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INSIDE

ANNIVERSARY EDITION SEPTEMBER 2023

CELEBRATING 75 YEARS OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH


2

President’s Article

Let’s leave a legacy!


GILBERT OWUSU, ORS PRESIDENT 2023-2024

A
s we commence the celebrations marking postgraduate studies, I delved into other OR methods such as
the 75th anniversary of our society, it is only optimization and simulation. OR continues to be an integral
fitting that we reflect on our remarkable part of my current role, playing a pivotal role in my
journey so far and prepare ourselves to day-to-day work.
embrace the promising opportunities
that lie ahead. The Operational Research Not so long ago, we had OR departments in most big
Society (ORS) has a rich history that dates to the early 20th organisations. However, the landscape has changed. These
century and the British Army. The primarily objective then departments have been rebranded as Analytics and have
was to apply scientific and analytical methods to military further evolved into what is now commonly known as Data
operations and decision-making during the second world war. Science or AI. Despite the name changes, the techniques
After the war, the OR Club was formed in 1948 to provide a and tools employed remain strikingly similar at their core.
platform for knowledge exchange amongst OR professionals. OR, it seems is a well-kept secret. At the start of the year, I
Subsequently, in 1953, the ORS was established, recognizing introduced my thoughts for my presidential term in a leader
the importance of operational research and its broader article for “Inside OR”. It was entitled ‘Powered by OR’.
applications beyond the military domain. Part of it dealt with our developing relationship with AI.
I would like us to use the 75th anniversary celebration as
The enduring influence and impact of operational research the springboard to underline the crucial role of Operational
on decision-making are evident in every aspect of our lives. Research (OR) in facilitating effective decision-making. A
Throughout our history, the UK has witnessed the incredible fitting legacy of our 75th anniversary would be that at some
impact of OR in decision making across government, point ‘operational research’ must inevitably transition from a
industry, the third sector and in academia. In government term in constant danger of being considered obsolete into a
policy-making, OR techniques has consistently influenced term that is timeless. We should all champion this and help
critical decisions — from models that that revolutionized cement OR into the lexicon of every business and institution.
warfare strategy in the second world war to challenges
related infrastructure build, economics and sustainability. I would finish by paying tribute to all those who have
More recently, OR techniques were instrumental in shaping contributed to our journey. We wouldn’t have come this
responses to the Covid-19 pandemic, encompassing crucial far without the unwavering passion, selfless dedication,
aspects such modelling the spread of the virus, supply chain and professionalism of our volunteers. To every committee
optimization, and vaccination scheduling. member, mentor, and advocate of OR across the country,
thank you for your invaluable contributions. We are well
Our legacy embraces an interdisciplinary approach, positioned to exploit the opportunities ahead — from
acknowledging the necessity of combining “soft” and “hard” exploring new revenue streams, enhancing our membership
models supported by rigorous research for effective decision- offering, providing the modelling rigour for assuring AI
making. We are home to both academics and practitioners, models, to playing a pivotal role in the formation of the
encouraging fruitful collaboration between domain experts Academy of Mathematical Sciences. As we venture into the
and industry professionals. Industries and the non-profit next chapter of our journey, I am confident that our combined
sector have experienced the advantages of employing OR endeavours will continue to shape the future of OR research
techniques in their daily operations and strategic planning. and practice. Thank you all for being an integral part of our
My personal involvement with OR began during my remarkable journey and may the OR Society continue to
undergraduate studies, where I was introduced to Soft amplify its relevance for many more decades to come!
Systems Methodology in my second year. Later, during my

About InsideOR
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Editor: John Crocker Advertising sales enquiries and advertising The OR Society is a trading name of The
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CONTENTS
Editorial President’s Article: Let’s leave a legacy 2
Editorial 3

Editorial
Leader
75 Years of The OR Society: Past,
Present and Future 4-5

SEPTEMBER 2023 News and Features


JOHN CROCKER, FORS

I
OR Journalist for 27 years 6
75 Volumes of the Journal 7-8
n 1948, a small group of men (alas, no women) met to
form a private members club. Their raison d’etre was The OR Club and our survival after
to promote a little known branch of the military that World War II 9
had proved of great value during WWII and which, Crossword Puzzle 10
they thought, could help British business recover
after that conflict. In 1953, membership was opened Archive collection of OR Newsletters 11
to “[anyone] engaged in some form of operational research How OR helped to save Britain
whether or not it is so called”. (see various articles by Nigel during World War II 12
Cummings and John Medhurst)
The HumOR Column 13

Patrick Blackett, the person who had done most to make Celebrating 75 years of
OR successful was, as far as records relate, not present. operational research 14
Unlike Blackett, Philip Morse, his US Navy counterpart, ISMOR 40th Birthday 15
recognised “Operations Research” (as it was called in the US)
as a potential university discipline and did much to get it The ORS throughout the years 16-17
established as such. This task, in the UK, fell to Patrick Rivett Training with the OR Society 18-19
almost ten years later.
Volunteering with the OR Society 20-21
Jumping 58 years on, Gavin Blackett (apparently no relation) WORAN 22
was appointed General Manager / Company Secretary OR Link to Quantum Navigation 23
/ Executive Director in 2006 and has done wonders in
bringing the Operational Research Society into the Twenty- Membership 24
first Century and now after 17 years, he too has moved on OR in Education 25
to IFORS and been succeeded by Seb Hargreaves (see this
SIGs 26
month’s leader).
Thank you to our members and
Volume 75 of the Journal of the Operational Research Society crossword answers 27
( JORS) will be published next year. Originally published
Prople of faith and AI 28
as the Operational Research Quarterly (ORQ) by the OR
Society, and then in 1958 by the Pergamon Press and most Pro Bono OR: 10 years in 29
recently by Taylor & Francis this provides the Society with a History of Blackett 30
very healthy percentage of its income making possible most
of the activities in which it is currently involved (see Graham The Transformative Role of AI in
Rand’s article). Operational Research 31

The Society has long been involved in providing essential


courses on all aspects of Operational Research from a Over the years, many special interest groups have come and
basic introduction through to advanced courses in various some, alas, have gone. Several of these have even generated
techniques, methods and methodologies. Today, those courses new journals alongside JORS (see Rob Wallace’s article).
are ably managed by Jennie Phelps (see also the articles by
Martin Keys and Martin Parr). Looking to the future, where will operational research and
the Operational Research Society be in, say, twenty-five
Somewhat more recently, the ORS has ventured into the years for its centenary? One thing I am reasonably confident
realms of Pro Bono – basically providing a free consultancy about is that I shall not be editing InsideOR. As with our
service to charities looking to make significant improvements courses, many of our meetings are now online. This has
to various aspects of their organisations. This work also proved particularly successful with committees, particularly
provides valuable hands on experience to new graduates, in those with international members. OR has been established
particular. (see Evelyn Hardy’s article) as an essential discipline for improving the productivity and
profitability of organisations of all shapes and sizes. It is
OR is still a major player in the country’s defence and this also an essential discipline for solving many of the World’s
year saw the 40th conference under the banner of ISMOR – problems from pandemics to climate change, but whether this
International Symposium on Military Operational Research – will be done by Operational Researchers remains to be seen.
for more about this historic event see Noel Corrigan’s article.
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75 Years of The OR Society: Past, Present and Future

75 Years of The
OR Society: Past,
Present and Future
GAVIN BLACKETT & SEB HARGREAVES, IMMEDIATE PAST & CURRENT
EXECUTIVE DIRECTORS, THE OR SOCIETY

A
s we begin our 75th anniversary celebrations,
through this special issue of InsideOR we
wanted to reflect on operational research
and explore its significance in the UK,
but the focus of this article will be the
Operational Research Society itself, the
membership body that has championed the field, helped shape
its development over the years and continues to represent the
interests of its members and the wider OR community.

The breakdown between past, present and future is one that


you’ll see repeatedly through this year of celebrations. The
definition of ‘future’ is pretty clear-cut, although the argument
could arise over what timeframe we might consider; the next
12 months, five years or 25 years? Later in this article, Seb,
as the current holder of the Secretary & General Manager /
Executive Director post, will give some thought as to what
the future of the Society might hold and what challenges will
need to be faced. In the meantime, Seb’s predecessor, Gavin,
will deal with the story of the Society up to the present time.

The differentiation between past and present here is somewhat


arbitrary. We could think about the present as my stint in
the S&GM / ED role, from 2006 to 2023, but even the
differences between the start of that spell and the end are close to my heart now!). The UK was one of the founding
quite considerable. One thing is certain – there’s too much to members alongside France and the USA. Sir Charles Goodeve
mention in the coming paragraphs, so apologies if something first held the title of Secretary, but I suspect he was rather
you think is important is overlooked! more presidential. The secretarial support during the initial
formation and growth of the Society, whomever undertook
As you can’t fail to have seen elsewhere in this issue, the OR them, must have been very different from today.
Club was first formed in 1948, initially as a private members
club. It transformed into the Society some five years later The 1960s saw an explosion in membership numbers, breaking
when it became altogether more open. The membership 1000 in 1963, 2000 in 1966 and reaching 3000 in 1969. The
numbers in 1954 broke through the 100 barrier and they still-recognisable activities of the journal and conferences
continued to rise rapidly through the 60s as OR established continued to grow and establish themselves as core to the
itself as a recognised field of study and employment. The 1950s Society’s work. We can still look back to reports in both the
saw the expansion into and beyond nationalised industries journal and the newsletter to get a glimpse into what these
and the establishment of the first Masters course lead to the entailed. In terms of administering Society matters it’s hard
initial moves of industrial pioneers into academia, thereby to get a true feeling for the pace, driven entirely by postal
setting the pattern for future membership with a strong mix of communications. Membership numbers plateaued through
academics and practitioners, something that we’re still proud the 1970s, despite this often being described as the golden
of today. The late 1950s also saw the formation of IFORS, era for OR. It certainly must have been easier for the Society
the International Federation of OR Societies (something staff, with just about every organisation of a notable size

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75 Years of The OR Society: Past, Present and Future

employing OR people, with those jobs being labelled as OR,


and collected together as the company’s OR group. Definitely
easier to identify and contact new entrants to the profession.

The 1980s and 1990s saw a number of significant events that


changed the Society’s operations, hopefully for the better.
The publishing industry became increasingly commercialised
in the late 1980s, and when the Society signed a contract
with Macmillan in 1988 (taking over from Pergamon),
its income jumped from close to £10k up to £100k. Since
then, the Society has used this source of income to fund the
vast majority of its activities. Repeated improvements to
contractual arrangements saw the income from publications
peak at over £1m last year.

Insightful investing of the Society’s reserves during this


period grew them enough to enable us to move from rented
accommodation into the Society’s own offices in the 90s,
providing a suitable home for the Society’s staff, meetings and
training courses.

This period also saw the business world and the Society enter
the electronic era. The Society was an early adopter of both
a website and email as a means of communication. Near
instantaneous communications must have transformed the
Society’s activities and administration. The arrival of micro-
computers and the explosion of computing power had a huge
impact on the wider world of OR. It also signalled the start of changing landscapes and emerging technologies. Embracing
a change in the nature of the relationship between the Society technology ourselves will allow us to provide a more tailored
and the volunteers that helped run it. and bespoke membership experience. This is important in a
competitive environment where there are many demands on
During the previously mentioned ‘golden era of OR’, working people’s time and resources.
practices meant members had time to give to the governance
of the Society – attending meetings and working on follow-up How we all engage, access and consume services and content
activities. The 2000s saw more pressure on members, limiting is changing from a traditional ‘one size fits all’ approach to
the time they were able to devote to the Society. This meant being more personalised and on-demand in nature. By
that the nature and size of the Society’s staff had to change. harnessing digital tools and offering a blended approach
Over the decade from roughly 2008 to 2018, the Society’s staff of in person and online content will help us to meet the
doubled in size and took on much more than admin matters, expectations of members, provide appropriate support and
taking responsibility for driving new initiatives. enable us to stay relevant.

So far, this article has failed to mention two almost ever- We will always be the home of Operational Research, but
present issues for the Society – the various challenges it has whether this umbrella term remains fit for purpose is a
faced and, more particularly, that of its name (and of the question that we will need to revisit. A name that describes
profession). The name ‘operational research’ has never been the various disciplines of our mathematical science which
ideal, but it’s always been judged as the best we’ve got. The reflects the terminology that our students and Universities
pressure to consider changing it has never been greater than are now using to describe what they do is important for us to
in recent years. The Society has worked really hard to present stay connected with the future pipeline of those entering or
itself as still highly relevant during the growth in analytics, engaged in the science of better decision making.
data science and most recently, AI, but will that always be
the case? Changes to publishing with the wider adoption of open access
will continue to change the balance of revenue for the Society.
So, to the future of the Operational Research Society as a We will continue to diversify income streams and seek out
membership organisation and learned society. Remaining new and innovative projects and initiatives to best meet the
relevant to our community and providing a value proposition needs of our community, achieve our vision and mission and
that attracts and retains members will remain a key challenge. retain a sustainable financial position for the longer term.
As the broad church of operational research continues to Embracing these opportunities will enable the society to
evolve, terminology and methodologies change, we must stay remain vibrant, visible and valued for the next 75 years and
abreast of these developments, by recognising and adapting to hopefully beyond.

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OR Journalist for 27 years

OR Journalist for 27
years – what makes
me tick?
NIGEL CUMMINGS

From a background running family businesses involving


real estate and hospitality venues, I faced a duality of career
diversion when I decided to move on and begin a life
in business.

Would I commence a career in optical element design


(quite a lot of maths) or continue with a fledgling interest in
journalism (specialising in science and computing), which
had already shown reward and scope for more reward, than
optical engineering?

Journalism won, and I underwent two years of ‘fast track’


re-training with the now defunct VNU Business Press, Soho
London, whilst juggling my other work interests and much
spare time training up managers to oversee family businesses.

My re-training at VNU gave access to all departments from in coherent and bifringent light wave study at certain
roles scheduling the courier department there, to devising wavelengths applicable to confocal microscopy –
advertising campaigns for the popularisation of computer but I digress.)
publishing periodicals, for consumers and computing
professionals worldwide. An early 70’s interest in computer Saxby and Gabor’s work helped combine my career
programming saw me adding ‘machine code’ listings for experiences of computing, science, optics and publishing, into
VNU magazine readers, to assemble and reassemble to one cohesive focus. My first foray into this cohesion, was to
their heart’s delight. persuade VNU publishers to consider launching holographic
magazine covers, afforded by a technology which had been
The final stage for me at VNU was to provide special projects developed, which allowed the ‘printing’ of holograms on foiled
management, where I undertook to develop cover mounted paper – a medium excellent to produce magazine front covers.
software disks across a wide range of computing platform
publications. My interest in science never waned during this My work done there, I relocated to Birmingham to develop
time though, neither did my interest in optics. a magazine called Micro Computer Mart, there I utilised
operational research methodologies to optimise distribution,
One day, spending a lunchbreak walking around London’s profit and to understand its customer segmentation – my team
Piccadilly, I came across the Trocadero centre, part of which and I undertook many analytics projects there. That magazine
was hosting an exhibition of holography. There I saw work after ten years of evolution, successfully sold to Trinity Mirror
from Denis Gabor, the father of holography, and work by my Group in 1996 (it later moved on to Dennis Publishing)
inspirational influencer, the much-published Graham Saxby,
who had a career in photography with the Royal Air Force, After the Trinity Mirror sale, I retired for a year, hated it, and
including seven years as an officer commanding Photographic sought out work with the OR Society, I succeeded in that goal.
Science Flight at the RAF Joint School of Photography. 27 years later I am still providing content for and enjoying
keeping members of the society informed on events, and new
Afterwards, Saxby joined the University of Wolverhampton, developments applicable to OR practice and academia.
teaching educational technology to trainee teachers and,
his enthusiasm for holography led him to build his own
holography laboratory there. (Saxby inspired me to experiment

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75 Volumes of the Journal

75 volumes of
the Journal
GRAHAM RAND

2024 will see the publication of the 75th volume of what


started as the Operational Research Quarterly and became, in
1978, the Journal of the Operational Research Society. It was
the world’s first OR journal.

In 1949, the initiative in its creation was taken by Sir Charles


Goodeve, a key player in the OR Club and Director of
the British Iron and Steel Research Association (BISRA).
Goodeve asked two of his staff to be joint editors. Max
Davies, his Chief Public Relations Officer, was appointed as
business editor and Roger Eddison, who had been appointed
BISRA’s Head of Operational Research in 1948, became The Journal’s milestone is tinged with sadness, as one of the
technical editor. current editors, John Boylan, died in July after a short illness
Tributes to him will be published in the journal and
In addition to individual subscriptions at an initial cost of 10 in InsideOR.
shillings (£0.50) per annum (less than £15 now) including
postage, the journal was financed through revenue being It is invidious to comment on just a few of the editors of the
raised by lectures arranged by University College, London, journal, but that doesn’t stop me doing so. Three of them were
which made a considerable profit as they were hugely over- also Presidents of the Society.
subscribed, and because the lecturers waived their fees. The
surplus was placed at the disposal of the Club to fund the Following his editorship, Roger Eddison continued to make
journal. This is quite a contrast to today when income from significant contributions to the OR profession. He was
publications dominates the OR Society accounts.

Volumes Dates Editors


1–10 1950-59 Roger Eddison and Maz Davis
11–14 1959-63 Roger Eddison
15–19 1964-68 John Lawrence
20–22 1969-71 Ray Cuninghame-Green
23–31 1972-80 Brian Haley
32–35 1981-84 Peter Amiry
36–41 1985-90 John Hough
42–47 1991-96 Graham Rand
48–52 1997-2001 John Ranyard
53–61 2002-10 Terry Williams and John Wilson
61–70 2010-19 Tom Archibald and Jonathan Crook
71–74 2020-23 John Boylan, Martin Kunc, Said Salhi and Zhe George Zhang
75– 2023 Martin Kunc, Said Salhi and Zhe George Zhang

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75 Volumes of the Journal

President of the OR Society in 1966-67 and was very involved


with the establishment of EURO, the European Association
of OR Societies, in 1975. He became its first secretary, a
position he held until 1980.

Although he left BISRA in 1955, he was appointed by the


President of the Board of Trade as a member of his Advisory
Council on Research and Development for Iron and Steel
until 1969. He joined NAAFI in 1955 as Manager of Plans
and Methods Department. In 1961 he then joined Stafford
Beer at the consultancy Sigma as Operations Director, and
when Beer left in 1966 Eddison took over as Managing
Director. He continued until 1970, when Sigma was closed
down. Then he was involved in setting up Novy, Eddison and
Partners. Harlands of Hull was an old client of Sigma’s, and he
became a Director and assisted them for several years.

Brian Haley became, in 1959, the UK’s first designated


lecturer in Operational Research, at Birmingham University,
becoming Professor in 1968. He gave over 60 years of
substantial involvement and dedicated service to the
OR Society and to the worldwide OR community. His
involvement with the OR Society began in 1954 when
he became an associate member. In 1959 he became a full
member and founded, with Neil Jessop, the Midlands OR
Society, becoming its first Secretary. Following his stint as
editor, he became President of the OR Society from 1982-83.
The focus of his service to the Society was publications. He
was the first UK contributing editor to International Abstracts
in Operations Research. He was a member of the Society’s
Publications Committee for over 20 years. Following his
retirement from academic life in 1999, Brian continued to be
involved in the OR Society’s affairs, most notably as Chair of
the Publications Committee, a position he held for a period
of 11 years. During his time as Chair, the journals in the
Society’s portfolio flourished, and he oversaw the development roles were perhaps those of founding and being the initial
of a variety of initiatives, including the birth of the Journal co-chair of the Heads of OR Committee, now Heads of
of Simulation. Not surprisingly, the OR Society bestowed OR and Analytics Forum (HORAF), in 1987, of chairing
honours on him, first with the Companionship of Operational the membership committee for five years, of chairing two
Research in 1996, and, in 2010, the Beale Medal. national conference organising committees and of initiating
and organising activities in the field of analytics. With an
Brian attended the first international OR conference, held in overriding interest in how to make OR effective, he promoted
Oxford in September 1957, which led to the creation of the and led sessions at many conferences on OR practice as well as
International Federation of Operational Research Societies doing much informal writing on the topic. He also served the
(IFORS) on 1st January 1959. He edited the proceedings wider OR community through his membership of the relevant
of two IFORS’ conferences: those held in Tokyo and Kyoto, SERC and similar committees. After 14 years as Secretary to
Japan (1975) and Toronto, Canada (1978), before becoming HORAF he retired last year. But he is still active, helping to
successively Vice-President (1983-85), Chairman of the develop articles to showcase effective and impactful OR for
Publications Committee and, from 1992-1994, President. the IFORS Newsletter.
John Ranyard, in contrast to Eddison and Haley, became
editor after having been President of the Society. Whilst The 75th volume of the Journal is being celebrated in
managing the Yorkshire unit of the British Coal OR group, several ways. The first two issues of volume 75 will each
John was active in the OR Society, becoming Chairman of the contain a detailed historical paper. The first will consider the
Yorkshire and Humberside Regional Group and representing contributions of the editors up to volume 35 in 1984. The
the group as regional member on Council, and in the Society second contains personal reflections of the editors from 1985
nationally he had taken the chair of the National Events until the present. There is a special session at OR65, which
Committee. He was President in 1988-89. will discuss, inter alia, the changing contents of the Journal,
and the changing publishers, including the time the Journal
After his presidency, he remained active in the Society as was part of Robert Maxwell’s Pergamon empire: now that’s an
chair or member of several committees. His most notable interesting story.

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The OR Club and our survival after World War II

The OR Club and our


survival after World
War II – a brief timeline
NIGEL CUMMINGS

O
perational research (OR) helped keep
the UK out of Nazi Germany’s clutches
during World War II. Patrick Blackett
and his ‘circus’ of scientists collectively
used OR practices to help win the
war, but afterward, his circus became
somewhat redundant to the military.

If operational research was to survive into any future at all,


Blackett and his scientists realised that the facts, patterns and
principles of it would have to ratified, codified, and applied to
analysis in business and organisations outside of the military.

How better to employ it then, than to use OR to rebuild war


weary Britain, to educate industry and its business leaders that
the only way to effect post war recovery, would be to apply a
‘science of better’, gain efficiencies, cheapen production and first Chairman of the IOR advisory committee. (More on
increase productivity. Sir Charles Goodeve in a future issue)

To continue public and private interest in OR a decision In 1973, the IOR agreed to an internal merger with a group of
was made to form a ‘club’, a club that extolled the practice social scientists from the TIHR with whom they had worked
of OR to a world in need of change and improvement. This for a number of years. IOR had several bases - at the TIHR in
realisation saw Patrick Blackett and other scientists, ‘found’ London, in Coventry (which became the centre from which
the OR Club in April 1948 with an initial membership of projects concerned with local government, the health service
fifty. The purpose of the original club was to hold scientific and industry were managed), and Edinburgh, where the
meetings and, from 1950, to produce a quarterly journal. This Scottish Institute for Operational Research was based. ORS
club became the Operational Research Society (ORS) in HQ moved to Birmingham in 1973, from where the Society
late 1953. continued to publish Operational Research Quarterly, which
in 1978 assumed the title Journal of the Operational Research
The Society established an office in London in 1959 and Society and comprised twelve annual issues.
was incorporated on 30th June 1960. The ORS was a
scientific body which did not engage in project work, unlike In 1979, an inter-disciplinary unit at ORS adopted the
the Institute for Operational Research (IOR) which was title Centre for Organisational and Operational Research
established 1st May 1963 within the framework of the (COOR). The COOR disbanded in 1985.
Tavistock Institute of Human Relations (TIHR) which
provided ‘an administrative and spiritual home for the new Future articles will look in depth at the growth of ORS
research institute’. The first dedicated chair in OR was
established at Lancaster University in 1964.

The idea of a spiritual home for OR, was originated within


the Operational Research Society (ORS) by Neil Jessop. Neil
Jessop was the first Director of the IOR. (Neil Jessop died
suddenly on 26 April 1969.) Sir Charles Goodeve became the

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10

Crossword Puzzle

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11

Archive collection of OR Newsletters

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12

How OR helped to save Britain during World War II

How OR
helped to
save Britain
during
WW2
NIGEL CUMMINGS

British and American scientists during World War 2 Remarkably Blackett’s team only ever consisted of 100
developed and grew a new field called operational research. scientists or so. Collectively they helped beat the U boat
This new field provided hope that Britain could win the barricade - a mere fraction of the many other scientists who
war and become able to turn back the tide of the German worked to achieve far better known triumphs in science
submarines invasions which threatened UK and European such as the breaking of the German enigma cypher by Alan
coastlines and shipping. Turing and his team at the UK’s Bletchley Park, and the
making of the atomic bomb thanks to the efforts of Robert
Operational research was a known study field as far back as Oppenheimer. (Oppenheimer, by the way was supervised at
the late 1930’s, but it really rose to prominence as a ‘battle Cambridge University by Patrick Blackett.)
beating science’ from March 1941, when the British War
Cabinet agreed to try out a new strategy to improve the Turing’s work was depicted in the 2004 film, The Imitation
efficiency and strengths of Britain’s naval war campaign Game. Whilst Robert Oppenheimer’s efforts have recently
against the German naval forces during World War II. been depicted in the July 2023 release of Christopher Nolan’s
film, Oppenheimer. Sadly, there has never been a film about
This new strategy saw the hiring of an ardent socialist, Patrick Blackett and his motley crew of scientists. Although Nolan’s
Maynard Stewart Blackett (later Baron Blackett), a former film does feature Blackett, as a character played by the actor
naval officer and a future winner of the Nobel Prize. (Blackett, James D’Arcy.
was born in 1897 in London.) He is little remembered by
society at large today, but by operational research societies Blackett and his collection of scientists were intrinsically,
worldwide, he is regarded as the founding ‘father’ an ‘odd’ collection, all assembled in one place, they were
of Operational Research. physicists, chemists, botanists, physiologists, geneticists,
insurance actuaries, economists, mathematicians and
Blackett assisted in the recruitment of a team of scientists astronomers, together they formed Blackett’s Circus’ of
from Britain and the USA, that collectively did much to win rigorous scientists. (The lives of these men and women will be
the war against Nazi Germany. As director of the UK’s World highlighted in future articles)
War Two anti-submarine defensive
All we have to remember them today, are the archives we, the
The key to Blackett’s and his companions in science, success Operational Research Society maintain, and some ‘important’
was the application of a thoroughly scientific mindset backed buildings named in the honour of the father of OR. One of
by little more than mathematics and probability theory, this these is the Blackett Laboratory, at Imperial College, London,
helped Britain win essential battles against Hitler’s Germany. part of the Faculty of Natural Sciences
and Physics.
Collectively, Blackett’s team demonstrated to disbelieving
Navy Admirals and Army Generals methods that could be
used to double and triple the effectiveness of the failing allied
campaigns against the German U boat barricade of Britain.

theorsociety.com
13

The HumOR Column

The HumOR
Column
GAVIN BLACKETT

The HumOR column first made its debut in InsideOR in mid-2010 and made regular appearances over the next three
to four years. Seemingly, I ran out of material early in 2014. Some might say I ran out of good material much earlier!
The initial hope was to make the jokes vaguely mathematical or scientific, but that good intention soon came up against
reality. Here’s a couple of my personal favourites that are (a) short, and (b) not as racy as some of those we published!

Reaching the end of a job interview, the Human Resources


Person asked a young analyst who was fresh out of his
Masters course, “What starting salary were you Three statisticians went duck hunting.
thinking about?” A duck flew up and the first statistician took a shot.
He missed, being a foot too high.
The analyst said, “In the neighbourhood of £50,000 a The second shot and was a foot too low.
year, depending on the benefits package.” The third shouted, “We hit it!”

The interviewer said, “Well, what would you say to a


package of 7 weeks holiday, full medical
and dental cover, company retirement A physicist, a chemist, an applied mathematician and
fund to 50% of salary, executive share ChatGPT were given the task of boiling a jug of water.
option scheme, profit related pay and a The physicist decided to use kinetic energy by stirring it.
company car leased every 2 years The chemist chose to use the calorithic content of methane
- say, a 5 series BMW?” and put it over the Bunsen burner. And the applied
mathematician noted that as the water was at 293 deg
The analyst sat up straight and K and boiling point of water is 373 deg K that to first
said, “Wow! Are you kidding?” approximation, the water was already boiling. ChatGPT
recognized the correlation between the average
The interviewer replied, “Yeah, temperature and CO2 levels decided to fill the room
but you started it.” with CO2…

TO FINISH WITH, A SELECTION OF ONELINERS….


I thought I’d got over my phobia of German sausages The founder of Dulux paint has been found dead of
but I’m worried it’s coming back. I fear the wurst . . . exposure at the top of a mountain. Police said he could
have done with another coat.
“We don’t allow faster than light neutrinos in here”
said the bartender. A neutrino walks into a bar. FOR SALE: Tennis racquet , with full service history!

I never wanted to believe that my Dad stole from his John F Kennedy, Indira Gandhi, John Lennon. If history
job as a road worker, but when I got home, all the teaches us anything, it’s that if you don’t want your
signs were there. child assassinated, then don’t name them after
an airport.
IKEA are to run their own schools, the curriculum will
be normal but the day will start with self-assembly . . .

Now, can you appreciate why this column was discontinued, Ed.

theorsociety.com
14 CELEBRATING 75 YEARS OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH

Celebrating 75 Years of
Operational Research
JOHN MEDHURST

The formation of the OR Club that binds us all together. By better understanding how the
in 1948 marks the beginning discipline has developed we may find ourselves in a better
of Operational Research as a position to understand our present - defining what we are and
separate scientific discipline and explaining this to others.
a distinct professional identity.
There are also enormous opportunities that have driven the
The 75 years since have been a growth of OR over the past 75 years – as a discipline OR
time of considerable social and is all about gathering, organising and using information to
technological change and OR has make better decisions. The science that has developed most
changed significantly in response to those spectacularly over the past 75 years is that dealing with the
changes, in terms of subject matter, methods generation, storage and manipulation of information.
and tools. What was once done by hand on sheets of graph
paper or using logarithm tables can now be done on our What will the discipline of OR look like in another 75 years?
mobile phones. Doubtless there will be new opportunities that come from the
continuing development of our field or from new problems and
One of the fascinations of the Netflix series The Crown was that new technologies. What are the new techniques, new tools and
the life of the late Queen encompassed and reflected the many new approaches that will drive the development of OR over the
changes in the United Kingdom and the world over that next 75 years?
same period.
Formal celebrations of the 75th anniversary will start at OR65
That makes 75 years an excellent opportunity to take stock at the University of Bath in September and will conclude at
and think about how we have progressed, what we have learnt OR66. Throughout the year we will have events and activities to
and what that might mean for the future direction of OR and celebrate our anniversary and our theme.
the Society.
This is where things come back to you. To help celebrate our
Because of this our theme for this year of celebration is the anniversary, we are looking for your stories, whether these are
Past, Present and Future of OR. about how OR has developed over the past 75 years, how it is
developing now or how it might develop in the future.
How has OR changed over the past 75 years? How has that
change happened and what has driven it – is it changes in our The story of OR is the sum of all our stories, and as part of
methodologies, changes in the society of which we are a part or our celebrations this year we would like to hear those stories,
changes in the organisations for which we work? whether that is through an email, an article in InsideOR, a video
or a webinar, so please do join in with our celebrations and let
OR has always struggled with identity. The 75th anniversary us know about your perspective on the Past, Present and Future
provides an opportunity to think seriously about what it is of OR.

theorsociety.com
ISMOR 40TH BIRTHDAY 15

40th International
Symposium on Military
Operational Research
(ISMOR 2023)
NOEL CORRIGAN, EVENTS COMMITTEE

ISMOR is the annual international symposium supported by


the UK Ministry of Defence, under the auspices of the OR
Society (through the Defence SIG). As usual, the event took
place in mid-July, based at Royal Holloway University
of London.

To celebrate the 40th Symposium the first evening included a


special visit to the Imperial War Museum in London, providing a
number of delegates with an evening to remember.

Over three days more than 100 delegates partook of a series of


workshops, and a range of presentations across six carefully
curated sessions.

The themes this year were: A plethora of sponsors provided support to the event, including
• Embracing the whole problem Sirius Analysis, BAE Systems Corda, DAS, Lockheed Martin,
• Impact at the pace of change Morshead consulting, TP Group and Roke. Their generous
• Collaboration across boundaries support ensured delegates were well provided for socially, with
a BBQ on Tuesday evening, and a gala dinner (complete with
Wednesday’s very popular workshops covered topics including port, though not passed from the left!). The Ronnie Shepherd
how to make careers in defence OR more appealing; rapid memorial address was delivered this year by Professor Nira
assessment of whole life costs and benefits; the work of the Chamberlain OBE, current President of the Mathematical
field army OR branch; and how analytical techniques can be Association, and past president of the IMA. In a thought-
used to evaluate the effectiveness of projects from a defence provoking and witty address, Nira provided a challenge to the
economics perspective. defence OR community – how can we continue to be scientists
and not descend into numerology under the influence of AI?
The keynote address was delivered by Mr Eric Kim, Executive
Director, Office of Strategic Intelligence and Analysis, at the US The Eugene Visco award for the best presentation by an early
Department of Defence. career analyst was won by Adam Beckett from Roke for his
paper on “Rapid analysis in a congested environment” which
The big debate posed the question “Is Military OR ready for showed how the rapid analysis of emissions data can be used
Artificial Intelligence”. Perhaps not surprisingly, the symposium to enhance the field training experience for the British Army.
felt the answer is yes. A fuller report on the debate will be
provided in a future edition of InsideOR. Reassuringly, when The David Faddy award for the overall best presentation was
asked, Chat GPT’s response was consistent with the findings won by Elizabeth Burn of Dstl. Her paper “Finding space to play
of the debate participants. wargames” provided an excellent overview of the UK defence
space strategy, and how space has been incorporated into
During the Symposium, analysts from the UK Defence industry, wargames to the benefit of all the front-line commands.
Dstl, academia, NATO, the RAF, and Canadian DRDC delivered
papers. To strengthen links between ISMOR and the US MORS, All the presentations will soon be available in PDF format on the
an innovation this year was the Eugene Visco prize winning OR Society website, through the Defence SIG page, where the
presentation, delivered by Paul Fanto from the Institute of full archive of ISMOR papers is also available.
Defence Analysis.

theorsociety.com
16 THE ORS THROUGHOUT THE YEARS

The ORS 1964

throughout The first chair in operations research


was created at the newly formed
University of Lancaster in 1964.

the years
Similar developments have taken
place in most countries in which a
national operations research society
exists. Membership levels grew
steadily, the original fifty had swelled
to a total of around 1250 members
1953 in 1964. Membership of the society
is currently around 3,100. By 1962,
The Operational Research Society (ORS) is the definition had been expanded to:
founded. Volume 1, No 1 of Operational Research “Operational Research is the attack
Quarterly (ORQ) is duly published in March of modern science on complex
1950 – the first editors were Max Davies and problems arising in the direction and
Roger T Eddison. The main purpose of ORQ is to management of large systems of
assemble in one place as much as possible of the men, machines, material and money
information that OR workers now find (or fail to in industry, business,
find) scattered widely over the very large body of
the scientific and technical literature. The method
is to provide a quarterly collection of abstracts of
relevant papers and articles, taken from as wide a
field as possible.

1952
In 1952 a curriculum leading
to a master’s and doctoral
1948 degree was established at the
Case Institute of Technology
The first appearance of operations research as an (now Case Western Reserve
academic discipline came in 1948 when a course University) in Cleveland.
in non-military techniques was introduced at the Since then, many major
Massachusetts Institute of Technology in Cambridge. academic institutions in the
The Operational Research Club is founded April 1948 United States have introduced
with an initial membership of fifty. programs. In the United
Kingdom courses were
initiated at the University
of Birmingham in the
early 1950s.

theorsociety.com
THE ORS THROUGHOUT THE YEARS 17

1980
The explosive growth of personal computers in
business organisations in the early 1980s spawned a
parallel growth in software to assist in decision making.
These tools include spreadsheet programs for analysing
complex problems with trails that have different sets of
data, data base management programs that permit the
orderly maintenance and manipulation of vast amounts
of information, and graphics programs that quickly and
easily prepare professional-looking displays of data.

2010
The OR Society continues to be an innovator and leader
in its field. Today the society has around 3,100 members
in 53 countries who receive a wide range of services and
benefits. The society’s training programme is one of the most
comprehensive OR training programmes in the world. Its
annual conference is the largest national conference outside
the USA, and its series of New to OR conferences is the world’s
leading conference for those at the start of their careers.

1978
The first scholarly journal, 2023
the Operational Research
Quarterly, published in The society celebrates its 75th
the United Kingdom, was year of Operational Research
initiated in 1950; in 1978 its in the UK whilst also celebrating
name was changed to the the anniversary of the founding of
Journal of the Operational the Operational Research Society Club in
Research Society. The first 1948. Plans are underway to showcase how our
article to appear in the ORQ members have and continue to shape the Society.
was ‘Operational Research’ Plans for digital transformation are underway with a
by Professor Blackett. The new monthly e-newsletter launching in October. Not
Quarterly continued as before we celebrate our 75th year in style at our Annual
such until 1978 with twelve Conference, OR65 for 2023 at University of Bath.
annual issues.

theorsociety.com
18 TRAINING ARTICLE - MARTIN PARR

Now and Then –


OR Training Offered
in 1971 and 2023
MARTIN PARR

The training working group came across an article from


InsideOR highlighting the training offered back in 1971.
This makes very interesting reading. In 1971 a full set of OR
courses was available, just as they are now. There are many
similarities between our current course offering and the
courses from 52 years ago. Back in 1971 the ORS provided
access to programming, forecasting data processing and
statistics courses just as we do now. However, there are also
many differences. In 1971 all of the programming courses
were in languages like Fortran (which according to my first
boss was the best language in the world). But now our
courses are in languages such as python and R. In 1971 there
were, of course, no artificial intelligence courses and no data
visualisation courses. From the course list that we have I can
also find nothing on problem structuring or soft systems, I
guess that Peter Checkland’s work had not quite made it into
OR training at this time. In 1971 we also had to wait some
while for agent based modelling and cognitive mapping.

It is interesting to see how things have moved on in 52 years.


Every course was a face to face course back in 1971.
Nowadays most courses are available online. For many years
before the pandemic we have seen pressures on training and
travel budgets. Not to mention pressure on time. Our current
courses reflect an era of time poverty. Most of our current
courses are run in a day. Many courses in 1971 ran over days,
weeks and some of them months. The Hoskins Education industry running right up until the end of August, so two months
Centre in Bournemouth offered a real-time systems course would be needed to fully complete this course of study. I really
that ran for two weeks. The commercial systems analysis like the more leisurely approach to things in 1971. A great
course ran for four weeks and was said to provide a thorough example is the marketing event in June 1971 that began at 5:00
grounding in company organisation, analytical skills and PM with Sherry with the event itself starting at 5:30 in central
systems standards. I’m not sure we would get many delegates London – very civilised.
on a four week course in 2023 no matter how good it was. The
prices have also changed considerably a one day conference in (Ed, to get some perspective, my starting salary in 1970 was
central London had a fee of £13 for members. £1,050 with the British Steel Corporation, beer was around 10p
a pint. Incidentally, the Harvard course was effectively replaced
My favourite of all of the courses from 1971 was a Senior by MBAs)
Management course offered by Harvard Business School from
4th July to 13th August, with a fee of £1580 - quite a sum of
money in 1971. Can you imagine in this day and age asking your
boss for a month and a half off for a course! But it doesn’t end
there - following the course there is a “study tour” of American

theorsociety.com
THE ORS TRAINING OFFERING 19

In a class of their own:


the ORS training offering
MARTIN KEYS

“Learning never exhausts the mind”― Leonardo da Vinci by the development of the “Webinar Wednesday’s” programme.
With the coming of COVID and the associated impracticality of
If you look on the ORS website it talks of the ORS training continuing with ‘classroom’ based training the move to being
offering in terms of: an on-line offering became complete. Now we are moving back
into more socially interactive times, there is some return to a
“(to) give you the tools you need to apply your skills and few ‘classroom’ based courses but on-line training is now the
knowledge in a real-world environment.” dominant part of the offering.

Surveys of the ORS membership over the years have Over the years our training courses have benefitted from
consistently shown that members greatly value the training the knowledge and teaching skills of many of the leading
offered by the Society both in terms of what and how it is academics and practitioners, of their time. Such people as
taught but also the ability to hear about the issues faced and John Friend (The Strategic Choice Approach); Max Moullin
approaches adopted by people working in other related areas. (The Public Sector Scorecard); Stewart Robinson (Agent based
Simulation) to name but a few.
The training course offering from the ORS has developed and
evolved over the years to reflect new areas of interest and their Many of these have also served with distinction in other roles
associated techniques. within the Society.

For many years the courses offered were purely ‘classroom’ The ORS Training Working Group (TWG) is a small panel of
based. This included training courses offered in the training practitioners and academics who review the courses offered
suite at the ORS offices and bespoke courses, offered on-site on a yearly basis. The programme of training offered evolves
at the client’s premises, within the UK and abroad as far as year on year to reflect new techniques and interests. So over
Dubai. The latter enabled the ‘tweaking’ of standard courses to time some courses come off the programme but new ones
better meet an individual client’s particular training requirement. are added. Besides the annual course review the TWG meets a
Latterly the open course offering was expanded by also offering couple of other times in the year to review the progress of the
courses at training suites in London. This was originally based programme, consider feedback received and aim for ongoing
on a joint enterprise with the Government Operational Research improvement of the offering, Another vital part of the TWG are
Service (GORS) to offer modules from the Introduction to OR the OR Society office members. This was until recently Gavin
courses, but was subsequently widened to offer a wider range Blackett (now replaced by Seb Hargreaves) and also, for some
of topics at the London venues. time now, Jennie Phelps. Besides their useful contribution
to the discussions they provide the linkage to Board and the
Pre-COVID initial steps had begun on offering training courses administration and day to day running of the programme,
on-line; and a hybrid training offering of both ‘classroom’ based respectively. These inputs have been vital in terms of integrating
and on-line training was developed. This was complimented the training offering within the wider activities of the ORS.

theorsociety.com
20 VOLUNTEERING WITH THE OR SOCIETY

75 Years of
Volunteering
EVE HARDY

In the last edition of InsideOR I thanked all the volunteers other support or information we could provide, and then provide
who ensure that The OR Society keeps moving forwards. I it. I know I want to learn more about the barriers to volunteering
also mentioned one of the ways that we are going to support with us, so I can work to remove them. Where possible, I want
volunteers in future – volunteer inductions for Pro Bono OR to understand what people find frustrating or inefficient when
and OR in Education volunteers. they volunteer, so I can improve that too.

The past 75 years have demonstrated what an enormous All this is easy to say, and harder to do. Step one will be to sit
impact volunteers have on The OR Society. This will be even down and work out how to turn vague ideas into a concrete,
more relevant as we move forwards, and as we continue to actionable plan. I recently came across a slogan used by
grow as an organisation. Each new development in OR disability activists – nothing about us, without us. In other
prompts questions for us – is there enough interest in this new words, don’t make changes that impact people without
OR technique for a Special Interest Group? Who would run it? consulting them. This is an excellent philosophy, especially as
Should we have more of a voice on this topical issue? Who has we rely on the time and goodwill of volunteers. I intend to move
the knowledge and time to help us decide when to speak up on forwards with this slogan in mind, and welcome input from
this? The answer to these questions usually relies volunteers on all aspects of volunteering with us.
on volunteers.
If you have any thoughts or ideas you wish to share on
Volunteers will continue to be a core part of The OR Society, in volunteering at The OR Society, you can do so anonymously
all of their various forms across committees, taskforces and here: https://forms.office.com/e/XiwZ4tffaS
outreach programmes. Volunteering has changed since The
OR Society began (for one, most committee meetings are now As an aside, in the spirit of nothing about us without us, I am
remote!) and will continue to change. looking for Pro Bono volunteers for a focus group. So whether
you’ve already done a Pro Bono project or, haven’t yet but would
When I think about the future of volunteering at The OR Society, like to share some ideas to help us gain a fresh perspective then
several things come to mind. I know that I want to ensure please get in touch via probonoor@theorsociety.com
volunteers across the whole organisation feel that they have
all the support and information they need to do a good job as Here’s to the next 75 years of volunteering!
a volunteer. I want to build on volunteer inductions, learn what

theorsociety.com
VOLUNTEERING WITH THE OR SOCIETY 21

Volunteering with the


OR Society – Past,
Present and Future
RUTH KAUFMAN

I’ve been asked to write this article because I have sector touched by OR. And I have found a home in the friendly,
undertaken so many volunteering roles with the ORS – diverse, scattered, important community that is OR beyond
internally, supporting the Society’s own groups and activities, my workplace.
and outreach through education and Pro Bono OR - that it
seemed an economical way of squeezing lots of perspectives These upsides have drawn me back into serial volunteering
into one page. over the last 15 years. For example? Member of the ORS
Council, and Chair of two of its subcommittees (Publicity,
Full disclosure: if I’d been asked to write this in mid-career, I Membership and Website, and Events): Council members
would have had almost nothing to say. I was late to the party. play a vital part in the ORS, holding the Board to account, and
My first experience – as Secretary of the Health and Social bringing members’ voices and priorities to planning, overseeing,
Services Study Group – only happened because I was working guiding and delivering the major components of the ORS’s
for the Department of Health at the time; and even then it was work. Board Trustee, one of the people ultimately responsible
my boss, not me, who recognised the benefits for the strategy and proper running of the ORS, and President
and lured me into it. of the Society/Chair of the Board. Events: pulling together
a stream of talks and workshops for the
I’m still scarred by that experience. annual conference – at its best, this
Notably, the mortification of enables both discipline and people
organising a pricy event in a to flourish through sharing and
huge venue, where only 20 cross-fertilisation. Education,
people turned up, and where visiting schools and universities
the high-profile speaker to talk about careers in
was not amused that OR – this is particularly
nobody turned out to enjoyable if you are
hear him, and that at a point in life
I was not there to where you do not
greet him owing to routinely connect with
an unfortunate mix-up young people. Pro
with the tube. Bono: undertaking
occasional OR projects
But no pain without gain – for charities and other
over time, I got so much out ‘civil society’ organisations,
of the role that when the time and ‘project initiator’ for any
was right I grabbed the opportunity to volunteer number of charitable projects, a role that
some more. lets me poke my nose into a lot of different businesses and
think about how OR can help. Special Interest Group, currently
Why? Many reasons: the satisfaction of helping make things with the WORAN Events sub-committee, working with some
happen that I wanted to happen, because I thought they were amazing volunteers to design networking opportunities and
worthwhile and beneficial; working with unexpected people, promote women’s voices.
building supportive relationships and trusted connections along
the way; discovering novel ideas and unexpected perspectives; Volunteering isn’t for everyone, at all times. It can be as full
vastly expanding my experience of leadership, communicating of frustrations and setbacks as any other human activity. But
and influencing. I have learnt from people who have gone when the fit is right, it offers great opportunities for personal
before, and passed it on to those who are following on. I have enrichment at the same time as helping others and contributing
learnt about new worlds that I barely knew existed – of learned to a better world. What more could you ask for?
society operations, of publishing, of almost any economic

theorsociety.com
22 WORAN

Women in OR and Analytics


(WORAN): events for the
whole OR community.
RUTH KAUFMAN

WORAN aims to present enjoyable and participative meetings


that raise the visibility and amplify the voice of women, enable
networking, sharing, and learning. We welcome the whole OR/
analytics community regardless of gender.

Please hold the dates. Further details of each event and


registration details will be on the WORAN website nearer
the time. Or please register with WORAN to receive regular
email updates.

• 10th October, 4pm-6pm, online: The Land Lecture


Sue Ferns, former president of the TUC and currently
Senior Deputy General Secretary of Prospect, in
conversation with Theresa Chambers, joint head of Energy
Infrastructure and Markets Analysis at the Department for
Energy Security and Net Zero.

• November 16th, 1.30-2.30 online: Joint meeting with Early


Career Researcher Network: Career breaks and breaking
careers – sharing experiences

• December 15th, 3pm-4pm, online and (if you wish) in local


groups: End-of-year celebration, joint with WISDOM and
WORMS (our EURO and US sister organisations)

To watch recordings of past events: our youtube playlist is at


https://bit.ly/woranvideos

theorsociety.com
OR LINK TO QUANTUM NAVIGATION 23

OR link to
Quantum Navigation
NIGEL CUMMINGS

The Royal Navy has carried out the first trial of a quantum for navigation and inertial guidance than standalone GPS ever
navigation system that could allow a vessel to know its could. Quantum navigation can also exploit the phenomenon of
precise position anywhere in the world without using GPS. quantum entanglement - a quantum mechanical phenomenon
But what is quantum navigation? It uses quantum science where two or more particles become interconnected in such a
and quantum maths. way that their states are correlated. This property allows for the
creation of quantum-entangled sensors that can improve the
Quantum science refers to the study of quantum mechanics, precision of measurements.
which is a branch of physics that deals with the behaviour
of particles at the atomic and subatomic levels. Lord Patrick A ship equipped with this technology could navigate more
Blackett, the ‘founding father’ of OR, was a physicist who accurately than with chart and compass and without satellite-
worked on quantum electrodynamics in cosmic rays and was based navigation on which the world currently relies.
awarded a Nobel Prize for this work. It was therefore singularly
appropriate that the sea trials of quantum navigation system The system being trialled on the XV Patrick Blackett, contained
were carried out aboard the Royal Navy’s experimental vessel, within a shipping container held fast with cargo straps is a
XV Patrick Blackett. white box about the size of a fridge, connected to computers.
Ultimately, if it can be made to work as intended, it will be
Current research in quantum science focuses on developing shrunk to a much more manageable size and, of course, well
and scaling up quantum systems, improving qubit coherence hidden within the vessel. Whilst the technology may work in
and stability, and designing quantum algorithms. Quantum a laboratory protected from all forms of radiation, magnetic
Metrology and Sensing where quantum systems are used interference and seismic movements, getting such sensitive
to make highly precise measurements, may be key in future equipment to work on a ship is quite another matter.
navigation systems.
Apparently, the “white box” contains about a billion atoms of
Navigation using quantum science is being trialled by the rubidium-87 in temperatures probably close to absolute zero.
Royal Navy. Current navigation systems, like Global Positioning That is about as much as one can hope to know at this stage.
Systems (GPS), rely on signals transmitted by satellites to
determine the position, velocity, and timing information of a More at: www.bit.ly/43rwWGp and www.bit.ly/3ONM0JI
receiver on Earth – they are limited by atmospheric interference
plus they do not work under water.

Underwater navigation is done by a


sophisticated form of dead reckoning. Given
where you were when you started, by measuring
your speed and direction and taking into
account underwater currents, you can work
out your current position to within a certain
tolerance. To determine precisely where you are,
which is vital if you are close to a border with an
unfriendly country, you have to surface to use
either a GPS type system or triangulation using
beacons. Surfacing, however, gives away your
position and, if you have got your sums wrong
may lead to an international incident.

What is required is a system which gives your


exact position without having to surface or to
transmit any radio signals. This where quantum
science comes in. Quantum gyroscopes use
quantum properties to measure rotation and
provide more accurate and reliable information

theorsociety.com
24 MEMBERSHIP

Applying OR to
Membership
ROB WALLACE

In this special issue for our 75th anniversary I have been special interest group, who joined to get accreditation. By
tasked with writing about our membership, as the membership understanding that our members are individuals and knowing
manager. The theme is past, present and future, and I wanted what they are interested in, we can tailor your experience of
to look at how our diverse membership has changed over membership so that you see more of what you actually want to
the past 75 years. I quickly ran into a huge roadblock in my see rather than just telling everyone about everything we do.
research of the history of our membership - the data simply
is not good enough the further back I go, so I’ve decided to But we aren’t where we want to be yet. Member numbers have
change this article to instead talk about the past, present and been creeping up but remain close to where they were 50 years
future of our membership data. ago, so there are still gaps in our knowledge. You’ll have been
contacted recently to complete a survey or may soon be asked
Before the introduction of a digital member database in the to take part in a focus group and I urge you please to take
early 2000s, we stored very little data on our members and part because it will lead to improvements to your experience
did very little with that data. I can see who our members are of membership. If we know what our members want from
at certain points in time, and tracking our total membership is membership then we can focus resource on those things and
useful but I don’t really know what interested our past members we have a happier, more fulfilled community.
or what they engaged with. Our total membership has remained
at around 3000 since the late 1960’s but surely there are more The Society’s vision is to build a world improved by rigorous
people now working with or have an interest in operational analysis and better, evidence-based, decision-making. We
research, so how can we improve membership to retain and need to practice what we preach - making use the evidence
attract members? we have from our member data and interactions to make
better decisions for them. Only by learning what you want
For us to serve our members better we need to know what from membership can we improve our data and make these
interests them and what they might want to engage with. With better decisions, so please help us make your experience of
incremental improvements to our data over the past several membership the best it can be and to increase the size of this
years I can look now and see who attended our Analytics great community of operational researchers.
Summit event in 2018, who is part of the Systems Thinking

theorsociety.com
25

OR IN EDUCATION

EDUCATION
MATTHEW ROBINSON

A BRIEF OR IN the OR in Schools sub-brand Since 2013, ORiE volunteers


EDUCATION HISTORY changed to OR in Education. have attended an average of
The OR in Education (ORiE) The change was important almost 50 events per year,
taskforce, originally called to reflect all of the hard which doesn’t include the
the OR in Schools (ORiS) work that volunteers and the events we have attended
OR IN

taskforce, was formed ORiS/ORiE taskforce did, with a focus on ensuring


in 2007 in response to and still do. We also took teachers were aware of
a study showing that the opportunity to update how we could support
school children had a poor the brand colour. Against them. Although the number
awareness of OR. Their goal the backdrop of the need to of students we speak to
was to ‘ensure every school encourage more women and at events is hard to track,
child knows what OR is’. girls into STEM fields, a blue it’s not an exaggeration to
logo may have inadvertently say ORiE volunteers inspire
The excellent outreach work encouraged misconceptions thousands of volunteers
carried out by volunteers that OR is a ‘masculine’ each year.
grew and evolved. In 2016 field. The purple logo was
the goal was changed intended to avoid this and Whilst the Education
to ‘every student knows certainly makes volunteers Manager performs an
what OR is’ to reflect the distinctive at events. amazing job developing the
fact that ORiS volunteers resources and coordinating
were visiting universities, WHAT DOES THIS the activities of ORiE,
colleges and science fairs MEAN? we are heavily reliant on
alongside schools. The outreach work done volunteers to ensure our
primarily by our volunteers activities continue. The
In early 2018 The OR falls under the guidance more volunteers we have,
Society launched sub- of the ORiE Taskforce and the more work we can
brands for each of its invaluable support from the do. Looking forward we
outreach programmes. OR in Education Manager. This want to expand this vital
Schools became an official work can be schools visits work, which contributes
sub-brand and received (practical exercises and/ to the Society’s charitable
a blue logo and branding. or career talks), attending aims. This is particularly
Meanwhile, the outreach careers fairs at universities important in areas where
work continued growing, or engaging with young OR might not be well
and in the academic year people at large events such known, which additionally
2018-2019 ORiS volunteers as the Big Bang Fair. This contributes to the Society’s
visited more universities was recently held at the EDI objectives. Please have
than schools. NEC in Birmingham and we a look at our webpages on
managed to engage with the OR Society’s web site
The OR in Schools sub-brand nearly 700 schoolchildren and consider volunteering.
no longer covered all of the and nearly 100 teachers Let’s aim to achieve the
education outreach work through activities such as objective of ‘every student
volunteers did, so in 2019 Lego furniture building. knows what OR is’.

THEORSOCIETY.COM
SIGS
26

SIGS

Our Special Interest Groups (SIGs) emerged as dedicated


communities of professionals and academics focused
on specific areas within operational research. These
groups played a pivotal role in encouraging collaboration,
knowledge sharing, and skill development. The enthusiasm
and dedication of members helped in developing ground-
breaking research and techniques, making significant
contributions to the field of operational research.

As the operational research landscape evolved, some SIGs


faced challenges and became defunct due to terminology
changes or shifting focus within the field. However, these
transitions allowed new SIGs to emerge, addressing
contemporary areas of interest and expertise. The
adaptability of our SIGs has been instrumental in ensuring
their relevance and maintaining a vibrant community that
continues to thrive.

Now our SIGs are stronger than ever, harnessing the power of
digital communication and technology to connect members
from around the world. Through webinars, online workshops,
and virtual conferences, SIG members have access to a
plethora of knowledge-sharing opportunities. These events our members to find experts in these domains. A new SIG
facilitate discussions on cutting-edge research, practical could explore the latest AI/ML methodologies, applications,
applications, and industry trends, helping members stay and ethical considerations within the context of OR. By
informed and inspired. collaborating with other AI/ML organisations and industry
partners, an AI/ML SIG can establish itself as a leading voice
The SIGs’ activities have also expanded into collaborative in the intersection of AI/ML and operational research.
projects, where members work together on solving real-
world challenges. This interdisciplinary approach encourages To ensure that our SIGs continue to flourish and stay relevant,
innovation and enhances the impact of operational research we must actively encourage diversity and inclusivity within
on various industries and sectors. their membership. By promoting an inclusive environment
that welcomes individuals from diverse backgrounds,
As we look towards the future, the potential for our SIGs to experiences, and perspectives, we can enrich the exchange
further contribute to the operational research landscape is of ideas and promote creativity within our SIGs. Additionally,
exciting. One avenue for growth is delving deeper into the mentorship and support programs can be established to
AI/ML (Artificial Intelligence/Machine Learning) space. AI nurture the next generation of operational research experts,
and ML have already shown immense promise in optimising empowering them to make their mark in the field.
complex systems, streamlining processes, and making data-
driven decisions. Integrating AI/ML into Our special interest groups have been and will continue to be
operational research will open up new the lifeblood of the Operational Research Society. The past
possibilities and enhance the has seen their growth, the present showcases their vitality,
effectiveness of our solutions. and the future promises exciting new horizons. Together,
as a united community of passionate professionals
To embrace the opportunities and academics, we will shape the future of operational
presented by AI/ML, the research and make a lasting impact.
society should look to
27

THANK YOU TO OUR MEMBERS AND CROSSWORD ANSWERS

CELEBRATING
COLLABORATIVE
EXCELLENCE: A
HEARTFELT THANK
YOU TO OUR OR
SOCIETY MEMBERS
In an era where complexity is the norm and challenges are So, as we lift our pens to paper (or rather, our fingers to
as diverse as they are daunting, The OR Society stands as keyboards), let’s pen a resounding thank you. Thank you for
a beacon of intellectual prowess and collaborative spirit. fortifying the pillars of progress. Thank you for exemplifying
Your dedication to the field of Operational Research (OR) the science and art of collective thinking. Thank you for
and your pursuit of the science of better decision making reminding us that it’s through collaboration that we
provides inspiration and deserves admiration. truly conquer.

This isn’t just a thank you letter; it’s a heartfelt salute to the Here’s to The OR Society, a bastion of collaborative
indomitable minds who continue to shape industries and excellence, and its members who are the architects of the
reshape paradigms. Your commitment to advancing the science and art of better decision making.
theory and practice of OR has paved the way for businesses
to flourish, governments to streamline operations, and
societies to thrive.
SOLUTION TO NOVEMBER’S PUZZLE
The OR Society isn’t merely an organisation; it’s a tapestry
woven by the passion and brilliance of its members. Your ACROSS:
camaraderie, your intellectual exchanges, and your tireless
efforts to share knowledge have fostered an environment 1: 1914–1918. 5: 1189 (3rd crusade). 9: 23/04
where innovation flourishes. From groundbreaking research (Shakespeare’s birthday). 10: 1492 (Columbus sailed).
that pushes boundaries to practical applications that solve 11: 807. 13: 1874–79 (Labour government). 15:
real-world dilemmas, your work encapsulates the true spirit 0.0871 (relative density of hydrogen at it’s melting
of synergy. point). 16: 10. 17: 1000000 tons (annual UK beef
production). 18: 40. 21: 14000 (Oxford University
As we journey through the corridors of time, let’s not forget students). 22: 350000 (population of Dyfed). 24: 2.64
the power of gratitude. It’s because of organisations like The miles/sec. (escape velocity of Mercury). 25: 0389
OR Society and its dynamic members that we continue to (dialling code for Dumbarton). 27: 1666 (Great Fire of
evolve. Your willingness to share insights, mentor emerging London). 29: 3210 ft (Scafell Pike). 30: 1822–1895
talent, and foster an inclusive community is a testament to (Louis Pasteur).
your dedication to the betterment of society at large.
DOWN:
In a world that sometimes seems polarised, your
collaboration knows no bounds. You’ve proved that 1: 1,1,2,3,... (Fibonacci sequence). 2: 18/08/91 3: 11.
irrespective of geographical distances, diverse 4: 144. 6: 1982–87 (Navratilova Wimbeldon champion).
backgrounds, and varying perspectives, a united passion 7: 9771100 (Alitalia passenger miles). 8: 123000000.
for knowledge can bridge any gap. Through your research 12: 249000000. 14: 97073 sq. miles (area of Oregon).
papers, conferences, and interactive forums, you’ve painted 16: 1.414213. 19: £10544.1 million (Uk imports fro
a portrait of unity that’s as inspiring as it is essential. USA). 21: 1665 (Great Plague of London). 26: 868 (first
printing in China). 28: 32 ft/sec.2

THEORSOCIETY.COM
28

PROPLE OF FAITH AND AI

PEOPLE OF
FAITH AND AI.
CAN THEY WORK
IN HARMONY?
NIGEL CUMMINGS

According to John Wyatt, Professor of Ethics and When they become more like us, and better than ourselves,
Perinatology at University College London, speaking at a how can we not want to follow them?
conference on the implications of AI for faith and society
in June 2023, “There are huge numbers of people of faith Dr Bor’s comment is probably one of the most chilling to
working in the tech industry. They want to feel that they are date, regarding what could happen if AI became ‘better’
working for the good of humanity,” than humans. It has also raised concerns that the values and
biases of the companies developing AI software could one
John Wyatt’s feeling that AI is good for humanity may be one dominate as AI technology becomes more widely adopted –
shared by many, but there are also many faith advocates that where does that leave faith?
fear an AI-powered world dominated by software engineers
and soulless algorithms. According to a spokesperson for the Faraday Institute for
Science and Religion, “AI is driven by western and Chinese
AI has been developed to such a level of complexity, that it technology companies […] which raises the risk of
now could learn tasks, in much the same way humans do. cultural hegemony,”
This ability of AI, admittedly a programmed ability, has made
it fertile ground for questions of faith. Dr Yaqub Chaudhary of the Cambridge Muslim College
had, what may seem a word of hope though, when he says,
Former UK cabinet minister, Sajid Javid, recently said that “These metaphysical ideologies are fully embedded in the
the adoption of AI technologies highlighted opportunities in way AI is being developed. When it comes to this new type of
health care and the provision of protection for those at risk, utilitarianism, you don’t just think about human beings that
it could he said help reduce child sexual abuse, mitigate are alive today. You think about all human lives a billion years
information warfare and, unfortunately, empower into the future, and that part is highly contentious.”
hostile states.
A warning from him though, he also says, “This could
Religious leaders around the world are united, it seems in lead to an AI-powered world which may suit the whims of
highlighting the need for communities to be aware of, and not Silicon Valley engineers - but is ultimately dissatisfying or
to exclude AI, indeed, The Vatican’s Rome Call for AI ethics in exclusionary to others.
2020 highlighted the need to make sure that no community
was excluded from AI. Finally, returning to Professor Wyatt, for a moment. He poses
this question, “Tech-utopianism dreams of a frictionless
Sheikh Abdullah bin Bayyah, faith expert and President of the future, where every desire, every whim, can be satisfied with
Abu Dhabi Forum for Peace, also said of AI, recently, “Along minimum effort. But is this frictionless technological future
with the great potential offered by these technologies, they the kind of future in which human beings can flourish?”
also open the door to risks and fears of abuse and misuse, Time will tell, and only time will show, if faith and AI can co-
which could lead to catastrophic consequences for our exist harmoniously.
shared humanity. AI is a revolution that will touch every
aspect of society, nothing will be left untouched.”

Similarly, Dr Harris Bor, research fellow at the London School


of Jewish Studies has said, “AI raises questions that go
beyond AI. It brings into sharp relief questions about what it
means to be human. A religious perspective on AI could shed
light on the ways in which humanity will be diminished by
the technology. Machines can do things better than we can.
29

PRO BONO OR: 10 YEARS IN

PRO BONO OR:


10 YEARS IN
EVE HARDY

Pro Bono OR places volunteers with expertise in OR, data Please don’t take my word for it though - Rachel Dunne led
science or analytics on short term projects with third a team working on a Pro Bono OR project and had this to say
sector organisations across the UK. It was inspired by an at the end of her volunteering experience: “Taking part in the
OR Society conference stream, where people heard Andrew Pro Bono OR volunteering scheme was a great opportunity
Dobson talking about voluntary OR work. Like true OR to work on a project I really cared about. I was able to lead
professionals, they were motivated to see if voluntary OR a team of like-minded people and it was a lovely experience
work could be done more systematically. Their proposal getting to know them, as well as colleagues at the charity we
for Pro Bono OR was a hit with both Society members and were working with.”
staff members, and was formally instituted in 2013. This
means that while we celebrate the 75th anniversary of The We recently ran a Pro Bono OR project for Home-Start
OR Society, Pro Bono OR is also celebrating a significant Kirklees. Kerri Flanagan is their Director, and shared this
anniversary of its own. feedback on Pro Bono OR: “The recommendations from the
volunteer were integrated into our volunteer recruitment
Pro Bono OR has achieved a lot in its first 10 years. Pro Bono plan and marketing strategy which are being invested in to
support for the third sector is abundant, and we have formed ensure we increase capacity in the specific areas identified.
strong relationships with many pro bono organisations with Our volunteer was very helpful and provided a set of skills
similar aims to our own, while carving our own unique niche we do not have within the organisation. She also provided
in this space. Pro Bono OR even helped the Royal Statistical mapping data and tools so that we could build upon this work
Society design their own Pro Bono scheme, Statisticians for independently ourselves moving forward.”
Society. Building on this success, Pro Bono also supported
INFORMS and APDIO (the US and Portuguese OR Societies We remain confident that OR has something unique to offer in
respectively) set up their own Pro Bono OR schemes. helping with actual decisions that charities face or systems
they need in the context of their complex and messy world.
Closer to home, Pro Bono OR has undertaken nearly
200 projects over 10 years, donating more than 2,300 Find out more at: www.theorsociety.com/ProBonoOR
volunteering hours to UK charities, worth an estimated
£500,000. Each of these projects has helped third sector
organisations achieve greater insight, improve their decision-
making and promote better ways of working.

THEORSOCIETY.COM
30

HISTORY OF BLACKETT

THE BIRTH
OF OR NIGEL CUMMINGS

Patrick Maynard Stuart Blackett, Baron Blackett OM CH


FRS (18 November 1897 – 13 July 1974) was a British
experimental physicist known for his work on cloud
chambers, cosmic rays, and palaeomagnetism, winning the
Nobel Prize for Physics in 1948.

August 1914 at the outbreak of World War I saw Blackett


assigned to active service as a midshipman. He was
transferred to the Cape Verde Islands on HMS Carnarvon
and was present at the Battle of the Falkland Islands. He was
then transferred to HMS Barham and saw much action at the
Battle of Jutland. that radioactive thorium was converting itself into radium. At
that moment of realisation, he shouted out: “Rutherford, this
While on HMS Barham, Blackett was co-inventor of a gunnery is transmutation!” Rutherford snapped back, “For Christ’s
device on which the Admiralty took out a patent. In October sake, Soddy, don’t call it transmutation. They’ll have our
1916, he became a sub-lieutenant on HMS P17 on Dover heads off as alchemists.”
patrol, and in July 1917 he was posted to HMS Sturgeon in
the Harwich Force under Admiral Tyrwhitt. Rutherford asked Blackett to use a cloud chamber to find
visible tracks of this natural disintegration, for proof, and by
Blackett was particularly concerned by the poor quality of 1925, he had taken 23,000 photographs showing 415,000
gunnery in the force compared with that of the enemy and tracks of ionised particles. Eight of these were forked,
of his own previous experience and started to read science and this showed that the nitrogen atom-alpha particle
textbooks. He was promoted to lieutenant in May 1918 but combination had formed an atom of fluorine, which then
had by then, decided to leave the Navy. disintegrated into an isotope of oxygen 17 and a proton.

After WW1, in Jan 1919, the Admiralty sent the officers Blackett published the results of his experiments and
whose education had been interrupted by the war to the became the first person to prove that radioactivity could
University of Cambridge. At Magdalene College, Cambridge, cause the nuclear transmutation of one chemical element to
Blackett learnt of the prestigious Cavendish Laboratory another.
there, and left the Navy to study mathematics and physics.
Reputation established, Blackett made another major
Graduating from Magdalene College in 1921, Blackett contribution to the world, when he proved during WWII that
spent ten years working at the Cavendish Laboratory as an Operational Research, could advise on military strategy
experimental physicist with Ernest Rutherford and in 1923 and develop new methods for pragmatising and improving
became a fellow of King’s College, Cambridge, a position he complex systems through the power of mathematics,
held until 1933. observation and analysis, i.e. solving complex problems
using scientific methods.
Rutherford and Soddy were observing natural transmutation
as a part of radioactive decay of the alpha decay type. This In the Navy, he collected a number of colleagues from various
was first understood in modern physics by Frederick Soddy disciplines to form what was known as the Blackett Circus –
when he, along with Ernest Rutherford in 1901, discovered the first Operational Research Group.

THEORSOCIETY.COM
31

THE TRANSFORMATIVE ROLE OF AI IN OPERATIONAL RESEARCH

THE TRANSFORMATIVE
ROLE OF AI IN OPERATIONAL
RESEARCH: SHAPING THE
FUTURE OF DECISION-MAKING
CHAT GPT

As the world continues to witness to make agile decisions, respond


rapid advancements in technology, AI swiftly to changing conditions, and AUTONOMOUS SYSTEMS AND
emerges as a game-changer in various seize opportunities as they arise. DECISION SUPPORT
industries, and OR is no exception. OR, This adaptability is especially critical The integration of AI into OR will lead
a discipline that applies mathematical in sectors like finance, logistics, and to the development of autonomous
and analytical methods to improve healthcare, where immediate decisions systems capable of making decisions
decision-making, optimisation, and can have far-reaching consequences. independently. For example, in
resource allocation, stands to be autonomous vehicles, AI algorithms
significantly impacted by AI in the OPTIMISATION AND can optimise routes, make real-time
future. With the ability to process RESOURCE MANAGEMENT adjustments to traffic conditions,
vast amounts of data, uncover hidden AI excels in optimisation tasks, and enhance passenger safety.
patterns, and make predictions, enabling OR professionals to solve Similarly, in the healthcare sector,
AI is poised to revolutionise how complex problems with countless AI-driven systems can assist medical
businesses, governments, and variables. Optimisation algorithms professionals in diagnosis and
organisations approach complex can be enhanced with AI capabilities, treatment planning, thereby improving
problem-solving and strategising. resulting in more refined and precise patient outcomes. However, it’s
In this article, we explore the various solutions. In manufacturing, for essential to strike the right balance
ways AI is set to impact the sector of example, AI can help in production between autonomous decision-making
OR in the future. scheduling, minimising downtime, and and human oversight to ensure ethical
maximising efficiency. Similarly, in considerations and accountability.
ENHANCED DATA ANALYSIS transportation and logistics,
AND PREDICTIVE MODELS AI algorithms can optimise routes, The future of OR is undeniably
AI technologies like machine learning reduce fuel consumption, and intertwined with the advancements
and deep learning can analyse vast and minimize delivery times. As AI in AI. AI’s capacity for data analysis,
diverse datasets more efficiently than continues to evolve, it will lead to predictive modeling, real-time decision-
traditional OR methods. By identifying better utilisation of resources, cost making, and optimisation offers a
patterns, trends, and correlations that reductions, and improved sustainability multitude of benefits to industries and
might go unnoticed to human analysts, across industries. organisations worldwide. While these
AI-powered data analysis holds the advancements hold great promise, they
potential to generate more accurate Risk Analysis and Mitigation also pose challenges, including ethical
predictive models. These models can AI-driven predictive analytics can considerations, transparency, and the
be utilised to forecast future demand, aid in assessing and mitigating risks potential displacement of certain
optimise supply chains, and improve more comprehensively. By analysing job roles.
resource allocation across industries, historical data and identifying
leading to substantial cost savings and potential risk factors, AI can assist in As AI continues to mature, its
increased efficiency. making proactive decisions to avoid impact on OR will be transformative,
or minimise negative outcomes. This revolutionising how businesses and
REAL-TIME DECISION-MAKING can be instrumental in the insurance institutions approach problem-solving
One of the most significant advantages industry, where AI-powered risk and decision-making. Embracing this
AI brings to OR is the ability to make assessment models can lead to more technology responsibly and harnessing
real-time decisions. Conventional accurate underwriting and policy its potential to address complex
OR often relies on historical data and pricing. Additionally, AI can support challenges will undoubtedly be the
periodic analysis, which can become financial institutions in detecting key to unlocking a brighter, more
outdated in fast-paced environments. fraud and assessing credit risk more efficient, and sustainable future
AI-driven systems can process data effectively, ensuring greater across industries.
in real-time, empowering businesses financial stability.

THEORSOCIETY.COM
THE
OPERATIONAL
RESEARCH
SOCIETY

Leave a
lasting legacy
Your lasting legacy could support the
important work of the society’s future
and help make an impact in ensuring
our services can continue to help
future generations of analysts

H E L P F U T U R E G E N E R AT I O N S O F A N A LY S T S

Full details are available at www.theorsociety.com/legacy


#ORLegacy
PLEASE NOTE: That membership of a professional society (like The OR Society)
is universally recognised as a key component of certified professional competence.

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The OR Society is home to the science + art of problem solving www.theorsociety.com @theorsociety

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