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VVI Presentation - Aug 2023 - Final
VVI Presentation - Aug 2023 - Final
VIETNAM ETFs
Contents
1. Vietnam Tracking Indices
2. Expansion of Local ETFs
3. Putting on a Scale: AUM and Liquidity
4. DCVFM ETFs: Portfolio Analysis
5. Portfolio Mgmt: Cyclical Allocation
VIETNAM TRACKING INDICES
DEVELOPMENT STORY
JUL 2000 MAY 2007 DEC 2007 NOV 2008 FEB 2012 JAN 2014 SEP 2014
JAN 2016 OCT 2016 JULY 2017 JAN 2019 SEP 2019 NOV 2019 NOV 2021
VNX ALLSHARE INDEX HOSE VN SUSTAINABILITY INDEX HOSE THEMATIC INDEX SERIES
(VNSI INDEX)
The index accounts for 92% of • VN Diamond Index: component
Vietnamese stock market’s total Developed by HOSE in collaboration with the stocks are those with highest
capitalization and nearly 94% of the German Cooperation Agency (GIZ) and the proportion of foreign investment,
State Securities Commission of Vietnam.
market’s trading value. market capitalization and liquidity.
Launch Explored
Depositary Receipt - Feeder
- Synthetic
- Depositary receipt
- Cross list
Explored
- Feeder
Explored
- Feeder
- Synthetic
1,200 1,100
1,000 1,000
Coinciding Growth
600
KINDEX 800
Product Launch Thai DR
Product Launch
400 700
DCVFM VN30 KINDEX VN30 Xtracker FTSE VanEck Vietnam VNINDEX (Right) 6
GAINING MOMENTUM
2016 to 2018
1,200
3.00
1,100
2.50
1,000
2.00
VN30 ETF trading
intensifies
900
1.50
800
1.00
700
0.50
600
- 500
Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 Jan-17 Apr-17 Jul-17 Oct-17 Jan-18 Apr-18 Jul-18 Oct-18
7
VN30 Traded Value Against VNI (%) VNINDEX (Right)
METAMORPHOSIS
2020 onwards
OVERSEAS ETFs
CSOP FTSE
Premia FTSE
Vietnam 30 ETF
BaoViet Fund
Mirae Asset VN30 IPA AM VN100
Diamond
DCVFM Midcap
8
From the one VN30 ETF… … to a more crowded playground
METAMORPHOSIS
2020 onwards
1,300
2,500
1,200
2,000 1,100
1,500 1,000
900
1,000
800
500
700
- 600
Jan-20 Apr-20 Jul-20 Oct-20 Jan-21 Apr-21
DCVFM VN30 DCVFM DIAMOND SSIAM FIN LEAD SSIAM VN30 VNINDEX
Premia FTSE Fubon FTSE VN30 Asian Cubs KINDEX VN30 9
METAMORPHOSIS
2020 onwards
7.00 1,400
1,300
6.00
1,200
5.00
1,100
4.00
1,000
3.00
900
2.00
800
1.00 700
- 600
Jan-20 Apr-20 Jul-20 Oct-20 Jan-21 Apr-21 Jul-21
DCVFMVN30 (% of VNI) Diamond (% of VNI) FinLead (% of VNI) VNI
10
PUTTING IT ON
A SCALE 1200
AUM vs LIQUIDITY – 30 JULY 2023
AUM ($m)
800
VANECK VECTORS
VIETNAM ETF
600
XTRACKERS FTSE
VIETNAM SWAP ETF
DCVFMVN30 ETF
400
KIM KINDEX
VIETNAM VN30 ETF
200
11
OFFSHORE VIETNAM ETFs
Fubon FTSE Vietnam ETF FTSE Vietnam 30 Index Apr-21 TWSE 931.93 19%
THE PLAYGROUND
VanEck Vectors Vietnam ETF MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Aug-09 CBOE 619.9 23%
Xtrackers FTSE Vietnam Swap ETF FTSE Vietnam Index Feb-08 Multiple 395.0 19%
Premia MSCI Vietnam ETF MSCI Vietnam Index Jul-19 SEHK 18.0 14%
Asian Growth CUBS ETF Fund Active management Jun-21 NYSE 10.3 2%
GlobalX MSCI Vietnam ETF Fund MSCI Vietnam IMI Select 25/50 Index Jul-21 NYSE 7.7 21%
CSOP FTSE Vietnam 30 ETF FTSE Vietnam 30 Index Sep-22 HKEX 3.8 19%
* As of 30 Jul 2023
Dragon Capital – Vietnam ETFs 12
ONSHORE VIETNAM ETFs
YTD Returns* 2022 Returns 2021 Returns
ETFs Index Launch AUM ($m)
(%) (%) (%)
DCVFM VN Diamond ETF HOSE VN Diamond Index Apr-20 882.9 19.2% -23.4% 67.9%
THE PLAYGROUND
DCVFMVN30 ETF HOSE VN30 Index Aug-14 368.6 23.1% -35.9% 45.4%
SSI VNFinLead ETF HOSE VN Finlead Index Jul-20 186.5 31.9% -37.1% 65.7%
Mirae Asset VN30 ETF HOSE VN30 Index Dec-20 16.4 22.5% -36.4% 44.9%
KIM Growth VN30 ETF HOSE VN30 Index Jan-22 13.6 22.4% -36.8% N/A
VinaCapital VN100 ETF HOSE VN100 Index Jun-20 12.2 22.4% -36.3% 45.8%
KIM Growth FinSelect ETF HOSE VN FinSelect Index Nov-22 12.2 26.7% N/A N/A
Mirae Asset Diamond ETF HOSE VN Diamond Index Mar-23 9.1 N/A N/A N/A
SSI VNX50 ETF VNX50 Index Nov-14 6.5 23.7% -40.0% 51.6%
SSI VN30 ETF HOSE VN30 Index Jun-20 4.9 22.0% -37.1% 47.2%
DCVFM VNMidcap ETF HOSE VN Midcap Index Sep-22 4.0 26.4% N/A N/A
IPAAM VN100 ETF HOSE VN100 Index Oct-21 2.1 21.0% -37.1% N/A
FPT Capital VNX50 ETF VNX50 Index Jun-23 0.3 N/A N/A N/A
* As of 30 Jul 2023
Dragon Capital – Vietnam ETFs 13
DRAGON CAPITAL ETFs
VN30 ETF DIAMOND ETF MIDCAP ETF
TOTAL NAV VND8,996.7b (US $379.8m) TOTAL NAV VND21,238.9b (US $896.6m) TOTAL NAV VND 106.4 b (US $4.5m)
NAV PER SHARE VND21,143.9 (US $0.9) NAV PER SHARE VND 26,678.7 (US $1.1) NAV PER SHARE VND 10,230.7 (US $0.4)
Dividend Yield (%) 2.0 Dividend Yield (%) 1.9 Dividend Yield (%) 1.8
Beta (vs VNI) 1.10 Beta (vs VNI) 1.06 Beta (vs VNI) 1.13
Standard Dev. (%) 23.0 Standard Dev. (%) 23.5 Standard Dev. (%) 25.0
Materials,
7.1% Brokers,
7.3%
60.0
40.0
VN30 TR – 23.9%
30.0
6.0
VNI TR – 22.3%
20.0
3.6 2.1
10.0
1.4 1.7 3.1 3.0 3.4
2.0 1.2
0.5 0.6 0.8 0.0
0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 -0.2 0.2 0.2
0.0
-10.0
-0.4
-2.0 -20.0
Banks Consumer Energy Financial F&B Insurance Materials Real Estate Software & Transportation Utilities
Discretionary Services Services
Contribution to Returns - VN30 (%) (Left) Contribution to Returns - VNI (%) (Left) VN30 Total Returns (%)
VNI Total Returns (%) Sector Returns - VN30 (%) (Right) Sector Returns - VNI (%) (Right)
15
PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS: DIAMOND ETF
10.4 40.0
9.3
9.0
30.0
VNI TR – 22.3%
3.2 3.4
1.8 10.0
1.1
1.0 0.5 0.4 0.6
0.0 0.1 1.5 0.2
0.0
-1.3
-3.0 -10.0
Banks Capital Goods Consumer Consumer Durables Materials Real Estate Software & Services Transportation
Discretionary
Contribution to Returns - Diamond ETF (%) (Left) Contribution to Returns - VNI (%) (Left) Diamond ETF Total Returns (%)
VNI Total Returns (%) Sector Returns - Diamond ETF (%) (Right) Sector Returns - VNI (%) (Right)
16
PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS: MIDCAP ETF
Midcap ETF Total Returns vs VNI Total Returns (% VND)
As of 31 July 2023
90.0
% %
10.0 9.3 80.0
70.0
60.0
5.9
6.0 5.4 50.0
4.9
4.4
40.0
3.4
Midcap ETF TR – 27.1% 30.0
2.9 3.1
2.0 VNI TR – 22.3% 1.4 20.0
1.8 1.7
0.6 0.6 0.8
0.4 0.5 1.1 0.3
0.2 0.1 0.0
0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 10.0
-0.5 0.0
-2.0 -10.0
Banks Capital Goods Consumer Consumer Energy Financial F&B Materials Real Estate Software & Technology Transportation Utilities
Discretionary Durables Services Services
Contribution to Returns - Midcap ETF (%) (Left) Contribution to Returns - VNI (%) (Left) Midcap ETF Total Returns (%)
VNI Total Returns (%) Sector Returns - Midcap ETF (%) (Right) Sector Returns - VNI (%) (Right)
17
PORTFOLIO MGMT:
CYCLICAL ALLOCATION
600,000 525,892
440,752 420,742
VND bn 385,578
304,443
340,645 358,242
accompanied by Local Retail
400,000 449,623
269,801 245,509
256,336
212,895
200,000 244,220
170,427
-
Jan-21 Mar-21 May-21 Jul-21 Sep-21 Nov-21 Jan-22 Mar-22 May-22 Jul-22 Sep-22 Nov-22 Jan-23 Mar-23 May-23 Jul-23
80%
60%
87.0% 83.0% 86.0% 89.0% 87.0% 88.0% 85.0% 86.0% 86.0% 87.0%
40% 82.0% 82.0% 82.0% 77.0% 82.0% 80.0%
20%
0%
Jan-21 Mar-21 May-21 Jul-21 Sep-21 Nov-21 Jan-22 Mar-22 May-22 Jul-22 Sep-22 Nov-22 Jan-23 Mar-23 May-23 Jul-23
600,000 525,892
440,752
420,742
VND bn 385,578
304,443
400,000 340,645 358,242 449,623
269,801 245,509
256,336
212,895
200,000 244,220
170,427
-
Jan-21 Mar-21 May-21 Jul-21 Sep-21 Nov-21 Jan-22 Mar-22 May-22 Jul-22 Sep-22 Nov-22 Jan-23 Mar-23 May-23 Jul-23
..as Mid Cap
80%
20.4% 22.3% 46.5%
28.3% 39.5% 41.5%
60% 42.0%
28.0% 33.7% 39.8% 41.6% 46.3% 48.0%
36.3% 36.8%
40.0%
40%
48.0% 59.6% 58.0%
45.7% 46.1% 44.2% 38.2%
20% 41.5% 37.0% 36.4% 39.7% 37.7% 41.7%
30.5% 34.2% 33.6%
0%
Jan-21 Mar-21 May-21 Jul-21 Sep-21 Nov-21 Jan-22 Mar-22 May-22 Jul-22 Sep-22 Nov-22 Jan-23 Mar-23 May-23 Jul-23
1400
8.0
1200
6.0 1000
800
4.0
600
2.0 400
350 150
300 140
250 130
200 120
150 110
100 100
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Number of months in bull cycle Number of months in bull cycle
VN30 2014 - 2018 VNMID 2014 - 2018
VN30 2020 - 2022 VNMID 2020 - 2022 VN30 2022 - Present VNMID 2022 - Present
22
CROSS-CHECK:
US MARKET S&P 500 vs S&P MIDCAP PERFORMANCE IN BULL CYCLES
220
400
200
350
Return
Return
180
300
250 160
200 140
150 120
100
100
56
11
16
21
26
31
36
41
46
51
61
66
71
76
81
86
91
96
1
6
111
101
106
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61
Number of months in bull market Number of months in bull market
S&P 500 1990-2000 S&P MID 1990-2000 S&P 500 2002-2007 S&P MID 2002-2007
23
CROSS-CHECK:
US MARKET S&P 500 vs S&P MIDCAP PERFORMANCE IN BULL CYCLES
180
400
170
350
160
Return
Return
300 150
140
250
130
200
120
150
110
100 100
13
43
73
19
25
31
37
49
55
61
67
79
85
91
97
1
7
103
109
115
121
127
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
S&P 500 2009-2020 S&P MID 2009-2020 S&P 500 2020-2021 S&P MID 2020-2021
24
INVEST IN VIETNAM
USING ETFs
Strategic vs Tactical Beta across Cycles
► Large Cap ETFs allocation as beta play for ► Allocation according to business/economic
market exposure cycle to amplify portfolio efficiencies
► Large Cap ETFs as core component of Vietnam ► Core beta allocation is still recommended for
portfolio risk management
► Tactical allocation in thematic/sector ETFs to
generate alpha
► Understanding of ETFs features and issuers’ ► Avoid placing large bids on the exchange &
quality and operations place bids in moderate quantities
► Analysis of ETFs’ market cap and liquidity ► Avoid placing bids in the ATO & ATC sessions
► Analysis of ETFs’ premium and discount ► Trade directly with brokers on larger quantities