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Development of A Digital Twin For Prediction of Rail Surface Damage in Heavy Haul Railway Operations
Development of A Digital Twin For Prediction of Rail Surface Damage in Heavy Haul Railway Operations
Sanjar Ahmad, Maksym Spiryagin, Qing Wu, Esteban Bernal, Yan Sun, Colin
Cole & Bruce Makin
To cite this article: Sanjar Ahmad, Maksym Spiryagin, Qing Wu, Esteban Bernal, Yan
Sun, Colin Cole & Bruce Makin (2023): Development of a Digital Twin for prediction of
rail surface damage in heavy haul railway operations, Vehicle System Dynamics, DOI:
10.1080/00423114.2023.2237620
1. Introduction
Rail surface damage occurs due to repeated overstressing of the surface by wheel-rail con-
tact load cycles [1]. The damage due to repeated wheel-rail contact is known as Rolling
Contact Fatigue (RCF). Heavy haul rail lines face more RCF due to the consistency of speed,
load, and uni-directional loaded train travel which results in regular repeated load cycles on
the rails. RCF has been considered a dominant reason for rail replacement, maintenance,
rail failure, and safety concerns [1]. Due to the high cost involved in rail replacement and
failure, preventive rail grinding is used in railways which may also be conservative. To find
a solution to the RCF problem and management, rail and wheel wear models have been
extensively studied [2–7]. Researchers often use empirical relationships and engineering
assessments to obtain an estimation of wear on rail and wheels [3,8]. The experimental
estimation of rail wear often involved a controlled experiment with twin discs of equivalent
wheel and rail geometry [2].
The rail surface damage depends on contact geometry between wheel and rail which is
nearly impossible to measure during operation because of the inaccessibility of the contact
zone by a physical sensor. Multibody simulation allows estimating the contact patch area
using theories such as a fast algorithm for a simplified theory of rolling contact, modified
Fastsim, or extended contact algorithm [9–11].
With the advent of improved computing power, digitisation, and model-based system
engineering, the use of virtual product models has increased [12]. The virtual model can
coexist and interact with the physical system over the whole life cycle of the product-
design, manufacturing, usage, and service [13]. The virtual model that can communicate
with its physical system is regarded as the Digital Twin (DT) of the physical product.
The concept of DT has gained popularity recently in the field of railway engineering
[14–16]. However, there is a lack of a framework in applying a DT to the advancement
of rail vehicle simulations. A review of what constitutes a DT and application of DT in rail
vehicle simulation has been performed in this paper. In this paper, a DT has been developed
to provide rail surface damage indications along a railway route. The model representing
the situation more realistically by using the co-simulation approach between the train and
individual wagon is in this article referred to as a Digital Twin (DT) as distinct from the
other models Advanced Simulation (AS) and Digital Shadow (DS), although all the mod-
els compared here could serve as the basis for a DT. The DT developed in this paper uses
advancements in simulation techniques in Longitudinal Train Simulation (LTS), Multi-
body Simulation (MBS), and Co-simulation between simulation environments (including
power traction system simulations in Matlab/Simulink) that allows creating a more precise
digital world replica of a physical system. The proposed DT combines both model-driven
and data-driven approaches. The differences between a DT compared with either an AS or
a DS have been explained with a case study. Finally, an example case of using a DT for pre-
diction of Rolling contact fatigue (RCF) data on a rail along the track has been presented
and the results are discussed.
1.1. DT characteristics
The National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) believed that the DT was a
kind of simulation of a vehicle or system by using the best available physics-based models,
sensor updates, and fleet history to depict the states of the flying twin [17]. Glaessgen
and Stargel defined the DT as an integrated multi-physics, multiscale, probabilistic sim-
ulation of a complex product, which functions to mirror the life of its corresponding twin
[18]. A DT is not only representing the standalone model but also focuses on the bilateral
interdependency of the virtual and physical representations. This two-way communica-
tion between the physical model and the DT in real-time ensures interactive maintenance
during the operational activities and can adapt to modify the DT accordingly. Schleich
et al. [12] explained two-way communication as twinning between a physical system and a
VEHICLE SYSTEM DYNAMICS 3
2. Methodology
A methodology to develop a DT to predict rail surface damage has been presented in
Figure 1. The starting point of the development of the DT would be taking initial inputs
from a physical system. In the case of a rail surface damage study, the physical system would
generate parameters of train configuration and driving commands, vehicle parameters
(locomotives and wagons), track geometry, plus wheel and rail profiles.
The inputs of the physical twin would be added in a DT. In the case of train sim-
ulation, the digital model would consist of train and individual vehicle models. The
train modelling considers longitudinal train dynamics whereas the individual vehicle
models would consider detailed 3D modelling of each vehicle including their sus-
pension models, track irregularity parameters, and wheel-rail contact to represent the
actual vehicle dynamics in a digital model. Longitudinal train simulation provides
coupler forces (longitudinal and lateral), plus speed and notch (driving command)
information.
A detailed modelling of vehicle components including wheel and rail contact is nec-
essary for evaluating rail surface damage which can be implemented in an MBS tool. It
can be noted that LTS does not explicitly include wheel and rail contact models which
means the resistance equation in LTS does not consider the friction forces on the wheel
and rail contact. As a result the LTS provides a simplistic resistance values to vehicles com-
pared to MBS and resulted in variation in speed, and position of vehicles compared to that
obtained in MBS. In an advanced simulation method, the two different software LTS and
6 S. AHMAD ET AL.
MBS packages were connected using a TCP/IP interface to synchronise speed, the position
of vehicles, and realised traction effort on vehicles on LTS and MBS [29].
It is necessary to provide feedback to the physical system to fulfil the requirement of a
DT. It is proposed that the results of the MBS system would be stored in a data server that
would provide predictive feedback to the physical system using a predictive assessment
advice tool.
In this paper, a method has been developed to use the RCF results in the data server in a
predictive analysis tool to assist predictive management of RCF. An example to implement
grinding cycles based on RCF damage has been demonstrated.
T γ = T x γ x + T y γ y + Ms γ s (1)
where Tγ is the energy dissipated at the contact also presented as Tgamma (Nm/m), Tx is
the longitudinal creep force (N), Ty is the lateral creep force (N), Ms is the spin moment
(Nm), γx is the longitudinal creepage (m/m), γy is the lateral creepage (m/m), γs is the spin
creepage (1/m).
Rail surface damage can be calculated using two methods, namely Fatigue Index by
Shakedown Map [32,33] and Rolling Contact Fatigue Index by Tgamma [8]. In this study
the RCF index by the Tgamma method has been used to demonstrate the application of
the DT.
A piece-wise-linear model approach correlating RCF and wear with Tgamma, origi-
nally developed by RSSB UK in [8] and subsequently modified for hardened rail (Figure 2)
in [34] has been used in this paper. For a hardened rail (example, R370CrHT), the RCF
damage will not occur until the Tgamma value of 38 (Figure 2). RCF damage will dom-
inate when the Tgamma value is between 38 and 65. The probability of RCF damage
decreases and wear increases when Tgamma is above 65. Severe wear would be expected
when Tgamma is above 200.
Knowing the average RCF index for a wheel over a track section, it will be possible to
estimate the number of load cycles that can create a visible RCF (Equation (2)) [8].
1
RCF = (2)
Nf
where RCF is the fatigue damage index in 10−6 , Nf is the number of cycles to failure.
VEHICLE SYSTEM DYNAMICS 7
In a simulation, RCF parameters are reported as indexes rather than crack size. The
approximation suggested by AEA Technology, RSSB, UK [8] states that RCF will be visible
(crack size of 2 mm [36]) when the value of the RCF damage index reaches 10 × 10−6 . For
a hardened rail, the RCF damage index for a visible crack (2 mm) would be 2.97 × 10−6
(Figure 2). Hence, it can be approximated that, to generate 1 mm of crack, the RCF index
would be 5 × 10−6 and 1.485 × 10−6 for normal grade and premium grade rails respec-
tively. Following this, the RCF index for different levels of damage for over 100 MGT of
passing traffic can be estimated by multiplying the crack depth by 5 and 1.485 for normal
grade and premium grade rails respectively. In this paper, the data for premium rail grade
has been used.
In the DS method, the outputs from the LTS are directly added to the MBS. An analytical
analysis would subsequently be performed manually on the results from the MBS.
In the DT method, LTS and MBS communicate with each other in both directions to
update the track position and the realised tractive effort based on wheel-rail friction and
traction characteristics in the traction model.
4. Model parameters
A hypothetical case study has been used to demonstrate the application of different simu-
lation methods to apply predictive maintenance guidelines. Three software packages were
incorporated in this paper to simulate locomotive behaviour in a train namely LTS, MBS,
and traction modelling in Simulink code generation.
92 t each which makes the total train mass of 15,264 t. The maximum tractive effort of the
locomotives is 600 kN each.
The lateral and longitudinal coupler forces were recorded for all vehicles in the train
simulation. Each vehicle has front and rear couplers. The lateral force on the couplers was
calculated for all wagons using equations for coupler angles provided in the LTS [31] and
applied as an external force on the front and rear couplers of vehicles in MBS. The longitu-
dinal force on the front and rear coupler provides a longitudinal force on a vehicle which
was applied on the wagon body in the multibody model in this paper. The force component
applied to each vehicle was calculated in accordance with Equation (3).
where Flong is the longitudinal force from couplers on a vehicle (N), Fcrear is the longitu-
dinal coupler force on the rear coupler of a vehicle (N), Fcfront is the longitudinal coupler
force on the front of a vehicle (N).
In Equation (3), a positive value of longitudinal force means that the rear coupler force is
higher than the front coupler force which puts the vehicle into compression. The negative
value of FLong would mean that that vehicle is in tension or that a pulling force is applied
on the vehicle.
Table 2. Continued.
Parameter Unit Value
Primary damper [b]
Longitudinal damping coefficient kNs/m 35, 3.5, 3.5
Lateral damping coefficient kNs/m 20, 20, 20
Vertical damping coefficient kNs/m 20, 20, 20
Primary Longitudinal bumpstop 3 elements on each
bogie
Distance to hardstop mm 50
Stiffness at hardstop MN/m 40
Primary Lateral bumpstop [b] 3 elements on each
bogie
Stage 1 distances mm 20, 8.75, 8.75
Stage 2 distances mm 21, 20, 20
Stage 3 distances mm 50, 21, 20
Stage 1 stiffness MN/m 0, 0, 0
Stage 2 stiffness MN/m 1, 0.028, 0.028
Stage 3 stiffness MN/m 2, 1, 1
Vertical bumpstop [b] 6 elements on each
bogie
Breakpoints mm 25, 50
Stiffness at breakpoints MN/m 0, 1
Note: [a] Multi-stage elements, [b] Three values on each parameter set represent the three wheelsets of a bogie, the
parameter values are expressed for the first, second, and third wheelset of a bogie.
5. Results
To test the various approaches proposed in this paper, a simulation was run between track
position kilometrages of 5 and 6.7 km on a track section which has a right-hand curved
track section of 1200 m radius between 5.69 and 6.65 km (Figure 5(a)).
Figure 5. Track data and lateral coupler force data obtained from train simulation.
14 S. AHMAD ET AL.
over the 1.7 km track section distance. The only difference among the models was the com-
munication between MBS and LTS. Hence, it can be identified that on the DS and DT the
increased time was spent on communication between the LTS and MBS tools. In the DS,
the communication was only in one direction, but in the DT the communication was in
two directions which made the simulation time of the DT longer than that of the DS.
Figure 6. Resistance forces and longitudinal coupler forces on Train obtained from LTS.
Note: W1 refers to leading group of wagons, i.e. vehicle number 3-108.
16 S. AHMAD ET AL.
In the AS method, the speed profile obtained from LTS was applied as input to the MBS.
But, in the DS and DT methods, speed data was obtained by one-way communication from
LTS to MBS in the DS and two-way communication in the DT (Figure 7). The speed profiles
of AS and DS methods match as the LTS conditions were the same in both. The speed by
the DT method was found to be lesser than that obtained in both AS and DS (Figure 7).
In the DT method, the LTS modifies the speed, vehicle positions, and the realised tractive
effort calculated in the MBS.
In the AS method, no communication was made with the LTS, and the traction force ele-
ment in the corresponding LTS method was not stored and was set as zero (Figure 7(c,d)).
In the DS method, traction forces obtained in the LTS are higher than those obtained in
the MBS (Figure 7(e,f)). In the LTS, the losses in non-linear elements of the vehicle includ-
ing wheel-rail friction are not considered which has resulted in higher traction forces in
the LTS. In the DT method, the realised traction effort calculated in MBS has been trans-
ferred to the LTS which updated the latter’s traction forces. Thus, in the DT method,
the LTS provides a realistic traction force compared to that obtained in the DS method
(Figure 7(g,h)).
5.3.1. Tgamma
The Tgamma values of all wheels on both straight and curved sections were found to vary
among the wheel positions (Figure 8). On the straight track section, wheel number 112 l
(second wheelset of the first bogie on the left side) produced the largest Tgamma on the
left rail (Figure 8(a)) while wheel number 113r (third wheelset of the first bogie on the
right side) produced the largest Tgamma on the right rail (Figure 8(b)). The wheels that
produced the largest Tgamma on the curved section are 111 l on the high rail and 123r on
the low rail respectively (Figure 8(c,d)).
Tgamma values increase with the increase of traction force as can be seen from the result
of the straight track section (Figures 7 and 8). On the curved track section, the traction
force component was much lower compared to that on the straight track section which
resulted in reduced Tgamma on the curved section (Figures 7 and 8).
The average values of Tgamma of the six wheels on each rail showed a small variation
among the AS, DS and DT methods (Figure 9(a,b)). A linear relationship between Tgamma
and traction force was achieved on the left rail on the straight track (Figure 9(c)). However,
the Tgamma values on the right rails were dispersed over a wider range (Figure 9(d)).
The Tgamma values obtained by the DS method have been found to be less compared to
those found by AS and DT methods at the same traction force levels (Figure 9(c,d)). This
is because the traction force component in the DS method was obtained by LTS which
is higher than the realised traction force in MBS (Figure 9(c,d)). In MBS, the Tgamma
VEHICLE SYSTEM DYNAMICS 17
Figure 7. Traction force characteristics and train speeds in MBS and LTS.
18 S. AHMAD ET AL.
value was estimated for the realised traction force component. As the DS method does
not have feedback from MBS to LTS, the traction force component does not get cor-
rected during simulation. In contrast, the DT method updates the traction force based
on the MBS model which allows a better prediction of the Tgamma based traction force
in DT.
On the curved section, the traction force did not vary much, which did not provide an
adequate data sample to establish a relationship between traction force and Tgamma values
(Figure 9(e–h)).
5.3.2. RCF
Following the method used in Tgamma analysis, RCF data averaged over 40 m distance
were further averaged on the left and right wheels. On the straight track section, all RCF
values were negative (Figure 10(a)) which means that wear damage is more probable rather
than RCF damage considering Tgamma values were above 68 on the track section (Fig-
ures 8 and 9). The traction force was much higher on the straight track than on the curved
section (Figure 7) which led to a more wear-prone condition rather than RCF damage on
the straight track.
VEHICLE SYSTEM DYNAMICS 19
Figure 9. Effect of Traction force on Tgamma – straight and curved track sections.
20 S. AHMAD ET AL.
Figure 10. RCF values (average of 6 wheels on left and right rails) using advanced simulation approach.
On the curved track, the left rail (i.e. high rail on the right-handed curve) showed
positive RCF values (less wear) but the right rail showed negative RCF (more wear)
(Figure 10(b)). Due to a slow speed on the curved track (49–51 km/h on a 1200 m radius
track with a cant of 65 mm) the vehicle was operating in excess cant conditions (cant excess
of 39–41 mm on a standard gauge track following the relationship on a standard gauge
track, E = 11.82∗ V2 /R, where E = C + Cd, is the equilibrium cant in mm, C is the applied
cant in mm, Cd is the cant deficiency in mm, V is the speed in km/h and R is the track radius
in m, negative value of Cd would mean a cant excess condition [48]) on the curve which
added more vertical force on the low rail and hence more wear on the low rail. This result
agrees with the observation found in an FRA document [49].
The left rail on the curved section has been further used to quantify the loading cycles
(Equation (2)) and million gross tonnes required to cause the RCF failure (Figure 11).
Of the three methods implemented in this paper, the DS method gives higher RCF val-
ues (therefore less load cycles and MGT to failure) compared to the AS and DT methods
(Figure 11).
Figure 11. RCF failure prediction on left rail on the curved section.
90% of that obtained for the locomotive only as the number of wagon axles are significantly
higher than the number of locomotive axles in this train configuration (4 locomotives and
160 wagons). Hence, the corrected MGT requirement to generate RCF of 0.374 × 10−6 for
the train configuration at 6200 m would be 6.08/0.9 = 6.75 MGT. The equivalent RCF cor-
responding to 100MGT would be 0.374∗ 100/6.75 = 5.5 × 10−6 which is still considered
severe based on the classification in Table 1.
22 S. AHMAD ET AL.
Figure 12. Predictive RCF states of severity considering an equivalent RCF value corresponding to 100
MGT using the DT method [left rail on a curve in the example case].
In another way, the traffic requirement to reach the equivalent RCF damage index for
100MGT can be calculated to provide a plot of MGT corresponding to RCF levels (MGT
for RCFs∗ equivalent RCF for 100MGT/ RCF at track location). Following this method,
the RCF data of the DT method has been made equivalent to the 100MGT RCF severity
function to assess RCF severity along the curved section of the track (Figure 12). The rail
reaches heavy RCF at about 9.1 MGT at 6383 m but it may take 24 MGT to reach heavy
RCF at about 6200 m.
7. Discussion
A big challenge for the usage of multibody numerical simulations in the DT method is
its high computation effort. Calculation of rail surface damage requires a high-fidelity
contact model, input from train operation, co-simulation between LTS and MBS, and
co-simulation between MBS and a traction model which requires a high computation
effort and communication between different software interfaces. To reduce computation
effort, some components in the multibody model can be removed or simplified to achieve
a required output parameter set within a shorter calculation time, examples of which are
available in [50]. Several simplified models can be developed and verified based on the
need to reduce simulation time. Models can be run in parallel using High-Performance
Computing (HPC) clusters to reduce the overall time required for the simulation task.
The suitability of a DT in the field of rail vehicle dynamics systems would rely on many
simulation cases corresponding to measured operating and physical parameters. The data
server would need to be enhanced using measured and corresponding simulated data over
the time of operation to improve the prediction model. Rail wear rate decreases with an
increase in rail hardness [51], while modified wheel and rail profiles and lubrication meth-
ods can reduce wear [52]. Rail maintenance such as grinding removes RCF initiation cracks
VEHICLE SYSTEM DYNAMICS 23
from the rail. Hence, following a grinding operation the models need to be updated by set-
ting RCF as zero and corresponding data in the data server needs to be updated to fulfil
the requirement of DT.
The predictive analysis tool presented in this paper can be considered as a guide to pro-
duce multiple plots for various conditions. The results in Figure 12 showed that a light and a
medium level of RCF could be generated at about 4 and 8 MGT respectively which matches
with the economic grinding interval suggested in [53]. Grassie [53] suggested implement-
ing a preventive grinding cycle at 5–8 MGT on curves lower than 600 m radius which can
be increased to 12–25MGT when premium rails, clean rail, and intermediate gauge relief
on the curve are added.
It can also be seen that RCF damage was decreasing along the curve between 6200 and
6400 m (Figure 12). The reduced RCF would also mean an increase in wear as average
Tgamma values were above 150Nm/m on the curved section (Figure 9(e)). The decision
to change physical conditions or modify the twin (in DT terms) would need engineering
assumptions and justification of the consequences regarding the effects on Tgamma, RCF
and wear conditions. As an example, increased wear would remove the material from the
top of the rail. Depending on the wear rate, the material removal by the wear process can
prevent RCF by removing the cracks, and grinding may not be necessary. Such a wear rate
is known as the magic wear rate [49]. Magic wear rate can also be maintained by removing
small amounts of rail material at frequent intervals [54]. On a curved track, the dynamics
of traction may also reduce cracks on the low rail by imposing braking force on the low
rail that may drive the faces of the cracks together as argued in a hypothesis mentioned
in [8].
It can be noted that the results in this paper were obtained for the leading locomotive
only operating at a high traction mode. In operation, it is necessary to include the results
of all traction conditions that would be likely to occur on the track route and under vari-
ous vehicle operational conditions. Further to that, analysis of a complete train operation
including all wagons would improve the prediction of rail surface damage.
The data server can be used to provide inputs to the physical system to achieve other
objectives as required such as an increase of speed to reduce wear on the low rail of a curve.
In such a situation, rail wear can be managed without interrupting traffic using updated
driving strategies, speed board changes, etc. The example case shown in this paper would
require manual changes such as rail grinding once a predicted tonnage has been passed.
8. Conclusion
A DT for prediction of rail surface damage has been proposed. The results showed that it
is possible to apply DT in a rail surface damage study.
A comparative analysis showed that DT provides a better estimate of the traction force
component compared to the DS approach which would allow a better computation of rail
surface damage parameters.
In the case of a rail surface damage study, one of the big challenges in implementing DT
is the computation effort.
A predictive maintenance tool based on RCF data assessment has been proposed that
can be used to evaluate the severity of RCF damage at locations along the track.
24 S. AHMAD ET AL.
Acknowledgements
The editing contribution of Mr. Tim McSweeney (Adjunct Research Fellow, Centre for Railway
Engineering) is gratefully acknowledged.
Disclosure statement
No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).
Funding
This work was supported by the Australasian Centre for Rail Innovation under its HH03B project:
Quantifying the impact on track maintenance of high traction locomotives.
ORCID
Sanjar Ahmad http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8759-9041
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