Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Modern Trade Landscape
Modern Trade Landscape
Modern Trade Landscape
TRADE
LANDSCAPE
TABLE OF
03 Credit
04 About us
CO N T E N T S
07 Scope of the report
12 Chapter 1: Vietnam at a glance
Geographics 13
Demographic 14
Vietnam’s economy 18
Some trends 22
Consumer landscape 23
Market share 24
Modern trade 33
47 Conclusion
02
CREDIT
Bui Tan Co
Le Yen Giang
Pham Duy
Ho Hoa Binh
Ly Bao Chuong
03
About us
/lscftu2/
/lscftu2.com/
04
About us
LSC
L ogistics Studying Club takes pride in being the sole pioneer club of Foreign
Trade University in motivating and supporting students who share the same
passion for Logistics and Supply Chain. Since its foundation in August 2014,
Logistics Studying Club, along with its mission to become the professional
organization specializing in Logistics and Supply Chain, has greatly taken the
lead in holding programs on specialized talents access the most updated
knowledge of the field. Together with the slogan “Ship your dream”, Logistics
Studying Club is the place to take wings for the passion of young students and
help Vietnam become part of top human resources suppliers.
05
About us
SCMission
Coming back with Season 4, the competition will bring practical business
cases (related to Supply Chain) which requires the participants to apply the
knowledge and skills to have outstanding solutions.
Therefore, bringing both overall and detailed views the major as well as
being well-equipped with the necessary knowledge and skills realted to the
major for students.suppliers.
/scmissionlsc/
06
Scope of the report
Current status
of Vietnam’s economy
07
Scope of the report
When the pandemic first broke out in January 2020, flights to and from Wuhan
were cancelled. By late March, borders were virtually shut altogether. And at the
same time, testing, aggressive contact tracing and a mass multi-aspect public
health campaign were quickly mobilised. The government has also taken full
advantage of all kinds of media platforms, SMS,... to spread news about the
date-to-date numbers of patients, places of quarantine. They even composed a
song about Covid-19. All of the above were carried out for the sake of raising
people’s awareness of the damage that would be inflicted upon our society as a
whole.
Information source
TV news 78
Social medias 82
0 20 40 60 80 100
Percentage of usage
09
Scope of the report
10
Scope of the report
11
Chapter 1
VIETNAM
AT A GLANCE
Geographics
Demographics
Vietnam’s economy
08
Chapter 1 Geographics
Southeast Asia
East side of Indo
Peninsula
C.Hanoi
Red River
Delta
#66
largest country
331,210
Mekong
River Delta
13
Chapter 1 Demographics
(3)
98.7M
Vietnam’s population
2021 In early
Yearly Global
15
(5) Expected to be
Change Share rapidly increasing
up to 110 million
by 2050 (7)
193
1.25%
1.25%
(6)
Increased by
0.91% over the
last year. (4) Global of the world
total popula- Projection
rank tion
Source: Worldometer 14
Chapter 1 Demographics
2019 96484
2018 95385.2
year
2017 94286
2016 93250.7
2015 92228.6
(8)
15
Chapter 1 Demographics
16
Chapter 1 Demographics
URBANIZATION
Vietnam is fore-
casted to undergo
37.73%
significant urban-
35.05%
ization in the near
34.22% future, even
though it remains
Remark: 65.78%
predominantly
2018 Inner circle
64.95% rural
2019 Middle circle
62.27%
2020 Outer cirle
17
Chapter 1 Vietnam’s economy
4000000
estimated 7%
3000000 and was one of
2000000 the FASTEST
1000000 growth rates in
the region.
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Prel.
2019
Year
Source: GSO
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 GDP of year
0
Percent
-5
-10
-15
-20
Vietnam is one of the few countries in the world not to expect a recession
GDP in nine months of 2020 increased by 2.12% (an increase by 3.68% in the
first quarter; 0.39% in the second quarter; and 2.62% in the third quarter) GDP
in the Q3 of 2020 is estimated to increase by 2.62% over the same period last
year, which is the lowest increase of every third quarter in the period 2011-2020
GDP in the Q3 of 2020 is estimated to increase by 2.62% over the same period
last year, which is the lowest increase of every third quarter in the period
2011-2020 GSO
18
Chapter 2
VIETNAM’S
RETAIL LANDSCAPE
Overview
The Retail Distribution Channel
Some Trends
Consumer Landscape
Market Share
19
Chapter 2 Overview
4000
increased steadily
3000
in recent years,
reaching 4940
2000
1000
VND trillion in
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
2019.
Source: statista
With the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, domestic demand for consumer goods saw
its lowest growth rate since 2014 at 9.8% in the first two months of 2020, compared to
14.4% for the same period last year. In the third quarter of 2020, retail sales of goods and
services decreased by 0.1% year-on-year, compared with -12% in the second quarter due
to the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. By September 2020, the industry's total
revenue fell to 40 billion US dollars, down 2% year on year. After the second COVIDE-19
wave, growth in July decreased 5% from the previous month, increasing to 2% in August
and 11% in September. In overall, revenue from Vietnam’s retail market in 2020 reaches
$172 billion, according to the General Statistics Office (GSO). Such growth rate, while
remaining lower compared to the 12.7% witnessed in the previous year, is a good sign for
the business community in the context of a drop in retail sales in the global retail market
during the pandemic. In addition, Vietnam is expected to build on the momentum of
rapidly expanding the retail sector, with continuous annual growth over the past
decade. In particular, consumer sentiment remained optimistic despite COVID-19, with
Vietnamese consumers ranked the most optimistic globally.
8.00%
100
6.00%
50 4.00%
2.00%
0 0.00%
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
20
Chapter 2 The retail distribution channel
Hotel
On-premise Restaurant
Catering
Grocery
Store
Hyper/
Supermarket
Off-premise
Convenience
Store
Modern Drug
Store
21
Chapter 2 Some trends
Traditional retailing
remains important and
continues to dominate The two main trends in
despite growing urban the retail industry:
demand for modern
formats Small scale store (minimart,
convenience store)
Traditional trade: 1.5 million
retail outlets - 25K Semi Retail- Omnichannel
ers (source: Nielsen)
Modern trade develops rapidly
(+18.5% 2019) (source: Info-
graphic designed by MBA
M&A
E-commerce maintains There have been growing
dynamic expansion
M&A activities in the
39.9 million online shoppers in retail sector in the last four
2019 or five years
(source: we are social & Hootsuite)
Central Group’s acquisition of
Gross Merchandise Value the Big C supermarket chain
(Billion USD)
Vingroup acquiring Fivimart
2019 2.94 and Shop & Go
2018 2.27
2017 2.19 Saigon Co.op taking over
2016 1.8
French retailer Auchan’s Viet-
0 2 4 nam operation
source: we are social & Hootsuite
22
Chapter 2 Consumer landscape
Personal products
Home appliances
Communications
10%
Education
5%
0%
Online shopping/delivery/etc
Transportation
Household utilities
-5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
-25%
Source: Staststa
60
40
Vietnamese consumers
20
significantly reduce
0
spending spare cash.*
India Vietnam Philippines Indonesia
75% 25%
2018
6%
Modern trade
Traditional trade
94%
2019
20%
Modern trade
Tradi�onal trade
80%
Source: Nielsen 24
Chapter
Chapter 3
1
Modern Trade
IS EMERGING
Traditional Trade
VinShop Breaths Fresh Air
Into Traditional Retail Market
Modern Trade
Modern Trade: KEY TO
FUTURE GROWTH
25
Chapter 3 Traditional trade overview
Until Sep’19, TT stores accounted for 86% of the total number of stores
which were operating in Vietnam and its growth rate exceeded 5% com-
pared to the previous year’s figures. TT continued to dominate Vietnam’s
market with about 25K Semi Retailers and 1.5M Retail Outlets, which was
more than 0.2% in perspective of the year before.
1480000
1474633
1470000
1460000 1457890
1450000
1440000
H1’17 H1’18 H1’19 H1’20 H1’21
Nothern Highlands
& Mountanous
Ho Chi Minh Cityarea
1415
238
C.Hanoi
Ho Chi Minh City
Ho Chi Minh City 455 238
238
Red River Deltas
1896
Central Highlands
398
27
Chapter 3 Traditional trade overview
Source: Deloitte 28
Chapter 3
offer few
choices
Why is the
market share of
traditional trade
gradually
decreased?
require
require a
a direct
mostly base on
transaction
direct trans-
intermediaries
action
unstable
price
29
Chapter 3 VinShop breaths fresh air into
Traditional retail market
Apps released on
2/10/2020
GMV* is expected to
reach 1 bollion USD
30
Chapter 3 VinShop breaths fresh air into
Traditional retail market
Involves aggregation of
VINSHOP demand across a diverse
product range
“
Consumers will get many benefits
from the entire process of improving
efficiency with the purchase of prod-
ucts up to 10% cheaper than other
traditional grocery stores due to elimi-
nating unreasonable costs on product.
31
Chapter 3 VinShop breaths fresh air into
Traditional retail market
CONCLUSION
32
Chapter 3 Modern trade
Modern
and choose the
items and then
proceed to
Trade Involves aggregation of
check-out
Clear time-slots
for each product
replenishment
Modern retailers
Often penalize
distributors if the
Balance the delivery time-slot
inventory along is missed or
the economic Maintain their fill delayed
order quantity rate above their
safety stock
33
Chapter 3 Modern trade
The number of
Minimart stores in-
creased +63% in 2019
Source: Infographic
designed by MBA An-
drews, IVIO Team
34
Chapter 3 Distribution channels in
modern trade
Hypermarket Supermarket
a combination of a supermarket refers to a large-scale grocery
and a department store store
Key
players
35
Chapter 3 Distribution channels in
modern trade
Hypermarket Supermarket
Number
49 3000
50 2734
41
of 2500 2285
40
2000
30 outlets 1672
1500
20 1032
1000
605
10 500
0 0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
60.00% 16%
50.00% 14%
40.00% 12%
20.00% Growth 8%
6%
10.00%
2015 4%
0.00%
2%
2014 2016 2017 2018 2019
-10.00%
0%
-20.00% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Source: Deloitte 36
Chapter 3 Distribution channels in
modern trade
Assortment
of ready – to
– eat meals
Modern
facilities
Order
smaller
quantities of
inventory at
Longer
higher
open
Charge
per-unit
hours
significantly
prices from Serving higher
wholesalers more prices than
loca- convention-
tions al grocery
stores or
supermar-
kets
Digital
payment
methods
Having
shorter
cashier
lines
37
Chapter 3 Distribution channels in
modern trade
1200 35%
30%
1000
25%
800
20%
600
15%
400
10%
200 5%
0 0%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
MARKET SHARE
Family Mart
21%
Others
49%
Circle K
20%
Source: “Convenience
stores in Vietnam”.
B’s Mart
Euromonitor. March 2020
10%
34
Chapter 3 Distribution channels in
modern trade
Key player:
Vinmart +
Verified Products:
origin the necessary
FOOD
AND
MINIMART
Location: Decoration:
center areas, center classified by prod-
streets, residential uct category
areas ...
Size:
medium
39
Chapter 3 Distribution channels in
modern trade
Key player:
pharmacity
328 stores
Products:
Verified drugs, health-
origin care products ...
MODERN Sales
6.5 billion USD in 2019
DRUGS STORE Source: Business Monitor
International
Location: Decoration:
in mall, center areas, like a traditional
center streets, ... drugstore
Size:
small to
medium
40
Chapter 3 Distribution channels in
modern trade
1000
800
Billion VND
600
400
200
0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Year
41
Chapter 3 Distribution channels in
modern trade
Key player:
concung.com
423 stores
Products:
Verified for baby and
origin maternity
Location: Decoration:
center areas, center classified by prod-
streets, residential uct category
areas ...
Size:
medium
42
Chapter 3 Distribution channels in
modern trade
2452
2500
2000
Billion VND
1566
1500
1000 922
529
500
114
0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Year
Concung
43
Modern trade: KEY TO FUTURE GROWTH
Gen X (41-56
The age of consumers is one of the most Others
years old)
(1965-1980)
Gen X plays a major role in the current retail market, they often
choose traditional distribution channels such as markets, grocery
stores,... because of their traditional shopping habits. However,
modern trade channels including supermarket, minimart, CVS,...
is gradually being selected and accounts for a large part in the
total revenue of the retail market, that shift is the result of the
influence of Gen Z and Millennials (referred to as “pioneers” follow-
ing) on the retail market. The most important thing is that “pio-
neers” not only impact on the retail market trend themself but
also make the change in the place where Gen X shopping. For
example, if you look at the influence behaviours of Gen X, they’re
much more likely to be influenced by the younger people around
them. So as they listen to what their kids talk to them, they’re
being influenced about what and where to buy something. “Pio-
neers” have specific habits in shopping, they prefer convenience,
promptitude and cleanliness. Those factors are the advantages of
modern trade channels over traditional ones. All of these things
will create a change in the structure of this market.
44
Modern trade: KEY TO FUTURE GROWTH
A lthough health has been the top priority in Vietnam for four con-
secutive years, in the first quarter of 2020, 49% of Vietnamese consum-
ers registered health as their key concern, up 4% compared to the last
quarter of 2019 (according to the latest Nielsen report). As such, Viet-
namese customers are searching for items made with high quality
ingredients and containing nutritional supplements in compliance
with the highest safety criteria. Covid-19 has introduced improvements
in customer preferences and patterns in purchasing that can be
reflected in the rise in the importance of nutritious goods as well as
the development in non-perishable products. It would make consum-
ers feel safer to shop in modern trade chains since most of the goods
sold here have a clear origin, ensuring food hygiene and protection.
Supermarkets and minimarts are taking this as their competitive ad-
vantage over traditional markets.
45
Modern trade: KEY TO FUTURE GROWTH
42
CONCLUSION
E ven though traditional retail
channels still have the biggest share But still, as an emerging form of retail,
in Vietnam’s retail market, the figures there exist barriers, which are not so
have somewhat saturated. Modern small, on the way to dominate the econ-
trade, however, has been currently on omy’s market. Modern trade channels
the rise and through the datas provid- are not within the rural’s grasp as the
ed, it shows no sign of stopping. With coverage level, by the meantime, has
a more systematic and chain-priori- only concentrated on the urban and
tized approach to logistics operation, suburban areas. Buying behaviour, for
which may include inventory, trans- instance, is one of the factors that play a
portation, distribution, etc. these new big role in determining this coverage
kinds of channels are favored by most share.
people. That being said, although there are a lot
47