GRADES 1 to 12 School MORONG NATIONAL HIGH SCHOOL Grade Level 11

Teacher EVANGELINE M. FECHALIN Learning Area STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY

Daily Lesson Plan Teaching Dates and Time WEEK 3 FEB12-16, 2023 Quarter Third

Session 1 Session 2 Session 3 Session 4

I. OBJECTIVES
A. Content Standards The learner demonstrates understanding of key concepts of random variables and probability distributions.
B. Performance Standards The learner is able to apply an appropriate random variable for a given real-life problem (such as in decision making and games of chance).
C. Learning At the end of the lesson, the learner is able At the end of the lesson, the learner is able At the end of the lesson, the learner is able At the end of the lesson, the learner is
Competencies/Objectives to: to: to: able to:
1. Classify the random variable as 1. Construct probability mass 1. Define and illustrate mean of a 1. Interpret the mean and the
discrete and continuous function of a discrete random Discrete Random Variable variance of a discrete random
2. Apply the concept of the variable and its corresponding 2. Calculate the mean and the variable.
probability distribution of a histogram. variance of a discrete random 2. Solve problems involving mean
discrete random variable. 2. Compute probabilities variable. and variance of probability
3. Solve problems involving corresponding to a given random 3. Solve problems in real life distributions.
probability distribution of a variable. situation 3. Solve problems in real life
discrete random variable. 3. Solve problems in real life M11/12SP-IIIb-1, 2 situation.
4. Construct probability mass situation
function of a discrete random M11/12SP-IIIa – 4, 5, 6 Note: CATCH-UP FRIDAY AND
variable and its corresponding INTEGRATION ACTIVITES.
bar graph / histogram. (See attached TG , and Project DEAR)
M11/12SP-IIIa – 4, 5, 6
II. CONTENT Application: Find the probability – Quiz: Mean and Variance of a discrete random Mean and Variance of a discrete random
Probability distribution of a discrete random Probability distribution of a discrete random variable. variable.
variable. variable.
Mass function M11/12SP-IIIb-3, 4
Bar graph / histogram

III. LEARNING RESOURCES

A. References
1. Teacher’s Guide pages
2. Learner’s Materials pages
3. Textbook pages
4. Additional Materials from Learning
Resource (LR) portal
B. Other Learning Resources
IV. PROCEDURES
A. Reviewing previous
presenting the new lesson
B. Establishing a purpose for the lesson
http://2012books.lardbucket.org
trekhttp://stattrek.com/probability/
probability-problems
lesson or 1. Give exercises in classifying random variable
as discrete and continuous
Make the students present the data on 3 coins
Including the bar graph/histogram
The review will lead to explain probability
distribution and answering questions and
http://2012books.lardbucket.org
trekhttp://stattrek.com/probability/
probability-problems
Review how to solve problems having the
concept on Probability distribution of a
discrete random variable.
Preparation:
A discrete random variable X has the
http://2012books.lardbucket.org
trekhttp://stattrek.com/probability/
probability-problems
http://www.futureaccountant.com/theory-of-
expectation-random-variable/problems-
solutions/probability-distribution-mean-
variance.php
Present a table on discrete random variable
- Selling Pizza
Ask the class to obtain the Average Sale of
selling Pizza
http://2012books.lardbucket.org
trekhttp://stattrek.com/probability/
probability-problems
http://www.futureaccountant.com/theory-
of-expectation-random-variable/problems-
solutions/probability-distribution-mean-
variance.php
Review - discussion transpired regarding
mean and variance of the discrete
random variable
Consider the last problem given
What is should be done with the result
obtained from mean and variance of the

C. Presenting examples/ instances of the
new lesson
D. Discussing new concepts and
practicing new skills #1
E. Discussing new concepts and
practicing new skills #2
F. Developing mastery
(Leads to Formative Assessment 3)
solution to the probability
From flipping 3 coins, what is the
probability of getting 2 or more heads
A fair coin is tossed twice. Let X be the
number of heads that are observed.
Construct the probability distribution of X.
Find the probability that at least one head is
observed.
Construct a table for the number of sales of
pizza to 500 customers
The no. of pizzas the customers order = 1,
2, 3, 4, 5, 6 and sold to 225, 170, 55,20, 20,
10 respectively
following probability distribution: This is to illustrate mean of the discrete
X = -1 0 1 4 random variable
P(X) = 0.2 0.5 a 0.1 Define and illustrate mean of the discrete
Compute each of the following quantities. random variable
a. a.
b. P(0). μ = E(X) = ΣxP(x)
c. P(X> 0).
d. P(X≥ 0).
e. P(X ≤ −2)
Quiz to be given: Find the mean of the discrete random
A pair of fair dice is rolled. Let X denote the variable X whose probability distribution is
sum of the number of dots on the top faces.
a. Construct the probability distribution of X. x −2 1 2 3.5
b. Find P(X≥ 9). P(x) 0.21 0.34 0.24 0.21
c. Find the probability that X takes an even
value.
d. P(7).
e. P(X> 3).
A service organization in a large town
organizes a raffle each month. One
thousand raffle tickets are sold for
P1 each. Each has an equal chance of
winning. First prize is P300, second prize is
P200, and third prize is P100. Let X denote
the net gain from the purchase of one ticket.
a. Construct the probability distribution of X.
b. Find the probability of winning any
money in the purchase of one ticket.
c. Find the expected value of X
Define and illustrate Variance
σ2 = Σ(x−μ)2 P(x)
σ2 =[Σx2 P(x)]−μ2
Find the variance of the given problem
above
A discrete random variable X has the
following probability distribution:
X = -1 0 1 4
P(X) = 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.1
Compute each of the following quantities.
discrete random variable?
Discuss how to interpret.
Refer to this problem to illustrate how to
interpret an event:
A service organization in a large town
organizes a raffle each month. One
thousand raffle tickets are sold for
P1 each. Each has an equal chance of
winning. First prize is P300, second prize
is P200, and third prize is P100. Let X
denote the net gain from the purchase of
one ticket.
a. Construct the probability distribution of
X.
b. Find the probability of winning any
money in the purchase of one ticket.
c. Find the expected value of X, and
interpret its meaning.
Five thousand lottery tickets are sold for
$1 each. One ticket will win $1,000, two
tickets will win $500 each, and ten tickets
will win $100 each. Let X denote the net
gain from the purchase of a randomly
selected ticket.
Construct the probability distribution of X.
Refer from the problem above
Compute the expected value E(X) of X.
Interpret its meaning. c. Compute the
standard deviation σ of X.
An insurance company estimates that the
probability that an individual in a particular
risk group will survive one year is 0.9825.
Such a person wishes to buy a $150,000
one-year term life insurance policy. Let C
 Find the probability of buying the kind of a. P(0). denote how much the insurance company
pizza by the customers b. P(X> -1). charges such a person for such a policy.
c. P(X≥ 0).
d. The mean μ of X. a. Construct the probability distribution of
g. The variance σ2 of X X. (Two entries in the table will contain C.)

b. Compute the expected value E(X) of X.

G. Finding practical applications of concepts Refer to selling pizza: Determine the value C must have in order
and skills in daily living 1. How likely is it that the next for the company to break even on all such
customer will buy just one pizza? policies (that is, to average a net gain of
2. Out of 200 customers how many zero per policy on such policies). d.
would you expect to buy more Determine the value C must have in order
than 3 pizzas? for the company to average a net gain of
$250 per policy on all such policies.
H. Making generalizations and abstractions The probabilities in the probability The probability distribution of a discrete The mean μ of a discrete random variable is
about the lesson distribution of a random variable X must random variable X is a listing of each a number that indicates the average value of
satisfy the following two conditions: possible value x taken by X along with the X over numerous trials of the experiment. It
1. Each probability P(x)must be probability P(x) that X takes that value in is computed using the formula μ = Σ x P(x). •
between 0 and 1: 0 ≤ P(x) ≤ 1. one trial of the experiment. The varianceσ2 and standard deviation σ of
2. The sum of all the probabilities is a discrete random variable X are numbers
1: ΣP(x) = 1. that indicate the variability of X over
numerous trials of the experiment. They
may be computed using the formula σ2 =
[Σx2 P(x)]−μ2, taking the square root to
obtain σ.
I. Evaluating learning
J. Additional activities for application or
remediation
V. REMARKS
VI. REFLECTION
A. No. of learners who earned 80% on the
formative assessment
B. No. of learners who require additional activities
for remediation.
C. Did the remedial lessons work? No. of learners
who have caught up with the lesson.
D. No. of learners who continue to require
remediation
E. Which of my teaching strategies worked well?
Why did these work?
F. What difficulties did I encounter which my
principal or supervisor can help me solve?
G. What innovation or localized materials did I
use/discover which I wish to share with other
teachers?
Prepared by Noted by
EVANGELINE M. FECHALIN RONALD P. BANTUGAN, EdD
Math Teacher SHS-Principal II