The population of a locality as obtained from a census report is as follows.

Estimate the population from

Q.1 incremental increase methods. Plot the results in a graphical format and comment on the relative results

Data: Answers:
Arithmetic Geometric Incremental
Year Population Increase Increase Increase
1960 29000 2030
1970 37500 2040
1980 47000 2050
1990 57000
2000 66500 Comment:

Determine the future population of a satellite town for the year 2050, the census records of which are a
Q.2 way and provide a justification to it.

Year Population Answer:

1980 20000 Year Population
1990 37500 2050
2000 47000
2010 57000 Justification:
2020 66500
timate the population from 2030 to 2050 using Arithmetic increase, geometric increase and
ment on the relative results from 3 methods.

Graph:

nsus records of which are available as mentioned below. Use a suitable population forecasting
 Arithmetic Increase Method Geometric Increase Method

Data: Data:
Increase in
Year Population population Year Population

1930 25000 1930 25000

1940 28000 1940 28000
1950 34000 1950 34000
1960 42000 1960 42000
1970 47000 1970 47000

Constants: Constants:
No. of decades No. of decades
Total increase Total % increase
Average increase/ decade (x) Geometric average

Forecast Forecast
Year Population n Year Population
1980 1980
1990 1990
2000 2000
ometric Increase Method Incremental Increase Method

Data:
Increase in %Increase in Increase in Incremental
population population Year Population population Increase

1930 25000
1940 28000
1950 34000
1960 42000
1970 47000

Constants:

No. of decades
Average increase

Forecast
n Year Population n
1980
1990
2000