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(Download PDF) Introduction To Error Analysis The Science of Measurements Uncertainties and Data Analysis Merrin Online Ebook All Chapter PDF
(Download PDF) Introduction To Error Analysis The Science of Measurements Uncertainties and Data Analysis Merrin Online Ebook All Chapter PDF
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i INTRODUCTION TO ERROR
ANALYSIS
In the references section, I suggest books you can buy and not waste
your money. My idea was to self publish this book in paperback
and on Kindle to keep the price low compared to all the other
books. If you have comments about my book or suggestions
please contact me and jackmerrin@gmail.com. I plan to update
the book periodically. Leaving a verified purchase review on
Amazon is also helpful to me.
Contents
1
Error analysis introductory concepts 1
1.1
Making sense of randomness . . . . . . . . . . .
1
1.2
How error analysis works
............
2
1.3
How probability works . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
3
1.4
How statistics works . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
3
1.5
Accuracy and precision . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
4
1.6
The nature of random and systematic error
...
7
1.7
Reproducibility . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
9
1.8
Falsifiabiilty and certainty . . . . . . . . . . . .
10
1.9
Keeping records . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
10
11
17
2.2
Significant digits . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
18
2.2.1
18
2.2.2
How to round . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
18
2.2.3
20
2.2.4
20
v vi CONTENTS
2.3
Notation for recording measurements and uncertainty
.......................
20
2.3.1
20
2.3.2
Parenthesis notation . . . . . . . . . . .
21
2.3.3
Scientific notation . . . . . . . . . . . .
21
2.3.4
Engineering notation . . . . . . . . . . .
22
2.4
The primary statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
22
2.4.1
23
2.4.2
23
2.4.3
23
2.4.4
Fractional uncertainty . . . . . . . . . .
24
4.1
The use of curve fitting . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
61
4.1.1
61
4.1.2
63
4.1.3
63
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constitute the royal livery, was also lying prone on the floor with his
head towards the east. Their orisons, if praying they were, were
extremely short, for in a trice both men were on their feet and all
attention to my wants. I mean to speak later of the minutiæ of my
daily life, but at this point I wish to hasten my reader and not to
weary or detain him with petty diurnal details that I have settled to
describe in another place. Let it suffice to say that I bathed, dressed
and breakfasted to my complete satisfaction, and that having duly
performed these matutinal duties I was glad to find myself at leisure
to contemplate by the brilliant light of morning the veiled scene of the
previous night.
From the vantage ground of my exterior gallery I obtained a superb
and intimate view of the great city of Tamarida and its surroundings.
Imagine a compound of Naples, Algiers and Amalfi, each of these
Mediterranean cities being built on steep slopes descending to the
sea-shore, and yet such compound resulting in something totally
dissimilar from any earthly town of my acquaintance. In size and
arrangement Tamarida somewhat resembled the older portions of
Naples that stretch from Sant' Elmo to the Monte di Dio; in setting I
was reminded of Amalfi with its craggy headlands, though here on a
grander scale; whilst in general character the cascade of dazzling
white flat-roofed square houses of the Arab native town in Algiers
suggested many points of comparison in this case. But though it was
evident that my capital was very extensive, and that much of its area
was thickly populated, nevertheless there seemed to be abundance
of parks and gardens in all directions, forming oases of vivid
greenery amongst the dense masses of small low squat dwellings.
Roughly speaking, the city was divided into three portions, that were
formed by two deep valleys, down each of which flowed a rapid clear
torrent fed from the mountainous regions above. The two outer
sections of this curving site were wholly occupied, as I have said, by
houses and gardens of the citizens, apparently both rich and poor
intermingled; whilst the central slope between the two streams was
reserved for the palace and the main temple and other official
buildings. Of these the palace took up a considerable space about
half-way up the hillside, and below it, stretching to the harbour, was a
large tract of tilth and orchard, well sprinkled with tiny white cottages
and long low barns that were presumably used by the labourers and
other servants of the palace. The royal residence itself was an
immense rambling structure, built without plan and at various
periods, though it was hard to classify its many architectural features
or to guess which were the older or more recent portions of the
fabric. Above the palace and its adjacent enclosures could be seen
hanging-gardens traversed by immense flights of broad shallow
steps, beyond which was another conspicuous group of buildings
situated at different levels. This pile I rightly concluded to be the chief
—it was the only—temple of the city, both from its more ornate style
of architecture and from a circular tower which crowned the main
edifice. On this tower upreared a tall column whereon rested a gilded
copper representation of the sun in splendour, making a brilliant
mass of golden light under the fierce rays of its great original, and
offering a prominent landmark for many miles around. Of the
residential districts of Tamarida on the two flanking slopes I have
omitted to mention that two main streets or arteries for traffic could
be distinctly traced by me, running irregularly through the crowded
quarters and parks alike, and ending in the broad quays alongside
the waters of the harbour. Many ships of various shapes and sizes,
but mostly appearing to be fishing vessels, lined these quays and
were also visible in numbers on the placid surface of the circular
harbour itself, which was contained by two outlying rocky
promontories crowned on either tip by a low light-house.
CITY & HARBOUR OF TAMARIDA
I was interrupted in the midst of my many interesting discoveries and
observations by the sudden entrance of one of my equerries, who
was followed by the Arch-priest demanding an audience. Left alone
together, I instinctively put myself on my guard, assuming as well as
I could an air of naive simplicity. Despite his deferential words and
attitude, I could not fail to detect the deep-set twinkle in his eye as he
proceeded to inform me of the object of his mission. At the same
time, however, I felt certain that I must have produced a favourable
impression on the previous day, and from my deportment both now
and in the future I warmly hoped to be able to hold the old man's
approval, for something in my inner consciousness, a species of
sixth sense, assured me he was ready to show himself my friend,
though doubtless a friend within certain limits that I had yet to learn.
The Arch-priest opened our talk with an apology for thus invading the
privacy of my apartments without previous warning, excusing himself
for his intrusion by the urgent necessity of the occasion. He then
informed me that on the next day the ceremony of my coronation
was fixed to take place in the temple, which he pointed out to me
from the balcony. "You are in the eyes of your subjects, as you know,
the Child of the Sun, whom alone we worship in Meleager, and who
sends you as a king to rule over his favoured people. You will
therefore be presented in public by myself and my colleagues of the
Sacred College to the populace; you will be robed and crowned; you
will extend your formal blessing to them; you will offer incense at the
crystal altar of your Father the Sun, in the great courtyard of the
temple; and after that you will mount the sacred white horse so as to
ride in full majesty through the streets of the city in the presence of
your subjects. It will be a long and tedious series of ceremonies, yet I
flatter myself that each one of these rites will not be without interest
to you, seeing the lengthy spell of authority amongst us that lies
ahead of you. I myself shall be at your side throughout, and you may
rely with safety on my tutelage in any event."
Other advice and suggestions the Arch-priest likewise imparted to
me, amongst the rest that Hiridia would in course of time teach me
the spoken language of Meleager. "Ever since your immersion in the
mystical well," so my companion proceeded, "you will experience an
acceleration of all the faculties, which in your case were already
highly developed when on Earth. Moreover, the tongue of the
Meleagrians, which under Hiridia's teaching you will soon acquire, is
not a written language, and none outside our hierarchy of the Temple
of the Sun can read or write at all. Indeed, our only archives are in
Latin, since for reasons which it is not expedient for me to mention at
this point we have always vigorously opposed the casting of the
popular speech into a literary form." This last statement the old man
made in a very solemn manner, looking me full in the face as though
to catch any motion or expression of surprise or disapproval. But I
had set my countenance unflinchingly, and received his confidences
with perfect outward composure, whereupon the Arch-priest leaned
back in his chair with a faint sigh of relief which by no means
escaped my watchful notice. Having received this minor secret of
Meleagrian state craft so calmly and suitably, I was hoping to glean
yet more information on the traditional polity of the governing cabal
of my kingdom, but on this occasion I was doomed to be
disappointed. For the Arch-priest arose abruptly, and leading me to
the balustrade of the gallery began to point out and explain to me the
various buildings and salient features that were discernible from this
spot. In most cases I found I had already guessed correctly, my
intelligence and perspicacity evidently serving to strengthen the
favourable impression I had already created. The Arch-priest then
led me to the other side of the building and introduced me to the
private gardens of the palace, a delightful pleasance, full of
subtropical verdure and flowers and overshadowed by tall palms and
cypresses. Fountains with marble basins were frequent, and their
constant plashing made an agreeable sound in the intense quiet of
this retreat. I noted too that every fountain was circular in shape, and
that everywhere were to be seen endless representations of the sun,
whilst the many lackeys or slaves attached to the royal service bore
the same design woven in gold and blue on their breasts. Returning
to the gallery overlooking the town and harbour, my companion bade
me listen to the hum of voices and the din of traffic that rose from
below into the warm air, striking on my ears with the mingled sounds
of a teeming city.
"Tamarida is filled to overflowing with your loyal subjects,"
commented the Arch-priest; "who are all agog to behold to-morrow's
function; and even now the town is hourly receiving innumerable
visitors from the country districts and from your Majesty's second city
of Zapyro, which is ever jealous of the capital for its possession of
the person of the Child of the Sun." He paused for a moment to give
me another of those arch glances from his kindly, humorous old
eyes; but I only nodded and smiled amiably. "Thousands of faithful
citizens too from your Majesty's colonies on the wild rocky coasts of
Barbaria yonder to the north (and he waved his arm to indicate some
distant land beyond the enclosing hills) are hastening hither to
behold the reincarnation of the Child of the Sun, concerning whom
their parents have doubtless told them wonderful tales. See those
boats with bellying sails that are even now entering the harbour's
mouth; they are all freighted with excited pilgrims, men, women and
children, drawn hither to assist at a spectacle of outward splendour
and interior sanctity that your Earth, notwithstanding its illimitable
wealth and its superior population, cannot produce. They tell me
(and here the old man's eyes again twinkled mischievously) that one
of your own many religious cults is ruled by a priest who claims and
receives divine honours. He is said to be elected by a college of
saintly and venerable brother priests, and to be borne aloft with
pomp and acclamation on the shoulders of men of noble birth. I
have, of course, never seen the ceremonies of modern Rome (which
city I hold in especial esteem as having been in ancient times the
origin of our official written language), but in this one crucial instance
this consecration of an earthly high priest must yield to ours. For
there is (so I am informed) no unanimity of opinion, no universal
acceptance of the chosen pontiff; whilst here the King who is
provided by our hierarchy is acknowledged by all without hesitation
or limit as the connecting link between the divine and the human,
whose presence is absolutely essential to the welfare of his subjects.
Our King is the peculiar guerdon of our sole Deity the Sun to his
favoured people, on whom from time to time he deigns to bestow a
member of his own family for guidance and example."
At length the Arch-priest took his departure, and I spent the
remainder of the day agreeably enough in the society of Hiridia,
whom I set to teach me the names of every object in sight. I had
already requested the Arch-priest for pen and ink and paper, and
after a visible tendency to demur he had yielded to my demand, a
plentiful supply of beautifully prepared rolls of vellum, an ink-horn
and some quill pens being brought me. I now wrote down
phonetically the name of each thing supplied me by Hiridia, placing
its English equivalent opposite. I was quite astonished at my
progress in the course of a few hours' application of this nature, and
the sun was low in the western sky when my patient tutor made
respectful signs to me to rise and follow him. I soon grasped his
intention, for he led me through the gardens to an open court where
two young nobles were playing at some sort of hand-ball. A slave
now removed my mantle and tunic, to exchange them for a short
linen garment, whilst a pair of hard leather gloves were likewise
supplied me. We four now fell to play with zest a game that was so
reminiscent of the hand-fives of my school-days that I learned the
science, the rules and the method of scoring in a very short space. I
thoroughly enjoyed the healthy exercise, which in due course
produced a copious perspiration, and thus we amused ourselves till
the final sinking of the sun brought our game to a close for lack of
light. At this moment I heard the prolonged blare of a distant trumpet,
and straightway perceived my three companions sink to their knees
for a short but silent prayer. Then they rose and led me to the
thermal baths attached to the palace, where I indulged in a further
bout of sweating followed by a plunge in cool water. After resting I
dressed myself again, and with an excellent appetite made my way
to the banqueting hall, where I partook of the last meal of the day.
On this occasion a band of professional players with unfamiliar
instruments provided us with music, which I found neither better nor
worse than many of the concerts I had been obliged to attend at
various times upon Earth. Pleasantly fatigued, at last I sought my
bed-chamber to ponder over my late experiences of the first twenty-
four conscious hours I had spent on the planet of Meleager.