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02 Presentation OM2-2023-2025 20240319 113133 0000
02 Presentation OM2-2023-2025 20240319 113133 0000
MANAGEMENT-II
01 INTRODUCTION
02 METHODOLOGY
Business selected:
Saket Plywood and Hardware
Objectives:
To understand the raw material demand faced by small furniture business and
identify the major cost drivers.
To study order history and recommend appropriate forecasting methods for future
demand estimation.
To apply Linear programming and create a model to predict the benchmark cost
for materials of a modular kitchen.
To do a cost comparison between hiring and contracting.
METHODOLOGY
Data collection process Sources of Data
PRIMARY DATA
INITIAL PLANNING SOURCES
SECONDARY DATA
PARAMETERS OF THE
SOURCES
STUDY
Results of Analysis:
The Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) for Plywood forecasting using the naive
method is 48.156%, whereas for the 3-month moving average method, it is 37.6%.
Similar trends were observed across other materials such as Laminate, Door, and Fevicol.
Order Forecasting
The 3-month moving average method demonstrates superiority over the naive method, as
evidenced by the consistently lower MAPE values.
Implementing the 3-month moving average method holds promise for enhancing the
accuracy of order volume forecasting and optimizing inventory management processes.
Cost Analysis: Hiring v/s Contractor based
Hiring Carpenters:
Carpenter: Rs. 400/day
Helper: Rs. 300/day
Overtime VC for Carpenter:
Rs. 400/day
Monthly labor cost: Rs. 26,600
Contractor Based:
Contractor fee: Rs. 1,200/day
Monthly contractor cost: Rs.
31,200
Linear Programming
02 Data chaos
03 Resource constraints
04 Privacy concerns
05 Subjectivity in interview