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Financial Model - Brick Klin Project - 25!11!2015
Financial Model - Brick Klin Project - 25!11!2015
Input Sheet
General Assumptions
Economic Assumption
Bangladesh Inflation Rate 6.20% pa
Tax Assumptions
Income Tax 37.50% pa
Tax Holiday 0 years
Source of Financing
Particulars Percentage
Total Project Cost 100%
Debt 70%
Equity 30%
Debt Schedule
Loan Tenor 7 years
Grace Period 1 year
Interest Rate 9.00% p.a.
Payment Frequency Quarterly
Plant Particulars
No. of shifts per day 3
Hours per shift 8
Operating hours per day 24 hours
Operating days in a year 300 days
Operation hours in a year 7200 days
Daily production capacity of bricks 120,000 bricks
Yearly production capacity of bricks 36,000,000 bricks
Revenue Assumptions
Estimated Capacity Utilization Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
Capacity Utilization 60% 65% 70% 75% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%
(% of yearly prodcution capacity)
(a) Clay
Utilization Price(BDT/Cft)
Own source 80% 8.00
Price from external source 20% 10.00
(b) Coal
Kiln Staff
Kiln Foreman 1 8,000 96,000 16,000 112,000
Fire Man 6 5,000 60,000 10,000 420,000
Skilled Worker 15 7,000 84,000 14,000 1,470,000
Un-skilled Worker 15 5,000 60,000 10,000 1,050,000
Total 54 121,000 1,452,000 242,000 5,824,000
Electricity consumption
Plant section Operating hour KW
Drying and Burning Unit 16 400
Full capacity 8 900
Weighted electricity consumption/ Hour 24 567
(a) Salaries
Dividend
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
Dividend rate 0% 0% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20%
ABC Auto Bricks Manufacturing Industries Ltd.
Revenue
Estimated Capacity Utilization Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
Capacity Utilization 60% 65% 70% 75% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%
(% of yearly prodcution capacity)
Spoilage rate (% of production) 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
Volume Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
Estimated yearly production 21,600,000 23,400,000 25,200,000 27,000,000 28,800,000 28,800,000 28,800,000 28,800,000 28,800,000 28,800,000
Spoilage 648,000 702,000 756,000 810,000 864,000 864,000 864,000 864,000 864,000 864,000
Saleable volume of Bricks 20,952,000 22,698,000 24,444,000 26,190,000 27,936,000 27,936,000 27,936,000 27,936,000 27,936,000 27,936,000
Revenue Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
Sales price of Bricks (BDT/pcs) 9.00 9.56 10.15 10.78 11.45 12.16 12.91 13.71 14.56 15.47
Sales price of spoilage (BDT/pcs) 5.00 5.31 5.64 5.99 6.36 6.75 7.17 7.62 8.09 8.59
Revenue from sale of Bricks (BDT) 188,568,000 216,947,484 248,121,169 282,326,444 319,819,396 339,648,198 360,706,387 383,070,183 406,820,534 432,043,407
Revenue from sale of Spoilage (BDT) 3,240,000 3,727,620 4,263,250 4,850,970 5,495,179 5,835,880 6,197,704 6,581,962 6,990,044 7,423,426
Total Revenue (BDT) 191,808,000 220,675,104 252,384,419 287,177,414 325,314,574 345,484,078 366,904,091 389,652,144 413,810,577 439,466,833
ABC Auto Bricks Manufacturing Industries Ltd.
Cost of Goods Sold
1. Clay Cost
2. Coal Cost
3. Electricity Expense
28,800,000 28,800,000
13.59 14.43
0.10 0.10
1.36 1.44
39,144,244 41,571,187
22.65 24.06
0.12 0.12
2.72 2.89
78,288,488 83,142,374
117,432,731 124,713,561
3,400,000 3,400,000
11.7 12.4
39,610,247 42,066,082
680,000 680,000
33.0 35.1
22,445,806 23,837,446
62,056,053 65,903,528
9,423,614 10,007,878
1,132,646 1,202,870
809,033 859,193
809,033 859,193
3,343,100 3,343,100
15,517,426 16,272,234
Year 9 Year 10
117,432,731 124,713,561
62,056,053 65,903,528
15,517,426 16,272,234
195,006,210 206,889,323
ABC Auto Bricks Manufacturing Industries Ltd.
Operation and Maintenance
Vehicles 60,000,000
Contingency 3,310,000
Equity 108,955,031
Debt 254,228,405
2,542,284
ABC Auto Bricks Manufacturing Industries Ltd.
Depreciation & Amortization
19,631,000
196,310,000
Year 10
-
-
-
-
-
-
ABC Auto Bricks Manufacturing Industries Ltd.
Working Capital
Tie up days Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
Current Assets
Accounts Receivable 15 9,590,400 11,033,755 12,619,221
Work in Process 7 1,270,080 1,461,227 1,671,194
Finished good stock 15 5,182,555 5,734,371 6,335,334
Clay 60 3,628,800 4,174,934 4,774,840
Coal 60 7,257,600 8,349,869 9,549,681
Fuel & Others 30 1,387,200 1,473,206 1,564,545
Total current assets 28,316,635 32,227,363 36,514,815
Current Liabilities
Account payable 30 5,443,200 6,262,402 7,162,261
Total current liabilities 5,443,200 6,262,402 7,162,261
1. Term Loan
Loan Amount 254,228,405 BDT
Tenor 7 years
Grace Period 1 year
Interest Rate 9% p.a.
Payment Frequency Quarterly
Number of installments 24
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Opening Balance 97,806,800 168,011,900 254,228,405 254,228,405
Interest 2,200,653 3,780,268 5,720,139 5,720,139
Principal Repayment - - - -
Debt Service 2,200,653 3,780,268 5,720,139 5,720,139
Closing Balance 97,806,800 168,011,900 254,228,405 254,228,405
254,228,405
21,450,522
42,371,401
211,857,004
42,371,401
169,485,603
8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Q12 Q13 Q14 Q15 Q16 Q17 Q18
180,078,453 169,485,603 158,892,753 148,299,903 137,707,052 127,114,202 116,521,352
4,051,765 3,813,426 3,575,087 3,336,748 3,098,409 2,860,070 2,621,730
10,592,850 10,592,850 10,592,850 10,592,850 10,592,850 10,592,850 10,592,850
14,644,615 14,406,276 14,167,937 13,929,598 13,691,259 13,452,920 13,214,581
169,485,603 158,892,753 148,299,903 137,707,052 127,114,202 116,521,352 105,928,502
211,857,004 169,485,603
17,637,096 13,823,669
42,371,401 42,371,401
169,485,603 127,114,202
42,371,401 42,371,401
127,114,202 84,742,802
15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Q19 Q20 Q21 Q22 Q23 Q24 Q25 Q26
105,928,502 95,335,652 84,742,802 74,149,951 63,557,101 52,964,251 42,371,401 31,778,551
2,383,391 2,145,052 1,906,713 1,668,374 1,430,035 1,191,696 953,357 715,017
10,592,850 10,592,850 10,592,850 10,592,850 10,592,850 10,592,850 10,592,850 10,592,850
12,976,241 12,737,902 12,499,563 12,261,224 12,022,885 11,784,546 11,546,207 11,307,868
95,335,652 84,742,802 74,149,951 63,557,101 52,964,251 42,371,401 31,778,551 21,185,700
127,114,202 84,742,802
10,010,243 6,196,817
42,371,401 42,371,401
84,742,802 42,371,401
42,371,401 42,371,401
42,371,401 -
23 24
Q27 Q28
21,185,700 10,592,850
476,678 238,339
10,592,850 10,592,850
11,069,528 10,831,189
10,592,850 -
42,371,401
2,383,391
42,371,401
-
-
-
ABC Auto Bricks Manufacturing Industries Ltd.
Profit and Loss Account
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
Revenue 47,952,000 220,675,104 252,384,419 287,177,414 325,314,574 345,484,078 366,904,091 389,652,144 413,810,577 439,466,833
Cost of Production
Cost of Raw Materials 13,608,000 62,624,016 71,622,605 81,496,293 92,319,001 98,042,779 104,121,431 110,576,960 117,432,731 124,713,561
Electricity Expense 9,588,000 40,729,824 43,255,073 45,936,888 48,784,975 51,809,643 55,021,841 58,433,195 62,056,053 65,903,528
Manufacturing Overhead 2,716,775 11,333,588 11,828,998 12,355,124 12,913,869 13,507,257 14,137,435 14,806,684 15,517,426 16,272,234
Total Cost of Sales 25,912,775 114,687,428 126,706,677 139,788,305 154,017,845 163,359,679 173,280,707 183,816,839 195,006,210 206,889,323
Gross Profit 22,039,225 105,987,676 125,677,742 147,389,109 171,296,729 182,124,399 193,623,384 205,835,306 218,804,367 232,577,510
Operations Expenses
Salary & Allowances 2,040,500 8,668,044 9,254,004 9,879,574 10,547,434 11,260,440 12,021,646 12,834,309 13,701,908 14,628,158
General & Admin Expenses 837,500 3,557,700 3,778,277 4,012,531 4,261,307 4,525,509 4,806,090 5,104,068 5,420,520 5,756,592
Total Operating Expenses 2,878,000 12,225,744 13,032,281 13,892,105 14,808,741 15,785,949 16,827,736 17,938,377 19,122,428 20,384,750
Operating Profit 19,161,225 93,761,932 112,645,461 133,497,004 156,487,988 166,338,450 176,795,648 187,896,929 199,681,939 212,192,760
Earnings before income tax (23,890,974) 52,247,597 74,470,289 98,616,070 124,852,619 138,195,780 152,125,793 165,248,736 176,649,589 188,752,436
Income Tax - - - - -
Net Profit after Income Tax (23,890,974) 52,247,597 74,470,289 98,616,070 124,852,619 138,195,780 152,125,793 165,248,736 176,649,589 188,752,436
Dividend payment - - 27,462,331 42,356,388 56,587,136 73,086,382 89,408,111 105,215,993 120,384,118 134,670,837
Previous years retained earning - (23,890,974) 28,356,623 75,364,581 131,624,262 199,889,744 264,999,142 327,716,824 387,749,567 444,015,037
Retained earning carried forward (23,890,974) 28,356,623 75,364,581 131,624,262 199,889,744 264,999,142 327,716,824 387,749,567 444,015,037 498,096,637
ABC Auto Bricks Manufacturing Industries Ltd.
Projected Cash Flow Statement
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
A) Cash flow from operating activities
Sales 47,952,000 220,675,104 252,384,419 287,177,414 325,314,574 345,484,078 366,904,091 389,652,144 413,810,577 439,466,833
Change in Accounts Receivable -9,590,400 -1,443,355 -1,585,466 -1,739,650 -1,906,858 -1,008,475 -1,071,001 -1,137,403 -1,207,922 -1,282,813
Cash Collected from Sales 38,361,600 219,231,749 250,798,953 285,437,764 323,407,716 344,475,603 365,833,090 388,514,742 412,602,656 438,184,020
Cost of Sales -25,912,775 -114,687,428 -126,706,677 -139,788,305 -154,017,845 -163,359,679 -173,280,707 -183,816,839 -195,006,210 -206,889,323
Change in Inventories / Raw materials -18,726,235 -2,467,373 -2,701,986 -2,956,207 -3,231,564 -1,854,805 -1,969,803 -2,091,931 -2,221,630 -2,359,372
Change in Accounts Payable 5,443,200 819,202 899,859 987,369 1,082,271 572,378 607,865 645,553 685,577 728,083
Short Term Borrowing 0 3,091,527 3,387,593 3,708,488 4,056,152 2,290,902 2,432,938 2,583,781 2,743,975 2,914,101
Cash Paid to Suppliers -39,195,810 -113,244,073 -125,121,211 -138,048,655 -152,110,987 -162,351,204 -172,209,706 -182,679,436 -193,798,289 -205,606,511
Cash Flow from Trading -834,210 105,987,676 125,677,742 147,389,109 171,296,729 182,124,399 193,623,384 205,835,306 218,804,367 232,577,510
Selling & Admin Expenses -2,878,000 -12,225,744 -13,032,281 -13,892,105 -14,808,741 -15,785,949 -16,827,736 -17,938,377 -19,122,428 -20,384,750
Net Cash from Operations (3,712,210) 93,761,932 112,645,461 133,497,004 156,487,988 166,338,450 176,795,648 187,896,929 199,681,939 212,192,760
D)Net increase/decrease in cash and cash equivalents 1,740,026 29,507,196 51,729,888 48,413,338 59,755,829 58,868,243 56,299,010 95,471,625 91,064,596 87,999,318
E)Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year - 1,740,026 31,247,222 82,977,110 131,390,448 191,146,278 250,014,521 306,313,530 401,785,155 492,849,751
F)Cash and cash equivalents at end of the year 1,740,026 31,247,222 82,977,110 131,390,448 191,146,278 250,014,521 306,313,530 401,785,155 492,849,751 580,849,069
ABC Auto Bricks Manufacturing Industries Ltd.
Projected Balance Sheet
Particulars Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
Current Assets:
Cash 1,740,026 31,247,222 82,977,110 131,390,448 191,146,278 250,014,521 306,313,530 401,785,155 492,849,751 580,849,069
Accounts Receivable 9,590,400 11,033,755 12,619,221 14,358,871 16,265,729 17,274,204 18,345,205 19,482,607 20,690,529 21,973,342
Inventory/raw materials 18,726,235 21,193,608 23,895,594 26,851,801 30,083,365 31,938,170 33,907,973 35,999,904 38,221,535 40,580,906
Debt Service Reserve Account
Total Current Asset 30,056,661 63,474,585 119,491,925 172,601,120 237,495,372 299,226,895 358,566,708 457,267,666 551,761,814 643,403,317
Fixed Asset:
Property, Plant and Equipment 334,310,000 334,310,000 334,310,000 334,310,000 334,310,000 334,310,000 334,310,000 334,310,000 334,310,000 334,310,000
Less: Accumulated Depreciation and amortization 19,631,000 39,262,000 58,893,000 78,524,000 98,155,000 117,786,000 137,417,000 157,048,000 176,679,000 196,310,000
Net Fixed Assets 314,679,000 295,048,000 275,417,000 255,786,000 236,155,000 216,524,000 196,893,000 177,262,000 157,631,000 138,000,000
Total Assets 344,735,661 358,522,585 394,908,925 428,387,120 473,650,372 515,750,895 555,459,708 634,529,666 709,392,814 781,403,317
Current Liabilities:
Short Term Borrowing 0 3,091,527 6,479,120 10,187,607 14,243,759 16,534,661 18,967,600 21,551,380 24,295,355 27,209,457
Current portion of Long Term Loan 42,371,401 42,371,401 42,371,401 42,371,401 42,371,401 42,371,401 - - - -
Accounts Payable 5,443,200 6,262,402 7,162,261 8,149,629 9,231,900 9,804,278 10,412,143 11,057,696 11,743,273 12,471,356
Total Current liabilities 47,814,601 51,725,329 56,012,781 60,708,637 65,847,060 68,710,340 29,379,743 32,609,076 36,038,628 39,680,813
Total Liabilities 259,671,605 221,210,932 183,126,983 145,451,439 108,218,461 68,710,340 29,379,743 32,609,076 36,038,628 39,680,813
Paid-up capital 108,955,031 108,955,031 108,955,031 108,955,031 108,955,031 108,955,031 108,955,031 108,955,031 108,955,031 108,955,031
Dividend proposed - - 27,462,331 42,356,388 56,587,136 73,086,382 89,408,111 105,215,993 120,384,118 134,670,837
Retained Earnings (23,890,974) 28,356,623 75,364,581 131,624,262 199,889,744 264,999,142 327,716,824 387,749,567 444,015,037 498,096,637
Total Capital Employed 85,064,057 137,311,653 211,781,942 282,935,681 365,431,911 447,040,555 526,079,965 601,920,590 673,354,186 741,722,504
Total Liabilites & Stockholders Equity 344,735,661 358,522,585 394,908,925 428,387,120 473,650,372 515,750,895 555,459,708 634,529,666 709,392,814 781,403,317
- - - - - - 0 0 0 0
ABC Auto Bricks Manufacturing Industries Ltd.
Sensitivity Analysis
Raw material cost increases by 0%
Electricity cost increases by 0%
Load shedding increases by 0%
Salary, wages and admin. Expenses increases by 0%
Sales decreases by 0%
Brick Price decreases by 0%
Return on Equity
3.50
3.00
2.50
DSCR
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
3.00
2.50
DSCR
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
1 2 3 4
Year of Operation
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8
1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
DSCR
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
1
Year of Operation
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
DSCR
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
1
Year of Operation
Year 9 Year 10
199,681,939 212,192,760
176,649,589 188,752,436
673,354,186 741,722,504
26% 25%