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Swing and Breakout
Swing and Breakout
The market tried to move down. Then, it stopped and the bullish trend resumed. The
market broke all resistance (swing high) and made a new trend high. In other words, the
market failed terribly in its attempt to move down. The lowest point it pushed to is called
swing low
Tip: valid pivot makes sense only within the trending price action. To find a valid low, you
need to know the start point of the trend and the last extreme trend high. Then what about
point B? Point B is called a LOW not a swing low
Swing low
Every major market has some pullback that is shallow and some last for one swing. The
point where pullback goes deeper and lasts for more than one swing, forming a LOW.
Eventually, this deeper pullback terminated and the trend resumed. A low becomes a
swing low once the price breaks out above the last extreme price high for the resumption
of the bullish trend. Let me explain to you
HOW TO KNOW WHEN LOW BECOMES SWING LOW
When the price cleared the above swing high level. To clear a price level, the market must
form a price bar that is completely above the price level. This means if a bar low is higher
than a price level, the market has cleared above the price level.
Now let’s remove the downswing and study what it is showing Is the price faster or
slower than before?
Compare the slope of UP-swings (a), (c) (e) and (g). Note the decreased speed on each
of these legs, indicating a reduction in bullish momentum. Weakness is appearing on the
bullish side.
Clearly shows upward momentum decreasing
Now putting the same chart with only downward momentum
Compare the slope of upswings (B) (D)(F) and (H). Note the increasing speed on each of
these legs, indicating an increase in bearish momentum. bearish price swings are showing
signs of strength.
BY COMPARING THE SWING
IT indicates an increase in bearish momentum. bearish price swings are showing signs of
strength. The price movement is more likely to continue in the direction of strength and
against the direction of weakness.
2) Compare the momentum of the current price swing with the momentum of the previous
price swing in the opposite direction?
That is, comparing the current bullish swing with the previous bearish swing; or comparing
the current bearish swing with the previous bullish swing. Note the slope of (a) is quite
steep compared with the slope of (b). The latest upswing (b) has shown weakness
compared with the previous downswing (a). Strength is still in the bearish direction.
Bullish upswing (d) shows an increase in speed compared with the last downswing (c).
While the strength is now on the bullish side. The shallow angle of downward momentum
compared with the steep rise of upward momentum indicate Strength is now clearly on
the bullish side.
The price movement is expected in the direction of strength and against the direction of
weakness.
3) Is the current price accelerating or decelerating? What does that mean?
The deceleration in this example is evidence of bullish momentum gradually weakening
as bearish pressure overcomes any bullish pressure.
end chapter
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What is Intraday Breakout Trading Strategy?
Break out means moving below any support or above any resistance. Price breakout from
1. First support and resistance is a break of previous candle high or low
2. Last swing high or low (shorter-term support and resistance)
3. Major support and resistance
4. Trend line or moving average
The difference in consolidation prior to a breakout not only affects the likelihood of follow-
through but the level of protection as well. An excellent way to play a break is shown in
Situation 3. Now we can truly see the virtues of proper consolidation up. The breakout
may still fail soon after, but technically seen, this is the more favorable scenario
Don’t trade breakouts without consolidation
You can get long when the price trades above the swing high, and place your stops below
the last swing low
2. When there’s no Support/Resistance nearby
Think about this. If you’re short of the market, where would buyers come in? If you’re long
the market, where would sellers come in? Support and Resistance, right?
3. When the market is forming consolidation at the Support and
Resistance area
Why do you want to trade breakouts with consolidation?
Here’s why: A consolidation would attract stops in the market as traders place their stop-
loss beyond the highs/lows of the consolidation. It could be to protect their existing
positions or to trade the breakout in either direction. So, when the market breaks out of
consolidation, you get a double dose of pressure. And it’s caused by traders looking to
protect their positions and traders looking to trade the breakout. An example:
4. When there are higher lows in Resistance or lower highs in Support
Higher lows into Resistance is a sign of strength by the buyers and there’s a good chance
the market will break out higher. Why? Because if there were strong selling pressure at
resistance, the price should have fallen quickly. The fact it didn’t tell you that buyers are
willing to buy at higher prices and thus forming higher lows into Resistance. Visually, it
looks like an ascending triangle. Here’s an example:
And when you get lower highs into Support, it’s a sign of strength by the
sellers. Because if there were strong buying pressure at Support, the price should have
risen quickly. The fact it didn’t tell you that sellers are willing to sell at lower prices and
thus forming lower highs. Visually, it looks like a descending triangle. An example:
You may get a poorer risk-to-reward (as the market has already moved in your favor)