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Indias Developmentrecordunder BJP
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Raju J Das
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The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) won the 2014 general election partly by promising
development or vikas. On May 25, 2018, Mr. Modi, India’s Prime Minister and the supreme
leader of BJP with a unique ability to connect to certain sections of the public, said this on
Twitter: ‘On this day in 2014, we began our journey of working towards India’s transformation’.
He added: ‘Over the last four years, development had become a vibrant mass movement, with
every citizen feeling involved in India’s growth trajectory. 125 crore Indians are taking India to
One should ask, and many are asking: To what extent has development really happened under
the BJP government?; how has India been transformed? Using online content from media and
national and international institutions, this article empirically examines India’s development
under the BJP regime, in terms of its economic and social-political aspects, in what I will call
‘Modinopolitics’ (economics and politics of Mr. Modi and his ‘team’) working?
The paper has 5 sections. In section 1, I discuss the economic development record of the BJP
government. In sections 2 and 3, I show how the ultra-rich are gaining enormously, and how the
2
poorer segments are, more or less, losing under this government, respectively. In section 4, I
show the government’s record of political development, including democracy and social
harmony. In section 5, I summarize the discussion, and comment on the government’s publicity
8
Economic Growth Rate %
for common
Figure 1: Economic Growth Rate 2014-2017
Data Source https://www.statista.com/statistics/263617/gross-domestic-product-gdp-growth-rate-
people than one where it is in-india
not rising. There is little to suggest that economic growth has been stellar during the 2014-2017
period (even if the calculation of GDP has been mired in controversy) (Figure 1). If anything, the
numbers have declined. This is thanks to not only the regressive GST which has hurt small-scale
producers, but also to demonetization the logic of which has not yet been clear. It should be
noted that the government has kept on changing its own explanation of its policy of demon-
by reducing cash use, etc.), and that the failure of the policy has not been admitted
3
by the government. Could it be that: this policy was introduced on behalf of, and at the behest of,
a segment of the capitalist class that deals in e-technologies or e-transactions, but was justified in
In any case, the lacklustre performance in terms of economic growth is in spite of the fact that
the new government, installed in May 2014, enjoyed three advantages: a recovering global
economy post 2008 crisis, and falling oil prices, due to which the country received a bonanza of
6 lakh crores in revenue; as well, the government has also had an absolute majority in the
parliament. ii
8
% Growth in
2
achieved some success.
0
2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018
The number of electrified
Years
people in a newly electrified village have access to electricity: only 7.3% of the villages newly
electrified under the new government have 100% household connectivity.iii A village may be
4
connected to the electricity power grid but there may not be power for most of the day, and even
if there is power, all villagers may not be able to afford to buy power. Also note that: the rate of
Similarly, while 36 million LPG connections have been issued over the last two years under the
Ujjwala scheme, this is not reflected in the consumption of cooking fuel. The rate of increase in
consumption of LPG is not rising (Figure 3). This is in part because people cannot afford the gas
on a continuous basis as compared to kerosene and firewood. Millions of families who have an
11
9
been given a connection by
8
the government -- do not
7
are not given free gas: they Figure 3: Percentage Growth in LPG (Cooking Gas) Consumption 2014-2018
Data Source: https://thewire.in/government/narendra-modi-government-four-years-schemes
of Hingways
Rural Roads
36000
8000
35800
generally positive: 4410 7000
35600
6000 35400
kms in 2014-2015 and 5000 35200
4000 35000
almost 10,000 kms in 2017- 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018
Years
2018 (Figure 4). Of course,
Construction (in kms) of highways Rural roads
construct 41 kms a day, the actual achievement has been no more than 23 kms per day. Building
on the good work done by the previous regime, the new government has enhanced rural
connectivity. 120,000 kms of rural roads were built in 2014-17 period, and this is a remarkable
achievement, but it is a false claim made by BJP that this achievement is an all- time high:v One
should also note that the pace of rural road construction has not shown any increasing trend
Development is more than about an increase in income/wealth (artha). It is more than about an
increased availability of bijli, sadak and pani, although all these are necessary. Development is a
which takes into account income as well as education and health conditions. On the human
development front, India has not made any progress under the BJP government (Figure 5).
6
0.624 130
0.622
125
0.62
120
Score
Rank
0.618
115
0.616
110
0.614
0.612 105
0.61 100
2014 2015 2016
Score Rank
The BJP government has emphasized the importance of development in the form of: sabka saath
and sabka vikas, or in other words, inclusive development. Inclusive development is a laudable
goal. But does the government promote this? Luckily, there is a new development index that
seeks to capture this interesting idea. Designed by the World Economic Forum as an alternative
to GDP, the Inclusive Development Index (IDI) reflects more closely the criteria by which
people evaluate their countries’ economic progress. The IDI index is based on: growth and
development (GDP per capita; labour productivity; life expectancy and employment); inclusion
(median household income; income and wealth inequality, and poverty rate); and
intergenerational equity and sustainability (public debt level; carbon intensity of GDP, etc.).vi
India’s IDI score was 3.38 in 2017 and slipped to 3.09 in 2018 (Norway, the top country, has a
score of 6.08) (Figure 6). Among the developing economies, India’s IDI rank was 60 in 2017 and
it slipped to 62 in 2018.
7
Another alternative indicator of development is the Happiness Index, which is based on the
values for six of the key variables that have been found to support well-being: income, healthy
life expectancy, social support, freedom, trust, and generosity.vii Out of a total possible score of
10, India’s score has been shrinking (Figure 7). Its rank (1 = best) is also going down among the
community of nations: its rank was 122 in 2017, and it slipped 11 places to 133 in 2018 (not
3.2
Score
4.4
3.15
3.1 4.3
3.05 4.2
3
2.95 4.1
2.9 4
2017 2018 2014 2015 2016 2017
Years Years
The Winners under the BJP regime: achhe din (= good times) for the ultra-rich
The government is generally doing a good job for the business class, which played a critical role
in installing it, including through secretive election funding and the dissemination of pro-BJP
ideas through a compliant and communalizing media controlled by this class. The Ease of Doing
Business Index, which indicates improvement in the business environment in terms of whether
regulations for business activities, including labour-related regulations, are simpler (read: mainly
8
pro-business) and whether their property rights are well protected: India’s rank has increased
from 142 in 2015 to 130 in 2017 and 100 in 2018 (Figure 8). The fact that the business class is
benefitting from the government is also indicated by the fact that India’s stock markets have
been doing rather well during its tenure. More than any other section of the population, it is the
90
100
110
Rank
120
130
140
150
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Years
In the context of increasing ease of doing business, one should consider the fact that the ultra-
nationalist government has been selling off the wealth of the nation itself (e.g. public sector
enterprises) to the business class, with an increased zeal, relative to the previous government
(Figure 9). It is also privatizing or keen to privatize the nation’s natural resources (e.g. forests).
9
100,000.00
80,000.00
Rs. Crore
60,000.00
40,000.00
20,000.00
0.00
2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018
Years
It is also giving away the nation’s financial resources in the form of loans from public-sector
banks to the private sector.ix The loans issued from nationalized banks are becoming non-
performing assets (NPAs) (Figure 10). The BJP government, like the previous one, continues to
write-off loans (i.e. financial resources of the public) that the big business owes to public-sector
banks (Figure 11), and the number of write-offs has increased by almost 2 times between 2014
and 2016. While this is done quietly, any talk of loan waivers to farmers in distress becomes a
big noisy issue and is seen as a threat to India’s global credit-worthiness by the rating agencies
and others. ‘The chief economic advisor [says] that writing off bad loans of the corporate sector
700,000 75,000
70,000
600,000
Rs. Crore
65,000
Rs Crore
500,000
60,000
400,000
55,000
300,000 50,000
200,000 45,000
Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017
Years Years
Figure 10: Public Sector Banks’ Gross NPAs in Rs. Crore Figure 11: Loan Write-Offs (Rs. Crore) 2014-2017
2014-2017 Data Source: http://indianexpress.com/article/business/banking-
Data Source: https://www.firstpost.com/business/bank-npa- and-finance/psu-banks-write-off-rs-55356-crore-in-six-months-
trend-in-7-charts-bad-loans-at-state-run-banks-may-be- bad-debt-4966594/
peaking-select-private-peers-see-rise-4218813.html
And the story of the transfer of nation’s resources to the ultra-rich – the story of the loot assisted
by the nationalist government -- does not end there. The government’s watch on capitalists is so
relaxing that thousands of bank frauds are allowed to happen (at the rate of one fraud every 2
hours in the last 5 years since 2013), costing the nation billions of rupees (Figures 12-13). Bank
frauds, more or less, mean that the ultra-rich, who are mainly of the business class, including
those who are politically well-connected and who can even mingle with the leaders of the nation
at home and abroad, are allowed to milk the nation’s banks, at the expense of the public.
The period from 2013 to March 1, 2018 saw as many as 23,866 cases of fraud, of 1 lakh rupees
or above in each case. A total of 1,00,718 crore rupees was involved in all the cases put together
(Hindu, 2018).
11
Amount of
4700
4600 15000
4500
4400 10000
4300
4200 5000
4
8
01
01
01
01
01
01
01
01
01
01
-2
-2
-2
-2
-2
-2
-2
-2
-2
-2
13
14
15
16
17
13
14
15
16
17
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
Years Years
In early 2015, the total size of bad loans (gross NPA) in the banking sector was around Rs 3.2
lakh crore. This amount jumped to 8.41 lakh crores on December 2017. The total size of bad
loans has now (mid-2018) ballooned to nearly Rs 10 lakh crores, 3 times more than 2015. The
banking sector woes have ‘caused a collapse in availability of credit to industry which then
spiraled into low investment by the private sector and consequently low fixed capital formation’
(Chakravarty, 2018).xi One can also say that when the nationalized banks’ resources dry up in the
fraudulent way that they are, these banks’ ability to serve the ordinary people (both in terms of
That is not all. Failing to recover tax dues from corporates, the Income Tax (IT) department is
sitting on a pile of Rs. 50,000 crore of tax arrears. The IT Department has now started writing off
thousands of crores of tax arrears by corporate defaulters on the ground that their economic
health is not sound.xiii This is yet another form of corporate loot of the nation.
Whether one considers the write-off of tax arrears or of the loans owed to public sector banks by
the business class or whether one considers the sale by the government of society’s natural
resources (land and forests) to this class, all this is simply a form of a loot: the business world
takes something from society without giving it the equivalent. If Britain looted Rs 91 lakh crores
at current rates over 300 years from India,xiv one can compare very well the amount of loot of
India’s resources by the Indian (and foreign) capitalist class, fully assisted by politicians and
welfare for the corporates. The government-assisted loot of society’s resources by the business-
world discussed earlier can be seen as this package. The package also includes the fact that the
government has anti-labour policies (e.g. allowing employers to hire and fire freely; not
increasing minimum wages, using coercive forces to break unions and social resistance, and so
on) by virtue of which corporates are allowed to super-exploit workers by paying them minimal
wages, in order to swell their profits. So, the government’s and BJP’s promise of sabka saath
It is indeed not surprising therefore that: the number of dollar billionaires in India was 109 in
2014, and this number has increased to 136 in 2017 (Figure 14). The new regime has made little
difference to the continuing tendency towards the concentration of net wealth. This is further
confirmed by the fact that: in 2014, there were 230 individuals on the Hurun India rich list
compared to 617 in 2017 (with a cut-off of Rupees 1000 crores) (Figure 15).
135 600
Number of People in the List
130 500
Dollar Billionaires
125 400
No. of
120 300
115 200
110 100
105 0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2014 2015 2016 2017
Years Years
Figure 14: Number of U.S. Dollar Billionaires in India 2014- Figure 15: Number of People in the Huron Indian Rich List 2014-
2017 2017
Data Source: https://www.statista.com/statistics/324237/india- Data Source:
number-of-billionaires/ http://www.hurun.net/EN/Article/Details?num=1F570C35BCA2
Many super-rich individuals have black money abroad; given the strong ties between the
government and the business class (including through secretive electoral funding whose secretive
nature the current government protects), the government’s promise to bring back black money
and to deposit 15 lakhs in every citizen’s account, like many other promises (one of Mr. Modi’s
14
statements was ‘I have decided if you bless me and give me the opportunity I will bring back all
One should note that the business class (or the ultra-rich stratum), and the political class (law-
makers/politicians) very well overlap: the ultra-rich become politicians, and politicians become
the ultra-rich. According to the Association for Democratic Reforms (ADR): ‘the average assets
of the 46-member Council of Ministers [which was sworn in 2014] is Rs. 13.47 crore...Of the 44
ministers analysed, 40 (91 percent) are crore patis’. Note that more than 92% of Indians have
assets that are worth Rs. 600,000 or less. ADR further reveals: ‘Four of Modi's ministers have
80
1% has continued to 75
70
grow under the BJP 65
60
55
government: from 49%
50
45
to 58.4% (Figure 16).
40
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
The richest people are
Top 1% Top 10%
increasing their share of
Figure 16: Share of India’s Wealth Held by Top 1% and 10% 2012-2016
Data Source: https://www.livemint.com/Money/MML9OZRwaACyEhLzUNImnO/The-
the nation’s wealth faster richest-1-of-Indians-now-own-584-of-wealth.html
Wealth is, ultimately, generated on the basis of labour of common people who have to work for
others for a wage/salary and who receive only a small part of what they produce, and on the basis
of the use of nation’s natural resources. Now, in 2017, a whopping 73 percent of the new wealth
generated went to the richest one percent of the nation’s population. In the last 12 months the
wealth of this elite group increased by Rupees 20,913 billion. This amount is equivalent to total
budget of Central Government in 2017-18. Indian billionaires accumulated Rs. 4891 billion in
the last year only.xvi Under Mr. Modi’s rule, the ultra-rich have become richer. In 2013-14, the
last year before Modi took over, corporate profits were Rs 3.95 lakh crore. By 2016-17, with Mr.
Modi’s saath (help), corporates have experienced real vikas: corporate profits had risen by nearly
23% to reach Rs 4.85 lakh crore in 2016-17 (ibid.). It is not just wealth that is being unequally
distributed. Income is being unequally distributed as well: the share of the richest 1% of Indians
The Losers under the BJP regime: not-so-achhe-din for the majority
The vast majority of people depend on wage-employment for a significant part of their income.
The situation with respect to unemployment and wages has not been satisfactory at all (Figures
17-18). The situation is grave, if one considers the number of the unemployed along with that of
the under-employed,xvii and those, including millions of women, who have left the labour force
because of their failure to get a job. The unemployment situation is a far cry from the promise
made by the government, of 10 million jobs every year. According to IndiaSpend on an average
2.13 lakh jobs have been created every year in the 2014-2017 period.
16
5
Unemployment Rate (%)
4.5
3.5
3
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Years
According to the third Mood of the Nation survey conducted in May 2018 by Lokniti-CSDS-
ABP News, one in every four voters saw lack of jobs as the biggest problem facing the country,
and nearly three in every five voters (57%) said that finding jobs in their area has become more
xviii
difficult during the last 3-4 years; this figure was 49% in January 2018.
The promise of creation of self-employment through schemes such as the Mudra Yojana which
provides small loans to small-business people is simply deceptive: the average amount of loan
has been less than Rupees 50,000; with such a small amount one can never set up an enterprise
that will generate revenue for a family to lead a life beyond poverty. Barely 1% of all mudra
A person’s economic living standard, if one is a wage-earner, depends, more or less, on the
number hours/days she/he is employed and the wages he/she receive per hour/day. Not only are
employment opportunities scarce (and precarious). Wages (both nominal or real – inflation-
adjusted -- wages) also remain low, and show little sign of improvement under the new
government. Wages for the low-skilled workers have indeed been falling (Figure 18). The
remuneration for wage-workers (and the self-employed) are just not enough for them to lead a
decent life.
13000
12000
11000
10000
2015 2016 2017 2018
Years
Almost 7 out of 10 Indians live in villages. The rural people dependent on casual labour are
among the neediest. In part due to the pressure of the Left the previous government had started a
massive rural employment creation programme (MGNREGS). How has the BJP government
treated this programme? The job-creation for the rural poor has been almost stagnant in the last
18
couple of years after an initial increase, and the investment on this programme has been
210
Rs. Crore
200 40000
Rs. Crore
190
35000
180
170
30000
160
5
8
01
01
01
01
25000
-2
-2
-2
-2
14
15
16
17
2014-2015 2016-2017
20
20
20
20
Years Years
Figure 19: Stagnation in Person Days of Work Generated Under Figure 20: Relative Stagnation in the Amount of Investment
MGNREGS (Rs. Crore) 2014-2018 in MGNREGS 2014-2018
Data Source: Data Sources: http://www.business-
https://www.livemint.com/Politics/FjrVGh1J7DVAQGn4tzrQlL standard.com/article/current-affairs/budget-2018-was-modi-
/Record-government-expenditure-on-MGNREGS-underlines- govt-s-funding-boost-to-mgnrega-in-2017-an-eyewash-
rural-di.html 118012900238_1.html;
https://www.firstpost.com/business/union-budget-2018-
highest-funding-allocated-to-mgnrega-in-2017-yet-56-wages-
were-delayed-4324809.html;
https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/economy/budg
et-2018-jaitley-allocates-rs-55000-crore-mgnrega-
2491319.html
Note that the 48,000 crore allocation in 2017-18 which appears to be higher than the previous
year’s allocation, actually includes pending liabilities from last year, estimated at Rs 10,778
crore. Note also that this allocation ‘is barely 53% of what is required to meet the States’ for
work under MGNREGA’. xx The rural employment program is not generating enough
40
35
30
25
20
15
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Years
Figure 21: Average Person days per Households under MGNREGS 2010-2016
Data Source: https://www.rbi.org.in/Scripts/PublicationsView.aspx?id=18117#C7
Note: numbers for 2010, 2011 and 2012 are estimates.
According to a recent RBI reportxxi, rural wage labourers experienced a high wage growth rate
between 2007 and 2013 (partly thanks to the better effectivity of the rural employment program),
but the growth rate in rural wages came down during the 2014-2018 period, in part because the
momentum of the employment program has been dampened. xxii More specifically, between
October 2013 and October 2013, rural wages (in nominal terms) increased by 15%, but the wage
growth between 2014 and 2017 has significantly come down to about a third of this rate xxiii
(Figure 22).
20
13
11
(Nominal)
3
2007-2013 Average Oct-15 Oct-16 Oct-17
Years
Given the highly dissatisfactory situation with respect to employment and wage growth, it is not
surprising that while income and wealth are getting concentrated in the hands of a few (top 1-
10%) under the BJP regime, the bottom half (or indeed a section that is larger than the bottom
half) is not doing that well. Under Mr. Modi, while the rich have become richer, the poor have
become, more or less, poorer, or are not doing much better. For example, in 2017, more than
70% of the new wealth generated went to the richest one percent of the population, as mentioned
above, while the vast majority (670 million Indians comprising the poorest half of the
population) saw just 1% increase in their wealth. While the richest 10% of Indians control 80.7%
of nation’s wealth in 2016, and the richest 1% control 58.4% of nation’s wealth, consider the fact
that the bottom half owns a mere 2.1%.xxiv While the trend of increasing inequality preceded the
Modi regime, the control of the ultra-rich over the nation’s wealth has increased faster after
21
2014. With the ultra-rich doing as well as they are, there is no sign of the relative position of the
The worsening economic situation of the majority is expressed in many ways. When the
unemployment situation is not satisfactory, when wages are not rising fast, it is not surprising
that millions cannot meet their basic needs. According to the Lokniti May 2018 survey, referred
to earlier, the percentage of voters who are not able to fulfil all of their needs and face some or
much difficulty has increased from 53% to 67%, just between Jan 2018 and May 2018.
Rank
25 80
70
hunger is rampant. The Global 20
60
15 50
Hunger Index (GHI) study 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Years
combines indicators that measure
Score Rank
the extent of undernourishment in
Figure 23: Global Hunger Index 2014-2017
Score out of 100; 100 = worst
the population and the extent of Data Source: http://www.ifpri.org/previous-global-hunger-index-ghi-reports
undernourishment and mortality of children under five. The GHI index ranks countries on a 100-
point scale, with 0 being the best score (no hunger) and 100 being the worst, although neither of
these extremes is reached in practice (Figure 23). The hunger index and scores for India are
getting worse.
22
Another way in which the worsening situation of the vast majority is expressed is the agrarian
crisis. There is little sign of the agrarian distress being mitigated: over the 2014-2016 period
only, no fewer than 36,362 farm-dependent people have committed suicide (i.e. 2 cases of
suicide every hour). These numbers generally exclude women. Not getting a remunerative price
People do not live by chawal and daal alone. They need freedom. Mrs. Indira Gandhi probably
did not understand this in the 1970s when she declared emergency. She and her party paid a
price. How has India been doing under the BJP government in terms of political freedom?
vikas, patriotism, nationalism, Hindu pride, etc., which complements a war on the living
Consider the ‘Democracy Index’. This index is based on five categories: electoral process and
pluralism; civil liberties; the functioning of government; political participation; and political
culture. Based on their scores (on a scale of 0 to 10, where 10 = best) on a range of indicators
within these categories, each country is given a score. Although there is still a democratic
tradition in India, the degree of the country’s democratic character is shrinking, as seen in
changes in this index (Figure 24). A free press is an important part of democracy. The degree of
press freedom is, more or less, decreasing (Figure 25). This is corroborated by the assault on
23
journalists who dare to speak the truth and to criticize wrong actions/thinking of the government
Score
7.6
Score
7.5 42
7.4 42.5
7.3 43
7.2
43.5
7.1 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
7 Year
2014 2015 2016 2017
Years Score
Figure 24: Democracy Index 2014-2017 Figure 25: Press Freedom Index 2014-2018
Score is out of 10; higher score = greater freedom. Score out of 100. A smaller score on the report = greater
Data Source: freedom of the press as reported by the organisation.
https://www.sudestada.com.uy/Content/Articles/421a313a- Data Source: https://rsf.org/en/ranking/2018
d58f-462e-9b24-2504a37f6b56/Democracy-index-2014.pdf; https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/rest-of-world/In-
https://www.yabiladi.com/img/content/EIU-Democracy- world-press-freedom-index-India-ranks-
Index-2015.pdf; http://felipesahagun.es/wp- 133rd/articleshow/51941837.cms
content/uploads/2017/01/Democracy-Index-2016.pdf https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/press-freedom-is-
india-in-decline/articleshow/64009855.cms
The new government has been promising good governance. Connected to this promise is the rule
of law. The graph on rule of law presents WJP (World Justice Project)’s Rule of Law Index.
Based on more than 110,000 household and 3,000 expert surveys, the index measures the rule of
law across eight factors: constraints on Government Powers, Absence of Corruption, Open
Government, Fundamental Rights, Order and Security, Regulatory Enforcement, Civil Justice,
and Criminal Justice. Scores range from 0 to 1, with 1 indicating the strongest adherence to the
rule of law. Countries are ranked on the basis of scores: higher the rank, the worse the rule of
24
law. Among the 113 countries ranked in 2017-2018, India’s rank is 62, indicating a bad situation
in terms of rule of law. There is very little improvement in the score for the rule of law.
The new government had promised to eliminate corruption through increasing public awareness,
e-governance, etc. What is the reality? Corruption is reduced when, other things constant,
common people have the freedom to keen an eye on politicians (esp. of the ruling party) and
government officials. A society where the rule of law is not well adhered to and where there is a
threat to freedom of press (Figure 25) and secular civil society organizations, from right-wing
violent mobs and from the state institutions steeped with right-wing ideas, such a society will
Rank
78
where 0 is highly corrupt 38.5
76
38 74
and 100 is very clean. 37.5 72
37 70
2014 2015 2016 2017
Years
In 2015, the score was 38. India is among the “worst offenders” in terms of graft and press
freedom in the Asia Pacific region, according to Transparency International. Since 2015, India’s
world ranking in terms of corruption has been getting worse (Figure 26). India’s corruption level
in the public sector seems to be not getting better, in spite of the government’s promise to
As far as everyday corruption is concerned, a survey -- by the Centre for Media Studies -- reports
in 2017 that 43 per cent of households feel that the level of corruption has increased in the
preceding year. This is petty corruption, something that households face in their day-to-day life.
At the top, secretive election funding by corporates (through electoral bonds), a policy that is
promoted by BJP, is a major form of corruption made legal: a company will not give millions to
a ruling party and/or provide material and ideological-social support to its vote-garnering forces
buy an entire policy package, and not just this or that specific intervention on behalf of a
company (e.g. buying a piece of government land for less than the market price by paying some
politicians and officers a lot of money), and when an entire policy is bought, that is corruption
but is not seen as that. It is quite likely that the total donations to BJP controlling the current
government are several times the donations to all the other parties put together. One of the best
ways to show that a party is non-corrupt is for it to tell the public who is funding it and how
much, and better, to introduce a policy of state funding of elections. BJP will not do either. In
fact, it has made it impossible that the money that came for the 2014 elections can be
investigated.
A society that does not respect the rights of women and children is a society with which there is
something terribly wrong. In this context, one may want to seriously reflect on the fact that
number of crimes committed against women and children in big cities has been increasing under
Similarly, the dalits, who, like the aboriginal people (India’s Adivasis), are a group that need the
most amount of respect from the nation: as workers (and as petty producers) they are most
exploited, and as ordinary citizens, they are most oppressed. Instead of ensuring their dignity,
society is increasingly violent against them, because their views and practices may not conform
to those of the upper-caste elite which supports the government. The number of crimes
committed against dalits in big cities has been rising since 2014 (Figure 28).
1610
41,000 18,000
1590
(Dalits or Untouchables)
40,500 17,500
1570
40,000 17,000
1550
39,500 16,500
1530
Figure 27: Atrocities/Crimes against Women and Children in Figure 28: Atrocities/Crimes against Scheduled Castes in
Metropolitan Cities 2014-2016 Metropolitan Cities 2014-2016
Data Source: Data Source:
http://ncrb.gov.in/StatPublications/CII/CII2016/pdfs/NEWPDF http://ncrb.gov.in/StatPublications/CII/CII2016/pdfs/NEWPD
s/Crime%20in%20India%20- Fs/Crime%20in%20India%20-
%202016%20Complete%20PDF%20291117.pdf (p. xxxiii) %202016%20Complete%20PDF%20291117.pdf (p. xxxiv)
27
According to NCRB, 40,801 cases of crime against scheduled castes were registered in the
country as a whole in 2016, compared to 38,670 cases in 2015, an increase of 5.5%. Similarly,
6568 atrocities against Adivasis were recorded in 2016, compared to 6276 in 2015, a rise of
4.6%.xxv ‘These two most oppressed sections of society together make up about 25% of India’s
population. The manuvadi and Brahmanical approach of the Sangh Parivar towards these
sections is primarily responsible for their increasing marginalisation in the years against Modi
rule’. (ibid.) It is not surprising therefore to hear one BJP leader say this about dalits: ‘To us they
are like a side dish, a pickle. You need a finger-lick (of the pickle) between mouthfuls to get your
food down. But they can never be the main course. It is ok to interact with them, in party offices.
But our cultures are too different to sit down with them at home’. xxvi
Their haath (hand) is needed as workers and as voters, but their saath (their company) is
shunned because they are perceived to be very low on the caste hierarchy. Uttering the name of
Mr. Ambedkar, who was one of the most progressive and secular persons of modern India, while
having nothing to do with his ideas or practice, is one of the most hypocritical things a party and
its leaders (and their paid-for savvy speech-writers) can do. That sort of strategy might result in
some votes from some disillusioned dalits (and aboriginal people), but it will do nothing to
improve their economic and social conditions. Words do not fill a stomach. Empty words are
There is an on-going increasing attack on the freedom of religious minorities, which is really an
attack on the very democratic set-up of the multi-religion, syncretic nation. The incidents of
communal violence -- including violence by cow-vigilantes who act against those who deal in
28
and/or eat beef, and for whom cows’ lives are, apparently, valued more than human lives -- have
increased during the tenure of the BJP government (Figures 29-30). Between 2014 and 2017,
there was one communal incident, on an average, every 12 hours. And in these incidents 389
people were killed (between 2014 and 2017) and 6969 were injured (in 3 years from 2015). It
should be noted that: ‘An estimated 700 attacks have taken place on churches, clergy, carol
singers, Christmas and Easter events and missionaries across the country in the past 4 years’. xxvii
800
Incidences of
750
700
650
600
2014 2015 2016 2017
Years
35
Number of Incidents 30
25
20
15
10
0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Years
Not surprisingly, India’s record is getting worse in terms of what is called the Social Hostilities
(religious unrest) Index: xxviii In 2014, this was 7.9, which increased to 8.7 in 2015 (10 = worst)
(Figure 31).
8.3
8.2
8.1
8
7.9
7.8
2014 2015
Years
It has become a common electoral practice to engineer a communal riot, polarize votes and win
elections, so several months prior to a major election, communal riots happen. And once a
communal party is in power, further communal attacks happen as the attackers know they will
be, more or less, protected by the government (See Figure 30). Communal riots give the
economically desperate lumpen elements a sense of satisfaction that they are capable of doing
something in life. But they fail to understand that they are merely pawns in the larger communal-
corporate game. Mistakenly called fringe elements, these forces are central to the whole saffron
enterprise: they help the BJP garner electoral support by polarizing votes along religious lines.
Win elections
If you are a dalit or a religious minority or indeed a woman who wants to live like an ordinary
citizen with all the rights that men enjoy, or if you are someone who is against the regime of
unreason, religious obscurantism, and on-going attacks on secular ideals, and who is courageous
enough to speak the truth, if you are any of these, then your life is one of fear, and not freedom.
This is what the largest democracy of the world has been reduced to, not without the support,
Note that often biases of those running the government and those helping the government against
women and their biases against Muslims, are mutually reinforcing. Atrocities against Muslims
are often conducted through an attack on the body and dignity of Muslim women. xxix
Conclusion
Under the BJP government, the country’s average level of income has been relatively high, even
if it is not increasing (much) in spite of favourable international conditions (e.g. low global oil
price). There has been some improvement in terms of infrastructure since 2014. Yet, overall, the
record of development during the BJP regime is an epic of dismal failure. According to the
Prime Minister (or his erudite speech writer), development has become a vibrant mass movement.
Words are important. Yet, word ≠ world. There is development, but of the ultra-rich and not for
the masses. Development as a mass movement is a beautiful idea. I like it. Development should
become a mass movement. It will become a mass movement when masses, democratically self-
organized, move to take control over their lives. Development will become a mass movement
32
when the masses (toiling workers and small-scale producers) control how nation’s resources are
used -- i.e. when they are able to decide how nation’s resources, which are, more or less,
products of their own labour interacting with nature, are used to satisfy their needs. Development
does not become a mass movement when the needs of the business class for profit, the needs of
the political elite for accumulating election funding and power, and the needs of the top and
pliant bureaucratic and intellectual layers for their financial and other privileges, are prioritized
It is indeed the ultra-rich, along with their political and intellectual backers, that has had an
achhe din. But the economic and political conditions under which the masses, the vast majority
of women and men of different castes and religion, live and work have been quite distressing.
What I will call ‘Modinopolitics’ (Modinomics + Modipolitics) – which is the political economy
of not an individual but of a right-wing and communal movement/party -- is, more or less, a
complete failure. This is a complete failure if we consider the issues that affect the lives of the
masses such as: unemployment and under-employment; low wages; increasing concentration of
wealth and income; agrarian crisis; increasing attack on democracy and secularism and attendant
One indirect indicator of the overall failure of the government is the amount of money it spends
on publicity. People are not experiencing development as much as BJP would like them to
believe. So, it is spending millions on publicity on creating illusions. ‘A recent RTI query
revealed that the Modi government had spent Rs.4806 crore on publicity of its achievements in
its four years of rule, from 2014-15 to 2017-18. That’s more than double the amount spent by the
33
two UPA governments. This barrage of publicity through all media platforms is meant to create
the illusion that the Modi government, which won the 2014 election promising Achhe Din for
Indians, has fulfilled its promises’.xxx This amount of money is people’s money, including,
potentially, from excise duties on petrol and diesel, because of which their prices are so high, and
The need for the creation of illusions arises when there is a gap between what the ruling class
and its government actually do for the people on the one hand and the life that people actually
experience on the other. But people’s objective experience in their lives is registered in their
consciousness, sooner or later, even if inadequately. There is a limit to how much and how long
When jobs are not created, when wages are not rising, when the rich are getting richer, when the
farm crisis sees no sign of abating with farmers not getting a fair price for their produce and for
hard work, then all these issues do get registered in people’s mind, and create dis-illusions with
the government. This process happens, however inadequately, unevenly, slowly, and
contradictorily. Some people (31% of voters, and even a smaller percentage of the electorate)
had supported the BJP government, which had made lots of promises a few years ago, but the
They are not buying the idea of religious hatred and hyper-Hindu-nationalism smacking of
fascistic tendencies, as much as they might have earlier. Many are beginning to understand that
the division between Hindus and non-Hindus in contemporary times or in the past is not at all the
34
cause of their life’s problems such as low wages, unemployment, and indebtedness. Many are
understanding that India as a nation is not under attack the way the right-wing Hindu-nationalist
forces want people to believe, and that indeed the forces that the nation is under attack from – i.e.
powerful governments, companies and institutions of the imperialist world, and the big business
houses of the country itself super-exploiting and oppressing the toiling masses – are the forces
that the Hindu-nationalist government itself is a big supporter of. This government is hiding its
character in part by calling itself nationalist. In fact, the forces supporting this government, given
A change of consciousness is happening. Since 2014, BJP has been losing one election after
another, and its vote share has been declining. At the recent by-election in Kairana, Uttar
Pradesh, in which BJP lost its seat, such a change of consciousness was captured by the Jinnah
vs Ganna debate being settled in favour Ganna: while a grand coalition of Muslims, Dalits, Jat
farmers and people from OBC background have -- rightly -- highlighted livelihood issues
(including the fact that farmers have not received the dues for their sugarcane or Ganna) vis a vis
the BJP’s divisive politics of religious identity fought around a photograph of Mr. Jinnah at
Aligarh Muslim University. Lies and false promises and raking up historical issues with little
relevance for people’s lives cannot always counter the facts of life.
People should critically reflect on the false promises of the party-in-power and on the dismal
record of its government on development, democracy and governance. This failure is not
government which has been implanted on the poisonous soil of putrid communalism. Both the
35
soil and the plant are bad for the nation and for the world at large. Those in the business world
cannot also be allowed to maintain their ‘silence’. They must be asked by the masses: ‘Do you
Ordinary men and women are seeking to deepen and defend their democratic rights, including
the right to practice any religion, to eat any food, to engage in occupation or to love anyone, and
they are seeking a life of economic security. And in doing this, they must be conscious of what
binds them: what binds them, irrespective of their different religions, is the fact that their
democratic rights (including secularism) and their right to a decent livelihood, are under attack
by this government, while the rich elite in control of big business and their right-wing lackeys
(hangers-on) in academia and media are having achhe din (good times).
BJP and its authoritarian government, and all the reactionary forces on the ground supporting
them, must continue to face the collective and democratic might of the toiling masses and
progressive intellectuals. There is, and there can be, no force that is more powerful than the
united force of the workers and small-scale producers when they are organized and when they
are conscious of what their problems are, who are responsible for their problems, and how to
fight them. If they withdraw their labour from the farms, factories and offices, or if they do not
bring the products of their labour to the market, the system is in big trouble. It is time that the
masses of India (and of South Asia) begin to ask fundamental questions about what kind of
society they are living in, what kind of society they wish to live in, and how to get there.
36
__________________________________________
i
The author gratefully acknowledges the generous assistance from Ms. Ashley Chen (M.A.) of Toronto.
Ashley has constructed all the figures used here based on the data supplied to her. She is, however, not
responsible for the content nor for any errors in the discussion.
ii
One should note that: even if growth becomes faster in the near future, unless it is combined with
policies to directly benefit the masses, growth itself would mean nothing.
iii
The government deems a village “electrified” if power cables from the grid reach a transformer in each
village and 10% of its households, as well as public places such as schools and health centers, are
connected’. https://www.forbes.com/sites/suparnadutt/2018/05/07/modi-announces-100-village-
electrification-but-31-million-homes-are-still-in-the-dark/#70fd09063bae
iv There were 3.55 crore “inactive” connections in the country in April 2016, and this number had
increased to 3.58 crore by April 2017 and 3.82 crore by January 2018. http://factchecker.in/ujjwala-
yojana-performs-as-per-claim-but-challenges-evident/
v
‘In the period 2008-11, rural road construction was 157,631 kms with 2009-10 being a peak year with
60,117 kms of roads constructed. Year 2008-09 was also higher than 2016-17’ (‘Jawed, S. 2017. ‘Fact
Check: Are rural roads constructed in 2016-17 at an all-time high as claimed by BJP?’;
https://www.altnews.in/fact-check-rural-roads-constructed-2016-17-time-high-claimed-bjp/ )
vi
http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Forum_IncGrwth_2018.pdf
vii
http://worldhappiness.report/ed/2018/.
This index captures qualities of at least the first two of the three forms of happiness that Hinduism talks
about (physical or bhautik happiness; psychological or manasik happiness, and spiritual or adhyatmik
happiness).
viii
https://www.indiatimes.com/news/india/india-is-133-out-of-156-on-world-happiness-index-behind-
pakistan-341512.html
ix
‘[The Modi government has sold off a staggering Rs.1.96 lakh crore worth of public sector assets till
end of March 2018. The preceding Congress-led UPA government had in its ten years of rule sold off
some Rs.1.08 lakh crore worth of public sector assets, showing that such policies that are integral to the
neo-liberal dogma are followed by all bourgeois parties. But Modi has beaten the Congress by selling off
more in just four years. Such dilution will not only allow foreign companies to grab shares of highly
profitable govt. companies but also lead to job losses. The Modi govt. is also trying to sell off mineral
resources, land, rivers and lakes, forests and even schools, health centres and hospitals, even historical
monuments to private companies. From defence production to oil production, from medicines to school
education – everything may become privately owned if this govt. continues. Never before has any country
seen so much talk of ‘nationalism’ and ‘Motherland’ accompanied by shameless sale of the same
motherland to profiteers, both domestic and foreign. https://newsclick.in/glimpses-four-years-modis-
achche-din
x
https://thewire.in/agriculture/modi-three-years-farmers-agriculture
xi
Chakravarty, P. 2018. ‘4 years of Modi: Rs 6 lack cr is what this govt has squandered’;
https://www.nationalheraldindia.com/opinion/4-years-of-modi-rs-6-lakh-cr-is-what-this-govt-has-
squandered
xii
Besides, such frauds will have a serious impact on the economic health of the banks, and this will be
used as a justification to privatize them, i.e. to hand them over to the business class which is responsible
for the bad economic health in the first place.
xiii
It is a form of loot because the business class is using public resources, including publicly-funded
social and physical infrastructure, and has its income and wealth protected through government’s
apparatuses, all of which costs money, but this class does not pay the full cost of these resources, as the
non-payment of tax arrears partly indicates.
xiv
Shankar, R. 2018. ‘The great bank robbery’.
http://www.newindianexpress.com/magazine/2018/apr/07/the-great-bank-robbery-1797532.html
37
xv
https://www.firstpost.com/politics/bjp-tops-list-of-reelected-mps-in-terms-of-assets-and-criminal-cases-
1557703.html
xvi
https://newsclick.in/glimpses-four-years-modis-achche-din.
xvii
They include: people with higher qualification engaged in low-skilled work, and those who are looking
for full-time jobs and are able to get only part-time employment.
xviii
http://www.lokniti.org/pdf/Lokniti-ABP-News-Mood-of-the-Nation-Survey-Round-3-May-2018.pdf.
xix https://thewire.in/labour/modi-mudra-loan-scheme-job-creation-reality.
xx
https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/govt-trying-to-finish-off-rural-employment-
scheme/article18147345.ece
xxi
https://www.rbi.org.in/Scripts/PublicationsView.aspx?id=18117#C7
xxii
During the latter period, the average number of person-days for each household employed under
MGNREGS, as did the number of households getting 100 work days a year.
51.7 lakh families got 100 days of employment in 2012-13 and 46.6 lakh families got 100 days of
employment in 2013-14. But it has drastically come down to 24.9 lakh families in 2014-15 and a dismal
20.45 lakh families in 2015-16.
The Modi government has cut the financial allocation under MGNREGA. While the UPA government
spent Rs 39, 778.27 crore and Rs 38, 552.62 crore on the scheme in 2012-13 and 2013-14, respectively,
the spending went down to Rs 36, 033.81 crore and Rs 34, 226.80 crore in 2014-15 and 2015-16
respectively.
https://www.inc.in/en/in-focus/the-systematic-strangulation-of-mgnrega-under-modi-s-watch
xxiii
https://indianexpress.com/article/india/labour-markets-the-puzzle-of-rural-wages-5019670/
xxiv
https://www.livemint.com/Money/MML9OZRwaACyEhLzUNImnO/The-richest-1-of-Indians-now-
own-584-of-wealth.html
xxv
https://newsclick.in/glimpses-four-years-modis-achche-din
xxvi
https://www.nationalheraldindia.com/opinion/4-years-of-modi-dalits-are-being-stripped-of-their-
dignity
xxvii
https://newsclick.in/glimpses-four-years-modis-achche-din
xxviii The Social Hostilities Index looks at 13 indicators including crimes motivated by religious hatred,
mob violence related to religion, communal violence, religion-related terrorist groups, using force to
prevent religious groups from operating, the harassment of women for ‘violating’ religious dress codes
and violence over conversion or proselytising. https://www.huffingtonpost.in/2017/04/13/on-religious-
hostilities-india-ranked-just-slightly-better-than_a_22037994/
xxix ‘The BJP and the Hindutva brigade have a very clear view on women. However, this is in no way
homogeneous. Their view on Muslim women is very different from their view of Hindu women.
However, what is common is that they see the role of women in society, to be merely an auxiliary for
men. The following is an attempt to paint a picture of the women through the lens of a Hindu nationalist.
Following the horrific rape and murder of the eight-year-old Gujjar Bakarwal girl at the hands of 8 men,
Hindu Ekta Manch, an RSS/BJP offshoot, staged a rally in protest of the arrest of those accused. This
rally was attended by two BJP MLAs. Given the barbarity of the case and the amount of public attention
it drew, Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who otherwise conveniently keeps his mouth shut, expressed
feelings of ‘sympathy’ for the victim and her family, while at the same time, he claimed ‘rape is rape’ and
that it shouldn’t be politicised. Well, how apolitical can it be when the members of the ruling party attend
a rally carried out in favour of the accused? It must be understood that the barbarity of this rape had a
38
political motive behind it. The Bakarwals are a marginalised Muslim nomadic community. This incident,
as is revealed by the chargesheet, was an attempt at ethnic cleansing – to drive out the Bakarwals from
their village’. https://newsclick.in/women-hindu-nationalists-view-them
xxx
https://newsclick.in/glimpses-four-years-modis-achche-din