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OFFICIAL#

ATFM Daily Plan - Tuesday 13 February 2024


ADP Version 3
Airport Planned GDPs Total Arr/Dep Affected Flights Total Ground Delay Av. Ground Delay 36 Hr Synoptic Forecast

YSSY YSSY GDP-A 0500-1100 837 n/a 1,154 10.70


YMML YMML GDP-A 1900-1300 692 236 2,960 12.50
YBBN NONE 584 n/a 0 0.00
YPPH-A YPPH GDP-A 0030-1400 552 191 1,747 9.10
YPPH-D YPPH GDP-D 2130-0030 110 769 7.00
609
Totals 2665 537 6,630 8.49
* denotes a revision has taken place

ATFM Daily Plan Summary Notes


Showers and chance of thunderstorm in the western TMA during the afternoon. Nil other significant network risk/s identified at this stage.

YSSY Midday Update: BRIEF DETAIL YSSY: Afternoon showers and thunderstorms in the west, otherwise CAVOK. Moderate NE winds, freshening in the afternoon with isolated cross
wind gusts 20-25kt possible.
ATC ADVICE: 503 (253A/250D) movements remaining. GDP 0500-1100z with lowered AAR due risk of storms.

Strong winds, turbulence and wind shear possible throughout the day. PM to experience showers and thunderstorms.

YMML Midday Update: BRIEF DETAIL YMML: CAVOK, then showers and thunderstorms developing in the afternoon, clearing to the east by evening. Strong N winds, with turbulence,
shifting cooler S to SW in the late afternoon.
ATC ADVICE: 430 (226A/204D) movements remaining. GDP through until 1300. AAR remains low for rest of the day due wx and single rwy.

Chance of showers in the AM and PM. Nil other significant network risk/s identified at this stage.

YBBN Midday Update: BRIEF DETAIL YBBN: Showers. Cloud 2500-4000ft. Light E winds, tending moderate NE during the afternoon.
ATC ADVICE: 321 (185A/136D) movements remaining. Nil issues identified, holding expected to remain below ERSA.

Turbulence and wind shear expected during the morning. Nil other significant network risk/s identified at this stage.

YPPH Midday Update: BRIEF DETAIL YPPH: CAVOK. Moderate E to SE winds.


ATC ADVICE: 292 (177A/115D) movements remaining. High demand in peak arrival periods for AM and PM.

Refer NOTAM for latest estimated airborne traffic delay advice.


Other Significant

[07:48pm] Version 1: Initial.


Change Summary: [06:56am] Version 2: Morning Update
[12:21pm] Version 3: Midday Update

Teleconference Details
1800 062 923 CAP THREAT: Nil. PRM: NOT REQ
Participant Code 7207 9651
Guest Code 3064#

NCC: 1800 020 626 YMEN SLOT SCHEME: NO


atfmu@airservicesaustralia.com

Issues expected to impact service delivery

Location Issue/NOTAM Details


YSSY C378/24 RWY 07/25 CLOSED DUE WIP FM 02 111900 TO 02 161200 DAILY 1900-1200

YBBN C196/24 RWY 01L/19R CLSD TO CODE F AIRCRAFT FM 02 072211 TO 03 150100

YMML C205/24 ILS 'IMW' 109.3 RWY 27 UNSERVICEABLE FM 02 132100 TO 02 132230

YMML C213/24 RWY 09/27 CLSD DUE WIP FM 02 132230 TO 02 160500 DAILY 2230-0500

YMML C217/24 ILS 'IMW' 109.3 RWY 27 UNSERVICEABLE FM 02 132230 TO 02 160500 DAILY 2230-0500

YMML C220/24 ILS 'IMS' 109.7 RWY 16 UNSERVICEABLE FM 02 140000 02 140500

Report generated by the NCC at 12:23 PM. Please consult METCDM for up to date ATFM Daily Plan information.
OFFICIAL#

Network Weather Overview


From now to +72 hours
Tuesday 13 February 2024
Weather Overview
Mean Sea Level Pressure Satellite Picture Rainfall Outlook for today

Picture NOT AVBL - please see BOM website Picture NOT AVBL - please see BOM website Picture NOT AVBL - please see BOM website

Weather impact risk assessment Major Airports


Brisbane Melbourne Perth Sydney

Showers and storms, possibly


severe, clearing to the east by
Showers and storms developing
Showers and chance of a storm evening. Cloud 2000-4000ft in the CAVOK. Moderate E to SE winds,
inland, easing in the evening. Cloud
PM Tuesday inland. Cloud 2500-4000ft. Moderate evening. Moderate to fresh NW becoming gusty late evening.
above 5000ft. Moderate to fresh NE
ENE to ESE winds, easing. winds, turning S to SW in the late Possible late evening turbulence.
winds. Chance of cross winds.
afternoon. Turbulence, easing in
the afternoon.

CAVOK. Moderate to fresh and High-based showers developing,


Showers offshore. Cloud 2500- Possible light showers in the TMA.
gusty E winds. Winds aloft ENE 30- possible storms. Cloud mostly
AM Wednesday 3000ft. Light SSW winds, turning Patchy cloud 3000-4000ft. Light to
40 knots. Turbulence, possible above 5000ft. Light to moderate NW
SE during the morning. moderate SW winds.
wind shear. winds.

NW winds before a strong S’ly


change early afternoon. Showers
Showers moving ashore. Cloud
Patchy cloud above 5000ft. CAVOK. Moderate E winds, turning and possible thunderstorms. Cloud
PM Wednesday 2500-4000ft. Moderate NE winds,
Moderate SW to SE winds. SE to SW during the afternoon. 2000-3000ft developing with the
easing in the evening.
change, lower in showers/storms.
Headwinds after the change.

CAVOK. Moderate to fresh and


Light showers. Cloud 2000-2500ft.
Patchy cloud 3000-4000ft. Light SW gusty E winds. Winds aloft E to NE Light showers. Cloud 2000-3000ft.
AM Thursday Light SSW winds, tending moderate
to SE winds. 30-40 knots. Turbulence, possible Moderate S to SE winds.
SE from mid-morning.
wind shear.

Light showers, easing. Cloud 3000-


Showers. Cloud 2500-3500ft. CAVOK. Moderate E to NE winds,
PM Thursday Moderate ESE winds.
Likely CAVOK. Moderate S winds.
tending SW during the afternoon.
4000ft, lowering 2000-3000ft in the
evening. Moderate SE winds.

Showers, possible storm. Cloud Possible cloud 500-1000ft early, Light showers. Possible storms
Patchy cloud 2000-3000ft. Light S to
AM Friday 1500-2500ft. Light to moderate SE
SW winds.
then CAVOK. Light NE winds, offshore. Cloud 1000-2000ft. Light
winds. tending NW later in the morning. ENE to ESE winds.

Significant other phenomena potentially affecting Australian FIRs


Volcanic Ash (VA) ≥ FL200 Nil current. For the latest information refer to http://www.bom.gov.au/aviation/volcanic-ash/darwin-va-advisory.shtml

Space Weather Nil current. For the latest information refer to http://www.bom.gov.au/aviation/space-weather-advisories/
Tropical Cyclones Tropical low 07U is forecast to form in the western Gulf of Carpentaria by Wednesday morning and is expected to be slow moving. It has
a Moderate risk of being a tropical cyclone on Thursday, Friday and Saturday morning. Even if it doesn’t form into a tropical cyclone,
parts of the Gulf of Carpentaria coast could experience strong to gale force winds and heavy rainfall. On Friday, 07U is likely to start
moving to the west, taking it over the Gulf coast late Friday or early Saturday, where it will weaken. Over the weekend and early next
week, 07U is expected to move west over central Northern Territory and then northern Western Australia. --- For the latest outlook
information refer to http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/

Weather risk assessment provided by NCC Meteorological Unit – Bureau of Meteorology


Contact NCCMET for further detail or advice

Phone: 02 6268 4448


Email: nccmet@bom.gov.au

Detailed advice from major Airport MET CDM products available at Airservices NOC Portal, https://www.airservicesaustralia.com/noc/

Report generated by the NCC at 12:23 PM. Please consult METCDM for up to date ATFM Daily Plan information.
OFFICIAL
#

SYDNEY - YSSY GDP-A 0500-1100 Tuesday 13 February 2024


ATFM-CDM Notes

METCDM Notes:
[1] 1900-0059: A trough lies through inland NSW with a high pressure system over the Tasman Sea. Light to moderate N to NE winds. There is a chance of a light NW katabatic early before
mixing out to be NE'ly. Chance of fog in the W and SW TMA. CAVOK conditions otherwise for the morning.
[2] 0100-1159: An unstable atmosphere during the afternoon will result in showers and thunderstorms developing in the western TMA over the ranges. There is a chance of a thunderstorms
developing closer to the coast with the sea breeze convergence not far inland therefore an x-factor has been applied for the risk of storms within 20nm of the airport. Steering is weak so storms
should dissipate in the evening and are not expected to make it to the airport. Moderate to fresh NE winds with NNE winds aloft reaching 25 knots. There is a risk before sunset that XW could
increase over 20 knots in gusts if winds fluctuate to the ENE.

NCC DLM Notes:


[Nil DLM Notes]

SM Notes:
[1] Concur

GDP Notes
Showers and chance of thunderstorm in the western TMA during the afternoon. Nil other significant network risk/s identified at this stage.

Midday Update: BRIEF DETAIL YSSY: Afternoon showers and thunderstorms in the west, otherwise CAVOK. Moderate NE winds, freshening in the afternoon with isolated cross wind gusts 20-25kt
possible.
ATC ADVICE: 503 (253A/250D) movements remaining. GDP 0500-1100z with lowered AAR due risk of storms.

Tabulated Data
Time (Hour UTC) 121900 122000 122100 122200 122300 130000 130100 130200 130300 130400 130500 130600 130700 130800 130900 131000 131100 0

Runway Mode 34 IVA 34 IVA 34 IVA 34 IVA 34 IVA 34 IVA 34 TS>20 34 TS>20 34 TS>20 34 TS>20 34 TS>20 34 TS>20 34 TS>20 34 TS>20 34 TS>20 34 IVA 34 IVA

Rate 34 50 50 50 50 50 34 34 34 30 30 30 30 30 34 50 37

Segmentation and Notes


METCDM Notes 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0

Segmentation 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

Bar Graph

Report generated by the NCC at 12:23 PM. Please consult METCDM for up to date ATFM Daily Plan information.
OFFICIAL
#

MELBOURNE - YMML GDP-A 1900-1300 Tuesday 13 February 2024


ATFM-CDM Notes

METCDM Notes:
[1] 1900-0259: A surface trough will be moving through the TMA during the afternoon. An associated upper trough is resulting in an unstable atmosphere through most of the afternoon until it passes over early
evening. Fresh to strong and gusty N'ly winds ahead of the trough and CAVOK conditions. N'ly winds aloft 30 to 40 knots. Turbulence and wind shear possible. Possible surface winds in excess of 30 knots on RWY
34 therefore an x-factor has been applied.
[2] 0300-0759: Showers and thunderstorms forming in the N and W TMA. Strong NW steering is resulting in the chance of storms steering off the ranges and over the airport at times. Then the trough will move in
from the west increasing the risk of storms at the airport early evening. X-factor added for risk of showers and storms. Fresh N to NW winds increasing to 30 to 40 knots aloft, possible winds above 30 knots at the
surface. There is a chance that the SW to S change arrives as early as 05Z. Cloud above 5000ft. Turbulence.
[3] 0800-1259: Moderate to fresh S to SW change moving through the TMA. Patchy cloud 1000-2000ft possible with the change, x-factor applied for the risk of it being scattered or broken. Likely to lift into the late
evening. Moderate S to SW winds. SW winds aloft increasing to 25 to 30 knots late evening.

NCC DLM Notes:


[Nil DLM Notes]

SM Notes:
[Nil SMTM Notes]

GDP Notes
Strong winds, turbulence and wind shear possible throughout the day. PM to experience showers and thunderstorms.

Midday Update: BRIEF DETAIL YMML: CAVOK, then showers and thunderstorms developing in the afternoon, clearing to the east by evening. Strong N winds, with turbulence, shifting cooler S to
SW in the late afternoon.
ATC ADVICE: 430 (226A/204D) movements remaining. GDP through until 1300. AAR remains low for rest of the day due wx and single rwy.

Tabulated Data
Time (Hour UTC) 121900 122000 122100 122200 122300 130000 130100 130200 130300 130400 130500 130600 130700 130800 130900 131000 131100 131200
16/27 16/27 16/27
Runway Mode 34 VMC 34 VMC 34 VMC 34 VMC 34 VMC 34 VMC 34 VMC 34 VMC 34 VMC 34 VMC 34 VMC 34 VMC 27 VMC 16 VMC 16 VMC
VMCB VMCB VMCB
Rate 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 20 20 20 22 24 25 25 25

Segmentation and Notes


METCDM Notes 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3

Segmentation 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

Bar Graph

Report generated by the NCC at 12:23 PM. Please consult METCDM for up to date ATFM Daily Plan information.
OFFICIAL
#

BRISBANE - Nil GDP Tuesday 13 February 2024


ATFM-CDM Notes

METCDM Notes:
[1] 2000-0159: A ridge of high pressure lies over the TMA keeping conditions mostly suppressed. SSE to SE winds tending E to ENE in the afternoon. Cloud 2000-3000ft lifting and becoming
patchy in the afternoon. X-factor added for the risk of cloud lowering below 2500ft with a shower. Slight chance of showers at the airport in the morning.
[2] 0200-1259: Chance of showers at the airport from early afternoon. Chance of a storm in the afternoon inland, unlikely to reach the airport due to light steering. Cloud 3000-4000ft, possibly
lowering to 2000ft in the evening, hence x-factor. Light to moderate E'ly winds. Winds may remain more SE favouring RWY 19 through the afternoon instead.

NCC DLM Notes:


[Nil DLM Notes]

SM Notes:
[Nil SMTM Notes]

GDP Notes
Chance of showers in the AM and PM. Nil other significant network risk/s identified at this stage.

Midday Update: BRIEF DETAIL YBBN: Showers. Cloud 2500-4000ft. Light E winds, tending moderate NE during the afternoon.
ATC ADVICE: 321 (185A/136D) movements remaining. Nil issues identified, holding expected to remain below ERSA.

Tabulated Data
Time (Hour UTC) 122000 122100 122200 122300 130000 130100 130200 130300 130400 130500 130600 130700 130800 130900 131000 131100 131200

Runway Mode 19 ILS 19 ILS 19 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 TS>20 01 TS>20 01 TS>20 01 TS>20 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC

Rate 30 30 32 32 33 33 30 30 30 30 34 34 34 34 34 34 33

Segmentation and Notes


METCDM Notes 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0

Segmentation 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

Bar Graph

Report generated by the NCC at 12:23 PM. Please consult METCDM for up to date ATFM Daily Plan information.
OFFICIAL
#

Arrivals - YPPH GDP-A 0030-1400


PERTH Arrivals - YPPH GDP-D 2130-0030
Tuesday 13 February 2024
ATFM-CDM Notes
METCDM Notes:
[1] 2200-1359: A ridge lies to the south of the state. CAVOK with moderate to fresh SE winds. SE winds aloft reaching 30 to 40 knots aloft, easing during the morning. X-factor added for winds
aloft in excess of 35 knots. Patchy cloud 1500-2000ft in the morning, clearing early. Turbulence and wind shear in the morning. Smoke in the TMA.

NCC DLM Notes:


[Nil DLM Notes]

SM Notes:
[Nil SMTM Notes]

GDP Notes
Turbulence and wind shear expected during the morning. Nil other significant network risk/s identified at this stage.

Midday Update: BRIEF DETAIL YPPH: CAVOK. Moderate E to SE winds.


ATC ADVICE: 292 (177A/115D) movements remaining. High demand in peak arrival periods for AM and PM.

Tabulated Data
Time (Hour UTC) 122100 122200 122300 130000 130100 130200 130300 130400 130500 130600 130700 130800 130900 131000 131100 131200 131300

Runway Mode 21 VMC 21 VMC 21 VMC 21 VMC 21 VMC 21 VMC 21 VMC 21 VMC 21 VMC 21 VMC 21 VMC 21 VMC 21 VMC 21 VMC 21 VMC 21 VMC

Rate-Arrs 22 22 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24

Rate-Deps 40 40 40 40

Segmentation and Notes


METCDM Notes 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

Segmentation 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

Bar Graph

Report generated by the NCC at 12:23 PM. Please consult METCDM for up to date ATFM Daily Plan information.

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