Seminar 11 - DCF Project Framework Example

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Compania EXEMPLU

Studentii vor utiliza acest exemplu pentru a estima valoarea de piata a companiei subiec
P&L Estimates
Example

Indicator Indicator
Sales Cifra de afaceri
Other operating Revenues Alte venituri din exploatare
Total operating revenues Total venituri din exploatare
Operating Profit Rezultat operational
Depreciations and impairment Amortizare
EBITDA EBITDA
Finance Cost Cheltuieli financiare
Other financial expenses Alte venituri/chelt financiare
Result before tax Rezultat Brut
Income Tax expenses Impozit pe profit
Net Profit Profit Net

Increasing in op.revenues Crestere venituri operationale


Operating margins Marja operationala
EBITDA margin Marja EBITDA

Working Capital Capital de lucru


Inventories Stocuri
Accounts receivables Creante
Cash and equiv Disponibil si asimilate
Prepayments/ Other recevables Ch in avans si alte creante
Total current liabilities Total datorii pe termen scurt
Working capital Capital de lucru
Working capital/op.revenues
Increasing in working capital Crestere capital de lucru
Inventory Turnover (days) Rotatia stocurilor (zile)
Receivable turnover (days) Recuperarea creantelor (zile)
Days Payable Perioada de achit.a datoriilor (zile)

Indicator
Net operational profit Rezultat operational net
Changing in working capital Modificare capital de lucru

Depreciation Amortizare
Investments Investiti estimate

CFF CFF (Cash Flow la dispozitia firmei)


Discount rate 12,5%, g=2,5%
DCF CF la dispozitia firmei actualizat

DCF
Minus Debt
Equity
Nr of shares
Market Value/Target Price
Price Pret actiune pe bursa
Value/ Price

Short term bank debt


Long term debt
Total Debt
oarea de piata a companiei subiect pt proiect de evaluare
mil.RON

2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028


prel
52,043,380.0 63,971,705.0 73,567,460.8 82,395,556.0 91,459,067.2 96,032,020.6
16,154,353.0 43,059.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
67,413,513.0 74,936,142.0 73,567,460.8 82,395,556.0 91,459,067.2 96,032,020.6
62.2 79.9 89.5 99.3 109.3 114.7
52.0 61.6 54.0 56.0 58.0 60.0
114.2 141.5 143.5 155.3 167.3 174.7
232,467.0 117,013.0 3.6 3.8 3.6 3.5

59.1 78.9 85.9 95.5 105.7 111.2


10.8 12.5 13.7 15.3 16.9 17.8
48.3 66.4 72.1 80.2 88.8 93.4

-5.7% 11.2% -1.8% 12.0% 11.0% 5.0%


0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

23.0 31.0 4,031,093.7 4,514,825.0 5,011,455.7 5,262,028.5


54.7 47.8 6,743,683.9 7,552,926.0 8,383,747.8 8,802,935.2
55.1 58.9 58.9 58.9 58.9 58.9
16.8 10.7 10.7 10.7 10.7 10.7
63.9 55.1 8,174,162.3 9,155,061.8 10,162,118.6 10,670,224.5
85.7 93.2 2,600,684.9 2,912,758.7 3,233,154.5 3,394,808.8
0% 0% 4% 4% 4% 4%
7.5 2,600,591.7 312,073.8 320,395.8 161,654.2
0 0 20 20 20 20
0 0 33 33 33 33
0 0 40 40 40 40

Perpetuity/
2024 2025 2026 2027 residual Value
75.2 83.4 91.8 96.4 98.8
-2,600,591.7 -312,073.8 -320,395.8 -161,654.2 -165,695.6

54.0 56.0 58.0 60.0 60.0


-60.0 -60.0 -60.0 -60.0 -60.0

-2,600,522.5 -311,994.4 -320,306.0 -161,557.9 -1,655,968.2


1.0000 0.8889 0.7901 0.7023 0.6243 0.6243
-2,311,575.6 -246,514.1 -224,961.2 -100,859.8 -1,033,812.8

-3,917,723.4 mil.lei
-77.9 mil.lei
-3,917,801.3 mil.lei
30.000 mil
-130,593.4 RON/share
20.0 RON/share
-6,529.67 times

41.3
36.6
77.9
Ipoteze

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