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Pablo Moscato · Natalie Jane de Vries
Editors
Business and
Consumer
Analytics:
New Ideas
Business and Consumer Analytics: New Ideas
Pablo Moscato • Natalie Jane de Vries
Editors
123
Editors
Pablo Moscato Natalie Jane de Vries
School of Electrical Engineering School of Electrical Engineering
and Computing and Computing
The University of Newcastle The University of Newcastle
Callaghan, NSW, Australia Callaghan, NSW, Australia
This Springer imprint is published by the registered company Springer Nature Switzerland AG.
The registered company address is: Gewerbestrasse 11, 6330 Cham, Switzerland
Preface
It is hard to find something else to say about data science today that has not already
been said. Perhaps what has not yet been discussed is that the progress in this area is
profoundly challenging the way concepts have to be presented to newcomers. Data
science brings together concepts from disciplines like computer science, statistics
and applied mathematics, and the applications reach all possible aspects of life
and economics. Consequently, universities around the world are having difficulties
in addressing the need for a reformulation of their courses. There is a clear need
for new ways to present the material, with an emphasis in understanding the
key concepts, the novel applications and the impact of the techniques. This is,
undoubtedly, a huge endeavour as there is no universally established curriculum
for data science. In fact, we feel there is a need for students and practitioners who
have been trained in one particular field to find a “shortcut” that would allow them
to understand other areas.
This book can be seen as a first step in that direction. We aim at “bridging the
gap” between some core new ideas in data science with the application in business
and consumer analytics.
There are several reasons to choose this intersection as our first target. Advances
in data science, data analytics and data mining methodologies are bringing many
novel contributions to business and marketing applications. On the other side, the
scale of e-commerce activities and the possibility of reaching a novel understanding
of consumer behaviour are a driving force that pushes and challenges the field of
data science. It is clear that the trend is here to stay. Conducting business and
speaking out to consumers will be forever paired with data analytics. We have
gained an incredible capability for collecting large amounts of widely varied data,
and providing business insights from these data sources has become an important
and continuous task of many researchers and business professionals.
At the time of writing this work, all the techniques included are considered novel
in the area of business and consumer analytics. We are sure that more work needs
to be done for many of them to reach the scalability necessary to deal with datasets
of millions of consumers and products. That is a necessity of daily operations of
many companies; we feel that this need for scalability will be met by the natural
v
vi Preface
1 https://www.information-management.com/opinion/data-science-underlies-everything-the-
enterprise-now-does.
Preface vii
The editors would like to thank a multitude of people who helped create this
interdisciplinary and collaborative piece of work. Firstly, our thanks go to Luke
Mathieson, Sergio Gomez, Carlos Cotta and Fred Glover who helped us to put
together the various sections in this book by inviting fellow collaborators and
sharing co-edition. We would like to thank all of the reviewers and proofreaders
of the many contributions in this volume, those who did so anonymously and those
who did so for fellow colleagues. Further, we would like to thank Ademir Cristiano
Gabardo and Mohammad Nazmul Haque for their help in a range of things from
formatting to technical issues and editing figures.
Finally, the editors would like to thank all of the data parasites2,3 around the
world who, like us, strive for a transparent and open research environment where
collaboration, not competition, is the main motivation for researchers sharing data
and where we strive towards the common goal of the advancement of science and
human knowledge. We humbly dedicate our “Open Access Data” Appendix chapter
to you!
Natalie de Vries would like to thank her family, friends and partner Simon Faint
for their personal support of all her professional and academic endeavours. She
would also like to thank fellow editor Pablo Moscato for the great experience and
memories gained from creating this book together.
Pablo Moscato thanks Regina and Anna Clara for their patience and the support
through the many stages of this project. He also thanks his fellow co-editor,
2 Data parasites is a term that came to be popular after a rather controversial editorial published
ix
x Acknowledgements
Ms. de Vries, for being essential in their “largest catch” together. He also considers
that, while a few cats, but no sharks, slowed the team to get the fish, not even “the
great DiMaggio who does all things perfectly” could have been a better partner in
this boat.
Looking back, and measuring all the obstacles to their projects created by some
people over the last years, the editors say: “‘Eat that galanos. And make a dream
you’ve killed us’. This book is also dedicated to you.”
Contents
Part I Introduction
1 Marketing Meets Data Science: Bridging the Gap. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
Pablo Moscato and Natalie Jane de Vries
2 Consumer Behaviour and Marketing Fundamentals
for Business Data Analytics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119
Natalie Jane de Vries and Pablo Moscato
xi
xii Contents
Part V Meta-Analytics
17 An Overview of Meta-Analytics: The Promise of Unifying
Metaheuristics and Analytics. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 693
Fred Glover and Carlos Cotta
18 From Ensemble Learning to Meta-Analytics: A Review
on Trends in Business Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 703
Mohammad Nazmul Haque and Pablo Moscato
19 Metaheuristics and Classifier Ensembles . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 733
Ringolf Thomschke, Stefan Voß, and Stefan Lessmann
20 A Multi-objective Meta-Analytic Method for Customer Churn
Prediction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 781
Mohammad Nazmul Haque, Natalie Jane de Vries,
and Pablo Moscato
21 Hotel Classification Using Meta-Analytics: A Case Study
with Cohesive Clustering . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 815
Buyang Cao, Cesar Rego, and Fred Glover
Contents xiii
Index . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 989
Contributors
xv
xvi Contributors
Once upon a time. . . things were a bit simpler. Indeed. Several decades ago, when
computers started to be used for marketing and business intelligence, they were
mainly used to analyse surveys, evaluate simple statistics or to produce interactive
displays to compute the results of some mathematical models that humans would
create [169]. That was a perfect marriage. The different disciplines seemed to
complement each other and would not need anything more, they satisfied the mutual
requirements very well and a natural symbiosis occurred. Marketers and business
analysts would first identify a few things to build a case for a quantitative study
and would then ask statisticians’ help. Typically it would be a triad consisting of:
(a) an assumedly important problem would be identified, (b) a solution that can be
implemented would need to be evaluated if introduced, (c) an expected outcome
would benefit the business. If this triad can lead to a testable experiment, statistics
would help to analyse the data, to draw some conclusions and the whole process
would provide some business insight.
In fact, nobody can argue against the use of statistics, they bring a necessary
quantitative dimension which is indispensable for competitiveness. However, there
are some limitations. For decision-making some people cite a few common prob-
lems with such ad hoc experimentation: small sample sizes, the use of frequencies
instead of tolerances, probabilities instead of possibilities and presence of outcome
bias. It is also true that experimentation clearly helps to get insights, identify new
problems and, when carefully planned, helps to understand the core difficulties of
the company.
There was something missing in that old symbiosis; discussing such problems
is not really the purpose of this chapter. Instead, here we choose to make the
reader appreciate another wave of change that of introducing computer science
techniques in marketing, business and customer analytics (without leaving statistical
methods behind). We are sure that traditional hypothesis-driven research in business
and marketing will continue, stronger than ever. Here we will concentrate on the
new changes coming from a data-driven revolution. It is fuelled by the increased
availability of data gathered, and stored, by new technologies. Today, we are moving
into the era of Data Science, and again, it all started not with products and services
but with the humble consumers and by putting them in the centre of the scene.
It is always interesting to look at the past, the signs of change are already there.
We quote:
The view that an industry is a customer-satisfying process, not a goods-producing process,
is vital for all business people to understand. An industry begins with the customer and his
or her needs, not with a patent, a raw material, or a selling skill.
We are sure that the reader will think about companies like Amazon, Google, Apple,
or Virgin almost immediately. However, we are neither quoting Bezos, Page, Brin,
Jobs, Zuckerberg, nor Branson. We are citing here an academic scholar, Theodore
Levitt, from an article titled “Marketing Myopia” written almost 60 years ago [137].
That article had a clear message, it is a manifesto for change. In it Levitt also said:
. . . the entire corporation must be viewed as a customer-creating and customer-satisfying
organism. Management must think of itself not as producing products but as providing
customer-creating value satisfactions. It must push this idea (and everything it means and
requires) into every nook and cranny of the organization. It has to do it this continuously
and with the kind of flair that excited and stimulates the people in it.
Users and customers, like decades before, are continuously generating huge
amounts of data. What is now really unprecedented that we have the capacity
to gather this data and transform it into knowledge. Even just considering the
1 Marketing Meets Data Science: Bridging the Gap 5
statistical-only approach, the time cycles between hypotheses formation and their
testing and validation have been dramatically shortened. Ron Kohavi, at the
Knowledge Discovery from Databases 2015 conference in Sydney, explained how
hundreds of online controlled statistical experiments are conducted on a daily basis
to understand user behaviour. He explained how “data trumps intuition” (see a
video from a similar talk he gave that is available in YouTube1 ). After all, another
early quote, this one attributed to W. Edwards Deming, also warned us:
In God we trust, the rest bring data.
It is then easy to recognize that the ethos of some of the companies cited above
embody a new thinking pioneered by Levitt. From solving “tiny problems”, some
companies scaled-up their skills and managed to disrupt existing business models
occurring at a global scale (and they have created new business niches in the
process). They quickly moved from “tiny problems” to “big data”, and then to world
scale, but actually they are profoundly based in a customer-centric and adaptive new
view of the role of the company business intelligence.
The large volumes of data collected by companies around the world are increasingly
being exploited with methods that employ computer science techniques. However,
this is not a new field; “Why is computer science so useful now?” Well, there are the
obvious aspects of dealing with computers that have changed. We are increasingly
having them allied to the necessary skills to conduct large-scale online statistical
testing (as the ones Kohavi discusses). But computer science has established itself
as a new discipline for the past 70 years and, at its core, it has a very clear manifesto
that of being the quintessential approach to identify, characterize and solve problems
involving the processing of information. It creates knowledge from large databases
containing information.
This emphasis in problem identification and problem-solving of computer sci-
ence is interesting for data-driven companies. They directly benefit on the behaviour
of people trained in the discipline. We can quote Levitt’s article [137] (the article is
so rich that it seems an inevitable temptation to continue quoting it);
If thinking is an intellectual response to a problem, then the absence of a problem leads to
the absence of thinking.
This said, what computer science brings to companies, business and consumer
analytics is a new view, a novel perspective. Computer scientists have a proactive
role in an organization, shared by the roots of the discipline in Applied Mathematics.
1 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qtboCGd_hTA.
6 P. Moscato and N. J. de Vries
Questions like: “Can this be done at this price?” “Can I serve all my customers
if each of their requirements need to be met?” “What is the optimal schedule of
tasks?” and many others indicate the role of computer scientists at enabling optimal
decisions and how they can base their actions on the result of algorithms operating
on the data available.
From a pure psychological perspective, computer scientists bring “new blood”
to the mix of skills and human capital of the company. They tend to be constantly
on the hunt for “the next problem”, the “next variation” that can make a problem
seemingly intractable, tractable. Computer scientists will thrive in finding those new
problems that would create the “need” for new thinking. They will help to “bridge
the gap”, if properly motivated, to create the intellectual response required and to
open new business niches for companies. We discuss the computer science’s “world
view” and some of its primary goals later in Sect. 1.3.
In addition to their different complementary perspective, computer scientists
also constantly look for efficiencies, reductions of times and costs, increments in
prediction. More recently, adopting a customer-centric view, they were central in
the development of the wave of “personalization”. All these areas, also linked
to discrete applied mathematics, operations research and management science,
are becoming hugely useful for companies that thrive on the benefits of a data-
driven agenda to drive marketing and selling (note, en passant, that as clarified by
Levitt [137], these are two different things). He said:
The difference between marketing and selling is more than semantic. Selling focuses on
the needs of the seller, marketing on the needs of the buyer. Selling is preoccupied with
the seller’s need to convert his product into cash; marketing with the idea of satisfying the
needs of the customer by means of the product and the whole cluster of things associated
with creating, delivering, and finally consuming it.
The convergence of new methods coming from computer science and statistics is
delivering incredible breakthroughs in the areas of automated learning by machines
and computers. The field of Artificial Intelligence will dramatically change business
and marketing is no exception. However, just “predicting” events, even at the level
of predicting what an individual consumer will do/like, is not good enough without
an “understanding” of the causes of that choice. Products and services can then be
the consequence of an informed marketing process, making it deliver in its true
role [137]. This said, the increased availability of data from consumers can be
translated, via computer analysis, into both understandable and actionable insights
on their needs.
An article in the Harvard Business Review popularized the idea that Data Science
is the “Sexiest Job of the 21st Century”. But looking smart, Mr. Bond, would not
1 Marketing Meets Data Science: Bridging the Gap 7
be enough. . . you will need to study hard if you want to become a true data scientist
and get one of these “sexy jobs”. For the old players in this game it is not news. But
what really is this “new field”?
100
Data Science Data Mining
90
80
70
Popularity
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
2004-01
2004-08
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2012-03
2012-10
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2013-12
2014-07
2015-02
2015-09
2016-04
2016-11
2017-06
Fig. 1.1 Interest of “Data Mining” over “Data Science” from the year 2004 till 2017 (measured
by Google Trends). The chart indicates that Data Science is starting to surpass in popularity Data
Mining from the beginning of 2016
2 https://www.turing.ac.uk/.
8 P. Moscato and N. J. de Vries
The question is not if we need a new name, it is already here and it is based on
a very coherent message. There is a quest for a data-driven approach for changing
science as well as understanding consumers; thus, we expect that its relevance will
continue to grow in the next decades as “algorithmic” and “computational thinking”
extend their influence (Fig. 1.2).
100 Data Science Data Mining Consumer & Business Analytics Data Analytics
40
90
30
80 Popularity
20
70
Popularity
10
60
0
2012-01
2012-04
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0
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2012-10
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2015-09
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2016-07
2016-12
2017-05
Fig. 1.2 The popularity of the search terms from the year 2004 till July 2017 (again, measured
via Google Trends). For clarity the inset shows the popularity of those terms during the period of
2012–2017
A central theme of data science is the identification of algorithms for the solution of
problems that can be solved with computers, one of the core objectives of computer
science. We can ask: “Why are they so central?”
that they are step-by-step detailed instructions for a machine to execute. A more
philosophical view, quoting Steven Skiena, is that algorithms are “the ideas behind
computer programs”. More than ever before, algorithms are at the core of all
our activities. Some of the world’s most successful companies of the digital and
networked global economy are now entirely based on them.
Why is another “revolution” coming? There is a clear path by which algorithms
will be redefining the Knowledge Economy and will be creating a new one. This is
certainly not an understatement. For instance, the progress observed in some areas of
machine learning and Artificial Intelligence (AI) has been phenomenal since we first
discussed the possibility of editing this book in 2012. Computer-based algorithms
are now beating our world’s masters in both Chess and Go, by “training themselves”
to do so.
The revolution is coming because we are living in a period of accelerated change.
Current tablets and smartphones have performances that are comparable to those of
the world’s best supercomputers three decades ago. This means that we have now
what used to be “supercomputer power” at our fingertips, in our pockets or even on
your wrist while you rest on a sofa or go for a run through the park. A number
of companies are turning things around by thinking of clever strategies to give
users more power, by personalizing the customer experience in ways not previously
thought possible.
In terms of AI advances, the recent result product the DeepMind company is
fascinating. This company is responsible of AlphaGo the first computer program
that managed to defeat a human world champion in the game of Go. The approach
required human supervision, so the algorithm would adapt its decision based on
human expert moves. But when AlphaGo became the world master in the game,
what is next? The company put then AlphaGo in the “driver’s seat”, or, in a twist,
perhaps a better wording would be: AlphaGo became its own teacher. The new
algorithm, AlphaGo Zero, starts tabula rasa and then learns from, and develops the
capacity to predict the original AlphaGo algorithms decisions, resulting in a new
algorithm with superhuman performance that defeated the original AlphaGo 100
times without losing a single match [207].
Humankind has accumulated Go knowledge from millions of games played over thousands
of years, collectively distilled into patterns, proverbs and books. In a space of a few days,
starting tabula rasa (i.e., from scratch), AlphaGo Zero was able to rediscover much of this
Go knowledge, as well as novel strategies that provide insights into the oldest of games.
companies to invest. Although hype also exists, even in the medical area, algorithms
are now allowing us help to diagnose and even predict the occurrence of certain
diseases. Algorithms are creating new knowledge by teaching themselves from the
data they generate.
The progress with AlphaGo and AlphaGo Zero is in part due to new existing
hardware (with some versions of AlphaGo running over 176 GPUs, while other
versions and AlphaGo Zero run on 4 TPUs, the Tensor Processing Units created by
Google specially for machine learning, which are now being reported to run at 45
Teraflops, that is, they are capable of performing 45 trillion floating-point operations
per second).
It is also just to say that some algorithmic framework ideas are, in some
sense, more transcendental than hardware and the latest technological achievements.
Good algorithms, and good algorithmic ideas, remain for a long time. At the core
of AlphaGo and AlphaGo Zero there are tree search techniques [206, 207] that
have been proposed many decades ago. In some cases an algorithm may “remain
forever” once you have mathematically proved that there is no better algorithm
for a particular problem. A formal mathematical proof could bring one question
to a close: “how complex” is the computational problem? That is why the field
of computer science always strives to find the best possible algorithm for a given
problem. In some cases researchers can find them and a problem is, in some sense
to be defined later, a “case closed”.
New algorithms are also inspired by new hardware, and the core ideas will
remain, evolving with the new generations of hardware. For instance, the technical
presentations at the Parallel Computing and Transputer Applications conference
in Barcelona (PACTA ’92, 20–24 September 1992) had a general focus on the
“Teraflop Grand Challenge”. The general conclusion arrived at that conference was
that: “a Teraflop computer would cost hundreds of millions of pounds; need to be
housed in a small warehouse; and require an extensive cooling system. To operate
the machine would require upwards of three Megawatts, requiring its own electricity
sub-station to down-load off the national grid. It was noted that switching such
a machine on or off would require the approval of the local Electricity authority
on each occasion”.3 Twenty years later NVIDIA unveiled a 1.3 Teraflop GPU for
Supercomputing based on the Kepler architecture. We have now this dreamed, once
utopical supercomputing power, and it is a reality. A system built on many of these
“building blocks” achieved 27,000 Teraflop peak performance (Titan at Oak Ridge
National Laboratories).4 The new building blocks are proving even faster, NVIDIA’s
3 http://www.chilton-computing.org.uk/inf/transputers/p011.htm.
4 http://energy.gov/articles/new-titan-supercomputer-named-fastest-world.
1 Marketing Meets Data Science: Bridging the Gap 11
Volta GPU now has a peak performance at around 7 Teraflops. The game console
Xbox One X delivers 6 Teraflops. In terms of supercomputing, Sunway TaihuLight,
in Wuxi, China, maintains its leadership with a mark of 93.01 Petaflops (data from
November 2017); thus, it tops the list of the 500 fastest supercomputers in the world.
Supercomputing brings an impressive new world to business analytics which is
yet to be fully explored. Together with new algorithms it will give large corporations
(as well as data-driven and computationally wise start-ups) an unprecedented
capacity to analyse large datasets. Supercomputing will bring a transformational
capacity to small and medium enterprises which is still waiting to be properly used.
When allied to Big Data this will shake marketing [37, 64, 211].
While hardware progress and prowess is impressive, however, it is “the ideas
behind computer programs” that live on. For instance, at the same supercomputing
conference we just mentioned (PACTA ’92), a relatively new methodology named
“Memetic algorithms” was presented for the first time in the European community
[162]. It was one of the 183 papers accepted; now it is not only the most cited
paper of that conference, it has become a driving idea that has become stronger than
ever before and we dedicate an entire section to it and the current applications of
memetic computing in business analytics and data science. Originally, they found
an initial motivation in the use of these large scale computing systems based on
parallel architectures (see [160] for a historical account of the development of this
field until 2012). With the advent of “supercomputing at your fingertips”, smart
phones and other systems allow users to tailor solutions to their own needs. There is
a pending revolution, that of personalized systems, that would benefit from the user
experience and that wishes to bring the value of the wealth of data available online
with a unique perspective.
What is important about the story of memetic algorithms and their development
is that it is a clear example which shows that some methods remain in practice
many years later. While the “algorithmic revolution” is here now, its origins go back
three decades or more, when computing became personal. It may be the case, then,
that we should say that now we are living the times that what it was considered
“supercomputing” has become personal and is in our pockets.
In any revolution there are new opportunities, challenges, as well as new problems
ahead. Nothing comes without a cost, especially in revolutionary times. The global
changes of our intellectual and economic endeavours are imminent. The clear
trouble of manufacturing industries, for many countries, may have been an early
warning of more disruption to come. A perfect storm is brewing, powered by
accelerated progress in Mathematics and Computing; its key force is the global
deployment of Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques. In the mid-1960s, one of the
founders of Artificial Intelligence, the Nobel Laureate in Economics H.A. Simon,
predicted that “machines will be capable, within twenty years, of doing any work
a man can do”. Our current machines are not able to do “any work a man can do”;
12 P. Moscato and N. J. de Vries
instead, they are much better than the best humans in specific and certain tasks, e.g.,
in games like Go as discussed in the prior section, a trend that started with Checkers
(Chinook vs. M. Tinsley, 1994) or Chess (Deep Blue vs. G. Kasparov, 1997), as well
as Jeopardy (Watson vs. B. Rutter and K. Jennings, 2011).
The “digital revolution” should now be renamed “the algorithmic revolution”.
In reality, everything that we do with computers corresponds to a set of step-by-
step detailed instructions designed to accomplish some final outcome in a machine.
Our anthropocentric perspective “Everything we hope to do with computers requires
the design and implementation of algorithms” may still be valid, but the design of
algorithms is no longer the privilege of our race, machines now can also design
algorithms. And algorithms have become a powerful new force in the Knowledge
Economy. An algorithm presented by Brin and Page in a conference in Brisbane,
Australia, back in 1998, named PageRank [30], is credited to be the foundation
for Google. A similar algorithm was used in the 1996 search engine RankDex
designed by the CEO of Chinese search giant Baidu. Algorithms also give us great
opportunities. Algorithms are the true engine of the new Networked Knowledge
Economy.
The Digital Economy is now considered a key driver of growth for many
developed countries, it will also shape the future of some economies that will use
the news technologies in creative ways. Europe has already recognized this fact
and is working to get all possible global advantages of it. Before Brexit, Europe
was planning to merge 28 national markets to a single digital one. Europeans
estimate a global contribution to their continent of 415 billion Euros per year and the
creation of 3.8 million jobs.5 This new Digital Economy will create unprecedented
opportunities for the delivery of goods and services, boost existing skills, allow
life-long learning and facilitate investment for the creation of ICT start-ups and new
companies. The sheer size of this new affluent cohort of 500 million people can only
be matched by the growth of the Asia-Pacific economies and brings opportunities
and challenges.6
“Algorithms are where the real value lies. Data is inherently dumb. Algorithms
define the way the world works”. These were the words of Peter Sondergaard,
Senior Vice President, Gartner Research, in his opening talk at the Symposium
ITxpo (Oct. 5, 2015). This is no overstatement. No actionable insights can be found
by looking at data without any methodological tools such as algorithms. Industry
is clear about the benefits of an algorithmic-based approach, supported by the best
Computer Science practices, to develop the economy.
5 https://ec.europa.eu/commission/priorities/digital-single-market_en.
6 https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/the-age-of-algorithms.
1 Marketing Meets Data Science: Bridging the Gap 13
There is no doubt that with the increasing availability of large datasets, there is a
huge potential delivered by scientific activities to transform the generated data into
knowledge. Peter Sondergaard estimates that an emergent “Algorithmic Economy”
will develop from the Internet of Things (IoT) [208] . He predicts that the impacts
will be ubiquitous and massive;
Products will be defined by the sophistication of their algorithms. Organizations will be
valued based not just on their big data, but the algorithms that turn that data into actions and
ultimately customer impact.
The prediction is that “by 2020, 30 billion mobile phones, tablets, computers,
wearable technology devices and other types of connected devices will be in use”
and that “the incremental revenue generated by the IoT suppliers is estimated to
reach 309 billion per year by 2020”.7
It is interesting to point out that the part of the prediction that says that
organizations “will be valued based not just on their big data, but the algorithms
that turn that data into actions and ultimately customer impact” may have already
been verified. A relatively new company called Jet.com (established in Jan. 2014)
was valued and purchased at USD 3.3 billion in 2016. Part of its success is based
on an algorithm that allows consumers to find the best deal based on the actual
contents of their digital shopping carts. With an estimated return-on-investment of
approximately 15 times for an e-Commerce company and the news that an entire
shopping mall previously valued at USD 200 million was purchased in Jan. 2017 for
just USD 100 [18], it is clear that Internet retailing based on algorithmic solutions
is having a clear impact.
Many people and many media reporters, perhaps for lack of understanding, neglect
the importance that algorithms have. They also tend to confuse “Big Data” with
“larger datasets”, so it would be relevant to give some clear definitions. The current
Wikipedia entry for “Big Data” is rather unsatisfactory: “‘Big data’ is a broad term
for data sets so large or complex that traditional data processing applications are
inadequate”.8 Defining something by our current “inadequacy” to do something
with it is not a good start. However, it does point at the need to have powerful
algorithms that can extract meaning from it. Any relevant online blogpost or
academic referred paper on “Big Data” will explain some common definition that
includes the “four V’s of Big Data”; Volume, Variety, Velocity and Veracity. This
is where the difference lies between simply a “larger dataset” and true “Big Data”
[39].
7 http://www.businessnewsdaily.com/5450-internet-of-things-business-opportunities.html.
8 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Big_data.
14 P. Moscato and N. J. de Vries
The Volume of data of course does refer to sheer size but it is also the number of
datasets that are increasingly collected, stored and available to business leaders and
researchers which is challenging us. It is predicted that by 2020, 40 zettabytes (43
trillion gigabytes) of data will be created.9 This is a 300% increase since 2005.
Although greater amounts of data make it harder to analyse all the information
available, it is the other three V’s that truly make Big Data so hard to deal with.
Today’s data landscape has an extremely high variety and velocity. This means
that there is not just one type of big dataset that makes up the whole equation
to understanding a problem, trend or topic. Businesses need to derive data from
many different sources which come in many different formats, combine all this data,
analyse it and generate useful insights. For instance, data coming from social media
sites in the form of text or numeric values such as “likes” needs to be combined with
financial data trends, sales figures and possibly historical datasets for a manager to
make a completely informed decision about their next strategic move. Furthermore,
high Velocity means that all these high volumes and varieties of data are increasing
at an ever accelerating pace. You may have heard that nowadays, one flight of a
Boeing 787 creates half a Terabyte of data. Similarly, during one trading session
of the New York Stock Exchange, around 1 TB of data may be generated. In a lot
of cases, decisions need to be made almost instantaneously, sometimes not even
by a person, but by algorithms and machines. This means that a high velocity of
data-streams needs to be accounted for in the computing power and the algorithms
scalability aspects. Finally, the last “V” stands for “Veracity”. Basically, it refers to
the uncertainty of data. This topic has received a lot of attention in recent years as
businesses and consumers have become more aware and concerned about integrity,
privacy and data security in our digitally interconnected world. Not only does poor
data quality or poor data standards cost economies and organizations a lot of money,
it also risks the integrity of findings coming from these data sources leading to
potentially catastrophic business decisions.
This is why we need to tread especially carefully when dealing with Big Data as
we do not want to have “bigger” and “dumber” data without any extra understanding
or advancement in knowledge. What we want is to make ever more informed
decisions, use the information available to us in ever-increasingly efficient ways and
enhance the life of consumers, organizations, businesses and economies through the
use of data science techniques.
9 http://www.ibmbigdatahub.com/infographic/four-vs-big-data.
Another random document with
no related content on Scribd:
This island did not tempt us to stay long, so we steered for
Cagayan Sulu, which is a gem in the ocean; it has three peaks,
wooded, but varied by grassy glades, groves of cocoa-nuts and fruit-
trees, partly concealing and partly revealing scattered houses and
villages. It is, indeed, a picturesque island from every view. Our first
intercourse appeared likely to be unfriendly. Steering round to the
south-west side, we landed at a place where we saw some houses
close to the beach, and as we pulled ashore, we could see the
inhabitants gathering in armed groups; however, we were received
with great civility, and explained the object of our visit, which was to
inquire what fresh provisions could be procured there. We did not
stay long, as they promised to bring us down next day a good
supply.
When we landed on the following morning, we found a very large
party assembled with several fine bullocks for sale; while the
bargaining was going on I wandered inland with a companion to
have a look at the country. Wherever we went we found plantations
of cocoa-nuts and plantains, and round the houses were small
vegetable gardens, while between the dwellings were occasionally
extensive tracks of long coarse grass, on which were herds of
bullocks feeding.
At length we came to a spot which tempted us to rest. It was a
rock overhanging a tiny bay, thrown into deep shade by the tall
graceful palms which bent over it; while looking inland across the
gently sloping fields of long high grass interspersed with groves, we
could see parties of natives marching in Indian file, with their bright
spear-heads flashing in the sun, winding their way down to the
extemporized market. We sat under the shade of some areca palms;
which, though young, and not twenty feet in height, were yet covered
with fruit and freshly expanded blossoms, which shed a delicious
perfume through the whole grove.
Our bargaining prospered, as fine cattle were secured at thirty
shillings a piece, ducks for two wine bottles, fine cocks and hens for
one; as well as a couple of pretty ponies, cocoa-nut oil and nuts,
plantains, limes, ginger, onions, and fruits. This island, though
formerly a dependency of Sulu, is now independent, and is governed
by some of those half-bred Arabs who corrupt and weigh heavily on
these countries. It is finely situated in the Sulu seas, and it is both
healthy and fertile. The inhabitants appear much the same as those I
had seen about Maludu Bay, and, with the exception of some
strangers, were civil. The latter were traders who had visited
Samboañgan, Manilla, and other Spanish ports, and were there
corrupted, by intercourse with the low Europeans and dissipated
classes who usually frequent such places; and at one time these
men were so insolent that I thought their conduct would become
unbearable, till they were quieted by my shooting down a cocoa-nut,
as mentioned in my Limbang journal.
The most singular spot in this island is near the old crater-looking
harbour, mentioned by Sir Edward Belcher, which we entered over a
reef. It is almost circular, and is surrounded by lofty rocks clothed
with trees, bushes, and hanging creepers, presenting a magnificent
wall of evergreen. Rowing to the west side of the bay, and climbing
to the top of a lofty bank, we had a splendid view of a remarkable
almost circular, lake. The place where we stood was a gap between
the lofty cliffs that rose on either hand, and appeared to have been
formed by the inner waters bursting their boundary, and overthrowing
the upper defences of this natural dam. The wooded cliff’s continue
all round, forming a perfect barrier, now rising to a great height, then
sinking to some fifty or sixty feet. The waters, elevated more than
forty feet above the sea, lay in undisturbed repose, and presented
for upwards of half a mile a clear mirror, reflecting back the rays of
the sun and the deep shadow of the tall trees.
I mounted with some difficulty the top of the left-hand cliff, and had
an extensive view through the tangled bushes. On one side were the
waters of the crater, on the other the serene lake with the sea
appearing beyond. We heard from the natives that alligators swarm
in this secluded water, so that fish must be plentiful also, as few pigs
could descend here. In the interior they say there is another more
extensive lake of the same formation; this one was found to be eight
fathoms deep at the edges, and forty in the centre.
Started from Cagayan Sulu, and after encountering rougher
weather than we expected to find in this usually calm sea, lay to, as
we thought we were not far from the island we were intending to
visit.
At daylight the two peaks of Sulu were visible; and as we
approached, the summits of the other hills appeared, while all the
rest of the island lay enveloped in mist; but the sun soon dispelled
this, and showed us the west coast of the lovely island of Sulu. The
slopes of the hills presented alternate patches of cleared grassy
land, with clumps of trees scattered over its face, reminding one of a
noble English park; while a long dense line of cocoa-nut palms
skirted the beach, among which were seen many houses and groups
of inhabitants, who were no doubt watching our approach with much
anxiety, as they had already suffered from the attacks of the Dutch
and Spaniards; but the sight of the English flag no doubt restored
their confidence.
Anchored off Sugh, the capital of Sulu, which is situated at the
bottom of a bay, and appears small; but among the existing
dwellings we could distinguish blackened piles, the remains of
portions of the city burnt by the Dutch. On the right of the town is a
high hill, curiously peaked and well wooded. Farther off to the left,
and at the back, are many high mountains, some peaked, others
rounded; but, as a whole, forming a beautiful view. A white flag, with
a castle represented on it, waved over the fort, and a pilot jack
marked the residence of Mr. Wyndham, an Englishman, settled here
for the purposes of trade.
Very few natives came off, until at length a messenger arrived
from the sultan to know who we were; we returned a suitable and, no
doubt, a satisfactory reply, as the Sulus were in a state of great
excitement, having suffered considerably from the recent shots of
the Dutch ships. Having communicated with Mr. Wyndham, we went
to see the watering-place about a mile to the west of the town,
situated near the great tree to which I have alluded in my second
account of Kina Balu, where we found the water bursting out of the
sand, clear as crystal, and pleasant to the taste.
The tree is very fine, being at least thirteen feet in diameter, with a
very sinewy stem. Mr. Wyndham walked with us a little way into the
country, and showed us some of the houses, having much the same
appearance as those of the Malays. These people are better-looking
than most other inhabitants of the archipelago; but appeared to be
suspicious, watching us at every point; in fact, we afterwards heard
the fugitives from Balignini were scattered among them, and they
had had no time to forget what they had suffered from the well-
deserved attacks of the Spaniards. We then pulled to Mr.
Wyndham’s house, a mere rough building, raised near the site of his
former one, burnt by the Dutch—why or wherefore is inconceivable.
The whole night after our arrival the country was in an uproar,
reports spreading of the advent of innumerable ships, which made
the inhabitants hurry their women, children, and goods up to the
mountain. In the evening we took a friendly letter to the sultan.
28th.—Went with the watering-party, but were unable to penetrate
far, on account of heavy rain and the incivility of the natives, who
waved us back. No answer, as yet, from the sultan.
30th.—Landed at the watering-place, where the mountaineers
were assembled at a sort of market, bartering, buying, and selling.
We walked about a little, and then returned to the beach, where we
were surrounded by some scores of men, women, and children from
the mountains and neighbourhood; the former are said to be of a
different race, but we saw little signs of it. The women, on the whole,
are better-looking than the Malays, and some of the little girls were
quite pretty; they are civil enough, but anxious to know our business.
In the afternoon we went to an audience with the sultan. Having
landed at Mr. Wyndham’s, who led us by a long shaky platform to the
shore, where we found numbers of armed natives assembled, an
officer from the sultan led the way along a broad rough road with a
high stockade on the left, and houses on the right. We passed in,
through ever-increasing crowds, to a market-place, where the
women were selling fowls, fish, and vegetables, till we came to a
creek, over which a rude bridge took us to the palace. Before
crossing, we observed a large brass 24-pounder showing through an
embrasure. The stockade continued on the left, until we passed a
large gate, where on a green were assembled some hundreds of
men, armed with muskets, spears, heavy Lanun swords, and krises,
and defended by shields, and some brass armour, and old Spanish-
looking helmets.
The audience hall was on the right, and the house of prayer on
the left. The crowd opening, we mounted some steps, and crossing a
verandah thronged with armed men, found ourselves in the presence
of the sultan. The audience hall is large, but perfectly bare of
ornament, as all their valuable silks and hangings were packed up,
and mostly sent to the hills, on account of an absurd report spread
by the mate of the Spanish brig we found anchored near, which,
when we came in sight, began to get under weigh, and stand out to
sea.
On being questioned by the Chinese passengers, he said that we
had given him notice to get out of the way, as we were about to
bombard the town. The rumour having spread, the natives packed
up their valuables, and spent the night in carrying their goods off to
the hills, and in removing their women and children. This caused the
suspicious behaviour of the people, and what tends to keep up their
apprehensions a little is that the Spanish brig has not yet returned to
her proper anchorage.
But to return to the hall. In the centre stood a round table; on the
opposite side sat the sultan surrounded by his datus, and around
were a number of empty chairs, on which we took our seats. After
shaking hands, a few questions were asked, as, “What was the
news? Was France quiet?” The sultan was very like the picture in Sir
Edward Belcher’s book, and was dressed in light-flowered silk, with a
very broad gold belt round his waist, a handsome kris, and gold
bracelets, sparkling with jewels. Some of the datus were splendidly
dressed in silks, gold brocades, handsome turbans and head-
dresses, like golden tiaras; the young men were, as usual, the most
gaudily decorated, while the old were in plain white jackets, and
crowds of the better class sat behind and around us.
Observing that Sir James Brooke, who had lately suffered much
from fever, looked hot and tired, the sultan politely broke up the
audience, and we returned by the same path we came, and after
sitting a short time with Mr. Wyndham, went on board to dine with
Captain Keppel, where our Sulu acquaintance amused us with
stories about the natives.
Went on shore to Mr. Wyndham’s to meet datu Daniel; very little
conversation passed. He appears to be a quiet, good-natured man;
his brothers are very fine fellows, and very fair; with them we went to
see the race-course. Passing through a portion of the town, we came
to an open grassy field, where a few men were trying their horses by
trotting them over the sward. None of the chiefs being present, there
were no trials of speed.
2nd.—On shore early with our guide, but the people not appearing
to like our penetrating into the country, we returned to Mr.
Wyndham’s house, and as we passed the stockades, the Sulus
laughingly pointed to some indentations in the wood where the shot
from the Dutch ships had struck, but had done little damage.
3rd.—Weighed anchor and stood along the coast for Tulyan Bay;
but wind and tide being against us, we let go our anchor; sailing
again at three, we found ourselves towards seven in Tulyan Bay,
much to the discomfort of the villagers, whose shouts and screams
could be distinctly heard on board. At last a couple of men came off
and returned on shore after a few reassuring words from Mr.
Wyndham, which appeared sufficient to pacify the inhabitants, as the
noises ceased. Tulyan Bay is rather deep, and appears to be well
protected, and takes its name from a pretty-looking island in the
offing, which was ceded to the English in Dalrymple’s time—in fact,
the inhabitants thought we were come to take possession.
4th.—I must now endeavour to give the little information I
collected concerning Sulu. The government is carried on by a sultan,
with his council of datus; at the present time the principal power is
held by datu Molok, an elder but illegitimate brother of the sultan—a
shrewd-looking man with quick, inquiring eyes. The sultan is said to
be well-intentioned; but, being weak in character, is totally unable to
subdue the turbulent aristocracy by whom he is surrounded. In
despair he is reported to give way to his fondness for opium-
smoking.
The laws are but little respected, and ancient customs are fast
falling into disuse, particularly one resembling a voluntary poor-rate.
Every Sulu trader used to present five per cent. of his yearly profits
to a fund, which was divided among the poor of the island. The
mountaineers acknowledge the supremacy of the sultan, but refuse
to pay tribute, and a government which cannot enforce that is not
likely to be able to suppress feuds, or effectually to put down
disturbances. Mr. Wyndham pointed out a man who was notorious
as a murderer, and one instance he had himself witnessed of his
bloodthirstiness.
Again, two mountaineers, bargaining for a slice of fish, quarrelled;
they mutually seized each other’s weapons; one held the handle of
his opponent’s kris, the other his spear shaft; they struggled, a fight
ensued, the crowd collected, some took one side, some the other,
and in a few minutes seven men lay gasping on the ground. It is not
to be expected that the dependencies of the island will obey, when
all is in such confusion. The sultan’s power is very limited, though
the datus still send parties to raise contributions from the
neighbouring towns, villages, and islands. In all decaying states we
find religion neglected, and here, I imagine, it is held but in slight
respect; their houses of prayer being like a tumble-down barn, and
the inhabitants indulging in the use of wine, and occasionally pork.
Mr. Wyndham told us an amusing story of an old datu, who, going
on business to a Chinese trader, began to find a delicious odour
insinuatingly creeping over his senses.
“Ah,” said he, “what is this? some cooking, what is it?”
“Pork.”
“Pork?” said he; “ah!”
“Would you like to taste some?”
“Why,” he answered in a low voice, but cautiously surveying the
room to see if he were watched, “yes, bring me a little.”
On tasting it, and finding it very good, he began to eat some more.
Mr. Wyndham living next door, and hearing the old fellow’s noise,
had removed some of the partition, and was watching him. He now
coughed.
“Oh, I am ruined,” cried the datu; “who lives in the next house?”
“Signor Wyndham.”
“Then he has me in his power.”
Our informant then went in, and, laughing, shook the Mahomedan
chief by the hand, and congratulated him on his freedom from
prejudice. He ever after had much influence with the old man, who
feared being exposed. The inland inhabitants call themselves
Islamites, but are very lax and ignorant.
The Sulu language is soft; it contains, I believe, many Malay
words and expressions, but it is essentially different; though the
upper classes understand Malay, and also many of the lower, there
being here numerous slaves from Borneo. The population, they say,
is 200,000; it is probably 100,000; not less, from the numerous towns
and villages along the coast, and the number of houses detached in
twos and threes. On an extraordinary occasion, they say they could
bring some 15,000 or 20,000 men into the field; but, in general,
5,000 would be as many as they could assemble. In fact, when the
day of trouble came, they had not, perhaps, 2,000 to defend the
town; and this may be readily accounted for, as a large proportion of
the population is in servitude, which is, however, generally an easy
state of existence.
The slaves are collected from all parts of the archipelago, from
Acheen Head to New Guinea, and from the south of Siam to the
most northern parts of the Philippines: it is a regular slave market.
The Sulus themselves are a better-looking people than any I have
yet seen; they are daring and independent, and the mountaineers,
particularly, are a wild but polite people. Their young women and
little girls are dark-eyed and good-featured, with easy figures; free,
though not obtrusive, in their ways.
Bold and daring as the datus appear, they have much politeness
in their manners, particularly datu Daniel and his brother; and on
proper occasions their carriage is dignified and commanding. The
lower orders are outwardly rough, violent, and fierce, yet have an
inherent politeness, which, when inclined to show confidence, they
display to much advantage. On state occasions the young men
appear in splendid dresses, while the elder content themselves with
plain clothes. The dress is the same as the rest of the archipelago—
a jacket, trousers, sarong, and occasionally a shirt or under-vest.
They all wear krises, and most of them also carry either muskets or
spears.
The Balignini near the watering-places were the worst we met—
insolent and inclined to pilfer; indeed, there was nearly a quarrel
about some of the seamen’s clothes they tried to appropriate. To
show their dislike, they planted sharp fish-bones round the watering-
place, in the hope that our men, landing in the dark, might cut their
feet. The Dutch burnt about two hundred houses, but did little injury
to the stockades, which are, however, sadly out of repair. In proper
order, well mounted with guns, they could make a good defence, as
the walls facing the sea are about fifteen feet thick of mud and stone,
encased with teak stockades. The rampart around the sultan’s
palace is in the best repair, but not so thick as the others; and datu
Daniel’s is by no means contemptible. The men, too, would fight
bravely, as they did against the Dutch; but their guns, except the
brass ones, are mostly dismounted, and they have no carriages
ready; the iron ones are said to be those taken at Balambañgan,
when they surprised and captured our settlement.
The appearance of the country from the sea is very beautiful,
many of the hills rising to a peak some 2,000 feet above the level of
the sea; while others are lower and wooded, and form an agreeable
contrast. Several of these eminences are forest-covered to the
summit, while many present alternate patches of rice cultivation,
pasture land, groves of cocoa-nut, palms, gardens, and detached
clumps of forest trees. It is by far the most beautiful island I have
seen. Sulu, in good hands, might be made to produce every tropical
production, and become the centre of the commerce in these seas.
Ships, by staying a little time, may obtain bullocks, fowls, ducks,
vegetables, fruits, cocoa-nuts, and very fine water at a very good
watering-place. The duties on goods are high; nevertheless, Mr.
Wyndham and the Spaniards carry on a profitable commerce.
Tulyan is rather a small island, with hills to the north, but low land
on the south: the former with a few trees and some bananas, with
cocoa-nut palms at the foot; the latter a little woody. Dalrymple gives
some account of it. In his time the Spaniards had driven the natives
away, burnt their houses, and cut down their fruit-trees; but there is
now a large village along the beach, with many cocoa-nut groves.
The inhabitants are pearl fishers.
Next day anchored off two woody islets; the captain, as usual,
shelling and dredging. Islands are to be seen in the distance all
around us.
6th.—Anchored off Basilan. High hills and lowlands covered with
woods, showing but few clearings. We counted eighteen islands at
one time; among which were the late pirate haunts of Balignini and
Tonquil. Beat about, and anchored off Samboañgan after dark.
We remained seven days at Samboañgan, walking and exploring
in every direction, and enjoyed our stay there very much.
Magindanau, as far as we have seen it, is very hilly and woody, with
the exception of the neighbourhood of the Spanish settlement of
Samboañgan, which has been cleared for some miles; though, for an
old colony, not so much as might have been expected.
The town is situated on the west point of Lanun Bay, and from the
sea appears much smaller than it is in reality. It presents no very
striking features; the long, low, dark fort and whitewashed houses,
intermixed with a few groves of cocoa-nuts, with forest on either
side, and the hills, some cleared and some wooded, rising about
seven miles inland, suggest a rough idea of this pleasant little town.
The plain around is very well cultivated; as you walk along the roads
—very much like English country ones—you have a continual series
of large rice fields, cocoa-nut groves, now swelling into extensive
plantations, then a few round a detached cottage, and intermixed
with these are great quantities of bananas. Many small streams
intersect the plain, adding much to its fertility, and are spanned by
covered bridges.
The fort is to the right of the town, and has rather low walls,
mounted with a good many guns; against a native force it must be
impregnable, but a little shelling would soon subdue it. It is
garrisoned by about two hundred and fifty native soldiers. Leaving its
gate, you cross a large green, beyond which lies the principal portion
of the town, laid out in a rectangular shape, with streets intersecting
each other at equal distances. The houses are in general mere
native ones; others a little superior; and perhaps a couple of dozen
of a better class, in which reside the Governor, Lieutenant-Governor,
Commandant, and other officers. Almost every other house has a
shop, in which cigars, spirits, chocolate, sugar, and various other
articles are sold. The most respectable class keep retail shops, as
well as the little traders.
Beyond this portion of the town is a little green, with the church—a
long barn-like building. Seen within by the imperfect light of evening,
it appeared destitute of ornaments, except round the altar, and
beyond this are some more streets. The houses I entered had very
little furniture; a small table, some chairs, a bedstead, and a kind of
drawers, with a few shelves, complete the whole.
The people themselves are well worthy of notice. They are a
mixture of Spaniards and natives; a few of pure blood, in the
Government offices; the rest half-castes, mestiches, and natives.
The men exhibit no remarkable features, except the Governor,
Colonel Cayelano de Feguaroa, who was an agreeable man, and
spoke French. We were much pleased with his liberal ideas and
gentlemanly manners, and the other officers were equally polite and
attentive. The generality of the native men are kind and civil, but with
fat, unmeaning faces. The women are much better. The Lieutenant-
Governor’s wife, the only pure Castilian in the place, was a very
pretty woman, with fine eyes and regular features. The mestiches
have in general good eyes and dark hair; but, with the exception of a
few, their faces are too broad.
There was a famous corner shop opposite the church, which
contained good specimens of the race:—Gabriella, likewise called
Romantica, one of the handsomest women in the town, with pleasing
features, and her sister, with the usual flat face. Every one visiting
Samboañgan made that shop their place of call, as the staid old
mother and the girls were very civil and hospitable.
In the country one could always obtain cocoa-nuts, and many of
us were invited in to eat fruit and drink chocolate and gin by the
obliging residents, whose pretty houses, embowered in fruit-trees,
were an ornament to the road side.
The officers of the Meander gave a ball. The quarter-deck was
cleared of guns and surrounded with flags on all sides, and
ornamented with green boughs. All the Spanish officers came, and
about fifty of the townswomen, some young, others old. We danced
quadrilles, waltzes, and polkas: the first caused much confusion, the
second was well danced, while the third was quite new to most of
them. The commandant gave one in return, which was kept up with
greater spirit. Many of the girls were fairer and better-looking than
those we saw on board, and a few were in European costumes, with
shoes and stockings, while the rest had Malay petticoats, and little
jackets with scarfs. Dancing the polka with them was found to be
very difficult, as, few having chemises on, the hand constantly
coming in contact with the skin, it was impossible to obtain a hold;
and their little slippers were flying in every direction.
Their own band played waltzes very well by ear; but nothing else.
Indeed, it is almost the only dance they care for, as the girls find it
difficult to try any other, on account of their wearing slippers without
heels, some of which are very prettily ornamented with gold and
silver embroidery.
Supplies were scarce, though I saw a great many oxen and cows,
some goats, fowls, and ducks; but its being a penal settlement, trade
is obstructed and carefully watched to prevent the escape of
convicts, and none could come to the ship without a pass. The
ponies are very good, except the hacks; the water buffaloes are
large, and employed to draw a peculiar sledge along the smooth
roads. The chief amusement of the men on Sundays is cock-fighting:
crowds assemble to witness this cruel sport; and then they show
some money, which at other times appears so scarce that few shops
could give change for a dollar. We observed that the rice was
trodden out by the buffaloes, on hard beaten ground. Washing was
dear, being eleven dollars a hundred.
16th.—Started on our return voyage. Lay-to off a sand-bank not
marked in the chart. A grave was found there with four bamboos
stuck round, one at each corner, in the midst of thousands of birds,
with immense numbers of eggs, some of which were brought off, and
proved good eating. I will omit the ground we went over on our
return, and give an account of a second visit we paid this
archipelago.
CHAPTER IX.
THE SULU ISLANDS.
SECOND VISIT.