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Goal Systems Theory Psychological Processes and Applications Arie W Kruglanski Full Chapter
Goal Systems Theory Psychological Processes and Applications Arie W Kruglanski Full Chapter
“This book is a celebration of over 20 years of theoretical and empirical work studying
Goal Systems Theory. It is well worth celebrating. The initial ambitious vision for this
theory was to revise the study of motivation, and, impressively, it has done just that.
It is extremely rare for a theory to have the breadth and depth displayed here. We
used to call such theories ‘Grand’, and the research and ideas discussed in this book
are grand indeed. And inspiring. This is a milestone that is must reading for anyone
interested in motivation science.”
—E. Tory Higgins, Professor of Psychology, Columbia University,
Author of Beyond Pleasure and Pain: How Motivation Works
“Do you have more than one goal? Then this book is for you! Like the stars in the sky,
goals wax and wane, harmonize, conflict, or live next to each other. Diving into this
volume summarizing the unique research on goal systems, will give you access to a
new universe of discovery and surprise, of guidance and practical advice. A uniquely
fruitful collaboration of world-leading scientists over the past two decades will lead
you through their research journey into the sky of goal systems.”
—Gabriele Oettingen, Professor of Psychology, New York University,
Author of Rethinking Positive Thinking: Inside the New Science of Motivation
“Pursuing goals is one of the most universal and basic human activities. In this ex-
ceptional book, leading experts summarize their contributions to Goal Systems
Theory, grappling with diverse and fascinating aspects of how people think about,
select, desire, manage, and achieve (or fail to achieve) their goals. This book covers
the latest and most creative work in the field. It is an indispensable resource for an-
yone interested in human goal pursuit—which is to say, anyone interested in human
motivation.”
—Roy F. Baumeister, Professor of Psychology University of Queensland
“Goal Systems Theory has been an especially generative model of motivation for the
field of psychology in general and for me in particular. Commemorating two decades
of research, this volume stands as testament to this theory’s breadth of influence as
well as a harbinger of advances to come. Required reading for anyone who wants to
know why and how people pursue the goals they do.”
—Angela Duckworth, Professor of Psychology,
University of Pennsylvania, Author of Grit
“Goal Systems Theory is a marvelous compilation of essays that will help readers better
understand, navigate, and achieve their multiple goals. Whether you’re a scholar of
motivation interested in the latest research or a curious novice ready to learn about
goal systems from the world’s experts, this book is for you.”
—Katy Milkman, Professor of Business at the Wharton School of the
University of Pennsylvania and author of How to Change
“Goal Systems Theory is the most important advance in decades in our under-
standing of human motivation. It revolutionizes classic ideas such as intrinsic and ex-
trinsic motivation, how people juggle multiple goals, and the relation between means
and goal outcomes. This volume presents novel directions and the latest research on
goal systems, explaining political extremism, risk taking, flow, problem solving, and
identity. It is simply a must-read for all social and behavioral scientists as well as an-
yone interested in why people do what they do. I can’t overstate the significance of
this book.”
—Wendy Wood, Professor of Psychology and Business,
University of Southern California, Author of Good Habits,
Bad Habits: The Science of Making Positive Changes that Stick
DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780197687468.001.0001
Contributors vii
Index 307
Contributors
L. Maxim Laurijssen
University of Groningen
Introduction
The Principles of Goal Systems Theory
Ayelet Fishbach, Catalina Kopetz, and Arie W. Kruglanski
In the fall of 2021, between two waves of the COVID pandemic and univer-
sity closures, a group of people who study goal systems theory (GST) met at the
University of Chicago to discuss ongoing research and exchange ideas on where
to go next with the research.
The story of this group started more than 20 years before the Chicago
meeting. In the fall of 2000, Arie met Ayelet at the University of Maryland in
College Park. He was an established professor and a world expert on research
on motivation and cognition. She was a postdoc who wrote her dissertation on
self-control. In their first meeting, Arie expressed his vision that their group
would revise the study of motivation. Ayelet thought it would be nice if they
published a paper.
They started working on what they initially referred to as “goal networks.”
In just a few months, the group, which included Arie, Ayelet, James Shah, Ron
Friedman, Woo Young Chun, and David Sleeth-Keppler, published a paper titled
“A Theory of Goal Systems.” It came out in 2002, and for many of us, it marked
the beginning of long and productive research programs that supported, ex-
panded, and applied the original GST (Kruglanski et al., 2002).
The following year, a new graduate student arrived at the lab. Arie handed
Cata the GST paper and invited her to work on multifinality (a concept that, as
an international student, she could barely pronounce). Cata found the group’s
enthusiasm about the new theory contagious, and she soon became a true be-
liever in GST and an enthusiastic researcher of multifinality.
Our team was intrigued by what we found, curious about what we have yet to
find, and generally busy uncovering the relationships between goals and means
and the implications of these structures for motivation.
None of us could have predicted the breadth of discoveries that GST would
inspire in the 20 years that followed. We were clueless about the relevance of our
work and the number of questions that were inspired by it and that would still
Ayelet Fishbach, Catalina Kopetz, and Arie W. Kruglanski, Introduction In: Goal Systems Theory. Edited by:
Arie W. Kruglanski, Ayelet Fishbach, and Catalina Kopetz, Oxford University Press. © Oxford University Press 2023.
DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780197687468.003.0001
2 Goal Systems Theory
occupy the field of motivation more than 20 years later. This book is a celebration
of the work in motivation science that was and is inspired by GST.
GST
A theory offers a set of general principles that explain some empirical observations
or phenomena. At times, the phenomenon begs an explanation. Humans asked
about the origins of diseases thousands of years before Louis Pasteur offered an
answer articulated in his work on germ theory. Other times, the theory informs
us what phenomena might exist and what to watch for. Because we have heard of
cognitive dissonance theory (Festinger, 1957), we expect people who supported
a political candidate to feel more (and not less) committed when this elected
politician’s performance fails to meet the general expectations of a person who
holds a public office.
GST was originated to explain why people pursue the goals they pursue
the way they pursue them. Why, for example, does one person find personal
meaning in planting a garden while their neighbor travels the world for that
same purpose? And why do some choose political extremism while others do
not even bother to vote in a democratic election? Beyond goal selection, what
guides people’s choice of means, that is, the activities or objects they choose to
facilitate their goals? Why, for example, do some health-conscious individuals
eliminate junk food from their diet while others sign up for the gym?
When there are multiple goals, research on GST asked when do people pri-
oritize one goal over others, and when do they seek a compromise between
goals? When there are different means to achieve a goal, GST research asked how
people prioritize these means. When will pursuing one means substitute for an-
other? For example, when will healthy eating substitute for exercising? In con-
trast, when will means complement each other such that pursuing one makes
pursuing another means more likely? To address these questions, GST offers sev-
eral principles and goal configurations.
They might even choose a means that undermines other goals. People some-
times choose a risky activity (e.g., substance abuse) to promote their social status
because, rather than despite, the fact that it undermines their physical health
(Kopetz et al., 2019). People behave as if they do not always prefer the means that
maximize goal attainment.
The reason for these observed anomalies is the second principle of GST: The
number of goals that a given means serves and the number of means that are
connected to a given goal are negatively related to the strength of a given means–
goals link. For example, if biking serves both commuting and exercising, it
will be less strongly connected and, hence, appear less instrumental for either
commuting or exercising. By the principle of maximizing attainment, a person
may spend hours on the exercise bike at the gym and yet commute to work by car.
Even more so, most gym-goers choose to park their car closer to the entrance to
minimize the walk.
This second principle implies that the configuration of a goal system—
the number of means that serve a goal and the number of goals served by a
means—will determine activity selection. Specifically, GST offers four basic goal
configurations.
Equifinality
Equifinal means all serve the same goal and can therefore substitute for each
other. This structure is best captured in the idiom “all roads lead to Rome.”
Equifinal means often seem redundant. Why would a traveler need more than
one way to get to Rome? Yet, equifinal means form a backup plan. When people
are presented with several equifinal means to a goal, they feel more confident
that they can reach the goal. Hence, the mere presence of these means increases
the goal commitment.
On the downside, the presence of equifinal means dilutes the cognitive as-
sociation between the activity and the goal it serves, resulting in less transfer of
properties such as commitment and positive experience from achieving the goal
to pursuing the means (Fishbach et al., 2004). Ultimately, when several activities
serve the same goal, we should expect lower intrinsic motivation to engage in
any of these activities (Kruglanski et al., 2018).
Multifinality
Multifinal means achieve more than one goal. This is best captured in the (less
famous, more animal-friendly) idiom “feeding two birds with one scone.”
Multifinal means maximize attainment, and therefore they should be superior.
4 Goal Systems Theory
In principle, getting more for the same unit of effort should always be the domi-
nant choice. Even if a person does not care for the additional benefits (e.g., they
only wanted to feed one bird), they should not oppose it either.
Take the example of kosher food. If a person learns that some food is kosher,
they should either see it as a benefit (i.e., if they observe the Jewish tradition) or
not; but this information should not undermine their interest in that food. And
yet it does. In a classic demonstration (Simonson et al., 1993), presenting infor-
mation on the status of an ice cream as kosher reduced consumers’ interest in it.
They concluded that it was less flavorful.
Indeed, people often prefer means that achieve fewer goals. The children in
Lepper et al.’s (1973) studies on overjustification were less interested in expressing
themselves through drawing after they learned that drawing is not only a means
for self-expression but can also win them a reward. And children as young as
3 years inferred that food that was said to make them strong cannot be delicious,
so they had little of it (Maimaran & Fishbach, 2014).
Unifinality
Unifinal means achieve only one goal. If only a single road led to Rome, it would
have been unifinal. Unifinal means are less efficient but offer one advantage—
they are strongly associated with the single goal that they help achieve. As a
result, people are often highly intrinsically motivated to pursue their unifinal
means. In this way, the disadvantage of equifinal means is the advantage of
unifinal means.
Counterfinality
Counterfinal means achieve some goals while undermining others. For ex-
ample, a homemade lunch may be healthier than dining out, but it undermines a
person’s goal to socialize with colleagues over lunch at a restaurant. Counterfinal
means are often non-optimal. Instead of maximizing, they minimize attainment.
They are the opposite of multifinal means.
Yet counterfinal means may seem more instrumental for the goal that they
facilitate exactly because they inhibit another goal. When a Canadian pharma-
ceutical company advertised its cough syrup as “it tastes awful and it works,” the
message was that because this cough medicine undermined the taste goal, it was
more instrumental for the goal of getting rid of the cough. Indeed, people often
prefer counterfinal means, and those who have high need for cognitive closure
are even more likely to display this preference (Kramer et al., 2012).
Introduction 5
The principles and configurations of goal systems helped us explain many of the
anomalies we observed in activity selection. Moreover, they inspired us to make
new predictions for phenomena we did not know existed. One of the earlier
examples comes from research on self-control. We predicted that temptations
might be cognitively associated with the goals that override them. For example,
to watch their weight, people should abstain from high-calorie foods. So, we
predicted and found that dieters associate “chocolate” and “cake” with “dieting”
(Fishbach et al., 2003). It was Arie and Ayelet’s first empirical publication,
coauthored with Ron Friedman.
In another paper, Cata, Ayelet, and Arie found that people who watched their
weight chose healthier foods mainly when no other goals (e.g., food enjoyment,
alleviating hunger) were salient and important. However, when alternative goals
become relatively more salient and important (e.g., people were hungry), the
weight-watching goal lost its pull so that people ate less healthy food (Köpetz
et al., 2011).
The chapters in this book describe research that the principles and
configurations of GST inspired. These chapters illustrate how having a theoret-
ical framework helped to predict phenomena we did not know existed as well as
explain what we often observed but were not sure why.
The essays included in this book cover part of the recent research in GST. They
connect research in motivation to the basic topics of psychological research, in-
cluding identity, persuasion, problem-solving, and political extremism, among
others. They further advance motivation theory by addressing topics such as in-
trinsic motivation, resource allocation, and means choice.
In Chapter 1, Kruglanski explores several new directions in goal systems re-
search, including identifying that political (and other) extremism stems from
motivational imbalance, a state in which a given need dominates other basic
concerns, and that intrinsic motivation stems from a psychological fusion be-
tween a goal and a means. Importantly, Kruglanski argues that one basic need—
the need for social significance—underlies many of the goals that people pursue
(from finding romance to political extremism).
In Chapter 2, Kopetz and Starnes explore risk behavior. They argue that risk-
taking is not irrational; neither does it represent self-regulatory failure. Instead,
risk behavior is a means to a goal. For example, the appeal of substance abuse
for adolescents (prior to addiction) comes from the perception that certain
6 Goal Systems Theory
substances signal high social status and belonging to the group. By their analysis,
risk behavior often results in focusing on one goal and the inhibition of alterna-
tive considerations for health or safety.
In Chapter 3, Woolley and Fishbach return to intrinsic motivation and ex-
plore the means-ends fusion model of intrinsic motivation. According to this
model, intrinsic motivation results from the strong association between an ac-
tivity (means) and its end goal; it occurs when the means and the ends collide.
They explore the antecedents of means–ends fusion and its consequences for ad-
herence to work, health, and academic goals.
In a related line of research, Melnikoff, Carlson, and Stillman explore flow in
Chapter 4. This chapter provides a goal systems analysis of psychological flow.
Building on the notion of means–end fusion, the authors offer an informa-
tion theory of flow, according to which learning tasks that induce the strongest
goal–means association are more effective at generating flow and, consequently,
learning.
Goals are not static, and neither is the process of pursuing them. In Chapter 5,
Huang explores the temporal dynamics of goal pursuit. Her temporally dynamic
goal pursuit model explains how various factors (e.g., the number of equifinal
means) influence motivation at the beginning versus middle versus toward the
end of a goal. Motivation is a function of expectancy and value, yet expectancy
matters more at the beginning of goal pursuit, while value matters more once
expectancy has been established. It follows, for example, that having multiple
means matters more at the beginning of goal pursuit, when people are less con-
fident they can do it, than later, when their confidence and commitment are
established.
In Chapter 6, Shaddy explores resource allocation in goal systems. He argues
against the common perception that people invest resources only in means to a
goal. Instead, he documents instances where people can invest both indirectly
in the means and directly in the goal and that people prefer to invest in goals. He
then explores how the architecture of goal systems and the characteristics of the
individuals involved both influence resource investment.
Chapter 7 explores variety among means. Etkin describes the relationship
between equifinal means to a goal, asking how actual and perceived variations
among means to a goal influence motivation. She further explores means variety
as an end in itself.
Goal systems have important implications for attitude research and per-
suasion, which are topics Schumpe explores in Chapter 8. She explains how
GST helped develop persuasion techniques. For example, the principle of
counterfinality (e.g., presenting a mouthwash that causes burning sensa-
tion) inspires persuasion appeals that emphasize rather than hide the fact that
a product that facilitates one goal also inhibits others. Similarly, multifinality
Introduction 7
References
Festinger, L. (1957). A theory of cognitive dissonance. Stanford University Press.
8 Goal Systems Theory
Fishbach, A., Friedman, R. S., & Kruglanski, A. W. (2003). Leading us not into tempta-
tion: Momentary allurements elicit overriding goal activation. Journal of Personality
and Social Psychology, 84(2), 296–309.
Fishbach, A., Shah, J. Y., & Kruglanski, A. W. (2004). Emotional transfer in goal systems.
Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 40(6), 723–738.
Köpetz, C., Faber, T., Fishbach, A., & Kruglanski, A. W. (2011). The multifinality
constraints effect: How goal multiplicity narrows the means set to a focal end. Journal
of Personality and Social Psychology, 100(5), 810–826.
Kopetz, C. E., Woerner, J. I., Starnes, W., & Dedvukaj, J. (2019). It’s risky, therefore I do
it: Counterfinality as a source of perceived instrumentality of risk behavior as means to
goals. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 81, 39–52.
Kramer, T., Irmak, C., Block, L. G., & Ilyuk, V. (2012). The effect of a no-pain, no-gain lay
theory on product efficacy perceptions. Marketing Letters, 23(3), 517–529.
Kruglanski, A. W., Fishbach, A., Woolley, K., Bélanger, J. J., Chernikova, M., Molinario, E.,
& Pierro, A. (2018). A structural model of intrinsic motivation: On the psychology of
means–ends fusion. Psychological Review, 125(2), 165–182.
Kruglanski, A. W., Shah, J. Y., Fishbach, A., Friedman, R., Chun, W. Y., & Sleeth-Keppler,
D. (2002). A theory of goal systems. In M. P. Zanna (Ed.), Advances in experimental so-
cial psychology (Vol. 34, pp. 331–378). Academic Press.
Lepper, M. R., Greene, D., & Nisbett, R. E. (1973). Undermining children’s intrinsic in-
terest with extrinsic reward: A test of the “overjustification” hypothesis. Journal of
Personality and Social Psychology, 28(1), 129–137.
Maimaran, M., & Fishbach, A. (2014). If it’s useful and you know it, do you eat?
Preschoolers refrain from instrumental food. Journal of Consumer Research, 41(3),
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Simonson, I., Nowlis, S. M., & Simonson, Y. (1993). The effect of irrelevant preference
arguments on consumer choice. Journal of Consumer Psychology, 2(3), 287–306.
https://doi.org/10.1016/S1057-7408(08)80018-6
Zhang, Y., Fishbach, A., & Kruglanski, A. W. (2007). The dilution model: How additional
goals undermine the perceived instrumentality of a shared path. Journal of Personality
and Social Psychology, 92(3), 389–401.
1
New Developments in Goal
Systems Theory
Arie W. Kruglanski
The relations between goals and means can be mentally represented via several
different configurations, each with important psychological implications. Three
Arie W. Kruglanski, New Developments in Goal Systems Theory In: Goal Systems Theory. Edited by:
Arie W. Kruglanski, Ayelet Fishbach, and Catalina Kopetz, Oxford University Press. © Oxford University Press 2023.
DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780197687468.003.0002
10 Goal Systems Theory
(a)
Goal
1
Means Means
1 2
(b)
Goal Goal
1 2
Means
1
(c)
Goal Goal
1 2
Means
1
Equifinality
Multifinality
The simultaneous presence of several salient goals can lead to goal conflict and
require a choice as to which goal to prioritize. But often a means can be found
that accomplishes all those goals at once. One may find a job that is interesting,
offers good working conditions, and provides an opportunity to serve society.
One may cook a dish that is nutritious, tasty, and easy to prepare. On first glance,
finding a way to accomplish several goals at once may seem all good and to afford
greater value than the pursuit of each goal individually. But there is a downside
to this story in that the greater the number of goals connected to a given means,
the weaker the connection. In other words, the number of connections to a given
entity (goal or means) in a goal system dilutes the strength of the connections.
Further, because connection strength is typically construed as instrumentality of
12 Goal Systems Theory
the means with respect to the goal, the greater the number of goals that a given
means serves, the lower its perceived efficacy in serving those goals.
This dilution effect, mentioned earlier in reference to the equifinality config-
uration, was first discovered in a series of experiments by Zhang et al. (2007).
For instance, in a scenario, a means (e.g., eating tomatoes) was related with one
goal (e.g., preventing heart cancer or preventing eye disease) versus two goals (e.g.,
preventing heart cancer and preventing eye disease), which in turn affected the
means’ perceived instrumentality to the goal(s): A means said to serve one goal
was seen as more instrumental to that goal than a means said to serve two goals.
This effect was replicated in several studies that varied in the contents of the goals
as well as in the manner in which those goals were presented (self-generated vs.
described by the experimenter). Zhang et al. (2007) also varied the similarity
(vs. distinctiveness) of the goals to each other and the degree of association of
each of the goals to the focal means. The dilution effect was more pronounced
when two goals were distinct rather than similar, presumably because similar
goals activated each other. Too, the greater the manipulated association between
the means and one of the goals, the lesser was the perceived association between
the means and the remaining goal.
Zhang et al.’s (2007) experimental paradigm was used in a series of studies
by Orehek et al. (2012), who found evidence for moderation of the preference
for unifinal versus multifinal means. Specifically, individuals high on the loco-
motion tendency (the self-regulatory orientation that constitutes a desire for
movement and change) prefer unifinal means, whereas those high on the as-
sessment tendency (the self-regulatory orientation that involves a desire to crit-
ically evaluate alternatives) prefer multifinal means. This supported the authors’
hypothesis that high locomotors are particularly affected by the expectancy
component of motivation that affords quick progress toward the goal, whereas
high assessors are particularly sensitive to the value component that they strive
to maximize.
Catalina Kopetz’s doctoral dissertation explored another facet of the
multifinality configuration, thus discovering the multifinality constraint effect
(Kopetz, 2007; Kopetz et al., 2011). It has to do with the fact that the simulta-
neous presence of several active goals exercises constraints on means to those
goals such that means that serve some of those goals while undermining others
will tend to be avoided. Consider the co-active goals of satisfying one’s hunger,
satisfying one’s taste, and taking care of one’s health. This creates a situation in
which the selected foods will be those that, while nutritious, are also tasteful and
healthy, whereas unhealthy and tasteless foods would be avoided.
Kopetz et al. (2011) also investigated the case in which one of the active goals
becomes dominant. According to the allocational principle of finite mental re-
sources, this should result in the concomitant withdrawal of resources from the
New Developments in Goal Systems Theory 13
alternative goals, thus weakening the constraints they would normally exercise
on means to the dominant goal. In consequence, the consideration set of means
to the dominant goal now expands, producing a situation in which nearly “any-
thing goes” that serves the dominant goal, including means that normally would
undermine (some of) the alternative goals. I revisit that point at a later junc-
ture when reviewing the GST-inspired work on the psychology of extremism
(Kruglanski, Szumowska, et al., 2021).
Counterfinality
Those latter means, ones that undermine some goals while serving others, are
therefore labeled as counterfinal. Often, those means are avoided, especially when
the goals they undermine are salient; but occasionally they are even preferred
over other means to a goal. Specifically, when one goal becomes dominant and
other goals are crowded, the counterfinal means that serve the dominant goal
(while undermining other goals) can be particularly attractive. Counterfinality
has intriguing psychological properties that “irrationally” enhance its ap-
peal: Such means often are alluring precisely because they are counterfinal. That
may be the case because the counterfinal means is perceived as uniquely, and
hence particularly strongly, attached to the focal goal (Kruglanski, 1996; Zhang
et al., 2007) and because it brings to mind the “cost heuristic” whereby costs are
seen as a proof of efficacy, along the lines of the “no pain no gain” slogan that
portrays pain (or cost) as the necessary condition of goal attainment (see Kruger
et al., 2004; Labroo & Kim, 2009). Along these lines, a set of studies by Freund
and Hennecke (2015) demonstrated that less enjoyable means (and in that sense
counterfinal to the goal of enjoyment) were viewed as more instrumental to the
goals they were assumed to serve. Another example of this phenomenon is the
so-called martyrdom effect whereby people believe that someone who suffers
while helping is actually more helpful (Olivola & Shafir, 2009).
Schumpe et al. (2018) demonstrated the counterfinality effect in five studies.
For instance, the more pain people experienced when getting tattooed, the more
they perceived getting tattooed as instrumental to the goals of being unique and
showing off. And the more counterfinal a consumer product was considered to
be (i.e., a “burning oral rinse”), the greater was its perceived effectiveness (in
fighting germs). Other studies in the Schumpe et al. (2018) series showed that
counterfinality resulted in a more positive attitude toward the means and that
a simultaneous commitment to both the focal and the alternative goals reduced
the preference for the counterfinal means. Research by Catalina Kopetz (see
Chapter 2 in this volume) also demonstrates that risk behavior is perceived as
more instrumental to one’s goals, particularly when it is seen as counterfinal.
14 Goal Systems Theory
An important feature of the GST is its breadth and scope. In this way, it affords
a prism on a wide variety of phenomena, all of which are governed by the same
basic cognitive and motivational principles. A recent example of a GST-derived
insight into an important social phenomenon is the application of work on
counterfinality and the multifinality constraint effect to the psychology of ex-
tremism. In popular parlance, the term extremism has come to signify specif-
ically political violence and terrorism. Yet there are numerous other types of
behaviors generally regarded as extreme: extreme diets, extreme sports, extreme
(exceptional) humanitarianism, extreme substance or behavioral addictions, etc.
A goal systemic perspective allows a common understanding of all those extreme
behaviors (for extensive discussion, see Kruglanski, Kopetz, & Szumowska,
2021; Kruglanski, Szumowska, et al., 2021). That approach views extremism as
based on a motivational imbalance in which a given need dominates other basic
concerns. A motivational balance exists where all of the person’s basic needs are
in their region of satisfaction. Such well-rounded care for all one’s basic needs
defines the state of moderation. A state of motivational imbalance, which gives
rise to extremism, occurs where one of the basic needs gains dominance and
crowds out other basic concerns. As noted earlier, this liberates the means to the
dominant need from constraints exercised by those alternative (and now faded)
concerns. The resulting expansion of the consideration set of means to the dom-
inant goal comes to include now counterfinal means, ones that effectively under-
mine or sacrifice the alternative concerns. As most people attempt to maintain a
New Developments in Goal Systems Theory 15
motivational balance, they refrain from carrying out counterfinal behaviors that
sacrifice some of their needs. As a consequence, counterfinal behaviors are typi-
cally rare, consistent with their labeling as extreme.
Extensive empirical evidence for the proposed motivational imbalance model
of extremism is reviewed by Kruglanski, Kopetz, & Szumowska (2021) and
Kruglanski, Szumowska, et al. (2021). It includes studies attesting to the neg-
ative relation between the motivation to pursue dominant versus alternative
needs as well as research examining cognitive, behavioral, affective, and social
consequences of motivational imbalance. The cognitive consequences included
studies of selective attention, inhibition, rumination, projection, and choice
expansion (in considered means to the focal goal). Behavioral consequences
included increased tendency to choose the counterfinal means when under
motivational imbalance and a decreased tendency for such a choice prompted
by the restoration of balance. Affective consequences included studies of con-
siderable emotional volatility when under a state of motivational imbalance,
the alternation between the proverbial “agony” and “ecstasy.” Finally, the social
consequences of motivational imbalance were attested to by the relative infre-
quency of protracted tendencies to perform counterfinal behaviors and by the
status of social deviants accorded to individuals who exhibit such tendencies.
The GST-based work on the psychology of extremism has resulted so far in two
conferences on this topic that brought together scholars with diverse interests
(from neuroscience to culture) yet sharing in common the focus on extreme be-
havior and in an edited volume on the psychology of extremism whose chapters
describe the varied extremisms and their underlying dynamics (Kruglanski,
Szumowska, et al., 2021).
(3) perceived similarity between the activity and its goal, and (4) temporal im-
mediacy of goal attainment following the activity. Kruglanski et al. (2018) offer
evidence for each of the foregoing determinants of intrinsic motivation.
The idea that repeated pairing of a stimulus and a reward results in associa-
tion between the two has been the mainstay of classical conditioning theory, one
of the most robust and well-documented theories in the history of psychology
(for review of the relevant evidence, see, e.g., Hilgard & Bower, 1966). As a re-
sult of classical conditioning, the neutral stimulus acquires motivational value
and comes to serve as a secondary reinforcer (e.g., see discussion by Robinson &
Berridge, 1993), that is, a goal that the animal or the human would then strive to
attain.
Kruglanski et al. (2018) reasoned that a continuum of intrinsicality reflects
the degree to which the activity (the means) is seen as likely to result in goal
attainment, the upper bound of which is where the activity is itself perceived
as constituting goal attainment. To address this implication of the MEF theory,
Zhang et al. (2007, Study 4) repeatedly (and subliminally) flashed words re-
lated to the goal of strengthening muscles (e.g., muscle) concomitantly with a
(supraliminal) presentation of a specific means to that goal (i.e., jogging). This
procedure significantly increased the perceived instrumentality of the means
to the goal while concomitantly decreasing the perceived instrumentality of the
same means to an alternative goal (increasing blood oxygen). These findings
were conceptually replicated in research by Bélanger et al. (2015, Study 4).
Strengthening the means–end connection increases the perceived instru-
mentality of the means to the goal and, in this sense, increases intrinsicality. On
the other hand, establishing alternative links between the means and alternative
goals or between the goal and alternative means dilutes the strength of a given
means–end connection, and hence reduces the means’ perceived intrinsicality.
Work reviewed earlier on the dilution effect, in both the multifinality and the
equifinality contexts (cf. Bélanger et al., 2015; Kruglanski et al., 2011; Zhang
et al., 2007), yields findings supportive of this theoretical implication.
Goal attainment results in positive affect. Therefore, increasing the fusion be-
tween the activity and the goal should result in that positive feeling seeping into
the activity as well. This prediction of the MEF theory was supported in research
by Fishbach et al. (2004, Study 1), where participants reported more positive
affect toward the activity (means) in a condition where they generated a single
versus two means to the goal, the latter known to dilute the means–end connec-
tion, and hence to reduce the MEF (Zhang et al., 2007).
Other research supportive of the MEF theory is work by Woolley and Fishbach
(2018; see also Chapter 3 in this volume), showing that the immediacy with
which the goal follows the means increases the degree of the MEF and, hence, the
means’ instrumentality/intrinsicality to the goal. Specifically, it was found that
New Developments in Goal Systems Theory 17
receiving the immediate (vs. delayed) reward for performing the experimental
task increased experienced enjoyment, interest, and intention to pursue the ex-
perimental task in the future—typical effects of intrinsic motivation to an activity
(e.g., Deci et al., 1999). Similarly, research by Fishbach et al. (2004) supported the
theoretical implication of the MEF model whereby the magnitude of affect to-
ward the fused activity should be correlated with the magnitude of affect that the
goal attainment itself engenders. Specifically, Fishbach et al. (2004) found that
the affect felt toward the means corresponded more to the affect toward the goal
when the two were strongly versus only weakly associated.
Studies also found support for the mediating role of fusion in effects of im-
mediacy on means instrumentality (Woolley & Fishbach, 2018) and for the im-
plication that for the fused means to be endowed with qualities that characterize
goal attainment, the goal needs to be active in the first place. In short, the MEF
model of intrinsic motivation is based on extensive and wide-ranging research
concerning its varied implications. In so far as intrinsic motivation toward activ-
ities is of considerable importance in multiple domains of human endeavor (e.g.,
in work, sports, and education), the novel insights that this model provides could
prove to be of considerable practical utility.
A fundamental assumption of the GST is that goal systems are hierarchical; that
is, all goals actually are means that serve a supreme goal at the apex of the hier-
archy. That supreme goal is nothing but a basic psychological need. Psychological
theorists from Freud onward (including Deci & Ryan, 2000; Fiske, 2010; Higgins,
2012; Maslow, 1943; McDougall, 1908) assume the existence of basic biolog-
ical and psychogenic needs, and from the GST perspective each goal system is
“crowned” by a basic need. This suggests that all our goals, at the end of the day,
are geared to serve basic needs. The basic needs are the “dogs that wag the tails” of
all that we ever do. We assume them to be universal and fixed, part and parcel of
“human nature,” the structure of our psyche if you will.
In contrast, the goal systems that serve those needs are fluid and highly var-
iable. They are culture-specific, context-specific, and socially constructed. They
are tied to the satisfaction of the basic needs via narratives that are validated by
one’s in-group or social network. The need, the narrative, and the network define
our 3Ns model of behavior that we believe to be quite general (see Kruglanski,
18 Goal Systems Theory
Terrorism
We have been studying this need in several contexts starting with the context of
terrorism. In the terrorism literature a major question has been that of terrorist
motivation: Why in the world do they do it? And terrorism researchers have
identified a variety of motivations (the perks of paradise, vengeance, adoration
of the leader, feminism). They concluded, therefore, that terrorism is multiply
determined. But there is a different, and potentially more useful and parsimo-
nious, way to think about it, namely that these are all means to the same end, sat-
isfaction of the same basic motive, the quest for significance. Take vengeance, for
example. Vengeance comes in response to a humiliation or a loss of significance,
and by avenging one’s humiliation one regains significance and shows that one
too matters and has the power to punish the original offender. Other causes, like
the perks of paradise or earning the leader’s appreciation, reflect an opportunity
for significance gain.
In multiple studies, we obtained evidence that manipulating the quest
for significance or measuring it in various ways promotes behaviors seen as
significance-enhancing often through violence. So, in one paper we estimated
suicide bombers’ quest for significance by gleaning from open-source data
New Developments in Goal Systems Theory 19
evidence for their loss of significance or ambition for significance gain and found
that the stronger the quest, the greater number of people these suicide bombers
killed or wounded (Webber et al., 2017); and in another study, with members
of the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam in Sri Lanka, one of the most cruel and
determined terrorist organizations in history, we found that the greater the sig-
nificance gain they experienced from a deradicalization program, including
vocational and language courses and other activities allowing them to reinte-
grate into Sri Lankan society, the greater was their degree of deradicalization,
illustrating the substitution of vocational preparation for terrorism as a means to
significance gain (Webber et al., 2018).
Frustration–Aggression
Whereas we have ample published data (see, e.g., Kruglanski, Belanger, &
Gunaratna, 2019; Kruglanski, Webber, & Koehler, 2019) attesting to the role that
the quest for significance plays in violent extremism, our lab is currently pursuing
two new topics from the significance quest perspective for which we do not yet
have sufficient data: the frustration–aggression hypothesis and romantic love.
Our novel analysis of both these issues is firmly grounded in the GST perspective.
With respect to the frustration–aggression hypothesis, the question is what logic
moved Dollard et al. (1939) to come up with the hypothesis that frustration leads
to aggression? What basic need does aggression serve? What is the end to which
aggression is a means? Why aggression, of all things, in response to frustration?
In response, we surmise that aggression is a primitive, primordial means to domi-
nance and that dominance or power is a form of significance or social worth.
This framing suggests several hypotheses: One is that, depending on the nar-
rative, and the network, frustration can lead to other significance-affording
responses. In a study that Pontus Leander and his colleagues published recently
(Leander et al., 2020) we manipulated frustration through failure on an anagram
task and then manipulated the norm presumably endorsed by college graduates
of whether the United States should intervene militarily in Syria. We found that
the frustrated participants more so than the controls tended to go more with the
narrative endorsed by the network, whether aggressive or non-aggressive.
A second hypothesis that follows from our analysis is that frustration will
elicit an aggressive reaction to the extent that the goal serves the significance
quest. Molly Ellenberg, of our lab, recently analyzed the survey responses of a
sample of 272 incels (involuntary celibates), men who feel unfairly rejected and
mistreated by women. She found support for a mediational model (see Figure
1.2) in which an index of significance loss (agreement with items such as “were
you ostracized,” “did you have trouble with sports,” “did you face rejection from
girls”) predicted an aggressive response toward women, namely agreement with
the statements “I sometimes entertain thoughts of violence” and “I would rape if
20 Goal Systems Theory
“I admire Elliot
Rodger for his
a = 0.1694* Santa Barbara
attack.” b = 0.45926***
I could get away with it.” This was mediated by agreement with the statement “I
admire Elliot Rodger for his Santa Barbara attack.” Notably, Elliot Rodger carried
out a misogynistic terror attack in Isla Vista California, in which he killed six
people, as well as himself.
Gabriele di Cico of our lab recently carried out a different project in which
he performed a linguistic analysis on 33,484 posts on the incels.co web forum.
Words indicating honor loss had a direct effect on words related to death
(indicating aggressive intentions), and the relationship was also mediated by the
number of words indicating anger (see Figure 1.3).
A third hypothesis is that this frustration–aggression relationship will be
moderated by the individual’s personal degree of significance quest. Finally, we
predict that the frustration–aggression relationship will be moderated by the de-
gree that the culture subscribes to the narrative that violence restores or brings
about significance (e.g., an honor culture), that is, the narrative that violence is
the means to the end of significance. Research bearing on this hypothesis is pres-
ently under way in our lab.
Figure 1.3 Relations between Significance Loss words, Death words, and Anger words.
New Developments in Goal Systems Theory 21
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2
A Goal Systems Approach to Risk Behavior
Catalina Kopetz and Wesley Starnes
In 2002, Arie Kruglanski and his students and postdocs published the goal sys-
tems theory (GST), a theory about how people set and pursue their goals. This
volume celebrates the theoretical and empirical developments inspired by GST
in the years following its publication. Our chapter explains why we (the authors
of this chapter) are celebrating GST in the context of theories in psychology gen-
erally, and particularly in the field of motivation. We will argue that GST is one of
the few theories in psychology that comes close to what a theory should be: test-
able, coherent, parsimonious, generalizable, able to explain previous findings
while generating new testable implications (e.g., Higgins, 2004; Popper, 1935/
1959). We support this argument by discussing how GST provides a new and
parsimonious perspective on risk behavior, a phenomenon that has been fasci-
nating not only laypeople but mathematicians, economists, and psychologists for
decades. We will show how the basic principles of goal pursuit defined by GST ex-
plain and integrate previous findings across fields of inquiry and risk behaviors,
answer previously unanswered question, and generate new implications for un-
derstanding, preventing, and/or changing risk behavior.
Psychology in general, and social psychology in particular, has been criticized for
the weakness of its theories. For instance, while he acknowledged the difficulties
of theorizing about human behavior, Meehl (1978) suggested that our theories
are “scientifically unimpressive and technologically worthless” (p. 806), that they
“rise and decline, come and go, more as a function of baffled boredom than an-
ything else; the enterprise shows a disturbing absence of that cumulative char-
acter” (p. 807, emphasis in original) that characterizes other sciences. At the core
of his critiques stands not only the way we test our theories but also their lack of
deductive fertility.
Similarly, McGuire (1973) criticized both the methodological approach—
focus on social relevance and hypothesis-testing—and the theoretical approach
Catalina Kopetz and Wesley Starnes, A Goal Systems Approach to Risk Behavior In: Goal Systems Theory. Edited by:
Arie W. Kruglanski, Ayelet Fishbach, and Catalina Kopetz, Oxford University Press. © Oxford University Press 2023.
DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780197687468.003.0003
26 Goal Systems Theory
In addition to the focus on motivational contents, the field often implies that
some motives were worth pursuing more than others (long-term vs. short-term,
health and fitness vs. indulgence, etc.). Difficulty in pursuing these motives
was studied as lack of self-control, impulsivity, and self-regulatory failure (e.g.,
Wagner & Heatherton, 2015).
Little attention was paid to the general motivational process. Without clearly
defining the goals and specifying when and why people have the goals they do
and through what processes they choose among alternative actions, the field ran
into what Neisser (1967, p. 292) considered to be “the problem of the executive”;
a “little man in the head, a homunculus” (p. 295), was responsible for selecting
the goals and the corresponding course of action.
This is particularly interesting given that Lewin (1935) warned against this
approach at the beginning of the 20th century. He lamented that psychology
was stuck in an Aristotelian mode of thinking characterized by a tendency to
focus on specific phenomena rather than on the general laws of behavior and
to classify concepts based on their value rather than according to the nature of
the psychological process involved: “a tendency to attack the actual psycholog-
ical process” (p. 4). Just as Aristotelian thinking distinguishes between heav-
enly and earthly bodies characterized by the highest forms of motion versus the
motion of inferior types, psychology has long distinguished between normal
and pathological, errors and true cognition, impulsive and deliberative thinking
characterized by lower-versus higher-order processes such as automatic, as-
sociative versus controlled, effortful, conscious. Accordingly, the essence of the
object or the concept was determined by its classification, and it was assumed
to be associated with positive or negative aspects. This tendency or mode of
thinking has the consequence of classifying together things with insignificant
communalities and separates things that objectively are closely and importantly
related. Lewin advocated instead for a Galilean approach, with no value concepts
and dichotomies but based on common psychological laws across behaviors and
on understanding the dynamic of human behavior at the intersection of multiple
forces that may be relevant on a moment-to-moment basis depending on the
situation.
The implications of these theoretical shortcomings were not immediately
obvious to the first author (Catalina Kopetz) as she was finishing her PhD and
starting her postdoctoral training. It was not until she was confronted with
the world of (research in) substance use and other risk behaviors that she un-
derstood the need for a coherent, parsimonious, and generalizable theoretical
framework. It became clear to her that in the absence of such a framework
to guide our understanding of major social and behavioral problems—
specifically related to the primary causes of mortality such as overeating,
smoking, alcohol and substance use, risky sexual behavior (RSB), driving
28 Goal Systems Theory
under the influence—we are very limited in providing solutions and run the
risk of being irrelevant.
Luckily, her training in the basic principles of goal pursuit provided such a
framework. Since 2009, she and her collaborators have worked to demonstrate
that an approach based on the principles of goal pursuit can integrate and ex-
plain previous findings, address unanswered questions, and generate new
implications for understanding, preventing, and/or changing risk behaviors like
those enumerated above.
Goal Activation
Goals are cognitive representations of desirable end states and, hence, abide
by the general principles that govern all cognition including accessibility,
interconnectedness between motivational constructs, and dependence on lim-
ited cognitive resources (for reviews, see Fishbach & Ferguson, 2007; Kruglanski
& Kopetz, 2009a, 2009b). Goals can be adopted consciously or arise non-
consciously, especially upon exposure to environmental or internal cues cogni-
tively associated with the goal. Much like how the scent of freshly brewed coffee
automatically activates the goal of having a cup, exposure to certain sexual cues
can automatically activate a corresponding mating goal (Gillath & Collins, 2016;
S. L. Miller & Maner, 2011) and may result in RSB.
(Bélanger et al., 2015). These notions suggest that the associative strength be-
tween a means and its goal(s) follows a constant sum principle (Zhang et al.,
2007), which has implications for when and why a particular action is perceived
as instrumental to one’s goals as well as for preventing and changing behaviors.
Counterfinality
People often overestimate the instrumentality of a means to one goal when it
is detrimental to other goals. This intriguing aspect of the relationship be-
tween goals and means follows from the constant sum principle of associa-
tive strength between goals and means; it refers to the phenomenon in which
a means becomes perceived as increasingly instrumental to a focal goal to the
extent to which it is counterfinal, or it undermines alternative goals (Kruglanski
et al., 2015; Schumpe et al., 2018). Based on the constant sum principle of the
association strength between various nodes in a cognitive network, a negative
association between a goal and a means increases the connection strength of the
remaining goal–means connections in the network. Hence, the counterfinality
of a risky behavior to an alternative goal can increase its connection strength to
the focal goal—and result in the means being perceived as uniquely instrumental
to that goal (Kruglanski, 1996; Zhang et al., 2007).
Transfer of Affect
Behaviors that become associated with successful goal pursuit acquire positive
value through transfer of affect (Fishbach et al., 2004). The amount of emotional
transfer from goals to means and, consequently, the emotional experience of
engaging in that particular behavior depend on the importance of the goal that
they serve and the strength of the association between the behavior and the goal.
For instance, in one study, thirsty participants evaluated items that could sat-
isfy thirst directly (e.g., water and juice) more positively than items that were
only moderately instrumental to the thirst-quenching goal (e.g., coffee and beer;
Ferguson & Bargh, 2004). Thus, one consequence of selecting and implementing
a behavior as a means to one’s goals is that behaviors that may be initially neu-
tral or even aversive (e.g., smoking) become desirable; they may be perpetuated
or even fuse with the goals (become intrinsically motivated; Kruglanski et al.,
2018) and may become capable of driving behavior in the absence of the original
motivation.
Substitution
During goal pursuit, different means that serve the same goal may be substituted
for one another (Kruglanski et al., 2002). For instance, one could exercise, read a
book, or use alcohol to alleviate negative affect. The strength of a given means–
goal association may be reduced by the simultaneous presence of alternative
means: The higher the number of means associated with a goal, the weaker the
A Goal Systems Approach to Risk Behavior 31
association between any particular goal and means and the less likely that any
of the means is deemed instrumental and enacted toward goal achievement
(Kruglanski et al., 2002).
Motivated Distortion
One consequence of goal shielding is that information relevant to goal pursuit
is actively distorted to fit with the current motivational state (Bélanger et al.,
2014). For instance, a smoker may be fully aware of the negative consequences
associated with smoking but may actively emphasize the relaxing aspects of the
behavior.
Mobilization of Resources
Goal pursuit is dependent on resource mobilization and executive control
(Botvinick & Braver, 2015; Dijksterhuis & Aarts, 2010; Kruglanski et al., 2002,
2012). Resources are mobilized as a function of goal accessibility and impor-
tance; this may happen automatically without an individual’s conscious aware-
ness and control (Bijleveld et al., 2009; Brehm & Self, 1989; Wright et al., 1986);
resources support people’s goal pursuit by facilitating the processing of relevant
information, the implementation of appropriate means, persistence in the face
of obstacles, and inhibition of alternative goals and information that may thwart
goal attainment.
In what follows, we provide empirical evidence that risk behavior follows
the principles outlined above. Our discussion will highlight how these princi-
ples allow us to answer previously unanswered questions and to understand how
risk behavior is initiated and maintained as well as how it can be prevented and
changed.
When and why does risk- Goal accessibility: Goals can be adopted consciously or Obstacles in goal pursuit increase the likelihood of risk behavior.
taking become a means? arise non-consciously upon exposure to cues cognitively
associated with the goal.
Counterfinality: A means is perceived as increasingly The potential negative consequences of risk behavior might
instrumental to one’s goals to the extent to which it paradoxically increase its perceived instrumentality to one’s salient and
interferes with or undermines other goals. important goals.
How is engagement in Transfer of affect: Behaviors that become associated with Risk behavior, as a means, acquires positive value through transfer of
risk-taking perpetuated? successful goal pursuit acquire positive value. affect and becomes desirable itself, able to automatically drive behavior.
Why and how is risk Goal shielding: When one goal becomes more important The saliency and immediacy of the goal that the risk behavior serves
behavior initiated and than its alternatives, its activation can inhibit competing reduce the saliency and importance of alternative goals (e.g., safety,
maintained despite alternatives. health), allowing for the initiation and maintenance of risk behavior.
potential negative
consequences? Mobilization of resources: Active goals mobilize resources Cognitive resources (executive functions) enhance the likelihood
that support processing of relevant information, of engaging in risk behavior as a means to one’s goal by facilitating
implementation of appropriate means, persistence in the (1) inhibition of alternative goals (e.g., health and safety) and
face of obstacles, and inhibition of alternative goals and (2) distortion of potential negative consequences and an overemphasis
information that may thwart goal attainment. of potential benefits.
How can risk behavior be Substitution: A given behavior’s association strength with Introducing alternative means to the goals that risk behavior serves may
prevented and changed? a particular goal (and therefore the likelihood to engage in decrease the behavior’s perceived instrumentality and therefore the
that behavior) decreases when it can be substituted out for likelihood that it is enacted.
some alternative behavior that serves the same end.
Multifinality/goal shielding Enhancing the saliency and importance of alternative goals such as
health and safety could reduce the likelihood of risk behavior. When
such goals are chronically accessible, they will constrain people’s
behavior and reduce the likelihood of adopting risky behaviors.
34 Goal Systems Theory
For instance, across multiple perspectives people will opt for risky options to
deal with loss and restore status quo (e.g., Kahneman & Tversky, 1979; Mishra,
2014; Mishra & Lalumière, 2010; Scholer et al., 2010). Men from disadvantaged
social and economic backgrounds engage in significantly more risk-taking and
criminal conduct (M. Wilson & Daly, 1997), whereas people with lower income
relative to others are more likely to spend a large portion of their income on
gambling behavior (e.g., Blalock et al., 2007). However, in line with the notion
that risk behavior is enacted only when it is perceived as an instrumental means
to one’s goal, it is noteworthy that a state of loss does not necessarily result in
risk behavior. Even in a state of loss, risk behavior is not a preferred option for
people whose main goal is to move forward rather than to prevent losses and
who focus on advancement and gains rather than on losses (Scholer et al., 2010;
Zou et al., 2020).
Drugs are taken to socialize and fit in, to achieve a pleasant drug “high,” to
escape an aversive withdrawal “low,” or to cope with negative affect (Kopetz
et al., 2013). Indeed, the goal of socializing increases the accessibility of alcohol
for participants who regularly drink alcohol in social situations (Sheeran et al.,
2005). When craving is experimentally induced, opiate-dependent participants
respond faster to drug-related versus neutral words (Weinstein et al., 2000), pre-
sumably because drug use represents the most instrumental means to reduce
craving and alleviate the negative affect associated with it. Marijuana users re-
port stronger motivation to use marijuana and spending less time reading drug
prevention information after being presented with social cues (i.e., the name of
individuals who use marijuana), especially when such cues represented close so-
cial relationships (Leander et al., 2009).
RSB, including sex with multiple partners, with casual and commercial part-
ners, and unprotected sex, occurs when it is perceived as instrumental to goals
such as drug obtainment and use (Kopetz et al., 2015), intimacy, and communion
(Cooper, 2010; Kopetz, Pickover, et al., 2014; Kopetz et al., 2010; Woerner et al.,
2016). Indeed, in several studies, across community samples, college students,
and substance users, we found that women who have experienced interpersonal
violence are more likely to engage in RSB (Woerner et al., 2016, 2019). This may
be the case because interpersonal violence is a humiliating experience that may
result in loss of significance (Kruglanski et al., 2022). Victims of violence may de-
velop low expectations of secure relationships and may become vigilant for harm
in relationships which could manifest as fear of being rejected by others (anx-
iety) and/or discomfort with closeness (avoidance). In such cases, RSB may be-
come a convenient means to interpersonal significance and connection without
closeness or emotional intimacy. Interestingly, these effects did not extend to
other risk behaviors (i.e., substance use), supporting the notion that RSB may
A Goal Systems Approach to Risk Behavior 35
time until the goal is attained; this allows the organism to mobilize resources to
increase its effort toward goal attainment (Brehm, 1966; Fishbach & Finkelstein,
2012; Higgins, 2006), to persist in the face of obstacles, and to resume goal pur-
suit after disruption (Bargh et al., 2001; Lewin, 1926; Wicklund & Gollwitzer,
1982). Consequently, the person might be more inclined to search for the most
instrumental means to satisfy their unfulfilled goals. When one’s motivational
space is dominated by a particular need, while the other needs are momentarily
less salient or active, extreme means including risk behavior become particu-
larly instrumental (see next section about the mechanisms that may explain this
phenomenon; Kruglanski et al., 2021). In other words, people might turn to risk
because they perceive that they lack alternative means.
Indeed, across multiple domains, cues that signal a failure to attain a goal
prompt more risk-taking. Failing at an intellectual ability task increases one’s
preference for risk behavior compared to non-risk behavior (i.e., a bet with 50%
chance to win $1000 vs. a bet with 100% chance to get $500; Mishra et al., 2014).
Among intravenous drug users, failing to alleviate craving increases its strength
and results in the taking of even more risks, including theft and sharing needles
(Connors, 1992; Ready et al., 2020). Failure (compared to winning) in previous
gambling trials leads individuals to be quicker to initiate subsequent gambling
trials (Verbruggen et al., 2017). Finally, gun owners who failed on an achieve-
ment task or who expected job loss were more likely to perceive guns as a means
of personal empowerment, shoot an unarmed target in a shooter task, and justify
the use of a gun in an ambiguous threat scenario (Leander et al., 2019, 2020).
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