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Capital Markets L1 4
Capital Markets L1 4
1. Price Discovery
• Price discovery means that the
interactions of buyers and sellers in a
financial market determine the price of the
traded asset.
• Equivalently, they determine the required
return that participants in a financial
The role of the financial system – financial market demand in order to buy a financial
institutions and markets – is to facilitate the flow and instrument.
efficient allocation of funds throughout the economy. The o The motivation for those seeking
greater the flow of funds, the greater the accommodation funds depends on the required return
of individual’s preferences for spending and saving. An that investors demand, it is this
efficient and sound financial system is a necessary function of financial markets that
condition to having a highly advanced economy like the signals how the funds available from
one in the United States. those who want to lend or invest
funds will be allocated among those
Basic Components of the Financial System: Markets needing funds and raise those funds
and Institutions by issuing financial instruments.
➢ Financial Markets are markets for financial
claims, also called financial instruments or 2. Liquidity
securities. • Financial markets provide a forum for
➢ Financial Institutions (also called financial investors to sell a financial instrument and
intermediaries) facilitate flows of funds from is said to offer investors “liquidity.”
savers to borrowers. • This is an appealing feature when
circumstances arise that either force or
motivate an investor to sell a financial
instrument.
• Without liquidity, an investor would be • According to the economist Joseph Schumpter,
compelled to hold onto a financial process innovation is one in which an existing
instrument until either conditions arise product can be produced or service provided more
that allow for the disposal of the financial efficiently than that of a current existing product or
instrument or the issuer is contractually service.
obligated to pay it off. • A product innovation means the introduction of a
• For a debt instrument, that is when it new product or service that does not currently exist in
matures, whereas for an equity the market.
instrument that is until the company is • Stephen Ross suggests the following two classes of
either voluntarily or involuntarily liquidated. financial innovation:
• All financial markets provide some form of 1. new financial products, (financial assets and
liquidity. derivative instruments) better suited to the
• However, the degree of liquidity is one of circumstances of the time (e.g. to inflation)
the factors that characterize different and the markets in which they trade; and
financial markets. 2. dynamic trading strategies that primarily use
these financial products.
3. Reduced Transaction Cost
• One can classify the costs associated with Motivation for Financial Innovation
transacting into two types: • There are two extreme views of financial innovation:
➢ Search costs in turn fall into 1. innovation represents efforts to
categories: Explicit Costs and Implicit circumvent (or “arbitrage”) regulation and
Costs. find loopholes to tax rules; or
o Explicit costs include 2. innovation provides more efficient
expenses that may be needed vehicles or processes for redistributing
to advertise one’s intention to risks among market participants. Many
sell or purchase a financial innovations ultimately result in greater
instrument; efficiencies.
o Implicit costs include the • The fundamental causes of financial innovation are:
value of time spent in locating a 1. increased volatility of interest rates,
counterparty to the transaction. inflation, exchange rates, and/or equity
The presence of some form of prices,
organized financial market 2. advances in computer and
reduces search costs. telecommunications technologies,
➢ Information costs are costs 3. greater sophistication and educational
associated with assessing a financial training of professional market
instrument’s investment attributes. In participants,
a price efficient market, prices reflect 4. financial intermediary competition,
the aggregate information collected 5. incentives to get around regulations
by all market participants. and/or tax laws,
6. changing global patterns of financial
wealth.
Financial Innovations
• The following classification system is more specific
and it was suggested by the Bank for International
Settlements:
1. price-risk transferring innovations,
2. credit-risk transferring instruments,
3. liquidity-generating innovations,
4. credit-generating instruments, and
5. equity-generating instruments.
Lesson 2 Time-Weighted Rate of Return
RISK AND RETURN THEORIES (PART I) commonly referred to as the geometric rate of return. It
measures the compounded rate of growth of the initial
There are various ways to measure portfolio returns: portfolio value during the performance evaluation period,
Portfolio Return for a given interval assuming that all cash distributions are reinvested in the
Arithmetic Average Rate of Return portfolio.
Time-Weighted Rate of Return
Dollar-Weighted Rate of Return
where
RT is the time-weighted rate of return
MEASURING INVESTMENT RETURN RPk and N are as defined earlier
where
Var(Rp) = portfolio variance
wi = percent of the portfolio invested in asset i
wj = percent of the portfolio invested in asset j
var(Ri) = variance of asset i
var(Rj) = variance of asset j
std(Ri) = standard deviation of asset i
std(Rj) = standard deviation of asset j
cor(Ri, Rj) = correlation between the return of assets i and
j
• An investor will want to hold one of the
portfolios which lie on the Markowitz
efficient frontier. The optimal (best)
The extension to three assets is as follows:
portfolio would depend upon the investor’s
preferences or utility as to tradeoff
Var(Rp)
between risk and expected return.
= var(Ri) + var(Rj) + var(Rk) + 2WiWj std(Ri) std(Rj) cor(Ri,
• Unfortunately, it is difficult to estimate an
Rj) + 2WiWk std(Ri) std(Rk) cor(Ri, Rk) + 2WkWj std(Rk)
investor’s utility function.
std(Rj) cor(Rk, Rj)
• Constructing Markowitz Efficient Portfolios THE MARKOWITZ EFFICIENT FRONTIER AND ASSET
• Feasible portfolio is any portfolio that can be CORRELATIONS
created • The lower the correlation between assets, the
• The collection of all feasible portfolios is the lower is the portfolio variance.
feasible set of portfolios. • When the Markowitz efficient frontier is drawn for
• An investor will choose the portfolio with the different correlations between assets, it is found
highest expected return for a given level of risk that the lower the correlation, the higher the
• That investor chosen portfolio with the highest expected return for a given level of risk.
return for a given level of risk is called a Markowitz • Given that the correlation between U.S. and
efficient portfolio foreign stocks is less than one, the Markowitz
• Mean-variance efficient portfolio is a Markowitz efficient frontier for portfolios which include U.S.
portfolio stocks and foreign stocks lies above the frontier
• The collection of all efficient portfolios is called the for portfolios which include only U.S. stocks. The
Markowitz efficient set of portfolios diversification benefit shifts the Markowitz efficient
frontier.
SUMMARY
• Portfolio theory explains how investors should
• While the theory proposes a normative theory of construct efficient portfolios
how investors should behave, it does not mean • Diversification reduces a portfolio’s risk without
that it is actually followed. sacrificing expected returns
• Asset Return Distribution and Risk Measures • Markowitz efficient portfolio has the highest
− The use of the normal probability distribution in expected return for a collection of feasible
finance does not appear to support the notion portfolios with the same level of risk
that asset return conform to that distribution • If the distribution is asymmetric then the standard
− The evidence suggests a non-symmetric deviation may be a poor measure of risk
distribution with fat or heavy tails • Behavioral finance assets that investor behavior
• Assault by the Behavioral Finance Theory Group is far different from that postulated in the standard
• Behavioral finance studies how psychology finance theory
affects investor decisions and the implications for
portfolio theory and valuation concern
ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS
Where:
wi = the proportion of portfolio market value represented
by security i
n = the number of securities
Estimating Beta Assumptions of the Arbitrage Pricing Theory
The beta of a security or portfolio can be estimated using
regression analysis on historical data.
The Security Market Line (SML) Consequences of the derivation of the APT Model
• Rebalancing of the portfolio does not change the
value of the original portfolio
• the expected rate of return equals the risk-free • It does change the future return of the portfolio
rate of return plus the product of the market price • It changes the total risk of the portfolio
or risk and the quantity of risk in the security
• The SML is analogous in that the CML is for a Comparison of the APT and the CAPM
portfolio and the SML is for an individual security If the only factor is market risk
• A more common version of the SML uses the Beta − Both theories imply investors are only
of a security and is known as the Capital Asset compensated for bearing systematic risk not
Pricing Model (CAPM) unsystematic risk
− The multifactor CAPM specifies one of these
The SML, CML, and the Market Model systematic risks is market risk
• In equilibrium the expected rates of return for − The APT is potentially testable
individual securities will lie on the SML and not the
CML due to the unsystematic risk that remains in
securities that can be diversified out of portfolios Factor Models in Practice
Tests of the Capital Asset Pricing Model Statistical Factor Models
• A major difficulty in testing the CAPM model is Using factor analysis a set of factor can be
that it is stated in terms of investor expectations identified that influence returns. May not have any
rather than in realized returns obvious ‘economic’ meaning and predicting
• Tests based on individual securities are not the outcomes may be difficult
most efficient method to estimate the risk/return
trade-off Macroeconomic Factor Models
Various economic factors are analyzed to
determine relationships to historical returns
THE MUTIFACTOR CAPM
• The CAPM assumes the only risk to the investor Fundamental Factor Models
is the future price of the security focuses on fundamental firm specific factors that
• Investors are concerned about their ability to may contribute to the returns of an individual firm.
consume goods and services in the future
• The multifactor CAPM is based on consumers
evaluating their optimal lifetime consumption KEY TAKEAWAYS (PRINCIPLES)
given extra-market sources of risk • Investors need to consider risk and return
• Decisions regarding adding an asset to the
ARBITRAGE PRICING THEORY MODEL portfolio consider the overall portfolio risk and not
• The APT is an alternative model to the multifactor just the risk of the added asset
CAPM and the CAPM • Risk is both systematic and unsystematic
• It is based purely on arbitrage arguments rather • Investors should only be compensated for bearing
than a general equilibrium in security markets systematic risk
SUMMARY
• In portfolio theory, once a risk-free asset is
introduced the new efficient frontier is the CML
• CAPM, an economic theory, asserts the only risk
priced by investors is systematic
• Beta is an index of systematic risk and is
estimated statistically
• The multifactor CAPM assumes extra market
risks not accounted for by CAPM
• APT is based solely on arbitrage arguments and
that the portfolio is influenced by several factors
• The theories may be controversial and difficult to
implement they do provide several principles to
assist in pricing
Lesson 4
PRIMARY AND SECONDARY MARKETS
PRIMARY MARKETS
Private Placement
Private placement differs from public offering of securities
− a private alternative to issuing, or selling, a publicly
offered security as a means for raising capital. In
a private placement, both the offering and sale of
debt or equity securities is made between a
business, or issuer, and a select number of
investors.
World capital markets integration and Fund-raising Potential parties to a trade include
implications • Natural buyers
• Completely segmented market − professionals and investors that have money, or
− No trading with other markets is permitted capital, to BUY securities.
• Completely integrated market − These securities can include common shares,
− No restrictions to trading with other markets preferred shares, bonds, derivatives, or a variety
• Mildly segmented market and Mildly integrated of other products that are issued by the Sell Side.
market • Natural sellers
− More like real world capital markets − professionals who represent corporations that
− Offers opportunities to raise funds at lower need to raise money by SELLING securities
cost outside of local market (hence the name "Sell Side").
− The Sell-Side mostly consists of banks, advisory
firms, or other firms that facilitate the selling of
securities on behalf of their clients.
Potential parties to a trade include Secondary Market Trading Mechanics
• Brokers • Market orders to buy or sell at best available price
• Dealers • Limit orders designate what price to buy or sell
o Buy limit orders at price or below
o Sell limit orders at price or higher
Order-Driven Market all participants are natural • Short selling selling borrowed securities not
buyers and natural sellers with no dealer acting as owned at time of sale to be purchased later and
an intermediary returned
• Buying on margin borrows to buy securities
Quote-Driven Market is where the price is using them as collateral
determined by the dealer based on prevailing
market conditions
❖ Call money funds to buy stock can be borrowed from
broker who borrows from banks
Types of Order-Driven Markets ❖ Margin requirements is what the investor must pay in
• Continuous Order-Driven Market prices are cash and is set by the Federal Reserve
determined throughout the day ❖ Margin call if the equity price falls more cash will be
• Periodic Call Auction orders are batched required to meet margin
together for simultaneous execution at
preannounced times
• Periodic Call Auction an auctioneer tentatively Role of Brokers and Dealers in Real Markets
announces prices and participants decide if they • Brokers receive, transmit and execute orders and
are willing to buy/ sell and what price are agents for buyers/ sellers
• Sealed Bid/ Ask Auction bid-ask prices and • Dealers keep inventories of securities and supply
quantities the participant is willing to transact continuity and relieve temporary market
imbalances
Trading Locations
• Exchanges Market Efficiency
o Traded products are approved by exchange • Operational efficiency exists when trading costs
and are "listed products" occur at lowest available transaction cost
o National (e.g. New York Stock Exchange) • Pricing efficiency refers to a market where prices
o Regional ( e.g. Midwest, Pacific) fully reflect all available and relevant information
• Over-the-counter (OTC)
o Where non-exchanged products are traded Transaction Costs
• Brokerage commissions
Perfect Markets • Custodial and transfer fees
• Large numbers of buyers and sellers so that all are • Execution costs
price takers not price setters o Market impact bid-ask spread and price
• The market price is set by the law of supply and extraction
demand o Market timing costs adverse price
• Should be no transaction costs or market frictions movement during the transaction
SUMMARY
• Primary market is for new issues
• Shelf registration allows intent to sell securities at
various times within three years
• Secondary market outstanding assets are traded
among investors
• Secondary markets provide various services to
investors
• Investors may place different types of buy and sell
orders with brokers
• Short selling occurs when an investor expects the
price to fall, sells the security then purchases it
after the price decline
• Because of market imperfections the investor
needs the services of dealers and brokers