Krishna

{
"cells": [
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "3334ba2e95b848f8f168b535846b480287a57f8c"
},
"source": [
"# Logistic Regression: Telecom Churn Case Study"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "6ff8bafbc9d475de87e130c04cf1633339ff6bcf"
},
"source": [
"#### A Telecom company is losing Customers to its competitors. With the
historical customer churn information that they have, they want a ML Model to
predict, which of their present customers may churn. \n",
"\n",
"We have decided to create a `Logistic Regression` model to solve the problem.
The Logistic Regression model will be expected to output a `Churn Probability` for
every data under test. "
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"The input data is spread over 3 separate files - `churn_data.csv`,
`cust_data.csv` and ìnternet_data.csv`. \n",
"\n",
"The Data includes the following: \n",
"\n",
"- `Personal Data (gender, children, whether senior citizen, dependents...)`\
n",
"- `Services Related (Tenure with the provider, payment method, internet packs
purchased, special offers...)`\n",
"- `Charges being incurred (Amount of recharge done per month...)`"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Import Libraries"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 1,
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "81da2023fe6d7a444c154d9d2b81c58a0f93bdc6"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"import warnings\n",
"warnings.filterwarnings('ignore')\n",
"import numpy as np\n",
"import pandas as pd\n",
"import statsmodels.api as smd\n",
"from sklearn.linear_model import LogisticRegression\n",
"import scipy.stats as st\n",
"import sklearn\n",
"from sklearn.metrics import confusion_matrix\n",
"import matplotlib.mlab as mlab\n",
"import matplotlib.pyplot as plt \n",
"import seaborn as sns"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Import the three Input Datasets "
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "5e5a70e798948bc26c32e7b8324ee86db1331973"
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
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" vertical-align: middle;\n",
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"\n",
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" vertical-align: top;\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" .dataframe thead th {\n",
" text-align: right;\n",
" }\n",
"</style>\n",
"<table border=\"1\" class=\"dataframe\">\n",
" <thead>\n",
" <tr style=\"text-align: right;\">\n",
" <th></th>\n",
" <th>customerID</th>\n",
" <th>tenure</th>\n",
" <th>PhoneService</th>\n",
" <th>Contract</th>\n",
" <th>PaperlessBilling</th>\n",
" <th>PaymentMethod</th>\n",
" <th>MonthlyCharges</th>\n",
" <th>TotalCharges</th>\n",
" <th>Churn</th>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </thead>\n",
" <tbody>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>0</th>\n",
" <td>7590-VHVEG</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>Month-to-month</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>Electronic check</td>\n",
" <td>29.85</td>\n",
" <td>29.85</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>1</th>\n",
" <td>5575-GNVDE</td>\n",
" <td>34</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>One year</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>Mailed check</td>\n",
" <td>56.95</td>\n",
" <td>1889.5</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>2</th>\n",
" <td>3668-QPYBK</td>\n",
" <td>2</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>53.85</td>\n",
" <td>108.15</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>3</th>\n",
" <td>7795-CFOCW</td>\n",
" <td>45</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>Bank transfer (automatic)</td>\n",
" <td>42.30</td>\n",
" <td>1840.75</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>4</th>\n",
" <td>9237-HQITU</td>\n",
" <td>2</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>70.70</td>\n",
" <td>151.65</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </tbody>\n",
"</table>\n",
"</div>"
],
"text/plain": [
" customerID tenure PhoneService Contract PaperlessBilling \\\n",
"0 7590-VHVEG 1 No Month-to-month Yes \n",
"1 5575-GNVDE 34 Yes One year No \n",
"2 3668-QPYBK 2 Yes Month-to-month Yes \n",
"3 7795-CFOCW 45 No One year No \n",
"4 9237-HQITU 2 Yes Month-to-month Yes \n",
"\n",
" PaymentMethod MonthlyCharges TotalCharges Churn \n",
"0 Electronic check 29.85 29.85 No \n",
"1 Mailed check 56.95 1889.5 No \n",
"2 Mailed check 53.85 108.15 Yes \n",
"3 Bank transfer (automatic) 42.30 1840.75 No \n",
"4 Electronic check 70.70 151.65 Yes "
]
},
"metadata": {},
"output_type": "execute_result"
}
],
"source": [
"churn_data = pd.read_csv('churn_data.csv')\n",
"churn_data.head()"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "67b661c09ad7d69331c7c3a690fa4545a9499e54"
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/html": [
"<div>\n",
"<style scoped>\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"</style>\n",
" <thead>\n",
" <th></th>\n",
" <th>gender</th>\n",
" <th>SeniorCitizen</th>\n",
" <th>Partner</th>\n",
" <th>Dependents</th>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </thead>\n",
" <tbody>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>0</th>\n",
" <td>Female</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>1</th>\n",
" <td>Male</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>2</th>\n",
" <td>Male</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>3</th>\n",
" <td>Male</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>4</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </tbody>\n",
"</table>\n",
"</div>"
],
"text/plain": [
" customerID gender SeniorCitizen Partner Dependents\n",
"0 7590-VHVEG Female 0 Yes No\n",
"1 5575-GNVDE Male 0 No No\n",
"2 3668-QPYBK Male 0 No No\n",
"3 7795-CFOCW Male 0 No No\n",
"4 9237-HQITU Female 0 No No"
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"customer_data = pd.read_csv(\"customer_data.csv\")\n",
"customer_data.head()"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "cca1e1a1994dced73a4b252721b24452b508fad4"
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/html": [
"<div>\n",
"<style scoped>\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"</style>\n",
" <thead>\n",
" <th></th>\n",
" <th>MultipleLines</th>\n",
" <th>InternetService</th>\n",
" <th>OnlineSecurity</th>\n",
" <th>OnlineBackup</th>\n",
" <th>DeviceProtection</th>\n",
" <th>TechSupport</th>\n",
" <th>StreamingTV</th>\n",
" <th>StreamingMovies</th>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </thead>\n",
" <tbody>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>0</th>\n",
" <td>No phone service</td>\n",
" <td>DSL</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>1</th>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>DSL</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>2</th>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>DSL</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>3</th>\n",
" <td>DSL</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>4</th>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>Fiber optic</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </tbody>\n",
"</table>\n",
"</div>"
],
"text/plain": [
" customerID MultipleLines InternetService OnlineSecurity OnlineBackup
\\\n",
"0 7590-VHVEG No phone service DSL No Yes
\n",
"1 5575-GNVDE No DSL Yes No
\n",
"2 3668-QPYBK No DSL Yes Yes
\n",
"3 7795-CFOCW No phone service DSL Yes No
\n",
"4 9237-HQITU No Fiber optic No No
\n",
"\n",
" DeviceProtection TechSupport StreamingTV StreamingMovies \n",
"0 No No No No \n",
"1 Yes No No No \n",
"2 No No No No \n",
"3 Yes Yes No No \n",
"4 No No No No "
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"internet_data = pd.read_csv(\"internet_data.csv\")\n",
"internet_data.head()"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "1d0884d44d185b74641630539a5b6b67c558f6e5"
},
"source": [
"### Merge the Input Datasets into one based on \"Customer Id\""
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "0b2d9b628d44c70b9f69ba9e0ec445631886194e"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"# Merging on 'customerID'\n",
"df_1 = pd.merge(churn_data, customer_data, how='inner', on='customerID')"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "77d6f3403811cbbc2b94e1a67d38086dc3ba6d87"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"# Final dataframe with all predictor variables\n",
"telecom = pd.merge(df_1, internet_data, how='inner', on='customerID')"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "b2677ab97a27f98104632692a401329431e56fbc"
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/html": [
"<div>\n",
"<style scoped>\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"</style>\n",
" <thead>\n",
" <th></th>\n",
" <th>...</th>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </thead>\n",
" <tbody>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>0</th>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>29.85</td>\n",
" <td>29.85</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>DSL</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>1</th>\n",
" <td>34</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>56.95</td>\n",
" <td>1889.5</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>Male</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>DSL</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>2</th>\n",
" <td>2</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>53.85</td>\n",
" <td>108.15</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>Male</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>DSL</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>3</th>\n",
" <td>45</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>42.30</td>\n",
" <td>1840.75</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>Male</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>DSL</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>4</th>\n",
" <td>2</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>70.70</td>\n",
" <td>151.65</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </tbody>\n",
"</table>\n",
"<p>5 rows × 21 columns</p>\n",
"</div>"
],
"text/plain": [
" customerID tenure PhoneService Contract PaperlessBilling \\\n",
"0 7590-VHVEG 1 No Month-to-month Yes \n",
"1 5575-GNVDE 34 Yes One year No \n",
"2 3668-QPYBK 2 Yes Month-to-month Yes \n",
"3 7795-CFOCW 45 No One year No \n",
"4 9237-HQITU 2 Yes Month-to-month Yes \n",
"\n",
" PaymentMethod MonthlyCharges TotalCharges Churn
gender ... \\\n",
"0 Electronic check 29.85 29.85 No
Female ... \n",
"1 Mailed check 56.95 1889.5 No
Male ... \n",
"2 Mailed check 53.85 108.15 Yes
Male ... \n",
"3 Bank transfer (automatic) 42.30 1840.75 No
Male ... \n",
"4 Electronic check 70.70 151.65 Yes
Female ... \n",
"\n",
" Partner Dependents MultipleLines InternetService OnlineSecurity \\\
n",
"0 Yes No No phone service DSL No \
n",
"1 No No No DSL Yes \
n",
"2 No No No DSL Yes \
n",
"3 No No No phone service DSL Yes \
n",
"4 No No No Fiber optic No \
n",
"\n",
" OnlineBackup DeviceProtection TechSupport StreamingTV StreamingMovies \
n",
"0 Yes No No No No \
n",
"1 No Yes No No No \
n",
n",
"3 No Yes Yes No No \
n",
"4 No No No No No \
n",
"\n",
"[5 rows x 21 columns]"
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"telecom.head()"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/plain": [
"Index(['customerID', 'tenure', 'PhoneService', 'Contract',
'PaperlessBilling',\n",
" 'PaymentMethod', 'MonthlyCharges', 'TotalCharges', 'Churn',
'gender',\n",
" 'SeniorCitizen', 'Partner', 'Dependents', 'MultipleLines',\n",
" 'InternetService', 'OnlineSecurity', 'OnlineBackup',
'DeviceProtection',\n",
" 'TechSupport', 'StreamingTV', 'StreamingMovies'],\n",
" dtype='object')"
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"telecom.columns"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "c16786a515bec0db7606def3f9d8906963f2ed42"
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/plain": [
"(7043, 21)"
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"# Let's check the dimensions of the dataframe\n",
"telecom.shape"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "68f9b02e40be8bca50b8bd06fc3f54665b37a3ff"
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/html": [
"<div>\n",
"<style scoped>\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"</style>\n",
" <thead>\n",
" <th></th>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </thead>\n",
" <tbody>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>count</th>\n",
" <td>7043.000000</td>\n",
" <td>7043.000000</td>\n",
" <td>7043.000000</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>mean</th>\n",
" <td>32.371149</td>\n",
" <td>64.761692</td>\n",
" <td>0.162147</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>std</th>\n",
" <td>24.559481</td>\n",
" <td>30.090047</td>\n",
" <td>0.368612</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>min</th>\n",
" <td>0.000000</td>\n",
" <td>18.250000</td>\n",
" <td>0.000000</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>25%</th>\n",
" <td>9.000000</td>\n",
" <td>35.500000</td>\n",
" <td>0.000000</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>50%</th>\n",
" <td>29.000000</td>\n",
" <td>70.350000</td>\n",
" <td>0.000000</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>75%</th>\n",
" <td>55.000000</td>\n",
" <td>89.850000</td>\n",
" <td>0.000000</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>max</th>\n",
" <td>72.000000</td>\n",
" <td>118.750000</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </tbody>\n",
"</table>\n",
"</div>"
],
"text/plain": [
" tenure MonthlyCharges SeniorCitizen\n",
"count 7043.000000 7043.000000 7043.000000\n",
"mean 32.371149 64.761692 0.162147\n",
"std 24.559481 30.090047 0.368612\n",
"min 0.000000 18.250000 0.000000\n",
"25% 9.000000 35.500000 0.000000\n",
"50% 29.000000 70.350000 0.000000\n",
"75% 55.000000 89.850000 0.000000\n",
"max 72.000000 118.750000 1.000000"
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"# let's look at the statistical aspects of the dataframe\n",
"telecom.describe()"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "bcffc85de07e37cf2aa862295aa2943be8ea2ab9"
},
"outputs": [
{
"name": "stdout",
"output_type": "stream",
"text": [
"<class 'pandas.core.frame.DataFrame'>\n",
"Int64Index: 7043 entries, 0 to 7042\n",
"Data columns (total 21 columns):\n",
" # Column Non-Null Count Dtype \n",
"--- ------ -------------- ----- \n",
" 0 customerID 7043 non-null object \n",
" 1 tenure 7043 non-null int64 \n",
" 2 PhoneService 7043 non-null object \n",
" 3 Contract 7043 non-null object \n",
" 4 PaperlessBilling 7043 non-null object \n",
" 5 PaymentMethod 7043 non-null object \n",
" 6 MonthlyCharges 7043 non-null float64\n",
" 7 TotalCharges 7043 non-null object \n",
" 8 Churn 7043 non-null object \n",
" 9 gender 7043 non-null object \n",
" 10 SeniorCitizen 7043 non-null int64 \n",
" 11 Partner 7043 non-null object \n",
" 12 Dependents 7043 non-null object \n",
" 13 MultipleLines 7043 non-null object \n",
" 14 InternetService 7043 non-null object \n",
" 15 OnlineSecurity 7043 non-null object \n",
" 16 OnlineBackup 7043 non-null object \n",
" 17 DeviceProtection 7043 non-null object \n",
" 18 TechSupport 7043 non-null object \n",
" 19 StreamingTV 7043 non-null object \n",
" 20 StreamingMovies 7043 non-null object \n",
"dtypes: float64(1), int64(2), object(18)\n",
"memory usage: 1.2+ MB\n"
]
}
],
"source": [
"# Let's see the type of each column\n",
"telecom.info()"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "7c0c42d9cca25e1d88a2e754c0c691ae2ca1f8d2"
},
"source": [
"### Data Pre-processing"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "452c0dafc57c9c3b2c9ffe8b0e02bc1948bb477b"
},
"source": [
"#### Pre-process the Total Charges Feature"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "ca6ed4936da13087cd9dd8b5f1cc0b4f773fb654"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"telecom['TotalCharges'] = telecom['TotalCharges'].replace(' ', np.nan)\n",
"telecom['TotalCharges'] = pd.to_numeric(telecom['TotalCharges'])"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "acacb9967aa46cc7f4e1b7feecdf15b8d4f85d81"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"# Total Charges will be related to Monthly Charges.\n",
"# We will impute Total charges multiplied by median of the ratio of Total
charges to monthly charges"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"value = telecom['MonthlyCharges'] * telecom['tenure']"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "78cb0f2c39c67bf14944079a6e1eeedcc330b5ad"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"telecom['TotalCharges'] = value.where(telecom['TotalCharges'] == np.nan,
other=telecom['TotalCharges'])"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/plain": [
"0 29.85\n",
"1 1889.50\n",
"2 108.15\n",
"3 1840.75\n",
"4 151.65\n",
" ... \n",
"7038 1990.50\n",
"7039 7362.90\n",
"7040 346.45\n",
"7041 306.60\n",
"7042 6844.50\n",
"Name: TotalCharges, Length: 7043, dtype: float64"
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"telecom['TotalCharges']"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "9ae5fce36fc4afba20feece0c1ebd06563cc167d"
},
"source": [
"## Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA)\n",
"The EDA process will comprise of Univariate and Multivariate Analysis alomg
with abundant Visualisations. "
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "b092980a7e0ab231b72478c7a38a157fdb03b868"
},
"source": [
"### Univariate Analysis"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/plain": [
"(array([2709., 1228., 671., 508., 454., 412., 395., 310., 223.,\n",
" 122.]),\n",
" array([ 18.8, 885.4, 1752. , 2618.6, 3485.2, 4351.8, 5218.4, 6085. ,\n",
" 6951.6, 7818.2, 8684.8]),\n",
" <BarContainer object of 10 artists>)"
]
},
"metadata": {},
},
{
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AShA5HID0IMgAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC\n",
"text/plain": [
"<Figure size 432x288 with 1 Axes>"
]
},
"metadata": {
"needs_background": "light"
},
"output_type": "display_data"
}
],
"source": [
"# Distribution of Total Charges Field\n",
"\n",
"plt.hist(telecom['TotalCharges'])"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "9b2defe8c2dac972d72a52b3538575b7662846c0"
},
"source": [
"#### Churn Split in terms of Counts"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "1f27e6b73104175fd9399bc45ac474960484cc1d"
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
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RK5CYII=\n",
"text/plain": [
]
},
"metadata": {
},
}
],
"source": [
"# Display the counts of Churns in the entire data. This provides an indication
of whether the data is unbalanced.\n",
"\n",
"plt1 = sns.countplot(telecom['Churn'])"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "1373a4212115fd345c975008ae2ee4e86d074075"
},
"source": [
"#### Tenure"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "eccb066114b029df7e097190267f0b15e7fee686"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"# The time for which a customer has been using the service."
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "2faa68e85a4b7899d5604b4081dd45ad12b27e9a"
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
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"text/plain": [
]
},
"metadata": {
},
}
],
"source": [
"sns.boxplot(x = 'tenure', y = 'Churn', data = telecom)\n",
"plt.show()"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "74e15d9add3d83f33655957f144f959e72c3897c"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"# Customer with more tenure tends to churn less."
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "7acc386fb2780770b54ee847c7a47cd9de317dcf"
},
"source": [
"### Find for which kind of Contracts the churn probability is more"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "86be54edd7f8519ed23b8e9c1d9f13d86bf7e5c0"
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
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n",
"text/plain": [
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"pie_Contract_m2m = pd.DataFrame(telecom[telecom['Contract'] == \"Month-to-
month\"]['Churn'].value_counts())\n",
"pie_Contract_m2m.plot.pie(subplots=True, labels =
pie_Contract_m2m.index.values, autopct='%1.1f%%', startangle= 75)\n",
"plt.title('Month to Month Contract')\n",
"plt.gca().set_aspect('equal')\n",
"\n",
"pie_Contract_1y = pd.DataFrame(telecom[telecom['Contract'] == \"One year\"]
['Churn'].value_counts())\n",
"pie_Contract_1y.plot.pie(subplots=True, labels = pie_Contract_1y.index.values,
autopct='%1.1f%%', startangle= 20)\n",
"plt.title('One Year Contract')\n",
"\n",
"pie_Contract_2y = pd.DataFrame(telecom[telecom['Contract'] == \"Two year\"]
"pie_Contract_2y.plot.pie(subplots=True, labels = pie_Contract_2y.index.values,
autopct='%1.1f%%', startangle= 5)\n",
"plt.title('Two Year Contract')\n",
"\n",
"plt.show()"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "3ab7ae6b16767092019988d6427123072cbe920e"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"# Customers with One Year and Two year contract tends to Churn a lot lesser
than month to month contract."
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "8e53caf220dd6d9d1ac225cb8092551455a7333a"
},
"source": [
"### Whether being on Monthly Charges is influencing Churn"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "a6f19900487c4551d611edcf3183a8c37503cce7"
},
"outputs": [
{
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"text/plain": [
]
},
"metadata": {
},
}
],
"source": [
"sns.boxplot(x = 'MonthlyCharges', y = 'Churn', data = telecom)\n",
"plt.show()"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "cb98a91441a5d322e0e71686d24e23d90062d5d6"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"# Median monthly charges are higher for customers who have churned."
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "23465e33bbe6c3a649457ba78ff1fc9a2d9a458d"
},
"source": [
"### Whether TotalCharges amount has influence on Churn"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "435e66aac382b936609117b47aa2bfddd291a6a8"
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
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"text/plain": [
]
},
"metadata": {
},
}
],
"source": [
"sns.boxplot(x = 'TotalCharges', y = 'Churn', data = telecom)\n",
"plt.show()"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "ea217f0bdc3e75484027287bf9ff0b4c3cd25b33"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"# Median Total charges are low for customers who have churned."
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "93b496e5a50eab09c46e0c8fa2f2b4d0e87125de"
},
"source": [
"### Whether having Multiple Internet Connections have influence on Churn"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "adc375caec0f0866b08e78e9a976cd016534a58f"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"# Whether a customer has multiple lines of internet connectivity."
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "e477fb765858d3a32e2d864c73be480ef787ea24"
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/plain": [
]
},
"metadata": {},
},
{
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C4GJEcEFwMf8f/6ohY0zlVmwAAAAASUVORK5CYII=\n",
"text/plain": [
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"plt.figure(figsize=(15,5))\n",
"pie_MultipleLines_Y = pd.DataFrame(telecom[telecom['MultipleLines'] == 'Yes']
"pie_MultipleLines_Y.plot.pie(subplots = True, labels =
pie_MultipleLines_Y.index.values, autopct='%1.1f%%', startangle= 50)\n",
"plt.title('Multiple lines of internet connectivity')\n",
"\n",
"pie_MultipleLines_N = pd.DataFrame(telecom[telecom['MultipleLines'] == 'No']
"pie_MultipleLines_N.plot.pie(subplots = True, labels =
pie_MultipleLines_N.index.values, autopct='%1.1f%%', startangle= 45)\n",
"plt.title('Single line of internet connectivity')\n",
"\n",
"plt.show() "
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "8b53f214784ce64033c6d8d7b47e309937591020"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"# Multiple lines of internet connectivity doesn't effect churn that much."
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "9e097c3d460534b70dd8f7e91ae04d9be5341761"
},
"source": [
"### Whether type of Internet Service has influence on Churn"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "1d3e55915223fec547fb2b4c744f114ac8beb682"
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/plain": [
]
},
"metadata": {},
},
{
"data": {
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K5CYII=\n",
"text/plain": [
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"plt.figure(figsize=(15,5))\n",
"pie_InternetService_fo = pd.DataFrame(telecom[telecom['InternetService']
== \"Fiber optic\"]['Churn'].value_counts())\n",
"pie_InternetService_fo.plot.pie(subplots = True, labels =
pie_InternetService_fo.index.values, autopct='%1.1f%%', startangle= 75)\n",
"plt.title('Fiber Optic')\n",
"\n",
"pie_InternetService_dsl = pd.DataFrame(telecom[telecom['InternetService']
== \"DSL\"]['Churn'].value_counts())\n",
"pie_InternetService_dsl.plot.pie(subplots = True, labels =
pie_InternetService_dsl.index.values, autopct='%1.1f%%', startangle= 35)\n",
"plt.title('DSL')\n",
"\n",
"pie_InternetService_no = pd.DataFrame(telecom[telecom['InternetService']
== \"No\"]['Churn'].value_counts())\n",
"pie_InternetService_no.plot.pie(subplots = True, labels =
pie_InternetService_no.index.values, autopct='%1.1f%%', startangle= 13)\n",
"plt.title('No Internet Service')\n",
"\n",
"plt.show()"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "a289454de7d318542b990a835109ad4b35f30356"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"# Customers with Fiber Optic Connection churn the most whereas least
probability of churning for those with no internet service."
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "84a02671b469051593ed7898f27a57b00b0ca004"
},
"source": [
"## Data Pre-processing"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "d6a5ce28aa3dd83a50e7ee48a2dcfec836da7a27"
},
"source": [
"### Convert Binary Categorical Features (Yes/No) to 0/1"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "51a118e7e371894773ef04151f4c620900f34535"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"# List of variables to map\n",
"\n",
"varlist = ['PhoneService', 'PaperlessBilling', 'Churn', 'Partner',
'Dependents']\n",
"\n",
"# Defining the map function\n",
"def binary_map(x):\n",
" return x.map({'Yes': 1, \"No\": 0})\n",
"\n",
"# Applying the function to the housing list\n",
"telecom[varlist] = telecom[varlist].apply(binary_map)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "234a448174381a41b1a9072bbe3715f9a6e14c97"
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
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"\n",
" }\n",
"</style>\n",
" <thead>\n",
" <th></th>\n",
" <th>...</th>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </thead>\n",
" <tbody>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>0</th>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
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" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>DSL</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>2</th>\n",
" <td>2</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>53.85</td>\n",
" <td>108.15</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>Male</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>DSL</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>3</th>\n",
" <td>45</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>42.30</td>\n",
" <td>1840.75</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>Male</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>DSL</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>Yes</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>4</th>\n",
" <td>2</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>70.70</td>\n",
" <td>151.65</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" <td>No</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </tbody>\n",
"</table>\n",
"</div>"
],
"text/plain": [
" customerID tenure PhoneService Contract PaperlessBilling \\\
n",
"0 7590-VHVEG 1 0 Month-to-month 1 \
n",
"1 5575-GNVDE 34 1 One year 0 \
n",
"2 3668-QPYBK 2 1 Month-to-month 1 \
n",
"3 7795-CFOCW 45 0 One year 0 \
n",
"4 9237-HQITU 2 1 Month-to-month 1 \
n",
"\n",
" PaymentMethod MonthlyCharges TotalCharges Churn
gender \\\n",
"0 Electronic check 29.85 29.85 0 Female
\n",
"1 Mailed check 56.95 1889.50 0 Male
\n",
"2 Mailed check 53.85 108.15 1 Male
\n",
"3 Bank transfer (automatic) 42.30 1840.75 0 Male
\n",
"4 Electronic check 70.70 151.65 1 Female
\n",
"\n",
" ... Partner Dependents MultipleLines InternetService
OnlineSecurity \\\n",
"0 ... 1 0 No phone service DSL
No \n",
"1 ... 0 0 No DSL
Yes \n",
"2 ... 0 0 No DSL
Yes \n",
"3 ... 0 0 No phone service DSL
Yes \n",
"4 ... 0 0 No Fiber optic
No \n",
"\n",
" OnlineBackup DeviceProtection TechSupport StreamingTV StreamingMovies \
n",
n",
"1 No Yes No No No \
n",
n",
"3 No Yes Yes No No \
n",
"4 No No No No No \
n",
"\n",
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"telecom.head()"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "c8aa8508f1e8980fba60bf594df216eb74332406"
},
"source": [
"### For Nominal Categorical Features with multiple possible values, create
dummy variable (one-hot encoding)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "f7debb8122f0a978aeaa6f6c45aafbb12d242701"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"# Creating a dummy variable for some of the categorical variables and dropping
the first one.\n",
"dummy1 = pd.get_dummies(telecom[['Contract', 'PaymentMethod', 'gender',
'InternetService', 'MultipleLines', 'OnlineSecurity', 'OnlineBackup',
'DeviceProtection', 'TechSupport', 'StreamingTV', 'StreamingMovies']],
drop_first=True)\n",
"\n",
"# Adding the results to the master dataframe\n",
"telecom = pd.concat([telecom, dummy1], axis=1)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "88ec64f311eaa28036828af6f59128088adb8d89"
},
"source": [
"### Dropping the Original Features"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "c6c3484386f23b1c1a5903cdd575f5d4a2382902"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"# We have created dummies for the below variables, so we can drop them\n",
"telecom =
telecom.drop(['Contract','PaymentMethod','gender','MultipleLines','InternetService'
, 'OnlineSecurity', 'OnlineBackup', 'DeviceProtection',\n",
" 'TechSupport', 'StreamingTV', 'StreamingMovies'], 1)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "ca8d9e7b1a8b24d1809a0856f6312a25bf81467d"
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/html": [
"<div>\n",
"<style scoped>\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"</style>\n",
" <thead>\n",
" <th></th>\n",
" <th>...</th>\n",
" <th>OnlineBackup_No internet service</th>\n",
" <th>OnlineBackup_Yes</th>\n",
" <th>DeviceProtection_No internet service</th>\n",
" <th>DeviceProtection_Yes</th>\n",
" <th>TechSupport_No internet service</th>\n",
" <th>TechSupport_Yes</th>\n",
" <th>StreamingTV_No internet service</th>\n",
" <th>StreamingTV_Yes</th>\n",
" <th>StreamingMovies_No internet service</th>\n",
" <th>StreamingMovies_Yes</th>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </thead>\n",
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" <tr>\n",
" <th>0</th>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
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" <td>29.85</td>\n",
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" <td>0</td>\n",
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" <td>0</td>\n",
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" <th>1</th>\n",
" <td>34</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>56.95</td>\n",
" <td>1889.50</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
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" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
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" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
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" <tr>\n",
" <th>2</th>\n",
" <td>2</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>53.85</td>\n",
" <td>108.15</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
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" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>3</th>\n",
" <td>45</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>42.30</td>\n",
" <td>1840.75</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
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" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>4</th>\n",
" <td>2</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>70.70</td>\n",
" <td>151.65</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </tbody>\n",
"</table>\n",
"</div>"
],
"text/plain": [
" customerID tenure PhoneService PaperlessBilling MonthlyCharges \\\
n",
"0 7590-VHVEG 1 0 1 29.85 \
n",
"1 5575-GNVDE 34 1 0 56.95 \
n",
"2 3668-QPYBK 2 1 1 53.85 \
n",
"3 7795-CFOCW 45 0 0 42.30 \
n",
"4 9237-HQITU 2 1 1 70.70 \
n",
"\n",
" TotalCharges Churn SeniorCitizen Partner Dependents ... \\\n",
"0 29.85 0 0 1 0 ... \n",
"1 1889.50 0 0 0 0 ... \n",
"2 108.15 1 0 0 0 ... \n",
"3 1840.75 0 0 0 0 ... \n",
"4 151.65 1 0 0 0 ... \n",
"\n",
" OnlineBackup_No internet service OnlineBackup_Yes \\\n",
"0 0 1 \n",
"1 0 0 \n",
"2 0 1 \n",
"3 0 0 \n",
"4 0 0 \n",
"\n",
" DeviceProtection_No internet service DeviceProtection_Yes \\\n",
"0 0 0 \n",
"1 0 1 \n",
"2 0 0 \n",
"3 0 1 \n",
"4 0 0 \n",
"\n",
" TechSupport_No internet service TechSupport_Yes \\\n",
"0 0 0 \n",
"1 0 0 \n",
"2 0 0 \n",
"3 0 1 \n",
"4 0 0 \n",
"\n",
" StreamingTV_No internet service StreamingTV_Yes \\\n",
"0 0 0 \n",
"1 0 0 \n",
"2 0 0 \n",
"3 0 0 \n",
"4 0 0 \n",
"\n",
" StreamingMovies_No internet service StreamingMovies_Yes \n",
"0 0 0 \n",
"1 0 0 \n",
"2 0 0 \n",
"3 0 0 \n",
"4 0 0 \n",
"\n",
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"telecom.head()"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "5329de5267240652301631d0ec2040d0ebb62d15"
},
"outputs": [
{
"name": "stdout",
"text": [
"<class 'pandas.core.frame.DataFrame'>\n",
"Int64Index: 7043 entries, 0 to 7042\n",
"Data columns (total 32 columns):\n",
" # Column Non-Null Count Dtype \n",
"--- ------ -------------- ----- \n",
" 0 customerID 7043 non-null object \n",
" 1 tenure 7043 non-null int64 \n",
" 2 PhoneService 7043 non-null int64 \n",
" 3 PaperlessBilling 7043 non-null int64 \n",
" 4 MonthlyCharges 7043 non-null float64\n",
" 5 TotalCharges 7032 non-null float64\n",
" 6 Churn 7043 non-null int64 \n",
" 7 SeniorCitizen 7043 non-null int64 \n",
" 8 Partner 7043 non-null int64 \n",
" 9 Dependents 7043 non-null int64 \n",
" 10 Contract_One year 7043 non-null uint8 \n",
" 11 Contract_Two year 7043 non-null uint8 \n",
" 12 PaymentMethod_Credit card (automatic) 7043 non-null uint8 \n",
" 13 PaymentMethod_Electronic check 7043 non-null uint8 \n",
" 14 PaymentMethod_Mailed check 7043 non-null uint8 \n",
" 15 gender_Male 7043 non-null uint8 \n",
" 16 InternetService_Fiber optic 7043 non-null uint8 \n",
" 17 InternetService_No 7043 non-null uint8 \n",
" 18 MultipleLines_No phone service 7043 non-null uint8 \n",
" 19 MultipleLines_Yes 7043 non-null uint8 \n",
" 20 OnlineSecurity_No internet service 7043 non-null uint8 \n",
" 21 OnlineSecurity_Yes 7043 non-null uint8 \n",
" 22 OnlineBackup_No internet service 7043 non-null uint8 \n",
" 23 OnlineBackup_Yes 7043 non-null uint8 \n",
" 24 DeviceProtection_No internet service 7043 non-null uint8 \n",
" 25 DeviceProtection_Yes 7043 non-null uint8 \n",
" 26 TechSupport_No internet service 7043 non-null uint8 \n",
" 27 TechSupport_Yes 7043 non-null uint8 \n",
" 28 StreamingTV_No internet service 7043 non-null uint8 \n",
" 29 StreamingTV_Yes 7043 non-null uint8 \n",
" 30 StreamingMovies_No internet service 7043 non-null uint8 \n",
" 31 StreamingMovies_Yes 7043 non-null uint8 \n",
"dtypes: float64(2), int64(7), object(1), uint8(22)\n",
"memory usage: 1.1+ MB\n"
]
}
],
"source": [
"telecom.info()"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "56e852c54ba7617d1bd40b941e7e5cfb12dc90cc"
},
"source": [
"Now you can see that you have all variables as numeric."
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "e81109236459ea7368de53c59677104fbc2fdf22"
},
"source": [
"#### Checking for Missing Values and Inputing Them"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "31b1d514cf34df5ad3e60ee73444dc645693ab07"
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/plain": [
"customerID 0\n",
"tenure 0\n",
"PhoneService 0\n",
"PaperlessBilling 0\n",
"MonthlyCharges 0\n",
"TotalCharges 11\n",
"Churn 0\n",
"SeniorCitizen 0\n",
"Partner 0\n",
"Dependents 0\n",
"Contract_One year 0\n",
"Contract_Two year 0\n",
"PaymentMethod_Credit card (automatic) 0\n",
"PaymentMethod_Electronic check 0\n",
"PaymentMethod_Mailed check 0\n",
"gender_Male 0\n",
"InternetService_Fiber optic 0\n",
"InternetService_No 0\n",
"MultipleLines_No phone service 0\n",
"MultipleLines_Yes 0\n",
"OnlineSecurity_No internet service 0\n",
"OnlineSecurity_Yes 0\n",
"OnlineBackup_No internet service 0\n",
"OnlineBackup_Yes 0\n",
"DeviceProtection_No internet service 0\n",
"DeviceProtection_Yes 0\n",
"TechSupport_No internet service 0\n",
"TechSupport_Yes 0\n",
"StreamingTV_No internet service 0\n",
"StreamingTV_Yes 0\n",
"StreamingMovies_No internet service 0\n",
"StreamingMovies_Yes 0\n",
"dtype: int64"
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"# Adding up the missing values (column-wise)\n",
"telecom.isnull().sum()"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "38fa6d6c3442b1b13c58bdd9c831d9fec5403843"
},
"source": [
"It means that 11/7043 = 0.001561834 i.e 0.1%, best is to remove these
observations from the analysis"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "d50e02e738039aa4bcbf7850dbfa81b827f926f0"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"# Removing NaN TotalCharges rows\n",
"telecom = telecom[~np.isnan(telecom['TotalCharges'])]"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "102fbf688a6d2e51e930b93eb38ea20240d8de4e"
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/plain": [
"customerID 0.0\n",
"tenure 0.0\n",
"PhoneService 0.0\n",
"PaperlessBilling 0.0\n",
"MonthlyCharges 0.0\n",
"TotalCharges 0.0\n",
"Churn 0.0\n",
"SeniorCitizen 0.0\n",
"Partner 0.0\n",
"Dependents 0.0\n",
"Contract_One year 0.0\n",
"Contract_Two year 0.0\n",
"PaymentMethod_Credit card (automatic) 0.0\n",
"PaymentMethod_Electronic check 0.0\n",
"PaymentMethod_Mailed check 0.0\n",
"gender_Male 0.0\n",
"InternetService_Fiber optic 0.0\n",
"InternetService_No 0.0\n",
"MultipleLines_No phone service 0.0\n",
"MultipleLines_Yes 0.0\n",
"OnlineSecurity_No internet service 0.0\n",
"OnlineSecurity_Yes 0.0\n",
"OnlineBackup_No internet service 0.0\n",
"OnlineBackup_Yes 0.0\n",
"DeviceProtection_No internet service 0.0\n",
"DeviceProtection_Yes 0.0\n",
"TechSupport_No internet service 0.0\n",
"TechSupport_Yes 0.0\n",
"StreamingTV_No internet service 0.0\n",
"StreamingTV_Yes 0.0\n",
"StreamingMovies_No internet service 0.0\n",
"StreamingMovies_Yes 0.0\n",
"dtype: float64"
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"# Checking percentage of missing values after removing the missing values\n",
"round(100 * (telecom.isnull().sum() / len(telecom.index)), 2)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "9a1566e0b8dc69a6529027db94c622d537d61843"
},
"source": [
"Now we don't have any missing values"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "deb40b406c82b157e8656bfb50d93fd79be60c8d"
},
"source": [
"## Test-Train Split of Input Dataset"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "fe21054fb829fdfed2c4f766877081c52e831ebf"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "c23923f95a60e1a6d65d9d60a577957841674bf9"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"# Putting feature variable to X\n",
"X = telecom.drop(['customerID'], axis=1)\n",
"y = X.pop('Churn')"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "bae39d755264a1770cb5c4cdd4cde05e1642348a"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"# Splitting the data into train and test\n",
"X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(X, y, train_size=0.7,
test_size=0.3, random_state=100)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "2ea5627bfdf786ec00432884d6ca5b98bd878b1d"
},
"source": [
"## Feature Scaling"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "284ef882b7f4cabd39ccbfcdcdae0ad3ec379e43"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "ef2306c84461023060f0954686aa1ea282a32f7c"
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
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" <td>1.505913</td>\n",
" <td>-0.550676</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>2784</th>\n",
" <td>-1.163880</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1.106854</td>\n",
" <td>-0.835971</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </tbody>\n",
"</table>\n",
"</div>"
],
"text/plain": [
" tenure PhoneService PaperlessBilling MonthlyCharges
TotalCharges \\\n",
"879 0.019693 1 1 -0.338074 -
0.276449 \n",
"5790 0.305384 0 1 -0.464443 -
0.112702 \n",
"6498 -1.286319 1 1 0.581425 -
0.974430 \n",
"880 -0.919003 1 1 1.505913 -
0.550676 \n",
"2784 -1.163880 1 1 1.106854 -
0.835971 \n",
"\n",
" SeniorCitizen Partner Dependents Contract_One year \\\n",
"879 0 0 0 0 \n",
"5790 0 1 1 0 \n",
"6498 0 0 0 0 \n",
"880 0 0 0 0 \n",
"2784 0 0 1 0 \n",
"\n",
" Contract_Two year ... OnlineBackup_No internet service \\\n",
"879 0 ... 0 \n",
"5790 0 ... 0 \n",
"6498 0 ... 0 \n",
"880 0 ... 0 \n",
"2784 0 ... 0 \n",
"\n",
" OnlineBackup_Yes DeviceProtection_No internet service \\\n",
"879 1 0 \n",
"5790 1 0 \n",
"6498 1 0 \n",
"880 1 0 \n",
"2784 0 0 \n",
"\n",
" DeviceProtection_Yes TechSupport_No internet service
TechSupport_Yes \\\n",
"879 0 0
0 \n",
"5790 0 0
0 \n",
"6498 1 0
0 \n",
"880 1 0
1 \n",
"2784 1 0
1 \n",
"\n",
" StreamingTV_No internet service StreamingTV_Yes \\\n",
"879 0 0 \n",
"5790 0 1 \n",
"6498 0 0 \n",
"880 0 1 \n",
"2784 0 1 \n",
"\n",
" StreamingMovies_No internet service StreamingMovies_Yes \n",
"879 0 0 \n",
"5790 0 1 \n",
"6498 0 0 \n",
"880 0 1 \n",
"2784 0 1 \n",
"\n",
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"scaler = StandardScaler()\n",
"\n",
"X_train[['tenure','MonthlyCharges','TotalCharges']] =
scaler.fit_transform(X_train[['tenure','MonthlyCharges','TotalCharges']])\n",
"\n",
"X_train.head()"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "2c07c51e09c95a6178237046eb939e5f44a7ddef"
},
"source": [
"## Finding Correlations among Features"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/html": [
"<div>\n",
"<style scoped>\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"</style>\n",
" <thead>\n",
" <th></th>\n",
" <th>...</th>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </thead>\n",
" <tbody>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>0.007877</td>\n",
" <td>0.004823</td>\n",
" <td>0.246862</td>\n",
" <td>0.825880</td>\n",
" <td>-0.354049</td>\n",
" <td>0.015683</td>\n",
" <td>0.381912</td>\n",
" <td>0.163386</td>\n",
" <td>0.202338</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>-0.037529</td>\n",
" <td>0.361138</td>\n",
" <td>-0.037529</td>\n",
" <td>0.361520</td>\n",
" <td>-0.037529</td>\n",
" <td>0.325288</td>\n",
" <td>-0.037529</td>\n",
" <td>0.280264</td>\n",
" <td>-0.037529</td>\n",
" <td>0.285402</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <td>0.007877</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>0.016696</td>\n",
" <td>0.248033</td>\n",
" <td>0.113008</td>\n",
" <td>0.011691</td>\n",
" <td>0.008392</td>\n",
" <td>0.018397</td>\n",
" <td>-0.001078</td>\n",
" <td>-0.003142</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>0.171817</td>\n",
" <td>-0.052133</td>\n",
" <td>0.171817</td>\n",
" <td>-0.070076</td>\n",
" <td>0.171817</td>\n",
" <td>-0.095138</td>\n",
" <td>0.171817</td>\n",
" <td>-0.021383</td>\n",
" <td>0.171817</td>\n",
" <td>-0.033477</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <td>0.004823</td>\n",
" <td>0.016696</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>0.351930</td>\n",
" <td>0.157830</td>\n",
" <td>0.191454</td>\n",
" <td>0.156258</td>\n",
" <td>-0.013957</td>\n",
" <td>-0.110131</td>\n",
" <td>-0.052278</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>-0.320592</td>\n",
" <td>0.127056</td>\n",
" <td>-0.320592</td>\n",
" <td>0.104079</td>\n",
" <td>-0.320592</td>\n",
" <td>0.037536</td>\n",
" <td>-0.320592</td>\n",
" <td>0.224241</td>\n",
" <td>-0.320592</td>\n",
" <td>0.211583</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <td>0.246862</td>\n",
" <td>0.248033</td>\n",
" <td>0.351930</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>0.651065</td>\n",
" <td>0.192858</td>\n",
" <td>0.219874</td>\n",
" <td>0.097825</td>\n",
" <td>-0.112343</td>\n",
" <td>0.004810</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>-0.763191</td>\n",
" <td>0.441529</td>\n",
" <td>-0.763191</td>\n",
" <td>0.482607</td>\n",
" <td>-0.763191</td>\n",
" <td>0.338301</td>\n",
" <td>-0.763191</td>\n",
" <td>0.629668</td>\n",
" <td>-0.763191</td>\n",
" <td>0.627235</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <td>0.825880</td>\n",
" <td>0.113008</td>\n",
" <td>0.157830</td>\n",
" <td>0.651065</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.199484</td>\n",
" <td>0.102411</td>\n",
" <td>0.319072</td>\n",
" <td>0.064653</td>\n",
" <td>0.170569</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>-0.374878</td>\n",
" <td>0.510100</td>\n",
" <td>-0.374878</td>\n",
" <td>0.522881</td>\n",
" <td>-0.374878</td>\n",
" <td>0.432868</td>\n",
" <td>-0.374878</td>\n",
" <td>0.515709</td>\n",
" <td>-0.374878</td>\n",
" <td>0.519867</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <td>-0.354049</td>\n",
" <td>0.011691</td>\n",
" <td>0.191454</td>\n",
" <td>0.192858</td>\n",
" <td>-0.199484</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>0.150541</td>\n",
" <td>-0.149982</td>\n",
" <td>-0.163128</td>\n",
" <td>-0.178225</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>-0.227578</td>\n",
" <td>-0.082307</td>\n",
" <td>-0.227578</td>\n",
" <td>-0.066193</td>\n",
" <td>-0.227578</td>\n",
" <td>-0.164716</td>\n",
" <td>-0.227578</td>\n",
" <td>0.063254</td>\n",
" <td>-0.227578</td>\n",
" <td>0.060860</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <td>0.015683</td>\n",
" <td>0.008392</td>\n",
" <td>0.156258</td>\n",
" <td>0.219874</td>\n",
" <td>0.102411</td>\n",
" <td>0.150541</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>0.016957</td>\n",
" <td>-0.210550</td>\n",
" <td>-0.046491</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>-0.182519</td>\n",
" <td>0.066663</td>\n",
" <td>-0.182519</td>\n",
" <td>0.059514</td>\n",
" <td>-0.182519</td>\n",
" <td>-0.060577</td>\n",
" <td>-0.182519</td>\n",
" <td>0.105445</td>\n",
" <td>-0.182519</td>\n",
" <td>0.119842</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <td>0.381912</td>\n",
" <td>0.018397</td>\n",
" <td>-0.013957</td>\n",
" <td>0.097825</td>\n",
" <td>0.319072</td>\n",
" <td>-0.149982</td>\n",
" <td>0.016957</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>0.452269</td>\n",
" <td>0.083067</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>-0.000286</td>\n",
" <td>0.141849</td>\n",
" <td>-0.000286</td>\n",
" <td>0.153556</td>\n",
" <td>-0.000286</td>\n",
" <td>0.120206</td>\n",
" <td>-0.000286</td>\n",
" <td>0.124483</td>\n",
" <td>-0.000286</td>\n",
" <td>0.118108</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <td>0.163386</td>\n",
" <td>-0.001078</td>\n",
" <td>-0.110131</td>\n",
" <td>-0.112343</td>\n",
" <td>0.064653</td>\n",
" <td>-0.163128</td>\n",
" <td>-0.210550</td>\n",
" <td>0.452269</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>0.069222</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>0.138383</td>\n",
" <td>0.023639</td>\n",
" <td>0.138383</td>\n",
" <td>0.013900</td>\n",
" <td>0.138383</td>\n",
" <td>0.063053</td>\n",
" <td>0.138383</td>\n",
" <td>-0.016499</td>\n",
" <td>0.138383</td>\n",
" <td>-0.038375</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <td>0.202338</td>\n",
" <td>-0.003142</td>\n",
" <td>-0.052278</td>\n",
" <td>0.004810</td>\n",
" <td>0.170569</td>\n",
" <td>-0.178225</td>\n",
" <td>-0.046491</td>\n",
" <td>0.083067</td>\n",
" <td>0.069222</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>0.038061</td>\n",
" <td>0.084113</td>\n",
" <td>0.038061</td>\n",
" <td>0.102911</td>\n",
" <td>0.038061</td>\n",
" <td>0.096258</td>\n",
" <td>0.038061</td>\n",
" <td>0.061930</td>\n",
" <td>0.038061</td>\n",
" <td>0.064780</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <td>0.563801</td>\n",
" <td>0.004442</td>\n",
" <td>-0.146281</td>\n",
" <td>-0.073256</td>\n",
" <td>0.358036</td>\n",
" <td>-0.301552</td>\n",
" <td>-0.116205</td>\n",
" <td>0.247334</td>\n",
" <td>0.201699</td>\n",
" <td>-0.288843</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>0.217542</td>\n",
" <td>0.111391</td>\n",
" <td>0.217542</td>\n",
" <td>0.165248</td>\n",
" <td>0.217542</td>\n",
" <td>0.240924</td>\n",
" <td>0.217542</td>\n",
" <td>0.072124</td>\n",
" <td>0.217542</td>\n",
" <td>0.075603</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>PaymentMethod_Credit card (automatic)</th>\n",
" <td>0.232800</td>\n",
" <td>-0.006916</td>\n",
" <td>-0.013726</td>\n",
" <td>0.030055</td>\n",
" <td>0.182663</td>\n",
" <td>-0.134687</td>\n",
" <td>-0.024359</td>\n",
" <td>0.082327</td>\n",
" <td>0.061134</td>\n",
" <td>0.067590</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>0.001870</td>\n",
" <td>0.090455</td>\n",
" <td>0.001870</td>\n",
" <td>0.111252</td>\n",
" <td>0.001870</td>\n",
" <td>0.117024</td>\n",
" <td>0.001870</td>\n",
" <td>0.040010</td>\n",
" <td>0.001870</td>\n",
" <td>0.048398</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>PaymentMethod_Electronic check</th>\n",
" <td>-0.210197</td>\n",
" <td>0.002747</td>\n",
" <td>0.208427</td>\n",
" <td>0.271117</td>\n",
" <td>-0.060436</td>\n",
" <td>0.301455</td>\n",
" <td>0.171322</td>\n",
" <td>-0.083207</td>\n",
" <td>-0.149274</td>\n",
" <td>-0.109546</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>-0.284608</td>\n",
" <td>-0.000364</td>\n",
" <td>-0.284608</td>\n",
" <td>-0.003308</td>\n",
" <td>-0.284608</td>\n",
" <td>-0.114807</td>\n",
" <td>-0.284608</td>\n",
" <td>0.144747</td>\n",
" <td>-0.284608</td>\n",
" <td>0.137420</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>PaymentMethod_Mailed check</th>\n",
" <td>-0.232181</td>\n",
" <td>-0.004463</td>\n",
" <td>-0.203981</td>\n",
" <td>-0.376568</td>\n",
" <td>-0.294708</td>\n",
" <td>-0.090773</td>\n",
" <td>-0.152987</td>\n",
" <td>-0.096948</td>\n",
" <td>0.056448</td>\n",
" <td>0.000197</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>0.319694</td>\n",
" <td>-0.174075</td>\n",
" <td>0.319694</td>\n",
" <td>-0.187325</td>\n",
" <td>0.319694</td>\n",
" <td>-0.084631</td>\n",
" <td>0.319694</td>\n",
" <td>-0.247712</td>\n",
" <td>0.319694</td>\n",
" <td>-0.250290</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>gender_Male</th>\n",
" <td>0.005285</td>\n",
" <td>-0.007515</td>\n",
" <td>-0.011902</td>\n",
" <td>-0.013779</td>\n",
" <td>0.000048</td>\n",
" <td>-0.008545</td>\n",
" <td>-0.001819</td>\n",
" <td>-0.001379</td>\n",
" <td>0.010349</td>\n",
" <td>0.007755</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>0.004745</td>\n",
" <td>-0.013093</td>\n",
" <td>0.004745</td>\n",
" <td>-0.000807</td>\n",
" <td>0.004745</td>\n",
" <td>-0.008507</td>\n",
" <td>0.004745</td>\n",
" <td>-0.007124</td>\n",
" <td>0.004745</td>\n",
" <td>-0.010105</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>InternetService_Fiber optic</th>\n",
" <td>0.017930</td>\n",
" <td>0.290183</td>\n",
" <td>0.326470</td>\n",
" <td>0.787195</td>\n",
" <td>0.360769</td>\n",
" <td>0.307463</td>\n",
" <td>0.254923</td>\n",
" <td>0.001235</td>\n",
" <td>-0.164101</td>\n",
" <td>-0.076809</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>-0.465736</td>\n",
" <td>0.165940</td>\n",
" <td>-0.465736</td>\n",
" <td>0.176356</td>\n",
" <td>-0.465736</td>\n",
" <td>-0.020299</td>\n",
" <td>-0.465736</td>\n",
" <td>0.329744</td>\n",
" <td>-0.465736</td>\n",
" <td>0.322457</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>InternetService_No</th>\n",
" <td>-0.037529</td>\n",
" <td>0.171817</td>\n",
" <td>-0.320592</td>\n",
" <td>-0.763191</td>\n",
" <td>-0.374878</td>\n",
" <td>-0.227578</td>\n",
" <td>-0.182519</td>\n",
" <td>-0.000286</td>\n",
" <td>0.138383</td>\n",
" <td>0.038061</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.380990</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.380151</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.335695</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.414951</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.418450</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>MultipleLines_No phone service</th>\n",
" <td>-0.007877</td>\n",
" <td>-1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.016696</td>\n",
" <td>-0.248033</td>\n",
" <td>-0.113008</td>\n",
" <td>-0.011691</td>\n",
" <td>-0.008392</td>\n",
" <td>-0.018397</td>\n",
" <td>0.001078</td>\n",
" <td>0.003142</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>-0.171817</td>\n",
" <td>0.052133</td>\n",
" <td>-0.171817</td>\n",
" <td>0.070076</td>\n",
" <td>-0.171817</td>\n",
" <td>0.095138</td>\n",
" <td>-0.171817</td>\n",
" <td>0.021383</td>\n",
" <td>-0.171817</td>\n",
" <td>0.033477</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>MultipleLines_Yes</th>\n",
" <td>0.332399</td>\n",
" <td>0.279530</td>\n",
" <td>0.163746</td>\n",
" <td>0.490912</td>\n",
" <td>0.469042</td>\n",
" <td>0.040033</td>\n",
" <td>0.142996</td>\n",
" <td>0.142561</td>\n",
" <td>-0.024307</td>\n",
" <td>-0.003594</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>-0.210794</td>\n",
" <td>0.202228</td>\n",
" <td>-0.210794</td>\n",
" <td>0.201733</td>\n",
" <td>-0.210794</td>\n",
" <td>0.100421</td>\n",
" <td>-0.210794</td>\n",
" <td>0.257804</td>\n",
" <td>-0.210794</td>\n",
" <td>0.259194</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>OnlineSecurity_No internet service</th>\n",
" <td>-0.037529</td>\n",
" <td>0.171817</td>\n",
" <td>-0.320592</td>\n",
" <td>-0.763191</td>\n",
" <td>-0.374878</td>\n",
" <td>-0.227578</td>\n",
" <td>-0.182519</td>\n",
" <td>-0.000286</td>\n",
" <td>0.138383</td>\n",
" <td>0.038061</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.380990</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.380151</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.335695</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.414951</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.418450</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>OnlineSecurity_Yes</th>\n",
" <td>0.328297</td>\n",
" <td>-0.091676</td>\n",
" <td>-0.004051</td>\n",
" <td>0.296447</td>\n",
" <td>0.412619</td>\n",
" <td>-0.171270</td>\n",
" <td>-0.038576</td>\n",
" <td>0.143346</td>\n",
" <td>0.080786</td>\n",
" <td>0.100658</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>-0.332799</td>\n",
" <td>0.283285</td>\n",
" <td>-0.332799</td>\n",
" <td>0.274875</td>\n",
" <td>-0.332799</td>\n",
" <td>0.354458</td>\n",
" <td>-0.332799</td>\n",
" <td>0.175514</td>\n",
" <td>-0.332799</td>\n",
" <td>0.187426</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <td>-0.037529</td>\n",
" <td>0.171817</td>\n",
" <td>-0.320592</td>\n",
" <td>-0.763191</td>\n",
" <td>-0.374878</td>\n",
" <td>-0.227578</td>\n",
" <td>-0.182519</td>\n",
" <td>-0.000286</td>\n",
" <td>0.138383</td>\n",
" <td>0.038061</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.380990</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.380151</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.335695</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.414951</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.418450</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <td>0.361138</td>\n",
" <td>-0.052133</td>\n",
" <td>0.127056</td>\n",
" <td>0.441529</td>\n",
" <td>0.510100</td>\n",
" <td>-0.082307</td>\n",
" <td>0.066663</td>\n",
" <td>0.141849</td>\n",
" <td>0.023639</td>\n",
" <td>0.084113</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>-0.380990</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.380990</td>\n",
" <td>0.303058</td>\n",
" <td>-0.380990</td>\n",
" <td>0.293705</td>\n",
" <td>-0.380990</td>\n",
" <td>0.281601</td>\n",
" <td>-0.380990</td>\n",
" <td>0.274523</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <td>-0.037529</td>\n",
" <td>0.171817</td>\n",
" <td>-0.320592</td>\n",
" <td>-0.763191</td>\n",
" <td>-0.374878</td>\n",
" <td>-0.227578</td>\n",
" <td>-0.182519</td>\n",
" <td>-0.000286</td>\n",
" <td>0.138383</td>\n",
" <td>0.038061</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.380990</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.380151</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.335695</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.414951</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.418450</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <td>0.361520</td>\n",
" <td>-0.070076</td>\n",
" <td>0.104079</td>\n",
" <td>0.482607</td>\n",
" <td>0.522881</td>\n",
" <td>-0.066193</td>\n",
" <td>0.059514</td>\n",
" <td>0.153556</td>\n",
" <td>0.013900</td>\n",
" <td>0.102911</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>-0.380151</td>\n",
" <td>0.303058</td>\n",
" <td>-0.380151</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.380151</td>\n",
" <td>0.332850</td>\n",
" <td>-0.380151</td>\n",
" <td>0.389924</td>\n",
" <td>-0.380151</td>\n",
" <td>0.402309</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <td>-0.037529</td>\n",
" <td>0.171817</td>\n",
" <td>-0.320592</td>\n",
" <td>-0.763191</td>\n",
" <td>-0.374878</td>\n",
" <td>-0.227578</td>\n",
" <td>-0.182519</td>\n",
" <td>-0.000286</td>\n",
" <td>0.138383</td>\n",
" <td>0.038061</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.380990</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.380151</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.335695</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.414951</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.418450</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <td>0.325288</td>\n",
" <td>-0.095138</td>\n",
" <td>0.037536</td>\n",
" <td>0.338301</td>\n",
" <td>0.432868</td>\n",
" <td>-0.164716</td>\n",
" <td>-0.060577</td>\n",
" <td>0.120206</td>\n",
" <td>0.063053</td>\n",
" <td>0.096258</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>-0.335695</td>\n",
" <td>0.293705</td>\n",
" <td>-0.335695</td>\n",
" <td>0.332850</td>\n",
" <td>-0.335695</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.335695</td>\n",
" <td>0.277549</td>\n",
" <td>-0.335695</td>\n",
" <td>0.280155</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <td>-0.037529</td>\n",
" <td>0.171817</td>\n",
" <td>-0.320592</td>\n",
" <td>-0.763191</td>\n",
" <td>-0.374878</td>\n",
" <td>-0.227578</td>\n",
" <td>-0.182519</td>\n",
" <td>-0.000286</td>\n",
" <td>0.138383</td>\n",
" <td>0.038061</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.380990</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.380151</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.335695</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.414951</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.418450</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <td>0.280264</td>\n",
" <td>-0.021383</td>\n",
" <td>0.224241</td>\n",
" <td>0.629668</td>\n",
" <td>0.515709</td>\n",
" <td>0.063254</td>\n",
" <td>0.105445</td>\n",
" <td>0.124483</td>\n",
" <td>-0.016499</td>\n",
" <td>0.061930</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>-0.414951</td>\n",
" <td>0.281601</td>\n",
" <td>-0.414951</td>\n",
" <td>0.389924</td>\n",
" <td>-0.414951</td>\n",
" <td>0.277549</td>\n",
" <td>-0.414951</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.414951</td>\n",
" <td>0.533380</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <td>-0.037529</td>\n",
" <td>0.171817</td>\n",
" <td>-0.320592</td>\n",
" <td>-0.763191</td>\n",
" <td>-0.374878</td>\n",
" <td>-0.227578</td>\n",
" <td>-0.182519</td>\n",
" <td>-0.000286</td>\n",
" <td>0.138383</td>\n",
" <td>0.038061</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.380990</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.380151</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.335695</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.414951</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>-0.418450</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <td>0.285402</td>\n",
" <td>-0.033477</td>\n",
" <td>0.211583</td>\n",
" <td>0.627235</td>\n",
" <td>0.519867</td>\n",
" <td>0.060860</td>\n",
" <td>0.119842</td>\n",
" <td>0.118108</td>\n",
" <td>-0.038375</td>\n",
" <td>0.064780</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>-0.418450</td>\n",
" <td>0.274523</td>\n",
" <td>-0.418450</td>\n",
" <td>0.402309</td>\n",
" <td>-0.418450</td>\n",
" <td>0.280155</td>\n",
" <td>-0.418450</td>\n",
" <td>0.533380</td>\n",
" <td>-0.418450</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </tbody>\n",
"</table>\n",
"</div>"
],
"text/plain": [
" tenure PhoneService \\\n",
"tenure 1.000000 0.007877 \n",
"PhoneService 0.007877 1.000000 \n",
"PaperlessBilling 0.004823 0.016696 \n",
"MonthlyCharges 0.246862 0.248033 \n",
"TotalCharges 0.825880 0.113008 \n",
"Churn -0.354049 0.011691 \n",
"SeniorCitizen 0.015683 0.008392 \n",
"Partner 0.381912 0.018397 \n",
"Dependents 0.163386 -0.001078 \n",
"Contract_One year 0.202338 -0.003142 \n",
"Contract_Two year 0.563801 0.004442 \n",
"PaymentMethod_Credit card (automatic) 0.232800 -0.006916 \n",
"PaymentMethod_Electronic check -0.210197 0.002747 \n",
"PaymentMethod_Mailed check -0.232181 -0.004463 \n",
"gender_Male 0.005285 -0.007515 \n",
"InternetService_Fiber optic 0.017930 0.290183 \n",
"InternetService_No -0.037529 0.171817 \n",
"MultipleLines_No phone service -0.007877 -1.000000 \n",
"MultipleLines_Yes 0.332399 0.279530 \n",
"OnlineSecurity_No internet service -0.037529 0.171817 \n",
"OnlineSecurity_Yes 0.328297 -0.091676 \n",
"OnlineBackup_No internet service -0.037529 0.171817 \n",
"OnlineBackup_Yes 0.361138 -0.052133 \n",
"DeviceProtection_No internet service -0.037529 0.171817 \n",
"DeviceProtection_Yes 0.361520 -0.070076 \n",
"TechSupport_No internet service -0.037529 0.171817 \n",
"TechSupport_Yes 0.325288 -0.095138 \n",
"StreamingTV_No internet service -0.037529 0.171817 \n",
"StreamingTV_Yes 0.280264 -0.021383 \n",
"StreamingMovies_No internet service -0.037529 0.171817 \n",
"StreamingMovies_Yes 0.285402 -0.033477 \n",
"\n",
" PaperlessBilling
MonthlyCharges \\\n",
"tenure 0.004823 0.246862 \
n",
"PhoneService 0.016696 0.248033 \
n",
"PaperlessBilling 1.000000 0.351930 \
n",
"MonthlyCharges 0.351930 1.000000 \
n",
"TotalCharges 0.157830 0.651065 \
n",
"Churn 0.191454 0.192858 \
n",
"SeniorCitizen 0.156258 0.219874 \
n",
"Partner -0.013957 0.097825 \
n",
"Dependents -0.110131 -0.112343 \
n",
"Contract_One year -0.052278 0.004810 \
n",
"Contract_Two year -0.146281 -0.073256 \
n",
"PaymentMethod_Credit card (automatic) -0.013726 0.030055 \
n",
"PaymentMethod_Electronic check 0.208427 0.271117 \
n",
"PaymentMethod_Mailed check -0.203981 -0.376568 \
n",
"gender_Male -0.011902 -0.013779 \
n",
"InternetService_Fiber optic 0.326470 0.787195 \
n",
"InternetService_No -0.320592 -0.763191 \
n",
"MultipleLines_No phone service -0.016696 -0.248033 \
n",
"MultipleLines_Yes 0.163746 0.490912 \
n",
"OnlineSecurity_No internet service -0.320592 -0.763191 \
n",
"OnlineSecurity_Yes -0.004051 0.296447 \
n",
"OnlineBackup_No internet service -0.320592 -0.763191 \
n",
"OnlineBackup_Yes 0.127056 0.441529 \
n",
"DeviceProtection_No internet service -0.320592 -0.763191 \
n",
"DeviceProtection_Yes 0.104079 0.482607 \
n",
"TechSupport_No internet service -0.320592 -0.763191 \
n",
"TechSupport_Yes 0.037536 0.338301 \
n",
"StreamingTV_No internet service -0.320592 -0.763191 \
n",
"StreamingTV_Yes 0.224241 0.629668 \
n",
"StreamingMovies_No internet service -0.320592 -0.763191 \
n",
"StreamingMovies_Yes 0.211583 0.627235 \
n",
"\n",
" TotalCharges Churn
SeniorCitizen \\\n",
"tenure 0.825880 -0.354049
0.015683 \n",
"PhoneService 0.113008 0.011691
0.008392 \n",
"PaperlessBilling 0.157830 0.191454
0.156258 \n",
"MonthlyCharges 0.651065 0.192858
0.219874 \n",
"TotalCharges 1.000000 -0.199484
0.102411 \n",
"Churn -0.199484 1.000000
0.150541 \n",
"SeniorCitizen 0.102411 0.150541
1.000000 \n",
"Partner 0.319072 -0.149982
0.016957 \n",
"Dependents 0.064653 -0.163128 -
0.210550 \n",
"Contract_One year 0.170569 -0.178225 -
0.046491 \n",
"Contract_Two year 0.358036 -0.301552 -
0.116205 \n",
"PaymentMethod_Credit card (automatic) 0.182663 -0.134687 -
0.024359 \n",
"PaymentMethod_Electronic check -0.060436 0.301455
0.171322 \n",
"PaymentMethod_Mailed check -0.294708 -0.090773 -
0.152987 \n",
"gender_Male 0.000048 -0.008545 -
0.001819 \n",
"InternetService_Fiber optic 0.360769 0.307463
0.254923 \n",
"InternetService_No -0.374878 -0.227578 -
0.182519 \n",
"MultipleLines_No phone service -0.113008 -0.011691 -
0.008392 \n",
"MultipleLines_Yes 0.469042 0.040033
0.142996 \n",
"OnlineSecurity_No internet service -0.374878 -0.227578 -
0.182519 \n",
"OnlineSecurity_Yes 0.412619 -0.171270 -
0.038576 \n",
"OnlineBackup_No internet service -0.374878 -0.227578 -
0.182519 \n",
"OnlineBackup_Yes 0.510100 -0.082307
0.066663 \n",
"DeviceProtection_No internet service -0.374878 -0.227578 -
0.182519 \n",
"DeviceProtection_Yes 0.522881 -0.066193
0.059514 \n",
"TechSupport_No internet service -0.374878 -0.227578 -
0.182519 \n",
"TechSupport_Yes 0.432868 -0.164716 -
0.060577 \n",
"StreamingTV_No internet service -0.374878 -0.227578 -
0.182519 \n",
"StreamingTV_Yes 0.515709 0.063254
0.105445 \n",
"StreamingMovies_No internet service -0.374878 -0.227578 -
0.182519 \n",
"StreamingMovies_Yes 0.519867 0.060860
0.119842 \n",
"\n",
" Partner Dependents \\\n",
"tenure 0.381912 0.163386 \n",
"PhoneService 0.018397 -0.001078 \n",
"PaperlessBilling -0.013957 -0.110131 \n",
"MonthlyCharges 0.097825 -0.112343 \n",
"TotalCharges 0.319072 0.064653 \n",
"Churn -0.149982 -0.163128 \n",
"SeniorCitizen 0.016957 -0.210550 \n",
"Partner 1.000000 0.452269 \n",
"Dependents 0.452269 1.000000 \n",
"Contract_One year 0.083067 0.069222 \n",
"Contract_Two year 0.247334 0.201699 \n",
"PaymentMethod_Credit card (automatic) 0.082327 0.061134 \n",
"PaymentMethod_Electronic check -0.083207 -0.149274 \n",
"PaymentMethod_Mailed check -0.096948 0.056448 \n",
"gender_Male -0.001379 0.010349 \n",
"InternetService_Fiber optic 0.001235 -0.164101 \n",
"InternetService_No -0.000286 0.138383 \n",
"MultipleLines_No phone service -0.018397 0.001078 \n",
"MultipleLines_Yes 0.142561 -0.024307 \n",
"OnlineSecurity_No internet service -0.000286 0.138383 \n",
"OnlineSecurity_Yes 0.143346 0.080786 \n",
"OnlineBackup_No internet service -0.000286 0.138383 \n",
"OnlineBackup_Yes 0.141849 0.023639 \n",
"DeviceProtection_No internet service -0.000286 0.138383 \n",
"DeviceProtection_Yes 0.153556 0.013900 \n",
"TechSupport_No internet service -0.000286 0.138383 \n",
"TechSupport_Yes 0.120206 0.063053 \n",
"StreamingTV_No internet service -0.000286 0.138383 \n",
"StreamingTV_Yes 0.124483 -0.016499 \n",
"StreamingMovies_No internet service -0.000286 0.138383 \n",
"StreamingMovies_Yes 0.118108 -0.038375 \n",
"\n",
" Contract_One year ... \\\n",
"tenure 0.202338 ... \n",
"PhoneService -0.003142 ... \n",
"PaperlessBilling -0.052278 ... \n",
"MonthlyCharges 0.004810 ... \n",
"TotalCharges 0.170569 ... \n",
"Churn -0.178225 ... \n",
"SeniorCitizen -0.046491 ... \n",
"Partner 0.083067 ... \n",
"Dependents 0.069222 ... \n",
"Contract_One year 1.000000 ... \n",
"Contract_Two year -0.288843 ... \n",
"PaymentMethod_Credit card (automatic) 0.067590 ... \n",
"PaymentMethod_Electronic check -0.109546 ... \n",
"PaymentMethod_Mailed check 0.000197 ... \n",
"gender_Male 0.007755 ... \n",
"InternetService_Fiber optic -0.076809 ... \n",
"InternetService_No 0.038061 ... \n",
"MultipleLines_No phone service 0.003142 ... \n",
"MultipleLines_Yes -0.003594 ... \n",
"OnlineSecurity_No internet service 0.038061 ... \n",
"OnlineSecurity_Yes 0.100658 ... \n",
"OnlineBackup_No internet service 0.038061 ... \n",
"OnlineBackup_Yes 0.084113 ... \n",
"DeviceProtection_No internet service 0.038061 ... \n",
"DeviceProtection_Yes 0.102911 ... \n",
"TechSupport_No internet service 0.038061 ... \n",
"TechSupport_Yes 0.096258 ... \n",
"StreamingTV_No internet service 0.038061 ... \n",
"StreamingTV_Yes 0.061930 ... \n",
"StreamingMovies_No internet service 0.038061 ... \n",
"StreamingMovies_Yes 0.064780 ... \n",
"\n",
" OnlineBackup_No internet
service \\\n",
"tenure -0.037529 \
n",
"PhoneService 0.171817 \
n",
"PaperlessBilling -0.320592 \
n",
"MonthlyCharges -0.763191 \
n",
"TotalCharges -0.374878 \
n",
"Churn -0.227578 \
n",
"SeniorCitizen -0.182519 \
n",
"Partner -0.000286 \
n",
"Dependents 0.138383 \
n",
"Contract_One year 0.038061 \
n",
"Contract_Two year 0.217542 \
n",
"PaymentMethod_Credit card (automatic) 0.001870 \
n",
"PaymentMethod_Electronic check -0.284608 \
n",
"PaymentMethod_Mailed check 0.319694 \
n",
"gender_Male 0.004745 \
n",
"InternetService_Fiber optic -0.465736 \
n",
"InternetService_No 1.000000 \
n",
"MultipleLines_No phone service -0.171817 \
n",
"MultipleLines_Yes -0.210794 \
n",
"OnlineSecurity_No internet service 1.000000 \
n",
"OnlineSecurity_Yes -0.332799 \
n",
"OnlineBackup_No internet service 1.000000 \
n",
"OnlineBackup_Yes -0.380990 \
n",
"DeviceProtection_No internet service 1.000000 \
n",
"DeviceProtection_Yes -0.380151 \
n",
"TechSupport_No internet service 1.000000 \
n",
"TechSupport_Yes -0.335695 \
n",
"StreamingTV_No internet service 1.000000 \
n",
"StreamingTV_Yes -0.414951 \
n",
"StreamingMovies_No internet service 1.000000 \
n",
"StreamingMovies_Yes -0.418450 \
n",
"\n",
" OnlineBackup_Yes \\\n",
"tenure 0.361138 \n",
"PhoneService -0.052133 \n",
"PaperlessBilling 0.127056 \n",
"MonthlyCharges 0.441529 \n",
"TotalCharges 0.510100 \n",
"Churn -0.082307 \n",
"SeniorCitizen 0.066663 \n",
"Partner 0.141849 \n",
"Dependents 0.023639 \n",
"Contract_One year 0.084113 \n",
"Contract_Two year 0.111391 \n",
"PaymentMethod_Credit card (automatic) 0.090455 \n",
"PaymentMethod_Electronic check -0.000364 \n",
"PaymentMethod_Mailed check -0.174075 \n",
"gender_Male -0.013093 \n",
"InternetService_Fiber optic 0.165940 \n",
"InternetService_No -0.380990 \n",
"MultipleLines_No phone service 0.052133 \n",
"MultipleLines_Yes 0.202228 \n",
"OnlineSecurity_No internet service -0.380990 \n",
"OnlineSecurity_Yes 0.283285 \n",
"OnlineBackup_No internet service -0.380990 \n",
"OnlineBackup_Yes 1.000000 \n",
"DeviceProtection_No internet service -0.380990 \n",
"DeviceProtection_Yes 0.303058 \n",
"TechSupport_No internet service -0.380990 \n",
"TechSupport_Yes 0.293705 \n",
"StreamingTV_No internet service -0.380990 \n",
"StreamingTV_Yes 0.281601 \n",
"StreamingMovies_No internet service -0.380990 \n",
"StreamingMovies_Yes 0.274523 \n",
"\n",
" DeviceProtection_No internet service
\\\n",
"tenure -0.037529
\n",
"PhoneService 0.171817
\n",
"PaperlessBilling -0.320592
\n",
"MonthlyCharges -0.763191
\n",
"TotalCharges -0.374878
\n",
"Churn -0.227578
\n",
"SeniorCitizen -0.182519
\n",
"Partner -0.000286
\n",
"Dependents 0.138383
\n",
"Contract_One year 0.038061
\n",
"Contract_Two year 0.217542
\n",
"PaymentMethod_Credit card (automatic) 0.001870
\n",
"PaymentMethod_Electronic check -0.284608
\n",
"PaymentMethod_Mailed check 0.319694
\n",
"gender_Male 0.004745
\n",
"InternetService_Fiber optic -0.465736
\n",
"InternetService_No 1.000000
\n",
"MultipleLines_No phone service -0.171817
\n",
"MultipleLines_Yes -0.210794
\n",
"OnlineSecurity_No internet service 1.000000
\n",
"OnlineSecurity_Yes -0.332799
\n",
"OnlineBackup_No internet service 1.000000
\n",
"OnlineBackup_Yes -0.380990
\n",
"DeviceProtection_No internet service 1.000000
\n",
"DeviceProtection_Yes -0.380151
\n",
"TechSupport_No internet service 1.000000
\n",
"TechSupport_Yes -0.335695
\n",
"StreamingTV_No internet service 1.000000
\n",
"StreamingTV_Yes -0.414951
\n",
"StreamingMovies_No internet service 1.000000
\n",
"StreamingMovies_Yes -0.418450
\n",
"\n",
" DeviceProtection_Yes \\\n",
"tenure 0.361520 \n",
"Churn -0.066193 \n",
"Partner 0.153556 \n",
"\n",
" TechSupport_No internet service \\\
n",
"tenure -0.037529 \
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
"Churn -0.227578 \
n",
n",
"Partner -0.000286 \
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
"\n",
" TechSupport_Yes \\\n",
"tenure 0.325288 \n",
"Churn -0.164716 \n",
"SeniorCitizen -0.060577 \n",
"Partner 0.120206 \n",
"InternetService_Fiber optic -0.020299 \n",
"\n",
" StreamingTV_No internet service \\\
n",
"tenure -0.037529 \
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
"Churn -0.227578 \
n",
n",
"Partner -0.000286 \
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
n",
"\n",
" StreamingTV_Yes \\\n",
"tenure 0.280264 \n",
"Churn 0.063254 \n",
"Partner 0.124483 \n",
"Dependents -0.016499 \n",
"PaymentMethod_Electronic check 0.144747 \n",
"\n",
" StreamingMovies_No internet service
\\\n",
"tenure -0.037529
\n",
"PhoneService 0.171817
\n",
"PaperlessBilling -0.320592
\n",
"MonthlyCharges -0.763191
\n",
"TotalCharges -0.374878
\n",
"Churn -0.227578
\n",
"SeniorCitizen -0.182519
\n",
"Partner -0.000286
\n",
"Dependents 0.138383
\n",
"Contract_One year 0.038061
\n",
"Contract_Two year 0.217542
\n",
"PaymentMethod_Credit card (automatic) 0.001870
\n",
"PaymentMethod_Electronic check -0.284608
\n",
"PaymentMethod_Mailed check 0.319694
\n",
"gender_Male 0.004745
\n",
"InternetService_Fiber optic -0.465736
\n",
"InternetService_No 1.000000
\n",
"MultipleLines_No phone service -0.171817
\n",
"MultipleLines_Yes -0.210794
\n",
"OnlineSecurity_No internet service 1.000000
\n",
"OnlineSecurity_Yes -0.332799
\n",
"OnlineBackup_No internet service 1.000000
\n",
"OnlineBackup_Yes -0.380990
\n",
"DeviceProtection_No internet service 1.000000
\n",
"DeviceProtection_Yes -0.380151
\n",
"TechSupport_No internet service 1.000000
\n",
"TechSupport_Yes -0.335695
\n",
"StreamingTV_No internet service 1.000000
\n",
"StreamingTV_Yes -0.414951
\n",
"StreamingMovies_No internet service 1.000000
\n",
"StreamingMovies_Yes -0.418450
\n",
"\n",
" StreamingMovies_Yes \n",
"tenure 0.285402 \n",
"Churn 0.060860 \n",
"Partner 0.118108 \n",
"Dependents -0.038375 \n",
"PaymentMethod_Electronic check 0.137420 \n",
"\n",
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"# Check the corr values of final list of variables\n",
"cor = telecom.corr()\n",
"cor"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"name": "stdout",
"text": [
"0.8258804609332043 -- 4 -- 0 -- TotalCharges -- tenure\n",
"0.7871948529419629 -- 15 -- 3 -- InternetService_Fiber optic --
MonthlyCharges\n",
"0.7631910615169594 -- 16 -- 3 -- InternetService_No -- MonthlyCharges\n",
"1.0 -- 17 -- 1 -- MultipleLines_No phone service -- PhoneService\n",
"0.7631910615169594 -- 19 -- 3 -- OnlineSecurity_No internet service --
MonthlyCharges\n",
"1.0 -- 19 -- 16 -- OnlineSecurity_No internet service -- InternetService_No\
n",
"0.7631910615169594 -- 21 -- 3 -- OnlineBackup_No internet service --
MonthlyCharges\n",
"1.0 -- 21 -- 16 -- OnlineBackup_No internet service -- InternetService_No\
n",
"1.0 -- 21 -- 19 -- OnlineBackup_No internet service -- OnlineSecurity_No
internet service\n",
"0.7631910615169594 -- 23 -- 3 -- DeviceProtection_No internet service --
MonthlyCharges\n",
"1.0 -- 23 -- 16 -- DeviceProtection_No internet service --
InternetService_No\n",
"1.0 -- 23 -- 19 -- DeviceProtection_No internet service -- OnlineSecurity_No
"1.0 -- 23 -- 21 -- DeviceProtection_No internet service -- OnlineBackup_No
"0.7631910615169594 -- 25 -- 3 -- TechSupport_No internet service --
MonthlyCharges\n",
"1.0 -- 25 -- 16 -- TechSupport_No internet service -- InternetService_No\n",
"1.0 -- 25 -- 19 -- TechSupport_No internet service -- OnlineSecurity_No
"1.0 -- 25 -- 21 -- TechSupport_No internet service -- OnlineBackup_No
"1.0 -- 25 -- 23 -- TechSupport_No internet service -- DeviceProtection_No
"0.7631910615169594 -- 27 -- 3 -- StreamingTV_No internet service --
MonthlyCharges\n",
"1.0 -- 27 -- 16 -- StreamingTV_No internet service -- InternetService_No\n",
"1.0 -- 27 -- 19 -- StreamingTV_No internet service -- OnlineSecurity_No
"1.0 -- 27 -- 21 -- StreamingTV_No internet service -- OnlineBackup_No
"1.0 -- 27 -- 23 -- StreamingTV_No internet service -- DeviceProtection_No
"1.0 -- 27 -- 25 -- StreamingTV_No internet service -- TechSupport_No
"0.7631910615169594 -- 29 -- 3 -- StreamingMovies_No internet service --
MonthlyCharges\n",
InternetService_No\n",
"1.0 -- 29 -- 19 -- StreamingMovies_No internet service -- OnlineSecurity_No
"1.0 -- 29 -- 21 -- StreamingMovies_No internet service -- OnlineBackup_No
DeviceProtection_No internet service\n",
"1.0 -- 29 -- 25 -- StreamingMovies_No internet service -- TechSupport_No
"1.0 -- 29 -- 27 -- StreamingMovies_No internet service -- StreamingTV_No
internet service\n"
]
}
],
"source": [
"# Find out the Fields with high correlation\n",
"\n",
"correlated_features = set()\n",
"for i in range(len(cor.columns)):\n",
" for j in range(i):\n",
" if abs(cor.iloc[i, j]) > 0.7:\n",
" colname1 = cor.columns[i]\n",
" colname2 = cor.columns[j]\n",
" print(abs(cor.iloc[i, j]), \"--\", i, '--', j, '--', colname1,
'--', colname2)\n",
" correlated_features.add(colname1)\n",
" correlated_features.add(colname2)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"name": "stdout",
"text": [
"Index(['tenure', 'PhoneService', 'PaperlessBilling', 'MonthlyCharges',\n",
" 'TotalCharges', 'Churn', 'SeniorCitizen', 'Partner', 'Dependents',\
n",
" 'Contract_One year', 'Contract_Two year',\n",
" 'PaymentMethod_Credit card (automatic)',\n",
" 'PaymentMethod_Electronic check', 'PaymentMethod_Mailed check',\n",
" 'gender_Male', 'InternetService_Fiber optic', 'InternetService_No',\
n",
" 'MultipleLines_No phone service', 'MultipleLines_Yes',\n",
" 'OnlineSecurity_No internet service', 'OnlineSecurity_Yes',\n",
" 'OnlineBackup_No internet service', 'OnlineBackup_Yes',\n",
" 'DeviceProtection_No internet service', 'DeviceProtection_Yes',\n",
" 'TechSupport_No internet service', 'TechSupport_Yes',\n",
" 'StreamingTV_No internet service', 'StreamingTV_Yes',\n",
" 'StreamingMovies_No internet service', 'StreamingMovies_Yes'],\n",
" dtype='object')\n",
"------\n",
"{'StreamingTV_No internet service', 'MonthlyCharges', 'StreamingMovies_No
internet service', 'TechSupport_No internet service', 'TotalCharges',
'OnlineSecurity_No internet service', 'DeviceProtection_No internet service',
'PhoneService', 'OnlineBackup_No internet service', 'InternetService_No',
'InternetService_Fiber optic', 'tenure', 'MultipleLines_No phone service'}\n"
]
}
],
"source": [
"print(cor.columns)\n",
"print('------')\n",
"print(correlated_features)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "d0f098b6c74fd1da00de60a89fd2fc8ab76d1a16"
},
"source": [
"#### Dropping highly correlated dummy variables"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "a760465580abffd70e9c3f392c663bf3df309aab"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"X_test = X_test.drop(['TotalCharges', 'InternetService_Fiber optic',
'OnlineSecurity_No internet service', 'OnlineBackup_No internet service',
'StreamingMovies_No internet service', \n",
" 'TechSupport_No internet service', 'StreamingTV_No internet
service', 'StreamingMovies_No internet service', 'DeviceProtection_No internet
service'], 1)\n",
"X_train = X_train.drop(['TotalCharges', 'InternetService_Fiber optic',
'OnlineSecurity_No internet service', 'OnlineBackup_No internet service',
'StreamingMovies_No internet service', \n",
" 'TechSupport_No internet service', 'StreamingTV_No internet
service', 'StreamingMovies_No internet service', 'DeviceProtection_No internet
service'], 1)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "aef274a2a692ffbcfcef25b65045fe2b453a84ce"
},
"source": [
"### Repeat the Correlation Matrix/Heatmap"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "cb850b656137120792e1c87579e256241b18761c"
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
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"text/plain": [
]
},
"metadata": {
},
}
],
"source": [
"plt.figure(figsize = (20,10))\n",
"sns.heatmap(X_train.corr(),annot = True)\n",
"plt.show()"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"## Create our Logistic Regression Model"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### àdd_constant()`\n",
"By default, statsmodels fits a line passing through the origin, i.e. it
doesn't fit an intercept. Hence, you need to use thecommand 'add_constant' so that
it also fits an intercept."
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/html": [
"<div>\n",
"<style scoped>\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"</style>\n",
" <thead>\n",
" <th></th>\n",
" <th>const</th>\n",
" <th>...</th>\n",
" <th>gender_Male</th>\n",
" <th>InternetService_No</th>\n",
" <th>MultipleLines_No phone service</th>\n",
" <th>MultipleLines_Yes</th>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </thead>\n",
" <tbody>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>879</th>\n",
" <td>1.0</td>\n",
" <td>0.019693</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>-0.338074</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>5790</th>\n",
" <td>1.0</td>\n",
" <td>0.305384</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>-0.464443</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>6498</th>\n",
" <td>1.0</td>\n",
" <td>-1.286319</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0.581425</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>880</th>\n",
" <td>1.0</td>\n",
" <td>-0.919003</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1.505913</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>2784</th>\n",
" <td>1.0</td>\n",
" <td>-1.163880</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1.106854</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </tbody>\n",
"</table>\n",
"</div>"
],
"text/plain": [
" const tenure PhoneService PaperlessBilling MonthlyCharges \\\
n",
"879 1.0 0.019693 1 1 -0.338074 \
n",
"5790 1.0 0.305384 0 1 -0.464443 \
n",
"6498 1.0 -1.286319 1 1 0.581425 \
n",
"880 1.0 -0.919003 1 1 1.505913 \
n",
"2784 1.0 -1.163880 1 1 1.106854 \
n",
"\n",
" SeniorCitizen Partner Dependents Contract_One year \\\n",
"879 0 0 0 0 \n",
"5790 0 1 1 0 \n",
"6498 0 0 0 0 \n",
"880 0 0 0 0 \n",
"2784 0 0 1 0 \n",
"\n",
" Contract_Two year ... gender_Male InternetService_No \\\n",
"879 0 ... 1 0 \n",
"5790 0 ... 0 0 \n",
"6498 0 ... 0 0 \n",
"880 0 ... 1 0 \n",
"2784 0 ... 0 0 \n",
"\n",
" MultipleLines_No phone service MultipleLines_Yes OnlineSecurity_Yes
\\\n",
"879 0 1 0
\n",
"5790 1 0 0
\n",
"6498 0 0 0
\n",
"880 0 0 1
\n",
"2784 0 0 0
\n",
"\n",
" OnlineBackup_Yes DeviceProtection_Yes TechSupport_Yes \\\n",
"879 1 0 0 \n",
"5790 1 0 0 \n",
"6498 1 1 0 \n",
"880 1 1 1 \n",
"2784 0 1 1 \n",
"\n",
" StreamingTV_Yes StreamingMovies_Yes \n",
"879 0 0 \n",
"5790 1 1 \n",
"6498 0 0 \n",
"880 1 1 \n",
"2784 1 1 \n",
"\n",
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"from statsmodels.tools import add_constant as add_constant\n",
"X_train_constant = add_constant(X_train)\n",
"X_train_constant.head()"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"name": "stdout",
"text": [
"Optimization terminated successfully.\n",
" Current function value: 0.409390\n",
" Iterations 8\n"
]
},
{
"data": {
"text/html": [
"<table class=\"simpletable\">\n",
"<caption>Logit Regression Results</caption>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>Dep. Variable:</th> <td>Churn</td> <th> No.
Observations: </th> <td> 4922</td> \n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>Model:</th> <td>Logit</td> <th> Df Residuals:
</th> <td> 4900</td> \n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>Method:</th> <td>MLE</td> <th> Df Model:
</th> <td> 21</td> \n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>Date:</th> <td>Thu, 23 Sep 2021</td> <th> Pseudo R-squ.:
</th> <td>0.2875</td> \n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>Time:</th> <td>16:15:30</td> <th> Log-Likelihood:
</th> <td> -2015.0</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>converged:</th> <td>True</td> <th> LL-Null:
</th> <td> -2828.2</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>Covariance Type:</th> <td>nonrobust</td> <th> LLR p-value:
</th> <td> 0.000</td> \n",
"</tr>\n",
"</table>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <td></td> <th>coef</th>
<th>std err</th> <th>z</th> <th>P>|z|</th> <th>[0.025</th>
<th>0.975]</th> \n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>const</th> <td> -0.3258</td> <td>
4.76e+06</td> <td>-6.85e-08</td> <td> 1.000</td> <td>-9.33e+06</td> <td>
9.33e+06</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>tenure</th> <td> -0.8802</td> <td>
0.071</td> <td> -12.391</td> <td> 0.000</td> <td> -1.019</td> <td>
-0.741</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>PhoneService</th> <td> -0.6654</td> <td>
4.76e+06</td> <td> -1.4e-07</td> <td> 1.000</td> <td>-9.33e+06</td> <td>
9.33e+06</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>PaperlessBilling</th> <td> 0.3230</td> <td>
0.090</td> <td> 3.600</td> <td> 0.000</td> <td> 0.147</td> <td>
0.499</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>MonthlyCharges</th> <td> 1.0009</td> <td>
1.258</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>SeniorCitizen</th> <td> 0.4013</td> <td>
0.601</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>Partner</th> <td> 0.0453</td> <td>
0.093</td> <td> 0.485</td> <td> 0.628</td> <td> -0.138</td> <td>
0.228</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>Dependents</th> <td> -0.1650</td> <td>
0.045</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>Contract_One year</th> <td> -0.6685</td> <td>
-0.418</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>Contract_Two year</th> <td> -1.2156</td> <td>
-0.805</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>PaymentMethod_Credit card (automatic)</th> <td> -0.2565</td> <td>
0.011</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>PaymentMethod_Electronic check</th> <td> 0.1743</td> <td>
0.395</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>PaymentMethod_Mailed check</th> <td> -0.1972</td> <td>
0.069</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>gender_Male</th> <td> -0.0342</td> <td>
0.119</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>InternetService_No</th> <td> -0.1717</td> <td>
0.276</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>MultipleLines_No phone service</th> <td> 0.3396</td> <td>
4.76e+06</td> <td> 7.14e-08</td> <td> 1.000</td> <td>-9.33e+06</td> <td>
9.33e+06</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>MultipleLines_Yes</th> <td> 0.0917</td> <td>
0.287</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>OnlineSecurity_Yes</th> <td> -0.5086</td> <td>
-0.308</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>OnlineBackup_Yes</th> <td> -0.2920</td> <td>
-0.108</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>DeviceProtection_Yes</th> <td> -0.1599</td> <td>
0.031</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>TechSupport_Yes</th> <td> -0.5195</td> <td>
-0.321</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>StreamingTV_Yes</th> <td> -0.0122</td> <td>
0.199</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>StreamingMovies_Yes</th> <td> -0.1224</td> <td>
0.088</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"</table>"
],
"text/plain": [
"<class 'statsmodels.iolib.summary.Summary'>\n",
"\"\"\"\n",
" Logit Regression Results
\n",
"==============================================================================\n",
"Dep. Variable: Churn No. Observations:
4922\n",
"Model: Logit Df Residuals:
4900\n",
"Method: MLE Df Model:
21\n",
"Date: Thu, 23 Sep 2021 Pseudo R-squ.:
0.2875\n",
"Time: 16:15:30 Log-Likelihood: -
2015.0\n",
"converged: True LL-Null: -
2828.2\n",
"Covariance Type: nonrobust LLR p-value:
0.000\n",
"==================================================================================
=======================\n",
" coef std err z
P>|z| [0.025 0.975]\n",
"----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------\n",
"const -0.3258 4.76e+06 -6.85e-08
1.000 -9.33e+06 9.33e+06\n",
"tenure -0.8802 0.071 -12.391
0.000 -1.019 -0.741\n",
"PhoneService -0.6654 4.76e+06 -1.4e-07
1.000 -9.33e+06 9.33e+06\n",
"PaperlessBilling 0.3230 0.090 3.600
0.000 0.147 0.499\n",
"MonthlyCharges 1.0009 0.131 7.626
0.000 0.744 1.258\n",
"SeniorCitizen 0.4013 0.102 3.940
0.000 0.202 0.601\n",
"Partner 0.0453 0.093 0.485
0.628 -0.138 0.228\n",
"Dependents -0.1650 0.107 -1.542
0.123 -0.375 0.045\n",
"Contract_One year -0.6685 0.128 -5.231
0.000 -0.919 -0.418\n",
"Contract_Two year -1.2156 0.210 -5.800
0.000 -1.626 -0.805\n",
"PaymentMethod_Credit card (automatic) -0.2565 0.137 -1.877
0.061 -0.524 0.011\n",
"PaymentMethod_Electronic check 0.1743 0.113 1.548
0.122 -0.046 0.395\n",
"PaymentMethod_Mailed check -0.1972 0.136 -1.453
0.146 -0.463 0.069\n",
"gender_Male -0.0342 0.078 -0.437
0.662 -0.188 0.119\n",
"InternetService_No -0.1717 0.228 -0.752
0.452 -0.619 0.276\n",
"MultipleLines_No phone service 0.3396 4.76e+06 7.14e-08
1.000 -9.33e+06 9.33e+06\n",
"MultipleLines_Yes 0.0917 0.100 0.919
0.358 -0.104 0.287\n",
"OnlineSecurity_Yes -0.5086 0.103 -4.961
0.000 -0.710 -0.308\n",
"OnlineBackup_Yes -0.2920 0.094 -3.116
0.002 -0.476 -0.108\n",
"DeviceProtection_Yes -0.1599 0.097 -1.645
0.100 -0.350 0.031\n",
"TechSupport_Yes -0.5195 0.101 -5.136
0.000 -0.718 -0.321\n",
"StreamingTV_Yes -0.0122 0.108 -0.113
0.910 -0.224 0.199\n",
"StreamingMovies_Yes -0.1224 0.108 -1.139
0.255 -0.333 0.088\n",
"==================================================================================
=======================\n",
"\"\"\""
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"cols = X_train_constant.columns\n",
"model = smd.Logit(y_train, X_train_constant[cols])\n",
"result = model.fit()\n",
"result.summary()"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Feature Selection: Drop Features with P-Value > 0.05"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"drop_cols = ['PhoneService', 'Partner', 'Dependents',
'PaymentMethod_Electronic check', \n",
" 'PaymentMethod_Mailed check', 'gender_Male',
'InternetService_No', 'MultipleLines_No phone service', \n",
" 'MultipleLines_Yes', 'DeviceProtection_Yes', 'StreamingTV_Yes']"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"X_train_constant.drop(drop_cols, axis=1, inplace=True)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Recreate the Logit Model with updated set of columns"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"name": "stdout",
"text": [
"Optimization terminated successfully.\n",
" Current function value: 0.416361\n",
" Iterations 8\n"
]
}
],
"source": [
"model = smd.Logit(y_train, X_train_constant)\n",
"result = model.fit()"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/html": [
"<caption>Logit Regression Results</caption>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>Dep. Variable:</th> <td>Churn</td> <th> No.
Observations: </th> <td> 4922</td> \n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>Model:</th> <td>Logit</td> <th> Df Residuals:
</th> <td> 4910</td> \n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>Method:</th> <td>MLE</td> <th> Df Model:
</th> <td> 11</td> \n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>Date:</th> <td>Thu, 23 Sep 2021</td> <th> Pseudo R-squ.:
</th> <td>0.2754</td> \n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>Time:</th> <td>16:15:30</td> <th> Log-Likelihood:
</th> <td> -2049.3</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>converged:</th> <td>True</td> <th> LL-Null:
</th> <td> -2828.2</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>Covariance Type:</th> <td>nonrobust</td> <th> LLR p-value:
</th> <td> 0.000</td> \n",
"</tr>\n",
"</table>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <td></td> <th>coef</th>
<th>std err</th> <th>z</th> <th>P>|z|</th> <th>[0.025</th>
<th>0.975]</th> \n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>const</th> <td> -1.0526</td> <td>
-0.842</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>tenure</th> <td> -0.8509</td> <td>
-0.724</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>PaperlessBilling</th> <td> 0.4084</td> <td>
0.581</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>MonthlyCharges</th> <td> 0.8798</td> <td>
0.999</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>SeniorCitizen</th> <td> 0.5129</td> <td>
0.707</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>Contract_One year</th> <td> -0.8013</td> <td>
-0.556</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>Contract_Two year</th> <td> -1.4307</td> <td>
-1.027</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>PaymentMethod_Credit card (automatic)</th> <td> -0.3065</td> <td>
-0.090</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>OnlineSecurity_Yes</th> <td> -0.4558</td> <td>
-0.257</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>OnlineBackup_Yes</th> <td> -0.2126</td> <td>
-0.031</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>TechSupport_Yes</th> <td> -0.5082</td> <td>
-0.312</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"<tr>\n",
" <th>StreamingMovies_Yes</th> <td> 0.0435</td> <td>
0.236</td>\n",
"</tr>\n",
"</table>"
],
"text/plain": [
"<class 'statsmodels.iolib.summary.Summary'>\n",
"\"\"\"\n",
" Logit Regression Results
\n",
"==============================================================================\n",
"Dep. Variable: Churn No. Observations:
4922\n",
"Model: Logit Df Residuals:
4910\n",
"Method: MLE Df Model:
11\n",
"Date: Thu, 23 Sep 2021 Pseudo R-squ.:
0.2754\n",
"Time: 16:15:30 Log-Likelihood: -
2049.3\n",
"converged: True LL-Null: -
2828.2\n",
"Covariance Type: nonrobust LLR p-value:
0.000\n",
"==================================================================================
=======================\n",
" coef std err z
P>|z| [0.025 0.975]\n",
"----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------\n",
"const -1.0526 0.107 -9.807
0.000 -1.263 -0.842\n",
"tenure -0.8509 0.065 -13.127
0.000 -0.978 -0.724\n",
"PaperlessBilling 0.4084 0.088 4.629
0.000 0.235 0.581\n",
"MonthlyCharges 0.8798 0.061 14.428
0.000 0.760 0.999\n",
"SeniorCitizen 0.5129 0.099 5.174
0.000 0.319 0.707\n",
"Contract_One year -0.8013 0.125 -6.415
0.000 -1.046 -0.556\n",
"Contract_Two year -1.4307 0.206 -6.955
0.000 -1.834 -1.027\n",
"PaymentMethod_Credit card (automatic) -0.3065 0.110 -2.779
0.005 -0.523 -0.090\n",
"OnlineSecurity_Yes -0.4558 0.101 -4.501
0.000 -0.654 -0.257\n",
"OnlineBackup_Yes -0.2126 0.093 -2.292
0.022 -0.394 -0.031\n",
"TechSupport_Yes -0.5082 0.100 -5.064
0.000 -0.705 -0.312\n",
"StreamingMovies_Yes 0.0435 0.098 0.442
0.658 -0.149 0.236\n",
"==================================================================================
=======================\n",
"\"\"\""
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"result.summary()"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Now that we Optimized our model using Statsmodel Logit(), we will create a
corresponding model using ScikitLearn LogisticRegression()\n",
"#### Some Differences between Logit and LogisticRegression\n",
"- ScikitLearn LogisticRegression: Uses L2 regularization by default, but
regularization can be turned off using penalty=’none’.\n",
"StatsModel Logit: Does not use regularization by default.\n",
"- ScikitLearn LogisticRegression: Includes intercept by default.\n",
"StatsModel Logit: Use the add_constant method to include an intercept.\n"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"cols_model = ['tenure', 'PaperlessBilling', 'MonthlyCharges', \n",
" 'SeniorCitizen', 'Contract_One year', 'Contract_Two year', \n",
" 'PaymentMethod_Credit card (automatic)', 'OnlineSecurity_Yes',
'OnlineBackup_Yes', \n",
" 'TechSupport_Yes', 'StreamingMovies_Yes']"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"X_train1 = X_train_constant[cols_model]"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/plain": [
"LogisticRegression()"
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"logreg = LogisticRegression()\n",
"logreg.fit(X_train1, y_train)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Predict using Training Data"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"y_train_pred = logreg.predict(X_train1)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/plain": [
"0.8033319788703779"
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"sklearn.metrics.accuracy_score(y_train, y_train_pred)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/plain": [
"<AxesSubplot:>"
]
},
"metadata": {},
},
{
"data": {
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"text/plain": [
]
},
"metadata": {
},
}
],
"source": [
"# Create the Confusion Matrix \n",
"\n",
"cm = confusion_matrix(y_train, y_train_pred)\n",
"conf_matrix =
pd.DataFrame(data=cm,columns=['Predicted:0','Predicted:1'],index=['Actual:0','Actua
l:1'])\n",
"plt.figure(figsize = (8,5))\n",
"sns.heatmap(conf_matrix, annot=True,fmt='d',cmap=\"YlGnBu\")"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Other Classification Statistics"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"TN=cm[0,0]\n",
"TP=cm[1,1]\n",
"FN=cm[1,0]\n",
"FP=cm[0,1]\n",
"sensitivity=TP/float(TP+FN)\n",
"specificity=TN/float(TN+FP)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"name": "stdout",
"text": [
"The acuuracy of the model = TP+TN/(TP+TN+FP+FN) = 0.8033319788703779 \n",
" Missclassifications = 1-Accuracy = 0.19666802112962212 \n",
" Sensitivity/Recall or True Positive Rate = TP/(TP+FN) = 0.5236985236985237
\n",
" Specificity or True Negative Rate = TN/(TN+FP) = 0.9023383768913342 \n",
" Precision/Positive Predictive value = TP/(TP+FP) = 0.6550048590864918 \n",
" Negative predictive Value = TN/(TN+FN) = 0.8425378885178526 \n",
" Positive Likelihood Ratio = Sensitivity/(1-Specificity) =
5.362377841251079 \n",
" Negative likelihood Ratio = (1-Sensitivity)/Specificity =
0.5278523982792276\n"
]
}
],
"source": [
"print('The acuuracy of the model = TP+TN/(TP+TN+FP+FN) =
',(TP+TN)/float(TP+TN+FP+FN),'\\n',\n",
"\n",
"'Missclassifications = 1-Accuracy = ',1-((TP+TN)/float(TP+TN+FP+FN)),'\\n',\
n",
"\n",
"'Sensitivity/Recall or True Positive Rate = TP/(TP+FN) = ',TP/float(TP+FN),'\\
n',\n",
"\n",
"'Specificity or True Negative Rate = TN/(TN+FP) = ',TN/float(TN+FP),'\\n',\n",
"\n",
"'Precision/Positive Predictive value = TP/(TP+FP) = ',TP/float(TP+FP),'\\n',\
n",
"\n",
"'Negative predictive Value = TN/(TN+FN) = ',TN/float(TN+FN),'\\n',\n",
"\n",
"'Positive Likelihood Ratio = Sensitivity/(1-Specificity) = ',sensitivity/(1-
specificity),'\\n',\n",
"\n",
"'Negative likelihood Ratio = (1-Sensitivity)/Specificity =
',(1-sensitivity)/specificity)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Some Pointers from the above Classification Metrics:\n",
"- `Sensitivity/Recall`: In the example of Churn prediction, it gives us the
percentage of Correctly Predicted Churns from the pool of Actual Churns.\n",
"- `Specificity`: Gives us the percentage of Correctly Predicted Non-Churns
from the pool of Actual Non-Churns.\n",
"- `Precision`: Gives us the percentage of Correctly Predicted Churns from the
pool of Total Predicted Churns."
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Plot the ROC Curve and AUC\n",
"The `ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristic)` Curve is an useful tool when
predicting the probability of a binary outcome.\n",
"\n",
"It is a plot of the `false positive rate (x-axis)` versus the `true positive
rate (y-axis)` for a number of different candidate threshold values (probability)
between 0.0 and 1.0. Put another way, it plots the false alarm rate versus the hit
rate.\n",
"\n",
"An ROC curve demonstrates several things:\n",
"\n",
"- It shows the `tradeoff between sensitivity and specificity` (any increase in
sensitivity should be accompanied by a decrease in specificity).\n",
"- The closer the curve follows the left-hand border and then the top border of
the ROC space, the more accurate the test (higher AUC).\n",
"- The closer the curve comes to the 45-degree diagonal of the ROC space, the
less accurate the test."
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"name": "stdout",
"text": [
"[[0.76439597 0.23560403]\n",
" [0.81607017 0.18392983]\n",
" [0.32087972 0.67912028]\n",
" ...\n",
" [0.93634741 0.06365259]\n",
" [0.8899493 0.1100507 ]\n",
" [0.91576122 0.08423878]]\n",
"Logistic: ROC AUC = 0.843\n"
]
},
{
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"text/plain": [
]
},
"metadata": {
},
}
],
"source": [
"from sklearn.metrics import roc_curve\n",
"from sklearn.metrics import roc_auc_score\n",
"\n",
"# predict probabilities\n",
"lr_probs = logreg.predict_proba(X_train1)\n",
"print(lr_probs)\n",
"\n",
"# keep probabilities for the positive outcome only\n",
"lr_probs = lr_probs[:, 1]\n",
"\n",
"# calculate scores\n",
"lr_auc = roc_auc_score(y_train, lr_probs)\n",
"\n",
"# summarize scores\n",
"print('Logistic: ROC AUC = %.3f' % (lr_auc))\n",
"\n",
"# calculate roc curves\n",
"lr_fpr, lr_tpr, _ = roc_curve(y_train, lr_probs)\n",
"\n",
"plt.plot(lr_fpr, lr_tpr, marker='.')\n",
"\n",
"plt.xlabel('False Positive Rate')\n",
"plt.ylabel('True Positive Rate')\n",
"plt.show()"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/html": [
"<div>\n",
"<style scoped>\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"</style>\n",
" <thead>\n",
" <th></th>\n",
" <th>FPR</th>\n",
" <th>TPR</th>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </thead>\n",
" <tbody>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>0</th>\n",
" <td>0.000000</td>\n",
" <td>0.000000</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>1</th>\n",
" <td>0.000000</td>\n",
" <td>0.000777</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>2</th>\n",
" <td>0.000000</td>\n",
" <td>0.006216</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>3</th>\n",
" <td>0.000275</td>\n",
" <td>0.006216</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>4</th>\n",
" <td>0.000275</td>\n",
" <td>0.023310</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>...</th>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>1430</th>\n",
" <td>0.994498</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>1431</th>\n",
" <td>0.995048</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>1432</th>\n",
" <td>0.997799</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>1433</th>\n",
" <td>0.998349</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>1434</th>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </tbody>\n",
"</table>\n",
"</div>"
],
"text/plain": [
" FPR TPR\n",
"0 0.000000 0.000000\n",
"1 0.000000 0.000777\n",
"2 0.000000 0.006216\n",
"3 0.000275 0.006216\n",
"4 0.000275 0.023310\n",
"... ... ...\n",
"1430 0.994498 1.000000\n",
"1431 0.995048 1.000000\n",
"1432 0.997799 1.000000\n",
"1433 0.998349 1.000000\n",
"1434 1.000000 1.000000\n",
"\n",
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"pd.DataFrame(zip(lr_fpr, lr_tpr), columns=('FPR', 'TPR'))"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Creating a dataframe with the actual churn flag and the predicted
probabilities"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/html": [
"<div>\n",
"<style scoped>\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"</style>\n",
" <thead>\n",
" <th></th>\n",
" <th>Churn_Prob</th>\n",
" <th>CustID</th>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </thead>\n",
" <tbody>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>0</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.235604</td>\n",
" <td>879</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>1</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.183930</td>\n",
" <td>5790</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>2</th>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0.679120</td>\n",
" <td>6498</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>3</th>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0.581322</td>\n",
" <td>880</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>4</th>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0.701117</td>\n",
" <td>2784</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>5</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.390385</td>\n",
" <td>3874</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>6</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.171457</td>\n",
" <td>5387</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>7</th>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0.786112</td>\n",
" <td>6623</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>8</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.145279</td>\n",
" <td>4465</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>9</th>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0.586667</td>\n",
" <td>5364</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>10</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.213203</td>\n",
" <td>3022</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>11</th>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0.537653</td>\n",
" <td>1251</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>12</th>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0.683649</td>\n",
" <td>3494</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>13</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.014545</td>\n",
" <td>266</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>14</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.007743</td>\n",
" <td>2772</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>15</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.064864</td>\n",
" <td>242</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>16</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.435965</td>\n",
" <td>738</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>17</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.031208</td>\n",
" <td>4066</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>18</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.205986</td>\n",
" <td>3214</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>19</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.015375</td>\n",
" <td>2408</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </tbody>\n",
"</table>\n",
"</div>"
],
"text/plain": [
" Churn Churn_Prob CustID\n",
"0 0 0.235604 879\n",
"1 0 0.183930 5790\n",
"2 1 0.679120 6498\n",
"3 1 0.581322 880\n",
"4 1 0.701117 2784\n",
"5 0 0.390385 3874\n",
"6 0 0.171457 5387\n",
"7 1 0.786112 6623\n",
"8 0 0.145279 4465\n",
"9 1 0.586667 5364\n",
"10 0 0.213203 3022\n",
"11 1 0.537653 1251\n",
"12 1 0.683649 3494\n",
"13 0 0.014545 266\n",
"14 0 0.007743 2772\n",
"15 0 0.064864 242\n",
"16 0 0.435965 738\n",
"17 0 0.031208 4066\n",
"18 0 0.205986 3214\n",
"19 0 0.015375 2408"
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"y_train_pred_final = pd.DataFrame({'Churn':y_train.values,
'Churn_Prob':lr_probs})\n",
"y_train_pred_final['CustID'] = y_train.index\n",
"y_train_pred_final.head(20)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"#### Observation from above Data: The 1's are assigned higher probability to
the 0's. A good classification model will always try to assign higher numbers to
the positive cases and assign lower numbers to negatives. \n"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Creating new column 'predicted' with `1 if Churn_Prob > 0.5 else 0`"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/html": [
"<div>\n",
"<style scoped>\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"</style>\n",
" <thead>\n",
" <th></th>\n",
" <th>predicted</th>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </thead>\n",
" <tbody>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>0</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.235604</td>\n",
" <td>879</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>1</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.183930</td>\n",
" <td>5790</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>2</th>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0.679120</td>\n",
" <td>6498</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>3</th>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0.581322</td>\n",
" <td>880</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>4</th>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0.701117</td>\n",
" <td>2784</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </tbody>\n",
"</table>\n",
"</div>"
],
"text/plain": [
" Churn Churn_Prob CustID predicted\n",
"0 0 0.235604 879 0\n",
"1 0 0.183930 5790 0\n",
"2 1 0.679120 6498 1\n",
"3 1 0.581322 880 1\n",
"4 1 0.701117 2784 1"
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"y_train_pred_final['predicted'] = y_train_pred_final.Churn_Prob.map(lambda x:
1 if x > 0.5 else 0)\n",
"y_train_pred_final.head()"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"name": "stdout",
"text": [
"[[3280 355]\n",
" [ 613 674]]\n"
]
}
],
"source": [
"from sklearn import metrics\n",
"# Create Confusion matrix \n",
"confusion = metrics.confusion_matrix(y_train_pred_final.Churn,
y_train_pred_final.predicted )\n",
"print(confusion)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"name": "stdout",
"text": [
"0.8033319788703779\n"
]
}
],
"source": [
"# Let's check the overall accuracy.\n",
"print(metrics.accuracy_score(y_train_pred_final.Churn,
y_train_pred_final.predicted))"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Is our probability threshold of 0.5 good? Finding Optimal Cutoff Point...\
n",
"Optimal cutoff probability is that prob where we get balanced sensitivity and
specificity"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/html": [
"<div>\n",
"<style scoped>\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"</style>\n",
" <thead>\n",
" <th></th>\n",
" <th>0.0</th>\n",
" <th>0.1</th>\n",
" <th>0.2</th>\n",
" <th>0.3</th>\n",
" <th>0.4</th>\n",
" <th>0.5</th>\n",
" <th>0.6</th>\n",
" <th>0.7</th>\n",
" <th>0.8</th>\n",
" <th>0.9</th>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </thead>\n",
" <tbody>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>0</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.235604</td>\n",
" <td>879</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>1</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.183930</td>\n",
" <td>5790</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>2</th>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0.679120</td>\n",
" <td>6498</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>3</th>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0.581322</td>\n",
" <td>880</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>4</th>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0.701117</td>\n",
" <td>2784</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </tbody>\n",
"</table>\n",
"</div>"
],
"text/plain": [
" Churn Churn_Prob CustID predicted 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6
\\\n",
"0 0 0.235604 879 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0
\n",
"1 0 0.183930 5790 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
\n",
"2 1 0.679120 6498 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
\n",
"3 1 0.581322 880 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0
\n",
"4 1 0.701117 2784 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
\n",
"\n",
" 0.7 0.8 0.9 \n",
"0 0 0 0 \n",
"1 0 0 0 \n",
"2 0 0 0 \n",
"3 0 0 0 \n",
"4 1 0 0 "
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"# Let's create columns with different probability cutoffs \n",
"numbers = [float(x)/10 for x in range(10)]\n",
"for i in numbers:\n",
" y_train_pred_final[i]= y_train_pred_final.Churn_Prob.map(lambda x: 1 if x
> i else 0)\n",
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/plain": [
"[0.0, 0.1, 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, 0.5, 0.6, 0.7, 0.8, 0.9]"
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"numbers"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"name": "stdout",
"text": [
" prob accuracy sensi speci\n",
"0.0 0.0 0.261479 1.000000 0.000000\n",
"0.1 0.1 0.609102 0.940948 0.491609\n",
"0.2 0.2 0.704185 0.867910 0.646217\n",
"0.3 0.3 0.768184 0.751360 0.774140\n",
"0.4 0.4 0.793377 0.642580 0.846768\n",
"0.5 0.5 0.803332 0.523699 0.902338\n",
"0.6 0.6 0.794596 0.365190 0.946630\n",
"0.7 0.7 0.775498 0.188811 0.983219\n",
"0.8 0.8 0.747054 0.039627 0.997524\n",
"0.9 0.9 0.738521 0.000000 1.000000\n"
]
}
],
"source": [
"# Now let's calculate accuracy sensitivity and specificity for various
probability cutoffs.\n",
"cutoff_df = pd.DataFrame( columns = ['prob','accuracy','sensi','speci'])\n",
"\n",
"# TP = confusion[1,1] # true positive \n",
"# TN = confusion[0,0] # true negatives\n",
"# FP = confusion[0,1] # false positives\n",
"# FN = confusion[1,0] # false negatives\n",
"\n",
"num = [0.0,0.1,0.2,0.3,0.4,0.5,0.6,0.7,0.8,0.9]\n",
"for i in num:\n",
" cm1 = metrics.confusion_matrix(y_train_pred_final.Churn,
y_train_pred_final[i] )\n",
" total1=sum(sum(cm1))\n",
" accuracy = (cm1[0,0]+cm1[1,1])/total1\n",
" \n",
" speci = cm1[0,0]/(cm1[0,0]+cm1[0,1])\n",
" sensi = cm1[1,1]/(cm1[1,0]+cm1[1,1])\n",
" cutoff_df.loc[i] =[ i ,accuracy,sensi,speci]\n",
"print(cutoff_df)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Plot àccuracy - sensitivity - specificity` against various
probabilities."
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
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"text/plain": [
]
},
"metadata": {
},
}
],
"source": [
"cutoff_df.plot.line(x='prob', y=['accuracy','sensi','speci'])\n",
"plt.xlabel('Probability')\n",
"plt.ylabel('Accuracy/Sensitivity/Sepecificity')\n",
"plt.show()"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### From the plot above, probability threshold of about `0.3` appears to be
optimum"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/html": [
"<div>\n",
"<style scoped>\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"</style>\n",
" <thead>\n",
" <th></th>\n",
" <th>0.0</th>\n",
" <th>0.1</th>\n",
" <th>0.2</th>\n",
" <th>0.3</th>\n",
" <th>0.4</th>\n",
" <th>0.5</th>\n",
" <th>0.6</th>\n",
" <th>0.7</th>\n",
" <th>0.8</th>\n",
" <th>0.9</th>\n",
" <th>final_predicted</th>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </thead>\n",
" <tbody>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>0</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.235604</td>\n",
" <td>879</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>1</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.183930</td>\n",
" <td>5790</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>2</th>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0.679120</td>\n",
" <td>6498</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>3</th>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0.581322</td>\n",
" <td>880</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>4</th>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0.701117</td>\n",
" <td>2784</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </tbody>\n",
"</table>\n",
"</div>"
],
"text/plain": [
" Churn Churn_Prob CustID predicted 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6
\\\n",
"0 0 0.235604 879 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0
\n",
"1 0 0.183930 5790 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
\n",
"2 1 0.679120 6498 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
\n",
"3 1 0.581322 880 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0
\n",
"4 1 0.701117 2784 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
\n",
"\n",
" 0.7 0.8 0.9 final_predicted \n",
"0 0 0 0 0 \n",
"1 0 0 0 0 \n",
"2 0 0 0 1 \n",
"3 0 0 0 1 \n",
"4 1 0 0 1 "
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"y_train_pred_final['final_predicted'] =
y_train_pred_final.Churn_Prob.map(lambda x: 1 if x > 0.3 else 0)\n",
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/plain": [
"0.7681836651767574"
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"metrics.accuracy_score(y_train_pred_final.Churn,
y_train_pred_final.final_predicted)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/plain": [
"array([[2814, 821],\n",
" [ 320, 967]])"
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"confusion2 = metrics.confusion_matrix(y_train_pred_final.Churn,
y_train_pred_final.final_predicted )\n",
"confusion2"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"TP = confusion2[1,1] # true positive \n",
"TN = confusion2[0,0] # true negatives\n",
"FP = confusion2[0,1] # false positives\n",
"FN = confusion2[1,0] # false negatives"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/plain": [
"0.7513597513597513"
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"# Let's see the sensitivity of our logistic regression model\n",
"TP / float(TP+FN)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/plain": [
"0.7741403026134801"
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"# Let us calculate specificity\n",
"TN / float(TN+FP)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"name": "stdout",
"text": [
"0.22585969738651995\n"
]
}
],
"source": [
"# Calculate false postive rate - predicting churn when customer does not have
churned\n",
"print(FP/ float(TN+FP))"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"name": "stdout",
"text": [
"0.54082774049217\n"
]
}
],
"source": [
"# Positive predictive value \n",
"print (TP / float(TP+FP))"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"name": "stdout",
"text": [
"0.8978940650925336\n"
]
}
],
"source": [
"# Negative predictive value\n",
"print (TN / float(TN+ FN))"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Calculate Precision and Recall"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "fe02696cfc7f726344091be69a256694792cc8d6"
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/plain": [
"array([[3280, 355],\n",
" [ 613, 674]])"
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"confusion = metrics.confusion_matrix(y_train_pred_final.Churn,
y_train_pred_final.predicted )\n",
"confusion"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "56401196905cc30bc415104f18bd3e3f55b6a632"
},
"source": [
"##### Precision\n",
"TP / TP + FP"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "3ea6844759463a78e30cd982347e91f50331d2b7"
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/plain": [
"0.6550048590864918"
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"confusion[1,1]/(confusion[0,1]+confusion[1,1])"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "34e402799cfe5229b7c72b481b4d616def9c80da"
},
"source": [
"##### Recall\n",
"TP / TP + FN"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "466dccb626a1dc80d856d682c061c8c4e3dae096"
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/plain": [
"0.5236985236985237"
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"confusion[1,1]/(confusion[1,0]+confusion[1,1])"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "724fa242ef1d31a7de4ab23c6c21ac75abf5a20f"
},
"source": [
"Using sklearn utilities for the same"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "c0bc7fe62d2d37f74c31be28e99b7a7f6e47d191"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"from sklearn.metrics import precision_score, recall_score"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "217b418388a87d4ecc828fa31faf296e1fa5a8a3"
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/plain": [
"0.6550048590864918"
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"precision_score(y_train_pred_final.Churn, y_train_pred_final.predicted)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "1b60034f598ad58755c04c08b8d224d2392afec3"
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/plain": [
"0.5236985236985237"
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"recall_score(y_train_pred_final.Churn, y_train_pred_final.predicted)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "3ff6c9d7e0b242b692f55bacac3c052eacc35376"
},
"source": [
"## Precision and recall tradeoff"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "59c36e27db7c1af5a3f2703c220b4d7c526e2302"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"from sklearn.metrics import precision_recall_curve"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "74efee2cfdbe129528898796e956d2bcd75a08c3"
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/html": [
"<div>\n",
"<style scoped>\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"</style>\n",
" <thead>\n",
" <th></th>\n",
" <th>0</th>\n",
" <th>1</th>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </thead>\n",
" <tbody>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>0</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
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" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>1</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
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" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>2</th>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>3</th>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>4</th>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>...</th>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>4917</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>4918</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>4919</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>4920</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>4921</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </tbody>\n",
"</table>\n",
"</div>"
],
"text/plain": [
" 0 1\n",
"0 0 0\n",
"1 0 0\n",
"2 1 1\n",
"3 1 1\n",
"4 1 1\n",
"... .. ..\n",
"4917 0 0\n",
"4918 0 0\n",
"4919 0 0\n",
"4920 0 0\n",
"4921 0 0\n",
"\n",
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"pd.DataFrame(zip(y_train_pred_final.Churn, y_train_pred_final.predicted))"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "72319de2bb6ef72acee16c26e369c426b2239d14"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"p, r, thresholds = precision_recall_curve(y_train_pred_final.Churn,
y_train_pred_final.Churn_Prob)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/html": [
"<div>\n",
"<style scoped>\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"</style>\n",
" <thead>\n",
" <th></th>\n",
" <th>Precision</th>\n",
" <th>Recall</th>\n",
" <th>thesholds</th>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </thead>\n",
" <tbody>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>0</th>\n",
" <td>0.267012</td>\n",
" <td>1.000000</td>\n",
" <td>0.006686</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>1</th>\n",
" <td>0.266860</td>\n",
" <td>0.999223</td>\n",
" <td>0.006699</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>2</th>\n",
" <td>0.266916</td>\n",
" <td>0.999223</td>\n",
" <td>0.006707</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>3</th>\n",
" <td>0.266971</td>\n",
" <td>0.999223</td>\n",
" <td>0.006738</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>4</th>\n",
" <td>0.267027</td>\n",
" <td>0.999223</td>\n",
" <td>0.006746</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>5</th>\n",
" <td>0.267082</td>\n",
" <td>0.999223</td>\n",
" <td>0.006762</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>6</th>\n",
" <td>0.267138</td>\n",
" <td>0.999223</td>\n",
" <td>0.006766</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>7</th>\n",
" <td>0.267249</td>\n",
" <td>0.999223</td>\n",
" <td>0.006782</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>8</th>\n",
" <td>0.267304</td>\n",
" <td>0.999223</td>\n",
" <td>0.006796</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>9</th>\n",
" <td>0.267360</td>\n",
" <td>0.999223</td>\n",
" <td>0.006815</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </tbody>\n",
"</table>\n",
"</div>"
],
"text/plain": [
" Precision Recall thesholds\n",
"0 0.267012 1.000000 0.006686\n",
"1 0.266860 0.999223 0.006699\n",
"2 0.266916 0.999223 0.006707\n",
"3 0.266971 0.999223 0.006738\n",
"4 0.267027 0.999223 0.006746\n",
"5 0.267082 0.999223 0.006762\n",
"6 0.267138 0.999223 0.006766\n",
"7 0.267249 0.999223 0.006782\n",
"8 0.267304 0.999223 0.006796\n",
"9 0.267360 0.999223 0.006815"
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"pd.DataFrame(zip(p, r, thresholds), columns=('Precision', 'Recall',
'thesholds')).head(10)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Plotting the Precision-Recall Curve\n",
"- `Precision` is a ratio of the number of true positives divided by the sum of
the true positives and false positives. It describes how good a model is at
predicting the positive class. Precision is referred to as the positive predictive
value.\n",
"- `Recall` is calculated as the ratio of the number of true positives divided
by the sum of the true positives and the false negatives. Recall is the same as
sensitivity."
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "bb8989d7d692162b3abb234c9143e86bf454ca90",
"scrolled": true
},
"outputs": [
{
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DzBYfbIveZpyAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC\n",
"text/plain": [
]
},
"metadata": {
},
}
],
"source": [
"plt.plot(r[:-1], p[:-1], \"g-\")\n",
"plt.xlabel('Recall')\n",
"plt.ylabel('Precision')\n",
"plt.show()"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Plotting Precision and Recall against Thresholds"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
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MDPC1jAmIJQJjUrYBuFhErgQQkSgRqSYiEU
ApVZ0H/A+3dWPuFF5nAdBRRHKKSC5cV8/
CZK7pLCKRvnGIJr73zA3kU9WvgYdwA93GpBnrGjImBaoa45vC+aaI5MP9nxmKq7v/qe+c4GYj/
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wlYhk971XvzT69YwBrPqoMcaEPesaMsaYMGeJwBhjwpwlAmOMCXOWCIwxJsxZIjDGmDBnicAYY8KcJQJjjA
lz/w/LRmBslttPtAAAAABJRU5ErkJggg==\n",
"text/plain": [
]
},
"metadata": {
},
}
],
"source": [
"plt.plot(thresholds, p[:-1], \"g-\")\n",
"plt.plot(thresholds, r[:-1], \"r-\")\n",
"plt.xlabel('Thresholds')\n",
"plt.ylabel('Precision (Green) / Recall (Red)')\n",
"plt.show()"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### When to use ROC vs Precision-Recall Curve\n",
"\n",
"- `ROC curves` should be used when there are roughly equal numbers of
observations for each class.\n",
"- `Precision-Recall` curves should be used when there is a moderate to large
class imbalance.\n"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### >>> At this point, update our Threshold and recalculate"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "7cedce01a9c68228e25fa65a8bc36b5e601c2660"
},
"source": [
"## Making predictions on the Test Data"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
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"<style scoped>\n",
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"\n",
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" <th>942</th>\n",
" <td>24</td>\n",
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" <td>57</td>\n",
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" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>1761</th>\n",
" <td>58</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>24.45</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
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" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>2283</th>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>71.55</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>1872</th>\n",
" <td>41</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>19.70</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>...</th>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>1289</th>\n",
" <td>63</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>68.80</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>3508</th>\n",
" <td>70</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>113.65</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>6765</th>\n",
" <td>69</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>25.60</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>3598</th>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>46.30</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>4987</th>\n",
" <td>71</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>24.45</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </tbody>\n",
"</table>\n",
"</div>"
],
"text/plain": [
" tenure PaperlessBilling MonthlyCharges SeniorCitizen \\\n",
"942 24 1 79.85 0 \n",
"3730 57 1 104.50 0 \n",
"1761 58 1 24.45 0 \n",
"2283 1 1 71.55 0 \n",
"1872 41 0 19.70 0 \n",
"... ... ... ... ... \n",
"1289 63 0 68.80 0 \n",
"3508 70 1 113.65 0 \n",
"6765 69 1 25.60 0 \n",
"3598 1 0 46.30 1 \n",
"4987 71 0 24.45 0 \n",
"\n",
" Contract_One year Contract_Two year \\\n",
"942 0 0 \n",
"3730 0 0 \n",
"1761 0 1 \n",
"2283 0 0 \n",
"1872 0 1 \n",
"... ... ... \n",
"1289 1 0 \n",
"3508 0 1 \n",
"6765 0 1 \n",
"3598 0 0 \n",
"4987 0 1 \n",
"\n",
" PaymentMethod_Credit card (automatic) OnlineSecurity_Yes \\\n",
"942 1 0 \n",
"3730 1 0 \n",
"1761 1 0 \n",
"2283 0 0 \n",
"1872 0 0 \n",
"... ... ... \n",
"1289 0 1 \n",
"3508 0 1 \n",
"6765 0 0 \n",
"3598 0 0 \n",
"4987 0 0 \n",
"\n",
" OnlineBackup_Yes TechSupport_Yes StreamingMovies_Yes \n",
"942 0 0 1 \n",
"3730 1 0 1 \n",
"1761 0 0 0 \n",
"2283 0 0 0 \n",
"1872 0 0 0 \n",
"... ... ... ... \n",
"1289 1 1 0 \n",
"3508 1 1 1 \n",
"6765 0 0 0 \n",
"3598 0 0 0 \n",
"4987 0 0 0 \n",
"\n",
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"X_test = X_test[cols_model]\n",
"X_test"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "0d93a82e132acb8a85f62ef16a7dd5c2d12cd8d6"
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
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"<div>\n",
"<style scoped>\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"</style>\n",
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" <th></th>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </thead>\n",
" <tbody>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>942</th>\n",
" <td>-0.332755</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0.501209</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
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" <td>1.006613</td>\n",
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" <th>1761</th>\n",
" <td>1.047200</td>\n",
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" <td>0</td>\n",
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" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>1872</th>\n",
" <td>0.357223</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>-1.496174</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
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" <tr>\n",
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" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>1289</th>\n",
" <td>1.250135</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.134275</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>3508</th>\n",
" <td>1.534243</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1.623595</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>6765</th>\n",
" <td>1.493656</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>-1.300255</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>3598</th>\n",
" <td>-1.266254</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>-0.612876</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>4987</th>\n",
" <td>1.574830</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>-1.338442</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </tbody>\n",
"</table>\n",
"</div>"
],
"text/plain": [
" tenure PaperlessBilling MonthlyCharges SeniorCitizen \\\n",
"942 -0.332755 1 0.501209 0 \n",
"3730 1.006613 1 1.319754 0 \n",
"1761 1.047200 1 -1.338442 0 \n",
"2283 -1.266254 1 0.225593 0 \n",
"1872 0.357223 0 -1.496174 0 \n",
"... ... ... ... ... \n",
"1289 1.250135 0 0.134275 0 \n",
"3508 1.534243 1 1.623595 0 \n",
"6765 1.493656 1 -1.300255 0 \n",
"3598 -1.266254 0 -0.612876 1 \n",
"4987 1.574830 0 -1.338442 0 \n",
"\n",
" Contract_One year Contract_Two year \\\n",
"942 0 0 \n",
"3730 0 0 \n",
"1761 0 1 \n",
"2283 0 0 \n",
"1872 0 1 \n",
"... ... ... \n",
"1289 1 0 \n",
"3508 0 1 \n",
"6765 0 1 \n",
"3598 0 0 \n",
"4987 0 1 \n",
"\n",
" PaymentMethod_Credit card (automatic) OnlineSecurity_Yes \\\n",
"942 1 0 \n",
"3730 1 0 \n",
"1761 1 0 \n",
"2283 0 0 \n",
"1872 0 0 \n",
"... ... ... \n",
"1289 0 1 \n",
"3508 0 1 \n",
"6765 0 0 \n",
"3598 0 0 \n",
"4987 0 0 \n",
"\n",
" OnlineBackup_Yes TechSupport_Yes StreamingMovies_Yes \n",
"942 0 0 1 \n",
"3730 1 0 1 \n",
"1761 0 0 0 \n",
"2283 0 0 0 \n",
"1872 0 0 0 \n",
"... ... ... ... \n",
"1289 1 1 0 \n",
"3508 1 1 1 \n",
"6765 0 0 0 \n",
"3598 0 0 0 \n",
"4987 0 0 0 \n",
"\n",
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"scaler = StandardScaler()\n",
"\n",
"X_test[['tenure','MonthlyCharges']] =
scaler.fit_transform(X_test[['tenure','MonthlyCharges']])\n",
"\n",
"X_test"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/plain": [
"[('tenure', 'tenure'),\n",
" ('PaperlessBilling', 'PaperlessBilling'),\n",
" ('MonthlyCharges', 'MonthlyCharges'),\n",
" ('SeniorCitizen', 'SeniorCitizen'),\n",
" ('Contract_One year', 'Contract_One year'),\n",
" ('Contract_Two year', 'Contract_Two year'),\n",
" ('PaymentMethod_Credit card (automatic)',\n",
" 'PaymentMethod_Credit card (automatic)'),\n",
" ('OnlineSecurity_Yes', 'OnlineSecurity_Yes'),\n",
" ('OnlineBackup_Yes', 'OnlineBackup_Yes'),\n",
" ('TechSupport_Yes', 'TechSupport_Yes'),\n",
" ('StreamingMovies_Yes', 'StreamingMovies_Yes')]"
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"list(zip(X_train1.columns, X_test.columns))"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "8aac6a21364faeaaeb9e4b1d01ce179d7112ba0b"
},
"source": [
"### Predict"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "4da01082af62f158a5a207f0c05a90f522740947"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"y_test_pred = logreg.predict(X_test)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "e0309c774ad02f75af455810068803ed000d2552"
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/plain": [
"[(0, 0),\n",
" (0, 1),\n",
" (0, 0),\n",
" (1, 1),\n",
" (0, 0),\n",
" (1, 1),\n",
" (0, 0),\n",
" (0, 0),\n",
" (1, 1),\n",
" (0, 0)]"
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"list(zip(y_test_pred[:10], y_test[:10]))"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "a859c1f5071eac6ad361ec5cc694da21c5f9cacf"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"# Converting y_pred to a dataframe which is an array\n",
"y_pred_1 = pd.DataFrame(y_test_pred)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "77dcaca1a3bbcb24a5876c4c442e9cef1a86deae"
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/html": [
"<div>\n",
"<style scoped>\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
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"text/plain": [
" 0\n",
"0 0\n",
"1 0\n",
"2 0\n",
"3 1\n",
"4 0"
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},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"# Let's see the head\n",
"y_pred_1.head()"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "6b2c062e71978d219de9b1c5360156daa77ec3db"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"# Converting y_test to dataframe\n",
"y_test_df = pd.DataFrame(y_test)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "de6911d7be0f90d681fd657413edef58b56d70d5"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"# Putting CustID to index\n",
"y_test_df['CustID'] = y_test_df.index"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "87ae92fb2fa2b3952fe11751584beda7220b8727"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"# Removing index for both dataframes to append them side by side \n",
"y_pred_1.reset_index(drop=True, inplace=True)\n",
"y_test_df.reset_index(drop=True, inplace=True)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "9c301a2ea3c0af6b22545d0b414587426038d1a5"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"# Appending y_test_df and y_pred_1\n",
"y_pred_final = pd.concat([y_test_df, y_pred_1],axis=1)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "8049953c8896640393fd2075b8db75d76a612326"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"# Renaming the column \n",
"lr_probs_test = logreg.predict_proba(X_test)\n",
"lr_probs_test = lr_probs_test[:, 1]\n",
"y_pred_final['Churn_Prob'] = lr_probs_test\n",
"# y_pred_final.rename(columns={ 0 : 'Churn_Prob'})"
]
},
{
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/plain": [
"array([0.45305907, 0.30434225, 0.01203912, ..., 0.01153043, 0.49917365,\n",
" 0.00694314])"
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"lr_probs_test"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "966b02e39b81c41380bf1fba465a82fa817c5c2e"
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
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" <td>942</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.453059</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>1</th>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>3730</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.304342</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>2</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1761</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.012039</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>3</th>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>2283</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0.652705</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>4</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1872</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.016971</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>...</th>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" <td>...</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>2105</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1289</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.018505</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>2106</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>3508</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.045375</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>2107</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>6765</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.011530</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>2108</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>3598</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.499174</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>2109</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>4987</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.006943</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </tbody>\n",
"</table>\n",
"</div>"
],
"text/plain": [
" Churn CustID 0 Churn_Prob\n",
"0 0 942 0 0.453059\n",
"1 1 3730 0 0.304342\n",
"2 0 1761 0 0.012039\n",
"3 1 2283 1 0.652705\n",
"4 0 1872 0 0.016971\n",
"... ... ... .. ...\n",
"2105 0 1289 0 0.018505\n",
"2106 0 3508 0 0.045375\n",
"2107 0 6765 0 0.011530\n",
"2108 0 3598 0 0.499174\n",
"2109 0 4987 0 0.006943\n",
"\n",
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"# Let's see the head of y_pred_final\n",
"y_pred_final"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "bd68e2844e85384ccdb495381269336cb07575b0"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"y_pred_final['final_predicted'] = y_pred_final.Churn_Prob.map(lambda x: 1 if x
> 0.42 else 0)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "bf010bf223c34fc298bb973e80d1321fe0c4aef7"
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/html": [
"<div>\n",
"<style scoped>\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" }\n",
"</style>\n",
" <thead>\n",
" <th></th>\n",
" <th>0</th>\n",
" <th>final_predicted</th>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </thead>\n",
" <tbody>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>0</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>942</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.453059</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>1</th>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>3730</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.304342</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>2</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1761</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.012039</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>3</th>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>2283</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" <td>0.652705</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>4</th>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>1872</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" <td>0.016971</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </tbody>\n",
"</table>\n",
"</div>"
],
"text/plain": [
" Churn CustID 0 Churn_Prob final_predicted\n",
"0 0 942 0 0.453059 1\n",
"1 1 3730 0 0.304342 0\n",
"2 0 1761 0 0.012039 0\n",
"3 1 2283 1 0.652705 1\n",
"4 0 1872 0 0.016971 0"
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"y_pred_final.head()"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "2257635f18d447104d50f148927b44914b92ee44",
"scrolled": true
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/plain": [
"0.7796208530805687"
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"metrics.accuracy_score(y_pred_final.Churn, y_pred_final.final_predicted)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "0cdb384811913f392b9d0b0798daadc70ca9dcef",
"scrolled": true
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/plain": [
"array([[1302, 226],\n",
" [ 239, 343]])"
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"confusion2 = metrics.confusion_matrix(y_pred_final.Churn,
y_pred_final.final_predicted )\n",
"confusion2"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "b8a36f361e2929723e6acae890e9eaf093401706"
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"TP = confusion2[1,1] # true positive \n",
"TN = confusion2[0,0] # true negatives\n",
"FP = confusion2[0,1] # false positives\n",
"FN = confusion2[1,0] # false negatives"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "fa6fa1d9fa0913389ae03fa0b71c787b8304975f"
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/plain": [
"0.5893470790378007"
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"# Let's see the sensitivity of our logistic regression model\n",
"TP / float(TP+FN)"
]
},
{
"metadata": {
"_uuid": "b62cddb18e469f679f0f4d2652d1f6899e539af0"
},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/plain": [
"0.8520942408376964"
]
},
"metadata": {},
}
],
"source": [
"# Let us calculate specificity\n",
"TN / float(TN+FP)"
]
},
{
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": []
},
{
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": []
}
],
"metadata": {
"kernelspec": {
"display_name": "Python 3",
"language": "python",
"name": "python3"
},
"language_info": {
"codemirror_mode": {
"name": "ipython",
"version": 3
},
"file_extension": ".py",
"mimetype": "text/x-python",
"name": "python",
"nbconvert_exporter": "python",
"pygments_lexer": "ipython3",
"version": "3.8.5"
}
},
"nbformat": 4,
"nbformat_minor": 1
}

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