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P. Vikas
P. Vikas
Abstract
India’s financial sector has faced many challenges in recent decades, with a large, negative, and
persistent credit to GDP gap. We examine how cyclical financial conditions affect GDP growth
using a growth-at-risk (GaR) approach and analyze the link between bank balance sheets, credit
growth, and long-term growth using bank-level panel regressions for both public and private
banks. We find that on a cyclical basis, a negative shock to credit or a rise in macro vulnerability
all shift the distribution of growth to the left, with lower expected growth and higher negative
tail risks; over the long term, the results indicate that higher credit growth, arising from better
capitalized banks with lower NPLs, is associated with higher GDP growth
All told, India’s GDP could more than double from $3.5 trillion today to surpass $7.5 trillion by
2031. Its share of global exports could also double over that period, while the Bombay Stock
Exchange could deliver 11% annual growth, reaching a market capitalization of $10 trillion in
the coming decade.
In a new Morgan Stanley Research Bluepaper, analysts working across sectors look at how this
new era of economic development could bring about staggering changes: boosting India’s share
of global manufacturing, expanding credit availability, creating new businesses, improving
quality of life and spurring a boom in consumer spending.
“In a world that is currently starved of growth, the opportunity set in India must be on global
investors’ radar,” says Chetan Ahya, Morgan Stanley’s Chief Asia Economist. “India will be one
of only three economies in the world that can generate more than $400 billion annual economic
output growth from 2023 onward, and this will rise to more than $500 billion after 2028.”
The economic scope covers all the central issues faced by society, including economic
decline and growth, poverty, unemployment, budgeting, etc. Answer. Economics is regarded
as a social science; it studies how people in an economy employ the already scarce resources
with or without using money. The purpose of this study is to examine the long-term
association between banks' performance and the economic growth of a developing economy:
India
Sources of data- After defining the have a look at questions and growing the research design
plan, the task of statistics amassing started out. Both number one and secondary data were
gathered with a view to construct this challenge report.
Primary Data: Data accumulated from original assets are considered primary records. It is first
accumulated by means of a research agency that makes use of the information for the primary
time.
Here, employees are the key information vendors. Employee personnel interviews are
accompanied by questionnaires to gather the important thing facts. In order to get the vital facts
on points, a trendy set of questions is installed. Primary information are those which are in the
beginning acquired, are of an original nature, and consist of direct commentary or
communication. Visits to the enterprise are used to collect the vital data.
Secondary Data:
Some secondary sources had been used to assemble this information. This statistics may be in
both public and unpublished shape. This facts become accrued from the business enterprise's
annual document and the internet. The secondary information resources are: Trade publications
and periodicals books and newspapers.
Tools: Pie charts, percent analysis, questionnaire surveys, SPSS Excel, and
• Chapter I - Introduction
• Bibliography.