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Chương 2
Chương 2
Chương 2
CHƯƠNG 2
Bài 1: HỢP ĐỒNG KỲ HẠN (Forward Contract)
Giả sử tỷ giá và lãi suất được niêm yết tại VCB ngày 6/8 nhưsau:
Tỷ giá Lãi suất
USD/VND: 20.830-20.870 VND: 9%-11%
JPY/VND: 211,27-216,44 USD: 2%-3%
JPY: 3%-5%
On August 6, Trilimex company signed an import contract worth 92,000 USD due on December
10 and an export contract worth 32,628,000 JPY due on November 10. Trilimex contacts VCB
for forward trading of these two foreign currencies. Question: What exchange rate does VCB
offer for Trilimex? With the signed contract, how will Trilimex lock in its receivables and
payables?
Lời giải:
Trilimex Company faces exchange rate risk
With an export contract worth 32,628,000 JPY. If JPY increases in price compared to VND, the
receivable converted into VND of this contract increases and Trilimex company has more profit.
On the contrary, if JPY depreciates compared to VND, the receivable converted into VND will
decrease and Trilimex company will suffer a loss.
With an import contract worth 92,000 USD. If USD appreciates compared to VND, the amount
payable in VND of this contract increases and Trilimex company will suffer a loss. On the
contrary, if USD depreciates compared to VND, the amount payable converted into VND will
decrease and Trilimex company will have more profit.
Trilimex Company contacted VCB to sign a forward selling contract of 32,628,000 JPY
for 96 days and a forward buying contract for 92,000 USD for 126 days
- JPY forward buying rate
[ LSTG VND −LSCV JPY ] × n
F m=Sm + S m ×
100 ×360
[ 9−5 ] × 96
F m=211.27+211.27× =213.52
100 ×360
Trilimex Company will lock in receivables at a level
32.628.000 JPY × 213.52 = 6.966.730.560 VND
- USD forward selling rate
b. If you and Ms. Bich want to continue keeping the futures contract, you don't need to do
anything. If you and Ms. Bich do not want to keep the futures contract, you can resell it
to someone else or reverse the contract.
- Due date
Thai Hung Company received 100,000 USD and paid VCB the amount
100,000 × 21,344 = 2,134,400,000 VND
VCB delivered 100,000 USD and received 2,134,400,000 VND from Thai Hung
company
Tỷ giá
- 40.500
c. If the spot exchange rate on the market > breakeven rate = 1.5182, then X can exercise the
option to earn profit.
If the exercise rate < the market spot rate < the breakeven rate, then X can exercise the option to
offset the loss due to the cost of buying the option when the contract has expired.
If the contract has not expired, X does not exercise the option and expects the exchange rate to
increase above the breakeven rate.
If the market spot rate < exercise rate, then X should not exercise the option.
d. Expiration date, EUR/USD exchange rate = 1.4050, X does not exercise the option)
X
Rights purchase fee = 40.500 USD
Net profit = - 40.500 USD
For VCB
Gain from exercising options with X: 40,500 USD
Loss due to not exercising options with partner banks: 0.08 x 500,000 = 40,000 USD
Net profit = 40.500 – 40.000 = 500 USD
( Suppose, on expiration date, EUR/USD exchange rate is 1.5250, X exercises the option
X
Profit = (1,5250 − 1,4372) × 500.000 = 43.900 USD
Rights purchase fee = 40.500 USD
net profit = 43.900 – 40.500 = 3.400 USD
For VCB
Exercise the call option as requested by X. Then, exercise the call option with the partner bank
Loss due to exercise of option with X
(1,5250 − 1,4372) × 500.000 = 43.900 USD
Interest due to exercising options with partner banks
(1,5250 − 1,4372) × 500.000 = 43.900 USD
Fee received for selling options for X = 40,500 USD
Partner bank's put option purchase fee = 0.08 × 500,000 = 40,000 USD
net profit = 43.900 – 43.900 + 40.500 – 40.000= 500 USD
- 35.500
c. If the market spot rate < breakeven rate = 1.3462, Y can exercise the option to earn profit.
If the breakeven rate < the market spot rate < the exercise rate, Y can exercise the option to offset
the loss due to the cost of buying the option when the contract has expired.
If the contract has not expired, Y does not exercise the right and hopes that the spot exchange
rate on the market will fall below the breakeven rate.
If the market spot rate > strike rate, Y should not exercise the put option.
d. Expiry date, EUR/USD exchange rate = 1.4050, Y exercises the option to offset the cost
of buying the option
Y
Profit = (1,4172 − 1,4050) × 500.000 = 6.100 USD
Rights purchase fee = 35.500 USD
Loss = 6.100 – 35.500 = −29.400 USD
For VCB
Exercise the put option as requested by Y. Then, exercise the put option with the partner bank
Loss due to exercise of option with Y
(1,4172 − 1,4050) × 500.000 = 6.100 USD
Interest due to exercising options with partner banks
(1,4172 − 1,4050) × 500.000 = 6.100 USD
Fee received for selling options for Y = 35,500 USD
Partner bank's put option purchase fee = 0.07 × 500,000 = 35,000 USD
Net profit = 6.100 – 6.100 + 35.500 – 35.000= 500 USD
Exercise 1:
HFC is a financial company with main activities including raising capital and investing in the
financial market. Currently, the company has a long-term investment portfolio of 100 billion
VND with a term of 8 years with an interest rate of 12%/year. To have investment capital, the
company issues promissory notes to mobilize capital with a floating interest rate of VNIBOR
plus a margin of 2% as a risk premium. Recently, the State Bank of Vietnam has applied
financial liberalization policies, so VNIBOR can fluctuate depending on how HFC is affected by
interest rate risks?
+, HFC - received: 12%
- Payable rate: VNIBOR + 2%
Net interst rate: 12% - (VNIBOR + 2%)= 10% - VNIBOR
Exercise 2:
SFM is a small investment fund that mainly mobilizes capital from friends and relatives at a
fixed interest rate of 9%/year to form an investment fund. Recently, SFM formed a capital
mobilization portfolio of 100 billion VND for a 5-year term. Mobilized capital is used by SFM to
invest in Vietnam's financial market. At this time, VNIBOR is 9%, but in the future, no one
knows whether VNIBOR will increase or decrease depending on the credit supply and demand
situation in the market. SFM Director is considering investing 50 billion VND in Petrolimex
bonds with a term of 5 years with annual interest payments at an interest rate equal to VNIBOR
+ 0.75%. After graduation, you are recruited to work for SFM. Please analyze and explain the
impact of interest rate risk if SFM decides to invest in Petrolimex bonds.
+, SFM - Received interest rate: VNIBOR + 0.75%
- Payable interest rate: 9%
Net interst rate: VNIBOR + 0.75% - 9% = VNIBOR – 8.25%
Exercise 3:
HFC and SFM are two familiar customers of ACB. Because HFC and SFM are concerned that
interest rate risk may impact the company's operations, they contact ACB and propose to
perform an interest rate swap transaction. Please:
a. Determine the swap interest rate agreed between ACB, HFC and SFM. Knowing that, ACB
accepts to enjoy 20% interest rate difference when performing interest rate swaps for customers.
b. Prove that, through swap transactions, parties including HFC, SFM and ACB are no longer
exposed to interest rate risk?
c. Prepare a payment table and determine the net profit for HFC, SFM and ACB participating in
the interest rate swap transaction in the first year, knowing that VNIBOR increased by 2% that
year?
Investment portfolio Petrolimex bonds
12% X% Y% VNIBOR + 0.75%
HFC VNIBOR ACB VNIBOR SFM
VNIBOR +2% 9%
Promissory Loan
ACB: - Receid interest rate: VNIBOR + X%
- Payable interest rate: VNIBOR + Y%
Net interest rate: X% -Y% = ( 10% - 8.25%) x 0.2 = 1.75% x 0.2 = 0.35%
HFC: - Receid interest rate: VNIBOR + 12%
- Payable interest rate: VNIBOR + 2% +X%
Net interest rate: X% -Y% = 10% - X%
SFM: - Receid interest rate: VNIBOR + 0.75% + Y%
- Payable interest rate: VNIBOR + 9%
Net interest rate: Y% - 8.25%
10% - X% = Y% - 8.25% X% = 9.3%
X% - Y% = 0.35% Y%= 8.95%
Exercise 5:
BIBICO Company is considering investing VND 50 billion in Petrolimex bonds with a term of
10 years with annual interest payments at an interest rate equal to VNIBOR + 0.8%. The capital
source for investment used is bank loan capital with a fixed interest rate of 10%/year.
KIDOCO Company has a long-term investment portfolio of 50 billion VND with a term of 10
years with an interest rate of 14%/year. To have investment capital, the company issues
promissory notes to mobilize capital with a floating interest rate of VNIBOR plus a margin of
2.5%?
a. BIBICO and KIDOCO cooperate with VCB to prevent risks they encounter. Determine the
swap interest rate agreed between VCB with BIBICO and KIDOCO. Knowing that, VCB
accepts to enjoy 30% of the interest rate difference when performing interest rate swaps for
customers.
b. Prepare a net profit payment table of BIBICO and KIDOCO after performing the above
transactions
Investment portfolio Petrolimex bonds
14% Y% X% VNIBOR + 0.8%
BIBICO VNIBOR VCB VNIBOR KIDOCO
VNIBOR +2.5% 10%
Promissory Loan
ACB: - Receid interest rate: VNIBOR + Y%
- Payable interest rate: VNIBOR + X%
Net interest rate: Y% - X% = ( 11.5% - 9.2%) x 30% = 0.69%
KIDOCO: - Receid interest rate: VNIBOR + 14%
- Payable interest rate: VNIBOR + 2.5% +Y%
Net interest rate: 11.5% - Y%
BIBICO: - Receid interest rate: VNIBOR + 0.8% + X%
- Payable interest rate: VNIBOR + 10%
Net interest rate: X% - 9.2%
X% - 9.2% = 11.5% -Y% X% = 10.005%
Y% - X% = 0.69% Y%= 10.695%