Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Predictive Maintenance - Article
Predictive Maintenance - Article
to be ‘Smarter’?
Deb Chakraborty, an Associate Partner in IBM’s Asset
influence asset performance. SPSS can generate useful
information from unstructured texts and, given the fact that
a vast amount of useful information is stored in this way, the
capability of squeezing out information from such sources
Management Solutions group, and Robert Garratt, an is very useful.
executive partner in IBM’s Operations and Supply Chain The solution follows CRISP-DM (Cross Industry
Standard Process for Data Mining) methodology to mine
practice, explain how the necessary link between the
asset management data from multiple sources. It allows
organisational strategic plan and the asset management business analysts to upload data, organise, cleanse and,
function can be created. where necessary, enrich it by inferring or deriving missing
data to create as complete a view of the asset deterioration
pattern as possible. Usually pro-RCM runs from a
custom table created in the corporate
c
INTRODUCTION asset management system’s
P
hysical asset management started with database. As necessary, data
breakdown response and planned ffrom other sources are
maintenance; it then crossed over ffed to the table through
to preventive maintenance (PM), data loading tools or via
d
condition-based maintenance (CBM), and d custom interfaces.
c
reliability-centred maintenance (RCM); SPSS analytics
finally ending up as today’s enterprise generate an
Deb Chakraborty asset management (EAM). advanced view
EAM brought corporate focus of the failure
to the asset management function. probability of
It linked asset management to the assets - where
company’s income, profitability and ffailure is the inability
sustainability, and is now recognised of an asset to operate
o
as an important catalyst to safety and at an expected level.
a
operational risk management. During this If asset management
development, processes around the asset strategy remains
management function generated a large unchanged, pro-RCM
Robert Garratt
volume of data. can produce a profile of
asset failure probabilities which
THE NEXT STEP enables asset managers to make
We need to be smarter and use this data - directly Figure 1: CRISP-DM educated decisions on adjusting
or indirectly linked to asset performance - to generate an maintenance strategy to enhance
advance view of the future failure patterns of assets. We asset reliability.
have coined the term ‘smarter asset management’ (SAM) The base SPSS model is created assuming that
as the next peak of excellence that generates actionable the company has a standard asset management plan.
insight from structured or unstructured asset data, Once SAM is implemented, asset managers can amend
suggests interventions to prevent failure, avoids service maintenance schedules based on the improved visibility
impact and helps build an optimised investment plan for of future asset behaviour. Being integrated with the asset
company assets. SAM has three layers: management system, the SPSS model can quickly respond
1) Proactive reliability-centred maintenance (pro-RCM) to any changes in the asset management plan, eg change
– where data generated by asset management and in PM schedule or amendment of PM job plan. At the same
associated systems are analysed to predict future time it can also respond to the transactional updates on the
performance. asset, eg a major refurbishment of a turbine.
2) Smart intervention – where pro-RCM output is fed
through an FMECA based algorithm to determine SMART INTERVENTION
the optimised interventions for preventing asset This suggests actions to be taken to maintain the
performance deterioration and unexpected service reliability level of an asset. An FMECA model contains a
impacts. database of failure modes and effects based on industry
3) Lifecycle investment optimiser – where all possible standards, but which can be refined based on specific
interventions of an asset’s lifecycle are analysed and parameters. Future failures, based on the existing asset
an optimised investment plan generated management process and identified by pro-RCM, are fed
to the smart intervention analytics engine, which produces
PRO-RCM a list of possible interventions and suggests the most
Pro-RCM is the modern version of reliability-centred optimum ones. The analytics also model the potential
maintenance. A sophisticated statistical tool, SPSS, is at impacts of possible failures.
the heart of this part of the smarter asset management
solution. SPSS uses not only the transactional history data Continued on page 13
10 | Mar/Apr
May/June2013
2011| ME
| ME
ENTERPRISE ASSET MANAGEMENT
1 3
Source: CERA PAS55 is a publicly available asset management specification. In 2014 this is will become ME | Mar/Apr 2013 | 13
2
Source: CERA international standards ISO55000 (overview), ISO55001 (requirements) and ISO55002 (guidance