SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.701662246588482
R Square 0.492329908287596
Adjusted R Square 0.435922120319552
Standard Error 0.376038056412136
Observations 31

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 3 3.702559134472 1.2341863782 8.728048 0.000328
Residual 27 3.817924736496 0.1414046199
Total 30 7.520483870968

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Intercept 6.25213389754076 0.877656627921 7.1236673873 1.165E-07 4.451331
Health exp 0.0210164056697453 0.048275071758 0.4353469587 0.666771 -0.078036
Ln GDP Per Capita -0.562085301959711 0.149266665862 -3.7656451875 0.00082 -0.868355
Literacy rate -0.0132543779767001 0.011099681686 -1.1941223497 0.242816 -0.036029

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation Predicted Fertility rate Residuals

1 1.52071663211574 -0.32071663212
2 1.27420527138328 0.025794728617
3 2.38665035079532 -0.9866503508
4 1.49590550701907 0.074094492981
5 2.29016011644365 -0.69016011644
6 1.80206090312485 -0.20206090312
7 1.59491210106474 0.005087898935
8 1.70589982112173 -0.10589982112
9 2.03880525962004 -0.33880525962
10 1.86796171541647 -0.16796171542
11 1.74545234588609 -0.04545234589
12 1.88792492263084 -0.18792492263
13 1.81258932058903 -0.11258932059
14 2.16964628747533 -0.36964628748
15 2.09607919604686 -0.29607919605
16 2.27206934387006 -0.37206934387
17 1.78280061903229 0.117199380968
18 1.69093736126155 0.209062638738
19 2.20660896220519 -0.10660896221
20 1.805028192487 0.394971807513
21 1.71032485961529 0.489675140385
22 2.26919313357083 0.030806866429
23 1.81543254732272 0.484567452677
24 2.25695737308978 0.14304262691
25 2.40701675955593 0.092983240444
26 2.12818538220624 0.371814617794
27 2.57234505977465 0.127654940225
28 2.31789063871373 0.382109361286
29 2.29388594255521 0.406114057445
30 2.3657745194609 0.534225480539
31 2.78657955454553 0.413420445454
Significance F

Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
8.052937 4.451331 8.052937
0.120069 -0.078036 0.120069
-0.255815 -0.868355 -0.255815
0.00952 -0.036029 0.00952
 Fertility rate Health exp Ln GDP Per Capita Literacy rate
Fertility rate 1
Health exp -0.2137522016 1
Ln GDP Per Capita -0.6816804028 0.3531206623 1
Literacy rate -0.4710704471 0.3302377122 0.492997330214866 1
Fertility rate Health exp Ln GDP Per Capita Literacy rate
1.2 7.7 6.76718232292427 82.2
1.3 6.9 7.05321625791114 87.4
1.4 5.2 5.18854836556044 79.85
1.57 11.6 6.80387008239463 88.7
1.6 5.6 5.43529998844863 77.3
1.6 5.1 6.15292504003434 82.9
1.6 5.5 6.22279368292711 96.2
1.6 7.4 6.32393170947304 86.55
1.7 6.3 5.66223723532413 87.75
1.7 3.8 5.96820994130882 83.7
1.7 4.3 6.178921298069 84.8
1.7 4.2 6.20467952081242 72.8
1.7 4.4 6.24243112186709 77.2
1.8 4.9 5.54807350387957 80.5
1.8 4.3 5.97721973429823 66.9
1.9 5.1 5.44879005786031 77.3
1.9 5.8 6.12611517612247 86.6
1.9 4.4 6.21362131030691 87.6
2.1 6.4 5.85791749864662 66.95
2.2 5.4 6.170653347984 82.4
2.2 3.7 6.32273738022699 80.4
2.3 6.8 5.31467598229384 85.9
2.3 6 5.95810606940645 91.58
2.4 5.9 5.50558765638275 77.3
2.5 4.2 5.24579765357446 74.3
2.5 5.1 5.63851065574375 80.11
2.7 5.3 5.02344783909513 73
2.7 4.4 5.42598743688501 73.7
2.7 5.6 5.60788490780721 69.7
2.9 7.2 5.40351622544011 75.48
3.2 4.5 4.66191298869592 70.9
2.01193548387097

Fertility rate health exp ln per capita income literacy rate

Fertility rate 1
health exp -0.2137522016 1
ln per capita income -0.6816804028 0.353120662264812 1
literacy rate -0.4710704471 0.33023771221463 0.492997330214866 1

Residuals health exp ln per capita income literacy rate

Residuals 1
health exp -9.04E-17 1
ln per capita income 1.24E-16 0.353120662264812 1
literacy rate 1.7757821E-16 0.33023771221463 0.492997330214866 1

Predicted Fertility rate Residuals

Predicted Fertility rat 1
Residuals -2.509947E-16 1

100

95

90

85
f(x) = − 6.81540266369271 x + 93.9692472301456
Literacy rate

R² = 0.221907366163364
80

75

70

65

60
1 1.5 2 2.5
Fertility rate
per capita income
868.860274
1156.572603
179.2082192
901.3287671
229.3616438
470.090411
504.109589
557.7616438
287.7917808
390.8054795
482.4712329
495.060274
514.1068493
256.7424658
394.3424658
232.4767123
457.6547945
499.5068493
349.9945205
478.4986301
557.0958904
203.2986301
386.8767123
246.0630137
189.7671233
281.0438356
151.9342466
227.2356164
272.5671233
222.1863014
105.8383562
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.701662246588482
R Square 0.492329908287596
Adjusted R Square 0.435922120319552
Standard Error 0.376038056412136
Observations 31

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 3 3.702559134472 1.234186 8.728048 0.00032778861
Residual 27 3.817924736496 0.141405
Total 30 7.520483870968

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

𝜷_𝟏
Intercept, 6.25213389754076 0.877656627921 7.123667 1.165E-07 4.45133124538
𝜷_𝟐
Literacy rate, -0.0132543779767001 0.011099681686 -1.194122 0.242816 -0.0360290436
𝜷_𝟑
Health exp, 0.0210164056697453 0.048275071758 0.435347 0.666771 -0.0780358597
𝜷_𝟒
Ln GDP Per Capita, -0.562085301959711 0.149266665862 -3.765645 0.00082 -0.8683552021

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation Predicted Fertility rate Residuals

1 1.52071663211574 -0.32071663212
2 1.27420527138328 0.025794728617
3 2.38665035079532 -0.9866503508
4 1.49590550701907 0.074094492981
5 2.29016011644365 -0.69016011644
6 1.80206090312485 -0.20206090312
7 1.59491210106474 0.005087898935
8 1.70589982112173 -0.10589982112
9 2.03880525962004 -0.33880525962
10 1.86796171541647 -0.16796171542
11 1.74545234588609 -0.04545234589
12 1.88792492263084 -0.18792492263
13 1.81258932058903 -0.11258932059
14 2.16964628747533 -0.36964628748
15 2.09607919604686 -0.29607919605
16 2.27206934387006 -0.37206934387
17 1.78280061903229 0.117199380968
18 1.69093736126155 0.209062638738
19 2.20660896220519 -0.10660896221
20 1.805028192487 0.394971807513
21 1.71032485961529 0.489675140385
22 2.26919313357083 0.030806866429
 23 1.81543254732272 0.484567452677
24 2.25695737308978 0.14304262691
25 2.40701675955593 0.092983240444
26 2.12818538220624 0.371814617794
27 2.57234505977465 0.127654940225
28 2.31789063871373 0.382109361286
29 2.29388594255521 0.406114057445
30 2.3657745194609 0.534225480539
31 2.78657955454553 0.413420445454
2.01193548387097 1.70472955E-15

271 x + 93.9692472301456
4

2 2.5 3 3.5
Fertility rate
 SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.701662246588482
R Square 0.492329908287596
Adjusted R 0.435922120319552
Standard E 0.376038056412136
Observatio 31

ANOVA
df
Regression 3
Residual 27
Total 30

Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0% Coefficients

8.0529365497 4.45133124538 8.0529365497 Intercept 6.25213389754076
0.00952028763 -0.03602904358 0.00952028763 Health exp 0.0210164056697453
0.12006867109 -0.07803585975 0.12006867109 Ln GDP Per -0.562085301959711
-0.25581540185 -0.86835520207 -0.25581540185 Literacy ra -0.0132543779767001

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

ObservationPredicted Fertility rate

1 1.52071663211574
2 1.27420527138328
3 2.38665035079532
4 1.49590550701907
5 2.29016011644365
6 1.80206090312485
7 1.59491210106474
8 1.70589982112173
9 2.03880525962004
10 1.86796171541647
11 1.74545234588609
12 1.88792492263084
13 1.81258932058903
14 2.16964628747533
15 2.09607919604686
16 2.27206934387006
17 1.78280061903229
18 1.69093736126155
19 2.20660896220519
20 1.805028192487
21 1.71032485961529
22 2.26919313357083
23 1.81543254732272
24 2.25695737308978
25 2.40701675955593
26 2.12818538220624
27 2.57234505977465
28 2.31789063871373
29 2.29388594255521
30 2.3657745194609
31 2.78657955454553
 SS MS F Significance F
3.7025591344719 1.234186378157 8.728048 0.00032778861
3.81792473649585 0.14140461987
7.52048387096774

Standard Error t Stat P-value
0.877656627920769 7.12366738727 1.165E-07
0.0482750717580263 0.435346958676 0.666771
0.149266665861703 -3.76564518752 0.00082
0.0110996816864983 -1.19412234973 0.242816
Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%
4.45133124538 8.052937 4.451331 8.052937
-0.0780358597 0.120069 -0.078036 0.120069
-0.8683552021 -0.255815 -0.868355 -0.255815
-0.0360290436 0.00952 -0.036029 0.00952

Residuals
-0.32071663211574
0.0257947286167162
-0.986650350795323
0.0740944929809286
-0.69016011644365
-0.202060903124849
0.00508789893526074
-0.105899821121733
-0.338805259620038
-0.167961715416475
-0.0454523458860896
-0.187924922630836
-0.112589320589028
-0.369646287475331
-0.296079196046858
-0.372069343870056
0.117199380967713
0.209062638738447
-0.106608962205194
0.394971807512996
0.489675140384714
0.0308068664291712
 0.484567452677277
0.143042626910221
0.0929832404440716
0.371814617793759
0.127654940225346
0.382109361286272
0.406114057444789
0.534225480539104
0.413420445454471
Upper 95.0%
Fertility rate Health exp Ln GDP Per Capita Literacy rate
1.2 7.7 6.76718232292427 82.2
1.3 6.9 7.05321625791114 87.4
1.4 5.2 5.18854836556044 79.85
1.57 11.6 6.80387008239463 88.7
1.6 5.6 5.43529998844863 77.3
1.6 5.1 6.15292504003434 82.9
1.6 5.5 6.22279368292711 96.2
1.6 7.4 6.32393170947304 86.55
1.7 6.3 5.66223723532413 87.75
1.7 3.8 5.96820994130882 83.7
1.7 4.3 6.178921298069 84.8
1.7 4.2 6.20467952081242 72.8
1.7 4.4 6.24243112186709 77.2
1.8 4.9 5.54807350387957 80.5
1.8 4.3 5.97721973429823 66.9
1.9 5.1 5.44879005786031 77.3
1.9 5.8 6.12611517612247 86.6
1.9 4.4 6.21362131030691 87.6
2.1 6.4 5.85791749864662 66.95
2.2 5.4 6.170653347984 82.4
2.2 3.7 6.32273738022699 80.4
2.3 6.8 5.31467598229384 85.9
2.3 6 5.95810606940645 91.58
2.4 5.9 5.50558765638275 77.3
2.5 4.2 5.24579765357446 74.3
2.5 5.1 5.63851065574375 80.11
2.7 5.3 5.02344783909513 73
2.7 4.4 5.42598743688501 73.7
2.7 5.6 5.60788490780721 69.7
2.9 7.2 5.40351622544011 75.48
3.2 4.5 4.66191298869592 70.9