Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Traffic Final
Traffic Final
Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
Prepared By
Prepared For
Table of Contents
1. Introduction ....................................................................................................................................... 2
2. Cargo Vessel Traffic Trend Analysis ................................................................................................ 5
3. Projection of Cargo Vessel Traffic up to 2050................................................................................ 16
4. Road Traffic Data ............................................................................................................................. 20
5. Road Traffic Flow ............................................................................................................................. 32
List of Figures
Figure-1: Proposed Planview of Chittagong Bay Terminal Project Area ........................................... 3
Figure-2: Proposed Location for Traffic Flow Projection ...................................................................... 4
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
1. Introduction
Chittagong Port wants to construct new facility at Ananda Bazar, North Halishohor to
provide a major gateway for the country's trade with the outside world. It includes
construction of breakwater for about 11km, dredging construction of a multi-purpose
terminal and two container terminals. The Chittagong Bay Terminal Project Area
encompasses approximately 6 kilometers of the Bay of Bengal shoreline as shown in the
Figure 1-1.
Symbiotic Architects & Associates is one of the Joint Venture partners of the Chittagong
Bay Terminal Project. Symbiotic Architects & Associates wishes to have Cargo Traffic
Projection at Chittagong Port up to the year 2050.
Symbiotic Architects & Associates also wishes to have a road traffic volume calculation
and projection of road traffic flow up to the year 2050. The Highway roadmap for traffic
volume calculation is shown in Figure 1-2.
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
In order to determine the future Cargo, Container and Vessel traffic at Chittagong Port, different
indicators have been taken into consideration. The first order regression analysis has been done
for different trend analysis.
There are mainly five types of trendlines:
a. Exponential
b. Linear
c. Logarithmic
d. Power
e. Polynomial
120000000
y = 1E-71e0.0899x
R² = 0.9882
100000000
80000000
60000000
40000000
20000000
0
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
120000000
80000000
60000000
40000000
20000000
0
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
120000000
60000000
40000000
20000000
0
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
120000000
y = 225664x2 - 9E+08x + 9E+11
R² = 0.9888
100000000
80000000
60000000
40000000
20000000
0
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
3500000 y = 3E-79e0.097x
R² = 0.9718
3000000
2500000
2000000
1500000
1000000
500000
0
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
3000000
y = 137223x - 3E+08
R² = 0.9401
2500000
2000000
1500000
1000000
500000
0
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
3000000
y = 3E+08ln(x) - 2E+09
R² = 0.9396
2500000
2000000
1500000
1000000
500000
0
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
3500000
y = 4973.6x2 - 2E+07x + 2E+10
3000000 R² = 0.9797
2500000
2000000
1500000
1000000
500000
0
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
1600 y = 1E-40e0.0491x
R² = 0.9211
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
1600
y = 47.946x - 95392
1400 R² = 0.908
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
1600
y = 96379ln(x) - 732065
1400 R² = 0.9077
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
1600
y = 0.9846x2 - 3911.2x + 4E+06
R² = 0.9202
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
2500
y = 8E-37e0.0449x
R² = 0.8735
2000
1500
1000
500
0
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
2500
y = 69.883x - 139049
2000 R² = 0.7925
1500
1000
500
0
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
2500
y = 140409ln(x) - 1E+06
R² = 0.7915
2000
1500
1000
500
0
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
2000
1500
1000
500
0
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
4000
y = 6E-38e0.0465x
R² = 0.9263
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
4000
y = 117.83x - 234441
3500 R² = 0.8674
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
4000
y = 236787ln(x) - 2E+06
3500 R² = 0.8666
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
y = 79.44x - 159387
1200
R² = 0.983
1000
800
600
400
200
0
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022
3500
y = 214.26x - 429629
R² = 0.9335
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
Table 2.1 Cargo, Container and Vessel handling at Chittagong Port (Projection up to 2050
from 2000)
C/Year Cargo Container Vessel
(in M/tons) (in TEU's) Cont. Bulk Total
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
Large Bus
Medium/ Mini Bus 6
Public Transit
Maxi/Tempo/Easy Bike 10
Microbus 100
Jeep/Pick
Vehicle Used for Private Up/SUV/Passenger Car 75
Purpose CNG 85
Motorcycle 70
Heavy Truck 95
Truck Medium Truck 88
Small Truck 43
Large Bus 2
Medium/ Mini Bus 5
Public Transit
Maxi/Tempo/Easy Bike 2
Microbus 95
Jeep/Pick
Vehicle Used for Private Up/SUV/Passenger Car 30
Purpose CNG 85
Motorcycle 55
Heavy Truck 160
Truck Medium Truck 66
Small Truck 40
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
Large Bus 1
Medium/ Mini Bus 1
Public Transit
Maxi/Tempo/Easy Bike
Microbus 105
Jeep/Pick
Vehicle Used for Private Up/SUV/Passenger Car 11
Purpose CNG 45
Motorcycle 30
Heavy Truck 100
Truck Medium Truck 40
Small Truck 20
Large Bus 2
Medium/ Mini Bus
Public Transit
Maxi/Tempo/Easy Bike
Microbus 105
Jeep/Pick
Vehicle Used for Private Up/SUV/Passenger Car 25
Purpose CNG 76
Motorcycle 63
Heavy Truck 200
Truck Medium Truck 88
Small Truck 40
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
Large Bus 3
Medium/ Mini Bus 2
Public Transit
Maxi/Tempo/Easy Bike 1
Microbus 110
Jeep/Pick
Vehicle Used for Private Up/SUV/Passenger Car 20
Purpose CNG 80
Motorcycle 60
Heavy Truck 150
Truck Medium Truck 74
Small Truck 20
Large Bus 2
Medium/ Mini Bus 1
Public Transit
Maxi/Tempo/Easy Bike 2
Microbus 80
Jeep/Pick
Vehicle Used for Private Up/SUV/Passenger Car 10
Purpose CNG 70
Motorcycle 56
Heavy Truck 81
Truck Medium Truck 45
Small Truck 20
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
Large Bus 2
Medium/ Mini Bus 7
Public Transit
Maxi/Tempo/Easy Bike 3
Microbus 65
Jeep/Pick
Vehicle Used for Private Up/SUV/Passenger Car 13
Purpose CNG 77
Motorcycle 63
Heavy Truck 75
Truck Medium Truck 28
Small Truck 15
Large Bus 1
Medium/ Mini Bus
Public Transit
Maxi/Tempo/Easy Bike 5
Microbus 75
Jeep/Pick
Vehicle Used for Private Up/SUV/Passenger Car 15
Purpose CNG 80
Motorcycle 40
Heavy Truck 90
Truck Medium Truck 40
Small Truck 20
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
Large Bus 2
Medium/ Mini Bus 1
Public Transit
Maxi/Tempo/Easy Bike 6
Microbus 73
Jeep/Pick
Vehicle Used for Private Up/SUV/Passenger Car 20
Purpose CNG 73
Motorcycle 75
Heavy Truck 91
Truck Medium Truck 33
Small Truck 17
Large Bus
Medium/ Mini Bus
Public Transit
Maxi/Tempo/Easy Bike
Microbus 48
Jeep/Pick
Vehicle Used for Private Up/SUV/Passenger Car 10
Purpose CNG 62
Motorcycle 50
Heavy Truck 70
Truck Medium Truck 35
Small Truck 15
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
Large Bus 3
Medium/ Mini Bus 1
Public Transit
Maxi/Tempo/Easy Bike 5
Microbus 67
Jeep/Pick
Vehicle Used for Private Up/SUV/Passenger Car 6
Purpose CNG 70
Motorcycle 55
Heavy Truck 73
Truck Medium Truck 25
Small Truck 11
Large Bus 3
Medium/ Mini Bus 7
Public Transit
Maxi/Tempo/Easy Bike 35
Microbus 24
Jeep/Pick
Vehicle Used for Private Up/SUV/Passenger Car 25
Purpose CNG 97
Motorcycle 35
Heavy Truck 12
Truck Medium Truck 15
Small Truck 20
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
Large Bus 2
Medium/ Mini Bus 8
Public Transit
Maxi/Tempo/Easy Bike 15
Microbus 10
Jeep/Pick
Vehicle Used for Private Up/SUV/Passenger Car 10
Purpose CNG 88
Motorcycle 45
Heavy Truck 9
Truck Medium Truck 7
Small Truck 13
Large Bus 3
Medium/ Mini Bus 7
Public Transit
Maxi/Tempo/Easy Bike 30
Microbus 15
Jeep/Pick
Vehicle Used for Private Up/SUV/Passenger Car 25
Purpose CNG 103
Motorcycle 55
Heavy Truck 3
Truck Medium Truck 21
Small Truck 17
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
Large Bus 3
Medium/ Mini Bus 8
Public Transit
Maxi/Tempo/Easy Bike 23
Microbus 25
Jeep/Pick
Vehicle Used for Private Up/SUV/Passenger Car 19
Purpose CNG 78
Motorcycle 42
Heavy Truck 4
Truck Medium Truck 15
Small Truck 25
Large Bus 1
Medium/ Mini Bus 7
Public Transit
Maxi/Tempo/Easy Bike 34
Microbus 45
Jeep/Pick
Vehicle Used for Private Up/SUV/Passenger Car 35
Purpose CNG 84
Motorcycle 50
Heavy Truck 5
Truck Medium Truck 25
Small Truck 20
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
Large Bus 3
Medium/ Mini Bus 8
Public Transit
Maxi/Tempo/Easy Bike 25
Microbus 50
Jeep/Pick
Vehicle Used for Private Up/SUV/Passenger Car 40
Purpose CNG 85
Motorcycle 54
Heavy Truck 3
Truck Medium Truck 17
Small Truck 24
Large Bus 2
Medium/ Mini Bus 4
Public Transit
Maxi/Tempo/Easy Bike 22
Microbus 30
Jeep/Pick
Vehicle Used for Private Up/SUV/Passenger Car 14
Purpose CNG 88
Motorcycle 35
Heavy Truck 8
Truck Medium Truck 19
Small Truck 30
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
Large Bus 3
Medium/ Mini Bus 7
Public Transit
Maxi/Tempo/Easy Bike 25
Microbus 30
Jeep/Pick
Vehicle Used for Private Up/SUV/Passenger Car 16
Purpose CNG 76
Motorcycle 45
Heavy Truck 6
Truck Medium Truck 12
Small Truck 17
Large Bus 1
Medium/ Mini Bus 2
Public Transit
Maxi/Tempo/Easy Bike 30
Microbus 26
Jeep/Pick
Vehicle Used for Private Up/SUV/Passenger Car 15
Purpose CNG 120
Motorcycle 56
Heavy Truck 2
Truck Medium Truck 2
Small Truck 2
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
Large Bus
Medium/ Mini Bus 2
Public Transit
Maxi/Tempo/Easy Bike 8
Microbus 20
Jeep/Pick
Vehicle Used for Private Up/SUV/Passenger Car 18
Purpose CNG 85
Motorcycle 45
Heavy Truck 9
Truck Medium Truck 18
Small Truck 20
Large Bus 1
Medium/ Mini Bus 4
Public Transit
Maxi/Tempo/Easy Bike 30
Microbus 41
Jeep/Pick
Vehicle Used for Private Up/SUV/Passenger Car 28
Purpose CNG 90
Motorcycle 55
Heavy Truck 17
Truck Medium Truck 23
Small Truck 29
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
Total
Direction: North-South
Major Category Sub Category Hours Total Count
Large Bus 11 14
Medium/ Mini Bus 11 22
Public Transit
Maxi/Tempo/Easy Bike 11 118
Microbus 11 442
Jeep/Pick
Vehicle Used for Private Up/SUV/Passenger Car 11 146
Purpose CNG 11 685
Motorcycle 11 415
Heavy Truck 11 473
Truck Medium Truck 11 281
Small Truck 11 178
Total
Direction: South-North
Major Category Sub Category Hours Total Count
Large Bus 16 26
Medium/ Mini Bus 16 66
Public Transit
Maxi/Tempo/Easy Bike 16 193
Microbus 16 797
Jeep/Pick
Vehicle Used for Private Up/SUV/Passenger Car 16 334
Purpose CNG 16 1112
Motorcycle 16 719
Heavy Truck 16 790
Truck Medium Truck 16 455
Small Truck 16 300
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT): Traffic data on all traffic volume maps is
represented as AADT, a theoretical estimate of the total number of vehicles using a
specific segment of roadway (in both directions) on any given day of the year.
AADT estimates are subject to many sources of variability. Therefore, it is suggested that
historical AADT’s be referenced in addition to the most currently available information.
Construction effects are unavoidable when collecting traffic data. If possible, traffic counts
are scheduled before a project starts or after it is completed. It is important to remember
that construction affects traffic patterns on the entire road network, another reason why it
is valuable to reference historical traffic volumes.
AADT is defined as the average 24-hour traffic volume at a given location over a full 365
days/year.
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
AADT Calculation
Direction: North-South
Major Category Sub Category AADT
Large Bus 31
Medium/ Mini Bus 48
Public Transit
Maxi/Tempo/Easy Bike 257
Microbus 964
Jeep/Pick
Vehicle Used for Private Up/SUV/Passenger Car 319
Purpose CNG 1495
Motorcycle 905
Heavy Truck 1032
Truck Medium Truck 613
Small Truck 388
AADT Calculation
Direction: South-North
Major Category Sub Category AADT
Large Bus 39
Medium/ Mini Bus 99
Public Transit
Maxi/Tempo/Easy Bike 290
Microbus 1196
Jeep/Pick
Vehicle Used for Private Up/SUV/Passenger Car 501
Purpose CNG 1668
Motorcycle 1079
Heavy Truck 1185
Truck Medium Truck 683
Small Truck 450
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
Passenger Car Equivalent (PCE): Passenger Car Equivalent (PCE) is a unit used to
represent the impact of a large vehicle on a road by expressing it as the number of
equivalent passenger vehicles. This paper focuses on estimating the PCE of various
sized heavy vehicles in roundabouts with respect to different entry flow rates. A single-
lane roundabout was tested under predefined mixed traffic and demand scenarios in
VISSIM micro-simulation environments. The individual and group behavior of four
separate heavy-vehicle types were tested: single-unit trucks, buses, small semitrailers,
and large semitrailers. The obtained PCE values were found to be on average lower than
those suggested in the United States guidelines for roundabouts. The estimated PCE
values for heavy vehicles in mixed traffic conditions are 1.30 for single unit trucks, 1.40
for small semitrailers, 1.60 for buses, and 1.70 for large semitrailers. Additional factors
such as varying inflow (balanced, unbalanced, and congested traffic) show direct
influences on the PCE values. The PCE value under these conditions ranged from 1.25
to 1.75 for smaller vehicles (single-unit trucks, buses, and small semitrailers) and 1.45–
2.10 for larger heavy vehicles (large semitrailers). A general equation was developed
based on the data to relate vehicle proportions and heavy-vehicle reduction factors that
would be useful for professionals to analyze the operational performance of roundabouts
with better accuracy.
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
Therefore,
Considering linear relation between cargo vessel traffic and road traffic, the following
projection is made for traffic flow up to the year 2050.
Passenger Passenger
Year Cars/Hr Year Cars/Hr
2022 414 2037 4024
2023 572 2038 4270
2024 819 2039 4517
2025 1065 2040 4763
2026 1312 2041 5010
2027 1558 2042 5256
2028 1805 2043 5503
2029 2051 2044 5749
2030 2298 2045 5996
2031 2544 2046 6242
2032 2791 2047 6489
2033 3037 2048 6881
2034 3284 2049 7221
2035 3531 2050 7530
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Cargo Vessel and Road Traffic Projection at Chittagong Port
Chittagong Bay Terminal Project
Passenger Passenger
Year Cars/Hr Year Cars/Hr
2022 492 2037 3855
2023 650 2038 4102
2024 897 2039 4348
2025 1143 2040 4595
2026 1390 2041 4841
2027 1636 2042 5088
2028 1883 2043 5334
2029 2129 2044 5581
2030 2376 2045 5827
2031 2622 2046 6074
2032 2869 2047 6320
2033 3115 2048 6567
2034 3362 2049 6959
2035 3609 2050 7299
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