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Textbook Artificial Intelligence What Everyone Needs To Know 1St Edition Jerry Kaplan Ebook All Chapter PDF
Textbook Artificial Intelligence What Everyone Needs To Know 1St Edition Jerry Kaplan Ebook All Chapter PDF
Textbook Artificial Intelligence What Everyone Needs To Know 1St Edition Jerry Kaplan Ebook All Chapter PDF
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i
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
WHAT EVERYONE NEEDS TO KNOW®
ii
iii
ARTIFICIAL
INTELLIGENCE
WHAT EVERYONE NEEDS TO KNOW®
JERRY KAPLAN
1
iv
3
Oxford University Press is a department of the University of Oxford. It furthers
the University’s objective of excellence in research, scholarship, and education
by publishing worldwide. Oxford is a registered trademark of Oxford University
Press in the UK and certain other countries.
1 3 5 7 9 8 6 4 2
CONTENTS
PREFACE XI
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS XV
viii Contents
Contents ix
INDEX 157
x
xi
PREFACE
xii Preface
Preface xiii
mate, educate our young, and care for our elderly. They will
also upend our labor markets, reshuffle our social order, and
strain our private and public institutions. Whether we regard
these machines as conscious or unwitting, revere them as a
new form of life, or dismiss them as mere clever appliances is
beside the point. They are likely to play an increasingly critical
and intimate role in many aspects of our lives.
The emergence of systems capable of independent thought
and action raises serious questions about just whose interests
they are permitted to serve, and what limits our society should
place on their creation and use. Deep ethical questions that
have bedeviled philosophers for ages will suddenly arrive on
the steps of our courthouses. Can a machine be held account-
able for its actions? Should intelligent systems enjoy indepen-
dent rights and responsibilities, or are they simply property?
Who should be held responsible when a self-driving car kills
a pedestrian? Can your personal robot hold your place in line
or be compelled to testify against you? If it turns out to be pos-
sible to upload your mind into a machine, is that still you? The
answers may surprise you.
Grappling with these issues will be difficult because current
public perception is shaped more by Hollywood blockbusters
than practical reality. Instead, we should look for guidance to
our historical relationships with slaves, animals, and corpo-
rations as well as to our evolving views on the treatment of
women, children, and the disabled.
Over the next few decades, AI will stretch our social fabric
to the limit. Whether the future will be a new age of unprec-
edented prosperity and freedom as depicted in Star Trek or a
perpetual struggle of humans against machines as portrayed
in Terminator will largely depend on our own actions. Here’s
everything you need to know to help shape our future.
xiv
xv
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
xvi Acknowledgments
1
DEFINING ARTIFICIAL
INTELLIGENCE
2 Artificial Intelligence
rules are, that observes humans playing the game and learns
not only what it means to win but what strategies are most suc-
cessful. For instance, it might learn that after one player gets
two in a row, the other player should always make a blocking
move, or that occupying three corners with blanks between
them frequently results in a win. Most people would credit the
program with AI, particularly since it was able to acquire the
needed expertise without any guidance or instruction.
Now, not all games, and certainly not all interesting prob-
lems, are susceptible to solution by enumeration like tic-tac-
toe.4 By contrast, chess has approximately 10120 unique games,
vastly exceeding the number of atoms in the universe.5 So,
much of AI research can be seen as an attempt to find accept-
able solutions to problems that are not amenable to definitive
analysis or enumeration for any number of theoretical and
practical reasons. And yet, this characterization alone is not
sufficient—many statistical methods meet this criterion but
would hardly qualify as AI.
Nonetheless, there is an unintuitive yet real practical equiv-
alence between selecting an answer from an enormously large
proliferation of possibilities and intuiting an answer through
insight and creativity. A common formulation of this para-
dox is that enough monkeys at enough keyboards will even-
tually type out the complete works of Shakespeare, but in a
more modern context, every possible musical performance of
a given length can be represented as one of a finite collection of
MP3 files. Is the ability to select that particular music file from
the list an equivalent creative act to recording that selection?
Surely it’s not the same, but perhaps these skills are equally
deserving of our applause.
When scoring students’ performances on sums, we don’t
take into account how they performed the work—we presume
they used only their native brains and the necessary tools like
pencil and paper. So why do we care when we substitute a ma-
chine as the test subject? Because we take it for granted that a
human performing this task is using certain innate or learned
4
4 Artificial Intelligence
Is AI a real science?
Over the past few decades, the field of AI has grown from
its infancy—playing with toy problems like tic-tac-toe and
5
6 Artificial Intelligence
8 Artificial Intelligence
10 Artificial Intelligence
Notes
1. J. McCarthy, M. L. Minsky, N. Rochester, and C. E. Shannon, “A
Proposal for the Dartmouth Summer Research Project on Artificial
Intelligence,” 1955, http://www-formal.stanford.edu/jmc/history/
dartmouth/dartmouth.html.
2. Howard Gardner, Frames of Mind: The Theory of Multiple Intelligences
(New York, NY: Basic Books, 1983).
3. The number of unique games of tic-tac-toe is bounded by 9 factorial
(9! = 362,880), but many end before the board is filled. If you take into
account all the symmetries and rotations, the list condenses to only
138, 91 of which are won by the player making the initial move, 44 by
the other player, and 3 that are draws. So go first.
4. Approaches that enumerate the set of cases or solutions are called
“extensional”; those that describe such sets are called “intensional.”
5. Diego Rasskin-Gutman, Deborah Klosky (translator), Chess Metaphors:
Artificial Intelligence and the Human Mind (Cambridge, MA: MIT
Press, 2009).
6. J. A. Wines, Mondegreens: A Book of Mishearings (London: Michael
O’Mara Books, 2007).
7. Henry Lieberman, Alexander Faaborg, Waseem Daher, José Espinosa,
“How to Wreck a Nice Beach You Sing Calm Incense,” MIT Media
Laboratory, in Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on
Intelligent User Interfaces (New York: ACM, 2005), 278–80. Ironically,
I hesitate to think of how this example will be expressed in foreign-
language versions of this work. If you’re reading this in Mandarin
and the paragraph doesn’t make any sense, please bear in mind that
the translator was handed an impossible task.
8. Claude Elwood Shannon, “A symbolic analysis of relay and switching
circuits,” master’s thesis, Dept. of Electrical Engineering, Massachu
setts Institute of Technology, 1940.
9. More precisely, theories must be potentially subject to falsification, not
verification, to be considered hard science. For instance, see http://
www.amazon.com/Logic-Scientific-Discovery-Routledge-Classics/
dp/0415278449/.
12
12 Artificial Intelligence
The combinations to be made from Green teas are not many, being
limited in range.
6. (Low-Priced)—A heavy drawing, thick-liquored full-flavored tea
can be prepared from a combination of equal parts of a cheap but
clean, sweet-drawing Moyune Hyson or Twankay and Japan Nibs,
when a cheap all-Green tea is required, as both these teas drink
much better in conjunction than when either is used alone, the Japan
mellowing and otherwise enriching the China tea.
The selection of India teas for blending is more difficult than that of
either China or Japan, most India teas possessing a sharp, acrid or
“baked” flavor not found in the former kinds and the natural result of
excess of tannin and artificial curing. These “peculiarities”
consumers in this country greatly dislike, and to such an extent that
is only when the finest grades are used that they can be neutralized,
disguised or well-tempered with the heavier bodied China sorts that
they will use them at all. For an “all-India blend” the best plan is to
mix three or four different district kinds together in equal quantities—
a strong, heavy Assam, a brisk and pungent Cachar, a soft and juicy
Deradoon and high-flavored Kangra or Darjeeling; the latter will
impart a distinctive tone to the entire combination. But fairly excellent
results may also be obtained from a blend composed of equal parts
of Cachar and Darjeeling alone.
Blended teas are the rule in England, where the skillful mixing of tea
has become an art, very little, if any tea being sold to consumers that
is not mixed or blended in some manner, every dealer, both
wholesale and retail being identified with or noted for some particular
flavored tea. Many of the blends sold in London, although differing
widely in character, are most skilfully and scientifically combined, the
greatest care being taken that no tea is introduced which might act
detrimentally upon any other tea in the blend. The majority of these
blends are markedly distinct, almost opposite, the chief features of
one being a rough, strong, but ripe Saryune Congou, that of another
being an even-leafed, delicate-flavored Chingwo, the base of a third
being a plain Ningchow or fruity Oonfa, to which is added an Assam
Pekoe or Souchong to increase its thickness and pungency as well
as give tone to the mixture, together with a small quantity of low-
priced Kaisow to reduce its cost. But however great the divergence
in the blends, whenever knowledge and judgment have been
brought to bear on the subject success has followed in its wake, and
although the most of the combinations are exceedingly popular there
is still ample room for the introduction of others as well as for
improvements upon those that are at present in use.
14. The following is a very popular London blend, and will be duly
appreciated among English residents generally: 3 pounds Kaisow
Congou, 2 pounds Souchong, 2 pounds Assam, 1 pound Pekoe and
1 pound Foochow Oolong. The foundation of this combination as will
be observed, is composed of China Congous, the Souchong
enriching, the Assam giving sharpness and pungency, the Oolong
softening and mellowing and the Pekoe imparting aroma and
piquancy to the entire.
The Persians boil the leaves in a pot or kettle until the water
assumes a blackish color and bitter taste, after which they add
fennel, anise-seed, cloves and sugar to it, while the Hindoos and
Cingalese simply put the leaves in seething water and use the liquor
only without the addition of any other ingredient. In Chinese-Tartary
tea is prepared in the customary manner as with us, but the liquor
and leaves are swallowed together. The Mongols generally add milk,
but make a much stronger decoction and use only the infusion, while
the Bokharis use only Black tea mixed with camel’s milk or suet,
breaking up their bread in it, always carrying a bag of it with them
when traveling, giving it to their innkeepers to brew as they need it.
In Siam when the water is well boiled they pour it on the leaves
which have been put in an earthen pot proportional to the quantity
they intend to make, the ordinary amount being as much as they can
take up with the finger and thumb to a pint of water. They cover the
pot until the leaves have sunk to the bottom and then serve it up in
china dishes to be drank as hot as can be endured without sugar or
milk.
Tea is prepared for use in Thibet by first grinding the leaves and
mixing them with bullock’s blood. This compound is then pressed
into the form of bricks, dried by a fire-heat and wrapped in sheepskin
until required for use, in which form it also serves as a currency
throughout Central Asia. A kind of “bouillon” or soup is made from
them by boiling in water and adding salt flour, oil, tallow or camel’s
milk.
Among the Arabs tea is prepared by first placing a large kettle over a
wood fire to heat and then filling it with water, the leaves being
meantime mixed with salt and thrown into the water as it heats.
When it approaches the boiling point they are rapidly stewed and
lifted with a large ladle until the liquid becomes dark brown, when it
is poured into another vessel, the kettle being cleaned meanwhile
and a paste composed of meal and butter put in to fry in it. The tea
infusion with cream added is then poured on the whole, ladled as
before, after which the mass is removed and set aside to cool. In this
condition it is ladled into wooden mugs and served up, the decoction
thus prepared forming both meat and drink, satisfying hunger and
thirst at the same time.
The Russians, who are a nation of tea-drinkers, and who are close
enough to the Chinese to have received some knowledge of their
methods of preparing tea for use, are very particular in using fresh-
boiled water. They prepare it in the same manner as with us, sliced
lemon being invariably added to the infusion before using, which
wonderfully improves the flavor, making a delicious beverage. Sugar
or milk are seldom added, but in cold weather a kind of liquor called
“Vodki” is substituted for the lemon, the latter making it a potent
drink, sending a glow all over the body. The vessels used by
Russians in making tea consists of a small china tea-pot and a
“Samovar” invariably, but the tea is not brewed or “drawn” in this
vessel as is generally supposed, it being simply the utensil in which
the water is boiled, taking the place and serving the same purpose
as our tea-kettle. It is usually of brass, though often of other metal,
urn-like in shape, but, unlike an ordinary urn, having an inner
compartment or cylinder running through the middle, in which is
placed burning charcoal for heating the water to an extreme
temperature on the principle of a tubular boiler. The charcoal is not
lighted until the Samovar is placed on the table, the water being
drawn on to the tea as required, the tea being first put in a porcelain
or earthenware tea-pot and filled from the Samovar; the first water is
poured off the tea as soon as it is put on, being used merely to carry
off the dust. A second water is then used for drawing the tea,
sufficient to make a strong infusion, being poured on at once, after
which the tea-pot is covered, an ample “cosy” being fitted over it to
keep the tea warm and prevent the aroma from escaping, and is
then allowed to draw from four to five minutes. Sufficient of this
beverage is poured into each cup or glass and a slice of lemon
added, as tea is drank chiefly from glasses set in metal frames in
Russia, and the glass refilled with boiling water from the Samovar.