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Power Generation Industry KPI Guide-031323
Power Generation Industry KPI Guide-031323
Power
Generation
Industry KPIs
for Investment Professionals
Shalabh Gupta, Manager – Energy & Utilities
Karan Sadh, Research Associate II – Energy & Utilities
In This Guide
This guide highlights the key performance indicators for the
power generation industry and where investors should look
to find an investment edge. While this guide is not a fully
integrated power generation industry primer, as the market
leader in granular consensus estimates data, Visible Alpha
works with partners and clients to determine the key
performance indicators in the industry. This guide will aid
market participants in identifying industry trends and the
potential future performance of power generation companies,
by region and service type.
Coal and natural gas are the most commonly used energy sources in
electricity generation. The heat from burning coal produces steam that
moves the blades of the turbines inside the power plant, producing
electricity. Coal power plants are the largest source of electricity generation
and the single largest source of energy-related CO2 emissions. Nuclear
power is considered to be one of the cleanest forms of energy amongst
fossil fuels. Nuclear power plants use reactions from nuclear fission to
produce electricity. Renewable energy sources such as solar, wind, and
hydropower use sunlight, wind force, and the movement of water to produce
electricity. A major challenge with renewable energy sources like solar and
wind is that they are intermittent in nature. Energy storage technology is
gradually getting cheaper and attracting investment as means of providing
backup and will be critical for supporting the widespread deployment of
renewable energy sources in the total power mix.
As the world considers ways of establishing a path toward limiting the rise in
global temperatures and curbing emissions, the power generation industry
has a central role to play. Recent policy commitments by major economies
towards net-zero emissions have led to power generation companies
investing aggressively in renewable energy.
Volume and average selling price (ASP) are two important metrics when
analyzing revenue for power generation companies. Volume sold is derived
from capacity and capacity factor, or the capacity utilization of the power
plants owned or operated by a power generation company.
Capacity is the power plant's output when running at its maximum. Maximum
output is typically measured in megawatts (MW) or gigawatts (GW). Capacity
factor (%) represents the efficiency with which a power plant generates
electricity. A power plant’s capacity factor is the ratio of actual output to the
maximum possible output during a given period. A plant with a capacity factor
of 100% produces power at all times. The capacity factor of power plants
differs depending on the source of fuel or energy used.
A nuclear power plant is known to be the most efficient with capacity factors
as high as 95%. Coal-powered plants, which are the most widely used, have
capacity factors ranging between 40-60%. The capacity factors of wind and
solar-powered plants depend on the availability and quality of sunlight and
wind available. Capacity factor (%) for a year = (total volume per year (GWh))
⁄ ((total capacity(MW) ✖ 365 days ✖ 24 hours) ⁄ 1000 ( ⁄ 1000 to convert from
MWh to GWh)).
ASP is the weighted average price of the volume of electricity sold by a power
generation company. ASP is usually measured in MWh or KWh. Power
generation companies sell a portion of the electricity they generate at a fixed
price under long-term agreements (LTA) or purchase power agreements (PPA)
to buyers for a long tenure. They also sell a portion of the electricity in the
wholesale market at spot prices. Power generation companies operating in
different countries are mandated to adhere to local regulations which impact
ASP.
Profitability
EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) is a
key measure of profitability for analyzing companies in this industry. Energy or
fuel-based EBITDA such as EBITDA - coal, natural gas, wind, and solar
provides essential insights into the performance of the different fuel segments
within and across companies. In the case of valuations of pure play power
generation companies, analysts generally use discounted cash flow (DCF)
based, sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) at the fuel type and geographical level.
EV/EBITDA is another popular ratio used to value companies in this industry.
● Fuel cost - This is the cost associated with securing the source of fuel
used in generating electricity by a power plant. In other words, it is the
amount of fuel it costs to produce 1 KWh/MWh/GWh volume of electricity.
Fuel cost is mainly seen in companies that run coal, natural gas, and
nuclear-based power plants.
For a coal-based power plant, fuel cost = total quantity of coal used ✖
cost per quantity. The total quantity of coal = total volume (GWh) ✖
quantity of coal required per GWh.
Unit Conversions
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MW
MW is a measure of electricity equal to 1 million watts.
MWh
MWh is a measure of electricity generation of 1MW produced over one-hour.
Capacity
Capacity is the maximum electric output a power plant can produce at a given point in time. Capacity
is generally measured in multiples of kilowatts such as Megawatts (MW) and Gigawatts (GW).
Capacity Factor
Capacity factor, also known as load factor or capacity utilization is the ratio of actual output to the
maximum possible output a power plant can produce during a given period.
Volume
Volume is the electricity generated and sold by a power generation company during a given period. A
1 GW power plant operating for 2 hours can generate a volume of 2 GWh electricity, assuming its
capacity factor is 100%.
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