Moving Average Sales Forecast

For the Year 2009

Forecasted Sales Based on:

1 Year 6 Month 3 Month
Actual Moving Moving Moving Running Total
Sales Average Average Average of Actual Sales
1999
Jan $100,000 $100,000
Feb $101,300 $201,300
Mar $102,617 $303,917
Apr $103,951 $101,306 $407,868
May $105,302 $102,623 $513,170
Jun $106,671 $103,957 $619,841
Jul $108,058 $103,307 $105,308 $727,899
Aug $109,463 $104,650 $106,677 $837,362
Sep $110,886 $106,010 $108,064 $948,248
Oct $112,327 $107,388 $109,469 $1,060,575
Nov $113,787 $108,785 $110,892 $1,174,362
Dec $115,267 $110,199 $112,333 $1,289,629
Total $1,289,629

2000
Jan $120,000 $107,469 $111,631 $113,794 $120,000
Feb $125,000 $109,136 $113,622 $116,351 $245,000
Mar $111,111 $116,211 $120,089
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Total $245,000 $327,716 $341,464 $350,234
MONTH ACTUAL SHED SALES

January 10
February 12
March 13
April 16
May 19
June 23
July 26
August 30
September 28
October 18
November 16
December 14
3-MONTH MOVING
AVERAGE Q: Donna’s Garden Supply wants a 3-month moving-averag
for next
January, for shed sales.

12
Chart Title
14 35
16 30
30
28 28
26 26 25
19 25 23 23
19 19
23 20
16 16
18
16
15 13 14
26 10
12 12
10
28 5

25 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
21 ACTUAL SHED SALES 3-MONTH MOVING AVERAGE
ants a 3-month moving-average forecast, including a forecast
for next
January, for shed sales.

Title
30
28 28
26 26 25
23
21
19
18
16
14

7 8 9 10 11 12

3-MONTH MOVING AVERAGE

 3-MONTH
ACTUAL
MONTH MOVING Weight for apr Weight for may
SHED SALES
AVERAGE

January 10 1 1
February 12 2 2
March 13 3 3
April 16 12.1667
May 19 14.3333
June 23 17
July 26 20.5
August 30 23.8333
September 28 27.5
October 18 28.6667
November 16 30

December 14 22.6667
Weight for june Weight for july Weight for aug Weight for sep Weight for oct Weight for nov

1 1 1 1 1 3

2 2 2 2 3 2

3 3 3 3 2 1

Chart Title
35
30 30
30 28.6666666666667
28
27.5
26
25 23 23.8333333333333
22.6666666666667
20.5
20 19 18
16 17 16
14.3333333333333 14
15 12 13
12.1666666666667
10
10

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

ACTUAL SHED SALES 3-MONTH MOVING AVERAGE

Weight for dec

1
 A Des Moines distributor of Sony laptop computers wants to develop monthly indices for
from the past 3 years, by month, are available.

DEMAND
AVERAGE
AVERAGE MONTHLY
MONTH YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEAR 3 YEARLY
DEMAND
DEMAND

Jan 80 85 105 90 94
Feb 70 85 85 80 94
Mar 80 93 82 85 94
Apr 90 95 115 100 94
May 113 125 131 123 94
June 110 115 120 115 94
July 100 102 113 105 94
Aug 88 102 110 100 94
Sept 85 90 95 90 94
Oct 77 78 85 80 94
Nov 75 82 83 80 94
Dec 82 78 80 80 94
1128
nts to develop monthly indices for sales. Data
onth, are available.

SEASONAL INDEX Seasonal forecast

0.957 95.745
0.851 85.106
0.904 90.426
1.064 106.383
1.309 130.851
1.223 122.340
1.117 111.702
1.064 106.383
0.957 95.745
0.851 85.106
0.851 85.106
0.851 85.106