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FE101 Topic7 Source
FE101 Topic7 Source
Financial institutions that are solvent can—and sometimes do—fail because of liquidity problems.
It is important to distinguish solvency from liquidity. Solvency refers to a company having more
assets than liabilities, so that the value of its equity is positive. Consider a bank whose assets are
mostly illiquid mortgages. Suppose the assets are financed 90% with deposits and 10% with equity.
The bank is comfortably solvent. But it could fail if there is a run on deposits with 25% of
depositors suddenly deciding to withdraw their funds.
It is clearly important for financial institutions to manage liquidity carefully.
Liquidity needs are uncertain. A financial institution should assess a worst-case liquidity scenario
and make sure that it can survive that scenario by either converting assets into cash or raising cash
in some other way.
Sources of Liquidity
The main sources of liquidity for a financial institution are:
1. Holdings of cash and treasury securities
2. The ability to liquidate trading book positions
3. The ability to borrow money at short notice
4. The ability to offer favorable terms to attract retail and wholesale deposits at short notice
5. The ability to securitize assets (such as loans) at short notice
6. Borrowings from the central bank
Liquidity funding risk management is concerned with being able to meet cash needs as they
arise. It is important for a financial institution to forecast its cash needs in both normal market
conditions and stressed market conditions to ensure that they can be met with almost total certainty.
Cash needs depend on depositor withdrawals, drawdowns on lines of credit, guarantees that have
been made, defaults by counterparties, and so on.
Sources of cash are instruments that can be readily converted into cash, borrowings in the
wholesale market, asset securitizations, new depositors, cash itself, and (as a last resort)
borrowings from a central bank. In June 2008, bank regulators issued a list of 17 principles
describing how banks should manage their liquidity and indicated that they would be monitoring
the liquidity management procedures of banks more carefully in the future.
The most serious liquidity risks arise from what are sometimes termed liquidity black
holes. These occur when all traders want to be on the same side of the market at the same time.
This may be because they have similar positions and manage risks in similar ways. It may also be
because they become irrationally exuberant, overexposing themselves to particular risks. What is
needed is more diversity in the trading strategies followed by market participants. Traders who
have long-term objectives should avoid allowing themselves to be influenced by the short-term
overreaction of markets.
The key to managing liquidity risk is predicting cash needs and ensuring that they can be
met in adverse scenarios. Some cash needs are predictable. For example, if a bank has issued a
bond, it knows when coupons will have to be paid. Others, such as those associated with
withdrawals of deposits by retail customers and drawdowns by corporations on lines of credit that
the bank has granted, are less predictable. As the financial instruments entered into by financial
institutions have become more complex, cash needs have become more difficult to predict.
Effective management of liquidity risk includes maintaining a portfolio of liquid assets,
rigorous cash flow forecasting, and diversifying funding sources.
Banks are guided by robust regulatory frameworks like Basel III, which sets stringent
liquidity standards to ensure financial stability and protect depositor interests, reflecting a global
emphasis on robust liquidity risk management.
Unmanaged or poorly managed liquidity risk can lead to operational disruptions, financial
losses, and reputational damage. In extreme cases, it can drive an entity towards insolvency or
bankruptcy.
Source/Reference Link:
1) https://www.investopedia.com/terms/l/liquidityrisk.asp
2) https://dl.rasabourse.com/Books/Finance%20and%20Financial%20Markets/%5BHull%5DRisk%20Manag
ement%20and%20Financial%20Institutions%28rasabourse.com%29.pdf