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CFA1 FI 2024 0501 Note
CFA1 FI 2024 0501 Note
Student’s notes
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
2 Student’s notes
LEARNING OUTCOMES
3.1
Issuer
3.6
Contingency 3.2
provisions Maturity
The bond’s
features
3.3
3.5
Par value
Seniority
3.4
Coupon Rate
and Frequency
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
6 Student’s notes
3.1. Issuer
3.2. Maturity
The maturity date of a bond refers to the date when the issuer is obligated
to redeem the bond by paying the outstanding principal amount
The tenor is the time remaining until the bond’s maturity date, it is an
important consideration in analyzing a bond’s risk and return (*)
(*) It indicates the period over which the bondholder can expect to receive
interest payments and the length of time until the principal is repaid in full.
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
8 Student’s notes
3.2. Maturity
Maturities typically range from overnight to 30 years or longer
Principal of a bond is the amount that the issuer agrees to repay the
bondholders on the maturity date. This amount refer to the par value, or
simply par, face value, nominal value, redemption value, or maturity value.
Example:
A bond’s par value is $1,000. A quote of 95 means that the bond price is
$950 (95% × 1000).
The coupon rate or nominal rate of a bond is the interest rate that the issuer
agrees to pay each year until the maturity date.
3.4.1. Frequency
Coupon interest payments of bonds are flexible, some bonds make annually,
semiannual, quarterly, or monthly payments.
Example:
If a bond has a coupon rate of 6% and a par value of $1,000, the periodic
interest payments will be $60 if coupon payments are made annually, $30 if
they are made semi-annually, $15 if they are made quarterly, and $5 if they
are made monthly.
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
11 Student’s notes
3.5. Seniority
1. Callable bonds
2. Putable bonds
3. Convertible bonds
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INSTRUMENT FEATURES
14 Student’s notes
Annual cash coupon payment Annual cash coupon payment + gain/loss (∗)
Bond price Bond price
80 80 80 + 1,000
925 = + +...+ → YTM = 9.18%
(1 + YTM)1 (1 + YTM)2 (1+YTM)10
(FV = -$1,000; PMT = -$80; N = 10; PV = $925, CPT → I/Y = 9.18)
2. Current price = $925, coupon payment = $1,000 × 8%/2 = $40
40 40 40 + 1,000
925 =
(1 + YTM)
+
1 (1 + YTM)2
+...+
(1 + YTM)20 → YTM = 9.16%
2 2 2
(FV = -$1,000; PMT = -$40; N = 20; PV = $925, CPT → I/Y = 4.58
→ YTM = 4.58 × 2 = 9.16)
MODULE 1: FIXED-INCOME
INSTRUMENT FEATURES
17 Student’s notes
A yield curve for coupon bonds shows the YTMs for coupon bonds at
various maturities.
YTM (%)
3
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Time to maturity (Years)
A yield curve for coupon bonds
The trust deed is the legal contract that describes the form of the bond, the
obligations of the issuer, and the rights of the bondholders.
The indenture references both the issuer and the features of the bond issue
The bond indenture identifies the party that is obligated to make principal
and interest payments by its legal name.
The bond indenture usually specifies how the issuer plans to make debt
service payments (interest and principal).
Repayments
cash flows (1)
The Repayments
Supranational Supranational
borrowing
organizations bond holders
countries Loans
Paid-in
capital (2)
Members
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INSTRUMENT FEATURES
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Sovereign bonds are typically repaid by the tax receipts of the issuing
country.
Sovereign bonds are backed by the “full faith and credit” of the national
Government.
National governments have unique powers to ensure the ability to repay debt
Example: the authority to tax economic activity, print money,…
Government yields are often used as a “risk-free rate” for time value of
money calculations as well as a benchmark reference rate for pricing fixed-
income securities.
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INSTRUMENT FEATURES
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The source of payment for corporate bonds is the issuer’s ability to generate
cash flows, primarily through its operations.
These cash flows depend on the issuer’s financial strength and integrity
Corporate bonds typically entail a higher level of credit risk than sovereign
bonds, and therefore carry a higher yield.
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INSTRUMENT FEATURES
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Secured bonds are backed by assets Unsecured bonds are not protected
or financial guarantees pledged to by a pledge of any specific assets;
ensure debt repayment in the case bondholders have only a general
of default. claim on the issuer’s assets and
cash flows.
Unsecured bonds are paid after secured bonds in the event of default
b. Senior ranking
Seniority ranking is the systematic way in which lenders are repaid in case of
bankruptcy or liquidation
4. Bond Covenants
Bond covenants are legally enforceable rules that borrowers and lenders
agree on at the time of a new bond issue.
Do not lead to additional costs for the issuer, nor do they significantly
restrict the issuer's ability to make business decisions
Negative covenants ensure that the issuer will not take any actions that
would significantly reduce its ability to make interest payments and repay
the principal.
a. Restrictions on debt
b. Negative pledges
Negative covenants
f. Restrictions on investments
a. Restrictions on debt
Permitting new debt to be issued only when justified by the issuer’s financial
condition
Maximum acceptable
debt usage ratios
Specifying
Minimum acceptable
interest coverage ratios
b. Negative pledges
Negative pledges prevent the issuance of debt that would be senior to or
rank in priority ahead of the existing bondholders’ debt.
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INSTRUMENT FEATURES
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f. Restrictions on investments
LEARNING OUTCOMES
2.b. Describe how legal, regulatory, and tax considerations affect the
issuance and trading of fixed-income securities
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CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
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How the bond issuer repays the amount borrowed is important to investors,
as it affects the level of credit risk faced by them
Credit risk is reduced if there are any provisions that periodically retires
some of the principal amount outstanding
A bullet bond is one that only makes periodic interest payments, with the
entire principal amount paid back at maturity
Interest
Par
1 2 3 4 5 payment
t=0 Principal
No principal is paid until payment
maturity
Balloon
payment
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CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
40 Student’s notes
0 -$1,000 - - $1,000
Par
1 2 3 4 5
t=0 $60 $49.36 $38.07 $26.11 $13.44
0 -$1,000 - - $1,000
Comment: the annual payment is constant, but over time the interest
payment decreases and the principal repayment increases. Since the
principal amount is not fully amortized, interest payments are higher for the
partially amortized bond than for the fully amortized bond except for Year 1
(when they are equal).
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Par
1 2 3 4 5
t=0 $60 $51.48 $42.46 $32.89 $22.75
This repayment occurs whether or not an actual segregated cash reserve has
been created.
Example: a $10 million issue with a term of 5 years could require the issuer
to redeem bonds worth $2 million par each year. Coupon rate is 10%.
Principal
$10 mil
Annual
$8 mil coupon
$6 mil
$4 mil
$2 mil
$1 mil $0.8 mil $0.6 mil $0.4 mil $0 mil
$0.2 mil
0 1 2 3 4 5
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Example: a $15 million issue with a term of 5 years and Coupon rate is 10%.
It requires the issuer to redeem bonds
Year 1: $1 mil Year 2: $2 mil Year 3: $3 mil
Year 4: $4 mil Year 5: $5 mil
Principal
$15 mil
Annual
$14 mil coupon
$12 mil
$9 mil
$5 mil
$1.5 mil
$1.4 mil $1.2 mil $0.9 mil $0.5 mil $0 mil
0 1 2 3 4 5
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Benefits Drawbacks
This structure redistribute the credit risk associated with the collateral
Allow investors to choose the level of credit risk that they prefer to bear.
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A coupon is the interest payment that the bond issuer makes to the
bondholder
Floating-rate notes (FRN) do not have a fixed coupon; instead, their coupon
rate is linked to an external reference rate (Euribor, Libor,…).
• The spread is typically fixed and expressed in basis points (bps). 1 bps =
0.01%
• The spread on an FRN is determined at issuance and is based on the
issuer's credit rating at issuance. The higher the issuer's
creditworthiness, the lower the spread.
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When market interest rates (discount rate) increases, coupon payment also
increases → the bond’s value would not decline
A cap prevents the periodic coupon rate on the FRN from rising above a
prespecified maximum rate, so it benefits the issuer
Floating
Interest Cap
rate
(%)
Floor
0 Time
A floor prevents the periodic coupon rate on the FRN from falling below a
prespecified minimum rate, so it benefits investors.
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Inverse FRNs are favored by investors who expect interest rates to decline
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• A step-up coupon bond (which can be fixed or floating) is one where the
periodic coupon rate increases by specified margins at specified dates.
• Step-up coupon bonds have a call feature that allows the firm to redeem
the bond issue at a set price at each step-up date.
Coupon rate
(%)
4%
3.5%
3%
2.5%
• Like floating rate notes, bonds with step-up coupons offer bondholders
some protection against rising interest rates.
MODULE 2: FIXED-INCOME
CASH FLOWS AND TYPES
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A credit-linked coupon bond has a coupon that changes when the bond’s
credit rating changes
Eventual
default
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A deferred coupon bond (a split coupon bond) pays no coupons for its first
few years but then pays a higher coupon than it otherwise normally would
for the remainder of its life.
Cash flows
High dividends to
No compensate for no dividend
dividend in the first 2 years
0
1 2 3 … Maturity date
Issuers are usually seeking ways to conserve cash in the years immediately
following the bond issue. → A deferred coupon bond allows them to delay
interest payments until the project is completed
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Redeem at par
Note: in certain jurisdictions, the deferred coupon structure may help
investors manage their tax liability by delaying taxes due on interest income
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Example:
US Treasury introduced Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) linked
to the US Consumer Price Index (CPI). An inflation-linked bond is the 1% US
TIPS. The coupon rate remains fixed at 1%, but the principal is adjusted every
six months for changes in the CPI.
While traditional bonds fix both coupon and principal, inflation-linked
bonds fix coupon rate (at 1%) and adjust the principal to compensate the
change in inflation
Traditional
bonds Coupon = $1
Coupon 1% Principal Principal
$100 $100
…
Inflation rate = 10% Year
Year 0 After one year
Inflation-
linked bonds Principal Principal Coupon = $1.1
Coupon 1% $100 $110 Higher coupon payment
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A callable bond gives the issuer the right to redeem all or part of the bond
before the specified maturity date.
Under issuer’s perspective
Market interest rates falling The issuer’s credit quality improving
The issuer would call the outstanding issue and replace this old (expensive
to pay interest on) issue with a new issue that carries a lower interest rate.
Non-callable
bonds
Value of call
Right to redeem option
bond at a specified = Value of
Callable bonds price noncallable bond
- Value of callable
bond
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If the bonds are called, bondholders must reinvest funds in a lower interest
rate environment.
Callable bonds have to offer a higher yield and sell at a lower price
Call price: the price paid to bondholders when the bond is called
Call premium: the excess over par paid by the issuer to call the bond
Call schedule: specifies the dates and prices at which the bond may be called
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With a make-whole bond, the call price is not fixed but includes a lump-sum
payment:
Lump-sum payment = PV of (the future payments the bondholder will not
receive if the bond is called early)
• The calculated call price is unlikely to be lower than the market value of
the bond
• Issuer is unlikely to call the bond except when corporate circumstances,
require it
The make-whole provision actually restricts the the probability that the bond
would be called
The net effect is that the bond can be called if necessary, but it can
also be issued at a lower yield than a bond with a traditional call provision.
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Example:
A hypothetical $1,000 par 20-year bond is issued on January 21, 2013 at a
price of 98.515. The issuer can call the bond in whole or in part every January
21, from 2019. Call prices at different call dates are listed below:
Year Call Price (%) Year Call Price (%)
Required:
1. What is the length of the call protection period?
2. What is the call premium (per bond) for the 2022 call date?
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Answer:
1. The bonds were issued in 2013 and are first callable in 2019. Therefore,
the call protection period is 2019 - 2013 = 6 years.
2. Call prices are stated as a percentage of par, so the call price in 2022 is
$1,010.95 (= 101.095% x 1,000). The call premium is the amount paid
above par by the issuer. Therefore, the call premium in 2022 is $10.95
(= 1,010.95 - 1,000).
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A put provision gives the bondholders the right to sell the bond back to the
issuer at a pre-determined price on specified dates
Investor can put the bond back to the issuer and reinvest the proceeds in
bonds that offer higher yields, in line with higher market interest rates.
Non-
putable Value of put option
bonds = Value of putable
bond - Value of
nonputable bond
Putable
bonds
Right to sell the Maturity
bond back
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A convertible bond gives the bondholder the right to convert the bond into a
prespecified number of common shares of the issuer.
• A convertible bond is a hybrid security with both debt and equity features
• Additionally, a convertible bond can be viewed as the combination of a
straight bond (option-free bond) plus an embedded equity call option.
• It gives the bondholder the ability to convert into equity in case of share
price appreciation, and thus participate in the equity upside;
If the share price The convertible bond offers the regular coupon
does not appreciate payments and principal repayment at maturity
Convertible bonds offer a lower yield and sell at higher prices than similar
bonds without the conversion option.
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a. The conversion price is the price per share at which the convertible bond
can be converted into shares.
b. The conversion ratio is the number of common shares that each bond can
be converted into.
Par value
Conversion ratio =
Conversion price
c. The conversion value, sometimes called the parity value, is the current
share price multiplied by the conversion ratio.
Example: Assume that the bond price is $1,000 and the conversion ratio is
40 shares per bond.
a. Warrants
A warrant offers the holder the right to purchase the issuer's stock at a fixed
exercise price until the expiration date.
An important consideration for investors is where the bonds are issued and
traded because it affects the laws and regulations that apply
Domestic
Foreign bonds Eurobonds
bonds
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1.1. National bond market includes all the bonds that are issued and traded in a
particular country and denominated in that country's local currency.
1.2. Eurobond market is the market where Eurobonds are issued and traded.
• Eurobonds refer to bonds that are denominated in a currency other than the
local currency where they are issued.
Legal and Under the jurisdiction of the Not under the jurisdiction
regulatory country they are issued. of any single country
Registered bonds
Ownership record
(the trustee keeps a record of bond ownership)*
*In the past, Eurobonds typically were bearer bonds (the trustee keeps no records
of bond ownership)
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Example:
• Domestic bonds: bonds issued by Google Inc. (U.S. firm) in U.S. dollars and
traded in the U.S. bond market.
• Foreign bonds: bonds issued by Toyota Motor Company (Japanese firm) in
U.S. dollars and traded in the U.S.bond market.
• Eurobond: bonds issued by a Chinese firm in U.S.dollars and traded in
markets outside the U.S.
1.3. Global bonds are bonds that are issued simultaneously in the Eurobond
market and in at least one domestic bond market.
Ensuring sufficient demand for large bond issues and access to all fixed-
income investors regardless of location
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2. Tax consideration
2. Tax consideration
For Investor
• Bond interest receipt (coupon receipt) is taxed at the ordinary income tax
rate, which is the same rate as wage and salary income.
• However, the interest income from national bonds (tax-exempt
securities) issued by municipal governments in the United States is most
often exempt from national income tax and often from any state income
tax in the state of issue.
For Issuer
2. Tax consideration
A bond investment will generate a capital gain or loss if sold prior to maturity
at a price different from the purchase price
If the bond price has increased If the bond price has decreased
• Capital gains recognized over a year after the original bond purchase may
be classified as long-term capital gains and taxed at an even lower rate.
• Capital gains recognized within a year of bond purchase may be classified
as short-term capital gains and taxed at the ordinary income tax rate.
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2. Tax consideration
Bonds issued at a discount (including pure discount bonds) are termed the
original issue discount (OID) bonds.
→ the tax status of the original issue discount is an additional tax
consideration.
→ A prorated portion of the discount increases the investor’s taxable income
(coupon payments) each year until maturity.
2. Tax consideration
MODULE 3: FIXED-INCOME
ISSUANCE AND TRADING
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ISSUANCE AND TRADING
91 Student’s notes
LEARNING OUTCOMES
3.a. Describe fixed-income market segments and their issuer and investor
participants
d. Currency a. Issuers
Classification of global
e. Geography b. Maturity
fixed-income markets
ESG
c. Credit quality
Characteristics
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ISSUANCE AND TRADING
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Years to maturity
Secured corporate
High yield bonds (new issuers)
Leveraged loans
Credit quality
(*) Refer to Module 4
(**) Refer to Module 17 – 19
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94 Student’s notes
c. Credit quality
Credit rating
Baa BBB
Ba BB
B B
Non-investment
grade Caa CCC
(high yield or junk)
Ca CC
C C, D
MODULE 3: FIXED-INCOME
ISSUANCE AND TRADING
95 Student’s notes
c. Credit quality
Investment grade
• More stable cash flows
Risk and Return
Non-investment grade
• Less stable cash flows
• Higher probability of default
d. Currency denomination
e. Geography
Bonds may be classified on the basis of where they are issued and traded.
Types Domestic bond Foreign bond Eurobond
Currency
Domestic Foreign Any
denominated
Market issued and
Domestic Foreign International
traded
Issuer incorporated Domestic Domestic Any
Legal and Under the jurisdiction of the Not under the jurisdiction
regulatory country they are issued. of any single country
Years to maturity
Financial intermediaries
“Default
risk free”
Money market funds Central banks Pension funds
Asset managers
Hedge funds
High yield
Distressed debt
funds
Credit quality
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ISSUANCE AND TRADING
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Despite of the complexity of bond indexes, a bond fund aims to match the returns
of a specific index will hold a representative sample of constituent securities.
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ISSUANCE AND TRADING
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Currencies: 28 eligible currencies across the Americas, EMEA, and Asia Pacific
Fixed rate, zero coupon, and step-up coupon (if step-up dates are
Coupon:
predetermined)
Fixed rate, zero coupon, and step-up coupon (if step-up dates are
Coupon:
predetermined)
Amount
EUR300 million minimum par amount outstanding
outstanding:
At least one year to final maturity, with fixed-to-floating perpetual
Maturity: bonds excluded one year prior to conversion. Fixed-rate perpetual
bonds are excluded.
Sell Trade
bonds bonds
Issuers Investors Investors
Auction
Private placement
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• Public offering
• Private placement
Reopening of an
existing bond:
increase the size of
an existing bond
with a price
significantly
different from par
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1. Public offerings
The investment bank guarantees the sale of the bond issue at an offering
price that is negotiated with the issuer.
→ The investment bank, called the underwriter, takes the risk associated
with selling the bonds.
Sell Resell
Issuers bonds Investment bank bonds Investors
2 types
Small issues Large issues
Lead underwriter
Single investment bank Syndicate of investment bank
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1. Public offerings
b. Best-efforts offering
This offering is more common for bonds of lower credit quality, the financial
intermediary does not guarantee the sale and may serve only as a broker.
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1. Public offerings
c. Shelf registration
1. Public offerings
c. Auction
2. Private placement
Trading platforms
Dealers post quotes comprising bid (purchase) prices and ask or offer
(selling) prices for various bond issues.
Distressed debt is a name given to the bonds of issuers that are in, or
expected to file for, bankruptcy.
Trading platform: Secondary market at a price well below par.
Investors: Hedge funds and other opportunistic investors seeking more
equity-like returns.
Features:
• Distressed debt is traded until either the corporate issuer has liquidated
its assets or its outstanding bonds have been restructured.
• By the time an issuer’s debt has become distressed, its equity securities
will likely have already been delisted.
Student’s notes
MODULE 4: FIXED-INCOME
MARKETS FOR CORPORATE
ISSUERS
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MARKETS FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
115 Student’s notes
LEARNING OUTCOMES
1.2. External
1.1. External Interbank
security-based Deposits
loan financing markets
financing
Bank lines of
Commercial paper
credit Repurchase
(issued by both Non-financial
agreements
corporations and Financial
Secured loans (repos)
institutions)
and factoring
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MARKETS FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
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Pays interest
Company Bank
Lends money up to a limit
Reliability
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MARKETS FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
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Committed or
Types Definition Period
not?
Uncommitted
Unsecured or
Types Cost Risk
secured?
Can be unsecured
Uncommitted
if borrower
Do not require any compensation other Banks may refuse
maintains stable
than interest to lend
cash balances
with bank
• Require compensation, usually in the Renewal risk at
form of a commitment fee to the maturity – bank
Committed
(Regular)
Secured loans are loans in which the lender requires the company to
provide collateral in the form of an asset.
Lend money
Company Bank
Provide collateral
(*) A lien is a claim or legal right against assets that are typically used as
collateral to satisfy a debt.
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MARKETS FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
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(3) Money
(2) The company sells (4) The customer pays
the debt to the factor the factor after 30 days
Factor
Begin the Company obtain the funds to pay off maturing paper End the
project by issuing more commercial paper project
…
1st issue 2nd issue 3rd issue 4th issue
Rollover risk: the risk
Success Success Success Fail that issuer will be unable
to issue new at maturity.
The purpose of the backup lines of credit is to ensure that the issuer will
have access to sufficient liquidity to repay maturing commercial paper if a
rollover is not possible.
Cash Deposits
a. Deposits
Example: Certificate of
deposit (CD).
(see more in next slide)
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MARKETS FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
128 Student’s notes
a. Deposits
Fund
b. Interbank market
Borrowing at
Central bank Central bank
funds rate
funds market
Funds are loaned minimum
reserve
by excess reserves
requirement
from other banks Bank A Bank B Bank C
Reserves of banks at Central Bank
c. Commercial paper
Unsecured notes
(Refer to Commercial paper in • Secured form of commercial
External security-based financing paper.
for Short-term funding for non- • A liquid, short-term note.
financial corporations) • Is recorded off-balance-sheet.
Step 2
Backup credit ABCP Investor The SPE issues ABCP
liquidity line to investors with a
Bank SPE Investor backup credit liquidity
line provided by the
Investor bank
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MARKETS FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
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Master
The details of the contractual terms of the repo between
repurchase
the counterparties.
agreement
• During the period, the loan value increases at the repo rate
and the market value of collateral fall → Variation margin is
the amount ensure maintaining security interest equal to
origin initial margin terms.
Variation • Variation margin = (Initial margin × Loan amountt ) –
margin Security pricet
o Variation margin > 0: Borrower is asked to post additional
collateral.
o Variation margin < 0 (Overcollateralized): Borrower can
request a release of collateral.
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MARKETS FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
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t=0 t = 90
Bond
Cash (Collateral)
Party B Party A Party B Party A
(Lender) (Borrower) (Lender) (Borrower)
Bond Cash
(Collateral) + Interest
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MARKETS FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
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Repurchase price …
t=0 t = 90
Bond
Cash (Collateral)
Party B Party A Party B Party A
(Lender) (Borrower) (Lender) (Borrower)
Bond Cash
(Collateral) + Interest
t=0 t = 90
Bond
Cash (Collateral)
Party B Party A Party B Party A
(Lender) (Borrower) (Lender) (Borrower)
Bond Cash
(Collateral) + Interest
t=0 t = 90
Bond
Cash (Collateral)
Party B Party A Party B Party A
(Lender) (Borrower) (Lender) (Borrower)
Bond Cash
(Collateral) + Interest
t=0 t = 30 t = 90
4. Assuming that after 30 days the market value of bond has fallen to
$990,000. Determine variation margin.
Step 1: Determine Loan amount after 30 days
t
Loan amountt = 30 = Loan amount0 × 1 + repo rate ×
360
30
= 970,874 × 1 + 2% × = $972,492
360
Step 2: Determine Variation margin
Variation margin = (Initial margin × Loan amountt ) – Security pricet
= (103% × 972,492) – 990,000 = $11,667
Implication: After 30 days, the loan amount rises to $972,492 leading to the
increase of the current margin. Since the market value of the bond
($990,000) is less than this amount, the borrower must provide an additional
$11,667 of securities as collateral.
MODULE 4: FIXED-INCOME
MARKETS FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
141 Student’s notes
4. Repo risks
Yield-to-maturity (%)
High-yield issuer
Investment-grade
3.2% issuer
2.3%
Maturity
3y 5y 7y
Under normal market conditions, bond yields are higher for longer-dated
maturities, reflecting higher risk-free rates and credit spreads over longer
time frames.
In this environment, both investment-grade and high-yield corporate issuers
must offer higher yields on longer-maturity bond issues.
MODULE 4: FIXED-INCOME
MARKETS FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
145 Student’s notes
AAA
Bond-like cash flows Use financial ratios
AA • Lower YTM proportion and credit ratings to
Investment
due to credit spreads determine if/when IG
grade
A • Fewer issuer restrictions issuer’s likelihood of
• Unlikely to default default will change
BBB
BB
Equity-like cash flows
Consider likelihood of
B • Higher YTM proportion
Non-investment default and potential
due to credit spreads
grade loss given default
CCC • Issuer restrictions
(high yield or given covenants,
and/or bonds secured
junk) CC restrictions and/or
by assets
security
• More likely to default
C, D
Student’s notes
MODULE 5: FIXED-INCOME
MARKETS FOR GOVERNMENT
ISSUERS
MODULE 5: FIXED-INCOME MARKETS
FOR GOVERNMENT ISSUERS
147 Student’s notes
LEARNING OUTCOMES
Non- Quasi-
Supranational
Sovereign debt sovereign government
debt
debt debt
MODULE 5: FIXED-INCOME MARKETS
FOR GOVERNMENT ISSUERS
149 Student’s notes
1. Issued by
Issued by
2. Purpose
Purpose
3. Sources of repayment
Sources of repayment
• Taxes
Non-sovereign debt • Sovereign government backing
• User fees
• Taxes
Quasi-government
• Sovereign government backing
debt
• User fees or Cash flows from project operation
4. Characteristics
a. Sovereign debt
4. Characteristics
a. Sovereign debt
• Domestic currency
Currency
Reserve currency* • Foreign currency
denomination
(see more in next slide)
4. Characteristics
a. Sovereign debt
4. Characteristics
a. Sovereign debt
A government’s debt management policy sets out the amount and type of
securities the government intends to issue:
4. Characteristics
a. Sovereign debt
4. Characteristics
a. Sovereign debt
Different maturity sectors for sovereign debt have some benefits and
drawbacks for market participants:
Benefits Drawbacks
• Establishment of a risk-free
benchmark for all debt of
specific maturities
• Use in managing and
Medium-
hedging market interest
and long- • Lower of flexibility
rate risk
term • Less liquid
• Preferred use as collateral in
securities
repo and derivative
transactions
• Use in monetary policy and
foreign exchange reserves
MODULE 5: FIXED-INCOME MARKETS
FOR GOVERNMENT ISSUERS
158 Student’s notes
4. Characteristics
b. Non-sovereign debt
• Non-sovereign bonds are of high credit quality, but they still trade at
higher yields than sovereign bonds.
• The lower the credit quality and the liquidity of a non-sovereign bond
relative to a sovereign bond, the greater the additional yield.
MODULE 5: FIXED-INCOME MARKETS
FOR GOVERNMENT ISSUERS
159 Student’s notes
4. Characteristics
c. Quasi-government debt
When they are backed by the sovereign entity, agency bonds typically have
yields and credit ratings closely aligned with those of the government.
MODULE 5: FIXED-INCOME MARKETS
FOR GOVERNMENT ISSUERS
160 Student’s notes
4. Characteristics
d. Supranational debt
Auction process
Auction announcement by
the government debt 1
management office
Dealers, institutional
2 investors, and individuals
make bids.
Bids can be competitive or
non-competitive, leading
3
to different results
(see more in next slide)
Securities are delivered to:
• 1st: non-competitive
4
• 2nd: winning competitive
bidders
MODULE 5: FIXED-INCOME MARKETS
FOR GOVERNMENT ISSUERS
162 Student’s notes
$100 $100
The issuer ranks bids by prices, choosing bids from highest to lowest until the desired
issuance amount is reached.
Cut off price is the minimum price for acceptance of bids as determined in an auction
→ All bids received below the cut off price is rejected.
Illustration:
In this auction, the cut-off price was Bidder Bid price ($)
determined at $110.
Ranking
A 120
→ Bids offered by A, B, C was accepted
because the bid price is higher than the B 115
cut-off price and bid offered by D was C 110
rejected.
D 100
All the winning bidders pay the same Each successful bidder pay at the bid
price and receive the same coupon rate price and yield they had offered for the
for the bonds. same bond issue.
• Lower cost of funds. • Higher cost of funds.
• Broader distribution among investors. • Narrower distribution of large bids.
A A 120
B 110 B 115
C C 110
MODULE 5: FIXED-INCOME MARKETS
FOR GOVERNMENT ISSUERS
164 Student’s notes
Participants in issuance
Sovereign Investors
issuers
Primary dealers
Purpose:
• Make competitive bids in auctions.
• Submit bids in auctions on behalf
of third parties.
• Act as counterparty to the central
bank when it buys and sells
securities to carry out monetary
policy.
MODULE 5: FIXED-INCOME MARKETS
FOR GOVERNMENT ISSUERS
165 Student’s notes
Now
Liquidity
… Issued Issued Issued Issued
bonds bonds bonds bonds
Off-the-run On-the-run
securities securities
Previously Most recently
issued bonds issued bonds
MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME
BOND VALUATION: PRICES AND
YIELDS
MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
167 Student’s notes
LEARNING OUTCOMES
OVERVIEW
Yield curve
Module 9
Yield measures
Module 7 + 8
Yield spreads
Module 7 + 8
Module 6
The market discount rate (also known as the required yield or the
required rate of return) represents the rate of return required by
investors to compensate them for the perceived riskiness of the bond.
MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
170 Student’s notes
As explained in Module - FSA topic: the market rate can be the same as or
different from the coupon rate
Market rate > coupon Market rate = coupon Market rate < coupon
rate rate rate
0 1 2 3 4
Conclusions:
• The higher the discount rate, the lower the present value of each
individual cash flow, and the lower the value of the fixed-income
security.
• The lower the discount rate, the higher the present value of each
individual cash flow, and the higher the value of the fixed-income
security.
MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
174 Student’s notes
2. Yield to maturity
The yield-to-maturity (YTM) is the (uniform) interest rate that equates the
sum of the present values of the bond’s expected future cash flows (when
discount at that rate) to its current price.
PMT PMT PMT + Par
Current price of bond = + +...+
(1+YTM)1 (1+YTM)2 (1+YTM)n
2. Yield to maturity
80 80 80 + 1,000
925 = + +...+ → YTM = 9.18%
(1 + YTM)1 (1 + YTM)2 (1+YTM)10
(FV = -$1,000; PMT = -$80; N = 10; PV = $925, CPT → I/Y = 9.18)
2. Current price = $925, coupon payment = $1,000 × 8%/2 = $40
40 40 40 + 1,000
925 = + +...+ → YTM = 9.16%
(1 + YTM)1 (1 + YTM)2 (1 + YTM)20
2 2 2
(FV = -$1,000; PMT = -$40; N = 20; PV = $925, CPT → I/Y = 4.58
→ YTM = 4.58 × 2 = 9.16)
MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
177 Student’s notes
In the LOS 6.a: it is assumed that the bond is priced on a coupon payment date.
→ If a coupon bond is sold between coupon payment dates, we must account for
the accrued interest (AI) that the seller has earned, but not yet received.
→ We need to consider 2 types of bond price at that settlement date: Full and
Flat price
• Full price/Dirty price is the value of the bond at the settlement date, or the
total amount that the buyer pays the seller, including accrued interest (AI)
• Flat price/Clean price is usually quoted by bond dealers
• Accrued interest (AI)/Interest earned by seller is the seller’s proportional
share of the next coupon payment.
T days
Example 4: Calculate the flat price, accrued interest and the full price
A 5% U.S. corporate bond is priced for settlement on July 20, 2015. The
bond makes semiannual coupon payments on April 21 and October 21 of
each year and matures on October 21, 2021. The bond uses the 30/360
day-count convention for accrued interest.
Required: Calculate the full price, the accrued interest, and the flat price
per USD 100 of par value for annual yields-to-maturity of 4.7%.
Answer:
T = 180 days
21/4/15 20/7/15 21/10/15 … 21/10/21
1 2
PV = $101.6636 Flat price = $101.60
Full price = $102.84
1
Coupon payment each period = 5%/2 × $100 = $2.5
• The bond price at the last coupon day (21/4/15): PV = $101.66
(N = 13; PMT = -$2.50; FV = -$100; I/Y = 2.35%; CPT→ PV = $101.66)
MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
179 Student’s notes
Example 4: Calculate the flat price, accrued interest and the full price
1 2
PV = $101.6636 Flat price = $101.60
Full price = $102.84
2
• Given the 30/360 day-count convention:
o There are 89 days between the last coupon on 21/4/15 and the
Discount rate falls by 100 bps Discount rate rises by 100 bps
( 10% → 9%) ( 10% → 11%)
For the same coupon rate and term to maturity, the percentage change in
price is greater in absolute value when the discount rate decreases than
when it increases
→ the relationship between bond prices and the market discount rate is
not linear; instead, it is curved on a graph
→ “convex curve” or “price-yield profile” of a bond
MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
182 Student’s notes
Bond price
Premium
$1,032.4 Discount
+3.24%
$1,000
-3.10%
$968.98
1% 1%
Consider the bond’s price calculated in the Example 1, assume that the
coupon rate has raised up to 15% (case C) and falled down to 5% (case A)
Discount rates go Discount rates go
down up
For the same term to maturity, a lower coupon bond is more sensitive to
changes in the market discount rate than a higher coupon bond
MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
184 Student’s notes
Consider the bond’s price calculated in the Example 1, assume that the
maturity has raised up to 6 years (case C) and falled down to 2 years (case A)
Discount rates go Discount rates go
down up
As time passes, bond prices change even if the market discount rate
remains the same.
→ the price of a bond approaches par value as its time-to-maturity
approaches zero – “pull to par” effect
→ illustrated by the constant-yield price trajectory
Bond price
Maturity Time
date
The constant-yield price trajectory
MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
187 Student’s notes
Linear interpolation
method to estimate (*)
YTM
y3
y=?
y2
y1
x1 x2 x3 Maturity
x
Given a table of data points (xi , yi ) for which yi is the YTM for a xi maturity
bond.
(y y )
→ y = y2 + (x - x2 ) × 3 2
(x
3 x2)
MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
189 Student’s notes
YTM: 5 year – YTM = 5.1% (1) Take the average YTM of the 5-year bonds:
5 year – YTM = 5.3% 5.1 + 5.3
2 year – YTM = 4.3% = 5.2%.
2
Comparable bonds YTM
5.2 (2) 3-year YTM
Linear (3 −2)
4.6 = 4.3% +
(5 −2)
× (5.2% - 4.3%)
interpolation 4.3
= 4.6%
method Maturity
2 3 5
Subject bond
(3) Price the nontraded bond
YTM: 3 year – YTM = ? N = 3, PMT = 40, FV = 1,000, I/Y = 4.6, CPT
→ PV = -983.54
MODULE 6: FIXED-INCOME BOND
VALUATION: PRICES AND YIELDS
190 Student’s notes
(1) Required yield spread equal to the difference between the YTM on the
new bond and the benchmark bond.
(2) The benchmark rate is typically a government bond with a similar
term to maturity.
5-year spread = 1.16% (1) Calculate the spreads over the benchmark
7-year spread = 1.40% yields.
Given yield spreads • 5-year spread = 2.64 – 1.48 = 1.16%.
• 7-year spread = 3.55 – 2.15 = 1.40%.
Spread
1.40
Linear 1.28
interpolation 1.16
method Maturity
5 6 7
(2) 6-year spread
(6 − 5)
= 1.16% + × (1.4% - 1.16%) = 1.28%
(7 − 5)
LEARNING OUTCOMES
7.b. Compare, calculate, and interpret yield and yield spread measures for
fixed-rate bonds
MODULE 7: YIELD AND YIELD SPREAD
MEASURES FOR FIXED-RATE BONDS 194 Student’s notes
The effective annual rate (or effective annual yield) (EAR) on a fixed-rate
bond depends on the assumed number of periods in the year, which is
known as the periodicity of the stated annual rate or stated annual yield
(annual percentage rate – APR):
APR
EAR = (1 + n )n - 1
where n is the frequency of coupon payment
To convert an annual percentage rate (APR) for m periods per year, APRm,
to an annual percentage rate for n periods per year, APRn, we can use the
following formula:
APRm APRn n APRm
(1 + m )m = (1 + n )n → APRn = [ (1+ m )m - 1] × n
(*) Semiannual bond basis yield is an annual rate (APR) or stated annual
yield having a periodicity of two
MODULE 7: YIELD AND YIELD SPREAD
MEASURES FOR FIXED-RATE BONDS 196 Student’s notes
With the similar EAR ( 6.58%), the annual percentage rate of 6.47% based on
semiannual compounding compares to an annual percentage rate of 6.58%
compounded annually and an annual percentage rate of 6.42%
compounded quarterly
Annual cash coupon payment Annual cash coupon payment + gain/loss (∗)
Bond price Bond price
• For callable bonds, the yield realized by the investor will depend on
whether and when (and at what call price) the bond is called. Investors
compute the yield-to-call for each call date (based on the call price and
the number of periods until the call date).
• The yield-to-worst is the worst or lowest yield among the yield-to-
maturity and the various yields to call for the bond.
Example 4: Calculate the Yield-to-call and Yield-to-worst
Consider a 10-year, semiannual-pay 6% bond trading at 102 on January 1, 2014 (Par =
$1,000).
The bond is callable according to the following schedule:
• Callable at 102 on or after January 1, 2019 (first call date).
• Callable at 100 on or after January 1, 2022 (second call date – first par call date).
1/1/2014 1/1/2019 1/1/2022 1/1/2024 (maturity)
Answer:
1/1/2014 1/1/2019 1/1/2022 1/1/2024 (maturity)
PV = $1,020 $1,020 $1,000 $1,000 Call price
YTC = 5.882%
YTW = 5.686%
YTM = 5.734%
Answer:
3. The yield-to-first par call (second call date) is calculated as the YTM
using the number of periods until the first par call date (1/1/2022) for N
and the call price (1,000) for FV:
N = 16; PMT = 30; FV = 1,000; PV = -1,020; CPT→ I/Y = 2. 843%
→ yield-to-first par call = 2 × 2.843% = 5.686%
→ The lowest yield, 5.686%, is realized if the bond is called at par on
January 1, 2022, so the yield-to-worst is 5.686%.
MODULE 7: YIELD AND YIELD SPREAD
MEASURES FOR FIXED-RATE BONDS 202 Student’s notes
Option-adjusted yield
Affected by
microeconomic factors
Taxation
Credit risk
Affect
Expected real
rate
Risk-free rate
Benchmark
of return
Expected
inflation rate
Affected by
macroeconomic factors
Yield spreads are useful for analyzing the factors that affect a bond’s yield.
Both macroeconomic and microeconomic factors can cause the increase
in corporate bond yields:
• If a bond’s yield increases but its yield spread remains the same → the
yield on its benchmark must have also increased → macroeconomic
factors caused bond yields in general to increase.
• If the yield spread increases → the increase in the bond’s yield was
caused by microeconomic factors such as credit risk or the issue’s
liquidity.
MODULE 7: YIELD AND YIELD SPREAD
MEASURES FOR FIXED-RATE BONDS 205 Student’s notes
G-spread and I-spread each use the same discount rate for each cash flow
→ only correct if the spot yield curve is flat so that yields are
approximately the same across maturities.
Zero-Volatility Spread
LEARNING OUTCOMES
8.b. Calculate and interpret yield measures for money market instruments
MODULE 8: YIELD AND YIELD SPREAD MEASURES
FOR FLOATING-RATE INSTRUMENTS 209 Student’s notes
Interest payments on a floating-rate note (FRN) are not fixed: the coupon
interest rates are reset periodically based on a reference rate
→ the values of FRN are more stable than the fixed-rate debt of similar
maturity → less market price risk when interest rates fluctuate
Required margin/Discount
Quoted margin
margin
Refer to the spread offered to Refers to the spread above the
investors on top of the reference reference rate such that the FRN
rate to calculate the effective is priced on a rate reset date:
coupon rate: Discount rate = reference rate +
Coupon rate = reference rate + discount margin (DM)
quote margin (QM)
MODULE 8: YIELD AND YIELD SPREAD MEASURES
FOR FLOATING-RATE INSTRUMENTS 210 Student’s notes
• If the credit quality decreases: the quoted margin < the required margin
→ the FRN will sell at a discount to its par value.
• If credit quality has improved: the quoted margin > the required margin
→ the FRN will sell at a premium to its par value.
MODULE 8: YIELD AND YIELD SPREAD MEASURES
FOR FLOATING-RATE INSTRUMENTS 211 Student’s notes
Discount rate basis and Add-on rate basis for money market instruments
Discount rate (DR) basis Add-on rate (AOR) basis
DR AOR
PV FV (Par) PV (Par) FV
Principle
Days Days
Discount amount = FV × Year × DR Add-on amount = PV × Year × AOR
Answer:
2. The add-on interest for the 120-day period is 120/365 × 1.4% = 0.4603%.
→ At maturity, the CD will pay $1 million × (1 + 0.004603) = $1,004,603.
The quoted yield on the CD is the bond equivalent yield because it is an add-
on yield annualized based on a 365-day year.
LEARNING OUTCOMES
9.a. Define spot rates and the spot curve, and calculate the price of a
bond using spot rates
9.b. Define par and forward rates, and calculate par rates, forward rates
from spot rates, spot rates from forward rates, and the price of a
bond using forward rates
9.c. Compare the spot curve, par curve, and forward curve
MODULE 9: THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST
RATES: SPOT, PAR AND FORWARD CURVES 218 Student’s notes
[LOS 9.a] Define spot rates and the spot curve, and calculate the
price of a bond using spot rates
• Spot rate are the market discount rates for a single payment to be
received in the future.
o The discount rates for zero-coupon bonds maturing at the date of
each cash flow are spot rates → “zero rates”
• Bond price (or value) determined using the spot rates is sometimes
referred to as the bond’s “no-arbitrage value ”
→ bond price = market price of the bond
Value/Price of bond
[LOS 9.a] Define spot rates and the spot curve, and calculate the
price of a bond using spot rates
80 80 80 + 1,000
PV = 1 + 2 + = $1,001.34
(1+ 7%) (1+ 7.5%) (1+8%)3
MODULE 9: THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST
RATES: SPOT, PAR AND FORWARD CURVES 220 Student’s notes
[LOS 9.a] Define spot rates and the spot curve, and calculate the
price of a bond using spot rates
In theory, maturity structure should be analyzed for bonds that have the
same properties (credit risk, liquidity risk, tax status, currency
denomination, similar periodicity of payment and reinvestment risk) other
than time-to-maturity – “all other things being equal” assumption
• The spot rate curve (spot curve), also called zero curve or strip curve,
refers to YTMs on a series of zero-coupon government bonds at various
maturities.
• Spot rate curve provides a more accurate relationship between yields
and terms to maturity relative to using yields to maturity on coupon-
bearing bonds because spot rates are free from reinvestment risk (no
coupon payment) → best meet the “all other things being equal”
assumption in analyzing maturity structure.
MODULE 9: THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST
RATES: SPOT, PAR AND FORWARD CURVES 221 Student’s notes
[LOS 9.a] Define spot rates and the spot curve, and calculate the
price of a bond using spot rates
YTM (%)
6
5
4
3
2
1
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Time to maturity (Years)
A zero-coupon government bond spot curve
[LOS 9.a] Define spot rates and the spot curve, and calculate the
price of a bond using spot rates
A yield curve for coupon bonds shows the YTMs for coupon bonds at
various maturities.
YTM (%)
3
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Time to maturity (Years)
A yield curve for coupon bonds
Use linear interpolation method (refer to LOS 6.c) to estimate YTM for
maturities that are not available.
MODULE 9: THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST
RATES: SPOT, PAR AND FORWARD CURVES 223 Student’s notes
[LOS 9.b] Define par and forward rates, and calculate par rates,
forward rates from spot rate, spot rates from forward rates, and the
price of a bond using forward rates
3. Par curve
Par curve is a sequence of YTM such that each bond trades at par.
The par curve is derived from the spot rate curve, illustrated in Example 2
When trying to calculate the par rate, the aim is to solve for “PMT” that
would result in the price of the bond equaling its par value.
→ coupon rate = YTM
PMT + 100
1. 1-year par rate : = 100 → PMT = 4.75
(1 + 4.75%)1
→ The 1-year par rate therefore equals 4.75%.
PMT PMT + 100
2. 2-year par rate: + = 100 → PMT = 4.8578
(1 + 4.75%)1 (1 + 4.86%)2
→ The 2-year par rate, therefore, equals 4.858%
MODULE 9: THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST
RATES: SPOT, PAR AND FORWARD CURVES 224 Student’s notes
[LOS 9.b] Define par and forward rates, and calculate par rates,
forward rates from spot rate, spot rates from forward rates, and…
4. Forward curve
• Forward rates are yields for future periods. The rate of interest on a 1-
year loan that would be made two years from now is a forward rate.
• A forward curve shows the series of forward rates for bonds or money
market securities for the same tenor for annual periods in the future.
Eg: 2-year forward rate from 1 year, 2 years, 3 years… from now.
YTM (%)
Forward curve
6
5
Spot curve
4
3
2
1
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Time (Years)
The forward curve above shows the yields of 1-year securities for each
future year.
MODULE 9: THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST
RATES: SPOT, PAR AND FORWARD CURVES 225 Student’s notes
[LOS 9.b] Define par and forward rates, and calculate par rates,
forward rates from spot rate, spot rates from forward rates, and…
2y2y
0 1 2 3 4 years
The idea here is that borrowing for three years at the 3-year spot rate, or
borrowing for one-year periods in three successive years, should have the
same cost. The Si is the current spot rates for i periods:
(1+Si )i = (1 + S1)(1 + 1y1y)(1 + 2y1y) … (1 + (i-1)y1y) (Equation 1)
For example: (1+S3 )3 = (1 + S1 )(1 + 1y1y)(1 + 2y1y)
MODULE 9: THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST
RATES: SPOT, PAR AND FORWARD CURVES 226 Student’s notes
[LOS 9.b] Define par and forward rates, and calculate par rates,
forward rates from spot rate, spot rates from forward rates, and…
We can restate the Equation 1 to calculate the spot rate from forward
rate:
Si = i (1 + S1 )(1 + 1y1y)(1 + 2y1y) … (1 + (i−1)y1y) - 1
S1 = 2% 1y1y = 3% 2y1y = 4%
S3 = [(1.02)(1.03)(1.04)] ^1/3 − 1 = 2.997%
This can be interpreted to mean that a dollar compounded at 2.997% for three
years would produce the same ending value as a dollar that earns compound
interest of 2% the 1st year, 3% the next year and 4% the 3rd year.
MODULE 9: THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST
RATES: SPOT, PAR AND FORWARD CURVES 227 Student’s notes
[LOS 9.b] Define par and forward rates, and calculate par rates,
forward rates from spot rate, spot rates from forward rates, and…
S1 = 5% 1y1y = ? 2y1y = ?
1. Calculation of 1-year forward rate 1 year from today:
(1 + S2 )^2 = (1 + S1 )(1 + 1y1y)
→ 1y1y = [(1 + S2 )^2]/ (1 + S1 ) – 1 = (1.0525^2)/1.05 – 1 = 5.5%
2. Calculation of 1-year forward rate 2 years from today:
(1 + S3 )^3 = [(1 + S2 )^2](1 + 2y1y) = (1 + S1 )(1 + 1y1y)(1 + 2y1y)
→ 2y1y = [(1 + S3 )^3]/[(1 + S2 )^2] – 1 = [(1 + S3 )^3]/[(1 + S1 )(1 + 1y1y)]
= (1.0555^3)/(1.0525^2) = (1.0555^3)/(1.055 × 1.05) = 6.15%
MODULE 9: THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST
RATES: SPOT, PAR AND FORWARD CURVES 228 Student’s notes
[LOS 9.b] Define par and forward rates, and calculate par rates,
forward rates from spot rate, spot rates from forward rates, and…
0 1 12 16
… …
[LOS 9.b] Define par and forward rates, and calculate par rates,
forward rates from spot rate, spot rates from forward rates, and…
50 50 1,050
PV = + +
1+ S1 (1+ S1)(1+1y1y) (1+ S1)(1+1y1y)(1+2y1y)
50 50 1,050
= + + = $1,000.98
1.04 (1.04)(1.05) (1.04)(1.05)(1.06)
MODULE 9: THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST
RATES: SPOT, PAR AND FORWARD CURVES 230 Student’s notes
[LOS 9.c] Compare the spot curve, par curve, and forward curve
General observations
• The spot rates are positive, and the spot curve is upward sloping.
• The spot and par curves are nearly identical; the par rates are slightly
lower than the spot rates, and the (slight) difference between the spot
and par curves is greater at longer maturities.
• Forward rates are greater than the spot and par rates.
Downward Sloping
Above spot curve Below spot curve
(Inverted)
MODULE 9: THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST
RATES: SPOT, PAR AND FORWARD CURVES 231 Student’s notes
[LOS 9.c] Compare the spot curve, par curve, and forward curve
1. In case of upward-sloping
Forward curve
Spot curve
Par curve
[LOS 9.c] Compare the spot curve, par curve, and forward curve
2. In case of flat
Forward curve
= Spot curve
= Par curve
[LOS 9.c] Compare the spot curve, par curve, and forward curve
Par curve
Spot curve
Forward curve
LEARNING OUTCOMES
10b. Describe the relationships among a bond's holding period return, its
Macaulay duration, and the investment horizon
1. Source of return
(*) In this module, we assume that coupon and principal payments are
made as scheduled → not focus on credit risk
(**) Capital gain/loss arise if a bond is sold at a price different from its
carrying value.
• Carrying value refers to the present value of the remaining cash flow
(at any time between the purchase date and maturity date) that
discounted at the market discount rate (YTM) at issuance.
• Price of the bond is the present value of the remaining cash flow (at
any time between the purchase date and maturity date) that
discounted at current discount rate.
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 237 Student’s notes
1. Source of return
1.2. Another dimension to the total rate of return of a bond when a bond
is purchased at a premium/discount
(*) Realized rate of return (horizon yield) is the annual total return when
an investor sells a bond, calculated by combining interest earned, plus any
gains or losses realized during the period divided by the initial investment.
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 241 Student’s notes
Answer:
We need to calculate the YTM at issuance:
N = 10; PMT = $8; PV = -$85.50; FV = $100; CPT I/Y; I/Y = 10.40%
→ YTM at issuance = 10.40%
Source of return for each investor:
Investor A Investor B
• Coupon payment • Coupon payment
• Reinvestment income • Reinvestment income
• Principal amount at maturity • Selling price (*)
0 1 2 3 4 10 0 1 2 3 4 … 10
…
-85.50 8 8 8 8 100 + 8 -85.50 8 8 8 8 + 89.67
(*) The selling price at the end of year 4 = PV of remaining future payments
= $89.67
(N = 6 ; I/Y = 10.40; PMT = $8; FV = $100; CPT PV; PV = $89.67)
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 242 Student’s notes
Example 1: (Continue)
Example 1: (Continue)
Case 2: The interest rates increase before the first coupon date
Example 2: Similar to the Example 1, but after two investors purchase the
bond and before the first coupon payment, the interest rates rise to
11.40%.
Required:
1. Calculate the reinvestment income
2. Calculate the realized rate of return
Answer:
Case 2: The interest rates increase before the first coupon date
Example 2 (Continue)
Case 2: The interest rates increase before the first coupon date
Example 2: (Continue)
Discussion: Compare to the results in Example 1
Investor A – buy-and-hold investor:
Re- Higher
investme reinvestment Rise by 30 bps
nt income $56.38 $49.97 $6.41 income → due to higher
Reinvestment reinvestment
risk income
Capital No capital (reinvestment
gain/loss gain/loss risk > market
0 0 0 price risk)
→ no market
price risk
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 248 Student’s notes
Case 2: The interest rates increase before the first coupon date
Example 2: (Continue)
Discussion: Compare to the results in Example 1
Investor B – short-term investor:
Case 2: The interest rates increase before the first coupon date
Case 3: The interest rates decrease before the first coupon date
Example 3: Similar to the Example 1, but after two investors purchase the
bond and before the first coupon payment, the interest rates fall to
9.40%.
Required:
1. Calculate the reinvestment income
2. Calculate the realized rate of return
Answer:
Investor A (10-year horizon) Investor B (4-year horizon)
Case 3: The interest rates decrease before the first coupon date
Example 3: (Continue)
Answer:
Case 3: The interest rates decrease before the first coupon date
Example 3: (Continue)
Discussion: Compare to the results in the Example 1
Investor A – buy-and-hold investor:
Re- Lower
investment reinvestment Fall by 30 bps
income $43.89 $49.97 −$6.08 income due to lower
→ Reinvestment reinvestment
risk income
Capital No capital (reinvestment
gain/loss gain/loss risk > market
0 0 0 price risk)
→ no market
price risk
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 253 Student’s notes
Case 3: The interest rates decrease before the first coupon date
Example 3: (Continue)
Discussion: Compare to the results in the Example 1
Investor B – short-term investor:
Case 3: The interest rates decrease before the first coupon date
Summary
From the results from Example 1-2-3, we can see that reinvestment risk
matters more for long-term investors, while market price risk matters
more for short-term investors:
• For long-term investors: reinvestment risk > market price risk
• For short-term investors: reinvestment risk < market price risk
Two investors holding the same bond (or bond portfolio) can have
different exposures to interest rate risk if they have different investment
horizons.
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 256 Student’s notes
Discussion:
For Investor C (the 7-year investor), the horizon yields are almost the
same regardless of the change in interest rates.
Or, we can say that:
• When interest rises: The benefit gained by coupon reinvestment
offsets the risk of market price decrease.
• When interest decreases: The risk of coupon reinvestment offsets the
benefit of market price increase.
Macaulay Duration
t=0
Macaulay Duration Maturity
Losses Money Duration date
• The conclusion that we can draw from all the analysis mentioned above is
that market price risk and coupon reinvestment risk changes as the
investment horizon varies.
• Here in this part we further discuss the interest risk that investors face, by
(1) comparing the length of their investment horizon to the investments’
duration, or (2) by considering the duration gap (mentioned below).
where:
PMT PMT PMT + FV
PVFull = + +…+
(1+r)1 −t/T (1+r)2 −t/T (1+r)N −t/T
• t = the number of days from the last coupon payment to the settlement date
• T = the number of days in the coupon period
• t/T = the fraction of the coupon period that has gone by since the last
payment
• PMT = the coupon payment per period
• FV = the future value paid at maturity, or the par value of the bond r = the
yield-to-maturity, or the market discount rate, per period
• N = the number of evenly spaced periods to maturity as of the beginning of
the current period
MODULE 10: INTEREST RATE
RISK AND RETURN 264 Student’s notes
LEARNING OUTCOMES
11b. Explain how a bond's maturity, coupon, and yield level affect its
interest rate risk
MODULE 11: YIELD-BASED BOND DURATION
MEASURES AND PROPERTIES 268 Student’s notes
1. Modified duration
MacDur
• For annual – pay bond: ModDur = 1 + r
MacDursemi
• For semiannual – pay bond: ModDursemi =
1 + r/2
Example 1: Calculate Modified duration
1. Calculate Modified duration for the annual – pay bond with
MacDur = 2.88
2. Calculate Modified duration for the semiannual – pay bond in the
Example 4
Answer:
1. Modified duration for the annual – pay bond
MacDur
ModDur = = 2.88/(1.05) = 2.747 years
1+r
2. Modified duration for the semiannual – pay bond in the Example 5
MacDursemi
ModDursemi = = 11.39/(1 + 5%/2) = 11.11 (semiannual
1 + r/2
periods)
→ Annualized Modified duration = 11.11/2 = 5.56 years
MODULE 11: YIELD-BASED BOND DURATION
MEASURES AND PROPERTIES 269 Student’s notes
1. Modified duration
(*) The formula above estimates the percentage price change in the full price
of a bond and uses the annual modified duration and the annual yield-to-
maturity.
Minus sign (–) explains the inverse relationship between the bond price and
the YTM
1. Modified duration
Answer:
(1) If the yield-to-maturity increases by 10 bps (to 5.1%), the estimated
loss in the value will be: %∆PVFull = - 5.56 x 0.001 = - 0.00556 or - 0.556%
(2) If the yield-to-maturity decreases by 100 bp (to 4.9%), the estimated
loss in the value will be: %∆PVFull = - 5.56 x (- 0.001) = 0.00556 or 0.556%
MODULE 11: YIELD-BASED BOND DURATION
MEASURES AND PROPERTIES 271 Student’s notes
1. Modified duration
1. Modified duration
PV−
Approximate slope of
PV0 tangent line
PV+
1. Modified duration
2. Money duration
2. Money duration
PV− − PV+
PVBP = 2
PV−
PV0
PV+ Price-Yield curve in
case of very small
change in YTM
Y0 YTM
-1bps +1bps
MODULE 11: YIELD-BASED BOND DURATION
MEASURES AND PROPERTIES 277 Student’s notes
The Macaulay and Modified yield duration statistics for a traditional fixed-
rate bond are functions of the input variables:
1. The fraction of the coupon period that has elapsed (t/T)
2. Other properties of bond duration (in case that t/T = 0):
2.1. the coupon rate or payment per period (C)
2.2. the time to maturity (N)
2.3. the yield-to-maturity per period (r)
MODULE 11: YIELD-BASED BOND DURATION
MEASURES AND PROPERTIES 279 Student’s notes
MacDur
As times passes during the coupon period (moving from right to left in the
diagram), the Macaulay duration declines smoothly and then jumps
upward after the coupon is paid.
MODULE 11: YIELD-BASED BOND DURATION
MEASURES AND PROPERTIES 280 Student’s notes
0 1 2 3 … Maturity
Recall that: Macaulay duration represents the weighted average of the time
it would take to receive all the bond’s promised cash flows.
All else being equal, a lower-coupon bond has a higher duration and more
interest rate risk than a higher-coupon bond.
MODULE 11: YIELD-BASED BOND DURATION
MEASURES AND PROPERTIES 281 Student’s notes
a. Zero-coupon bond
MacDur of a zero-coupon bond = N
→ The relationship between the Macaulay duration and the time-to-
maturity for a zero-coupon bond is the 45-degree line.
b. Perpetuity
A perpetuity (perpetual bond) is a bond that does not mature
PMT
→ there is no principal to redeem → PV of perpetuity =
r
% ∆PV ∆PV 1 − PMT r 1
ModDur = - =- × =- × =
∆r ∆r PV r2 PMT r
1+r
→ MacDur = ModDur × (1 + r) = r
→ The relationship between the Macaulay duration and the time-to-
maturity for a perpetuity is the horizontal line.
c. Floating-Rate Notes and Loans
The coupon rate of an FRN has two components:
Coupon rate = reference rate (MRR) + quote margin
→ At predetermined dates, payment amounts are reset to reflect changes
in the MRR.
T−t
→ MacDurFloating =
r
→ Macaulay duration for a floating-rate bond is simply the fraction of a
period remaining until the next reset date.
MODULE 11: YIELD-BASED BOND DURATION
MEASURES AND PROPERTIES 283 Student’s notes
d. Discount bond
As N increases, the Macaulay duration increases. At some point when the
time-to-maturity is high enough, the Macaulay duration exceeds (1+r)/r,
reaching a maximum and then approaches the threshold from above.
→ On long term discount bonds, the interest rate risk can actually be less
than on a shorter-term bond, which explains why the word “generally” is
needed in describing the maturity effect for the relationship between
bond prices and yields-to-maturity in Module 6 – LOS 6.b
e. Premium bond
The Macaulay duration is always less than (1 + r)/r, and it approaches
that threshold from below as the time-to-maturity increases.
→ The relationship between the MacDur and the time-to-maturity for a
premium bond is an upward curve with the threshold of (1 + r)/r.
Note: The detailed explanation for the relationship between MacDur and
time-to-maturity of discount and premium bonds is shown in CFA
Curriculum Level I Volumn 4, page 284-288.
MODULE 11: YIELD-BASED BOND DURATION
MEASURES AND PROPERTIES 284 Student’s notes
Discount bond
1+r
Perpetuity
r
Premium/Par bond
Time to maturity
Note: This graph considers the coupon payment dates that is the same as
the settlement dates (t/T = 0) → not display the saw-tooth pattern
between coupon payments.
MODULE 11: YIELD-BASED BOND DURATION
MEASURES AND PROPERTIES 285 Student’s notes
All other things remaining the same, a lower yield-to-maturity bond has
higher duration and more interest rate risk than a higher yield-to-
maturity bond.
Student’s notes
LEARNING OUTCOMES
12c. Calculate portfolio duration and convexity and explain the limitations
of these measures
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 288 Student’s notes
The true relationship between the bond price and the yield-to-maturity is
the curved (convex) line shown below.
Price
Convex Price–Yield Curve
(1)
P0
(2) Line Tangent to
the Price–Yield
YTMo Curve
estimated change due to duration Yield-to-maturity
estimated change due to convexity
estimated total change
The convexity of a bond is always positive.
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 289 Student’s notes
The true relationship between the bond price and the yield-to-maturity
is the curved (convex).
The convexity statistic for the bond should be used to improve the estimate
of the percentage price change provided by modified duration alone.289
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 290 Student’s notes
Example 1: Calculate the change in bond price as the YTM changes using
bond convexity
We continue with the bond we worked in the Example 4.
Relevant information is provided below:
• Maturity = 7 years; coupon payment = $2.50 and pays semiannually;
par value = $100 and the bond is purchased 108 days since the last coupon
payment.
• Initial YTM = 5%
• PV0 = $101.492586
• PV+ = $101.2110
• PV− = $101.7750
• ∆Yield = 0.0005
• ApproxModDur = 5.55278
1. Calculate approximate convexity.
2. Calculate the estimated convexity-adjusted percentage price change
resulting from a 100 bp increase (5% to 6%) in the yield-to-maturity.
3. Compare the estimated percentage price change with the actual change,
assuming the yield-to-maturity jumps to 6% on the settlement date. 291
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 292 Student’s notes
Example 1: Calculate the change in bond price as the YTM changes using
bond convexity
Answer:
1. Calculate approximate convexity
PV− + PV+ − [2x PV0 ] 101.775+101.211− 2x101.492586
ApproxCon = = =
(∆Yield)2x PV0 (0.0005)2x101.492586
32.6329
2. Calculate estimated percentage price change
1
%∆PVfull ≈ −AnnModDur x∆Yield + 2 x AnnConvexity x (∆Yield)2
1
= (-5.55278 x 0.01) + 2 x 32.6329 x (1%)2 = -0.0555278 + 0.00163165
= -0.053896 or - 5.3896%
3. Compare estimated percentage price change with the actual change
If the yield-to-maturity increase by 1% to 6%, the new full price can be
calculated as:
N = 14; PMT = $2.50; FV = $100; I/Y = 3%; CPT PV→ PV = -$94.35196
→ PVfull = $94.35196 x (1.03)108/180 = $96.040249
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 293 Student’s notes
Example 1: Calculate the change in bond price as the YTM changes using
bond convexity
Answer:
3. Compare estimated percentage price change with the actual change
(cont)
96.040249− 101.492586
→ %∆PVfull = 101.492586 = - 0.0537215 or -5.37215%
Observation:
-5.55278%. -5.3896% -5.37215% Change in
Convexity- Actual price
Estimate
based on adjusted change
duration estimate
→ The convexity adjustment brings the change in price estimate that is
based on duration alone closer to the actual change in the price of the
bond.
See how we illustrate this relationship in the next slide.
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 294 Student’s notes
Example 1: Calculate the change in bond price as the YTM changes using
bond convexity
Answer:
3. Compare estimated percentage price change with the actual change
(cont)
Price
Convexity-adjusted price at
5%
Duration-estimated price at
5% 5% 5.05% YTM
Estimated change based on duration = - 0.0555278
Convexity adjustment = 0.00163165
Convexity-adjusted estimated change = - 0.0555278 + 0.00163165
Remember that the convexity adjustment brings the change in price
estimate closer to the actual change
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 295 Student’s notes
2. Money convexity
Multiplying PVfull on both sides to find the absolute price change, we have:
%∆PVfull ×PVfull ≈ (−AnnModDur×PVfull ×∆Yield) +
1
[ ×AnnConvexity×PVfull ×(∆Yield)2
2
The estimated (dollar) change in the price of the bond, after adding the
effect of convexity is calculated as:
1
∆PVfull ≈ (−MoneyDur × ∆Yield) + [ × MoneyCon × (∆Yield)2]
2
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 296 Student’s notes
c. The factors that lead to greater duration also lead to greater convexity
Term-to-maturity ↑ ↑
Coupon rate ↓ ↑
Yield-to-maturity ↓ ↑
Dispersion of cash ↑ ↑
flow (*)
(*) Dispersion of cash flow measures the degree to which payments are
spread out over the bond’s term.
For example: a bond that pays interest only twice in its life has a lower level
of dispersion than a bond which pays interest 10 times in its life, given that
the 2 bonds have the same par value and are valued at the same price.
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 297 Student’s notes
YTM
Decrease YTMo Increase
More convex bond ()
Less convex bond
Conclusion: The more convex bond outperforms the less convex bond in
both bull (rising price) and bear (falling price) markets.
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 298 Student’s notes
4. Effective convexity
Recall that in 1 - LOS 12a&b, we learn that the “first-order” effect of a shift in
the benchmark yield curve to bond price is measured by effective duration.
→ The secondary, or second-order, effect is measured by effective convexity.
4. Effective convexity
• When the benchmark yield is low, value of convexity for a callable bond
is negative (also known as concavity) – and this an important feature of
callable bond.
• When the benchmark yield is high, callable and straight bonds
experience the same positive value of convexity.
• There is a point of inflection which indicates the yield at which convexity
for the callable bond goes from positive to negative.
Callable bond
Positive
Negative convexity
convexity
point of inflection
Benchmark
Low benchmark yield YTMo High benchmark yield Yield
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 300 Student’s notes
4. Effective convexity
Illustration: Look at the graph below, we can see that when the yield is low
and there is an decrease in benchmark yield:
Increase in callable bond price < Increase in straight bond price
The driven-down increase in callable bond price is estimated via 2 following
factors:
1. Effective duration: lower than that of straight bond
2. Effective convexity: negative, while that of straight bond is positive
Callable bond
Benchmark Yield
YTM1 YTMo
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 301 Student’s notes
4. Effective convexity
Price
Putable bond
Benchmark
Low benchmark yield High benchmark yield Yield
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 302 Student’s notes
4. Effective convexity
Illustration: Look at the graph below, we can see that when the yield is high
and there is an increase in benchmark yield:
Decrease in putable bond price < Decrease in straight bond price
The driven-down decrease in putable bond price is estimated via 2 following
factors:
1. Effective duration: lower than that of straight bond
2. Effective convexity: positive and higher than that of straight bond
Price
Putable bond Decrease in putable bond price
Decrease in straight bond price
Straight bond
Benchmark Yield
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 303 Student’s notes
Formula: Formula:
MacDur of portfolio MacDur of portfolio
= w1 D1 + w2 D2 +…+ wN DN CFi
∑N (i – t/T) ×
i=1 (1+r)i −t/T
= CFi
where:
∑N
• N = Number of bonds in portfolio. i=1 (1+r)i −t/T
• Di = Duration of Bond i. where:
• wi = Market value of Bond i • PVPortfolio = the market value of
divided by the market value of portfolio
portfolio. • r is the cash flow yield of the
portfolio
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 305 Student’s notes
This measure of duration assumes a • The cash flow yield is not usually
parallel change in the yield curve calculated for bond portfolios.
(i.e., yields across all maturities • The amount and timing of
change by the same amount and in payments on bonds with
the same direction) → this is not embedded options and floating-
accurate in practice because rate bonds is uncertain.
portfolios of bonds are composed of • Interest rate risk should be
a variety of bonds that may have measured based on a change in
different maturities, credit risks, and benchmark interest rates, not on
embedded options. a change in the cash flow yield.
• For an individual bond, the
amount of change in its cash flow
yield is not necessarily the same
as the change in its yield-to-
maturity.
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 306 Student’s notes
The price are per 100 of par. The Par value of bond X is 10,000,000 and of
bond Y is 100,000,000. The total market value of the portfolio is
$19,600,000. Calculate the portfolio duration by both approaches?
Answer:
1. Approach 1
Portfolio MacDur = w1 D1 + w2 D2 +…+ wN DN = 0.5 (1) + 0.5 (30)
= 15.50 years
Portfolio ModDur = 0.5 (0.98) + 0.5 (27.77) = 14.37 years
MODULE 12: YIELD-BASED BOND CONVEXITY
AND PORTFOLIO PROPERTIES 307 Student’s notes
LEARNING OUTCOMES
13.a. Explain why effective duration and effective convexity are the most
appropriate measures of interest rate risk for bonds with embedded
options
13.c. Define key rate duration and describe its use to measure price
sensitivity of fixed-income instruments to benchmark yield curve
changes
[LOS 13.a] Explain why effective duration and effective convexity are
the most appropriate measures of interest rate risk for bonds with
embedded options
1. Effective duration
a. Reason for using effective duration in measuring interest rate risk for
bonds with embedded options.
For bonds with embedded options, the future cash flows are uncertain
since option exercise depends on the level of market interest rates
relative to coupon interest being paid (or received).
→ Bonds with embedded option do not have well-defined yields-to-
maturity.
→ Macaulay and modified duration are not appropriate interest rate risk
measures for such bonds.
→ We must use effective duration to estimate the interest rate risk of
these bonds, a curve duration rather than a yield duration statistic.
MODULE 13: CURVE-BASED AND EMPIRICAL
FIXED-INCOME RISK MEASURES
311 Student’s notes
[LOS 13.a] Explain why effective duration and effective convexity are
the most appropriate measures of interest rate risk for bonds…
1. Effective duration
Answer:
PV − PV+ 102.87 − 99.04
Effective duration = 2 × PV− × ∆Curve = 2 × 101.05 × 0.25% = 7.58
0
MODULE 13: CURVE-BASED AND EMPIRICAL
FIXED-INCOME RISK MEASURES
312 Student’s notes
[LOS 13.a] Explain why effective duration and effective convexity are
the most appropriate measures of interest rate risk for bonds…
2. Effective convexity
PV + PV+ − 2 × PV0
EffCon =
∆Curve 2 × PV0
This formula may look like the Aproximate yield convexity. But note that,
here, the denominator includes the change in the benchmark yield curve
squared, (∆Curve)2
[LOS 13.a] Explain why effective duration and effective convexity are
the most appropriate measures of interest rate risk for bonds…
2. Effective convexity
Callable bond
Positive
Negative
convexity
convexity
[LOS 13.a] Explain why effective duration and effective convexity are
the most appropriate measures of interest rate risk for bonds…
2. Effective convexity
Illustration: Look at the graph below, we can see that when the yield is
low and there is an decrease in benchmark yield:
Increase in callable bond price < Increase in straight bond price
The driven-down increase in callable bond price is estimated via 2
following factors:
1. Effective duration: lower than that of straight bond
2. Effective convexity: negative, while that of straight bond is positive
Callable bond
Benchmark Yield
YTM1 YTMo
MODULE 13: CURVE-BASED AND EMPIRICAL
FIXED-INCOME RISK MEASURES
315 Student’s notes
[LOS 13.a] Explain why effective duration and effective convexity are
the most appropriate measures of interest rate risk for bonds…
2. Effective convexity
Price
Putable bond
Benchmark Yield
Low benchmark yield High benchmark yield
MODULE 13: CURVE-BASED AND EMPIRICAL
FIXED-INCOME RISK MEASURES
316 Student’s notes
[LOS 13.a] Explain why effective duration and effective convexity are
the most appropriate measures of interest rate risk for bonds…
2. Effective convexity
Answer:
Effective duration:
PV − PV+ 100.241 99.76
= 2 × PV− × ∆Curve = 2 × 100 × 0.0005 = 4.816
0
Effective convexity:
PV− + PV+ − [2 × PV0 ] 100.241 + 99.76 − [2 × 100 ]
= = = 40.000
(∆Curve)2 × PV0 (0.0005)2 × 100
MODULE 13: CURVE-BASED AND EMPIRICAL
FIXED-INCOME RISK MEASURES
317 Student’s notes
[LOS 13.a] Explain why effective duration and effective convexity are
the most appropriate measures of interest rate risk for bonds…
Callable bond
The embedded call option favors the issuer → An investor would pay less
for a callable bond than for an otherwise identical noncallable bond
→ Value of a noncallable bond = Value of a callable bond + Value of the
embedded call option
Putable bond
The embedded put option favors the investors → An investor would pay
more for a putable bond than for an otherwise identical nonputable bond
→ Value of a nonputable bond = Value of a putable bond – Value of the
embedded put option
MODULE 13: CURVE-BASED AND EMPIRICAL
FIXED-INCOME RISK MEASURES
318 Student’s notes
[LOS 13.a] Explain why effective duration and effective convexity are
the most appropriate measures of interest rate risk for bonds…
a. Callable bond
Call price
Non-callable bond
Callable bond
Y∗ Benchmark Yield
Low yield → High market price The issuer will not call the bond
→ The issuer will call the bond at a given → The the value of the embedded call
call price (the highest price of the bond option is relatively low
to be called) → The price appreciation → The sensitivity of the callable and
would be limited by the call option noncallable bond prices are very similar
→ The sensitivity of the bond price to → The effective durations (slopes of the
change in yield is lower than that of price-yield profiles) of the callable and
noncallable bond noncallable bonds are very similar.
→ The effective duration is lower.
MODULE 13: CURVE-BASED AND EMPIRICAL
FIXED-INCOME RISK MEASURES
319 Student’s notes
[LOS 13.a] Explain why effective duration and effective convexity are
the most appropriate measures of interest rate risk for bonds…
b. Putable bond
Price
Y∗ Benchmark Yield
The investor will not put the bond High yield → Lower market price
→ The the value of the embedded put The investor will put the bond at a given
option is much greater for the issuer put price (the lowest price of the bond to
→ The sensitivity of the putable and be put) → The price depreciation would
nonputable bond prices are very similar be limited by the put option
→ The effective duration of the putable → The sensitivity of the bond price is
bond and nonputable bond are very lower than that of nonputable bond
similar. → The effective duration is lower.
MODULE 13: CURVE-BASED AND EMPIRICAL
FIXED-INCOME RISK MEASURES
320 Student’s notes
We can estimate the expected price change for a bond with respect to an
expected change in yield curve using EffDur and EffCon in the same way
we use modified duration and convexity with respect to ∆YTM.
1
%∆PVfull ≈ −EffDur × ∆Curve + 2 × EffCon × (∆Curve)2
Note:
Unlike modified duration and convexity, effective duration and convexity
do not necessarily provide better estimates of bond prices for smaller
changes in yield.
This is because for bonds with embedded options, considerations other
than the level of government rates determine whether the option is likely
to be exercised (e.g., the level of credit spreads on a corporate bond or
the amount of principal outstanding on a mortgage).
MODULE 13: CURVE-BASED AND EMPIRICAL
FIXED-INCOME RISK MEASURES
321 Student’s notes
Answer:
1
%∆PVfull ≈ −EffDur × ∆Curve + × EffCon × (∆Curve)2
2
Bond price changes given 100 bp increase in the benchmark government
par curve:
1
%∆PVfull ≈ −4.816 × 0.01 + × 40 × (0.01)2 = − 4.68%
2
Bond price changes given 100 bp decrease in the benchmark government
par curve:
1
%∆PVfull ≈ −4.816 × −0.01 + × 40 × (−0.01)2 = 4.95%
2
MODULE 13: CURVE-BASED AND EMPIRICAL
FIXED-INCOME RISK MEASURES
322 Student’s notes
[LOS 13.c] Define key rate duration and describe its use to measure
price sensitivity of fixed-income instruments to benchmark yield
curve changes
For nonparallel shifts in the yield curve, we must use key rate duration to
measure the interest rate risk of the bond.
Key rate duration (or partial duration) is a measure of a bond’s (or bond
portfolio’s) sensitivity to a change in the benchmark yield for a specific
maturity, holding other yields constant (nonparallel shifts in the yield
curve).
MODULE 13: CURVE-BASED AND EMPIRICAL
FIXED-INCOME RISK MEASURES
323 Student’s notes
[LOS 13.c] Define key rate duration and describe its use to measure
price sensitivity of fixed-income instruments...
−1 ∆PV
KeyRateDu rk = × (1)
PV ∆rk
n
KeyRateDu rk = EffDur (2)
k=1
Where:
• rk represents the kth key rate.
• kth key rate could be 1-, 2-, 20-, or 30-year rate (shifted up and down by
1 bp)
Why might key rate duration be useful for a portfolio manager even
though key duration values of the bonds in a portfolio sum to the
portfolio duration?
Answer: Knowing the portfolio duration and overall movement of the
benchmark yield curve can provide a quick estimate of gains or losses;
however, by using key durations, a portfolio manager can over- or
underweight specific tenors to maximize risk-adjusted return.
MODULE 13: CURVE-BASED AND EMPIRICAL
FIXED-INCOME RISK MEASURES
324 Student’s notes
[LOS 13.c] Define key rate duration and describe its use to measure
price sensitivity of fixed-income instruments...
Answer:
Recall: Modified duration = Macaulay duration / (1 + periodic yield),
where Macaulay duration of a single cash flow is equal to its maturity.
For the 5-year cash flow: ModDur = 5 / (1.05) = 4.762
The 5-year key rate duration = 4.762 × 0.5 = 2.381.
The impact of a 50 bp increase in the 5-year yield
= −2.381 × 0.0050 = -1.19%.
For the 10-year cash flow: ModDur = 10 / (1.06) = 9.434
The 10-year key rate duration = 9.434 × 0.5 = 4.717.
The impact of a 25 bp decrease in the 10-year yield
= −4.717 × −0.0025 = 1.18%.
Overall, the portfolio value will change by
= −1.19% + 1.18% = -0.01%.
MODULE 13: CURVE-BASED AND EMPIRICAL
FIXED-INCOME RISK MEASURES
325 Student’s notes
LEARNING OUTCOMES
14.a. Describe credit risk and its components, probability of default and
loss given default
14.b. Describe the uses of ratings from credit rating agencies and their
limitations
Credit risk is the risk associated with losses to fixed income investors
stemming from the failure of a borrower to make payment of interest or
principal (referred to as to servicing their debt).
When a borrower fails to service their debt, they are said to be in default.
At its core, credit risk stems from the possibility that the borrower’s sources of
repayment will not provide enough cash to service their debt.
Different
Source of repayment Source of credit risk
type of debt
Credit risk is measured by assessing the expected loss from a debt investment
in the event of default.
• If the actual credit spread is higher than this estimated credit spread.
→ More than fairly compensated for the credit risk of the investment.
• If the actual credit spread is lower than estimated credit spread.
→ Not adequately compensated for credit risk and should avoid investing.
MODULE 14: CREDIT RISK 335 Student’s notes
Example:
A bond issuer has a 3% probability of default, and one of its bond issues
has a recovery rate of 75%. The bond has a 4% coupon and is currently
trading at par. A government security of similar maturity yields 2.5%.
Assess whether the credit spread of the bond issue is adequately
compensating investors for credit risk.
Answer:
The bond is trading at par, so its coupon of 4% is also its yield. The actual
credit spread of the bond is:
4% - 2.5% = 1.5%.
The estimated credit spread for the bond is its probability of default times
(1 − recovery rate):
0.03 × (1 − 0.75) = 0.0075, or 0.75%
→ The bond is providing an actual spread that is double that which is fair,
meaning that bond investors are more than adequately compensated for
the credit risk of the bond.
MODULE 14: CREDIT RISK 336 Student’s notes
e.g: High EBIT margin e.g: High EBIT/Interest e.g: Low Debt/EBITDA
LOD increases
Second Lien Loan will have lower
losses given
Senior Unsecured default than
… junior,
Unsecured debt unsecured
Junior debt.
Subordinated
[LOS 14.b] Describe the uses of ratings from credit rating agencies
and their limitations
1. Macroeconomic factors
1. Macroeconomic factors
Credit spreads for high-yield issuers (HY) may behave differently than credit spreads for
investment grade issuers (IG) over a business cycle.
HY
HY
IG
IG
Tenor Tenor
Contraction Peak
Spread Spread
HY
HY IG
IG
Tenor Tenor
MODULE 14: CREDIT RISK 342 Student’s notes
1. Macroeconomic factors
1. Macroeconomic factors
2. Market factors
Definition Measurement
The risk that the actual transaction Liquidity risk is reflected in the size
price (buying or selling price) may of bid-ask spread
differ from market price due to Higher bid-ask spread → Lower
insufficient volumes (liquidity) in market liquidity and higher
the market. liquidity risk.
Factors affecting
Change in factor Change in liquidity risk
liquidity risk
Size of issuer * ↓
↑
Credit quality of issuer ↓
(*) Size of issuer refers to the aggregate value of publicly traded debt an issuer has outstanding.
MODULE 14: CREDIT RISK 345 Student’s notes
3. Issuer-specific factors
Other factors
• Source of repayment
• Use of proceeds
• Issuer’s yield spread vs.
Average yield spread *
(*) For an issuer with problems servicing its debt, yield spreads will be wider than
the average for the issuer’s credit rating.
MODULE 14: CREDIT RISK 346 Student’s notes
The price impact from spread changes is driven by two main factors:
(1) The modified duration (price sensitivity with respect to changes in
interest rates).
(2) The magnitude of the spread change.
For small, instantaneous yield spread change, the price impact can be
approximated by:
For large yield spread change, the price impact can be approximated by:
1
%∆PVFull ≈ − AnnModDur × ∆Spread + ( 2 × AnnConvexity × ∆Spread2)
Example:
For a bond with duration of 5.0 and reported convexity of 0.235, one
would re-scale convexity to 23.5 before applying the formula. For a 1%
(i.e., 100 bps) increase in spread, the result would be:
1
%∆PVFull ≈ − 5.0 × 0.01 + 2 × 23.5 × 0.01 2 ≈ −0.048825 or −4.8825%
→ If spreads tighten by 100 basis points, the bond’s price will decrease by
4.88%.
Note:
• For a given change in the yield spread, the change in price is generally
more sensitive for a longer-duration bond.
• Compared to shorter-maturity bonds, longer-maturity bonds of a given
issuer typically trade at wider yield spreads to comparable-maturity
government bonds. This is why spread curves (also referred to as credit
curves) are generally upward sloping.
Student’s notes
LEARNING OUTCOMES
External stability
(1.2.3.)
Currency
External debt
reserves
MODULE 15: CREDIT ANALYSIS
FOR GOVERNMENT ISSUERS
352 Student’s notes
Debt to GDP
General government debt
GDP
Similar to
Debt burden
leverage
Debt to Revenue
General government debt Higher ratio
Revenue
Key financial ratios to measure economic growth and stability are presented
below:
Lower real GDP growth, lower real economy size, lower per-capita GDP,
and higher volatility of real GDP growth
→ Lower credit rating.
MODULE 15: CREDIT ANALYSIS
FOR GOVERNMENT ISSUERS
354 Student’s notes
Depends on the
Set up by groups of implicit support of
Supranational sovereign governments to the sponsored
issuers carry out projects with governments and
varied missions global development
institutions.
MODULE 15: CREDIT ANALYSIS
FOR GOVERNMENT ISSUERS
357 Student’s notes
LEARNING OUTCOMES
1. Qualitative factors
Key qualitative factors include a company’s business model and the industry
within which it operates, as well as the competitive forces and business risks
it faces.
Corporate Governance
Industry and
Business Model
Competition
Business Risk
1. Qualitative factors
1. Qualitative factors
Corporate governance
2. Quantitative factors
Top-down approach
Hybrid approach
Bottom-up approach
MODULE 16: CREDIT ANALYSIS
FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
364 Student’s notes
2. Quantitative factors
Indication of
Ratio type Ratio Name Calculation higher credit
quality
1. Seniority ranking
First Lien/Motgage
Secured debt
Debtholders have a
Senior Secured
Cost of debt
Restriction
Senior Unsecured
Unsecured debt
Senior Subordinated
Debtholders have only a
general claim on the
issuer’s assets and cash
Subordinated
flow.
Junior Subordinated
MODULE 16: CREDIT ANALYSIS
FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
367 Student’s notes
2. Recovery rate
Recall: The provision in which all creditors at the same debt seniority level
are treated as one class without taking coupon and maturity into account, is
referred to as bonds ranking pari passu (“on an equal footing”) in right of
payment.
demand a higher
Junior Secured yield to invest in
… lower-ranked
debt
Subordinated instruments.
Unsecured debt
Junior Subordinated
MODULE 16: CREDIT ANALYSIS
FOR CORPORATE ISSUERS
368 Student’s notes
2. Recovery rate
b. Recovery rates can Recovery rates are usually lower at or near the
also vary depending on bottom of a credit cycle (which is usually very
when they occur in a closely linked with the economic cycle) than at
credit cycle other times in the cycle.
c. Recovery rates can Recovery rates are tend to be lower for lower-
vary greatly across ranked debt if a company has a relatively
companies within the higher proportion of secured debt in its capital
same industry structure.
Rating agencies usually provide credit ratings for the issuer (referred to as a
corporate family rating) and for different issues (referred to as corporate
credit rating) as well.
Cross-default provisions
Notching
Definition: While the probability of default (POD) for an issuer and its issues
may be the same due to cross-default provisions, issuer ratings may differ
due to loss given default (LGD) differences because of seniority,
subordination, and sources of repayment → Such rating adjustment
methodology is known as notching.
Mechanism: Rating agencies move credit ratings for specific issues up or
down relative to the issuer rating (which applies to senior unsecured debt).
General rule: The higher the senior unsecured rating, the smaller the
notching adjustment.
LEARNING OUTCOMES
17.b. Describe securitization, including the parties and the roles they play
MODULE 17: FIXED-INCOME
SECURITIZATION
374 Student’s notes
OVERVIEW
Creating
Residential mortgage
loans
LOS 19.b Assets-backed
securities
Creating
Collateralized mortgage
Time tranching
obligations (CMO)
LOS 19.a
LOS 19.c
Non-agency RMBS
MODULE 17: FIXED-INCOME
SECURITIZATION
375 Student’s notes
Financing for most mortgages and other financial assets was provided by
financial institutions (e.g., commercial banks).
1 Benefits of securitization
1 Benefits of securitization
Diversification
Example: A pension fund with a long-term horizon can gain access to long-
term real estate loans by investing in residential MBS without having to
invest in bank bonds or stocks
1. Benefits of securitization
Banks act as the intermediary between borrowers and investors. If they can
separate loan origination from loan financing, they can improve their
profitability, earning origination fees and reducing capital requirements for
loans that are sold to investors.
loans ABS
cash cash
1. Benefits of securitization
1. Benefits of securitization
2. Risks of securitization
Risk related to
Customers
Creating
Buy motor Make a
customer loan
vehicles customer loan
Originator
ABC Co
Selling
Sell customer Pay cash for
customer
loan loan purchase
loans for SPE
SPE
Payments received
Issue securitized from the collateral
Cash (loans) are used to fulfil
Issuing ABS bond (ABS)
principal and interest
Investors payments to ABS
holders
MODULE 17: FIXED-INCOME
SECURITIZATION
384 Student’s notes
The SPV is a bankruptcy-remote entity, its obligations remain secure even if the parent
company goes bankrupt.
Bankruptcy remoteness
Originator no longer has
ownership rights on loans
Bankruptcy remoteness
Sell customer Special purpose Issuing bond
Originator Investors
loans entity (SPE)
The credit rating of the ABS securities may be higher than credit ratings of bonds
issued by Originator
→ Lower cost of funds when issuing ABS than traditional bonds.
Student’s notes
LEARNING OUTCOMES
18.a. Describe characteristics and risks of covered bonds and how they
differ from other asset-backed securities
Assets-backed securities
Secure for
Commercial mortgage-
Commercial mortgage
backed securities (CMBS)
loans
LOS 19.d
Similar to ABS
Non-mortgage asset-backed
Non-mortgage assets
securities
(Auto loan, credit card,…)
LOS 18.c
Secure for
Institution’s assets
Covered bonds
(remaining on balance
LOS 18.a
sheet)
MODULE 18: ASSET-BACKED SECURITY (ABS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
389 Student’s notes
Covered bonds are similar to asset-backed securities (ABS), but the underlying
assets (the cover pool), although segregated, remain on the balance sheet of the
issuing corporation (no SPE is created).
Characteristics
• Covered bonds usually consist of one bond class per cover pool
• Covered bonds offer bondholders dual recourse from both the issuing
financial institution and the underlying asset pool.
• Covered bonds usually carry lower credit risks and offer lower yields than
otherwise similar ABS.
MODULE 18: ASSET-BACKED SECURITY (ABS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
390 Student’s notes
Characteristics
Covered bonds may have different provisions in case their issuer defaults
Credit enhancement
Ordering the claim priorities for interest in an asset between the tranches
The most senior tranche is unaffected
unless losses exceed the amount of In the event of default
the subordinated tranches
Senior tranches The proceeds from
The tranches of highest seniority liquidating assets will
first be used to repay
Provide Subordinated tranches the most senior
credit (junior tranches) creditors
protection
to the senior Subordinated tranches Losses are allocated
classes (junior tranches) from the bottom up
MODULE 18: ASSET-BACKED SECURITY (ABS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
392 Student’s notes
Credit enhancement
Credit enhancement
2. Overcollateralization
Example: A bond issue of $100 million with collateral value of $110 million
has excess collateral of $10 million.
Credit enhancement
The excess spread (or excess interest cash flow) can be retained and
deposited into a reserve account as a first line of protection against losses.
The excess spread can be used to retire the principal, with the most senior
tranche having the first claim on these funds – “turboing” process.
MODULE 18: ASSET-BACKED SECURITY (ABS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
395 Student’s notes
Securitization process
Time Time
During the lockout (revolving) period
Any principal repayments from the pool of
Over time, some of the loans will receivables are used to purchase additional
be paid off receivables to maintain the size of the pool
MODULE 18: ASSET-BACKED SECURITY (ABS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
397 Student’s notes
• Auto loan ABS are backed by auto loans and lease receivables
• Backed by Amortizing Loans
Cash flows for auto loan-backed securities consist of regularly scheduled monthly
interest and principal payments and prepayments*.
Automobile loan ABS all have some sort of credit enhancements to make them
attractive to institutional investors
MODULE 18: ASSET-BACKED SECURITY (ABS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
398 Student’s notes
Extend a loan to
Issuer of
Cardholder
credit card
Repay the amount borrowed
Credit cards may be These receivables for the credit card company are
issued by banks, used as collateral for credit card receivable-
retailers, and travel backed securities
and entertainment
companies. A pool of credit card receivables
3. Solar ABS
The key to whether a CDO is viable depends upon whether a structure can be
created that offers a competitive return for the equity tranche
MODULE 18: ASSET-BACKED SECURITY (ABS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
402 Student’s notes
The return in excess of what is paid out to the bond classes accrues to the
holders of the equity tranche and to the CDO manager.
Interest payment like a other traditional bonds
Restrictive covenants are placed on the manager to ensure that the credit
ratings assigned to the various tranches at issuance are maintained during the
term of the CDO.
Certain restrictions are placed on the manager (via various tests and limits) to
ensure that the senior bond classes are adequately protected and the ratings
issued to the bond classes are maintained.
Failure to meet these tests may trigger an immediate payoff to the senior bond
classes until the tests are satisfied.
The major difference between an ABS and a CDO is that in an ABS the cash flows
from the collateral pool are used to pay off bondholders without the active
management of collateral
CLO Collateral
Senior Selected for • Diversifed portfolio of
Secured Loans CLO Collateral Pool senior secured loans
Unsecured/ • Value of collateral
Suborrdinated Debt exceeds value of CLO debt
• Generally 100-225 Issuers
Equity • Actively managed by
collateral manager
AAA Tranche
CLO Capital
Structure
AA Tranche
BBB Tranche
BB Tranche
LEARNING OUTCOMES
1. Structure of a securitization
Structure of the securitization can also be structured with multiple classes of securities
(tranches), each with a different claim to the cash flows of the underlying assets.
Distribute Tranche 1
With this structure, a
to particular risk of the ABS
Secutities Tranche 2
… securities is redistributed
across the tranches.
Tranche n
With each risk above, the structure of a securitization may allow the redistribution of
them to into tranches, some bear more of the risk and others bear less of the risk
→ The total risk is unchanged, simply reapportioned.
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
409 Student’s notes
1. Structure of a securitization
This structure redistribute the credit risk associated with the collateral
Allow investors to choose the level of credit risk that they prefer to bear.
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
410 Student’s notes
1. Structure of a securitization
In this structure, Bond Class A is the senior bond class whereas both Bond
Class B and Bond Class C are subordinated bond classes from the perspective
of Bond Class A.
The rules for the distribution of losses are as follows.
Bond Class C → Bond Class B → Bond Class A
• If the losses on the collateral do not exceed US $6 million. no losses will
be realized by Bond Class A or Bond Class B.
• If the losses exceed US $6 million, Bond Class B must absorb the losses
up to an additional US $14 million
For example, if the total loss on the collateral is US $16 million, Bond Class C
loses its entire par value of US $6 million and Bond Class B realizes a loss of
US $10 million of its par value of US $14 million.
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
411 Student’s notes
1. Structure of a securitization
Time tranching is the process in which a set of bond classes or tranches is created
that allow investors a choice in the type of prepayment risk that they prefer to
bear.
2. Prepayment risk
Contraction risk is the risk that Extension risk is the risk that
prepayments will be more rapid than prepayments will be slower than
expected expected
You have only $100, but you want to buy a house for $1,000. Therefore, you
decide to lend the bank a residential mortgage loan of $900, where it’s secured
by this house.
The mortgage gives the lender the right to foreclose on the loan
Borrower fails to make her mortgage payments, the lender has the right to seize
the property and recover the amount due by selling it.
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
414 Student’s notes
At initiation
Borrower’s equity = the down payment
Mortgage loan’s term
Over time
Borrower’s equity also changes
Loan-to- value (LTV) ratio is the ratio of the amount of the mortgage loan to
the purchase price.
Mortgage loan value
LTV =
Assets′ s purchase price
Implication:
Lower The LTV ratio Higher
2.5.
Rights of the 2.1.
Lender in a Maturity
Foreclosure
2.4. Mortgage
Prepayment design 2.2.
Options and Interest Rate
Prepayment Determination
Penalties
2.3.
Amortization
Schedule
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
418 Student’s notes
2.1. Maturity
The interest rate on a mortgage is called the mortgage rate or contract rate
b. Adjustable-rate mortgage
d. Convertible
(ARM) or variable-rate mortgage
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
419 Student’s notes
a. Fixed rate
The mortgage rate remains the same during the life of the mortgage.
An ARM usually have a maximum interest rate by which the mortgage rate
can change at a reset date and a maximum interest rate that the mortgage
rate can reach during the mortgage’s life.
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
420 Student’s notes
The mortgage rate is fixed initially for a specified period and is then
adjusted to a new fixed rate or ARM
Time
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
421 Student’s notes
d. Convertible
The mortgage rate is initially either fixed or adjustable. At some point, the
borrower having an option to convert the mortgage into a fixed rate or
adjustable rate for the remaining term of the mortgage.
Mortgage
rate
Fixed term
ARM
Fixed term
Time
Convert Convert
point point
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
422 Student’s notes
a. Prepayment Options
A mortgage loan may allow the borrower to prepay a portion (or the entire
amount) of the outstanding mortgage principal at any point during the term
of the mortgage.
The effect of a prepayment option is that the cash flow amounts and timing
from a mortgage cannot be known with certainty
b. Prepayment Penalties
Prepayment penalty mortgages may stipulate that the borrower pay some
sort of penalty if she prepays within a certain time period following
inception or the mortgage
They compensate the lender for the difference between the contract rate
and the prevailing mortgage rate if the borrower prepays when interest rates
decline.
Securitization process
RMBS
Agency RMBS
Issued by Federal agencies Issued by GSE
Federal agencies refer to GSEs such as Fannie Mae and
Government National Mortgage Freddie Mac.
Association (GNMA or Ginnie Mae),
a part of the US Department of
Housing and Urban Development.
The RMBS are guaranteed by the RMBS issued by GSEs do not carry
full faith and credit of the US the full faith and credit of the US
government government.
There is no credit risk for agency There is minimal credit risk for
RMBS issued by Ginnie Mae agency RMBS issued by GSEs
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
429 Student’s notes
The cash flows of a mortgage pass-through security depend on the cash flows of
the underlying pool of mortgages.
The cash flows consist of
• Monthly mortgage payments (interest) Cash payments are made to security
• The scheduled repayment of principal holders each month.
• Prepayments
Mortgage 1 Investor 1
Mortgage 2 Investor 2
Cash Cash
… flows Pool flows …
Mortgage n Investor n
The amount and timing of
Cash flows collected Cash flows paid to
from the collateral investors in the pass-
pool of mortgages through securities
2.1. Characteristics
Mortgage rate on
Servicing and
The pass- the underlying
guaranteeing
through rate pool of mortgages
fees
(2.1.2)
The pass-through rate that the investor receives is said to be “net interest” or
“net coupon”.
2.1. Characteristics
Where:
• %Pi is the weights of each mortgage.
• Xi represents for:
o Coupon rate for mortgage i when calculating WAC.
o Remaining number of months for mortgage i when calculating WAM.
2.1. Characteristics
Example 2:
Assume that a pool includes three mortgages with the following characteristics:
Mortgage Outstanding mortgage Coupon Rate Number of Months
balance (%) to Maturity
($) (Months)
A 1,000 (10%) 5.1 34
B 3,000 (30%) 5.7 76
C 6,000 (60%) 5.3 88
The SMM reflects the dollar amount of prepayment for the month as a fraction of
the balance on the mortgage after accounting for the scheduled principal
repayment for the month.
Prepayment in month t
SMMt =
Beginning mortgage balance for month t − Scheduled principal payment in month t
Example:
A CPR of 6%, for example, means that approximately 6% of the outstanding
mortgage balance at the beginning of the year is expected to be prepaid by the
end of the year.
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
435 Student’s notes
• The PSA prepayment benchmark assumes that the monthly prepayment rate for a
mortgage pool increases as it ages (becomes seasoned).
• The PSA prepayment benchmark is defined in terms of a monthly series of CPRs
• The standard for the PSA model is 100 PSA
Example: The 100 PSA benchmark assumes the following:
• A CPR of 0.2% in Month 1.
• The CPR increases by 0.2% per year every month for the next 30 months until it
reaches 6 % per year.
• A CPR of 6% for the remaining term.
Slower or faster prepayment speeds are described in terms of percentages of 100 PSA.
Example: 75 PSA implies three quarters of the CPR of the 100 PSA benchmark, while
250 PSA implies 2.5 times the CPR of the 100 PSA benchmark.
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
436 Student’s notes
A standard practice in the bond market is to refer to the maturity of a bond. This
practice is not followed for MBS because principal repayments are made over the
life of the security.
Although an MBS has a legal maturity*, the legal maturity does not reveal much
about the actual principal repayments and the interest rate risk.
Market participants use weighted average life, or simply the average life as a
measure of the interest rate risk of a MBS.
(*) the date when the last scheduled principal repayment is due
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
437 Student’s notes
Secure
tranches) that CMO Mortgage pass-
Securities 2
have different tranche 2 through securities
exposures to
prepayment CMO Mortgage pass-
risk. Securities 3
tranche 3 through securities
The total prepayment risk of the underlying RMBS is not changed; the
prepayment risk is simply reapportioned among the various CMO tranches.
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
438 Student’s notes
Another CMO structure has one or more planned amortization class (PAC)
tranches and support tranches.
When the cash flow from mortgage loans is sufficient to fulfil all required
principal repayment
Cash flow from mortgage loans in one year
$15 millions
Required principal
10
repayments this year
2
PAC tranche Support tranche
Required principal
10
repayments this year 2
PAC tranche Support tranche
Extension risk
Principal repayments
to the support
tranche are curtailed 10 1
so the scheduled PAC
1
payments can be PAC tranche Support tranche
made
Actual principal repayments this year
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
443 Student’s notes
When the prepayment rate is within the PAC band, all prepayment risk is
absorbed by the support tranche.
When the prepayment rate is outside the PAC band → broken PAC
→ PAC tranche will absorb the prepayment risk.
The key to the prepayment protection that PAC tranches offer investors is
the amount of support tranches outstanding
Although the collateral pays a fixed rate, it is possible to create a tranche with a
floating rate
Constructing a floater and an inverse floater combination from any of the fixed-
rate tranches in the CMO structure.
• The floater varies positively with interest rates They offset
• the inverse floater varies negatively with interest rates each other
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
445 Student’s notes
4. Non-Agency RMBS
Private conduits
Non-conforming Non-agency
mortgages* Pool RMBS
4. Non-Agency RMBS
Non-agency RMBS are not guaranteed by the government or a GSE, so credit risk
is an important consideration
These credit enhancements allow investors to reduce credit risk or transfer credit
risk between bond classes → enabling investors to choose the risk–return profile
that best suits their needs.
Evaluation:
• A ratio greater than 1 means that cash flow from the property covers debt
servicing costs adequately.
• The higher the ratio, the lower the credit risk.
MODULE 19: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITY (MBS)
INSTRUMENT AND MARKET FEATURES
450 Student’s notes
The basic CMBS structure is created to meet the risk and return needs of the
CMBS investor
The highest-rated
tranche 1
tranche
Priority order
Subordination is
Each CMBS is Tranches are
used to achieve tranche 2
segregated into ordered by the
the desired credit rating
tranches …
credit rating
The lowest-rated
tranche n
tranche
Two characteristics that are usually specific to CMBS structures are the presence
of call protection and a balloon maturity provision.
1.2.1. Call Protection
This exposes investors to balloon risk - the borrower fails to make the balloon payment
The borrower fails to make The lender may extend the loan over a
the balloon payment period known as the “workout period”
05/01/2024