Professional Documents
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Gena Bosa Giger Mechanised Farming
Gena Bosa Giger Mechanised Farming
0
CONTENTS
ACRONYMS ................................................................................................................................................ 3
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .............................................................................................................................. 4
1.1 PURPOSE OF REPORT ........................................................................................................................ 4
1.2 DESCRIPTION OF THE INVESTMENT BUSINESS ................................................................................... 4
1.3 RATIONAL BEHIND THE PROJECT ........................................................................................................ 5
1.4 INVESTMENT CAPITAL ......................................................................................................................... 5
1.5 LAND AND CONSTRUCTIONS .............................................................................................................. 5
1.6 SOCIO-ECONOMIC JUSTIFICATIONS .................................................................................................... 6
1.7 RECOMMENDATIONS.......................................................................................................................... 6
2. PROJECT BACKGROUND INFORMATION ............................................................................................... 7
2.1 COMPANY / APPLICANT ...................................................................................................................... 7
2.2 Promoter’s Profile ....................................................................................................................... 8
2.3 Location of Project: ................................................................................................................... 8
2.4 Purpose of the project ................................................................................................................ 8
2.5 BUSINESS OBJECTIVES ......................................................................................................................... 9
2.6 PROJECT STRATEGY ............................................................................................................... 10
3. MARKET OVER VIEW ............................................................................................................................... 10
3.1 ETHIOPIA SPICES AND PRODUCTIONS .............................................................................................. 10
3.2 SPICES EXPORT OF ETHIOPIA ............................................................................................................ 11
3.3 DEMAND PROJECTIONS .................................................................................................................... 12
3.4 THE MARKET PROSPECT (DEMAND – SUPPLY GAP).................................................... 13
3.5 M A R K E T S U P L Y.......................................................................................................................... 14
4. TECHNICAL STUDY ................................................................................................................................... 15
4.1 PROJECT LOCATION ................................................................................................................ 15
4.2 Physical and natural condition of project site ................................................................. 15
4.2.1 Topographic Features ....................................................................................................... 15
4.3 COVERED AREA REQUIREMENT OF FARM AND COST ...................................................................... 18
4.4 CAPACITY AND PRODUCTION PLAN .................................................................................................. 18
4.5 PROCESS FLOW GINGER and TURMERIC PRODUCTION ................................................................... 19
4.6 DESCRIPTION OF GINGER PRODUCTION ........................................................................................... 20
4.6.1 AGRONOMICAL PROFILE .......................................................................................... 20
Page 1 of 43
4.7 WASHING AND DRYING PROCESSING OF GINGER AND TURMERIC ................................................. 25
4.8 OPERATING ACTIVITIES ..................................................................................................................... 26
4.8.1 PRE-OPERATING ACTIVITIES ....................................................................................................... 26
4.8.2 Land Development ............................................................................................................. 26
4.8.3 Land Preparation........................................................................................................................ 26
5. HUMAN RESOURCE AND TRAINING REQUIREMENT........................................................ 27
51 HUMAN RESOURCES REQUIREMENTS ............................................................................ 27
5.2 ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURE .......................................................................................... 27
5.3 MAN POWER REQUIREMENT ............................................................................................................ 28
6. FINANCIAL STUDY .......................................................................................................................... 29
6.1.1 FINANCIAL BUDGET OF THE INVESTEMENT ........................................................ 29
6.3 FINANCIAL VIABILITY .............................................................................................................. 30
6.3.1 INCOME STATEMENT ...................................................................................................... 30
6.3.2 CASH FLOW STATEMENT AND BALANCE SHEET ................................................ 31
6.3.3 PAY BACK PERIOD............................................................................................................ 31
6.3.4 INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN ....................................................................................... 31
6.3.5 NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV).......................................................................................... 31
6.3.6 Sensitivity analysis ............................................................................................................ 32
7. ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ASSESSMENT ............................................................................. 32
8. CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS .......................................................................... 33
Page 2 of 43
ACRONYMS
ADLI Agricultural Development-Led Industrialisation
ha Hectare
KM Kilo Meter
mm Millimetre
oC Degree Cellicious
Qtl(s) Quintal(s)
Page 3 of 43
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Page 4 of 43
1.3 RATIONAL BEHIND THE PROJECT
The some of the rational for establishment of the envisage farm with modern
mechanized commercial farm infrastructures and post-harvest packaging facility
for the export market are,
Policy: Government five years strategic plan, which promotes new investment in
agro-industrial sector and specially encourages commercial farm products of
fruits, Spices, and oil seeds which directly or indirectly contributes to import
substitution and exportable ones.
Labor: There is plenty of skilled and semi-skilled labor in Ethiopia. The country
has a good education system that churns out a number of graduates in most key
professions at all levels.
Availability of raw materials: The improved variety of seed which has higher
demand at domestic and international market farming materials are available at
seed enterprise and research centers
Market: High market demand supply gap and availability of 200 ha of suitable
land at the envisages project target area.
Page 5 of 43
1.6 SOCIO-ECONOMIC JUSTIFICATIONS
1.7 RECOMMENDATIONS
All the aforementioned facts discussed above and the feasibility study on
market, technical, financial, and social point of view proves the project is viable
business plan and one of the government's priorities, which contributes for the
government strategy on development worth deserving encouragement and
support from the pertinent government offices.
Page 6 of 43
2. PROJECT BACKGROUND INFORMATION
Mobile: 09360112162
E-mail: : fissehaamha@Gmail.com
Page 7 of 43
2.2 Promoter’s Profile
The anticipated “Gena Bosa Spice Production, processing and Commercial
Farming Project” is initiated by the newly established FISSEHA AMHA SPICE
PRODUCTION AND COMERCIAL MARKETING FARM (PLC) which is owned by Mr.
Fisseha Amha Weldeys was born in Ethiopia and currently have a Ethiopian
citizenship. In view of his education and work experiences, A very reputable
professional in the field of Personal and Businesses management, holding BSc
degree in Business management. He has worked in several agricultural
development organizations, particularly personal management & Hwasa Road
and transport office particularly vehicle inspection Process co-ordinate. Currently
he has a wealth of experience in managing its own businesses. General Manager
Galaxy drivers Training institute and Danichle Girls Empowerment and women
capacity building project manager which working in finance management and
administrations
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export-focused spices production; which primarily involves Turmeric & ginger.
Turmeric & ginger cultivation with high standards and quality of production;
while ensuring optimal economic returns as well as socially and environmentally
acceptable production system that will attain full production level within Ten
years starting from the 2017 production season.
The business objectives of the envisaged farm are profitable production of Spices
and marketing the product for local market, domestic market
As a business firm one of objective of the Company is to earn reasonable income
from the demand supply gap exists in the sector at large and at the regional
markets.
To raise the standard and quality of Spice through collaboration with the
SNNPR’s marketing and cooperative organizations;
To allocate 2% of our profit to reinvest in the project area; and, create jobs.
Page 9 of 43
2.6 PROJECT STRATEGY
Page 10 of 43
6 Turmeric 483 3,946 18.00 16.00 - - 1,003. 3,962
7 Long pper 754.00 1,499 - - - - 754 1,499
8 Coriander 6.00 3.60 465.00 234.00 - - 471 237.20
9 chilies 58.00 26.40 - - - - 58.00 26.40
10 Cardamo 41.00 2.10 - - - - 41.00 21.00
m
11 others 152.00 24.30 5.00 - - - 157.00 24.30
total 43,729 250,538. 14,672 9,664 38,427 22,174 121,937 282691
Source: Ethiopian Export Promotion Agency /Ministry of Trade and Industry (Survey of the three major spice producing
Regions)
Table 3-1 Annual Productions of Spices in Ethiopia
The details of the major export volume and value of spices from Ethiopia for the
period 2005/06-2009/10, is presented in the Table 5 below.
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Table 3-2: The Volume and Value Percentage Distribution of Spice Export by
Type: 2005/06- 2009/2010 Volume in Tons and Value in '000 USD
year Demand(Tones/Year)
Ginger Turmeric Pepper
2012 14822 3492 52468
2013 17786 4190 56141
2014 21343 5028 60070
2015 25612 6034 64275
2016 30735 7241 68775
Page 12 of 43
2017 36881 8689 73589
1018 44258 10427 78740
2019 53109 12512 84252
2020 63731 15014 90149
2021 76477 18017 96460
Source :- Consultant Calculations ( RDBCS)
Table 3-3 Demand Projections (Tons)
The Demand – Supply analysis shows that there exists a wide range of market
that enables this upcoming project to sale its produce without any problem.
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3.5 Market Supply
The supply of various crops depends upon harvesting season. A good harvest
will result in large quantity of products availability in the market. In Ethiopia
90% of spices are harvested in November to February .Seasonal availability
calendar of the above spices of the plants is as below:
Segment/Products Months
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Agu Sep Oct Nov Dec
Chill pepper
Ginger
Turmeric
Black cumin
Cardmon
The medium used for supply mechanism of whole spices from grower to
consumer. Whereas most prevailing marketing channels for supply to end
consumer are as follows.
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4. TECHNICAL STUDY
Gena Bosa woreda capital, Bele keble is found in SNNPR Regional State, Dawro
Zone, and located 279 from Hwassa, the regional capital of SNNPRS. The area
lies within the Give and Wajibi rivers.. Major crops grown around Gena Bosa
area are Coffee and cereals such as teff, barley, wheat, maize, sorghum, and
root crops like potato and sweet potato and vegetables such as cabbage, spinach
and onion as cash crops. Annual crops are predominant and rain-fed agriculture
is mainly practiced using draught power. Total human population of this area is
285,176.
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• Climate
The climatic conditions of the project area could be broadly categorized as sub-
tropical, warm sub humid moist lowlands. According to traditional classification
of agro-climatic zones in Ethiopia; and, considering the high rainfall, medium
altitude (above 1400 m.a.s.l.); the project area might be classified as ″wet worm″.
The specific features of the project area in terms of temperature and rainfall
patterns are described below.
Temperature
According to the climatic data obtained from the Ethiopian Meteorology Agency
(wlayata); the average minimum and maximum temperatures of the project area
are 25.97 o C and 32.19 o C respectively. The Table and Figure below provide
the details of the variations in the average temperature of the area over the
months of the year.
Figure 4.1: Average maximum and Minimum Monthly Temperatures (oC) of the project
area
50
40
Av. Max. Temperature (oC)
30
20 Av. Min. temperature (oC)
Temperature (o C)
10
0
Jan Feb Mar Apr MayJun Jul Aug SepOct Nov Dec
Months
Rainfall Trend
Source: Ethiopian Meteorology Agency, Dawero Branch
The project area has average annual rainfall of 1254.55 mm; which is higher
than the average precipitation requirements of most field crops. The monthly
rainfall distribution of the Wereda shows that the area has a mono-modal
rainfall pattern where the wet months are May – October, during which 95.77%
of the annual rainfall occurs. As described in Table 2 and Figure 2 below, the
wettest months are June – September; accounting for 79.43% of the annual
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rainfall; where the highest rainfall amounts occur in August (291.79 mm). On the
other hand, the driest months are December and January.
Figure 4.2: Monthly Rainfall Distribution of the project area ( Dawro Zone)
300
Table 4.3: Chemical and Physical Analysis Soil samples from the project area
Cla Na K Ca Mg CEC
PH EC Sand Silt Soil Bas.Sa T.N O.C C/N Av.P.Ol.
y cmol(
H2O ds/m % % Type cmol(+)/Kg % % % ppm
% +)/Kg
7.9 0.308 26 26 48 Clay 0.24 1.41 22.16 9.05 52.73 62 0.145 0.965 7 7.6
Sandy
7.6 0.028 74 12 14 0.03 0.50 6.43 2.09 10.67 85 0.069 0.959 14 1.00
Loam
7.1 0.010 24 22 54 Clay 0.09 0.59 14.37 5.56 28.36 73 0.097 0.938 10 0.52
Page 17 of 43
4.3 COVERED AREA REQUIREMENT OF FARM AND COST
To determine the building and other infrastructure requirement of the envisage
farm projects, Standards and Regulation of Commercial Farms Set up and
Regulation of Organic Certifications Requirements have been revised
The cost estimated of Building structure cost is 1,816,840 Birr The details
breakdown and others details on floor area shown at the supporting plan and
bill of quantities.
Page 18 of 43
Table 4.2 CAPACITY AND PRODUCTION PLAN
Similarly dry turmeric producing yearly capacity of 920 qut, 9200 qut, 1000 qut
during the first to three years and 900 qut from 4 to ten years annually
respectively. The production expected to increase. Based on export market the
revenue earned out of the sales of washed dry turmeric 8,400,000, and
9,000,000 Birr for 4 to 10 year respectively, details at annexure: 2.4.
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4.6 DESCRIPTION OF GINGER PRODUCTION
SNNPR is the biggest producer of ginger in the country and dried ginger is an
important export crop. Ginger is customarily sun-dried on the ground without
washing. It is required to support the adaptation of appropriate washing
tools/facilities which suit the local conditions by farmers. To change the current
practice of drying, it is absolutely necessary for farmers to get better prices
(incentive) worth doing extra work. It is also necessary to build up an assured
business relation between farmers and quality-conscious buyers in which
farmers’ incentive are realized.
It is mainly cultivated in the tropics; thrives best in hot, moist climate; no shade
required, open sun preferable for ginger production. Altitude: from sea level to
1500 masl; annual rainfall 1500 - 3000 mm; temperature: (dry) 28 - 350C. Soils:
Grows best in soil rich in organic material, medium loams with a good supply of
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humus particularly. Virgin soils rich in humus found ideal for ginger. In Ethiopia,
coffee soils or forest soils of south and south-western Ethiopia found good for
ginger production. The field for ginger production should not be sloppy since
erosion will expose rhizomes
Planting is done in March. Ginger & Turmeric are universally prorogated from
cuttings of rhizome, known as bits. Bits are made from mother rhizomes having
3-5 cm in length, 15-20 g weight and at least one sound bud. A seed rate of 15-
20 qt/ha applied before plating bits will be teetered with fungicides. Spacing 25-
40 cm and 15-20 cm between rows and plants respectively
Propagation
a. Field preparation: Clearing, tilling and remove all the roots, plant remains and
make the soil very fine. Remove any obstacle that could impede rhizome
expansion. Get ready the land before rainfall starts
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c. Planting Time: Fresh yield of ginger (Q/h) at different planting months. From a
research the planting time for ginger crop is proved to be in March and April.
d. Land preparation: Flat land or prepared bed; the second one more suitable for
rain fed area.
f. Seed rate: 25Q/h and the seeds should be free of Fusarium root rot.
Ginger is depleting plant, mono cropping increases the fertilizer requirement and
cost incurring and cause yield reduction disease development, so crop rotation is
necessary.
FYM or well rotten cattle dung at the rate of 25-30 t/ha at plating Inorganic
fertilizer ranges 100 120 kg of and 75-80 kg per hectare of DAP and Urea
Respectively.
• First mulching at the time of planting with quick rotting green leaves 10-12 t/h
and after 90 days.
• Two weeding are generally given to the ginger crop First weeding is done before
the second mulching. It repeated depending on the intensity of weed growth or at
an interval of 40-65 days. During hoeing, every care should be taken that the
rhizomes should not be disturbed, injured or exposed.
• To control shoot borer and leaf roller the spray of Very conducive to weed
growth, mulching is good practice for adequate weed control. Hand weeding and
applying herbicide (2,4-D) are also useful.
Page 22 of 43
4.6.1 .6 Harvesting and Yields
Harvesting types
b. Preserved ginger (syrup): rhizomes are cut in desired sections, peeled, shaped,
graded and preserved in salt or sugar
c. Dried ginger: harvested rhizomes that developed full aroma, flavor and
pungency, can be used for extraction of oleoresins by solvent extraction and
essential oil by distillation process
Harvesting periods
For fresh ginger, the crop should be harvested fifth months onward after
plantings
Foe preserved ginger, 5-78 months of planting
For dried spices 8-9 months after plantings when leaves starts yellowing
( at full maturity)
Yields per plant range from 2 to 7 kg. Per plant yields of young ginger may be 1–
3 kg, but fields grown solely for young ginger may be planted at twice the
planting density (plants per unit area) compared with spacing for mature ginger
production. Globally, large producers normally reach yields of 40–50 MT/ha, and
some growers reach yields of up to 70 MT/ha. Because ginger accumulates a
Page 23 of 43
large bulk of its final weight during the later months prior to reaching maturity,
early harvests result in lower yields. For the envisaged project 230 qt/ ha for
Ginger and 180 qut/ha for Turmeric as take as expected yields
4.6.1.7 Infrastructures
Road:
Generally, the project area can be accessed by all weather roads up to its
wereda town. Gena Bosa 24km Dawro Zone, is located at 279 km away from
Hawass town and connected with all-weather roads. Out of the 11 PAs of , 6 PAs
have access to all weather roads while 5 PAs have dry season roads.
Electric Power
The wereda town of Gena Bosa of the project area has access to hydroelectric
power.
Water Resources
Generally, shallow well and boreholes are the main sources of water supply in
the Gena Bosa woyede. Currently, access to safe drinking water is not a
significant problem in the project area. However, the Water Resource Bureau and
other stakeholders in collaboration with the community has established different
safe water generating schemes such as hand dug well, hand pump, developing
spring water, deep well and shallow well to alleviate the problem,
Telecommunication
According to the data collected from the Bureau of Finance and Economy, the
wereda town and 11 PAs in the project area have access to different telephone
services, such as, wire line, mobile telephone service, and wireless.
Page 24 of 43
Financial Institutions
There are no government or private banks in the project district. However, the
project can get bank services from the nearby town of Gena Bosa which is found
at a distance of 14 km. There is one bank in Gena Bosa town.
Health Services:
The project area can get hospital service from the closest Dawro hospital located
24 kms from Gena Bosa town
Washing Soaking in water => Rough wash by hands => Wash with brush
=> Separation by cleanness : a) Clean or b) Not yet clean
a) Clean roots => Drying
b) Not yet clean roots => Wash with pump + nozzle => Drying
Drying Sun drying on concrete slab, wire-mesh tables and plastic sheets.
Turn around after 7 – 10 days and collect dried roots (small size)
selectively.
Keep dried roots in warehouse for several days to cool down, then
weighing and bagging.
Page 25 of 43
4.8 OPERATING ACTIVITIES
ACTIVITES MONTHS
1 2 3 4 5 6
Building and Site Work Construction
Farm Machinery Purchase
Farm tools and auxiliary machinery
Purchase
Manpower recruitment
Training to technical staff
Farm Inputs Purchase
Farm site preparation
Preparation to Production
Commencing Production
Table 4.4: PRE-OPERATING ACTIVITIES
Page 26 of 43
omitted after the first year operation and be replaced by minimum or no tillage
practices. Sowing follows harrowing with fertilizer application. For this purpose,
tractors with various bottoms like disc plough, disc harrows and planters and
fertilizer drillers are employed in general.
Land preparation for soybean and sesame is similar to that of simple farming
crops like ginger. They can be achieved by one ploughing, disking and
harrowing. The sowing time varies from place to place. The best time for sowing
in tropical and subtropical regions is just after the rains are well started, i.e. from
the end of May to early July. The crops should always be sown in rows.
Operating labor, supervisory and managerial staff requirement are given in the
finical assumptions sections below the labor and supervisory requirement is
based on 300 the days of the year.
The owner will follow the performance and guidance, but the business will be
managed by an experienced three functional structures. The organizational
structure is depicted in the organization chart, figure 5.1
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Figure 5.1 Organization Structure
Page 28 of 43
6. FINANCIAL STUDY
The total cost of project including working capital is estimated at ET. Birr
8,193,708.00 million. Broad break-up of the above cost under various heads
is given below
The total investment cost of the proposed agricultural enterprise is estimated at Bir 4,955,288.
The fixed investment component is estimated at about Birr 880,748 and the pre-production
expenditure is 1,530,040. The following table briefly summarizes the total investment cost of the
project.
Description ET BIRR
INVESTEMENT COST
infrastructure Cost 280800
Civil work & Buildings 1,530,040
b. Operating cost
The total operating cost is estimated at Birr 3,238,420.00 for ten years project life. Operating
costs are recorded on a year basis. Summary of operating costs are presented on the following
table
Page 29 of 43
Initial Working Capital
Raw Materials 2,126,600.00
Auxiliary material and package 613,400.00
345,000.00
Casual Labor at preparation line
Salary and Wage Production Staffs) 145,000.00
Utilities 8,420.00
The promoter of the project has planned to finance the project through a long-
term loan from the Development Bank of Ethiopia; and, partially from own
contribution. The debt equity ratio is assumed to be 70:30. The following table
briefly summarizes the project financing by source of funds.
Table 5.3: Project Investment and Working cost by Source of the Fund
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capital in the second and subsequent years. Further, adequate surplus cash is
available with the unit for promoter withdrawal. Annexure-3-1
Cash flow on hand at a given period in time (i.e., projection) is critical component
of a business initiative. The cash flow is positive starting Year one. The cash end
balance clearly shows that the accumulated or free cash fund is sufficient to
finance the expansion activities, strengthen the farm and invest on the
establishment of other services.
The computation of the payback period is given at Annexure - 4. The pay- back
period works out to 3 years on the basis of profit after tax. The pay- back period
would be much less in case calculated on the basis of profit before tax.
Internal rate of return calculations are given at Annexure-4, IRR of the project
based on 10 years life span, works out to 53%, and 41%, which is quite
reasonable.
This is critical stage for paying out dividends to shareholders who have invested
in the business enterprise. Nevertheless, the payment of dividend is delayed
until the enterprise fully pays out its loan (both interest and principals)
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6.3.6 Sensitivity analysis
Risk and Uncertainty:
The following risks and uncertain incidents that might affect the project could
occur during operating period of the project. If the global economic crisis and
inflation is prolonged and intensified, it will affect the project cost benefits
analysis. Besides, it may also affect the production cost and both inland and
offshore markets. Due to natural calamity or due to draught fluctuation result
failure pre mature rhizome or long period of rain will be problems of ginger and
turmeric washing and drying process.
This project is designed to cultivate and promote the production of high value
ginger and turmeric crops, by maintaining the existing environmental system. It
also intends to protect the environment from the possible risks. Thus, in order to
establish environmental friendly farming, the new project site has been
thoroughly scrutinized particularly for its soil character, vegetation cover and
agro ecology to identify the expected negative impacts of the development.
The major expected threats identified due to the overall development farming
activities are soil depletion and loss of plantation cover in some undulated land
form areas. Therefore, the environmental management plan that will be realized
by the company is using soil improving crops through intercropping and shad
planting system. In addition buffer plantation tree are going to be planted in
order to protect from soil erosion and minimize the misbalance effect of agro
ecology.
In addition to cropping system and tree plantation programs, soil improving and
conservation practices as well as adopting good farming management activities
will be practiced including planting of cover crops, drainage structure and terrace
making. Furthermore the project will apply integrated pest management which is
more environmentally friendly form of pest control than the traditional pesticides
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as its goal is to reduce pesticide use to a minimum by using a variety of less
impact means with pesticides only as a last choice
Based on the framework set out in this feasibility study the following conclusions
were made regarding the feasibility of proposed small scale Spice farm
productions enterer prize.
• A market opportunity was identified for the domestic sales and export market.
The demand and export trend confirms the products are marketable
Based on the framework set out in this feasibility study where feasibility is
assessed in three core areas, it can be concluded that the proposed farm
enterprise is feasible. The results of the feasibility study, however, are heavily
dependent upon the assumptions made during the study and other operating
environments (political, environmental and economic conditions) remain relatively
stable.
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ANNEXTURE-1
1. PROJECT INVESETMENT
LAND DEVELOPMENT
Cost Item Units Qan. Unit Cost Total Cost(Birr)
Land Lease Payment Per year ha 200 70 140,000.00
Site Clearing and Uprooting 149,000.00
Administration and Study Cost Ls 60,000.00
Sub-Total 349,000.00
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Weighing Scale No 2 5000 10000
Rack No 100 80 8000
Hoe 60 65 3900
others 31000
Grand total with VAT 84960
Description ET BIRR
INVESTEMENT COST
Infrastructures Cost 280800
Civil work & Buildings 1,530,040
Utilities 8,420.000
CAPITAL INVESTMENT + WC
8,193,708
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ANNEXTURE- 2 INCOM STATEMENT ASSUMPTION AND DETAILS
Operating Expenses for the project and there basis are taken as follows
Description Basis Basis
CONSTRUCTION AND FINANCE
Construction period 1 years 1year
Bank interest 10% 10%
Discounted cash flow 10% 10%
Source of finance 30% equity and 70% loan
ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS
Utilities price growth 10%
Material price growth rate 5%
Wage Growth Rate 5%
Tax rate 35%
EXPENSE
Salaries Expenses As per Salary Estimations
Page 36 of 43
2.2 INTEREST CALCULATION (Birr)
Beginning Balance 5,735,596 5,511,871 5,265,774 4,995,067 4,697,289 4,369,734 4,009,423 3,613,081 3,177,105 2,697,531
Interest 573,560 551,187 526,577 499,507 469,729 436,973 400,942 361,308 317,710 269,753
Principal 223,725 246,097 270,707 297,778 327,555 360,311 396,342 435,976 479,574 527,531
Annual
Payment/EMI(P+I) 797,284 797,284 797,284 797,284 797,284 797,284 797,284 797,284 797,284 797,284
Ending Balance 5,511,871 5,265,774 4,995,067 4,697,289 4,369,734 4,009,423 3,613,081 3,177,105 2,697,531 -
0
2.4. REVENUE PROJECTIONS AND ASSUMPTIONS
Y-1 Y-2 Y-3 Y-4 Y-5 Y-6 Y-7 Y-8 Y-9 Y-10
Years
Revenu e
Turemeric
Washed Turemeric Qut/year
(Tones/Year) 920 920 1,000 900 900 900 900 900 900 900
Price (birr/fercula) 1,100 1,100 1,450 2,000.00 2,000.00 2,000.00 2,000.00 2,000.00 2,000.00 2,000.00
Revenu-1 5,060,000 5,060,000 7,250,000 9,000,000 9,000,000 9,000,000 9,000,000 9,000,000 9,000,000 9,000,000
5,060 5,060 7,250 9,000 9,000 9,000 9,000 9,000 9,000 9,000
Ginger
Washed Ginger (Qut/Year) 790 1,200 1,150 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200
Price (birr/fersula) 1200 1200 1300 1400 1500 1500 1500 1500 1500 1500
Revenu-2 4740000 7200000 7475000 8400000 9000000 9000000 9000000 9000000 9000000 9000000
4740 7200 7475 8400 9000 9000 9000 9000 9000 9000
0.03% 0.03% 0.02% 0.02% 0.02% 0.02% 0.02% 0.02% 0.02% 0.02%
Page 1 of 43
ANNEXTURE-3 FINANCIAL PROJECTION
3.1 PROJECTED INCOME STATEMENT
INCOME STATEMENTS
Year 0 Y-1 Y-2 Y-3 Y-4 Y-5 Y-6 Y-7 Y-8 Y-9 Y-10
Gross revenue 8193,708 12,260 14,725 17,400 18,000 18,000 18,000 18,000 18,000 18,000
GINGER PRODUTION
Raw Materils 1,063 1,063 1,063 1,063 1,063 1,063 1,063 1,063 1,063 1,063
Auxilury materisl and pacakge 307 307 307 307 307 307 307 307 307 307
Casual Labor at preparation line 172.5 172.5 173 172.5 173 173 173 173 173 173
Labour ( Production Staffs) 73 73 73 73 73 73 73 73 73 73
Utilites 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Sub-total of processsing plant cost 1,619.2 1,619 1,619 1,619 1,619 1,619 1,619 1,619 1,619 1,619
TUREMERIC
Raw Materils 1,063 1,063 1,063 1,063 1,063 1,063 1,063 1,063 1,063 1,063
Auxilury materisl and pacakge 307 307 307 307 307 307 307 307 307 307
Casual Labor at preparation line 173 173 173 173 173 173 173 173 173 173
Labour ( Production Staffs) 73 73 73 73 73 73 73 73 73 73
Utilites 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Sub-total of farm operating cost 1,619.2 1,619.2 1,619.2 1,619.2 1,619.2 1,619.2 1,619.2 1,619.2 1,619.2 1,619.2
Toal Operating Cost 3,238.4 3,238 3,238 3,238 3,238 3,238 3,238 3,238 3,238 3,238
Gross margin 6,562 9,022 11,487 14,162 14,762 14,762 14,762 14,762 14,762 14,762
General administration & selling expenses
Salary and wage 72.5 72.5 72.5 72.5 72.5 72.5 72.5 72.5 72.5 72.5
Utilites 4.21 4.21 4.21 4.21 4.21 4.21 4.21 4.21 4.21 4.21
Repairs & renewals 24 25 27 28 29 31 31 31 31 31
Travel and perdime 12 13 15 16 18 19 21 23 26 28
Stationary and printing 8 8 9 9 10 10 11 11 12 12
Marketing Expensses 98 123 147 174 180 180 180 180 180 180
Insurance expense 25 26 27 29 30 32 33 35 37 38
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Professional fees (legal, audit, etc.) 12 13 13 14 15 15 16 17 18 19
Depreciation expense 160 160 160 160 160 160 160 160 160 160
Amortization expense 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Miscellaneous expense 12 13 13 14 15 15 16 17 18 19
Total of Adm and Selling Exp 427.81 457.66 487.88 520.54 532.82 539.49 545.05 550.98 557.31 564.08
Earnings before interest and taxes 6,134 8,564 10,999 13,641 14,229 14,222 14,217 14,211 14,204 14,198
Less interest expense 574 538 498 454 407 354 296 232 162 85
Pre-tax income 5,560 8,026 10,501 13,187 13,822 13,868 13,921 13,978 14,042 14,113
Cumulative pre-tax income (NOL) 5,560 13,587 24,087 37,274 51,096 64,964 78,885 92,863 106,906 121,018
Taxes 1,946 2,809 3,675 4,615 4,838 4,854 4,872 4,892 4,915 4,939
Earnings before taxes 5,560 8,026 10,501 13,187 13,822 13,868 13,921 13,978 14,042 14,113
Less taxes 1,946 2,809 3,675 4,615 4,838 4,854 4,872 4,892 4,915 4,939
Net income 3,614 5,217 6,825 8,571 8,984 9,014 9,048 9,086 9,127 9,173
Groos Profit Margine 67% 74% 78% 81% 82% 82% 82% 82% 82% 82%
Net profit Margine 36.88% 42.55% 46.35% 49.26% 49.91% 50.08% 50.27% 50.48% 50.71% 50.96%
Operting Profit Margine 57% 65% 71% 76% 77% 77% 77% 78% 78% 78%
Y-1 Y-2 Y-3 Y-4 Y-5 Y-6 Y-7 Y-8 Y-9 Y-10
Assets
Cash 8,974 11,898 16,757 23,184 31,302 39,890 48,485 57,056 65,601 74,117 82,602
Inventory - 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Accounts receivable - 490 613 736 870 900 900 900 900 900 900
Total current assets 8,974 12,389 17,370 23,920 32,173 40,790 49,385 57,956 66,501 75,018 83,502
Gross property, plant & equipment 4,955 4,955 4,955 4,955 4,955 4,955 4,955 4,955 4,955 4,955 4,955
Less: Accumulated depreciation
expense - -160 -320 -481 -641 -801 -961 -1,121 -1,282 -1,442 -1,602
Net property/equipment 4,955 4,795 4,635 4,475 4,314 4,154 3,994 3,834 3,674 3,514 3,353
Total assets 13,929 17,184 22,005 28,395 36,487 44,945 53,380 61,790 70,175 78,531 86,856
Initial
Liabilities balance Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
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Accounts payable - 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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ANNEXURE-4 FINALNCIAL EVALUATIONS
Year 0 Y-1 Y-2 Y-3 Y-4 Y-5 Y-6 Y-7 Y-8 Y-9 Y-10
Cash flow (4,955) 3,284 5,254 6,862 8,598 9,115 9,175 9,209 9,246 9,288 9,333
PV factor 100% 90.09% 82.64% 75.13% 68.30% 62.09% 56.45% 51.32% 46.65% 42.41% 38.55%
PV of cash flow (4,955) 2,959 4,342 5,156 5,872 5,659 5,179 4,726 4,313 3,939 3,598
NPV 40,788
IRR ( After Tax ) 99%
Cash flow (4,955) 3,284 5,254 6,862 8,598 9,115 9,175 9,209 9,246 9,288 9,333
Cumulative cash (4,955) (1,671) 3,583 10,446 19,043 28,158 37,333 46,541 55,787 65,075 74,408
Pay Back Period 4.00 Years 25 Months
4.2 INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN Birr “000”
PROJRCT WORTH MAESURE ( NPV, IRR, PB ) AFTER TAX . Birr '000
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Cash flow (4,955) 3,284 5,254 6,862 13,213 13,952 14,028 14,081 14,139 14,202 14,273
PV factor 100% 90.09% 82.64% 75.13% 68.30% 62.09% 56.45% 51.32% 46.65% 42.41% 38.55%
PV of cash flow (4,955) 2,959 4,342 5,156 9,025 8,663 7,919 7,226 6,596 6,023 5,502
NPV 58,455
IRR ( After Tax ) 108%
Cash flow (4,955) 3,284 5,254 6,862 13,213 13,952 14,028 14,081 14,139 14,202 14,273
Cumultaive cash (4,955) (1,671) 3,583 10,446 23,659 37,611 51,640 65,720 79,859 94,061 108,334
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