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Student’s notes

Student’s notes

MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
2 Student’s notes

LEARNING OUTCOMES

1.a. Describe the features of a fixed-income security

1.b. Describe the contents of a bond indenture and contrast affirmative


and negative covenants
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
3 Student’s notes

[LOS 1.a] Describe the features of a fixed-income security

1. Introduction for fixed-income securities

Fixed-income securities allow governments, companies, and other issuers to


borrow from investors, promising future interest payments and the return of
principal, which are contractual (legal) obligations of the issuer.

The most common type of fixed-income security is a bond that promises to


make a series of interest payments in fixed amounts and to repay the
principal amount at maturity.

In comparision with equity, fixed-income security has some characteristics:

Fixed-income security Equity


Ownership rights No Yes
Priority of claim Higher Lower
Risk Lower Higher
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
4 Student’s notes

[LOS 1.a] Describe the features of a fixed-income security

2. Overview of a Fixed-Income Security

A bond is a contractual agreement between the issuer and the bondholders

Three important elements that an investor needs to know about when


considering a fixed-income security are:

3. The bond’s features


(LOS 1.a)

Assign bond … Time


agreement

The contingency provisions that may affect


the bond’s scheduled cash flows
(LOS 1.b)

The legal, regulatory, and tax considerations (LOS 2.b)

Note: In this section, we focus on “traditional” or “non-securitized” bonds.


MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
5 Student’s notes

[LOS 1.a] Describe the features of a fixed-income security

3. The bond’s features

3.1
Issuer
3.6
Contingency 3.2
provisions Maturity
The bond’s
features

3.3
3.5
Par value
Seniority
3.4
Coupon Rate
and Frequency
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
6 Student’s notes

[LOS 1.a] Describe the features of a fixed-income security

3. The bond’s features

3.1. Issuer

Issued by organizations that operate globally


Supranational such as the World Bank, the European
organizations Investment Bank, and the International
Monetary Fund (IMF).
The
government Sovereign United States gov, Japan gov,…
and (national) They usually represent the lowest risk and most
government- governments secure bonds in each market.
related Non-sovereign The State of Minnesota in the United States, the
sector (local) City of Edmonton in Alberta, Canada,..
governments
Quasi- Agencies that are owned or sponsored by
government governments (for example: postal services in
entities many countries,…)
The Often corporate bonds are divided into those
corporate Corporations issued by financial or non-financial
sector corporations.
The These are corporations set up to purchase
structured Special legal financial assets and issue asset-backed
finance entities securities, which are bonds backed by the cash
sector flows from those assets.
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
7 Student’s notes

[LOS 1.a] Describe the features of a fixed-income security

3. The bond’s features

3.2. Maturity

The maturity date of a bond refers to the date when the issuer is obligated
to redeem the bond by paying the outstanding principal amount

The tenor is the time remaining until the bond’s maturity date, it is an
important consideration in analyzing a bond’s risk and return (*)

Time remaining – Tenor


Assigned
bond …
agreement Time
Today The maturity date of a bond

(*) It indicates the period over which the bondholder can expect to receive
interest payments and the length of time until the principal is repaid in full.
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
8 Student’s notes

[LOS 1.a] Describe the features of a fixed-income security

3. The bond’s features

3.2. Maturity
Maturities typically range from overnight to 30 years or longer

Fixed-income securities, which, at the time of


issuance, are expected to mature in 1 year or less Money market
Example: commercial paper (CP) and certificates of securities
deposits, CDs,...

Fixed-income securities, which, at the time of


Capital market
issuance, are expected to mature in more than 1
securities
year

Fixed-income securities, which have no stated


Perpetual
maturity date, although very rare.
bonds
Example: issued by the U.K. government.
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
9 Student’s notes

[LOS 1.a] Describe the features of a fixed-income security

3. The bond’s features

3.3. Par value

Principal of a bond is the amount that the issuer agrees to repay the
bondholders on the maturity date. This amount refer to the par value, or
simply par, face value, nominal value, redemption value, or maturity value.

Bond prices are quoted as a percentage of their par value

Example:
A bond’s par value is $1,000. A quote of 95 means that the bond price is
$950 (95% × 1000).

The bond is trading at a


Bond’s price > par value
premium
Bond’s price = par value The bond is trading at par

Bond’s price < par value The bond is trading at a discount


MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
10 Student’s notes

[LOS 1.a] Describe the features of a fixed-income security

3. The bond’s features

3.4. Coupon Rate and Frequency

The coupon rate or nominal rate of a bond is the interest rate that the issuer
agrees to pay each year until the maturity date.

The annual amount of interest payments made is called the coupon:


Coupon = Par value × Coupon rate

3.4.1. Frequency

Coupon interest payments of bonds are flexible, some bonds make annually,
semiannual, quarterly, or monthly payments.

Example:
If a bond has a coupon rate of 6% and a par value of $1,000, the periodic
interest payments will be $60 if coupon payments are made annually, $30 if
they are made semi-annually, $15 if they are made quarterly, and $5 if they
are made monthly.
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
11 Student’s notes

[LOS 1.a] Describe the features of a fixed-income security

3. The bond’s features

3.4. Coupon Rate and Frequency

3.4.2. Coupon rate


Floating-rate notes (FRNs) or Plain vanilla bond or
floaters conventional bond

Pay a floating rate of interest Pay a fixed rate of interest

Zero-coupon, or pure discount bonds

Pay no interest prior to maturity


These bonds are sold at a discount to their par value and the interest is all
paid at maturity when bondholders receive the par value.
→ The interest earned on a zero-coupon bond is implied and equal to the
difference between the par value and the purchase price.
For example: A 10-year, $1,000, zero-coupon bond is purchased price is $950,
the implied interest is $50.
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
12 Student’s notes

[LOS 1.a] Describe the features of a fixed-income security

3. The bond’s features

3.5. Seniority

A debt issue’s seniority or priority of repayment among all issuer obligations


is an important determinant of risk.

Senior secured debts


Priority of claim

Subordinated secured debt Senior debt has a


priority claim over
subordinated debt
Senior unsecured debts
or junior debt.

Subordinated unsecured
debt
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
13 Student’s notes

[LOS 1.a] Describe the features of a fixed-income security

3. The bond’s features

3.6. Contingency Provisions


A contingency provision allows for some action given the occurrence of a
specified event in the future. Common contingency provisions found in a
bond's indenture come under the heading of embedded options*.

(*) Embedded options


The right, but not the obligation, to take some action are called “options”.
These options are not independent of the bond and cannot be traded
separately—hence the term “embedded”.

Some common types of bonds with embedded options include:

1. Callable bonds

2. Putable bonds

3. Convertible bonds
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
14 Student’s notes

[LOS 1.a] Describe the features of a fixed-income security

3. The bond’s features

3.7. Yield Measures

Current yield Simple yield

Annual cash coupon payment Annual cash coupon payment + gain/loss (∗)
Bond price Bond price

(*) A bond’s simple yield takes a discount or premium into account by


assuming that any discount or premium declines evenly over the remaining
years to maturity.
Gain/loss = the straight-line amortization of a discount/premium
Example 10: Calculate the current yield and simple yield
A 3-year, 8% coupon, semiannual-pay bond is priced at 90.165.
Calculate the current and simple yield at the end of the first year.
Answer:
Annual cash coupon payment 8
Current yield = Bond price = 90.165 = 8.87%
The discount from par value is 100 – 90.165 = 9.835.
Gain = annual straight-line amortization of the discount is 9.835/3 = 3.278.
Annual cash coupon payment + gain/loss 8 + 3.278
Simple yield = Bond price = 90.165 =
12.51%
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
15 Student’s notes

[LOS 1.a] Describe the features of a fixed-income security

3. The bond’s features

3.7. Yield Measures

Today Future cash flows

A given To equate to the given current price,


current price we must discount at YTM = ?

The yield-to-maturity (YTM) is the (uniform) interest rate that equates


the sum of the present values of the bond’s expected future cash flows
(when discount at that rate) to its current price.
PMT PMT PMT + Par
Current price of bond = + +...+
1
(1+YTM) (1+YTM)2 (1+YTM)n

The yield-to-maturity is the rate of return on the bond to an investor given


three critical assumptions:
• The investor holds the bond to maturity.
• The issuer makes all the coupon and principal payments in the full
amount on the scheduled dates
• The investor is able to reinvest coupon payments at that same yield.
This is a characteristic of an internal rate of return (IRR).
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
16 Student’s notes

[LOS 1.a] Describe the features of a fixed-income security

3. The bond’s features

Example 3: Calculate the yield-to-maturity


1. Compute the YTM for a 10-year, $1,000 par bond that pays an 8%
annual coupon given that its current price is $925.
2. Compute the YTM of a 10-year, $1,000 par bond with an 8% coupon
rate that makes semiannual coupon payments given that its current price
is $925.
Answer:
1. Current price = $925, coupon payment = $1,000 × 8% = $80

80 80 80 + 1,000
925 = + +...+ → YTM = 9.18%
(1 + YTM)1 (1 + YTM)2 (1+YTM)10
(FV = -$1,000; PMT = -$80; N = 10; PV = $925, CPT → I/Y = 9.18)
2. Current price = $925, coupon payment = $1,000 × 8%/2 = $40

40 40 40 + 1,000
925 =
(1 + YTM)
+
1 (1 + YTM)2
+...+
(1 + YTM)20 → YTM = 9.16%
2 2 2
(FV = -$1,000; PMT = -$40; N = 20; PV = $925, CPT → I/Y = 4.58
→ YTM = 4.58 × 2 = 9.16)
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
17 Student’s notes

[LOS 1.a] Describe the features of a fixed-income security

3. The bond’s features

3.8. Yield curves

A yield curve for coupon bonds shows the YTMs for coupon bonds at
various maturities.

YTM (%)
3
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Time to maturity (Years)
A yield curve for coupon bonds

The bonds with longer maturities have higher YTMs


→ Investors are demanding higher expected returns to compensate for
higher risk associated with longer-maturity bonds of the same issuer.
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
18 Student’s notes

[LOS 1.a] Describe the features of a fixed-income security

3. The bond’s features

Par value Issuer Currency

Issue date Maturity date Coupon Maturity


MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
19 Student’s notes

[LOS 1.b] Describe the contents of a bond indenture


and contrast affirmative

The trust deed is the legal contract that describes the form of the bond, the
obligations of the issuer, and the rights of the bondholders.

This legal contract is often referred to as the bond indenture

The indenture references both the issuer and the features of the bond issue

Basic features Further features

The principal value of the bond 1. Bond issuer


2. Funding sources for the interest
The coupon rate
payments and principal repayments
Dates when the interest payments 3. Collaterals
will be made
Covenants
The maturity date

Refer to LOS 1.a Will be detailed following


MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
20 Student’s notes

[LOS 1.b] Describe the contents of a bond indenture


and contrast affirmative

1. Legal Identity of the Bond Issuer and Its Legal Form

The bond indenture identifies the party that is obligated to make principal
and interest payments by its legal name.

The legal issuer is typically the institution responsible for


managing the national budget (the treasury of the issuing
Sovereign
country).
bonds
Example: Her Majesty's Treasury in the U.K, Viet Nam state
treasury,...

• The issuer is usually the corporate legal entity


• Bonds may be issued by the parent company or a subsidiary.
Corporate
→ Bondholders must consider the credit quality of the
bonds
specific entity issuing the bond (oftentimes, subsidiaries
carry a lower credit rating than the parent).

SPE is an entity is created solely for the purpose of owning


Special specific assets that supporting for issuing bonds in the
purpose securitization process → bankruptcy remoteness: the
entities payments to the holders of securitized bonds are sourced
(SPEs) from the cash flows from the assets owned by SPE even if the
company itself runs into financial trouble.
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
21 Student’s notes

[LOS 1.b] Describe the contents of a bond indenture


and contrast affirmative

2. Source of Repayment Proceeds

The bond indenture usually specifies how the issuer plans to make debt
service payments (interest and principal).

2.1. Supranational bond

Bonds issued by supranational organizations are usually repaid through:


(1) Proceeds from repayments of previous loans made by these
organizations
(2) Paid-in capital from its members

Repayments
cash flows (1)
The Repayments
Supranational Supranational
borrowing
organizations bond holders
countries Loans
Paid-in
capital (2)

Members
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
22 Student’s notes

[LOS 1.b] Describe the contents of a bond indenture


and contrast affirmative

2. Source of Repayment Proceeds

2.2. Sovereign bond

Sovereign bonds are typically repaid by the tax receipts of the issuing
country.

Sovereign bonds are backed by the “full faith and credit” of the national
Government.
National governments have unique powers to ensure the ability to repay debt
Example: the authority to tax economic activity, print money,…

Sovereign bonds denominated in lower yields on sovereign bonds


local currency are considered the than for similar bonds from other
safest of all investments. local issuers

Government yields are often used as a “risk-free rate” for time value of
money calculations as well as a benchmark reference rate for pricing fixed-
income securities.
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
23 Student’s notes

[LOS 1.b] Describe the contents of a bond indenture


and contrast affirmative

2. Source of Repayment Proceeds

2.3. Non-sovereign bond


There are three major sources for repayment of non-sovereign bonds:
• The general taxing authority of the issuer
• Cash flows from the project that the bonds were issued to finance
• Special taxes or fees specifically set up to make interest and principal
payments

2.4. Corporate bond

The source of payment for corporate bonds is the issuer’s ability to generate
cash flows, primarily through its operations.

These cash flows depend on the issuer’s financial strength and integrity

Corporate bonds typically entail a higher level of credit risk than sovereign
bonds, and therefore carry a higher yield.
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
24 Student’s notes

[LOS 1.b] Describe the contents of a bond indenture


and contrast affirmative

3. Asset or Collateral Backing

Collateral backing is a way to alleviate credit risk


Assets pledged as collateral and financial guarantees secure a bond issue
beyond the issuer's simple promise to pay

Investors should consider:

3.1. Seniority Ranking 3.2. Types of Collateral Backing


How the specific bonds they own The quality of the collateral
rank in the priority of claims in the backing the bond issue
event of default
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
25 Student’s notes

[LOS 1.b] Describe the contents of a bond indenture


and contrast affirmative

3. Asset or Collateral Backing

3.1. Seniority Ranking

a. Secured bonds and unsecured bonds

Secured bonds are backed by assets Unsecured bonds are not protected
or financial guarantees pledged to by a pledge of any specific assets;
ensure debt repayment in the case bondholders have only a general
of default. claim on the issuer’s assets and
cash flows.

Unsecured bonds are paid after secured bonds in the event of default

Unsecured bonds are more risky, entailing a higher yield.

A bond’s collateral backing might not specify an identifiable asset but


instead may be described as the “general plant and infrastructure” of the
issuer → Investors rely on seniority ranking (Los 1.a).
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
26 Student’s notes

[LOS 1.b] Describe the contents of a bond indenture


and contrast affirmative

3. Asset or Collateral Backing

3.1. Seniority Ranking

b. Senior ranking

Seniority ranking is the systematic way in which lenders are repaid in case of
bankruptcy or liquidation

Senior secured debts


Priority of claim

Subordinated secured debt Senior debt has a


priority claim over
subordinated debt
Senior unsecured debts
or junior debt.

Subordinated unsecured
debt
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
27 Student’s notes

[LOS 1.b] Describe the contents of a bond indenture


and contrast affirmative

3. Asset or Collateral Backing

3.1. Seniority Ranking

c. Debentures – A type of bond

In many jurisdictions In the United Kingdom and other


Debentures are an unsecured Commonwealth Countries
loan, with no collateral backing Debentures are usually backed by
assigned to the bondholders an asset or pool of assets assigned
as collateral

Support for the bond obligations


and segregated from other
creditor claims

It is important for investors to review the indenture to determine whether a


debenture is secured or unsecured
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
28 Student’s notes

[LOS 1.b] Describe the contents of a bond indenture


and contrast affirmative

3. Asset or Collateral Backing

3.2. Types of Collateral Backing


a. Collateral trust bonds are b. Equipment trust certificates are
secured by securities such as secured by specific types of
common stock, other bonds, or equipment or physical assets (e.g.,
other financial assets. aircraft, railroad cars, or oil rigs).

c. Mortgage-backed securities d. Covered bonds are backed by a


(MBS) are backed by a pool of segregated pool of assets (known
mortgage loans. Cash flows as the cover pool). (**)
generated by the pool are used to
make payments on MBS. (*)

(*) Refer to Module 19 – Mortgage-Backed Security (MBS) Instrument and


Market Features
(**) Refer to Module 18 – Asset-Backed Security (ABS) Instrument and
Market Features
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
29 Student’s notes

[LOS 1.b] Describe the contents of a bond indenture


and contrast affirmative

4. Bond Covenants

Bond covenants are legally enforceable rules that borrowers and lenders
agree on at the time of a new bond issue.

4.1. Affirmative covernants (Positive covernants)

• Affirmative covenants are requirements placed on the issuer.


• Affirmative covenants are typically administrative in nature.

Do not lead to additional costs for the issuer, nor do they significantly
restrict the issuer's ability to make business decisions

Examples: Affirmative covenants include promises to:


• Make timely payments to bondholders,
• Comply with all laws and regulations,
• Maintain the issuer's current lines of business,
• Insure and maintain assets,
• Pay taxes.
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
30 Student’s notes

[LOS 1.b] Describe the contents of a bond indenture


and contrast affirmative

4.2. Negative covenants

• Negative covenants are restrictions placed on the issuer.


• Negative covenants are frequently costly and materially constrain the
issuer’s potential business decisions.

Negative covenants ensure that the issuer will not take any actions that
would significantly reduce its ability to make interest payments and repay
the principal.

They protect bondholders from the dilution of their claims, asset


withdrawals or substitutions, and suboptimal investments by the issuer.

Restrictive covenants may not be in the bondholders’ best interest if they


force the issuer to default when default is avoidable
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
31 Student’s notes

[LOS 1.b] Describe the contents of a bond indenture


and contrast affirmative

4.2. Negative covenants

a. Restrictions on debt

b. Negative pledges
Negative covenants

c. Restrictions on prior claims

d. Restrictions on distributions to shareholders

e. Restrictions on asset disposals

f. Restrictions on investments

g. Restrictions on mergers and acquisitions


MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
32 Student’s notes

[LOS 1.b] Describe the contents of a bond indenture


and contrast affirmative

4.2. Negative covenants

a. Restrictions on debt

Restrictions on debt regulate the issue of additional debt

Permitting new debt to be issued only when justified by the issuer’s financial
condition

Maximum acceptable
debt usage ratios
Specifying
Minimum acceptable
interest coverage ratios

b. Negative pledges
Negative pledges prevent the issuance of debt that would be senior to or
rank in priority ahead of the existing bondholders’ debt.
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
33 Student’s notes

[LOS 1.b] Describe the contents of a bond indenture


and contrast affirmative

4.2. Negative covenants

c. Restrictions on prior claims

Restrictions on prior claims protect unsecured bondholders by preventing


the issuer from using assets that are not collateralized to become
collateralized.

d. Restrictions on distributions to shareholders

Restrictions on distributions to shareholders restrict dividends and other


payments to shareholders, such as share buybacks (repurchases)

The covenant sets:


• A base date, usually at or near the time of the issue
• Limiting dividends
• Share buybacks to a percentage of earnings or cumulative earnings after
that date.
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
34 Student’s notes

[LOS 1.b] Describe the contents of a bond indenture


and contrast affirmative

4.2. Negative covenants

e. Restrictions on asset disposals

Restrictions on asset disposals limit the amount of assets that can be


disposed by the issuer during the bond’s life.

Preventing a break-up of the company

f. Restrictions on investments

Restrictions on investments constrain risky investments by blocking


speculative investments and ensuring an issuer devotes its capital to its
going-concern business.

g. Restrictions on mergers and acquisitions

Restrictions on mergers and acquisitions ensure that if the issuing company


is sold, the surviving company or the acquirer takes responsibility for debt
service payments.
Student’s notes

MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME CASH


FLOWS AND TYPES
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
36 Student’s notes

LEARNING OUTCOMES

2.a. Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income instruments


and contrast cash flow contingency provisions that benefit issuers
and investors

2.b. Describe how legal, regulatory, and tax considerations affect the
issuance and trading of fixed-income securities
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
37 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions that
benefit issuers and investors

1. Principal repayment structures

How the bond issuer repays the amount borrowed is important to investors,
as it affects the level of credit risk faced by them

Credit risk is reduced if there are any provisions that periodically retires
some of the principal amount outstanding

1.1. Bullet, Fully Amortized, and Partially Amortized Bonds

1.2. Sinking Fund Arrangements


MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
38 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

1. Principal repayment structures

1.1. Bullet Bonds and Amortized Bonds

A bullet bond is one that only makes periodic interest payments, with the
entire principal amount paid back at maturity

Interest
Par
1 2 3 4 5 payment
t=0 Principal
No principal is paid until payment
maturity

An amortizing bond is one that makes periodic interest and principal


payments over the term of the bond.

A bond may be fully or partially amortized until maturity:

1.1.1. Fully amortized bond

1.1.2. Partially amortized bond


MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
39 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

1. Principal repayment structures

1.1. Bullet Bonds and Amortized Bonds


1.1.1. Fully amortized bond is characterized by a fixed periodic payment
schedule that reduces the bond’s outstanding principal amount to zero by
the maturity date
The bond’s outstanding
Par principal amount is
1 2 3 4 5 reduced to zero by the
t=0 maturity date.

1.1.2. Partially amortized bond makes fixed periodic payments until


maturity, but only a portion of the principal is repaid by the maturity date.

Only a portion of the


Par principal is repaid by the
1 2 3 4 5
t=0 maturity date.

Balloon
payment
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
40 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

1. Principal repayment structures

1.1. Bullet Bonds and Amortized Bonds

Illustration for fully amortized bond and partially amortized bond


For the three bonds, the principal amount is $1,000, the maturity is five
years, the coupon rate is 6%, and interest payments are made annually. The
market interest rate used to discount the bonds’ expected cash flows until
maturity is assumed to be constant at 6%. The bonds are issued and
redeemed at par. For the partially amortized bond, the balloon payment is
$200 at maturity.

(continue in the next slide)


MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
41 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

1. Principal repayment structures

1.1. Bullet Bonds and Amortized Bonds

Illustration for Bullet Bonds and Amortized Bonds


Payment schedule for Bullet Bond
• Coupon payment = 6% x 1,000 = $60
• Last payment = Coupon + Bullet par repayment = 60 + 1,000 = $1,060
Investor Outstanding
Interest Principal
Year cash Principal at the
payment repayment
flows End of the Year

0 -$1,000 - - $1,000

1 $60 $60 $0 $1,000

2 $60 $60 $0 $1,000

3 $60 $60 $0 $1,000

4 $60 $60 $0 $1,000

5 $1,060 $60 $1,000 $0


MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
42 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

1. Principal repayment structures

1.1. Bullet Bonds and Amortized Bonds

Illustration for fully amortized bond and partially amortized bond


Payment schedule for Fully Amortized Bond
•1 The annual payment is constant so it can be viewed as an annuity, and
calculated as: N = 5; PV = -$1,000; I/Y = 6; FV = 0; CPT PMT; Annual PMT =
$237.40
•2 Interest component of Year 2 payment = Coupon rate x Outstanding
principle = 0.06 x 822.60 = $49.36
•3 Principal repayment component of Year 2 payment = 237.40 - 49.36 =
$188.04
Investor cash Interest Principal Outstanding Principal
Year
flows payment repayment at the End of the Year
0 -$1,000 - - -
1 $237.40 $60 $177.40 $822.60
2 $237.40 2 $49.36 3 $188.04 $634.56
3 1 $237.40 $38.07 $199.32 $435.24
4 $237.40 $26.11 $211.28 $223.96
5 $237.40 $13.44 $223.96 $0
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
43 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

1. Principal repayment structures

1.1. Bullet Bonds and Amortized Bonds

Illustration for fully amortized bond and partially amortized bond


Payment schedule for Fully Amortized Bond
Comment: the annual payment is constant, but over time the interest
payment decreases (as the outstanding principal amount decreases each
year) and the principal repayment increases.

Par

1 2 3 4 5
t=0 $60 $49.36 $38.07 $26.11 $13.44

$177.40 $188.04 $199.32 $211.28 $223.96


MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
44 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

1. Principal repayment structures

1.1. Bullet Bonds and Amortized Bonds

Illustration for fully amortized bond and partially amortized bond


Payment schedule for Partially Amortized Bond
This bond can be viewed as a combination of (1) a 5-year annuity (X) and (2)
a bullet payment at maturity. The sum of the present values of these two
elements is equal to the bond price of $ 1,000.
X X X X $200 + X
0 1 2 3 4 5
Timeline of payment

The PV of bullet payment is calculated as:


N = 5; FV = $200; I/Y = 6; PMT = 0; CPT PV → PV = $149.45

Therefore, PV of 5-year annuity is calculated as: 1,000 – 149.45 = $850.55


1• The annuity payment can be calculated as:
N = 5; PV = $850.55; I/Y = 6 ; FV = 0; CPT PMT → X = $201.92
Interest component of Year 2 payment = 0.06 x 858.08 = $51.48
Principal repayment component of Year 2 payment = 201.92 - 51.48 = $150.43
2• Investor’s cash flows at maturity year:
200 (balloon payment) + 201.92 = $401.92
Note: The methods applied to calculate interest rate and remaining principal
is similar to fully amortized bond
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
45 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

1. Principal repayment structures

1.1. Bullet Bonds and Amortized Bonds

Illustraion for fully amortized bond and partially amortized bond


Payment schedule for Partially Amortized Bond
Investor Interest Principal Outstanding Principal
Year
cash flows payment repayment at the End of the Year

0 -$1,000 - - $1,000

1 $201.92 $60 $141.92 $858.08

2 $201.92 $51.48 $150.43 $707.65


1
3 $201.92 $42.46 $159.46 $548.19

4 $201.92 $32.89 $169.03 $379.17


5 $401.92 2 $22.75 $379.17 $0

Comment: the annual payment is constant, but over time the interest
payment decreases and the principal repayment increases. Since the
principal amount is not fully amortized, interest payments are higher for the
partially amortized bond than for the fully amortized bond except for Year 1
(when they are equal).
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
46 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

1. Principal repayment structures

1.1. Bullet Bonds and Amortized Bonds

Illustration for fully amortized bond and partially amortized bond


Payment schedule for Partially Amortized Bond

Par

1 2 3 4 5
t=0 $60 $51.48 $42.46 $32.89 $22.75

$141.92 $150.43 $159.46 $169.03 $179.17


Balloon
$200 payment
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
47 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

1. Principal repayment structures

1.2. Sinking Fund Arrangements

A sinking fund arrangement requires the issuer to repay a specified portion


of the principal amount every year throughout the bond's life or after a
specified date.

This repayment occurs whether or not an actual segregated cash reserve has
been created.

Example: a $10 million issue with a term of 5 years could require the issuer
to redeem bonds worth $2 million par each year. Coupon rate is 10%.

Principal
$10 mil
Annual
$8 mil coupon
$6 mil
$4 mil
$2 mil
$1 mil $0.8 mil $0.6 mil $0.4 mil $0 mil
$0.2 mil
0 1 2 3 4 5
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
48 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

1. Principal repayment structures

1.2. Sinking Fund Arrangements

Another type of sinking fund arrangement operates by redeeming a steadily


increasing amount of the bond’s notional principal (total amount) each year

Example: a $15 million issue with a term of 5 years and Coupon rate is 10%.
It requires the issuer to redeem bonds
Year 1: $1 mil Year 2: $2 mil Year 3: $3 mil
Year 4: $4 mil Year 5: $5 mil
Principal
$15 mil
Annual
$14 mil coupon

$12 mil

$9 mil

$5 mil
$1.5 mil
$1.4 mil $1.2 mil $0.9 mil $0.5 mil $0 mil
0 1 2 3 4 5
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
49 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

1. Principal repayment structures

1.2. Sinking Fund Arrangements


Sinking fund arrangements have several benefits and drawbacks

Benefits Drawbacks

• Ensures a formal plan exists for • Reinvestment risk, which is the


debt retirement. risk associated with having to
• Reduces credit risk due to a reinvest cash flows at an interest
reduction of default risk at rate below the current yield-to-
maturity. maturity.
• If the issue has an embedded call
option, the issuer may be able to
repurchase bonds at a price
lower than the current market
price, resulting in bondholders
losing out.
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
50 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

1. Principal repayment structures

1.3. Waterfall structure


The bond classes differ as to how they will share any losses resulting from
defaults of the borrowers whose loans are in the collateral
→ Ordering the claim priorities for interest in an asset between the tranches
→ “Waterfall” structure
The most senior tranche is unaffected unless losses
exceed the amount of the subordinated tranches
In the event of default
The proceeds from
Senior tranche liquidating assets will
Provide credit first be used to repay
protection to Subordinated tranche the most senior
the senior (junior tranches) creditors
classes
Subordinated tranche Losses are allocated
(junior tranches) from the bottom up

This structure redistribute the credit risk associated with the collateral

Allow investors to choose the level of credit risk that they prefer to bear.
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
51 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

2. Coupon payment structures

A coupon is the interest payment that the bond issuer makes to the
bondholder

A conventional bond pays a fixed periodic coupon over a specified time to


maturity (annually, semi-annually, quarterly,…)

Various other coupon-payment structures are described below:

2.1. Floating-Rate Notes (FRN)

2.2. Step-Up Coupon Bonds

2.3. Credit-Linked Coupon Bonds

2.4. Payment-in- Kind Coupon Bonds

2.5. Deferred Coupon Bonds

2.6. Index-Linked Bonds


MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
52 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

2. Coupon payment structures

2.1. Floating-Rate Notes (FRN)

Floating-rate notes (FRN) do not have a fixed coupon; instead, their coupon
rate is linked to an external reference rate (Euribor, Libor,…).

The coupon rate of an FRN has two components:


Coupon rate = Reference rate + a spread (Margin)
For example, the three-month Libor + 20 bps for a euro-denominated FRN

The reference rate resets periodically based on market conditions.

• The spread is typically fixed and expressed in basis points (bps). 1 bps =
0.01%
• The spread on an FRN is determined at issuance and is based on the
issuer's credit rating at issuance. The higher the issuer's
creditworthiness, the lower the spread.
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
53 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

2. Coupon payment structures

2.1. Floating-Rate Notes (FRN)

FRNs have less interest rate risk than fixed-rate bonds


This is because the coupon rate on an FRN is reset periodically and brought in
line with current market interest rates (Reference rate).

Market interest rates rise → The coupon rate on FRN increases


If market interest rates fall → The coupon rate on FRN decreases

When market interest rates (discount rate) increases, coupon payment also
increases → the bond’s value would not decline

FRNs are preferred by investors who expect interest rates to increase


MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
54 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

2. Coupon payment structures

2.1. Floating-Rate Notes (FRN)

2.1.1. Floor or cap

Floating-Rate Notes (FRNs) may be structured to include a floor or a cap on


the periodic coupon rate.

A cap prevents the periodic coupon rate on the FRN from rising above a
prespecified maximum rate, so it benefits the issuer
Floating
Interest Cap
rate
(%)

Floor
0 Time
A floor prevents the periodic coupon rate on the FRN from falling below a
prespecified minimum rate, so it benefits investors.
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
55 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

2. Coupon payment structures

2.1. Floating-Rate Notes (FRN)

2.1.2. Inverse floater - Inverse FRN

Inverse floater is a bond whose coupon rate has an inverse relationship to


the reference rate.
Coupon rate = Maximum coupon rate – (Leverage × Reference rate)

If market interest rates fall → The coupon rate on FRN increases

Inverse FRNs are favored by investors who expect interest rates to decline
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
56 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

2. Coupon payment structures

2.2. Step-Up Coupon Bonds

• A step-up coupon bond (which can be fixed or floating) is one where the
periodic coupon rate increases by specified margins at specified dates.
• Step-up coupon bonds have a call feature that allows the firm to redeem
the bond issue at a set price at each step-up date.

Coupon rate
(%)
4%
3.5%
3%
2.5%

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2016 Year

• Like floating rate notes, bonds with step-up coupons offer bondholders
some protection against rising interest rates.
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
57 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

2. Coupon payment structures

2.3. Credit-Linked Coupon Bonds

A credit-linked coupon bond has a coupon that changes when the bond’s
credit rating changes

Example: a bond's coupon rate may be structured to increase (decrease) by


a specified margin for every credit rating downgrade (upgrade) below
(above) the bond’s credit rating at issuance.

Credit-linked coupon bonds protect investors against a decline in the credit


quality

Be more attractive to investors who are concerned about the future


creditworthiness of the issuer
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
58 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

2. Coupon payment structures

2.3. Credit-Linked Coupon Bonds

There is a problem with credit-linked coupon bonds is that since a rating


downgrade results in higher interest payments for the issuer, it can
contribute to further downgrades or even an eventual default.

Rating Higher interest


downgrades payments
Default risk

Further Higher debt


downgrades burden

Eventual
default
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
59 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

2. Coupon payment structures

2.4. Payment-in- Kind Coupon Bonds

A payment-in-Kind (PIK) coupon bond typically allows the issuer to pay


interest in the form of additional amounts of the bond issue rather than as a
cash payment.

Issuer’s perspective Investor’s perspective


PIK coupon bond are preferred by Demand a higher yield on these
issuers may face potential cash bonds to compensate them for the
flow problems in the future. higher credit risk

Other forms of PIK arrangements


• A PIK toggle note: issuers pay interest in cash, in kind, or a combination
of the two.
• Pay common shares worth the amount of coupon due
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
60 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

2. Coupon payment structures

2.5. Deferred Coupon Bonds

A deferred coupon bond (a split coupon bond) pays no coupons for its first
few years but then pays a higher coupon than it otherwise normally would
for the remainder of its life.

Cash flows

High dividends to
No compensate for no dividend
dividend in the first 2 years
0
1 2 3 … Maturity date
Issuers are usually seeking ways to conserve cash in the years immediately
following the bond issue. → A deferred coupon bond allows them to delay
interest payments until the project is completed
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
61 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

2. Coupon payment structures

2.5. Deferred Coupon Bonds

A zero-coupon bond can be viewed as an extreme form of a deferred


coupon bond
Par Deep discount to par
value (compensate for no
interest payment)
1 2 3 4 5
t=0

Redeem at par
Note: in certain jurisdictions, the deferred coupon structure may help
investors manage their tax liability by delaying taxes due on interest income
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
62 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

2. Coupon payment structures

2.6. Index-Linked Bonds

An index-linked bond has its coupon payments and/or principal repayment


linked to a specified index (such as a commodity or equity index).

Tạke inflation-linked bond as a common example of index-linked bond

• Inflation-linked bonds offer investors protection against inflation by


linking a bond’s coupon payments and/or the principal repayment to an
index of consumer prices.
• Their payments are based on the change in an inflation index, such as the
Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the United States.
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
63 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

2. Coupon payment structures

2.6. Index-Linked Bonds

Example:
US Treasury introduced Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) linked
to the US Consumer Price Index (CPI). An inflation-linked bond is the 1% US
TIPS. The coupon rate remains fixed at 1%, but the principal is adjusted every
six months for changes in the CPI.
 While traditional bonds fix both coupon and principal, inflation-linked
bonds fix coupon rate (at 1%) and adjust the principal to compensate the
change in inflation
Traditional
bonds Coupon = $1
Coupon 1% Principal Principal
$100 $100

Inflation rate = 10% Year
Year 0 After one year

Inflation-
linked bonds Principal Principal Coupon = $1.1
Coupon 1% $100 $110 Higher coupon payment
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
64 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

2. Coupon payment structures

2.6. Index-Linked Bonds

Structure of index-linked bond

Type of structure Coupon Principal

Zero-coupon-indexed No coupon Linked to a specified


bonds index

Interest-indexed Linked to a specified Fixed amount


bonds index

Capital-indexed Fixed rate Linked to a specified


bonds index

Indexed-annuity Linked to a specified Linked to a specified


bonds index index
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
65 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

3. Overview for contingency provisions

A contingency provision allows for some action given the occurrence of a


specified event in the future. Common contingency provisions found in a
bond's indenture come under the heading of embedded options*.

(*) Embedded options


The right, but not the obligation, to take some action are called “options”.
These options are not independent of the bond and cannot be traded
separately—hence the term “embedded”.

Some common types of bonds with embedded options include:

3.1. Callable bonds

3.2. Putable bonds

3.3. Convertible bonds

Note: Bonds that do not have contingency provisions are referred to as


straight bond or option-free bonds.
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
66 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

3.1. Callable bonds

A callable bond gives the issuer the right to redeem all or part of the bond
before the specified maturity date.
Under issuer’s perspective
Market interest rates falling The issuer’s credit quality improving

A decline in required interest rates

The issuer would call the outstanding issue and replace this old (expensive
to pay interest on) issue with a new issue that carries a lower interest rate.

Callable bonds are advantageous to the issuer of the security

Non-callable
bonds
Value of call
Right to redeem option
bond at a specified = Value of
Callable bonds price noncallable bond
- Value of callable
bond
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
67 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

3.1. Callable bonds

Under investor’s perspective


Callable bonds expose investors to a higher level of reinvestment risk than
noncallable bonds.

If the bonds are called, bondholders must reinvest funds in a lower interest
rate environment.

Callable bonds have to offer a higher yield and sell at a lower price

To compensate investors for


Granting the option to call the bond Accepting potentially higher
to the issuer reinvestment risk
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
68 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

3.1. Callable bonds

The following details are specified:

Call price: the price paid to bondholders when the bond is called

Call premium: the excess over par paid by the issuer to call the bond

Call schedule: specifies the dates and prices at which the bond may be called
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
69 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

3.1. Callable bonds

Make-whole call provisions

With a make-whole bond, the call price is not fixed but includes a lump-sum
payment:
Lump-sum payment = PV of (the future payments the bondholder will not
receive if the bond is called early)

• The calculated call price is unlikely to be lower than the market value of
the bond
• Issuer is unlikely to call the bond except when corporate circumstances,
require it

The make-whole provision actually restricts the the probability that the bond
would be called

The net effect is that the bond can be called if necessary, but it can
also be issued at a lower yield than a bond with a traditional call provision.
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
70 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

3.1. Callable bonds

Available exercise styles on callable bonds


American-style call (continuously
callable)
The issuer has the right to call a
bond at any time starting on the Call at
first call date. anytime
European-style call
The issuer has the right to call a
bond only once on the call date. One specified
Bermuda-style call date
The issuer has the right to call bonds
on specified dates following the call
protection period. These dates
Some specified
frequently correspond to coupon
Lockout period dates
payment dates.
During lockout period (initial call protection period), the issuer is prohibited
from calling the bond.
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
71 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

3.1. Callable bonds

Example:
A hypothetical $1,000 par 20-year bond is issued on January 21, 2013 at a
price of 98.515. The issuer can call the bond in whole or in part every January
21, from 2019. Call prices at different call dates are listed below:
Year Call Price (%) Year Call Price (%)

2019 102.00 2023 100.824

2020 101.655 2023 100.548

2021 101.371 2024 100.273

2022 101.095 2025 and thereafter 100.00

Required:
1. What is the length of the call protection period?
2. What is the call premium (per bond) for the 2022 call date?
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
72 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

3.1. Callable bonds

Answer:
1. The bonds were issued in 2013 and are first callable in 2019. Therefore,
the call protection period is 2019 - 2013 = 6 years.
2. Call prices are stated as a percentage of par, so the call price in 2022 is
$1,010.95 (= 101.095% x 1,000). The call premium is the amount paid
above par by the issuer. Therefore, the call premium in 2022 is $10.95
(= 1,010.95 - 1,000).
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
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73 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

3.2. Putable bonds

A put provision gives the bondholders the right to sell the bond back to the
issuer at a pre-determined price on specified dates

Under investor’s perspective


Putable bonds are beneficial for the bondholder by guaranteeing a pre-
specified selling price at the redemption dates

An increase in interest rates

Investor can put the bond back to the issuer and reinvest the proceeds in
bonds that offer higher yields, in line with higher market interest rates.

Putable bonds are advantageous to the investor

Non-
putable Value of put option
bonds = Value of putable
bond - Value of
nonputable bond
Putable
bonds
Right to sell the Maturity
bond back
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
74 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

3.2. Putable bonds

Under issuer’s perspective


As the bond is put, the issuer would have to reissue new bonds at a higher
interest rate → the issuer face higher risk
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
75 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

3.3. Convertible bonds

A convertible bond gives the bondholder the right to convert the bond into a
prespecified number of common shares of the issuer.

• A convertible bond is a hybrid security with both debt and equity features
• Additionally, a convertible bond can be viewed as the combination of a
straight bond (option-free bond) plus an embedded equity call option.

Under investor’s perspective


Non-
convertible
bonds
Right to
convert the
Convertible bond to equity
bonds
Maturity

Value of convertible right


= Value of convertible bond - Value of nonconvertible bond
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
76 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

3.3. Convertible bonds

Convertible bond offers several advantages relative to a non-convertible bond

• It gives the bondholder the ability to convert into equity in case of share
price appreciation, and thus participate in the equity upside;

• The bondholder receives downside protection

If the share price The convertible bond offers the regular coupon
does not appreciate payments and principal repayment at maturity

Convertible bonds are attractive to investors

Convertible bonds offer a lower yield and sell at higher prices than similar
bonds without the conversion option.
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
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77 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

3.3. Convertible bonds

Key terms regarding the conversion provision include the following:

a. The conversion price is the price per share at which the convertible bond
can be converted into shares.

b. The conversion ratio is the number of common shares that each bond can
be converted into.
Par value
Conversion ratio =
Conversion price

c. The conversion value, sometimes called the parity value, is the current
share price multiplied by the conversion ratio.

d. The conversion premium is the difference between the convertible bond’s


price and its conversion value.
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
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78 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

3.3. Convertible bonds

Key terms regarding the conversion provision include the following:

e. Conversion parity occurs if the conversion value equals the convertible


bond’s price.

Example: Assume that the bond price is $1,000 and the conversion ratio is
40 shares per bond.

• If the current share price is $25 → the conversion value = 25 × 40 = $1,000


→ both the convertible bond’s price and the conversion value are equal
to $1,000 → a conversion premium equal to 0 → this condition is referred
to as parity.
• If the common share is selling for less than $25, the condition is below
parity.
• If the common share is selling for more than $25, the condition is above
parity.

Note: Although it is common for convertible bonds to reach conversion


parity before they mature, bondholders rarely exercise the conversion
option, choosing to retain their bonds and receive (higher) coupon payments
instead of (lower) dividend payments.
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
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79 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

3.3. Convertible bonds

a. Warrants

A warrant offers the holder the right to purchase the issuer's stock at a fixed
exercise price until the expiration date.

Allowing investors to participate in the upside from an increase in share prices

A warrant is somewhat similar to a conversion option, but it is not


embedded in the bond’s structure.
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
80 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

3.3. Convertible bonds

b. Contingent Convertible Bonds


Several European banks have issued a type of convertible bond called
contingent convertible bonds.
Contingent convertible bonds (CoCos) are bonds that convert from debt to
common equity automatically if a specific event occurs.

They differ from traditional convertible bonds in two ways:

Traditional convertible bonds Contingent Convertible Bonds

Convertible at the option of the Cocos convert automatically upon the


bondholder occurrence of a prespecified event.

Conversion occurs on the upside— Contingent write-down provisions are


that is, if the issuer’s share price convertible on the downside.
increases
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
81 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.a] Describe common cash flow structures of fixed-income


instruments and contrast cash flow contingency provisions

3.3. Convertible bonds

b. Contingent Convertible Bonds

To understand the application of CoCos, consider a bank that is required to


maintain its core equity capital above a minimum level.

CoCos automatically convert into They may force holders to take


equity if the bank suffers losses losses

• Lightening the debt burden Offer investors a higher yield


• Increasing its equity capital than otherwise similar bonds

Ensure that it continues to adhere


to capital requirements in the event
of significant losses
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
82 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.b] Describe how legal, regulatory, and tax considerations


affect the issuance and trading of fixed-income securities

1. Legal and regulatory consideration

Fixed-income securities are subject to different legal and regulatory


requirements across jurisdictions, depending on where they are issued,
traded and who holds them.

An important consideration for investors is where the bonds are issued and
traded because it affects the laws and regulations that apply

The global bond market

1.1. National bond markets 1.2. Eurobond market

Domestic
Foreign bonds Eurobonds
bonds
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
83 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.b] Describe how legal, regulatory, and tax considerations


affect the issuance and trading of fixed-income securities

1. Legal and regulatory consideration

1.1. National bond market includes all the bonds that are issued and traded in a
particular country and denominated in that country's local currency.

1.2. Eurobond market is the market where Eurobonds are issued and traded.
• Eurobonds refer to bonds that are denominated in a currency other than the
local currency where they are issued.

Types Domestic bond Foreign bond Eurobond


Currency
Domestic Foreign Any
denominated
Market issued and
Domestic Foreign International
traded

Issuer incorporated Domestic Domestic Any

Legal and Under the jurisdiction of the Not under the jurisdiction
regulatory country they are issued. of any single country

Registered bonds
Ownership record
(the trustee keeps a record of bond ownership)*

*In the past, Eurobonds typically were bearer bonds (the trustee keeps no records
of bond ownership)
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
84 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.b] Describe how legal, regulatory, and tax considerations


affect the issuance and trading of fixed-income securities

1. Legal and regulatory consideration

Example:
• Domestic bonds: bonds issued by Google Inc. (U.S. firm) in U.S. dollars and
traded in the U.S. bond market.
• Foreign bonds: bonds issued by Toyota Motor Company (Japanese firm) in
U.S. dollars and traded in the U.S.bond market.
• Eurobond: bonds issued by a Chinese firm in U.S.dollars and traded in
markets outside the U.S.

1.3. Global bonds are bonds that are issued simultaneously in the Eurobond
market and in at least one domestic bond market.

Ensuring sufficient demand for large bond issues and access to all fixed-
income investors regardless of location
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
85 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.b] Describe how legal, regulatory, and tax considerations


affect the issuance and trading of fixed-income securities

2. Tax consideration

We discuss some aspects of bond that are through to tax considerations

2.1. Coupon/Interest of bond

2.2. Capital gain/loss from bond trading

2.3. Discounted issues

2.4. Premium issues


MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
86 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.b] Describe how legal, regulatory, and tax considerations


affect the issuance and trading of fixed-income securities

2. Tax consideration

2.1. Coupon/Interest of bond

For Investor
• Bond interest receipt (coupon receipt) is taxed at the ordinary income tax
rate, which is the same rate as wage and salary income.
• However, the interest income from national bonds (tax-exempt
securities) issued by municipal governments in the United States is most
often exempt from national income tax and often from any state income
tax in the state of issue.

For Issuer

• Bond interest payments are usually allowed to deduct taxable income


→ Some domestic bonds pay their interest net of income tax (interest
received is the amount after deducting income tax).
• Other bonds make interest payments in gross (interest receipt still includes
tax, investors subjects to tax purpose).
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
87 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.b] Describe how legal, regulatory, and tax considerations


affect the issuance and trading of fixed-income securities

2. Tax consideration

2.2. Capital gain/loss from bond trading

A bond investment will generate a capital gain or loss if sold prior to maturity
at a price different from the purchase price

If the bond price has increased If the bond price has decreased

Capital gain Capital loss

Be taxed at specific tax rate


May be deductible or not
that may be lower than ordinary
Depend on national tax legislations
income tax rate

• Capital gains recognized over a year after the original bond purchase may
be classified as long-term capital gains and taxed at an even lower rate.
• Capital gains recognized within a year of bond purchase may be classified
as short-term capital gains and taxed at the ordinary income tax rate.
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
88 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.b] Describe how legal, regulatory, and tax considerations


affect the issuance and trading of fixed-income securities

2. Tax consideration

2.3. Discounted issues

Bonds issued at a discount (including pure discount bonds) are termed the
original issue discount (OID) bonds.
→ the tax status of the original issue discount is an additional tax
consideration.
→ A prorated portion of the discount increases the investor’s taxable income
(coupon payments) each year until maturity.

2.4. Premium issues

In contrast, a prorated portion of the premium may deduct the investor’s


taxable income each year until maturity.
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
89 Student’s notes

[LOS 2.b] Describe how legal, regulatory, and tax considerations


affect the issuance and trading of fixed-income securities

2. Tax consideration

2.3. Discounted issues

Illustration of tax treatment for discount bonds


Assume that a company issues bonds in the hypothetical country of Zinland,
where the local currency is the zini (Z). There is an original issue discount tax
provision in Zinland’s tax code. The company issues a 10-year zero-coupon
bond with a par value of Z1,000 and sells it for Z800.

Original issue discount


=Z1,000 – Z800 = Z200
1,000
A prorated portion of the discount
each year = Z200/10 = Z20
800 → Increase the taxable income by
Z20 each year.

Par value Original issue price


Student’s notes

MODULE 3: FIXED-INCOME
ISSUANCE AND TRADING
MODULE 3: FIXED-INCOME
ISSUANCE AND TRADING
91 Student’s notes

LEARNING OUTCOMES

3.a. Describe fixed-income market segments and their issuer and investor
participants

3.b. Describe types of fixed-income indexes

3.c. Compare primary and secondary fixed-income markets to equity


markets
MODULE 3: FIXED-INCOME
ISSUANCE AND TRADING
92 Student’s notes

[LOS 3.a] Describe fixed-income market segments and their issuer


and investor participants

1. Classification of Fixed-Income Markets

d. Currency a. Issuers

Classification of global
e. Geography b. Maturity
fixed-income markets

ESG
c. Credit quality
Characteristics
MODULE 3: FIXED-INCOME
ISSUANCE AND TRADING
93 Student’s notes

[LOS 3.a] Describe fixed-income market segments and their issuer


and investor participants

1. Classification of Fixed-Income Markets

a&b. Issuers and Maturities

Major classifications of bond issuers are governments (sovereign and non-


sovereign), corporates, and special purpose entities issuing asset-backed
securities (ABSs).

Years to maturity

< 1y 1y – 10y > 10y


Short-term Intermediate-term Long-term
“Default
Treasury bills Treasury notes Treasury bonds
risk free”
Repo commercial Unsecured Unsecured
Investment paper* corporate bonds corporate bonds
grade Asset-backed Asset-backed Mortgage-backed
commercial paper** securities (ABS)** securities (MBS)**

Secured corporate
High yield bonds (new issuers)
Leveraged loans

Credit quality
(*) Refer to Module 4
(**) Refer to Module 17 – 19
MODULE 3: FIXED-INCOME
ISSUANCE AND TRADING
94 Student’s notes

[LOS 3.a] Describe fixed-income market segments and their issuer


and investor participants

1. Classification of Fixed-Income Markets

c. Credit quality

A common measure of credit quality is a credit rating. Credit ratings


qualitative measures of an issuer’s ability to meet its debt obligations based
on both the probability of default and the expected loss under a default
scenario.

Credit rating agencies Moody’s Fitch and S&P


Aaa AAA
Aa AA
Investment grade
A A

Credit rating
Baa BBB
Ba BB
B B
Non-investment
grade Caa CCC
(high yield or junk)
Ca CC
C C, D
MODULE 3: FIXED-INCOME
ISSUANCE AND TRADING
95 Student’s notes

[LOS 3.a] Describe fixed-income market segments and their issuer


and investor participants

1. Classification of Fixed-Income Markets

c. Credit quality

Investment grade
• More stable cash flows
Risk and Return

• Relative rare defaults among issuers

Non-investment grade
• Less stable cash flows
• Higher probability of default

Non-investment grade (high yield or junk) include

New issuers Fallen angels


New issuers for which investors Formerly investment-grade
are more likely to require issuers whose credit quality has
collateral due to less stable deteriorated since the time of
operating cash flows. issuance.
MODULE 3: FIXED-INCOME
ISSUANCE AND TRADING
96 Student’s notes

[LOS 3.a] Describe fixed-income market segments and their issuer


and investor participants

1. Classification of Fixed-Income Markets

d. Currency denomination

Fixed-income securities can also be classified based on the currency in


which they are issued. The currency in which a bond is issued determines
which country's interest rates affect its price.
MODULE 3: FIXED-INCOME
ISSUANCE AND TRADING
97 Student’s notes

[LOS 3.a] Describe fixed-income market segments and their issuer


and investor participants

1. Classification of Fixed-Income Markets

e. Geography

Bonds may be classified on the basis of where they are issued and traded.
Types Domestic bond Foreign bond Eurobond
Currency
Domestic Foreign Any
denominated
Market issued and
Domestic Foreign International
traded
Issuer incorporated Domestic Domestic Any
Legal and Under the jurisdiction of the Not under the jurisdiction
regulatory country they are issued. of any single country

Investors also often distinguish between developed bond markets or


emerging bond markets.
Emerging bond markets Developed bond markets

Scale Smaller Higher

Riskiness More risky Less risky

Return Higher return Lower return


MODULE 3: FIXED-INCOME
ISSUANCE AND TRADING
98 Student’s notes

[LOS 3.a] Describe fixed-income market segments and their issuer


and investor participants

2. Investors in Fixed-Income Securities

Fixed-income investors have corresponding positions along the credit and


maturity spectrums as they seek to gain exposures to certain risks and to
match the cash flows of known future obligations.

Years to maturity

< 1y 1y – 10y > 10y


Short-term Intermediate-term Long-term

Financial intermediaries
“Default
risk free”
Money market funds Central banks Pension funds

Investment Money market funds Bond funds and ETFs


Insurance companies
grade Corporate issuers Asset managers

Asset managers
Hedge funds
High yield
Distressed debt
funds

Credit quality
MODULE 3: FIXED-INCOME
ISSUANCE AND TRADING
99 Student’s notes

[LOS 3.a] Describe fixed-income market segments and their issuer


and investor participants

2. Investors in Fixed-Income Securities

Bond investors Invest in Purpose


Financial Treasuries across the
Manage interest rate and liquidity risks
intermediaries whole maturity
As a monetary policy tool to increase
Intermediate-term
Central banks or decrease the monetary reserves of
Treasury notes
commercial banks.
• Match their long-term liabilities
Pension funds (paying pensions and claims on
Long-term, investment-
and insurance insurance policies).
grade securities
companies • Are often prohibited by regulations
from owning high-yield securities.
Corporation Commercial paper, repos Seek to earn returns on excess
issuers and ABCP liquidity.
Bond funds and Investment-grade Position according to their stated
ETFs intermediate securities mandate
Intermediate securities,
Asset managers between investment- Earn high returns
grade and high-yield
Hedge funds
High-yield intermediate
and Distressed Earn high returns
securities
debt funds
MODULE 3: FIXED-INCOME
ISSUANCE AND TRADING
100 Student’s notes

[LOS 3.b] Describe types of fixed-income indexes

Recall from Equity Investments topic


The role of market indexes involve:
• Tracking the broad risk and return of different security markets, which
enable the evaluation of market performance.
• Benchmarking the performance of investments and investment managers.
• Forming the basis for indexed investment strategies.

Contrast Equity indexes versus Fixed-income indexes


Categories Equity indexes Fixed-income indexes
More constituents
Amount of Corporate bond issuers can
Less constituents
constituents have many different bonds
outstanding.
• Infinite maturity • Finite maturity
• Less frequency of new • Higher frequency of new
Probability
issuance issuance
of turnover
→ Less changes in constituents → More changes in
→ less turnover constituents → more turnover
• Diversify weighting method.
More common use is weighting
Weighting • More common use is
by market value of debt
method weighting by issuers’ market
outstanding.
capitalization.

Despite of the complexity of bond indexes, a bond fund aims to match the returns
of a specific index will hold a representative sample of constituent securities.
MODULE 3: FIXED-INCOME
ISSUANCE AND TRADING
101 Student’s notes

[LOS 3.b] Describe types of fixed-income indexes

Fixed-income indexes classification

1. Aggregate indexes 2. Narrowed indexes


Contain a broad selection of Focus on criteria such as sector,
constituent bonds credit quality, maturity, ESG…

Example: Bloomberg Barclays Example: J.P. Morgan Emerging


Global Aggregate Index Markets Bond Index Plus (EMBI+),
Bloomberg Barclays MSCI Euro
Corporate Sustainable SRI Index.

The index chosen to evaluate an investment manager or fund should


correspond to that manager’s or fund’s investment strategy.
MODULE 3: FIXED-INCOME
ISSUANCE AND TRADING
102 Student’s notes

[LOS 3.b] Describe types of fixed-income indexes

1. Aggregate indexes example

Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Index

Extract of Brief summary of inclusion criteria

Fixed-rate bonds from sovereign, government, corporate, and


Issuers:
securitized issuers based in DM and EM markets

Currencies: 28 eligible currencies across the Americas, EMEA, and Asia Pacific

Credit quality: Investment-grade rating or equivalent

Fixed rate, zero coupon, and step-up coupon (if step-up dates are
Coupon:
predetermined)

Minimum issuance size by market, for example:


—CAD150 m
Amount —USD300 m, EUR300 m, CHF300 m, AUD300 m
outstanding: —CNY 5 bn (Treasury and bank debt)
—RUB20 bn
—JPY35 bn

Maturity: At least one year to final maturity or average weighted maturity

Include fixed-coupon capital market Exclude high-yield and unrated debt


securities from all major issuer types in instruments and those that do not meet
28 developed and emerging markets minimum issuance size.
that meet the above inclusion criteria.
MODULE 3: FIXED-INCOME
ISSUANCE AND TRADING
103 Student’s notes

[LOS 3.b] Describe types of fixed-income indexes

2. Narrowed indexes example

J.P. Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Index Plus (EMBI+)

Extract of Brief summary of inclusion criteria

Issuers: Emerging market sovereign issuers of US dollar debt

Only US dollar–denominated bonds are included. Bonds with a


Currencies: coupon or redemption payment linked to an exchange rate are
not eligible

Sovereign rating of Baa1/BBB+/BBB+ or below by


Credit quality:
Moody’s/S&P/Fitch Ratings

Fixed rate, zero coupon, and step-up coupon (if step-up dates are
Coupon:
predetermined)

Amount Issues with a current face amount outstanding of USD500 million


outstanding: or more

Only instruments with at least 2.5 years until maturity are


considered. At each month-end, instruments that will fall below
Maturity:
12 months to maturity during the upcoming month will be
excluded.

Include US dollar–denominated emerging market sovereign debt with a rating of


Baa1/BBB+ or below, with minimum size and maturity limits.
MODULE 3: FIXED-INCOME
ISSUANCE AND TRADING
104 Student’s notes

[LOS 3.b] Describe types of fixed-income indexes

2. Narrowed indexes example

Bloomberg Barclays MSCI Euro Corporate Sustainable SRI Index

Extract of Brief summary of inclusion criteria

Issuers: Corporate (industrial, utility, and financial institution) issuers

Currencies: Only euro-denominated bonds are included

Security rating of Baa3/BBB-/BBB- or above by Moody’s/S&P/Fitch


Credit quality:
or equivalent

Amount
EUR300 million minimum par amount outstanding
outstanding:
At least one year to final maturity, with fixed-to-floating perpetual
Maturity: bonds excluded one year prior to conversion. Fixed-rate perpetual
bonds are excluded.

• Must have an MSCI ESG rating of BBB or higher


• Excludes issuers involved in the following business
lines/activities, such as: alcohol, tobacco, gambling…
ESG rules:
• Excludes issuers with a “Red” MSCI Controversies score
measuring issuer involvement in major ESG controversies and
adherence to international norms and principles

Indexes can also incorporate ESG factors in their


construction that regularly screen for and exclude
issuers that fail to meet certain minimum ESG criteria.
MODULE 3: FIXED-INCOME
ISSUANCE AND TRADING
105 Student’s notes

[LOS 3.c] Compare primary and secondary fixed-income markets to


equity markets

Primary bond markets Secondary bond markets


are markets in which are markets in which
issuers initially sell existing bonds are
bonds to investors to subsequently traded
raise capital. among investors.

Sell Trade
bonds bonds
Issuers Investors Investors

1. Primary bond markets 2. Secondary bond markets

Mechanism for issuing and trading bond in each market

Underwritten offering Quote-driven market

Best-efforts offering Over-the-counter (OTC)


Public
offerings
Shelf registration

Auction

Private placement
MODULE 3: FIXED-INCOME
ISSUANCE AND TRADING
106 Student’s notes

[LOS 3.c] Compare primary and secondary fixed-income markets to


equity markets

1. Primary bond markets

Before IPO IPO After IPO

Private debt Public debt

• Public offering
• Private placement

Debut issuers Repeat issuers

Reopening of an
existing bond:
increase the size of
an existing bond
with a price
significantly
different from par
MODULE 3: FIXED-INCOME
ISSUANCE AND TRADING
107 Student’s notes

[LOS 3.c] Compare primary and secondary fixed-income markets to


equity markets

1. Primary bond markets

1. Public offerings

a. Underwritten offering (Firm commitment offering)

The investment bank guarantees the sale of the bond issue at an offering
price that is negotiated with the issuer.
→ The investment bank, called the underwriter, takes the risk associated
with selling the bonds.

Illustration of Underwritten offering

Sell Resell
Issuers bonds Investment bank bonds Investors

2 types
Small issues Large issues

Lead underwriter
Single investment bank Syndicate of investment bank
MODULE 3: FIXED-INCOME
ISSUANCE AND TRADING
108 Student’s notes

[LOS 3.c] Compare primary and secondary fixed-income markets to


equity markets

1. Primary bond markets

1. Public offerings

b. Best-efforts offering

Contrast Underwritten offering and Best-efforts offering:

Best-efforts offering Underwritten offering

The investment bank only acts as a The investment bank guarantees


broker and tries its best to sell the the sale of the bond issue at an
bond at the negotiated offering offering price that is negotiated
price for a commission. with the issuer.

The investment bank bears less


The investment bank takes the risk
risk and has less of an incentive to
associated with selling the bonds.
sell in a best efforts offering.

This offering is more common for bonds of lower credit quality, the financial
intermediary does not guarantee the sale and may serve only as a broker.
MODULE 3: FIXED-INCOME
ISSUANCE AND TRADING
109 Student’s notes

[LOS 3.c] Compare primary and secondary fixed-income markets to


equity markets

1. Primary bond markets

1. Public offerings

c. Shelf registration

Shelf registration allows certain authorized issuers to


Mechanism offer additional bonds to the public without a new and
separate offering circular.
• The issuer prepares a single, all-encompassing offering
circular that describes a range of future bond issuances,
all under the same document called master
prospectus.
Requirements
• Each issue must be accompanied by an announcement
document describing changes to the issuer's financial
condition (if any) since the filing of the master
prospectus.

• Only used by well-established issuers with proven


financial strength.
Limitation
• In some jurisdictions, only qualified investors can
purchase.
MODULE 3: FIXED-INCOME
ISSUANCE AND TRADING
110 Student’s notes

[LOS 3.c] Compare primary and secondary fixed-income markets to


equity markets

1. Primary bond markets

1. Public offerings

c. Auction

• Bonds are sold to investors through a bidding process, which helps in


price discovery and allocation of securities.
• Primary market issuance of sovereign debt usually takes the form of a
public auction led by the national treasury or finance ministry.
(Auction is further discussed in Module 5)
MODULE 3: FIXED-INCOME
ISSUANCE AND TRADING
111 Student’s notes

[LOS 3.c] Compare primary and secondary fixed-income markets to


equity markets

1. Primary bond markets

2. Private placement

Contrast Private placement and Public offering

Private placement Public offering

Only a selected group of Any member of the public


qualified investors (typically may purchase the bonds
Member
large institutional investors)
are allowed

Either: Investment banks, which


• Directly between the provide a wide range of
Intermediary issuer and the investors financial services
• Through an investment
bank

Liquidity Less liquid More liquid

Have customized and Have standardized and less


Restriction
restrictive covenants restrictive covenant
MODULE 3: FIXED-INCOME
ISSUANCE AND TRADING
112 Student’s notes

[LOS 3.c] Compare primary and secondary fixed-income markets to


equity markets

2. Secondary bond markets

Trading platforms

Quote-driven market Over-the-counter (OTC)


Investors trade with dealers Orders are matched through a
communications network.

Dealers post quotes comprising bid (purchase) prices and ask or offer
(selling) prices for various bond issues.

Bid price Spread Ask price


The price a buyer The price a seller is
is willing to pay willing to accept

The spread varies across individual bonds according to their liquidity:


• < 10 – 20 basic points: Bond of the most recently issued (on-the-run
bonds), developed market sovereign bonds.
• ≥ 10 – 20 basic points: Bonds of less frequent corporate issuers or more
seasoned bonds of frequent issuers are rarely traded.
MODULE 3: FIXED-INCOME
ISSUANCE AND TRADING
113 Student’s notes

[LOS 3.c] Compare primary and secondary fixed-income markets to


equity markets

2. Secondary bond markets

Distressed debt is a name given to the bonds of issuers that are in, or
expected to file for, bankruptcy.
Trading platform: Secondary market at a price well below par.
Investors: Hedge funds and other opportunistic investors seeking more
equity-like returns.
Features:
• Distressed debt is traded until either the corporate issuer has liquidated
its assets or its outstanding bonds have been restructured.
• By the time an issuer’s debt has become distressed, its equity securities
will likely have already been delisted.
Student’s notes

MODULE 4: FIXED-INCOME
MARKETS FOR CORPORATE
ISSUERS
MODULE 4: FIXED-INCOME
MARKETS FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
115 Student’s notes

LEARNING OUTCOMES

4.a. Compare short-term funding alternatives available to corporations


and financial institutions

4.b. Describe repurchase agreements (repos), their uses, and their


benefits and risks

4.c. Contrast the long-term funding of investment-grade versus high-yield


corporate issuers
MODULE 4: FIXED-INCOME
MARKETS FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
116 Student’s notes

[LOS 4.a] Compare short-term funding alternatives available to


corporations and financial institutions

Short-term funding alternatives

1. For non-financial corporations 2. For financial institutions

1.2. External
1.1. External Interbank
security-based Deposits
loan financing markets
financing

Bank lines of
Commercial paper
credit Repurchase
(issued by both Non-financial
agreements
corporations and Financial
Secured loans (repos)
institutions)
and factoring
MODULE 4: FIXED-INCOME
MARKETS FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
117 Student’s notes

[LOS 4.a] Compare short-term funding alternatives available to


corporations and financial institutions

1. Short-term funding for non-financial corporations

Cash Working capital


Accounts
Short-term payable
Short-term
investments Short-term liabilities
Short-term
assets Long-term Borrowing
Accounts
obligations
receivable
Long-term Ownership
Inventory assets capital (equity)

Internal financing – come from External financing – come from


business outsider investors
• Cash Short-term borrowing including:
• Short-term investments • Uncommitted or Committed lines
• Accounts receivable of credit
• Inventory • Revolving credit
• Accounts payable • Secured loans
… • Factoring
MODULE 4: FIXED-INCOME
MARKETS FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
118 Student’s notes

[LOS 4.a] Compare short-term funding alternatives available to


corporations and financial institutions

1. Short-term funding for non-financial corporations

1.1. External loan financing

a. Lines of credit (LOC)

A line of credit is a preset borrowing limit that a borrower can draw on at


any time.

Pays interest
Company Bank
Lends money up to a limit

Uncommitted Committed Revolving

Reliability
MODULE 4: FIXED-INCOME
MARKETS FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
119 Student’s notes

[LOS 4.a] Compare short-term funding alternatives available to


corporations and financial institutions

1. Short-term funding for non-financial corporations

1.1. External loan financing

a. Lines of credit (LOC)

Committed or
Types Definition Period
not?
Uncommitted

Form of bank borrowing in which a bank


extends an offer of credit for an extended
Uncommitted N/A
period of time but may refuse to lend if
circumstances change.

A formal written commitment outlining the


Committed

conditions of the credit line between a Less than 365


Committed
bank & the borrower and cannot be days
suspended without notifying the borrower.

Agreement that permits an account holder


Revolving

to borrow money repeatedly up to a set


Multiple
money limit while repaying a portion of Committed
years
the current balance due in regular
payments.
MODULE 4: FIXED-INCOME
MARKETS FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
120 Student’s notes

[LOS 4.a] Compare short-term funding alternatives available to


corporations and financial institutions

1. Short-term funding for non-financial corporations

1.1. External loan financing

a. Lines of credit (LOC)

Unsecured or
Types Cost Risk
secured?
Can be unsecured
Uncommitted

if borrower
Do not require any compensation other Banks may refuse
maintains stable
than interest to lend
cash balances
with bank
• Require compensation, usually in the Renewal risk at
form of a commitment fee to the maturity – bank
Committed
(Regular)

lender withdraw the


• A commitment fee is charged Unsecured agreement for
(typically 50 basic points) on either borrowers with
the full or unused amount of over the credit condition
period. worsen

• Similar to committed LOC with


Revolving

respect to borrowing rates and


commitment fee. Unsecured Not mentioned
• Banks typically place restrictive
covenants on borrowers.
MODULE 4: FIXED-INCOME
MARKETS FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
121 Student’s notes

[LOS 4.a] Compare short-term funding alternatives available to


corporations and financial institutions

1. Short-term funding for non-financial corporations

1.1. External loan financing

b. Secured loans and factoring

Secured loans are loans in which the lender requires the company to
provide collateral in the form of an asset.

Lend money
Company Bank
Provide collateral

• Collateral is usually a fixed asset owned by the company or high-quality


receivables and inventory.
• Assignment of accounts receivable is the use of cash-flow-generating
accounts receivable as collateral for a loan
• These assets are pledged against the loan, and the lender files a lien (*)
against them.

(*) A lien is a claim or legal right against assets that are typically used as
collateral to satisfy a debt.
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122 Student’s notes

[LOS 4.a] Compare short-term funding alternatives available to


corporations and financial institutions

1. Short-term funding for non-financial corporations

1.1. External loan financing

b. Secured loans and factoring

Factoring refers to the actual sale of receivables at a discount from their


face value. Debt factoring involves three parties: a business, a client, and a
debt factoring company.

(1) The company sells goods on credit to


Company the customer in 30 days Customer

(3) Money
(2) The company sells (4) The customer pays
the debt to the factor the factor after 30 days
Factor

In a factoring arrangement, the company shifts the credit granting and


collection process to the factor. The cost of this credit (i.e., the amount of
the discount) depends on the credit quality of the accounts and the costs of
collection.
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123 Student’s notes

[LOS 4.a] Compare short-term funding alternatives available to


corporations and financial institutions

1. Short-term funding for non-financial corporations

1.2. External security-based financing

Commercial paper is a short-term, unsecured notes issued in the public


market or via a private placement.

Issuing commercial paper


Issuer Holder
Lending money

a. Characteristics of Commercial paper


• It is a valuable source of flexible, readily available, and relatively low-cost
short-term financing.
• It can be used to meet seasonal demands for cash and is also commonly
used to provide bridge financing (i.e., interim financing until long-term
financing can be arranged).

Unfavorable conditions Favorable conditions


Bridge financing
Issuing long-term bonds Issuing long-term bonds

Issuing commercial paper


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124 Student’s notes

[LOS 4.a] Compare short-term funding alternatives available to


corporations and financial institutions

1. Short-term funding for non-financial corporations

1.2. External security-based financing

b. Credit quality of Commercial paper


Rolling over the paper (or “rolled over”) is the practice of paying maturing
commercial paper with the proceeds of new issuances.

Begin the Company obtain the funds to pay off maturing paper End the
project by issuing more commercial paper project

1st issue 2nd issue 3rd issue 4th issue
Rollover risk: the risk
Success Success Success Fail that issuer will be unable
to issue new at maturity.

Commercial paper issuers secure a backup line of credit from banks.

The purpose of the backup lines of credit is to ensure that the issuer will
have access to sufficient liquidity to repay maturing commercial paper if a
rollover is not possible.

Given their short maturity, commercial paper markets adapt quickly to


adverse credit events and defaults are relatively rare.
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125 Student’s notes

[LOS 4.a] Compare short-term funding alternatives available to


corporations and financial institutions

1. Short-term funding for non-financial corporations

1.2. External security-based financing

c. Yield on Commercial paper

Short-term Short-term Commercial


sovereign bonds municipal bonds paper
• Lowest credit risk • Higher credit risk • Highest credit risk
• Most liquid • Less liquid • Least liquid
• Income can be tax • Income is subject to
exempt income taxes

d. US Commercial Paper vs. Euro commercial Paper

Feature US Commercial Paper Euro commercial Paper


Market United States International market

Currency US dollar Any currency


Transaction
Larger Smaller
size
Liquidity More liquid Less liquid
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126 Student’s notes

[LOS 4.a] Compare short-term funding alternatives available to


corporations and financial institutions

2. Short-term funding for financial corporations

Cash Deposits

Central bank Short-term Certificates


reserves liabilities of deposit
Short-term
Short-term assets Long-term Securities
loans obligations sold via Repos

Securities Long-term Ownership Short-term


purchased assets capital (equity) borrowing
via Repos

External financing – come from outsider investors


In this section, we further discuss about:
• Deposits – refer to 2.a
• Interbank markets – refer to 2.b
• Commercial paper – refer to 2.c
• Repurchase agreements (repos) – refer to LOS 4.b
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127 Student’s notes

[LOS 4.a] Compare short-term funding alternatives available to


corporations and financial institutions

2. Short-term funding for financial corporations

a. Deposits

One of the primary sources of funding for deposit-taking banks is their


deposit base, which includes funds from both retail (household) and
commercial depositors.

Types of deposit accounts

Checking accounts Operational deposits Savings deposits

• Pay no interest Made by larger • Pay periodic interest


• Provide full of depositors who require • Provide less
transaction services cash management, transaction services
• Offer immediate custody, and clearing • Less liquidity
access to funds. services • Stated maturity
• No stated maturity

Example: Certificate of
deposit (CD).
(see more in next slide)
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128 Student’s notes

[LOS 4.a] Compare short-term funding alternatives available to


corporations and financial institutions

2. Short-term funding for financial corporations

a. Deposits

Certificate of deposit (CD)

A certificate of deposit (CD) is an instrument that represents a specified


amount of funds on deposit for a specified maturity and interest rate.

Fund

Banks CDs Investors

• Usually < 1 year.


Maturity
• CDs with longer maturities are called “term CDs”.

Large-denomination CDs (≥ $1 million) are important


Denomination
funding sources for banks from institutional investors.
Non-negotiable CD Negotiable CD
Initial depositor at
Negotiable and Pay to Holder of CD
maturity
Nonnegotiable
CD Yes
Can be
No It can be sold in the open
sold?
market prior to maturity
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129 Student’s notes

[LOS 4.a] Compare short-term funding alternatives available to


corporations and financial institutions

2. Short-term funding for financial corporations

b. Interbank market

• Periods of one day to a year.


Interbank market • Either on secured or unsecured basis. Most
Funds are loaned common type of secured is Repos (LOS 4.b)
by one bank to Borrowing at market reference rate (MRR)
another.
Bank A Funding Bank B

Borrowing at
Central bank Central bank
funds rate
funds market
Funds are loaned minimum
reserve
by excess reserves
requirement
from other banks Bank A Bank B Bank C
Reserves of banks at Central Bank

Discount window Extra scrutiny and restrictions on the activities of


lending the bank to address the liquidity issues.
Borrowing at higher rate than CB fund rates
Funds are loaned
by central bank Bank A Central
Funding
bank
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130 Student’s notes

[LOS 4.a] Compare short-term funding alternatives available to


corporations and financial institutions

2. Short-term funding for financial corporations

c. Commercial paper

Asset-backed commercial paper


Commercial paper
(ABCP)

Unsecured notes
(Refer to Commercial paper in • Secured form of commercial
External security-based financing paper.
for Short-term funding for non- • A liquid, short-term note.
financial corporations) • Is recorded off-balance-sheet.

Asset-backed commercial paper creation process


Step 1
Short-term
loans A bank agrees to transfer short-term loans
Bank SPE to a Special purpose entity (SPE)
Cash

Step 2
Backup credit ABCP Investor The SPE issues ABCP
liquidity line to investors with a
Bank SPE Investor backup credit liquidity
line provided by the
Investor bank
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131 Student’s notes

[LOS 4.b] Describe repurchase agreements (repos), their uses, and


their benefits and risks

An important source of secured short-term lending and borrowing is the


repurchase agreement (repo) market.

A repurchase agreement or repo is the sale of a security with a simultaneous


agreement by the seller to buy the same security back from the purchaser at
an agreed-on repurchase price and repurchase date.
Understanding in alternative way, a repurchase agreement can be viewed as
a collateralized loan in which the security sold and subsequently
repurchased represents the collateral posted.

Illustration of Repo transaction


t=0 t=T

Initial sale At repurchase date


Security
Cash (Collateral)
Lender Borrower Lender Borrower
(Buyer) (Seller) (Buyer) (Seller)
Security Cash
(Collateral) + Interest

From borrower perspective, transaction From lender perspective, transaction


would be referred to as a repo. would be referred to as a reverse repo.
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132 Student’s notes

[LOS 4.b] Describe repurchase agreements (repos), their uses, and


their benefits and risks

1. Structure of repurchase and reverse repo

Introduction some terms of Repos

Overnight repo An agreement for one day.

Term repo An agreement for a longer than one day.

The collateral used in the repo may involve a specific


General
security or a general type of security (e.g., Treasury bonds
collateral repo
of a certain range of maturities).

Master
The details of the contractual terms of the repo between
repurchase
the counterparties.
agreement

• The annualized interest rate of the loan.


• Repurchase price = Loan × (1 + annualized repo rate)
Repo rate repo term
where: annualized repo rate = repo rate ×
360
Repurchase price – Loan 360
→ Repo rate = ×
Loan repo term
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133 Student’s notes

[LOS 4.b] Describe repurchase agreements (repos), their uses, and


their benefits and risks

1. Structure of repurchase and reverse repo

Introduction some terms of Repos

• The borrower typically must post extra collateral above the


loan amount (or can be called the purchase price) by an
amount known as the initial margin → To protect the lender
Initial against a potential decrease in the value of the securities
margin posted as collateral.
Security price
• Initial margin = Loan amount 0
0
• The percentage difference between the market value of the
security and the value of the loan.
• The margin serves to protect the lender against a decline in
Haircut the value of the collateral over the term of the repo.
(Repo Security price0 – Loan amount0
margin) • Haircut = Security price0
• Haircut can also be calculated quickly as:
1
1 – Initial margin
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134 Student’s notes

[LOS 4.b] Describe repurchase agreements (repos), their uses, and


their benefits and risks

1. Structure of repurchase and reverse repo

Introduction some terms of Repos

• During the period, the loan value increases at the repo rate
and the market value of collateral fall → Variation margin is
the amount ensure maintaining security interest equal to
origin initial margin terms.
Variation • Variation margin = (Initial margin × Loan amountt ) –
margin Security pricet
o Variation margin > 0: Borrower is asked to post additional
collateral.
o Variation margin < 0 (Overcollateralized): Borrower can
request a release of collateral.
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135 Student’s notes

[LOS 4.b] Describe repurchase agreements (repos), their uses, and


their benefits and risks

1. Structure of repurchase and reverse repo

Example: Consider party A that wishes to borrow by entering into a repo


agreement to sell a bond today with a market value of $1 million and
repurchase it 90 days later (the repurchase date). The lender requires a
repo rate of 2% and initial margin of 103%. Assuming a 360-day count
convention.

t=0 t = 90

Bond
Cash (Collateral)
Party B Party A Party B Party A
(Lender) (Borrower) (Lender) (Borrower)
Bond Cash
(Collateral) + Interest
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136 Student’s notes

[LOS 4.b] Describe repurchase agreements (repos), their uses, and


their benefits and risks

1. Structure of repurchase and reverse repo

Determine the following factors:

Initial purchase price (loan amount) ...

Repurchase price …

Haircut (repo margin) …

Step 1: Determine Loan amount


after 30 days

Variation margin
Assuming that after 30 days the
market value of bond has fallen to
Step 2: Determine Variation margin
$990,000

Is variation margin negative or



positive? What will borrower do?
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137 Student’s notes

[LOS 4.b] Describe repurchase agreements (repos), their uses, and


their benefits and risks

1. Structure of repurchase and reverse repo

Example: Consider party A that wishes to borrow by entering into a repo


agreement to sell a bond today with a market value of $1 million and
repurchase it 90 days later (the repurchase date). The lender requires a
repo rate of 2% and initial margin of 103%. Assuming a 360-day count
convention

t=0 t = 90

Bond
Cash (Collateral)
Party B Party A Party B Party A
(Lender) (Borrower) (Lender) (Borrower)
Bond Cash
(Collateral) + Interest

1. Determine purchase price (loan amount) at t = 0.


Given Initial margin = 103% and Security price0 = $1 million, the initial
purchase price is calculated as:
Security price0 1,000,000
Purchase price0 = = = $970,874
Initial margin 103%
Note that Party A must finance the remaining $29,126 from other sources.
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138 Student’s notes

[LOS 4.b] Describe repurchase agreements (repos), their uses, and


their benefits and risks

1. Structure of repurchase and reverse repo

Example: Consider party A that wishes to borrow by entering into a repo


agreement to sell a bond today with a market value of $1 million and
repurchase it 90 days later (the repurchase date). The lender requires a
repo rate of 2% and initial margin of 103%. Assuming a 360-day count
convention

t=0 t = 90

Bond
Cash (Collateral)
Party B Party A Party B Party A
(Lender) (Borrower) (Lender) (Borrower)
Bond Cash
(Collateral) + Interest

2. Determine repurchase price using repo term and repo rate.


Given Initial loan amount = $970,874, repo rate = 2% and 90-day repo term,
the repurchase price is calculated as:
repo term
Repurchase price = Loan × 1 + repo rate ×
360
90
= 970,874 × 1 + 2% × = $975,728
360
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139 Student’s notes

[LOS 4.b] Describe repurchase agreements (repos), their uses, and


their benefits and risks

1. Structure of repurchase and reverse repo

Example: Consider party A that wishes to borrow by entering into a repo


agreement to sell a bond today with a market value of $1 million and
repurchase it 90 days later (the repurchase date). The lender requires a
repo rate of 2% and initial margin of 103%. Assuming a 360-day count
convention

t=0 t = 90

Bond
Cash (Collateral)
Party B Party A Party B Party A
(Lender) (Borrower) (Lender) (Borrower)
Bond Cash
(Collateral) + Interest

3. Determine repo haircut.


Given Initial loan amount = $970,874 and Security price0 = $1 million, the
haircut is calculated as:
Security price0 – Loan amount0 1,000,000 – 970,874
Haircut = = = 2.91%
Security price0 1,000,000
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140 Student’s notes

[LOS 4.b] Describe repurchase agreements (repos), their uses, and


their benefits and risks

1. Structure of repurchase and reverse repo

You are standing here

t=0 t = 30 t = 90

Bond = $1,000,000 Bond = $990,000


Loan = $970,874 Loan = ?

4. Assuming that after 30 days the market value of bond has fallen to
$990,000. Determine variation margin.
Step 1: Determine Loan amount after 30 days
t
Loan amountt = 30 = Loan amount0 × 1 + repo rate ×
360
30
= 970,874 × 1 + 2% × = $972,492
360
Step 2: Determine Variation margin
Variation margin = (Initial margin × Loan amountt ) – Security pricet
= (103% × 972,492) – 990,000 = $11,667
Implication: After 30 days, the loan amount rises to $972,492 leading to the
increase of the current margin. Since the market value of the bond
($990,000) is less than this amount, the borrower must provide an additional
$11,667 of securities as collateral.
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141 Student’s notes

[LOS 4.b] Describe repurchase agreements (repos), their uses, and


their benefits and risks

2. Repo applications and benefits

Participants use the repo market for three specific purposes:

Finance the Financial institutions enter repos as security sellers or cash


ownership of borrowers to finance positions in securities held in their
a security trading activities.

• Banks and institutional investors, such as mutual funds


Earn short-
and pension funds, enter repos as security buyers/lenders
term income
to earn the repo rate on excess short-term funds.
by lending
• Central banks may use repos to enact monetary policy,
funds on a
buying securities/lending to increase the money supply
secured
and selling securities/borrowing to decrease the money
basis
supply.

• Hedge fund may take a short position in a security, with a


view that its price will decline.
• Short sale process (recall from Equity investments topic)
Borrow a
1 2
security in
order to sell Simultaneously borrow Simultaneously buy
security in repo market security in cash market
it short and sell in cash market and repay in repo market
Wait for decrease
in securities price
Open the position Close the position
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142 Student’s notes

[LOS 4.b] Describe repurchase agreements (repos), their uses, and


their benefits and risks

3. Factors affecting repo rate

Factors Change in factor Change in repo rate

Money market interest rates Higher Higher


Collateral quality Higher Lower
Repo term (Length of repo) Longer Higher
Supply and Supply Lower
demand
Lower
conditions Demand Higher
of collateral
Undercollateralized
Collateral delivery or Higher
no collateral is provided
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143 Student’s notes

[LOS 4.b] Describe repurchase agreements (repos), their uses, and


their benefits and risks

4. Repo risks

Relating to the lender fails to make the repurchase


Default risk
payment at the end of the repo.

Relating to the value that can be generated for collateral


Collateral risk
in event of default.

Relating to the timely and accurate calculation and


Margining risk
payment of margin.

Legal risk Relating to the contracts cannot be legally enforced.

Relating to the ability to net off payments across different


Netting and contracts with the same non-defaulting counterparty,
settlement risk and the ability to settle the cash and collateral
transactions underlying the repo.

In many cases, repo market participants manage these risks by engaging a


third party. Under a triparty repo, both parties agree to use a third-party
agent (usually a custodian bank or clearinghouse) for the transaction.
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144 Student’s notes

[LOS 4.c] Contrast the long-term funding of investment-grade versus


high-yield corporate issuers

1. Similarity between investment-grade versus high-yield bond

Yield-to-maturity (%)
High-yield issuer

Investment-grade
3.2% issuer
2.3%

Maturity
3y 5y 7y

Under normal market conditions, bond yields are higher for longer-dated
maturities, reflecting higher risk-free rates and credit spreads over longer
time frames.
In this environment, both investment-grade and high-yield corporate issuers
must offer higher yields on longer-maturity bond issues.
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145 Student’s notes

[LOS 4.c] Contrast the long-term funding of investment-grade versus


high-yield corporate issuers

2. Differences between investment-grade versus high-yield bond

Bond features Analytical approach

AAA
Bond-like cash flows Use financial ratios
AA • Lower YTM proportion and credit ratings to
Investment
due to credit spreads determine if/when IG
grade
A • Fewer issuer restrictions issuer’s likelihood of
• Unlikely to default default will change
BBB

BB
Equity-like cash flows
Consider likelihood of
B • Higher YTM proportion
Non-investment default and potential
due to credit spreads
grade loss given default
CCC • Issuer restrictions
(high yield or given covenants,
and/or bonds secured
junk) CC restrictions and/or
by assets
security
• More likely to default
C, D
Student’s notes

MODULE 5: FIXED-INCOME
MARKETS FOR GOVERNMENT
ISSUERS
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147 Student’s notes

LEARNING OUTCOMES

5.a. Describe funding choices by sovereign and non-sovereign


governments, quasi-government entities, and supranational agencies

5.b. Contrast the issuance and trading of government and corporate


fixed-income instruments
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148 Student’s notes

[LOS 5.a] Describe funding choices by sovereign and non-sovereign


governments, quasi-government entities, and supranational agencies

Public sector issuers

1. Sovereign governments 2. Non-sovereign governments

Non- Quasi-
Supranational
Sovereign debt sovereign government
debt
debt debt
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149 Student’s notes

[LOS 5.a] Describe funding choices by sovereign and non-sovereign


governments, quasi-government entities, and supranational agencies

1. Issued by

Issued by

Sovereign debt National governments

Levels of government that lie below the national level


Non-sovereign debt
(e.g., provinces, regions, states, and cities).

Organizations that perform various functions for the


national government, but are not actual
governmental entities.
Quasi-government Example of Quasi-government organizations:
debt • In USA: Ginnie Mae (Government National Mortgage
Association).
• In VN: Vietnam bank for social policies (VBSP),
Vietnam development bank (VDB),…

Supranational (or multilateral) agencies such as the


Supranational debt World Bank, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and
the Asian Development Bank (ADB).
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150 Student’s notes

[LOS 5.a] Describe funding choices by sovereign and non-sovereign


governments, quasi-government entities, and supranational agencies

2. Purpose

Purpose

Fund spending on public goods and services and


Sovereign debt
investment in public infrastructure.

Finance public projects, such as construction of


Non-sovereign debt
hospitals, airports…

Fund specific purposes, such as financing


Quasi-government
infrastructure investment or providing mortgage
debt
financing.

Pursuit common objective, such as fostering economic


cooperation and development, promoting trade, or
Supranational debt
providing financing to emerging economies in pursuit
of sustainable growth.
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151 Student’s notes

[LOS 5.a] Describe funding choices by sovereign and non-sovereign


governments, quasi-government entities, and supranational agencies

3. Sources of repayment

Sources of repayment

Tariffs, usage fees, and cash flows from government-


Sovereign debt
owned enterprises.

• Taxes
Non-sovereign debt • Sovereign government backing
• User fees

• Taxes
Quasi-government
• Sovereign government backing
debt
• User fees or Cash flows from project operation

Supranational debt Sovereign government backing


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152 Student’s notes

[LOS 5.a] Describe funding choices by sovereign and non-sovereign


governments, quasi-government entities, and supranational agencies

4. Characteristics

a. Sovereign debt

1. In preparing financial reports

Sovereign debt Private debt

Are based more on cash In accordance with generally


transactions and less on accruals accepted accounting principles
(e.g., depreciation, unfunded (GAAP).
liabilities).

When assessing the financial statements of a government, an analyst


should consider the issuer to have an “economic balance sheet” that
includes implied assets (e.g., expected future tax revenues) and implied
liabilities (e.g., promised future expenditures) in addition to the financial
assets and liabilities reported in the public accounts.
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153 Student’s notes

[LOS 5.a] Describe funding choices by sovereign and non-sovereign


governments, quasi-government entities, and supranational agencies

4. Characteristics

a. Sovereign debt

2. National government issuers are distinguished between

Developed market Emerging market


sovereign issuers sovereign issuers

Strong, stable, well- Faster growing, less stable,


diversified economies with and more concentrated
Features
consistent and transparent economies with less stable
fiscal policy tax revenues

• Domestic currency
Currency
Reserve currency* • Foreign currency
denomination
(see more in next slide)

Reserve currency: A currency held by global central banks in significant


quantities and widely used to conduct international trade and financial
transactions.
Reserve currencies
Possesses Used for

Central bank International


trade
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154 Student’s notes

[LOS 5.a] Describe funding choices by sovereign and non-sovereign


governments, quasi-government entities, and supranational agencies

4. Characteristics

a. Sovereign debt

Emerging market sovereign issuers – Currency denomination

Domestic debt External debt

• Domestic investors • Foreign private investors


• Domestic currency • Currency can be denominated
either:
o Government’s home currency
o Reserve currency

Illustration: When external debt is denominated in a reserve currency


Issue Issue

Thailand sovereign US dollar–denominated US-based


issuer external sovereign debt investors

Investors faces indirect


Investors avoid the direct
exposure to currency fluctuations,
currency risk of the issuer’s
related to ability to generate
currency weakening.
revenue for repayments.
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155 Student’s notes

[LOS 5.a] Describe funding choices by sovereign and non-sovereign


governments, quasi-government entities, and supranational agencies

4. Characteristics

a. Sovereign debt

3. Debt management policy

A government’s debt management policy sets out the amount and type of
securities the government intends to issue:

Short-term securities (with maturities ranging from 1 to


Treasury bills 12 months), which are usually zero-coupon
instruments sold at a discount to par.

• Medium- and long-term securities


Treasury notes • Coupon instruments can be fixed-rate, floating-rate,
inflation-linked, and foreign currency instruments.

Some sovereign governments guarantee certain other


Other types of
instruments that make them a type of sovereign debt.
bonds
For example: Mortgage-backed securities
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156 Student’s notes

[LOS 5.a] Describe funding choices by sovereign and non-sovereign


governments, quasi-government entities, and supranational agencies

4. Characteristics

a. Sovereign debt

4. Government’s choice of debt maturity

Recall from Economics topic: The Ricardian equivalence theorem based on


similar simplified assumptions, gives an analogous result:
A government’s choice of debt maturity is irrelevant in determining the
present value of future tax cash flows

This would imply that a government should be indifferent among the


possible maturities of its debt, but only under all of the following
assumptions about taxpayer behavior:
• They will increase savings when they expect higher future taxes.
• They have rational expectations, expecting tax decreases in the present to
be offset by tax increases in the future.
• They can borrow and lend in capital markets that have no transactions
costs.
• They can and will pass tax savings on to future generations.

Because these assumptions do not hold in practice, governments must


manage how much of their debt is short-term or longer-term.
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157 Student’s notes

[LOS 5.a] Describe funding choices by sovereign and non-sovereign


governments, quasi-government entities, and supranational agencies

4. Characteristics

a. Sovereign debt

4. Government’s choice of debt maturity

Different maturity sectors for sovereign debt have some benefits and
drawbacks for market participants:

Benefits Drawbacks

Safe and highly liquid, and it • Lower yield


Short-term
may function as an alternative • Relying too heavily on it
securities
to bank deposits creates rollover risk

• Establishment of a risk-free
benchmark for all debt of
specific maturities
• Use in managing and
Medium-
hedging market interest
and long- • Lower of flexibility
rate risk
term • Less liquid
• Preferred use as collateral in
securities
repo and derivative
transactions
• Use in monetary policy and
foreign exchange reserves
MODULE 5: FIXED-INCOME MARKETS
FOR GOVERNMENT ISSUERS
158 Student’s notes

[LOS 5.a] Describe funding choices by sovereign and non-sovereign


governments, quasi-government entities, and supranational agencies

4. Characteristics

b. Non-sovereign debt

General obligation bonds Revenue bonds


(GO bonds)
• Fund for general purposes. • Fund for specific projections.
• Repaid from local tax cash flows. • Repaid from user fees or cash
flows directly from the project.
• The maturity of bond often
matches the expected life of
matching project cash flows.

• Non-sovereign bonds are of high credit quality, but they still trade at
higher yields than sovereign bonds.
• The lower the credit quality and the liquidity of a non-sovereign bond
relative to a sovereign bond, the greater the additional yield.
MODULE 5: FIXED-INCOME MARKETS
FOR GOVERNMENT ISSUERS
159 Student’s notes

[LOS 5.a] Describe funding choices by sovereign and non-sovereign


governments, quasi-government entities, and supranational agencies

4. Characteristics

c. Quasi-government debt

Illustration of agency issuers

Airport authority of Hong Kong Ginnie Mae


• Statutory agency for operating • Securitizes and guarantees
and developing the Hong Kong certain mortgage loans in the U.S
International Airport. to facilitate home ownership.
• Fund spending on airport’s • Fund spending on its operations
specific working capital and with maturities matching the
capital investment needs. cash flows of mortgages.
• Source of repayment: • Source of repayment:
o Primary: cash flows from o Primary: mortgage-based
airport operations. guaranty fees.
o Secondary: sovereign o Secondary: sovereign
government backing. government backing.

When they are backed by the sovereign entity, agency bonds typically have
yields and credit ratings closely aligned with those of the government.
MODULE 5: FIXED-INCOME MARKETS
FOR GOVERNMENT ISSUERS
160 Student’s notes

[LOS 5.a] Describe funding choices by sovereign and non-sovereign


governments, quasi-government entities, and supranational agencies

4. Characteristics

d. Supranational debt

Member states typically share decision-making authority and provide


implicit and explicit financial support to these organizations, resulting in the
highest credit quality among these issuers and a strong ability to access
capital markets across maturities.
MODULE 5: FIXED-INCOME MARKETS
FOR GOVERNMENT ISSUERS
161 Student’s notes

[LOS 5.b] Contrast the issuance and trading of government and


corporate fixed-income instruments

1. Issuance of sovereign debt

In contrast to the opportunistic nature of corporate debt issuance managed


by investment bank underwriters on behalf of issuers, issuance of sovereign
debt usually takes the form of a public auction led by the national Treasury
or finance ministry.

Auction process

Auction announcement by
the government debt 1
management office

Dealers, institutional
2 investors, and individuals
make bids.
Bids can be competitive or
non-competitive, leading
3
to different results
(see more in next slide)
Securities are delivered to:
• 1st: non-competitive
4
• 2nd: winning competitive
bidders
MODULE 5: FIXED-INCOME MARKETS
FOR GOVERNMENT ISSUERS
162 Student’s notes

[LOS 5.b] Contrast the issuance and trading of government and


corporate fixed-income instruments

1. Issuance of sovereign debt

Competitive bidder Non-competitive bidder

• Competitive bidder specifies an Non-competitive bidder agrees to


acceptable price and number of accept the price determined at
securities to be purchased. auction and always receives
• If the price determined at auction securities.
is above the bid, a competitive
bidder will not be offered any
securities.

$100 $100

$150 $90 $85 $100 $100 $100


MODULE 5: FIXED-INCOME MARKETS
FOR GOVERNMENT ISSUERS
163 Student’s notes

[LOS 5.b] Contrast the issuance and trading of government and


corporate fixed-income instruments

1. Issuance of sovereign debt

The issuer ranks bids by prices, choosing bids from highest to lowest until the desired
issuance amount is reached.
Cut off price is the minimum price for acceptance of bids as determined in an auction
→ All bids received below the cut off price is rejected.

Illustration:
In this auction, the cut-off price was Bidder Bid price ($)
determined at $110.

Ranking
A 120
→ Bids offered by A, B, C was accepted
because the bid price is higher than the B 115
cut-off price and bid offered by D was C 110
rejected.
D 100

There are two types of public auction

Single-price auction Multiple-price auction

All the winning bidders pay the same Each successful bidder pay at the bid
price and receive the same coupon rate price and yield they had offered for the
for the bonds. same bond issue.
• Lower cost of funds. • Higher cost of funds.
• Broader distribution among investors. • Narrower distribution of large bids.

A A 120
B 110 B 115
C C 110
MODULE 5: FIXED-INCOME MARKETS
FOR GOVERNMENT ISSUERS
164 Student’s notes

[LOS 5.b] Contrast the issuance and trading of government and


corporate fixed-income instruments

1. Issuance of sovereign debt

Participants in issuance

A group of financial intermediaries

Sovereign Investors
issuers
Primary dealers

Purpose:
• Make competitive bids in auctions.
• Submit bids in auctions on behalf
of third parties.
• Act as counterparty to the central
bank when it buys and sells
securities to carry out monetary
policy.
MODULE 5: FIXED-INCOME MARKETS
FOR GOVERNMENT ISSUERS
165 Student’s notes

[LOS 5.b] Contrast the issuance and trading of government and


corporate fixed-income instruments

2. Trading of sovereign debt

Sovereign debt is usually traded in a manner similar to that of private sector


debt securities primarily on OTC markets by financial intermediary
broker/dealers.

Now
Liquidity
… Issued Issued Issued Issued
bonds bonds bonds bonds

Off-the-run On-the-run
securities securities
Previously Most recently
issued bonds issued bonds

Types of investors and their “non-economic” objects on trading sovereign


bonds:
• Central banks use sovereign bonds to conduct monetary policy.
• Foreign governments purchase sovereign bonds of other nations as
reserves.
• Some financial institutions are required to hold government bonds to
comply with regulations.
Student’s notes

MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME
BOND VALUATION: PRICES AND
YIELDS
MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
167 Student’s notes

LEARNING OUTCOMES

6.a. Calculate a bond’s price given a yield-to-maturity on or between


coupon dates

6.b. Identify the relationships among a bond’s price, coupon rate,


maturity, and yield-to-maturity

6.c. Describe matrix pricing


MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
168 Student’s notes

OVERVIEW

Difference between two bonds’ yield

Yield curve
Module 9

Required rate of returns (bond yields)


Bond valuation

Yield measures
Module 7 + 8

Yield spreads
Module 7 + 8
Module 6

Bond pricing Matrix pricing Benchmark rate


MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
169 Student’s notes

[LOS 6.a] Calculate a bond’s price given a yield-to-maturity on or


between coupon dates

1. Bond pricing with a Market discount rate

The value or price of a bond is computed as the present value of


expected future cash flows from the bond.

Today Future cash flows

Value/Price Discounted at market discount rate


of bond = ? to estimate the price of bond

The market discount rate (also known as the required yield or the
required rate of return) represents the rate of return required by
investors to compensate them for the perceived riskiness of the bond.
MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
170 Student’s notes

[LOS 6.a] Calculate a bond’s price given a yield-to-maturity on or


between coupon dates

1. Bond pricing with a Market discount rate

General formula of bond pricing:


PMT PMT PMT PMT + Par
PV = + + +...+
(1+r)1 (1+r)2 (1+r)3 (1+r)n
where:
PV = present value, or the price of the bond
PMT = coupon payment per period
Par = the par value of the bond
r = market discount rate, or required rate of return per period
n = number of evenly spaced periods to maturity

As explained in Module - FSA topic: the market rate can be the same as or
different from the coupon rate

Market rate > coupon Market rate = coupon Market rate < coupon
rate rate rate

the bond is trading at a the bond is trading at the bond is trading at a


discount (PV < Par) Par (PV = Par) premium (PV > Par)
MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
171 Student’s notes

[LOS 6.a] Calculate a bond’s price given a yield-to-maturity on or


between coupon dates

1. Bond pricing with a Market discount rate

Example 1: Calculate the price of bond: at discount, at premium and at Par


A 4-year, 10% annual coupon bond with a par value of $1,000. Calculate
the price of the bond at the market discount rate of:
a. 10% b. 9% c. 11%
Answer:

0 1 2 3 4

PV = ? $100 $100 $100 $100 + $1,000 = $1,100

Coupon payment each period (PMT) = 10% × $1,000 = $100


a. r = 10% = coupon rate
100 100 100 100 + 1,000
PV = + + + = $1,000 = Par
(1+ 10%)1 (1+ 10%)2 (1+ 10%)3 (1+10%)4
→ trading at Par
(FV = $1,000; PMT = $100; N = 4; I/Y = 10; CPT PV; PV = -$1,000)

(Continue in the next slide)


MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
172 Student’s notes

[LOS 6.a] Calculate a bond’s price given a yield-to-maturity on or


between coupon dates

1. Bond pricing with a Market discount rate

Example 1: Calculate the price of bond: at discount, at premium and at Par


A 4-year, 10% annual coupon bond with a par value of $1,000. Calculate
the price of the bond at the market discount rate of:
a. 10% b. 9% c. 11%
Answer:

b. r = 9% < 10% (coupon rate)


100 100 100 100 + 1,000
PV = + + + = $1,032.4 > Par
(1 + 9%)1 (1 + 9%)2 (1 + 9%)3 (1+9%)4
→ trading at Premium
(FV = $1,000; PMT = $100; N = 4; I/Y = 9; CPT PV; PV = -$1,032.4)

c. r = 11% > 10% (coupon rate)


100 100 100 100 + 1,000
PV = + + + = $968.98 < Par
(1 + 11%)1 (1 + 11%)2 (1 + 11%)3 (1+11%)4
→ trading at Discount
(FV = $1,000; PMT = $100; N = 4; I/Y = 11; CPT PV; PV = -$968.98)
MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
173 Student’s notes

[LOS 6.a] Calculate a bond’s price given a yield-to-maturity on or


between coupon dates

1. Bond pricing with a Market discount rate

Conclusions:
• The higher the discount rate, the lower the present value of each
individual cash flow, and the lower the value of the fixed-income
security.
• The lower the discount rate, the higher the present value of each
individual cash flow, and the higher the value of the fixed-income
security.
MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
174 Student’s notes

[LOS 6.a] Calculate a bond’s price given a yield-to-maturity on or


between coupon dates

1. Bond pricing with a Market discount rate

Example 2: Calculate the price of bond with semiannual coupon payment


Calculate the price of the bond in the Example 1.b, but with semiannual
coupon payment instead.
Answer:
There will be 8 (= 4 × 2) semiannual coupon payments on this bond and
each coupon payment will be worth $50 (= 10%/2 × $1,000). Given a
semiannual yield-to-maturity of 4.5% (= 9%/2), the value of the bond
today can be computed as:
50 50 50 50 + 1,000
PV = 1 + 2 +... + 7 + = $1,032.98
(1 + 4.5%) (1 + 4.5%) (1 + 4.5%) (1+4.5%)8

(FV = -$1,000; PMT = -$50; N = 8; I/Y = 4.5; CPT PV; PV = $1,032.98)


Discussion: The value of the bond here is slightly greater than the value of
the bond in the Example 1.b ($1,032.98 > $1,032.40).
MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
175 Student’s notes

[LOS 6.a] Calculate a bond’s price given a yield-to-maturity on or


between coupon dates

2. Yield to maturity

Today Future cash flows


A given To equate to the given current
current price price, we must discount at YTM = ?

The yield-to-maturity (YTM) is the (uniform) interest rate that equates the
sum of the present values of the bond’s expected future cash flows (when
discount at that rate) to its current price.
PMT PMT PMT + Par
Current price of bond = + +...+
(1+YTM)1 (1+YTM)2 (1+YTM)n

The yield-to-maturity is the rate of return on the bond to an investor given


three critical assumptions:
• The investor holds the bond to maturity.
• The issuer makes all the coupon and principal payments in the full
amount on the scheduled dates
• The investor is able to reinvest coupon payments at that same yield.
This is a characteristic of an internal rate of return (IRR).
MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
176 Student’s notes

[LOS 6.a] Calculate a bond’s price given a yield-to-maturity on or


between coupon dates

2. Yield to maturity

Example 3: Calculate the yield-to-maturity


1. Compute the YTM for a 10-year, $1,000 par bond that pays an 8%
annual coupon given that its current price is $925.
2. Compute the YTM of a 10-year, $1,000 par bond with an 8% coupon
rate that makes semiannual coupon payments given that its current price
is $925.
Answer:
1. Current price = $925, coupon payment = $1,000 × 8% = $80

80 80 80 + 1,000
925 = + +...+ → YTM = 9.18%
(1 + YTM)1 (1 + YTM)2 (1+YTM)10
(FV = -$1,000; PMT = -$80; N = 10; PV = $925, CPT → I/Y = 9.18)
2. Current price = $925, coupon payment = $1,000 × 8%/2 = $40

40 40 40 + 1,000
925 = + +...+ → YTM = 9.16%
(1 + YTM)1 (1 + YTM)2 (1 + YTM)20
2 2 2
(FV = -$1,000; PMT = -$40; N = 20; PV = $925, CPT → I/Y = 4.58
→ YTM = 4.58 × 2 = 9.16)
MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
177 Student’s notes

[LOS 6.a] Calculate a bond’s price given a yield-to-maturity on or


between coupon dates

In the LOS 6.a: it is assumed that the bond is priced on a coupon payment date.
→ If a coupon bond is sold between coupon payment dates, we must account for
the accrued interest (AI) that the seller has earned, but not yet received.
→ We need to consider 2 types of bond price at that settlement date: Full and
Flat price

• Full price/Dirty price is the value of the bond at the settlement date, or the
total amount that the buyer pays the seller, including accrued interest (AI)
• Flat price/Clean price is usually quoted by bond dealers
• Accrued interest (AI)/Interest earned by seller is the seller’s proportional
share of the next coupon payment.

T days

AI = PMT × t/T ...

Last coupon t days Next coupon


Settlement date
payment date payment date

PV – price of the Price paid Price quoted


bond at the last Full price (Dirty price) Flat price (Clean price)
coupon payment = =
date PV × (1+r)t/T Full price - AI

Where: PMT = coupon payment r = discount rate per period


MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
178 Student’s notes

[LOS 6.a] Calculate a bond’s price given a yield-to-maturity on or


between coupon dates

Example 4: Calculate the flat price, accrued interest and the full price
A 5% U.S. corporate bond is priced for settlement on July 20, 2015. The
bond makes semiannual coupon payments on April 21 and October 21 of
each year and matures on October 21, 2021. The bond uses the 30/360
day-count convention for accrued interest.
Required: Calculate the full price, the accrued interest, and the flat price
per USD 100 of par value for annual yields-to-maturity of 4.7%.
Answer:
T = 180 days
21/4/15 20/7/15 21/10/15 … 21/10/21

$2.5 t = 89 days $2.5 $102.5

1 2
PV = $101.6636 Flat price = $101.60
Full price = $102.84
1
Coupon payment each period = 5%/2 × $100 = $2.5
• The bond price at the last coupon day (21/4/15): PV = $101.66
(N = 13; PMT = -$2.50; FV = -$100; I/Y = 2.35%; CPT→ PV = $101.66)
MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
179 Student’s notes

[LOS 6.a] Calculate a bond’s price given a yield-to-maturity on or


between coupon dates

Example 4: Calculate the flat price, accrued interest and the full price

Answer: T = 180 days


21/4/15 20/7/15 21/10/15 … 21/10/2
1
$2.5 t = 89 days $2.5 $102.5

1 2
PV = $101.6636 Flat price = $101.60
Full price = $102.84
2
• Given the 30/360 day-count convention:
o There are 89 days between the last coupon on 21/4/15 and the

settlement date on 20/7/15 → t = 89


o There are 360/2 = 180 days from the last coupon payment date on

21/4/15 to the next coupon payment date on 21/10/15 → T = 180


• Full price = PV × (1+r)t/T = $101.66 × (1+2.35%)89/180 = $102.84
• Accrued interest (AI) = PMT × t/T = 2.5 × 89/180 = $1.24
• Flat price = Full price – AI = $102.84 - $1.24 = $101.60
MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
180 Student’s notes

[LOS 6.b] Identify the relationships among a bond’s price, coupon


rate, maturity, and yield-to-maturity

1. Bond’s price and market discount rate (YTM)

a.The inverse effect

As explained above, the bond price is inversely related to the market


discount rate:
Market discount rate Price of the bond
increases (decreases) decreases (increases)

b.The convexity effect

Consider the bond’s price calculated in the Example 1:

Discount rates go down Discount rates go up

Price at 10% Price at 9% % Change Price at 11% % Change

$1,000 $1,032.4 +3.24% $968.98 -3.10%


(Continue in the next slide)
MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
181 Student’s notes

[LOS 6.b] Identify the relationships among a bond’s price, coupon


rate, maturity, and yield-to-maturity

1. Bond’s price and market discount rate (YTM)

b.The convexity effect

Discount rate falls by 100 bps Discount rate rises by 100 bps
( 10% → 9%) ( 10% → 11%)

Bond price increases 3.24% > Bond price decreases 3.10%

For the same coupon rate and term to maturity, the percentage change in
price is greater in absolute value when the discount rate decreases than
when it increases
→ the relationship between bond prices and the market discount rate is
not linear; instead, it is curved on a graph
→ “convex curve” or “price-yield profile” of a bond
MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
182 Student’s notes

[LOS 6.b] Identify the relationships among a bond’s price, coupon


rate, maturity, and yield-to-maturity

1. Bond’s price and market discount rate (YTM)

b.The convexity effect

Bond price

Premium

$1,032.4 Discount
+3.24%
$1,000
-3.10%
$968.98
1% 1%

9% 10% 11% Discount rate


Price-yield profile
MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
183 Student’s notes

[LOS 6.b] Identify the relationships among a bond’s price, coupon


rate, maturity, and yield-to-maturity

2. Bond’s price and coupon rate

c. The coupon effect

Consider the bond’s price calculated in the Example 1, assume that the
coupon rate has raised up to 15% (case C) and falled down to 5% (case A)
Discount rates go Discount rates go
down up

Coupon Price at Price at % Price at %


rate 10% 9% Change 11% Change

A 5% $841.5 $870.4 +3.43% $813.9 -3.28%

B 10% $1,000 $1,032.4 +3.24% $968.98 -3.10%

C 15% $1,158.5 $1,194.4 +3.10% $1,124.1 -2.97%

For the same term to maturity, a lower coupon bond is more sensitive to
changes in the market discount rate than a higher coupon bond
MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
184 Student’s notes

[LOS 6.b] Identify the relationships among a bond’s price, coupon


rate, maturity, and yield-to-maturity

3. Bond’s price and maturity

d. The maturity effect

Consider the bond’s price calculated in the Example 1, assume that the
maturity has raised up to 6 years (case C) and falled down to 2 years (case A)
Discount rates go Discount rates go
down up

Maturit Price at Price at % Price at %


y 10% 9% Change 11% Change

A 2y $1,000 $1,017.6 +1.76% $982.9 -1.71%

B 4y $1,000 $1,032.4 +3.24% $968.98 -3.10%

C 6y $1,000 $1,044.9 +4.49% $957.7 -4.23%

Generally, for the same coupon rate, a longer-term bond is more


densitive to changes in the market discount rate than a shorter term
bond.
MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
185 Student’s notes

[LOS 6.b] Identify the relationships among a bond’s price, coupon


rate, maturity, and yield-to-maturity

3. Bond’s price and maturity

e. The constant-yield price trajectory

As time passes, bond prices change even if the market discount rate
remains the same.
→ the price of a bond approaches par value as its time-to-maturity
approaches zero – “pull to par” effect
→ illustrated by the constant-yield price trajectory

Consider the bond’s price calculated in the Example 1:


Bond price (PV of remaining CF)
Tenor
At 9% At 10% At 11%
4 +$1,032.4 $1,000 -$968.98
3 +$1,025.3 $1,000 -$975.6
2 +$1,017.6 $1,000 -$982.9
1 +$1,009.2 $1,000 -$991
0 +$1,000 $1,000 -$1,000
Bond value decreases over time Bond value increases over time
and reaches Par at maturity and reaches Par at maturity
MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
186 Student’s notes

[LOS 6.b] Identify the relationships among a bond’s price, coupon


rate, maturity, and yield-to-maturity

3. Bond’s price and maturity

e. The constant-yield price trajectory

Bond price

$1,032.4 Premium bond (9%)

Par bond (10%)


$1,000

$968.98 Discount bond (11%)

Maturity Time
date
The constant-yield price trajectory
MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
187 Student’s notes

[LOS 6.c] Describe matrix pricing

Matrix pricing is a method of estimating the required yield-to-maturity


(YTM) (or price) of bonds that are currently not traded or infrequently
traded.

Not traded or infrequently traded

YTM of subject bond

Linear interpolation
method to estimate (*)

YTM of comparable bonds

Similar in maturity, coupon


Actively traded
rates and credit quality
MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
188 Student’s notes

[LOS 6.c] Describe matrix pricing

(*) Simple linear interpolation

YTM

y3

y=?
y2

y1

x1 x2 x3 Maturity
x

Given a table of data points (xi , yi ) for which yi is the YTM for a xi maturity
bond.
(y y )
→ y = y2 + (x - x2 ) × 3 2
(x
3 x2)
MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
189 Student’s notes

[LOS 6.c] Describe matrix pricing

Example 5: Matrix pricing method for nontraded bond


Rob Phelps, CFA, is estimating the value of a nontraded 4% annual-pay,
A+ rated bond that has three years remaining until maturity. He has
obtained the following yields-to-maturity on similar corporate bonds:
• A+ rated, 2-year annual-pay, YTM = 4.3%
• A+ rated, 5-year annual-pay, YTM = 5.1%
• A+ rated, 5-year annual-pay, YTM = 5.3%
Estimate the value of the nontraded bond.
Answer:

YTM: 5 year – YTM = 5.1% (1) Take the average YTM of the 5-year bonds:
5 year – YTM = 5.3% 5.1 + 5.3
2 year – YTM = 4.3% = 5.2%.
2
Comparable bonds YTM
5.2 (2) 3-year YTM
Linear (3 −2)
4.6 = 4.3% +
(5 −2)
× (5.2% - 4.3%)
interpolation 4.3
= 4.6%
method Maturity
2 3 5

Subject bond
(3) Price the nontraded bond
YTM: 3 year – YTM = ? N = 3, PMT = 40, FV = 1,000, I/Y = 4.6, CPT
→ PV = -983.54
MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
190 Student’s notes

[LOS 6.c] Describe matrix pricing

Matrix pricing also is used in underwriting new bonds to get an estimate


of the required yield spread (1) over the benchmark rate (2) (spread over
the benchmark)

(1) Required yield spread equal to the difference between the YTM on the
new bond and the benchmark bond.
(2) The benchmark rate is typically a government bond with a similar
term to maturity.

Example 6: Matrix pricing method for yield spread on new issue

Consider the following market yields:


• 5-year, U.S. Treasury bond, YTM 1.48%
• 5-year, A rated corporate bond, YTM 2.64%
• 7-year, U.S. Treasury bond, YTM 2.15%
• 7-year, A rated corporate bond, YTM 3.55%
• 6-year U.S. Treasury bond, YTM 1.74%
Estimate the required yield on a newly issued 6-year, A rated corporate
bond.
MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
191 Student’s notes

[LOS 6.c] Describe matrix pricing

Example 6: Matrix pricing method for yield spread on new issue


Answer:

5-year spread = 1.16% (1) Calculate the spreads over the benchmark
7-year spread = 1.40% yields.
Given yield spreads • 5-year spread = 2.64 – 1.48 = 1.16%.
• 7-year spread = 3.55 – 2.15 = 1.40%.
Spread

1.40
Linear 1.28
interpolation 1.16
method Maturity
5 6 7
(2) 6-year spread
(6 − 5)
= 1.16% + × (1.4% - 1.16%) = 1.28%
(7 − 5)

(3) YTM on the newly issued 6-year, A rated


Required yield spread
bond
6-year spread = ? = 1.74% + 1.28% = 3.02%
Student’s notes

MODULE 7: YIELD AND YIELD


SPREAD MEASURES FOR FIXED-
RATE BONDS
MODULE 7: YIELD AND YIELD SPREAD
MEASURES FOR FIXED-RATE BONDS
193 Student’s notes

LEARNING OUTCOMES

7.a. Calculate annual yield on a bond for varying compounding periods in


a year

7.b. Compare, calculate, and interpret yield and yield spread measures for
fixed-rate bonds
MODULE 7: YIELD AND YIELD SPREAD
MEASURES FOR FIXED-RATE BONDS 194 Student’s notes

[LOS 7.a] Calculate annual yield on a bond for varying


compounding periods in a year

The effective annual rate (or effective annual yield) (EAR) on a fixed-rate
bond depends on the assumed number of periods in the year, which is
known as the periodicity of the stated annual rate or stated annual yield
(annual percentage rate – APR):
APR
EAR = (1 + n )n - 1
where n is the frequency of coupon payment

Example 1: Effective annual rate


What is the effective annual yield for a bond with a stated YTM of 10%:
1. When the periodicity of the bond is 2 (pays semiannually)?
2. When the periodicity of the bond is 4 (pays quarterly)?
Answer:
10%
1. Effective annual yield = (1 + 2 )2 - 1 = 10.25%
10% 4
2. Effective annual yield = (1 + ) - 1 = 10.38%
4

• Periodicity = 1 → annual compounding → EAR = APR


• As explained in Module – Quantitative Methods: Given the annual
percentage rate, as the number of compounding periods (periodicity)
increases, the effective annual rate increases.
MODULE 7: YIELD AND YIELD SPREAD
MEASURES FOR FIXED-RATE BONDS 195 Student’s notes

[LOS 7.a] Calculate annual yield on a bond for varying


compounding periods in a year

To convert an annual percentage rate (APR) for m periods per year, APRm,
to an annual percentage rate for n periods per year, APRn, we can use the
following formula:
APRm APRn n APRm
(1 + m )m = (1 + n )n → APRn = [ (1+ m )m - 1] × n

• It may be necessary to adjust the quoted yield (APR) on a bond to make


it comparable with the yield on a bond with a different periodicity.
• Given the effective annual rate, as the number of compounding periods
(periodicity) increases, the annual percentage rate decreases.
(Illustrated in Example 9)

Example 2: Calculate the annual percentage rate for different


compounding frequencies
A 5-year, 6% semiannual-pay government bond is priced at 98 per 100 of
par value. Calculate the annual yield-to-maturity stated on a semiannual
bond basis (*) (or APR). Convert this annual percentage rate to:
1. An annual percentage rate based on annual compounding.
2. An annual percentage rate based on quarterly compounding.

(*) Semiannual bond basis yield is an annual rate (APR) or stated annual
yield having a periodicity of two
MODULE 7: YIELD AND YIELD SPREAD
MEASURES FOR FIXED-RATE BONDS 196 Student’s notes

[LOS 7.a] Calculate annual yield on a bond for varying


compounding periods in a year

Example 2: Calculate the annual percentage rate for difference


compounding frequencies
Answer:
Step 1: Calculate the yield per semiannual period (*) on the semiannual-pay
bond.
N = 10; PMT = $3; FV = $100; PV = -$98; CPT I/Y; I/Y = 3.237%
→ Semiannual bond basis yield or APR = 3.237% x 2 = 6.47%
Step 2: Calculate the APR based on different compounding.

Annual compounding: Quarterly compounding:


6.47% APR1 6.47% APR4
(1 + 2 )2 = (1 + 1 )1 (1 + 2 )2 = (1 + 4 )4
→ APR1 = 6.58% = EAR → APR4 = 6.42%

With the similar EAR ( 6.58%), the annual percentage rate of 6.47% based on
semiannual compounding compares to an annual percentage rate of 6.58%
compounded annually and an annual percentage rate of 6.42%
compounded quarterly

(*) Yield per semiannual period = Semiannual bond basis yield /2


MODULE 7: YIELD AND YIELD SPREAD
MEASURES FOR FIXED-RATE BONDS 197 Student’s notes

[LOS 7.b] Compare, calculate, and interpret yield and


yield spread measures for fixed-rate bonds

1. Yield measures for fixed-rate bond

a. Yield measures for option-free bond

Street convention yield > True yield


Uses the actual payment
Use scheduled payment dates dates to compute the IRR: if a
to calculate the IRR of the scheduled payment date falls
bond regardless of whether on the weekend or on a
any scheduled payment dates holiday, payment is actually
fall on weekends or holidays. made on the next business
day

Government equivalent yield

Corporate bond yield Restated using Government


(using 30/360 basis) actual/actual basis equivalent yield

To calculate the spread between a corporate bond yield and the


government bond yield (now based on the same actual/actual basis)
MODULE 7: YIELD AND YIELD SPREAD
MEASURES FOR FIXED-RATE BONDS 198 Student’s notes

[LOS 7.b] Compare, calculate, and interpret yield and


yield spread measures for fixed-rate bonds
1. Yield measures for fixed-rate bond

a. Yield measures for option-free bond

Current yield Simple yield

Annual cash coupon payment Annual cash coupon payment + gain/loss (∗)
Bond price Bond price

(*) A bond’s simple yield takes a discount or premium into account by


assuming that any discount or premium declines evenly over the remaining
years to maturity.
Gain/loss = the straight-line amortization of a discount/premium
Example 3: Calculate the current yield and simple yield
A 3-year, 8% coupon, semiannual-pay bond is priced at 90.165.
Calculate the current and simple yield at the end of the first year.
Answer:
Annual cash coupon payment 8
Current yield = Bond price = 90.165 = 8.87%
The discount from par value is 100 – 90.165 = 9.835.
Gain = annual straight-line amortization of the discount is 9.835/3 = 3.278.
Annual cash coupon payment + gain/loss 8 + 3.278
Simple yield = Bond price = 90.165 =
12.51%
MODULE 7: YIELD AND YIELD SPREAD
MEASURES FOR FIXED-RATE BONDS 199 Student’s notes

[LOS 7.b] Compare, calculate, and interpret yield and


yield spread measures for fixed-rate bonds

1. Yield measures for fixed-rate bond

b. Yield measures for option-embedded bond

Yield-to-call and yield-to-worst

• For callable bonds, the yield realized by the investor will depend on
whether and when (and at what call price) the bond is called. Investors
compute the yield-to-call for each call date (based on the call price and
the number of periods until the call date).
• The yield-to-worst is the worst or lowest yield among the yield-to-
maturity and the various yields to call for the bond.
Example 4: Calculate the Yield-to-call and Yield-to-worst
Consider a 10-year, semiannual-pay 6% bond trading at 102 on January 1, 2014 (Par =
$1,000).
The bond is callable according to the following schedule:
• Callable at 102 on or after January 1, 2019 (first call date).
• Callable at 100 on or after January 1, 2022 (second call date – first par call date).
1/1/2014 1/1/2019 1/1/2022 1/1/2024 (maturity)

PV = $1,020 $1,020 $1,000 $1,000 Call price


Calculate the bond’s YTM, yield-to-first call, yield-to-first par call, and yield-to-worst.
MODULE 7: YIELD AND YIELD SPREAD
MEASURES FOR FIXED-RATE BONDS 200 Student’s notes

[LOS 7.b] Compare, calculate, and interpret yield and


yield spread measures for fixed-rate bonds

1. Yield measures for fixed-rate bond

b. Yield measures for option-embedded bond

Yield-to-call and yield-to-worst

Answer:
1/1/2014 1/1/2019 1/1/2022 1/1/2024 (maturity)
PV = $1,020 $1,020 $1,000 $1,000 Call price
YTC = 5.882%
YTW = 5.686%
YTM = 5.734%

1. The yield-to-maturity on the bond is calculated as:


N = 20; PMT = 30; FV = 1,000; PV = -1,020; CPT→ I/Y = 2.867%
→ YTM = 2 × 2.867% = 5.734%
2. The yield-to-first call is calculated as the YTM using the number of
periods until the first call date (1/1/2019) for N and the call price (1,020)
for FV:
N = 10; PMT = 30; FV = 1,020; PV = -1,020; CPT→ I/Y = 2. 941%
→ yield-to-first call (YTC) = 2 × 2.941% = 5.882%
MODULE 7: YIELD AND YIELD SPREAD
MEASURES FOR FIXED-RATE BONDS 201 Student’s notes

[LOS 7.b] Compare, calculate, and interpret yield and


yield spread measures for fixed-rate bonds

1. Yield measures for fixed-rate bond

b. Yield measures for option-embedded bond

Yield-to-call and yield-to-worst

Answer:
3. The yield-to-first par call (second call date) is calculated as the YTM
using the number of periods until the first par call date (1/1/2022) for N
and the call price (1,000) for FV:
N = 16; PMT = 30; FV = 1,000; PV = -1,020; CPT→ I/Y = 2. 843%
→ yield-to-first par call = 2 × 2.843% = 5.686%
→ The lowest yield, 5.686%, is realized if the bond is called at par on
January 1, 2022, so the yield-to-worst is 5.686%.
MODULE 7: YIELD AND YIELD SPREAD
MEASURES FOR FIXED-RATE BONDS 202 Student’s notes

[LOS 7.b] Compare, calculate, and interpret yield and


yield spread measures for fixed-rate bonds

1. Yield measures for fixed-rate bond

b. Yield measures for option-embedded bond

Option-adjusted yield

To assess a callable bond yield, a more precise approach is to use an


option pricing model (*), in which the value of embedded call option
bond is added to the flat price of the callable bond is known as the
option-adjusted yield - the required market discount rate.

(*) Option pricing model

Option-adjusted price (Value of noncallable bond)


= Flat price of callable bond + Value of embedded call option

• Use option-adjusted price to calculate the option-adjusted


yield
• Option-adjusted yield will be lower than the YTM of the
callable bond
MODULE 7: YIELD AND YIELD SPREAD
MEASURES FOR FIXED-RATE BONDS 203 Student’s notes

[LOS 7.b] Compare, calculate, and interpret yield and


yield spread measures for fixed-rate bonds

Affected by
microeconomic factors

Taxation

Spread Risk premium Liquidity

Credit risk

Affect
Expected real
rate
Risk-free rate
Benchmark
of return
Expected
inflation rate

Affected by
macroeconomic factors

Yield-to-Maturity Building Blocks


MODULE 7: YIELD AND YIELD SPREAD
MEASURES FOR FIXED-RATE BONDS 204 Student’s notes

[LOS 7.b] Compare, calculate, and interpret yield and


yield spread measures for fixed-rate bonds

2. Yield spread over Benchmark rates

• Yield spread is the difference between the yields of two different


bonds. Yield spreads are typically quoted in basis points.
• Benchmark spread is a yield spread relative to a benchmark rate.
o G-spread is a yield spread over a government bond yield when using

government bond yields as benchmarks.


o I-spread is a yield spread over a swap rate when using rate for

interest rate swap as benchmarks.

Yield spreads are useful for analyzing the factors that affect a bond’s yield.
Both macroeconomic and microeconomic factors can cause the increase
in corporate bond yields:
• If a bond’s yield increases but its yield spread remains the same → the
yield on its benchmark must have also increased → macroeconomic
factors caused bond yields in general to increase.
• If the yield spread increases → the increase in the bond’s yield was
caused by microeconomic factors such as credit risk or the issue’s
liquidity.
MODULE 7: YIELD AND YIELD SPREAD
MEASURES FOR FIXED-RATE BONDS 205 Student’s notes

[LOS 7.b] Compare, calculate, and interpret yield and


yield spread measures for fixed-rate bonds

3. Yield spread over the Benchmark yield curve

G-spread and I-spread each use the same discount rate for each cash flow
→ only correct if the spot yield curve is flat so that yields are
approximately the same across maturities.

Zero-Volatility Spread

• When the spot yield curve is upward-sloping → calculate a constant


yield spread over a government (or interest rate swap) spot curve
instead.
• An appropriate yield curve spread added to the benchmark spot rates
will produce a value that is equal to market price of the bond → zero-
volatility spread or Z-spread.

Option-adjusted spread (OAS)

An option-adjusted spread (OAS) which is used for bonds with embedded


call options is the spread to the government spot rate curve that the bond
would have if it were option-free.
OAS = Z-spread − Op on value
MODULE 7: YIELD AND YIELD SPREAD
MEASURES FOR FIXED-RATE BONDS 206 Student’s notes

[LOS 7.b] Compare, calculate, and interpret yield and


yield spread measures for fixed-rate bonds

Example 5: Zero-volatility spread and Option-adjusted spread


The 1-, 2-, and 3-year spot rates on Treasuries are 4%, 8.167%, and
12.377%, respectively. Consider a 3-year, 9% annual coupon corporate
bond trading at 89.464. The YTM is 13.50%, and the YTM of a 3- year
Treasury is 12%.
1.Compute the G-spread and the Z-spread of the corporate bond
2. Compute the OAS if the option value = 60bps
Answer:
1. The G-spread is:
G-spread = YTMBond − YTMTreasury = 13.50 − 12.00 = 1.50%.
To compute the Z-spread, set the present value of the bond’s cash lows
equal to today’s market price. Discount each cash flow at the appropriate
zero-coupon spot rate plus a fixed spread ZS.
9 9 109
89.464 = 1.04 + ZS + (1.08167 + ZS)^2 + (1.12377 + ZS)^3
→ ZS = 1.67%
2. OAS = ZS – 0.6% = 1.07%
Student’s notes

MODULE 8: YIELD AND YIELD


SPREAD MEASURES FOR
FLOATING-RATE INSTRUMENTS
MODULE 8: YIELD AND YIELD SPREAD MEASURES
FOR FLOATING-RATE INSTRUMENTS 208 Student’s notes

LEARNING OUTCOMES

8.a. Calculate and interpret yield spread measures for floating-rate


instruments

8.b. Calculate and interpret yield measures for money market instruments
MODULE 8: YIELD AND YIELD SPREAD MEASURES
FOR FLOATING-RATE INSTRUMENTS 209 Student’s notes

[LOS 8.a] Calculate and interpret yield spread measures


for floating rate instruments

Interest payments on a floating-rate note (FRN) are not fixed: the coupon
interest rates are reset periodically based on a reference rate
→ the values of FRN are more stable than the fixed-rate debt of similar
maturity → less market price risk when interest rates fluctuate

Required margin/Discount
Quoted margin
margin
Refer to the spread offered to Refers to the spread above the
investors on top of the reference reference rate such that the FRN
rate to calculate the effective is priced on a rate reset date:
coupon rate: Discount rate = reference rate +
Coupon rate = reference rate + discount margin (DM)
quote margin (QM)
MODULE 8: YIELD AND YIELD SPREAD MEASURES
FOR FLOATING-RATE INSTRUMENTS 210 Student’s notes

[LOS 8.a] Calculate and interpret yield spread measures


for floating rate instruments

Index + QM × Par Index + QM × Par Index + QM × Par


m m m + Par
PV = + +...+
(1 + Indexm+ DM)1 (1 + Indexm+ DM)2 (1 + Indexm+ DM)n

PV = present value, or the price of the floating-rate note


Index = reference rate, stated as an annual percentage rate
QM = quoted margin, stated as an annual percentage rate
Par = future value paid at maturity, or the par value of the bond
m = periodicity of the floating-rate note, the number of payment periods
per year
DM = discount margin, the required margin stated as an annual percentage
rate
n = number of evenly spaced periods to maturity

• If the credit quality decreases: the quoted margin < the required margin
→ the FRN will sell at a discount to its par value.
• If credit quality has improved: the quoted margin > the required margin
→ the FRN will sell at a premium to its par value.
MODULE 8: YIELD AND YIELD SPREAD MEASURES
FOR FLOATING-RATE INSTRUMENTS 211 Student’s notes

[LOS 8.a] Calculate and interpret yield spread measures


for floating rate instruments

Example 1: Valuation of a FRN


A $1,000 par quarterly-pay FRN has exactly one year to maturity. The
reference rate is 90-day LIBOR and the bond carries a quoted margin of
80 bps. LIBOR-90 today (which happens to be a coupon-reset date) is
2.50%, while the current required margin on the FRN is 94 bps. Assuming
a 30/360 day-count convention and evenly spaced periods, determine
the current value of the FRN?
Answer:
Coupon rate per quarter = (reference rate + quoted margin)/m
= (2.50% + 0.80%) x (90/360) = 0.825%
→ Coupon payment = 0.825% x $1,000 = $8.25
Discount rate per quarter = (reference rate + required margin)/m
= (2.50% + 0.94%) x (90/360) = 0.86%
The estimated value of the FRN as:
8.25 8.25 8.25 8.25 + 1,000
PV = + + + = $998.63
(1+ 0.86%)1 (1+ 0.86%)2 (1+0.86%)3 (1+0.86%)4

(FV = -$1,000; PMT = -$8.25; N = 4; I/Y = 0.86; CPT PV; PV = $998.63)


Notice that since the required margin is greater than the quoted margin,
this FRN will trade at a discount.
MODULE 8: YIELD AND YIELD SPREAD MEASURES
FOR FLOATING-RATE INSTRUMENTS 212 Student’s notes

[LOS 8.b] Calculate and interpret yield measures


for money market instruments

Some important differences in yield measures between the money


market and the bond market

Yield in the money market Yield in the bond market

Interest basis Annualized but not Annualized and


compounded compounded
→ simple interest basis → compound interest basis

YTM Yields are quoted using non- Use standard time-value-of-


calculating standard interest rates money analysis or formulas
method → require different pricing programmed into a financial
equations to calculate YTM calculator to calculate YTM
MODULE 8: YIELD AND YIELD SPREAD MEASURES
FOR FLOATING-RATE INSTRUMENTS 213 Student’s notes

[LOS 8.b] Calculate and interpret yield measures


for money market instruments

Discount rate basis and Add-on rate basis for money market instruments
Discount rate (DR) basis Add-on rate (AOR) basis

DR AOR
PV FV (Par) PV (Par) FV
Principle
Days Days
Discount amount = FV × Year × DR Add-on amount = PV × Year × AOR

Pricing Days Days


PV = FV × ( 1 - × DR) FV = PV × (1 + × AOR)
model Year Year

Yield Year FV − PV Year FV − PV


DR = Days × FV AOR = Days × PV
measure
• PV = present value/the price of the money market instrument
• FV = future value (redemption amount) paid at maturity
• Days = number of days between settlement and maturity
• Year = number of days in the year

A bond equivalent yield is a money market rate stated on a 365-day AOR


basis.
MODULE 8: YIELD AND YIELD SPREAD MEASURES
FOR FLOATING-RATE INSTRUMENTS 214 Student’s notes

[LOS 8.b] Calculate and interpret yield measures


for money market instruments

Example 2: Money market yields


1. A $1,000 90-day T-bill is priced with an annualized discount of 1.2%
(360-day count basis). Calculate its market price and its annualized
add-on yield based on a 365-day year. (Quoted in US market)
2. A $1 million negotiable CD with 120 days to maturity is quoted with an
add-on yield of 1.4% based on a 365-day year. Calculate the payment
at maturity for this CD and its bond equivalent yield. (Quoted in Euro
market)
3. A bank deposit for 100 days is quoted with an add-on yield of 1.5%
based on a 360-day year. Calculate the bond equivalent yield.
Answer:

1. The current price is 1,000 × ( 1 – 1.2% × 90 / 360) = $997.


→ The equivalent add-on yield for 90 days is (1,000 – 997)/ 997 =
0.3009%.
→ The annualized add-on yield based on a 365-day year is 365/90 ×
0.3009 = 1.2203%. This add-on yield based on a 365-day year is referred
to as the bond equivalent yield for a money market security.
MODULE 8: YIELD AND YIELD SPREAD MEASURES
FOR FLOATING-RATE INSTRUMENTS 215 Student’s notes

[LOS 8.b] Calculate and interpret yield measures


for money market instruments

Example 2: Money market yields

Answer:

2. The add-on interest for the 120-day period is 120/365 × 1.4% = 0.4603%.
→ At maturity, the CD will pay $1 million × (1 + 0.004603) = $1,004,603.
The quoted yield on the CD is the bond equivalent yield because it is an add-
on yield annualized based on a 365-day year.

3. Because the yield of 1.5% is an annualized yield calculated based on a


360-day year, the bond equivalent yield, which is based on a 365-day year,
is: (365/360) × 1.5% = 1.5208%
Student’s notes

MODULE 9: THE TERM STRUCTURE


OF INTEREST RATES: SPOT, PAR AND
FORWARD CURVES
MODULE 9: THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST
RATES: SPOT, PAR AND FORWARD CURVES
217 Student’s notes

LEARNING OUTCOMES

9.a. Define spot rates and the spot curve, and calculate the price of a
bond using spot rates

9.b. Define par and forward rates, and calculate par rates, forward rates
from spot rates, spot rates from forward rates, and the price of a
bond using forward rates

9.c. Compare the spot curve, par curve, and forward curve
MODULE 9: THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST
RATES: SPOT, PAR AND FORWARD CURVES 218 Student’s notes

[LOS 9.a] Define spot rates and the spot curve, and calculate the
price of a bond using spot rates

• Spot rate are the market discount rates for a single payment to be
received in the future.
o The discount rates for zero-coupon bonds maturing at the date of
each cash flow are spot rates → “zero rates”
• Bond price (or value) determined using the spot rates is sometimes
referred to as the bond’s “no-arbitrage value ”
→ bond price = market price of the bond

PMT PMT PMT PMT + Par


PV = + + +...+
(1+S1)1 (1+S2)2 (1+S3)3 (1+Sn)n

Today Future cash flows

Value/Price of bond

Discounted at spot rate S1


Discounted at spot rate S2
Discounted at spot rate S3
Discounted at spot rate S4

Pricing a bond using spot rate


MODULE 9: THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST
RATES: SPOT, PAR AND FORWARD CURVES 219 Student’s notes

[LOS 9.a] Define spot rates and the spot curve, and calculate the
price of a bond using spot rates

Example 1: Calculate the price of bond using spot rates


Suppose a $1,000 par, annual-pay bond matures in 3 years and has a
coupon rate of 8%. The relevant spot rates are given below:
Maturity Yield on Zero-Coupon Bond (Spot
Rate)
1 year 7%
2 years 7.5%
3 years 8%

Verify that the value of the bond using spot rate?


Answer:
Coupon payment each period = 8% × $1,000 = $80
0 1 2 3

PV = ? $80 $80 $80 + $1,000 = $1,080


Discounted at 7%
Discounted at 7.5%
Discounted at 8%

80 80 80 + 1,000
PV = 1 + 2 + = $1,001.34
(1+ 7%) (1+ 7.5%) (1+8%)3
MODULE 9: THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST
RATES: SPOT, PAR AND FORWARD CURVES 220 Student’s notes

[LOS 9.a] Define spot rates and the spot curve, and calculate the
price of a bond using spot rates

• A yield curve shows the relationship between yields-to-maturity and


terms-to-maturity.
• The term structure (or maturity structure) of interest rates refers to
the yields at different maturities (terms) for like securities or interest
rates.

In theory, maturity structure should be analyzed for bonds that have the
same properties (credit risk, liquidity risk, tax status, currency
denomination, similar periodicity of payment and reinvestment risk) other
than time-to-maturity – “all other things being equal” assumption

1. Spot rate curve

• The spot rate curve (spot curve), also called zero curve or strip curve,
refers to YTMs on a series of zero-coupon government bonds at various
maturities.
• Spot rate curve provides a more accurate relationship between yields
and terms to maturity relative to using yields to maturity on coupon-
bearing bonds because spot rates are free from reinvestment risk (no
coupon payment) → best meet the “all other things being equal”
assumption in analyzing maturity structure.
MODULE 9: THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST
RATES: SPOT, PAR AND FORWARD CURVES 221 Student’s notes

[LOS 9.a] Define spot rates and the spot curve, and calculate the
price of a bond using spot rates

1. Spot rate curve

YTM (%)
6
5
4
3
2
1
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Time to maturity (Years)
A zero-coupon government bond spot curve

Under normal market conditions, longer-term government bond yields


usually > shorter-term government bond yields.
→ the spot curve is upward sloping and flattens for longer times-to-
maturity.
MODULE 9: THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST
RATES: SPOT, PAR AND FORWARD CURVES 222 Student’s notes

[LOS 9.a] Define spot rates and the spot curve, and calculate the
price of a bond using spot rates

2. Yield curve for coupon bonds

A yield curve for coupon bonds shows the YTMs for coupon bonds at
various maturities.

YTM (%)

3
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5

0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Time to maturity (Years)
A yield curve for coupon bonds

Use linear interpolation method (refer to LOS 6.c) to estimate YTM for
maturities that are not available.
MODULE 9: THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST
RATES: SPOT, PAR AND FORWARD CURVES 223 Student’s notes

[LOS 9.b] Define par and forward rates, and calculate par rates,
forward rates from spot rate, spot rates from forward rates, and the
price of a bond using forward rates

3. Par curve

Par curve is a sequence of YTM such that each bond trades at par.
The par curve is derived from the spot rate curve, illustrated in Example 2

Example 2: Calculate Par rate from spot rate


The spot rates (expressed as effective annual rates) on government
bonds are 4.75% for 1 year, and 4.86% for 2 years. Compute the 1-year
and 2-year par rates
Answer:

When trying to calculate the par rate, the aim is to solve for “PMT” that
would result in the price of the bond equaling its par value.
→ coupon rate = YTM
PMT + 100
1. 1-year par rate : = 100 → PMT = 4.75
(1 + 4.75%)1
→ The 1-year par rate therefore equals 4.75%.
PMT PMT + 100
2. 2-year par rate: + = 100 → PMT = 4.8578
(1 + 4.75%)1 (1 + 4.86%)2
→ The 2-year par rate, therefore, equals 4.858%
MODULE 9: THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST
RATES: SPOT, PAR AND FORWARD CURVES 224 Student’s notes

[LOS 9.b] Define par and forward rates, and calculate par rates,
forward rates from spot rate, spot rates from forward rates, and…

4. Forward curve

• Forward rates are yields for future periods. The rate of interest on a 1-
year loan that would be made two years from now is a forward rate.
• A forward curve shows the series of forward rates for bonds or money
market securities for the same tenor for annual periods in the future.
Eg: 2-year forward rate from 1 year, 2 years, 3 years… from now.

YTM (%)
Forward curve
6
5
Spot curve
4
3
2
1
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Time (Years)
The forward curve above shows the yields of 1-year securities for each
future year.
MODULE 9: THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST
RATES: SPOT, PAR AND FORWARD CURVES 225 Student’s notes

[LOS 9.b] Define par and forward rates, and calculate par rates,
forward rates from spot rate, spot rates from forward rates, and…

• A forward rate is a borrowing/lending rate for a loan to be made at


some future date.
• A AyBy forward rate is the rate for a B-year loan (maturity of the loan)
to be made A years from now.
For example: 1y1y is the rate for a 1-year loan one year from now; 2y1y is
the rate for a 1-year loan to be made two years from now; 2y2y is the 2-
year forward rate two years from now; and so on.

2y2y
0 1 2 3 4 years

S1 1y1y 2y1y 3y1y

The idea here is that borrowing for three years at the 3-year spot rate, or
borrowing for one-year periods in three successive years, should have the
same cost. The Si is the current spot rates for i periods:
(1+Si )i = (1 + S1)(1 + 1y1y)(1 + 2y1y) … (1 + (i-1)y1y) (Equation 1)
For example: (1+S3 )3 = (1 + S1 )(1 + 1y1y)(1 + 2y1y)
MODULE 9: THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST
RATES: SPOT, PAR AND FORWARD CURVES 226 Student’s notes

[LOS 9.b] Define par and forward rates, and calculate par rates,
forward rates from spot rate, spot rates from forward rates, and…

Calculate spot rates from forward rates

We can restate the Equation 1 to calculate the spot rate from forward
rate:
Si = i (1 + S1 )(1 + 1y1y)(1 + 2y1y) … (1 + (i−1)y1y) - 1

Example: Calculate spot rates from forward rate


If the current 1-year spot rate is 2%, the 1-year forward rate one year from today
(1y1y) is 3%, and the 1-year forward rate two years from today (2y1y) is 4%, what is
the 3-year spot rate?
S3 = ?
Answer:
0 1 2 3

S1 = 2% 1y1y = 3% 2y1y = 4%
S3 = [(1.02)(1.03)(1.04)] ^1/3 − 1 = 2.997%
This can be interpreted to mean that a dollar compounded at 2.997% for three
years would produce the same ending value as a dollar that earns compound
interest of 2% the 1st year, 3% the next year and 4% the 3rd year.
MODULE 9: THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST
RATES: SPOT, PAR AND FORWARD CURVES 227 Student’s notes

[LOS 9.b] Define par and forward rates, and calculate par rates,
forward rates from spot rate, spot rates from forward rates, and…

Calculate spot rates from forward rates

Example: Calculate one-period forward rate from spot rates


The current 1-year spot rate is 5%, 2-year spot rate is 5.25%, and 3-year spot rate
is 5.55%. Calculate the 1-year forward rate 1 year from now and 2 years from now
Answer: S3 = 5.55%
S2 = 5.25%
0 1 2 3

S1 = 5% 1y1y = ? 2y1y = ?
1. Calculation of 1-year forward rate 1 year from today:
(1 + S2 )^2 = (1 + S1 )(1 + 1y1y)
→ 1y1y = [(1 + S2 )^2]/ (1 + S1 ) – 1 = (1.0525^2)/1.05 – 1 = 5.5%
2. Calculation of 1-year forward rate 2 years from today:
(1 + S3 )^3 = [(1 + S2 )^2](1 + 2y1y) = (1 + S1 )(1 + 1y1y)(1 + 2y1y)
→ 2y1y = [(1 + S3 )^3]/[(1 + S2 )^2] – 1 = [(1 + S3 )^3]/[(1 + S1 )(1 + 1y1y)]
= (1.0555^3)/(1.0525^2) = (1.0555^3)/(1.055 × 1.05) = 6.15%
MODULE 9: THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST
RATES: SPOT, PAR AND FORWARD CURVES 228 Student’s notes

[LOS 9.b] Define par and forward rates, and calculate par rates,
forward rates from spot rate, spot rates from forward rates, and…

Calculate spot rates from forward rates

Example: Calculate multiperiod forward rate from spot rates


Calculate the 4-year forward rate 12 years from today, given 12-year spot
rate is 4.5% and 16-year spot rate is 4.6%?
Answer:
S16 = 4.6%

0 1 12 16
… …

S12 = 4.5% 12y4y = ?

(1 + S16)^16 = (1 + S12)^12 × (1 + 12y4y)^4


→ (1 + 12y4y)^4 = [(1 + S16)^16]/[(1 + S12)^12] = (1.046^16)/(1.045^12)
→ 12y4y = 4.9%
MODULE 9: THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST
RATES: SPOT, PAR AND FORWARD CURVES 229 Student’s notes

[LOS 9.b] Define par and forward rates, and calculate par rates,
forward rates from spot rate, spot rates from forward rates, and…

Valuing bond using forward rates

Example: Valuing bond using forward rate


The current 1-year rate, S1, is 4%, the 1-year forward rate for lending
from time = 1 to time = 2 is 1y1y = 5%, and the 1-year forward rate for
lending from time = 2 to time = 3 is 2y1y = 6%. Value a 3-year annual-pay
bond with a 5% coupon and a par value of $1,000.
Answer:

50 50 1,050
PV = + +
1+ S1 (1+ S1)(1+1y1y) (1+ S1)(1+1y1y)(1+2y1y)
50 50 1,050
= + + = $1,000.98
1.04 (1.04)(1.05) (1.04)(1.05)(1.06)
MODULE 9: THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST
RATES: SPOT, PAR AND FORWARD CURVES 230 Student’s notes

[LOS 9.c] Compare the spot curve, par curve, and forward curve

General observations
• The spot rates are positive, and the spot curve is upward sloping.
• The spot and par curves are nearly identical; the par rates are slightly
lower than the spot rates, and the (slight) difference between the spot
and par curves is greater at longer maturities.
• Forward rates are greater than the spot and par rates.

Spot Curve Shape Par Curve Forward Curve

Upward Sloping Below spot curve Above spot curve

Flat Equal to spot curve Equal to spot curve

Downward Sloping
Above spot curve Below spot curve
(Inverted)
MODULE 9: THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST
RATES: SPOT, PAR AND FORWARD CURVES 231 Student’s notes

[LOS 9.c] Compare the spot curve, par curve, and forward curve

1. In case of upward-sloping

Forward curve

Spot curve
Par curve

If the spot curve is upward sloping:


• Par rates will be near—but below—spot rates, particularly at the long
end of the curve.
• Forward rates being above spot rates.
MODULE 9: THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST
RATES: SPOT, PAR AND FORWARD CURVES 232 Student’s notes

[LOS 9.c] Compare the spot curve, par curve, and forward curve

2. In case of flat

Forward curve
= Spot curve
= Par curve

If the spot rate is constant across all maturities


→ The par and forward rates will equate to the spot rate across all
maturities.
MODULE 9: THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST
RATES: SPOT, PAR AND FORWARD CURVES 233 Student’s notes

[LOS 9.c] Compare the spot curve, par curve, and forward curve

3. In case of downward sloping

Par curve
Spot curve

Forward curve

If the spot curve is upward sloping:


• Par rates will be near—but above—spot rates, particularly at the long
end of the curve.
• Forward rates being below spot rates.
Student’s notes

MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE


RISK AND RETURN
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 235 Student’s notes

LEARNING OUTCOMES

10a. Calculate and interpret the sources of return from investing in a


fixed-rate bond

10b. Describe the relationships among a bond's holding period return, its
Macaulay duration, and the investment horizon

10.c. Define, calculate, and interpret Macaulay duration


MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 236 Student’s notes

[LOS 10.a] Calculate and interpret the sources of return


from investing in a fixed-rate bond

1. Source of return

Coupon and principal Affected by Credit risk


payments. (*)
1.1. Three
sources of Reinvestment of
return on a coupon payments.
fixed-rate Affected by Interest rate
Potential capital gain risk (refer to
bond
or loss (**) if the bond LOS 10.a - 2)
is sold prior to
maturity.

(*) In this module, we assume that coupon and principal payments are
made as scheduled → not focus on credit risk
(**) Capital gain/loss arise if a bond is sold at a price different from its
carrying value.
• Carrying value refers to the present value of the remaining cash flow
(at any time between the purchase date and maturity date) that
discounted at the market discount rate (YTM) at issuance.
• Price of the bond is the present value of the remaining cash flow (at
any time between the purchase date and maturity date) that
discounted at current discount rate.
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 237 Student’s notes

[LOS 10.a] Calculate and interpret the sources of return


from investing in a fixed-rate bond

1. Source of return

1.2. Another dimension to the total rate of return of a bond when a bond
is purchased at a premium/discount

A discount bond A premium bond

Amortization of the discount Amortization of the premium


(the bond’s carrying value is (the bond’s carrying value is
pulled up to par (*) as it nears pulled down to par as it nears
maturity) serves to enhance the maturity) serves to lower the
return to bring it in line with the return to bring it in line with the
market discount rate market discount rate.

(*) Refer to Module 6: Fixed-Income Bond Valuation: Prices and Yields


MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 238 Student’s notes

[LOS 10.a] Calculate and interpret the sources of return


from investing in a fixed-rate bond

2. Interest rate risks affect bondholder’s return

Interest rate risk (*)

Reinvestment risk Market price risk

The future value of any interim


The selling price of a bond (at
cash flows (**) received from a
any point during its term or
bond can be different from
before maturity) can be different
expected value if the interest
from the carrying value if the
rate changes.
interest rate changes.
(**) coupon and principal
→ capital gain/loss
payment, reinvestment income

(*) Risk broadly speaking, is exposure to uncertainty and causes


unpredictability of outcomes (Portfolio management – Module 4:
Introduction to risk management)
→ in this LOS, reinvestment risk and market price risk can be the increase
or decrease in the future value of any interim cash flows and selling price
of a bond.
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 239 Student’s notes

[LOS 10.a] Calculate and interpret the sources of return


from investing in a fixed-rate bond

2. Interest rate risks affect bondholder’s return

Interest rate risk

No reinvestment risk Reinvestment


income Realized
Case 1:
unchanges rates of
Interest rates
return =
unchange No market price risk No capital YTM
gain/loss
Reinvestment
Reinvestment risk
income
Case 2: increases
Interest rates
increase Market price risk Realized
Capital loss
rates of
Reinvestment return
Reinvestment risk
income change
Case 3:
decreases
Interest rates
decrease Market price risk
Capital gain
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 240 Student’s notes

[LOS 10.a] Calculate and interpret the sources of return


from investing in a fixed-rate bond

2. Interest rate risks affect bondholder’s return

Case 1: The interest rates are unchanged over investment horizons

Example 1: Investor A and B purchases a 10-year, 8% annual-pay bond at a


price of $85.50 (per 100 of par) and are able to reinvest all coupons
received at the YTM at issuance.
• Investors A holds the bond to maturity
• Investor B holds the bond for 4 years, after which she sells the bond
at a price that entails a YTM that is the same as the YTM at issuance.
1. Calculate the total amount of reinvestment income earned by 2
investors.
2. Determine their realized rates of return (*) on the investment.

(*) Realized rate of return (horizon yield) is the annual total return when
an investor sells a bond, calculated by combining interest earned, plus any
gains or losses realized during the period divided by the initial investment.
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 241 Student’s notes

[LOS 10.a] Calculate and interpret the sources of return


from investing in a fixed-rate bond

2. Interest rate risks affect bondholder’s return

Case 1: The interest rates are unchanged over investment horizons

Answer:
We need to calculate the YTM at issuance:
N = 10; PMT = $8; PV = -$85.50; FV = $100; CPT I/Y; I/Y = 10.40%
→ YTM at issuance = 10.40%
Source of return for each investor:
Investor A Investor B
• Coupon payment • Coupon payment
• Reinvestment income • Reinvestment income
• Principal amount at maturity • Selling price (*)
0 1 2 3 4 10 0 1 2 3 4 … 10

-85.50 8 8 8 8 100 + 8 -85.50 8 8 8 8 + 89.67

(*) The selling price at the end of year 4 = PV of remaining future payments
= $89.67
(N = 6 ; I/Y = 10.40; PMT = $8; FV = $100; CPT PV; PV = $89.67)
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 242 Student’s notes

[LOS 10.a] Calculate and interpret the sources of return


from investing in a fixed-rate bond

2. Interest rate risks affect bondholder’s return

Case 1: The interest rates are unchanged over investment horizon

Example 1: (Continue)

Investor A (10-year horizon) Investor B (4-year horizon)

1. Calculate the reinvestment 1. Calculate the reinvestment


income income
The FV of the coupons reinvested at The FV of the coupons reinvested at
the bond’s YTM (10.40%) over time the bond’s YTM (10.40%) over time
horizon horizon
= $8 × (1 + 1.104 + … + 1.1049) = $8 × (1 + 1.104 + … + 1.1043)
= $129.97 = $37.35
(I/Y = 10.40; PMT = $8; N = 10; PV = (I/Y = 10.40; PMT = $8; N =4; PV = 0;
0; CPT FV; FV = $129.97) CPT FV; FV = $37.35)
→ Reinvestment income → Reinvestment income
= $129.97 - $8 × 10 = $49.97 = $37.35 - $8 × 4 = $5.35
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 243 Student’s notes

[LOS 10.a] Calculate and interpret the sources of return


from investing in a fixed-rate bond

2. Interest rate risks affect bondholder’s return

Case 1: The interest rates are unchanged over investment horizon

Example 1: (Continue)

Investor A (10-year horizon) Investor B (4-year horizon)

2. Calculate the realized rates of 2. Calculate the realized rates of


return return
FV10 = reinvestment income + FV4 = reinvestment income +
coupon payments + principal coupon payments + selling price
redemption = $49.97 + $80 + $100 = = $5.35 + $32 + $89.67 = $127.02
$229.97 → The realized rate of return
→ The realized rate of return 4 127.02
10 229.97 = 85.50 - 1 = 10.40% = YTM
= - 1 = 10.40% = YTM
85.50
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 244 Student’s notes

[LOS 10.a] Calculate and interpret the sources of return


from investing in a fixed-rate bond

2. Interest rate risks affect bondholder’s return

Case 1: The interest rates are unchanged over investment horizon

Observation for case 1:


If the interest rate (YTM) for the bond and our assumed reinvestment
rate remain unchanged (no interest rate risk) over investment horizon:
• A buy-and-hold investor’s realized rate return will be equal to the YTM
of the bond when purchased.
• A short-term investor’s realized rate return will be equal to the YTM of
the bond when purchased.
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 245 Student’s notes

[LOS 10.a] Calculate and interpret the sources of return


from investing in a fixed-rate bond

2. Interest rate risks affect bondholder’s return

Case 2: The interest rates increase before the first coupon date

Example 2: Similar to the Example 1, but after two investors purchase the
bond and before the first coupon payment, the interest rates rise to
11.40%.
Required:
1. Calculate the reinvestment income
2. Calculate the realized rate of return
Answer:

Investor A (10-year horizon) Investor B (4-year horizon)

1. Calculate the reinvestment 1. Calculate the reinvestment


income income
The FV of the coupons reinvested at The FV of the coupons reinvested at
11.40% over time horizon 11.40% over time horizon
= $8 × (1 + 1.114 + … + 1.1149) = $8 × (1 + 1.114 + … + 1.1143)
= $136.38 = $37.90
(I/Y = 11.40; PMT = $8; N = 10; PV = (I/Y = 11.40; PMT = $8; N =4; PV = 0;
0; CPT FV; FV = $136.38) CPT FV; FV = $37.90)
→ Reinvestment income → Reinvestment income
= $136.38 - $8 × 10 = $56.38 = $37.90 - $8 × 4 = $5.90
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 246 Student’s notes

[LOS 10.a] Calculate and interpret the sources of return


from investing in a fixed-rate bond

2. Interest rate risks affect bondholder’s return

Case 2: The interest rates increase before the first coupon date

Example 2 (Continue)

Investor A (10-year horizon) Investor B (4-year horizon)

2. Calculate the realized rates of 2. Calculate the realized rates of


return return
FV10 = reinvestment income + The selling price at the end of year 4
coupon payments + principal = PV of expected future payments
redemption = $56.38 + $80 + $100 = = $85.78
$236.38 (N = 6 ; I/Y = 11.40; PMT = $8; FV =
→ The realized rate of return $100; CPT PV; PV = $85.78)
10 236.38 → FV4 = reinvestment income +
= - 1 = 10.70% > YTM coupon payments + selling price
85.50
= $5.90 + $32 + $85.78 = $123.68
→ The realized rate of return
4 123.68
= - 1 = 9.67% < YTM
85.50
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 247 Student’s notes

[LOS 10.a] Calculate and interpret the sources of return


from investing in a fixed-rate bond

2. Interest rate risks affect bondholder’s return

Case 2: The interest rates increase before the first coupon date

Example 2: (Continue)
Discussion: Compare to the results in Example 1
Investor A – buy-and-hold investor:

Return Ex-2 Ex-1 Change Discussion Total realized


in rate of return
return

Re- Higher
investme reinvestment Rise by 30 bps
nt income $56.38 $49.97 $6.41 income → due to higher
Reinvestment reinvestment
risk income
Capital No capital (reinvestment
gain/loss gain/loss risk > market
0 0 0 price risk)
→ no market
price risk
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 248 Student’s notes

[LOS 10.a] Calculate and interpret the sources of return


from investing in a fixed-rate bond

2. Interest rate risks affect bondholder’s return

Case 2: The interest rates increase before the first coupon date

Example 2: (Continue)
Discussion: Compare to the results in Example 1
Investor B – short-term investor:

Return Ex-2 Ex-1 Change in Discussion Total realized


return rate of return

Re- $37.90 $37.35 $0.55 Higher


investment reinvestment Fall by 73 bps
income income because capital
→ Reinvestment loss offsets the
risk higher
reinvestment
Selling $85.78 $89.67 −$3.89 Capital loss income
price −$89.67 −$89.67 → market price (reinvestment
- Carrying = −$3.89 =0 risk risk < market
value price risk)
= Capital
gain/loss
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 249 Student’s notes

[LOS 10.a] Calculate and interpret the sources of return


from investing in a fixed-rate bond

2. Interest rate risks affect bondholder’s return

Case 2: The interest rates increase before the first coupon date

Conclusion for case 2


If the interest rate (YTM) for the bond and our assumed reinvestment
rate increases:
• A buy-and-hold investor’s realized rate return will be higher than the
YTM of the bond when purchased due to reinvestment risk > market
price risk
• A short-term investor’s realized rate return will be lower than the YTM
of the bond when purchased due to reinvestment risk < market price
risk
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 250 Student’s notes

[LOS 10.a] Calculate and interpret the sources of return


from investing in a fixed-rate bond

2. Interest rate risks affect bondholder’s return

Case 3: The interest rates decrease before the first coupon date

Example 3: Similar to the Example 1, but after two investors purchase the
bond and before the first coupon payment, the interest rates fall to
9.40%.
Required:
1. Calculate the reinvestment income
2. Calculate the realized rate of return
Answer:
Investor A (10-year horizon) Investor B (4-year horizon)

1. Calculate the reinvestment 1. Calculate the reinvestment


income income
The FV of the coupons reinvested at The FV of the coupons reinvested at
9.40% over time horizon 9.40% over time horizon
= $8 × (1 + 1.094 + … + 1.0949) = $8 × (1 + 1.094 + … + 1.0943)
= $123.89 = $36.80
(I/Y = 9.40; PMT = $8; N = 10; PV = 0; (I/Y = 9.40; PMT = $8; N =4; PV = 0;
CPT FV; FV = $123.89) CPT FV; FV = $36.80)
→ Reinvestment income → Reinvestment income
= $123.89 - $8 × 10 = $43.89 = $36.80 - $8 × 4 = $4.8
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 251 Student’s notes

[LOS 10.a] Calculate and interpret the sources of return


from investing in a fixed-rate bond

2. Interest rate risks affect bondholder’s return

Case 3: The interest rates decrease before the first coupon date

Example 3: (Continue)
Answer:

Investor A (10-year horizon) Investor B (4-year horizon)

2. Calculate the realized rates of 2. Calculate the realized rates of


return return
FV10 = reinvestment income + The selling price at the end of year 4
coupon payments + principal = PV of expected future payments
redemption = $43.89 + $80 + $100 = = $93.79
$223.89 (N = 6 ; I/Y = 9.40; PMT = $8; FV =
→ The realized rate of return $100; CPT PV; PV = $93.79)
10 223.89 → FV4 = reinvestment income +
= 85.50 - 1 = 10.10% < YTM coupon payments + selling price
= $4.8 + $32 + $93.79 = $130.59
→ The realized rate of return
4 130.59
= - 1 = 11.17% > YTM
85.50
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 252 Student’s notes

[LOS 10.a] Calculate and interpret the sources of return


from investing in a fixed-rate bond

2. Interest rate risks affect bondholder’s return

Case 3: The interest rates decrease before the first coupon date

Example 3: (Continue)
Discussion: Compare to the results in the Example 1
Investor A – buy-and-hold investor:

Return Ex-3 Ex-1 Change in Discussion Total realized


return rate of return

Re- Lower
investment reinvestment Fall by 30 bps
income $43.89 $49.97 −$6.08 income due to lower
→ Reinvestment reinvestment
risk income
Capital No capital (reinvestment
gain/loss gain/loss risk > market
0 0 0 price risk)
→ no market
price risk
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 253 Student’s notes

[LOS 10.a] Calculate and interpret the sources of return


from investing in a fixed-rate bond

2. Interest rate risks affect bondholder’s return

Case 3: The interest rates decrease before the first coupon date

Example 3: (Continue)
Discussion: Compare to the results in the Example 1
Investor B – short-term investor:

Return Ex-3 Ex-1 Change Discussion Total realized


in return rate of return

Re- Lower Rise by 77 bps


investment reinvestment because
income $36.80 $37.35 −$0.55 income capital gain
→ Reinvestment offsets the
risk lower
Capital Capital gain reinvestment
$93.79 income
gain/loss $89.67 → market price
- (reinvestment
(Selling - risk
$89.67 $4.12 risk < market
price $89.67
= price risk)
- Carrying =0
$4.12
value)
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 254 Student’s notes

[LOS 10.a] Calculate and interpret the sources of return


from investing in a fixed-rate bond

2. Interest rate risks affect bondholder’s return

Case 3: The interest rates decrease before the first coupon date

Conclusion for case 3:


If the interest rate (YTM) for the bond, our assumed reinvestment rate
decreases:
• A buy-and-hold investor’s realized rate return will be lower than the
YTM of the bond when purchased due to reinvestment risk > market
price risk.
• A short-term investor’s realized rate return will be higher than the
YTM of the bond when purchased due to reinvestment risk < market
price risk
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 255 Student’s notes

[LOS 10.a] Calculate and interpret the sources of return


from investing in a fixed-rate bond

2. Interest rate risks affect bondholder’s return

Summary
From the results from Example 1-2-3, we can see that reinvestment risk
matters more for long-term investors, while market price risk matters
more for short-term investors:
• For long-term investors: reinvestment risk > market price risk
• For short-term investors: reinvestment risk < market price risk

Two investors holding the same bond (or bond portfolio) can have
different exposures to interest rate risk if they have different investment
horizons.
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 256 Student’s notes

[LOS 10.b] Describe the relationships among a bond's holding period


return, its Macaulay duration, and the investment horizon

Illustration: Duration, market price risk and coupon reinvestment risk

Now let’s consider a third investor, Investor C, who has a 7-year


investment horizon. (≈ the bond’s duration)
Use the same approach as example 1 to 3 in Los 10.a, we calculate the
total return (Horizon yield) in 3 scenarios:
• Interest rate is 10.4%
• If the interest rate rises to 11.4% (as was the case in example 2)
• If the interest rate decreases to 9.4% (as was the case in example 3)
We spare you the calculations here.
The results are presented below:

Interest Rate Future Value Sale Price Total Return Horizon


of (FV7) Yield
Reinvested
Coupon

9.40% 74.512177 96.481299 170.993476 10.408%

10.40% 76.835787 94.073336 170.909123 10.400%

11.40% 79.235183 91.748833 256


170.984016 10.407%
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 257 Student’s notes

[LOS 10.b] Describe the relationships among a bond's holding period


return, its Macaulay duration, and the investment horizon

Illustration: Duration, market price risk and coupon reinvestment risk

Discussion:
For Investor C (the 7-year investor), the horizon yields are almost the
same regardless of the change in interest rates.
Or, we can say that:
• When interest rises: The benefit gained by coupon reinvestment
offsets the risk of market price decrease.
• When interest decreases: The risk of coupon reinvestment offsets the
benefit of market price increase.

Important property regarding Macaulay duration:


Given a particular assumption about yield volatility, Macaulay duration
indicates the investment horizon for which coupon reinvestment risk
and market price risk offset each other.
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 258 Student’s notes

[LOS 10.b] Describe the relationships among a bond's holding period


return, its Macaulay duration, and the investment horizon

1. Analysing the case of interest rates rising

The gain in future value of reinvested coupon


starts out small, but increases at an increasing
rate over time (LOS 5.a)
Gains

Macaulay Duration
t=0
Macaulay Duration Maturity
Losses Money Duration date

Capital loss during the bond‘s life.

• Money duration measures the immediate decline in the value of the


bond.
• Over time, the value of the bond is pulled up to par.
• The gain in future value of reinvested coupon starts out small, but
increases at an increasing rate over time.
• At a certain point during the life of the bond, the gain on reinvested
coupon and the loss on the sale of the bond offset each other → That
point is the Macaulay duration of the bond.
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 259 Student’s notes

[LOS 10.b] Describe the relationships among a bond's holding period


return, its Macaulay duration, and the investment horizon

2. Analysing the case of interest rates falling

Capital gain during the bond’s life


Gains
Money Duration
Macaulay Duration
t=0
Maturity
Losses date
The loss in future value of reinvested coupon
starts out small, but increases at an increasing
rate over time

• Money duration measures the immediate increase in the value of the


bond.
• Over time, the value of the bond is pulled down to par.
• The loss in future value of reinvested coupon starts out small, but
increases at an increasing rate over time.
• At a certain point during the life of the bond, the gain on sale of the bond
and the loss on the future value of reinvested coupon offset each other
→ That point is the Macaulay duration of the bond
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 260 Student’s notes

[LOS 10.b] Describe the relationships among a bond's holding period


return, its Macaulay duration, and the investment horizon

3. Duration, investment horizon and interest risk

• The conclusion that we can draw from all the analysis mentioned above is
that market price risk and coupon reinvestment risk changes as the
investment horizon varies.
• Here in this part we further discuss the interest risk that investors face, by
(1) comparing the length of their investment horizon to the investments’
duration, or (2) by considering the duration gap (mentioned below).

Duration gap is the difference between the Macaulay duration of a bond


and the investment horizon.
Duration gap = Macaulay duration - Investment horizon

In the case that:


• Investment horizon is less than the Macaulay duration (Positive
duration gap)

Investment horizon Macaulay duration Maturity


o Market price risk > coupon reinvestment risk
o Investors face the risks that the market price will fall, which means they
fear that interest rate rises
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 261 Student’s notes

[LOS 10.b] Describe the relationships among a bond's holding period


return, its Macaulay duration, and the investment horizon

3. Duration, investment horizon and interest risk

In the case that:

• Investment horizon is equal to the Macaulay duration (Zero duration


gap)
Investment horizon

Macaulay duration Maturity


o Market price risk = coupon reinvestment risk

• Investment horizon is greater than the Macaulay duration (Negative


duration gap) Investment
horizon
Macaulay Maturity
duration
o Market price risk < coupon reinvestment risk
o Investors face the risks that the return of reinvesting coupons will fall,
which means they fear that interest rate falls.
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 262 Student’s notes

[LOS 10.c] Define, calculate, and interpret Macaulay duration

Duration is used to measure the interest rate risk of the bond:


Duration measures the sensitivity or responsiveness of a bond’s full price
(including accrued interest) to changes in its yield-to-maturity (or market
discount rate).

Yield duration Curve duration

Measures the responsiveness of a Measures the responsiveness of a


bond’s price with respect to its bond’s price with respect to a
own yield-to-maturity. benchmark yield curve.

1. Macaulay duration. 3. Effective duration (Los 13.a)

2. Modified duration (Los 11.a)

LOS 11.a. Money duration, and


the price value of a basis point
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 263 Student’s notes

[LOS 10.c] Define, calculate, and interpret Macaulay duration

Macaulay duration represents the weighted (*) average of the time it


would take to receive all the bond’s promised cash flows.
(*) the weights are calculated as the present value of each cash flow
divided by the bond’s full price.
MacDur
PMT PMT PMT + FV
(1+r)1 −t/T (1+r)2 −t/T (1+r)N −t/T
= (1 – t/T) × + (2 – t/T) × + … + (N – t/T) ×
PVFull PVFull PVFull

where:
PMT PMT PMT + FV
PVFull = + +…+
(1+r)1 −t/T (1+r)2 −t/T (1+r)N −t/T
• t = the number of days from the last coupon payment to the settlement date
• T = the number of days in the coupon period
• t/T = the fraction of the coupon period that has gone by since the last
payment
• PMT = the coupon payment per period
• FV = the future value paid at maturity, or the par value of the bond r = the
yield-to-maturity, or the market discount rate, per period
• N = the number of evenly spaced periods to maturity as of the beginning of
the current period
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 264 Student’s notes

[LOS 10.c] Define, calculate, and interpret Macaulay duration

Example 4: Calculate Macaulay duration


Consider a 7-year, 5% semiannual-pay bond that matures on September
15, 2020, which is purchased on January 3, 2014. The coupon payments
are made on March 15 and September 15 each year. The yield-to-maturity
is 5% quoted on a street-convention semiannual bond basis. Compute the
bond’s Macaulay duration at time of purchase.
Answer:
1. Calculate the full price of the bond:
• t = 108 days (from the last coupon payment date to the settlement
date (January 3, 2014))
• T = 180 days → t/T = 108/180 = 0.6
• Number of periods (including the current period) = 14 periods
• Coupon payment each period = $100 × 5%/2 = $2.5
• Discount rate each period = 5%/2 = 2.5%

PMT PMT PMT FV


→ PVFull = + +…+
(1+r)1 −t/T (1+r)2 −t/T (1+r)N −t/T
2.5 2.5 102.5
= + +...+
(1+2.5%)1 − 0.6 (1+2.5%)2 − 0.6 (1+2.5%)14 − 0.6
= $101.49
(Continue in the next slide)
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 265 Student’s notes

[LOS 10.c] Define, calculate, and interpret Macaulay duration

2. Calculate the Macaulay duration:


Period Time to Cash PVn Weight n×
(N) receipt flow = CF/(1.025n) = PVn /PVFull weight
(n = N – t/T)
1 0.4 2.5 2.48 0.024 0.010
2 1.4 2.5 2.42 0.024 0.033
3 2.4 2.5 2.36 0.023 0.055
4 3.4 2.5 2.30 0.023 0.078
5 4.4 2.5 2.24 0.022 0.097
6 5.4 2.5 2.19 0.022 0.119
7 6.4 2.5 2.13 0.021 0.134
8 7.4 2.5 2.08 0.021 0.155
9 8.4 2.5 2.03 0.020 0.168
10 9.4 2.5 1.98 0.020 0.188
11 10.4 2.5 1.93 0.019 0.198
12 11.4 2.5 1.89 0.019 0.217
13 12.4 2.5 1.84 0.018 0.223
14 13.4 102.5 73.62 0.725 9.715
PVFull = 101.49 MacDur = 11.390

Note that duration = 11.39 in this Example is in term of semiannual periods


 Annualized Macaulay duration = 11.39/2 = 5.695 years
Student’s notes

MODULE 11: YIELD-BASED BOND


DURATION MEASURES AND
PROPERTIES
MODULE 11: YIELD-BASED BOND DURATION
MEASURES AND PROPERTIES 267 Student’s notes

LEARNING OUTCOMES

11a. Define, calculate, and interpret modified duration, money duration,


and the price value of a basis point (PVBP)

11b. Explain how a bond's maturity, coupon, and yield level affect its
interest rate risk
MODULE 11: YIELD-BASED BOND DURATION
MEASURES AND PROPERTIES 268 Student’s notes

[LOS 11.a] Define, calculate, and interpret modified duration, money


duration, and the price value of a basis point (PVBP)

1. Modified duration

Modified duration is calculated by dividing Macaulay duration by one


plus the yield per period.
MacDur
ModDur = 1 + r

MacDur
• For annual – pay bond: ModDur = 1 + r
MacDursemi
• For semiannual – pay bond: ModDursemi =
1 + r/2
Example 1: Calculate Modified duration
1. Calculate Modified duration for the annual – pay bond with
MacDur = 2.88
2. Calculate Modified duration for the semiannual – pay bond in the
Example 4
Answer:
1. Modified duration for the annual – pay bond
MacDur
ModDur = = 2.88/(1.05) = 2.747 years
1+r
2. Modified duration for the semiannual – pay bond in the Example 5
MacDursemi
ModDursemi = = 11.39/(1 + 5%/2) = 11.11 (semiannual
1 + r/2
periods)
→ Annualized Modified duration = 11.11/2 = 5.56 years
MODULE 11: YIELD-BASED BOND DURATION
MEASURES AND PROPERTIES 269 Student’s notes

[LOS 11.a] Define, calculate, and interpret modified duration, money


duration, and the price value of a basis point (PVBP)

1. Modified duration

a. Implications of Modified duration

Modified duration has a very important application in risk management. It


can be used to estimate the percentage price change for a bond in
response to a change in its annual yield-to-maturity:
%∆PVFull ≈ – ModDur × ΔYield (*)

(*) The formula above estimates the percentage price change in the full price
of a bond and uses the annual modified duration and the annual yield-to-
maturity.
Minus sign (–) explains the inverse relationship between the bond price and
the YTM

Modified duration only provides a linear estimate (refer to the Line


tangent to the Price-Yield curve) of the change in the price of a bond in
response to a change in yields.
→ Good estimates for bond prices in response to relatively small changes
in yields, but not for larger changes in yields due to the curvature
(convexity) of the price-yield profile.
MODULE 11: YIELD-BASED BOND DURATION
MEASURES AND PROPERTIES 270 Student’s notes

[LOS 11.a] Define, calculate, and interpret modified duration, money


duration, and the price value of a basis point (PVBP)

1. Modified duration

a. Implications of Modified duration

Example 2: Using Modified duration to estimate the change in a bond


price
Given an annualized modified duration of 5.56 for the bond in Example 4 -
Module 10, estimate the change in value of the bond in response to (1) a
10 bp increase in yields and (2) a 10 bp decrease in yields.

Answer:
(1) If the yield-to-maturity increases by 10 bps (to 5.1%), the estimated
loss in the value will be: %∆PVFull = - 5.56 x 0.001 = - 0.00556 or - 0.556%
(2) If the yield-to-maturity decreases by 100 bp (to 4.9%), the estimated
loss in the value will be: %∆PVFull = - 5.56 x (- 0.001) = 0.00556 or 0.556%
MODULE 11: YIELD-BASED BOND DURATION
MEASURES AND PROPERTIES 271 Student’s notes

[LOS 11.a] Define, calculate, and interpret modified duration, money


duration, and the price value of a basis point (PVBP)

1. Modified duration

b. Approximate Modified duration

If Macaulay duration is not already known, Modified duration can be


approximated directly using bond values for an increase in YTM and for a
decrease in YTM of the same size:
PV − PV+
Approximate ModDur = 2 × PV− × ∆Yield
0
where:
• PV− is the price of the bond if YTM is decreased by ΔYTM and PV+ is the
price of the bond if the YTM is increased by ΔYTM (PV− > PV+ )
• PV0 is the current price of the bond

The objective of the approximation is to estimate the slope of the line


tangent to the price–yield curve (illustrated in the next slide)
MODULE 11: YIELD-BASED BOND DURATION
MEASURES AND PROPERTIES 272 Student’s notes

[LOS 11.a] Define, calculate, and interpret modified duration, money


duration, and the price value of a basis point (PVBP)

1. Modified duration

b. Approximate Modified duration

Price Price-Yield curve

PV−

Approximate slope of
PV0 tangent line

PV+

Line tangent to the


Price-Yield curve
∆Yield ∆Yield YTM
MODULE 11: YIELD-BASED BOND DURATION
MEASURES AND PROPERTIES 273 Student’s notes

[LOS 11.a] Define, calculate, and interpret modified duration, money


duration, and the price value of a basis point (PVBP)

1. Modified duration

b. Approximate Modified duration

Example 3: Calculate the approximate the Modified duration


A bond is trading at a full price of 980. If its yield-to-maturity increases by
50 basis points, its price will decrease to 960. If its yield to maturity
decreases by 50 basis points, its price will increase to 1,002. Calculate the
approximate modified duration?
Answer:
PV− − PV+
The approximate modified duration =
2 × PV0 × ∆YTM
1,002 −960
= 2 ×980 ×0.5% = 4.29

→ the approximate change in price for a 1% change in YTM is 4.29%


MODULE 11: YIELD-BASED BOND DURATION
MEASURES AND PROPERTIES 274 Student’s notes

[LOS 11.a] Define, calculate, and interpret modified duration, money


duration, and the price value of a basis point (PVBP)

2. Money duration

• Money duration (dollar duration) is a measure of the price change in


units of the currency in which the bond is denominated.
MoneyDur = annual ModDur × PVFull
• Money duration is sometimes expressed as money duration per 100 of
bond par value.

Recall that: %∆PVFull ≈ – ModDur × ΔYield


→ ∆PVFull /PVFull ≈ – ModDur × ΔYield
→ ∆PVFull ≈ – (ModDur × PVFull ) × ΔYield
→ The estimated (dollar) change in the price of the bond is calculated as:
∆PVFull = – MoneyDur × ∆Yield
MODULE 11: YIELD-BASED BOND DURATION
MEASURES AND PROPERTIES 275 Student’s notes

[LOS 11.a] Define, calculate, and interpret modified duration, money


duration, and the price value of a basis point (PVBP)

2. Money duration

Example 4: Calculate the money duration


1. Calculate the money duration on a coupon date of a $2 million par
value bond that has a modified duration of 7.42 and a full price of
101.32, expressed for the whole bond and per $100 of Par value.
2. What will be the impact on the value of the bond of a 25 basis points
increase in its YTM?
Answer:
1. The money duration for the whole bond = annual ModDur × PVFull
= 7.42 × $2,000,000 × 101.32% = $15,035,888
The money duration per $100 of par value is: 7.42 × $101.32 = $751.79
2. ∆PVFull = - MoneyDur × ∆Yield
∆PVFull = - $15,035,888 × 0.0025 = - $37,589.72
The bond value decreases by $37,589.72.
MODULE 11: YIELD-BASED BOND DURATION
MEASURES AND PROPERTIES 276 Student’s notes

[LOS 11.a] Define, calculate, and interpret modified duration, money


duration, and the price value of a basis point (PVBP)

3. Price value of a basis point (PVBP)

The price value of a basis point (PVBP) is another version of money


duration. It estimates the change in the full price of a bond in response to
a 1 bps change in its yield-to-maturity:
PV − PV+
PVBP = ∆PVFull at +0.01% change = 2xPV − x0.01% x 0.01% x PVFull
Full
PV − PV+
→ PVBP = −
2
Price

PV− − PV+
PVBP = 2
PV−

PV0
PV+ Price-Yield curve in
case of very small
change in YTM

Y0 YTM
-1bps +1bps
MODULE 11: YIELD-BASED BOND DURATION
MEASURES AND PROPERTIES 277 Student’s notes

[LOS 11.a] Define, calculate, and interpret modified duration, money


duration, and the price value of a basis point (PVBP)

3. Price value of a basis point (PVBP)

Example 5: Price value of a basis point


A newly issued, 20-year, 6% annual-pay straight bond is priced at 101.39.
Calculate the price value of a basis point for this bond assuming it has a
par value of $1 million.
Answer:

First, calculate the YTM of the bond: YTM = 5.88%


(N = 20; PV = –101.39; PMT = 6; FV = 100; CPT → I/Y = 5.88)
Now we need the values for the bond with YTMs of 5.89 and 5.87.
• YTM = 5.89; CPT → PV = –101.273 (PV+)
• YTM = 5.87; CPT → PV = –101.507 (PV− )
→ PVBP (per $100 of par value) = (101.507 – 101.273) / 2 = 0.117
MODULE 11: YIELD-BASED BOND DURATION
MEASURES AND PROPERTIES 278 Student’s notes

[LOS 11.b] Explain how a bond's maturity, coupon,


and yield level affect its interest rate risk

Properties of Bond durations

The Macaulay and Modified yield duration statistics for a traditional fixed-
rate bond are functions of the input variables:
1. The fraction of the coupon period that has elapsed (t/T)
2. Other properties of bond duration (in case that t/T = 0):
2.1. the coupon rate or payment per period (C)
2.2. the time to maturity (N)
2.3. the yield-to-maturity per period (r)
MODULE 11: YIELD-BASED BOND DURATION
MEASURES AND PROPERTIES 279 Student’s notes

[LOS 11.b] Explain how a bond's maturity, coupon,


and yield level affect its interest rate risk

1. Effect of the fraction of the coupon period (t/T)

For a constant yield-to-maturity (r), the Macaulay duration decreases


smoothly as t goes from t = 0 to t = T, which creates a “saw-tooth” pattern
(illustrated below)

MacDur

Coupon payment date Time to maturity

As times passes during the coupon period (moving from right to left in the
diagram), the Macaulay duration declines smoothly and then jumps
upward after the coupon is paid.
MODULE 11: YIELD-BASED BOND DURATION
MEASURES AND PROPERTIES 280 Student’s notes

[LOS 11.b] Explain how a bond's maturity, coupon,


and yield level affect its interest rate risk

2. Effect of other properties of bond duration (t/T = 0)

2.1. Effect of coupon rate on interest rate risk

0 1 2 3 … Maturity

PMT PMT PMT PMT PMT PMT + Par

Recall that: Macaulay duration represents the weighted average of the time
it would take to receive all the bond’s promised cash flows.

• For zero-coupon bond: PMT = 0 → MacDur = time – to – maturity = N


• For any bond that pays a coupon: the MacDur will be less than its time-
to-maturity (N), because some amount of coupon payments will be
received before the maturity date.
o The lower a bond’s coupon (trading at discount), the longer its
MacDur, because proportionately less payment is received before
final maturity.
o The higher a bond’s coupon (trading at premium), the shorter its
MacDur, because proportionately more payment is received before
final maturity.

All else being equal, a lower-coupon bond has a higher duration and more
interest rate risk than a higher-coupon bond.
MODULE 11: YIELD-BASED BOND DURATION
MEASURES AND PROPERTIES 281 Student’s notes

[LOS 11.b] Explain how a bond's maturity, coupon,


and yield level affect its interest rate risk

2.2. Effect of time-to-maturity on interest rate risk

General rule: All else being equal:


• The longer a bond’s maturity, the longer its MacDur and the higher
interest rate risk, because it takes more time to receive full payment.
• The shorter a bond’s maturity, the shorter its MacDur and the lower
interest rate risk, because it takes less time to receive full payment.
Exception:
The longer-term discount bond (interest rate risk may be less than a short-
term bond) and perpetuity bond (interest rate risk is constant over time to
maturity).
(More detail in the next slide)
MODULE 11: YIELD-BASED BOND DURATION
MEASURES AND PROPERTIES 282 Student’s notes

[LOS 11.b] Explain how a bond's maturity, coupon,


and yield level affect its interest rate risk

2.2. Effect of time-to-maturity on interest rate risk

a. Zero-coupon bond
MacDur of a zero-coupon bond = N
→ The relationship between the Macaulay duration and the time-to-
maturity for a zero-coupon bond is the 45-degree line.

b. Perpetuity
A perpetuity (perpetual bond) is a bond that does not mature
PMT
→ there is no principal to redeem → PV of perpetuity =
r
% ∆PV ∆PV 1 − PMT r 1
ModDur = - =- × =- × =
∆r ∆r PV r2 PMT r
1+r
→ MacDur = ModDur × (1 + r) = r
→ The relationship between the Macaulay duration and the time-to-
maturity for a perpetuity is the horizontal line.
c. Floating-Rate Notes and Loans
The coupon rate of an FRN has two components:
Coupon rate = reference rate (MRR) + quote margin
→ At predetermined dates, payment amounts are reset to reflect changes
in the MRR.
T−t
→ MacDurFloating =
r
→ Macaulay duration for a floating-rate bond is simply the fraction of a
period remaining until the next reset date.
MODULE 11: YIELD-BASED BOND DURATION
MEASURES AND PROPERTIES 283 Student’s notes

[LOS 11.b] Explain how a bond's maturity, coupon,


and yield level affect its interest rate risk

2.2. Effect of time-to-maturity on interest rate risk

d. Discount bond
As N increases, the Macaulay duration increases. At some point when the
time-to-maturity is high enough, the Macaulay duration exceeds (1+r)/r,
reaching a maximum and then approaches the threshold from above.
→ On long term discount bonds, the interest rate risk can actually be less
than on a shorter-term bond, which explains why the word “generally” is
needed in describing the maturity effect for the relationship between
bond prices and yields-to-maturity in Module 6 – LOS 6.b

e. Premium bond
The Macaulay duration is always less than (1 + r)/r, and it approaches
that threshold from below as the time-to-maturity increases.
→ The relationship between the MacDur and the time-to-maturity for a
premium bond is an upward curve with the threshold of (1 + r)/r.

Note: The detailed explanation for the relationship between MacDur and
time-to-maturity of discount and premium bonds is shown in CFA
Curriculum Level I Volumn 4, page 284-288.
MODULE 11: YIELD-BASED BOND DURATION
MEASURES AND PROPERTIES 284 Student’s notes

[LOS 11.b] Explain how a bond's maturity, coupon,


and yield level affect its interest rate risk

Summary for 2.1 and 2.2


The characteristics of bond duration related to changes in the the time-
to-maturity and coupon rate are illustrated in the graph below:

MacDur Zero-coupon bond

Discount bond

1+r
Perpetuity
r
Premium/Par bond

Time to maturity
Note: This graph considers the coupon payment dates that is the same as
the settlement dates (t/T = 0) → not display the saw-tooth pattern
between coupon payments.
MODULE 11: YIELD-BASED BOND DURATION
MEASURES AND PROPERTIES 285 Student’s notes

[LOS 11.b] Explain how a bond's maturity, coupon,


and yield level affect its interest rate risk

2.3. Effect of yield-to-maturity on interest rate risk

Recall about the Price-yield curve and its slope in Module 6:


At lower yields (YTM), the price-yield curve has a steeper slope indicating
that price is more sensitive to a given change in yield → higher interest
rate risk.

All other things remaining the same, a lower yield-to-maturity bond has
higher duration and more interest rate risk than a higher yield-to-
maturity bond.
Student’s notes

MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND


CONVEXITY AND PORTFOLIO
PROPERTIES
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 287 Student’s notes

LEARNING OUTCOMES

12a. Calculate and interpret convexity and describe the convexity


adjustment

12b. Calculate the percentage price change of a bond for a specified


change in yield, given the bond's duration and convexity

12c. Calculate portfolio duration and convexity and explain the limitations
of these measures
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 288 Student’s notes

[LOS 12.a&b] Calculate and interpret convexity and describe the


convexity adjustment;
Calculate the percentage price change of a bond for a specified
change in yield, given the bond's duration and convexity

1. Bond convexity as a measure of the change in bond prices

The true relationship between the bond price and the yield-to-maturity is
the curved (convex) line shown below.
Price
Convex Price–Yield Curve

(1)
P0
(2) Line Tangent to
the Price–Yield
YTMo Curve
estimated change due to duration Yield-to-maturity
estimated change due to convexity
estimated total change
The convexity of a bond is always positive.
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 289 Student’s notes

[LOS 12.a&b] Calculate and interpret convexity and describe the


convexity adjustment; Calculate the percentage price change…

1. Bond convexity as a measure of the change in bond prices


Observing the graph in the previous slide, we see that:

The true relationship between the bond price and the yield-to-maturity
is the curved (convex).

Duration only shows a linear relationship between change in yield-to-


maturity and bond price.

Modified duration only measures the primary effect on a bond’s percentage


price change given a change in the yield-to-maturity, not the total effect.
For large changes in yields, duration:
• Underestimates the increase in price when yields fall. (1)
• Overestimates the decrease in prices when yields rise. (2)

The convexity statistic for the bond should be used to improve the estimate
of the percentage price change provided by modified duration alone.289
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 290 Student’s notes

[LOS 12.a&b] Calculate and interpret convexity and describe the


convexity adjustment; Calculate the percentage price change…

1. Bond convexity as a measure of the change in bond prices

Annual convexity (AnnConvexity) is a measure of convexity, and it can be


approximated using the following equation:
PV− + PV+ − [2 x PV0 ]
ApproxCon =
(∆Yield)2 x PV0

The convexity adjusted (convexity statistic added) estimate of the


percentage change in the bond’s full price is shown below:
1
%∆PVfull ≈ −AnnModDur x ∆Yield + x AnnConvexity x (∆Yield)2
2

“First-order” (duration) effect. If “Second-order” effect or convexity


there in an increase (decrease) in adjustment. Notice that the
yields, the duration effect on a convexity adjustment has a
bond’s price will be negative positive impact on the bond price
(positive). estimate for either an increase or
a decrease in yields.
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 291 Student’s notes

[LOS 12.a&b] Calculate and interpret convexity and describe the


convexity adjustment; Calculate the percentage price change…

1. Bond convexity as a measure of the change in bond prices

Example 1: Calculate the change in bond price as the YTM changes using
bond convexity
We continue with the bond we worked in the Example 4.
Relevant information is provided below:
• Maturity = 7 years; coupon payment = $2.50 and pays semiannually;
par value = $100 and the bond is purchased 108 days since the last coupon
payment.
• Initial YTM = 5%
• PV0 = $101.492586
• PV+ = $101.2110
• PV− = $101.7750
• ∆Yield = 0.0005
• ApproxModDur = 5.55278
1. Calculate approximate convexity.
2. Calculate the estimated convexity-adjusted percentage price change
resulting from a 100 bp increase (5% to 6%) in the yield-to-maturity.
3. Compare the estimated percentage price change with the actual change,
assuming the yield-to-maturity jumps to 6% on the settlement date. 291
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 292 Student’s notes

[LOS 12.a&b] Calculate and interpret convexity and describe the


convexity adjustment; Calculate the percentage price change…

1. Bond convexity as a measure of the change in bond prices

Example 1: Calculate the change in bond price as the YTM changes using
bond convexity
Answer:
1. Calculate approximate convexity
PV− + PV+ − [2x PV0 ] 101.775+101.211− 2x101.492586
ApproxCon = = =
(∆Yield)2x PV0 (0.0005)2x101.492586
32.6329
2. Calculate estimated percentage price change
1
%∆PVfull ≈ −AnnModDur x∆Yield + 2 x AnnConvexity x (∆Yield)2
1
= (-5.55278 x 0.01) + 2 x 32.6329 x (1%)2 = -0.0555278 + 0.00163165
= -0.053896 or - 5.3896%
3. Compare estimated percentage price change with the actual change
If the yield-to-maturity increase by 1% to 6%, the new full price can be
calculated as:
N = 14; PMT = $2.50; FV = $100; I/Y = 3%; CPT PV→ PV = -$94.35196
→ PVfull = $94.35196 x (1.03)108/180 = $96.040249
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 293 Student’s notes

[LOS 12.a&b] Calculate and interpret convexity and describe the


convexity adjustment; Calculate the percentage price change…

1. Bond convexity as a measure of the change in bond prices

Example 1: Calculate the change in bond price as the YTM changes using
bond convexity
Answer:
3. Compare estimated percentage price change with the actual change
(cont)

96.040249− 101.492586
→ %∆PVfull = 101.492586 = - 0.0537215 or -5.37215%

Observation:
-5.55278%. -5.3896% -5.37215% Change in
Convexity- Actual price
Estimate
based on adjusted change
duration estimate
→ The convexity adjustment brings the change in price estimate that is
based on duration alone closer to the actual change in the price of the
bond.
See how we illustrate this relationship in the next slide.
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 294 Student’s notes

[LOS 12.a&b] Calculate and interpret convexity and describe the


convexity adjustment; Calculate the percentage price change…

1. Bond convexity as a measure of the change in bond prices

Example 1: Calculate the change in bond price as the YTM changes using
bond convexity
Answer:
3. Compare estimated percentage price change with the actual change
(cont)
Price

Convexity-adjusted price at
5%
Duration-estimated price at
5% 5% 5.05% YTM
Estimated change based on duration = - 0.0555278
Convexity adjustment = 0.00163165
Convexity-adjusted estimated change = - 0.0555278 + 0.00163165
Remember that the convexity adjustment brings the change in price
estimate closer to the actual change
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 295 Student’s notes

[LOS 12.a&b] Calculate and interpret convexity and describe the


convexity adjustment; Calculate the percentage price change…

2. Money convexity

Money convexity measures the second-order effect on the full price of a


bond (in dollar terms) given a change in the yield-to-maturity.
MoneyCon = AnnConvexity x PVfull

The convexity adjusted (convexity statistic added) estimate of the change in


the bond’s full price (in dollar terms) is shown below:
Recall that we have this formula of calculating percentage of price change, using
both duration and convexity:
1
%∆PVFull ≈ (−AnnModDur × ∆Yield) + [ × AnnConvexity × (∆Yield)2]
2

Multiplying PVfull on both sides to find the absolute price change, we have:
%∆PVfull ×PVfull ≈ (−AnnModDur×PVfull ×∆Yield) +
1
[ ×AnnConvexity×PVfull ×(∆Yield)2
2

The estimated (dollar) change in the price of the bond, after adding the
effect of convexity is calculated as:
1
∆PVfull ≈ (−MoneyDur × ∆Yield) + [ × MoneyCon × (∆Yield)2]
2
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 296 Student’s notes

[LOS 12.a&b] Calculate and interpret convexity and describe the


convexity adjustment; Calculate the percentage price change…

3. Factors that affect convexity

c. The factors that lead to greater duration also lead to greater convexity

Factors Change in factor Change in convexity

Term-to-maturity ↑ ↑

Coupon rate ↓ ↑

Yield-to-maturity ↓ ↑

Dispersion of cash ↑ ↑
flow (*)

(*) Dispersion of cash flow measures the degree to which payments are
spread out over the bond’s term.
For example: a bond that pays interest only twice in its life has a lower level
of dispersion than a bond which pays interest 10 times in its life, given that
the 2 bonds have the same par value and are valued at the same price.
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 297 Student’s notes

[LOS 12.a&b] Calculate and interpret convexity and describe the


convexity adjustment; Calculate the percentage price change…

3. Factors that affect convexity

d. Positive attributes of greater bond convexity

The more convex


Price bond appreciates Note: In comparision with P0
more in price
The more convex bond
depreciates less in
price
P0

YTM
Decrease YTMo Increase
More convex bond ()
Less convex bond

Conclusion: The more convex bond outperforms the less convex bond in
both bull (rising price) and bear (falling price) markets.
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 298 Student’s notes

[LOS 12.a&b] Calculate and interpret convexity and describe the


convexity adjustment; Calculate the percentage price change…

4. Effective convexity

Recall that in 1 - LOS 12a&b, we learn that the “first-order” effect of a shift in
the benchmark yield curve to bond price is measured by effective duration.
→ The secondary, or second-order, effect is measured by effective convexity.

The effective convexity of a bond is calculated by this formula

PV− + PV+ − [2 x PV0 ]


EffCon =
(∆Curve)2 x PV0
This formula may look like the Aproximate yield convexity. But note that, here,
the denominator includes the change in the benchmark yield curve squared,
(∆Curve)2

Implication: The reasons why effective duration should be used in measuring


interest rate risk for bonds with embedded options:
→ Using the same explanation, it is important to remember that effective
convexity should be used to measure the “second-order” effect of interest rate
risk for embedded option bonds.
Further details on effective convexity for embedded options bonds are
mentioned in the next slides.
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 299 Student’s notes

[LOS 12.a&b] Calculate and interpret convexity and describe the


convexity adjustment; Calculate the percentage price change…

4. Effective convexity

a. Effective convexity of a callable bond

• When the benchmark yield is low, value of convexity for a callable bond
is negative (also known as concavity) – and this an important feature of
callable bond.
• When the benchmark yield is high, callable and straight bonds
experience the same positive value of convexity.
• There is a point of inflection which indicates the yield at which convexity
for the callable bond goes from positive to negative.

Price Straight bond

Callable bond
Positive
Negative convexity
convexity
point of inflection
Benchmark
Low benchmark yield YTMo High benchmark yield Yield
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 300 Student’s notes

[LOS 12.a&b] Calculate and interpret convexity and describe the


convexity adjustment; Calculate the percentage price change…

4. Effective convexity

a. Effective convexity of a callable bond

Illustration: Look at the graph below, we can see that when the yield is low
and there is an decrease in benchmark yield:
Increase in callable bond price < Increase in straight bond price
The driven-down increase in callable bond price is estimated via 2 following
factors:
1. Effective duration: lower than that of straight bond
2. Effective convexity: negative, while that of straight bond is positive

Price Straight bond


Increase in callable bond price
Increase in straight bond price

Callable bond
Benchmark Yield
YTM1 YTMo
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 301 Student’s notes

[LOS 12.a&b] Calculate and interpret convexity and describe the


convexity adjustment; Calculate the percentage price change…

4. Effective convexity

b. Effective convexity of a putable bond

Putable bonds always have positive convexity.


• When the benchmark yield is low, value of convexity for a putable bond
is equal to that of a straight bond
• When the benchmark yield is high, value of convexity for a putable bond
is greater than that of a straight bond

Price
Putable bond

Straight bond Greater


convexity

Benchmark
Low benchmark yield High benchmark yield Yield
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 302 Student’s notes

[LOS 12.a&b] Calculate and interpret convexity and describe the


convexity adjustment; Calculate the percentage price change…

4. Effective convexity

b. Effective convexity of a putable bond

Illustration: Look at the graph below, we can see that when the yield is high
and there is an increase in benchmark yield:
Decrease in putable bond price < Decrease in straight bond price
The driven-down decrease in putable bond price is estimated via 2 following
factors:
1. Effective duration: lower than that of straight bond
2. Effective convexity: positive and higher than that of straight bond
Price
Putable bond Decrease in putable bond price
Decrease in straight bond price

Straight bond

Benchmark Yield
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 303 Student’s notes

[LOS 12.c] Calculate portfolio duration and convexity and


explain the limitations of these measures

1. Calculate the duration of a portfolio

Approach 1 Approach 2 (additional reading)

• Calculate the durations of Project all cash flows on all


individual bonds (contain traditional bonds and embedded
embedded option bonds). option bonds contained in the
• Calculate the weights of each portfolio
bond simply by the proportion of → Calculate the cash flow yield (IRR
the full price of each bond in the of the bond portfolio)
total portfolio value. → Calculate the weighted average
→ Calculate the weighted average of time to receipt of the aggregate
of the individual bond durations cash flows
that comprise the portfolio

The first method is commonly


The second method is the
used by fixed-income portfolio
theoretically correct approach,
managers, but it has its own
but it is difficult to use in practice
limitations.
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 304 Student’s notes

[LOS 12.c] Calculate portfolio duration and convexity and


explain the limitations of these measures

1. Calculate the duration of a portfolio

Approach 1 Approach 2 (additional reading)

Formula: Formula:
MacDur of portfolio MacDur of portfolio
= w1 D1 + w2 D2 +…+ wN DN CFi
∑N (i – t/T) ×
i=1 (1+r)i −t/T
= CFi
where:
∑N
• N = Number of bonds in portfolio. i=1 (1+r)i −t/T
• Di = Duration of Bond i. where:
• wi = Market value of Bond i • PVPortfolio = the market value of
divided by the market value of portfolio
portfolio. • r is the cash flow yield of the
portfolio
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 305 Student’s notes

[LOS 12.c] Calculate portfolio duration and convexity and


explain the limitations of these measures

2. Limitations of portfolio duration

Approach 1 Approach 2 (additional reading)

This measure of duration assumes a • The cash flow yield is not usually
parallel change in the yield curve calculated for bond portfolios.
(i.e., yields across all maturities • The amount and timing of
change by the same amount and in payments on bonds with
the same direction) → this is not embedded options and floating-
accurate in practice because rate bonds is uncertain.
portfolios of bonds are composed of • Interest rate risk should be
a variety of bonds that may have measured based on a change in
different maturities, credit risks, and benchmark interest rates, not on
embedded options. a change in the cash flow yield.
• For an individual bond, the
amount of change in its cash flow
yield is not necessarily the same
as the change in its yield-to-
maturity.
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 306 Student’s notes

[LOS 12.c] Calculate portfolio duration and convexity and


explain the limitations of these measures

1. Calculate the duration of a portfolio

Example 2: Calculate the duration of a portfolio


Suppose an investor holds the following portfolio of two zero-coupon bonds:

Bond Maturity Price Yield MacDur ModDur Market value Weight

X 1y 98.00 2.04% 1 0.98 9,800,000 50%

Y 30y 9.80 8.05% 30 27.77 9,800,000 50%

The price are per 100 of par. The Par value of bond X is 10,000,000 and of
bond Y is 100,000,000. The total market value of the portfolio is
$19,600,000. Calculate the portfolio duration by both approaches?
Answer:

1. Approach 1
Portfolio MacDur = w1 D1 + w2 D2 +…+ wN DN = 0.5 (1) + 0.5 (30)
= 15.50 years
Portfolio ModDur = 0.5 (0.98) + 0.5 (27.77) = 14.37 years
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 307 Student’s notes

[LOS 12.c] Calculate portfolio duration and convexity and


explain the limitations of these measures

1. Calculate the duration of a portfolio

Example 2: Calculate the duration of a portfolio


2. Approach 2

Calculate the cash flow yield of the portfolio:


10,000,000 0 0 100,000,000
19,600 000 = 1 + 2 +…+ 29 +
(1+r) (1+r) (1+r) (1+r)30

→ r = 7.86% = cash flow yield


CFn
∑N (n – t/T) ×
n=1 (1+r)n −t/T
MacDur = CFn
∑N
n=1 (1+r)n −t/T
1 × 10,000,000 0 +…+ 0 + 30 × 100,000,000
(1 + 7.86%)1 (1+7.86%) 2 (1+7.86%)29 (1 + 7.86%)30
= 10,000,000 + 100,000,000
(1 + 7.86%)1 (1 + 7.86%)30
= 16.28 years

ModDur of portfolio = 16.28/(1 + 7.68%) = 15.10 years


Student’s notes

MODULE 13: CURVE-BASED AND


EMPIRICAL FIXED-INCOME RISK
MEASURES
MODULE 13: CURVE-BASED AND EMPIRICAL
FIXED-INCOME RISK MEASURES
309 Student’s notes

LEARNING OUTCOMES

13.a. Explain why effective duration and effective convexity are the most
appropriate measures of interest rate risk for bonds with embedded
options

13.b. Calculate the percentage price change of a bond for a specified


change in the benchmark yield, given the bond’s duration and
convexity

13.c. Define key rate duration and describe its use to measure price
sensitivity of fixed-income instruments to benchmark yield curve
changes

13.d. Describe the difference between empirical duration and analytical


duration
MODULE 13: CURVE-BASED AND EMPIRICAL
FIXED-INCOME RISK MEASURES
310 Student’s notes

[LOS 13.a] Explain why effective duration and effective convexity are
the most appropriate measures of interest rate risk for bonds with
embedded options

1. Effective duration

a. Reason for using effective duration in measuring interest rate risk for
bonds with embedded options.

For bonds with embedded options, the future cash flows are uncertain
since option exercise depends on the level of market interest rates
relative to coupon interest being paid (or received).
→ Bonds with embedded option do not have well-defined yields-to-
maturity.
→ Macaulay and modified duration are not appropriate interest rate risk
measures for such bonds.
→ We must use effective duration to estimate the interest rate risk of
these bonds, a curve duration rather than a yield duration statistic.
MODULE 13: CURVE-BASED AND EMPIRICAL
FIXED-INCOME RISK MEASURES
311 Student’s notes

[LOS 13.a] Explain why effective duration and effective convexity are
the most appropriate measures of interest rate risk for bonds…

1. Effective duration

b. Details about effective duration

Effective duration measures the sensitivity of a bond’s price to a change


in the benchmark yield curve.
PV − PV+
EffDur = 2 × PV− × ∆Curve Equivalent to Yield
0 in MacDur formula
where:
• ∆Curve is the change in the benchmark yield curve used with bond
pricing model to calculate PV− and PV+.

Example: Effective duration calculation


A callable bond is currently trading at 101.05 per 100 of par. When the
government par curve is raised by 25 bps, the value of the bond falls to
99.04, and when it is lowered by 25 bps, the value of the bond rises to
102.87. Calculate the effective duration of this bond.

Answer:
PV − PV+ 102.87 − 99.04
Effective duration = 2 × PV− × ∆Curve = 2 × 101.05 × 0.25% = 7.58
0
MODULE 13: CURVE-BASED AND EMPIRICAL
FIXED-INCOME RISK MEASURES
312 Student’s notes

[LOS 13.a] Explain why effective duration and effective convexity are
the most appropriate measures of interest rate risk for bonds…

2. Effective convexity

We learn that the “first-order” effect of a shift in the benchmark yield


curve to bond price is measured by effective duration.
→ The secondary, or second-order, effect is measured by effective
convexity.

The effective convexity of a bond is calculated by this formula

PV + PV+ − 2 × PV0
EffCon =
∆Curve 2 × PV0
This formula may look like the Aproximate yield convexity. But note that,
here, the denominator includes the change in the benchmark yield curve
squared, (∆Curve)2

Implication: We mentioned the reasons why effective duration should be


used in measuring interest rate risk for bonds with embedded options.
→ Using the same explanation, it is important to remember that effective
convexity should be used to measure the “second-order” effect of
interest rate risk for embedded option bonds.
Further details on effective convexity for embedded options bonds are
mentioned in the next slides.
MODULE 13: CURVE-BASED AND EMPIRICAL
FIXED-INCOME RISK MEASURES
313 Student’s notes

[LOS 13.a] Explain why effective duration and effective convexity are
the most appropriate measures of interest rate risk for bonds…

2. Effective convexity

a. Effective convexity of a callable bond

• When the benchmark yield is low, value of convexity for a callable


bond is negative (also known as concavity) – and this an important
feature of callable bond.
• When the benchmark yield is high, callable and straight bonds
experience the same positive value of convexity.
• There is a point of inflection which indicates the yield at which
convexity for the callable bond goes from positive to negative.

Price Straight bond

Callable bond

Positive
Negative
convexity
convexity

point of inflection Benchmark


Low benchmark yield YTMo High benchmark yield Yield
MODULE 13: CURVE-BASED AND EMPIRICAL
FIXED-INCOME RISK MEASURES
314 Student’s notes

[LOS 13.a] Explain why effective duration and effective convexity are
the most appropriate measures of interest rate risk for bonds…

2. Effective convexity

a. Effective convexity of a callable bond

Illustration: Look at the graph below, we can see that when the yield is
low and there is an decrease in benchmark yield:
Increase in callable bond price < Increase in straight bond price
The driven-down increase in callable bond price is estimated via 2
following factors:
1. Effective duration: lower than that of straight bond
2. Effective convexity: negative, while that of straight bond is positive

Price Straight bond


Increase in callable bond price
Increase in straight bond price

Callable bond
Benchmark Yield
YTM1 YTMo
MODULE 13: CURVE-BASED AND EMPIRICAL
FIXED-INCOME RISK MEASURES
315 Student’s notes

[LOS 13.a] Explain why effective duration and effective convexity are
the most appropriate measures of interest rate risk for bonds…

2. Effective convexity

b. Effective convexity of a putable bond

Putable bonds always have positive convexity.


• When the benchmark yield is low, value of convexity for a putable
bond is similar to that of a straight bond
• When the benchmark yield is high, value of convexity for a putable
bond is greater than that of a straight bond

Price

Putable bond

Straight bond Greater convexity

Benchmark Yield
Low benchmark yield High benchmark yield
MODULE 13: CURVE-BASED AND EMPIRICAL
FIXED-INCOME RISK MEASURES
316 Student’s notes

[LOS 13.a] Explain why effective duration and effective convexity are
the most appropriate measures of interest rate risk for bonds…

2. Effective convexity

Example: Effective duration and convexity calculation


Consider BRWA’s five-year, 3.2% (semiannual) coupon bond priced at par
for settlement on 15 October 2025 and maturity on 15 October 2030.
Using PV0 = 100.00, ∆Curve = 0.0005, PV− = 99.76, PV+ = 100.241.
Calculate effective duration and covexity for BRWA’s bond.

Answer:
Effective duration:
PV − PV+ 100.241 99.76
= 2 × PV− × ∆Curve = 2 × 100 × 0.0005 = 4.816
0
Effective convexity:
PV− + PV+ − [2 × PV0 ] 100.241 + 99.76 − [2 × 100 ]
= = = 40.000
(∆Curve)2 × PV0 (0.0005)2 × 100
MODULE 13: CURVE-BASED AND EMPIRICAL
FIXED-INCOME RISK MEASURES
317 Student’s notes

[LOS 13.a] Explain why effective duration and effective convexity are
the most appropriate measures of interest rate risk for bonds…

3. Interest rate risk of embedded option bonds

Callable bond

The embedded call option favors the issuer → An investor would pay less
for a callable bond than for an otherwise identical noncallable bond
→ Value of a noncallable bond = Value of a callable bond + Value of the
embedded call option

Putable bond

The embedded put option favors the investors → An investor would pay
more for a putable bond than for an otherwise identical nonputable bond
→ Value of a nonputable bond = Value of a putable bond – Value of the
embedded put option
MODULE 13: CURVE-BASED AND EMPIRICAL
FIXED-INCOME RISK MEASURES
318 Student’s notes

[LOS 13.a] Explain why effective duration and effective convexity are
the most appropriate measures of interest rate risk for bonds…

3. Interest rate risk of embedded option bonds

a. Callable bond

Price Value of the Embedded call option

Call price

Non-callable bond
Callable bond
Y∗ Benchmark Yield

Low benchmark yields (<Y∗ ) High benchmark yields (>Y∗ )

Low yield → High market price The issuer will not call the bond
→ The issuer will call the bond at a given → The the value of the embedded call
call price (the highest price of the bond option is relatively low
to be called) → The price appreciation → The sensitivity of the callable and
would be limited by the call option noncallable bond prices are very similar
→ The sensitivity of the bond price to → The effective durations (slopes of the
change in yield is lower than that of price-yield profiles) of the callable and
noncallable bond noncallable bonds are very similar.
→ The effective duration is lower.
MODULE 13: CURVE-BASED AND EMPIRICAL
FIXED-INCOME RISK MEASURES
319 Student’s notes

[LOS 13.a] Explain why effective duration and effective convexity are
the most appropriate measures of interest rate risk for bonds…

3. Interest rate risk of embedded option bonds

b. Putable bond

Price

Putable bond Value of the Embedded


Put price
put option
Non-putable bond

Y∗ Benchmark Yield

Low benchmark yields (<Y∗ ) High benchmark yields (>Y∗ )

The investor will not put the bond High yield → Lower market price
→ The the value of the embedded put The investor will put the bond at a given
option is much greater for the issuer put price (the lowest price of the bond to
→ The sensitivity of the putable and be put) → The price depreciation would
nonputable bond prices are very similar be limited by the put option
→ The effective duration of the putable → The sensitivity of the bond price is
bond and nonputable bond are very lower than that of nonputable bond
similar. → The effective duration is lower.
MODULE 13: CURVE-BASED AND EMPIRICAL
FIXED-INCOME RISK MEASURES
320 Student’s notes

[LOS 13.b] Calculate the percentage price change of a bond for a


specified change in the benchmark yield, given the bond’s duration
and convexity

We can estimate the expected price change for a bond with respect to an
expected change in yield curve using EffDur and EffCon in the same way
we use modified duration and convexity with respect to ∆YTM.

1
%∆PVfull ≈ −EffDur × ∆Curve + 2 × EffCon × (∆Curve)2

Note:
Unlike modified duration and convexity, effective duration and convexity
do not necessarily provide better estimates of bond prices for smaller
changes in yield.
This is because for bonds with embedded options, considerations other
than the level of government rates determine whether the option is likely
to be exercised (e.g., the level of credit spreads on a corporate bond or
the amount of principal outstanding on a mortgage).
MODULE 13: CURVE-BASED AND EMPIRICAL
FIXED-INCOME RISK MEASURES
321 Student’s notes

[LOS 13.b] Calculate the percentage price change of a bond for a


change in the benchmark yield...

Example: Percentage price change of a bond


BRWA’s five year, 3.2% (semiannual) coupon bond priced at par for
settlement on 15 October 2025 and maturity on 15 October 2030.
Effective duration = 4.816 and Effective convexity = 26.723. Find the
percentage changes in the bond’s full price for ± 100 bp shifts in the
benchmark government par curve.

Answer:
1
%∆PVfull ≈ −EffDur × ∆Curve + × EffCon × (∆Curve)2
2
Bond price changes given 100 bp increase in the benchmark government
par curve:
1
%∆PVfull ≈ −4.816 × 0.01 + × 40 × (0.01)2 = − 4.68%
2
Bond price changes given 100 bp decrease in the benchmark government
par curve:
1
%∆PVfull ≈ −4.816 × −0.01 + × 40 × (−0.01)2 = 4.95%
2
MODULE 13: CURVE-BASED AND EMPIRICAL
FIXED-INCOME RISK MEASURES
322 Student’s notes

[LOS 13.c] Define key rate duration and describe its use to measure
price sensitivity of fixed-income instruments to benchmark yield
curve changes

Maculay and Modified duration is an adequate measure of bond price risk


only for parallel shifts in the yield curve (the change in YTM for any
maturity is the same).

For nonparallel shifts in the yield curve, we must use key rate duration to
measure the interest rate risk of the bond.

Key rate duration (or partial duration) is a measure of a bond’s (or bond
portfolio’s) sensitivity to a change in the benchmark yield for a specific
maturity, holding other yields constant (nonparallel shifts in the yield
curve).
MODULE 13: CURVE-BASED AND EMPIRICAL
FIXED-INCOME RISK MEASURES
323 Student’s notes

[LOS 13.c] Define key rate duration and describe its use to measure
price sensitivity of fixed-income instruments...

The key duration of a bond is calculated in the following formula

−1 ∆PV
KeyRateDu rk = × (1)
PV ∆rk
n
KeyRateDu rk = EffDur (2)
k=1
Where:
• rk represents the kth key rate.
• kth key rate could be 1-, 2-, 20-, or 30-year rate (shifted up and down by
1 bp)

Why might key rate duration be useful for a portfolio manager even
though key duration values of the bonds in a portfolio sum to the
portfolio duration?
Answer: Knowing the portfolio duration and overall movement of the
benchmark yield curve can provide a quick estimate of gains or losses;
however, by using key durations, a portfolio manager can over- or
underweight specific tenors to maximize risk-adjusted return.
MODULE 13: CURVE-BASED AND EMPIRICAL
FIXED-INCOME RISK MEASURES
324 Student’s notes

[LOS 13.c] Define key rate duration and describe its use to measure
price sensitivity of fixed-income instruments...

Example: Key rate duration and changes in specific yields


A portfolio has equally weighted investments in a 5-year zero-coupon
bond yielding 5% and a 10-year bond yielding 6%. Yields are quoted on an
annual coupon basis. What would be the performance of the portfolio if
5-year yields increase by 50 basis points and 10-year yields decrease by
25 basis points?

Answer:
Recall: Modified duration = Macaulay duration / (1 + periodic yield),
where Macaulay duration of a single cash flow is equal to its maturity.
For the 5-year cash flow: ModDur = 5 / (1.05) = 4.762
The 5-year key rate duration = 4.762 × 0.5 = 2.381.
The impact of a 50 bp increase in the 5-year yield
= −2.381 × 0.0050 = -1.19%.
For the 10-year cash flow: ModDur = 10 / (1.06) = 9.434
The 10-year key rate duration = 9.434 × 0.5 = 4.717.
The impact of a 25 bp decrease in the 10-year yield
= −4.717 × −0.0025 = 1.18%.
Overall, the portfolio value will change by
= −1.19% + 1.18% = -0.01%.
MODULE 13: CURVE-BASED AND EMPIRICAL
FIXED-INCOME RISK MEASURES
325 Student’s notes

[LOS 13.d] Describe the difference between empirical duration and


analytical duration

Analytical duration Empirical duration

• Estimate duration and convexity


statistics by using mathematical
• Estimate duration and convexity
formulas.
statistics by using historical data
• Implicitly assume that
in statistical models that
government bond yields and
incorporate various factors
spreads are independent
affecting bond prices.
variables that are uncorrelated
with one another.

Analytical duration and empirical duration may show us different results


under many circumstances.

Example: In the case of market stress:


→ The same macroeconomic factors driving government bond yields lower
will cause high-yield bond credit spreads to widen because of an increase
in expected default risk.
→ Credit spreads and benchmark yields are negatively correlated.
→ Wider credit spreads will partially or fully offset the decline in
government benchmark yields.
→ Lower empirical duration estimates than analytical duration estimates.
Student’s notes

MODULE 14: CREDIT RISK


MODULE 14: CREDIT RISK 327 Student’s notes

LEARNING OUTCOMES

14.a. Describe credit risk and its components, probability of default and
loss given default

14.b. Describe the uses of ratings from credit rating agencies and their
limitations

14.c. Describe macroeconomic, market, and issuer-specific factors that


influence the level and volatility of yield spreads
MODULE 14: CREDIT RISK 328 Student’s notes

[LOS 14.a] Describe credit risk and its components, probability of


default and loss given default

Credit risk is the risk associated with losses to fixed income investors
stemming from the failure of a borrower to make payment of interest or
principal (referred to as to servicing their debt).
When a borrower fails to service their debt, they are said to be in default.

Key drivers of credit risk

Bottom-up factors Top-down factors

Capacity Capital Collateral Conditions Country

Convenants Characters Currency


MODULE 14: CREDIT RISK 329 Student’s notes

[LOS 14.a] Describe credit risk and its components, probability of


default and loss given default

1. Cs of credit analysis (Bottom-up)

The borrower’s ability to make their debt


Capacity
payments on time

Other resources available to the borrower that


Capital
reduce reliance on debt.

The quality and value of assets pledged to


Collateral provide the lender with security in the event of
default

The legal terms and conditions the borrowers


Convenants
and lenders agree to as part of a bond issue

The borrower’s integrity (e.g., management for a


Characters corporate bond) and their commitment to make
payments under their debt obligation
MODULE 14: CREDIT RISK 330 Student’s notes

[LOS 14.a] Describe credit risk and its components, probability of


default and loss given default

1. Cs of credit analysis (Top-down)

The general economic environment that affects


Conditions all borrower’s ability to make payments on their
debt

The geopolitical environment, legal system, and


Country
political system that apply to the debt

Foreign exchange fluctuations and their impact


Currency on a borrower’s ability to service foreign-
denominated debt
MODULE 14: CREDIT RISK 331 Student’s notes

[LOS 14.a] Describe credit risk and its components, probability of


default and loss given default

2. Sources of credit risk and repayment

At its core, credit risk stems from the possibility that the borrower’s sources of
repayment will not provide enough cash to service their debt.

Different
Source of repayment Source of credit risk
type of debt

Secured • Operating cash flows • Poor economic and market


corporate • Collateral cash flows or conditions
bond sale • Increased compettion
• Shrinking profitability
• Operating cash flows • Excessive debt levels
Unsecured • Investments of the issuer
corporate • Asset sales, divestures of
bond subsidiaries, or additional
debt/equity issuance

• Tax revenues • Poor economic conditions


• Tariffs • Political uncertainty
Sovereign • Other fees charged by the • Fiscal deficits
bond government issuer • High debt levels relative to
• Additional debt issuance the size of the economy
and sale of public assets
MODULE 14: CREDIT RISK 332 Student’s notes

[LOS 14.a] Describe credit risk and its components, probability of


default and loss given default

3. Measuring credit risk

Credit risk is measured by assessing the expected loss from a debt investment
in the event of default.

Components of credit risk:

Expected Total projected exposure


Exposure (EE) under event of default

Recovery Rate Percentage of loss


(RR) recovered in default

Loss Given Amount of loss if a


EE x (1 – RR) = LGD
Default (LGD) default occurs

Probability of Conditional probability of


Default (POD) borrower default

Expected loss Probability-weighted


LGD x POD = EL amount of loss
(EL)
MODULE 14: CREDIT RISK 333 Student’s notes

[LOS 14.a] Describe credit risk and its components, probability of


default and loss given default

3. Measuring credit risk

Expected loss POD LGD

The probability that a borrower fails to pay


Probability
interest or repay principal when due. The
of default
probability is typically expressed on
(POD)
annualized basis.

The loss an investor will suffer if the issuer


defaults. This can be stated as monetary
amount or as a percentage.
There are
LGD% = Expected exposure × (1 – Recovery
two
rate)
components
Where:
of expected
Loss given Recovery rate is the percentage of the
loss:
default principal amount recovered in the event of
(LGD) default.
Expected exposure is the difference
between the amount the investor is owed
and the value of the collateral available to
repay the investor.
Loss severity (= 1 – Recovery rate) is the
uncovered portion of the claim.
MODULE 14: CREDIT RISK 334 Student’s notes

[LOS 14.a] Describe credit risk and its components, probability of


default and loss given default

3. Measuring credit risk

3.1. Expected loss vs. Credit spread

Note: We can use the annualized expected loss (as a percentage) as an


estimate of the annualized credit spread over a risk-free benchmark that
an investor should demand for facing the credit risk of the investment.

Credit spread ≈ POD LGD%

• If the actual credit spread is higher than this estimated credit spread.
→ More than fairly compensated for the credit risk of the investment.
• If the actual credit spread is lower than estimated credit spread.
→ Not adequately compensated for credit risk and should avoid investing.
MODULE 14: CREDIT RISK 335 Student’s notes

[LOS 14.a] Describe credit risk and its components, probability of


default and loss given default

3. Measuring credit risk

3.1. Expected loss vs. Credit spread

Example:
A bond issuer has a 3% probability of default, and one of its bond issues
has a recovery rate of 75%. The bond has a 4% coupon and is currently
trading at par. A government security of similar maturity yields 2.5%.
Assess whether the credit spread of the bond issue is adequately
compensating investors for credit risk.

Answer:
The bond is trading at par, so its coupon of 4% is also its yield. The actual
credit spread of the bond is:
4% - 2.5% = 1.5%.
The estimated credit spread for the bond is its probability of default times
(1 − recovery rate):
0.03 × (1 − 0.75) = 0.0075, or 0.75%
→ The bond is providing an actual spread that is double that which is fair,
meaning that bond investors are more than adequately compensated for
the credit risk of the bond.
MODULE 14: CREDIT RISK 336 Student’s notes

[LOS 14.a] Describe credit risk and its components, probability of


default and loss given default

3. Measuring credit risk

3.2. Probability of default (POD)

POD is driven by an issuer’s ability to service debt based on both


qualitative and quanitative factors, including:

Profitability Coverage Leverage

Stable, predictable Sufficient cash Relative reliance on


cash flows and profits. flows/profits to make debt financing.
debt payments.

e.g: High EBIT margin e.g: High EBIT/Interest e.g: Low Debt/EBITDA

Low probability of default


High credit quality
MODULE 14: CREDIT RISK 337 Student’s notes

[LOS 14.a] Describe credit risk and its components, probability of


default and loss given default

3. Measuring credit risk

3.3. Loss given default (LGD)

Estimated LGD depend on whether the bond is secured or unsecured, and


the level of seniority of the bond issue in the capital structure of the
issuer:

First Lien Loan More senior,


Secured debt secured debt

LOD increases
Second Lien Loan will have lower
losses given
Senior Unsecured default than
… junior,
Unsecured debt unsecured
Junior debt.
Subordinated

• For investors in unsecured investment-grade bonds or loans with a


high LGD, the greatest risk of expected loss arises due to a rise in POD.
• High-yield investors expecting a greater likelihood of default seek to
minimize EL by seeking covenant restrictions and/or security to lower
LGD.
MODULE 14: CREDIT RISK 338 Student’s notes

[LOS 14.a] Describe credit risk and its components, probability of


default and loss given default

Credit rating from credit rating agencies

Rating agencies issue credit ratings, which reflect an opinion on the


potential risk of default of a particular bond issue or bond issuer.

Moody’s Fitch and S&P


Aaa AAA
High-quality grade
Aa1 → Aa3 AA+ → AA-
Investment
grade Upper-medium grade A1 → A3 A+ → A-

Low-medium grade Baa1 → Baa3 BBB+ → BBB-

Ba1 → Ba3 BB+ → BB-


Non- B1 → B3 B+ → B-
investment Low Grade or
Caa1 → Caa3 CCC+ → CCC-
Grade (High Speculative Grade
Ca CC
yield or C C
Junk)
Default C D
MODULE 14: CREDIT RISK 339 Student’s notes

[LOS 14.b] Describe the uses of ratings from credit rating agencies
and their limitations

Risks of relying on agency ratings

Investors should not assume that a bond’s credit


Credit ratings can
rating will remain the same from the time of
change over time
purchase through the entire holding period.

Bond prices and credit spreads tend to change more


Credit ratings tend
quickly (to reflect changes in perceived
to lag the market’s
creditworthiness) than credit ratings assigned to
pricing of credit risk
bonds.

Ratings agencies are not perfect, resulting in mistakes


occur from time to time.
Example:
Rating agencies
Rating agencies assigned inappropriately high credit
may make
ratings to subprime-backed mortgage securities
mistakes
(before 2008 financial crisis), and failed to detect
accounting fraud at large companies like Enron and
WorldCom.

Some risks such as litigation risk, which can affect


Some risks are
tobacco companies or environmental and business
difficult to capture
risks faced by chemical companies and utility power
in credit ratings
plants.
MODULE 14: CREDIT RISK 340 Student’s notes

[LOS 14.c] Describe macroeconomic, market, and issuer-specific


factors that influence the level and volatility of yield spreads

Factors affecting the level and volatility of yield spreads

1. Macroeconomic 2. Market 3. Issuer-specific


factors factors factors

1. Macroeconomic factors

Credit risk changes largely in line with the economic cycle.


• Growth period: The probability of default decreases, causing spreads to
contract.
• Recession period: The probability of default increases, causing spreads
to widen.
MODULE 14: CREDIT RISK 341 Student’s notes

[LOS 14.c] Describe macroeconomic, market, and issuer-specific


factors that influence the level and volatility of yield spreads

1. Macroeconomic factors

Credit spread curves over the economic cycle

Credit spreads for high-yield issuers (HY) may behave differently than credit spreads for
investment grade issuers (IG) over a business cycle.

Early expansion Late expansion


Spread Spread

HY
HY
IG
IG

Tenor Tenor

Contraction Peak
Spread Spread
HY
HY IG
IG

Tenor Tenor
MODULE 14: CREDIT RISK 342 Student’s notes

[LOS 14.c] Describe macroeconomic, market, and issuer-specific


factors that influence the level and volatility of yield spreads

1. Macroeconomic factors

Reasons for investing in high-yield bonds

Beyond the higher coupons typically offered by high-yield bonds to


compensate for their greater risk, other incentives for exposure to this HY
bonds include the following:

High-yield bond prices have low or even negative


Diversification correlation with investment grade bonds, so they
can diversify a fixed-income portfolio.

The larger spread changes for high-yield issues


Capital appreciation produce larger price gains during economic
recoveries compared to investment grade issues.

According to some empirical data, high-yield debt


Equity-like return
offers equity-like returns with lower volatility than
with lower volatility
equity markets.
MODULE 14: CREDIT RISK 343 Student’s notes

[LOS 14.c] Describe macroeconomic, market, and issuer-specific


factors that influence the level and volatility of yield spreads

1. Macroeconomic factors

Other systematic factors affecting yield spreads

Increasing regulations of broker-dealers and


market makers in corporate bonds
→ Increase the cost of funding bond positions.

Funding stresses in markets


Wider spreads
→ Increase risk aversion.

Heavy new issuance of debt into bond markets


with insufficient demand.
→ Increase illiquidity.
MODULE 14: CREDIT RISK 344 Student’s notes

[LOS 14.c] Describe macroeconomic, market, and issuer-specific


factors that influence the level and volatility of yield spreads

2. Market factors

Market liquidity risk

Definition Measurement
The risk that the actual transaction Liquidity risk is reflected in the size
price (buying or selling price) may of bid-ask spread
differ from market price due to Higher bid-ask spread → Lower
insufficient volumes (liquidity) in market liquidity and higher
the market. liquidity risk.

Factors affecting
Change in factor Change in liquidity risk
liquidity risk

Size of issuer * ↓

Credit quality of issuer ↓

(*) Size of issuer refers to the aggregate value of publicly traded debt an issuer has outstanding.
MODULE 14: CREDIT RISK 345 Student’s notes

[LOS 14.c] Describe macroeconomic, market, and issuer-specific


factors that influence the level and volatility of yield spreads

3. Issuer-specific factors

The expected financial performance of individual issuers has a significant


effect on both the level and volatility of yields and yield spreads. Two main
issuer-specific factors impacting on yield and yield-spread of issuers are
debt coverage and debt leverage along with other factors.

Debt coverage Debt leverage


Refers to the sufficiency of a Measures a borrower’s relative
borrower’s resources or cash reliance on debt verses other
flows to make necessary interest sources of financing.
and principal payments

Other factors
• Source of repayment
• Use of proceeds
• Issuer’s yield spread vs.
Average yield spread *

(*) For an issuer with problems servicing its debt, yield spreads will be wider than
the average for the issuer’s credit rating.
MODULE 14: CREDIT RISK 346 Student’s notes

[LOS 14.c] Describe macroeconomic, market, and issuer-specific


factors that influence the level and volatility of yield spreads

4. The price impact of spread changes

The price impact from spread changes is driven by two main factors:
(1) The modified duration (price sensitivity with respect to changes in
interest rates).
(2) The magnitude of the spread change.

For small, instantaneous yield spread change, the price impact can be
approximated by:

%∆PVFull ≈ −AnnModDur × ∆Spread

For large yield spread change, the price impact can be approximated by:
1
%∆PVFull ≈ − AnnModDur × ∆Spread + ( 2 × AnnConvexity × ∆Spread2)

Note: AnnConvexity should be rescaled so that it has the same order of


magnitude as the duration squared.
MODULE 14: CREDIT RISK 347 Student’s notes

[LOS 14.c] Describe macroeconomic, market, and issuer-specific


factors that influence the level and volatility of yield spreads

4. The price impact of spread changes

Example:
For a bond with duration of 5.0 and reported convexity of 0.235, one
would re-scale convexity to 23.5 before applying the formula. For a 1%
(i.e., 100 bps) increase in spread, the result would be:
1
%∆PVFull ≈ − 5.0 × 0.01 + 2 × 23.5 × 0.01 2 ≈ −0.048825 or −4.8825%
→ If spreads tighten by 100 basis points, the bond’s price will decrease by
4.88%.

Note:
• For a given change in the yield spread, the change in price is generally
more sensitive for a longer-duration bond.
• Compared to shorter-maturity bonds, longer-maturity bonds of a given
issuer typically trade at wider yield spreads to comparable-maturity
government bonds. This is why spread curves (also referred to as credit
curves) are generally upward sloping.
Student’s notes

MODULE 15: CREDIT ANALYSIS


FOR GOVERNMENT ISSUERS
MODULE 15: CREDIT ANALYSIS
FOR GOVERNMENT ISSUERS
349 Student’s notes

LEARNING OUTCOMES

15.a. Explain special considerations when evaluating the credit of


sovereign and non-sovereign government debt issuers and issues
MODULE 15: CREDIT ANALYSIS
FOR GOVERNMENT ISSUERS
350 Student’s notes

[LOS 15.a] Explain special considerations when evaluating the credit


of sovereign and non-sovereign government debt issuers and issues

1. Sovereign government debt

1.1. Qualitative factors

Government Successful policymaking, minimal corruption, checks


institution & and balances among institutions, and a culture of
policy honoring debts.

Government’s willingness and ability to increase


Fiscal
revenue or cut expenditures to ensure debt service,
Flexibility
trends in debt as a percentage of GDP.

Ability to use monetary policy for domestic economic


Monetary objectives (this might be lacking with exchange rate
effectiveness targeting or membership in a monetary union),
credibility and effectiveness of monetary policy.

Economic Growth trends, income per capita, and diversity of


assessment sources for economic growth

External Foreign reserves, external debt, and the status of its


status currency in international markets.
MODULE 15: CREDIT ANALYSIS
FOR GOVERNMENT ISSUERS
351 Student’s notes

[LOS 15.a] Explain special considerations when evaluating the credit


of sovereign and non-sovereign government debt issuers and issues

1. Sovereign government debt

1.2. Quantitative factors

Fiscal strength Economic growth and stability


(1.2.1.) (1.2.2.)

Debt Economic growth Size and income


Debt burden
affordability and volatility level

External stability
(1.2.3.)

Currency
External debt
reserves
MODULE 15: CREDIT ANALYSIS
FOR GOVERNMENT ISSUERS
352 Student’s notes

[LOS 15.a] Explain special considerations when evaluating the credit


of sovereign and non-sovereign government debt issuers and issues

1. Sovereign government debt

1.2.1. Fiscal strength

Key financial ratios to measure fiscal strength are presented below:

Measurement Ratio Interpretation

Debt to GDP
General government debt
GDP
Similar to
Debt burden
leverage
Debt to Revenue
General government debt Higher ratio
Revenue

Interest to GDP Lower credit


General interest payments rating
Similar to GDP
Debt
coverage
affordability
Interest to Revenue
General interest payments
Revenue
MODULE 15: CREDIT ANALYSIS
FOR GOVERNMENT ISSUERS
353 Student’s notes

[LOS 15.a] Explain special considerations when evaluating the credit


of sovereign and non-sovereign government debt issuers and issues

1. Sovereign government debt

1.2.2. Economic growth and stability

Key financial ratios to measure economic growth and stability are presented
below:

Growth and stability Size and Scale

Average Real GDP Growth Size of Economy


Real GDPt−1 − Real GDPt
GDP in PPP terms
Real GDPt

Real GDP Growth Volatility Per Capita GDP


Standard deviation of Real GDP
GDP Population

Lower real GDP growth, lower real economy size, lower per-capita GDP,
and higher volatility of real GDP growth
→ Lower credit rating.
MODULE 15: CREDIT ANALYSIS
FOR GOVERNMENT ISSUERS
354 Student’s notes

[LOS 15.a] Explain special considerations when evaluating the credit


of sovereign and non-sovereign government debt issuers and issues

1. Sovereign government debt

1.2.3. External stability

• A country’s external stability depends critically upon whether foreign


investors are able and willing to hold assets in a country’s currency.
• Quantitative meausres of external stability focus on the relative size of
external debt as compared to available sources of repayment.
Key financial ratios to measure external stability are presented below:

Currency Reserves External Debt

FX Reserves to GDP External Debt Burden


FX Reserves LT External Debt
GDP GDP

Reserve Ratio External Debt Due


FX Reserves External Debt Due in 12m
External debt GDP

Lower currency reserves ratio, higher external debt ratio


→ Lower credit rating
MODULE 15: CREDIT ANALYSIS
FOR GOVERNMENT ISSUERS
355 Student’s notes

[LOS 15.a] Explain special considerations when evaluating the credit


of sovereign and non-sovereign government debt issuers and issues

2. Non-sovereign government debt

Different issuers of non-sovereign government debt

Agencies Government banks

Supranational Regional government


MODULE 15: CREDIT ANALYSIS
FOR GOVERNMENT ISSUERS
356 Student’s notes

[LOS 15.a] Explain special considerations when evaluating the credit


of sovereign and non-sovereign government debt issuers and issues

2. Non-sovereign government debt

Different issuers of non-sovereign government debt

Issuers Characteristics Credit rating

Established to carry out a Similar to the


Agencies particular government- relevant sovereign
sponsored role debt rating.

Set up with a specific Similar to the


Government government-sponsored sovereign entity.
banks and mission (e.g: issuing green
financing bonds to raise finance for
institutions projects designed to mitigate
climate change)

Depends on the
Set up by groups of implicit support of
Supranational sovereign governments to the sponsored
issuers carry out projects with governments and
varied missions global development
institutions.
MODULE 15: CREDIT ANALYSIS
FOR GOVERNMENT ISSUERS
357 Student’s notes

[LOS 15.a] Explain special considerations when evaluating the credit


of sovereign and non-sovereign government debt issuers and issues

2. Non-sovereign government debt

Different issuers of non-sovereign government debt

Regional government bond

The majority of local government bonds, including municipal bonds, are


either general obligation bonds or revenue bonds.
• GO bonds are unsecured bonds issued with the full
faith and credit of the issuing entity and are
General supported by the taxing authority of the issuer.
obligation
• Serviced with taxes and fees collection
(GO) bonds
• Credit analysis of GO bonds is quite similar to that of
sovereign bonds.

• Revenue bonds are issued for financing a specific


project (e.g., a toll road, bridge, hospital, etc.)
• Serviced with revenues generated from projects →
Revenue bonds
Higher credit risk than GO bonds.
• Credit analysis of revenue bonds is similar to analysis
of corporate bonds.
Student’s notes

MODULE 16: CREDIT ANALYSIS


FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
MODULE 16: CREDIT ANALYSIS
FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
359 Student’s notes

LEARNING OUTCOMES

16.a. Describe the qualitative and quantitative factors used to evaluate a


corporate borrower’s creditworthiness

16.b. Calculate and interpret financial ratios used in credit analysis

16.c. Describe the seniority rankings of debt, secured versus unsecured


debt and the priority of claims in bankruptcy, and their impacts on
credit ratings
MODULE 16: CREDIT ANALYSIS
FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
360 Student’s notes

[LOS 16.a] Describe the qualitative and quantitative factors used to


evaluate a corporate borrower’s creditworthiness

1. Qualitative factors

Key qualitative factors include a company’s business model and the industry
within which it operates, as well as the competitive forces and business risks
it faces.

Corporate Governance

Industry and
Business Model
Competition

Business Risk

Issuer-specific Industry-specific External


MODULE 16: CREDIT ANALYSIS
FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
361 Student’s notes

[LOS 16.a] Describe the qualitative and quantitative factors used to


evaluate a corporate borrower’s creditworthiness

1. Qualitative factors

• Business model with stable and predictable cash


flows  Higher credit quality. Changes in the
business model Increase business risk.
Business model • For longer-term debt issues, a credit analyst should
consider both the existing business model and any
long-term changes to it that the issuer will need to
make to remain competitive.

• Less intensive competition  More favorable


Industry credit quality.
competition • Analysts need to consider any change in the
competitive landscape over the long term.

• Lower risk of unexpected deviations from expected


revenues and margins  Higher credit quality.
Business risk
• Business risk can originate from issuer-specific,
industry-specific, or external sources.

Corporate • Debt convenants and accounting policies


governance (further details in the next slide)
MODULE 16: CREDIT ANALYSIS
FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
362 Student’s notes

[LOS 16.a] Describe the qualitative and quantitative factors used to


evaluate a corporate borrower’s creditworthiness

1. Qualitative factors

Corporate governance

Unsecured investment-grade issuers:


• Primarily have affirmative convenants (compliance
with rules and laws, maintenance of company
assets, and paying taxes)  Assess the potential to
issue additional debt that would dilute the claims
Debt convenants of existing debtholders.
High-yield issuers:
• Have negative covenants (restricting the issuer’s
ability to pay dividends or issue further debt) +
affirmative covenants  Assess the past actions of
management whether any actions led to credit
rating downgrades.

Aggressive accounting policies mask the


performance and the risk of the underlying business
Accounting
and are potential warning flags to the true character
policies
of the business and its leaders.
→ Adversely impact an issuer’s creditworthiness
MODULE 16: CREDIT ANALYSIS
FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
363 Student’s notes

[LOS 16.a] Describe the qualitative and quantitative factors used to


evaluate a corporate borrower’s creditworthiness

2. Quantitative factors

Top-down approach

Macroeconomy Industry Event risk


GDP growth Addressable market Scenario analysis
Cyclicality Market share External shocks

Hybrid approach

Liquidity Revenue growth Debt service coverage


Profitability Operating profit Interest coverage
Cash flow
Balance sheet Income statement
statement

Bottom-up approach
MODULE 16: CREDIT ANALYSIS
FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
364 Student’s notes

[LOS 16.a] Describe the qualitative and quantitative factors used to


evaluate a corporate borrower’s creditworthiness

2. Quantitative factors

The goal of quantitative analysis is to identify key factors that drive a


corporate issuer’s POD and how they change over the credit cycle, including
the following factors:
• Strong operating profits and recurring revenues.
• Low levels of leverage and less reliance on debt in the capital structure.
• High coverage of debt service payments with periodic income.
• High levels of liquidity to meet short-term debt payments.
MODULE 16: CREDIT ANALYSIS
FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
365 Student’s notes

[LOS 16.b] Calculate and interpret financial ratios used in credit


analysis

Key financial ratios for corporate creditworthiness

Indication of
Ratio type Ratio Name Calculation higher credit
quality

EBIT Margin Operating Income


Profitability Higher ratio
Revenue

EBIT to Interest Operating Income


Coverage Higher ratio
Expense Interest Expense

Debt to EBITDA Debt Lower ratio


EBITDA
Leverage
RCF to New Retained Cash Flow
Higher ratio
Debt Debt − Cash and Marketable Securities
MODULE 16: CREDIT ANALYSIS
FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
366 Student’s notes

[LOS 16.c] Describe the seniority rankings of debt, secured versus


unsecured debt and the priority of claims in bankruptcy, and their
impacts on credit ratings

1. Seniority ranking

Debt with different ranking:

First Lien/Motgage
Secured debt
Debtholders have a
Senior Secured

Priority of claims in the event of default


direct claim (pledge) on
certain assets and their
associated cash flows.
Junior Secured
Category of debt

Cost of debt

Restriction
Senior Unsecured

Unsecured debt
Senior Subordinated
Debtholders have only a
general claim on the
issuer’s assets and cash
Subordinated
flow.

Junior Subordinated
MODULE 16: CREDIT ANALYSIS
FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
367 Student’s notes

[LOS 16.c] Describe the seniority rankings of debt, secured versus


unsecured debt and the priority of claims in bankruptcy...

2. Recovery rate

Recall: The provision in which all creditors at the same debt seniority level
are treated as one class without taking coupon and maturity into account, is
referred to as bonds ranking pari passu (“on an equal footing”) in right of
payment.

Example: In the event of bankruptcy, a senior unsecured bondholder whose


bond matures in 10 years will have the same pro rata claim on the issuer’s
assets as another senior unsecured bondholder whose bond matures in just
another 3 months.

Relationship between recovery rates and seniority ranking

First Lien Loan


Recovery rate

Secured debt Senior Secured Investors


Credit risk

demand a higher
Junior Secured yield to invest in
… lower-ranked
debt
Subordinated instruments.
Unsecured debt
Junior Subordinated
MODULE 16: CREDIT ANALYSIS
FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
368 Student’s notes

[LOS 16.c] Describe the seniority rankings of debt, secured versus


unsecured debt and the priority of claims in bankruptcy...

2. Recovery rate

Key characteristics of recovery rates are as follows:

Recovery rates are usually lower for industries


a. Recovery rates can that are in secular decline* compared to
vary widely by industry industries that are only experiencing a cyclical
economic downturn.

b. Recovery rates can Recovery rates are usually lower at or near the
also vary depending on bottom of a credit cycle (which is usually very
when they occur in a closely linked with the economic cycle) than at
credit cycle other times in the cycle.

c. Recovery rates can Recovery rates are tend to be lower for lower-
vary greatly across ranked debt if a company has a relatively
companies within the higher proportion of secured debt in its capital
same industry structure.

(*) Secular decline/increase refers to long-lasting and essential shift in an


industry leading to substaintial decline/growth and has low correlation to the
business cycle.
MODULE 16: CREDIT ANALYSIS
FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
369 Student’s notes

[LOS 16.c] Describe the seniority rankings of debt, secured versus


unsecured debt and the priority of claims in bankruptcy...

3. Issuer vs. Issue ratings

Rating agencies usually provide credit ratings for the issuer (referred to as a
corporate family rating) and for different issues (referred to as corporate
credit rating) as well.

Corporate family rating (CFR) Corporate credit rating (CCR)

• Based on overall creditworthiness • Based on factors such as the


of the issuer. issue’s relative seniority ranking
in capital structure.
• Typically apply to the issuer’s • Apply to specific financial
senior unsecured debt. obligation of the issuer.

Cross-default provisions

Under the terms of a cross-default provision, when there is a default event


(such as nonpayment of interest) on any one bond issued by a company,
provisions in bond indentures may trigger default on the remaining issues
as well → Same default probability for all issues.
MODULE 16: CREDIT ANALYSIS
FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
370 Student’s notes

[LOS 16.c] Describe the seniority rankings of debt, secured versus


unsecured debt and the priority of claims in bankruptcy...

3. Issuer vs. Issue ratings

Notching
Definition: While the probability of default (POD) for an issuer and its issues
may be the same due to cross-default provisions, issuer ratings may differ
due to loss given default (LGD) differences because of seniority,
subordination, and sources of repayment → Such rating adjustment
methodology is known as notching.
Mechanism: Rating agencies move credit ratings for specific issues up or
down relative to the issuer rating (which applies to senior unsecured debt).

General rule: The higher the senior unsecured rating, the smaller the
notching adjustment.

For more risky issuers The probability of default is higher, so the


(lower credit ratings) potential difference in loss from a lower or
A larger notching higher seniority ranking is a bigger consideration
adjustment in assessing the issue’s credit risk.

For less risky issuers


(higher credit ratings) The probability of default is lower, so there is
less of a need to notch ratings to capture any
A smaller notching potential difference in loss severity.
adjustment
MODULE 16: CREDIT ANALYSIS
FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
371 Student’s notes

[LOS 16.c] Describe the seniority rankings of debt, secured versus


unsecured debt and the priority of claims in bankruptcy...

3. Issuer vs. Issue ratings

Factors affecting notching

Primary factor Secondary factors

Probability of Seniority Potential loss Structural


default ranking severity subordination

Arises in a holding company structure when the debt of operating


subsidiaries is serviced by the cash flow and assets of the subsidiaries
before funds can be passed to the holding company to service debt at the
parent level.
Student’s notes

MODULE 17: FIXED-INCOME


SECURITIZATION
MODULE 17: FIXED-INCOME
SECURITIZATION
373 Student’s notes

LEARNING OUTCOMES

17.a. Explain benefits of securitization for issuers, investors, economies,


and financial markets

17.b. Describe securitization, including the parties and the roles they play
MODULE 17: FIXED-INCOME
SECURITIZATION
374 Student’s notes

OVERVIEW

Securitization: Process, Collateralized debt


Covered bonds
Benefits, and Risks obligations (CDO) LOS 18.a
LOS 17.a-b LOS 18.d

Creating
Residential mortgage
loans
LOS 19.b Assets-backed
securities
Creating

Residential mortgage- Commercial mortgage- Non-mortgage asset-


backed securities (RMBS) backed securities (CMBS) backed securities
LOS 19.b-c LOS 19.d LOS 18.c

Agency RMBS Credit tranching Auto Loan ABS

Mortgage pass- Credit Card Receivable


Creating through ABS
securities

Collateralized mortgage
Time tranching
obligations (CMO)
LOS 19.a
LOS 19.c

Non-agency RMBS
MODULE 17: FIXED-INCOME
SECURITIZATION
375 Student’s notes

[LOS 17.a] Explain benefits of securitization for issuers, investors,


economies, and financial markets

Before the advent of securitization

Financing for most mortgages and other financial assets was provided by
financial institutions (e.g., commercial banks).

Investors only participate in financings was by holding deposits, debt, or


equity issued by those financial institutions.

There are some problems

1. The financial institution represented an additional layer between


originating borrowers and ultimate investors.
2. Investors were only able to gain exposure to the bank’s entire portfolio
of assets → they were unable to pick and choose the types of assets
they desired exposure to.

Securitization solves these problems, and provides the additional benefits


MODULE 17: FIXED-INCOME
SECURITIZATION
376 Student’s notes

[LOS 17.a] Explain benefits of securitization for issuers, investors,


economies, and financial markets

1 Benefits of securitization

1.1. For economies and financial markets

Lower cost of funds

1. It removes the layer between borrowers and investors


→ reduce the role of the financial intermediary
→ reduce the borrowers’ cost of fund (Solve problem 1)

Improve liquidity of the underlying financial assets

2. Securitized bonds are sold in the public market


→ they have better liquidity (lower liquidity risk) than the original loans
(mortgages) on bank balance sheets.
→ financial markets are made more efficient.
3. It allows investors to have a stronger legal claim on the collateral pool of
assets.
MODULE 17: FIXED-INCOME
SECURITIZATION
377 Student’s notes

[LOS 17.a] Explain benefits of securitization for issuers, investors,


economies, and financial markets

1 Benefits of securitization

1.1. For economies and financial markets

Diversification

4. Asset-backed securities (ABS) offer companies an alternative means of


raising finance that can be considered alongside bond and equity issuance.
5. Investors can pick and choose the types of securities (ABS) that match
their risk, return, and maturity profiles to invest in. (Solve problem 2)

Example: A pension fund with a long-term horizon can gain access to long-
term real estate loans by investing in residential MBS without having to
invest in bank bonds or stocks

More funds for selling

6. Financial intermediaries are able to originate more loans (by using


financing provided by outside investors to originate loans) than they would
be able to if they were only able to issue loans that they could finance
themselves → an improvement in their profitability.

7. The increase in the total supply of loanable funds benefits organizations


(governments and companies) that need to borrow.
MODULE 17: FIXED-INCOME
SECURITIZATION
378 Student’s notes

[LOS 17.a] Explain benefits of securitization for issuers, investors,


economies, and financial markets

1. Benefits of securitization

1.2. For issuers

Banks act as the intermediary between borrowers and investors. If they can
separate loan origination from loan financing, they can improve their
profitability, earning origination fees and reducing capital requirements for
loans that are sold to investors.

Banks and Securitization

loans ABS

cash cash

Bank SPE Investor


Assets Liabilities Assets Liabilities

Cash Deposits Loans ABS issued


Loans Debt
Other assets Equity
MODULE 17: FIXED-INCOME
SECURITIZATION
379 Student’s notes

[LOS 17.a] Explain benefits of securitization for issuers, investors,


economies, and financial markets

1. Benefits of securitization

1.2. For issuers

Increased Banks securitize loans → Receiving proceeds →


business activity Using proceeds to make more loans.

The originating bank or corporation can charge fees


Improved
for originating the initial transaction that creates the
profitability
collateral and for selling the collateral to the SPE.

Banks removes credit risk from its balance sheet by


Lower capital selling loans to the SPE → Reducing the capital
reserves for reserves that regulators require the bank to hold →
banks Allowing the bank to allocate more funds to
profitable activities.

Banks can use securitization to sell illiquid loan


Improved
portfolios → Operating more efficiently from a
liquidity
risk/return perspective.
MODULE 17: FIXED-INCOME
SECURITIZATION
380 Student’s notes

[LOS 17.a] Explain benefits of securitization for issuers, investors,


economies, and financial markets

1. Benefits of securitization

1.3. For investors

Allowing investors to tailor interest rate and credit


Tailored risk and
risk exposures to suit their specific risk, return, and
return
maturity needs.

Allowing investors to gain exposure to private debts


without having specialized resources and expertise
Access necessary to provide loan origination such as credit
evaluation, origination, underwriting, and servicing
→ More efficient and diversified portfolios.

ABSs can be sold to other investors more easily than


the underlying collateral → Allowing investors to
Liquidity response more quickly to changes in market
conditions than they could if they held the loans
directly.
MODULE 17: FIXED-INCOME
SECURITIZATION
381 Student’s notes

[LOS 17.a] Explain benefits of securitization for issuers, investors,


economies, and financial markets

2. Risks of securitization

Although securitization brings many benefits to economies, it is not


without risks. Broadly, these risks fall into two categories below.

Risk related to

Timing of the ABS’s Inherent credit risk of the


cash flows collaterals backing the ABS

e.g: e.g: Borrowers default on


• Contraction risk their loans → SPE may not be
able to make cash payments
• Extension risk to the security holders.

(further discussed in later modules)


MODULE 17: FIXED-INCOME
SECURITIZATION
382 Student’s notes

[LOS 17.b] Describe securitization, including the parties and the


roles they play

1. The Securitization Process

To understand how securitization works, we consider the following example


An Example of a Securitized Transaction – ABC Co

Characteristics of ABC’s business - Originator


• ABC Company is in the business of manufacturing and selling motor
vehicles.
• While some of its sales are made for cash, most sales are made on
installment sales contracts where ABC advances loans to customers to
finance their purchases.
• ABC wants to raise $1 billion for its expansion program and decides to
securitize these loans to raise the funds instead of issuing corporate
bonds
MODULE 17: FIXED-INCOME
SECURITIZATION
383 Student’s notes

[LOS 17.b] Describe securitization, including the parties and the


roles they play

1. The Securitization Process

An Example of a Securitized Transaction – ABC Co

A fully graph for securitization process as follows:

Customers
Creating
Buy motor Make a
customer loan
vehicles customer loan

Originator
ABC Co
Selling
Sell customer Pay cash for
customer
loan loan purchase
loans for SPE
SPE
Payments received
Issue securitized from the collateral
Cash (loans) are used to fulfil
Issuing ABS bond (ABS)
principal and interest
Investors payments to ABS
holders
MODULE 17: FIXED-INCOME
SECURITIZATION
384 Student’s notes

[LOS 17.b] Describe securitization, including the parties and the


roles they play

2. Parties to a Securitization and Their Roles

The three main parties to a securitization are


Parties Description Parties in example
Originator/Seller Originates the loans and sells loans ABC Co
to the SPE
Issuer/Trust the SPE that purchases the loans or SPE
receivables and uses them as
collateral to issue the ABS
Servicer Services the loans ABC Co

There are several other parties involved in a securitization:

Servicer (when it is different from the originator)


Are referred
1. Independent accountant 4. Underwriters to as third
parties to the
2. Lawyers/attorneys 5. Rating agencies
securitization
3. Trustees 6. Fnancial guarantors
MODULE 17: FIXED-INCOME
SECURITIZATION
385 Student’s notes

[LOS 17.b] Describe securitization, including the parties and the


roles they play

3. Key Role of the Special Purpose Entity

The SPV is a bankruptcy-remote entity, its obligations remain secure even if the parent
company goes bankrupt.
Bankruptcy remoteness
Originator no longer has
ownership rights on loans
Bankruptcy remoteness
Sell customer Special purpose Issuing bond
Originator Investors
loans entity (SPE)

The assets of SPE are legally


separate from those of the originator
In the event of the originator’s bankruptcy

Creditors of Originator have no claim on SPE’s pool


The SPE is able to continue to
of assets
make interest and principal
payments to investors using funds
The cash flows backing the ABS issued by SPE are
generated from the assets.
secure within the SPE

The credit rating of the ABS securities may be higher than credit ratings of bonds
issued by Originator
→ Lower cost of funds when issuing ABS than traditional bonds.
Student’s notes

MODULE 18: ASSET-BACKED


SECURITY (ABS) INSTRUMENT
AND MARKET FEATURES
MODULE 18: ASSET-BACKED SECURITY (ABS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
387 Student’s notes

LEARNING OUTCOMES

18.a. Describe characteristics and risks of covered bonds and how they
differ from other asset-backed securities

18.b. Describe typical credit enhancement structures used in


securitization

18.c. Describe types and characteristics of non-mortage asset-backed


securities, including the cash flows and risks of each type

18.d. Describe collateralized debt obligations, including their cash flows


and risks
MODULE 18: ASSET-BACKED SECURITY (ABS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
388 Student’s notes

OVERVIEW: TYPES OF ABS

Assets-backed securities

Residential mortgage- Residential mortgage


backed securities (RMBS) loans
LOS 19.c LOS 19.b

Secure for
Commercial mortgage-
Commercial mortgage
backed securities (CMBS)
loans
LOS 19.d
Similar to ABS

Non-mortgage asset-backed
Non-mortgage assets
securities
(Auto loan, credit card,…)
LOS 18.c
Secure for

Diversified pool of Collateralized debt


securities obligations (CDO)
(ABS, bond, loan,…) LOS 18.d
Secure for

Institution’s assets
Covered bonds
(remaining on balance
LOS 18.a
sheet)
MODULE 18: ASSET-BACKED SECURITY (ABS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
389 Student’s notes

[LOS 18.a] Describe characteristics and risks of covered bonds and


how they differ from other asset-backed securities

Covered bonds are similar to asset-backed securities (ABS), but the underlying
assets (the cover pool), although segregated, remain on the balance sheet of the
issuing corporation (no SPE is created).

Covered bonds are issued primarily by European and Asian.

Characteristics

• Covered bonds usually consist of one bond class per cover pool

• Covered bonds offer bondholders dual recourse from both the issuing
financial institution and the underlying asset pool.

• Covered bonds do not expose investors to prepayment risk.


Cover pool sponsors must replace any prepaid or non-performing assets (assets
that do not generate the promised cash flows) in the cover pool to ensure
sufficient cash flows until the maturity of the covered bond.

• Covered bonds usually carry lower credit risks and offer lower yields than
otherwise similar ABS.
MODULE 18: ASSET-BACKED SECURITY (ABS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
390 Student’s notes

[LOS 18.a] Describe characteristics and risks of covered bonds and


how they differ from other asset-backed securities

Characteristics

Covered bonds may have different provisions in case their issuer defaults

• Hard-bullet covered bonds


If payments do not occur according to the original schedule, a bond default is
triggered and bond payments are accelerated

• Soft-bullet covered bonds


Soft-bullet covered bonds delay the bond default and payment acceleration of
bond cash flows until a new final maturity date, which is usually up to a year
after the original maturity date

• Conditional pass-through covered bonds


Conditional pass-through covered bonds convert to pass-through securities after
the original maturity date if all bond payments have not yet been made.
MODULE 18: ASSET-BACKED SECURITY (ABS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
391 Student’s notes

[LOS 18.b] Describe typical credit enhancement structures used in


securitization

Credit enhancement

1. Subordination (credit tranching)

Creating more than one bond class or tranche

Ordering the claim priorities for interest in an asset between the tranches
The most senior tranche is unaffected
unless losses exceed the amount of In the event of default
the subordinated tranches
Senior tranches The proceeds from
The tranches of highest seniority liquidating assets will
first be used to repay
Provide Subordinated tranches the most senior
credit (junior tranches) creditors
protection
to the senior Subordinated tranches Losses are allocated
classes (junior tranches) from the bottom up
MODULE 18: ASSET-BACKED SECURITY (ABS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
392 Student’s notes

[LOS 18.b] Describe typical credit enhancement structures used in


securitization

Credit enhancement

1. Subordination (credit tranching)

Example: To understand how the senior-subordinate structure works, consider


the following senior/subordinated structure:

Par Value Initial Pass Through


Bond Class ($ million) Rate (%)
A (Senior) 250 3
B (Subordinate) 60 3.5
C (Subordinate) 15 4.2

Company fails to make a payment of $75 millions:


• The first $15m of losses are absorbed by Class C.
• The remaining loss ($60m) are absorbed by Class B.
→ Class C provides credit enhancement not only to Class A (senior bond class),
but also to Class B (higher subordinate bond class).
Company fails to make an payment that exceeds $75 millions: Class A only
suffers from credit losses.
MODULE 18: ASSET-BACKED SECURITY (ABS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
393 Student’s notes

[LOS 18.b] Describe typical credit enhancement structures used in


securitization

Credit enhancement

2. Overcollateralization

Overcollateralization: The value of the pledged collateral is greater than the


par value of the debt issued.

The excess collateral can be used to absorb future losses

Example: A bond issue of $100 million with collateral value of $110 million
has excess collateral of $10 million.

One limitation of this method of credit enhancement is that the additional


collateral is also the underlying assets, so when asset defaults are high, the
value of the excess collateral declines in value.
MODULE 18: ASSET-BACKED SECURITY (ABS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
394 Student’s notes

[LOS 18.b] Describe typical credit enhancement structures used in


securitization

Credit enhancement

3. Reserve accounts (reserve funds)

A cash reserve fund An excess spread account

an allocation of any asset cash


a cash deposit used to absorb
flows remaining after paying
losses.
interest to bondholders.

The excess spread (or excess interest cash flow) can be retained and
deposited into a reserve account as a first line of protection against losses.

The excess spread can be used to retire the principal, with the most senior
tranche having the first claim on these funds – “turboing” process.
MODULE 18: ASSET-BACKED SECURITY (ABS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
395 Student’s notes

[LOS 18.c] Describe types and characteristcs of non-mortage asset-


backed securities, including the cash flows and risks of each type

Securitization process

Non-mortgage assets 1 Investor 1

Non-mortgage assets 2 Non- Investor 2


mortgage
… Pool …
ABS

Non-mortgage assets n Investor m

Numerous types of non-mortgage assets have been used as collateral in


securitization. The largest non-mortgage assets in most countries are:
• Auto loan
• Lease receivables
• Personal loans
• Commercial loans
MODULE 18: ASSET-BACKED SECURITY (ABS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
396 Student’s notes

[LOS 18.c] Describe types and characteristcs of non-mortage asset-


backed securities, including the cash flows and risks of each type
The collateral includes Amortizing The collateral includes non-
Loans amortizing Loans

The periodic cash flows include These only require a monthly


interest payments, principal minimum payment with no
repayments (in accordance with an scheduled principal payment.
amortization schedule), and (if Example: Credit card receivables (2)
allowed) prepayments.
An ABS backed by non-amortizing
Example: Residential mortgage loans
loans are not affected by
Automobile loans (1)
prepayment risk.
When the lockout period is over
The cash flows from collateral assets are
no longer reinvested but instead is
distributed to investors.
Total par value of
collateral loans Total par value of
collateral loans

Time Time
During the lockout (revolving) period
Any principal repayments from the pool of
Over time, some of the loans will receivables are used to purchase additional
be paid off receivables to maintain the size of the pool
MODULE 18: ASSET-BACKED SECURITY (ABS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
397 Student’s notes

[LOS 18.c] Describe types and characteristcs of non-mortage asset-


backed securities, including the cash flows and risks of each type

1. Auto loan ABS

• Auto loan ABS are backed by auto loans and lease receivables
• Backed by Amortizing Loans

Cash flows for auto loan-backed securities consist of regularly scheduled monthly
interest and principal payments and prepayments*.

* Prepayments result from the following:


• Sales and trade-ins requiring full payoff of the loan
• Repossession and subsequent resale of the automobile
• Proceeds from insurance claims arising from loss or destruction of the
vehicle
• Cash payments to save interest costs
• Refinancing of the loan at lower interest rates

Automobile loan ABS all have some sort of credit enhancements to make them
attractive to institutional investors
MODULE 18: ASSET-BACKED SECURITY (ABS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
398 Student’s notes

[LOS 18.c] Describe types and characteristcs of non-mortage asset-


backed securities, including the cash flows and risks of each type

2. Credit Card ABS

• Credit Card ABS are backed by credit card receivables


• Backed by non-amortizing loans → have lockout period

Extend a loan to
Issuer of
Cardholder
credit card
Repay the amount borrowed

Credit cards may be These receivables for the credit card company are
issued by banks, used as collateral for credit card receivable-
retailers, and travel backed securities
and entertainment
companies. A pool of credit card receivables

The cash flow from a pool of credit card receivables includes :


• Finance charges collected (interest charges),
• Fees (for late payments and membership),
• Principal repayment.
Interest payments are made to security holders periodically. The interest rate
may be fixed or floating (typically with no cap).
MODULE 18: ASSET-BACKED SECURITY (ABS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
399 Student’s notes

[LOS 18.c] Describe types and characteristcs of non-mortage asset-


backed securities, including the cash flows and risks of each type

3. Solar ABS

• Solar ABS are backed by loans to homeowners wishing to finance the


installation of solar energy systems to reduce their energy bills.
• The loans can be collarteralized by a lien pledged on the installed systems,
on the property itself, or both.
• When the solar energy system loans are structured as residential home
improvement loans, the solar ABS effectively securitizes a subordinated
(junior) mortgage on the property.

Benefits of Solar ABS


• Solar loans are usually made to homeowners with good credit scores,
who are saving on energy bills through installing the solar energy system.
• Solar ABS investors are typically protected through overcollateraliZation,
subordination, and excess spreads → Default risk is likely to be low.
• Solar ABS contain a pre-funding period, allowing the trust to acquire
during a certain period of time after the close of the transaction
additional qualifying transactions that meet certain eligibility criteria.
MODULE 18: ASSET-BACKED SECURITY (ABS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
400 Student’s notes

[LOS 18.d] Describe collarteralized debt obligations, including their


cash flows and risks
A collateralized debt obligation (CDO) is a security that is backed by a diversified
pool of securities that may include:
• Corporate bonds and emerging market bonds (collateralized bond obligations
- CBOs).
• ABS, RMBS, and CMBS and other CDOs (structured finance CDOs).
• Leveraged bank loans (collateralized loan obligations - CLOs).
• Credit default swaps and other structured securities (synthetic CDOs).

Collateral assets are traded include:


Collateral manager’s responsibilities
• Corporate bonds
Buy and sell debt obligations for and from
• ABS, RMBS, and CMBS
the CDO’s collateral to generate sufficient
• Leveraged bank loans
cash flows to meet the obligations to the
• Credit default swaps and other
CDO bondholders.
structured securities

CDO manager CDO senior


Sale tranche
Originator SPE CDO mezzanine
Cash payment tranche
CDO equity
Cash flows from the underlying assets include tranche
• Coupon interest payments Make interest and
• Proceeds from maturing assets principal payments
• Proceeds from sale of assets.
MODULE 18: ASSET-BACKED SECURITY (ABS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
401 Student’s notes

[LOS 18.d] Describe collarteralized debt obligations, including their


cash flows and risks
1. From the investors perspective
Each class of bonds entails a different level of risk

CDO senior Earning a potentially higher yield than


tranche that on a comparably rated corporate
bond by gaining exposure to debt
CDO mezzanine products that they may not otherwise be
SPE tranche able to purchase.

Having the potential to earn an equity-


CDO Equity type return, thereby offsetting the
tranche increased risk from investing in the
subordinated class

The key to whether a CDO is viable depends upon whether a structure can be
created that offers a competitive return for the equity tranche
MODULE 18: ASSET-BACKED SECURITY (ABS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
402 Student’s notes

[LOS 18.d] Describe collarteralized debt obligations, including their


cash flows and risks
2. From the asset manager/issuer’s perspective
The aim is to earn a rate of return on the collateral pool of assets that is higher
than the interest costs of bonds issued

The return in excess of what is paid out to the bond classes accrues to the
holders of the equity tranche and to the CDO manager.
Interest payment like a other traditional bonds

CDO mezzanine CDO senior


CDO Residual tranche tranche
SPE
manager returns
CDO Equity
tranche
Residual returns
(return from collateral > interest cost of bonds)

CDO is a leveraged transaction


Investors who invest in the equity tranche use borrowed funds (the bond classes
issued) to generate a return above the funding cost.
MODULE 18: ASSET-BACKED SECURITY (ABS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
403 Student’s notes

[LOS 18.d] Describe collarteralized debt obligations, including their


cash flows and risks
2. From the asset manager/issuer’s perspective
The aim is to earn a rate of return on the collateral pool of assets that is higher
than the interest costs of bonds issued

Restrictive covenants are placed on the manager to ensure that the credit
ratings assigned to the various tranches at issuance are maintained during the
term of the CDO.

Certain restrictions are placed on the manager (via various tests and limits) to
ensure that the senior bond classes are adequately protected and the ratings
issued to the bond classes are maintained.

Failure to meet these tests may trigger an immediate payoff to the senior bond
classes until the tests are satisfied.

3. The major difference between an ABS and a CDO

The major difference between an ABS and a CDO is that in an ABS the cash flows
from the collateral pool are used to pay off bondholders without the active
management of collateral

In a CDO, the manager buys and sells debt obligations (assets) to


• generate the cash flow required to repay bondholders
• earn a competitive return for the equity tranche.
MODULE 18: ASSET-BACKED SECURITY (ABS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
404 Student’s notes

[LOS 18.d] Describe collarteralized debt obligations, including their


cash flows and risks

4. Generic CLO structure

Three major types of CLOs

Payments to CLO investors are generated through


Cash flow CLOs
cash flows on the underlying collateral.

Market value Payments to CLO investors are generated through


CLOs trading the market value of the underlying collateral.

The collateral pool exposure is generated through


Synthetic CLOs credit derivative contracts. In this type of CLO, the
CLO trust does not take ownership of the collateral
MODULE 18: ASSET-BACKED SECURITY (ABS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
405 Student’s notes

[LOS 18.d] Describe collarteralized debt obligations, including their


cash flows and risks

4. Generic CLO structure

The Capital Structure of a Generic CLO Transaction

CLO Collateral
Senior Selected for • Diversifed portfolio of
Secured Loans CLO Collateral Pool senior secured loans
Unsecured/ • Value of collateral
Suborrdinated Debt exceeds value of CLO debt
• Generally 100-225 Issuers
Equity • Actively managed by
collateral manager

Highest claim on cash flows

AAA Tranche
CLO Capital
Structure
AA Tranche

A Tranche CLO debt

BBB Tranche

BB Tranche

Equity Tranche First loss

Lowest claim on cash flows


Student’s notes

MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED


SECURITY (MBS) INSTRUMENT AND
MARKET FEATURES
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
407 Student’s notes

LEARNING OUTCOMES

19.a. Define prepayment risk and describe time tranching structures in


securitisations and their purpose

19.b. Describe fundamental features or residential mortgage loans that


are securitised

19.c. Describe types and characteristics of residential mortgage-backed


securities, including mortgage-pass through securities and
collateralised mortgage obligations, and explain the cash flows and
risks for each type

19.d. Describe characteristics and risks of commercial mortgage-backed


securities
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
408 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.a] Define prepayment risk and describe time tranching


structures in securitisations and their purpose

1. Structure of a securitization

Structure of the securitization can also be structured with multiple classes of securities
(tranches), each with a different claim to the cash flows of the underlying assets.

Distribute Tranche 1
With this structure, a
to particular risk of the ABS
Secutities Tranche 2
… securities is redistributed
across the tranches.
Tranche n

Credit risk Prepayment risk


The risk of loss resulting from the issuer The uncertainty that the cash flows will
failing to make full and timely payments be different from the scheduled cash
of interest and/or repayments of flows in the loan agreement because of
principal. the borrowers’ ability to alter payments.

1.1. Subordination - Credit tranching 1.2. Time tranching

With each risk above, the structure of a securitization may allow the redistribution of
them to into tranches, some bear more of the risk and others bear less of the risk
→ The total risk is unchanged, simply reapportioned.
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
409 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.a] Define prepayment risk and describe time tranching


structures in securitisations and their purpose

1. Structure of a securitization

1.1. Subodination – Credit tranching


The bond classes differ as to how they will share any losses resulting from defaults of
the borrowers whose loans are in the collateral
→ Ordering the claim priorities for interest in an asset between the tranches
→ “Waterfall” structure
The most senior tranche is unaffected unless losses
exceed the amount of the subordinated tranches
In the event of default
Senior tranche
The tranches of highest seniority The proceeds from
liquidating assets will first
Provide credit be used to repay the
protection to Subordinated tranche most senior creditors
the senior (junior tranches)
classes
Subordinated tranche Losses are allocated from
(junior tranches) the bottom up

This structure redistribute the credit risk associated with the collateral

Allow investors to choose the level of credit risk that they prefer to bear.
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
410 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.a] Define prepayment risk and describe time tranching


structures in securitisations and their purpose

1. Structure of a securitization

1.1. Subodination – Credit tranching

Example 1: To understand how the senior-subordinate structure works,


consider the following senior/subordinated structure:

Bond Class Par Value ($ million)


A (Senior) 180
B (Subordinate) 14
C (Subordinate) 6

In this structure, Bond Class A is the senior bond class whereas both Bond
Class B and Bond Class C are subordinated bond classes from the perspective
of Bond Class A.
The rules for the distribution of losses are as follows.
Bond Class C → Bond Class B → Bond Class A
• If the losses on the collateral do not exceed US $6 million. no losses will
be realized by Bond Class A or Bond Class B.
• If the losses exceed US $6 million, Bond Class B must absorb the losses
up to an additional US $14 million
For example, if the total loss on the collateral is US $16 million, Bond Class C
loses its entire par value of US $6 million and Bond Class B realizes a loss of
US $10 million of its par value of US $14 million.
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
411 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.a] Define prepayment risk and describe time tranching


structures in securitisations and their purpose

1. Structure of a securitization

1.2. Time tranching

The borrowers have ability to alter payments, usually to take advantage of


interest rate movements

The creation of tranches that possess different expected maturities is referred to


as time tranching

Time tranching is the process in which a set of bond classes or tranches is created
that allow investors a choice in the type of prepayment risk that they prefer to
bear.

The first tranche receives all principal


Tranche 1 repayments from the underlying assets up to the
principal value of the tranche

Secutities The second tranche would then receive all


Tranche 2
principal repayments from the underlying assets

There may be other tranches with sequential


… claims to remaining principal repayments
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
412 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.a] Define prepayment risk and describe time tranching


structures in securitisations and their purpose

2. Prepayment risk

Contraction risk Extension risk

Contraction risk is the risk that Extension risk is the risk that
prepayments will be more rapid than prepayments will be slower than
expected expected

Homeowners will Homeowners give


When interest refinance at now- When interest up the benefits of
rates decline available lower rates rise a contractual low
interest rates interest rate

A security backed Actual A security backed Actual


by mortgages will prepayments will by mortgages will prepayments will
have a shorter be higher than have a longer be lower than
maturity forecasted maturity forecasted
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
413 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.b] Define fundamental features or residential mortgage


loans that are securitized
A residential mortgage loan is a loan secured by the collateral of some specified
real estate property that obliges the borrower to make a predetermined series of
payments to the lender.
To understanding how residential mortgage created, we consider an example:

You have only $100, but you want to buy a house for $1,000. Therefore, you
decide to lend the bank a residential mortgage loan of $900, where it’s secured
by this house.

Make a loan to buy house

Foreclose on the loan

The mortgage gives the lender the right to foreclose on the loan
Borrower fails to make her mortgage payments, the lender has the right to seize
the property and recover the amount due by selling it.
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
414 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.b] Define fundamental features or residential mortgage


loans that are securitized

1. Characteristics of residential mortgage loan

1.1. Amount of loan and collateralized asset’s price

The amount of the mortgage


loan < The property’s purchase price

The purchase price − The amount borrowed = The down payment

At initiation
Borrower’s equity = the down payment
Mortgage loan’s term

Over time
Borrower’s equity also changes

• Changes in market value of the property


• Borrower makes mortgage payment that include principal repayment.
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
415 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.b] Define fundamental features or residential mortgage


loans that are securitized

1. Characteristics of residential mortgage loan

1.2. Loan-to-value ratio

Loan-to- value (LTV) ratio is the ratio of the amount of the mortgage loan to
the purchase price.
Mortgage loan value
LTV =
Assets′ s purchase price
Implication:
Lower The LTV ratio Higher

Higher Borrower’s equity Lower

Less Likely the borrower is to default More

Protection the lender has for recovering the


More Less
amount loaned in case the borrower defaults
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
416 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.b] Define fundamental features or residential mortgage


loans that are securitized

1. Characteristics of residential mortgage loan

1.3. Two types of mortgages based on the credit quality

In the United States, market participants typically identify two types of


mortgages based on the credit quality of the borrower

Prime loans Subprime loans

Prime loans generally have Subprime loans have borrowers


borrowers of high credit quality with lower credit quality and/or
with strong employment and credit are loans without a first lien on the
histories, income sufficient to pay property
the loan obligation, and substantial
equity.
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
417 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.b] Define fundamental features or residential mortgage


loans that are securitized

2. Five primary specifications of mortgage design

2.5.
Rights of the 2.1.
Lender in a Maturity
Foreclosure

2.4. Mortgage
Prepayment design 2.2.
Options and Interest Rate
Prepayment Determination
Penalties
2.3.
Amortization
Schedule
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
418 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.b] Define fundamental features or residential mortgage


loans that are securitized

2. Five primary specifications of mortgage design

2.1. Maturity

The term of a mortgage loan refers to the number of years to maturity


• In the United States, the typical term or number of years to maturity of
a mortgage ranges from 15 to 30 years.
• For most European countries, a residential mortgage typically has a
maturity between 20 and 40 years, whereas in France and Spain, it can
be as long as 50 years.
• Japan is an extreme case, with mortgage maturities of 100 years.

2.2. Interest Rate Determination

The interest rate on a mortgage is called the mortgage rate or contract rate

a. Fixed rate c. Initial period fixed rate

b. Adjustable-rate mortgage
d. Convertible
(ARM) or variable-rate mortgage
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
419 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.b] Define fundamental features or residential mortgage


loans that are securitized

2. Five primary specifications of mortgage design

2.2. Interest Rate Determination

a. Fixed rate

The mortgage rate remains the same during the life of the mortgage.

b. Adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) or variable-rate mortgage

The mortgage rate is reset periodically (daily, weekly, monthly, or annually).

The determination of the new mortgage rate for an adjustable-rate


mortgage (ARM) at the reset date may be based on:
• Indexed-referenced ARM: some reference rate or index
• Reviewable ARM: a rate determined at the lender’s discretion

An ARM usually have a maximum interest rate by which the mortgage rate
can change at a reset date and a maximum interest rate that the mortgage
rate can reach during the mortgage’s life.
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
420 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.b] Define fundamental features or residential mortgage


loans that are securitized

2. Five primary specifications of mortgage design

2.2. Interest Rate Determination

c. Initial period fixed rate

The mortgage rate is fixed initially for a specified period and is then
adjusted to a new fixed rate or ARM

Mortgage rate is Hybrid


Mortgage adjusted to ARM mortgage
rate

Mortgage rate is adjusted to Rollover


Fixed term
a new fixed rate mortgage

Time
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
421 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.b] Define fundamental features or residential mortgage


loans that are securitized

2. Five primary specifications of mortgage design

2.2. Interest Rate Determination

d. Convertible

The mortgage rate is initially either fixed or adjustable. At some point, the
borrower having an option to convert the mortgage into a fixed rate or
adjustable rate for the remaining term of the mortgage.

Mortgage
rate

Fixed term
ARM

Fixed term

Time
Convert Convert
point point
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
422 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.b] Define fundamental features or residential mortgage


loans that are securitized

2. Five primary specifications of mortgage design

2.3. Amortization Schedule

In most countries, residential mortgages are amortizing loans

An amortizing bond is one that makes periodic interest and principal


repayments over the term of the bond.
A bond may be fully or partially amortized until maturity:

a. Fully amortized bond

b. Partially amortized bond Discussed in detail in


Module 1

c. Interest-only mortgage (bullet mortgages)


MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
423 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.b] Define fundamental features or residential mortgage


loans that are securitized

2. Five primary specifications of mortgage design

2.4. Prepayment Options and Prepayment Penalties

a. Prepayment Options

A mortgage loan may allow the borrower to prepay a portion (or the entire
amount) of the outstanding mortgage principal at any point during the term
of the mortgage.

This option is known as a prepayment option or early retirement option

The effect of a prepayment option is that the cash flow amounts and timing
from a mortgage cannot be known with certainty

Prepayment penalty mortgages was born


Detail in the next slide
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
424 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.b] Define fundamental features or residential mortgage


loans that are securitized

2. Five primary specifications of mortgage design

2.4. Prepayment Options and Prepayment Penalties

b. Prepayment Penalties

Prepayment penalty mortgages may stipulate that the borrower pay some
sort of penalty if she prepays within a certain time period following
inception or the mortgage

They compensate the lender for the difference between the contract rate
and the prevailing mortgage rate if the borrower prepays when interest rates
decline.

Prepayment penalty is effectively a mechanism that provides for yield


maintenance for the lender.
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
425 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.b] Define fundamental features or residential mortgage


loans that are securitized

2. Five primary specifications of mortgage design

2.5. Rights of the Lender in a Foreclosure

When the borrower fails to make


the contractual loan payments

However, the proceeds received


The lender can repossess the
from the sale of the property may be
property and sell it
insufficient to recoup the losses.

A mortgage can be a recourse loan or a non-recourse loan

Recourse loan Non-recourse loan


The lender has a claim against the The lender does not have such a
borrower for the shortfall claim for shortfall
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
426 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.b] Define fundamental features or residential mortgage


loans that are securitized

2. Five primary specifications of mortgage design

2.5. Rights of the Lender in a Foreclosure

The recourse/non-recourse feature of a mortgage has implications for


projecting the likelihood of defaults by borrowers

Particularly in the case of “underwater mortgages” when:


the value of the property < the amount owed by the borrower.

With a nonrecourse loan With a recourse loan


The borrower has an incentive not to
repay the loan even if she has the The borrower will be less likely to
funds available strategically default because the
lender can come after her other
income/assets to recover the shortfall
This is known as a strategic default
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
427 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.b] Define fundamental features or residential mortgage


loans that are securitized

3. Residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS)

Residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) are the bonds created from


the securitization of mortgages related to the purchase of residential
properties.

Residential mortgage loans

Securitization process

RMBS

Depending on the issuer of the securities

Agency RMBS Nonagency RMBS

Agency RMBS are issued by Nonagency MBS are issued by private


• Federal agencies entities.
• Quasi-government entities (GSEs -
government-sponsored enterprises)
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
428 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.b] Define fundamental features or residential mortgage


loans that are securitized

3. Residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS)

Agency RMBS
Issued by Federal agencies Issued by GSE
Federal agencies refer to GSEs such as Fannie Mae and
Government National Mortgage Freddie Mac.
Association (GNMA or Ginnie Mae),
a part of the US Department of
Housing and Urban Development.

The RMBS are guaranteed by the RMBS issued by GSEs do not carry
full faith and credit of the US the full faith and credit of the US
government government.

There is no credit risk for agency There is minimal credit risk for
RMBS issued by Ginnie Mae agency RMBS issued by GSEs
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
429 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.c] Describe types and characteristics of residential


mortgage-backed securities, including mortgage-pass through
securities and collateralized mortgage obligations, and explain the
cash flows and risks for each type

1. Residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS)

Securitized loans included in agency RMBS must meet specific underwriting


standards established by various government agencies
• Maximum size of the loan
• Loan documentation required
• Maximum loan-to-value ratio
• Insurance is requirement

This section starts with a discussion:


2. Mortgage pass-through securities

3. Collateralized mortgage obligations


MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
430 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.c] Describe types and characteristics of residential


mortgage-backed securities…

2. Agency RMBS – Mortgage pass-through securities

A mortgage pass-through security is created when shares or participation certificates


in a pool of mortgage loans are sold to investors.

The cash flows of a mortgage pass-through security depend on the cash flows of
the underlying pool of mortgages.
The cash flows consist of
• Monthly mortgage payments (interest) Cash payments are made to security
• The scheduled repayment of principal holders each month.
• Prepayments
Mortgage 1 Investor 1
Mortgage 2 Investor 2
Cash Cash
… flows Pool flows …
Mortgage n Investor n
The amount and timing of
Cash flows collected Cash flows paid to
from the collateral investors in the pass-
pool of mortgages through securities

The differences due to servicing and guaranteeing fees


MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
431 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.c] Describe types and characteristics of residential


mortgage-backed securities…

2. Agency RMBS – Mortgage pass-through securities

2.1. Characteristics

2.1.1. Mortgage pass-through security’s coupon rate

A mortgage pass-through security’s coupon rate is called the pass-through rate

Mortgage rate on
Servicing and
The pass- the underlying
guaranteeing
through rate pool of mortgages
fees
(2.1.2)

The pass-through rate that the investor receives is said to be “net interest” or
“net coupon”.

Servicing and guaranteeing fees is the charge related to administrative tasks:


• Collect monthly payments from borrowers
• Forward proceeds to owners of the loan
• Send payment notices to borrowers
• Remind borrowers when payments are overdue
• Maintain records of the outstanding mortgage balance
• Initiate foreclosure proceedings if necessary
• Provide tax information to borrowers when applicable
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
432 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.c] Describe types and characteristics of residential


mortgage-backed securities…

2. Agency RMBS – Mortgage pass-through securities

2.1. Characteristics

2.1.2. Mortgage rate on the underlying pool of mortgages


The mortgages in the pool typically have different mortgage rates and different
maturities.

a. The WAC is calculated by weighting the mortgage rate of each mortgage in


the pool by the percentage of the outstanding mortgage balance relative to the
outstanding amount of all the mortgages in the pool

WAC WAM = %P1 ×X1 +%P2 × X2 +…+%Pn × Xn

Where:
• %Pi is the weights of each mortgage.
• Xi represents for:
o Coupon rate for mortgage i when calculating WAC.
o Remaining number of months for mortgage i when calculating WAM.

b. The WAM is calculated by weighting the remaining number of months to


maturity of each mortgage in the pool by the outstanding mortgage balance
relative to the outstanding amount of all the mortgages in the pool
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
433 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.c] Describe types and characteristics of residential


mortgage-backed securities…

2. Agency RMBS – Mortgage pass-through securities

2.1. Characteristics

2.1.2. Mortgage rate on the underlying pool of mortgages

Example 2:
Assume that a pool includes three mortgages with the following characteristics:
Mortgage Outstanding mortgage Coupon Rate Number of Months
balance (%) to Maturity
($) (Months)
A 1,000 (10%) 5.1 34
B 3,000 (30%) 5.7 76
C 6,000 (60%) 5.3 88

The outstanding amount of three mortgages is US$10,000. Thus, the weights of


Mortgages A, B, and C are 10%, 30%, and 60 %, respectively.
WAC = 10% × 5.1% + 30% × 5.7% + 60% × 5.3% = 5.4%.
WAM = 10% × 34 + 30% × 76 + 60% × 88 = 79 months.
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
434 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.c] Describe types and characteristics of residential


mortgage-backed securities…

2. Agency RMBS – Mortgage pass-through securities

2.2. Prepayment Rate Measures

The two key prepayment rate measures are


• Monthly measure: the single monthly mortality rate (SMM)
• Corresponding annualized rate: the conditional prepayment rate (CPR)

The SMM reflects the dollar amount of prepayment for the month as a fraction of
the balance on the mortgage after accounting for the scheduled principal
repayment for the month.
Prepayment in month t
SMMt =
Beginning mortgage balance for month t − Scheduled principal payment in month t

CPR is a corresponding annualized SMM.

Example:
A CPR of 6%, for example, means that approximately 6% of the outstanding
mortgage balance at the beginning of the year is expected to be prepaid by the
end of the year.
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
435 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.c] Describe types and characteristics of residential


mortgage-backed securities…

2. Agency RMBS – Mortgage pass-through securities

2.2. Prepayment Rate Measures

In the United States


Market participants describe prepayment rates in terms of the Public Securities
Association (PSA) prepayment benchmark over the life of a mortgage pool.

• The PSA prepayment benchmark assumes that the monthly prepayment rate for a
mortgage pool increases as it ages (becomes seasoned).
• The PSA prepayment benchmark is defined in terms of a monthly series of CPRs
• The standard for the PSA model is 100 PSA
Example: The 100 PSA benchmark assumes the following:
• A CPR of 0.2% in Month 1.
• The CPR increases by 0.2% per year every month for the next 30 months until it
reaches 6 % per year.
• A CPR of 6% for the remaining term.

Slower or faster prepayment speeds are described in terms of percentages of 100 PSA.

Example: 75 PSA implies three quarters of the CPR of the 100 PSA benchmark, while
250 PSA implies 2.5 times the CPR of the 100 PSA benchmark.
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
436 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.c] Describe types and characteristics of residential


mortgage-backed securities…

2. Agency RMBS – Mortgage pass-through securities

2.3. Weighted Average Life

A standard practice in the bond market is to refer to the maturity of a bond. This
practice is not followed for MBS because principal repayments are made over the
life of the security.

Although an MBS has a legal maturity*, the legal maturity does not reveal much
about the actual principal repayments and the interest rate risk.

Market participants use weighted average life, or simply the average life as a
measure of the interest rate risk of a MBS.

We can calculate MBS’s average life based on the prepayment rate

The average life of an MBS depends on the assumed prepayment rate:


Higher prepayment rate assumed → Shorter the average life of MBS
Lower prepayment rate assumed → Longer the average life of MBS

(*) the date when the last scheduled principal repayment is due
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
437 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.c] Describe types and characteristics of residential


mortgage-backed securities…

3. Collateralized mortgage obligations

• Collateralized mortgage obligations (CMOs) are securities that are


collateralized by RMBS
• CMOs redistribute the cash flows from mortgage-related products (RMBS)
into tranches with different risk exposures to prepayment risk (similar to
time tranching)
Mortgage-related
CMO
products

Each CMO has CMO Mortgage pass-


Securities 1
multiple bond tranche 1 through securities
classes (CMO

Secure
tranches) that CMO Mortgage pass-
Securities 2
have different tranche 2 through securities
exposures to
prepayment CMO Mortgage pass-
risk. Securities 3
tranche 3 through securities

The total prepayment risk of the underlying RMBS is not changed; the
prepayment risk is simply reapportioned among the various CMO tranches.
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
438 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.c] Describe types and characteristics of residential


mortgage-backed securities…

3. Collateralized mortgage obligations

The major CMOs are reviewed in the following subsections.

3.1. Sequential-Pay CMO structures

3.2. CMO structures including planned amortization class and support


tranches

3.3. Floating-Rate CMO


MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
439 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.c] Describe types and characteristics of residential


mortgage-backed securities…

3. Collateralized mortgage obligations

3.1. Sequential-Pay CMO structures

Sequential-Pay CMO Structures where each tranche would be retired sequentially

Disbursement of principal repayments:

Distribute all principal


tranche 1 tranche 1 is paid off
payments to tranche 1
Contraction risks
Extension risks

Distribute all principal


tranche 2 tranche 2 is paid off
payments to tranche 2

Distribute all principal


tranche 3 tranche 3 is paid off
payments to tranche 3

Total prepayment risk is not changed.


MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
440 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.c] Describe types and characteristics of residential


mortgage-backed securities…

3. Collateralized mortgage obligations

3.2. Planned Amortization Class (PAC) CMO

Another CMO structure has one or more planned amortization class (PAC)
tranches and support tranches.

Reducing the prepayment risk of


PAC tranche
Contraction and

the PAC tranche


extension risks

Support tranches absorb all


Support tranche prepayment risks (both contraction
and extension risks) first

Total prepayment risk is not changed.


MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
441 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.c] Describe types and characteristics of residential


mortgage-backed securities…

3. Collateralized mortgage obligations

3.2. Planned Amortization Class (PAC) CMO

Illustration for disbursement of principal payments

When the cash flow from mortgage loans is sufficient to fulfil all required
principal repayment
Cash flow from mortgage loans in one year
$15 millions

Required principal
10
repayments this year
2
PAC tranche Support tranche

Any excess principal Contraction risk


payments in a month
over the amount 3
necessary to satisfy 10
the schedule for PAC 2
tranche are paid to PAC tranche Support tranche
support tranche Actual principal repayments this year
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
442 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.c] Describe types and characteristics of residential


mortgage-backed securities…

3. Collateralized mortgage obligations

3.2. Planned Amortization Class (PAC) CMO

Illustration for disbursement of principal payments


When the cash flow from mortgage loans is not sufficient to fulfil all required
principal repayment
Cash flow from mortgage loans in one year
$11 millions

Required principal
10
repayments this year 2
PAC tranche Support tranche

Extension risk
Principal repayments
to the support
tranche are curtailed 10 1
so the scheduled PAC
1
payments can be PAC tranche Support tranche
made
Actual principal repayments this year
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
443 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.c] Describe types and characteristics of residential


mortgage-backed securities…

3. Collateralized mortgage obligations

3.2. Planned Amortization Class (PAC) CMO

The creation of PAC tranches requires the specification of two PSA


prepayment rates: a lower PSA prepayment assumption and an upper PSA
prepayment assumption → PAC band/collar.
For example: 100 – 300 PSA

When the prepayment rate is within the PAC band, all prepayment risk is
absorbed by the support tranche.

When the prepayment rate is outside the PAC band → broken PAC
→ PAC tranche will absorb the prepayment risk.

The key to the prepayment protection that PAC tranches offer investors is
the amount of support tranches outstanding

If the support tranches are paid off quickly because of faster-than-expected


prepayments, they no longer provide any protection for the PAC tranches.
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
444 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.c] Describe types and characteristics of residential


mortgage-backed securities…

3. Collateralized mortgage obligations

3.3. Floating-Rate CMO

Although the collateral pays a fixed rate, it is possible to create a tranche with a
floating rate

Constructing a floater and an inverse floater combination from any of the fixed-
rate tranches in the CMO structure.
• The floater varies positively with interest rates They offset
• the inverse floater varies negatively with interest rates each other
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
445 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.c] Describe types and characteristics of residential


mortgage-backed securities…

4. Non-Agency RMBS

Entities that issue non-agency RMBS are typically


• Thrift institutions
• Commercial banks
• Private conduits

Securitization process for non-agency RMBS

Private conduits

Purchase Pool Issue

Non-conforming Non-agency
mortgages* Pool RMBS

Backed by underlying pool of non-conforming mortgages


(*) refer to LOS 19 c-1)
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
446 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.c] Describe types and characteristics of residential


mortgage-backed securities…

4. Non-Agency RMBS

Non-agency RMBS are not guaranteed by the government or a GSE, so credit risk
is an important consideration

Credit enhancement is necessary to make these securities attractive to investors

These credit enhancements allow investors to reduce credit risk or transfer credit
risk between bond classes → enabling investors to choose the risk–return profile
that best suits their needs.

There are two primary types of credit enhancements

Internal credit enhancement - relies on structural features regarding the


bond issue

External credit enhancement - refers to financial guarantees received from a


third party, often called a financial guarantor
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
447 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.d] Describe characteristics and risks of commercial


mortgage-backed securities

1. Commercial mortgage-backed securities

Commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) are backed by a pool of


commercial mortgages on income-producing property
Income-producing property may:
• Multifamily properties (e.g., Apartment buildings)
• Office buildings, industrial properties (including warehouses)
• Shopping centers, hotels, and health care facilities (e.g., Senior housing care
facilities).

Commercial loans 1 Investor 1


Commercial loans 2 Investor 2
Pool CMBS
… …
Commercial loans n Investor m

Difference between RMBS loan and CMBS loans


RMBS loans CMBS loans
Repayment Repaid by Repaid by real estate investors who, in turn, rely
source homeowners on tenants and customers to provide the cash
Type of debt Recourse loans Nonrecourse loans
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
448 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.d] Describe characteristics and risks of commercial


mortgage-backed securities

1. Commercial mortgage-backed securities

1.1. Credit Risk

Commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) are backed by a pool of


commercial mortgages* on income-producing property
(*) Commercial mortgages are non-recourse loans

Evaluation of credit risk for commercial mortgage loans requires examining


• The income-generating capacity
• Value of each property on a stand-alone basis

1.1.1. Loan-to-value ratio (LTV) (Refer to M19.b – 1)

1.1.2 Debt-service-coverage ratio (DSC)


MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
449 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.d] Describe characteristics and risks of commercial


mortgage-backed securities

1. Commercial mortgage-backed securities

1.1. Credit Risk

1.1.2 Debt-service-coverage ratio (DSC)

The debt-service coverage ratio (DSC) is used to evaluate the adequacy of


income generated from the property to service the loan

The property’s annual net operating income (NOI)


DSC =
The debt service
Where:
• The debt service = annual amount of interest payments and principal
repayments
• NOI = the rental income - cash operating expenses - a non-cash replacement
reserve (reflecting the depreciation of the property over time).

Evaluation:
• A ratio greater than 1 means that cash flow from the property covers debt
servicing costs adequately.
• The higher the ratio, the lower the credit risk.
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
450 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.d] Describe characteristics and risks of commercial


mortgage-backed securities

1. Commercial mortgage-backed securities

1.2. Basic CMBS Structure

The basic CMBS structure is created to meet the risk and return needs of the
CMBS investor

A credit-rating agency determines the level of credit enhancement necessary to


achieve a desired credit rating

The highest-rated
tranche 1
tranche

Priority order
Subordination is
Each CMBS is Tranches are
used to achieve tranche 2
segregated into ordered by the
the desired credit rating
tranches …
credit rating
The lowest-rated
tranche n
tranche

Losses arising from loan defaults are


charged against the outstanding
principal balance of the CMBS
tranche with the lowest priority *
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
451 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.d] Describe characteristics and risks of commercial


mortgage-backed securities

1. Commercial mortgage-backed securities

1.2. Basic CMBS Structure

Two characteristics that are usually specific to CMBS structures are the presence
of call protection and a balloon maturity provision.
1.2.1. Call Protection

Call protection is the protection against early prepayments available to investors,


it is a critical investment feature that distinguishes CMBS from RMBS

a. The loan level

• A prepayment lockout: is a contractual agreement that prohibits any


prepayments during a specified period.
• Prepayment penalty points: are predetermined penalties that a borrower
who wants to refinance must pay to do so; a point is equal to 1% of the
outstanding loan balance.
• A yield maintenance charge (make-whole Charge): are intended to
compensate the lender for interest lost due to prepayments. These charges
make lenders indifferent to the timing of prepayments
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
452 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.d] Describe characteristics and risks of commercial


mortgage-backed securities

1. Commercial mortgage-backed securities

1.2. Basic CMBS Structure

1.2.1. Call Protection

b. The structural level

Call protection at the structural level comes by structuring CMBS into


sequential-pay tranches, by credit rating.
• A lower-rated tranche cannot be paid off until the higher-rated tranche are
retired
• Principal losses resulting from defaults, however, are affected from the
bottom of the structure upward.
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
453 Student’s notes

[LOS 19.d] Describe characteristics and risks of commercial


mortgage-backed securities

1. Commercial mortgage-backed securities

1.2. Basic CMBS Structure

1.2.2. Balloon Maturity Provision

Balloon maturity provisions require a significant amount of principal to be repaid


at maturity

This exposes investors to balloon risk - the borrower fails to make the balloon payment

The borrower fails to make The lender may extend the loan over a
the balloon payment period known as the “workout period”

Original loan’s term Workout period

The lender may modify the


original terms of the loan and
charge a higher interest rate
“default interest rate”
Student’s notes

05/01/2024

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