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Machiavelli's Laboratory A Satire
Machiavelli's Laboratory A Satire
Machiavelli's Laboratory
A Satire
© 2010 Jules J. Berman
Version 1.0 created April 13,
2010
Version 1.0 last modified July 21,
2010
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Chapter 0 Preface
0.1 About me
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3.1 Co-authors
3.5 Plagiarism
Chapter 5 Grantsmanship
Chapter 6 Rejection
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13.1 Erbitux and the brave new world of gene targeted therapy
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Chapter 20 Greed
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Chapter 23 Glossary
Chapter 24 References
CHAPTER 0. PREFACE
-Anonymous
This is a satirical book about science and ethics. All of the advice
offered in this book is bad advice. Nothing in this book should be
taken seriously. Literal-minded readers are urged to stop reading
NOW.
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Here are just a few banal evils committed every day by respected
scientists:
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paying entity.
Every scientist and physician has moments when they are asked to
forgo some personal reward for the sake of scientific integrity. This
book takes a fresh approach at examining such moments. Instead of
moralizing on the virtues of scientific integrity, I try to explain the
selfish motives that make every scientist and physician act the way
they do.
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Here's an example:
You have been working on a key scientific problem for the past
8 years: finding the gene mutation responsible for a terrible
disease. You are on the verge of a breakthrough. Success will
come in a week, a month on the outside. Three other
laboratories are on the same path. At meetings, you discuss
some of your results, but you only divulge enough information
to confuse your close competitors. You have worked longer
and sacrificed more than anyone else. If there is any justice in
the world, you will soon prevail. Your graduate student rushes
into your laboratory. You glance at him, unsmiling. "What
does he need from me now?" you wonder. He has just heard
that your chief competitor has isolated the disease gene, and
found its mutation. His paper was accepted and will be
published in next week's issue of Nature. Your graduate
student asks how this news will impact on his thesis timeline,
but you have already stopped listening to him. You turn white,
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and slump deeply into your chair. Fame and riches will not
come to you. The past eight years of your life were wasted.
Your research will no longer be supported. You will not
receive tenure. Your graduate students and post-docs will
move to other laboratories. Hatred and jealousy fill your soul.
The world has just received another miracle of science, and it
is the worst day of your life.
0.1 ABOUT ME
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"Things that are new are wont to be set forward rudely and
formlessly, and then must be polished and perfected in succeeding
centuries."
-Anonymous
"A clear conscience is the self-assured feeling that no one has found
out about you yet."
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Between the years 1993 and 1997, the vast majority of Office of
Research Integrity cases involved data falsification (modifying the
true data to suit your own purposes), data fabrication (inventing data
from thin air) or both. Less frequently, allegations of plagiarism were
investigated. Of 150 cases investigated, all but one case had an
alleged component of data falsification, fabrication or plagiarism (7).
In 2007, of the 28 investigated cases, 100% involved allegations of
falsification, fabrication, or both (8).
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2. Stealing all the credit for a project where your participation was
marginal.
5. Not citing prior work that would reduce the importance of your
contribution.
You do not need to worry about the ORI, so long as you confine your
dishonest activities to areas outside their purview. Moreover, you
need not worry too much about being detected by your colleagues.
Experience has shown that many instances of data fabrication go
unnoticed for a very long time.
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Over the next six years, systemic problems arose involving the way
that the brachytherapy unit conducted surgeries, implanted
radioactive seeds, visualized the seeds, measured the success of the
seed implantations during surgery, reported the outcomes of surgery,
and handled external review of unit procedures and activities. The
unit botched 92 cases, out of 116 cancer treatments, over a period of
six years. Among the most common errors, seeds were implanted into
organs other than the prostate (e.g., bladder and rectum), and prostate
cancers were under-seeded. Questions were raised regarding a cover-
up; specifically, alterations in records and protocols intended to hide
errors. When the case finally broke, the brachytherapy unit was shut
down, a Senate hearing was called, and VA policy changes were
recommended (10). The complete medical and legal consequences of
activities at the former VA brachytherapy unit will unfold in years to
come.
Scientists produce errors all the time, and at great frequency. The
Institute of Medicine reports that between 44,000 and 98,000 people,
die each year in U.S. hospitals from preventable medical errors (11).
The astonishing feature of the brachytherapy unit is that a remarkably
high rate of systemic errors occurred in a crucial medical setting,
without any hint of public scandal for six long years (9).
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where the bird species did not exist, and there were were bird
specimens prepared with materials consistent with collections that
predated Meinertzhagen, using techniques that were different from
those employed by Meinertzhagen himself. After the investigation,
dozens of taxa had to be removed from the British list.
Meinertzhagen was a soldier, intelligence officer, diarist, nature
writer, and ornithologist. Throughout his long life, his many scientific
fabrications went undiscovered.
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If you have these four credentials, the job will be yours for the taking.
Other characteristics (e.g., competence, intelligence, curiosity, strong
moral character) are seldom helpful and may actually work against
you if your interviewers are envious, insecure, or easily intimidated.
If you are lacking an academic degree, you may choose to lie on your
job application. A former Dean of Admissions at MIT had lied on her
job application (28 years earlier), when she reported that she had
earned bachelor's and master's degrees in chemistry and biology from
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Albany Medical College, and Union
College (15). She landed the job, thanks to her false credentials. Once
employed by MIT, she rose through the ranks to become the Dean of
Admissions. Twenty-eight years later, the lies were discovered. The
dean was forced to resign, but this cautionary tale certainly has an up-
side. Here is a woman, without formal credentials, who had the
opportunity to become a dean at one of the most prestigious
institutions in the world, thanks to a small personal embellishment.
The sweet ride lasted twenty-eight years. Two and a half years after
the scandal broke, she was back in the game, running her own college
admissions consulting firm in New York City (16). She owed her
success to a lie.
If you are going to lie about your college credentials, make it difficult
for the human resources to discover the crime. It is sometimes
impossible to verify credentials claimed on an application. Colleges
can close, professors can retire or die, whole record departments can
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Suppose you were a medical student who was caught falsifying his
residency application. What would you do? You would simply claim
that any error was unintended. If you credited yourself with a
fictitious journal article, you would simply say that you thought that
the paper had been published, and that you were never informed by
the co-authors that the paper was rejected. This kind of thing happens
all the time.
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"Everybody lies, every day; every hour; awake; asleep; in his dreams;
in his joy; in his mourning."
How often have you heard a scientist admit that he was mistaken?
There is hardly a single scientific area that is not steeped in
controversy. For every scientific hypothesis, there is an equal and
opposite hypothesis promoted by a rival scientist. You would think
that the progression of scientific knowledge would inevitably result
in a never-ending parade of retractions from those scientists who
championed discredited ideas. This is simply not how science works.
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Some retracted papers are highly cited. The journal Science retracted
one of its published papers when it was discovered that an author had
fabricated data (26), (27). The paper had been cited 227 times. Most
research papers are never cited by anyone other than the authors. To
be cited 227 times is an indication that the scientific world had fully
embraced the conclusions of the bogus paper. In 2006, the Office of
Research Integrity came to the conclusion that the same author had
falsified data in four grant applications and in eight publications and
one published manuscript. In addition to the Science paper,
retractions appeared in other highly influential journals, including
Mutation Research, the Proceedings of the National Academy of
Sciences (PNAS) and Molecular and Cellular Biology. This indicates
that serial fabricators can have a pervasive influence within a field,
by planting pseudo-facts into the scientific literature, and by tainting
works, written by other scientists, that were predicated on false
findings.
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data, and raised suspicions that the data had been deliberately
falsified. When Dr. Collins was notified of the problem, he reviewed
other papers co-authored with the same colleague and found a trail of
falsified data. When confronted, the colleague confessed. Much to his
credit, Dr. Collins immediately retracted the papers and sent
notifications to about 100 scientists in the field. This quick and
decisive action far exceeded the cryptic notices that characterize most
scientific retractions. Eventually, seven papers were retracted, and the
final deliberations of the Office of Research Integrity are now public
record (29). Full blame for the deceptions was placed on the junior
colleague.
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the staff interviewers was much more productive than the others.
Turner investigated and found that the overproductive worker had
been fabricating data. A grueling six months of data review followed,
during which Turner discovered multiple instances of data
fabrication, committed by several staff members (30). After the
incident, the investigator could have shrugged away the problem,
insisting, that it would be impossible to prevent fraud without setting
up a research police state. The investigator, in this case, owned up to
the problem, and affirmed that researchers, must validate, for
themselves, the work they delegate to others (30).
If you are the first author of a paper, and you have falsified the data
in your manuscript, how might you protect yourself? One approach is
to add a lot of superfluous co-authors. If the paper is discredited, the
blame can be diffused over a great many people. If the paper is well-
received, you can claim full credit for yourself. So-called "big
science" projects can produce manuscripts with over 100 co-authors
(31). In these cases, it becomes meaningless to blame every co-author
for a falsified study.
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- Voltaire
If that were the case, why does it seem that the most contemptible
acts are committed at the best universities? Here's an example. On
January 23, 2009, the Office of Research Integrity made public their
findings of scientific misconduct concerning a doctor who fabricated
data for several grants projects funded by the NIH (34). The doctor
was a former graduate student in the Department of Pathology,
Harvard Medical School, a former research fellow and Instructor of
Pathology, at Brigham and Women's Hospital in Boston, a former
postdoctoral fellow in the Department of Biology, at the California
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- Chinese proverb
Most scientists who falsify data never get caught. If you are one of
those few cheaters unlucky enough to be discovered, use one or more
of the following tried-and-true methods to avoid punishment:
1. Deny that any offense was committed. You will be surprised that
most dishonest or otherwise unethical behavior is permitted under the
law. Furthermore, most institutions never bother to write regulations,
policies, or even guidelines that cover the vast majority of the
offenses covered in this book. The logic works like this: if it's not
illegal, it must be legal, and if it's legal, it can't be wrong.
Characterize your accusers as ineffectual whiners. Remind them that
America is a free country, and that you will not allow them to abridge
your freedoms.
2. If, in fact, you actually broke some law, deny that the statute has
legitimacy. Argue that the law is unfair, archaic, ambiguous, and
never enforced on your colleagues. Say that you are a victim in a
ruthless plan to promote an unfair and unnecessary law that would
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3. Deny knowledge of the law. They say that ignorance of the law is
no excuse. Nonetheless, it is always worth a try. If the average person
has never heard of the law, you can gain public sympathy.
4. Impugn the integrity of your accusers. Say that your accusers have
themselves broken the same law, among many others.
5. Assert that you are the victim of a personal vendetta. If you can
show that your accuser has a personal agenda, you can undermine his
credibility, his moral superiority, and his authority. You can take
advantage of the situation by transforming yourself into the victim.
8. Get a lawyer. Lawyers are trained to help guilty people get off free.
Sometimes it is best to let the professionals do their job.
9. Lie your head off. Lying often helps. It is best to confine yourself
to a few carefully chosen lies that will hold up under scrutiny. Be
careful not to include lies that contradict other lies. Once you've
settled on a set of lies, stick to the script. The more you improvise or
embellish, the less likely the lies will hold.
a. "I did it for my kids." This works for almost everyone, even those
with children from former marriages whose child support is in
arrears.
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all of your relatives, you can use this excuse. Nobody will bother to
check.
c. "I had to pay the mortgage." This excuse can summon a vision of
the destitute scientist, with his wife and children, shivering, in the
night, in a Chevy.
g. "I would have been destroyed if I did not cooperate." This excuse
works best if you can demonstrate that other scientists, who did not
cooperate, were actually destroyed.
h. "I'm no fool. I just played the game like everyone does." This
excuse builds the guilty party into someone who is a realist (not an
idealist), and who follows a set of rules imposed by harsh reality.
If all this fails, don't sweat it. In virtually all cases of simple data
fabrication, the worst that might happen is that you will lose your job.
It seems that nobody is ever asked to repay the federal government
for the cost of a grant. Nobody goes to jail for writing bad
manuscripts. Throughout this book, you'll see numerous examples of
scientists, tainted by misconduct, who emerged from the ordeal to
become powerful leaders in their fields. Don't be surprised. If we
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2. When you think about it, there are so many risk-free ways to be a
successful evil scientist, data falsification is seldom worth the peril.
Remember, being an evil scientist should not involve gambling with
your own career. Being an evil scientist involves gambling with the
careers of your competitors.
3. When you absolutely positively must falsify your data, there are a
few common sense precautions that you should take. First and
foremost, get someone else to do the dirty deed. Find someone who is
insecure, lazy and dishonest. Never order anyone to cheat; let your
subordinates figure it out for themselves. In the unlikely event that
you are caught, immediately apologize for the unauthorized and
regrettable actions of the guilty subordinate. The scientific
community will forgive you, so long as your apology is sincere.
Sincerity, like everything else, can be faked.
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SCIENTIFIC MISINTERPRETATION
-Anonymous
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that your accusers are losers who are jealous of your hard-earned
success.
"There are three kinds of liars - liars, damn liars and statisticians."
It is said that you can prove almost anything with statistics. This is
not an exaggeration. Statistics, at best, summarize some aspect of the
truth, leaving you to commit mayhem with other aspects of your data.
Every statistician learns the parable of the mathematician who
drowned in a lake of average depth two feet!
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"A mathematician is a person who says that, when three people are
supposed to be in a room but five came out, two have to go in so the
room gets empty"
-Origin unknown
Every evil scientist must carry a bag of tricks. Statistical biases will
be among your most trusted deceptions. For the sake of brevity, the
biases are listed here. In-depth explanations are found in Chapter 16
(Clinical Trials on Trial).
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Of course, detecting the cancer four years earlier only increased the
time between diagnosis and death. It did not extend, by even a single
minute, the age at death of patients with cancer Y.
Has Dr. Detecto made a useless discovery, and is the survival data
fraudulent? No. Tumors are best treated when they are detected early.
In the case of cancer Y, there was no immediate benefit for early
detection. Nonetheless, the set of early cancers provides cancer
researchers with a group of tumors that might have an improved
response (compared to late-diagnosed cancers) to newly developed
cancer therapies.
"If any question why we died, Tell them because our fathers lied."
"if one reads the literature, one often discovers that a finding reported
in the Results section studded with asterisks implicitly becomes in the
Discussion section highly significant or very highly significant,
important, big!"
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2. After your paper is published, nobody will read your paper or care
that your conclusions are nonsensical. Yes, the vast majority of
journal articles will be totally ignored by your peers. The scientific
literature serves as a vast cemetery, where dead ideas are buried.
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In many cases, you will learn that no useful conclusions can be drawn
from your work. Your data can neither establish or abolish a
hypothesis. Basically, you have wasted time and money working on a
project that has produced no meaningful results. Do not despair. Here
are a few standby conclusions that you can apply to the flimsiest of
findings, without any serious challenge:
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5. "New hope for sufferers of ...." Comment. Nobody will ask what
might have happened to the old hope.
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Optimism is not confined to the lay press. In 2003, then NCI Director
Andrew von Eschenbach, announced that the NCI intended to
"eliminate death and suffering" from cancer by 2015 (47). The book
you are now reading was written in 2010. If you believe the Director
of the National Cancer Institute, people will stop dying from cancer
just five years from the publication date!
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To see how the deception works in the cancer field, you need to start
with the definition of "survival." To a layperson, the term "survival"
indicates avoidance of death. For example, the survivors of a plane
crash are the people who did not die in the crash. To an oncologist,
survival is the time interval between diagnosis and death. The
difference between survival (to an a layperson) and survival (to an
oncologist) is the difference between winning and losing the War on
Cancer.
This is simply not the case. There has been almost no decrease in the
U.S. cancer death rate in the past half century (51). The small decline
in the cancer rate since 1991 is counter-balanced by a small rise in
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the rate of cancer deaths between 1975 and 1991. Today, the cancer
death rate is just about where it was in 1975. What accounts for the
rise in cancer deaths after 1975 and the restoration of the 1975 rates
following 1991? There's not much mystery. For the most part, the rise
was due to smoking; the fall was due to smoking cessation (48). Lung
cancer is the number one cause of cancer deaths in the U.S. About
90% of lung cancers are caused by exposure to cigarette smoke. It
can take twenty years or more for a smoker to develop cancer.
Changes in the smoking habits in a population will result in changes
in the overall cancer death rate over the following decades. We can
expect that the small drops in the cancer death rate will continue, as
women catch onto the trend toward smoking cessation.
If you speak to any cancer researcher, he will tell you that we have
made great advances in understanding cancer genetics: the mutations
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4. The person who interprets the data determines the outcome of the
study. Never let others interpret your data. They will always
misinterpret your data to suit their own agenda (just like you do).
5. There are no rules that specify what must be included in the results
section of a scientific paper. That being the case, feel free to include
only those findings that support your own agenda. Any data that
might an opposing hypothesis can be omitted from your results
section.
8. Every field of science has jargon terms that mean something very
specific to the people within the field. The same words will mean
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10. Your job, as an evil scientist, is to make the world believe that
your research is more important and more fundable than everyone
else's research. Over 99% of research has no real value, and your
research is certainly no exception. All of your creativity, effort, and
cunning should be focused on promoting your own work; data
misinterpretation will be one of your most useful tricks.
-Elmore Leonard
-Anonymous
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Preparing a journal article is much like filing your income taxes. Lots
of boilerplate, a list of hastily assembled numbers, a disappointing
conclusion, and a choice of post office or electronic submission.
If you lack a creative spirit, and are worried that you will have
trouble writing your paper, do not be alarmed. No creativity is
involved. The stylistic restraints imposed on journal articles, by
editors and reviewers, have removed all of the attributes you would
normally associate with stimulating prose.
Authors - If you're under 35 years old, take the first author spot.
Otherwise, take the last author spot.
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Background section is used to impress upon the readers that the topic
you have chosen is important, and that anything written on the topic,
no matter how trivial, deserves to be published.
Once the paper is prepared, in draft form, you can begin the
humiliating process that leads up to submitting the final version to a
journal. Send a copy of the first draft to each of your co-authors and
ask them for constructive feed-back. Only one of the co-authors will
provide a quick turn-around with helpful suggestions. The others
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really do not care about you or your paper, and will not reply. Wait
two weeks, make a few of the changes suggested by the single
respondent, and send the second draft to all of the co-authors, with a
cover letter thanking them for their input on the first draft. Repeat the
process one more time. Send all of the co-authors a copy of the final
draft, indicating that you have incorporated all of the changes
requested by all of the co-authors. Remember to thank them for their
guidance and indicate that working with them was a privilege and an
honor.
You are now ready to send three copies of the final manuscript to the
editor.
Here are a few tips for enhancing the likelihood that your paper will
be accepted for publication:
3. From time to time, you'll choose a field of study that has been
thoroughly plowed by your betters. If your results agree with the
results of prior studies, then you must pose your paper as a validating
study. If your results disagree with prior studies, then you must
promote your paper as a controversial re-examination of an important
research question. If the prior work was done in the remote past, then
you must promote your work as a historical investigation, that brings
new techniques to bear on an topic of enduring interest. If the only
justifiable reason for your paper is that it answers a previously
unsolved problem, then it's best to simply ignore the preceding
manuscripts. Odds are, nobody will notice that it was all done before.
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10. When it seems as though no journal will ever publish your paper,
just put the paper aside for a time. Eventually, an editor will invite
you to submit a paper on a topic related to the rejected manuscript.
Invited papers are often reviewed in-house (by the editor or by a
colleague of the editor) and the reviews, no matter how negative, are
never taken as a serious impediment to publication. In many cases,
invited papers are not reviewed at all. Use the invitation as an
opportunity to publish your otherwise unpublishable manuscripts.
Let's jump ahead. You've just gotten your first paper accepted for
publication. Your evil work has finally come to a successful close. Or
has it? Once your paper has been accepted for publication, it enters
publication limbo. Some journals are severely backlogged, having
accepted many more papers than can fit into their print issues. In this
case, a paper can wait for more than a year before the print version
appears. This backlog problem is alleviated somewhat when journals
publish an electronic version of the article that appears prior to the
release of the print version. However, there is a limit to number of
months that an e-publication can precede the print version. The
problem remains that after acceptance, a journal article can languish
for a very long time before its official publication date. During this
time, a number of unfortunate events may occur that crush the hopes
and careers of the hapless authors.
1. The editor may decide not to publish your paper (56). Yes,
acceptances can be revoked. This can happen when the editor who
accepted your paper vacates his position, and a new editor arrives
who wants to move the journal into a new direction. Specifically, the
new editor may specifically want to exclude papers such as yours.
2. The publisher may discontinue the journal. Yes, journals that are
unprofitable can die. Backlogged, unpublished papers will fall into a
dismal void.
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You might be wondering how editors get away with treating authors
so badly. The reason is simple. Journals, like all businesses, exist for
the purpose of attaining wealth and perpetuating their own existence.
Journals attain wealth by attracting subscribers, and all journals are
focused on increasing the number of paid subscribers. Authors are
pathetic people who beg editors to publish their papers, and who
foolishly sign away the copyright for their work, without asking for
any compensation. Authors are so stupid that they will often pay
thousands of dollars to publishers to have their papers published. Is it
any wonder that authors are treated with contempt by editors?
3.1 CO-AUTHORS
-Peter De Vries
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By this point, you must be asking yourself whether adding bogus co-
authors to your manuscripts will have negative consequences. Don't
worry; this never happens. Though editors love to write strict
guidelines for the inclusion of co-authors on manuscripts, they
basically don't care what you do. Here is an example of a universally
ignored instruction from the International Committee of Medical
Journal Editors: "Acquisition of funding, the collection of data, or
general supervision of the research group, by themselves, do not
justify authorship (59)." If you check against published papers in the
biomedical field, you will find that just about every paper includes
co-authors whose only contributions were data collection,
supervision, or funding acquisitions.
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The flip side of the co-authorship issue involves choosing the names
of valid co-authors who you must exclude from attribution in your
manuscript. Sometimes, you will find it necessary to drop from the
author list a colleague whose efforts were instrumental to the
completion of your project. This happens when the head of your
laboratory, or someone of even higher influence, indicates that he
does not want particular names to appear on the final manuscript. He
may be holding a grudge against the person in question, but more
often, he simply doesn't want the person to take a job at another
laboratory. If this person were included as a co-author, it might help
him find an alternative position in another laboratory. Can scientists
be this petty? Of course they can. When a good technician or scientist
leaves a laboratory, they take their expertise with them. In many
cases, an important technique will be lost, or a secret technique will
be acquired by a competing laboratory. When you drop a co-author
from a publication, you will need a false but credible reason. Here are
a few options:
2. Tell the excluded co-author that the editor insisted that the author
list was too long and had to be reduced.
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"If you want to make an apple pie from scratch, you must first create
the universe."
-Carl Sagan
According to Stigler, credit always goes to the wrong person, and this
is the essence of Stigler's law of eponymy (which, according to
Stigler, must have been invented by someone other than Stigler).
Stigler provides numerous examples of credit going to the wrong
scientist (65). "Laplace employed Fourier Transforms in print before
Fourier published on the topic, that Lagrange presented Laplace
Transforms before Laplace began his scientific career, that Poisson
published the Cauchy distribution in 1824, twenty-nine years before
Cauchy touched on it in an incidental manner, and that Bienayme
stated and proved the Chebychev Inequality a decade before and in
greater generality than Chebychev's first work on the topic."
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1865), in 1833.
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In 1595, fifteen year old fledgling Dutch lens grinder and part-time
counterfeiter, Zacharias Jansen (1580 - 1638) placed two lenses in a
tube, and created the first compound microscope (Figure 3-6).
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This amazing invention sat dormant until 1667, when Robert Hooke
(1635 - 1703) studied insects and plant material with this 72-year-old
invention. Hooke used the word "cell" to describe the complex, living
structures that compose every organism. In 1675, with improved
lenses, Leeuwenhoek studied micro-organisms in water and cells of
the human body. Hooke and Leeuwenhoek kick-started modern
microscopy, but Zacharias Jansen invented the microscope.
Smallpox was the first disease for which vaccination was successful.
As early as 200 B.C.E. in China and 1000 B.C.E. in India, physicians
knew that infection with smallpox conferred immunity against
subsequent infection. Based on this observation, they were the first to
develop a vaccination, administered nasally, of attenuated virus.
Arabic doctors developed their own treatment, consisting of
transferring material from an infected pox blister to another person
via a small cut. Emmanuel Timoni (1670 - 1718) was a physician
practicing in Constantinople. He introduced the Arabic vaccination
process to the West, in 1717. In 1796, Edward Jenner (1749 - 1823)
developed a new vaccine, from a bovine pox virus (vaccinia) that
seemed to confer cross-immunity against smallpox (variola) (Figure
3-7). When you consider that the word, "vaccine", derives from
Jenner's choice of inoculum (vaccinia), it seems reasonable to give
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If you want to give credit to the first person to save European lives by
immunizing against smallpox, you would need to go 80 years earlier
than Jenner; to Timoni. To be really fair, you would need to go back
many centuries, to the Chinese, Indian and Arabic physicians to find
the origin of human immune treatments.
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Johann Franz Encke (1791 - 1865) is given credit for the discovery of
[Encke's] comet (1818), but Encke merely calculated the orbit, using
a technique first developed more than a century earlier by Edmond
Halley (1656 - 1742). In 1705, Halley applied Newton's laws of
physics to correctly predict that a particular comet (known today as
Halley's comet), observed in 1531, 1607, and 1682, would return in
1758. The comet known today as Encke's comet was named after a
person who neither first-sighted the comet nor discovered the
methodology to predict the comet's orbit (Figure 3-9). The person
who made the first sight of the comet has descended into scientific
obscurity.
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Elisha Gray (1835 - 1901) and Alexander Graham Bell (1847 - 1922)
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both invented the telephone at the same time, and both filed their
inventions in the U.S. patent office, on the very same day (February
14, 1876). As the story is told, Gray's patent was filed a few hours
before Bell's, but Gray's sat at the bottom of the "in box" while Bell's
was processed promptly. Bell took first credit.
Today, the Messier objects are credited with holding some of the
most fascinating galaxies and cosmologic curiosities in the known
universe (Figure 3-11). Though Messier was completely wrong, he
achieved scientific immortality, just the same.
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"The person who does not read has no advantage over the person who
cannot read."
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Once a book has become a course requirement, you can milk the
same book throughout your entire career by writing new editions that
appear annually. It won't take much work. Most new and revised
book editions are much like the old and un-revised editions. The key
difference is the price of the book; it goes up with each minor version
change. When the professor requires students to buy the newest
edition of a book, he guarantees himself a stream of royalties to
supplement his more-than-adequate staff salary.
"It is an amazement, how the voice of a person long dead can speak
to you off a page as a living presence."
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3.5 PLAGIARISM
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Any society can reach a point where the most corrupt activities are
considered standard operating procedure. In 18th century European
academia, casual plagiarism was routinely tolerated. In 1731, Carl
Linnaeus (1707 - 1778) wrote the doctoral dissertation for Johan Olaf
Rudbeck, for which Linnaeus was paid a customary fee (72) (Figure
3-14). Twenty-first century plagiarism is less blatant, but equally
common.
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Mr. King's earlier book is not cited in Mr. Swanson's later work.
According to the Boston Globe, Mr. Swanson, author of Swanson's
Unwritten Rules of Management, said, "You should understand I'm
not a writer. It's not my profession, and I don't know how to do
it" (74). We have a situation where a person writes a book, on the
rules of business management, assigns exclusive attribution of the
book's contents to himself (in the title of the book), and later claims
that he did not understand the rules.
It turns out that not all of the content in Mr. Swanson's book was
taken from Mr. King's earlier work. Four of his rules came from an
article written by Donald Rumsfeld, and one of the rules came from a
book written by Dan Barry (75). Was Mr. Swanson guilty of
plagiarism? We do not really know. He was never charged with
plagiarism in a court of law. Mr. Swanson's employer, The Raytheon
Corporation, applied Solomonic wisdom and ended the controversy
by reducing Mr. Swanson's executive compensation (i.e., recycling
some of Mr. Swanson's money by returning it to themselves) (75).
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"Computers are like Old Testament gods; lots of rules and no mercy."
-Joseph Campbell
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In 2006 the novel "How Opal Mehta Got Kissed, Got Wild, and Got a
Life," written by a Harvard sophomore, was pulled from stores after
the author admitted plagiarizing portions of the book (80). Four years
later, a similar act committed by another young writer, was perfectly
acceptable to the book establishment. A 17 year old German prodigy
wrote "Axolotl Roadkill," a book that swiftly rose to number 5 on the
Spiegel's hardcover-seller list. A reader noticed that numerous
passages in Axolotl Roadkill seemed to be plagiarized from another
book, "Strobo." In one example, an entire page was lifted from
"Strobo" (81). Nonetheless, Axolotl Roadkill was not pulled from the
German bookshelves. Instead, the disputatious book was nominated
for the fiction prize in the Leipzig book fair. One of the jurors noted
that he was aware of the plagiarism accusations, but said, "I believe
it's part of the concept of the book" (81). Plagiarism has became the
"in" thing for young writers.
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questions related to the original work, use those questions as the basis
for all of your subsequent publications. Publish at least one paper
each year on same variation of the original paper. Soon, you will be
recognized as the world's leading authority in your field (your field
being your original article). When discussing your work, express
contempt for scientists who do not concentrate their energies on a
single topic. You will find that narrowly focusing on your own work,
staying oblivious to the external world of science, confers credibility.
If you follow this popular pathway, you will be rewarded with the
respected and comfortable life of an academic scientist.
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In theory, a publisher could sue an author for the cost of the materials
involved in re-publishing a previously published article. This never
happens. Self-plagiarism occurs whenever authors copy and paste
some of their previously published text into review articles and book
chapters. Re-cycling publications as duplicate works in other
languages is also common. Bruce Schneier has recounted instances
where his works were pirated and re-published in other languages,
under the authorship of blatant plagiarists (89).
1. People will not read your papers. Even if your paper is cited by
other papers, it is a safe bet that nobody has actually sat down and
read your paper from beginning to end. You can be certain that your
department chair, your close colleagues, even your co-authors, have
not read your research papers. If you value your marriage, never ask
your spouse to read your research papers.
2. Unlike just about every other competitive endeavor, being the first
person to achieve a new idea, discovery, process, or invention,
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seldom means that you will be credited with the breakthrough. The
more powerful laboratory, the more recognizable name, the splashier
publication will take precedence over mere chronology. It is often
more profitable to be the first person to commercialize another
person's idea than to be the idea's creator.
6. Divide your work into LPUs (Least Publishable Units, also known
as MPU, Minimum Publishable Units). A journal manuscript must
convince the reviewers that the work is original, and that it advances
science. Just how much a journal article advances science is an
unmeasurable quantity, though everyone assumes it is almost always
very close to zero. Because advances typically require a collection of
small observations and studies, it is often possible to split a paper into
minipapers, each containing part of the total research product. When
you split a paper into three or four LPUs, you enhance the chance that
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7. After you have published several LPUs within a project, you can
combine your LPUs into a more extensive paper, submitted to a
prestigious journal. Do what you must to ensure that your name
appears as first author on the composite paper. With care, your can
mix and match your LPUs into several composite papers in several
different prestigious journals.
8. After you have published your abstracts, your LPUs, and your
composite paper, publish a review paper that highlights the
importance of your prior works. With luck, you can turn a mediocre
research effort into publication empire.
10. Don't expect much from co-authors, most of whom will not read
the paper and will have only a vague idea of its contents.
11. When you prepare the bibliography for your paper, never cite the
papers written by your competitors. This is particularly important
when when your competitor has published the same conclusions, at
an earlier date. In all likelihood, your reviewer is unaware of your
competitor's publications. In the unlikely event that your competitor
is your reviewer, cut your losses and re-submit to another journal.
12. When you submit your manuscript, do not hesitate to list several
scientists who should not be invited as reviewers. This serves several
purposes. It eliminates the people most likely to reject your paper. It
makes the editor suspicious of your enemies; more likely to believe
anything negative about them. It implants the idea that your paper has
sufficient importance that others in your field will try to stop its
publication.
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15. Career-wise, it is much better to publish one paper 100 times than
to publish 100 different papers.
16. Behind every great scientist is an evil scientist, ready to take steal
his credit. You can be that evil scientist.
17. In the long run, your scientific contributions will have no real
impact. Don't dwell on this thought.
"Any fool can criticize, condemn and complain and most fools do."
-Benjamin Franklin
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-Victor Cousin
Three weeks later, you receive a letter from the editor's office
indicating that your letter has been received and is being reviewed by
an impartial referee. The letter indicates that you will be informed of
the editor's decision once it has been made.
Two months pass. You call the editor's office. His assistant indicates
that the editor is aware of your complaint, is working to reach a
decision, and that you will be notified when a decision is reached.
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A month later, hearing nothing, you call the editor's office again.
This time, you reach the editor. The editor indicates that your
complaint has been reviewed, and that the outside consultant had
determined that the authors of the Science Life paper are innocent of
plagiarism.
You inform the editor that you had not accused the other authors of
plagiarism. You simply had accused them of being the second, not the
first, laboratory to discover that galactic acid inhibits blinking. As
such, your paper should have been cited in their paper.
The editor indicates that because there was no plagiarism, there was
no scientific misconduct. If there was no scientific misconduct, there
is no obligation to publish a retraction.
You indicate that you are not requesting a retraction. You are
requesting that the editor publish a short statement indicating that
you were the first to discover the effect of galactic acid on blink-
avoidance.
The editor indicates that his journal does not embroil itself in
disputations over precedence. He says that such arguments need to
be settled among the authors.
You indicate that the problem is that the readers of Scientific Life
were informed, incorrectly, that the October article was the first to
observe the effects of galactic acid on blink-avoidance. You are
simply asking for the mistake to be corrected.
The editor indicates that he is pressed for time, and the conversation
ends.
Editors have their own biases and will summarily reject scientifically
sound papers, if it suits them. There really is nothing that a scientist
can do when an editor tells him that a flawless work, requiring years
of hard work, is simply unsuitable for publication in the journal (45).
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10. Failing to provide authors with the names of the peers who
reviewed their papers. Criminals are allowed to confront their
accusers; why don't scientists have the same rights.
Editors cannot seem to grasp the idea that scientists submit papers for
the purpose of getting the paper published. Scientists do not submit
papers for the purpose of learning the opinions of reviewers, or for
the opportunity to mollify their complaints. Authors will take the
course of action that will lead to publication. If an editor forwards
scathing reviews and requires the author to repeat experiments, gather
more data, provide more analysis, revise the results, pay homage to
their competitors, and generally grovel to the delight of anonymous
critics, the authors may not willingly comply. Editors who demand
that authors adjust their behavior to serve the interests of the journal
are likely to be disappointed.
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published at this time." In truth, the editors are almost always correct
when they deliver a "not of sufficient interest" notice. Most papers,
whether published or unpublished, do not advance science. The
problem is that we really have no method of distinguishing the
important papers from the unimportant papers. There are many
examples of Nobelists whose seminal work seemed uninteresting to
editors (91). If editors had the power to stop the authors of rejected
papers from submitting to another journal, scientific advancement
would come to a standstill.
From the author's point of view, the problem with rejection distills
down to time. After submitting a paper, an author can wait a year or
longer before he receives his rejection letter (92). During that time,
the author is prohibited from submitting his paper to any other
journals. The editor, at his whim, can delay publication of a
scientifically valid paper for reasons that are purely self-serving and
without benefit to the scientific community.
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How long does a reviewer work on a review that takes two years to
complete? About five hours; if you're working in the field it simply
does not take much longer than this to read and comment on a paper.
The procrastinator is not a "busy professional." He is simply a selfish
person who places a higher value on five hours of his own time than
on two years of the author's time. A procrastinating reviewer can
easily delay the publication date of a paper by a year, two years, or
even longer (92). Late reviews are almost always unfavorable
reviews. After you have submitted a manuscript, each month that
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passes while you wait for the reviewer's comments reduces the
likelihood that your reviews will be favorable.
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1. You can't assume that the paper was written by the listed author.
The paper may have been written by a ghost writer paid by industry.
4. In the case of clinical trials, the study may have violated the rights
of human subjects.
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6. You will never have access to the raw primary data upon which the
conclusions were based.
10. The research may have been submitted for publication several
years prior to the publication date and has no current scientific value.
11. The work described in the article may bear no relevance to the
intended area of research supported by the funding sources listed at
the end of the article.
12. The article may have appeared in another place and another time,
in another language, with a different title and conclusion.
13. You are probably the only person on the planet who has bothered
to read the published manuscript.
1. You must understand that journals exist to make money for the
journal publishers. Journals that cannot bring profit will be
discontinued. Editors work for the publishers, and their only job is to
choose articles that sustain the economic viability of the journal.
2. Do not kid yourself into thinking that editors try their best to
accommodate authors. Editors could care less about the authors.
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dilemma for the editor. Editors do not care enough about the ethical
issues related to journal publications to spend any serious time trying
to ensure compliance.
8. The first rule for reviewers is, "Every manuscript can be justifiably
rejected." Every manuscript has flaws, and it's your job, as a
reviewer, to find them.
CHAPTER 5. GRANTSMANSHIP
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Writing a good grant requires a lot of hard work and scientific talent.
An evil scientist avoids the task altogether. Grant writing is best left
to the professionals. Most departments have someone on hand who is
a good writer, who knows the rules of grant writing, and who cannot
write his own grants, no matter how hard he tries. Such honored
servants learn how to write a strong summary statement (the only part
of the grant that is carefully read by the reviewers), how to prepare
credible budgets, and how to lard an application with an impressive
group of co-investigators. Well-funded institutes, centers and
academic departments usually have a star writer who has prepared
many funded grant applications. The ghost grant-writer, collaborating
with your institution's grant administrator, and using template text
from successful grants, will provide you with a grant application you
can be proud to call your own.
If you can't weasel out of writing your grant, there are a few simple
lessons that you must learn. When you look at grants, you quickly
realize that the final product comes as the result of a small but frantic
intellectual effort. Keep in mind that NIH receives about 50,000 grant
applications each year. If grants were really hard to write, the number
of grant applications would be much smaller. Much of the grant
proposal is informational boilerplate; names of investigators,
institutional grant administrators, addresses, telephone numbers,
biographic data for the investigators and co-investigators. A large
portion of the grant will be cobbled together from parts of similar
grants written in your department. In many cases, the methods you
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will be using are the same methods that have been used by your co-
investigators and that were included in prior grants. Such methods
can be pasted into your grant. The background section, which usually
begins with some unnecessary discussion of the history and
magnitude of the problem addressed by the grant, can be used for all
your grant applications. This assumes that the problem you are
addressing will not be solved in your lifetime, a safe assumption in
most cases.
The most important part of the grant is the abstract, which conveys a
summary of the proposed work, and the rationale for doing the work.
The study section needs to know what you plan to do, why you want
to do it, and whether you can actually pull it off within your
institution, with the specified personnel, equipment, and techniques.
The typical grant reviewer gives your grant a perfunctory once-over,
looking for answers to the following simplistic questions:
5. Does the grant address a real scientific problem that has not been
previously solved?
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Once the grant is won, the next step is to work on the grant and fulfill
the promises made in the grant application. WRONG!!! After a grant
is obtained, the next step is to win another grant. Grants, and the
money they bring to the researcher and his institution, are all that
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Gina Kolata wrote an investigative article for the New York Times,
titled, "Labs, A Scientist's Foreign Country (105)." For this article,
Kolata interviewed highly successful scientists, who agreed that
success requires you to leave the labwork to others. One of the
interviewed researchers indicated that he had not performed
experiments in years. Dr. Shirley Tilghman, now President of
Princeton University, admitted that, for some scientists, "the best
thing that ever happened to them was to get out of the lab." As a
successful scientist, your job is to bring money into your institution.
Leave the work to others, but remember to take the credit for
yourself.
If you tell a lie, and people believe you, and you profit immensely
from the lie, why would you ever want to stop? Among the most
prominent financiers are life-long liars who understood that the value
of an investment is buoyed by a belief system. With a little luck, you
can suspend the disbelief of your investors indefinitely. Ivar Kreuger,
once known as the "Match King", and credited as the inventor of
derivatives, created an enormous Ponzi scheme that lasted for years,
until the Great Depression spoiled his fun and brought his investors
to financial ruin. Hard lessons learned by Kreuger's investors were
soon forgotten. Another Ponzi schemer, Bernard Madoff, swindled
billions of dollars from investors over several decades. Until the
moment that the Ponzi scheme unraveled, Madoff was held in the
highest esteem by his investors and by his colleagues on Wall Street
and the Securities Exchange Commission. The wizards at Enron built
a shell-game into one of the largest financial empires in the world,
and enjoyed the adoration of biographers and colleagues, until the
illusion finally collapsed.
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to every scientist who has not been awarded a grant. This will hold
true even if you never make any contribution to science. Use your
prestige as a grant-winner to attract additional grants. Your
colleagues will be glad to add your name as a co-investigator on their
grant applications; your name will provide vicarious legitimacy to
their application. When you apply for your next grant, the members
of your review committee will see you as an established leader in
your field, greatly improving your chances for additional funding.
Grantsmanship is a never-ending Ponzi scheme. One grant parlays
into many.
Ponzi schemes work well for academics, but they work best for small
businesses. Federal funding agencies must award a percentage of
their grants to small businesses, through the Small Business
Innovation Research Program. A small business is usually a
corporation, and holds all of the legal corporate advantages. One of
the most useful rights of corporations is the right of re-incarnation. A
corporation can simply kill itself on Monday and arise as a new
corporation on Tuesday, with a different name, but with the same
owners and employees. A small business can win a grant, spend the
appropriated funds without producing any useful product, and apply
for another grant, in the same scientific area, under a new legal
identity, and a fresh slate.
-Ecclesiastes 1:18
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Yet nobody will ask you what you have actually accomplished with
your grant; such inquiries are considered crude and irrelevant.
The grad students and post-docs do the actual work of the grant.
There is no way to verify that the principle investigator contributed to
their training.
4. "I completed the work described in the RFA that your agency
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"Don't gamble; take all your savings and buy some good stock and
hold it till it goes up, then sell it. If it don't go up, don't buy it."
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-Will Rogers
Here's a nifty idea for funding agencies: fund the really important
research, and don't fund unimportant research. This simplistic
approach, analogous to the stock broker's advice to buy low and sell
high, never seems to work as hoped. Basically, when one powerful
individual is permitted to choose the winners and the losers, the
winners always seem to be the friends, allies, and loyal supporters of
the person in power.
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Nobody can determine which ideas are important and which ideas are
not. When we look at the major advances in science and medicine
throughout history, almost all of them were ridiculed from the
moment of their conception. Picking future science winners is a
sucker's game.
The peer review system for funding is a nasty business; about 80% of
grant applications are denied funding. You might prefer to increase
your chances of success by bypassing the grants review process
entirely. Here are a few alternate roads to success:
2. Higher than the exceptions process is the direct appeal to the head
on an NIH Institute. The office of an NIH director has a variety of
methods for moving funding to a favorite supplicant. An NIH
director can request his division chiefs host an NIH workshop to be
chaired by the supplicant. The workshop lends authority to the
supplicant and legitimacy to his area of interest; this builds
enthusiasm for supporting his research. The NIH director can ask
program directors to launch a new initiative along the lines of
research of the supplicant. The NIH director can arrange
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3. If you are a physician seeking grant support, you really don't need
to look any further than your own suite of examination rooms. Dying
patients and their families can often be persuaded to leave their
estates, in part or in whole, to further the research interests of their
beloved family doctor. The request often takes the following form:
Isn't (name of disease) a terrible disease? It (may be, is, was, could
be) too late to save (name here), but my lab is on the verge of a
breakthrough. We are very close to stopping this disease, so that
nobody else's (father, mother, son, daughter) needs to suffer like
(name here). The NIH only pays for big science these days. They'll
give millions of dollars to the big labs, but it is virtually impossible
for a small lab to get a few hundred thousand dollars for an
innovative project. You know better than anyone else how important
it is to cure (name of disease). Can you help with a donation?
4. Earmarks are the only sure-fire way way of getting grant funding,
while avoiding the risks that come from the peer-review process. An
earmark is a budget expense, inserted by a congressman, for a
designated recipient in his home state. In 2007, Congress spent $2.3
billion on earmark projects for universities and colleges (111). If
somebody on Capitol Hill likes you, you can get millions of funding
dollars for otherwise unfundable research projects (112).
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Once the bids are placed, the proposal is awarded to the highest
bidder. The scientist looks at the size of the bid. If it is too low, he
simply informs the winning bidder that he won't be doing the work,
and the bid is withdrawn. Otherwise, the highest bidder then puts the
money for the bid into into an escrow account. The money will be
given to the scientist when he delivers on the proposed research,
within an agreed interval of time.
At this point, the scientist has no money for his research. He needs to
secure a loan for the research, using the bid as a form of collateral, he
find one or more investors willing to stake his research, in return for a
negotiated portion of the money in the escrow account.
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need to turn your thinking around. Evil scientists know that the
purpose of research is to get funding. Department heads and
university administrators understand that professors are hired for the
sole purpose of bringing grants and other forms of revenue into their
institutions.
8. When your grant has expired, abandon your work. The only people
who will be inconvenienced are the technicians, graduate stuents and
post-doctoral fellows who slaved over the project for the past half-
decade.
9. Take credit for all of the work that comes from your laboratory. If
you must list your subordinates as co-authors, be sure to stagger their
names on your papers. Your name will be the only name that appears
on every paper coming from your laboratory; and the only name that
is associated with the laboratory's work.
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11. Don't worry about scientific stagnation in your field. The public
will pay and pay forever, if they believe that a breakthrough is near.
You can hold society hostage for decades, if they really need a
solution to a scientific problem.
CHAPTER 6. REJECTION
"That it will ever come into general use, notwithstanding its value, is
extremely doubtful because its beneficial application requires much
time and gives a good bit of trouble, both to the patient and to the
practitioner because its hue and character are foreign and opposed to
all our habits and associations."
Perhaps nobody has been as deeply ignored, during his short, obscure
lifetime, than Vincent Van Gogh (1853 - 1890) . In the last decade of
his short life, he produced over 2,000 paintings. He just kept getting
better and better at his craft, producing many of his most beloved
works in the last two years of his life. Though he had connections to
a successful art dealer (his brother Theo), his paintings had no
buyers. Rejected and depressed, he took his own life.
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book "Barely and Widely" sold only 26 copies two months after
release. Today, Zukofsky is considered to be one of the greatest poets
of the 20th century (114).
350 B.C. Aristotle (384 B.C.E. - 322 B.C.E.) recognizes that dolphins
are mammals. The rest of the world disagrees, classifying dolphins as
fish. After two thousand years of derisive laughter, the world
eventually agrees with Aristotle.
325 B.C.E. Pytheas (350 B.C.E. - 285 B.C.E.) sails from Greece to
Iceland. Pytheas watched the Atlantic tides (absent in the smaller
Mediterranean sea). When he returned from his remarkable voyage,
Pytheas described his voyages and his observations. Nobody believed
him.
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1705 Edmond Halley (1656 - 1742), calculates that his comet would
return to the solar system in 1758. Nobody took him seriously, until
1758, when Halley's comet returned.
1884 Svante August Arrhenius (1859 - 1927) defends his PhD thesis
on ionic dissociation. His professors thought it was all wrong,
reluctantly passing him with the lowest possible qualifying grade. In
1903, the very same thesis earned Arrhenius the Nobel prize.
1869 One-armed civil war veteran John Wesley Powell (1834 - 1902)
is denied federal funding to explore the Grand Canyon; his privately
funded exploration is credited with many of the significant
discoveries of the Colorado basin.
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on Cantor.
Sometimes, the best works are found amongst the rejected efforts. In
mid-nineteenth century France, the Salon de Paris, the official art
exhibition sponsored by the Academie des Beaux-Arts, rejected
works by Monet, Manet, Pissarro, Cezanne, and many others whose
concept of art conflicted with prevailing sensibilities. Complaints
reached the ears of Napoleon III, who allowed rejected words to be
displayed in a Salon de Refuses (a gathering of the rejected people).
These exhibitions of rejected art are credited with the rise of
impressionism. Today, the term "salon des refuses" refers to any
exhibit of works that were rejected by a juried show.
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Back in 1668, just as Redi was trying to convince his colleagues that
living organisms cannot generate from nothing, Richard Lower was
putting the finishing touches on his Tractatus De Corde: Item De
Motu Et Colore Sanguinis. Lower demonstrated experimentally that
venous blood pumped from the heart, into the lungs, is transformed
(from venous dark red, to arterial bright red) by aeration and returned
to the heart, where arterial blood is pumped to the peripheral
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Every child who rides an escalator must wonder where the steps go
when they reach the top. The escalator steps seem to slink under the
floor, and drop off into a hidden chamber. Meanwhile, another
mysterious process creates new steps that emerge from the floor of
the elevator, and rise upwards. The idea of a continuous belt of stairs
seldom catches the imagination of very young children, who prefer
magical thinking over mundane observations. Basically, medieval
physicians accepted Galen's magic stairs version of blood circulation.
Blood was constantly replaced by the liver at a rate that equaled its
issuance through invisible pores in the heart. It was just fantastic.
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heart to lungs and back, and from the heart to the periphery and back.
This brings us to back to Richard Lower (1631 - 1691) (Figure 6-7).
In 1691, Lower published an explanation of the relationship between
the peripheral and pulmonary circulations, and described the
intrapulmonary aeration of venous blood. Lower's work was a
complete anatomic and physiologic synthesis that has withstood the
test of time.
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Figure 6-7. Ptolemy, pointing away from the center of the universe.
Source: Wikipedia, public domain.
Reality is the thing that can kill you whether you believe in it or not.
For centuries, navies refused to believe that citrus can cure scurvy
(Vitamin C deficiency disease). Most animals can synthesize ascorbic
acid (Vitamin C), and do not require a dietary source of the vitamin.
Humans and guinea pigs must acquire the vitamin in their diets, or
they will die. Without Vitamin C, the body cannot properly
synthesize collagen, the fibrous protein that braces connective tissues
in animals. The first known large epidemic of Vitamin C deficiency
occurred in 1497, when Vasco da Gama sailed from Lisbon to
Calcutta. About three-fifths of his crew died. Prior to the age of
European sea explorations, voyages were shorter, or they involved
foraging for food along the way. The Europeans set larder on their
ocean-going ships with provisions for the full journey. Unfortunately,
their stored foods lacked sufficient Vitamin C, resulting in death by
scurvy, a particularly nasty condition marked by a general collapse of
the body's structural integrity, often ending with stroke due to
vascular hemorrhage.
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Not so. Soon after the cure for scurvy was found, it was abandoned.
Scurvy resumed its killing spree on the British navy. It was up to
James Lind to re-discover, in 1747, that citrus prevented and cured
scurvy. Lind's re-discovery was lost on some explorers. A century
later, in 1848, the ships Erebus and Terror, while navigating through
the Northwest Passage, became trapped in ice. Citrus was absent
from their provisions. The crew died of scurvy.
The basic theory of asepsis is simple; keep wounds clean, and avoid
contaminating anyone with infected materials from other persons,
and everyone stands to live a lot longer. The limitation of asepsis, as
a medical procedure, are three-fold: 1) humans are dirty; 2) humans
are lazy, and 3) nobody in human history has ever been paid to wash
his hands.
Asepsis is another idea whose time had come and gone and come and
gone. Hippocrates (460 - 377 BC) irrigated wounds with wine or
boiled water. Galen (130 - 200 A.D.) knew enough to boil his
surgical instruments. In 1266 A.D., Todorico Borgognoni taught
aseptic wound treatment.
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Have you ever wondered why Jewish doctors are held in high esteem,
even among patients who are openly anti-semitic? Do Jews make the
best doctors? The answer may lie in the ancient Hebraic hand-
washing obligations. Observant Jews wash their hands often, and
thoroughly. Ritualistic hand-washing is a thorough procedure,
requiring clean water, and repeated hand immersions. It comes as no
surprise that a doctor who carefully washes his hands will save more
patients than a doctor whose hands carry infection from patient to
patient.
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As early as the 1940s, the observation was made that many victims of
SIDS were found in the prone position on pliant bedding (123).
Similar observations were made again and again, and by the 1970s,
people began to wonder whether babies could breathe adequately
under these conditions (124). New Zealanders are credited with
showing that the incidence of SIDS drops precipitously when infants
sleep in a supine position, on a firm mattress. Numerous population
studies have confirmed these observations. Currently, the "back-to-
sleep" campaign is a worldwide effort whose goal is to spread
awareness of a breakthrough in SIDS prevention, discovered more
than six decades ago.
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Figure 6-9. Hipparchus, the first to discover and record a new star
appearing in the sky. Source: Wikipedia, public domain.
The next European to see a new star in the sky was Tycho Brahe, in
1572. The curious thing about this dark interim is that nova occur
frequently. Several dozen nova, visible from earth with the naked
eye, occur each year (125). Moreover, in the year 1054, the Crab
Supernova was recorded by Chinese, Japanese, Persian/Arab and
Indian astronomers. The Europeans, who were literally in the dark
ages, missed the event.
Figure 6-9. The Crab Nebula, shown here in a NASA image, contains
the remnants of the 1054 supernova, carefully recorded for history by
every civilization in the Northern hemisphere, with the exception of
Europe. Source: Wikipedia, public domain NASA image.
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fixed heavens. If you believe that the heavens are the same now as
they were when the universe was created, and will stay the same until
the universe ends, then you will not see new stars twinkling in the
night sky.
-Lillian Hellman
It is often easier to believe a bad idea than a good idea. Bad ideas can
be carefully designed to provide people with something they want to
believe, unconstrained by reality.
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Cold fusion - Stars are fueled by fusion. For decades, physicists have
been trying to develop a controlled fusion reactor that would provide
unlimited energy, from hydrogen; without much success. In 1989
Martin Fleischmann and Stanley Pons held a press conference to
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420 B.C.E. Hippocrates observes that each side of the brain controls
the opposite side of the body.
326 B.C.E. Alexander captures the Punjab, and his long, exhausting
campaign for world domination stops at the River Hyphasis.
323 B.C.E. Alexander the Great (356 B.C.E. - 323 B.C.E.) dies.
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280 B.C.E. Aristarchus reasons that the sun is the center of the
universe.
134 B.C.E. Hipparchus finds a newly appearing star (nova). The next
recorded nova in Europe was made by from Tycho Brahe, in 1572.
134 B.C.E. Hipparchus makes first star map (includes about 850 of
the 2500 stars visible to the naked eye).
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mutation accounting for the the defective gene responsible for sickle
cell anemia. In 1950 Chargoff discovered base complementarity in
DNA. Also, in 1950, Arthur Vineburg routed an internal mammary
artery, in place, to vascularize the heart. In 1951, fluoridation was
introduced, greatly reducing dental disease. Then came isoniazid, the
drug that virtually erased tuberculosis (1952). Also, in 1952, Harold
Hopkins designed the fibroscope, heralding fiberoptic endoscopy. In
1953, Watson and Crick showed that DNA was composed of a
double helix chain of complementary nucleotides encoding human
genes. John Gibbon performed the first open heart surgery using a
cardiopulmonary bypass machine (1953), and D.W. Gordon Murray
used arterial grafts to replace the left anterior descending coronary
artery (the coronary artery bypass graft). Oral contraceptives (birth
control pills) were invented in 1954. That same year, Salk developed
an effective killed vaccine for polio, followed just three years later
with Sabin's live polio vaccine. Thus, in the 1950s, the two most
dreadful scourges of developed countries, tuberculosis and polio,
were virtually eradicated.
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of atmospheric pollution.
5. Mass starvation.
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(127).
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3. People will not accept ideas they cannot grasp, unless they directly
benefit from the belief. For example, religions that promise an eternal
afterlife, in paradise, have more followers than religions that promise
a brief life filled with sorrow and persecution, followed by eternal
non-existence.
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9. Get backing from funders who are fully invested in the project.
When your funding organization wants your project to succeed, they
will do everything in their power to publicize your findings and
exaggerate the importance of your work.
10. Stop setting yourself up for a fall. Rejection comes when you
seek the approval of others in your field. Get someone else to do your
research, draft your papers, prepare your grant proposals, write the
chapters in your book. Rejections are easy to take when someone else
has done the work.
12. The key to dealing with rejection is to stop caring. If you don't
care what other people think, rejection is just a minor nuisance.
13. Don't think of rejection as a bad thing. You can be quite certain
that, at any moment, somewhere on this planet, a great idea is being
ridiculed, and a great scientist has abandoned all hope of success.
This is nature's way of making room for evil scientists, who are
equipped to survive in a stupid and hostile environment.
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-Anonymous
All of the significant medical advances in the past few decades (and
there haven't been many) have been simple measures. All of the great
debacles in medicine have been complex. This is because scientific
methods have reached a level of complexity that nobody can
understand.
Gone are the days when a scientist could describe a simple, elegant
experiment that could be replicated by his peers. When several
laboratories perform the same experiment, using equivalent
resources, and producing similar results, it is a safe bet that the
research is valid (102).
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Then one day, somebody asked, "Should the VA pay for medical
services rendered on veterans who have their own private insurers?"
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Hospital information systems are among the most complex and most
expensive software systems. The cost of a hospital information
system for a large medical center can easily exceed $200 million. It is
widely assumed that hospital information systems have been of
enormous benefit to patients, but reports suggest that 75% of installed
systems are failures (142). Software crashes that bring hospitals to
their knees are not uncommon. A November, 2002 crash at Beth
Israel Deaconess Hospital in Boston disabled computer systems for
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Medical software errors are not rare. The FDA analyzed 3140
medical device recalls conducted between 1992 and 1998 reveals that
242 of them (7.7%) are attributable to software failures. Of those, 192
(or 79%) were caused by software changes made after the software's
initial production and distribution (152).
There are some projects that seem to hover just outside human reach:
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3. The more complex your data, the less likely it will be that anyone
can prove that the data is wrong.
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8. When the money runs out on the contract, abandon any wacky
ideas about finishing the research at your own expense. Just walk
away from the project, and don't look back.
-Woody Allen
-Woody Allen
When you step into an elevator in any research institute, and you
chance to hear a conversation between two or more high-level
administrators or scientists, you will soon learn that every exchange
conveys the following five items:
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century, sent collectors to the four corners of the earth to find, and
send home, exotic plant species. David Douglas (1799 - 1834) was a
great Scottish botanist, with over 200 plants named after him,
including America's Douglas fir (Figure 8-2).
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lived out his days, barely able to walk. He died at age 76. The spruce
tree was not named for Richard Spruce. His name is commemorated
by the moss, Sprucea (72).
More than a few budding scientists are drawn into their fields by the
opportunity to attend lavish meetings, held in exotic locations. Young
scientists enjoy the opportunity to meet bright, attractive colleagues
in a socially exciting atmosphere, to network, and to enhance their
careers just by being there. Senior scientists enjoy the adulation and
the amenities, particularly fine wining and dining. Those with tight
per diem budgets will enjoy the meeting freebies.
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4. Open source or free products will be mocked ("Oh yes. I've heard
of the freeware you're referring to. You get what you pay for.").
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than product value ("We've had 100,000 visitors to our web site").
6. The speaker will plant friendly associates in the audience, who will
provide personal testimonials stressing the value of the product.
7. The speaker will often place a moderator or panel chair who will
divert discussion away from criticisms ("We'll be discussing this
general issue at this evening's round-table. So I'm asking you to defer
this question until then.")
10. The speaker will be sincere. Real scientists seldom seem sincere
because they are constantly re-examining their own assumptions and
conclusions. Commercial speakers have learned to fake sincerity.
11. The speaker will use buzz words. Besides the hackney "synergy,
leverage, network, enterprise," look for terms that seem out of place
in a scientific venue: CIO, CFO, return on investment, workflow,
user profile, enterprise, product.
12. The speaker will not give credit to prior art. This would
jeopardize pending patents.
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the speaker has been paid by a company that stands to profit from a
favorable presentation.
You might argue that reading provides the knowledge and insight
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required for your scientific field. Reading permits you to think deeply
about scientific problems. Nikola Tesla, one of the world's greatest
scientists, once said "The mind is sharper and keener in seclusion and
uninterrupted solitude. No big laboratory is needed in which to think.
Originality thrives in seclusion free of outside influences beating
upon us to cripple the creative mind. Be alone, that is the secret of
invention; be alone, that is when ideas are born. That is why many of
the earthly miracles have had their genesis in humble surroundings."
Though Tesla was a great scientist, he was shunned by the scientific
establishment and died without friends or money. Nonetheless, we
can find a few examples of productive scientists and thinkers who led
circumscribed lives, with little or no travel.
Isaac Asimov (1920 - 1992), one of the most prolific science and
science fiction writers in history, with hundreds of books to his
credit, was a claustrophile (a lover of small spaces) and an avid
indoorsman (Figure 8-4). Asimov refused to fly. He lived a life of
ideas, without much action, and seldom traveled any great distances.
His productivity was enhanced by his immobility.
Immanuel Kant (1721 - 1804) never left his country of birth, Prussia.
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If you are a genius, you might be able to achieve your evil goals
without the benefit of attending meetings. But you're not. The goal of
the evil scientist is to become better off than his peers (not to become
a better scientist than his peers). Commuting to airports, standing in
long lines for security checks, waiting for delayed flights, cramming
yourself into small airline seats, listening to inane banter from
adjacent seats; they are all worth the effort. The information that you
will need to get ahead in your career is the information provided at
meetings; not books and journals. The roster of meeting speakers tells
you who is important in your field. When you hear each speaker
making identical points, using almost the same words, you can be
sure that these are the dogmatic opinions that form the heart of your
discipline. You need to remember that a brilliant idea appearing in
one book, written by an author who is never invited to speak at
meetings, has no value.
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was $7.5 million (156). One can only speculate that the expenses
involved in holding the meeting would have been millions of dollars
in excess of the cancellation costs. In addition to the costs for the
meeting organizers, there are the uncounted costs of thousands of
attendees traveling to Toronto, paying registration and housing fees,
food and living costs, and the costs of all of the vendors who
transport their wares to the meeting site, construct booths, and pay for
salespersons to man their on-site operations. The American
Association for Cancer Research sponsors many meetings throughout
the year. There are many thousands of scientific organizations that do
the same. Much of the money in science finds its way into meetings.
3. Meetings may not teach you what you need to know, but they can
certainly teach you what you don't need to know. Scientific issues
related to your field of interest that are not covered at meetings, are
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intellectual cul-de-sacs.
6. They say that an army marches on its stomach. The same is true for
scientists attending a meeting. Never forget that regardless of the
scientific agenda, the meeting is all about food. The best meetings
provide the best food.
9. Do not waste your meeting time at the poster sessions. Posters are
presented by scientific losers. Most poster presenters sit forlornly in
front of their works, while disinterested throngs pass by, on their way
to collecting free gifts at the resplendent vendor kiosks. The poster
people naively believe that they can achieve a coveted status among
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11. Most lectures are not recorded, so you can claim anything you
like without much fear of contradiction. An exception occurs for
lectures that are taped for later review. Institutions must get
permission to tape your lecture for future use. Just refuse permission.
If asked why, indicate that your employer, as a matter of policy,
prohibits employees to make videotapes without pre-approval.
Nobody, in the history of science, has every gotten into trouble for
fudging, distorting, or fabricating information delivered in a lecture.
If challenged, you can always say there was a misunderstanding, or
that someone on your staff handed your the wrong data, you mispoke,
or any excuse that suits your purposes.
13. Stop reading books. In the time that your pathetic colleagues take
to read a book, you could have traveled to Istanbul, eaten Shish
Kebob and Kazan Dibi sloshed down with Ayran, and returned to tell
the tale, at your next meeting.
"Don't worry about people stealing your ideas. If your ideas are any
good, you'll have to ram them down people's throats."
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"Most people are other people. Their thoughts are someone else's
opinions, their lives a mimicry, their passions a quotation."
-Oscar Wilde
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When a patent or a copyright has expired, the work falls into the
public domain and can be used freely. Many patent holders have been
ruined by poor timing. Patent holders need to recoup their investment
and earn all their profits within a twenty year window. When a
patented invention requires twenty years or more to develop a
market, the patent holder cannot profit from his work. Likewise,
patent holders may not profit if the practical implementation of their
invention requires a second technological advance, that comes twenty
years later.
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In the U.S., the first patents were issued in 1790; three in total. By
1800, there were 41 patents issued. In 1900, there were 26,414
patents issued. In 2000, there were 159,255 patents issued, of which
157,494 were inventions, 17,413 were designs, and 548 were plants
(158). The reason that the rate of patent issuance has increased
through the centuries has less to do with the heady pace of scientific
progress and more to do with the profitability of holding intellectual
property.
The original intent of patents was to grant the inventor the exclusive
right to make, use, sell, or license his invention. Over the years, the
uses of a patent have expanded to include the following:
In the case of healthcare, there are some limits on the use of patents
to suppress a scientific discovery. In 1999, Congress passed 35
U.S.C. 287 specifying conditions that would limit the damages
collected by patent holders from healthcare practitioners (160). If you
held the patent on a new way of tying a knot, and if a surgeon
required the use the patented knot as a ligature in a surgical
procedure, the patent would probably not be enforceable on the
surgeon, under 35 U.S.C. 287. For the moment, patent holders cannot
stop physicians from saving lives.
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6. Remixing prior patents. You can re-mix prior art to make a new
device that you can patent for yourself. This provision in patent law
is particularly useful for software corporations; virtually all new
software is made by re-mixing old software. You must be careful,
though, to produce a re-mixed product that is not obvious to your
peers. In KSR v. Teleflex (April 30, 2007), the U.S. Supreme Court,
in a unanimous opinion, reversed a Court of Appeals decision, and
determined that a prior patent was unenforceable because it was
obvious (161). The opinion discussed, at length, the principles of
obviousness. In particular, the Supreme Court indicated that merely
putting together prior art to make a new device can only qualify for a
patent if the resulting device is unexpected by people working in the
field; hence, not obvious.
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If you were to take the time to visit the USPTO website, you would
soon learn that most patents are trivial, obvious, derivative, or
useless. True "Eureka" moments are rare. Those who file patents are
often motivated by fear ("If I don't patent this, somebody else will,
and I can't bear to think that I may be required to pay royalties for my
own invention."), opportunism ("Hmmm. I can't believe nobody has
patented this! I'd better do it before someone else does."), security
("My boss will not give me that raise unless I produce another patent
this year."), or greed ("I'll squeeze every penny out of my
competitors."). To receive a patent, an invention should be novel,
non-obvious, and useful, but the reviewers at the patent office cannot
always make that determination.
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Imagine that you hold a software patent, and you have identified a
person whose software contains some code that seems to infringe on
one or more of the claims contained in your patent. Your lawyer
sends this person a letter claiming infringement and demanding that
the person either stop using the patented property or begin paying an
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You may try having a salesman send the letter (not a lawyer). A letter
from a salesman is less likely to imply the threat of legal action than a
letter from retained counsel. In the letter, you might want to simply
identify the patent and indicate that it is available for licensing. It
may be wise not to suggest that infringement has occurred.
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Remember, though, that the receiver will likely interpret your letter
as a thinly veiled threat. When determining jurisdiction for a
declaratory judgment, courts look at all the relevant circumstances. If
you have a history of vigorously pursuing patent claims, or your have
a history of intimidating people with the implied threat of legal
action, a court may interpret any letter from you, no matter how
bland, as an intent to litigate.
-Anonymous
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4. Encumbered (both the standard itself and the uses of the standard).
People believe that standards are free. Not necessarily. Many
standards are developed by organizations that expect to make a profit
from their efforts. Such standards require the purchase of a license.
Once you've bought a license to use a standard, you don't get to use
the standard any way you choose. You must use the standard within
the limited conditions specified in the license. You may be able to
use the standard at your primary place of work, but not at your
satellite offices. Your information technology officer may use the
standard, but not your chief technician. You may be able to use the
standard for your CAT-scan reports, but you may be restricted from
using the standard for your MRI reports. It all depends on the
wording of the license. This provides the owner of the standards with
the greatest possible power over the people who must use the
standard.
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It all seems innocent, until you follow the money. Money is required
to assemble and charter the SDO, to pay for organizational meetings,
to transport participants to the meetings, to pay the salaries of the
SDO staff members, to market the standard, to launch a lobbying
campaign to legitimize the standard and to compel government
officials to enforce its use, to prepare licenses, and to collect license
fees. Lawyers must be retained to protect the value of the standard as
an intellectual property, and to litigate against unauthorized uses of
the standard. It can easily cost millions of dollars to develop and
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Secondly, and less obviously, the standard may impose burdens upon
users of the standard and upon non-users who conduct commerce
with users, and this might fall under RICO (the Racketeer Influenced
and Corrupt Organizations Act, encacted 1970) (172). Here is an
excerpt from RICO:
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-Albert Einstein
1. Work with the USPTO (US Patent and Trademark Office) or the
EPO (European Patent Office) to block trivial or non-original patents
applied to your standard. The USPTO supports the Peer to Patent
project, which opens the patent examination process to public
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participation (http://www.peertopatent.org/).
2. Collect and publish a list of prior art for all the methods included
in your standard. This document would make it difficult for someone
to obtain a patent on technology contained in the standard.
10. Make optional standards, not required standards, so that the user
community is not locked into one implementation.
12. Have open [to the public] committee meetings and publish the
minutes of your meetings
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14. Publish the documents related to the efforts you have made to
comply with items 1 through 13.
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10. Bad standards, such as yours, get worse over time. A poor
standard provides the opportunity to make a new version of the
standard. Your users will be forced to purchase licenses for the new
standard, at a price that you dictate.
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8. Hiring and Firing. Only the meek and powerless anguish over
decisions related to hiring and firing. For the powerful, there is only
one rule to remember: hire your friends, and fire your enemies.
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12. Raising money. Power does not grow on trees. It costs money,
most of which will be spent on your salary, your bonus, and your
perks. Raising money usually consists of forcing your staff to acquire
large grants; cutting a large slice of the university's budget for your
department; buttering up investors and donors in the typical
locations: the golf course, the boardroom and the bedroom.
14. Power politics. Power, like marriage, is a game of give and take.
If you want others to do your bidding, sometimes you must do the
bidding of your powerful allies. New York Times reporters Gardiner
Harris and David M. Halbfinger reported a tale of power sharing at
the FDA (176). ReGen Biologics, Inc., developed a patch for injured
knees. Reviewing scientists at the FDA repeatedly and unanimously
determined that the ReGen patch was unsafe and had a high failure
rate. Four congressmen from the Garden State, where ReGen is
located, challenged the FDA's scientific panels; a challenge that came
hard on the heels of significant campaign contributions provided by
ReGen to said congressmen (176). The FDA director,apparently
conferred greater credibility on the honorable New Jersey
Congressmen than he credited to his own science panelists. The
ReGen patch was approved for sale (176).
-Jean Cocteau,
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Most of the academic rank and file have no idea what the department
chief does for a living. Most department chiefs prefer it this way.
Here are the responsibilities of department chiefs:
3. Fire staff who are not bringing money into the department.
9. Travel a lot.
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distaste for the furtive way in which you were hired. They all
seem hostile. At the end of the day, you write a litter, tendering
your resignation. Three months later, you are back at your old
job.
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through the pecking order. Each person delegates their work to their
direct subordinate. Only the lowest person in line does any work.
-Anonymous
Face it, governments can get away with behavior that would be
considered reprehensible if committed by individuals. We see, again
and again, that when it comes to the government, a good lie is
preferable to a bad truth. When the U.S. government tested atomic
bombs in the Nevada Proving Grounds, north of Las Vegas, the
activity was gleefully welcomed by the locals. Tom Zoellner, in his
book, "Uranium: War, Energy and the Rock that Shaped the World"
recounts that nuclear tests were felt on the Las Vegas strip, where
roulette balls and dice were jostled by the blasts. Herds of Utah sheep
sickened and died. Sores appeared under their wool. The Atomic
Energy Commission blamed livestock deaths on malnutrition and
cold weather. The public bought the lie. At the time, the tests were
widely supported by the people who were directly and adversely
affected. The testing sights brought federal jobs, and scientific
prestige to the American West. Politicians who urged a testing ban
were sharply criticized by the public. Zoellner quotes the Las Vegas
Review-Journal, "We in Clark County who are closest to the shots
aren't even batting an eye" (177). In the ensuing decades, the number
of cancer deaths in the region were high. The National Cancer
Institute has estimated that between 11,300 to 212,000 cases of
thyroid cancer alone may have resulted from 90 atmospheric tests
conducted over the Nevada Proving Ground (178). In 1990, the U.S.
passed the Radiation Exposure Act to provide some some
compensation to cancer victims who had lived in downwind regions.
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Despite the dramatic success of the fourth Star Wars test, the project
never produced any practical results. Star Wars funding was
continued throughout the 1980s, but eventually, the space-based
defense strategy fizzled out; replaced with a modest earth-bound anti-
missile launchers, such as those deployed against Scud missiles in the
1991 Gulf War. These launchers are impressive, when everything
goes right and the enemy missile is destroyed in mid-flight. But it's
very difficult to strike incoming missiles, and the launchers don't
always work as advertised. There are many possible defenses against
anti-missile launchers. When an enemy launches a barrage of dummy
missiles (with no warheads), with a few armed missiles mixed into
the fray, it's very difficult to know which to target.
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What went wrong? Why had the Star Wars project failed, after such a
miraculous beginning? The fourth, decisive test of the Star Wars
project was a fake, plain and simple. According to one of the military
scientists interviewed for the New York Times article, "We rigged
the test. We put a beacon with a certain frequency on the target
vehicle. On the interceptor, we had a receiver." The launched missile
colluded in its own destruction, something that rarely happens in
warfare. The continued funding for the Star Wars initiative was
predicated on a hoax.
Circa 1989, the Soviet empire collapsed. The Pentagon attributes the
collapse of the Soviet empire to economic exhaustion. According to
the Pentagon, it was Soviet policy to pump billions of dollars into a
military system that matched, project-by-project, the U.S. military
system. According to the Pentagon, the faked Star Wars test was a
clever ruse aimed at the Kremlin, not Congress (179). The Kremlin, it
seems, was suckered into investing money in their own impossible
Star Wars initiative. The Soviet's unsustainable military spending
spree, we are told, eventually led to the demise of the Soviet
communist state.
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Let's give the Pentagon the benefit of the doubt. Let's assume that the
fourth (faked) Star Wars test convinced the Soviet scientists that the
U.S. was close to developing a space-based weapon capable of
destroying Soviet nuclear missiles, before they reached their target.
This would mean that the U.S. would soon be capable of launching
their missiles at the Soviet Union, whenever they pleased, without the
threat of mutual nuclear annihilation. Essentially, the Soviets would
have no defense against nuclear attack. In this case, wouldn't the
Soviets be strongly motivated to launch an all-out preemptive nuclear
strike against the U.S., before the Star Wars initiative could be
deployed? If the Kremlin truly believed that the U.S. Star Wars test
was successful, wouldn't this precipitate a nuclear holocaust?
As an evil scientist, I think of the faked Star Wars test as a lie that
resulted in the career advancement of everyone involved in the lie
(project scientists and military planners). The hoax fooled Congress
and bilked the American taxpayers out of billions of dollars. The Star
Wars Project could have led to the end of the world, if the Kremlin
had been as gullible as the U.S. Congress.
A simple explanation for the Star Wars ruse is that the military enjoys
working on huge, complex projects, and the scientists involved in
these projects will go to extremes to defend their own interests. We
see that kind of thing happening all the time. One of the longest-
running endeavors involves the V-22 Osprey, affectionately renamed
"The Grand Ole Osprey." In the history of engineering, there have
been many attempts at dual-purposed devices: automobiles that can
sprout wings and fly, boats that come ashore and covert to
automobiles, washing machines that also dry clothes, houses on
wheels that can be towed, behind a car. All of these devices exist, but
they have not replaced single-purposed devices. It's very difficult to
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All is not lost for the Osprey. Mike Lieberman, a military affairs aide
on the House Armed Services Committee, was quoted by a Wired
article as saying, "My God, we've thrown so much money at it, we
have to get something out of it. (181)" Yes, the Grand Ole Osprey has
grown too big to fail.
-Will Rogers
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The U.S. State Department made public their suspicions that the
anthrax outbreak was the result of a germ warfare experiment gone
awry. The Soviet Union was a signator of a multinational agreement
banning the development and deployment of biological and toxic
weapons. If the accusation were true, the Soviet Union would have
been in breach of the treaty.
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"Be thankful we're not getting all the government we're paying for."
-Will Rogers
When questioned, scientists from the lab indicated that they worked
under the threat of assassination. If they refused to work, they would
be killed. Certainly, the threat of assassination is a strong motivator,
but you must stop and think that a laboratory staffed entirely of
scientists working under the threat of death might not function at
peak efficiency. Wouldn't the workers, about 2:00 each day, say to
themselves, "Well, I've worked enough to avoid being assassinated
tonight. I think I can knock off for the day." You would think that
when staffing a government laboratory whose purpose is to invent
weapons for use against its own citizens, one might be somewhat
selective. During the job interview, openly evil scientists would have
a hiring advantage over scientists who profess goodness.
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-Robert Frost
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the request. It's the system's fault if they pass you an untracked
request. By destroying un-tracked requests, you're actually improving
service, by punishing those who would bypass the system.
"This is a government of the people, by the people and for the people
no longer. It is a government of corporations, by corporations, and for
corporations."
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government organizations can, and do, hire their leadership from the
corporations that they regulate, thus inculcating friendships and
loyalties with the same corporations that government must regulate.
The kinds of profit made by large corporations are enormous, and the
fines they pay for their indiscretions are proportionately large. For
example, Siemens AG, was found guilty of bribing foreign officials,
to obtain contracts (173), (187). This kind of corruption, is
considered by some corporate executives to be standard operating
procedure, and just another cost of doing global business (187). If so,
why would a corporation try so very hard to bury their bribery
payments in their books? In the Siemens case, Siemens pleaded
guilty to criminal violations of the books and records laws (173).
More than $1.6 billion in fines and penalties was levied against
Siemens (173).
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TARGETED THERAPY
"People who enjoy eating sausage and obey the law should not watch
either being made"
On December 28, 2001, the FDA informed ImClone that it would not
receive fast track approval for its anti-cancer drug, Erbitux (191).
On December 27, 2001, one day before the FDA's action, Zvi Fuks,
chairman of the department of radiation oncology at Memorial Sloan-
Kettering Cancer Center, sold over $5 million worth of ImClone
stock. In 2005, Zvi Fuks was charged with securities fraud and
conspiracy to commit securities fraud. In the criminal complaint,
Fuks was accused of acting on an insider tip-off, passed by ImClone's
then CEO, Samuel Waksal (192), (193), (194). On June 10, 2003
Samuel Waksal was sentenced to 87 months in prison and ordered to
pay $3 million in fines for tax evasion and insider trading (195).
ImClone insider trading was not the exclusive domain of scientists;
etiquette guru Martha Stewart also indulged. Stewart was charged
with securities fraud and obstruction of justice, and served a five
month prison term, starting in 2004.
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-Michael Kinsley
1. You assume that Dr. Jarvik was the inventor of the Jarvik heart.
2. You assume that artificial hearts, like artificial hips, and artificial
breasts, are a practical alternative to natural hearts.
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6. You assume that Dr. Jarvik had some professional experience with
Lipitor.
1. Dr. Jarvik was not the inventor of the Jarvik heart; at least, not the
sole inventor. Remember Stigler's Law of Eponymy, "Credit always
goes to the wrong person." The father of the Jarvik artificial heart
was Kolff, who never commercialized his name. A large team of
scientists developed the Jarvik heart. Kolff brought Jarvik into the
project.
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fellowship. Nor did he pass any medical specialty Boards that certify
competence in a particular area of patient care.
7. An actor, who looked like Dr. Jarvik from a distance, rowed the
canoe.
Did Dr. Jarvik commit any crime? No. Did the pharmaceutical
company commit any crime? No. How are Lipitor sales doing?
Lipitor is the number one selling statin drug. Global annual sales of
Lipitor exceed $13 billion.
The Lipitor story has a moral. Corporations exist for the purpose of
making money. When a corporation advertises, the purpose of the
advertisement is to promote a product, and not to provide an accurate
representation of reality.
-Henrik Ibsen.
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9. Non-profit status. Yes, you can be rich as Croesus and still have a
non-profit status.
1. Corporations have more legal rights and more legal power than
individual citizens. Evil scientists should not mess with corporations.
-Anonymous
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The Madey v Duke lawsuit settled any lingering doubts as to the self-
serving motives of academic institutions. John Madey was a lab
director who was fired from his position at Duke University. Madey
owned patents preceding his job at Duke. Duke used those patents
without paying royalties, prompting Madey's suit against the
university. Duke asserted the traditional academic "experimental use"
protection. Duke also asserted that the patents had been developed for
the government. Because, Duke argued, the patent was used to fulfill
their work under a government contract, the government's own
exemption from patent costs should extend to Duke.
The District Court upheld Duke's positions, but the Federal Court
reversed the District court decision in favor of Madey (198). Though
Duke's work was done under a government contract, the Federal
Court held that the activities in question advanced the interests of the
University, and were not done for the Federal Government and were
not motivated by non-commercial scientific curiosity. In its reversal
decision, the Federal Court affirmed the obvious truth that academic
centers have the same goals as corporations; the accumulation of
wealth and power and the perpetuation of their own existence.
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Every university president knows that the right word, from the right
lobbyist, at the right time, to the right politician, can bring millions of
dollars.
"Wise men may not be learned; learned men may not be wise."
-Chinese proverb
If you are a student, you only know what you're told by your
instructors. If your opinions on a subject differ from those of the
instructor, you will learn, when you fail the final examination, that
your opinions have no value. Consequently, students accept whatever
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What is the difference between science fiction and real life? It costs
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"Science doesn't work because we're all nice. Newton may have been
an ass, but the theory of gravity still works."
The bulk of the members of an IRB are drawn from staff within the
institution. Individual IRB members come with their own biases,
their own perceptions of human subject risks, and their own personal
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1. IRBs may not like certain research fields, finding them inherently
harmful to patients, essentially stopping the career of faculty who
work in the field.
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submitted protocol (no bait and switch), that adverse events are
reported, and that these activities are documented and organized (so
they can be found), dated accurately, and saved. The job of an IRB is
to develop and deploy a well-documented process for approving and
following protocols. That's all.
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-John Donne
"If you don't sign this, you're sentencing your (father, mother, sister,
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brother, son, daughter) to death, and you will have to live with the
consequences of that decision."
If things don't work out exactly as hoped, and the patient dies, the
doctor may ask the next-of-kin for permission to perform an autopsy.
In this case, indirection is key. The best strategy is to join the
relatives in a defensive action against phantom bureaucrats. First, ask
"Have the administrators informed you of your rights to have your
(father, mother, sister, brother, son, daughter) autopsied?" The
relatives will answer in the negative. Then say, "I don't know what
their game is, but let me tell you that whenever a patient dies in this
hospital, the relatives have the right to request an autopsy that will be
done at no cost to them; the hospital will pay for it. Don't let the
hospital bureaucrats take that last right away from you and your
(father, mother, sister, brother, son, daughter)." This always works.
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learn.
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"The movies are the only business where you can go out front and
applaud yourself."
-Will Rogers
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Perhaps you are thinking that the VA laptop fiasco was an aberration.
Certainly, breaches of confidentiality would not occur in databases
that are collected on the condition of confidentiality, such as the U.S.
census. During World War II, 120,000 U.S. residents of Japanese
ancestry were collected and sent to internment camps, for the
duration of the war. Rounding up 120,000 people is not an easy task.
It helps to know where everyone lives. The 1940 U.S. census had
data on the race, nationality and addresses of everyone living in the
U.S. In a paper written by William Seltzer, a statistician and
demographer at Fordham University, and Margo Anderson, a history
professor at the University of Wisconsin at Milwaukee, the authors
report that the U.S. census bureau collaborated with the War
Department on the internment effort (225). According to the authors,
the census bureau identified, for the War Department, concentrations
of Japanese-Americans in areas as small as city blocks; thus
facilitating the roundup (225). Of course, World War II was a time of
national emergency. Strange things happen during wartime, and it is
difficult, in retrospect, to assign fault. The point here is that things
change, and promises of confidentiality made with the very deepest
sincerity may someday be withdrawn.
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Despite what you may hear, a person's medical data has minimal
intrinsic data for anyone, including the patient. Doctors routinely
order tests and never bother to review the results. They imagine that
if any of the tests produced an abnormal result, somebody from the
lab would call them. Though it could be argued that insurers might
take interest in your incurable disease, nobody really wants to hear
about your hemorrhoids, your constipation, or your acne.
You have just pissed into a cup. You pass the cup, along with
the requisition form, to a medical student, who will submit the
specimen to clinical pathology. On the following day, your
doctor will have the results of a complete urinalysis; part of a
routine medical check-up. The medical student looks at your
paperwork and pauses a moment. She turns to you and asks if
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In some cases, patients object without any rational reason. Some will
insist that their tissues must have some monetary value to the
scientists. Rather than give their tissues away, they want to negotiate
a contract for a piece of any profits that might result from the
experiment. This tactic never works. The scientists will simply obtain
their tissues from the next patient.
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Justice happens whenever a person gets what they've asked for, and
then they are required to live with the consequences.
"Boys throw rocks at the frogs in jest. But the frogs die in earnest."
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For most of us, the argument is won in the first five words, "I love to
eat meat." As humans, we relentlessly pursue our pleasures. The
well-being and ultimate destiny of farm animals has never held much
sway on the human psyche. Mind you, we do not eat every part of the
farm animal. Today's finicky eater is only interested in muscle meat.
The organs (livers, kidneys, intestines) are considered inedible by
humans.
The animals that are not used for food are likely to be used for
consumer product development. Industry tortures and kills millions
of animals each year to test the toxicity of cosmetics, shampoo,
conditioners, and thousands of household products. Just about every
new product intended for human use will be tested in animals. The
animals sacrified for medical progress are a small fraction of the
animals killed each year to test new, improved products that we do
not really need.
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The argument for the use of animals in medical research boils down
to, "my species is better than yours." You have heard it often,
delivered loudly, and with indignation. "If I have a choice between
saving a child dying from cancer, and killing a bunch of rats, you'd
better believe that I'll kill those rats."
When you argue that humans are fundamentally different from rats,
and these differences lead you to value the life of humans over the
life of rats, you might stop and think about how these differences
may influence our ability to extrapolate laboratory observations from
rats to humans. In fact, the differences between rats and humans are a
major impediment to using rats in cardiovascular research, cancer
research, human behavior, and research into the most important
human infections (malaria, sleeping disease, Chagas disease, parasitic
diseases due to worms, HIV, and so on). Many of the research
breakthroughs found in rodent and other animal models cannot be
translated to humans.
How much of the money, time, and effort spent on animal models of
human disease has been wasted? It is impossible to say. Certainly,
there have been medical breakthroughs that have been attained with
animal models. I often wonder where we would be if rodent models
were abandoned, and medical research were confined to in vitro
studies (using biological reagents without using animals), studies on
the so-called lower organisms (e.g., insects, plants, fish), and
naturalistic studies (observing and developing therapies for diseases
found naturally in animals, without re-creating the diseases in
laboratories).
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1. For every ethical problem that arises over the course of your
career, there will be an unethical solution.
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"Wir Haben die Luge notig...um zu leben." (We need lies...in order to
live.)
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To this day, most of what we call clinical practice was based on this
kind of semi-scientific method. Here are a few examples:
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Some of the early clinical trials were so poorly conceived that they
serve as purely cautionary tales, with no other scientific value.
Notable is the egregious Tuskegee Syphilis Study, conducted by the
U.S. Public Health Service (PHS) between 1932 and 1972. This study
observed the natural course of late stage syphilis in 399 black men.
The men were poor Alabama sharecroppers who were never told that
they had syphilis. Their doctors had no intention of curing them. The
data for the experiment was to be collected from autopsies. Some of
the ravages of untreated late stage syphilis include heart disease,
paralysis, blindness, insanity, and death (228). The project was the
longest nontherapeutic human experiment ever conducted.
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5. Candidates for trials are informed of the risks associated with the
trial, and sign an informed consent document indicating that they
wish to enter the trial and that they understand the risks.
7. Neither the patient nor the people treating the patient know who
receives any particular treatment.
8. The treatment of patients begins with the trial and the trial persists
for a predetermined length of time that permits the evaluation of the
effects of treatment and the outcome after treatment.
10. The sponsors of the study do not impose their own interpretation
on the statistical analysis of the trial; nor do they prohibit, censor, or
delay the publication of the trial results.
11. All results of clinical trials are published, even when the
conclusions conflict with the interests of the study's sponsor.
12. The raw data from the clinical trial is de-identified, to remove
links to patients, and placed in a repository, for public review.
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Testing a new drug can take many years. In the realm of cancer trials,
the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial
(PLCO, NIH/NCI trial NO1 CN25512) serves as an example. The
PLCO is a randomized controlled cancer trial. Between 1992, when
the trial opened, and 2001, when enrollment ended, 155,000 women
and men between the ages of 55 and 74 joined PLCO. Screening of
participants and the collection of follow-up data will end around
2016. The purpose of the study is to determine if screening will
reduce mortality from these cancers (230).
Khufu built the Great Pyramid at Giza, (2589 - 2566 BC) with the
assistance of an estimated 100,000 laborers. The Great Pyramid is
still standing and is visible to astronauts orbiting the globe. Khufu
managed to complete construction of the Great Pyramid in just 23
years (nearly 40 years faster than the Framingham study).
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be the first humans to receive the test drug, under any conditions. In a
single session, six of the volunteers were infused with TGN1412, and
two volunteers were infused with a placebo. In about an hour, all six
of the subjects developed cytokine storm, a life-threatening condition
in which an immune-response precipitates shock, and a wide range of
extreme system-wide responses, including shock, and multi-organ
failure. Prompt treatment saved all their lives. Two of the six had
prolonged hospital courses. The incident occurred in 2006, and the
six patients must now deal with long-term medical consequences of
the event.
When a new drug is administered in humans, for the very first time (a
so-called first-in-man trial), you never know what to expect. That
being the case, why were all of the subject treated at the same time?
Furthermore, why were all of the volunteers given the same dosage of
the drug? Wouldn't it make sense to start with a very small dose,
carefully observing the patient over a day or more, and then
proceeding to a somewhat higher dose on the next patient. Another
aspect of the trial that eventually came to light involved the speed of
infusion of the drug. Would it not have been prudent to infuse the
drug slowly, so that the infusion could have been stopped if there
were any measured rapid effects?
Clinical trials are a big business. In the U.S. alone, about $20 billion
dollars is paid to clinical trial providers (2008 study) (233).
Considering all the clinical trials that have occurred over the decades,
wouldn't you think that drug testing companies would know that, in a
first-in-man trial, you might want to observe the effects of the drug
on the first volunteer, before delivering the drug to the full study
population?
Ellen Roche, was a 24 year-old healthy volunteer who died from lung
failure on June 2, 2001, several weeks after participating in a Johns
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-Chinese proverb
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younger patient age). This test will yield an improved survival, even
though the age at which the patient dies is unchanged. The reason is
that survival is measured as the interim between diagnosis and death,
not as the prolongation of life after diagnosis. Much of the touted
advantages of early diagnosis are the direct result of lead-time bias.
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Stage bias - Stage bias uses a diagnostic or screening tool to shift the
proportion of people in a particular stage of disease, to produce a
false impression of clinical improvement. For example, if we
introduce a screening device that detects people who are infected
with mild Alzheimer's dementia and misses people with severe
dementia, then the prognosis of Alzheimer's in the general population
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All these biases are important tools for the evil scientist. Of the
sources of bias listed, stage bias is the most subtle. It is also the most
important bias introduced by the most modern cancer trials, which
are often aimed at developing stage-specific treatments for groups of
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Suppose every patient with X type of cancer is staged into one of two
groups (I and II). The stage I group has no evidence of distant
metastases at the time of diagnosis and has a 40% chance of 5-year
survival under the standard treatment protocol. Patients are put into
the Stage II group if they have distant metastases at the time of
diagnosis. Their chance of having a 5-year survival under the
standard treatment is 2%.
What does this mean? Was the clinical trial a fraud? Did it
accomplish nothing at all? No, accurate staging of patients with
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1. Small studies are less likely to produce true research findings than
large studies.
5. The greater the financial and other interests in a study, the less
likely that the results will be true.
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6. The hotter the scientific field, the less likely that the results will be
true.
2. For safety trials, you can make your new drug seem much safer
than the old drug by administering the new drug at a low (sub-toxic)
dose and the old drug at a high dose (above the common therapeutic
range).
3. When you market your drug, have your salespeople quote clinical
trials that support your drug's effectiveness. Trials that show that your
drug is ineffective or unsafe are best ignored.
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6. Not all clinical trials are equal. Some clinical trials are performed
on small groups of patients, without informed consent, by clinicians
or other personnel who have very little knowledge of how to design,
analyze, or report clinical trial data, and who have a financial stake in
the trial outcome. If you have performed an invalid clinical trial, a
diligent search will produce a journal that will publish your study.
Submit your study results to a journal that neglects to include a
financial disclosure statement, or a clinical trial registration number,
or proof of IRB (Institutional Review Board) human studies approval.
The number of journals that slide over these details is large (95).
7. Biases are present in every clinical trial. For best results, introduce
at least three biases into your own trials.
9. So long as you do not fabricate your data, nobody can accuse you
of scientific misconduct.
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-Anonymous
It is normal to fail. Within the course of your career, you will have
many setbacks.
In his book Uranium: War, Energy, and the Rock that Shaped the
World, Zoellner provides several additional examples of U.S. nuclear
"materials uncaccounted for" (official acronym, MUF) (177). Is it
absurd to suppose that MUFs are exclusively a U.S. problem. Russia,
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India, Pakistan, and every nation that stores nuclear materials for
energy or for defense, is likely to have MUFs.
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with water. Water from the cleaning operation flowed into an MIC
tank, causing an explosion. Escape vents released hot MIC gases into
the atmosphere. About 40 tons of toxin descended as a hot cloud on
the population around Bhopal. Many people died on the spot. Some
families had a chance to flee. Parents with gasping children had to
decide quickly which child could be carried to safety and which child
would be left behind. Many survivors have endured decades of
suffering from lung, liver, kidney, and immune system ailments. The
rate of birth defects is high in the Bhopal population (248). The
Bhopal disaster is considered to be the worst industrial accident in
history.
After the event, Union Carbide lawyers blamed the disaster on one
individual; the worker who was cleaning the pipe. According to
Union Carbide, because the disaster was the work of a saboteur,
Union Carbide could not be held responsible.
Let's say, for the sake of argument, that a lone saboteur caused the
Bhopal disaster, What would this saboteur need to know in order to
pull off his deadly scheme.
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the job. He would need to know that the MIC would be vented from a
high stack (105 feet), above the reach of the water jets intended as a
safety curtain. He would need to know that the warning siren would
not sound until two hours after the gas release (after most of the
damage was done). He would need to know that emergency measures
to protect the population would not be taken. Rather than quickly
evacuating the population, plant spokesmen at first denied that an
accident had occurred. Rather than advising people that injuries could
be reduced by applying a wet towel on the face and shutting the eyes,
spokesmen reassured the public that MIC was not particularly
harmful (182).
Here we are, twenty-five years later. What is the news from Bhopal?
The Bhopal site has not been cleaned up. Dow Chemical has since
acquired Union Carbide and accepts no responsibility for the clean-
up. Dow asserts that a 2001 payment of $470 million to the Indian
government has resolved the issue. The Indian environment minister,
when visiting the Bhopal site, lifted a clot of dirt and proclaimed,
"See, I am alive," certifying that the area is now safe. Nonetheless,
each month, an estimated 10-30 people die from the contaminated
groundwater and residual toxic waste (250).
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-Isaac Asimov
-Doug Larson
-Oscar Wilde
Perhaps the most cynical scientific rationale for the belief in God
came from the mathematician and physicist, Blaise Pascal (1623 -
1662), whose personal epiphany was was based on game theory.
Pascal reasoned that if you believe in God, and if God exists, you've
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won. If you believe in God, and God does not exist, then you haven't
really lost anything. Therefore, it's best to believe in God.
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lifestyle"). The patient is also at fault for the lack of a cure ("I can't
help you if you ignore my advice to vacation in Hawaii for the
summer"). A vindictive approach to healing relieves the physician
from pursuing any serious research into the cause and cure of the
disease. For many years, the treatment for gastric ulcers targeted the
patient's turpitude: tranquilizers, psychotherapy, change of job,
relocation to a less stressful environment, etc. With this approach,
symptoms sometimes abated (as they would with no treatment
altogether).
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"If you made a list of all the things you know for certain under four
headings:
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they were told). Very few scientists ever stop to ask themselves,
"How do I know what I think I know?"
You can take any scientist and ask him to explain the principles of his
field, pressing deeper and deeper into fundamental phenomena, and
you will soon leave the realm of experimental evidence and enter the
realm of blind faith. Once you grasp this truth, you can understand
that all scientists are pretenders; they will believe anything, without
proof, if they have faith that somebody else has established the truth
of the statement.
It's a funny thing that atheism creates a blank slate upon which evil
scientists can build pseudo-scientific belief systems. Shortly after the
1916 overthrow of the Russian Csar, a biologist named Trofim
Lysenko (1898 to 1976) rose to fame in the new Soviet empire.
Lysenko believed that plants and animals could adapt to changing
conditions in their environment and pass their physiologic adaptation
to their offspring. By exposing wheat to cold temperatures, it would
adapt and become cold-tolerant. Future generations of wheat would
be cold-tolerant, and further adaptations would result in more
extreme cold-tolerance in later generations. Lysenko's theories were
embraced by Soviet officials, who mistrusted traditional, European
science. After producing a successful crop in the 1920s, Lysenko
received Stalin's embrace and was appointed was the U.S.S.R.'s
Director of Biology. Lysenkoism rose to the level of official
scientific doctrine, dominating Soviet biology from the 1920s to the
early 1960s. During this time, Soviet farmers failed to replicate the
high crop yields reported earlier by Lysenko. Soviet skeptics of
Lysenkoism were politically censured; meanwhile, Western science
made great progress in biology, unraveling the mystery of DNA, and
firmly establishing molecular genetics. After many years of
disappointing harvests, and following the amazing improvements in
crop productivity accomplished by Western plant geneticists, the
Soviets finally abandoned Lysenkoism. In 1964, an official
committee of Soviet scientists reviewed Lysenko's experimental data
and pronounced him a fraud.
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Major scientific advances come like a bolt out of the blue; not from
planned initiatives. We cannot know which scientific initiatives will
work, and which will fail. But we certainly can pretend that we do.
As an evil scientist, you must learn to use belief systems to promote
any idea, without benefit of facts or supporting evidence.
Scientists could learn a lot from religious leaders, who have created
an evidence-independent belief system. Often, the most effective way
of dealing with the truth is to avoid it altogether. Here are a few
options open to scientists.
2. Delay the truth. Journal editors demand that authors not reveal
articles until publication date. For accepted papers, publication dates
often fall one to two years following the original article submission.
This essentially imposes a one to two year quarantine on scientific
discoveries.
3. Change the truth. Some truths are inconvenient and are best
exchanged for a self-serving lie. For example, the Office of Research
Integrity (ORI) investigated a physician and principle investigator
working under an NCI-supported Gynecologic Oncology Group
(GOG). The ORI found that the investigator had "engaged in
scientific misconduct by soliciting a pathologist to falsify the
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4. Ignore the truth. People can lead perfectly happy lives, in abject
ignorance of the truth; many prefer it this way.
8. Pray for revelation. For many, great truths are revealed through an
epiphany, a much more efficient method for scientific progress than
the soul-numbing process of conducting experiments.
9. Appeal to dogma. You can usually avoid data if you have a set of
all-encompassing beliefs that provide answers for every imaginable
question.
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The Library of Alexandria was the most famous library of the ancient
world. As a repository of truth and knowledge, it was a popular
target. At least four major assaults punctuated the library's incendiary
past: Julius Caesar in the Alexandrian War (48 B.C.), Aurelian's
Palmyrine campaign (273 A.D.), the decree of Theophilus (391 A.D.)
and the Muslim conquest (642 A.D.). We do not know the number of
books held in the Library, but when the Alexandria library was
sacked, the books provided sufficient fuel to heat the Roman baths
for six months.
Book burning never goes out of style. As recently as 1993, during the
siege of Sarajevo, the National Library was enthusiastically burned to
the ground. Thousands of irreplaceable books were destroyed in the
literary equivalent of genocide.
Book burning has been modernized for the computer age. Modern
hospitals use complex, powerful information systems to collect
terabytes of patient-related data each year. After a length of time
varying from two years to ten years, old data is routinely purged. As
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One day, you will be giving a lecture, and some smart alec will ask
you why you have not provided the primary data that supports your
assertions. As an evil scientist, you will need a glib excuse. Here are
a few:
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9. The data does not belong to the author. The data belongs to my
university; it's not mine to give.
13. To stay current. The data in the field is constantly being refined,
and it would be confusing to provide old data set that does not reflect
the newest advances coming from our laboratory.
14. To wait until the data is finalized. Nothing is ever final in science,
so this excuse is applicable for eternity.
All of these points avoid the basic problem that if the primary data
cannot be reviewed, then acceptance of the conclusions offered in the
manuscript becomes a matter of personal belief, not science. Nobody
knows what horrors the future may hold. One day, scientists will be
required to turn their laboratory notes over to governmental agencies
or to the public. Today, scientific data collected through a federal
grant, and used for the purpose of determining a public action, policy,
or regulation, is subject to a Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
request (i.e., citizens can force you to provide your primary data).
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Don't bother to annotate your data with specifiers that can tie your
numbers to a specific date, experiment, or technician. Don't conduct
quality assurance activities. If you must perform calibrations and
quality control measurements, destroy your records as soon as
feasible.
All scientists are salesman; and salesmen understand that the product
they are selling is themselves. If the customer trusts the salesman,
they will buy the set of encyclopedias, the broom, the shoes, the
mascara, and anything that the salesman offers. If your colleagues
trust you, you can sell them any scientific idea that suits your agenda.
How do you get colleagues to invest their trust in you, an evil
scientist?
1. Trust them. If a person feels that you trust and respect them, they
will trust and respect you.
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1. If you say that an assertion falls within the realm of science and
religion, non-religious scientists will not have the right to challenge
this assertion. This argument has worked for the proponents of
intelligent design. Religious scientists insist that intelligent design
has just as much legitimacy, as an area of scientific study, as does
evolution.
3. If someone scolds you for mixing science with religion, scold them
right back, for pursuing science without the aid of religion.
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Because all science needs further study, all science can be dismissed
as unproven. The U.S. government has codified the refutation of
scientific opinion with the Data Quality Act of 2001, a short and
cynical document that virtually guarantees that no legislation will be
based on scientific achievement. The Act was passed as part of the
FY 2001 Consolidated Appropriations Act (Pub. L. No. 106-554.
codified at 44 U.S.C. # 3516, note.) The Act requires Federal
Agencies to base their decisions on high quality data and to permit
the public to challenge and correct inaccurate data. The drawback to
this legislation, is that science is a messy process, and data may not
always attain a very high quality. It may require decades before the
data in a new area of study achieves the level of quality that critics
will accept. The easiest way to bring scientific progress to a grinding
halt is to insist on data quality. Special interest groups have invoked
the Act to reject published, peer-reviewed studies appearing in
prominent journals, claiming that such publications may not reach the
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What went wrong? Before you can get much benefit from
pharmacogenomics, you need to collect phenotypic data (treatment,
outcome, clinical, historical, physical) on millions of patients, catalog
the genetic alterations that can account for diseases and drug
responses in millions of subjects, and integrate the phenotypic data
with the genetic data. Simply acquiring genetic data will not suffice.
This project is well beyond the capability of modern science. No
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lavish publicity and funds on one area of research and ignore some
other areas? Hype is the answer. How many areas of research were
underfunded in the last two decades of the twentieth century, in
deference to a well-hyped idea whose time had not yet come?
One day, you will attend a lecture on a scientific topic, and the
speaker will smile throughout the talk, and he will tell you that every
idea and hypothesis in the field is exciting, every experiment is
successful, and every scientist in the field is brilliant. When this
happens, you must know that this is not science; it is advertising.
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scientific contributions.
2. The speaker professes to see events that will unfold in the future.
5. The speaker humbly admits that he had admired you and your
work for many years (typically, in silence).
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-Anonymous
-Dave Rusin
"Only two things are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and
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-Albert Einstein
2. Nobody has the right to make you believe anything, even when it's
true. Just say, "I have listened to everything you have said, and I have
reviewed all of the evidence that you have provided, and, frankly, I
am just not convinced." Always remember that your ignorance is just
as valid as your critic's knowledge.
3. Scientists are hired for their ability to see into the future. It is not
unusual for an interviewer to ask a job candidate for their prediction
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of where they see the department, five years hence. Never hesitate to
take a stupid (but beloved) project and predict its great success in the
future.
11. When you're wrong, and you know it, insist that "Further study is
needed."
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-Cynthia Nelms
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Suddenly, she twists here head and spins her body a bit to look in
your direction. She smiles and your eyes meet. You smile back. Once
she has received your smile, she turns back and continues walking
forward with her friends, as though nothing had happened. "Did she
know that I was staring at her ass?", you wonder.
Later that day, you sit in your office, peering at a glass slide through
your microscope. On the glass slide is a thinly sliced tissue section of
a tumor that a surgeon had removed from his patient the prior day.
The surgeon will be expecting your rendered diagnosis later that
afternoon. You are relaxed, doing a service that your were trained to
do and that you do well.
A resident enters your office. You look up, and see, for the first time,
the front of the female resident. She comes closer, extending her
hand, as she tells you her name. You do not get up (a pathologist at
his microscope is not expected to rise when greeting colleagues). You
shake her hand. Without invitation, she sits on the chair adjacent to
your desk. She has somehow taken charge of the encounter.
She talks briefly about herself, her medical school, the service
rotations that she has had, and she asks questions about the current
service: on-call requirements, reporting time in the morning, frozen
section responsibilities. You reply to each of her questions with a
smile. You try your best to be witty, and she laughs lightly. To add
emphasize to her remarks, she reaches over, from time to time, to
touch your knee. You do nothing to dissuade this familiarity.
Suddenly a third year female resident walks into your office. The new
resident calmly keeps here hand clasped on your thigh, just above the
knee. Now, both of the residents are looking at you. You shift your
position, extricating your knee. Somehow, the awkward moment
passes and both residents leave your office to resume your duty.
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You are the male head of the physics department. Your wife is
an assistant professor, who is coming up for tenure. If she
does not receive tenure, she will be forced to look for a
position in another university. Physics positions are few, and
she might need to leave the state for work. Because of your
obvious conflict of interest, you have recused yourself from
participating in your wife's tenure committee. Your wife has
submitted a paper to a prestigious journal for publication.
After waiting months for review, the paper was rejected, She
has no other publications in any major journal, and this will
not bode well for her. You have friends who are members of
the National Academy of Sciences. One of them can sponsor
her paper in the Proceedings. As for the tenure committee, you
notice that one of the committee members has requested a
sabbatical. You set a date to discuss his request; the day
following your wife's tenure review.
"The American male doesn't mature until he has exhausted all other
possibilities."
-Wilfrid Sheed
If you read the history of any field of science, you may notice the
paucity of female participants. For the greatest part of human history,
women have been steered away from the sciences. This is true for
virtually every culture on the planet. There are theories offered as
explanation. You've heard most of them. In keeping with the theme
of this book, consider this question: "Are women sufficiently self-
absorbed, power-hungry, and generally evil to be good scientists?"
Maybe not. Boys are brought up to be self-centered, and ambitious. A
boy learns to take what he wants from weaker boys. Wars are a
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Look at prisons. They're filled with men. Hardly any women at all.
Most of the men in prison are relatively young; covering the
intellectual peak years for scientists. During their long, stumbling
course toward maturity, males are basically sociopathic, committing
most of the violent crimes that plague society, and achieving most of
the scientific breakthroughs that benefit society. Basically, science is
just another anti-social activity of young men; miraculously twisted
into the service of humankind. Women account for a minority of the
scientists, for the same reason that they account for the minority of
prison inmates; they're not evil.
1. In the long run, the workplace is the wrong place for sex.
2. For men, being evil comes naturally. Women may need to work at
it.
"If you're an engineer, you don't want to outlaw the great technology
you've been working on. If you're a marketing person, you don't want
to outlaw the thing you've been trying to sell. If you're a C.E.O., you
don't want to outlaw the thing that's been making a lot of money."
"The haves have not what all the have-nots have since much of
having is the need to have."
I have never met a high-paid professional who thought that his salary
was too high. Never. But if a highly-paid professional truly earned
the salary they received, the World Trade Center Towers would be
standing, Wall Street would not have collapsed in 2008, the mortgage
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The people at one end of the "U" will earn 100 times or more than the
salary of the people at the opposite end; while the level of complexity
is the same at both ends. Those at the high-paying end are the
professionals. They have gone through a filtering process that serves
to reduce their numbers, without actually improving the final product.
Life, as everyone knows, is unfair.
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Obviously, the ancients held their physicians in high esteem, and this
may have been based, on large part, on the ambiguaty between the
healing arts and the priestly arts. If the doctor's power comes through
prayer, and if the physician knows how to channel divine
interventions to his patients, his adulation would be well-deserved.
Nowadays, the power of physicians to heal comes from thousands of
scientific discoveries and technical contributions that were made
without his input. Basically, if you can get accepted into medical
school, the practice of medicine is included in the tuition.
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If you've been to a doctor's office recently, odds are that you were
seen by a Physician's Assistant (PA), not an M.D. Physicians
Assistants are professionals whose medical education was delivered
in a two-year bolus. This short spin around the hospital qualified
them to take care of you and your family. In all likelihood, you will
find that your PA surpasses your doctor in terms of professional
demeanor, level of expertise, quality of care, and personal hygiene.
The next time you drive by an obscenely large mansion, and your
passenger confides that the owner is a physician, you might want to
run through the following set of questions pertaining to the mansion's
owner:
2. Did the doctor prove that the medicines he prescribes are effective?
3. Does the doctor have any role in lowering the incidence of disease
in the population?
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8. Does the doctor treat all his patients with the same level of care?
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reserved for the would-be beautiful patients. Singer found that some
offices hire special receptionists for patients seeking cosmetic work,
and offer these patients quicker appointments than the patients with
actual diseases.
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(281).
4. Cancer is expensive, and insurers are obligated to foot the bill for
high-priced treatments.
The leaders in the fight against cancer have never been limited to
saints. One of the earliest and most successful cancer crusaders was
Adolf Hitler. His liberal use of vivisection notwithstanding, Hitler
launched an innovative campaign against smoking, and led a
remarkably progressive screening program for cervical cancer (282),
(283).
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At any moment, drug companies are running more than 800 clinical
trials for cancer drugs (284). They know that if they can develop a
drug that improves cancer survival, even for just a few weeks, they
can recoup their investments. Big pharma sinks about a billion dollars
into each new drug that come to market. Their exclusive right to
market the new drug lasts, at most, twenty years from the patent
filing date. In view of these circumstances, consumers expect
pharmaceutical companies to charge a lot for each dose of a newly
developed cancer drug. Conversely, consumers expect cheap prices
for generic and ancient nostrums, that are easy to manufacture in bulk
quantities and for which no research investment was made. No such
luck.
Today, decades after the War on Cancer was launched (1971) the
cancer death rate is about the same as it was in the mid-nineteenth
century. The pharmaceutical industry has not produced many new
cancer drugs. The public is paying exorbitant rates for a few new
therapies, most of which have only minimally effectiveness. Who is
to blame? Many would blame the FDA, clearly the least likely culprit
in this sordid business. Guards are now posted at the FDA's public
cancer advisory meetings, to protect the FDA staff and its invited
committee members (290).
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-Anonymous
It's bad enough that doctors rely on drug reps to learn new treatments,
but the plot moves from stupid to criminal when the drug
representative pushes off-label uses for drugs. Here is the problem.
When the FDA approves a drug, the approval is restricted to one or
several particular uses. Specifically, the FDA considers those uses
that were tested in the clinical studies that pharmaceutical company
submit to the FDA. All drug uses other than the uses approved by the
FDA are considered off-label uses. In many cases, off-label drug uses
have not been been shown, in clinical trials, to be safe or effective. It
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Pfizer is not the only over-zealous drug manufacturer. Eli Lilly and
Company paid $1.42 billion to settle claims related to the adverse
effects produced by marketed, off-label uses of Zyprexa (295), (296),
(297). Zyprexa is approved for use in some cases of schizophrenia
and bipolar disorder. It is not approved for use in dementia. The drug
carries an FDA waring that it increases the risk of death in older
patients with dementia (295). Nonetheless, Eli Lilly urged their
salespeople to market the drug for dementia (295).
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"Behind every able man, there are always other able men."
-Chinese proverb
-Joseph Heller
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papers. People who wrote books and articles for money, without
appearing as a named author, were called ghost writers. Today, the
lucrative field of ghost writing has been turned on its head. Scientists
are paid, very handsomely, to have teams of corporate writers publish
journal articles with the scientist listed as the sole author.
Corporations have found that a journal article favorable to their
product, and credited to an influential and respected author, has
enormous value to the company.
In August, 2009, Natasha Singer reported, for the New York Times,
on ghost writing in the Pharmaceutical industry (174). Wyeth
pharmaceuticals helped produce 26 scientific articles between 1998
and 2005, that emphasized the beneficial effects of hormone
replacement therapy (174). In a proposal prepared for Wyeth by a
firm that wrote many of the articles, the goal of the publication's
initiative was to "increase physician awareness on the multitude of
benefits that hormone replacement therapy provides" and "diminish
the negative perceptions associated with estrogens and cancer" (175).
In a process likened to medical ventriloquism, the American physican
community willingly believed that hormone replacement therapies
had a protective effect on the heart (175).
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falsely assume that the article was written by the listed author,
without influence by the pharmaceutical industry. Pharmaceutical
companies have the right to help authors write papers that highlight
the benefits of their products. Likewise, pharmaceutical companies
are under no obligation to emphasize, in scientific papers, the risks
associated with their products; nobody is held to such a standard.
Scientists have the right to accept consultation fees from
pharmaceutical companies, and they have the right to publish
scientific papers. Everybody wins.
When the New York Times article broke, scant attention was paid to
the role of journal editors in the tangled story (174). Why weren't the
editors aware that the articles were ghost-written? What had
happened to the vaunted peer review system? Why had the articles
not raised suspicions among the eagle-eyed peer reviewers? Isn't it
the job of the editor and the peer reviewers to ensure discussion of
both sides of controversial scientific topics? Why was the journal-
based review system unable to detect that the articles were ghost-
written by an industry-paid company commissioned to promote the
beneficial effects of hormone replacement therapies?
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scientific evidence for the utility company (302). The paper was
retracted by the journal, nearly a decade after the fact (303).
2. Patients who hold their lives dearly should not object to paying
dearly to prolong their lives.
3. Remember that hope carries a big price tag. So long as the patient
believes that a new cancer drug has a small chance of prolonging life,
even for a few weeks or months, they will pay anything for the
treatment.
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6. The FDA can tell you what you can market, but it cannot tell
doctors what they prescribe. The most profitable returns on a drug
often come from off-label uses (uses that were not approved by the
FDA). For example, of the $2.27 billion Pfizer collected on sales of
Neurontin, in 2002, $2.12 billion came from off-label use (291).
Never forget that the most profitable niche in the multi-billion
pharmacy industry comes from prescriptions that have no proven
medical benefit.
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"We are here and it is now. The way I see it is, after that, everything
tends towards guesswork."
-Thomas Howard
-Ray Bradbury
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5. Not being there. Woody Allen has told us that showing up is 90%
of success.
10. Not accounting for the perversity of nature. The ancient Greeks
had a saying, "Man plans. The gods laugh."
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New York City, you've been at the same hotel where Tesla lived out
the last years of his life.
These stories should convince you, beyond any reasonable doubt, that
life is best spent as an evil scientist. Once you have your life planned
out (evil, followed by even more evil, followed eventually by death),
what comes next? Death. Don't be alarmed, as Dave Lister said, in
Red Dwarf, Series I, "Lots of people have died and gone on to do
really really well."
The whole idea behind hell is that you get what you deserve; for
eternity. If you've been an evil scientist all your life, following all of
the suggestions offered in this book, and avoiding the temptations to
be weak, ineffectual, unpopular, and poor, you can expect to be
rewarded with the same standard of existence that you had when you
were alive.
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In life, you loved meetings. They were the places where you
developed alliances, garnered undeserved credit for the
accomplishments of others, and generally outmaneuvered your
competition. In hell, every day will bring a new meeting. As in life,
you will see the same people attending every meeting. You will hear
the same lectures from the same speakers that you heard when you
were alive. You will roam the same hallways, making contacts,
handing out business cards, and discussing restaurants, wine, and the
good things that bond evil scientists.
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side effects of the drug. Then they are expected to endure eternity
with the disease that was not cured by their ineffective treatment.
All the sinful pleasures are available ad libitum in hell. Because the
likelihood of having a loving relationship with any of your hellish co-
habitants is just about zero, you might as well indulge yourself with
the most superficial aspects of human involvement: gratuitous sex,
food as a form of pleasure, and intoxicating chemicals that enhance
your enjoyment of post-existence. These are basically the same sins
you enjoyed during your lifetime. If you were deprived of these perks
during life, here's your chance to rectify the situation, for eternity.
4. Attack anyone who disagrees with you, even when you know that
they are correct and you are wrong. Attacks should always be
indirect; nobody should know that you are the attacker. Undermine
your opponent's scientific credibility, authority, honesty, and
grooming. Keep good documentation of the past indiscretions of your
associates. A well-planned, surprise attack on a co-worker, or even a
superior, has the best chance for success.
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9. Hire staff to sing the praises of your efforts. People will believe
you if they hear your words repeated by other people. Before long,
the voices of your retractors will be lost in cacophony of praise.
10. Always take the easy way out. If a project becomes difficult,
palm it off on a colleague, and settle for co-authorship. If the project
is successful, take credit for the work, as though it was your own.
11. You have now learned all the tricks that evil scientists use. You
can bet that your colleagues will try to use these tricks against you.
Watch your back!
1. As a high school student, did your love of learning light your path
to higher education, or were you climbing the dark, crowded stairway
leading to college entrance?
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7. Have you ever criticized the work of another scientist even though
you had never actually studied their published papers and could not
fully understand what they have done?
10. Have you ever reviewed a paper and taken four months or more
to return your review, instead of the two week turn-around period that
you promised the editor?
11. Have you ever chosen to attend a scientific meeting based on its
exotic location, or the alluring social amenities, or for any reason
other than the scientific value of the meeting?
12. When you appear on a paper as one co-author from among many
other co-authors, do you later count the paper as one that you have
published or that you have authored when you know that your
contribution was minimal, at best?
If you answered "yes" to all twelve questions, then you are a person
of the very highest moral flexibility.
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you are a person capable of doing good and evil. Don't make the
wrong choice.
404 moment - The moment when you realize that you have lost an
important document. Origin found in the internet error message, "404
- document not found".
Acades vulgaris - Scientific term for student. From the Genus Acades
(L. academic) and the species specific name, vulgaris (L. common).
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Bierce
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Bore - "A person who talks when you wish him to listen," Ambrose
Bierce.
Busy - The universal excuse for not getting busy. When a scientist
says he is busy, it really means that he will not make himself
available to help you. Most scientists have a lot of leisure time; that's
one of the perks of being a scientist. The rare scientist who is
perpetually busy is usually someone with poor time-management
skills.
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different that the legal practice of voir dire during jury selection. If
lawyers are allowed to cherry-pick a jury, why can't scientists cherry
pick their patients?
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Contract - Had Van Gogh been a house painter, he would have had
steady employment. Just about everyone needs their house painted, at
one time or another. Nobody really needs an original piece of art
hanging on their wall. The relationship between house painting and
art is analogous to the relationship between contracts and grants. A
contract is a legal agreement to acquire a service or a deliverable item
for a specified remuneration. The funding agency specifies what it
wants, and the contractor delivers the item. In a grant, the researcher
tells the government what mysteries he would like to pursue, and the
funding agency provides him with the necessary money.
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can own and sell property; they can hold patents and copyrights; they
have rights of free speech under the first amendment, and they can
use those rights to mock their political enemies; they can sue people
and other corporations; they have the right to enter into contracts and
advertise their products. Most importantly, corporations can lobby
congress. Under the law, corporations must be motivated by profit.
When you combine an existential mandate for greed, with the power
to influence congress, you can understand why corporations are
usually much more successful than people. Remember the maxim:
laws don't protect citizens from ruthless corporations; laws protect
ruthless corporations from citizens.
Data cooking - Discarding experimental data that does not fit your
hypothesis.
Data quality act - Data quality act The Data Quality Act was passed
as part of the FY 2001 Consolidated Appropriations Act (Pub. L. No.
106-554. codified at 44 U.S.C. # 3516, note.) The Act requires
Federal Agencies to base their decisions on high quality data and to
permit the public to challenge and correct inaccurate data. The
drawback to this legislation, is that science is a messy process, and
data may not always attain a very high quality. It may require
decades before the data in a new area of study achieves the level of
quality that critics will accept. The easiest way to bring scientific
progress to a grinding halt is to insist on data quality.
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Do-good doctors - You've seen them; they are the physicians who
work tirelessly in free clinics, who provide pro bono services to the
poor, and who travel to third world countries to provide basic health
services. These are the doctors who join Doctors without Borders and
other humanitarian organizations. Do-good doctors are weak people,
of low self-esteem, who have succumbed to primitive compassionate
instincts that normal doctors sublimate early in their careers. As an
evil doctor, you understand that if every doctor provided free
services, the entire medical-industrial complex would collapse.
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Ethics - Distinguishing right and wrong, and then doing whatever you
want. Ethics is easy once you understand whatever serves your
interests is right, for you.
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Funding rates - Each year, NIH receives about 50,000 new grant
applications. The number, 70,000 is sometimes used. But this higher
number includes grants that are amended and re-submitted in the
same year, and grants that are bounced back to the applicant without
review. The lower number more accurately reflects the actual number
of reviewed individual grants. Of these 50,000 grants, about 20% are
funded. This means that 80% of grant applications were a huge waste
of time and money.
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pole, with the department chair sitting atop the pole, then you must
understand that the graduate student is located about 5 feet
underground, squeezed between the stump of the pole, and the cold
earth beneath. Graduate study begins after the undergraduate degree
is conferred, and extends to 4,5,6,7, or even 8 years. There is little or
no incentive for departments to shorten the length of training,
because graduate students are the cheapest labor force in the world.
Greater than total recall - The ability to recall events that never
actually occurred or data that never existed. Strange as it may seem,
"greater than total recall" is a much more common talent than "total
recall."
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New idea - An old idea that you are hearing for the first time.
One field one book rule - The evil scientist does not waste time
reading books in his field. At most, the number of books that an evil
scientist will read is "1". Every field has a so-called bible, so named
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Parker, Janet (1938 - 1978) - The last person on earth known to die
from smallpox (98). In 1978, Janet Parker was a 40 year old
photographer who lived in Birmingham, England. She worked on the
floor above Henry Bedson's smallpox research laboratory. Virus
particles escaped from Bedson's laboratory and infected Ms. Parker.
After learning of Parker's infection, Bedson committed suicide (98).
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Patent holding company - Private entities that buy many patents, thus
building portfolios of patents to assert intellectual property rights in
strategically chosen business sectors.
Use patents - Even when intellectual property has been made freely
available, the uses of the property may still be patented. This means
that when you use an idea, device, or process that is not covered by a
patent, you still need to determine whether your use of the patent may
constitute a patent infringement.
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pilferage occurred when James Watson and Francis Crick got hold of
Rosalind Franklin's X-ray photographs of DNA (without her
permission). Watson and Crick have acknowledge that the photos
were of critical importance in their work, which culminated in their
discovery of the double-helical structure of DNA. Watson and Crick
received the Nobel price. Rosalind Franklin received their gratitude.
Though pilferers sometimes receive criticism from their peers, they
never get into any serious trouble, because pilfering is not a crime. If
you are ever accused of pilfery, the best defense comes from Isaac
Newton, who famously said, "If I have seen further it is only by
standing on the shoulders of giants." In other words, great science is
accomplished by peering over the shoulders of your colleagues.
Predicting the future - The thing about predicting the future is that
you need to start with a good understanding of the present. Nobody
really understands what is happening in the here and now. So it is
very unlikely that anyone can see the future.
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Royalty - The idea of royalties traces back to the rights of the crown
to claim a percentage of the proceeds from mines operating in the
royal domain. Today, royalties refer to payments made to an author
or a patent holder for the sale or performance of his or her intellectual
property.
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Synonym - "A synonym is a word you use when you can't spell the
other one," Baltasar Gracian.
Type 1 error. Rejecting the null hypothesis when the null hypothesis
is correct (i.e., seeing an effect when there was none).
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Type 2 error. Accepting the null hypotheses when the null hypothesis
is false. (i.e. seeing no effect when there was one).
Type 3 error. Rejecting the null hypothesis correctly, but for the
wrong reason, leading to an erroneous interpretation of the data in
favor of an incorrect affirmative statement.
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Zipf law and Zipf bias - George Kingsley Zipf (1902 - 1950) gave us
Zipf's law, asserting that in a text corpus, the frequency of any word
is roughly inversely proportional to its rank in the frequency table. A
practical way of interpreting Zipf's law is that a small number of
words (the, if, of, a, the, is, in, on, for) account for most of the
occurrences of words in any text. Zipf's law can be extended to most
comprehensive collections of objects in the real world. For example,
a few computer companies account for the bulk of computer sales; a
few misbehaving students receive the bulk of the attention from the
school faculty; a few types of tumors (squamous cell carcinoma of
skin, basal cell carcinoma of skin, lung cancer, colon cancer, prostate
cancer, breast cancer) account for the overwhelming majority of
cancers occurring in humans. When people are unaware of the Zipf
distribution in an experimental study, they can be misled into
thinking that a random sampling from a population contains a fair
representation of all the different types of individuals in a population.
In fact, Zipf's law tells us that most random samplings will contain
the most frequently occurring objects in the population and will
exclude almost all of the objects that account for the wide diversity of
unique objects in the population. For example, a martian randomly
extracting 100 animals from earth, might find 40 ants, 30 spiders, and
30 assorted marine organisms. The likelihood that a human would be
included in the mix is virtually nil. If martians were unaware of Zipf's
law, they would leave us with a grossly distorted view of terran life
(i.e., the Zipf bias). Like all eponymous laws, this one may have been
attributed to the wrong person. Vilfredo Federico Damaso Pareto
(1848 - 1923), observed that, for many events, roughly 80% of the
effects come from 20% of the causes. Pareto's principle is the
simplified predecessor to the Zipf law.
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Though the data was not identified, the Illinois Department of Public
Health, argued that there was sufficient information in the records to
permit a determined individual to discover the identities of some
patients. The court ruled in favor of the newspaper, finding "Public
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[315] United States Court of Appeals for the eighth circuit, No. 06-
2286, Washington University, Appellee v. William J. Catalona, M.D.,
Appellant. http://www.ca8.uscourts.gov/opndir/07/06/062286P.pdf
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