\ : papergrid Date: ¢ / Give on example oF 2 ci) exhevstive _ Ge ee ee DudbComes im he expe~ selenens Oe canted ang Eehorsstive Evento. 4 ovee Not Ocoursna frnuiteeneovsl¥ Cred aS Musuety Exeheusrive Cvenss Ex? 2 ste os a _—_ S 13: i ow Heed eg tee Soe Has. Heed sang Cath a% | There mast be one ovttome. that meens Zé | Head occvkS then eat} Can't Ocew, end te TashPeiccon iS known +o hit -the target in 8 Soe ly Shots, > whemens crnother, pekSon knocom to hip thes “+todeget tn a owt OF Ghots. End the probabiity of bit ot I) hen +hey both te. ae Dae EBdlents _» _crnd __"Y texte _inale penclan try ° ye O hee bit!’ i js aly cand the probability thet i 213 hut iS the probebliity elved t Rice = aul le Prcoblem 1S given to thee ose. henna wing jt are IS and 3/4. hee ober biti ty -thert the _Plcobiem adit be Peas) = It Poa) = He pceI. ‘ Saeboe Books. | 3 o =z = 35+ ye bis +86 t jos” at eats oF 36 ST lan wnbiace iS prroka bitty Tote) outdomes TSUN) Hue 7 ~ > ee 411 § a BC Seeteee sn Liss Sg . Ov tto; + ote! no = 3.éy I vs Wins many _diefexent —_c de ba beentexy 9 osittents be Chosen _ col a exe Oeiment % Vw: 1eou — hegn@e: sce. | take = t ees s rt p Al a= Je) | i te) 41 Cis-49 1 Z| = (365Ct, ct 2), 6118), C4,4 ) C2,1), 62,2), 72,3) ca,y) x esyee) Cs ee momen Sed iio, (4,4) 04,29, ch 39, cu, 4),“ D> we ny What is probability thet a lerp yeces, $3_Sinclaxs t Contein Oe cA —PeobabiNtY thet (sone! cad Of ouch cult si Ycord of eerch: quit) S: lcl x ISel xX 1$61x!8cl £204 aa eee ee 240425 wi w USE! 50.1054 i LtOtLS Peobubiiity of gettin Haxee = cre. thseee Card adee deer P3com ern ated fnovde: a $2 Cards jn evecession toi thov+ See plese rent Loe. erres+ doecuon con _colthov+ eA an evens pe third! cldcccrn arithev+ seepluce~ fraen +ey tn hew many diePecent aoays Com the a OF a yeesecte eh ler borectmey choose 2. Chemss+s — ern__armnony He serpplicente stand 3% ~Physro'sts © n _crpPite Es = 4 ee ee | As toum acs c 5: x 44 aN Cte) | Se Oeve Du. —_ E = [#64 ‘| ® {- sa — 137} [eso people _adee__selected ert _secendom isco Ry i} On Qsboup eb = Ceven Mein crmdi ive _coomen Vind pro babii'ty Hert both ake men ade both see 650 men i Pen 7 St cigiteeteil Pew d= Sco2_ = 10 ae > Oe Inee 66 PEM JU.W) = Pex) + PCW) = pen A a. SM Bin 19 eeu. x 66 66 iat (anti £6. 66 i eer i = i = ocho elhe 1g probebliity theb it fs cohite beri t ta29 hite bes om Pies =el3 Two biwee bets Buom Cites + MM to Gerona wren one _biaete ba ands arhi'se Beom yest n +o econel eMiarerigs® ols San Ealodlty x Beloles peti ear OM ips SacI Lacshle 9CeOAr) = Pcasaz). P.cAd) Ric Uh Tae AE = jo Ae { Py CA no A2) = Po ayaz). pcA2) SiR me Bi lo Ex CAM As) = PCA Aa), pcAay = 3p Bo Ten to, +e +¢0 Pca) =pfpp At) + PCA pip2d + 5. CUS ere ete 2%0 20, {srl ze OF Po tees in a G_OF thera ake _xeandorniy inspection f ©. Chance of herny Setectea)1g asee Yeadon diccrcon” § Orony combining 6. abide cond _s. biecte + 0Ohet fe i preoberbiuty there one oF Dh ite A oth Wo black beng 2 Gomphile ch ote bitte 2 tt = 660 =0, 364% 16s pershetit Atv. feitnicek ei coh bidhsaaeh st at crass 0 6 gixic and Jo boys 1¢ a Cornmitiee niece K A e Naom yco tHe Dre _eiected too girls adee Cetected. Hoe Sindentg = 6 gikls + Jo bore Beli. eke be Preinves cps Loves cciecied joc3 = 120 =o. 21u2a Ie Nnivecsity _ wWatchovse ee ceived « Ship rn, 25 priniees of which to arce Jar ser &e. 2 axe infafet models. %¢ 6 of these as. ade Selected C4 seandam +o be Checked hy & par+ticwlak technician, —cerher+ 1 PMobabiiity that exacHy 3 06 these Selec,, | osee_luSerx _pyeintees Coco thet the othex 3 are ing fers) sty es yn Hotat preimters = Jo lage + 15 inie(er Lets A be on event of “Hexerdiiy 3 lease Preinrexs St amd: other! 3) jnieset Upeintees Satre — Selected. ot PERM) => \o AVE CxQu i 25° C6 =l2zox uss l+#loo kos = Suegoo H. lt #100 s “ER Si Pca) 2 O+ 3053 ea. nN ___1%¥|| the odds against A Peciking fetth axe UG white _the odds in fayowx me 8 pectkng— pevth axe #2 3 Ci} tohat is __the __ Peo be bhiity thet A a | Corrrccdict eech other i, Siating the Some —— Fcect 2 i i atAn) + pce nAD)— Op Cano 6B aA) pare Xe Spe test ve | = 1 10 le lo Bit \Giote Seppo in jf © ns O and PCR) so-3FSO.5e BoB) = peausy =l- PCaus) 2 S/+0.S¢ = O.42| pieobebitity of anSarering comcec tly mene = hg: UR Ee ee ond " o if Pisobe Livi fies. a einsujereing es l|_Gtertermenm iS '/e em —t | |So Let 2 he. GA” Quens Of cir Stude me23>) t+ is impossible i thet ose Some even+S A and Oy PCA) SOW ee Pe OB Sot. cOhy t PCR) Bs pie Are pieB oot“ PC PB) Malt > oct. —-eGR)=— SO - PCB): =o it SAAT PCB) = - oso Mes, i+!ls “irpogsthle. meee Praha bs ity t CH OIaNS YO and a <2. uy ate the Probability 06 getting ot heed _ land o 6 hen -@ colh fg__4dossed and diese ig seolied Simutteaneovsiy t Jet A be gn event of Pca) = zt getting ; =) heard let @. be cory tee et oe Pee GeeDate: / / very Oe total sop 4 2 |_ovtcomes: § tf, £2 23,1 28, 16, no x pt ee 28 2M ee 26 a QE, 32) .23,.34, 38, 26, hecmaiss Meer tity Ss) dele US, 46 odor GIG 52 puGlay Cn 6S, £6 254 60162 pain emocn, caf a ccd ‘ ven nvmbex on Fist dice) +Seandomry, Gated} check , het ig © of each kind t Tota! Gans 5. \e Compact let A be ‘um event o | r Pop) = ier x ez 204.a bu bttys thet nde cuit poret oof: get OX [tS design fs ox 26 the_preobert coll get an acwated foro the use 0 mitectels fs o.24 and the is __preoh thee: i_ge- of the tao aarateds t eS i PIeobubiity that {+ oil) get one of ton cred akid St Serorale pcaz)= 0.24 Ar) —P CALM Az 2 0./6 s+ 9.24) = o.H 0.24 Aza @) 2 pena) — PC Accs) es ss oe =P Mel 4 ais SO.cA - pea) = oS on SL PCA 1B) = O-4eeS aq) ll Find PCR IB) » fe P PCA nB) = 0-12a FO.2 x Ot * cil aa i | 5 ee O en 3 s SPCR ph =P Obs Ade pcAD Sho. box, loo _bvjh axe ayppiled owt of [eohich to bythe have detects oc 4ype A, 5 efactS OF both +4¥pea, Find the. proba biiity an: have detects of aype Band 2 have thee oo wih to be deaton ot seandom [hys cB _+ype detect vnder the condition it hes on A dpe desect. = 0,10 pcB) =0.0¢5 Prana) =o.02 PCB /A) = PCans) Pcp) = 0+02 0.|0Pranade Lt} = : Peas 2) a Sab ie S een

pcb) Be a 4G SUNes st 9190s. thw Aha 4 peadeo.as , pc8) = 0.43 ond P CANBD= find a) Ci) Pca vB) cit) pcplB) 5 Gi ber 4 2 8) = poe) o+ Peds Pca o 8) Loras 4 oo. #3 - 0, 24 O. MGS Mf =isP CAW@u Bs) Seago psi’ CBD) i- 0.24pce Any Spree oftdae 2 ci) pe pcr v6) [- of” 0.2 i Citi Peay B) = PCAOB) 50.5 =. 0.7334 ‘ PCB 0.6 - ~ 8Sy | Fox. two events A and B, if pcr) =O. $2, PCB) co.8y and) pea a B) SOLIS, coher fs the Preobabiitty Of PCA a8)? 4 pcpoB) = 7 = 0.85% 0.0u oe 0-034S_ = 0.014 = oO-.4os¢ | 0.03uS z 2 PCDI B20 £0.06 2). peer)SPC D182) , P.ch2) S_0.68 * O.US =O.018S O83) = PCD/ 63). p ¢899 = _O-02% oe =O 00S) 2D) = PCD 0:62) + Pp COMse) + peda Bad dyer 02006.1+ 6. Ol8S) 1 0.008 Baye's thexom. A mickochtp Company wo machin th Pieod woe e iPS. Machine [a7 G50 o0¢ the chips, byt Se of f+s a 4 Machine 2 Pod~vceS of eon re a a its roe A *, i ale ce Peeps and! fovmd ‘fo he defective. ohat the _Prxoheabisity the i+ 1s delectlve f Came machine © eRe POD. F “O35 ‘ people) = o.CiceeeP O.cSes 20,0325 =O.3e25 0.085 — ~ 4 4s The boxes tend ain lode , 20%/e nd 30% oF ' depective Pingu JolneS. A ingore Joins tected is of seandom hich + defectrve. psa Determine the probublilty thet ft Comes po... fiend bee cititased box Pos) = t/a pez) = 2/3 Pca) 22/3 POD) 2) 2O-\0 PCDI2)5 0,20 Pep/3) = 0.30 (ap) Pes/ pd = 2) Pe pea).260129 Pee ase ceca) PCD 3. spent 30: 2 120 2 eee V0 uy 300 . BE AG OO wh: Bo L ‘ 3°99 400 Bae C Pc 210)A cliagnastic test hes a pro babiity Of O.45 — of __giving Positive __Srecuit cohen applied fo a PoxSon Sx Phexing Beom a Cetin disease , and — | Preobabtisy O-10 206 tuting om positive __cGihen __—| coppiied to a non scooby Meith. fs raat uta thei | 0.COMo oe the popuiction cre Svererers. Svprose thet _+he__des+ iis __noco _ardroinigtered poco | person cbowt char we have no seelevernt y 3 infomation _Seelating cto usthe diserse Capa _ Pron the _feaet that he] She Comes Preormm -thr's. Poprtler#tam) __Corlertecte. the _faitocoing _prunberbititle cthet the test coin be positive: i aS That given positive _Seesuit, the person is syeeerds 0) Tht, given negative _sresvir, The person mon —SveCeIeR- z POledhae the pecson col be risciacsfeied + Tee fects postive e ike Ms Hisclugsieied test positive & Net sveeexing ove fen Pe ese Wegative £ svéepeing fae lec ris) a OUAS s2pCT Js) = )-O.4s = 0.05 POt hS )2=~ 0210 2 pet is) = !- Oto = O60 a | Pts), =) 0.0050 4p C5) = 10.008 a x0 wos) + (Osho vo. r415) Seve OUR pcs) paris) “Pes .pct 1s) + pcs) pcrsS) 50+ 0uSG. =. naaies onene. a $s POPYS oc POE) +. peF15) « =(O.10 “0. ae + Co-0¢ x S20 e aes saj There are two boxes A and B Contoining 4 Cobite LQ seed cond 3 cohite , + xed balig seecpectsvery . a _box 1g chosen at Seeehdorm) and a bat ig dscacwon Preoro 1+, 1€ the beat) is cbhite, eind the Prcobabhiity thet it fs xom box A- Pear = Yo s scof¢ S5pea).2 Ve ‘ 2625) oS Danwisomomee) 2 5 tcl + loct = P)lw) = pcA)- PCw/A) iat. PcAd . RC wy Ao + PCG). PCw 7g) aN\Y uo +2 \4o 4uy ts: Poe) = © ero, a, 3, y 6 tstyelbw HSS. wh Ortndy Lal mw Sop 1S Pexexd. Ue Vg He 3/6 PC xD.S, ° + we but € Pe see 4) oO, EC) is j=) Punc+ion, Gohich oF the Following deeine bution t Fol ie | sy jae = © | 2. 4 me t lo x oe. ° a 4 Bite 3 cx oem inn: Te soa, Vis 5 2 ye Ipcxt) < O1 Go 602%) 1S mor Poke binity bunesfon,.Date: / / Bh 2 4 2l6 Bar ids eet distr} bytio =0d + PCX=H1D + PCX=2D + Pcxa3DtPCcK=y) =1 Pegigeete ee PK} Kt pra u 6 bese eerieind Kes Pex) dxes | | 4 —¢ | = s ae ¢ eo es tt xc® ps2 6 ae d Jaa | te Me ren Citta ae - 2 4 eee tence) | 22 ne [Ee Ts ia ee aLEO Bd sbS) 4d, 665 6 Sb a § F,.6, t Bey s, 6, Eps 4, 6, $6, 4, eae ty *, 4 se, 6, #6 4 10, ity re carmel seo eapane % % Ale Ah We