Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Thermal Characteristics of In-Tube Upward Supercritical CO2 Flows and A New Heat Transfer Prediction Model Based On Artificial Neural Networks (ANN)
Thermal Characteristics of In-Tube Upward Supercritical CO2 Flows and A New Heat Transfer Prediction Model Based On Artificial Neural Networks (ANN)
Thermal Characteristics of In-Tube Upward Supercritical CO2 Flows and A New Heat Transfer Prediction Model Based On Artificial Neural Networks (ANN)
A R T I C L E I N F O A B S T R A C T
Keywords: The potential employment of supercritical carbon dioxide (sCO2) flows in heated tubes in many applications
Artificial neural network (ANN) requires accurate and reliable predictions of the thermal characteristics of these flows. However, the ability to
Empirical correlation predict such flows remains limited due to a lack of a complete fundamental understanding, with traditional
Heat transfer characteristics
prediction capabilities relying on either simple empirical correlations or highly complex and computationally
Prediction accuracy
demanding simulation methods both of which limit the design of next-generation systems. To overcome this
Supercritical carbon dioxide (sCO2)
challenge, a prediction model based on artificial neural network (ANN) is proposed and trained by 5780 sets of
experimental wall temperature data from upward flows with a very satisfactory root mean square error (RMSE)
and mean relative error that are less than 1.9 ◦ C and 1.8%, respectively. The results confirm that the structured
model can provide satisfactory prediction capabilities overall, as well specific performance with mean relative
error under the normal, enhanced and deteriorated heat transfer (NHT, EHT and DHT) conditions of 1.8%, 1.6%
and 1.7%, respectively. The proposed model’s ability to predict the heat transfer coefficient in these flows is also
considered, and it is shown that the mean relative error is<2.8%. Thus, it is confirmed that it has a better
prediction accuracy than traditional empirical correlations. This work indicates that such ANN methods can
provide a real alternative for adoption in select thermal science and engineering applications, shedding a new
light and giving added insight into the thermal characteristics of heated supercritical fluids.
* Corresponding authors at: School of Marine Science and Technology, Northwestern Polytechnical University, P.O. Box 24, Xi’an 710072, China (G. Xie) Clean
Energy Processes (CEP) Laboratory, Department of Chemical Engineering, Imperial College London, South Kensington Campus, London SW7 2AZ, UK (C.N.
Markides).
E-mail addresses: xgn@nwpu.edu.cn (G. Xie), c.markides@imperial.ac.uk (C.N. Markides).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.applthermaleng.2021.117067
Received 13 January 2021; Received in revised form 10 April 2021; Accepted 3 May 2021
Available online 8 May 2021
1359-4311/© 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
F. Sun et al. Applied Thermal Engineering 194 (2021) 117067
and considerably sensitive to the pressure, temperature, mass flux, heat provide reasonable predictions particularly in normal and enhanced
flux, flow direction and inner diameter of the tube [11–13]. heat transfer region, however they are not able to identify a deteriorated
Moreover, the critical transitions also redistribute the flow patterns heat transfer condition.
and thus increase both flow and thermal complexity [14,15]. Overall, In recent decades, the rapid development of computer-based algo
challenges remain to be tackled before supercritical technology is widely rithms has been widely adopted to solve problems in thermal applica
used, such as basic thermo-physical properties of sCO2, the design and tions. Such computer codes mainly consist by simplistic algorithms of
operation of power cycle systems, and related heat transfer problems human intelligence evolutionary models. At present, the use of artificial
[16,17], amongst which the heat transfer phenomenon needs to be neural networks (ANN) models in the thermal sciences and engineering
studied urgently as they have a significant influence on the further remain relatively lacking, especially at supercritical pressures. In order
power cycle and system design and operation. The current tough chal to solve the aforementioned challenges of predicting deteriorated con
lenges on heat transfer aspects can be summarized as follows: (i) a risk of ditions, it is better to adopt a flexible function approximator to depict
the steep rise in wall temperature (Tw) still exists, especially in cases of the correlation for the accurate prediction. ANNs are among the systems
deteriorated prediction of heat transfer; (ii) supercritical in-tube ex that consolidate physical quantities beyond the empirical results into the
periments are commonly carried out but they do not enhance the un structured network. Since ANN does not require any data hypothesis in
derstanding and prediction of supercritical heat transfer characteristics; terms of statistical distribution and characteristics, they are more effi
(iii) the accuracy of empirical correlations is uncertain under various cient than other statistical methods.
conditions, and a general criterion that is applicable to all conditions has In recent years, studies have proven that ANN models are a more
not been obtained yet; (iv) the issue of fitting correlation basically adaptive and accurate method [19], and preferable for the accurate
constitute a highly non-linear problem. Although extensive efforts have prediction for heat transfer related problems [20]. So far, advanced ANN
been made to investigate the heat transfer mechanism, it is very chal models have rarely been considered by researchers. Based on the
lenging to predict the heat transfer characteristics under supercritical extracted experimental data including both horizontal and upward flow,
conditions. Scalabrin and Piazza [21] efficiently predicted the forced heat transfer
Theoretically, significant empirical correlations with Nusselt characteristics of sCO2 by a well-trained and validated ANN model, and
numbers (Nu), coupled with non-dimensional of Reynolds number (Re) found that a better network structure could achieve an average absolute
and Prandtl number (Pr), are employed to preliminary determine Tw and deviation of 2.7% against 4.3% with empirical correlations, although
heat transfer coefficient (h). However, these conventional methods flow structure and heat transfer characteristics rapidly changed at hor
could cause a large error at supercritical pressure particularly near izontal and vertical tubes. Moreover, the detailed discussion about
critical-pressure or critical-temperature region [17,18]. Subsequently, training methods is lacking for improving prediction accuracy and effect
many heat transfer correlations were developed and proposed to predict of flow direction on trained and validated results. Based on the research
the heat transfer characteristics [11]. The common characteristics of of Scalabrin and Piazza, Chen et al. [22] proposed a well-established
these correlations are: (i) the important factors of thermo-physical radial basis function network (RBFN) model and its prediction accu
properties were carefully considered to improve prediction accuracy racy was preferable to back propagation (BP) neural network for pre
of the correlations; (ii) the basic form of the proposed correlations is still dicting heat transfer performance of sCO2 based on large-scale database.
based on conventional Dittus-Boelter and Ginielinski correlations. Un A modified group method of data handling (GMDH) model was well-
fortunately, although a number of new correlations have been accu tested by Pesteei and Mehrabi [23], which predicted the local heat
mulated towards predicting and avoiding the deteriorated conditions, transfer characteristics of sCO2 at conditions of Re < 2500 in vertical
the prediction results will change with the various initial boundary tubes. After estimating the predictive results processed by few extracted
conditions (heat flux, inlet temperature, pressure, mass flux, etc.) and experimental data, they concluded that the accuracy improvement of
the tube geometry. In addition, these heat transfer correlations seem to ANN strongly depends on the database scale. Chang et al. [24] proposed
2
F. Sun et al. Applied Thermal Engineering 194 (2021) 117067
respectively, indicating that the established ANN model could better Note: q [kW/m2], G [kg/m2⋅s].
predict the heat transfer characteristics of supercritical water.
Generally, existing ANN studies applicable to supercritical diabatic conditions. The first type of DHT is defined as “DHT-I”, usually occurring
flows have been mostly preliminary explorations with a narrow focus. It under certain conditions with low G and high q [32]. The DHT-I con
remains interesting and important to perform systematic investigations dition can be identified at the entrance part of the test tube section. The
of the viability of ANN models, particularly in predicting supercritical second DHT condition, DHT-II, may be captured at any part of the test
heat transfer characteristics. For this purpose, the prediction of super section. It should be noted that the occurrence of DHT strongly depends
critical heat transfer characteristics is addressed by ANN model. We on the initial boundary conditions.
firstly summarise the criteria of heat transfer classifications and evalu
ates the sensitive input parameters and subsequently investigates the
prediction performance on Tw by a well-established ANN model. Finally, 2.2. Effect factors on heat transfer
we take the physical property terms as inputs and propose a new ANN
model for predicting h. Results are compared by two method of ANN and The emergence of extreme DHT is problematic and requires special
traditional empirical correlations. The paper is expected to put forward consideration. In the past decades, researchers tried to investigate the
a new scheme for the accurate prediction under supercritical conditions onset of DHT and the related correlations are listed in Table 1. More
and open interdisciplinary using artificial intelligence to estimate su detailed information can be found in Ref. [32].
percritical heat transfer characteristics. Fig. 1 shows that the changed DHT points with G display a discrete
distribution. Clearly, most the sCO2 DHT points are at the bottom and
2. Supercritical heat transfer and the use of ANNs the water DHT points at the top. The correlation q = 0.0002G2 proposed
by Kim et al. [36] predicts the sCO2 datapoints well, since it was
A brief overview of flow and heat transfer characteristics at super established based on different boundary conditions and physical ge
critical pressures is presented by theoretical and experimental methods ometries. However, the other four correlations significantly over
in this section. estimate the DHT points of sCO2. In particular, the DHT points of
supercritical aviation kerosene are scattered in picture. In conclusion,
2.1. Identification of heat transfer characteristics the onset criterion of DHT is quite different for different supercritical
fluids. The onset correlations contain two significant boundary param
Although great effort has been made to understand the heat transfer eters of mass flux and heat flux [12]. Generally, the complex coupling
mechanism, it is still difficult to propose an accurate definition on spe effects by the initial boundary parameters, i.e., input pressure (P), mass
cial thermal characteristics. In general, supercritical thermal charac flux (G), heat flux (q), tube diameter (din) and fluid enthalpy (hb), are
teristics can be categorised into three types: (i) normal heat transfer, responsible for influencing the supercritical heat transfer characteristics.
abbreviated as “NHT”; (ii) enhanced heat transfer, abbreviated as Consequently, these characteristic parameters are taken as basic inputs
“EHT”; (iii) deteriorated heat transfer, abbreviated as “DHT”, which are in the ANN model.
depicted in this section for the further well classified experimental
datapoints used for ANN-training.
1000
In previous studies [26–28], the characteristic changes of Tw can be
CO2
identified along the flow direction, and DHT features an abruptly Water
increased Tw, EHT with a rapid decreased Tw, as well as NHT with Aviation kerosene
monotonous Tw variation. With respect to quantitative assessment, the
Dittus-Boelter correlation was usually adopted to predict the heat
transfer characteristics. Shiralkar et al. [29] proposed a formula of h/ 100
hDB < 0.5 for prediction in DHT. This formula purports that there exists a
q [kW/m2]
DHT condition when the h value is less than 0.5hDB. Koshizuka et al. [30]
established h/hDB < 0.3 for quantitative criterion for DHT. Li et al. [31]
proposed a new criterion of h/hDB < 1 for extreme deteriorated envi
ronment. Here, it can be briefly summarized that the quantitative 10
assessment by h/hDB formula is quite different for different operation q=0.2G1.2 Yamagata et al.
q=0.58G Styrikovich et al.
conditions. The formula is basically at the same form, however, the
q=0.745G-58.97 Mokry et al.
specific value varies with initial conditions which are further charac
q=0.0002G2 Kim et al.
terized by different input pressure (P), temperature (T), mass flux (G), q=1/2.16G1.2 Yin et al.
heat flux (q) and tube diameter (din). Moreover, the quantitative formula
1
is limited and it is difficult to adopt a quantitative correlation that is 100 G [kg/m2·s] 1000
widely applicable in general conditions. Consequently, the qualitative
evaluation method reported in Ref. [27] are adopted in this study for Fig. 1. Comparison of DHT onset (listed in Table 1) with selected experimental
exerting division criteria for extracted experimental data. In contrast, data under different operating conditions [32].
NHT refers to the monotonic change in Tw and h. At the same conditions,
the EHT is characterized by a large value of h and decreased Tw values.
As for DHT, there is an obvious feature of quickly increased Tw or the
decreased h. It should be noted that there are two forms of DHT
3
F. Sun et al. Applied Thermal Engineering 194 (2021) 117067
Fig. 2. Flowchart of the optimal BP neural network by genetic algorithm. The weight (w) and bias (b) are optimized by evolutionary ideas of survival of the fittest,
genetic crossover (a) and random mutation (b).
3. ANN model formulation and development layer, network structure, computing function, momentum factors and
related learning algorithm settings, which allows to achieve excellent
3.1. GA with back-propagation ANN prediction performance. According to Ref. [12], GA-BP, a hybrid
model with genetic algorithm (GA) and back-propagation (BP), pro
An ANN refers to a complex network structure formed by the inter vided a global optimal convergence and a high prediction accuracy.
connection of a large number of processing neurons, which imitates the Fig. 2 shows the neural network structure that is adopted in this study. It
neuron activity with mathematical model. The significant parameters in consists of input layer, hidden layer and output layer. This is followed by
ANN operation program contains input variables, hidden layer, output a short introduction to the parameter setting of network structures.
Table 2
Experimental conditions and corresponding database of Tw for upward flow in tubes.
Reference Experimental conditions for five important parameters Ppc NHT EHT DHT-I DHT-II Total
points points points points number
Kim et al. [38] P = 7.75–8.85 MPa; G = 400–1200 kg/m2s; q = 30–150 kW/m2;hb = ≥Ppc 196 140 113 289 738
272.9–534.9 kJ/kg; din = 4.4 mm
Huang et al. P = 8.12–8.9 MPa; G = 464–478 kg/m2s; q = 39.4–70.9 kW/m2;hb = ≥Ppc 9 11 4 16 40
[39] 256.5–473.6 kJ/kg; din = 6.0 mm
Bae et al. [40] P = 7.75–8.12 MPa; G = 285–600 kg/m2s; q = 29.3–70 kW/m2;hb = ≥Ppc 599 310 168 723 1800
231.4–488.8 kJ/kg; din = 6.3 mm
Bae et al. [41] P = 7.75 MPa; G = 400 kg/m2s; q = 30–50 kW/m2; hb = 232.3–506.8 kJ/kg; ≥Ppc – 118 91 420 629
din = 6.32 mm
Lei et al. [42] P = 7.50 MPa; G = 1000 kg/m2s; q = 5.1–200 kW/m2; hb = 183.5–469.4 kJ/ ≥Ppc 101 – – 291 392
kg; din = 5 mm
Kim et al. [43] P = 8.34 MPa; G = 663 kg/m2s; q = 52–216 kW/m2; hb = 232.3.-506.8 kJ/kg; ≥Ppc 61 5 6 10 82
din = 4.5 mm
Kim et al. [44] P = 8.10–8.56 MPa; G = 380–610 kg/m2s; q = 101–193 kW/m2;hb = ≥Ppc 18 7 – 30 55
287.5–508.3 kJ/kg; din = 4.5 mm
Kim et al. [45] P = 7.53–9.23 MPa; G = 230–874 kg/m2s; q = 52.8–231 kW/m2;hb = ≥Ppc 258 94 68 206 626
285.4–537.8 kJ/kg; din = 4.5 mm
Song et al. P = 8.12 MPa; G = 1200 kg/m2s; q = 30–50 kW/m2; hb = 213.1–510.3 kJ/kg; ≥Ppc 392 198 83 263 936
[46] din = 4.4–9 mm
Gupta et al. P = 8.38 MPa; G = 784 kg/m2s; q = 18.4 kW/m2; hb = 285.8–310.3 kJ/kg; din ≥Ppc 7 – – 11 18
[47] = 8.1 mm
Zahlan [48] P = 7.91–8.57 MPa; G = 200–1200 kg/m2s; q = 5.1–231 kW/m2;hb = ≥Ppc 302 48 56 58 464
214.3–458.5 kJ/kg; din = 8–22 mm
Total P = 7.50–9.23 MPa; G = 200–1200 kg/m2s; q = 5.1–231 kW/m2;hb = 1943 931 589 2317 5780
183.5–537.8 kJ/kg; din = 4.4–22 mm
4
F. Sun et al. Applied Thermal Engineering 194 (2021) 117067
yexp,k 900
206
where yexp,k is experimental data and ypred,k is predictive value. RMSE
600
represents the differences between experimental and predicted data, Core region
130 2881
which is adopted extensively to monitor the performance of ANN model.
MRE belongs to the relative error, and it can better reflect the credibility 300
of the predictive results. 435
(a)
0 Count
3.2. ANN structure 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5
P [MPa]
Before the experimental data can be used to build an ANN model, the
analysis of characteristic parameters and the training and design of the 2066
ANN structure are particular important, which are described here in
detail.
384
145 52 285
3.2.1. Analysis of characteristic parameters 25
Count:experimental data
The experimental sCO2 database is obtained from Kim et al. [38], 277
Huang et al. [39], Bae et al. [40,41], Lei et al. [42], Kim [43–45], Song 20
q: 5.1-231 kW/m2
[46], Gupta [47] and Zahlan [48] and listed in Table 2. Based on the
din: 4.4-22 mm
division criteria discussed in Section 2.1, the number of extracted
din [mm]
datapoints at NHT, EHT, DHT-I and DHT-II environment, are 1943, 931, 15
589 and 2317, respectively. Hence, the ANN model is obtained through
a learning process where the total 5780 datapoints are adopted to train Core region
10
and validate a neural network. Five important parameters of experi
mental conditions are input vectors, which covers a pressure range of 2741
7.50–9.23 MPa, a mass flux of 200–1200 kg/m2⋅s, a heat flux of 5.1–231 5 1932
kW/m2, an inner diameter of tube of 4.4–22 mm, and a bulk specific (b)
Count
enthalpy of 183.5–537.8 kJ/kg. 0 50 100 150 200 250
It is well-known that the input parameters play a key role in ANN q [kW/m2]
model prediction accuracy. The neural networks have strict re
Fig. 4. Distribution of extracted parameters (P, G, q and din) displayed as his
quirements for training model and the proper selection of input vari
tograms and normal distributions: (a) scatted distribution for P and G; and (b)
ables is important to improve the training accuracy. Therefore, it is
scatted distribution for q and din.
necessary to count the main data and their interval distribution before
ANN training. Based on the database, statistical analysis is performed to
assess the probable distribution of input parameters P, G, q and din. Here,
boxplot, a graphical method, is used to illustrate the threshold values in
the dispersion database. It is remarkable that the box corves a range of
25%-75% of the data. The significant values of outlier, upper limit,
5
F. Sun et al. Applied Thermal Engineering 194 (2021) 117067
median and lower limit are monitored simultaneously, which are configurations. Comparatively, a variety of input G and q data can
depicted in Fig. 3 in detail. It can be seen that P is mainly within the improve the fitting accuracy of ANN model. To some extent, the ANN
range of 7.60 MPa–8.42 MPa, which includes the median value of 8.11 prediction errors exist as a result of the limited range of the obtained
MPa. For the current available experimental techniques, sCO2 under experimental data. This means that the multi-condition experiments
median pressure has notable heat transfer characteristics and the se with different input parameters needs to be conducted, and the database
lection of pressure calibration is also reasonable. The median value of G, also needs to be further supplemented and expanded.
din and q are near 528 kg/m2⋅s, 6.5 mm and 65 kW/m2, respectively.
In addition to the specific limit values, the detailed scatted data of 3.2.2. Training and testing of ANN model
input variable also needs to be analysed, as shown in Fig. 4. The scat A well-established network structure is expected, generally, to
tered characteristics of P and G are displayed in Fig. 4(a), reflecting by improve the prediction accuracy of ANN models. The entire database is
random scatter points and histogram with a normal distribution. The classified into a training database and a validation database with a ratio
histogram represents the specific count (frequency) of the extracted of 4:1. Normalization method is employed for all the data, which means
variables and couples with the probability distribution. It can be seen that datapoints are processed to the same order of magnitude which
that the P distribution is dispersed around the mean value of 8.11 MPa. locates the range of [0.05, 0.95]. From an information processing
Pressure data are mainly concentrated between 7.60 MPa and 8.12 MPa. perspective, it is advisable to normalize the input and output parameters
For G, there is a large range for mass flux adjustment during the using the maximum and minimum values of each data set. It has been
experiment process. Consequently, the coverage points of extracted G mentioned above that the further training and validation is the most
data are relatively dispersed between 200 kg/m2⋅s and 1200 kg/m2⋅s. critical step for the ANN process, in which the measured deviation value
The G data is mainly distributed under 400 kg/m2⋅s at low mass flux existing at output layer can be reduced continuously by automatically
condition. In particular, the core region of scatted data can be certainly adjusting the weight and biases in the whole network, so as to meet the
determined by the normal distribution. Fig. 4(b) shows the scatted dis user requirement at last. For given layers and nodes in network struc
tribution of q and din. The main part of q locates near low heat flux of 50 ture, the first step for the ANN-training is to calculate and assign the
kW/m2 and din data are mainly collected from 6.3 experimental tubes. initial values to all the weights and biases. These significant parameters
As shown in Fig. 5, the experimental results of hb and Tw are also in this network structure may be either positive values or negative
distributed in each delimited axis region. It can be seen that hb and Tw values and the absolute values are processed to be less than unity in
cover the whole range of 183.5–537.8 kJ/kg and 13.2–217.4 ◦ C, general practice. The next step is to achieve all the node input and
respectively. The normal distribution is reasonable with a mean value at output calculation task in all existing layers. When a calculation cycle is
the middle part. When sCO2 fluid is heated in tubes along the flow di completed, it determines a maximum or average error and then the
rection, a large amount of Tw are effectively measured. Overall, the important weights and biases are updated in succession. Despite the
narrow din data limit the sensitivity of ANN to various tube simple computational procedure, great validation effort is still a key
Table 3
Network structures and testing RMSE value of Tw.
10, 20, 30…,140 3.07–8.91 10 3.3 3.5 3.2 2.7 2.5 2.3–5.7
150 2.0 20 3.6 3.6 3.2 3.0 2.5
160 2.6 30 3.7 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.4
170 2.8 40 2.8 2.7 2.7 3.2 3.0
180 2.9 50 3.1 3.5 3.7 3.1 2.8 2.7–5.5
190, 200, 210, …,500 3.0–4.2 60, 70, …,120 2.4–4.9 2.6–6.8
6
F. Sun et al. Applied Thermal Engineering 194 (2021) 117067
Table 5
Heat transfer correlations for supercritical upward CO2 flow in the available literature.
References Correlation Parameter
ranges: P
[Pa], G [kg/
m2⋅s], q or qw
[W/m2], Reb,
tb [K or ◦ C],
din [mm]
7
F. Sun et al. Applied Thermal Engineering 194 (2021) 117067
ANN
ANN
Exp data
550 Exp data
1200
500
1000 Sample Sample
Tw [K]
450
Tw [K]
Tw
800
400
hb,pc=343
600 hb,pc=341
350
400
Test-1 Test-2
300
300 250 hbb300
[kJ/kg]
[kJ/kg] 350 400
hb 400
[kJ/kg] 500
8.19 MPa, 488 kg/m2•s, 103 kW/m2, 4.5 mm 540 8.12 MPa, 400 kg/m2•s, 50 kW/m2, 4.4 mm
ANN
ANN Exp data
600 Exp data
480
Tw [K]
Sample
Sample
[K]
TwTw[K]
500
420
hb,pc=341
400 hb,pc=341
360
Test-3 Test-4
300 hb [kJ/kg] 350 400 240 280 hhb b[kJ/kg]
320
[kJ/kg] 360 400
450 8.19 MPa, 488 kg/m2•s, 103 kW/m2, 4.5 mm 900 8.12 MPa, 400 kg/m2•s, 50 kW/m2, 4.4 mm
ANN
800 Exp data
400
700
ANN
Exp data
Sample
Tw [K]
w [K]
TwT[K]
600
350 hb,pc=341
Sample hb,pc=341 500
400
300
Test-5 Test-6
300
200 hb 300
[kJ/kg] 400 240 300
hhbb [kJ/kg] 360
Fig. 6. Prediction performance of Tw for the case of Test 1–6 data characterized by DHT, EHT and NHT conditions.
8
F. Sun et al. Applied Thermal Engineering 194 (2021) 117067
Table 6
Test results of MRE [%] by ANN model and selected six heat transfer correlations.
Dittus-Boelter Pioro Preda Kim Jackson Bringer-Smith ANN
2.0 ◦ C and no established ANN structures perform a preferable predic sCO2 are available. Here, six representative empirical correlations are
tion under two hidden layers. Consequently, the ANN structure of adopted to estimate the Tw based on the collected experimental data.
5–150-1 is adopted for the next ANN calculation. Table 5 lists the frequently-used empirical correlations including the
detailed parameter range. In supercritical flow, distinct variable thermo-
4. Results and discussion physical properties have a great impact on heat transfer performance,
which are considered and added to empirical correlations. Most of them
4.1. ANN-based prediction of Tw are improved by adding new factor of important thermo-physical pa
rameters in terms of wall temperature and bulk fluid temperature on a
In this section, we specifically focus on the ANN-predictive ability qualitative basis. They can be summarized as Nu = CRen1 n2
b Prb,ave H, where
under NHT, EHT, DHT-I and DHT-II conditions. To better validate the C and H represent the constant term and thermo-physical term,
prediction accuracy of ANN model, the new150 test datapoints of Tw respectively. These operation conditions are different in form and
under different operating conditions are completely independent of parameter operating range, thus lead to different correlation recom
entire dataset. As shown in Table 4, it consists of 21 NHT data, 62 EHT mended by different researchers. Moreover, it is also necessary to assess
data and 67 DHT data with the detailed parameter ranges. Here, the the applicability of correlation coupled with experimental test data and
RMSE and MRE are adopted to assess prediction accuracy. The test re ANN-prediction values. In order to further verify the reliability of ANN
sults based on the ANN model and empirical heat transfer correlations method compared with selected empirical correlations, the two valida
are discussed. tion steps are performed in the following study. The first step is to exert
the analysis process on prediction accuracy between ANN values and
4.1.1. Prediction under NHT, EHT and DHT conditions correlation calculation, which is only based on the established database.
The test results are summarised in Table 4. In terms of local error In the second step, the other new experimental data beyond the database
results, the RMSE and MRE under NHT condition are 1.7 ◦ C and 1.8%, are collected, and the prediction ability of ANN model is further verified
respectively. ANN shows an improved prediction accuracy at EHT Based on the database, six typical validation groups are defined as
environment, and RMSE and MRE value are reduced to 1.4 ◦ C and 1.6%, Test-1, Test-2, Test-3, Test-4, Test-5 and Test-6, which are picked out
respectively. It means that the ANN model provides better prediction including NHT, EHT, DHT-I and DHT-II characteristic data. Their
under EHT condition. At extreme DHT environment with significant parameter ranges are all within database and the significant parameter
variation in thermo-physical properties, the RMSE is up to 1.9 ◦ C and of Tw is selected to determine the assessment results. The predictive
MRE is 1.7%. To some extent, the deteriorated condition increases the results against the selected heat transfer correlations are shown in Fig. 6
uncertainty of ANN prediction. As can be seen, the proposed ANN model under different initial boundary conditions. The Dittus-Boelter formula
has the best test performance with the total RMSE of 1.7 ◦ C and total calculated by the qualitative fluid temperature and the physical
MRE of 1.8%. These small errors indicate that the prediction model has a parameter is expressed by the subscript of “b”. For the Pioro, Preda, Kim,
strong learning ability even if the thermo-physical properties vary Jackson and Bringer-Smith correlations, it is necessary to consider the
significantly. Furthermore, the test results suggest that the ANN is fully effect of both the qualitative fluid temperature and wall temperature on
applicable to heat transfer prediction at supercritical conditions. the calculation of thermo-physical properties. In general, rapid change
of heat transfer characteristics occurs near the critical region. Table 6
4.1.2. Comparison with empirical correlations provides the detailed MRE deviation values for quantitative comparison.
In order to design a heat transfer system with high efficiency, the It can be seen from Fig. 6 that the conventional Dittus-Boelter correla
thermal conditions need to be evaluated for the in-tube sCO2 fluid. tion cannot predict the Tw accurately with MRE values much higher than
Presently, many empirical correlations were employed to predict the other correlations at the same conditions. Recently, great efforts have
supercritical heat transfer characteristics [11,30]. In fact, the traditional been made to develop new supercritical heat transfer correlations. The
dimensional parameters are adopted to construct the heat transfer cor key strategy is to use a simple structure of the correlation formulas, and
relations which is also obtained strongly dependent on physical property to establish the connection with significant physical phenomenon. This
variations. Hence, the physical phenomena increase the complexity of means that, firstly, several parameters affecting heat transfer are iden
solving the dimensionless equations used in the heat transfer correla tified according to the phenomenological assessment of heat transfer
tions. The ANN method provides an alternative way for the problem characteristics. Then, a new structure of heat correlation is derived on
solving of heat transfer prediction. It is a technique that is usually the evaluation of a well-established experimental database. Finally, a
adopted for the response prediction of a physical system that cannot be dimensionless factor of physical properties can be proposed for the
established mathematically. In this section, the prediction performance further correction of possible heat transfer deviations. Here, the Pioro,
is compared by two methods of ANN and empirical correlations. There Preda, Kim, Jackson and Bringer-Smith correlations are typically
are still some significant issues to be solved in the supercritical heat representative of the developed correlation structures. Fig. 6 shows six
transfer correlations, e.g., (i) the applicability of some developed cor test examples with detailed comparisons.
relations strongly depends on their own operating range, but can be The common features are summarized as follows: (i) the basic trend
predictable for other beyond conditions; (ii) there is no general proposed of experimental data including DHT-I, DHT-II, EHT and NHT conditions,
correlations suitable for different supercritical fluids, particular not only can be fully capture by the Pioro, Preda and Jackson correlations, even if
for NHT and EHT environment, but also for DHT condition. the MRE value of the Kim correlation is small and local trend is similar to
Only several classical correlations developed for vertical tube for
9
F. Sun et al. Applied Thermal Engineering 194 (2021) 117067
For ANN model, the MRE values in Tests 1–6 are 1.3%, 1.7%, 1.0%,
1.2%, 1.0% and 2.8%, respectively. The ANN method was proved to be
more attractive with a remarkable global and local prediction capability.
Table 7
Significance test of variable factors directly affecting convective heat transfer coefficient h.
Initial parameter terms Dimensionless terms Thermophysical terms
P G q din Reb Prb Rew Prw pw/pb λ w/ μw/μb cp, w/cp, b cp /cp,b
λb
Pearson 0.001 0.591* − 0.357* − 0.027 0.073* 0.509* 0.207* 0.739* − 0.295* 0.031 − 0.110* 0.141* − 0.129*
value
P value 0.95 3.4 × 10- 2.5 × 10- 0.239 8.8 × 10- 5.3 × 10- 1.4 × 10- 0 1.0 × 10- 0.163 4.9 × 10- 1.1 × 10- 3.6 × 10-
195 63 4 137 21 42 7 10 9
Mean 8.00 410 44.4 6.03 84,700 5.69 12,000 1.45 2.26 2.00 1.64 5.58 0.627
SD 0.267 47.7 12.3 0.689 33,900 4.58 21,200 0.625 1.069 0.703 0.688 5.71 0.458
Note: * P < 0.001, Mean: mean values, SD: standard deviation values.
10
F. Sun et al. Applied Thermal Engineering 194 (2021) 117067
NHUk
∑
HUkj (X) = ReLU( wkji HUk− 1,i + bkj ) (5)
i=1
NHUL
∑- 1
ANN(X) = ( wo,i HUL− 1,i + b0 ) (6)
i=1
where Nin is the total number of inputs. i is the ith input and j represents
the jth hidden units that is defined as HU. The input data are introduced
and processed by weight (w) and bias (b) in the first hidden layer. Then,
the output in first layer are passed to next hidden layer in which they are
also corrected and adjusted by w and b. In Eq. (5), k is the layer number
and NHUk is defined as the total number of HU in the kth layer. Finally,
the output in the last hidden layer is passed to outer most layer (output
layer) to give outputs. It should be noted that the selected structure with
9–50-50–1 is presented based on the trial-and-error training and the
training process and method are presented in Section 3.2.2.
Subsequently, Test-7 and Test-8 data were sort out to compare the
prediction accuracy between adopted correlations and ANN model at
various conditions. As shown in Fig. 9, the values by ANN prediction
agree well with the selected experimental data, while the calculated
correlation values are quite different. It also can be seen that the RMSE
and MRE are 0.2 kW/m2⋅K and 1.8% in Test-7, and 0.2 kW/m2⋅K and
2.8% in Test-8, respectively. It indicates that the developed model by
using ANN has a higher prediction accuracy compared with using
empirical correlation. Moreover, the new method of ANN technology
can be used to predict the heat transfer characteristics for any heat tubes
as well as Brayton cycle systems.
Finally, Nu is predicted again by ANN model based on new 127 sets
experimental data at different conditions. As demonstrated in Fig. 10,
the Dittus-Boelter, Pioro, Preda, Kim, Jackson and Bringer-Smith cor
relations exhibit large deviations in predicting the actual magnitude of
the Nuexp. The RMSE and MRE values are at least 48.3 and 35.9%, which
dissatisfy the accuracy requirements of thermal engineering. Fortu
nately, the prediction accuracy is preferable to the conventional corre
lation with calculation deficiency. Its accuracy was proved to be
satisfactory with a deviation error of 4.8 and 2.8% of RMSE and MRE,
respectively.
The memory and prediction ability of ANN depend on training
Fig. 9. Comparisons of correlations and ANN method based on Test-7 and Test- database. Thus, the prediction effectiveness of the proposed ANN model
8 data. depends mainly on recent entire database. To some extent, the heat
transfer information besides the collected database is unpredictable.
effect of important physical parameter on h. The results show that G, q, Moreover, more high-quality experimental data is needed to further
Reb, Prb, Rew, Prw, ρw/ρb, μw/μb, cp,w/cp,b and cp /cp, b have a significant improve the prediction accuracy. This study provides a new insight and
effect on h, that q, din, ρw/ρb and μw/μb show negative relevant relations promising tool to predict supercritical heat transfer information in
to the h change, and that the remaining parameters of P, G, Reb, Prb, Rew, thermal engineering.
Prw, λw/λb, cp,w/cp,b are positively correlated. As shown in Fig. 8, among
all correlation coefficients, the maximum reaches 0.739 for Prw, fol 5. Conclusions
lowed by G, Prb, q and ρw/ρb with 0.591, 0.509, 0.357 and 0.295,
respectively. During the input parameter assessment, the rearranged Supercritical fluids enable high efficiency and compact design in
parameters are presented in accordance with the significance order for thermal power cycles and similar engineering systems and applications.
establishing a h or Nu correlation. Although the interest toward supercritical fluids has been growing,
The new ANN model can be expressed as hANN = ANN(x) where × is many approaches used for predicting their thermal characteristics still
the input vector given by: remain lacking. In this paper, a prediction model based on ANN was
proposed and developed to predict the heat transfer characteristics
{ }
ρ cp *** cp,w *** μw *** *** λw under NHT, EHT and DHT conditions. An extensive data pre-processing,
x = Prw*** , Prb*** , w , Re*** , , , , Re , (3)
ρb w
cp,b cp,b μb b
λb data normalization, parameter evaluation and Pearson correlation
analysis, were carried out to improve the general prediction accuracy.
They are ranked in order of significance values. The Rectified Linear The prediction performance was first considered in predicting wall
Unit (ReLU) activation function is used within the network, and a fully temperature (Tw). A potential model with high accuracy depends on the
non-linear relationship is established between input layer and output high-quality experimental data. Here, 5780 sets of experimental data
layer, which is given by: were collected and the pressure (P), mass flux (G), heat flux (q), inner
tube (din) and fluid enthalpy (hb) were taken as characteristic parame
∑
Nin
HU1j (X) = ReLU( w1ji xi + b1j ) (4) ters. The RMSE and MRE attained by the ANN model were shown to be
i=1 within 1.9 ◦ C and 1.8%, respectively.
11
F. Sun et al. Applied Thermal Engineering 194 (2021) 117067
Fig. 10. Prediction analysis of Nu: (a) based on classical correlation of Dittus-Boelter, Pioro and Preda; (b) based on correlation of Kim, Bringer-Smith and Jackson;
(c) based on ANN model.
12
F. Sun et al. Applied Thermal Engineering 194 (2021) 117067
[5] G. Maouris, E.J.S. Escriva, S. Acha, N. Shah, C.N. Markides, CO2 refrigeration [28] Z. Ren, C.R. Zhao, P.X. Jiang, H.L. Bo, Investigation on local convection heat
system heat recovery and thermal storage modelling for space heating provision in transfer of supercritical CO2 during cooling in horizontal semicircular channels of
supermarkets: an integrated approach, Appl. Energy 264 (2020), 114722. printed circuit heat exchanger, Appl. Therm. Eng. 157 (2019), 113697.
[6] E.J.S. Escriva, S. Acha, N. Le Brun, V.S. Francés, J.M.P. Ojer, C.N. Markides, [29] B.S. Shiralkar, P. Griffith, The deterioration in heat transfer to fluids at
N. Shah, Modelling of a real CO2 booster installation and evaluation of control supercritical pressure and high heat fluxes, ASME J. Heat Transf. 91 (1969) 27–36.
strategies for heat recovery applications in supermarkets, Int. J. Refrig. 107 (2019) [30] S. Koshizuka, N. Takano, Y. Oka, Numerical analysis of deterioration phenomena in
288–300. heat transfer to supercritical water, Int. J. Heat Mass Transf. 38 (1995) 3077–3084.
[7] J. Song, M.C. Simpson, K. Wang, C.N. Markides, Thermodynamic assessment of [31] Q. Zhang, H. Li, X. Lei, J. Zhang, X. Kong, Study on identification method of heat
combined supercritical CO2 (SCO2) and organic Rankine cycle (ORC) systems for transfer deterioration of supercritical fluids in vertically heated tubes, Int. J. Heat
concentrated solar power, in: Proc: Int. Conf. Appl. Energy, Aug 12–15, 2019, Mass Transf. 127 (2018) 674–686.
Vasteras, Sweden; Paper 1152. [32] D. Huang, Z. Wu, B. Sunden, W. Li, A brief review on convection heat transfer of
[8] J. Song, Y. Wang, K. Wang, J. Wang, C.N. Markides, Renewable Energy Combined fluids at supercritical pressure in tubes and the recent progress, Appl. Energy. 162
supercritical CO2 (SCO2) cycle and organic Rankine cycle (ORC) system for hybrid (2016) 494–505.
solar and geothermal power generation: thermoeconomic assessment of various [33] F. Yin, T.K. Chen, H.X. Li, An investigation on heat transfer to supercritical water in
configurations, Renew. Energy (2021), https://doi.org/10.1016/j. inclined upward smooth tubes, Heat Transf. Eng. 27 (2006) 44–52.
renene.2021.04.124 (in press). [34] K. Yamagata, K. Nishikawa, S. Hasegawa, T. Fujii, S. Yoshida, Forced convective
[9] F. Crespi, G. Gavagnin, D. Sánchez, G.S. Martínez, Supercritical carbon dioxide heat transfer to supercritical water flowing in tubes, Int. J. Heat Mass Transf. 15
cycles for power generation: a review, Appl. Energy 195 (2017) 152–183. (1972) 2575–2593.
[10] J. Song, X.Y. Li, K. Wang, C.N. Markides, Parametric optimisation of a combined [35] M.A. Styrikovich, T.K. Margulova, Z.L. Miropolskiy, Problem in the development of
supercritical CO2 (S-CO2) cycle and organic Rankine cycle (ORC) system for designs of supercritical boilers, Therm. Eng. 32 (1967) 4–7.
internal combustion engine (ICE) waste-heat recovery, Energy Convers. Manag. [36] J.K. Kim, H.K. Jeon, J.Y. Yoo, J.S. Lee, Experimental study on heat transfer
218 (2020), 112999. characteristics of turbulent supercritical flow in vertical circular/non-circular
[11] H. Wang, K.H. Laurence, W.S. Leung, Q.C. Bi Wang, A review on recent heat tubes, in: Proc: Nureth-11. Oct 2–6, 2005, Avignon, France.
transfer studies to supercritical pressure water in channels, Appl. Therm. Eng. 142 [37] S. Mokry, I. Pioro, A. Farah, K. King, S. Gupta, W. Peiman, Development of
(2018) 573–596. supercritical water heat-transfer correlation for vertical bare tubes, Nucl. Eng. Des.
[12] F. Sun, G.N. Xie, S.L. Li, An artificial-neural-network based prediction of heat 241 (2011) 1126–1136.
transfer behaviours for in-tube supercritical CO2 flow, Appl. Soft. Comput. 102 [38] H.Y. Kim, H. Kim, J.H. Song, B.H. Cho, Y.Y. Bae, Heat transfer test in a vertical tube
(2021), 107110. using CO2 at supercritical pressures, J. Nucl. Sci. Technol. 44 (2007) 285–293.
[13] Jingzhe Xie, Dechao Liu, Hongbin Yan, Gongnan Xie, Sandra K. Boetcher, A review [39] G. Liu, Y. Huang, J. Wang, L.H.K. Leung, Heat transfer of supercritical carbon
of heat transfer deterioration of supercritical carbon dioxide flowing in vertical dioxide flowing in a rectangular circulation loop, Appl. Therm. Eng. 98 (2016)
tubes: heat transfer behaviors, identification methods, critical heat fluxes, and heat 39–48.
transfer correlations, Int. J. Heat Mass Transf. 149 (2020), 119233. https://www. [40] Y.Y. Bae, H.Y. Kim, D.J. Kang, Forced and mixed convection heat transfer to
sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0017931019338311. supercritical CO2 vertically flowing in a uniformly-heated circular tube, Exp.
[14] H. Qi, N. Gui, X. Yang, J. Tu, S. Jiang, The application of supercritical CO2 in Therm. Fluid Sci. 34 (2010) 1295–1308.
nuclear engineering: a review, J. Comput. Multiph. Flows. 10 (2018) 149–158. [41] Y.Y. Bae, H.Y. Kim, T.H. Yoo, Effect of a helical wire on mixed convection heat
[15] Z.N. Yang, W. Chen, M.K. Chyu, Numerical study on the heat transfer enhancement transfer to carbon dioxide in a vertical circular tube at supercritical pressures, Int.
of supercritical CO2 in vertical ribbed tubes, Appl. Therm. Eng. 145 (2018) J. Heat Fluid Flow 32 (2011) 340–351.
705–715. [42] X. Lei, Q. Zhang, J. Zhang, H. Li, Experimental and numerical investigation of
[16] L. Chen, Y. Iwamoto, Advanced applications of supercritical fluids in Energy convective heat transfer of supercritical carbon dioxide at low mass fluxes, Appl.
System, IGI Global Publisher, 2017. ISBN: 9781522520474. Sci. 7 (2017) 1260.
[17] J. Song, X.Y. Li, X.D. Ren, H. Tian, G.Q. Shu, C.W. Gu, C.N. Markides, [43] D.E. Kim, M.H. Kim, Experimental study of the effects of flow acceleration and
Thermodynamic and economic investigations of transcritical CO2-cycle systems buoyancy on heat transfer in a supercritical fluid flow in a circular tube, Nucl. Eng.
with integrated radial-inflow turbine performance predictions, Appl. Therm. Eng. Des. 240 (2010) 3336–3349.
165 (2020), 114604. [44] D.E. Kim, M.H. Kim, Two layer heat transfer model for supercritical fluid flow in a
[18] I. Pioro, Comparison of existing supercritical carbon dioxide heat transfer vertical tube, J. Supercrit. Fluids 58 (2011) 15–25.
correlations for horizontal and vertical bare tubes, in: Proc: 20th Int. Conf. Nucl. [45] D.E. Kim, M.H. Kim, Experimental investigation of heat transfer in vertical upward
Eng., Jul 30-Aug 3 2012, Anaheim, California, USA; Paper ICONE20-POWER2012- and downward supercritical CO2 flow in a circular tube, Int. J. Heat Fluid Flow 32
54630. (2011) 176–191.
[19] H. Li, R.C. Zhang, K. Chen, A coordinated dispatch method for energy storage [46] J.H. Song, H.Y. Kim, H. Kim, Y.Y. Bae, Heat transfer characteristics of a
power system considering wind power ramp event, Appl. Soft. Comput. 84 (2019), supercritical fluid flow in a vertical pipe, J. Supercrit. Fluids 44 (2008) 164–171.
105732. [47] S. Gupta, E. Saltanov, I. Pioro, Heat-transfer correlation for supercritical carbon
[20] A.R. Tahavvor, M. Yaghoubi, Analysis of natural convection from a column of cold dioxide flowing in vertical bare tubes, in: Proc: 21st Int. Conf. Nucl. Eng., Jul 29-
horizontal cylinders using Artificial Neural Network, Appl. Math. Model. 36 (2012) Aug 2 2013, Chengdu, China; Paper ICONE21-16453.
3170–3182. [48] H. Zahlan, D. Groeneveld, S. Tavoularis, Measurements of convective heat transfer
[21] G. Scalabrin, L. Piazza, Analysis of forced convection heat transfer to supercritical to vertical upward flows of CO2 in circular tubes at near-critical and supercritical
carbon dioxide inside tubes using neural networks, Int. J. Heat Mass Transf. 46 pressures, Nucl. Eng. Des. 289 (2015) 92–107.
(2003) 1139–1154. [49] F.W. Dittus, L.M.K. Boelter, Heat transfer in automobile radiators of the tubular
[22] J. Chen, K.P. Wang, M.T. Liang, Predictions of heat transfer coefficients of type, Int. Commun. Heat Mass Transf. 12 (1930) 3–22.
supercritical carbon dioxide using the overlapped type of local neural network, Int. [50] I. Pioro, S. Gupta, S. Mokry, Heat-transfer correlations for supercritical-water and
J. Heat Mass Transf. 48 (2005) 2483–2492. carbon dioxide flowing upward in vertical bare tubes, in: Proc: ASME 2012
[23] S.M. Pesteei, M. Mehrabi, Modeling of convection heat transfer of supercritical Summer Heat Transfer Conference, Jul 8–12 2012, Rio Grande, Puerto Rico; Paper
carbon dioxide in a vertical tube at low Reynolds numbers using artificial neural HT2012-58514.
network, Int. Commun. Heat Mass Transf. 37 (2010) 901–906. [51] T. Preda, I. Pioro, E. Saltanov, K.S. Gabriel, Development of a heat transfer
[24] W. Chang, X. Chu, A.F Binte Shaik Fareed, S. Pandey, J. Luo, B. Weigand, Heat correlation for supercritical CO2 based on multiple data sets, in: Proc: 20th Int.
transfer prediction of supercritical water with artificial neural networks, Appl. Conf. Nucl, Eng. Jul 30–Aug 3, Anaheim, California USA; Paper 44991 (2012)
Therm. Eng. 131 (2018) 815–824. 211–217.
[25] D. Ma, T. Zhou, J. Chen, S. Qi, M. Ali Shahzad, Z. Xiao, Supercritical water heat [52] H. Kim, Y.Y. Bae, H.Y. Kim, Experimental investigation on the heat transfer
transfer coefficient prediction analysis based on BP neural network, Nucl. Eng. Des. characteristics in upward flow of supercritical carbon dioxide, Nucl. Technol. 164
320 (2017) 400–408. (2008) 119–129.
[26] W. Chen, Z.N. Yang, L. Yang, M.K. Chyu, Numerical investigation of heat transfer [53] J.D. Jackson, Validation of an extended heat transfer equation for fluids at
and flow characteristics of supercritical CO2 in U-duct, Appl. Therm. Eng. 144 supercritical pressure, in: Proc: 4th Int. Symp. Supercrit. Water-Cooled React.
(2018) 532–539. (ISSCWR-4), May 8–11, 2009, Berlin, Paper No. 24.
[27] A. Urbano, F. Nasuti, Conditions for the occurrence of heat transfer deterioration in [54] R.P. Bringer, J.M. Smith, Heat transfer in the critical region, AIChE J. 3 (1957)
light hydrocarbons flows, Int. J. Heat Mass Transf. 65 (2013) 599–609. 49–55.
13