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Solid Waste Final
Solid Waste Final
“Forecasting Residential Solid Waste in the Municipality of Luna using Multiple Linear
Regression”
PRECIOUS F. GARILLO
ZEPHANIAH JILL S. OBISPO
JEANNE MARIZ A. WAMIL
Researchers
DAINE D. GAMIAO
Adviser
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ABSTRACT
This study employs multiple linear regression analysis to forecast solid waste
production in the Municipality of Luna. The investigation delves into various demographic
emerged. Family size and house size may not significantly contribute to solid waste
production, while age has a subtle but statistically significant impact. These findings inform
waste management and sustainability strategies, offering opportunities for more effective
waste reduction and management efforts. On the other hands, the socioeconomic factors that
includes monthly income, employment status, house type, and highest educational attainment
do not exhibit significant associations with variations in solid waste production. Additional
research may be necessary to explore other factors influencing waste production in the
surveyed population. Finally, the model developed in this study serves as a valuable tool for
factors. This model enhances the understanding of waste management strategies in the
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“Forecasting Residential Solid Waste in the Municipality of Luna using Multiple Linear
Regression” as official entry to the 2023 Science and Math Fair was conducted by the above-
mentioned students.
Noted:
DAINE D. GAMIAO
Adviser
Approved:
DANILO L. CUDIAMAT
Principal I
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Table of Contents
Page
Abstract …………………………………………………………………. 2
Table of Contents…...………………...…………………………………. 4
Introduction ……….………...………………...…………………………. 5
Framework………………………………………………………….……… 8
Findings.…………………………………………………………………… 11
Conclusions ..………………...……………………………………………. 22
References ..………………...……………………………………………… 25
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CHAPTER I
INTRODUCTION
fundamental component of our daily lives, one that presents both challenges and
opportunities for communities and environmental sustainability. This waste stream primarily
consists of the materials discarded by households, such as food waste, packaging, old
appliances, textiles, and various other items. The management of residential solid waste is a
Managing this waste is not only essential for public health but also for minimizing
recycling, composting, and disposal, with the ultimate goal of reducing its impact on the
environment.
minimize the negative impacts of waste on the environment, public health, and resources.
Residential areas are one of the major sources of solid waste, and understanding the factors
that influence solid waste production can help in developing better waste management
In the municipality of Luna, accurate forecasting of residential solid waste can play a
significant role in planning and implementing sustainable waste management practices. This
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study aims to develop a forecast model using multiple linear regression to determine the rate
explanatory variables, the model will help identify the specific factors that influence solid
In this study, multiple linear regression mode will be used to forecast the residential
solid waste production of the Municipality of Luna. Multiple linear regression is a statistical
technique used to predict the outcome of a variable based on the values of two or more
independent variables (Golbaz, S., et. al., 2019). In this study, we use multiple linear
providing insights into the fundamental processes that underlie this crucial component of
rural life.
The significance of this forecasting lies in its potential to inform and improve solid
waste management strategies in Luna. By accurately forecasting residential solid waste, local
authorities can develop more effective waste reduction, recycling, and disposal strategies,
thus minimizing the environmental impact of solid waste (Mohammad K. Younes, et. al.,
2015). Additionally, the findings of this study can be used to optimize waste collection,
transportation, and disposal processes, potentially reducing operational costs and improving
This study aimed to create a multiple linear regression model to forecast residential
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b. age
c. house size
a. monthly income
b. employment status
c. housing types
4. Is there a significant relationship between the actual solid waste produced by each
5. What is the mathematical equation used to forecast residential solid waste in the
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CHAPTER II
FRAMEWORK
The framework for forecasting residential solid waste with Multiple Linear
Regression (MLR) as in Figure 1 represents the structured foundation upon which this
research is built. As areas grapple with the growing challenges of waste management,
In this framework, it outlines the core elements of the research, from the dependent and
independent variables to the application of MLR, data collection, analysis, and the practical
implications of the study. By following this framework, it aimed to shed light on the intricate
relationships that influence waste generation, enabling more informed, sustainable, and
Figure 1 depicts the framework of the study wherein the Residential Solid Waste
Generation is connected with the different two factors influencing solid waste generation and
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ultimately create a multiple linear regression model to forecast the amount of waste generated
The primary focus of the research is the forecasting of residential solid waste
production. This is the dependent variable of the study and it represents the total amount of
waste generated by households in the municipality. It is the variable that we aim to predict
On the other hand, the independent variable in the study are the different factors
factors.
Demographic factors include number of family members, age distribution, and house
size while socioeconomic factors include variables such as monthly income, employment
The Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) Model serves as the statistical tool for this
research. It allows for the exploration of the relationships between the dependent variable
(residential solid waste) and the independent variables (demographic and socioeconomic).
The MLR model is used to develop a predictive equation that estimates solid waste
The Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) model for forecasting residential solid waste
involves establishing a predictive equation that relates the dependent variable, which is
and socioeconomic factors. The general form of the MLR model is expressed as:
Y = β0 + β 1 X 1 + β 2 X 2 +…+ β n X n+ ε
Where:
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independent variable ( X 1 , X 2 , … , X n )
demographic ∧socioeconomic
To answer the problems raised in this study, the researchers used the descriptive-
correlational method. The survey technique was used to assess the actual residential solid
waste produced by each family, demographic and socioeconomic profile of the respondents.
Moreover, the correlational research design will establish the relationship between the
residential solid waste generation and the demographic and socioeconomic profile of the
respondents.
The population of the study includes the residents of the Municipality of Luna. In
identifying the sample respondents, qouta sampling strategy was utilized. The researchers set
50 respondents as their total respondents and conducted the survey within the municipality of
Luna.
To gather data for this study, a survey questionnaire was used which was checked and
validated by the adviser. The gathered data was analyzed using frequency counts,
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CHAPTER III
FINDINGS
This part presents the results of the data analysis and their corresponding discussion.
The presentation follows the sequence of the research questions as stipulated in the statement
of the problem.
1 (2%)
6 (12%)
13 (26%)
30 (60%)
1 kg 2 kg 3 kg 4 kg
Figure 2 displays the daily residential solid waste produced by each family of the
respondents. It can be seen in the pie graph the frequency and percentage of waste in different
weight categories. Based on the result, most families produced 2 kg waste which comprise of
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30 or 60% of the respondents, and only 1or 2% produced 4 kg residential waste daily. The
weighted mean waste produced daily is 2.18 kg. This is lower than the actual residential solid
waste produced in the Municipality of Luna which is 4.6415 for the year 2014 (Solid Waste
These findings can be valuable for waste management and sustainability efforts,
helping to understand the distribution of waste weights and tailor strategies for waste
the number of family members in their households. It can be seen in the table that 16 or 32%
of the respondents have 4 family members, 12 or 24% have 5 family members, 9 or 18% of
the respondents have 3 family members, 5 or 10% of the respondents have 6 family members,
having 8 family members. It indicates that households with 4 and 5 family members are the
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most common, while smaller and larger family sizes are also represented but to a lesser
extent.
2.2 Age
The provided table, Table 2, which displays the frequency and percentage distribution
of respondents based on their ages, offers valuable insights into the demographics of the
surveyed population. It can be gleaned that 16 or 32% of the respondents are in the 36-45 age
category, 15 or 30% of the respondents fall into the 26-35 age range and 14 or 28% of the
respondents are aged 25 or below. Moreover, 4 or 8% of the respondents are 56 years old and
above while only 1 or 2% of the respondents are aged between 46 and 55. It's evident that
respondents are spread across various age groups, ranging from those aged 25 and below to
Table 3. Frequency and Percentage Distribution of the respondents in terms of House Size
House Size (in square meters) Frequency Percentage
Small House (40 and below) 27 54
Medium-Sized House (41 – 90) 17 34
Large (91 and above) 6 12
Total 50 100.00
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survey respondents based on the size of their houses in square meters. It's evident that the
majority of respondents (27 or 54%) reside in small houses, while 17 or 34% live in medium-
sized houses, and 6 or 12% occupy large houses. This distribution suggests a variety of
Table 4 presents the frequency and percentage distribution of respondents based on their
monthly income. The data highlights income inequality, with a substantial majority of
respondents (74%) falling into the lowest income category (10,000 and below). While there is
income diversity, the data shows a relatively limited representation in the middle-income
categories (10,001 - 50,000). Moreover, the table indicates that a small percentage of
respondents (2%) have relatively high incomes, earning 50,001 and above.
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their employment status. The table demonstrates a diverse range of employment statuses
within the surveyed population, with four distinct categories - Contractual, Permanent, Self-
Employed, and Unemployed. The data reveals that a substantial portion of the respondents
means that 7 of the respondents have stable, long-term employment. On the other hand,
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Table 6 presents the frequency and percentage distribution of respondents based on their
housing types. The data reveals that bungalows are the most common housing type, with 64%
of respondents residing in this type of housing. While bungalows dominate, there is still
diversity in the housing types reported. This includes farmhouses, story buildings, boarding
houses, hotels, and other types, each representing a portion of the population.
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their highest educational attainment. The majority of respondents (50%) are college graduates
while high school graduates and students account for 38% of the respondents. There is also a
presence of respondents with PhD and master's degrees, albeit in smaller numbers (4% and
6% respectively), and some respondents have completed units toward PhD or master's
degrees.
4. Relationship between the actual solid waste produced by each family with regards to
Table 8. Pearson r Test Results on the Relationship Between the Actual Solid Waste
produced by each family with regards to their demographic profile
Variables Demographic Profile r-value p-value Decision at 0.05
Number of Family
0.4840 3.8325 NS
Members
Actual Solid Waste
Age 0.0032 0.0223 S
House Size -0.0097 -0.0670 NS
Table 8 provides the Pearson correlation (r-value) test results on the relationship
between the actual solid waste produced by each family and their demographic profile.
Based on the result, here is a positive correlation (r-value of 0.4840) between the
actual solid waste produced and the number of family members. However, the p-value
(3.8325) is significantly higher than the chosen significance level of 0.05. As a result, the
correlation is not statistically significant. In other words, there is not enough evidence to
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assert that the number of family members significantly affects the amount of solid waste
produced.
On the other hand, there is a very weak positive correlation (r-value of 0.0032)
between the actual solid waste produced and age. The p-value (0.0223) is lower than the
chosen significance level of 0.05. Despite the weak correlation, the p-value indicates that this
relationship is statistically significant. In other words, age significantly affect the amount of
the actual solid waste produced and house size. Similar to the number of family members
correlation, the p-value (-0.0670) is higher than the significance level of 0.05, indicating that
this correlation is not statistically significant. House size does not have a statistically
In summary, the analysis of the data reveals the following findings: a) The number of
family members is not significantly related to actual solid waste production, b) Age shows a
statistically significant relationship with solid waste production, but the correlation is very
weak, and c) House size does not exhibit a statistically significant relationship with actual
solid waste production. This supports Noufal, et. al (2020) research, which found no
substantial statistically significant correlation between the number of family members and
solid waste production. Moreover, the result is consistent with the findings of Grover, P., &
Singh, P. (2014), which found no house size is not a significant factor affecting the quantity
of solid wastes from household consumption. Additionally, Talalaj, I. A., & Walery, M.
(2015) found out a positive relationship between the percentage of the medium age group
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Table 9. Pearson r Test Results on the Relationship Between the Actual Solid Waste
produced by each family with regards to their socioeconomic profile
Variables Socioeconomic Profile r-value p-value Decision at 0.05
Monthly Income 0.1252 0.8743 NS
Employment Status 0.0461 0.3200 NS
Actual Solid Waste Housing Type 0.1426 0.9983 NS
Highest Educational
-0.0466 -0.3233 NS
Attainment
Table 9 presents the Pearson correlation (r-value) test results on the relationship
between the actual solid waste produced by each family and their socioeconomic profile.
Based on the table, there is a very weak positive correlation (r-value of 0.1252)
between the actual solid waste produced and monthly income. However, the p-value (0.8743)
is much higher than the chosen significance level of 0.05. This means there is not enough
evidence to conclude that the correlation is statistically significant. Monthly income does not
Additionally, there is a very weak positive correlation (r-value of 0.0461) between the
actual solid waste produced and employment status. However, the p-value (0.3200) is higher
than the significance level of 0.05. Therefore, this correlation is not statistically significant.
Employment status does not significantly affect the amount of solid waste produced.
Moreover, there is a very weak positive correlation (r-value of 0.1426) between the
actual solid waste produced and housing type. However, the p-value (0.9983) is significantly
higher than the chosen significance level of 0.05. Thus, this correlation is not statistically
significant. Housing type does not significantly affect the amount of solid waste produced.
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Finally, there is a very weak negative correlation (r-value of -0.0466) between the
actual solid waste produced and highest educational attainment. The p-value (0.3233) is
higher than the significance level of 0.05, indicating that this correlation is not statistically
significant. Highest educational attainment does not significantly affect the amount of solid
waste produced.
In summary, the table provides the results of Pearson correlation tests between the
actual solid waste produced by families and their socioeconomic profile variables, including
monthly income, employment status, housing type, and highest educational attainment. In
each case, the p-value is significantly higher than the 0.05 significance level, indicating that
there is no statistically significant correlation between these socioeconomic variables and the
amount of solid waste produced. The result contradicts the findings of Teshome, Y. M., et. al.
(2023), which suggest that monthly income, educational level, and solid waste generation rate
showed positive correlations, indicating that solid waste production increases with household
prosperity and different home consumption habits, however, other socioeconomic factor such
as job status and home ownership, had no significant impact on the solid waste generation.
Similarly, another study on solid waste management conducted by Debrah, J. K., et. al.
significant correlation between household solid waste sorting at source and job status or
house type.
Luna
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Table 10. Multiple Regression Analysis between the Actual Solid produced by each family
with regards and the Demographic and Socioeconomic Factor
Variables Coefficients Standard Error
Actual Solid Waste 1(Y ) 0.381 0.817
Number of Family Members 1 (X ) 0.252 0.064
(X
Age 2 ) 0.090 0.090
House Size (X 3) -0.002 0.003
Monthly Income (X 4 ) 0.062 0.081
Employment Status (X 5) -0.041 0.102
Housing Type (X 6) 0.056 0.044
Highest Educational Attainment (X 7) 0.094 0.098
Table 10 show the results of a multiple regression analysis, which is used to model the
relationship between a dependent variable (Actual Solid Waste produced by each family) and
Members, Age, and House Size) and socioeconomic factors (Monthly Income, Employment
Based on the result, the Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) model for forecasting
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CHAPTER IV
CONCLUSIONS
Based on the findings of the study, the following conclusion was drawn:
1. Families are producing significantly less solid waste daily compared to the municipal
average for 2014, which has important implications for waste management and
sustainability efforts. This suggests that these households might be proactive in waste
the factors behind this difference. Investigating lower waste production in these
potentially leading to more eco-friendly strategies that benefit both the community
2. The study highlights the common occurrence of households with 4 and 5 family
members but acknowledges the presence of smaller and larger family sizes. This
diversity in family sizes has significant implications for demographic and sociological
analyses. Understanding this distribution can inform policies, resource allocation, and
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social services, offering insights into household dynamics and their potential effects
accommodating this diversity is crucial for crafting tailored and inclusive strategies
3. The diversity of age groups represented in this study is indicative of a broad range of
insights are valuable for understanding the unique characteristics of the population
and are instrumental in tailoring policies, services, and programs to meet the varying
4. There is a diversity of housing options within the Municipality of Luna, ranging from
compact living spaces to more spacious accommodations. Such insights into housing
size are instrumental for understanding the housing landscape within the community
5. There is an economic disparity within the surveyed population and emphasize the
essential for policy development, social welfare initiatives, and efforts to address
provides essential insights for understanding the local workforce and highlights areas
where support and policies may be needed to address unemployment and promote
economic growth.
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7. There is a variety of living arrangements within the surveyed area, reflecting different
living preferences to cater to the needs and choices of the local population.
Understanding this housing diversity is essential for urban planning and community
environments.
landscape. It reflects the rich tapestry of qualifications and expertise present in the
9. Family size and house size may not be significant contributors to solid waste
production, while age has a subtle but statistically significant impact. These results
can inform waste management and sustainability efforts within the community,
offering opportunities to develop more effective strategies for waste reduction and
management. Further research may help uncover the nuanced factors influencing solid
consideration may be necessary to explore other factors that may influence waste
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11. The model crafted in this study can be utilized for forecasting residential solid waste
dependent variable, allowing for predictions of solid waste production based on the
given demographic and socioeconomic factors. This model provides a valuable tool
Municipality of Luna.
REFERENCES
Araiza-Aguilar, J. A., et. al. (2020). Forecast generation model of municipal solid waste using
multiple linear regression. Global Journal of Environmental Science and Management, 6(1),
1-14.
Cha, G. et. al. (2023). Developing a prediction model of demolition-waste generation-rate via
principal component analysis. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public
Health, 20(4), 3159.
Debrah, J. K., et. al. (2021). Raising awareness on solid waste management through formal
education for sustainability: A developing countries evidence review. Recycling, 6(1), 6
Golbaz, S., Nabizadeh, R., & Sajadi, H. S. (2019). Comparative study of predicting hospital
solid waste generation using multiple linear regression and artificial intelligence. Journal of
Environmental Health Science and Engineering, 17, 41-51.
Grover, P., & Singh, P. (2014). An analytical study oif effect of family Income and size on
per capita household solid waste generation in developing countries. American Research
Institute for Policy Development, 3(1), 127-143.
Mohammad K. Younes, et. al.. (2015) Solid waste forecasting using modified ANFIS
modeling, Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association, 65:10, 1229-
1238, DOI: 10.1080/10962247.2015.1075919
Noufal, M., et. al. (2020). Determinants of household solid waste generation and composition
in Homs City, Syria. Journal of environmental and public Health, 2020.
Solid Waste Management Plan for 2016 – 2025 of the Municipality of Luna
Talalaj, I. A., & Walery, M. (2015). The effect of gender and age structure on municipal
waste generation in Poland. Waste management, 40, 3-8.
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Teshome, Y. M., et. al. (2023). Municipal solid wastes quantification and model
forecasting. Global Journal of Environmental Science and Management, 9(2), 227-240.
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