Expected

Activity to tm tb
Duration E(t) Var(T)
A 6 7 8 7 0.111111
B 1 2 9 3 1.777778
C 1 4 7 4 1
A D 1 2 3 2 0.111111
AB E 1 2 9 3 1.777778
C F 1 5 9 5 1.777778
C G 2 2 8 3 1
EF H 4 4 4 4 0
EF I 4 4 10 5 1
DH J 2 5 14 6 4
IG K 2 2 8 3 1
CP= A-E-H-J

u= 20 Sum of E(t) of CP
Variance= 5.888889

Normal Dist.= 0.950357