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Algorithmic Trading – TGIF

Algorithmic trading is a method of executing trades using pre-programmed


instructions, or algorithms, that automatically trigger trades based on certain
conditions. It's a fascinating approach that can help traders make more
precise and efficient decisions.

Now, let's focus on a specific algorithmic trading model called the TGIF
setup.

The TGIF setup, or Thank God It's Friday, is a day-based algorithmic trading
model that can be applied to all assets. As the name suggests, this model is
designed to be used on Fridays. It's a pun on the expression 'TGIF,' which
means celebrating the end of the work week and looking forward to the
weekend.

The TGIF setup focuses on retracements into the current weekly range, and
it's important to anchor it against higher time frame analysis for increased
precision. Top-down analysis, the power three in candlestick analysis, and
the ICT Silver Bullet formation are valuable tools to enhance the effectiveness
of the TGIF setup.

The key characteristic of the TGIF setup is its focus on retracements into the
current weekly range. In other words, it looks for opportunities where the
market pulls back into the range it has been trading in during the week. This
setup is particularly effective when anchored against higher time frame
analysis, which provides additional context and confirmation.
[According to ICT :"In the last por6on of Friday’s trading, if it hasn't occurred yet , you can
expect some retracement of the weekly range."]

When using the TGIF setup, it's crucial to approach your analysis from a top-
down perspective. This means starting with higher time frame analysis, such
as monthly or weekly charts, to get a broader view of the market's direction.

In candlestick analysis, there is a concept called the power of three. This


refers to a specific pattern and distribution phase that can indicate a
potential reversal or exhaustion in the market.

By understanding the power of three and incorporating it into your analysis,


you can further enhance the accuracy of the TGIF setup.
Let's say you’re analyzing the NASDAQ Futures Contract using the TGIF
setup. By studying the one-month chart, you identify the weekly range and
its key levels. You apply Fibonacci levels, such as 20% and 30%, to pinpoint
the sweet spot where the TGIF setup is likely to occur. You also conduct top-
down analysis by examining higher time frame charts to get a broader view
of the market's direction. Additionally, you pay attention to the power three
pattern in candlestick analysis and keep an eye out for the ICT Silver Bullet
formation. By incorporating these techniques, you increase the accuracy and
effectiveness of your TGIF trades.
To apply the TGIF setup, follow these steps:

1. Start by analyzing the higher time frame charts, such as monthly or


weekly charts, to get a broader view of the market's direction.
2. Identify the weekly range and its key levels, such as the Range High
and Range Low.
3. Use Fibonacci levels, such as 20% and 30%, to pinpoint the sweet spot
where the TGIF setup is likely to occur.
4. Look for retracements into the weekly range, where the market pulls
back from its recent highs or lows.
5. Pay attention to the power three pattern in candlestick analysis, which
can indicate potential reversals or exhaustion.
6. Keep an eye out for the ICT Silver Bullet formation, a powerful pattern
that provides valuable insights into market dynamics.
7. Combine all these analysis techniques to make informed trading
decisions using the TGIF setup.

Understanding Market Manipulation

Market manipulation refers to the intentional actions taken by traders or


institutions to influence the price of a stock or other financial instrument.
This manipulation can occur through accumulation, manipulation, and
distribution phases.
Accumulation is the phase where large traders or institutions start buying a
stock, often at lower prices, to build up their position. This can create an
upward pressure on the price as more buyers enter the market. Once the
accumulation phase is complete, the manipulation phase begins.

During the manipulation phase, traders or institutions use various tactics to


artificially inflate or deflate the price of a stock. This can include spreading
false information, creating fake orders to manipulate the supply and demand,
or executing large trades to create an illusion of market activity. The goal of
manipulation is to create a favorable price movement that benefits the
manipulators.

After the manipulation phase, the distribution phase begins. This is when the
manipulators start selling their accumulated positions at higher prices,
taking advantage of the price increase caused by their actions. This can lead
to a sharp decline in the price of the stock as supply exceeds demand.

Identifying profitable setups in the market is crucial for algorithmic traders.


By understanding the patterns and behaviors associated with market
manipulation, traders can spot potential opportunities for profit. One such
setup is the high and low of the weekly range.

The high of the weekly range refers to the highest price reached by a stock
during a particular week. The low of the weekly range, on the other hand,
refers to the lowest price reached. By analyzing these levels, traders can gain
insights into the market sentiment and potential price movements.

To identify retracement targets within the weekly range, traders can use
Fibonacci levels. Fibonacci retracement levels are horizontal lines that
indicate potential support or resistance areas based on the Fibonacci
sequence. These levels are commonly used by traders to identify areas where
the price might reverse or consolidate.

Trading Strategies Based on Algorithmic Behavior

Algorithmic trading refers to the use of computer programs and algorithms


to execute trades in the market. These algorithms are designed to analyze
market data and make trading decisions based on predefined rules and
parameters.

One key aspect of algorithmic trading is the ability to anticipate price action
based on market retracements. When the market reaches a high point, it is
likely to draw down into a certain percentage of the weekly range. This
drawdown is a controlled process and does not indicate a lack of buyers or an
overtaking by sellers. Instead, it is a normal part of the market's
algorithmically controlled price movement.

To define the range for potential retracement, we need to identify the weekly
high and low. The weekly high is typically formed between Friday morning
and Friday's lunch hour, around 1:30 to 2 o'clock.
If the market has reached a higher time frame premium array, it may
continue to close on the high. However, if it has not reached a higher time
frame premium array, we can anticipate some measure of retracement into
the weekly range.

It's important to note that retracements beyond 30 percent of the weekly


range could indicate a potential reversal on a long-term basis. Therefore,
traders should be cautious when the market goes beyond this threshold.

Analyzing Market Movements


When analyzing market movements, it's important to pay attention to
patterns. One pattern we'll focus on is the TGIF (Thank God It's Friday)
setup, which is a reversal pattern that occurs towards the end of Friday's
trading.

Another important aspect to consider is the afternoon session, specifically


the interval between 2 o'clock and 3 o'clock.

This period is known as the ICT Silver Bullet formation. It's a time when the
market can experience significant movements, providing potential entry
points for traders.

To anticipate market movements, we need to look at the overall market


trend. If the market has been trading up for a series of weeks, maintaining a
bullish delivery, we can reasonably expect some drawdown or retracement.
However, if the market has reached a higher time frame premium array, it
may continue to move higher and close on the high.

Studying and Understanding Trading Patterns

In the world of algorithmic trading, studying, and understanding trading


patterns is crucial for success. By analyzing past market data, traders can
identify patterns that can help predict future price movements. Let's dive
into the importance of studying trading patterns and how to interpret them.

Importance of Studying Trading Patterns

• Trading patterns provide valuable insights into market behavior and


can help traders make informed decisions.
• By studying patterns, traders can identify trends, reversals, and
potential entry and exit points.
• Understanding trading patterns can help traders develop effective
trading strategies and manage risk.

Identifying and Interpreting Trading Patterns

• One common trading pattern is the TGIF (Thank God It's Friday)
setup, which is a reversal pattern observed at the end of the week.
• The TGIF setup involves anticipating a retracement into the weekly
range after a high has been formed.
• Traders can identify the TGIF setup by analyzing the highest high
and lowest low of the week.

Role of Order Flow

• Order flow refers to the buying and selling activity in the market.
• Understanding order flow can help traders gauge market sentiment
and make more accurate predictions.
• By analyzing order flow, traders can identify areas of support and
resistance and make informed trading decisions.

Keep in mind that studying and understanding trading patterns is just one
aspect of successful algorithmic trading. It's important to combine pattern
analysis with other technical indicators and fundamental analysis to make
well-informed trading decisions.

Applying Algorithmic Trading Strategies


In algorithmic trading, everything happens because it is designed and
engineered to do so. If there is an algorithm running the marketplace, it
should follow certain directives. One strategy is the TGIF setup, where we
anticipate the market to retrace from the highest high of the week to a
predetermined price.

When applying the TGIF setup, we can use different timeframes, such as
hourly charts, to identify short-term highs and lows. By understanding these
levels, we can anticipate market movements and make informed trading
decisions.

Conclusion

Now that you have a solid understanding of the TGIF setup, it's important to
remember that continuous learning and practice are key to improving your
trading skills. Here are some actionable steps you can take to further explore
and improve:

1. Study historical market data and analyze how the TGIF setup has
performed in different market conditions.
2. Paper trade the TGIF setup to gain practical experience without
risking real money.
3. Join online trading communities or forums to discuss and learn
from experienced traders.
4. Stay updated with market news and economic events that could
impact your trading strategy.

Remember, trading is a dynamic field, and it's important to adapt and evolve
your strategies as the market changes. By continuously learning and
practicing, you can improve your trading skills and increase your chances of
success.

Continuous learning and practice are essential for success in algorithmic


trading.
Just like any skill, becoming a successful algorithmic trader requires
continuous learning and practice. By consistently studying and analyzing the
market, experimenting with different strategies, and staying connected with
the trading community, you can improve your trading skills and make
informed decisions.

Take action today by setting aside dedicated time for learning and practicing
algorithmic trading. Commit to studying market data, paper trading, and
engaging with the trading community on a regular basis. Remember,
progress takes time and effort, so be patient and persistent in your journey to
becoming a successful algorithmic trader.

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