The intersection of declining price pressures and rising wage pressures is
significant for economies, leading to a more balanced debate between hawks and doves in central banks. Labor markets in several countries are showing signs of loosening, which is expected to result in lower wage growth in the near future. Global economic growth in the first half of the year exceeded expectations due to strong consumer demand, but recent vulnerabilities in the services sector, particularly in Europe, may pose economic challenges. As a result, financial markets anticipate central banks to soon stop raising interest rates and adopt accommodative monetary policies, similar to what some Latin American economies have already done. In China, economic challenges extend beyond post-pandemic dynamics, with deep-rooted structural imbalances. A significant portion of China's economy relies on investments, while household consumption lags behind. This has led to a long-term weakness in domestic demand, requiring substantial policy and institutional reforms. Despite efforts to shift focus from investments to consumption, progress has been slower than expected. Short-term fiscal support is being used to address immediate demand issues, but more profound reforms will likely be necessary. Consequently, China's economy is expected to experience a period of adjustment with further slowing growth, continuing a decade-long trend of declining growth.