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Football Stocks
Football Stocks
Football Stocks
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attractive to institutional
investors? Empirical results and
impulses for researching investor 471
motivations beyond return Received 31 July 2019
Revised 21 January 2020
11 March 2020
Stefan Prigge 10 May 2020
14 May 2020
HSBA Hamburg School of Business Administration, Accepted 23 May 2020
IMF Institute for Mittelstand and Family Firms, Hamburg, Germany, and
Lars Tegtmeier
Department of Business Administration and Information Sciences,
University of Applied Sciences Merseburg, Merseburg, Germany
Abstract
Purpose – The aims of the research are twofold: (1) exploring whether football club stocks can be considered
an asset class of their own; (2) investigating whether football stocks enable well-diversified investors to achieve
more efficient risk-return combinations.
Design/methodology/approach – Using efficient frontier optimization, a base portfolio, with standard
stocks and bonds, and a corresponding enhanced portfolio, which includes football stocks in the investment
opportunity set, are defined. This procedure is applied to four portfolio composition rules. Pairwise
comparisons of portfolio Sharpe ratios include a test for statistical significance.
Findings – The results indicate a low correlation of football stocks and standard stocks; thus, football stocks
could be considered an asset class of their own. Nevertheless, the addition of football stocks to a well-diversified
portfolio does not improve its risk-return efficiency because the weak performance of football stocks eliminates
their advantage of low correlation.
Research limitations/implications – This study contributes to the evidence that investments in football
are different from ‘ordinary’ investments and need further research, particularly into market participants and
their investment motives.
Practical implications – Football stocks are not attractive to pure financial investors. Thus, football clubs
need to know more about which side benefits are appreciated by which kind of investor and how much it costs
to produce these side benefits.
Originality/value – To the best of authors’ knowledge, this is the first study to analyse the risk-return
efficiency of football stocks from the perspective of a pure financial investor, i.e. an investor in football stocks
who does not earn side benefits, such as strategic investors or fan investors.
Keywords Sports economics, Investment decisions, Portfolio choice, Football stocks, Football investors
Paper type Research paper
1. Introduction
As they hold 41% of the global market capitalization, institutional investors are the largest
kind of shareholders in listed companies (OECD, 2019, p. 17). An institutional investor is a
legal entity ‘that manages and invests other people’s money’ (Çelik and Isaksson, 2013, p. 96).
Examples of institutional investors include mutual funds, sovereign wealth funds, and
private equity firms. For instance, the private equity firm KKR bought an equity stake in the
unlisted German Bundesliga club Hertha BSC Berlin in 2014. As professional investors,
institutional investors evaluate investments in terms of risk-return combinations. They Sport, Business and Management:
An International Journal
welcome additions to their investment opportunity set that allow them to push their efficient Vol. 10 No. 4, 2020
pp. 471-494
© Emerald Publishing Limited
2042-678X
JEL Classification — Z2, G11, G12 DOI 10.1108/SBM-07-2019-0063
SBM frontier more to the north-west, i.e. reach a higher-than-expected return for a given amount of
10,4 risk or bear a smaller amount of risk for a given expected return (see, e.g. Brealey et al., 2011,
pp. 214–218). These efforts explain the popularity of, and the ongoing search for, new asset
classes (D€opke and Tegtmeier, 2018; Platanakis et al., 2019).
Greer (1997, p. 86) defines an asset class as a ‘set of assets that bear some fundamental
economic similarities to each other, and that have characteristics that make them distinct
from other assets that are not part of that class’. An asset class is usually considered as being
472 ‘distinct from other assets’ when its returns are only loosely correlated to established assets.
Due to low correlation, new asset classes could make more efficient risk-return combinations
feasible. Examples in recent years include private equity (e.g. D€opke and Tegtmeier, 2018)
and infrastructure (e.g. Dechant and Finkenzeller, 2013) or, most recently, cryptocurrencies
(e.g. Kr€
uckeberg and Scholz, 2019).
Professional football as a global industry with a long and strong growth path (Boccia, 2018)
that was rather unaffected even by the financial crisis of 2008 and its aftermath (Deloitte, n.d.)
might capture the attention of institutional investors who may ask themselves whether
professional football is a new asset class that offers attractive diversification properties.
Thus, this article addresses two research questions:
RQ1. Can football stocks be described as a new, i.e. separate, asset class?
RQ2. Do football stock returns dispose of such properties that their addition to a well-
diversified portfolio allows investors to achieve more efficient risk-return
positions?
One might argue that the sector of listed football stocks, which is the easiest accessible vehicle
for investments in football, is too small in terms of number of listed football clubs and trading
volume. That might be true for the current status as of year-end 2019, where there are 22 listed
European football clubs. However, this does not undermine the reasoning put forward here, for
several reasons: Institutional investors might also buy a stake in a football club via a private
transaction, i.e. the club is not listed, as in the KKR-Hertha BSC Berlin case mentioned above.
Despite private transactions, public stock markets are, nevertheless, often used as indicators for
the valuation and the risk-return profile of a comparable unlisted company (de Fontenay, 2017;
Admati and Pfleiderer, 2000). If it turns out that football stocks could become an attractive asset
class for institutional investors, this might cause football clubs to go public (again). Moreover,
other capital market intermediaries might develop investment vehicles that are more liquid
than the assets they invest in, such as listed private equity (Huss and Zimmermann, 2012;
Bachmann et al., 2019), thus making shares in unlisted football clubs more liquid.
Academic research has yet to tackle the issue of whether professional football is an asset
of its own that is attractive to institutional shareholders. Although there is a body of literature
on listed football clubs, it focuses primarily on the effect of on-field performance on stock price
(Bell et al., 2012; Duque and Abrantes Ferreira, 2005; Findikçi; Tapşin, 2015; Lehmann and
Weigand, 1998; Majewski, 2014; Ozdurak€ and Ulusoy, 2013; Palomino et al., 2009; Saraç and
Zeren, 2013; St€ockl and Schulz, 2007; Sun and Wu, 2015). In terms of the asset class question,
some inferences can be drawn from Aglietta et al. (2010), Gomez-Martınez et al. (2017),
Lehmann and Weigand (1998) and Prigge and Tegtmeier (2019). All these studies provide
empirical evidence supporting football stocks being an asset class of their own. However, to
the best of our knowledge, the question of whether professional football is attractive to
institutional investors has not yet been addressed directly in academic research.
This paper explores this topic with an established methodology that has been deployed to
analyse the new-asset-class issue and diversification properties of other assets (e.g. H€ ubner
et al., 2004, for real estate, and Grelck et al., 2017, for family business).
Regarding the asset class issue, the study mainly rests on correlation analysis. Results Football stocks
suggest, in line with the literature, that football stocks are indeed an asset class of their own.
The attraction for institutional investors is analysed using a more advanced approach.
Employing efficient frontier optimization, a base portfolio, with standard stocks and bonds,
and a corresponding enhanced portfolio, which includes football stocks in the investment
opportunity set, are defined. This procedure is applied to four portfolio composition rules for
the complete sample period (1995–2017) and for several subperiods. Pairwise comparisons of
portfolio Sharpe ratios include a test for statistical significance. Despite the comparatively 473
weak correlation between standard stocks and football stocks, football stocks usually do not
allow investors to reach a more efficient risk-return position. This is most likely due to the
inferior return of football stocks compared to standard stocks over the last twenty years or so,
which more than depletes the advantage of low correlation.
The study contributes to research on listed football stocks. To the best of our knowledge,
this is the first study to take the perspective of pure financial investors to analyse the risk-
return efficiency of football stocks. This research adds to the extant evidence that
investments in football are different from ‘ordinary’ investments and need further research,
particularly on market participants and their investment motives (Rohde and Breuer, 2017).
Implications for football club managers and corresponding new research opportunities are
sketched.
The article proceeds as follows: Section 2 derives two hypotheses, the separate asset class
hypothesis and the diversification properties hypothesis, from the reviewed literature.
Section 3 explains the methodology, with a special emphasis on the portfolio composition
rules and the significance test developed by Gibbons et al. (1989). Section 4 describes the data
set. Section 5 presents the results, which are discussed in section 6. Section 7 concludes the
article with a special emphasis on managerial implications and research opportunities.
3. Methodology
To investigate the diversification properties of investments in European football stocks, we
follow the approach of Grelck et al. (2017), who analysed the diversification properties of listed
family firms and the potential of family firms to serve as a separate asset class. Using
Markowitz’s (1952) mean-variance-approach, we analyse whether a base portfolio (BP)
comprising only standard assets, i.e. European stocks and European bonds, could reach a
dominating risk-return combination when European football stocks could be added to that
portfolio: the enhanced portfolio (EP). We apply four different portfolio composition rules that
represent different investment strategies: minimum variance portfolio, tangent portfolio,
naı€ve portfolio and naı€ve return portfolio.
The first portfolio is the minimum variance portfolio (MVP). Its composition is calculated
using formula (1):
N X
X N Football stocks
σ 2MVP ¼ wi wj σ ij → min! ðminimizing portfolio riskÞ (1)
i¼1 j¼1
X
N
wi ¼ 1 ðbudget restrictionÞ (2)
i
X
N
wi ¼ 1 ðbudget restrictionÞ (6)
i
The third portfolio, the naı€ve portfolio (NP), comprises all considered asset classes with an
equal weight. Note that this is the only portfolio whose composition is determined ex ante, i.e.
before the investment period. The naı€ve portfolio is easy to construct, but not necessarily
efficient.
Therefore, a fourth portfolio is considered. The naı€ve return portfolio (RP) is located on the
efficient frontier, yielding the same return as the naı€ve portfolio. The composition of the naı€ve
return portfolio can be calculated as follows:
N X
X N
σ 2RP ¼ wi wj σ ij → min! ðminimizing portfolio riskÞ (8)
i¼1 j¼1
SBM X
N
X
N
wi ¼ 1 ðbudget restrictionÞ (10)
i
Each of the four portfolios exists in two variants: (1) The base portfolio (BP) with European
standard stocks and bonds, but without European football stocks, and (2) the enhanced
portfolio (EP) that might also be invested in European football stocks. For each of the four
portfolios, the Sharpe ratios will be calculated for the base portfolio and for the corresponding
enhanced portfolio. If, for instance, the Sharpe ratio of the enhanced portfolio MVP with
European football stocks is higher than that of the base portfolio MVP without European
football stocks, this indicates that the inclusion of European football stocks improves the
investor’s position. Furthermore, the approach based on Gibbons et al. (1989) allows one to test
the hypothesis that the Sharpe ratios of a base portfolio (BP) and its corresponding enhanced
portfolio (EP) differ significantly. The following null hypothesis is testable: The Sharpe ratio of
portfolio BP (SRBP) does not differ significantly from the Sharpe ratio of portfolio EP (SREP).
Gibbons et al. (1989) developed the following test statistic for this hypothesis:
ffi 12
0 rffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
2
B ð1 þ SREP C
B C
W ¼ BrffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiC 1 (12)
@ 2 A
1 þ SRBP
4. Data
To assess whether investments in European listed football clubs are a separate asset class
and might enhance the diversification potential of a traditional stock and bond portfolio, one
must define the traditional asset classes already available to investors. In our investment Football stocks
universe, investors may invest in a well-diversified European stock portfolio and in a well-
diversified European bond portfolio. In total, the investment universe comprises three asset
classes. First, European football stocks are represented by the STOXX Europe Football
Index, which indicates the breadth and depth of the European football industry. In January
2018, the index covered 22 football clubs. Table 1 shows the components of the STOXX
Europe Football Index. Second, European blue-chip stocks are represented by the EURO
STOXX 50 Index, Europe’s leading blue-chip index for the Eurozone. The index covers 50 479
stocks from eleven Eurozone countries. Third, European government bonds are represented
by the JPMorgan EMU Government Bond Index. The index includes liquid government
bonds issued by eleven countries. All indices are denominated on an EUR basis and adjusted
for capital actions and dividends or coupon payments. Our observation period spans January
1995 to December 2017.
A comparison of European football stocks with traditional European stocks and
European bonds is illustrated in Figure 1.
Table 2 shows the descriptive return statistics for the three indices under observation.
Furthermore, we conduct robustness checks for different market phases. Panel A shows the
descriptive return statistics for the full sample. Panels B, C and D represent three upmarkets
and panels E and F two downmarkets in the general stock market.
During the full sample period, the monthly mean returns of the indices range between
0.72% for traditional stocks and 0.30% for football stocks, which is lower than the mean
return for bonds (0.48%). The standard deviation is highest for football stocks (6.54%),
followed by blue chips (5.36%) and bonds (1.13%). This setting is also reflected in the lowest
Sharpe ratio for football stocks. With respect to downside risk as measured by semi-volatility,
value-at-risk, and the maximum drawdown, football stocks exhibit the greatest downside
risk for all three measures. Furthermore, only football stocks exhibit a positive skewness. A
No Club Country
1 Aalborg Boldspilklub DK
2 AGF Kontraktfodbold DK
3 AIK Football SE
4 Ajax Amsterdam NL
5 AS Roma IT
6 Benfica Lissabon PT
7 Besiktas Istanbul TR
8 Borussia Dortmund DE
9 Brondby IF B DK
10 Celtic Glasgow GB
11 FC Copenhagen DK
12 FC Porto PT
13 Fenerbahce Istanbul TR
14 Galatasaray Istanbul TR
15 Juventus Turin IT
16 Lazio Rom IT
17 Olympique Lyonnais FR
18 Ruch Chorzow PL
19 Silkeborg DK
20 Sporting Lissabon PT Table 1.
21 Teteks Ad Tetovo MK Components of the
22 Trabzonspor TR STOXX Europe
Note(s): As of January 2018; https://www.stoxx.com/index-details?symbol5FCTP football index
SBM 600
10,4
500
400
300
480 Stoxx Europe FI
Euro Stoxx 50
200
JPM GBI EMU
100
01.10.2014
01.02.2003
01.06.2012
01.12.2015
01.02.2017
01.04.1997
01.06.1998
01.08.1999
01.10.2000
01.12.2001
01.06.2005
01.08.2006
01.04.2011
01.08.2013
01.10.2007
01.12.2008
01.12.1994
01.04.2004
01.02.2010
01.02.1996
Note(s): This graph displays the STOXX Europe Football Index, the EURO
STOXX 50 Index, and the JPMorgan EMU Government Bond Index. All the
Figure 1. indices are denominated on an EUR basis, adjusted for capital actions and
Indices from January
1995 to December 2017
dividends or coupon payments, and set equal to 100 at the beginning of the
sample period. The sample period lasts from January 1995 to December 2017
positive skewness implies rather small losses but larger gains, so it has a long tail on the right-
hand side of the distribution, which is usually preferred by investors. In addition, football
stocks exhibit the highest excess kurtosis. This is an indication of a higher likelihood of an
extreme event compared to the normal distribution (fat tails). Turning to the Jarque–Bera test
statistic, the null hypothesis of a normal distribution must be rejected at the 1% level for the
returns of football and traditional stocks.
For the three upmarket periods, in any period football stocks exhibit the highest standard
deviation and a lower monthly mean return than standard stocks. Remarkably, football
stocks are positively skewed both in the full sample period and in each upmarket period.
Within the two downmarkets, no uniform patterns can be observed.
To obtain a first impression of the diversification properties of football stocks, Table 3
shows the correlation structure between football stocks and traditional stocks and bonds.
During the full sample period, the correlation coefficients between football stocks and
traditional stocks and bonds amount to 0.29 and 0.02, respectively. The full sample period
correlation coefficient of 0.29 might underestimate the recent link between football stocks and
standard stocks. The first upmarket period displays an exceptional negative correlation, but
represents the last century. For the remaining up- and downmarkets, no uniform patterns can
be observed in terms of a rise or fall in the correlation between football stocks and traditional
stocks; the correlation coefficient ranges from 0.40 to 0.54. Comparatively, the correlation
coefficient between football stocks and bonds is always lower and often negative. All in all, the
figures report that the correlation between football stocks and traditional stocks and bonds,
respectively, is relatively low. A reviewer proposed to apply a more demanding benchmark
than a general stock index and analyse the correlation between football stocks and stocks
representing closely related sectors. Again, correlation coefficients are very low, i.e. 0.34 for the
FTSE Eurofirst 300 Media Index and 0.37 for the FTSE Eurofirst Travel and Leisure 300 Index
for the time period 2006–2017. The time series for the STOXX Europe 600 Travel and Leisure
Index was even available for our full sample period and yields a correlation coefficient of 0.27.
Mean SD Minimum Maximum Sharpe ratio SV 90% VaR MDD Skewness Excess kurtosis JB test AC(1) AC(2)
Table 2.
statistics
Descriptive return
SBM All results indicate that football stocks might be an asset class of their own and might offer
10,4 attractive diversification properties. This will be investigated in depth in the next section.
5. Results
Table 4 displays pairwise comparisons of Sharpe ratios. In each pair of portfolios, the base
portfolio represents the investment opportunity set without listed European football clubs,
i.e. traditional stocks and bonds only, and is the benchmark for its counterpart, the enhanced
482 portfolio. For the enhanced portfolio, the same portfolio composition rule, e.g. tangent
portfolio, is applied to an investment opportunity set that includes a listed European football
club component in addition to standard stocks and bonds. When the Sharpe ratio of the
enhanced portfolio with a European football stock component is higher than that of its
benchmark base portfolio, this means that adding a European football stock component to a
standard portfolio yielded a more favourable risk-return combination. Furthermore, the
statistical significance of the difference in Sharpe ratios is tested.
When exploring the enhanced portfolios, it makes sense to begin with the portfolio
composition, as only the naı€ve portfolio (NP) definitely includes a football component, with a
weight of one-third. The composition of the remaining three enhanced portfolios is
determined ex post. The investment opportunity set of the enhanced portfolios includes
European football stocks; however, the optimal share of football stocks might be zero percent.
When this happens, this indicates that adding football stocks is not at all useful in achieving a
superior risk-return combination. For the full sample period, two out of the three enhanced
portfolios with ex-post optimization do not include football stocks, and for the enhanced
portfolio that does include football stocks (MVP) the share is as low as 1.91%. The Sharpe
ratio of the enhanced MVP is equal to that of the base MVP. The Sharpe ratio of the enhanced
NP (0.10) is clearly inferior to the base NP’s Sharpe ratio (0.15). Thus, for the full sample
period, including football stocks did not improve performance. At first sight, this is
surprising in view of the remarkably low correlation of 0.29 between football stocks and
standard stocks for the full sample period. However, the advantage of low correlation seems
to be more than undercut by the weak performance of football stocks. They earned even less
than bonds did (0.30 vs. 0.48% per month).
A similar story could be told for the third upmarket period (6/12–7/15). On the other hand,
the first upmarket period, located primarily in the late 1990s, has good prerequisites enabling
Correlation matrix (full sample 01/1995–12/2017) Correlation matrix (up market 06/2012–07/2015)
Football stocks 1.00 0.29 0.02 Football stocks 1.00 0.48 0.36
Stocks 1.00 0.07 Stocks 1.00 0.39
Bonds 1.00 Bonds 1.00
Correlation matrix (up market 01/1995–05/2000) Correlation matrix (down market 06/2000–12/2002)
Football stocks 1.00 0.12 0.03 Football stocks 1.00 0.40 0.23
Stocks 1.00 0.13 Stocks 1.00 0.59
Bonds 1.00 Bonds 1.00
Correlation matrix (up market 01/2003–10/2007) Correlation matrix (down market 11/2007–02/2009)
Football stocks 1.00 0.45 0.04 Football stocks 1.00 0.54 0.27
Stocks 1.00 0.29 Stocks 1.00 0.16
Bonds 1.00 Bonds 1.00
Note(s): Football stocks are represented by the STOXX Europe Football Index, stocks by the EURO STOXX
Table 3. 50 Index, and bonds by the JPMorgan EMU Government Bond Index. All indices are denominated on an EUR
Correlation of monthly basis and adjusted for capital actions and dividends or coupon payments. All numbers are based on discrete
returns monthly returns in EUR
Full sample 01/1995–12/2017 Up market 01/1995–05/2000 Up market 01/2003–10/2007
Portfolios MVP TP NP RP MVP TP NP RP MVP TP NP RP
Base Portfolio
Return 0.49% 0.50% 0.60% 0.60% 0.74% 1.06% 1.59% 1.59% 0.43% 0.64% 0.84% 0.84%
Standard deviation 1.09% 1.10% 2.70% 2.70% 1.06% 1.43% 2.77% 2.77% 0.78% 1.10% 1.71% 1.71%
Sharpe ratio 0.28 0.28 0.15 0.15 0.37 0.50 0.45 0.45 0.27 0.38 0.36 0.36
Weights
Standard stocks 5.40% 8.37% 50.00% 50.00% 1.43% 19.63% 50.00% 50.00% 11.37% 31.19% 50.00% 50.00%
Bonds 94.6% 91.63% 50.00% 50.00% 98.57% 80.37% 50.00% 50.00% 88.63% 68.81% 50.00% 50.00%
Enhanced Portfolio
Return 0.49% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.77% 1.15% 1.75% 1.75% 0.43% 0.66% 0.98% 0.98%
Standard deviation 1.08% 1.10% 3.19% 1.09% 1.04% 1.44% 3.22% 2.75% 0.78% 1.14% 2.19% 2.08%
Sharpe ratio 0.28 0.28 0.10 0.28 0.40 0.56 0.43 0.51 0.27 0.39 0.35 0.36
Weights
Football stocks 1.91% 0.00% 33.33% 0.00% 1.92% 7.62% 33.33% 16.48% 0.00% 6.81% 33.33% 16.22%
Standard stocks 4.69% 8.37% 33.33% 7.79% 1.76% 19.16% 33.33% 46.22% 11.37% 27.42% 33.33% 48.58%
Bonds 93.40% 91.63% 33.33% 92.21% 96.32% 73.23% 33.33% 37.30% 88.63% 65.77% 33.33% 35.20%
F-statistic 0.14 0.00 1.22 5.08 0.50 1.06 0.24 0.99 0.00 0.13 0.19 0.02
p-value 0.94 1.00 0.30 0.00 0.69 0.37 0.87 0.40 1.00 0.94 0.90 1.00
(continued )
483
Football stocks
Table 4.
484
SBM
Table 4.
Full sample 01/1995–12/2017 Up market 01/1995–05/2000 Up market 01/2003–10/2007
Portfolios MVP TP NP RP MVP TP NP RP MVP TP NP RP
Base Portfolio
Return 0.59% 0.87% 1.14% 1.14% 0.41% 0.65% 0.74% 0.74% 0.15% 0.57% 2.00% 2.00%
Standard deviation 1.18% 1.46% 2.02% 2.02% 0.70% 0.93% 3.16% 3.16% 1.29% 1.39% 2.96% 2.96%
Sharpe ratio 0.50 0.59 0.56 0.56 0.12 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.14 0.17 0.79 0.79
Weights
Standard stocks 0.00% 25.17% 50.00% 50.00% 8.39% 0.00% 50.00% 50.00% 8.10% 0.00% 50.00% 50.00%
Bonds 100.00% 74.83% 50.00% 50.00% 91.61% 100.00% 50.00% 50.00% 91.90% 100.00% 50.00% 50.00%
Enhanced Portfolio
Return 0.59% 0.87% 0.84% 0.84% 0.36% 0.65% 1.67% 1.67% 0.16% 0.57% 2.33% 2.33%
Standard deviation 1.18% 1.46% 2.63% 1.41% 0.69% 0.93% 3.07% 2.48% 1.24% 1.39% 3.84% 3.33%
Sharpe ratio 0.50 0.59 0.32 0.59 0.04 0.34 0.65 0.81 0.14 0.17 0.70 0.80
Weights
Football stocks 0.00% 0.00% 33.33% 0.00% 1.80% 0.00% 33.33% 51.87% 5.70% 0.00% 33.33% 3.17%
Standard stocks 0.00% 25.17% 33.33% 22.25% 7.79% 0.00% 33.33% 5.37% 3.86% 0.00% 33.33% 54.24%
Bonds 100.00% 74.83% 33.33% 77.75% 90.4% 100.00% 33.33% 42.76% 90.44% 100.00% 33.33% 42.59%
F-statistic 0.00 0.00 2.34 0.30 0.13 0.00 2.69 4.63 0.01 0.00 0.43 0.05
p-value 1.00 1.00 0.09 0.82 0.94 1.00 0.07 0.01 1.00 1.00 0.74 0.98
Note(s): Football stocks are represented by the STOXX Europe Football Index, standard stocks by the EURO STOXX 50 Index, and bonds by the JPMorgan EMU
Government Bond Index. All indices are denominated on an EUR basis and adjusted for capital actions and dividends or coupon payments. All numbers are based on
discrete monthly returns in EUR. The base portfolio (BP) comprises standard stocks and bonds only. The investment opportunity set of the enhanced portfolio (EP) also
includes football stocks. Four portfolio composition rules are applied to BP as well as to the corresponding EP: the minimum variance portfolio (MVP), the tangent portfolio
(TP), the naı€ve portfolio (NP), and the naı€ve return portfolio (RP). Weights display the portfolio composition. The p-value relates to the difference between the Sharpe ratio
of the BP and that of the corresponding EP.
football stocks to demonstrate their diversification properties. The correlation coefficient Football stocks
between standard stocks and football stocks is negative (0.12), and the return of football
stocks (2.06%) is only slightly lower than that of standard stocks (2.47%) but much higher
than the bonds return (0.72%). Indeed, football stocks are part of all four enhanced portfolios.
For the three ex ante optimized portfolios, the Sharpe ratio of the enhanced portfolio exceeds
that of the corresponding base portfolio. The difference is not statistically significant but is of
economic relevance for an investor (ranging between 0.03 and 0.06). Only the enhanced NP
yields a slightly lower Sharpe ratio than the base NP. The prerequisites are different for the 485
second upmarket period (1/03–10/07). The relative returns for all three kinds of assets are
similar to that of the first upmarket period, but the correlation coefficient between standard
stocks and football stocks amounts to 0.45 instead of 0.12. Accordingly, football stocks are
only represented in two out of three ex-post determined enhanced portfolios, and there are no
relevant differences in the Sharpe ratios.
Turning now to the two downmarket periods (6/00–12/02 and 11/07–2/09), aside from the
enhanced TP in both periods, football stocks are included in all enhanced portfolios. In the
first downmarket, the risk-return performance of enhanced portfolios including football
stocks is inferior in all three cases. In the second downmarket, where football stocks had a
performance advantage compared to standard stocks (3.00% vs. 4.57%), Sharpe ratios
between the base portfolio and its enhanced portfolio are almost alike for the three ex-post
optimized portfolios. For the NP, the performance advantage of the enhanced portfolio is not
statistically significant but at least economically relevant (Sharpe ratio of 0.70 vs. 0.79). In
sum, only one out of the eight pairwise portfolio comparisons in the two downmarkets
supports the hypothesis that adding football stocks to a standard portfolio makes it more
risk-return efficient.
Last, we implemented an unreported robustness check suggested by a second reviewer.
As football stocks are small cap stocks, we repeated the calculations using the MSCI Europe
Investable Market Index (IMI) comprising large, mid- and small cap stocks as another proxy
of the European stock market instead of the EURO STOXX 50 Index, which only covers large
cap stocks. Within the robustness check, the results did not change substantially. (For the
sake of brevity, we make the respective results available upon request from the authors.)
6. Discussion
Hypothesis 1 claims that football stock returns differ from standard stock returns. Sharpe
(1992) does not prescribe numerical thresholds, e.g. an upper limit of the correlation
coefficient that an asset must satisfy in order to be considered an asset class of its own.
However, in view of low correlation coefficients with standard stocks (0.29) and with closely
related business sectors (media, and travel and leisure), it seems plausible to claim that the
figures support hypothesis 1. Our findings are in line with previous empirical research by
Aglietta et al. (2010), Gomez-Martınez et al. (2017), Lehmann and Weigand (1998), and Prigge
and Tegtmeier (2019). They are also consistent with developments in the European football
sector, as reflected in the accounting figures (Boccia, 2018; Boccia and Santomier, 2018; Uefa,
2019), and with the strand of literature that ascribes a specific bidding behaviour to some
holders of football stocks, which might further contribute to decoupling football stock returns
from standard stock returns (see the discussion above). Thus, our analysis supports the view
that football stocks could be regarded as a separate asset class.
While the results of hypothesis 1 can be seen as confirming extant analyses reframed in
Sharpe’s (1992) ‘new asset’ framework, hypothesis 2 deals with an open question. Extant
research does not provide a definite ex ante answer as to which of the two opposing forces is
stronger: The concept of football stocks being an asset class of their own makes it likely that
their integration in well-diversified portfolios enables one to reach more efficient risk-return
SBM combinations because of the football stocks’ risk profile. However, the returns of football
10,4 stocks are weak. They are lower than those of the standard stocks for the whole sample
period and for all sub-periods except one. Thus far, our results confirm those of Aglietta et al.
(2010) and Prigge and Tegtmeier (2019). They are also in line with Buchholz and Lapotta
(2017), who classified 60.3% of the clubs as being majority-owned by sporting investors who
do not focus on the financial performance of their stake in the club because they generate
other benefits from owning a successful football club. This owner group could be assumed to
486 be willing to pay higher prices for football club shares, leading to low share returns.
As for which of the two opposing effects is stronger, our findings leave no doubt: The
weak returns destroy the attractive correlation properties. There is little evidence in our
results in favour of adding football stocks to a well-diversified portfolio.
Our results may appear to be a simple update and confirmation of Aglietta et al. (2010),
particularly because they also apply the Sharpe ratio. Aglietta et al. (2010) calculate Sharpe
ratios of 0.01, 0.20, and 0.86 for the STOXX Europe Football Index, the EURO STOXX 50,
and the Merrill Lynch EMU Government Index, respectively, for the period from 1991 to 2009.
Please note that their approach considers diversification effects only within the three indices
they analyse, but not between them. They do take into account the diversification effect
among the football stocks in the index portfolio. Thus, club-specific risks should have been
diversified to a great extent. This effect is quite substantial (Prigge and Tegtmeier, 2019).
However, the analysis of Aglietta et al. (2010) does not include the diversification effect
between a diversified portfolio of football stocks, such as the index and other assets. This
effect is captured in our analysis. In other words, although our analytical framework
considers the potential diversification properties of football stocks in their entirety, which is
still not enough to compensate for their weak return.
Generally, our study adds new empirical evidence to the body of research that found that
football stocks are a market segment that differs from the general market (see the discussion
in section 2). There appear to be specific kinds of investors whose investment calculation
includes more than simply dividends and changes in share price. The stock attracts a special
clientele (Rohde and Breuer, 2017). For those investors who do not earn some kind of extra
benefit from holding football stock, such as strategic investors, patron investors, and fan
investors, the market is not attractive because the stocks are overvalued, according to
standard valuation principles (Prigge and Tegtmeier, 2019). Overvaluation is not
overcompensated by the risk properties of this new asset class, although the risk
properties themselves are considered attractive. Therefore, it is no surprise that institutional
investors lost interest in this market segment soon after its establishment (Walters and
Hamil, 2010; Wilson et al., 2013).
7. Conclusion
7.1 Results and contribution
Building on the extant literature on football stock returns, the research on football investor
types, and the strong growth in earnings in the professional football sector that seems to be
decoupled from the general business cycle, this article establishes and tests two hypotheses.
In line with previous research, we find support for the first hypothesis that football stock
returns are only loosely related to standard stock returns. Thus, football stocks can be called a
separate asset class, according to Sharpe (1992). The low correlation is an apt prerequisite
that the addition of football stocks to a well-diversified portfolio might allow investors to
achieve more efficient risk-return combinations. Nevertheless, the second hypothesis must be
rejected because the weak performance of football stocks destroys their advantage of low
correlation.
Our study, particularly hypothesis 2, contributes to research on listed football stocks. To
the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to analyse the risk-return efficiency of
football stocks from the perspective of a pure financial investor, i.e. an investor not earning Football stocks
side benefits from owning football stocks, such as strategic investors or fan investors. Our
findings are consistent with the extant literature in that they point out that the segment of
listed football stocks seems to play, at least partly, according to its own rules. As an indirect
contribution, this underlines the relevance of further research on investor types interested in
football stocks, which would be highly useful for club managers and is discussed in greater
detail next.
487
7.2 Managerial implications
Since opportunities for future research can be directly derived from managerial implications,
we begin with the latter. Football clubs might be happy about their current status of assumed
overvaluation because this would mean lower cost of capital. However, this might be
deceiving. As long as we assume shareholder rationality, shareholders can be expected to
demand extra benefits that compensate for the inferior return from dividends and share price
appreciation. Providing these extra benefits comes at a cost for the clubs. The cost of the extra
benefits provision must be added to the traditional cost of equity to calculate the real cost of
equity. From the perspective of football club managers, the tasks are to (1) identify which
different kinds of extra benefits are in demand by football investors, (2) determine the club’s
production costs of these extra benefits and (3) address potential investors who favour the
kinds of extra benefits the club can produce at comparatively low costs so that the real cost of
funding, including the extra benefits, can be minimized. As a fourth step, one could consider
whether the real cost of equity differs for different equity instruments, such as ordinary
shares with voting rights compared to preference shares without voting rights.
To make these abstract considerations more specific, we discuss some illustrative
examples. Let us assume a club with a fan and member base that favours participation and
engagement opportunities in club policy and is rather critical towards commercialization in
football. For such a club, the extra cost of capital would be rather high if it makes, for instance,
an international soft drink giant or an international businessman with no previous
connection to the club its dominant shareholder. Members and fans would begin protesting,
stadium attendance would go down and the club’s brand value would decrease. For such a
club, funding from wealthy local businessmen or from fans and members would be cheaper in
terms of true cost of equity. As a second example, equity investments in clubs by equipment
providers are common, e.g. Adidas and Puma in Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund,
respectively. It might be more advantageous for a club to obtain equity funding from pure
financial investors than from the main equipment provider. This is because in the former
scenario, i.e. pure financial investors, the club could auction off the position of main
equipment provider and might earn higher revenues that would more than compensate for
the higher cost of capital of the funding obtained from the pure financial investors.
All in all, this is a profiling and matching task. The managers must profile potential
investors and their specific needs and must profile their own club in terms of its production
costs for these extra benefits. With such profiles at hand, club managers would be well placed
to find potential matching investors who require extra benefits that lead to a minimum cost of
equity (similarly, see Huth, 2019, p. 15, regarding small fan investors).
Some clubs might possibly be happy if institutional investors evinced greater interest in
football shares because these investors would not seek these extra benefits. At least this
would apply to those clubs for which the package of capital funding plus additional benefits
leads to an overly high effective cost of capital, i.e. cost of capital including the costs of extra
benefits for shareholders. New club IPOs could revive the institutional shareholders’ interest
in football stocks, thus expanding the market segment of listed football stocks. Institutional
investors withdrew from that market segment in the 1990s. However, the football sector has
changed and grown tremendously since then; European football has even become profitable
SBM recently (Uefa, 2019). Thus, institutional investors might be interested to return and
10,4 participate in this development. Consequently, one managerial implication for institutional
investors would be to explain to the clubs that there might be hidden costs when issuing
shares to other investors, costs that are much lower or even non-existent when shares are
issued to institutional investors without side interests.
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Corresponding author
Stefan Prigge can be contacted at: stefan.prigge@hsba.de
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