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Critical Thinking
Critical Thinking
BSN3D
1. What is inference?
Inference is using observation and background to reach a logical conclusion. You probably
practice inference every day. For example, if you see someone eating a new food and he or she
makes a face, then you infer he does not like it. Or if someone slams a door, you can infer that
she is upset about something.
2. Classification of Inference
Deductive inferences, which are inferences arrived at through deduction (deductive
reasoning), can guarantee truth because they focus on the structure of arguments. Here is
an example:
Either you can go to the movies tonight, or you can go to the party tomorrow.
You cannot go to the movies tonight.
So, you can go to the party tomorrow.
If it snows more than three inches, the schools are mandated to close.
The schools closed.
Therefore, it snowed more than three inches.
3. Types of Inference
A. Deductive Inference
Deductive reasoning, also known as deduction or deductive inference, is a type of reasoning that
involves taking a generally true statement and narrowing it down to apply to a specific instance.
Example:
Premises: All birds have feathers. Penguins are birds.
Conclusion: Therefore, penguins have feathers.
B. Inductive Inference
Inductive reasoning, also known as induction or inductive inference, is a type of reasoning that
involves making broad generalizations from specific observations. It is the opposite of deduction.
Example:
Observation: You’ve just eaten at a restaurant five times, and each time the food has been
delicious.
Generalization: Therefore, the food at this restaurant is always good.
C. Abductive Inference
Abductive inference, also known as abduction or inference to the best explanation, is a form of
logical inference which starts with an observation or set of observations and then seeks the
simplest and most likely explanation.
Example:
Observation: The grass is wet.
Best Explanation: It rained last night.
D. Statistical Inference
Statistical inference is used in economics, mathematics, and quantitative research to produce
generalizations and models. It involves the process of using data analysis to infer properties of an
underlying probability distribution.
Example:
Descriptive Statistics: A company might survey a sample of its customers about their satisfaction
with the company’s products. The average satisfaction score among those surveyed is a
descriptive statistic that summarizes the data.
E. Causal Inference
Causal inference is the process of drawing a conclusion about a causal connection, that is, cause
and effect. It is a complex task as it often involves establishing the direction and magnitude of
cause and effect relationships.
Example:
Observation: Smoking rates increase. Lung cancer rates also increase.
Possible Causal Inference: Smoking might cause lung cancer.
F. Analogical Inference
Analogical inference (or analogical reasoning) is a type of reasoning that involves drawing
conclusions based on the perceived similarity between separate cases. In other words, if two
things are similar in some ways, it’s likely that they will be similar in other ways, too.
Example:
Observation: You studied diligently for your math test and scored an A.
Analogical Inference: If you study diligently for your physics test, you will likely score an A.
G. Invalid Inference
Invalid inference refers to a type of logical fallacy where the conclusion drawn does not logically
follow from the premises. We might also call this a logical fallacy.
This is a logical fallacy where the consequent of a conditional statement is affirmed, leading to
the affirmation of the antecedent. For instance:
The fallacy here is that there are other reasons why the ground could be wet (for instance,
someone could’ve spilled water).
5. Equivalent propositions
The propositions are equal or logically equivalent if they always have the same truth value. That
is, p and q are logically equivalent if p is true whenever q is true, and vice versa, and if p is false
whenever q is false, and vice versa. If p and q are logically equivalent, we write p = q.
Example:
If it is raining, then the ground is wet" and "If the ground is not wet, then it is not raining