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Cit and Cri New Cri Urb The
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Recognising the deep relations among politics, finance, cities and citizens, this book argues
Innovative, crisp and groundbreaking, this title is a must for anyone interested in urban life and
its rapid movements. It will be especially useful for students and researchers in Urban Sociology,
Planning, Geography, Urban and Regional Development and Urban Studies.
Edited by
Fujita Edited by Kuniko Fujita
ISBN-13: 978-1-4462-7531-3
SAGE STUDIES IN
INTERNATIONAL SOCIOLOGY
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Contents
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List of Figures
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List of Figures ix
List of Tables
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List of Tables xi
The Editor
The Contributors
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About the Contributors xiii
Review (16: 2, 2006), Les sociétés d’ Europe du XXe au XXIe siècle (2009),
From Marxism to Postmarxism? (2010) The World. A Beginner’s Guide
(2011), Capital Cities in Africa (co-ed, with S. Bekker, 2011). He is cur-
rently working on processes of inequality, and on a global project on Cities
of Power.
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About the Contributors xv
Ryan Hicks, who has a Masters in City and Regional Planning from the
Cornell University’s College of Architecture, Art, and Planning, is
Community Development Associate at APD Solutions in Atlanta, as well
as Senior Research Specialist at Emory University’s Center For Community
Partnerships.
Stefan Gärtner, Ph.D. is Head of the research unit ‘Spatial Capital’ at the
Institute Work and Technology in Gelsenkirchen and lectureship at
the Faculty of Social Science, Ruhr-University Bochum (both in Germany).
Master and PhD in Spatial Planning at the University of Dortmund. Stefan
combines working experiences at a savings bank and long lasting research
experience in the following areas: Regional banking, space, place and
money economy, regional and corporate cultural studies, urban and
regional development, integrated local economic development, structural
and cohesion policy. Academic awards: Honour Award ‘Foundation of
German Cities, Communities, and Districts for the Promotion of Municipal
Sciences 2002’ granted by the German Institute of Urban Affairs (Difu),
Berlin and European Savings Banks Academic Award 2008 (1st place
winner) granted by the European Savings Banks Group, Brussels.
Memberships and others: Invited Expert for hearings in the State Parliament
of North Rhine-Westphalia and Saxony on ‘The future of savings and
regional banks’ and Membership in the Urban and Regional Development
Committee (RC21), Society for Structural Policy [Gesellschaft für
Strukturpolitik], and Regional Studies Association (RSA).
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About the Contributors xvii
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1
Introduction: Cities and Crisis:
New Critical Urban Theory1
Kuniko Fujita
The extraordinary event of the 2008 global financial crisis calls for the
reinvigoration of urban theory. The 2008 crisis began with an American
spectacular housing bubble and followed catastrophic bust. It then trig-
gered similar crises and panics in many parts of the world. It was a seismic
global event. Nothing could help understand the crisis of this magnitude
and its relations to cities better than history and theory. History and theory
tell that it was the biggest financial crisis since the Great Depression of the
1930s and that there is Keynesian macroeconomic theory to fight crisis
effects. The crisis, therefore, ultimately presents new challenges to urban
theory, in particular, contemporary urban theories which have failed to
grasp the historical and theoretical perspective of capitalist financial crises.
Going into the sixth year, the crisis aftermath and infliction still evolve.
Let alone solving the fundamentally internal cause of the crisis – the
unfettered financial industry – nowhere have effective urban and national
political and policy responses appeared to get out of the crisis aftermath.
Despite historical lessons and the availability of Keynesian macro-
economic theory to alleviate crisis-induced economic slumps, wrong
politics and policies – including the denying of the 2008 crisis as the
major financial crisis2 and austerity policies of slashing spending and
raising taxes as elixir for an economic recovery – have led cities and
nations to launch into an even more prolonged recession than an already
predicted long-term slump period that typically follows a financial crisis.
The depressed economy continues to accompany debt deflation and high
unemployment in crisis-inflicted countries (OECD, 2012).
Global imbalances, which played an external cause of the 2008 crisis,
are also still left untouched. Referring to differences between spending
and saving in national current accounts among countries, global imbalances
between developed countries, in particular, the United States which spent
(consumed and imported) more than saved (produced and exported), and
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2 Kuniko Fujita
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Introduction 3
aboveground – they are figured into share prices; companies are borrowing
money against them; nations are basing their budgets on the presumed
returns from their patrimony.5 The scariest number, 2,795 gigatons, is,
according to Elizabeth Kolbert (2012), one of the most salient – but also,
unfortunately, the most counterintuitive aspect of global warming is that it
operates on what amounts to a time delay. Behind summer heat in 2012
were greenhouse gases emitted decades ago. Before many effects of
today’s emissions are felt, it will be time for the Summer Olympics
of 2048. Kolbert (2012) claims that it is quite possible that by the end of
the century we could, without even really trying, engineer the return
of the sort of climate that has not been seen on earth since the Ecocene,
some fifty million years ago. The 2008 crisis has thus far-reaching
implications for the global climate catastrophe and challenges the global
environment.
Cities have played an important role in the crisis. They have embodied
what the crisis and its aftermath meant in the spatially condensed form.
While history and theory tell that common patterns in the nature of a
financial crisis emerge across nations and regions as well as very divergent
institutional settings, urban crisis experience differs from city to city
as does from a nation to a nation, depending upon the national and
regional configurations in which bubbles took place. Some cities
experienced unsustainable bubbles in the housing construction industry
and witnessed the reckless practices of unfettered banks and shadow banks
as well as their citizens’ debt consumption growth, while others experienced
inflated economic and consumption booms and expanded financial and
public sectors that depended upon the inflows of foreign capital and
investment.
When the bubbles burst and severe recessions followed, cities experi-
enced catastrophic busts and faced an enormous waste and human
sufferings – the loss of jobs, in particular, the sudden surge of unemployed
youth; housing closures; business bankruptcies; the disappearance of
retirement funds; dwindling employment and education opportunities; the
growth of child poverty; declined social and welfare services; and ulti-
mately the loss of hope. Yet, urban experience in catastrophic busts and
recessions too, varies from city to city, depending on national and regional
policy responses to busts and recessions.
Cities have also become central to protest movements in the post-
bubble era as they traditionally were in the troubled times before. Occupy
Wall Street movement emerged in New York City.6 Symbolizing their
“We are 99%” slogan, occupiers protested the growth of income inequa-
lity and government’s bailout of banks (Beals, et al., 2011; Reich, 2012a;
Greenburg, 2012; Byrne, 2012). Occupy movement spread to countless
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4 Kuniko Fujita
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Introduction 5
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Introduction 7
And finally, DeLong and Eichengreen (2012) contend that the parallels
between Europe in the 1930s and Europe today are stark, striking, and
increasingly frightening. They claim that financial instability and distress
are widespread and that there is growing political support for extremist
parties of the far left and right as in the 1930s.
in a market system left to itself, and that there was therefore a continuous
role for government in ensuring that they did not happen” and that “deep
slumps were not ‘one in a century event’, but an ever-present possibility”
(Skidelsky, 2009a: xvii).
Marxists are perhaps best to explain the 2008 crisis as the deep-seated
systemic failure of capitalism (Smith, 2010; Meszaros and Foster, 2010;
Harvey, 2010; Albo, et al., 2010). But they offer neither any other cause
than capital accumulation crisis nor any other solution than a revolution-
ary movement leading to socialism. Too much disappointment to the left
and progressive, there was no revolutionary movement by the working
class anywhere in the wake of the crisis. If there was such a moment as the
public’s taking over banking, that moment was long gone. The crisis did
not bring any sign for the new era of revolution anywhere. But David
Harvey (2012) claims that the Occupy movement in New York City and
urban movements in many cities of the world are signs that the deep cur-
rents of social and political change rise to the surface.9 Harvey may be
right. There needs to be seen, however, an evidence that protest move-
ments would turn into a revolutionary movement.
Keynes agreed with Marx in that a financial crisis was inherent to the
market economy. But unlike Marx, Keynes did not believe that a crisis
would lead to socialism. In the midst of rising fascism in Europe and
authoritarian planned economy in the Soviet Union, Keynes was worried
that unless governments took steps to stabilize market economies at full
employment, the undoubted benefit of markets would be lost and political
space would be opened up for extremists who would offer to solve the
economic problem by abolishing markets, peace, and liberty. Europe now
faces similar conditions with the rise of extreme right-wing politics as in
Keynes’ time. Skidelsky (2009a) argues that Keynes was rather conservative
and wished to save capitalism from such rising authoritarian economies.
Keynes’ solution was to create full employment through public spending
so that an increased demand from full employment would encourage the
private sector to invest and produce more. Expansionary public policy
was, Keynes wrote in The General Theory, the only way that could restore
the economy back on a recovery path. He wrote that when the economy is
in a liquidity trap, the private sector cannot make investment and production
as many companies are on debt and high unemployment rates make market
demand low (Krugman, 2011a). It is only the government that could make
investments and create more jobs and thus more demand. In the US, F.D.
Roosevelt’s New Deal policy was directed to Keynesian macroeconomic
policy, while promoting unions, raising wages and increasing government
investment and employment. Then, the war economy – the expansionary
government spending policy – that followed the New Deal firmly put the
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Introduction 9
helped small financial crises grow big like the Great Depression in the
1930s in the developed world but did so by channeling instability to the
developing world like sovereign debt crises in Latin America.
The crisis theory raised by Keynes and Minsky implies that the future of
the market is uncertain and sooner or later bound to be unstable so that
governments need to embrace in no-crisis time full employment policy,
reduction of debt in balance sheets, regulation, and institutions which
would reduce uncertainty and instability.
Which group of population is a government rescue policy directed at?
Who is going to be saved? Investors? Bankers? As Keynes addressed in
the 1930s, who to be saved would be the working people. This is also the
position of Keynesian economists today (Stiglitz, 2010a; Romer, 2011;
Krugman, 2012a; DeLong and Summers, 2012; Portes, 2012; EPI, 2009;
Blinder, 2013). In particular, Krugman (2012a) vehemently advocates the
creation of jobs to the unemployed through government expansionary
policy in the US and Europe. To Keynes, the bailout of failed banks that
the US, the UK, Spain, Ireland , Greece, and Cyprus did in the 2008 crisis
and its aftermath could not have been accepted unless the unemployed
were also bailed out through expansionary public policy that leads to
create full employment. In the case of the US, government officials eagerly
served Wall Street interests at the public’s expense (Sorkin, 2009) and
regulators were captured by the very industry they were supposed to be
regulating and did not serve the public interest as they should.12 Keynes
maintained that investors (and bankers) who took risks should be left
alone. Krugman (2012c) also belatedly acknowledges that the unconditional
bailout of banks might not be the best policy. Furthermore, Keynes
repeatedly maintained that full employment was the best policy not only in
the crisis time but also in the normal time as the future of market economy
was uncertain.
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Introduction 11
the “IS curve,”14 which shows how the equilibrium interest rate from
loanable funds varies with the level of GDP. Then, Krugman (2010) argues
that Keynes’s liquidity preference – the demand for money – needs to be
added to the general theory of interests, which Hicks represented with the
“LM curve.”15 Keynes made it clear that under depression conditions,
which mean a liquidity trap, the interest rate is entirely determined by
liquidity preference (Krugman, 1998, 2009b; Eggertsson and Krugman,
2011). Krugman (2009a) and Koo (2008) maintain that Japan proved
Keynes theory. Japan had had the fiscal deficits of over 200 percent of GDP
but interest rates for short-term loans and government bonds have remained
near zero for almost two decades. The current situations of the UK and the
US show the same liquidity trap where interest rates are low or near zero.
Notwithstanding evidences from Keynesian liquidity trap theory, politi-
cal leaders and policy makers in the US and the European Union have turned
to austerity politics and policies as they have, under their disguised concerns
with fiscal deficits, high interest rates, inflation, and bond market investors,
politically sided with bankers who wanted to get their money back sooner
with high interest rates under austerity policy. In the US, policy responses to
the crisis by classical economists have all proved to be wrong: Initial gov-
ernment expansionary spending in the US neither raised interest rates nor
inflation. Nevertheless, political leaders and policy makers have relied upon
the debunked classical supply side theory and feared that fiscal deficits
caused by public spending would deter investors from investment, lead to a
shortage of funds and thus raise interest rates.
When the crisis makes fiscal deficits worse than the normal time as tax
revenues from profits and income decline and requires government spend-
ing on social services like unemployment insurance and food stamps, aus-
terity policy of cutting public spending in the liquidity trap would choke the
economy. Krugman (2012b) contends that austerity policy does not benefit
the great masses of people who need government to be on their side now
more than ever. Austerity policy threatens unnecessarily to further prolong
the typical recovery that would take, history tells, considerably long time.16
Indeed, it was lessons and knowledge from history and the Keynesian crisis
theory that initially kept the 2008 crisis from repeating the same gravest
Great Depression-type crisis. Internationally coordinated expansionary
policy saved the world economy from a freefall. But lessons were half-glass
full to political leaders and policy makers who soon turned to austerity poli-
cies elsewhere.
What does government borrowing do, then? It gives some of those
excess savings a place to go – and in the process expands overall demand,
and hence GDP. Krugman (2009b) contends that government spending
(borrowing) does not crowd out private spending, at least not until the
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12 Kuniko Fujita
excess supply of savings has been supped up, which is the same thing as
saying not until the economy has escaped from the liquidity trap. Now,
there are real problems with large-scale government borrowing – mainly,
the effect on the government debt burden. Irving Fisher summarized
American experience in the 1930s as “debt deflation” (Krugman, 2010).
And Krugman (2012b) claims that today’s entire austerity death spiral in
Europe illustrates Fisher’s debt deflation.
Debt-financed public investments create jobs and are essentially self-
financed and federal spending on rail lines, green energy, and education
would lead to higher productivity and higher living standards (Irons and
Bivens, 2010; Pollack, 2012; Grunwald, 2012). Public investment now has
an effect on private sector productivity, at a rate of as much as 45 percent.
Moreover, just $250 billion a year for a decade would boost GDP to 2.8
percent by 2021 (it would be 0.9 percent otherwise). And because money
is so cheap right now, and services are offered at such deep discounts,
there’s no better time to invest. All that expense, like the best long-term
investments, would pay for themselves eventually. The wealth of the
United States is crucially dependent on public investments and public
capital. Weiss (2013) also argues for public spending and claims that there
is a striking correlation between the decline of infrastructure and the rise
of inequality over the past four decades. The more the money goes to the
top 1 percent income earners, the more the rest 99 percent deal with
potholes, decrepit bridges, rusting rail cars, and the rest. If spending on
infrastructure is the best way to create jobs, boost demand, and heal the
economy, why aren’t we doing that?
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Introduction 13
In Europe, the European Central Bank (ECB) did exactly what a central
bank would not do in the crisis: increasing interest rates and tightening
bond markets by letting Europe’s southern periphery’s interest rates hike.
Krugman argues that despite the Keynesian crisis theory that could pro-
vide intellectual underpinnings for policies to better manage and reduce
the likelihood of future financial crises, politicians and policy makers are
trying to walk in the new dark age unwisely and wastefully (2012a:
91–105).
Banks are important and special in society (Shiller, 2012), because the
risks they take are borne, in large part, by taxpayers and the economy as a
whole. Institutions backed by taxpayer guarantees and playing a key role
in the financial system should not have any business engaging in “propri-
etary trading,” basically speculating with depositors’ money.17 Investment
banks like JPMorgan made a huge bet on the safety of corporate debt,
something like the bets that the insurer A.I.G. made on housing debt before
the 2008 crisis (Morganson and Rosner, 2011). Yet, history tells that
banking is, and always has been, subject to occasional destructive “panics,”
which can wreak havoc on the economy as a whole (Schlarick and Taylor,
2012). In the 1930s, the scope for panic was limited due to government-
backed deposit insurance and bank regulations like Glass-Steagall Act
which came into law in 1933 and separated investment and commercial
banks. Banks with government-guaranteed deposits weren’t allowed to
engage in the risky speculation characteristic of investment banks. This
system gave the US half a century of relative financial stability. Since the
1980s, new forms of banking without government guarantees proliferated,
while both conventional and new fangled banks were allowed to take on
ever-greater risks after the drop of the Glass-Steagall Act in 1999. The
twenty-first century version of a Gilded Age banking panic, with terrible
consequences, arrived in 2008 (Krugman, 2012a).
Global Imbalances
Global saving glut
Global imbalances and financial crises are closely related. Global
imbalances are differences between spending and saving in national
current accounts among countries. The world trade and worldwide money
flows created global imbalances between countries as was seen earlier.
Excess money always looks for investment for profits worldwide.18 Global
saving glut inflows into US Treasuries and US private label asset based
securities (ABS), in particular, sizable capital inflows from European
investors into ABS, contributed to the crisis in the US (Bertaut, et al.,
2011).19
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14 Kuniko Fujita
Yet, what made the global imbalances in the 2008 crisis particularly
striking was a function of the complex integration of emerging markets
in the global economy. It was saving-glut in China, the Middle East,
Brazil and other emerging markets that in part led to the American
bubble (Fratzscher, 2011). The emerging markets developed and grew
spectacularly in the pre-crisis years, while engaging in more exports
than imports and thus in more production than consumption. Then, their
accumulated trade surplus made an inroad to US Treasury securities and
semipublic mortgage companies like Fannie Mae. They made investment
in US Treasury bills primarily because the dollar was the world reserve
currency. Holding the dollar would give them two advantages. First, they
could hold down their exchange rates, domestic prices, wages, and con-
sumption. In so doing, they could keep their export growth and competi-
tiveness. Second, they could keep from the influence of the Washington
Consensus – the US Treasury Department, the IMF, and Wall Street. They
learned lessons from their past financial crises in which they had gone
through the severely austere monetary policy imposed by the Washington
Consensus, which advocated neoliberal policies for developing countries:
free trade, privatization, deregulation, balanced budgets, inflation target-
ing, and floating exchange rates. In the 1997 Asian crisis, when financial
inflows from abroad in the form of hot money basically led to bubbles,
high interest rates were enforced as part of austerity policy by the
Washington Consensus led banks and businesses to bankruptcy and left
populations suffering from the crisis effects in countries like Thailand,
Indonesia, South Korea, and Hong Kong (Fujita, 2000). When the 2008
crisis occurred in the US, US Treasury Department took the reverse policy
of the Washington Consensus: lowering interest rates to near zeros and
recapitalization of banks.
But the other side of saving-glut was low mortgage interest rates and
debt-financed consumption in the United States. Ben Bernanke, the US
Federal Reserve chairman, and American economists contended that the
2008 crisis was caused by cheap credit supply provided by Chinese
investment in the US (Wolf, 2008; Bernanke, 2013). But it was
simultaneously the Federal Reserve’s policy that made plenty of easy
money available after the 2001 dot-com crisis. The Federal Reserve did
little to supervise and regulate the financial system and instead helped
create the unsustainable boom that attracted these Third World savings in
the first place (Skidelsky, 2009b; Roubini and Mihm, 2010). Roubini and
Mihm contend that the Federal Reserve policy, more than any “global
saving glut,” helped create the housing boom in the US, leading to an
increase in residential investment financed with savings from other
countries (2010: 250).
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Introduction 15
Robert Triffen (1956) foresaw coming of the external cause of the 2008
crisis – that the dollar’s hegemony would drive foreign countries to run
trade surpluses with the US and reserve the dollar as “the world currency.”
Triffen then predicted that this would undermine power of the US economy.
And the 2008 crisis did just that.
American debt dependence on foreign money consisted of about 30
percent of the total debt at the wake of the catastrophic bust, while the rest
owed to American domestic institutions and citizens. Upon the bubble
burst, debt-based consumption could not go on and American household
debt came down quickly in the few years after the bubble burst. American
consumers have not been spending since then, contributing to debt defl-
ation and the depressed state of the economy. Besides, the collapse of
financial markets makes it impossible for savings to be channeled into
investment. DeLong (2012) writes that financial markets’ ability to price
relative risks and returns sensibly has been broken at a deep level, leaving
them incapable of doing their job: bearing and managing risk in order to
channel savings to entrepreneurial ventures.
Global solution?
Keynes’ solution to global imbalances was the Bretton Woods agreement
that replaced the UK controlled international gold standards system in 1944
(Eichengreen, 1996; Steil, 2013). Then, the Bretton Woods treaty backed
by the geopolitical power of the US in the post WWII collapsed in 1971
when the US abandoned the dollar based gold system. Developed countries
moved to the floating system. And yet the cold war made it possible for the
US to play the dominant role in the floating system (Eichengreen, 2010).
But with the end of the cold war, the rise of developing countries, and the
arrival of the euro, it was difficult to maintain geopolitics that sustained the
dollar as the international reserve currency. Then, the 2008 crisis came and
imposed the urgent need for a new architect to create an international treaty
like the new Bretton Woods agreement. Its realization will, however, face
dauntingly geopolitical difficulties.
The new global solution requires the global geopolitical shift from the
current US dollar regime to the new world currency reserve system
(Eichengreen, 2010; Stiglitz, 2010b). Skidelsky contends that a willingness
to end global imbalances depend on a willingness to accept geopolitical
balance. If an American empire on borrowed money is rejected, other
political centers – the European Union (EU), China, Japan, Latin America,
the Middle East – will have to assume responsibility for their own security
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Introduction 17
by way of regional alliances, in which the US can take part, but not the
dominant part (Skidelsky, 2009a: 191–192). Yet, Cohen and DeLong
bluntly argue that the ability of the US to play the dominant role is limited
as the US simply does not have money.
A much more extensive group of stakeholders – BRICS and other
countries – that make up the ascendant G-20 – has, Cohen and DeLong
(2010) also argue, more money and these increasingly powerful nations will
profoundly shape the handlings of future crises. BRICS are, nonetheless,
severely divided today and unlikely to reach the consensus in years to come
(Bremmer and Roubini, 2011; Yardly, 2012). In political terms, China,
India, and Russia vie with each other for power in Asia. And in economic
terms, Brazil, India, and South Africa are concerned about the effects of
China’s undervalued currency on their economies. The lack of unity among
BRICS is apparent in recently proposed their development bank (Polgreen,
2013). Their development bank is to challenge the dominance of the World
Bank and IMF in dollar-based international reserve system. While BRIC is
unlikely to become a serious political organization of like-minded states
(Nye, 2013) and set out to solve their own global imbalances.
The external cause of the crisis no doubt necessitates more global efforts
in order to keep from another big global financial crisis and save the global
economy and the environment (United Nations, 2009). A new global
currency reserve system should be on the agenda nationally and
internationally. But such global efforts have so far failed and are unlikely
to bear fruit in the foreseeable future.
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Introduction 19
European crisis
The euro crisis now undermines the existence of the EU. It has revealed
the fundamental problems of the EU: democracy, regional gap in income
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20 Kuniko Fujita
and growth, and internal social inequality.31 The architects of the euro dis-
regarded warnings about standard optimum currency, or anticipated that
the institutional framework necessary to support the euro would eventu-
ally follow. Kenen (1969) argued that grand monetary integration was not
ready without the establishment of fiscal integration. Mundel (1968) also
argued that labor integration was necessary for optimum currency area.32
Guided by grand ideals of peace and democracy, EU leaders never dreamed
of an immanently dangerous situation like the 2008 financial crisis and the
sovereign debt crisis of GIPSI, Iceland and Cyprus. As seen earlier, the
euro monetary system enabled the periphery to have huge monetary
inflows from Northern Europe, in particular, Germany. These inflows
made the bubble and the bubble burst. Then, the euro zone was caught in
a deflationary debt trap today as Soro (2012) argues. Wolf (2012) also
contends that a fiat currency backed by heterogeneous sovereigns is irre-
mediably fragile. It is European leaders as the architects of the euro that
can be blamed to have caused the European crisis.
The sovereign debt crisis revealed that the EU consisted of nation-states
that had their own elected officials and governments, their own decision-
makings and their own budgets. Let alone fiscal and political integration,
the EU has neither a credible long-term plan nor political consensus about
borrowing by local governments and private companies even today.33
Krugman argues that the EU problems cannot be solved without the estab-
lishment of a federal government like the United States (2012a: 183). Or
the EU project will fail. And yet, fiscal integration does not guarantee to
save the EU. As Dani Rodrik argued back in 2000, EU member nations
now face “trilemma” – deep economic integration, democratic politics,
and autonomy of nation-states – they can have only two of them in the
crisis but not all three.34 The crisis has disclosed incompatibility of the
three and thus the impossibility of the EU project. Despite all efforts of EU
leaders to solve the sovereign debt crisis, EU’s flawed policies – austerity
and internal devaluation – and flawed institutional arrangements remain
intact. 35
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Introduction 21
percent in the US, while the growth of income inequality was well
documented (Piketty and Saez, 2003, 2010; EPI, 2009; CBO, 2011; IRS
2011; Mishel, 2012a).
According to the Congressional Budget Office (2011), the top 1 percent
of the population took a lion’s share of wealth growth between 1979 and
2007. Their average real after-tax household income grew by 275 percent,
while the rest 99 percent rest and the middle class gained modestly (CBO,
2011).36
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Introduction 23
relations between crises and inequality growth.37 Given the central role of
cities in the concentration and manifestation of bubbles and busts and the
followed recessions, the absence of the crisis perspective is even much
more deplorable. There is no discussion about whether urban develop-
ment, the quality of urban life, and cultural and creative projects are firmly
based on balanced sheets or supported by debt foreign finance. For
instance, global capital flows made it possible for Bilbao and other cities
to ascend as creative cities before the crisis. But as soon as global capital
retreated from Spain upon the crisis, Bilbao, Barcelona and other Spanish
cities faced the catastrophic bust. Have contemporary urban theories
looked into the cities’ balance sheets and Spanish current accounts for
inflated housing construction and cultural projects? When the 2008 crisis
occurred, what could they say about it? They can narrowly focus on either
subprime mortgage meltdown (Aalbers, 2009a, 2011, 2012; Harvey, 2010)
as the cause of the crisis or selected developed countries (Aalbers, 2009b)
neglecting other fundamental causes38 and the involvement of developing
countries through global imbalances. As a result, their interpretation of the
crisis tends to follow mainstream classical (or neoclassical) economics
and ideologies.
There is nowhere like urban theory area that the globalization myths
were popularized in and applied in great deal to. In particular, global city
and global network theories absurdly empowered so-called “global city”
like London and New York, while relegating nation-states to irrelevance in
the world economy. These urban theories interpret that global forces –
represented by multinational corporations, global financial system, and
information technology – have empowered cities and weakened the power
of nation-states in the contemporary global economy. But the crisis proved
otherwise.
It is also true that the 2008 crisis has inflicted pains upon every corner
of the world economy. But this is not because of global myths and
some contemporary urban theory claim that we live in the more
globally interconnected world than in the 1920s and 1930s or that banks
are so internationally connected. But as mentioned earlier and Pickvance
(2013) writes in this volume, it is primarily because conditions for
the crisis preexisted in various national contexts and unsustainable bubbles
and debts were well under way and ready to burst in some other countries
like the UK, Iceland, and Spain when the 2008 crisis broke out in the
US. As seen earlier, historically and empirically developed crisis
theory tells that all crises are caused by diverse internal and external
factors.
The crisis effects on nations and regions vary accordingly, depending on
the kind and nature of national banking systems and debt levels as Gartner
(2013) points out in this volume. National crisis policy responses also
vary, depending upon national politics and institutions. The 2008 crisis
revealed that while finance went global, financial regulation remained a
national affair. It was national governments that wielded power in crisis
policy from the bailing out of the failed banks to providing the safety nets
for the unemployed and that kept the social fabric of nations intact. This is
even true in the eurozone where more regional integration was in principle
expected as Souliotis (2013) explains in this volume. At the city level,
crisis responses and effects are even much greater as Indergaard (2013)
writes on New York and Fujita (2013) writes on Tokyo.
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Introduction 25
Cyprus fiasco is a strong indicator that there will not be any more unregu-
lated global capital flow. The revelation also means the end of global city
and global city network theories that have heavily relied upon the American
model of the global financial industry (Therborn, 2011; Fujita, 2011).
Global city proponents base their hypotheses on global capital mobility
that they see has superseded nation-states. They see global cities as finance
and producer services centers, having replaced the nation-states as the
primary global players in the world economy (Sassen, 1991; Taylor, et al.,
2006). They contend that global cities are coming to dominate the world
economy.
They even contend that global urban network or world city network
challenges conventional, state-centric social science interpretation of
globalization and that transnational spatial relations have become a key
analytical lens through which to study the geographies of contemporary
globalization (Derudder and Witlox, 2010). Their studies primarily focus
on assessing and ranking cities according to their functions such as
financial services, legal services, and advertising (Taylor, et al., 2010).
Even cities in the developing world like Bangkok, Cairo, Hong Kong, and
Sao Paulo are also studied in the same way to follow the global city claims
in the West (Gugler, 2004). Similarly, networked cities are emphasized as
the impact of information technology on cities and argued to open up the
brave new world (Castells, 1992, 2000, 2011).
Despite their interests in globalization, the proponents of these theories
have not sought for the complexity of the globally integrated finance
industry which heavily operates on risky leveraging and inevitably faces
the danger of deleveraging sooner or later (Lewis, 2010; Hale, 2011;
Stiglitz, 2010a; 2010b; Morganson and Rosner, 2011). They have no clue
to answer the following questions: What does the role of globally increased
financial integration mean to cities? To what extent are cities exposed to
risks of leveraging and deleveraging by international banks via their local
banks? To what extent can local banks access the information about
international banking operations? How important is leverage and liquidity
shortage in local banks to cities? Are there any urban policies that address
the implications of global financial integration? How effective are different
policies such as reserve accumulation and capital controls in protecting
urban economies from a financial crisis, national or global? Is there any
variation in the financial architecture from city to city or nation to nation?
Despite banks’ dependence on national governments for rescue in past
financial crises in the US, East and Southeast Asia, Scandinavia, and
Latin America, global city proponents have kept insisting on the ahistorical
and utopian global city view uprooted from any financial crisis and
nation-states.
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26 Kuniko Fujita
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Introduction 27
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Introduction 29
The crisis perspective leads us to reckon with the reality that market
economy, which is inherently unstable, cannot be escaped from a financial
crisis, the reality of globalization that global imbalances may lead to a
financial crisis and exacerbate the global environment, and the correlation
that urban inequality growth is related to the financial crisis. New critical
urban theory must embrace the crisis perspective. Chapters in this book
attempt to do that.
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Introduction 31
urban explanation that the subprime crisis in the US played a crucial and
necessary role in the US and UK financial crisis via the global intercon-
nections between banks. Pickvance provides the cause of the UK financial
crisis in “Conflicting Interpretations of the UK Financial crisis: Was the
US Subprime Crisis the Prime Mover?” Pickvance argues that the banking
systems in the US and UK had developed in a fundamentally unstable way
and that this was the primary cause of the financial crises, with the sub-
prime crisis playing at most a contributory role. By using the sociology of
knowledge, Pickvance explores how various state crisis policy proposals
and banking reforms have exposed the instability of the UK banking
system, the direction of state interests and the realistic position of state’s
relations with the city of London and global forces (international banks).
And he reaches the conclusion that the minimal degree of reform in the
banking system and its regulation shows the continuing dominance of the
finance sector over government, relative to households and business.
Pickvance warns that a future banking crisis is entirely possible.
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Introduction 33
crisis. The destiny of the city is not shaped by local or even national elites
but by intra-EU interstate relations. Souliotis concludes that urban realities
in Greece and contradictions inherent in the EU governance system may
change the EU’s top-down policy.
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Introduction 35
changes are the cause of growing class inequality, poverty, and social and
spatial polarization in cities. But a financial crisis may cause the growth of
income inequality and social polarization as the 2008 crisis triggered much
study on relations between financial crises and income inequality growth in
the United States. Kuniko Fujita (2013) investigates the case of Tokyo,
focusing on Japan’s two financial crises: the 1990 crisis and the 2008 global
financial crisis in “Financial Crises and Spatial Income Inequality: The Case
of Tokyo.” Looking into spatial income inequality growth among Tokyo’s
neighborhoods, Fujita argues that there is a strong correlation between
Japan’s two financial crises and Tokyo’s spatial income inequality growth
patterns. Fujita also shows that spectacular bubbles were concentrated in
Tokyo’s central core area, while catastrophic busts affected all neighborhoods
of Tokyo. Furthermore, Fujita presents Japan’s redistributional system and
national and urban politics and policies which keep the effects of the crises
on Tokyo’s spatial income inequality growth relatively moderate. Fujita
concludes that contrary to popular urban claims, the financial crises are the
main cause of Tokyo’s spatial income inequality growth.
Notes
1 This collection has been developed from papers presented in ISA-RC21 (Regional
and Urban Research Committee) program, XVII ISA World Congress of Sociology,
Gothenburg, Sweden, July 11–17, 2010.
2 Some people think of the 2008 crisis as one of typical cyclical financial crises that
have occurred numerously in the past and that have not inflicted much enduring damage
on the main street economy. Others also think that the financial industry has little relevance
to the main street economy—where the jobs, factories, and shops are. They, therefore,
think the crisis in the financial industry is irrelevant to the main street economy.
3 Continued recessions in many countries and in particular the deepening European
crisis have effected on the slow growth of developing countries (IMF, 2012).
4 McKibben (2012) also insists that many scientists think that any number much
above one degree involves a gamble and the odds become less and less favorable as the
temperature goes up.
5 Much of the profit in fossil-fuel companies like BP, Exsson, Gazprom and countries
like Saudi Arabia stems from a single historical accident: Alone among businesses and
countries, the fossil-fuel industry is allowed to dump its main waste, carbon dioxide, for
free. It is the fossil-fuel industry and countries which act like fossil-fuel companies that
oppose regulation and international accord on climate change (McKibben, 2012).
6 See more Occupy Movement at http://occupywallst.org/, http://interoccupy.net/.
7 Eichengreen and O’Rourke also argue that a major difference would be that a
recovery path from the crisis recession is slower in the current crisis than in the 1930s.
8 I relied on Keynesian macroeconomic theory which has proved right in the analysis
of the 2008 financial crisis. And I also relied on Keynesian economists, who provided, in
the words of Jonathan Portes (2012), empirically testable predictions that proved to be
broadly consistent with the data and base those predications on an analytic framework that
was persuasive. This does not mean that all Keynesian theories are without critiques. For
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36 Kuniko Fujita
example, Shiller (2011) criticizes Reinhart and Rogoff (2010) who argue that when
government debt exceeds 90 percent of GDP, countries suffer slower growth. Shiller points
out that Reinhart and Rogoff picked the 90 percent figure almost arbitrarily and chose
without explanation, to divide debt-to-GDP ratios into the following categories: under 30
percent, 30–60percent, and over 90 percent. Krugman also refutes their 90 percent figure
with historical evidences that the British economy grew under high degrees of debt in the
1950s and 1960s (Krugman, 2013).
9 The urban protest movements the crisis triggered may be broadly seen as a global
wave of social and political turmoil and instability in the early twenty-first century: the
Arab Spring in Cairo, riots in London (Ponticelli and Voth, 2011), Chilian student
protest movement in Santiago (Wilson, 2012), middle class protest movement in
New Delhi (Yardley, 2011), and protest against corruption and inequality in Dalian and
other Chinese cities (Bradsher, 2011). They express concerns for future, employment
prospects, security and sustainability by the young and working and middle classes living
in cities.
10 Finance then progresses from what Minsky called hedge, in which interests and
principal are repaid out of expected cash flow, to speculative, but debt needs to be rolled
over, and finally to Ponzi, in which both interest and principal are to be paid out of capital
gains (Wolf, 2012).
11 Following Polanyi (1944), Aglietta (1998) contends that the rise of finance capital
in the 1980s in the US and UK led to the collapse of the postwar regulation regime or
global Keynesian policy that essentially supported an unprecedented economic growth in
the world economy.
12 This is well documented in books by Washington insiders like the Federal Deposit
Insurance Corporation (FDIC) chairman Sheila Bair (2012), the Special Inspector General
in charge of the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) Niel Barofsky (2012), and the
former vice chairman of the Federal Reserve Board Alan Blinder (2013).
13 Krugman (2009a, 2009b) maintains that Keynes pointed out that the supply of
saving was endogenous, depending on the level of output or GDP.
14 IS represents Investment and Saving.
15 LM represents Loans and Money.
16 IMF (2012) has belatedly reached this conclusion in World Economic Outlook.
17 Wall Street fights to delay, water down and/or repeal reregulation and financial
reform such as Volcker Rule, which would prevent banks with government-guaranteed
deposits from such bets. If there is one lesson from the financial crisis, it is that unregulated
derivatives are prone to catastrophic failure. Yet nearly six years after the financial
meltdown, the multitrillion-dollar derivatives market is still dominated by a handful
of big banks in the US and reregulation is slow everywhere. Properly regulated, derivatives–
financial instruments that hedge risk, help to stabilize the economy. Unregulated, they are
all too easily converted into tools for vast speculation, as demonstrated by their role in
inflating the real estate bubble, amplifying the bust and provoking the bailouts. Even if they
don’t cause a meltdown, unregulated derivatives are economic threats. That’s because
derivatives have become deeply embedded in the market economy. Pension systems use
them to hedge investment risk. Food and energy companies use them to lock in crop and
energy prices. Airlines and manufacturers use them to lock in prices for fuel or metal. But
because there is no central exchange where derivatives’ prices are listed, no one knows if
the prices banks charge are reasonable.
18 The global imbalances may be called the global demand imbalance or global
imbalances between consumption and production or global payment imbalances or global
account imbalances or trade imbalances.
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Introduction 37
19 Both global saving glut inflows into Treasuries and European acquisitions of ABS
played a role in contributing to downward pressures on US interest rates (Bertaut, et al.,
2011).
20 The huge stimulus of RMB4 trillion ($586 billion) in November 2008, mostly
poured into loss-making state-owned enterprises via directed bank lending, sustained
China’s growth in the face of global recession. But the price was an increasingly serious
misallocation of capital, resulting in growing portfolios of bad loans, while excessive
Chinese household savings have inflated real-estate bubbles.
21 There are three ways this could happen: (1) deflation in the United States;
(2) inflation in the rest of the world; and (3) a depreciation of the dollar against other
currencies (Krugman, 2009b).
22 At the peak of the boom, Spain was building nearly a million houses a year. In
2012, it built a hundred and fifty thousand (Paumgarten, 2013).
23 The European Financial Stability Facility, the temporary bailout fund was created
by eurozone countries. Each member state can veto its actions, and loan guarantees are
issued by individual nations, not the Union as a whole. This dysfunctional decision-making
system has not improved since it began in late 2009. The European Commission has
gradually taken greater power in crisis responses but cannot come up with a correct solution
to satisfy divergent national interests.
24 Iceland also took a radical policy solution by letting banks go bankrupt and a usual
policy of devaluating its currency (Lewis, 2011).
25 MGI study shows that a long period of deleveraging nearly always follows a major
financial crisis. Deleveraging episodes are painful, lasting six to seven years on average
and reducing the ratio of debt to GDP by 25 percent. GDP typically contracts during the
first several years and then recovers (MGI, 2010).
26 To be competitive again, inflated wages in GIPSI must lower than those in
Germany. As the case of Ireland shows, internal devaluation takes a long time. Besides,
German labor market conditions compound the difficulty of narrowing wages gaps. Labor
is kept in the times of economic downturns in Germany (Norris, 2012b), while labor is fired
in bad times in Ireland and other European periphery. Differences in labor market policies
between Germany and the periphery make it even much harder to narrow competitive gaps
in the eurozone area.
27 Spanish bond interest rates continued to rise and remained high. Despite high
interest rates among GIPSI, a speech by Mario Draghi (2012), president of the ECB,
showed that the ECB did not grip with the urgent reality of the euro crisis.
28 Ahamed writes that Germany experienced the single greatest destruction of
monetary value in human history. By August 1923, a dollar was worth 620,000 marks
and by November 1923, 630 billion marks (Ahamed, 2009: 121). Hungary in 1945–46 and
Zimbabwe in 2008 experienced worse inflation than Germany. But Hungary then and
Zimbabwe in 2008 were tiny economies. Germany in the 1920s was the third largest
economy in the world (Ahamed, 2009: footnote on page 121).
29 A political veto by Germany blocked the boldest solutions proposed by many
economists, like mutualizing Europe’s debts, issuing common eurozone bonds or creating
a joint bank resolution and guarantee system. With countries locked into the single currency
and unable to devalue, the only option was for stronger member states to bail out the
weaklings while imposing eye-watering austerity conditions to make them cut public
spending, wages and pensions.
30 If national banks do not have excess reserves, they can borrow from their national
central banks which then borrow from the European Central Bank. The European Central
Bank gets the money mostly from the Bundesbank as the German banks have more deposits
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38 Kuniko Fujita
than they need, and they deposit money with the Bundesbank. The largest lender to the
European Central Bank under the program – 644 billion euros at last count – is the
Bundesbank. But the national banks of Luxembourg, Finland and the Netherlands are also
substantial creditors (Norris, 2012b).
31 According to Eurostat Newsrelease (2012), per capita ranges from 45 percent to
274 percent of GDP percent with 27 EU member countries.
32 According to Krugman (1999), Robert Mundell (1968), the father of the euro,
actually suggested that having an optimum currency area like the euro was a bad idea given
the lack of labor mobility. Peter Kenen (1969) also warned that the euro could be flawed
without fiscal integration.
33 German Chancellor Angela Markel knew that the EU needs fiscal and political
integration in the long run (Applebaum, 2012). For the short term plan, Merkel has
demanded structural reforms to troubled debt countries, something like wage restraint and
greater labor-market flexibility that could mirror those Germany adopted over a decade
ago. Merkel was also quoted to say that Germany will do anything to help troubled
countries. But help needs to be by German terms (Kulish and Geitner, 2012). German terms
are austerity policy.
34 Cited in Castel (2012).
35 While both Stiglitz (2012c) and Krugman (2012e) see the survival of the euro
itself in doubt, Sabel and Zeitlin (2012) provides more optimistic view of the European
Union.
36 CBO reports that income after transfers and federal taxes for households at the
higher end of the income scale rose much more rapidly than income for households in
the middle and at the lower end of the income scale. In particular, for the 1 percent of the
population with the highest income, average real-after tax household income grew by 275
percent (CBO, 2011). For others in the 20 percent of population with the highest income
(those in the 81st through 99th percentiles), average real after-tax household income grew
by 65 percent over that period, much faster than it did for the remaining 80 percent of the
population. For the 60 percent of the population in the middle of the income scale (the 21st
through 89th percentiles), the growth in average real after-tax household income was just
under 40 percent. For the 20 percent of the population with the lowest income, average real
after-tax household income was 18 percent higher in 2007 than it had been in 1979. The
Internal Revenue Service’s income tax return reports also show that income shares of the
top 1 percent grew much larger than those of the top 5 percent and the top 10 percent which
hardly changed between 1986 and 2008 (IRS, 2012).
37 Even being published after the 2008 crisis, recent urban theory readers such as
Corey and Boehm (2010), LeGates and Sout (2010), and Judd and Simpson (2011) do not
include any crisis perspective, let alone recently revised version of urban sociology readers
like Campbell and Fainstein (2011), Gottdiener (2010) and Lin and Mele (2012).
38 Many Keynesian economists identify Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac—with their
low-income and subprime mortgage portfolios—as being only secondary supporting actors
in the financial crisis (Krugman, 2012a; Blinder, 2013).
39 They look for presumed outcomes of their arguments: urban polarization as effects
of the global city; gentrification and regional uneven development as the effects of finance
capital domination in urban development.
40 The effects of international trade – in particular, imports from developing
countries – on US wage inequality have been debated. Some argue that imports lower
wages and increase unemployment (Biven, 2007; Lawrence, 2008; Autor, et al., 2012;
Scott, 2012), while others argue that the growth of international trade on the distributional
effects cannot be quantified and requires a much better understanding of the increasingly
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Introduction 39
fine-grained nature of international specialization and trade (Krugman, 2008: 135). Other
economists like Robert Gordon also argue that changes in the wage inequality are unlikely
to be explained by one factor alone, especially trade. For example, Acemoglu and Autor
(2012) contribute wage inequality to technological change. Similarly, Barlett and Steele
(2012) argue that the loss of manufacturing job too was partly caused by technological
evolution but not only by international trade and production shifts to lower wage countries.
41 According to US International Trade Commission (2011), the US is one of the
world’s most open economies. US International Trade Commission claims that the US
average tariff on all goods was only 1.3 percent on an import-weighted basis in 2010. This
means that the US is highly integrated in global supply chains.
42 For instance, Hale and Hoblin (2011) show that a pair of sneakers made in China
costs $70 in the United States, not all of that retail price goes to the Chinese manufacturer.
In fact, the bulk of the retail price pays for transportation of the sneakers in the United
States, rent for the store where they are sold, profits for shareholders of the U.S. retailer,
and the cost of marketing the sneakers. These costs include the salaries, wages, and benefits
paid to the U.S. workers and managers who staff these operations. Another example is
iPhone. In 2009, it cost about $179 in China to produce an iPhone, which sold in the
United States for about $500. Thus, $179 of the U.S. retail cost consisted of Chinese
imported content. However, only $6.50 was actually due to assembly costs in China.
The other $172.50 reflected costs of parts produced in other countries, including $10.75
for parts made in the United States. The rest are for transportation, marketing, storing,
selling, etc.
43 This is substantially higher than the 7.3 percent, which includes only final imported
goods and services and leaves out imported intermediates. Imported oil, which makes up a
large part of the production costs of the “gasoline, fuel oil, and other energy goods”
and “transportation” categories, is the main contributor to this 6.6 percentage point
difference.
44 The American Jobs Act proposed $35 billion that would have prevented hundreds
of thousands of ongoing layoffs. But it diminished in the dysfunctional Congress and was
left with the fiscal drag.
45 In particular a handful of Republican-controlled states and cities saw massive
public sector job losses (Konczal and Covert, 2012).
46 Jeff Connaughton, a former Washington public insider, described how the
influential industry – the lobbying, the media campaigns, grasstops, the revolving door –
dictated power over financial reforms in Congress in George Packer’s article (2012).
47 Jet aircraft in Seattle and biotech and electronics around Boston and California’s
Silicon Valley were always inconceivable without the MIT, without Stanford, without NIH,
and without the Pentagon (Cohen and DeLong, 2010:11).
48 Also, deregulation, austerity policy and lower corporate taxes cannot always be
seen as neoliberalism. The business community is not always in favor of deregulation,
lower taxes or lower spending. While major trade organizations like the National
Association of Manufacturers and the Business Roundtable favor government spending
that supports businesses, the Club for Growth is against it. Large companies also often
support more regulation as regulation functions as a mechanism for price fixing like the old
Interstate Commerce Commission. Furthermore, businesses favor some types of govern-
ment spending such as defense contractors, free public education, which historically gave
them a more skilled workforce.
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40 Kuniko Fujita
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Introduction 41
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Introduction 45
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York: W.W. Norton.
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Introduction 49
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2
“Global Cities”, World Power,
and the G20 Capital Cities
Göran Therborn
The organs of political and cultural association are, from my standpoint, the
distinguishing marks of the city: without them there is only an urban mass….
Lewis Mumford, letter to José Luis Sert 28.12.1940.1
The topic of cities and power may be approached from two sides, from that
of cities and their power, and from power and its cities. The title of this
article is meant to convey two arguments about their relationships. First,
those contemporary cities, even the so-called global cities, do not have
much power in this world – neither economic, nor political, nor cultural.
This goes against a popular thesis that a few cities are “molding” the world
economy, and contrasts with medieval and early modern cases, when cities
like Venice, Lübeck, Genua, and Malaka, were major centres of regional
and intercontinental, if not world power. A major reason for the contempo-
rary error is a confusion of location and agency.
Second, that because of the little power of current cities – beyond
their own boundaries, hinterland, and environment, the cities and power
problematic had better be approached out of a perspective of power and
its cities. That is, looking at cities, not as wielders of power but as sites
and manifestations of power in today’s world. In other words, from the
perspective of a clear distinction of agents and locales, of commanders and
their command “points” or posts.
Viewing cities as manifestations of power entails a particular kind of
reading of the urban text(ure), a selection, recording, and interpretation of
a set of urban variables of power. That is, variables indicating different
kinds and mounts of power. These variables are woven into the urban
social fabric. Cities of power are not simply taken as the zip code of power-
holders. An analytical instrumentarium will be presented below, and
deployed in a rapid overview of major cities of power in the contemporary
world.
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“Global Cities”, World Power, and the G20 Capital Cities 53
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54 Göran Therborn
analysis, while adding new and interesting insights is at the same time an
impoverishment of urban understanding.
Summed up in one sentence, my argument is that cities do not have
much power in the contemporary world, but that cities of power are most
interesting and important urban manifestations.
The power understanding of the global city paradigm is comprehensible
only under one of these two assumptions. Either, agency is irrelevant to
analyses of power, or places are agents. Neither seems very fruitful. No
wonder that the global city tribe has tried to fiddle around the issue.
Their problem is that they are confounding two things. One is the
spatial network of the current world economy, which has its hubs and its
peripheries, a perfectly legitimate and interestingly novel area of study.
What the global/world city paradigm does, and does well, is to map the
urban nodes of contemporary world capitalism. The other is the structure
of power, command, and control of the world, of the world economy and
of world society. Here the paradigm crashes, on three sides. On one hand,
by assuming that corporate network is all there is to economic power,
implying, for example, the insignificance of the “Washington Consensus”,
of the IMF, the World Bank, and the US Treasury, and of state groupings,
such as the European Union (EU) and the G20. Secondly, by assuming that
the place where a decision takes place is much more important than who
makes it. The commanders of important world economy decisions in New
York, for example, are not in any sense agents of the city, but of their
corporation. Finally, world command is not ensured by “producer services”
alone, but also by Tomahawk missiles, assassination commandos, and
bombers, which strafe the world on orders from Washington, rather than
from New York.
Who is moulding the world economy? Capital seems to be the most
plausible answer, although there are also states, and there is resistance to
capital, from workers, farmers, and others. Is it reasonable to argue that
the cities of New York, Tokyo, and London are “moulding the world
economy”? Taking agency seriously, who would then contend that city
actors like Michael Bloomberg, Shintaro Ishihara, Boris Johnson are
shaping the economy of the world?
A Geneva-based economic historian Youssef Cassis (2006) has written
a professional history of the “capitals of capital”. Interestingly, and most
probably quite correctly, it does not include any urban agency, with a slight
qualification to which we shall return below. Determining the location of
financial power in the world are, the size, the international ramifications,
and the growth of polity-bound economies, state regulations, and market
characteristics, such as liquidity of money markets and qualifications of
the services and labour markets (Cassis, 2006: 265ff and passim). One
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“Global Cities”, World Power, and the G20 Capital Cities 55
other variable is singled out for the post-imperial revival of the London
City, the English language, that is, national rather than urban culture.
Cities are locations of power, but neither holders nor moulders of much
power. They may compete for the attraction of the powerful and the
wealthy, but even becoming the most attractive rarely entails getting a
hold on the staff of command.
Cities as Actors
However, cities are not only places. They may also be actors, and in
complex ways, as Patrick Le Galès (2002: ch. 6) has pointed out. As actors,
cities, and not only the premodern city-states, certainly can have power.
Mexico City, for instance, has a lot of power over the uses of the scarce
water resources of central Mexico (Cohen et al., 2009). Chinese cities
have acquired power over surrounding land, pushing out farmers and
selling land lots to private urban “developers”. Western European cities, in
particular, have powers of planning their territory, for example, in forcing
out corporate high-rise developers out of central Paris into the suburb of
La Défense.
The outgoing twentieth century empowered cities as actors. Capitals
like London, Mexico, Moscow, Paris, Seoul, and Washington finally got
elected governments – true, Moscow lost it in 2010, and largely Black
Washington is still supervised by largely White Congress. International
urban networking, connecting cities and mayors across the oceans as well
as over continents, took off. However, symbolic gestures, like “nuclear
free city”, apart, city actors remained within state frameworks, even in
European Union in spite of its recognized representation of cities. Within
their state some cities have gained more clout, though. One of the most
significant examples is Mexico City, as the hard core of the transition from
the “institutionalized revolution” to a more open, and more competitively
riggable, political system. Ever since the Federal District got an elected
government in 1997, it has been governed by the left opposition, and
within the city the latter’s main rival is the post-revolutionary conservative
party PAN, governing at the federal level in the 2000s. In East-Central
Europe, east of Berlin, anti-Communist liberalism tends to have its strong-
holds in the capital city.
Once upon a time, there were city-states/economies that could shape
at least a good deal of the European economy, Lübeck, leading the
Hanseatic League and a major power of the late-medieval-early modern
Baltic region, Venice and Genoa, rivally ruling a good deal of the late
medieval eastern Mediterranean and, in the Genovese case providing
Western European bankers to indebted rulers, and Amsterdam, domin-
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56 Göran Therborn
In terms of power, “global cities” don’t exist. The power that cities have
is overwhelmingly local.
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58 Göran Therborn
circuits” (Sassen, 2002) you should expect this regional power of big cities
to diminish rather than to increase.
The two most significant manifestations of a city’s cultural influence are
probably, first, the extent to which its specific sociability generates wider
cultural trends, national, regional, global. In this sense, London has been
the social and cultural capital of the Anglophone world, including America
on the eve of US independence (Flavell, 2011), as well as long after
(Belich, 2009: ch. 15), perhaps until World War II. In 1897 the New York
Times had proclaimed in its typical ponderous manner: “!We [Americans]
are part, and a great part, of the Greater Britain, which seems so plainly
destined to dominate this planet” (Belich, 2009: 481). After the Second
World War, New York took over, at least to the US elite if not yet to those
of the White Dominions, although Time magazine in 1966 anointed
“SWINGING LONDON” “the city of the decade” (Porter, 1994: 441).
Paris is still the centre of the shrinking, Francophone world, even after
having lost its centrality to the Western arts, like London losing out to
post-WWII New York, in this case to New York of Abstract Expressionism
and later Pop Art. It still seems to keep its head up in a more multipolar art
world (Kaspi and Marès, 1989; cf. Higonnet, 2005). Late nineteenth to
early twentieth century Tokyo once had, a century or so ago, a significant
regional cultural influence to a smaller crowd of early modernist, and
nationalist, aspiring intellectuals of the Sinic area of civilization, including
Korea and Vietnam as well as China itself, many of them anti-Japanese,
like the colonized anti-imperialists of London and Paris in the first half of
the twentieth century. Although challenged by the wealth and, until the
spring of 2011, wider freedoms of the Gulf, Cairo is still the cultural capital
of the Arab world (Sadek, 2006).
Secondly, there are urban role models, inspiring other cities of how to
plan and what to build. Even in the nation-state era, urban international
influence has been quite consequential. Paris, “the capital of the 19th
century” (Benjamin, 1935/1970), in particular from the 1860s up to and
including the 1930s, is the unrivalled case. It was an almost global model
of urbanization in the period, from Khedive Ismail’s Cairo (Mostyn, 1989)
to Rio de Janeiro (Rosso Del Brenna, 1985), Buenos Aires (Gutman and
Hardoy, 2007: ch. V; Rapoport and Seoane, 2007: 220ff) to Santiago de
Chile (González Errázuriz, 2003: 190ff). Taking in Bucarest (Machedon
and Scoffham, 1999), Madrid (Juliá et al., 1994: ch. 5), and Mexico as well,
in spite of the Second Empire’s ill-fated military intervention against the
Mexican Liberals in the 1860s (Vásquez Mellado, 1990: 222), whose two
most distinguished architects were Italian, though, and stirring admir-
ation in countless other wannabes. Tokyo, though, was apparently not one
of the receivers of Paris models (Seidensticker, 1985; Coaldrake, 1996).
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“Global Cities”, World Power, and the G20 Capital Cities 59
The urbanistic model of Baron Haussmann and of the Second Empire was
part of a much broader French cultural influence, sustained more by art and
language than by commerce, and also thriving on the myths of the French
Revolution. The pragmatic and circumspect Meiji rulers of Japan took
more to American power and German institutions, than to French culture.
If Paris should have a legitimate heir as a world city of influence, New
York would be it. In Manhattan, and Chicago, skyscrapers started to
fascinate European architects from just before World War, from the
generations of Adolf Loos and Erich Mendelsohn. After the war there was
a wave of European avant-garde interest in American high-rise buildings,
as well as in the industrial methods of Taylorism and Fordism (Cohen,
1995; Lampugnani, 2010: ch. 6). But the direct impact of New York was
limited, to Stalinist Moscow mainly. New York Art Deco skyscrapers did
have a major effect on post-World War II Moscow, but skyscraper cities
were held back in the rest of Europe, enclaved in Frankfurt, largely banned
intra muros in Western Europe, in Paris after the single modernist example
of the Tour de Montparnasse.
New York influence foundered on the rock of Western European
urban democracy, which had not arrived by the time Baron Haussmann’s
Paris was the model of the world. After the implosion of Communism,
Manhattan- and US-inspired business towers and Central Business
Districts (CBDs) became totems of capitalist arrival all over Eastern
Europe. When the “vertical city” became a hallmark of Asian modernism,
from the last decades of the twentieth century on, the type had become
more American than New Yorkish.
Why did London, the uncontested city of imperial world power, at least
between (the battles of) Waterloo and Somme, never become a global role
model of what a grand city should look like? Well, for a start, it was not
much of a model to itself. In 1903, a group of London architects and nota-
bles formed a Further Strand Improvement Committee with a view to
upgrading a half-baked development project, asking for some modest
public funding: “We ask – is London … to refuse this opportunity of
showing itself in reality an imperial city, a worthy Capital of a world-wide
Empire?” The silent answer was, yes (Schneer, 1999: 27). Cautious and
mean wealthy taxpayers, uniquely empowered in London among the
old capitals, ensured that the city of London never got the splendour of
the power of the British Empire, although this did not preclude impressive
individual buildings, from the Parliament, via the British Museum to the
Bank of England.
London was not without urbanistic influence, however. In the 1890s
it even got a red brick homage in Tokyo where Mitsubishi built a shortlived
“Londontown” (Seidensticker, 1985: 78). The gigantic neo-Gothic
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60 Göran Therborn
Cities of Power
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62 Göran Therborn
The G20 is first of all a grouping of economic powers, and its agenda so
far has been mainly economic. The list includes the eight largest economies
of the world, but not the ninth, Spain, crowded out by all the other European
medium-size powers. Only London, Beijing, Tokyo, and Paris, less cer-
tainly Moscow, may be called city centres of the world economy. Geopolitics,
far more than economics, has clearly provided membership to several coun-
tries, South Africa, Argentina, and Saudi Arabia – with more economic sig-
nificance than Egypt, the centre of the Middle East region, but much smaller
economies than Spain or the Netherlands. Population does not seem to have
carried much weight, including Australia (22 million), while excluding
Bangladesh (127), Pakistan (185), and Nigeria (228). Their cultural radia-
tion is very uneven, global only in the case of London, but several are
important regional hubs, like Mexico, Paris, Seoul, Tokyo, while Beijing
and Delhi are cultural centres – rivalled, true – of continental nations.
The G20 is not self-evidently a gathering of the twenty most powerful
political units of the world, but its emergence is an important aspect of
recent changes of the world power structure, and at least the dozen or so
most powerful polities are certainly included in the grouping.
The capitals of the G20 group of countries owe their standing to that of
their nation-states – or, in the case of Brussels, of their group of nation-
states. As such they have very diverse backgrounds, reflecting different
locations in world history, and very different look, manifesting different
ways of coping with contemporary challenges. They derive their national
capital status from different sources and along different pathways to
modernity.
Among the European cities, London, Paris, and Rome are ancient urban
centres of princely and imperial power, in the case of Rome also of
religious papal power. Moscow and Brussels are more old than ancient,
and the latter a regional capital of Habsburg empires – all transformed into
national capitals through the European route to political modernity of
revolution and civil war.
The main poles of European modernity are captured by London and
Paris. London’s magnificent Parliament building, its mediocre royal
palace, its modest monumentality, and its Trafalgar Square with its
Dominion palaces express the English road to modernity, parliamentarian,
gradual, and imperial. Paris, on the other hand, is the capital of revolution
and of post-revolutionary grandeur, with its places of revolutionary rup-
tures (Bastille, République, Nation), its grands boulevards, and its discrete
and modest housing of institutions, of the presidency, the prime minister,
the National Assembly. The Moscow Kremlin visualizes how the Bolshevik
revolution and post-Communist Russian nationalism reconnected with the
big power of Russian Tsarism.
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64 Göran Therborn
with its Blue House Presidential Palace, political power is discrete and
largely hidden from view, as the CCP headquarters in Beijing beside the
Forbidden City, or the symbolic centre of the Tokyo Imperial Palace. The
Japanese prime minister’s office is overshadowed and overtowered by a
nondescript corporate building. Ankara by contrast was turned from a
dusty provincial backwater to the capital of modern Turkey with the help
of imported German urban planners. Its modernist central public cluster
consisted of ministries, while Atatürk himself stayed discretely on the
outskirts. Currently, Ankara’s main monument is the mausoleum complex
of Kemal Atatürk.
Riyadh is in a class of its own, as the capital of a pre-nation state dynastic
power, and the royal compound of more than a square mile is the discrete
location of royal power, manifesting itself mainly in corporate forms, and
in the city’s 4,300 mosques. It was built as a modern city – though from a
modest mid-nineteenth-century royal capital – by the Greek modernist
planner Constantinos Doxiades, active also in Islamabad of Pakistan, with
latter-day icons, including one by Norman Foster, and with some symbolic
national pretensions (Al-Naim, 2008).
Their different histories of emergence, posit different contemporary
tasks.
The G20 capitals vary widely with respect to their place in their respec-
tive nation-states. Many of them are specialized political centres – Ankara,
Brasilia, Canberra, New Delhi, Ottawa, Riyadh, Tshwane, and Washington.
Within Europe, if not in Belgium, Brussels is in the same class. Others are
nationally overwhelming primate cities – Buenos Aires, Jakarta, London,
Mexico, Paris, Seoul, and Tokyo. A third group is part of a more balanced
national urban structure – Beijing, Berlin, current Delhi (merging the Old
and the New into a new metropolis), Moscow, and Rome.
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66 Göran Therborn
finally, been affected by the shift of security concerns, from the superstates-
controlled bipolarity of the Cold War to more anarchic violence.
From this follows a major question of urban analysis: How have the
recent changes of power affected the main cities of power in the world?
At the same time as globalization, there have been important national
changes of power in virtually all the twenty countries, although more
dramatic and profound in some than in others. Local city power has also
changed in many cities. In other words, even if we should be primarily
interested in the effects of globalization, we shall have to pay attention
also to the relative weight of national and local power changes. National
changes have been particularly profound with respect to four cities in
our set, Beijing, Berlin, Moscow, and Tshwane, with economic regime
change in Beijing, political regime change in Tshwane, and economic-
cum-political regime change in Moscow and in the eastern half of Berlin.
The Anglo-Saxon settler states and capitals, much more so than Buenos
Aires and Mexico, for different reasons, have been shaken in their
conception of nationhood by native and other ethnic challenges. Local
regime changes have occurred in many capitals, for example, with the rise,
fall, and resurrection of elected government in London, with its rise and
very recent fall in Moscow, with its establishment in Mexico and some
other cities. Elective city government remains an important G20 variable,
important in many cases but absent or subsumed by central government in
Beijing, Jakarta (until recently), Moscow (from 2010), and Riyadh. It is
growing in federal capitals like Brasilia, Brussels, Canberra, Delhi,
Ottawa, and, up to a point, Washington, as well as in unitary capitals
previously under the thumb of national governments, like Ankara, Paris,
Rome, and Seoul.
How have these shifts affected the world cities of power? Before going
into our five variables of urban representation, let us first list what changes
we should expect from the constructivism of power.
Generally, we should expect more claims to global respect, to respect on
global terms – manifested, that is, in attempts at global iconicity (cf. Sklair,
2006), to more respect of capital and capitalist wealth, with ostentatious
business towers, commercial centres, and upper-middle class residences,
together with many more luxury hotels. In the settler capitals more express-
ions of indigenous and ethnic respect may be expected, and in cities of
political regime change a clearly visible change, or at least a reconfigura-
tion, of political icons. With regard to legitimacy, new forms should await
us in the capitals of political regime change, including, though less dra-
matically, cities of local regime change. But for the rest, there is no strong
a priori hypothesis, as global economics is little dependent on legitimacy.
Directionality should be oriented towards economic development, in so
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“Global Cities”, World Power, and the G20 Capital Cities 67
Urban Layout
With respect to the urban layout of world cities of power, there are at least
three features to be highlighted, all of which seem to be universal rather
than global and related to general changes of urbanity.
Metropolitanization is one, meaning the emergence of interconnected
and interdependent conurbations beyond city borders. This is an important
aspect of contemporary urban processes, transcending previous processes
of central city shrinking-cum-suburbanization, generating vast conurba-
tions. It seems to be due to an inextricably interwoven national and global
dynamics, for instance, Jabotabek in Indonesia. It is most noteworthy in
and around originally specialized political centres, like Ankara, Brasilia,
Delhi, and Washington, on a smaller scale in the case of Ottawa-Gatineau,
but hardly possible in the case of Canberra, isolated on its own and with a
major city, Sydney, as its nearest neighbour. But metropolitanization
may also be viewed as a national task of development, as in the 11th
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68 Göran Therborn
development plan for Beijing, encompassing the port city of Tianjin and
the adjacent province of Hebei (Beijing Municipal People’s Congress,
2006: 8).
Brasilia and Washington, in particular, have become nuclei of economic
growth areas, of Goiás agro-export in the case of Brasilia – realizing the
dream of central highlands development – and of high-tech military and
bioscience in the Virginia-Maryland surroundings of the D.C. (cf. The
Economist, 16.4.2011, p. 45). Some high-tech metropolitanization is
occurring around Ottawa, and the Delhi satellite of Gurgaon has become,
after Bangalore, one of the symbols of high-flying Indian capitalism.
Brussels too has prospered, not only from the consumption by EU and
NATO officials, but even more as a significant European site of US corpo-
rations (Elmhorn, 2001). Like Brasilia and Washington, Brussels also har-
bours a distinctly poor population in the midst of prosperity, mainly
Moroccan and Congolese immigrants.
Metropolitanization raises issues of metropolitan governance. On the
whole, these issues are unresolved and becoming more contentious,
between city governments and surrounding provincial governments in
particular. The Tokyo Metropolitan Government seems to have been the
most comprehensive and successful. Poor, Afro-American, largely heter-
onomous Washington seems to be at the other end, at disadvantage, with
some home rule but still dependent on a (mostly) hostile national Congress.
In Brasilia, on the other hand, the resourceful Federal District government,
with federal state status, drew the political conclusion of the population
development outside the city “Plan Piloto” by beginning to move the
District government out of Brasilia proper, to the pioneering working-
class supporting town of Taguatinga3. Federal state status, enjoyed by
Berlin, Brasilia, Delhi, Mexico, and Canberra, gives political clout, but
does not necessarily solve tasks of coordinating transport, of equitable
water supply, or of payment for central services.
In the federalization of Belgium, Brussels, as the Capital Region,
has since 1989 become one of the three regions of the country, bringing
some well-needed coordination to nineteen municipalities. However, not
only has the actual agglomeration outgrown the jurisdictional region, the
metropolitan relations of Brussels are poisonously infected by never-
ending cultural-linguistic strife between an expanding, mainly Franco-
phone, city surrounded by a Flemish region, fiercely defending its
language turf. In 2010–11, this conflict left Belgium without a
government (other than a caretaking interim) for more than a year.
While metropolitanization is driven by the current international
dynamic, and its national incarnations, which have produced the geo-
graphical shift of global power, a second feature of the new urban
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“Global Cities”, World Power, and the G20 Capital Cities 69
morphology derives from the tilt of power to capital. That is the launching
of new business centres, manifesting the new power of capital, and its
demands for respect for it. This is a new drive of many cities, a tendency
for obvious reasons less prominent in the specialized political capitals,
Canary Wharf and the Docklands in London, a new central financial dis-
trict in Beijing, part of the Puerto Madero development in Buenos Aires,
the Gurgaon suburb of Delhi, the Santa Fe district of Mexico, Moscow
“City”, the Prince Abdullah Financial Centre of Riyadh. The south of the
river development of Seoul Gangnam, from the late 1980s and on, was
much more than a new business hub, the creation of a massive urban bipo-
larity, including a forest of high-rise condominiums, and educational and
political functions. The grand plans for Tokyo Bay, on the contrary, were
stalled by the 1990s economic stagnation of Japan.
Behind this developmental tendency are two different projects, an
expansion of national city business, and, secondly, most clearly in the case
of Beijing and Riyadh, a project to become a global economic centre.
Whatever their ultimate success in the latter race, these urban projects
manifest a surge of capital power.
A third important path of current urban layout development is social
segregation, and, in particular, the spread of exclusive gated communities
and guarded condominiums (Glanze et al., 2006). This is an effect both of
a capitalist tearing apart of the civic fabric, including moves by expatriate
managers, and of fear among the privileged for the social consequences of
inequality and exclusion.
Ostentatious exclusivity is less noticeable in Western Europe, Tokyo,
Seoul, and the specialized political capitals, with some qualifications for
Brasilia, than in, above all, Beijing, and Moscow. Gated communities are
also major features, recently of Buenos Aires, the big notorious Nordelta
project, and, more historically of Jakarta and Mexico.
New democratic local regimes have also had their impacts, usually
meaning more urbanistic activism. The vicissitudes of local party politics
seem to have less systematic effects. While there are clearly different
Parisian accents to the neo-Gaullist and the Socialist mayoralties of
Jacques Chirac and Bernard Delanoë, they are less audible in London,
turning from Ken Livingstone to Boris Johnson. In recent times urban
activism includes pushing public transport, bicycle paths, and pedestrian
zones, very pronounced in cities like Mexico, from a low starting-point,
but also in Paris, London, and many others. The Socialist government of
Paris is pursuing a policy of social mixing, by upgrading some poor
neighbourhoods and by introducing low-cost public housing projects into
posh ones. It is having some effect, though rather marginal to the big
picture (Bacqué et al., 2011). Waterfront, river, lake or sea developments
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70 Göran Therborn
Clusters of Buildings
A new thrust of transnational capitalist commerce and technology is
showing off, most spectacularly in belatedly fully capitalist cities, like
Jakarta, Moscow, and Beijing. Reporting from Jakarta, Hans-Dieter Evers
(2007: 53) signals the new construction of “shopping centres and malls …
high-rise buildings [of ] ...the new CBD with an ICT … infrastructure that
enables world-wide networking ...” Corporate office towers, malls, luxury
hotels, and convention/fair centres constitute the core cluster of contempo-
rary capitalist construction. In a specifically political capital like Ankara,
these new clusters of shopping malls and corporate offices are seen as
indicating a fragmentation of the city centre (Banu Aksel Gurun, oral com-
munication, 18 7 2005).
In Tokyo, the new urban structure of buildings was hammered home
already in the 1970s, when the new, modernist but bungalowishly modest
Prime Minister’s Office was allowed to be overshadowed by a nondescript
corporate insurance high-rise. But, as we took note of in Table 2.1, the
Tokyo Metropolitan Government is a uniquely big urban polity, and its
1991 New City Hall complex can successfully compete with any corporate
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72 Göran Therborn
Reichstag, not only Norman Foster’s glass cupola but also a library and a
special administrative building. The ministries and bureaucracies had to
make do with a recycling of old Nazi buildings – done creatively in the
case of the Foreign Office – and with new standard buildings.
Brussels did win the competition for European capital in 1958, before
Strasbourg and Milan, but the French have prevented the city from
becoming the capital of Europe tout court. The powerful Court of Justice
resides in Luxemburg, and the powerless but symbolically significant
Parliament is officially in Strasbourg. Its fragile and contested status has
meant that Brussels has neither been able nor allowed to flaunt itself as the
Capital of Europe. The European Commission building is an off-centre,
rather mediocre office complex. The huge office area built for the
Parliament and for a plethora of new EU agencies in the 1990s–2000s also
abstains from attempts at iconicity, settling for what might perhaps be
called Biedemeier postmodernism. Very much representing the way it
has been constructed, the major building of the new area, intended for
Parliament, was built in 1987–1995 as a Congress Centre, with private
funding, because the French asserted that the proper site of the European
Parliament was in Strasbourg (Elmhorn, 2001: 219ff; Hein, 2004: 142).
The European Parliament is still moving back and forth between Brussels
and Strasbourg, but spending at least three-fourths of its time in Brussels.
Public cultural buildings, on the other hand, have been boosted in
recent years, most spectacularly, in Beijing, as a claim for global
respect. Central television headquarters by Rem Koohlhaas, the Olympic
stadia by Herzog-de Meuron and others, the new National theatre by Paul
Andreu, all financed by the central government. But every ambitious city
is expected to have one, or more. Including “the eternal city” of Rome,
recently blessed with Zaha Hadid’s not quite iconic MAXXI museum. So
are airports, like railway stations 100–150 years ago, and again Beijing is
at the current edge, with its enlistment of Norman Foster.
Delhi’s bid for global recognition was the Commonwealth Games of
2010 (Dupont, 2008), but it flopped in construction implementation, and
never had the ambitions or the resources of Beijing. The football World
Cup of the same year was South Africa’s bid for world fame. It did not
flop, but it was centred on Johannesburg and Cape Town, and will be most
remembered, in terms of building, for its Johannesburg and Tshwane
public transport links.
Cultural buildings, museums, have also been important answers to
questions of national legitimacy. In settler capitals, indigenous peoples
and national minorities have become able to raise demands for recogni-
tions of a multiethnic nation, and to have them heard. The vanguard was in
Ottawa, whose Museum of Canadian Civilization, with its foregrounding
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“Global Cities”, World Power, and the G20 Capital Cities 73
Architecture
The possibilities of architecture have increased enormously, with the
development of computer-aided design, first deployed at the Sydney Opera
House in the late 1950s, and by more recent 3D-modelling. The political
meaning of architecture is intrinsically ambiguous. Neo-Classicism, for
instance, can be Republican in USA and imperial in Russia and in France,
and Gothic may express Flemish urban autonomy, as in the City Hall of
Vienna, or the state of free-born Englishmen, as in the London Parliament.
The classical modern international style of sleek non-ornamental high-
rises, after World War II, more in glass and metal than in concrete, is still
the routine of corporate towers, but computer-aided design, more than
postmodernist ideology, has created new degrees of architectural freedom.
While there are still some national or regional cultural demands around, as
in the Petronas Towers of Kuala Lumpur, or the Burj-al-Arab of Dubai,
architectural representations are currently much more driven by aims at
global iconicity, that is, at representing the global edge of the city/nation,
than at national representation (cf. Jencks, 2005). Nowhere is this more
obvious than in contemporary Beijing (Ren, 2008; Broudehoux, 2004).
Outside our sample of cities of power, it is noteworthy that the Gulf
Sheikdoms, and Abu Dhabi, the richest, in particular, with its Culture
Island project of inputs from virtually all the top roosters of global
starchitects, are trying to become the Macaenas of world architecture.
Building was suspended during the crisis, which hit Dubai, as a centre of
speculation, quite hard, but has resumed in 2010–2011.
Mediagenic architecture is well on its way to represent the power of
wealth, rather than anything else, although the profession, through its
Pritzker and Stirling Prizes, is trying to assert another agenda, of life
quality.
Berlin is special, because it returned to world status not as a
“global city” but as the capital of German reunification. Although it
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74 Göran Therborn
has its globalist side in the Sony part of Potsdamer Platz, designed by
German-American Helmut Jahn, and its Europeanist south-eastern part
of the same area, with the heaviest footprints of Renzo Piano, Berlin
has been launched as an open national city, respecting its historical core,
and, apart from (the destroyed) Potsdamer Platz, adapting its new
architecture to it.
West Germany was where a concern with the democratic legitimacy of
architecture was not only explicitly articulated but also deliberately put
into practice (cf. Flagge and Stock, 1992). The West German absorption of
all Berlin then had important architectural implications. Public buildings
should shun pomposity and closure, and announce accessibility and trans-
parency, a programme well implemented in the Reichstag-Chancellor’s
Office complex, open public spaces, glass and lightness. Secondly, the
historical character of Berlin should be preserved, which meant strict
height limits in central Berlin and stylistic restrictions, though not
historicist prescriptions. After much campaigning, driven by a conserva-
tive businessman, and a long controversy, Berlin architecture now seems
to be on course – beyond the current financial suspension – for a signifi-
cant, probably unique anti-modernist reaction, by rebuilding (the façade
and parts of) the Wilhelmine City Palace on the middle of East Berlin. It
has, of course been helped by victorious anti-Communism, renaming the
Marx-Engels-Platz location into Palace Square, and by adding a veneer of
early nineteenth-century cultural Enlightenment to the new palace complex
as “Humboldt-Forum”.
Paris kept its avant-garde image in the 1960s and 1970s, with Paul
Andreu’s Roissy airport and with Renzo Piano’s and Richard Rogers
Beaubourg cultural centre. After that it has, for the time being at least, lost
out to other contenders. But a very successful fusion of international avant-
garde and historical architecture is the Paris Arche de la Défense, by the
late Danish architect von Spreckelsen, which links up with the national
(and imperial) via triumphalis from the Louvre to the Triumphal Arch. The
grand projects launched by President Mitterrand did also include other
constructions with few rivals at least in Europe, like Dominique Perrault’s
four-towered National Library. In Paris the connections of architecture and
the state are still important, but the resources of the latter are diminishing,
relatively speaking.
London has historically produced a few pieces of iconic architecture,
though little of impressive urban vistas, like St Paul’s Cathedral of the
1660s, the Houses of Parliament of the 1830s–1840s, the Bank of England,
upgraded in the 1930s by Herbert Baker, as the “heart of the Empire”,
more imposing than impressive. Niggardly, mean enfranchised property
owners were a major hindrance to royal and imperial extravaganza.
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“Global Cities”, World Power, and the G20 Capital Cities 75
Monumentality
Monuments, of homage, celebration or commemoration, became a major
feature of the European urban landscape in the course of the nineteenth
century. Have they survived into the twenty-first century? The answer is
clearly yes.
There was historically a main trajectory of monumentality, from religious
and dynastic, to national, to popular – referring to representations of popular
classes or to leaders of popular movements and parties – and on to global
signifiers. The Parisian grandes places, of Concorde, the Bastille, the
Republic, the Nation, and the London Trafalgar Square, and the Washington
Mall and Obelisque exemplify the national moment. The European worker
sculptures by Constantin Meunier (in Copenhagen as well as in Brussels),
the Tombs of the Unknown Soldier, the interwar commemorations of labour
leaders, and the post-1960s American remembrance of Martin Luther King,
exemplify the popular moment of monumentality.
The global moment had started already in 1889, with the Tour Eiffel for
the World Exhibition of Paris. The tower was expressing universal indus-
trial prowess, nothing national, one of the reasons for its initial hateful
reception. A century later, the Louvre Pyramid of I.M. Pei, commissioned
by President Francois Mitterrand, continued the global torch.
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76 Göran Therborn
victory has continued, and the 9th of May, the Russian date of German
surrender, has become, after the eclipse of the political cults of Mayday
and of November 7, the main holiday of post-Communist Russia. Moscow
is the most remarkable example of a city of power striving at the same
time to become a global city of state-of-the-art office towers, of hotels,
restaurants, and boutiques of the most expensive luxury, of segregated
upper-class living, and to re-become at the same time the historical national
centre of Tsarism and orthodoxy.
Outside apartheid Pretoria was an imposing, heroic monument of Boer
nationalism, the Voortrekkers (Pioneers) monument, remembering the
exodus of the Boers from the British nigger-friendly Cape Colony, and
celebrating the Boer victory over the Zulus in the Blood River battle of
1838. The authorities of democratic South Africa decided to leave the
monument as it is, but adding, as a counterpoint on a hill some distance
away, a Freedom Park, dedicated to the African resistance to colonialism
and to liberation. Within the city, outside city hall, next to the statue of
Boer city founder Pretorius is added one of a legendary Tswana chief of
the area, Tshwane.
Paris, and the deciding French state government, have not abandoned
national iconographic monumentality. In 2000 a statue of de Gaulle was
inaugurated, near the Champs Elysées, and in 2002, on central Quai
Branly, a controversial “National Memorial of the Algerian War”, paying
homage to those who fought for a French Algeria and North Africa.
London Trafalgar Square, under city jurisdiction, by contrast, has
recently seen a series of non-political, non-national sculptures on parade at
its “fourth plinth”, but, of course, still presided over by Admiral Nelson on
his column, surrounded by a court of old imperial generals and admirals.
No G20 capital can rival Berlin in recent monumental efforts. The
monumental struggles of unified Berlin took Lenin out, but left Marx and
Engels in peace (though pushed to the park periphery in the late autumn of
2010), and, after prolonged conflict and civic mobilization, preserved the
expressive late-Soviet monument to the German Communist leader Ernst
Thälmann, murdered by the Nazis. Another conflict finally led to a major,
abstract Holocaust monument at the very heart of the city (by Peter
Eisenmann), very close to the Brandenburger Tor. Berlin today is above
all a monumentality of repentance. Apart from the central Holocaust
memorial monument, there is an architecturally striking Holocaust-centred
Jewish Museum (by Daniel Liebeskind), and a didactic museum complex,
Topography of Terror, on the totality of Nazi rule. The notorious Berlin
Wall, though mostly torn down, is another prominent feature of Berlin
commemoration, in private as well as public musea and in street figurations,
of sculptures, murals, and posters.
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78 Göran Therborn
Toponymy
Historically, name changes, of cities, streets, places, buildings, have been
part of regime changes. In the urban register under investigation, we find
them immediately in the case of Tshwane, which in the apartheid days of
South Africa was known as Pretoria, after a Boer commander Pretorius.
Now, in democratic South Africa, the city is named after a mythical Tswana
chief.
Post-Communist Moscow has changed a few of its most historical
central streets and places, from (pro)-Communist to pre-Communist, most
notably Gorkij into Tverskaya street. Unified capitalist Berlin took out all
the numerous Communist street names and places of East Berlin, returning
to old pre-democratic monarchical names, so Clara Zetkin-strasse, after
the Social Democratic but later Communist prewar feminist, became
[queen] Dorotheenstrasse, and Marx-Engels-Platz became Schlossplatz
(Castle or Palace square).
Maoist Beijing does not seem to have entailed many toponymical
changes, and consequentially few post-Maoist ones.
Naming buildings and institutions after power-holders, and donors, is
very popular in the US. Washington has its Reagan airport and its Dulles
airport. Paris is another centre of toponymy, with de Gaulle naming not
only the airport but also the place of national sacrality (the ex-Place de
Etoile of the Triumphal Arch), and where Winston Churchill was recently
given a central avenue.
In the European parts of Brussels, toponymy is naturally often a sensitive
topic. Not always though; renaming in 1963 the roundabout in front of the
Commission building Rond-point Robert Schuman, after the French
European statesman, was non-controversial. Modern quarrels could also
be avoided by naming the 1990s Council building after a sixteenth-century
Flemish political theorist, Justus Lipsius, who had once given name to a
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“Global Cities”, World Power, and the G20 Capital Cities 79
street there. But for the rest of the new area, first called Quartier Européen,
then Espace Léopold, falling back on Belgian history, there was a lively
debate, centred in, and about, the European Parliament. The French and, to
some extent the right, appear the losers in the decisions of 2008. The main
buildings were named after Willy Brandt and József Antal, the two
connected by the Konrad Adenauer bridge, Paul-Henri Spaak, and Altiero
Spinelli. All, except Antal and Adenauer, were left-of-centre and had
strong European credentials, although the Rhineland Christian Democrat
Adenauer arguably much more so than the north German Brandt. The
former Belgian foreign minister Spaak was one of the architects of the
Treaty of Rome, and Spinelli was an indefatigable Italian Euro-federalist,
both left-of-centre at their time. Antal is perhaps the most characteristic
EU choice, the least common denominator, in the face of a strong Eastern
European claim to representation. Antal was a moderate conservative who
had been the first post-Communist prime minister of Hungary, decent,
undistinguished, and dead.
On the other hand, the capitalist development of new privileged
enclaves, usually gated, has brought forth a novel, globalist toponymy, to
advertise the privileged character of the place. While there are Asian
references in Beijing, like Purple Jade Villas, and Arab in Cairo, often
referring back to the age of Khedive Ismail, many of these of upper and
upper-middle class reservations have Euro-American names, like Beverly
Hills, Edelweiss, Palm Springs, Pompeji, Riviera, Tudor Village (Wu
et al., 2004; Denis, 2006; Follath and Schepp, 2008).
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80 Göran Therborn
At the same time, the global moment is here, with global city branding,
global merchandise brands like McDonalds and Starbucks as well as Prada,
Luois Vuitton, and HSBC everywhere, as are the imprints of “starchitects”
like Norman Foster, Rem Kohlhaas, Jean Nouvel, and others. Cities of
world significance have all transnational spaces and cultures, and beneath it
all are the opaque chains of inter-and trans-national power, hard and soft.
It is crucial to catch both moments in order to understand what is going
on, and why.
Whatever else they may be seen as, cities have to be recognized,
understood, and analyzed as built environments of people. An approach to
cities, more on the lines of Shakespeare and Mumford than of world
economy, has something to teach us, of urban culture and politics, of the
urban something more than a business location.
The analysis of power has to start with politics, and then looking out
for the determinants of politics, which may take us to religious cleavages
as well as to economic interests. In the epoch of “weapons of mass
destruction”, I think this political starting-point, of the power of violence,
is imperative. Here we have concentrated on an under-investigated
dimension of power, its representation, and on cities as such. More has
been done on institutions of power, a staple of political science, but cities
as institutions of power is another important topic in a future agenda of
urban studies.
If we look at the world cities of political power, provisionally made up
of the capitals of the economic G20 group of countries, we find both global
capitalist tendencies/challenges, of spatial layouts, new clustering of
buildings, and global iconic architecture; and, on the other hand, national/
local manifestations/solutions, of spatiality, of building, occasionally
weighing upon architecture, and governing monumentality and central
city, if not gated periphery, toponymy.
The financial crisis of 2008–2009 enhanced the move of economic
power from the North Atlantic to the rest of the world, primarily to
China and India. The dazzling experience of the Beijing 2008 Olympics
underlined the arrival of Beijing as a city of world power and of world
influence, as the capital of China. The crisis demonstrated the falsity of the
stateless global cities argument, showing the crucial interventions of
nation-state governments (Therborn, 2011). It reinforced the American
urban position of Washington, while underlining the globally declining
path of Tokyo, aggravated by the nuclear disaster of 2011. However, it
cannot, yet at least, be said that the crisis altered the life of the world’s
cities of power.
Cities do not hold important power any more, as they once did in the
heyday of Lübeck, Florence, Genoa, Venice, and Amsterdam. Influential
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“Global Cities”, World Power, and the G20 Capital Cities 81
cities are nowadays embedded in, and dependent upon, nation-states. The
power of cities has waned. But there are cities of power, urban manifestations
of national, sometimes also imperial and/or global, power. They are the
main topic of this paper, and, I hope, of many studies to come.
Notes
References
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82 Göran Therborn
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“Global Cities”, World Power, and the G20 Capital Cities 83
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3
Was the US Sub-prime Crisis the Prime
Mover? The Limits of the ‘Critical
Urbanist’ Interpretation of the UK
Financial Crisis*
Chris Pickvance
* Thanks to Vincent Béal, Monika Krause, Tarik Sengul and Peter Taylor-Gooby for
their helpful comments. An earlier version of this chapter was presented at the XVII World
Congress of Sociology at Gothenburg, July 2010.
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Was the US Sub-prime Crisis the Prime Mover? 85
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86 Chris Pickvance
‘risk-based pricing’.3 Instead, they use it to attack the very notion of ‘risk-
based pricing’, claiming that ‘the theory4 of risk-based pricing has become
doctrine and ideology, used for well over a decade to blame consumers for
the consequences of an abusive industry, to justify a deregulatory stance
that encourages “usury” as innovation, and to sustain the mirage of an
“American Dream” backed by high-risk, predatory credit’ (2009: 350).
Others more familiar with the US housing scene will be able to judge the
merits of these claims. However, there can be no doubt that Wyly et al. see
risk-based pricing as the fount of most if not all evil in the US housebuilding
and mortgage industries. This position is somewhat surprising since at the
same time these authors claim that risk-based lending has not been
practised.
Having constructed risk-based pricing as a ‘theory’, Wyly et al. then
go on to propose their own theoretical alternative for understanding sub-
prime lending, namely, Harvey’s analysis of class-monopoly rent. Harvey’s
(1977) classic analysis of mortgage lending patterns in Baltimore in 1970
showed how different lenders operated in different neighbourhoods,
leading to low interest rates and strict housing code inspection in more
affluent areas, and high interest rates and weak inspection in poor areas.
However, paradoxically, he showed that even at that time high interest
loans were being given in run-down inner city areas to ethnic minorities
rather than all loans being refused as the standard redlining story has it.
But Harvey’s analysis of segmented markets in mortgage lending does
not, in my view, require an acceptance of the notion of class-monopoly
rent. Nor is it obvious what analytical purchase class-monopoly rent
theory offers in understanding sub-prime lending today. It is not clear
that any class exercises monopolistic control over housing, land or finance
and the theory does not lead to usable hypotheses about how sub-prime
loans are promoted, by whom, to whom and on what conditions. Certainly,
Wyly et al.’s effective empirical demonstration that income and race are
factors affecting sub-prime lending does not require acceptance of the
theory of class-monopoly rent.
Finally, if one is left confused by Wyly et al.’s theoretical argument,
one is left even more confused by their policy recommendations. Mortgage
lenders seem to be blamed for not lending and for discriminatory non-
risk–based lending, and also for their ideology of risk-based pricing. Does
this imply that Wyly et al. believe that there is a right to home ownership
with a prime mortgage for households of all incomes, irrespective of
differences in risk? This confused vision propagates the possibility of
homeownership for all and underplays the need for private and social
rented housing with rent subsidies, controls and protection of tenants’
rights for households who cannot afford homeownership.
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Regulatory Policy
In the USA, the Glass-Steagall Act was passed in 1933 to prevent banks
engaged in retail deposit taking from also engaging in investment banking,
which ranges from advising on mergers and acquisitions and underwriting
share issues to trading on behalf of the bank (‘proprietary trading’). The
post-war fragmented regionalized banking system with its local regulators
gave way by the 1980s to a system in which nationwide banks emerged
subject to federal regulation. Banks were allowed to merge in part to avoid
strict state-level controls on interest rates, and securitization (see below)
was encouraged. Deregulatory pressure from the 1980s onwards led to the
abolition of the Glass-Steagall Act in 1999 and fuelled the expansion of
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Was the US Sub-prime Crisis the Prime Mover? 91
I think there was a philosophy of regulation which emerged, not just in this
country but in other countries, which was based upon too extreme a form of
confidence in markets and confidence in the idea that markets were
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Securitized credit11
The traditional model of bank lending is known as ‘originate and hold’:
banks originate loans to companies and individuals against assets such
as corporate headquarters and housing and hold the loan until it is repaid.
The new model is known as ‘originate and distribute’. This started in
the corporate sector but by the late 1990s had extended to residential
mortgages.12
The concept is that the bank which owns the asset (e.g., a corporate or
residential mortgage) sells it for cash to another financial institution or
‘structured investment vehicle’ (SIV) set up for the purpose. Typically
these entities were located in the ‘shadow banking sector’ (see below) and
were not subject to regulatory control. This entity then issues securities to
investors which are backed by the expected income flows, e.g., from mort-
gages, a process known as securitization. These securities or ‘collateral-
ized debt obligations’ (CDOs) are parcelled up and ‘tranched’ according to
their degree of risk from AAA (least risk) downwards, and a credit-rating
agency, paid by the issuer, confirms the level of risk of each tranche. The
theoretical advantage of securitization for the financial system is that it
spreads risks arising in particular regions, asset types and sectors of the
economy across financial institutions of many types located throughout
the country.
The advantages of securitized credit for the original bank are twofold.
First, it transfers risk: the original bank is no longer liable if households
default on their mortgages, or corporations default on their loans. Instead,
the entity which issues the securities takes on this risk. There can even be
an incentive to the original bank not to pass on information about the
riskiness of the loan in order to avoid future liability (Immergluck, 2009:
107). The importance of this is that if a bank loan stays with the original
bank it is part of the denominator in the bank’s capital ratio, requiring
more capital to be held, whereas if it is transformed into a securitized
asset held by an unregulated SIV this is not the case. This leads to
the second advantage: the bank is enabled to expand its lending capacity.
The sale of the original loan or mortgage increases the bank’s liquidity,
allowing it to make new loans. So, for a given volume of deposits, a
greater volume of loans can be generated. The result is to expand the
supply of credit.
However, this scenario assumes that there is no connection between the
original bank and the financial institution or SIV. In practice this may not
be the case and the latter bodies can range from being legally separate and
independent entities, to legally separate but wholly controlled entities, to
wholly owned and wholly controlled subsidiaries of the original bank.
These can be seen as different ways of reconciling the tension between
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Was the US Sub-prime Crisis the Prime Mover? 95
banks’ wish to avoid regulation and minimize taxation, and their wish
to draw on their reputation to help sell asset-backed securities. The
result is that in a crisis if an SIV is legally independent but is perceived
to be the responsibility of the bank, a bank may choose to support it in
order to preserve its own reputation, even though legally it does not
need to. Where this happens, the transfer of risk is less than it would
otherwise be.
Turning to the disadvantages of securitized credit, there were two
problems concerning risk transfer. The first is that the underlying theory
was based on mathematical models which proved inaccurate. In part
they relied on assumptions which were not met, e.g., that there would not
be a simultaneous decline in asset prices across the whole country; and in
part they were based on data drawn from short periods of steady growth
or on no data at all. The second problem is that the transfer of risk was
less than expected. As explained above, banks often chose to use entities
which they controlled or had relations with to hold asset-based securities
so that the transfer of risk was only on paper. In other cases, banks
ended up holding CDOs because no buyer could be found. In particular,
the least risky (or ‘super-senior’) CDOs could be hard to sell since the
interest rates attached to them were too low to attract buyers, who were
most attracted to the most risky CDOs offering high interest rates (Tett,
2009: 244). Goodhart teasingly uses the term ‘originate and pretend to
distribute’ (2009: 54) to describe this situation, but this does not distin-
guish between the intentional and unintentional paths to holding rather
than distributing, and ignores the critical role of the shadow banking
system.
Paradoxically, however, if securitization risks had been completely
transferred to the shadow banking sector, this would have increased the
instability of the financial system, given the lack of transparency and lack
of regulation of that sector (FSA, 2009: 18).
The other problem with securitized credit was that since the credit-
rating agencies were paid by the credit issuers they were incentivized to
support issuers’ judgements of the riskiness of securities. They also became
over-dependent on income from asset-based credit issuers for their own
financial survival (Immergluck, 2009: 116–120). It was assumed by some
observers that the agencies’ concern for their own reputations would
guarantee the quality of their work, but this proved not to be the case. Also
there was a general intellectual failure to understand what risk was being
rated (Goodhart, 2009: 17–19).13
Total securitized credit in the US grew from $400 billion in 1996 to
$2400 billion in 2007, and in the UK new securitized credit rose from
£20 billion in 2000 to £180 billion in 2007 (FSA, 2009: 14) One third of
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96 Chris Pickvance
new securitized credit issued in the UK in 2006 and 2007 was for residential
mortgages (FSA, 2009: 14).
Derivatives
The second type of innovative product, the derivative, is a contract
concerning a future value, such as the price of a commodity, or the level of
a share price, interest rate or currency, rather than a contract for the
purchase or sale of the underlying commodity, share or currency itself.
The contract may be entered into because the business needs to buy the
commodity or foreign currency in the future and wishes to insure against
the risk of future price increases or currency appreciation. ‘Hedging’ of
this kind can be considered a normal business transaction.
However, derivatives can also be purchased for speculative purposes.
Firms with no business need for hedging can, for example, purchase an
option to buy shares in another company, to buy a foreign currency, or to
invest in sovereign debt at a given price in the future. Here, in effect, the
firm is speculating on the future value of the company, the currency or the
government’s ability to borrow. The firm deliberately takes on (potentially
unlimited) risk in the hope of profit. When the entity purchasing the
derivative is not regulated and when the existence of the transaction is
unknown because it is not conducted on a public exchange, the potential
risk to an individual firm can be very great.
At the systemic level, the effect on stability of derivative trans-
actions depends on two factors. The total amounts involved are limited
by the fact that there are two parties to every transaction, so for every
loss made on a derivative transaction there is a potential gain. However,
the incidence of this risk depends on the distribution of derivative
losses, which will also depend on how the counterparty has laid off
the risks on the transaction.14 In practice, derivatives have been held
largely in the shadow banking sector to avoid regulation so it is impos-
sible have a realistic overall picture of the risks created by derivative
trading.
The worldwide scale of derivatives trading grew from $60 trillion in the
mid-1990s to $600 trillion by 2007 (FSA, 2009: 81). (This compares with
world GDP of $55 trillion in 2007, which is an indication of the dominance
of derivatives held for speculative reasons.) But the net risk if parties
default is estimated at ‘only’ $3 trillion (Bank of England, 2008: 21),
which is of the same order of magnitude as the total scale of securitized
credit ($2.4 trillion in the US). Derivatives can of course impact the future
underlying value in question, as in the case of currency speculation. As the
FSA (2009) points out, insurance policies cannot be taken out by persons
without an insurable interest in the object assured to avoid creating harmful
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98 Chris Pickvance
and increase profits in three ways (FSA, 2009: 21): (1) capital does not
need to be held in respect of off-balance sheet subsidiaries, so the expanded
use of such entities allowed banks to grow without regard to (the admittedly
weak) capital requirements, (2) under Basel I regulations, entities that
are financed by credit of under one year’s duration are not required to
hold capital; SIVs were typically financed for 364 days, and (3) where
SIVs are set up in tax havens they can avoid paying corporation tax. This
is the case, for example, with the Jersey-based Granite trusts, worth
£40 billion, which are controlled but not owned by Northern Rock, and
which were left untouched when Northern Rock was nationalized. Thus
the role of SIVs is inseparable from attempts to avoid regulation and to
minimize taxation.
Estimates of the scale of the shadow sector are by definition hard to
come by. In the US in 2007, SIVs and hedge funds, etc., controlled
$6.5 trillion, compared with banks as a whole which controlled $10 trillion
(Timothy Geithner’s speech on 9 June 2008, cited in Tett, 2009: 263). In
the UK the Turner report shows the growth of SIVs, one element in this
sector, as rising from $100 billion to $300 billion between 2003 and 2007
(FSA, 2009: 20), and 80 per cent of EU hedge fund activity is conducted
in the UK. Since Autumn 2008 the UK grey sector is considered to have
shrunk, due to the decline in securitization, but it could expand again when
conditions are favourable.
The riskiness of the shadow banking sector has several sources. The
main reason is that the absence of capital, liquidity and leverage controls
means that there are no built-in safety limits to speculative activity, and the
value attributed to assets becomes hard to judge. A second reason is that
the activity is funded using short-term credit which is more vulnerable to
withdrawal. It was the drying up of short-term credit because of suspicion
about the value of the ‘toxic’ assets held which precipitated the Northern
Rock nationalization. Thirdly, the sector is set up ‘off-balance sheet’ which
means holdings lack transparency and no organization has oversight of the
scale and incidence of risks.
The threat which the shadow banking sector represented to the US and
the UK financial systems only became apparent too late. The fact that it
was allowed to develop to the extent it did is likely to be linked to the fact
that the mainstream banks were heavily involved in it, and exerted strong
pressure to shield it from regulation.
lending to households and businesses, it has been argued that banks today
are engaged in ‘retail mass marketing and wholesale trading’ and have
become ‘transaction-generating machines’ (Engelen et al., 2011: 115).
Domestic customers are now targeted with the sale of all manner of policies
and in the UK, bank’s non-interest income as a proportion of net interest
and non-interest income has risen to 53.9 per cent in 2007, in the US to
39.3 per cent and France to 75.2 per cent (Engelen et al., 2011: 116; Dymski,
2012a). The wholesale money market has become the major source of
funds, and proprietary trading is a more significant activity. The scale of the
UK banking sector has grown to 500 per cent of the GDP. This compares
with 400 per cent for France, 200 per cent for Germany and 80 per cent for
the US (Engelen et al., 2011: 226, dates of data not given). Banks were very
successful in maximizing return on equity in the 2000s, especially relative
to other industrial sectors (Engelen et al., 2011: 103). Their return on equity
was of the order of 20 per cent, but their return on total assets was very
modest, i.e., about 1 per cent (Engelen et al., 2011: 108–109). However,
their success came about through their ability to expand their asset base via
debt finance, especially on wholesale markets, rather than equity expansion
(IBC, 2011). Much of this borrowing is linked to the role of offshore
financial bodies, set up to avoid regulation and taxation (IMF, 2009b).
A key incentive to borrow is that interest paid on loans is deductable
before taxes are calculated. In other words, wholesale borrowing rather
than deposit-taking was the means they used to achieve profitability.
The fact that borrowing came from within the financial sector increased
endogenous risk in this sector. The Vickers report also notes that banks
are currently under-supplied with the loss-absorbing assets needed in a
crisis.
This business model has direct effects on banks’ internal structure and
remuneration patterns (or what is sometimes known as ‘bonus culture’).
The internal power balance between the departments of a bank favours
those which generate the highest earnings, namely the trading departments
(or investment bank type activities) where staff are incentivized by bonuses
which relate directly to the short-term gains they make. The ‘compensation
ratio’ (between remuneration and total income) is often around 40 per cent
which encourages risky activity where profits are highest. Until recently,
bonuses could not be ‘clawed back’ if bank performance turned out to be
poor. Bonuses have attracted huge political opprobrium both for their
multi-million pound level and because they are paid even when a bank is
making a loss.16 The extent of distribution of income via salaries, bonuses
and dividends, rather than their retention to increase the capital of the
bank, and hence its lending capacity, has been a consistent complaint of
the Bank of England (2010: 6).
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100 Chris Pickvance
By contrast, back-office staff are less well-paid and receive at best small
bonuses. Departments responsible for risk management are marginalized
since they threaten the earnings of the most powerful departments. (This
was clear in the case of the HBOS risk-control head who was sacked for
raising doubts about the sustainability of the bank’s growth strategy.)
However, Lepinay’s (2011) study of a French bank questions whether
risk management departments were capable of understanding the risks
being run and suggests that there was deliberate concealment of the
riskiness of certain products because to reveal the details would have given
a competitive advantage to rivals.
One of the more intriguing defences the banks have advanced is that
the riskiness of their behaviour was unknown to them. In other words
they were not concealing what they were doing from external actors but
were genuinely in ignorance of what they were doing. There is some truth
in this argument. In front of Parliamentary Select Committees, bank chief
executives and chairmen have revealed their limited knowledge of
how products worked, and how they relied on their middle-level staff for
such an understanding. As shown earlier, these innovative products were
built on uncertain foundations, but these uncertainties were not communi-
cated to, or understood by, senior bank staff. Any doubts about them were
set aside because in the short term, securitized credit and derivatives
trading delivered profits growth, and bonus levels depended on the con-
tinuation of that growth. However, against this ‘ignorance’ interpretation
is the evidence that staff who questioned the growth strategies of banks or
drew attention to the increasing risks being taken were marginalized or
sacked. This suggests that there was a conscious attempt by bank leaders
to run banks at very high levels of risk to maintain expansion and profits
growth.
What is interesting about analyses of bank behaviour in the last two
decades is that there is no pretence that internal controls were effective.
The assumption that banks’ self-interest in their own survival would rein
in excessive risk-taking has proved to be unfounded. They no doubt
believed that the UK was going through a golden age where failure was
inconceivable, or that they were ‘too big to fail’ and that the state would
always step in to prevent a bank failure, a belief that proved well-founded
in the UK in 2007–2008, though in the US, the investment bank, Lehman,
was allowed to fail. The internal power structure of banks in which the
highest earners have the greatest weight must have shaped these beliefs.
A key factor in this banking culture is government support for the banks.
The Financial Services Compensation Scheme which protects depositors
up to £85,000 per institution is a direct benefit to individual savers, but it
is a collective benefit for banks in that it smoothes the flow of deposits to
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Was the US Sub-prime Crisis the Prime Mover? 101
them and does not discriminate between banks according to whether they
undertake more or less risky activity.17 Moreover, the lack of any separation
between retail and investment functions in ‘universal’ banks (which
undertake both types of activity) means they are free to allocate funds
from retail depositors to investment banking, with obvious implications
for their willingness to lend to households and businesses.
In brief, banks are run according to a business model in which growth
and bonuses are interlinked and where there is little disincentive to
excessive risk-taking. This also reflects the FSA’s light touch regulatory
approach which did not challenge bank practices.
Another insight into how banks operate can be gained from examining
UK banks’ views of the financial crisis as reported to the House of
Lords Economic Affairs Committee. Bank leaders have been swift to
deny responsibility for their behaviour. Instead they have redirected blame:
(1) towards the external regulators (the FSA in the UK), who were supposed
to have been regulating individual banks, (2) towards their own non-
executive directors, for not standing up to the executive directors, (3)
towards representative groups of investors such as pension funds and
insurance companies, for being insufficiently activist, and (4) towards
auditors, for being incompetent.18
It is of course quite possible to find fault with all of these groups. The
FSA has admitted its inadequate inspection of individual banks as in the
case of Northern Rock (FSA, 2008) but claims to have learned from this
experience (FSA, 2009). Select Committee reports have revealed the
weakness of non-executive directors who are not appointed for long periods,
who are expected to devote little time to the job, who lack research resources
to challenge board members, who lack expertise, and who typically share
the culture of those they are suppose to be checking (House of Commons
Treasury Select Committee, 2009; House of Lords Economic Affairs
Committee, 2009). Investor activism is a relatively recent phenomenon and
activist investors mainly have to be content with ‘symbolic’ victories due to
the dominance of ‘passive’ shareholders who support the company board in
every vote. Lastly, auditing of the larger banks is carried out by one of the
four main accountancy firms so competition is slight. Moreover, these firms
also work as consultants to the banks as well as auditors; their consultancy
income varies from 9 per cent to 34 per cent for the six largest banks (House
of Lords Economic Affairs Committee, 2009: Q345). Hence the accountancy
firms are disinclined to probe too far.
Overall, the blame directed by UK banks to these outside groups is
consistent with the banks’ failure to acknowledge having any responsibility
themselves. In January 2011, although the banking reforms introduced at
UK and international levels were minimal, Bob Diamond, chief executive
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102 Chris Pickvance
of Barclays, argued before the Treasury Select Committee that it was time
to stop castigating the banks and to ‘move on’. Related to this, the UK
Coalition government (2010 –) has blamed the previous Labour govern-
ment for its economic mismanagement and for the need to introduce sharp
public spending cuts, thereby diverting attention from the banks’ own role.
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Attempts at Reform
Ring-fencing of Banks
In 2011 the Independent Banking (‘Vickers’) Commission reported. Its
brief was to enquire into the systemic risks and level of concentration21 of
the banking system (IBC, 2010, 2011). It rejected the complete separation
of retail and investment banking in favour of ‘ring fencing’ these activities
into two kinds of banks, but allowing them both to be owned by the same
group. The report suggests that this would allow the group to support the
retail bank from ‘group’ funds; it does not raise the question of draining
funds from the retail bank to deal with problems in the investment bank.
The solution also means that the group continues to benefit from the gov-
ernment guarantee to retail depositors, a significant subsidy in the current
system. A key point is that proprietary trading, derivatives, and securitized
assets would not be permitted in retail banks; however, there are many
grey areas concerning the allocation of activities between retail and invest-
ment banks.22 The report also requires divestment of bank branches by the
Lloyds HBOS group which was created as a crisis response, and required
the overriding of competition regulations. A weakness of the report is that
the ring-fenced system need only be in place by 2019. Unlike the report’s
all other recommendations, which are the outcomes of careful argument,
the 2019 date is not. This suggests that it was a political judgement the
Commission was asked to incorporate but for which it could not give a
reasoned argument. The Coalition government said it would accept the
report’s recommendations but, following lobbying, stated that the most
internationalized banks would not need higher capital ratios, rejected the
idea of a nationally set leverage ratio, and allowed retail banks to conduct
some risky activities. By 2012 there was mounting criticism of this water-
ing down of the report’s recommendations. By Autumn 2012 the bill to
implement the reforms was still to start its legislative path.
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Derivatives
The global total of derivative contracts has increased from $600 trillion to
$700 trillion between 2007 and 2010 (FSA, 2009: 81; BIS, 2011). There
have been national-level discussions of the need for central registries,
central clearing, and a higher capital requirement for over-the-counter
trading but no real progress has been made in the UK, the US or elsewhere
(FSB, 2011a).
Securitization
From 2007 to 2010 the global total value of securitized assets has fallen
from $12.1 trillion to $3.4 trillion (IMF, 2011). The European Banking
Authority has required originators of securitized credit to retain 5 per cent
of the value, as has the US Dodd-Frank Act. Otherwise, no action has been
taken.24
Remuneration
In 2011 controls were introduced requiring 50 per cent of bonuses to be
paid in shares with 40 per cent spread over 3–5 years ahead, and making
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108 Chris Pickvance
(BIS), the IMF and the European Union (EU) to take radical steps. As has
been shown, some issues have barely been recognized (the shadow banking
sector, apart from hedge funds), while those that have been addressed have
been addressed in a feeble way.
The IMF’s October 2012 Global Financial Stability report is very
pessimistic about the extent of reform.
This means that most of the drivers of the financial crisis remain
unchanged. The transformation of the financial crisis into the economic
crisis, has led European governments to give priority to the resolution of
the Eurozone sovereign debt crisis and the implementation of austerity
policies. The result is that the need for urgent action on financial reform
has been lost. A future banking crisis remains entirely possible.
Notes
1 There is some unclarity about the terminology. Some writers use terms such as
‘predatory loans’ or ‘high risk’ loans. Writers who use the term ‘predatory loan’ (e.g.,
Newman, 2009) do not say whether all sub-prime loans are predatory or if not what distin-
guishes those which are, or alternatively whether predatory simply indicates moral disap-
proval. Immergluck sees sub-prime loans as part of a wider group of ‘high risk loans’
(2009: 2) and does not use the term predatory. In the UK the term sub-prime is not in
current use, but some common UK practices such as low initial interest rates rising after a
fixed period are equivalent to the ‘teaser rates’ which some US writers identify as features
of predatory loans.
2 See Hernandez (2009) for a summary of this work. In contrast, UK work has
focused more on the house and neighbourhood than on ethnic minorities. For evidence on
red-lining in UK see Boddy (1980: 68–9).
3 In the UK in 2007, 45 per cent of mortgages were given without any income being
stated, and for the period from 2007 to early 2010 the figure was ‘nearly 50%’ (Guardian,
13 May 2009, FSA press release, 13 July 2010) but the proposed response is to be more
rigorous in judging borrowers’ ability to pay rather than to abandon risk-based pricing
(FSA, 2010).
4 To describe risk-based pricing as a theory rather than an economic practice seems
odd but perhaps it is necessary to their claims about its wider significance.
5 As suggested above, UK mortgage lending frequently departed from the risk-based
pricing norm, but while this may have aggravated the financial crisis in the UK noone has
claimed that it was a central factor as is claimed for sub-prime lending in the US.
6 More information is provided on these below.
7 In the UK, figures for actual repossession on all mortgages were 0.3 per cent in
2008, indicating the very different scale of mortgage problems.
8 In 2011, as fines levied by the FSA on banks rose, the Chancellor of the Exchequer
announced that in future they would go to the Treasury rather than stay with the FSA and
reduce the size of City firms’ contributions to it.
9 The source of this figure is a personal communication from the Association of
Alternative Investment Managers in 2010. Following the period of declining equity returns,
pension funds and insurance companies were keen to invest in ‘alternative asset classes’
which gave greater scope for profit (and were more risky). In 2006 3 per cent of UK
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110 Chris Pickvance
pension fund assets were held in hedge funds, and in that year Paul Myners (at that time a
hedge fund manager, later to join the Labour government as City Minister) stated that
pension funds should be able to hold up to 20 per cent of their assets in ‘alternative asset
classes’.
10 The UK is generally seen as more weakly regulated than the US and this has
facilitated the growth of the Eurobond market, of offshore activity, and of banking secrecy
(Shaxson, 2011: 80–102, 247–250). See also the comment that ‘London became a satellite
for transactions by large US banks: “the place where you could do what you couldn’t do
back home: a place of financial arbitrage”’ (Farhi and Macedo Sintra, 2009: 4).
11 Strictly speaking what was new was more complex types of securitized credit
(Turner, 2010).
12 For a description of its rise, see Tett (2009: 48–192) and Wainwright (2009).
13 For a more detailed analysis of securitization see Turner (2010).
14 In the US 97 per cent of the value of derivatives held by commercial banks in 2010
was held by the top five such banks (Engelen et al., 2011: 61).
15 According to an academic specialist, ‘90% of the innovation there [in the deriva-
tives market] was pure regulatory arbitrage’…I do not see a lot of merit into most of the
derivative work created. Second, I am convinced that however they are described as very
complex, part of the reason they are complex is that they were exactly designed to go
around regulation.’ (Prof Enrico Peretti in House of Lords Economic Affairs Committee,
2009: Q222)
16 And even when the bank is 84 per cent state–owned as in the case of RBS which
paid 100 bankers £1m or more and paid £1 billion in bonuses despite making losses of
£1.1 billion for 2010 (The Guardian, 28 February 2011).
17 Between 2002 and 2007 it is estimated that the government subsidy to the world’s
largest banks was $70 billion/year (50 per cent of average pre-tax profits), and that this rose
to $700 billion in 2009 (Haldane, 2012.).
18 It has also emerged that after responsibility for bank supervision passed to the
FSA, auditors were no longer contacted by the FSA as they were when the Bank of England
was in charge (House of Lords Economic Affairs Committee, 2009: Q305).
19 See Dymski (2012b) for a similar argument.
20 In this chapter the emphasis has been on the ‘normal’ running of banking systems.
However, over time the role of tolerated abuses and criminality has become increasingly
apparent. Individual traders have been taken to court for bringing multibillion pound losses
to their banks (Societe Generale, UBS, JP Morgan), their defence being that breaching risk
limits was an accepted practice. UK banks have had to compensate customers for mis-
selling financial products (about £10 billion in 2011 and 2012 for mis-selling payment
protection polices). In Summer 2012 Standard Chartered was fined £220 million for trans-
actions with Iran, HSBC £445 million for laundering drugs money – the FSA had published
a 2011 report suggesting there was a lax attitude to such transactions – and Barclays was
fined £290 million for its role in setting LIBOR, an internationally used yardstick, with up
to 10 other banks still to be fined. US prosecutors have taken a lead in this and have sug-
gested London was a ‘wild west’ where anything went. This has led to a demand for crimi-
nal sanctions against individuals, and the Serious Fraud Office is investigating the LIBOR
setting process.
21 The largest five banks accounted for 80 per cent of residential mortgages in 2009
and 85 per cent of current accounts in 2010 (IBC, 2010).
22 The US Dodd-Frank Act 2010 which was passed more rapidly than UK legislation
is potentially stronger in its controls on banks. It reintroduces the separation of retail and
investment banks (the ‘Volcker rule’) and prevents institutions receiving federal deposit
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Was the US Sub-prime Crisis the Prime Mover? 111
References
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112 Chris Pickvance
Financial Services Authority (2008) Summary of Review of FSA Internal Audit Division’s
Supervision of Northern Rock. London: Financial Services Authority.
Financial Services Authority (2009) The Turner Review: A Regulatory Response to the
Global Banking Crisis. London: Financial Services Authority.
Financial Services Authority (2010) Mortgage Market Review: Responsible Lending,
Consultation Paper CP10/16. London: Financial Services Authority.
Financial Stability Board (2011a) OTC Derivatives Market Reforms: Progress Report
on Implementation. Basel: FSB. Available at http://www.financialstabilityboard.org
(Accessed on February 20, 2013).
Financial Stability Board (2011b) Shadow Banking: Strengthening Oversight and
Regulation: Recommendations of the Financial Stability Board. Basel: FSB.
Garcia, Marisol (2010) ‘The Breakdown of the Spanish Urban Growth Model: National
and Territorial Effects of the Global Crisis’, International Journal of Urban and Regional
Research, 34 (4): 967–980.
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4
After Wall Street? New York’s Green
Economy Imaginaries
Michael Indergaard
In the wake of the 2008 financial crash, urban theorists and policy-makers
in the US and UK have begun to think about alternatives to finance, insur-
ance, and real estate (FIRE) as an engine for economic development. Pratt
(2009) proposes that an information and cultural economy (ICE) may
replace, in part, financial service jobs in global cities like as London.
Others advise that political conditions now are favorable for alternative
development agendas. Indergaard (2009) suggests that policy-makers in
New York might shift their focus from real-estate-oriented development to
support of the creative and knowledge sectors. Block (2010) argues that
political realignments in the US made it possible to create a new frame-
work for development that revolves around green industry. Yet, various
global economic imbalances have kept post-crash politics churning in the
US and Europe, adding to uncertainties about how much FIRE will dimin-
ish, ICE might surge and whether the West have really eluded depression
(Krugman, 2012).
Although Fujita (2011) sees the crisis as discrediting efforts to promote
market fundamentalism globally, she anticipates that nation-states will
continue to explore ways of using finance for competitive advantage. A
shift of wealth to global export powers from the US may make the latter
more dependent on private investors (Cohen and DeLong, 2010). Indeed,
new knowledge economy initiatives in New York City that seek to diver-
sify away from dependence on Wall Street still give a prominent role to
finance and real estate. One such thrust is a green industry strategy that
draws on an eclectic jumble of federal, state, and activist initiatives. City
government and its allies in business and education do not seek to replace
FIRE with ICE as much as they aspire to marry the two ensembles, espe-
cially to support the development of green building technology. Yet, this
effort is very much in an experimental phase as are the federal and state
initiatives, more generally. There has been little settled about what
areas and populations will be priority targets nor how much influence
rival schemes and interests will have in shaping green development
projects. Of special interest, is a progressive network of activists who are
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After Wall Street? 115
On the eve of the financial crash, President John Sexton of New York
University mused that intellectual, cultural, and educational (ICE) assets
would sustain New York as online trading diminished the FIRE sector
(Sexton, 2007). Pratt (2009) took up the acronyms (but tweaked the
content) when he assessed the impact of the 2008 crash; he advised that
the ICE might partly replace FIRE in London. In fact, Sexton’s notion was
more ambiguous as he added that that ICE “can keep FIRE from being
extinguished” (2007: 2). In certain respects, the ambiguity is warranted.
The relationship between FIRE and creative industries is hardly a novel
topic for urban analysis. Sassen’s global city model (1991) stressed the
central role of FIRE along with advanced producer services (including
creative sectors such as advertising and media): these ensembles exercised
command and control over global production systems and generated
innovative services. However, recent developments belie core assumptions
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scales. This can be seen not only in the neoliberal heartland (e.g., the US)
but also in societies known for centralized policy-making such as
China and Japan. The spread of state decentralization and related policies
(e.g., public–private partnerships) has led some to see neoliberalism as a
master process across societies that takes “variegated” forms (Brenner,
Peck, and Theodore, 2010). Others stress, instead, the continuing impor-
tance of national regimes in decentralized systems (Fujita and Hill, 2012;
Indergaard, 2011; ten Brink, 2010; Block, 2008; Jessop, 2002) including
in the matter of green economy policy (Christopherson, 2011).
For instance, in China where a “layered” governance system bears the
legacies of a “planned economy” (ten Brink, 2010: 3) national government
has invested $15 billion in electric car pilot projects in 20 cities while state
banks have joined with a mix of provincial and municipal governments to
support production of solar panels elsewhere (Bradsher, 2010). In Japan a
“post-developmental” regime has instituted an industrial cluster develop-
ment strategy that aims to spur localities to develop their own industrial
policies and knowledge base in four sectors including environmental
industry; this effort to create local networks of firms, universities, and
NGOs is “state-led” as is reflected in the fact that regional arms of the
Ministry of Education, Trade and Industry (METI) have created “cluster
promotion organizations” to broker networking in 18 clusters (Fujita and
Hill, 2012).2
Neoliberalism has dominated the US for some time. However, an analy-
sis of the decentralized US policy system reveals a mix of contradictory
factors. Decentralization is been built into its federal system where the
50 states have considerable sovereignty. In fact, some states have incu-
bated progressive policies at times when conservatives have controlled
federal policy (Freeman and Rogers, 2007). Moreover, Block (2008)
shows there is a sizeable, but largely “hidden” developmental apparatus
composed of hundreds of dispersed federal agencies and offices that
operate in the “shadows” to work with state and local actors to promote the
development and commercialization of technology.3 The decentralized
policy system of the US resembles the developmental networks of Europe
in basic respects: officials “help firms develop products and process inno-
vations that do not yet exist” and “work closely with firms to identify and
support the most promising areas for innovation” (Block, 2008: 172).
However, the difficultly of discussing industrial policy at the national level
has “distorted” the US system. A lack of democratic debate about indus-
trial policy retards its legitimacy, funding is unstable, there is a lack of
coordination and more attention is paid to labor costs than upgrading
(Block, 2008). The US system does have some advantages: federal agen-
cies are embedded in specific institutional ensembles and their myriad
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120 Michael Indergaard
There has been an emphasis on creating new markets for alternative fuels
and on shifting to low-carbon products. Moreover, she thinks the centrality
of inter-jurisdictional competition in economic development policy will
give the initiative to the state level. She doubts the states will favor energy
efficiency measures such as building retrofits given the political lure of
large-scale alternative energy projects and manufacturing jobs supported
by “big firms, big unions, and big utilities” (p. 373). However, she does not
assess the role of green collar activists in green economy politics.
My study tracks the efforts of the green collar movement to develop and
promote an economic imaginary for New York. That allows us to follow a
multiscalar politics as the green collar movement has evolved in a back
and forth exchange among cities, states, and the federal government. The
study begins with national-level developments in environmental politics,
the rise of the green collar coalition and its role in Obama policy. It then
examines precrash efforts by a local green collar group to spur green
economy development in New York; their imaginary is contrasted with
that of local elites. The next section shows how Obama policy has shaped
postcrash green mobilizations by the green collar coalition and state
government. The following sections profile green industry components in
the city’s new knowledge economy initiatives. The paper then traces the
evolution of the local green collar coalition as it connects with a larger
range of activists and issues. The conclusions assess the influence of
federal policy and the green collar coalition on the creation of frameworks
for green economic development in New York.
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Real estate and financial interests have dominated the urban regime in
New York for over three decades (Gladstone and Fainstein, 2001). During
the mayoralty of Michael Bloomberg, they have tightened their hold. For
instance, there has been a greater role for the Partnership for New York
City – an elite civic organization whose members represent finance and
real estate as well as other major corporations.6 When a local green collar
coalition began to advocate new forms of green economic development in
the city, the Partnership was quick to mobilize around a rival vision.
Bloomberg’s market-oriented city hall has generally rejected calls for
industrial policy for manufacturers or new industries. Its real-estate-driven
redevelopment strategy has transformed industrial properties with visions
of upscale residential and commercial facilities that are supported by
rezoning and public infrastructure/amenities. Activists and community
groups complain that this strategy has fanned inequality while ignoring
emerging industries and small firms. Progressive groups have rallied
around demands for alternative approaches to development, such as requir-
ing that businesses be required to pay a “living wage” if they receive city
subsidies (Indergaard, 2009).
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The destruction of the World Trade Center and the Federal Government’s
promise of billions of dollars to rebuild the site created an opening for
novel development ideas. In 2004, the Central Labor Council of New York
created a local branch of the Apollo Alliance and formed a nonprofit –
Urban Agenda. The two groups lobbied for “high performance green
buildings” at the World Trade Center site and for training programs to
supply skilled labor for a “Green Ground Zero” (Regional Plan Association
and Urban Agenda, 2004: 2). Shortly thereafter, the New York Apollo
Alliance issued a Ten Point Plan for creating green collar jobs, changing
energy supply and demand patterns, and improving the city environment.
Apollo reps participated in a Sustainability Advisory Board appointed by
Bloomberg which drew on the Ten Point Plan in developing a long-
term energy conversation scheme for the city – plaNYC 2030. The city
committed to 125 initiatives in pursuit of 10 goals which included making
housing more sustainable, cleaning up brownfields, providing cleaner
power, and reducing CO2 emissions by 30 percent. However, rival interest
groups have presented quite different interpretations of what plaNYC
2030 and other local green initiatives could or should portend.
New York City is by its nature and as a result of public policy is one of the
leading “sustainable” cities in the U.S. Its inherent density, extensive mass
transit system and vertical construction result in one of the most efficient per
capita carbon footprints in the country. (p. 34)
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126 Michael Indergaard
The recession was seen as providing an opportunity in that the green collar
not only could “provide immediate relief ” but also “lay the groundwork
for a better future where the green economy is prosperous for communities,
workers and businesses” (Chan and Dafoe, 2009: 5). It implied that diverse
social segments have a common interest in a green economy.
The roadmap identified the city’s workforce development system as a
key obstacle that promoters of green industry must address.
New York City does not have the training, recruitment, pre-employment, and
job-readiness infrastructure and business services in place to reach our ambitions
sustainability goals, expand our green-collar workforce, and further develop the
city’s emerging, high-growth green sectors. (Chan and Dafoe, 2009: 6)
... projects subsidized with public funds that pay poverty wages put a double
strain on our resources … Incorporating job standards into public projects
would break this pattern ... Promoting community-led development and striking
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After Wall Street? 127
barriers to employment will start making the new economy inclusive and
provide … pathways that bring people out of poverty. (Chan and Dafoe,
2009: 7)
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128 Michael Indergaard
community groups. Ringo remarked that the New Apollo plan had gained
momentum in Washington and announced that “much of the federal
stimulus package echoes what we’re saying” (New York City Apollo
Alliance, 2009b: 1). He advised,
The NYC Apollo Alliance also submitted a list of green collar principles
for Congress to use in evaluating stimulus projects. After the stimulus
passed, another forum demanded that the state make sure that New York
City “receive its fair share” of the funds and asked the mayor to use the
stimulus to help “build a more environmentally sustainable city that
supports broadly-shared prosperity” (New York City Apollo Alliance,
2009b: 1).
Finally, at a May 15, 2009 event in Washington, DC at the Center for
American Progress (“Green Jobs/Green Homes New York”) a panel
discussed a proposal by NYC Apollo Alliance that New York State expand
retrofitting of homes for energy efficiency. The keynote speaker was Van
Jones while the moderator was Bracken Hendrick (the head of the Apollo
Alliance who had written the clean-energy segment of the stimulus). The
proposed program would increase the state’s capacity for retrofits (it
already led the nation with 25,000 retrofits a year) twelvefold. Hendricks
asserted such policies “can help stimulate the economy and lay the
foundation for long term growth … free markets are not going to fix these
problems” (Center for American Progress, 2009, p. 2).
Market acceptance is slow, and investment strategies and financing are not yet
readily available for new untested products. So Wall Street and the financial and
insurance community are where we hope New York will beat out the competition.
(Massey, 2010: 27)
The other elements in the scheme included a “research hub” whose partners
would include assorted upstate and downstate universities and research
facilities of corporations (e.g., GE, IBM) and a network of dozens of state
centers for workforce training, regional technology development, and
small business development. The consortium could create an “energy-
efficient building supply chain” that would create an estimated 76,000 jobs
“across the manufacturing, professional services, construction trades,
financial services and building services sectors” (Wallis, 2010: 2). When
Philadelphia won the ERIC grant in August 2010, the New York consortium
pledged to continue its efforts.
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130 Michael Indergaard
October, he signed the Green Jobs/Green New York Act which earmarked
$112 million for retrofitting residential buildings and related supports
(e.g., workforce development). The projection that the five-year effort
would weatherize 1 million homes and create 14,000 jobs energized the
green collar coalition and its allies.
Interestingly, the activist coalition has used green jobs/green New York
issues to exert pressure on state actors. On April 21, 2010 Urban Agenda
and NY Jobs with Justice issued a media advisory entitled, “On Election
Eve, Communities of Color & Low-Income Groups Cited Ongoing
Struggles to Secure ‘Green Jobs/Green NY’ Promises.” It stated that com-
munity groups would hold media events in four sites (NYC, Albany,
Rochester, Buffalo) on October 29 just a few days before the election for
governor. The advisory stated that the green jobs/green NY bill had a
mandate to bring jobs and energy benefits to “distressed communities and
historically-excluded workers” but that the New York State Energy and
Development Authority (NYSERDA) would instead institute “energy effi-
ciency red-lining … deepening the race-lined economic gaps by driving
energy benefits to higher-income, mostly white suburban New York
homeowners.” It claimed that at the last minute, “NYSERDA indicated
plans to accommodate business demands to be allowed to pay sub-
standard wages, and to continue hiring practices that have overwhelm-
ingly excluded people of color, women and residents of low-income
communities” (Urban Agenda, 2010: 1).
On October 30, 2010, Democrat candidate for governor Andrew Cuomo
expressed strong support for the green collar agenda in a statement and
120-page document entitled A Cleaner, Greener New York. His statement
read, “As Governor, I look forward to expanding New York’s commitment
to environmental justice and building on other government partnerships
with local advocates” (Andrewcuomo.com, 2010: 1). He also announced
that the state would institute grant competitions whose criteria included a
focus by regional plans on “urban revitalization” and “input from environ-
mental justice communities” (Andrewcuomo.com, 2010: 1). His report
declared that “environmental justice communities will be [a] critical com-
ponent of the Cleaner, Greener Communities Program” and would “have
increased representation in the development and urban revitalization
process” (Cuomo, 2010: 28–29). It also cited the Apollo Alliance’s defini-
tion of “Green Collar Jobs” (“good paying, career track jobs …”) and said
he would expand funding for programs that train and subsidize employ-
ment in green industries for low-income individuals.
The green collar coalition also caught the attention of the State
Climate Action Council which spent 10 months developing a preliminary
plan for instituting Governor Patterson’s executive order. A section on
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After Wall Street? 131
When finance crashed in 2008, many in New York expected disaster, but
the federal bailout of finance has buffered the city; the $700 billion in
Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) funds and trillions of dollars in
Federal Reserve maneuvers disproportionately aided New York’s invest-
ment banks (Indergaard, 2009). However, Wall Street’s reduced contribu-
tions to tax revenue and income have reinforced the view that the city
needed new propulsive sectors.9
Following up on his 2009 State of the City address, Bloomberg gave
a mandate for change to New York’s Economic Development Corpor-
ation (EDC), a quasi-public agency with a staff of 400 and annual expen-
ditures of $750 million. In 2010, the EDC created the Center for Economic
Transformation (CET) to help established sectors (e.g., media, finance,
fashion) “transition to 21st Century business models” and to “attract
and support emerging industries like bioscience, green services, and
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of life for urban dwellers” (NYCEDC, 2011c: 2). The center will use three
methods to develop green building technology:
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April 2012 that the city would help NYC-Poly establish a Center for Urban
Science and Prosperity (CUSP) at a city-owned site in Downtown
Brooklyn. Only part of the 460,000 sq ft facility had been used in recent
years (to store equipment). The CUSP Consortium builds on proposals
developed during the competition not only by NYU-Poly, but also by
Carnegie Mellon, University of Toronto, CUNY, and the Indian Institute
of Technology, Bombay. The consortium also includes Cisco, IBM,
Siemens, Xerox, Con Edison, and National Grid. The academic members
will supply 30 principle investigators while industry partners will provide
another 20; the school will award degrees in civil engineering, computer
science, and electrical engineering. City Hall declared that CUSP will help
New York establish itself “as a global hub of science, research, innovation
and world class urban solutions for the future” (NYC.gov, 2012: 2). NYU
reports that urban challenges to be addressed include “infrastructure, the
integration of technologies, public health, transportation, public safety,
and environmental sustainability” (NYU.edu, no date: 1). CUSP is to
“generate an entirely new sector” – the “urban technology business”
(NYU.edu, 2012: 1–2) where the city is used “as a living laboratory”
(NYC.gov, 2012: 3). The NYU-Poly president envisions a vast new global
market to be tapped. He proposes, “America’s cities need new, intelligent
infrastructure, and around the world, over one billion people will move to
cities in the next 30 years. The market for intelligent city systems alone is
estimated to be $160 trillion in that same period” (NYU.edu, 2012: 5).
In fact, the economic imagery of CUSP is dominated by the notion of
“smart cities” much more than green industry. While there is vague
mention that CUSP will study “ways to improve building performance”
(NYC.gov, 2012: 1), much more detail has been released about features of
the facility that reflect NYC’s “commitment to sustainability” – use of
recycled materials, a green roof, a grey water systems, as well as energy
efficient heating, cooling, and lighting systems. This concern with sustain-
ability as a branding theme is one of the most common actually-existing
green developments in real estate. Indeed, city hall’s press conference
stressed the impact CUSP would have on Downtown Brooklyn real estate:
“CUSP solidifies Downtown Brooklyn’s arrival as a world-class academic
community” with potential “to attract hundreds of tech firms to the area”
(NYC.gov, 2012: 5). Moreover, several public officials – ranging from city
council members to US senators – advised that CUSP would add to
Brooklyn’s “digital district” and the “Brooklyn Tech Triangle.” Similarly,
NYU declared that Downtown Brooklyn “is a vibrant, creative, entrepre-
neurial neighborhood whose energy will be leveraged by the tech cluster”
(NYU.edu, 2012: p. 1).
In fact, the depressed state of Downtown Brooklyn’s real estate is a
major reason why city and borough officials have supported CUSP.
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Who would have guessed a year ago that we would experience this kind
of long-delayed reaction to the growing inequality that triggered the global
financial crisis? From the Arab Spring, to Wisconsin, to the New York
State House, to Occupy Wall Street, we’ve seen outrage turned to action to
make our world more just. This is a critical time to continue building momentum
for social and economic justice, which is why we’re asking you to … (Ryan,
2011: 1)
The email then linked the events to ALIGN’s local initiatives including the
effort to reform economic development and to get the regional councils to
take “job quality and environmental standards into account.” It also
reported that ALIGN had “built bridges with Occupy Wall Street and our
long term community and labor partners” (Ryan, 2011: 1).
A notable example had occurred a month before (November 10). After
a teach-in at Zuccotti park followed by a tour of public-subsized redevel-
opments in Downtown Brooklyn, some 40 protestors from ALIGN and
other groups gathered at a protest held in front of JP Morgan Chase’s
MetroTech offices. There they raised the chant, “pay it back” and “tax
breaks are breaking the 99%” (ALIGN, 2011c: 1). The action was one of
several “Getting Our Money’s Worth” protests that day which ALIGN
helped coordinate across the state in the cause of reforming economic
development. The Brooklyn protest focused on the $237 million subsidy
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138 Michael Indergaard
Conclusions
The CCI will not replace the sheer economic might of FIRE in New York,
but they are starting to surpass it as an employment base and focal point
for economic development. Green industry, similarly hybrid in nature,
overlaps with the CCI as its production chain include architects and com-
puter specialists as well as building services, construction trades, and man-
ufacturing. The CCI’s potential is enhanced by a process of technology
deepening, which was evident in the trajectory of green economy develop-
ment. However, some qualifications are in order. FIRE is down, but not out
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After Wall Street? 139
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140 Michael Indergaard
scales. However, they vary in critical respects: this is evident in how neo-
liberal legacies (Indergaard, 2011) constrain US promotion of innovative
clusters compared to state-led efforts in Japan imprinted by the legacies of
developmentalism (Fujita and Hill, 2012). Moreover, the manner in which
the financial crisis has unsettled the US situation has provided unique
openings for its environmental justice movements to shape green eco-
nomic development. The green collar coalition has gained leverage by
reaching across lines of class and race, allying with a progressive national
administration, and inserting itself into the politics of the green economy
at multiple levels. US green policy is marked by fierce contention, not
“apolitical” consensus as declared by armchair philosophers such as
Swyngedouw (2009).
Following Christopherson’s view (2011) that the green economy hinges
on political issues that have yet to be settled, I used insights of Jessop and
Oosterlynck (2008) on “economic imaginaries” to track the process by
which green economy discourses were defined and promoted. They claim
that collective action by a coalition of diverse interests result in a subset of
economic activities being viewed as an ensemble with specific boundaries,
characteristic actors, dynamics, and needs. Which imaginaries are selected
and institutionalized depends on semiotic and material factors.
One major material consideration is how much of an opening the
financial crisis would provide for new imaginaries. That involves political
and economic conditions that vary by national and global context. Block
(2008, 2010) was right to predict that recent developments would provide
a political opportunity for more activist federal initiatives in support of a
green economy; however, federal activism has been uneven and inconsis-
tent due to the fierce reaction of conservatives.11 There has been no New
Apollo Mission and no “New New Deal”. Given the atmosphere in the US
Congress – “no deal whatsoever” – there is not much on the horizon indic-
ative of a transformative regime. Yet, Whitford and Schrank (forthcoming)
and Block were correct in thinking that the decentralized federal apparatus
would stimulate new initiatives at the subnational level: the Energy
Department’s Energy Research and Innovation Cluster Program spurred
the formation of a significant statewide consortium in New York. Yet, the
cluster effort was modest compared to those found elsewhere (e.g., Japan).
What is most notable has been the ability of the green collar coalition –
working the interstices of US federalism – to promote a bevy of progres-
sive principles outlined by Block (2008): demands that public subsidies
for business result in public benefits; taking on deep poverty and racial
division; expanding the space for public debate on the direction of techno-
logical change; and helping bring about a shifting of R&D resources to
address global climate change.
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142 Michael Indergaard
Notes
1 Kratke comments that the German economy retains a strong base of high-tech and
medium high-tech industries, although financial industries and advanced producer services
are on the rise; in contrast, Great Britain is more dependent on finance, supplemented by
global business services (p. 17).
2 Three of the clusters involve environmental fields. In Kinki’s Environmental
Business cluster, 120 firms and 21 universities participate in a project that aims to create
1,000 new businesses; in Chugoku-Hokuriku recycling-oriented Environmental Society
cluster, 200 firms and 56 universities seek to produce 800 new firms; In Kyshu’s Recycling
and Environmental Plaza cluster, 550 firms and 41 universities aim to create 1,500 new
firms (Fujita and Hill, 2012).
3 Examples include the Defense Department’s Advanced Projects Research Agency,
Department of Energy Laboratories, NIH Genetic Engineering initiatives, NSF Engineering
Research Centers, Department of Commerce Manufacturing Extension Programs and
Small Business Innovation and Research Programs and Small Business Technology
Transfer Programs (Block, 2008; Whitford and Schrank, forthcoming).
4 Jones resigned in September 2009 after a series of attacks by conservative
commentator Glenn Beck; the White House choose not to put up a fight, apparently because
it feared this would be a diversion at a critical point in the effort to push through a health
care bill.
5 Conservatives that opposed the cap and trade legislation (e.g., the Tea Party) found
ample funding from the likes of Americans for prosperity bankrolled by two billionaire oil
barons (the Koch brothers) and the US Chamber of Commerce which amassed a
$100 million war chest to combat Obama regulatory initiatives (Layzer, 2011).
6 Co-chairs of the Partnership for New York City are Rupert Murdoch (News Corp.
Chairman) and Lloyd Blankfein (Goldman Sachs Chairman/CEO).
7 Leadership in Energy and Evironmental Design.
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After Wall Street? 143
8 Among the groups that have fed into or joined with Urban Agenda and NYC
Apollo Alliance are the NYC Justice Network (an umbrella organization for environmental
justice groups) and New York Jobs with Justice, a group that advocates alternative economic
development strategies.
9 Before the crisis, Wall Street generated 20 percent of New York state revenue and
13 percent of the city’s tax revenue; for 2011 the respective numbers are 13 percent and
7 percent (Elstein, 2011).
10 Down Under the Manhattan Bridge Overpass.
11 House Republicans have threatened to cut funding for the EPA by $3 billion
(30 percent) so as to block it from implementing new emission regulations (Hulse and
Herszenhorn, 2011) and to cut $900 million in energy conservation and efficiency programs
(Hulse, 2011).
12 In a February 2011 meeting of the energy and power subcommittee of the House
Energy and Commerce Committee, described the science underlying Obama regulatory
efforts to be a “hoax” (Broder, 2011: 16). Republicans have argued that environmental
regulations on fossil fuels are a form of a tax.
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5
World Capitals of Capital, Cities and
Varieties of Finance Systems:
Internationally versus Regionally
Oriented Banking
Stefan Gärtner 1
Introduction
It has not been five years since the cover of Time Magazine presented an
image of the skylines of New York, London and Hong Kong assembled
into a common cityscape under the acronym of ‘NyLonKong’. The author,
Michael Elliot (2008), spoke about how these three cities, linked by a
shared economic culture, by their historic imprint as harbor cities and
connected by long-haul jets and fiber-optic cable, created a common space,
crucial to the worldwide wealth caused by globalization. And indeed at
least New York and London are powerful cities, which dominated the
global financial capitalism in the last years, but the financial crisis 2008,
the biggest crisis since 1929 (Reinhart and Rogoff, 2009), knocked these
capitals of capital from their glamorous pedestal. The question has to be
raised whether the capitals of capital will lose some of their importance if
financial markets were better regulated, or if investors learned from their
experience, respectively demanding safer products or more reputable
forms of financial investments. Based on policy and partly data analyses,
some papers have already emphasized a possible geographical shift in the
dominance of financial centers from West to East (e.g., Derudder et al.,
2010; Aalbers, 2009). This paper concurs with the views on the shift in the
geography of finance centers, not so much in an overall geopolitical
perspective (West to East), but more with regard to a shift from certain big
world finance centers to smaller scaled, more regionally (in a wider sense)
integrated financial centers and in general toward a more regionally
oriented, geographically deconcentrated financial system.
Many taxonomies and concepts exist to distinguish between financial
systems, like capital market- versus bank-based systems (e.g., Klagge,
2010; Demirgüç-Kunt and Levine, 2001) or public utility versus capitalist
credit and banking system (Gowan, 2009). In this article, the question will
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World Capitals of Capital, Cities and Varieties of Finance Systems 149
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150 Stefan Gärtner
The financial crisis has triggered the sovereign debt crisis and the
€ crisis which will also have an impact on the banks again in both the
regional and especially the international banking system (section titled
‘Banking and the € Crisis’). The awareness that financial centers could be
negatively affected by regulation could be helpful for regulation policy
itself. This is one of the core assertions of the section titled ‘Conclusion’,
which further mentions that, instead of one Anglo-Saxon financial market
regime, varieties of financial market capitalism exist.
1980s and 1990s…’ (Sennett, 2006: 38). This caused an expansion of the
whole financial economy, especially in Anglo-Saxon countries. The high
profit expectations in the financial economy increased the amount of capital
looking for returns on a global scale – a fact strengthened also by the
reflationary monetary policy of the US Federal Reserve Bank. The wealth
of institutional investors grew from 3 to 55 quadrillion dollars between
1980 and 2005 (Bundeszentrale für politische Bildung, 2010). This can be
explained, for example, by Aglietta’s (2000) concept of the finance-driven
accumulation regime, which assumes that since the end of Fordism in the
1970s, new and more flexible production regimes and their accompanying
spatial-structural changes have appeared. The control of company
leadership was transferred from the production sector to the financial sector
(Scheuplein, 2009). ‘…The finance industry has taken on a life of its own
and is expanding and developing its hold over the rest of the economy’
(Corpataux et al., 2009: 321). A change in the legal form from private
partnership to public corporation as joint stock companies, which forecloses
personal liability, also took place within the US financial corporations.
Salomon Brothers was perhaps the first significant case for this development
in the 1980s, with many Wall Street Corporations following and becoming
subjects of speculation. The financial market thus changed its middle- to
long-term objective to a short-term one and pushed their risks to their
leverage limits to fulfill the shareholder requests for return.
Hedge funds, private equity and other (institutional) investors agreed to
more and more dangerous deals with less and less of their own equity. Large
(global) banks financed these business models on a grand scale, but also
expanded credit volumes through careless lending to consumers and real
estate buyers and receiving liquidity by securitizing and selling those credits.
The financial instruments developed in financial centers can be described as
innovative in terms of statistical risk analyses. Financial innovations,
however, were also made to circumvent rules and regulations (Fujita, 2011:
265) and the market for tradables permits increased information asymmetries.
Insofar that it appeared as if investments were risk-free and high-yield, and
the subprime market in the United States pooled mortgage loans and gave
them a very safe AAA rating, sometimes without regard for the income and
asset situation of the borrowers at the point of lending. This provided no
added value in the sense that risks were evaluated more accurately and
innovations were made possible in the manufacturing sector.
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152 Stefan Gärtner
are highly integrated and create a common hegemonic space. These world
cities are moving into the power vacuum created by slowly dissolving
societal and political control, caused by globalization. The world economy
is defined by a linked set of markets and production units organized and
controlled by transnational capital. ‘World cities are a material manifesta-
tion of this control, and they occur exclusively in core and semi-peripheral
regions where they serve as banking and financial centres, administrative
headquarters, centres of ideological control, and so forth’ (Friedmann and
Wolff, 1982: 311–312). Castells’ (1996) Spaces-of-Flows concept which
follows the idea that informational society is shaped by a new space-logic
can be connected with this. The technological and organizational possibili-
ties can, in his view, dissolve space from the ‘geographical contiguity’
(Castells, 2000: 14). ‘A major consequence of globalization has been to
create new relational and functional monetary spaces that are simultane-
ously geographically compressed and geographically stretched’ (Martin,
2010: 5).
Being one of the most prominent representatives, the concept of world
cities has been picked up by Sassen (1991) and further developed under
the term ‘global city’. Hence, the meaning of a city most of all depends
on the degree of global connectivity of its multinational corporations
and financial businesses (Sassen, 1994). Global cities have, according to
Sassen (1991), distinct steering and controlling functions, a strong pres-
ence of postindustrial productions (finance and service companies) and are
important trade centers for specialized services. Through supranational
power relations and increasing economic, most of all financial-economic
international market relations, hubs with specific spatial integration points
concentrate at different locations worldwide. Because they are financial
centers, cities like New York and London have a so-called surplus meaning.
Transnational companies are represented at these locations for reasons
connected to reputation, which again can lead to cumulative effects in the
sense of a self-fulfilling prophecy. The increasing meaning of world
finance centers and the spatial concentration of finance goes hand in hand
with a decline in traditional local banking systems (Dow, 1999), which
leads to a higher dependency of economically weaker regions on the pros-
pering urban finance hubs.
There are a number of spatial economic theories and approaches suit-
able for explaining this: Among the most popular are agglomeration theo-
ries which take competitive advantages as their starting point and see
benefits if companies (of the same industry) are concentrated at one loca-
tion (Myrdal, 1959). The positive effects for the regional economic devel-
opment have been recognized since the 1990s within the frame of the
cluster approach and there were efforts to use them in regional policy
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154 Stefan Gärtner
Under- and Overfunded Spaces and the Role of World Financial Cities
Securitized loans offer investors high returns (Gowan, 2009: 14). But
various partners are required to operate the value-added chains in the
securitization of loans, bundling, evaluation and trading of these risks.
Large parts of the value-creation chain are concentrated in a few places.
Both the majority of creditors as well as debtors, however, have a different
spatial reference. ‘In the case of the USA particular, this meant that while
in certain areas risky mortgage lending became inextricably bound up with
global banks and the global bond market, this was far from a geographically
uniform process’ (Martin, 2010: 16). The target (borrowers) and the source
areas of capital (investors) are not the same due to the high volumes
transferred in global financial centers. The US subprime market therefore
took place in three locations.
First, where the money is invested or where the debtor lives. In the
period leading up to the crisis, it was debtors’ credit histories that usually
formed the primary basis for decision making due to the use of automated
credit checks. Furthermore, the lack of a credit history was not assessed
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World Capitals of Capital, Cities and Varieties of Finance Systems 155
negatively by the models. This meant that it was often immigrants and
their residential areas that were targeted by banks (Lewis, 2010).
Second, the location of the funding source, where investors are local-
ized and are willing to invest money in securitized and pooled risks, has to
be considered. If the place where the funds are to be used and the funding
source are far apart, then the transparency of the situation decreases, and
the sale and distribution of the investments is simplified. Lewis (2010)
identifies as buyers with AAA rating, but nearly worthless, collateralized
debt obligations (CDOs), ‘German banks, Taiwanese insurance compa-
nies, Japanese farmers’ and European pension funds’ (Lewis, 2010: 141).
Aalbers (2009) describes the case of the City of Narvik (population
18,000), in the far north of Norway, which jointly invested with three
small municipalities nearby $78 million in mortgage-backed securities
from the US bank Citigroup and lost most of it.
Third, international financial centers are required as places where the
bundling, evaluation and distribution of risks occurs. The decoupling of
the financial sector from the real economy is at its greatest when the trans-
actions carried out are not connected to the host country, and connection to
the real economy is conducted to the greatest possible extent through
brokers, meaning that the capital-lending institutions do not have the risks
on their books for any length of time. The operation of financial markets,
especially in the case of the US subprime market, is based on a cluster
function and the associated knowledge spillover effect. To be able to
understand the way rating agencies’ evaluation models function, for
example, to know how many B-risks may be mixed with A-risks for the
portfolio to receive a ‘very good’ rating, vicinity and the associated knowl-
edge spillover effects are of central importance. At the same time, financial
centers must have a good reputation for investors to be willing to cede
them their capital. Specific symbols (Cassis, 2010), for example, buildings
such as the former World Trade Center or entire neighborhoods such as
Manhattan in New York, specific lifestyles as well as specific institutions
and actors (banks, stock exchanges, rating agencies, international law
firms, pertinent publishing houses and a reliable government) are of impor-
tance as well.
In addition to their reputation, locally accessible expertise and the
consequent spillovers, financial centers require a culture of success. ̔The
financial industry requires transparency to allow products from different
asset classes to be compared in terms of their returns and risks....
Paradoxically, this constant demand for transparency, that is, standardized
and public information, leads, according to the evidence, to a concomitant
growth in opacity'. (Corpataux et al., 2009: 329). It is not just the belief
that every piece of information can be recorded and evaluated and that,
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156 Stefan Gärtner
based on this historical data, models can be developed that can accurately
predict the future (Arnoldi, 2009; Krieg, 2008), but also the construction
of a specific truth. What happened in the US subprime market cannot be
explained otherwise: banks lent to less-wealthy people (hence the name
‘subprime’) with the socio-political justification that they were enabling
such people to own real estate. In many cases, neither the property itself
nor the income and asset situation of the borrower was checked. The
banks’ and rating agencies’ models reasoned that the cost of rescheduled
and/or redeemed loans would be covered by rising house prices. But with
stagnating prices, it was clear that calculations were flawed (Lewis, 2010).
Furthermore, the crowd mentality and culture of success prevalent in the
financial centers led some doubters to believe it was they who were in the
wrong and thus did not express their concerns to avoid embarrassment.
This was reinforced by the financial institutions, in particular by the rating
agencies, and by false incentive schemes that compelled credit tranches to
be classified more attractively, thereby allowing higher pricing, and
ultimately improved marketing potential (Menkhoff, 2008: 298). There
were enough serious warnings, such as that of US economist Rajan (2005),
who predicted the danger of an imminent financial crisis in 2005 at the
world meeting of central banks. There were other actors who recognized
the risks specifically related to the bundling, evaluation and distribution of
US subprime mortgages, and repeatedly predicted a collapse. However,
since the regulatory authorities did not share these concerns, people did
not want to believe them. It was also the public actors who did not want to
directly stop the growing financial industry and, indirectly, the construction
industry. Also because they did not want to lose the resulting public
revenue. For example, the Spanish construction boom was made possible
by the generous designation of land for development by local authorities,
resulting in high revenues (Garcia, 2010).
In his book The Big Short (2010), Michael Lewis presents the biographies
of real people who predicted the inevitable collapse of the subprime
market, and how their betting (with the help of financials) on this occurring
enabled them to make very large profits during the crisis. The remarkable
aspect is that these were consistently oddball characters, critics of the
system and loners, that is to say, people who did not allow themselves to
be influenced by the prevailing views in the financial centers and the
associated atmosphere. As Lewis (2010) notes, it was only possible for
business to continue due to a conglomeration of ill-informed people. This
included poorly qualified employees, responsible for assessing real estate
loans in the rating agencies, as well as both knowledgeable and partly
knowledgeable people who, however, did not want to accept the truth of
the situation.
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World Capitals of Capital, Cities and Varieties of Finance Systems 157
Considering the extent of the crisis, it seems that the business mode in
the capitals of capital increased, rather than reduced, information asym-
metries. The geographical extent of this culture of success and the belief in
the ability to manage complex risks with mathematical and financial pro-
cedures was exacerbated by the sympathetic coverage of specialist pub-
lishers, which are also located in the world’s financial centers (French
et al., 2009).
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158 Stefan Gärtner
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in Manhattan, in the State and in the whole country in the sectors of finance
over three years. Also, by comparing the first nine months of 2011 to
the same period in 2010, we see, instead of recovery, a further small
decline of – 0.4 percent (United States Department of Labor, own
calculation). Furthermore, in opposition to earlier crises, a broad discus-
sion within the society (e.g., Occupy Wall Street), in international and
national policies and even in economics appeared, about the negative role
of unregulated financial markets.
Nearly six million workers in the United States and nearly 300,000
workers in Manhattan had been employed directly in finance/insurance
before the crisis (2007). The location quotient (lq)6 is appropriate to
understand the meaning of this sector for Manhattan and is illustrated (as
percent of change) in Figure 5.2. If the quotient is near 1, then the industry
has the same share of its area employment, as it does in the reference area.
Greater than 1 indicates an industry with a greater share of the local area
employment than is the case in the reference area (e.g., Bureau of Labor
Statistic). The quotient of finance/insurance in Manhattan is nearly 3,
saying that the number of employees in this sector, in comparison to all
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subsectors (lq < 15) in Manhattan from 2007 to 2010.
Source: United States Department of Labor (http://data.bls.gov), own calculation.
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160 Stefan Gärtner
employees, is three times higher than the one in the rest of the country.
Figure 5.2 shows the percent change of employment in the sub-sectors,
which are highly concentrated in Manhattan (lq > 15), from 2007–10. The
total amount of job losses is 46,529 workers.
The strong expansion of finance and its related activities has primarily
occurred at global hubs, especially in New York and London and in
the countries and regions that made certain transactions possible through
deregulation and a lack of transparency. This has attracted a well-
financed urban infrastructure in the form of restaurants, bars, exclusive
fitness clubs, art advisories, galleries and so on. This raises the question of
how this landscape will change as a result of stagnation of the global
financial market. Aalbers (2009) emphasizes that ‘…there are now more
secondary financial centers in the world and the centers of increasing
importance are to be found outside North America and Europe’ (Aalbers,
2009: 39).
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162 Stefan Gärtner
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Source: German Federal Labor Office [Bundesanstalt für Arbeit]/own calculations.
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164 Stefan Gärtner
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166 Stefan Gärtner
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168 Stefan Gärtner
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Source: German Central Bank’s statistics, own calculations.
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World Capitals of Capital, Cities and Varieties of Finance Systems 171
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172 Stefan Gärtner
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World Capitals of Capital, Cities and Varieties of Finance Systems 173
The financial sector was able to gain and to further develop its substan-
tial influence on the national economies. New techniques of risk evalua-
tion as well as the outsourcing of risk evaluation to ever more influential
rating agencies contributed considerably to that situation (MacKenzie,
2010). ‘On a more applied level, the move of numerous mathematics, phy-
sicians and engineers over to finance from the eighties onwards and espe-
cially from the 1990s – a trend known as Econophysics – is part of the
process’ (Cassis, 2010). Evaluation was supposed to be better and the faith
in sophisticated financial innovation and techniques made the rise of a
financial crisis unlikely. Especially different instruments to safeguard
investments like hedging or credit default swaps (CDS) induced that banks
took excessive risks. ‘The securitization of subprime mortgages combined
with a heavy appetite for these instruments in countries such as Germany,
Japan, and major emerging markets like China fueled the perception that
housing prices would continue to climb forever’ (Reinhart and Rogoff,
2009: 171). Banks’ and investment companies’ willingness to accept high
risks increased considerably and came along with companies’ specific
organizational structures and corporate cultures.
Accordingly, one may assume that national saving- and debt cultures vary
considerably between countries. In surplus countries such as Germany and
Japan, saving increased due to the expectancy of an aging population and a
specific mentality. Also, countries with high income based on natural
resources (e.g., Norway, the Gulf States or Russia) saved their surpluses and
in the same way emerging economies (e.g., China) tried to diversify their
future income and to hold their exchange rates down (Fujita, 2011: 266).
‘These export surpluses were recycled back into the American financial
system via the purchasing of US financial assets, thus cheapening the costs
of debt…’ (Gowan, 2009: 26). In doing so, governments and societies of
surplus economies made expansive consume primarily possible and led to
the situation that some losses of the financial crisis spread to other countries
(Young, 2011). The US financial sector and especially the real estate market
were only able to grow to that extent because private households were coun-
tenanced and willing to get into debt heavily. ‘Citigroup ran a billion-dollar
campaign with the theme ‘Live Richly’ ‘in the 1990s, designed to get home
owners to take out second mortgages to spent on whatever they liked’
(Gowan, 2009: 18). Reinhart and Rogoff (2009: 201) are stating that finan-
cial innovations ‘such as securitization allowed U.S. consumers to turn their
previously illiquid housing assets into ATM machines…’.
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174 Stefan Gärtner
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together the bailout of the banking sector, the shortfall in revenue, and the
fiscal stimulus packages that have accompanied some of these crises imply
that there are widening fiscal deficits that add to the existing stock of
government debt’ (Reinhart and Rogoff, 2009: 170). The authors calculated
that the stock of debt nearly doubled (plus 86.3 percent) in average in the
major postwar crises; the high increase is evident in both advanced and
emerging economies alike. Figure 5.12 shows the annual sovereign deficit/
surplus in percent before and during the crisis.
Despite the international character of the crisis and the interlinkages,
unequal national financial systems have developed as a result of specific
development tracks, differing in their vulnerability for a financial crisis.
Germany was hit much less directly by the crisis in comparison to other
countries, such as the United States and the United Kingdom. However,
Germany’s stable position is caused by many factors, such as the stable
regionally oriented banking system as well as the €, which protected
Germany from an appreciation in the exchange rate by increasing its real
productivity and enhancing its competitiveness. For the peripheral coun-
tries in the € zone, the exact opposite was the case. The countries decreased
their competitiveness and compensated Germany’s and others’ weak
domestic demand by increasing current account deficits and an excessive
debt accumulation. While the peripheral countries enjoyed debt-fuelled
consume, which was easier possible due to good refinancing conditions in
prospect of the € (see Figure 5.13), the core countries enjoyed export-led
growth. While in the core countries wages grow slower than productivity,
in peripheral countries wages grow faster than productivity (Vernengo and
Pérez-Caldentey, 2012). The increasing economic imbalances in the €
zone between the core and non-core–countries can be identified as one
reason for the crisis. However, the banking crisis induced the perception of
the attitude of these imbalances and the financiers realized that the imbal-
ances could not keep growing forever.
The countries which are hit the hardest are those with high shares in high
finance economy (e.g., Island, the United Kingdom and the United States),
those with highly increased construction industries, housing price inflation
and of course financiers financing the overinflated property market (e.g.,
Spain and Ireland) and indirectly those which used the relatively favorable
loan conditions (low interest rates with regard to the common currency €)
to fuel their spending and for dramatically increased sovereign debts (above
all Greece). The following figure shows how close the refinancing condi-
tions of Italy, Spain, Ireland, Portugal and Greece have been to those of the
core countries in advance of the € introduction and as well the dramatically
increasing spread since September 2008. The financial crisis dramatically
reduced the trust in lending to foreign markets or to foreign states and
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Free ebooks ==> www.Ebook777.com
180 Stefan Gärtner
increased the sensitivity in regard to risks. This increased for some coun-
tries the costs for CDS, which guarantee the government bonds in the event
of a default. If speculation and exploitation of the debt crisis with the so-
called naked CDS and the short selling of those also lead to an increase of
costs is controversially discussed and until 2010, the German Financial
Supervision [Bundesanstalt für Finanzdienstleistungsaufsicht] has not
found any evidence of CDS being increasingly used to speculate against
Greek government bonds (http://www.bafin.de). However, these credit
derivates increased at least the ability to manage risks and increased there-
with the possibility for making sovereign debts.
The aftermath costs of the crisis, the low growth in combination with
the already existing high debts (in Greece) and the increased interest rates
in some countries made it difficult or impossible for some countries in the
€ area to refinance their government debt. Banks, which before the crisis
bought Greek bonds nearly for the same prices like the ones from Germany
(see Figure 5.13), now were afraid to buy any Greek bonds. The Troika of
EU-Commission, ECB and IMF saved the indebted countries with loans
and guarantees (rescue packages), keeping the prices low by buying
government bonds, but forcing them into very strong austerity measures.
This accelerated the economic decline further, which again increased the
public debts due to fewer revenues. Indeed, a stronger budgetary discipline
should be required in the long run, but there is a strategic mismatch in the
fact that in most countries, a publicly financed stimulus package has been
launched to overcome the crisis, while especially Greece was forced to
reduce the public spending, resulting in the well-known downward spiral.
However, the level of public debt alone may not explain the state
financial crisis, especially against the background that the € zone together
was in 2010 with total financial government liabilities of 85.4 percent of
the GDP (Eurostat) compared to the United States (94.2 percent [OECD])
less and to the United Kingdom (82.2 percent [OECD]) slightly more
indebted. And the indebtedness of both private households and companies
is lower in the € zone than in the United States and the United Kingdom.
But the € zone is no single entity in regard to a common state policy and
community of liability. And this is the dilemma: € countries cannot act
independently anymore and take appropriate measures to devaluate their
own currency or expansive monetary policy and enhance therewith the
export competition positions to improve the balance of trade, increase
GDP and higher tax revenues. On the other hand, the ‘German view’
(Wyplosz, 2010), demanding for strong austerity and arguing against
Eurobonds as well as the mandate of the ECB, is mainly dedicated to price
stability, following the example of the German Central Bank (Deutsche
Bundesbank) during the German Mark period.
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World Capitals of Capital, Cities and Varieties of Finance Systems 181
Conclusion
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182 Stefan Gärtner
which of course does not imply that some of the internationally oriented
financial institutions which exist also in Germany would have gone bankrupt
without state-intervention. This is especially true with regard to the
securitized subprime mortgages bought by German banks and led to dramatic
losses. The second wave of the crisis, the sovereign debt crisis, will show the
amount of engagement of German banks in financing Greek, Ireland,
Portugal, Spain and Italy. However, the credit extension of Germany’s
regionally oriented banks and the overcompensation of the reduction of
credit engagement of the other banks during the crisis, as well as the generally
higher proportion of the ‘real economy’ could be one part of the reasons for
Germany’s economic success. This is of course only one aspect and in order
to understand the better economic performance, more research is needed.
Even if the culture of ‘making money from money’ will be scorned and
finance will be serving the real economy again, global financial centers
have also important beneficial economic functions. Furthermore, the world
financial cities have built up a high level of specific expertise and have
proven persistent. Nevertheless, this brings into question the future scale
of the global financial cities. In the future, we could expect multiple,
smaller finance centers with an interregional but more selective role. At
the same time, banking outside the major financial cities could gain impor-
tance and the financial intermediaries that interact with SMEs and house-
holds could become more widely distributed.
World cities are powerful intersections between transnational capital and
national interests and could therefore be the key enablers – and this is the
action-guiding thesis – for financial market regulation and rescaling of the
world’s financial centers. If the financial economy was reduced to its
original function as financier of the real economy, be it through regulation
or through the collapse of these areas in the long run by market forces, then
the future importance of great financial centers like London and New York
would have to be questioned. It may sound far-fetched, but it would be
possible to run policy programs to enable these cities to develop economic
(financial) competences with more societal benefits. The cumulated power
(capital, multinationals, policy, media, international associations and
sometimes even NGOs) in these places should not be underestimated.
World cities should be studied in a wider sense, as places ‘with cultural
history, with architectural forms, and with patterns of sociability’ (Therborn,
2011: 282). The Occupy Wall Street movement is one example for the
importance of civil society in world cities. Originated in Manhattan, it
spreads over the world to other financial centers and will, due to the political
reactions, probably make finance more safe and socially benefitting.
The advantages of geographical proximity between creditor and debtor
are also interesting for urban theories, especially those dealing with
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184 Stefan Gärtner
Notes
1 Special thanks to Franz Flögel (Researcher at the unit SPATIAL CAPITAL, Institute
Work and Technology, Germany) for remarks and discussions.
2 Gowan (2009) speaks about the New Wall Street System (see section titled ‘Capitals
of Capital and Internationally Oriented Finance’).
3 Peter Hall (1966) used the term World Cities earlier, but mainly with regard to the
cities’ size as major conurbations and not with regard to their worldwide intercon-
nectedness, urban hierarchy and control function.
4 See Gordon and McCann (2000: 513–32).
5 Please note that these data are not exactly the same, as the US data came from the
quarterly employment census and the German data from own statistic records of the
German Federal Labour Office.
6 The result allows an area’s distribution of employment by industry to be compared
to a reference or base area’s distribution (e.g., Bureau of Labor Statistic). The reference
area for the quotient used here is the United States.
7 Not absolutely binding, it is a basic principle which allows for some exceptions and
can, in practice, be flexibly applied.
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6
Seeing New York City’s Financial Crisis
in the Vernacular Landscape
Jerome Krase and Timothy Shortell
Introduction
One of the many challenges for urban theory and the global city paradigm
in the face of the global recession is making connections between the
macro and micro levels of social and economic life. For Harvey (2007)
and Brenner et al. (2010), a good conceptual lens for making the
connections is neoliberalism. In New York City, the organization of
spaces, and their embedded social practices as well as its image, is
dominated by those who control social and economic capital. For
Greenberg (2010), the best example of this is the continuing effort to brand
New York as a ‘Luxury City’. At the same time that this image is pro-
moted, ordinary people, such as homeowners struggling to keep their
homes, the homeless, and, lately, Occupy Wall Street demonstrators
assert their agency and make counter claims. Looking at the city in this
way quotidian streetscapes offer the viewer a layered record of both domi-
nance and deprivation in what Mollenkopf and Castells (1991) accurately
called the ‘Dual City’. In this chapter we discuss and illustrate, through
photographs and maps, how some aspects of the global financial crisis
such as the catastrophic circulation of mortgages (Sassen, 2009) can be
read in vernacular landscapes. In doing so, we hope to provide a more
sober contrast to the celebrated neoliberal vision of New York as a
global city.
Most of our attention is focused on Brooklyn, the largest of the
city’s five boroughs, as it statistically as well as visually exhibits most of
the negative indicators of the global recession and related failures of
neoliberal urbanization. In 2009, the U.S. Census Bureau estimated the
population of Brooklyn as a bit more than two and a half million people.
Although it may be true that the ‘Big Apple’ has not suffered as much as
other cities in the United States and abroad due to the diversification of its
own economy and its wider social safety net, it has clearly not been
immune to the failures of the global market system centered in Gotham’s
Wall Street.
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190 Jerome Krase and Timothy Shortell
Arguably, New York has benefited more and suffered more from globalization
than any other state in the nation,’ Garrick Utley, the president of the institute
and a former television journalist, said. ‘New York is sort of a macro-microcosm
of the nation, facing the challenges of the global economy.
The state has lost more manufacturing jobs in the last 40 years than any
other big state, including Michigan, though Michigan has suffered more
since 2000, the report found. Within New York State, manufacturing has
disappeared fastest in New York City, leaving few options for the rising
tide of immigrants needing to support their families.
One effect on the relative affluence of residents of Brooklyn, Queens
and the Bronx has been stark: The report says that the median income
for individuals in each borough, as a percentage of the nation’s median
income, fell significantly from 1970 to 2008. In Queens, for example,
the median personal income was 34 percent higher than the nation’s in
1970, but by 2008, it was 94 percent of the national median (von Nostitz,
2011: n.p.).
We argue that a visual approach to vernacular landscapes can be a
sensitive micro-barometer of macro-financial changes. Here we look
at the visible local effects of the crisis in the form of such things as
residential and business property foreclosures, homelessness, rising unem-
ployment and shelter populations, vacant unsold or unsalable real estate,
construction projects halted by lack of funding, residential and com-
mercial rental and price declines, as well as other, less typical, indicators
of economic downturn such as reductions of government services,
distressed properties and vacant lots and the recent practice of alternative
uses for vacant store windows such as those used for free displays of
artwork.1
But, competitive for what? One of the first things Michael Bloomberg did was
to say ‘We’re not going to offer any subsidies to corporations to come here.’ He
went on record as saying, ‘If a corporation needs a subsidy to locate, in this high
cost, high quality, wonderful location of New York City, if they need a subsidy
to come here, then we don’t want them. We only want corporations that can
afford to be here.’ He didn’t say that about people, but, in fact, that policy
carries over to people. There is an out migration from New York City of low-
income people, particularly Hispanics. They’re moving to small towns in
Pennsylvania and upper New York State because they can’t afford to live in
New York City anymore. Conditions of life for them in New York City are
appalling. Meanwhile, the conditions of life for the very, very rich are abso-
lutely wonderful. (2007: 10; see also Moody, 2007)
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192 Jerome Krase and Timothy Shortell
Prosser (1998) argued that images enhance the understanding of the human
condition by encompassing films, photographs, drawings, cartoons, graf-
fiti, maps, diagrams, signs, and symbols. ‘Images provide researchers with
a different order of data, and, more importantly, an alternative to the way
we have perceived data in the past’ (Prosser, 1998: 1). Grady (1996: 14)
added that visual sociologists can show ‘how sight and vision helps con-
struct social organization and meaning and how images and imagery can
both inform and be used to manage social relations’. Rieger (1996: 6)
noted the advantage of photography for studies of social change ‘because
of its capacity to record a scene with far greater speed and completeness
than could ever be accomplished by a human observer taking notes’. This
temporal advantage is of special value for the current investigations of the
rapidly changing and fickle impacts of the financial crisis in New York
City. Visual methods and techniques enhance the likelihood of discovering
and documenting micro effects that could be otherwise unnoticed.
Visual sociologists generally use one or more of three different kinds of
images in research. Some researchers have research subjects produce
images. Other researchers use found or preexisting images as data. Pauwels
(2010: 551), who has done more than anyone in the field to systematize
visual methods, would classify work such as ours as ‘researcher-initiated
production of visual data and meanings’ in which phenomena to be visually
recorded are selected and processed as a ‘proper scientific end product’. A
major advantage of researcher-generated images is greater control over
data gathering as well as more reflexivity to contextualize the materials.
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194 Jerome Krase and Timothy Shortell
Pauwels sees few limits for this approach as long as the subject matter has
a significant visual dimension such as in displays of status, class, and
culture.
In this chapter, we argue that sociological analysis of visual data can be
a tool to understand how urban neighborhoods are changing as a result of
the global economic crisis. Visual data reveals the dynamic nature of social
meanings and the ways in which urban space is both the product of
macroeconomic forces and the place where these forces are experienced in
day-to-day lives. We briefly document some of these transformations with
photographs taken in New York neighborhoods that exhibit economic
decline. In the physical environment, architectural details, commercial
signs, graffiti, among other things, signify the flows of capital, people, and
cultures.
We have written a great deal about the spatial semiotics of collective
identity in global cities, arguing that ordinary people living ordinary lives
create meaningful spaces in globalized urban environments in the form of
ethnic and class vernacular landscapes (Krase, 2004; 2005; 2006; 2007;
2009; 2012; Krase and Shortell, 2007; 2008; 2009; Shortell and Krase,
2009; 2010a; 2010b; 2010c). Because urban spaces are also subject to the
effects of social inequality as class, racial, and ethnic hierarchies, societies
often mark their urban territories with differential meanings, from slums
and ghettoes to ‘silk stocking districts’. Spatial semiotic analysis makes it
possible to see how even the most powerless of urban dwellers such as the
homeless act as social agents in the local reproduction of urban culture.
We have also argued that sociological analysis of visual data is necessary
to understand how urban neighborhoods are changing as a result of
globalization and other macroeconomic forces.
Since our concern here is with the micro-level effects of macroeco-
nomic and political forces on vernacular urban landscapes, we must more
precisely define our subject. Jackson (1984: 6) sought an appreciation of
what ‘lies underneath below the symbols of permanent power expressed in
the Political Landscape’. His perceptive work has complemented urban
sociology’s interest in how and why groups are where they are in the
city, and the mutual effects of space, social interactions, and economic
opportunities.
Jackson noted that what people do in a particular physical territory and
how they use objects therein are critical for understanding the space.
Writing about gentrification, and the displacement of the activities of the
poor from the streets and city spaces in eighteenth- and nineteenth-century
England, he noted that ‘in brief, much of the traditional play, popular
with working class citizens, located at the center of town where the players
lived and worked, was driven out, either by the shortage of space or by
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Seeing New York City’s Financial Crisis 195
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196 Jerome Krase and Timothy Shortell
Figure 6.1 Demonstration and protest march in Foley Square, Manhattan, New York,
2011.
Figure 6.2 Occupy Wall Street encampment in Liberty Park, New York, 2011.
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Seeing New York City’s Financial Crisis 197
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198 Jerome Krase and Timothy Shortell
produce a city with the most unequal incomes and highest levels of
unemployment in the nation. Successive waves of gentrification and
increases in the cost of living have pushed out mixed use, working class
districts – from Harlem to Willets Point to downtown Brooklyn (2010:
139).
According to a 2009 study by the Population Division of the New York
City Department of City Planning, the ebb and flow of the City’s population
has tended to remain unaffected by economic shocks:
Recent history shows us that this dynamic changes slowly and is not significantly
affected by short-term fluctuations in the economy. In the face of the steep
economic decline of the 1970s, or the attacks of September 11, 2001, the
underlying momentum in the city’s population has persisted. Even in the face of
the current economic downturn, the city’s population dynamic is again likely to
persist, and the next wave of newcomers and their children will continue to
propel the city’s population upward. (New York City Department of City
Planning, 2009: 19)
Hispanics and 40.7 percent of blacks (2009: 417–18). All of the top 10
CDs with the highest rates of subprime lending in 2006 were well-known
nonwhite minority areas. As shown in Table 6.1 five were in Brooklyn.
One of the most striking effects of the current crisis is manifest in home
loan foreclosures. According to the New York Times, mortgage foreclosure
rates in the region were highest in areas with high minority populations.
Figures 6.3 and 6.4 show the emergence of the foreclosure problem in
New York City. Figure 6.3 shows the spatial distribution of foreclosures in
2005; the data for 2008 are given in Figure 6.4. The problem increases
significantly in Brooklyn, Queens, and the Bronx over this brief span.
As expected, the distribution of foreclosures is not random, but covaries
with poverty and race. In Brooklyn, for example, the CDs hit hardest are
3 Bedford-Stuyvesant (12 percent White), 4 Bushwick (24 percent White),
and 5 East New York (18 percent White). Median Household Income in
these CDs for 2005–07 fell between $28,000 and $32,000. (In comparison,
the median household income for New York City as a whole was $47,581.)
The proportion of the population receiving income support (Temporary
Assistance to Needy Families, Supplemental Security Income, Medicaid)
in these Brooklyn areas varied between 44 percent and one-half. In the
areas least affected, such as CD 2 Brooklyn Heights, Fort Greene
(50 percent White), CD 6 Park Slope, Carroll Gardens (68 percent White),
CD 10 Bay Ridge, Dyker Heights (74 percent White), 15 Sheepshead Bay
(77 percent White) and CD 18 Canarsie, Flatlands (32 percent White) the
median household income is substantially higher, ranging from around
$46,000 to more than $77,000, with income assistance between 15 percent
and one-third (ACS Population by Race, 5-Year Average 2005–09 Census).
Figure 6.5 shows a close up of the foreclosure data for Bedford
Stuyvesant and Bushwick in Brooklyn. The sheer number of foreclosures
in these neighborhoods is startling, especially in the area north of Broadway
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200 Jerome Krase and Timothy Shortell
in Bushwick (CD 4, Figure 6.9) and between Atlantic and Gates Avenues
in Bedford Stuyvesant (CD 3, Figure 6.8). This is the area that we most
extensively observed and photographed and in which typically there were
multiple foreclosures on every block. Visual evidence of the economic
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Seeing New York City’s Financial Crisis 201
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202 Jerome Krase and Timothy Shortell
Source: New York City Department of Housing Preservation & Development, 2009.
Figure 6.7 Subprime mortgage lender advertisement and for sale signs. Bushwick,
Brooklyn.
Note: Note in this image the advertisement for a mortgage from ‘Amertrust’ which the Wall Street
Journal had reported as one of the subprime lenders forced to close in 2007 (Civils and Gongloff,
2011).
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204 Jerome Krase and Timothy Shortell
Figure 6.10 Empty lot appropriated for ‘unofficial’ use, Bushwick, Brooklyn, 2010.
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Seeing New York City’s Financial Crisis 205
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206 Jerome Krase and Timothy Shortell
Figure 6.15 The Bedford Stuyvesant Restoration Center Family Health Center, Bedford
Stuyvesant, Brooklyn, 2010.
Note: The Bedford Stuyvesant Restoration Center Family Health Center is part of a commercial and
social services complex that also houses one of the four Financial Empowerment Centers in Brooklyn,
2010.
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208 Jerome Krase and Timothy Shortell
Figure 6.16 Commercial real estate for sale, Bushwick, Brooklyn, 2010.
The city’s homeless agency wasn’t telling the whole tale the day after
Thanksgiving, when it claimed 36,654 homeless people stayed overnight in
shelters on the city’s dime. Though the city declared the figure the ‘total
shelter census,’ a closer look reveals the city placed up to 1,200 more homeless
people – all single adults – in various shelters that night. Critics say the city
underreports the numbers to minimize the homeless problem.
Julie Bosman (2010) also reported that ‘the number of people living on
New York’s streets and subways soared 34 percent in a year, and that city
shelters for families and single adults had been inundated’. Although more
homeless people were found on the streets in every borough, the ‘largest
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210 Jerome Krase and Timothy Shortell
Figure 6.20 Residents outside the homeless women’s shelter, Park Slope, Brooklyn, 2010.
Note: This New York City Department of Homeless Services Shelter for Women Park Slope is located
in a large Armory; a block away from Prospect Park where mostly homeless men, such as shown in
Figure 6.19, often spend the night.
New York City as shown in Figure 6.24. The Tower Records building, for
example, closed as a result of the decline in retail music sales and the
overall economic downturn, but the building is being repurposed as a
performance space. ‘Starting this weekend, the place will fill up again –
this time with performances, panel discussions and conceptual art
installations, some lamenting the demise of music stores’ (Jackson, 2010:
n.p.). The project is sponsored by a New York nonprofit that places public
art projects in vacant retail spaces. The group’s first such exhibit was at an
empty fishing-tackle store.
In the Arts Newspaper, Goldstein (2010) also noted that in New York
City, nonprofit arts organizations and curators are following their commer-
cial equivalents, with a wave of ‘pop-up’ galleries taking advantage of the
recessionary real-estate market to strike up partnerships with realtors to
stage free exhibitions. Figure 6.24 shows such a display in Downtown
Brooklyn. Recent nonprofits using empty spaces include: No Longer
Empty, the Lower Manhattan Cultural Council, the Drop: Urban Infill
Project, X Initiative, the Downtown Brooklyn Alliance, and veteran non-
profits Creative Time, the Art Production Fund, and Chashama, which
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212 Jerome Krase and Timothy Shortell
Figure 6.22 Gold buying and pawn shop, Bushwick, Brooklyn, 2010.
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Seeing New York City’s Financial Crisis 213
have long worked with underused sites. One new outfit, Smartspaces, has
carved out a special niche – showing art exclusively in the windows of
developing properties, thereby promoting both artists and real estate with
minimum liability.
Conclusion
The 2008 crisis puts into question the continued relevance of some here-tofore
influential urban theories, including the global city paradigm and neoliberal
urbanization arguments. Blindly following neoclassical economic ideology,
most urban theories have lost critical approaches. This is particularly evident in
urban theories dealing with globalization. Globalization is assumed to be the
flow of people, trade, and money in the open world market system. Yet, the
open world market is only neoclassical economic ideology in another guise and
just as much an illusion as the crisis-free market that neoclassical economics
claims and that the current crisis proved to be false. (2011: 268)
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214 Jerome Krase and Timothy Shortell
Figure 6.24 Unused commercial space repurposed as art display, Downtown Brooklyn,
2010.
urban space, which mark the emergence of the ‘luxury city’ in less flatter-
ing ways. Empty lots, for example, are generally seen as the classic sign of
urban decay, but closer inspection of these places reveals some of the
forms of agency of the less powerful. Not only are they turned into com-
munity gardens – a practice that requires some collective action – but even
the repurposing of a lot as informal housing or no-cost garbage dump
stand as forms of resistance to the transformation of urban space as a place
of luxury consumption. The same could be said of using parks as places to
sleep or hang out. This is the often-overlooked manifestation of urban
rebranding for the global economy.
Our research also shows forms of resistance to rebranding in the form of
collective action. Urban space has historically been the location of social
movement action and mass political participation. The recent Occupy
movements in many cities have added another dimension to this tradition.
Although Occupy Wall Street has garnered most of the headlines, there are
Occupy activities in Brooklyn and The Bronx as well. These movements
are grounded in the visible challenge to power inherent in reclaiming
public space against ‘official uses’. The discourse present in these mass
collective actions – in signs, banners, and sidewalk chalkings – has slowly
seeped into higher-order political discussions. This, too, is the underside
of ‘luxury city’ rebranding.
Our analysis of spatial semiotics hints perhaps at the future of the ver-
nacular landscape in global cities as we emerge from this financial crisis
and move toward the next. The contrast of signs of luxury consumption,
not only in real estate and commodities, but also in leisure and everyday
mobility, with the signs of resistance, both day-to-day activity and occa-
sional mass collective action, is likely to become even more familiar to the
residents of Brooklyn and New York City.
Notes
1 The visual data on neighborhoods in New York City presented in this chapter
are a small sample of thousands of photographs available at our online archive:
http://www.brooklynsoc.org.
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Falmer, pp. 1–4.
Rieger, John H. (1996) ‘Photographing Social Change’, Visual Sociology, 11 (1):
5–49.
Roberts, Sam (2010) ‘Recession Takes Toll on City, Census Survey Shows’, New York
Times, September 28. Avaiable at http://cityroom.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/09/28/
recession-takes-toll-on-city-census-survey-shows/ (accessed November 23, 2010).
Sarlin, Kay, and Lootens, Abigail (2010) ‘Consumer Affairs Commissioner Jonathan Mintz
Announces Expansion of the City’s Financial Empowerment Centers to Include
Counseling in Chinese, Homeownership and Foreclosure Prevention Counseling and
Counseling for Homebound New Yorkers’, June 8. Available at http://www.nyc.gov/
html/dca/html/pr2010/pr_060810.shtml (accessed November 30, 2010).
Sassen, Saskia (2009) ‘When Local Housing Becomes an Electronic Instrument: The
Global Circulation of Mortgages – A Research Note’, International Journal of Urban
and Regional Research, 33 (2): 411–26.
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218 Jerome Krase and Timothy Shortell
Shortell, Timothy, and Krase, Jerome (2009) ‘Spatial Semiotics of Difference in Urban
Vernacular Neighborhoods’. Paper presented at the 9th European Sociological
Association Conference, Lisbon, Portugal.
Shortell, Timothy and Krase, Jerome (2010a) ‘Seeing Islam in Global Cities: A Spatial
Semiotic Analysis’. Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Society for the
Scientific Study of Religion, Baltimore, Maryland.
Shortell, Timothy, and Krase, Jerome (2010b) ‘Place, Space, Identity: A Spatial Semiotics
of the Urban Vernacular in Global Cities’. Paper presented at the European Sociological
Association, Sociology of Culture Section Mid-term Conference, Milan, Italy.
Shortell, Timothy, and Krase, Jerome (2010c) ‘On the Visual Semiotics of Collective
Identity in Urban Vernacular Spaces’. Paper presented at the XVII ISA World Congress
of Sociology, Gothenburg, Sweden.
von Nostitz, Glenn (2011) New York in the World. New York: Center for an Urban Future
and SUNY Levin Institute.
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Re-Presenting the City: Ethnicity, Capital and Culture in the Twenty-First Century
Metropolis. London: Macmillan, pp. 43–59.
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7
Ports in the Global Urban Hierarchy
Alex Hicks and Ryan Hicks
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220 Alex Hicks and Ryan Hicks
Economic Geography
Krugman (1997: 33–37) sees the traditional economic view of the spatial
distribution of production as problematical because it predicts an even dis-
tribution of production, instead of the lumpy one that all observe. He
argues that the actual concentration of production at certain locations is a
function of transportation costs. (Krugman, 1997; Krugman and Venables,
1995). Transportations costs are inversely related to productive concentra-
tions, for producers exploit the higher increasing returns to scale where
transportation is relatively economical. Important to transportation econo-
mies is access to the advantages of transportation over water, or the port
(Fujita and Mori, 1996). For example, inland nations face serious obsta-
cles to economic growth (Krugman, 1997; Sachs, 1997, 2005).
Our work draws, in particular, on Fujita and Mori’s (1996) work on the
developmental plights of inland economies and on the importance of ports
for urban conglomeration of production and population (Fujita and Mori,
1996; Krugman, 1997; Krugman and Venables, 1995; Sachs, 1997). More
particularly, it draws on Fujita and Mori’s (1996) model of the growth
advantages of port cities, which these authors suggest, might be ‘extended
to the international context’ and to the ‘evolution of the international system
of cities’. In Fujita and Mori (1996), the presence of productive facilities at
port locations, given increasing returns to scale for ports, suffices to gener-
ate a disproportionate production and population in ports. Indeed, Fujita
and Mori (1996) suggest that his model of the economic advantages of
cities might be extended to the explanation of cities’ positions in the global
city system. Our principal empirical focus here is on testing the proposition
that port status advances prominence in the urban hierarchy.
Although Fujita and Mori (1996) suggest the relevance of ports to the
international urban system, neglect of physical geography has characterized
the study of world cities (Sassen, 1991; Alderson and Backfield, 2004;
Taylor, 2004). As ports are defined by proximity, or aquatic access, to the
sea, they entail some substantial focus on physical geography. They direct
attention to the interpenetration of the human by the physical. At the very
least, it ‘is “difficult to justify” the claim that “processes of environmental
change are purely physical or that social structure rely solely upon human
processes”’ (Inkpen, 2005: 144).
More concretely, neglect of physical geography appears to be partly
due to the limited interventions of physical geographers into the domains
of human geography and, thus, into the social sciences more generally. It
also appears to be related to an apparent slowness in the scholarly exploi-
tation of leads from economic geographers and geographically minded
economists. For example, we have found no work that follows up the lead
offered by Fujita and Mori’s (1996: 118) when they wrote that their model
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222 Alex Hicks and Ryan Hicks
of the growth and scale advantages of port cities might be extended to the
‘international system of cities’.
By submitting data from 3,692 headquarter and branch locations (in the
year 2000) of the world’s 500 largest multinational enterprises to network
analysis, they identify four dimensions of their intercity connectivity. One,
‘closeness centrality’, measures the average closeness of a city to other
world cities in terms of this connectivity, in particular the extent to which
a city is directly linked to other world cities. A second, ‘outdegree central-
ity’, gauges the degree of connectivity via links sent out from headquarters
to branches. A third, ‘indegree centrality’, taps the degree of connectivity
via links received by branches, and is regarded by its creators as a measure
of a city’s attractiveness or prestige. The fourth and final dimension,
‘betweenness centrality’, gauges the extent to which a city’s connectivity
places it between a high proportion of other world cities (see Table 7.1).
Alderson and Beckfield find that ‘power and prestige in the world city
system are highly skewed’, with a small number of cities monopolizing
power and prestige and forming a strong hierarchy. Sitting at or near the
apex of this hierarchy are not only such predictable global cities as New
York, London, Tokyo and Paris but such relative wild cards as Dusseldorf
and Munich. We see the most highly ranked cities on each of the above
dimensions in Table 7.1, and we see a simplified version of the underlying
pattern described by this network in Figure 7.1.
Information from Alderson et al. (2010) on the dimensions of the urban
hierarchy for 1980 and 2007 provides some assurance that the 2000
Alderson and Beckfield (2004) measurement of the urban hierarchy used
here is not too unstable or ephemeral to be instructive. First, data for 1980,
2000 and 2007 all yield the same four dimensions of urban hierarchy.
Second, correlations of 1980 and 2007 dimensions that are available for
the full population of cities devised by Alderson and Beckfield (2004) are
at least moderate across the 1980–2007 stretch. Specifically, they are 0.590
for Outdegree, 0.574 for Closeness, 0.647 for Betweenness and 0.634 for
Indegree (Alderson et al., 2010: 10). Third and most relevant, correlations
between 2000 and 2007 waves are yet more substantial. These correlations
are 0.825 for Outdegree, 0.633 for Closeness, 0.665 for Betweenness and
0.684 for Indegree.2
Alderson and Beckfield find that world system position and city
population correlate very significantly with centrality in the world city
system. They see both world system position and city population as sources
of centrality, although they treat population more as a control variable than
as a causal force in its own right.
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Ports in the Global Urban Hierarchy 223
Table 7.1 Ranking of cities on measures of corporate power and prestige (top 15 cities
per dimension)
Rank Closeness Outdegree Indegree Betweenness
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224 Alex Hicks and Ryan Hicks
We measure position in the urban hierarchy using the scales from Alderson
and Beckfield (2004) for each dimension of the urban hierarchy. For par-
simonious measurement, we construct a fifth measure to substitute for
Alderson and Beckfield’s (2004) separate measures of Outdegree, Indegree
and Betweenenss centrality, which are highly correlated with each other,
though not with closeness centrality.3 Given these high inter-correlations,
we perform a principal component analysis of Outdegree, Indegree and
Outdegree and then construct a scale from the principal resulting compo-
nent dimension using factor scores for the dimension (see Table 7.2). As
the scale for this dimensions, which we call ‘InOutBetween’, is highly
skewed (skewness equals 22.23), we take the natural logarithm of the scale
to moderate skewness. We focus analysis on ‘closeness openness’ and, for
economy, the natural logarithm of InOutBetween.4
done with an eye to the robustness of the hypothesis, born out in the analy-
ses of Alderson and Beckfield, that the global urban system and the con-
ventional world system position overlap. Our control for city population is
done with an eye both to Alderson and Beckfield’s conjecture that high
urban population promotes high rank in the urban hierarchy; and it is also
done in awareness that a city’s size might serve as a conduit for effects of
a city’s port status.
A city is classified as core, semi-peripheral or peripheral using Bollen’s
(1983) ‘World System’ classification of nation. A city’s population is
logged to normalize a skewed distribution. Population data are taken from
Cohen (2002). When city population is used as a control, resulting missing
data cause the number of cities in analyses to drop to 3,023 (see Table 7.3).
Summary statistics on all measures used in analyses are presented in
Table 7.3.
In a digression from our central findings that ties in with recurring con-
sideration of the urban financial crisis in this volume, we explore data on
the connection of finance to the urban hierarchy. We do this by examining
data on the headquarters of major banking corporations in 2000, which we
aggregate into data on Alderson and Beckfield’s (2004) cities.
Findings
How are cities associated with Alderson and Beckfield’s four dimensions
of the urban hierarchy? 13.7 percent of Alderson and Beckfield’s (2004)
3,690 cities are ports. Spearman correlations between port status and the
dimensions of the urban hierarchy are 0.102 for Outdegree, 0.234 for
Closeness, 0.092 for Betweeness and 0.178 for Indegree. The correlation
for InOutBetween and ports is 0.259. Though modest, these correlations
are all highly significant.
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226 Alex Hicks and Ryan Hicks
Without robust standard errors With robust standard errors Without robust standard errors
Regressors 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Port 2.033*** .866*** 1.942*** 2.031*** .866* 1.942** .916** .337*** .931***
.1413 .1486 .1436 .1420 .2329 .4065 0.076 0.086 –0.077
.230 .098 –.220 .230 .098 .220 .108 .040 .109
Core – 1.927*** –.4232** – 1.927** –.4232 – 1.24*** .102
.1876 .1590 .4695 .4005 0.110 0.090
.228 .054 .228 .054 .106 .032
Semi-periphery – .959*** .166 – .959 .166 – .257* .088
.2455 .2260 .6494 .6825 0.123 0.184
.076 .025 .076 .025 .082 .028
Ln (Population) – 964*** – – .964*** – – .498*** –
.1158 .1158 0.023
.521 .521 .158
Constant 35.9*** 23.23*** 36.15*** 35.9*** 23.23*** 36.15*** –0.189** –6.98*** .498***
.1293 .5147 .1744 .2059 1.3099 .4973 –2.80 –0.335 0.023
R-squared 0.0528 0.2396 0.0570 0.0531 0.2397 0.0570 0.0188 0.0879 0.0190
(N) 3,690 3,023 3,690 3,690 3,023 3,690 3,690 3,023 3,690
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Sigma 1.5345 – – – – – – 1.5346 1.5346
SE(Sigma) 0.0281 0.0281 0.0281
***Statistically significant at 0.001 level (two-tailed);
**Statistically significant at 0.01 level (two-tailed);
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Conclusion
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230 Alex Hicks and Ryan Hicks
Not only is flooding due to SLR a mounting threat in this era of global
warming (Boschken, 2010).8 Date collected for this study show that port
status extends beyond global urban prominence to global financial
prominence and possible future financial crisis. In the face of mounting
threat SLR this vulnerability will not soon recede.
Cities that are prominent within the global relations of production
indeed are disproportionately centers of global finance. Data we examine
indicate that urban financial centers tend disproportionately to be ports.
Specifically, data on the revenues (in US dollars) for the 64 top commercial
and savings bank among the top 500 US corporations allows us to compute
total banking revenues for each of our cities.9 What we find from these
data is that a large share of the revenues of the world’s largest banks – a
majority as measured here – goes to banks headquartered in port cities
atop the urban hierarchy.
Specifically, we find that top financial cities – cities headquartering the
64 commercial and savings banks among the top 500 global corporations
in 2000 – are concentrated among the most highly ranked cities in the
urban hierarchy. If we regard such highly ranked cities as the 50 most
highly ranked in terms of ‘closeness openness’, we find that 78.8 percent
of the revenues of these top 64 banks went to banks in top cities (see
Appendix, Table 7.A2, Column 3). If we regard top cities as the 50 most
highly ranked in terms of the composite InOutBetween dimension, we find
that 81.25 percent of the revenues of these top 64 banks went to top cities
(see Appendix, Table 7.A2).
Furthermore, we find that large shares of top financial cities are ports
and majorities of top bank revenues go to those cities high in the urban
hierarchy that are ports. If we measure such highly ranked cities as the
50 most highly ranked in terms closeness openness, we find that top
financial cities constitute 20 of these 50 top ranked cities. Further, we find
that 13 of these 20 urban centers of financial headquarters are ports; and
we find that these 13 ports received 55.6 percent of the revenues of the top
64 banks. If we measure top cities as the 50 most highly ranked in terms of
the composite InOutBetween dimension, we again find that top financial
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Ports in the Global Urban Hierarchy 231
Last Words
Acknowledgements
Notes
1 By comparison Taylor (2006) collects data on only 100 service corporations and
446 cities. In the principal other attempt to measure the structure of world cities, Smith and
Timberlake (1995, 2002) collect and analyze data on air travel among 22 cities.
2 Correlation are all Spearman’s correlations. Missing data are all treated as such in
data computations, never as zeros. The correlations of measures for (2000 and 2007 were
graciously provided by Art Alderson.
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232 Alex Hicks and Ryan Hicks
3 Indegree and betweenness correlate 0.410 outdegree and indegree 0.291, outdegree
and betweenness 0.727, while outdegree, indegree and betweenness correlate 0.361, 0.518
and 0.367, respectively, with closeness.
4 In measuring ‘InOutBetween’, before we log InOutBetween, we add its minimum
score to eliminate negative values, and we then add 0.0001 to eliminate 0.0 values.
Correlations are Spearman correlations. Tobit analyses of the separate measures of
outdegree, indegree and outdegree are reported in appendix Table 7.A1.
5 For perspective on the relative magnitudes of effects across variables within given
regression we compute analogs to standardized regression coefficients multiplying each
coefficient estimate by the ratio of the standard deviation of the outcome variable
(InOutBetween) to the standard deviation of the regressor variables.
6 Relations of port status to Alderson and Beckfield’s other three dimensions of urban
location are broadly similar (see Appendix, Table 7.A1). Port status generally is significantly
and positively related to urban position at the 0. 01 test level or better for a two-tailed test
for the Indegree and Outdegree measures. (In Column 2, the t statistic of 1.59 for the slope
estimate falls just short of the t = 1.645 level needed for two-tailed, 0.10 [or one-tailed
0.05] significance. However, it does attain the 0.10 level for a one-tailed test.) Consistently
significant positive effects of core emerge for models with the city population control, but
not for those without it. Semi-periphery impacts are consistently positive but not always
significant. On another note, estimates impacts of port on city size are interesting as city
size might serve as an outcome for a rudimentary test of Fujita’s thesis. The slope estimates
for the regression of ln(population) on port are 22.38 without controls for core and semi-
periphery, 22.75 with such controls. (They are always highly significant.)
7 Our dichotomous measure of ports is crude, a first approximation. More
discriminating scales of ‘portness’ that assess a city’s degree of physical proximity to the
sea, and its infrastructural elaboration and extension by means of port facilities and
land transportation could be fruitfully developed and analyzed. Also, our analysis is
unfortunately static, a limitation that the imminent release of multiple waves of data into
the public domain by Alderson et al. might soon allow researchers to remedy. For example,
with even one more wave of this data, the impact of port status on change in urban
prominence might be estimated.
8 For example, NASA officials (www.nasa.gov/worldbook/global_warming_world
book.html 10/13/10) have warned of a likelihood of global flooding with major implications
for city restructuring and relocation. Indeed, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC) in its ‘Fourth Assessment Working Report’ (2007, Table SPM.1), reports
that a trend of ‘Increased incidence of extreme high sea levels’ is ‘likely’ that has a
‘projected impact’ encompassing ‘Increased risks of death and injury by drowning in
floods. Migration related health effects’. Implications of global warming and flooding for
urban crime have also been considered by Agnew (2011).
9 These banking data are from Fortune (2000), specifically from data on the revenues
(in $(2000) of 64 commercial and savings bank among the top 500 US corporations in
2000. Although bank data here is confined to bank headquarters alone, they mesh with data
in Alderson and Beckfield (2004) insofar as it is on the headquarters of the banking subset
of the corporations studied in Alderson and Beckfield (2004).
10 The 20 out of 50 top ranked cities noted for the case of closeness openness are
the cities in the first column of cities in Table 7.A2 of the Appendix (and over to the
left hand side of the table). The 20 out of 50 top ranked cities noted for the case of
InOutBetween are the cities in the second column of cities in Table 7.A2 (and near the
center of the table).
Appendix
Table 7.A1 Tobit analyses of outdegree, indegree and Betweenness (tstatistics in parentheses)
Outdegree Indegree Betweenness
Regressors 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
+
Port 550.6*** 101.6 1,438*** 22.44*** 12.84* 22.8*** 2.759*** 0.57* 2.78***
7.36 1.59^ 8.46 11.00 3.00 10.99 9.32 2.14 9.59
Core 1,241*** 550*** 26.2*** 3.17 4.01*** .304
7.96 3.94 8.69 1.38 9.60 0.84
Semiperiphery 475** 1,438* 12.71** 5.88 0.778 .538
2.96 2.30 3.33 1.80+ 1.60^ 1.09
Ln (Pop) 321.9*** 9.37*** 1.71***
11.73 16.25 14.46
Constant –1,014** –161.51 –1439** 26.54*** –101*** 23.8*** 3.77*** –1.03** .136**
10.55 –6.68 8.46 14.22 –14.36 9.4511 12.01 –5.81 5.99
Sigma 45.86
.5342
R-squared 0.024 .134 .013 0.003 0.1096 0.019 .0249 .253 0.050
N 3,690 3,023 3,690 3,690 3,023 3,690 3,690 3,023 3,690
***Statistically significant at 0.001 level (two-tailed test)
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**Statistically significant at 0.01 level (two-tailed)
*Statistically significant at 0.05 level (two-tailed)
+
Statistically significant at 0.10 level (two-tailed)
^
Statistically significant at 0.10 level (one-tailed)
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234 Alex Hicks and Ryan Hicks
Table 7.A2 City financial centers among top 50 world cities by ‘Closeness’ and
‘InOutBetween’ (IOB) and these centers’ financial revenues by city.1
1 2 3 4 5 6
City closeness rank port REVENUES City IOB rank port REVENUES
Paris 1 0 112641 Tokyo 1 1 185418
Tokyo 2 1 185418 Paris 2 0 112641
London 3 1 116039 New York 3 1 51820
New York 4 1 51820 London 4 1 116039
San Fran 5 1 21795 Düsseldorf 5 1 24079
Düsseldorf 6 1 24079 San Fran 6 1 21795
Amsterdam 7 1 38821 Amsterdam 7 1 38821
Munich 8 0 47071 Munich 8 0 47071
Toronto 11 1 48176 Zürich 9 0 49362
Zürich 12 0 49362 Osaka 10 1 27065
Madrid 14 0 25583 Frankfurt 15 1 117753
Brussels 19 1 58597 Beijing 19 0 65274
Osaka 21 1 27065 Toronto 22 1 48176
Milan 25 0 25726 Basel 23 1 27652
Frankfurt 28 1 117753 Melbourne 26 1 117753
Basel 29 1 27652 Utrecht 28 0 12487
Boston 31 1 20000 Madrid 34 0 22374
São Paulo 33 0 15164 Boston 39 1 20000
Melbourne 34 1 12487 Brussels 43 1 58597
Beijing 41 0 65274 Milan 44 0 25726
1. For world cities high in the urban hierarchy that host the headquarters of at least one of these top
banks. In the first four columns of Table A2, they are displayed for world cities ranked among the top
50 in terms of ‘closeness’ openness. In the last four columns of Table A2, they are displayed for world
cities ranked among the top 50 in terms of our composite measure of indegree, outdegree and
betweenness (i.e., InOutBetween)
References
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8
Athens and the Politics of
the Sovereign Debt Crisis
Nicos Souliotis
Introduction
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238 Nicos Souliotis
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240 Nicos Souliotis
10
0
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Greece
–5 Spain
Portugal
Germany
–10
–15
–20
loosen monetary policy to face this loss of competitiveness and the exter-
nal imbalances. They attempted to support the vitality of their economies
‘by opting for growth strategies that reflected their own history, politics
and social structure: Greece and Portugal sustained high levels of con-
sumption, while Ireland and Spain had investment booms that involved
real estate speculation’ (Lapavitsas et al., 2010: 7). They have also
increased public borrowing, partly fuelled by recycled German capitals
(Vlachou and Lambrinidis, 2011: 237–8), and ran fiscal deficits in order to
support aggregate demand and corporate profits, and keep unemployment
low (Argitis, 2011: 182–4). Especially in Greece, traditions of political
clientelism and tolerance of tax-avoidance led to lower public revenues
(see Figure 8.2) and higher rates of public borrowing in comparison with
other peripheral countries (Stathakis, 2010; Lapavitsas et al., 2010: 19).
The IMF-EU analysis that accompanied the bailout agreement of the
May 2010 (Ministry of Finance and Bank of Greece, 2010; European
Commission, 2010) acknowledged that the roots of the Greek crisis were
the eroded external competitiveness and the fiscal imbalances, considering
them though as a result of bad national policies of the period 2000–9. The
loss of competitiveness and the current account deficit stemmed from high
real wage increases which outpaced productivity gains, rigid product and
labor markets and an unsustainable domestic demand boom. The budget
deficits were the outcome of systematic overspending, endemic tax-
evasion and overoptimistic tax projections. Unreformed health and pension
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Athens and the Politics of the Sovereign Debt Crisis 241
*UHHFH
(8
Ō
Ō
Ō
Ō
Ō
Ō
Figure 8.2 General government current revenues as per cent of GDP, Greece and EU 15.
Source: European Commission (2011).
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242 Nicos Souliotis
expenditures in high levels despite the cuts in public wages and pensions.
Furthermore, despite initial estimations that the crisis would be restricted
in Greece, Ireland and Portugal accepted an IMF-EU-ECB financial
assistance in November 2010 and May 2011 and Spain accepted a bailout
for its banks from the European Stability Mechanism (ESM) in November
2012. Since the summer 2011 the yields of the Italian government bonds
surged towards the 6–7 percent level where this country could lose access
to financial markets (see Table 8.1).
Although one of the main aims of the bailout program was to avoid
Greece’s default, the Greek sovereign debt has been restructured twice
during 2011–2. Following an idea launched by the German government
few months after the beginning of the bailout program and given the failure
of the latter, the Eurogroup agreed in July 2011 to foster a program of
reduction of the value of the Greek bonds held by the private sector up to
21 percent, a goal revised to 50 percent in October. The restructuring of the
debt involved a four month bargaining between the Greek government, the
EU, the IMF and the private holders of Greek government bonds (notably
the Institute of International Finance which represented the interests of
several leading financial institutions). The final arrangement entailed a
53.5 percent nominal write-off of some 206 billion euros of bonds.
Investors accepted a swap with short-term EFSF notes and new Greek
bonds with lower interest rates and the maturity prolonged to 11–30 years.
A second, more limited, restructuring of the Greek debt took place in
December 2012 when Greece launched a program of buying back
government bonds by offering private holders the chance to swap their
bonds with new short-term EFSF ones for a maximum price of between
40.1 percent and 32.2 percent. The process has been completed with
Greece buying back bonds of 31.9 bn with an average price of 33.8 percent,
retiring thus some 21 bn euros of its debt.
The reductions of the Greek sovereign debt have been accompanied by
a new loan facility agreement between IMF-EU-ECB and Greece which
has been adopted by the Greek Parliament in February 2012 and specified
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Athens and the Politics of the Sovereign Debt Crisis 243
Table 8.2 Real GDP growth and inflation rate (annual average rate), Greece 2008–12
2008 2009 2010 2011
GDP –0.2 –3.3 –3.5 –6.9
Inflation 4.2 1.3 4.7 3.1
Source: Eurostat.
Table 8.3 Domestic demand in Greece and EU 15. Contribution to changes in GDP (%).
Annual percentage change
1996–2000 2001–2005 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Greece 3.9 4.0 1.2 7.0 6.3 1.5 –4.1 –6.6 –8.5
EU 15 2.9 1.7 1.9 2.9 2.7 0.1 –3.8 1.3 0.9
Source: European Commission (2011).
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244 Nicos Souliotis
Table 8.5 Youth unemployment rate <25 years, Attica Region and Greece
2009 2010 2011
Attica 25.0% 33.1% –
Greece 25.7% 32.8% 44.4%
Source: Eurostat.
Table 8.6 Private building activity, number of construction permits, Attica Region and
Greece, month of December 2010–11
2009 2010 2011
Attica –1.1% –13.8% –47.8%
Greece –3.1% –10.9% –41.8%
Source: Hellenic Statistical Authority.
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246 Nicos Souliotis
Small and medium commercial and artisan businesses could profit less
by the adjustment program: they use much more informal labor and indi-
vidual contracts than firm level collective agreements and, more impor-
tantly, they are particular sensitive to the domestic demand. They thus
adopted a more ambiguous attitude vis-à-vis program’s implementation.
Their representatives (National Confederation of Hellenic Commerce,
Athens Chamber of Commerce and Industry) coalesced with industrialists
(Hellenic Federation of Enterprises) in collective bargaining asking for
wage freeze in the private sector. At the same time, they struggled against
increase in indirect taxes and business taxation (TA NEA, 2010a).
The major trade unions (General Confederation of Greek Workers,
Supreme Administration of Greek Civil Servants Trade Unions) called
early to general strikes and mass demonstrations. Within the framework of
collective bargaining, the unions, whose leaders were close to the governing
socialist party, tried to compromise with employers. They accepted wage
freeze in the public sector asking in return to protect jobs against layoffs
(TA NEA, 2010b).
Other significant opposing mobilizations came from different occupa-
tional groups (pharmacists, doctors, truck and taxi owners, etc.). They
struggled against reforms removing protective regulations (restrictions on
the legal form of the business activity, geographical restrictions on the
practice, minimum prices, etc.) foreseen by the IMF-EU-ECB program.
Within this general political framework, there have been the conditions
for the emergence of a dynamic social movement. The socialization of
the crisis cost downwardly through wage cuts and the raising of taxes
opened the way for the radicalization of broad middle and low social
strata. A major form of social mobilization in Athens was the occupation
of the Syntagma square, in front of the Parliament, by protesters follow-
ing the paradigm of Madrid’s Puerta del Sol. This mobilization was
inscribed in a wider ‘movement of squares’2 or ‘movement of indignant
(aganaktismenoi)’ that unfolded from May to October 2011 in several
Greek cities (the first manifestations took place in 38 central squares in
different cities). The ‘movement of squares’ has been organized via calls
launched in the social media (Indymedia, Facebook) for meetings in
squares of large cities against the austerity policies. The calls were anony-
mous and stressed the spontaneous and pacific character of manifestations,
as well as the lack of any organic relationship with political parties and
trade unions. The manifestations in Athens and other cities hosted public
discussions between protesters which evolved rapidly into popular assem-
blies taking place on an everyday or weekly basis. At the peak of the
movement, one could find popular assemblies in forty squares of Athens
(Kavoulakos, forthcoming).
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248 Nicos Souliotis
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250 Nicos Souliotis
when both the conservative mayor of the city and the socialist prime
minister stated that the developmental objective for Athens was its
transformation into an international center of services and culture
(Romanos, 2004: 154). In 1987, the central government announced the
construction of Athens’ metro and of a second airport in eastern Attica
(Spata). During 1988–90, Athens stood, unsuccessfully, as candidate city
for the organization of the 1996 Olympic Games. Nevertheless, Greek
political elites’ attitude vis-à-vis pro-growth policies remained ambivalent
for a decade. The socialists were still constrained by the anti-Athenian
pro-rural consensus which brought them in power in 1981. The political
system as a whole relied on clientelistic relations with medium and lower
strata organized around small land and real estate property (Maloutas,
2010). As an expression of these political alliances and dispositions,
the sums of the First and the Second Community Support Frameworks
(1989–93, 1994–99) were mainly directed to small scale projects, a
strategy that ensured their social diffusion (Economou, 1997; 2004).
Since the mid-1990s political and economic elites and academic experts
started to form a coalition over a more coherent developmental strategy for
Athens with focus on competitiveness. The Technical Chamber of Greece
(TCG), the Organization of Planning and Environmental Protection of
Athens (OPEPA) and members of the central government and the local
authorities of Attica took part after 1994 in a number of meetings and con-
ferences which examined the prospects of implementation of a metropoli-
tan government in the Athenian agglomeration and the investment in
infrastructures required to re-boost the city’s economy (for an overview
see Economou et al., 2001). In the late 1990s and early 2000s the turn
toward urban competitive strategies was codified in the terms of the ‘world
city’ literature in two influential research projects funded by the OPEPA
and the Ministry of Environment, Physical Planning and Public Works
(MEPPPW) (Economou et al., 2001; Leontidou-Gerardi, 2004). The
general lines of the new direction have been adopted by major policy texts
and plans, mainly the 1999 law on the Planning and the Implementation of
the 2004 Olympic Games and the Regional Operational Programs of Attica
(GSPA, 2006; 2007). The changes in the social structure of the city shaped
the conditions, if not for a consensus, at least for a tolerance vis-à-vis the
emerging competitive policies. The multiplication of university graduates,
the growth of liberal professions and the decline of the industrial activity
(Maloutas, 2010) led to the expansion of social strata which are more
attracted by private consumption than redistributive policies.
The rationale of the new pro-growth strategy for Athens, as it was put
forward in the above-mentioned policy and planning texts, may be
summarized as follows: The accession of Greece to the EC/EU and the
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Since the mid 1980s, the Greek governments implemented successive, sig-
nificant reforms of the local government system which were inscribed into
a more general, European trend. During the same period several European
countries promoted the political strengthening of regions and cities through
the devolution of responsibilities from the central government, the estab-
lishment of diverse forms of metropolitan government and the diffusion of
the model of directly elected major (Lefèvre, 2010; Le Galès, 2002:
323–49; Borraz and John, 2004; Brenner, 2004: 219–27). These reforms
aimed at facilitating the participation of cities and regions to the European
Commission-controlled cohesion and regional programs.
Within this framework, Greece implemented in 1986 ‘administrative’
regions, adding a fourth level to the local administration system which
included also prefectures (nomarchies), municipalities (demoi) and com-
munities (koinotites). In 1997 an extended reform of the local administra-
tion system (known as ‘Kapodistrias plan’) provided for the abolition
of communities, which were merged in a relatively limited number of
municipalities, and for the establishment of the elected prefect. In early
2000s, Greece was the only European state which opted for the fusions
of municipalities in order to quickly ‘catch-up’ with the evolution of local
governments in Europe and rationalize its public administration (Jouve,
2005: 287).
In June 2010 a new reform (‘Kallikratis plan’) reduced further the
number of municipalities (from 1,034 to 325), abolished the former second
level (the 52 prefectures) and enacted the elected Head and Council of the
13 regions. The first level of territorial administration (municipalities)
acquired increased responsibilities in low level social policies (education
and health) and in environmental policies. The second level of administra-
tion (regions) becomes mainly responsible for the promotion of develop-
ment policies on a spatial basis. The central state reserves the role of
supervision and coordination in policy sectors of nation-wide importance
(such as spatial planning and immigration) through seven administrations
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256 Nicos Souliotis
to the municipalities and the regions has not been accompanied by the
transfer of the necessary financial resources. What is more, the Kallikratis
plan imposes to the municipalities with less than 300,000 inhabitants –
which are the large majority in the country – restrictions regarding the
number of public bodies that they can establish. It also provides for the
obligation of local authorities to keep balanced budgets. Municipalities
and regions that suffer excess borrowing and deficits may follow local
stabilization programs under the supervision of the Ministry of Interior.
These programs give access to borrowing from a public fund supervised
by the Ministry of Finance imposing at the same time the implementation
of fiscal adjustment policies. The participation in such a program may be
requested by the municipal authorities or decided unilaterally by the
services of the Ministry of Interior. Thus, the IMF-EU-ECB bailout agree-
ment is used at the domestic level as model to reshape the fiscal relation-
ships between the Greek central state and the local authorities towards the
institutionalization of austerity policies.
When the sovereign debt crisis burst, EU’s institutional structure lacked
the mechanisms to face it, mainly because the ECB is not allowed to play
the role of the lender of last resort for national governments. The manage-
ment of the crisis took primarily the character of intergovernmental bar-
gaining, as the necessary financial resources for solving the crisis were to
be found in the national budgets. Intergovernmental tests of strength
became the core mechanism of EU policy-making and politics of the crisis
and their outcomes have been imposed to lower institutional levels (indi-
vidual national governments and subnational authorities) as well as to the
legislative power – this is what Habermas recently called ‘executive
federalism’ (Habermas, 2012).
Intergovernmental balance of power was shaped on the grounds of pre-
vious national economic performances within the unified European market
and the single currency area, debtor states occupying dominated positions
and states in surpluses occupying dominant ones. Since the early stages of
the sovereign debt crisis in 2010, countries in surplus of the Central and
Northern Europe (the Netherlands, Finland, Austria) formed, under the
guidance of Germany, a block which adopted common political strategies
and managed to lead the process. The involvement of the IMF in the
bailout programs underlined these strategies, transferring in the European
periphery the neoliberal recipes that were applied in the Asian crises in late
1990s (Krugman, 2009). Germany and its allies defended also fiercely
ECB’s independence and rejected central bank funding of governments.
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258 Nicos Souliotis
hyperinflation crises. Bundesbank has been the model for the design of the
ECB which constituted one of the pillars of the Eurozone as it was launched
in 1999 (Arestis et al., 2001: 1). The opening of ‘regulated’ professions is
inscribed in the tradition of economic liberalization, largely inspired from
German odroliberalism, that characterized the EC already since the Treaty
of Rome and has been reinforced and elaborated in the Treaties of the 1980s
and 1990s (Joerges and Rödl, 2004: 8; Sbragia, 2000: 224 cited in Jessop,
2008: 214). The structural reforms in the labor markets and the pension
system, the retrenchment of public finance and the privatizations program
are inscribed in the neoliberal policies emphasizing supply-side competi-
tiveness that have been adopted by the EU mainly since the Maastricht
Treaty in 1993 (Jessop, 2008: 213, Arestis et al., 2001: 30–1).
The strategy of Germany and its allies may be interpreted as the outcome
of the meeting of dominant EU economic ideologies with a pragmatic
interest to preserve both the German model of growth and the overall
stability of the European financial system. Germany could not accept
the loosening of fiscal and wage formation policies as means to solve the
crisis, given that its model of economic growth was based, especially since
the late 1990s, on exports, fiscal discipline and stability of wage cost
(Lapavitsas et al., 2010). On the contrary, the bailout programs and the
TSCG diffused Europe-wide the basic principles of the German model.
The bailout programs provided also the European banks (mainly French,
German and Greek) with the necessary time to reduce exposure to the
Greek debt by selling bonds in the secondary market (Wilson, 2011) and
to be better prepared to participate in the restructuring of the Greek debt
which took place in February 2012.
The restructuring of the debt wrote off a large part of the debt held by the
private sector, but at the same time Greece received a new loan from
European countries and the IMF. This process rendered the Greek debt
somewhat more sustainable and transformed it from a privately held debt to
a principally interstate one (after the implementation of the bailout program
decided in February 2012, more than two-thirds of the Greek sovereign
debt are held by other EU member states). It also largely disencumbered the
European banking system of the ‘toxic’ Greek debt. Meanwhile, the German
government adopted a highly pragmatic attitude vis-à-vis domestic public
opinion: While it capitalized on Germans’ opposition to aid for Greece
(Harriet, 2011) in order to reject more ‘federal’ solutions to the crisis (issu-
ance of Euro-bond, central bank financing of governments), it has promoted
a transfer of risk linked to the peripheral debt to the German and other
European tax-payers through the bailout programs.
Last, Germany and the governments of other countries in surplus
tolerated some forms of ECB interventionism in financial markets: under
Jean-Claude Trichet’s presidency, the ECB began open market operations
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Athens and the Politics of the Sovereign Debt Crisis 259
buying government debt securities to contain the borrowing cost for coun-
tries under pressure. Under Mario Draghi, Trichet’s successor since
November 2011, the ECB launched in December 2011 and February 2012
two three-year loan programs to European banks at the cheap interest of
1 percent, of an overall amount of 1tn euros. Banks could use liquidity to
buy bonds of their governments, repair their own balance sheets and
bolster economic activity by lending businesses.
While the austerity policies prevailed clearly during the first two years
of the crisis, the idea to use more Keynesian and ‘federal’ tools gained
gradually ground, especially since the implementation of the bailout pro-
grams in Greece, Ireland and Portugal faced severe difficulties. Giulio
Tremonti, the Italian Economics Minister, and Jean-Claude Junker, the
Luxembourg Prime Minister and president of ECOFIN, proposed in
December 2010 the emission of Eurobonds by a European Debt Agency
and up to the limit of 40 percent of GDP of the EU (Tremonti and Juncker,
2010). Jose Manuel Barroso, head of the European Commission, adopted
the Eurobonds idea at a briefing in November 2011 as a complement to
public finance discipline that could foster economic governance integra-
tion and bring down yields for the countries under pressure (Telegraph,
2011). The German government and its allies objected that the debt
mutualisation could function as counter-motif for the implementation of
restructuring policies in the debtor countries and would spread the cost of
the crisis to the tax-payers of countries with healthy public finances.
However, proposals in the direction of some loosening of fiscal disci-
pline and pro-growth measures continued to gain some visibility. During
the French elections campaign in April 2012, the socialist candidate
François Hollande criticized the German government’s attitude and advo-
cated the issuance of common European project bonds, an increase in
investment by the European Investment Bank and the introduction of a
financial transaction tax (Carnegy, 2012). Backed especially by the new
French government, Spain achieved a direct recapitalisation of its banks
by the ESM, without adding the rescue funds to Spanish public debt. In
September 2012 the European Commission returned with a proposal for
unified bank supervision in the Euro area under the auspices of the
European Central Bank which could contribute to preventing bank crises,
as well as to attenuating creditor countries’ hesitations on direct bank
recapitalisation (Economist, 2012).
After a period of abeyance in 1970s and early 1980s, the European integra-
tion knew a new impetus from the mid-1980s and on (Single European
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260 Nicos Souliotis
the age before national states and it was posed the question whether we are
witnessing the formation of a ‘Europe of cities’ (Harding, 1997). In a neo-
Weberian perspective, Le Galès (2002) argued that the emergence of a
political system in the EU where no player possesses a monopoly of rule-
production created a new political potential for cities transforming them
into ‘collective actors’. In order to examine the vertical relations between
city authorities and civil society, urban scholars (Basset, 1996; Harding,
1997; Kantor et al., 1997; Stoker and Mosseberger, 1994; Mossberger and
Stoker, 2001) tested in European cities US-originated models, especially
the urban regime theory (Stone, 1993). This approach allowed European
scholars to better conceptualize the increase of business elites’ influence
on urban policy and the implementation of pro-growth strategies by the
European cities (often financed by the EU) as a response to globalization
pressures (Mosseberger and Stoker, 2001: 819; Harding, 1997: 308). Other
scholars examined the diffusion of the model of the directly elected mayor
in countries where it was absent or only in part applied (Borraz and John,
2004), the establishment of transnational networks of cities, largely within
the framework of EU programs (Le Galès, 2002: 105–8; Heinelt and
Niederhafner, 2008) and the implementation of unitary administration in
metropolitan areas (Lefèvre, 2010).
The assumption that the cities (and the regions) enjoy a significantly
enhanced political power and are involved into a redistribution of political
authority within the EU raised mainly three criticisms.
First, it was argued that central governments remained powerful.
National governments act as ‘gatekeepers’ on European public policy
institutions (John, 2000: 882) and maintain the initiative to reform, or not,
the political structures of the cities according to their interests (as it is the
case of the establishment of metropolitan governments in capital cities,
Jouve, 2005: 287; Lefèvre, 2010). Urban scholars that tested the ‘urban
regimes’ model in European cities, stressed that a major difference between
Europe and the United States was that the national authorities and the
public sector still play a more important role in urban policies in Europe
(Basset, 1996: 550; Harding, 1997: 308–9; Mosseberger and Stoker, 2001:
821).
A second point of criticism has been that the transition to multilevel
governance and the political empowerment of cities are far from being
linear and uniform processes. They have rather a variegated character and
are contingent upon different national and local contexts. The ability of
cities to take advantage and influence EU policies and to develop partner-
ships with public authorities of different levels and the civil society depend
highly upon conditions like the existence of bureaucratized and profes-
sionalized local authorities or the dominance of political clientelism, the
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Conclusion
The political dynamics of the crisis pose emphatically the question of the
embeddedness of Athens’ urban policies within the intra-EU intergovern-
mental politics and the associated institutional transformation of the EU.
The Kallikratis local reform is inscribed in the pre-crisis trend of state re-
scaling within the framework of the European integration. Nevertheless,
as the reform was implemented during the crisis, it was used to promote
austerity policies and state retrenchment, while the political empowerment
of regional and urban authorities has been partly cancelled by the EU level
policies and politics. Along with the reform of the public administration,
health, education and pensions system (mergers of public administrative
departments, hospitals, funds, schools and universities), the local reform is
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266 Nicos Souliotis
Acknowledgements
Notes
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9
Globalization and Urban Insecurity:
Comparative Perspectives
Sophie Body-Gendrot
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272 Sophie Body-Gendrot
observations from the field, evaluating the nature of the local in an era of
globalization) and based on conceptual frameworks or perspectives. The
issue at stake is whether global cities which have so much to lose from the
consequences of attacks, wide disturbances, social fragmentation and
decay are on the frontline for experimenting with social innovation. In a
strong context of inequality, do cities have the capacity to confront the
‘systemic logic of expulsion’ currently at work (Sassen, 2010)? At what
scale and in which context?
Ideas and experimentations are abundant in large cities. However, cities
cannot alter legal restraints. In the US, constitutionally, they are ‘creatures
of the state’, and in other countries, their capacities for decision-making
may be dispersed and heterogeneous or dominated by higher spheres of
authority. Evaluating local empowerment is a complex issue of research,
linking the global and the local (and deconstructing such terms), the
present, the future and the past. It sets more theoretical and empirical
questions than answers. When a mirror falls, no one knows which shape its
pieces will take on the ground.
I draw here upon my research experience on safety and public space
that I have tested in various global cities via the Urban Age Program at
the London School of Economics and Public Policy. My research is
comparative, qualitative and interdisciplinary. The relationship between
macro-financial and economic changes, policies of security and of control
meant to contain potential disturbances is indeed best understood in a
comparative approach. While there is a convergence of social and eco-
nomic forces at work with a worldwide financial crisis impacting on cities’
instability and conflictual conditions, the dynamics of urban violence may
also be global. The response differs according to country, region and
city. Conjunctural analyses attempt to decipher ongoing, site-specific pro-
cesses. Isolating episodes of urban unrest allows to see whether and how
they fit into a whole set of theories and practices, to examine the balance
of social forces, power relations, political-institutional arrangements, mar-
ginalization and exclusion and possible alternatives of empowerment
(Brenner, Marcuse, Mayer, 2009: 178–9).
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sensibility or in intuition. Not all risks are equal and not all risks are interpreted
as dangers. (1998: IX)
Some risks cause fear, some of them just raise concerns, others may even
appear attractive in some circumstances. Dangers which are statistically
insignificant are given a great deal of attention, due to the discourse(s) of
experts, media, economic interests and politicians. It is in their interest to
do so, because the political manipulation of feelings of insecurity is made
easier when urban populations lack markers and the necessary distance to
anticipate the future and make sense of the large mutations characterizing
our time. Addressing risks, danger and urban insecurity allows governing
elites to avoid answering impossible demands such as a better future for
the generations to come and to refocus general anxieties on something
concrete like problem neighbourhoods and their residents. Beck (1992:
96) rightly points out that risk awareness is frequently based on second-
hand information but also on second-hand non-experiences. There is a
widespread conception that everything can happen. Fear thus becomes a
way of looking at a world in which risks are constructed and overblown.
Everything seems uncertain when one feels unprotected.
Risk is socially situated and varies from culture to culture. People tend,
however, to select the risks that they want to be concerned with, according
to puzzling rationalities. They orient their mode of thinking on specific
issues or groups in order to be mentally prepared to confront danger,
within what Douglas and Wildavsky (1984) call ‘a portofolio of risks’.
Risk is consequently a socially and individually constructed element,
defined through comparisons in an architecture itself characterized by
obliviousness to all other potential risks. There is no scientific basis to
such construction. People are scared of elements which objectively cause
few casualties and they do not dread road accidents which are a lethal risk.
The ‘producers’ of risks and those of insecurity are different agents.
Insecurity may not be caused by events that one has witnessed, but merely
by rumours circulating among people who more or less know each other
or by intensive crusades launched by the media, after a very unusual inci-
dent. The collective contamination of negative perceptions, a feeling of
powerlessness when signs of order have vanished, even an ‘ontological’
disenchantment: all testify to the solitude of individuals confronted with
macro-changes that they cannot master and that states supposedly invested
with the duty of protection seem unable to alleviate. In the past, when
sovereigns were endowed with a strong authority, people would gather
inside the walls of cities for protection. This situation has vanished with
modernity and then late-modernity, increasing feelings of insecurity due to
a general loss of markers (Garland, 2001).
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Globalization and Urban Insecurity 275
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276 Sophie Body-Gendrot
Moral panics about dangerous groups, places and behaviours inform policing
and community safety policies, and within urban development, unjust fortressing
and surveillance strategies clash with rhetoric about inclusive and peopled
cities. (Gilling 1997; Garland 2001)
Bombarding the world with messages about new and renewed risks allows
governments to capitalise on fears by governing through beliefs, behaviours
and assent of the “neurotic citizen”. (Pain and Smith, 2008: 1; Isin, 2004)
How do global insecurities worm their way into everyday life? Where do they
figure in local landscapes of risk? What do people do with them? What are the
tangible threats to safety and well-being, outside of those fears of ‘mainstream’
society which grab the headlines, and what are the fears of those who are feared?
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Globalization and Urban Insecurity 277
Pain and Smith wonder (2008: 2), there is no in-depth theory on the
social implications of urban globalization regarding risks for cities
at various levels. Problems generating insecurity, in particular, in some
urban areas, are frequently perceived and defined locally and politic-
ally, but the link with how they are understood socially and felt by resi-
dents experiencing them on a day-by-day basis is rarely explored.
We agree with R. Beauregard (quoting R. Stern) that adversity impinges
on a city from the outside and that this ‘outside’ is less a force for
change that an occasion for response. Studying what happens allows to
form attitudes, hypotheses and arguments (Beauregard, 2011: 188–89.)
But there can be no generalization from one city to the next or from one
context in the south to that of the north. General urban theory then is of
little help.
In the observed responses, markers between the global and the micro-
local tend to get blurred. ‘There are not two scales which inspire and
address fear by variously relating to one another; rather there are assem-
blages of fear built, trained, embedded, woven, wired, nurtured into the
way the specific times, places and events work’ (Pain and Smith 2008: 3).
It is this linkage that is theoretically explored here. Cities experience dif-
ficulties to come up with adjusted, multidimensional solutions for the chal-
lenges that they face. Eager to keep the upper hand, some of them make
radical decisions, such as bulldozing massive public-housing projects
which appeared to be beyond control. Yet, some inefficiency, disorder,
incompleteness and unpredictability are sometimes positive for neigh-
bourhood rejuvenation and for change to happen, but that assumption sits
in sharp contrast to the logical and functional propositions made by bureau-
cracies in charge of planning decisions. The decisions of the latter do not
take into account what a majority of people feel and require such as ‘a
right to the city’.
Are there linkages between globalization, inequalities and urban unrest
(translating into riots, violent protest or space occupation)? In other words,
does the current sovereign debt crisis in its various forms translating into
social tensions and urban dissent hamper the economic, political and social
well-being of cities? If so, are global cities in less developed countries
more vulnerable? (Body-Gendrot, 2011)
Marxist theories of urban politics analyze political institutions as part of
the state apparatus, marked by the role which the state plays in capitalist
society in terms of accumulation and legitimation of capital (Pickvance,
1995: 253; Lefebvre, 1996/1968; Castells, 1977/1972; Harvey, 1976).
Beyond the ‘right to the city’ and ‘cities for people and not for profit’,
specific programmes, strategies of resistance and the politicization of grass
roots action are needed.
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278 Sophie Body-Gendrot
and New York reveal. The polycentrism of Los Angeles would not apply
here (Judd, 2011). ‘Reputational’ ghetto residents (Peach, 1996) inspire
fear rather than compassion. Public interventions are meant to exert
surveillance, identify and discipline recalcitrant or ‘incivil’ residents.
‘Inequality is not quite the top priority: only 17 per cent of Americans
think it is extremely important for the government to try to reduce income
and wealth inequality, according to a Gallup survey in November 2011’
(Newport, 2011).
Some federal cities (cf. the federal programme Hope VI) attempt to dis-
perse poverty. But vouchers allowing poor families to move out of hope-
less ghettos to better neighbourhoods raise other problems. They are not
popular among the middle classes, concerned that the presence of poor
newcomers living in their own backyard will decrease the value of their
property and poor families are uncomfortable in an unfriendly environ-
ment. Gans does not share the enthusiasm of scholars from the New York
School, for whom density and diversity are what makes a city. ‘Middle-
class people, especially those raising children, do not want working
class – or even bohemian – in their neighbourhoods (Gans, 1968: 28–29).
Conversely, should poor residents have a chance to live wherever they
want. ‘If they live in a great working-class neighbourhood, why do we
want middle class people there too?’ Marcuse asks, criticizing mixed-
income planning (quoted by Fainstein, 2010: 68). There is little hope of
maintaining great working-class neighbourhoods though, in the absence of
effective welfare and social programmes in the US along with the destruc-
tion of public-housing projects unmatched by an equal number of recon-
structed units. The mayors of large American cities claim that they have
demonstrated forms of efficiency in terms of law and order, that streets
are safer, homicides in decline and that no major terrorist attack or riots
have occurred in the country in the last 12 years. Yet policies of repression
are conducted at the expense of the most vulnerable categories whose
rights are frequently bypassed. The category of victim does not apply to
them but to those who have an easy access to the criminal justice system
and have offenders condemned with a light view of due process. Procedures
seem to matter more in such a system than real people.
Historical European cities, where inequalities and segregation are
visible but less so than in American cities, display more processes of
continuity. Yet the impact of Europeanization, globalization and den-
ationalization is also felt. Until the 2008 recession, poor urban areas
where disadvantaged households are concentrated seldom constituted
‘ghettos’ comparable to those of American cities and it was not in terms of
homicides that they made the headlines. The lack of opportunities for
mobility on the job market is indeed alleviated by still generous welfare
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280 Sophie Body-Gendrot
and control, modes of exclusion which may be channels for disorders and
urban violence, in a context of eroding control. A majority of the global
cities’ residents in the Global South live in substandard conditions; infra-
structures are lacking and resources including that of clearly defined juris-
dictions are inadequate. In vast slums where 33 per cent of the world
population lives, a mix of order and disorder and of competing and ambiv-
alent identities have diverse effects, according to logics of collective effi-
cacy and specific norms varying from place to place and differing from
those of elites or of the middle classes.
When they hit cities, situations of disorder are both an opportunity as well
as an event. They often highlight issues that are being ignored in the public
discourse, like situations of injustice and people’s emotions. They do not
necessarily hit the headlines but they make a difference. They form a con-
nection between the global and the local. The murky problem of why dis-
turbances occur can also be illuminated by thinking about the obverse:
Why do they not occur more often in situations where we might expect
them? The answer can best be obtained initially, by acknowledging that
civil strife is relatively rare, and next, by suggesting that when it does
occur, it is catalyzed through a labyrinth of relatively discreet, highly dis-
positional events which, at a defining moment, fold into one another. It is
this combination of chance, context, and causation which may explain
why disorders occur (Body-Gendrot, Savitch, 2012). Urban theory here,
including that of relative deprivation, is anything but predictive.
Urban outbreaks, disorders and more generally, social rebellion, are
not just a threat for global economic players, investors, political elites,
businesses and, more generally, citizens whose daily life is disrupted.
They give globalization its confrontational dimension, without immedi-
ately resorting to political claims. The urban sites targeted by dissenters,
protestors and activists embody what global cities are, in terms of flux
and wealth but also of social failures. Mobilizations are a mode of social
expression; they reinterpret public space and organize a drama in the
context of marked and contentious territories (Sassen, 2010; Body-
Gendrot, 2012). Theoretically, they can be perceived as a ‘voice’ or a least
‘a cry’, a signal that disjunctive democracies are going too far in their
excesses. The case of Occupy Wall Street (OWS) illustrates this point.
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286 Sophie Body-Gendrot
Attempting Solutions
Good urban governance is not the alpha and omega in terms of solution to
problems, the causes of which are beyond cities’ capacities. Exogenous
factors and outer forces weigh on the future of neighbourhoods and of
metropolises. Optimism may come from strong social cohesion at the
community level, as will be illustrated by a few examples.
The strategies to turn Johannesburg into a world-class city have been
ambitious from the very start and their approach more coordinated than in
Sao Paulo or Mumbai (Murray, 2011). The region is run by one political
party, the African National Congress (ANC) which rules at all levels.
Compromising and negotiating take place within party structures among a
plurality of actors. New instruments for citizen participation have however
been introduced, but the locus of power remains in a few hands, perpetu-
ating the geography of exclusion. According to Beauregard and Tomlinson
(2007), the issue of exclusion and of spatial decay is politically ignored
by the city administration and its institutions, making the city vulnerable
to crime and social tensions. There is no acknowledgment of the need
for solving problems of crime or horizontal and vertical conflicts. As in
the US, new segmented forums at the community-level encouraging
public debates exist; the density of non-profit organizations has a notably
positive effect on neighbourhoods, regardless of deep problems. They
challenge neither the overall governmental structure nor global policies,
but they allow shared expectations to promote trust and impact on residents’
daily life.
The authorities’ long-term perspective is that by year 2030,
Johannesburg will be a ‘city of possibilities and promise, excitement and
hope for the future’ (City of Johannesburg, 2002: 3). There are doubts that
this assumption may come true, due to the rate of poverty, unemployment
and crime among Africans and rates collection shortfalls among other
issues (Beauregard and Tomlinson, 2007: 251). The truth probably lies in
between: Johannesburg is neither a kind of urban ‘noir’, as described by
architect Rem Koohlas nor a city of all possibilities. Sao Paulo and Mumbai
also demonstrate that there is a lot of work still to be done to provide a
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288 Sophie Body-Gendrot
Empowering Citizens
When coping with assemblages of fears and insecurity, global cities
confront a multitude of difficulties, some arising from general causes
and some from highly specific ones, including the rise of populist move-
ments, based on disenchantment and anger with elites’ choices. When
attempting to manipulate fear, however authorities may face civic resis-
tance. Everyday life always and already speaks back, resists and “chal-
lenges political attempts to manipulate fear … Grounded approaches to
fear challenge the politics embedded in the scalar, top-down view of fear
assemblage’ Pain and Smith observe (2008: 249). Urban democracies need
counter-powers and accountability. Mobilized constituencies may act as a
bulwark against financial and institutional abuse and corruption, requiring
accountability and surveillance bodies. They may express shared values or
formulate alternatives to elected officials’ decisions. People can be vigi-
lant, be judges or denunciators, exert sanctions and vetoes or recall their
elected officials, if there is an opportunity to do so. It is easier for reformist
officials to ‘imagine, articulate, pursue and actualize the vision of a just
city’ if they are supported by motivated groups (Fainstein, 2010: 181).
New forms of social involvement are thus displayed, some of them
quiet and personal, others large-scale and spectacular. Within global pro-
cesses, local actors, some of them illiterate, may, via technologies of com-
munication available to them such as the internet, acquire a presence on a
global and political scene when they connect to other local actors in the
same country or elsewhere in the world. In return, they may receive pro-
posals for action from world organizations in need of a local basis for their
transactions. NGOs and the third sector are a must that make a large
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Globalization and Urban Insecurity 289
metropolitan area work. In the best cases, they insufflate trust, confidence
and cooperation. With globalization, new social patterns emerge indeed
within traditional social conditions. Immigrants who have lived in cities
for ever take a new meaning, become aware of it and act consequently.
Other impoverished citizens may act similarly in specific contexts, even in
Los Angeles (Soja, 2010).
Cities can provide a dense articulation of global and local dynamics, in
response to which people think and insert themselves into politics, becom-
ing new kinds of citizens. Participation – a learning process – empowers
citizens who are organized. Community-based organizations may teach
people how to get what they need, once they are organized (Alinsky, 1971).
In that process, cities become both the site and the substance not only of
the uncertainties of modern citizenship but also of its emergent forms. The
politicization and capacity for resilience of ‘people at the bottom’ (les gens
de peu) require those practices of everyday city life, unveiled by de Certeau
(1984), mixing the illegal and the legal, the just and the unjust, the public
and the private, the political and the domestic.
An innovative and survival perspective, more appropriate for cities
of the South, points at the self-help of poorer populations, that is, altern-
ative decisions made at the margins in order to survive in dangerous
environments. What Bayat (2000: 533) calls ‘a quiet encroachment of the
ordinary’, refers to marginalized groups’ individual direct actions and
alternative outlooks in the city. What do these men and women aim for?
Their agency is necessary for the basic necessities of daily life, for instance,
for opportunities in the unlawful and direct acquisition of collective
consumption (land, shelter, piped water, electricity and roads), public
space (street pavements, intersections and street parking places), opportu-
nities (favourable business conditions, locations and labels) and security,
essential for survival and minimum standards. The poor aim at autonomy,
outside the boundaries of the state and institutions, basing their relation-
ships on reciprocity, trust and negotiation, resorting to informal dispute
resolution rather than go to the police or to the judge, and so on. However
such actions remain individual despite the legacy of urban social move-
ments. ‘For modernity is a costly affair; not everyone can afford to be
modern … The disenfranchised are unlikely to become a more effective
player in the larger sense…’ (Bayat, 2000: 533–54).
In conclusion, long-term studies show that despite financial turmoil
impacting on cities, patient, modest, almost invisible processes of media-
tion among diverse, old and new class-differentiated residents and urban
decision-makers can prove efficient (Amin and Thrift, 2002). Inviting
people to think and express themselves about the spaces where they live
and go to work or entertain themselves is a variation of this democratic
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290 Sophie Body-Gendrot
Notes
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California Press.
Ewald, François (2002) ‘The Return of Descartes’ Malicious Demon: An Outline of a
Philosophy of Precaution’, in T. Baker and J. Simon (eds), Embracing Risk: The
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Globalization and Urban Insecurity 293
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294 Sophie Body-Gendrot
10
Financial Crises and Spatial Income
Inequality Growth: The Case of Tokyo
Kuniko Fujita
Introduction
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296 Kuniko Fujita
population and the rest 99 percent (Byrne, 2012). More inequality studies
followed (IRS, 2012; Krueger, 2012; Noah, 2012; Stiglitz, 2012a).
Although the Occupy movements and various austerity protests took place
in many cities of the world from Athens to London, there have arisen few
studies on relations between the income inequality growth and the 2008
financial crisis elsewhere other than in the US.1 There are even fewer
studies on this subject at the city level.2
In this chapter, I first survey the theoretical debate over relations between
income inequality growth and financial crises. Then, I turn to Tokyo and
explore the relations between Japan’s two major financial crises of 1990
and 2008 and their impacts on not only income inequality growth as
a whole but also residential income inequality growth among Tokyo’s
neighborhoods. I present empirical evidence that Tokyo’s spatial income
inequality growth is highly linked to two crises and that spectacular
bubbles and catastrophic busts were exclusively concentrated in Tokyo’s
central core area and directly impacted little on the rest of Tokyo. I also
argue that Japan’s redistributional system and national and urban politics
and policies kept the effects of the crises on Tokyo’s income inequality
growth and residential income inequality growth among neighborhoods
relatively moderate. Lastly, I conclude that contrary to popular urban
claims that globalization, neoliberal turn, and technological change have
led to urban income inequality and metropolitan polarization, the two
financial crises are the main cause of Tokyo’s residential income inequality
growth.
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Figure 10.1 Top 1 percent income share in selected countries (Australia, France, Japan
and the US), 1914–2010
Source: The World Top Incomes Database. http://g-mond.parisschoolofeconomics.eu/topincomes
Figure 10.1 shows selected countries – Australia, France, Japan and the
US – from the World Top Income Database. The Piketty and Saez study
(2003, 2010) of the US case shows that income polarization peaked twice
in American history between 1913 and 2010 as seen earlier. The 1929
Great Crash is the classical ^ pattern. The increasing wealth of the 1920s
flowed disproportionately to the owners of capital. The distribution of
income worsened in the 1920s. Inequality reached its peaks just at the start
of the Great Depression. The Gini coefficient of overall inequality rose in
the 1920s, and was lower in the mid to late 1930s (Atkinson, 2005;
Atkinson, et al., 2011). The share of the top 1 percent (including capital
gains) which had been 15 percent in 1920, rose to 24 percent in 1928, and
then fell back to 15.5 percent in 1931 and 1932. There is an almost perfect
^ pattern between the pre- and post-Great Depression years. The proportion
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298 Kuniko Fujita
Causal theory
The causal theory contends that income inequality growth generated high
debt which in turn led to housing boom which then caused the banking
crisis at the bubble burst. Comparing the top 5 percent of US households
from 1983 to 2007 with the remaining 95 percent, Lansley (2011) con-
tends that the rich got richer in the decades before the 2008 crisis; every-
one else tried to maintain his or her standard of living by going deeper into
debt. As income inequality grew over that period so did debt levels,
because the rich increasingly invested their growing wealth in bonds and
bank deposits, in effect providing money for ever more lending to the poor
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Financial Crises and Spatial Income Inequality Growth 299
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300 Kuniko Fujita
Correlation theory
Krugman (2006, 2007, 2012a) and Krugman and Wells (2011, 2012) reject
causal and reverse casual theories. They instead acknowledge that there
may be effects of the crisis on income inequality growth and that inequal-
ity growth and the crisis have something to do with politics and policies.
Krugman, first of all, rejects Reinhart and Rogoff’s belief that high debt
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Financial Crises and Spatial Income Inequality Growth 301
causes a banking crisis (2012a), giving an example of the UK that had high
debt ratio in GDP in the 1960s and 1970s. Shiller (2008) and Kindleberger
and Aliber (2005) also do not see high debt causing a crisis. Moreover,
Irons and Bivens (2010) contend that Reinhert and Rogoff suffer from
theoretical and empirical flaws. Regarding high debt, Krugman sees the
banking crisis causing high debt, which then leads to slow growth, which
further leads to income declines among the working middle and lower
population. Krugman’s logic is based on Keynesian demand theory: Firms
in advanced economies are now cutting jobs, owing to inadequate final
demand, which has led to excess capacity, and to uncertainty about future
demand. But cutting jobs weakens final demand further, because it reduces
labor income and increases inequality. Because a firm’s labor costs are
someone else’s labor income and demand, what is individually rational for
one firm is destructive in the aggregate.
Krugman attributes the cause of the income polarization growth to the
rise of narrow oligarchy that market forces and politics and policies have
helped to create by concentrating income and wealth in the hands of a few
elites over the past three decades (2006, 2012a). But unlike Stiglitz who
sees the unequal distributions created by corporate rent-seeking and dis-
torted government policies, Krugman sees the rise of oligarchy distort the
redistribution system so that the gains from productivity in the past three
decades fell in the hands of the oligarchy. The result is that free markets do
not generate enough final demand. In the US, for example, slashing labor
costs in post-crisis recession sharply reduced the share of labor income in
GDP. With credit exhausted, the effects on aggregate demand of decades
of redistribution of income and wealth – from labor to capital, from wages
to profits, from poor to rich, and from households to corporate firms – have
become severe, owing to the lower marginal propensity of firms/capital
owners/rich households to spend. Krugman and Wells (2012) further
argues that the rightward shift in American business (LBOs6) and politics
have benefitted more the wealthy than ordinary Americans since around
1980 or so. The productivity growth has kept growing but been slower
since the rise of LBO-type operators in the 1980s. And competitiveness –
big trade surplus before 1980 – has turned to big trade deficits. Krugman
concludes the result is this: income distribution became radically more
unequal.
Acemoglu (2011) takes an entirely different argument. He contends that
wage inequality below the 99th percentile is being driven by supply,
technology, and trade, while the top percentile is being driven by something
entirely different and this something entirely different is also very related
to the causes of the financial crisis and to the peculiar political processes
that have been underway in the US over the last 25 years. Acemoglu also
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302 Kuniko Fujita
claims that politics is a key to understand the relations between the crisis
and inequality growth. The key financial players were bailed out, while
low-income homeowners were not. He further points out that powerful
political resistance to extension of unemployment benefits tells that the
politics is very important.
This chapter argues the second school of reverse causal theory best
explains Tokyo’s case on relations between Japan’s two financial crises
and spatial income inequality growth among Tokyo’s neighborhoods.
Figure 10.2 shows Japan’s top 1 percent income share over the period of
1914 and 2010. Japan makes a clear L-shaped pattern. The impacts of two
recent financial crises (1990 and 2008) on the top 1 percent income share
can hardly be detected in this figure. The figure also shows that Japan’s top
share growth is extremely low by international standards. But Japan has its
own story.
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Figure 10.2 slightly detects the drop of the top 1 percent in 1992 as the
effect of the 1990 bubble burst after the asset bubble in the 1980s. Japan’s
major financial crisis of 1990 triggered a prolonged recession between
1990 and early 2000 and aggravated the effects of the 2008 global financial
crisis on the economy. Although unemployment rates stayed around
3 percent on average in the post-1990 crisis era, they reached the highest
at 5.6 percent in 2009 just after the 2008 crisis, and came down to 4 percent
levels by 2012. But the results of the two crises are the “lost two decades”
of slow growth, which have disproportionately inflicted upon the weaker
and vulnerable part of the population (female-headed households with
small children) and younger generations that have missed out employment
opportunities and suffer from irretrievable consequences.
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304 Kuniko Fujita
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306 Kuniko Fujita
How were Japan’s two financial crises translated into Japanese cities?
National aggregate data may not convey the specific pictures of the crises
effects on cities. Tokyo, which includes the central city of 23 wards and
26 suburban cities, may provide the case that the financial crises could
trigger not only income inequality growth but also spatial income inequality
growth among neighborhoods. Followed is a close look at the effects
of the two financial crises on the spatial household income inequality
growth among Tokyo’s 49 districts (central city 23 wards and suburban
26 cities).
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308 Kuniko Fujita
Table 10.1 Household income and household income inequality among Tokyo’s
49 districts (central city 23 wards and 26 suburban cities, 1971–2009, 10,000 yen)
1971 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2009
Figure 10.3 Household income inequality among Tokyo’s 46 districts (central city
23 wards and 26 suburban cities), 1971–2009.
Source: Based on Table 10.1.
The Role of the Four Central Core Wards in Tokyo and Japan
As Tokyo’s spatial inequality data tell, the two financial crises’ epicenter is
Tokyo’s four central core wards which constitute Tokyo’s core central
business districts (CBD).10
Tokyo’s spatial income inequality rises and falls over time, in a wave-
like pattern, in line with fluctuations in the fortunes of the four central core
wards as seen earlier.
Figure 10.4 shows comparison of spatial income inequality among
Tokyo’s 49 districts and Tokyo excluding the four central core wards, by
household, between 1971 and 2009. Excluding the four central core wards,
Tokyo’s spatial income inequality comes down drastically and there is
almost no change over the past four decades, leading to a clear picture that
the four wards play a special role in the crises and make a difference in
Tokyo’s trend and pattern of spatial income inequality growth. The
distinctive wave-like movement in income inequality among Tokyo’s
49 districts, revealed when city wards and suburbs are combined at the
metropolitan level, actually applies only to central city wards; the inequality
trend among suburban cities is flat, displaying almost no variation over the
years between 1971 and 2009.11 Within the central city, the four central
core wards lead the distinctive wave-like movement in income inequality
among 23 wards.
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310 Kuniko Fujita
of Tokyo’s 23 central city wards and 26 suburban cities. The income of the
four central core wards in turn moves in lockstep with fluctuations in their
land value. Land value and per household income correlate highly in
Tokyo; but occupation and per household income correlate less (Fujita and
Hill, 2012).
Property assets peak in Tokyo’s central core area, decline precipitously
in adjoining areas, and flatten out over the rest of Tokyo. The sky-high
price of land in the central core wards and the L-shaped, tapering-with-
distance land price gradient reflect the functional primacy of Tokyo’s
CBD. Functional primacy refers to the central management activities of
Japan’s major economic, political, and sociocultural institutions which
concentrate overwhelmingly in Tokyo’s four central wards.12 The income
of a Tokyo ward and city correlates very highly with the value of land in
the district. The Pearson product moment correlation between a ward and
city’s per household income and the ward and city’s residential land value
per square meter was 0.83 in 2009. As expected, the four central core
wards stand out in the upper right quadrant (high income, high land value)
of the figure based on the Pearson product moment correlation among 49
local districts (Fujita and Hill, 2012).
Table 10.2 Household income change by Tokyo’s 49 districts (23 central city wards and
26 suburban cities) and Tokyo’s 4 central core wards, 1971–2009, 10,000 yen.
1971 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2009
shows more dramatic role played by the four central core wards in Tokyo’s
income inequality pattern. Between 1971 and 1975, average percent
growth in the four central core wards was 35 percent, while Tokyo’s
average household income growth was 83 percent. Tokyo’s house-
hold income growth was more than twice as high as that of the four central
core wards. This indicates that household income at the four central core
wards was traditionally much higher than the rest of Tokyo but income
growth did not take place in the four central core wards in the 1970s.
When the bubble rose, peaked and burst between 1985 and 1990, percent
income growth reversed between the four central core wards and Tokyo
(49 districts). Percent income growth in the four wards was 68 percent,
while Tokyo’s percent income growth went down to 37 percent. In the post
bubble years between 1990 and 1995, percent income growth in the four
wards sharply dropped to –14 percent, while Tokyo’s percent income
growth stayed at 37 percent. These figures also indicate that the asset
bubble was concentrated in the four wards and percent income growth was
also highly fluctuated in the four central core wards. By 2005, thanks to
public policy on urban redevelopment projects that inflated land values in
CBD again, average percent growth in the four central core wards was on
the way to a recover and reached 9 percent, while Tokyo’s average percent
growth recovered from the minus percent growth between 1995 and 2000
but remained as low as 3 percent. Between 2005 and 2009 just after the
2008 global financial crisis, average percent growth in the four central
core wards grew to 14 percent and Tokyo’s percent income growth also
grew to 4.8 percent. Notwithstanding percent growth in Tokyo and the
four central core wards, the effects of the 2008 crisis have yet to come. As
the 2008 crisis led to the sharp decline of land value in the four central core
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312 Kuniko Fujita
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Figure 10.5 Percent household income growth change by Tokyo (23 central city wards
and 26 suburban cities) and central core wards (Chiyoda, Chuo, Minato and Shibuya),
1971–2009
Source: The author’s drawing based on Table 10.2.
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314 Kuniko Fujita
80 percent of new office supply between 2000 and 2005 (Fujita and Hill,
2012). Families in the central wards once again began reaping fortunes
from an investment boom, thus accounting for the second peak in
Tokyo’s spatial income inequality in 2009. Tokyo’s CBD land values
began falling again in 2010 in response to the economic downturn caused
by the 2008 global financial crisis (MLIT, 2010).15 Predictably adverse
impact of plummeting land prices on four central core ward incomes
suggests that spatial income inequality in the city is once again on the
decline.
Household income inequality among Tokyo’s 49 districts essentially
boils down to a large income gap between families residing in Tokyo’s
four central core wards and families in the rest of the city. That income gap
mirrors huge differences in land prices between the four central core wards
and outlying districts. Land values reach stratospheric levels in Tokyo’s
core wards, and there is very high, indeed a nearly perfect, positive
correlation between housing land value and per household income among
Tokyo’s 49 districts as seen earlier. On the other hand, per household
income and professional and managerial occupations are less strikingly
correlated among Tokyo’s 49 districts.16 Four central core wards’ incomes
rise and fall with booms and busts in land prices, so does income inequality
among the 49 districts in Tokyo as a whole.
Political Economy
Economic structure
Tokyo’s economy as a whole and central city economy in particular
are not skewed toward the finance, insurance, and real estate service
industry. The effects of global, technological, and urban changes on
the labor market and occupational structure have been gradual.17 In par-
ticular, globalization has less impacted wage and occupational structures.
Japan has shifted low valued production and used cheap labor abroad as
other developed countries have done. But simultaneously Japan kept
investing in technologies and upgrading production processes at home.
Technological investment in computerization and robotization has
not resulted in replacing human labor with machines and robots but
rather helped create people-based “lean production system” (Office of
International Affairs, 1990; Womack, et al., 1990; National Research
Council, 1998; Economist, 2012).18 The effects of globalization and tech-
nological change have been incremental. Also the government has been
engaged in managed trade and linked trade policy to domestic industrial
policy and regional Asian strategies. In consequence, percent changes in
metro Tokyo’s labor force have been moderate: professional, technical,
clerical, sales, service jobs have been increasing, while managerial and
production jobs have been declining.19
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competitive cities that the state desired. This national policy framework
for urban redevelopment helped the TMG facilitate and expand its
redevelopment projects, both in the central city and in the suburbs. It also
enabled Japan’s big corporations headquartered in Tokyo’s downtown to
respond to state policy to great effect and helped boost the TMG’s tax
revenue. Japan’s big corporations were land and property owners in the
central business districts (CBD), and led a several-trillion-yen restructuring
of Tokyo’s CBD (Fujita and Hill, 2008).
Intergovernmental relations between the state and Tokyo enable policy
flows but are not free of political tensions and contradictions. Different
policy goals, which mostly emanate from the hierarchical government
structure, inevitably create tensions between central and local states like
the TMG. The TMG’s policy goal in urban redevelopment was a sustain-
able and safe city, while stimulating innovation and creating new markets
in the new green urban economy. Yet the national policy framework turned
out to be far more inclined towards growth to revitalize the national
economy than to improve quality of life. As the TMG’s policy was often
subject to public opposition, and was shaped by public activism, grassroots
voices raised against Tokyo’s redevelopment projects (Fujita and Hill,
2008).
Conclusion
The financial crises and income inequality growth are highly connected,
whether crises caused income inequality growth or inequality caused the
crises. And the effects of the crises on income inequality growth vary
country to country, depending upon national redistributional systems and
politics and policies.
Tokyo’s residential household income inequality pattern, measured by
coefficient of variation, has traditionally been established between the four
central core wards in Tokyo’s CBD and the rest of Tokyo. Tokyo’s spatial
inequality trend has been cyclical over the past four decades: Inequality
fell in the 1970s, rose in the 1980s, fell in the 1990s, and rose again
between the 2000s in a wave-like pattern. The first rise in the 1980s was
caused by the bubble, while the fall in the 1990s was caused by the 1990
catastrophic bust. The second rise in the 2000s was caused by the small
bubble that government urban redevelopment policy created to revitalize
the economy, while the fall in 2009 was caused by recession triggered by
the 2008 global financial crisis.
Tokyo’s wealthy four central core wards played a crucial role in the two
crises, leading Tokyo’s spatial household income inequality growth trends
and pattern for the entire 23 wards of the central city and the entire Tokyo
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320 Kuniko Fujita
metropolitan area. The fluctuating fortunes of the four wealthy wards have
been brought about by estate markets, which have largely determined the
rise and fall of residential income inequality in Tokyo as a whole. No data
indicate that globalization, technological change, and urban redevelopment
projects which have, some argue, turned to neo-liberal direction, have
shaped Tokyo’s spatial income inequality growth trends and pattern. It
was the two financial crises that caused Tokyo’s spatial income inequality
growth.
Notes
1 A few studies include Galbraith and Jiaqing (1999) who did research
on metropolitan regions in Latin America; Olafsson, et al. (2010) on Iceland; Habib, et al.
(2010) on developing countries; McKenzie (2010) on Japan; Galbraith, et al. (2009)
on Beijing; United Nations (2009) on selected countries; and Cornia (2012) on Latin
America.
2 Exception is Reardon and Bischoff (2011) and Weinberg (2011) on American
Metropolitan Area and Beverage (2011) on New York City.
3 Stiglitz (2012a) argues that the government distorted the economy by giving a
preference to derivatives, making student loans non-dischargeable, providing inadequate
supervision and thus supporting the unfettered global financial industry which were backed
by the Washington consensus, the World Bank, BIS and which fancied fantastic profits that
could be accrued by taking risks. He also argues that deregulation, weakened unions, and
unbridled CEO pay, the excessive financialization, and financial innovation directed at
circumventing the regulations gave rise to the instability that led to the crisis. In this income
redistribution from the bottom of the top, Stiglitz contends, there is insufficient demand to
keep the economy growing. “The Fed compensated for that by creating a bubble. It was a
temporary palliative.” “It’s absolutely clear there was inadequate regulation; it led to a sub-
prime bubble” (Stiglitz, 2012b).
4 Rajan argues as follows. Broadening access to housing loans and home ownership
was an easy, popular, and quick way to address perceptions of inequality. Politicians set
about achieving it through the agencies and departments they had set up to deal with the
housing debt disasters during the Great Depression. Ironically, the same organizations may
have helped precipitate the ongoing housing catastrophe. Both the Clinton administration’s
attempt to make housing affordable to the less well-off and the Bush administration’s
attempt to expand home ownership were laudable. They were also politically astute in that
they focused on alleviating the concerns of those being left behind while buying time for
more direct policies to work. But the gap between government intent and outcome can be
very wide indeed, especially when action is mediated through the private sector. Any
instrument of government policy has its limitations, and what works in small doses can
become a nightmare when scaled up, especially, when scaled up quickly. Some support to
low-income housing might have had benefits and prompted private sector reaction (Rajan,
2010: 44).
5 See http://utip.gov.utexas.edu/
6 Leveraged Buyout
7 Krugman (1998) too argues that Japan’s 1990 crisis was Japan’s own.
8 Today, emerging economies are doing the same thing as Japan did thirty years ago.
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Financial Crises and Spatial Income Inequality Growth 321
9 For individual income inequality among Tokyo’s 23 wards ad 26 cities, see (Fujita
and Hill, 2012)
10 Tokyo has many CBDs in both central city and suburbs. The CBD made of the
4 central core wards is, however, called Tokyo’s traditional CBD.
11 In sharp contrast to the central city, income inequality among suburbs, negligible
to begin with, actually fell slightly (8 percent) over about 40 year period (Fujita and Hill,
2012).
12 The centrifugal power or functional primacy exerted by the CBD is also indicated
by the ratio of daytime to resident population in the central wards: The daytime population
is 20 times larger than the resident population in Chiyoda ward; 6.6 times in Chuo ward;
and 5 times in Minato wards.
13 Measured by coefficient of variation, the Professional and Managerial (P&M)
distribution inequality among Tokyo’s 49 districts is quite low at 0.213 in 2005 (Fujita and
Hill, 2012).
14 Three decades of high and rapid rates of growth, deregulation of foreign currencies,
and successful American pressure on Japan to raise the value of the yen against the dollar
in the mid 1980s, all contributed to the makings of the asset bubble.
15 Between 2009 and 2010, housing land value per square meter declined 11 percent
on average in 4 central core wards, while Tokyo as a whole declined 6.8 percent (MLIT,
2010).
16 The correlation is 0.75.
17 Many studies show negative impacts of global and technological changes on labor
markets (Acemoglu and Autor, 2010; Jaumotte, et al., 2008; Ford, 2009).
18 Japan’s case belies pessimistic views that human workers would fail to adapt to
the quickening pace of technological changes raised by Brynjolfsson and McAfee (2011)
and Ford (2009). These authors of course focus on digital revolution, the third industrial
revolution, or the new industrial revolution which are exemplified by the use of 3D printers.
Japan has long been engaged in the third industrial revolution (Anderson, 2012).
19 For an entire Tokyo metro area, between 1980 and 2005, changes in occupational
trends were incremental: professional and technical workers increased from 11.3 percent
to 17.1 percent and clerical, sales and services workers grew from 54.0 percent to
56.2 percent, while managerial workers decreased from 7.0 to 3.1 and production workers
and laborers from 26.7 percent to 19.9 percent (Fujita and Hill, 2012).
20 Unlike the 1990 crisis, this time the government pumped sufficiently large
amounts of money into the corporate sector, quickly enough, to counteract the effects of the
crisis.
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