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PROJECT MANAGEMENT - CHAPTER FOUR ➢Needs of the client are secondary and are

What is a project? responded to slowly


MATRIX PROJECT
• A series of related jobs, usually directed toward
some major output and requiring a significant • A blend of pure and functional project structures –
period of time to perform. people from different functional areas work on the
project, possibly only part-time.
What is project management? • Advantages
• Planning, directing, and controlling resources ➢ A team member can work on several projects
(people, equipment, material, etc.) to meet the ➢ Technical expertise maintained in functional
technical, cost, and time constraints of the project. area
Why is project management important? ➢ Functional area is “home” after project
completed
• At the highest levels of an organization, ➢ Critical mass of specialized knowledge
management often involves juggling a portfolio of • Disadvantages
projects. ➢ Aspects of the project that are not directly
TYPES OF DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS related to the functional area get short-
changed
➢ Motivation of team members is often weak
➢ Needs of the client are secondary and are
responded to slowly

DEFINING THE PROJECT

Statement of Work - A written description of the objectives


to be achieved
Task - A further subdivision of a project – usually shorter
than several months and performed by a single group or
organization
Work Package - A group of activities combined to be
assignable to a single organizational unit
PROJECT STRUCTURE
Project Milestone - Specific events in the life of the project
PURE PROJECT
Work Breakdown Structure - Defines the hierarchy of
• A self-contained team works full-time on the project tasks, subtasks, and work packages
project.
Activities - Pieces of work that consume time
• Advantages
➢ The project manager has full authority
➢ Team members report to one boss WORK BREAKDOWN STRUCTURE EXAMPLE
➢ Shortened communication lines
➢ Team pride, motivation, and commitment are
high
• Disadvantages
➢ Duplication of resources
➢ Organizational goals and policies are ignored
➢ Lack of technology transfer
➢ Team members have no functional area
"home"
FUNCTIONAL PROJECT
WORK BREAKDOWN STRUCTURE – LARGE OPTICAL
• Responsibility for the project lies within one SCANNER DESIGN
functional area of the firm. Employees from that
area work on the project, usually only part-time.
• Advantages
➢ A team member can work on several projects
➢ Technical expertise maintained in functional
area
➢ Functional area is “home” after project
completed
➢ Critical mass of specialized knowledge
• Disadvantages
➢ Aspects of the project that are not directly
related to the functional area get short-
changed
➢ Motivation of team members is often weak
NETWORK-PLANNING MODELS THE BETA DISTRIBUTION
• A project is made up of a sequence of activities • is a continuous probability distribution that is
that form a network representing a project. defined on the interval [0, 1].
• The path taking longest time through this network • It is often used to model random variables that
of activities is called the “critical path.” represent proportions or probabilities, especially
• The critical path provides a wide range of when the outcomes are bounded by a fixed
scheduling information useful in managing a interval.
project. • The probability density function (PDF) of the Beta
• Critical path method (CPM) helps to identify the distribution is defined as follows:
critical path(s) in the project networks • f(x; α, β) = (x^(α-1) * (1-x)^(β-1)) / B(α, β)
CRITICAL PATH METHOD (CPM) Where:
❖ x is the random variable that takes values
• Identify each activity to be done and estimate how between 0 and 1.
long it will take. ❖ α and β are shape parameters, which
• Determine the required sequence and construct a determine the shape of the distribution.
network diagram. ❖ B(α, β) is the beta function, a
• Determine the critical path. normalization constant that ensures the
• Determine the early start/finish and late start/finish total area under the curve equals 1.
schedule.
Example 4.1 – Identify Activities and Construct Network KEY CHARACTERISTICS OF THE BETA DISTRIBUTION:
1. Support: The Beta distribution is defined on the
interval [0, 1], which makes it suitable for modeling
probabilities, proportions, and other quantities that
are bounded between 0 and 1.
2. Shape Parameters: The two shape parameters, α
and β, determine the shape of the distribution.
When α = β = 1, the Beta distribution is a uniform
distribution, meaning all values between 0 and 1
are equally likely. Varying α and β can make the
distribution more skewed or peaked.
3. Symmetry: The Beta distribution is symmetric if α
Determine Early Start/Early Finish and Late Start/Late = β, which means that the distribution is centered
Finish Schedule around 0.5.
4. Asymmetric: When α and β have different values,
the distribution becomes asymmetric, with the
mode (peak) shifting toward the parameter with the
higher value.
5. Mean and Variance: The mean (μ) and variance
(σ^2) of the Beta distribution are calculated as
follows:
μ = α / (α + β)
σ^2 = (α * β) / ((α + β)^2 * (α + β + 1))
CPM WITH ACTIVITY TIME ESTIMATES 6. Applications: The Beta distribution is widely used
• When activity times vary, a single time estimate in various fields, including Bayesian statistics,
may not be reliable. finance, quality control, and modeling probabilities
• Instead, estimate three values of success and failure.
➢ Minimum
➢ Maximum The Beta Distribution
➢ Most likely • In Bayesian statistics, the Beta distribution is often
• This allows calculation of a probability estimate of used as a conjugate prior for modeling the
completion time. probability of success in binomial or Bernoulli trials.
• This is the distinguishing characteristic of the This means that when updated with observed data,
PERT method. the posterior distribution remains a Beta
PERT Method Calculations distribution, which simplifies the Bayesian
inference process.
• Overall, the Beta distribution is a versatile tool in
probability and statistics for modeling random
variables that are constrained to a specific range,
particularly when dealing with proportions or
probabilities.
Example 4.2 - Three Time Estimates • It is often referred to as “crashing” the project to
reduce overall duration.
PROJECT CRASHING
• Prepare a CPM-type network diagram.
• Determine the cost per unit of time to expedite
each activity.
• Compute the critical path.
• Shorten the critical path at the point where costs
are lowest.
• Plot project, indirect, and total cost curves to find
the minimum-cost schedule.
Example 4.2 - Network with Time Estimates Example 4.3 – Project Crashing

Determine Early Start/Early Finish and Late Start/Late


Finish Schedule Example 4.3 – Project Crashing

Example 4.2 – Three Time Estimates


Probability of finishing in 35 weeks (or less)
MANAGING RESOURCES
• In addition to scheduling tasks, resources must
also be assigned to specific tasks.
• Software can be used to spot over-allocation.
➢ Planned use exceeds available supply
• When resources are over-allocated, either more
resources are required or rescheduling is
necessary.
➢ Taking advantage of task slack can free
Example 4.2 – Three Time Estimates resources
Probability of finishing in 35 weeks (or less) is about 19% PROJECT CONTROL CHARTS
• Charts provide an easily understood visual
presentation.
• Software can be used to create the charts.
• Gantt charts show, in a graphic manner, the
amount of time involved and the sequence of
activities. Often referred to as a bar chart.
PROJECT REPORT SAMPLES

TIME-COST MODELS AND PROJECT CRASHING


• A time-cost model extends the CPM model to
consider the trade-off between time required to
complete an activity and total project cost.
➢ Considers direct activity costs, indirect costs of
project, and activity completion times
BCWS = $18K + $10K + $16K + $6K = $50K
EARNED VALUE MANAGEMENT (EVM)
• A technique for measuring project progress in an Example 4.4 – Budgeted Cost of Work Performed
objective manner (BCWP)
• Has the ability to combine measurements of scope, Activity A – 100% of $18K = $18K
schedule, and cost in a project Activity B – 80% of $10K = $8K
• Provides a method for evaluating the relative Activity C – 70% of $20K = $14K
success of a project at a point in time Activity D – 0% of $40K = $0K
BCWP = $18K + $8K + $14K + $0K = $40K
EARNED VALUE MANAGEMENT – ESSENTIAL
FEATURES Example 4.4 – Performance Measures
• A project plan that identifies the activities to be
accomplished
• A valuation of each activity work
• Predefined earning or costing rules to quantify the
accomplishment of work

EARNED VALUE MANAGEMENT CHARTS

Project Management: Information Systems


• Check out the website of the Project Management
Institute (www.pmi.org).
• Two of the leading companies are Microsoft, with
Microsoft Project, and Primavera, with Primavera
Project Planner.
• The Microsoft Project program comes with an
PROJECT TRACKING WITHOUT EVM excellent online tutorial, which is one reason for its
• A simple comparison of just costs versus budget overwhelming popularity with project managers
does not tell the whole story. tracking midsized projects.
• For managing very large projects or programs
PROJECT TRACKING WITH EVM having several projects, Primavera Project Planner
• With predefined methods of quantifying the is often the choice. Primavera was the first major
quantity of work accomplished, EVM provides vendor of this type of software and has possibly the
much more information. most sophisticated capability.
• With predefined methods of quantifying the
quantity of work accomplished, EVM provides Other Capabilities of the Software
much more information. • In addition to scheduling tasks, a major capability
• A combined view gives an overview of project of all these software packages is assigning
performance in terms of the original plan. resources to competing tasks and projects.
• For example, the systems can schedule back labor
Example 4.4 – Earned Value Management and equipment for a project.
• Mid- to high-level project management information
systems (PMIS) software can also resolve over-
allocations through a “leveling” feature. Several
rules of thumb can be used such as:
• You can specify that low-priority tasks should be
delayed until higher-priority ones are complete
• Or that the project should end before or after the
original deadline, etc.

Example 4.4 – Budgeted Cost of Work Scheduled


(BCWS)
Activity A – 100% of $18K = $18K
Activity B – 100% of $10K = $10K
Activity C – 80% of $20K = $16K
Activity D – 15% of $40K = $6K

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