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980 79


People
Maybe it’s the foods they way the Pope wears his tradi-
prefer—lamb, lightly cooked tional raiment, insisted the
vegetables, whole wheat bread, F.F.A.’s Charles Richman, is
raw sugar. Or perhaps, the air nothing short of “elegant.”
of artistic freedom they have
been breathing. Whatever the
causes, Ludmila and Oleg Proto- Following a legend, con-
popov, the Soviet figure skaters ceded Composer John T. Wil-
who defected last fall, are per- liams last week, “will be very
forming like teen-agers, al- difficult.” Still he seems a log-
though he is 47 and she, 44 ical choice to take the baton
The Protopopovs left home be of the late Arthur Fiedler as con-
cause they were no longer able ductor of the Boston Pops. A
to do the routines that gained month short of his 48th birth-
them two Olympic gold med- day, Williams has written
als and transformed figure more than 50 film scores, and
skating from muscular jumps won Oscars for three (Fiddler
into frozen ballet. Now they on the Roof Jaws and Star
can, on a US. tour with the Wars) The new leader will
Ice Capades, which features
the pair glissading and grin
ning all the way

Once again it was time for


a_ten-best-dressed-men list
compiled by a group of custom
tailors called the Fashion
Foundation of America. The
F.F.A. has a suspicious habit
of cutting choices to fit names
in the news; Jimmy Carter and
Anwar Sadat shared top honors,
although Co-Peacemaker Me-
nachem Begin was considered A congratulatory kiss for Ann Jillian from the man she looks up to
too rumpled. This year’s 40th
annual roll showed a unique al- Manhattan’s Reno Sweeney,
teration: title of the world’s looked down—sweetly—on
best dressed man was awarded Mickey Rooney, who had got
to Pope John Paul Il, who is her booking. Since he first spot-
into cassocks, capes and red ted Jillian two years ago, Roo-
pontifical hats and shoes, rath- ney has also wangled her a part
er than business suits and din- as a showgirl in his Broadway
ner jackets No matter. The hit Sugar Babies and a role in
the upcoming movie, Panic on
the Potomac, in which they will
both play spacepersons who
land in Washington. Jillian is
described as cight-times-wed
New Pops Conductor Williams Rooney's “official protégée
meaning she gets the jobs
meet his musicians at a Bos- because, as Mickey insists
ton rehearsal next week, then “her looks are superfluous to
conduct his first concert at her talent.”
Carnegie Hall. The parent
Boston Symphony Orchestra,
which depended on Fiedler’s
prodigious performances to On the Record
keep it in the black, hopes Larry Hagman, Texas-born star
the groom in what General of Dallas, on the city behind
Manager Thomas Morris calls the soap opera: “If we did the
“a nice marriage” will provide real Dallas, they wouldn't let
the same sort of dowry it on the air.”

Muhammad Ali, retired heavy-


It’s not easy to look up to weight champ, after his third
the man who is going to make White House visit: “If there is
you a star when you're 5 ft. 8 in a black man to be President,
—__
a and he is 5 ft. 3 in. So Singer- they might just run me. I'm get-
Dancer Ann Jillian, 29, opening ting used to this place.”
Figure Skaters Oleg and Ludmila Protopopov in a frozen ballet a nightclub act last week at wanes SS
80 TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980
Music —
| a promotional swing, Ellen Shipley dis-

Chick Singers Need Not Apply


covered that “if you look like someone’s
| old girlfriend they won't play you.” She
says, however, that the problem has as
Four new women rockers take aim and take off much to do with archetypes as stereo-
types. “It goes much deeper than male
here is a sex problem here; a certain chauvinist attitudes,” Shipley observes.
difficulty of gender, even regarding “In music, a white woman has tradition-

LA
the slang. Standard record-biz patois for ally been set up to play a role for teen-age
new talent on the rise is “breaking out.” male fantasies.” Mas reflects simply,
A quartet of plastic inflatable Teddy bears “Record company people wanted me to

a . ae.
like the Knack, who came off the crack- do a Stevie Nicks or Blondie. You get a lot
ling short circuit of Los Angeles rock clubs of that stuff.” One reason for this is
and had a No. 1 album first time out that Stevie Nicks of Fleetwood Mac
this summer, are said to be breaking and Deborah Harry of Blondie have |
out in a big way. That message is done very well, thanks, by trading on

bp og
clear, not just because of the size of their nifty looks as well as their con-
their success but because they are all siderable skills.
guys. Say that four women, Ellen “For a woman,” Shipley says, “it’s vul-
Shipley, Carolyne Mas, Ellen Foley and nerability or strength. People want to
Pat Benatar, are breaking out with their push you one way or another.” These four
separate debut albums, and it just are not averse to a little push. All of them

Carolyne Mas: ready to step out


Fragility flirting with absolute abandon.

the barnyard. When Carolyne Mas says,


BYLS “I’m
¥DvIE—NNYTnot a chick singer,” she is not so
much handing down a manifesto as set-
ting up an aesthetic credo. Mas has no spe-
cial interest in forcing some shotgun wed-
ding of feminist politics and rock; neither
do the others. They sing songs of personal
reflection, not propaganda. But the rock
business will not let you forget how you
look.
Visiting a New York radio station on

Ellen Foley: steam-heated vocals


"
OF:
WHA

Pat Benatar: screaming


with impunity Elfen Shipley:
doing real things

sounds as if they have bad complexions. take great, if sometimes contrary, care
These four have produced, within the with their album photos (Benatar’s pic-
past few months, records that stand with ture makes her look like a black widow
the most promising work of the year from Piaf) and, in hallowed Hollywood tradi- |
any gender, male, female or convertible. tion, Shipley and Foley decline to give
Their music, despite different shadings of their ages. Still, these women give some
style, shares a boldness of spirit, a feeling indication that if they do not find a fresh
of fragility conducting a heavy flirtation new direction, they may at least open up a
with absolute abandon. It can strut tough, different route.
cry soft or laugh up a sleeve. The best of it Elien Shipley might not have written,
can go big and make the long reach look never mind recorded, Heroes of Yesterday,
easy. It is mainline, rock-bottom rock 'n’ one of the best tunes on anyone’s album
roll, and it puts a lot ofthe fellas to shame. this year, if she had not been booted out of
Or should, anyhow; but there are these her theater class at Hunter College. “You
problems . . . ought to be out of here doing real things,”
Rock is still a kind of music—and a her professor told her, so Shipley (born
life-style—in which women are frequently Shippelkopf) swapped her half-finished
called “chicks” and are, as performers or master’s for a series of the prescribed real
presences, expected to behave according- things, including marriage, playwriting
ly. You cluck prettily. You smooth your and a job as an assistant to the music crit-
feathers nicely. You don’t try to take over ic of Saturday Review. The marriage shat-

TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980 a 81


%
a

BECAUSE the older, more mature vineyards yield the finest Johannisberg Riesling grapes,
the vineyard master must invest years of careful preparation before the winemaker
can create a distinguished Johannisberg Riesling. Every step we take, we take with care because

THE WINE REMEMBERS

THE WINERY OF
ERNEST & JULIO
GALLO [i ae

Johannisberg Riesling of Calif.


Ernest & Julio Gallo, Modesto, CA
tered, the play never got produced and the
| magazine got sold. Shipley tried singing in |
a folk-rock duo in 1976, took a job as a re-
ceptionist at a rehearsal studio to keep the
apartment heated. She also kept writing, THE UNITED STATES
encouraged by a couple of musicians IN THE 1980s
around the studio like Keyboard Player
Ralph Schuckett, who helped her with
musical structure, co-produced her first |
Editedby
album and now shares a brownstone in Peter Duignan and Alvin Rabushka
Brooklyn with her. In Heroes of Yesterday, Foreword by W. Glenn Campbell
there are echoes of the mock-Wagnerian
melodramas produced by Phil Spector for Publication 228 915 pages
’60s girl groups such as the Crystals and ISBN: 0-8179-7281-1 $20.00 cloth
the Ronettes, but Shipley’s lyrics try to go
deeper, attempt to capture the ebbing ofa
lost childhood (“Born too late, born too
late ...”). With a little luck, however, “Thirty-two experts address major domestic and foreign policy ques-
Shipley may have come along just in time tions that face the United States in the 1980s. . . . The authors analyze
Pat Benatar, 27, was born, like Shipley, the central issues, describe the policy options open to the country, and
in Brooklyn, and there is a lot of New recommend specific courses of action to deal with or mitigate the
York in their voices and their wise, wily, problems confronting the United States. Their findings offer a com-
wounded attitudes. But if Shipley evokes prehensive statement for the United States to govern itself more
various girl groups, Benatar sounds like effectively and to restore faith in the United States as the leader of the
| all of them packed tight into one. She can free world.”
put a lot of sass into a song like / Need a —from the foreword by W. Glenn Campbell
Lover (“Who won't drive me crazy"). Be-
natar’s teen-age studies as a coloratura so- i
prano have taught her, she says, “a lot of re

technique and stamina—I can scream HOOVER INSTITUTION PRESS « Dept. A 7955
without hurting myself.” Stanford University « Stanford, California 94305
Ellen Foley can cut loose with the pow-
T yA}
er, too, but her training was strictly Broad- y 7 u
(When ordering please include $1.50 postage) i
way, and her big break came on the Meat =FA aa
Loaf Bat out of Hell album, where she un-
dercut Loaf’s buffalo bellows with some
full-throated purring. The most overtly
sexual of this quartet, Foley tries for what
she calls “the woman-child look,” but
turns out more like an F.W. Woolworth
vision of Lana Turner. “Rock 'n’ roll is
about rhythm and movement,” she re-
minds us, then supplies a footnote on anat-
omy: “Your sex is very close to your heart.
It’s got to be a total piece.” If the biology
is inaccurate, one listen to a steam-heat-
ed Foley vocal performance like We Be-
long to the Night makes such a consid-
eration seem irrelevant.
Carolyne Mas, 24, grew up a suburban
| New York kid but writes with a cos-
mopolitan air. She sang Gilbert and Sul-
livan with the Light Opera of Manhattan,
can even find a kind word for Cole Por-
ter among random enthusiasms that run
from the Who to the Police. In collab-
oration with Guitarist David Landau,
Mas cooked up a tune called Quote Good-
bye Quote that bids fair to become a clas-
sic evocation of the romantic kiss-off.
Mas sings it with a distinctive wit, while
Landau and the rest of her band make
sure the music stays in a state of per-
petual overdrive. Mas’ songs vary from
| reveries to roughhouse declamations
without missing a beat, and if she keeps
up this pace she may be dogging Randy
Newman’s tracks in a few years. No tell-
ing then if she will still have the time
and the disposition, as she does now, to
keep her friends trim by cutting their
hair. Clippers and scissors, but no razor;
one chair but no waiting — Jay Cocks

TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980


Theater 7

year liaison, Robert and Emma go to Ven-


Pinter-Patter AS ly
ice for a vacation, and it becomes oblique-
NYWODIMs clear that Robert knows about the
BETRAYAL affair. Perhaps he knew all along. Who
by Harold Pinter knew what, when, constitutes the sole sus-
pense factor of the evening. A confirmed
magine an instant replay—not in slow philanderer, Robert is not about to incite
motion, but in reverse That is what a showdown. But it goes rather deeper
Harold Pinter has done in depicting an than that, into the realm of male bond-
adulterous love affair. It is over in the first ing. Jerry does not really feel remorse
of nine scenes, and it begins just before about betraying his unseen wife, but he
the curtain drops. This is a clever con- feels terribly guilty about betraying his
ceit. Pinter, as we have much past reason best friend. Similarly, Robert complains
to know, cannot write a wrong line—or a that they never play squash any more, a
dull pause. The key actors, Raul Julia, symbol that they are no longer close
Blythe Danner and Roy Scheider, are Pinter probably has fewer women in
marvels of professional finesse, and Peter his dramas than any other major modern
Hall’s direction is ticktock perfect in its Blythe Danner in Betrayal playwright. When they do appear, they
precision. A chemically combustible instant are almost invariably presented as moth-
Yet the net effect is that of watching ers or whores. In his superbly crafted and
a campaign that a MacArthur or a Rom- a slightly tipsy pass at Emma (Danner), deeply felt The Homecoming, he merged
mel might have mounted with toy sol- the wife of his best friend Robert (Schei- both roles in the sibylline central figure
diers. The stakes are not high. The peo- der) at a party at Robert’s house. In one of Ruth In that sense Betrayal is a
ple are not emotionally engaging. And of those chemically combustible instants, dramatically interesting departure, for
such pin-flares of love as do appear seem their eyes hold. Their hands and hearts | Emma is not really a mother/whore char-
to have been struck from a wet match. Ob- follow. Jerry is a literary agent, Robert is acter. It is also a mettlesome test for
sessed as Pinter is by rooms, the drawing a publisher, Emma runs an art gallery, Blythe Danner, who is one ofthe most for-
room seems to make him a trifle uneasy. London sophisticates all. Jerry and Emma midably gifted younger actresses on the
Betrayal is a kind of bittersweet Noél rent and decorate a suburban flat for il- US. stage. Otherwise, Betrayal, which
Coward comedy in which the people are licit afternoons, which begin rosily but de- contains the most pauses of any Pinter
brittle, and more laconic than witty. velop nagging thorns. play, is something ofa pause itselfina por-
Chronologically, Jerry (Julia) makes About halfway through the seven- tentous playmaking career. — T.£. Kalem

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84 TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980
Free for 10 days:
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definitive Beethoven collection. They include the remaining Please send it to me—for 10 days’ free examination and enter my subscription to
symphonies, Nos. 7-9, again by von Karajan... the celebrated the Beethoven Bicentennial Collection If | decide to keep the first album, | will pay
“Moonlight” and turbulent “Apassionata’”’ piano sonatas. ..the $24 95 plus shipping and handling | then will receive future albums in the Beth
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L—
Or, as I wrote in another context. . .” Else-
Lost and Found in the Stars where, after noting that he made last-min-
ute cuts and transpositions in Tom Stop-
SHOW PEOPLE by Kenneth Tynan; Simon & Schuster; 317pages; $11.95 pard’s Jumpers, Tynan proudly quotes
2
from one opening-night review: “As gay
lo
he age of mass entertainment is but a oO
ioiS
and original a farce as we have seen for
blip on the screen of evolution; yet = years.”
in
the process of changing Homo erectus into io Tynan pays his respects to criticism
io
Homo sedentarius is well under way. We 2
=i:>
in shrewd analyses of Richardson's per-
sit; we watch; we listen. We sit, talk and formances and brief exegeses of Stop-
read about what we have seen and heard. pard’s plays. But mainly the author aims
As a drama critic and former literary di- to please both his subjects and his read-
rector of England's National Theater, ers. He is dazzled by Stoppard’s stylish
Kenneth Peacock Tynan knows what pessimism and flashy wordplay, yet wise-
keeps readers and audiences in their seats. ly blocks him from the company of Beck-
He did, after all, conceive and produce ett, Nabokov and Oscar Wilde. Deftly,
Oh! Calcutta! Tynan can be glib, self- Tynan puts his judgment of Stoppard in
serving, tricky and loosely digressionary. the book’s foreword: “A uniquely inven-
But he is never dull. At 52, the graying tive playwright who has more than once
provocateur describes himself as “a crick- been within hailing distance ofgreatness.”
et-loving radical” and misses few oppor- The piece itself is an adulatory delight, es-
tunities to tease the bourgeoisie about the pecially a scene in which Stoppard emerg-
joys ofthe flesh. es as a game-saving hero of Harold Pin-
Show People is mainly about the joys ter’s cricket team after Pinter and his
of talent and the satisfactions of pro- lover, Lady Antonia Fraser, retire to a
fessionalism. It is a collection of long pro- nearby pub to avoid a confrontation with
files, originally published in The New Pinter’s wife.
Yorker, which reflect what the author Kenneth Tynan Running into Johnny Carson can be
calls “my abiding obsession with the skills Notes of a cricket-loving radical. trouble too, especially if one is an anx-

Tom Stoppard Mel Brooks Louise Brooks Sir Ralph Richardson

that enable a man or woman to seize ious guest on his Tonight show. Tynan has
and hold the rapt attention of a mul- been there on what he calls “two vertig-
titude.” His current choices: British Actor inous occasions.” His impression: “The
Ralph Richardson; Czech-born British 6 Arms folded, he surveys Los other talk shows in which I have taken
Playwright Tom Stoppard; Johnny Car- Angeles by night—‘glitter- part were all saunas by comparison with
son, board chairman of the American ing jewel of the Southland, gossa- Carson’s. Merv Griffin is the most dis-
talk show; Comedian and Movie Pro- mer web of loveliness,’ as Abe Bur- arming ofego strokers; Mike Douglas runs
ducer Mel Brooks; and Louise Brooks rows ironically called it. A waiter him a close second in the ingratiation
(no relation), film beauty and sex sym- brings him a soft drink. ‘He looks stakes; and Dick Cavett creates the illu-
bol ofthe 1920s. like Gatsby,’ a young actress whis- sion that he is your guest, enjoying a slight-
Tynan seems to move easily and con- pers to me. On the face of it, this is ly subversive private chat. Carson, on the
fidently on both sides of the Atlantic. He nonsense. Fitzgerald’s hero suffers other hand, operates on a level of high,
should. In addition to many friends on from star-crossed love, his wealth freewheeling, centrifugal banter that is
the London stage, he has connections in has criminal origins, and he loves well above the snow line. Which is not to
New York and Los Angeles, where he to give flamboyant parties. But the say that he is hostile. Carson treats you
has lived for the past two years. He is simile is not without elements of with deference and genuine curiosity. But
one of the few journalists who actually truth. Gatsby, like Carson, is a Mid- the air is chill; you are definitely on
keep a daily journal, which he employs westerner, a self-made millionaire, probation.”
here as a film director might use jump and a habitual loner, armored Tynan smartly cracks the code of Car-
cuts. He has the panache to handle the against all attempts to invade his son's durable popularity. What you see is
first person singular, although the effect | emotional privacy. ‘He had come a what you get: a complete professional, as
can be cloying when he immodestly | long way to this blue lawn,’ Fitz- fast on the draw as any who share his spot-
quotes himself: “Above all, there was the gerald wrote of Gatsby—as far as light; a neatly dressed Midwesterner
voice [Sir Ralph Richardson's], which I Carson has come to these Bye | whose underlying rectitude is beamed to
once described as ‘something between blue pools... millions of weary nine-to-fivers as a
bland and grandiose: blandiose, perhaps.’ conspiratorial wink indicating that show

88 TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980


| people may be glamorous, but they are ing like a balloon about the house, being two teen-age children: “Instant commu-
not to be taken seriously | hectored and scolded by mysteriously nication, total openness, family life and
Tynan, the great appreciator of rare televised rabbis. She pleads her disbelief, sex ed. at school, and now everyone knows
abilities, can explain the aggressive sur- to no avail. “Foolish woman,” a rabbi re- everything in a pop-psych, literal, pea-
realism of Mel Brooks’ ethnic humor, plies, “a soul goes in and out of belief a brained way.”
but it does not quite appear to be the Brit- hundred times a day. Belief is too fragile A reader may agree wholeheartedly
on’s cup of tea. There is a hint of dis- | to weigh a minute on. You stopped run- | with such statements and still have an
tance in the title of the Brooks piece: ning after Him, looking for Him, strug- uneasy feeling. Greenberg displays little
“Frolics and Detours of a Short Little gling with Him. Even His Laws you of the sympathy she expended on the
Hebrew Man.” There is admiration for turned from!” mentally ill in J Never Promised You a
the creator of the 2,000-Year-Old Man, Although the whimsy in this story is Rose Garden (1964) and on the deaf in |
but it is undermined by the portentous nicely done, Bessie’s punishment strikes a In This Sign (1972). People in these sto-
remark that “by playing a character who censorious note that is less happily picked ries are self-maimed, and get treated ac-
was immortal, Brooks may have staked up throughout the book. Greenberg draws cordingly. The artistic regimen is as-
his principal claim to immortality as a a number of characters only so that she cetic. “Talmudic Law,” one of her
comedian.” And why, after recalling the can quarter them. A young man smuggles characters explains, “forbids the over- |
freebooting hilarity of Young Franken- cocaine from Mexico into the U.S, and decorated letter, a letter for art’s sake
stein, does Tynan resonate like a Vi- and not for the formation of legible
ennese psychiatrist? “We have seen that words.” Nothing is overdecorated here;
Brooks is driven by a fear, amounting Greenberg spends little time telling where
to hatred, of mortality; and what is Young ABUYS
her characters live or what they look
BSAVIS
Frankenstein but the story of a man like, In one story, a parent complains
who succeeds in defeating death?” about a wayward son, but it is impos-
Tynan is best when he unreservedly sible to tell whether the speaker is moth- |
gives his heart away, and Louise Brooks er or father.
is his ideal recipient. He visits the ac- What remains clearly legible through-
tress, now seventyish and living in a out is Greenberg's complaint against |
small Rochester apartment; he finds her contemporary society and what one char- |
arthritic and surrounded by volumes of acter calls the “weekend-guest view of |
literary classics. “Most beautiful-but- life.” Aunt Bessie bobbing helplessly
dumb girls think they are smart, and across her ceiling is a comic parable of
get away with it, because other people, the effects of freethinking, except that |
on the whole, aren’t much smarter,” she the author is not laughing. Her stony in-
tells him. Smitten with images of Lou- tegrity often redeems these stories from
ise’s dark, gamy sexuality in such films irritating knuckle-rapping. They engage
as Pandora’s Box and Prix de Beauté, the mind, unsettle it and survive as dis-
Tynan is now thoroughly captivated by putatious reminders of first principles and
the frail star’s reminiscences of her fast, last things. — Paul Gray
libidinous life. It is an erotic meeting of
minds. “When we were talking on the
phone,” she says, “some secret compart- Best Sellers
ment inside me burst, and I was sud-
FICTION
denly overpowered by the feeling of love
1. Jailbird, Vonnegut (3 last
—a sensation I'd never experienced with
week)
any other man. Are you a variation of
2. Smiley's People, Le Carré (2)
Jack the Ripper, who finally brings me
3. Memories of Another Day,
love that I'm prevented from accepting
Robbins (1)
—not by the knife but by old age?” She
4. Triple, Follett (4)
also tells Tynan that, in her rich expe-
5. The Establishment, Fast (5)
rience, Englishmen made the best lov-
6. The Executioner’s Song,
ers. What more could a star-struck boy
Mailer (9)
of 52 ask for? — R.Z. Sheppard
7. The Last Enchantment,
Joanne Greenberg
Stewart 6)

Stony Parables “Too fragile to weigh a minute on.”

meets up with a malakh, a Jewish angel


8. Sophie's Choice, Styron (7)
9. Top ofthe Hill, Shaw (8)
HIGH CRIMES AND MISDEMEANORS 10. Portraits, Freeman (10)
who subjects him to humiliating lectures:
by Joanne Greenberg “Whenever the Lord has been convinced NONFICTION
Holt, Rinehart & Winston; 194 pages; to widen His mercy or extend His pa- The Brethren, Woodward &
$9.95 tience it has been at the behest of a fool. Armstrong (1)
You are such a fool.” Aunt Erma’s Cope Book,
jn this collection of ten short stories, Jo- In other tales, a couple trying to sub- Bombeck (2)
anne Greenberg seems eager to make merge their heritage in a Wasp suburb White House Years,
things go bump in the daytime. Take the are threatened by an old yenta; if they Kissinger (3)
case of Aunt Bessie, a nice Jewish wom- do not give money to her charities, she James Herriot’s Yorkshire,
an who one day stops believing in God. will expose them to the smothering tol- Herriot (4)
Watched by a cautiously admiring niece, erance and curiosity of the Christian com- Cruel Shoes, Martin (5)
Bessie goes on to renounce faith in banks, munity. “On Passover,” she warns, “you Serpentine, Thompson (6)
germs and electricity, although her un- will be the Jew on the fellowship com- The Right Stuff,
plugged television set somehow still car- mittee; you will explain in the schools, Wolfe 9)
ries whatever programs she wants to you will explain in the churches, you a= On a
s3nw
oo
we
nN Clear Day You Can See
watch. Only when Bessie decides that all will bare your souls in the Cultural Ex- General Motors, Wright
natural laws, including gravity, are myths change Fellowship of the Women’s Aux- © How to Prosper During the |
does she receive her alarmingly literal iliaries ..."" And a mother meditates caus- Coming Bad Years, Ruff (8) |
comeuppance. Her niece finds her float- tically on the thought processes of her 10. . The Americans, Cooke

TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980 89


oe Holland
ok his betteridea to the top.
Now we save money...and energy, too.

Joe Holland
vho works at
Bethlehem's Boston
Ship Repair Yard
vas awarded a
v car for
his better idea
a method for
ising otherwise
lost heat in
powerhouse boilers

Joe’s better idea— turned three years, we expect to save your own better idea for fight-
in as asuggestion in Bethlehem’s more than $15 million solely ing inflation to someone who
1978 “Take It To The Top” from suggestions generated can do something about it.
program—now helps us do a by that campaign. And we That someone may be
better job at our ship repair expect equally as good results President Carter...your boss...
yard in Boston, Mass. from our 1980 program. your governor...your represent-
By offering valuable People in government atives in Congress...?????
awards, “Take It To The Top” can work smarter, too. Your idea, like Joe
encourages employees like Joe When you get right down Holland’s, can make a differ-
to tell us how we can work to it, deficit spending by govern- ence. But only if you share it.
smarter, cut costs, and improve ment is the chief cause of
productivity. And increasing
productivity is one way to
fight inflation.
inflation. We need to take better
ideas to the top in government,
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One way you can help is to take
————Time Essay

Why Forecasters Flubbed the ’70s


he decade just ended left behind a great many fresh re- derstand why the predictions about the 1970s so often came
minders of why prophets have always had difficulty win- to nought.
ning honor on their own turf. The forecasting about the 1970s How would life in the U.S. be if a mere sampling of the
turned out to be a pathetic flop. Virulent inflation and an ep- 1969 prognostications had been accurate? The economy would
ochal energy crisis are only two of the most ominous realities be stable, steadily growing, with perhaps a bit ofinflation. A su-
that eluded the visions of virtually every forecaster. Moreover, perboom in housing would have occurred: a second home would
the failure was marked by far more than the understandable in- be as ordinary as a second car. Vertical takeoff planes would be
ability to foresee a// the astonishments to come; many, perhaps much in use. A safe fast-breeder reactor would be perfected.
most, of the positive projections also turned out to be dismally Space-shuttle flights would be regularly scheduled. Anticancer
wrong. To mention only one, the twinkle-toed, bell-bottomed, vaccine would be available at the neighborhood clinic. Ugly
bead-draped, mind-blown, laid-back Consciousness III that transmission lines would all be underground. People would be
Charles Reich saw aborning in The Greening of America (1970) shopping by two-way cable television. Teaching machines would
proved to be a huge bag of promises, or threats, or wind, that be widely used. Office work would be mostly automated. An elec-
never quite got delivered. tronic control lane for trucks and buses would make passenger
The 1970s diverged socially, politically and psychologically cars safer on the highways.
from the paths and contours that the futurists imagined. Ac- Let us also consider some of the less sanguine projections. |
tuality put the lie to most prophecies long The disaffected young would have been
before anybody in the U.S. had even heard rebelliously out front browbeating the Es-
of the Ayatullah Khomeini or imagined tablishment in waves ofdissent that would
the trouble he would bring. Well before have continued to expand after the 1960s.
Iran, it was evident that forecasters, in- Widespread religious fervor would have
cluding the most respected, had flubbed found a channel in a holy crusade against
by failing to foresee the fateful sagging in technology. Assassinations would have
U.S. productivity, the influx of women been frequent. Unrest would have swept
into the work force (hence increased dual through high schools. A grain glut might
income), the decline in the birth rate, and have triggered an agricultural depression.
the wrenching financial crisis in such cit- A breakdown of the cities would have pro-
ies as New York, Cleveland and Chica- duced chaos beyond anything ever seen
go. The 1970s, in other words, flatly dis- before. Some urban areas would have
regarded most of the advance billings. banned the use of gasoline-powered au-
Gross differences between history and tomobiles. Do-it-yourself facelifis would
human anticipation of it are as old as the have been on the market.
practice of prophecy. Most respectable Admittedly, the end of the 1960s
forecasters are already painfully aware of brought forth a few sound intimations
the shortcomings of their art, and little is about the years that were to follow. The
to be gained by rubbing their noses in forecasters generally sensed that the
the disparities. (For one thing, it might world would get by without general war,
distract them from the job of forecasting that the U.S. and Soviet Union would
the 1980s.) Still, a certain amount of care- manage greater mutual restraint. A num-
fully aimed derision is justified in a world ber of observers guessed that American
increasingly buffeted by overblown future society would move into a hard-to-define
schlock. Most ofall, it is useful to try to un- period of reflection, a time for “sorting
TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980 illustrations for TIME by Kimble Mead 91
out,” as Columnist Joseph Kraft called fluences of optimism and pessimism as
it. Economists, in any thorough analysis, ¢ everyone else. Even the most detached
were not flatly wrong in projecting con- analyst, in the words of Edward Cor-
tinued prosperity; there has been that in nish, founder of the World Future So-
spite of the discombobulations of reces- ciety in Washington, “comes to a choice
sion and soaring prices. But the cumu- of a pessimistic or an optimistic scenar-
lative forecasts of politicians, sociologists, io.” Meanwhile, real events blurt forth ut-
philosophers, scientists and journal- terly indifferent to optimism, pessimism
ists, including some of those that and statistical probability.
found their way into this magazine, Second, the typical forecaster is tri-
fell dismally short of even hinting at umphantly rationalist. This may be an
the actual shape and tone of the so- admirable trait, and yet such a mind
ciety that took form in the *70s. Such tends, against all the lessons of history,
was the record that Education Professor to exaggerate the importance of rational-
Ronald L. Hunt, who designed the na- ity as an influence in human behavior.
tion’s first graduate program in futurism The rationalist mentality is often too eas-
at California’s San Jose State University, ily enchanted by the sweet orderliness of
says that the 1980s ought to open the “age charts, graphs and logical analysis. Says
of humility” for forecasting. Economic Planner Rosemary Scanlon of
New York: “The danger comes when you
hy did so many guess so wrong believe that these computer print-outs are
about so much? There are a vari- facts instead of just future possibility.”
ety of answers, but disappointingly few il- There is also danger in forgetting that the
luminating ones from the forecasters. Pro- world and people often go berserk for no
fessional analysts, enamored of their com- good reason at all.
puters and software and print-outs, tend Third, the forecaster, like every hu-
to mutter and mumble about technical imperfections in their man, is thwarted not only by the future’s dark density but by a
still young methodology. Many admit that they erred by simply tendency to misread the present. In 1969, for instance, analysts
extrapolating from the trends that seemed evident as the "60s and social observers generally mistook the transient connip-
decade ended. Translation: they predicted that the present would tions and rebelliousness of the 1960s for an enduring mood.
persist into the future. Says Boris Pushkarev, vice president of Later they found, in the words of Irving Rein, professor of pop-
New York’s Regional Plan Association: “It’s easy to continue ular culture at Northwestern University, that “the revolution
trend lines. It's hard to predict changes in trends.” Translation: just stopped and one day you opened your eyes and it was like
it is hard to know what is going to happen. The *70s were es- 1956 all over again on college campuses.” Economic prophets
pecially hard, according to Peter Schwartz, head of S.R.I. (for- similarly misconstrued ephemeral quirks of the economic ap-
merly Stanford Research Institute) International Futures Group, paratus as fundamental trends.
because they featured so many “low probability events.” Trans- The simple alternative to such lapses in any decade or
lation: forecasters, just like ordinary people, are finding out that time is to look coolly at the present and remember history’s
life is full of surprises. most striking lesson: this too shall pass. It is not an easy les-
There are bound to be more satisfying and fundamental ex- son to keep in mind, particularly when the future, even next
planations for the recurring shortcomings of forecasting and week’s, will ever remain essentially opaque. It must be, as so
prophecy. In fact, there are three distinct reasons, among which many have said, that the seeds of tomorrow are buried in
the interplay is intimate and intricate. today. But they lie much too deep, and germinate much too
First, the forecasters, with no known exceptions, remain subtly, for ordinary eyes—or even computers—to detect all of
human beings; as such, they are subject to the same capricious in- their potential fruits. — Frank Trippett

Milestones
MARRIED. Jessica Savitch, 31, anchorwom- DIED. John W. Mauchly, 72, co-inventor of DIED. Oscar R. Ewing, 90, head of the Fed-
an on NBC-TV’s weekend Nightly News; the first all-electronic computer; during eral Security Agency for five years before
and Mel Korn, 50, head ofa Philadelphia heart surgery; in Abington, Pa. The Ohio- its 1953 reconstitution as the Department
ad agency; she for the first time, he for born physicist was teaching at the Uni- of Health, Education and Welfare; in
the second; in Manhattan. versity of Pennsylvania in 1943 when he Chapel Hill, N.C. Ewing, a Wall Street
and Graduate Student J. Presper Eckert lawyer, led Harry Truman’s bid to win
DIED. Celia Sanchez, 57, the zealous Com- Jr. began building an electronic machine nomination as Franklin Roosevelt's run-
munist who fought alongside Fidel Castro to replace mechanical devices. The EN- ning mate in 1944 and engineered his 1948
in the Sierra Maestra during the Cuban IAC (for Electronic Numerical Integrator presidential campaign. At the F.S.A., he
Revolution and later became his nearly and Calculator), a 30-ton leviathan com- sharply expanded the Social Security sys-
constant companion and Cuba’s most pleted in 1946, was 1,000 times speedier tem. Critics accused Ewing of helping to
powerful woman; of what the state-run ra- than any other computer. After selling build a welfare state, but he insisted
dio called a “painful illness”; in Havana. their company to the Sperry Rand Corp., that federally provided basic services
the two devised smaller and even quick- were “the best possible defense against
DIED. Simone Mathieu, 71, French tennis er machines, among them the celebrated socialism.”
star and Resistance heroine; after a long UNIVAC, developed in 1950. But Sperry
illness; in Paris. In the 1930s, Mathieu lost its early lead in computers to IBM, MURDER REVEALED. Joy Adamson, 69, nat-
won three women’s doubles titles at Wim- and ENIAC’s creators, having signed away uralist and author of Born Free and other
bledon. Sentenced to death by the Vichy their patents early, never achieved great books, previously reported to have been
government for helping to organize the wealth. Said Mauchly: “That is life.” slain by a lion at her camp in central Ken-
Free French movement in London, she ya. Police announced last week that she
led Charles de Gaulle’s Compagnie de DIED. George Meany, 85, U.S. labor's lead- had not been mauled but stabbed to death;
Voluntaires Frangaises, known as the er for a quarter-century; in Washington, three former employees of hers are being
“French WACs.” D.C. (see NATION). held in the case.

92 TIME, JANUARY 21, 1980


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