Professional Documents
Culture Documents
MoDollars FX Notes
MoDollars FX Notes
LEARRN
HOW TO
TRADE LIKE
THE PRO’S
AND START
EARNING
AS NOW
Eryq
Mutune
FOREX
TRADING
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ADVANTAGES OF FOREX
1. It requires low capital- some brokers allow deposits of 5 dollars.
2. NO labour costs required.
3. Accessible anywhere so long as there’s internet connection.
4. Transactions can be made at any time of the day.
-there are various methods of transactions.
Currency pair
Example:
GBPUSD
Quotient
Base currency
currency
-We usually trade the base currency against the quotient currency.
PIP
-The smallest change in the value of a currency against another currency.
Example
AUDCAD 0.86608
FRACTIONAL PIP
PIP
-A profitable trader always calculates the amount he/she is risking and the reward.
Profit/loss=pips*lot size*10
RISK TO REWARD RATIO.
-Is the stop loss distance to target price distance in pips
SL:TP
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Candlestick patterns
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-The colour of the candle doesn’t matter but its shape does a lot.
Bullish pin bar
-It’s lower shadow is longer than the upper shadow and it covers ¾ of
the rage of the candle.
-psychology behind it is that buyers tried to push the price upwards but
Sellers overcome them and pulled the price back downwards before
the candle closes.
-Indicates that sellers are stronger than buyers. Price is most probably
going to fall. This creates a sell option
4. Engulfing candle
-When the first candle is full covered by the second candle.
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-Here the colour of the candle matters a lot in interpreting what is actually
happening.
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TYPES OF ORDERS
Market execution
-Type of order where you buy or sell at the current market price (bid/ask
price).
Pending order
-Type of order where you place your buy/sell order but it is no triggered
instantly.
1. Limit orders
2. Stop orders
Limit orders
Buy limit order
-Type of order where you buy lower than the current market price
(bid price).
Sell limit order
-Type of order where you sell higher than the current market price
(ask price).
Stop orders
Buy stop order
-Type of order where you buy higher than the current market price (bid
price).
Sell stop order
-Type of order where you sell lower than the current market price (ask
price).
-Limit orders are used to enter a trade when the price has already
moved without you hoping that the price will came back and trigger
your order.
-Stop orders are used to place trades in direction of the trend after
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TYPES OF ENTRIES
Aggressive
Conservative
Aggressive
-It’s somehow greedy or inpatient where you want to maximize profits.
Conservative
-When you patiently wait for confirmations like triggers and retests.
Conservative
Aggressive
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Fibonacci Numbers
Human body
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Uptrend
Target 1: 100%
B
50 %, 61.8% Retracement
C
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Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Drag to B
Fibonacci
C is at 50%
Click on A
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Fibonacci Retracement & Projection Levels
ADowntrend
C
50 %, 61.8% Retracement
B
Target 1: 100%
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Fibonacci Retracement & Projection Levels
Click on A
C at 61.8%
Fibonacci
Drag to B
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Forex rules
1. Early everyday check the forex factory on the red major news.
-Set alarms of the red news to trade 10 minutes before the news release.
2. Check the fx-helper on the strength of currencies on different timeframes.
- (H4-H1) and (H1-M15)
3. Check the fx-hours to know which pairs of currencies are active.
-Trade active currencies their price movements are vigorous.
-Trade either: Two active currencies.
One active currency and the other to be really strong or weak.
4. Once I get the pairs to trade look at the chart window, try to figure out the
psychology behind it, draw the high and the lows on the higher timeframes since
these are supply and demand zones and apply the strategies that you have
mastered.
5. on identification of a valid trade:
-Position size- risk 5%-10% of your capital.
-Place a bracket order. -entry price
-stop loss
-stop loss
- i.e The stop loss should be:
>8 pips and >12 pips for GBP on M15. 1.5ATR
AND
>24 pips and >36 pips for GBP on H1. 1.5-2ATR
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-It should be below/above the recently tested moving average.
6. Once an order is placed don’t look at it. Let it hit your profit target or your stop
loss.
- Fire and forget strategy proven to be really profitable in the long run
7. Low risk filters.
No major red news in the next 10 candles.
No major resistance/support levels between Entry price and profit target.
Exit trades before a trading day/week ends. At 0.00am.
Do not buy too high nor sell too low stretched from the moving average. Price
tends to bounce back.
8. Take only high profitable trades.
-Check on the factors of confluence before taking a trade. NOT DOING
SOMETHING IS DOING SOMETHING.
-DO NOT CHASE TRADES let the trades come to you, Patience is a virtue here.
9. In case when the trade is in profit you can always shift your stop loss in profit to
secure your profits.
TRADING STRATEGIES
1. IMPULSE PULLBACK STRATEGY.
-Optimum at M15.
Short setup
-Short setup signaled by the 6EMA crossover below the 18EMA.
-Moving average alignment (6EMA<18EMA<50EMA<200SMA) on M15 and H1
timeframes.
-At the crossover we should have a swing low candle or after the crossover.
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-Next candle after the swing low candle should be a pullback candle.
-Maximum of 3 pullback candles.
-unlimited no. of inside bar candles.
ENTRY-sell stop order below the last pullback/inside bar candle
STOPLOSS-2ATR/Above the high of the pullback/inside bar candle/Above the
recently tested moving average.
TARGET PRICE-Should be 1.5R (Optimum).
HIGH PROBABILITY TRADE
-The last pullback/inside bar candle to be a pin bar and/ to be testing the moving
averages.
INVALID TRADE
-When the 6EMA crosses above the 18EMA.
18EMA
-When price pulls back and breaks above the 50EMA.
6EMA
18EMA
6EMA
Pullback
ca
Long setup
-Long setup signaled by the 6EMA crossover above the 18EMA.
-Moving Average (6EMA>18EMA>50EMA>20OSMA) on M15 and H1 timeframes.
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-After the crossover we have the swing high candle or next candle after the
crossover.
-After the swing high candle we should have pullback candle or inside bar candle.
-Maximum of 3 pullback candles.
-unlimited no. of inside bar candles.
ENTRY –buy stop order above the last pull back candle or inside bar candle
STOPLOSS-2ATR/ below recently tested moving average.
TARGET PROFIT-1.5R (optimum).
HIGH PROBABILITY TRADE
-The last pullback /inside bar candle to be a pin bar and/should be testing the
moving averages.
INVALID TRADE
-When the 6EMA crosses below the 18EMA.
-When the price pulls back and breaks below the 50EMA.
Impulsive SH Impulsive
candles SH Inside bar
Pullback candles
candles
Pullback
6EMA
6EMA
18EMA
18EMA
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C
I 6EMA
18EMA
C
I
50EMA
C
200SMA
Short setup
-Trend down 6EMA<18EMA<50EMA<200SMA. On both M15 and H1 timeframes.
-Strong trend: ADX to be above 25.
-Price should be bouncing of the 6EMA or the 18EMA.
-Impulsive candles.
-corrective candles.
.
I
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ENTRY-Sell stop order below the last corrective candle.
STOPLOSS-Above the last corrective candle/pattern which should be 2ATR, >8pips
and above the moving average being surfed.
TARGET PRICE-1.5R (Optimum).
HIGHLY PROBABILITY TRADE
-The last corrective candle to be a pin bar and to be testing the moving average
surfed (6EMA or 18EMA).
INVALID TRADE
-Trade is invalid when the price corrects and breaks the moving average surfed by
a big margin.
200SMA
I
C
50EMA
C
18EMA
I
6EMA
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6EMA
18EMA
50EMA
Short setup
-Signaled by the 6EMA crossover below the 18EMA.
-Trend down alignment.
6EMA<18EMA<50EMA<200SMA on both the M15 and the H1 timeframe.
-Occurrence of a bearish pin bar within the next ten candles after the crossover.
50EMA
18EMA
6EMA
NB: The upper/ lower shadow of the bearish/bullish pin bar should
Be ¾ of the range of the candle.
50 EMA
Previous Swing high
-Uptrend bias on both the lower timeframe (M15/H1) and on the upper timeframe
(H1/H4).
-18EMA>50EMA>200SMA.
-Series of candles;
-Impulsive candles.
-Corrective candles.
-Enter on formation of a trigger at the end of the corrective wave.
-Bullish engulfing candle break upwards.
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-Doji candle break upwards.
2R
Previous Swing high
Entry @Recent Swing Low
1R
Stop loss
50 EMA
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HIGHLY PROBABILTY TRADE
-When the trigger formed is a pin bar testing the recently tested Moving Average.
INVALID TRADE.
-When price corrects and breaks the recently tested moving average/61.8
Fibonacci retracement level.
6EMA
18EMA
C
50EMA
200SMA
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-Uptrend wave pattern (Recent swing high is higher than
previous swing high, recent swing low is higher/equal to
previous swing low)?
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MA Bounce Long Setup- GBPCHF
H1 H1 Must Be Aligned
Target Price
GBPCHF 29 Nov Sell Limit Order 1.3300
18 EMA>50EMA>200SMA
Buy Limit Order 1.3262 Entry
Target Price
GBPCHF 29 Nov
2R =38 pips
Entry
1R =19 pips
Stop Loss
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Short setup
Previous
Swing high Recent
50EMA
Swing high
Previous
Swing Low
Recent
Swing Low
-Down trend bias on both the lower timeframe (M15/H1) and the higher
timeframe (H1/H4).
-18EMA<50EMA<200SMA.
-Series of candles:
-Impulsive candles.
-Corrective candles.
-Enter on formation of a trigger at the end of the corrective wave:
-Bearish engulfing candle break downwards.
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Swing high
50EMA
Stop loss
1R
Entry Recent
Swing high
2R
Previous
Target Price
Swing Low
Recent
200SMA
50EMA
I 18EMA
C
I
6EMA
C
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-Downtrend wave pattern (Recent swing high is lower than previous
Swing high, recent swing low is lower/equal to previous swing low
2R =16
Previous pips
Target Price
Swing low
Buy Limit Order
Recent
swing low
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H1 MA Bounce Short Setup-NZDJPY
Ensure H1 is Alignment
18 EMA<50EMA<200MA
NZDJPY 16 Nov
Stop Loss
Buy Stop Order
Entry
Sell Limit Order
Target Price
Buy Limit Order
M15
MA Bounce Short Setup-NZDJPY Target Price Reached.
Stop Loss
Buy Stop Order
1R =8
Entry
pips
Sell Limit Order
2R =16
pips
Target Price
Buy Limit Order
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HIGHLY PROBABILITY TRADE
-When the trigger formed is a pin bar testing the recently tested moving average.
INVALID TRADE
-When price corrects and breaks the recently tested moving average/61.8
Fibonacci retracement level.
5. TREND CONTUNUATION STRATEGY
INDICATORS
a. ZigZag tool (6, 5, 3) Black.
b. Average True Range (period 14) Black.
c. Fibonacci retracement tool.
d. TCE200/Dashboard.
-Optimum at M15 and H1 timeframes.
-Price moves impulsively and correctively in direction of the trend.
Long setup
-Uptrend bias on both the lower timeframe (M15/H1) and the higher timeframes
(H1/H4).
-The current swing high to be higher than the previous swing high.
-The current swing low to be higher than the previous swing low.
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-Series of candles.
-Impulsive Candles.
-Corrective candles.
Current
High
Current
High
Previous Previous
High High
Entry 18 EMA
Current Current
Low 50 EMA Low
Previous
Previous
Low
Low
200 SMA
-Enter on formation of a trigger at the corrective wave (at current swing low)
-Bullish engulfing candle break upwards.
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Target Price
Current Swing high
2R
Previous Swing high
Entry
1R Current Swing Low
Fibonacci
level Stop loss
EMA
EMA
C
I
P.S.H
C
C.S.L
C.S.H
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TCE Long example
M15 TCE Long Setup -GBPUSD
Stop Loss
Sell Stop Order 1.3507
Previous swing low
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Target Price
Sell Limit Order 1.3534
Entry
Buy Stop Order 1.3516
Stop Loss
Sell Stop Order 1.3507
Bullish Engulfing
Short setup
-Downtrend bias on both the lower timeframe (M15/H1) and the higher timeframe
(H1/H4).
-The current swing high to be lower than the previous swing high.
-The current swing low to be lower than the previous swing low.
-Series of candles:
-Impulsive candles.
-Corrective candles.
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Previous
Previous high
200 SMA
High
Current
50 EMA high
Current
High
18 EMA
Entry
Previous Previous
Low Low
Current
Low
Current
Low
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-Bearish pin bar candle-Enter just below it.
STOPLOSS-2ATR & should be above the recently tested resistance level (trend
line).
TARGET PRICE-1.5R/2R Optimum.
Current
Swing high
EMA Swing high
Stop loss
1R
Fibonacci level
Entry
2R
Previous
Target Price
Swing Low
Current
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INVALID TRADE
-When price corrects and breaks the recently tested resistance level (trend
line)/61.8 Fibonacci retracement level.
Bearish Engulfing
Fibonacci
level Current Swing High
Previous = Fibonacci level and or EMA Resistance
Swing Low
Current Swing low
P.S.H
H
C.S.H
I
C
P.S.L I
C
C.S.L
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TCE SHORT EXAMPLE
M15 TCE Short Setup- GBPUSD
ENTRY
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TCE Short Setup- GBPUSD
M15
Target price Reached
Stop Loss
Buy Stop
Order 1.3498
1 R =13 pips
Entry
Sell Stop
Order 1.3485
2 R =26 pips
Target Price
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-On news release first 10 seconds either of the two orders or neither or both
gets triggered.
-Cancel the trade that is not triggered 10 seconds after news release.
-Exit the triggered trade 60 seconds after news release by shifting your
Stop loss in direction of the price movement to protect your profit and exit in
blue (profit).
Scenario 1 (Long Entry Triggered)
• Price moves up and triggers long entry order once news is released (within
10 seconds)
• Cancel short entry order immediately
• Exit Long Trade after 60 seconds (news 1 minute candle closes). Exit by
shifting stop loss order to latest market price.
-Outcome can be -1.5R loss to unlimited R gains (usually 2R to 10R is possible
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1 R =8 pips Market
Price
Long Stop Loss: Sell Stop Order 1.2850
1.2850 At 3
Short Stop Loss: Buy Stop Order 1.2850
Mins before
1 R =8 pips News
1 R =8 pips Market
Price
Long Stop Loss: Sell Stop Order 1.2850
1.2850 At 3
Short Stop Loss: Buy Stop Order 1.2850
Mins before
1 R =8 pips News
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1 R =8 pips Market
Price
Long Stop Loss: Sell Stop Order 1.2850
1.2850 At 3
Short Stop Loss: Buy Stop Order 1.2850
Mins before
1 R =8 pips News
Important Points
-Only trade this strategy with stable internet connection.
-We only trade 5 major news announcements (RED flag) with specific data.
• Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP).
• CPI (Consumer Price Index).
• GDP Data.
• Unemployment Claims.
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• Interest rates.
www.forexfactory.com
Time synced to
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Example:
www.forexfactory.com Time synced to
traders local time
9.29
Minute candle USD CAD Scalp 1 Dec
9.28
9.30 News
Long Entry 1: Buy stop 1.2888
1 R=8 pips
Price at 9.27pm 1.2880 SL 1: Sell stop 1.2880
SL 2: Buy stop 1.2880
1 R= 8 pips
Short trade
Exit after
Major news at 9.30pm 1 Min candle
Closes
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USD CAD Scalp 21 Dec
Minute candle
1 R=8 pips
8.30 News
Long Entry 1: Buy stop 1.2802
1 R= 8 pips
SL 1: Sell stop 1.28000 Price at 8.27pm 1.2800
SL 2: Buy stop 1.2800
Profit
= 48 pips (3.42R )
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Long trade
Candle closes
@1.2775
Profit
= 46 pips (1.9R )
Major news at 8.30pm
Long trade
Triggered &
Filled 1.2729
8.27
Orders placed
Long Entry 1: Buy stop 1.2713
1 R=8 pips
SL 1: Sell stop 1.2705
Price at 8.27pm 1.2705
SL 2: Buy stop 1.2705
1 R= 8 pips
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Support
-Optimum at M15 and H1 timeframes.
Long setup
-FX pair in a consolidation (Range) making same highs and same lows
• Resistance level tested 3 times
• Support level tested 3 times
-50 EMA is above 200SMA (Uptrend Bias)
-The support level is above the 200SMA.
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-Higher time frame H1/H4candles on Uptrend (Price>50EMA>200SMA)
-ENTRY-Buy Limit Order at support level of consolidation.
-STOP LOSS-Should be 2ATR below the support level/ Moving average
that support the price strongly.
-TARGET PRICE-Place a Sell Limit Order at the Resistance level of the
consolidation.
-1.5R optimum.
‘Trade the Range’ Long Setup
1.5 R = 13 pips
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HIGH PROBABILITY TRADE
-when stop loss is below the 200SMA.
INVALID TRADE
-When the support is not tested 3 times previously.
-when price breaks the support level.
-when the 50EMA crosses below the 2000SMA.
TRADING THE RANGE LONG SETUP EXAMPLE:
1.5 R = 12 pips
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SHORT SETUP
-FX pair in a consolidation (Range) making same highs and same lows;
• Resistance level tested 3 times.
• Support level tested 3 times.
-50 EMA is below 200SMA (Downtrend Bias).
-Resistance level is below the 200SMA.
-Higher time frame H1/H4 candles on Downtrend (Price < 50EMA <200SMA).
-Entry-Sell Limit Order at Resistance level of consolidation
-Stop loss-Should be 2ATR above the resistance level/Moving Average that
resist the price strongly.
-Target Price-Place a Buy Limit Order at the Support level of the
consolidation.
-1.5R optimum.
1.5 R = 12 pips
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-HIGH PROBABILITY TRADE.
-When the stop loss is above the 200SMA.
-INVALID TRADE
-When the resistance is not tested 3 times previously.
-When price breaks the resistance.
-when the 50EMA crosses above the 200SMA.
TRADING THE RANGE SHORT SETUP EXAMPLES
1 R = 8 pips
1.5 R = 12 pips
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1.5 R = 12 pips
Long setup
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H1 H4
6EMA, 18EMA, 50EMA 6EMA, 18EMA, 50EMA
Average True Range (14 Period)
At Breakout…
6EMA > 18EMA > 50EMA
Price > 18EMA
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Retrace at
Least 1-2 ATR
50 %
Retracement Entry: Buy Limit
1 R => 2ATR
Resistance A = Resistance
Support 5-10 Pips
Stop Loss
6 EMA
18 EMA
50 EMA
B
Various Breakout Patterns
C =50%
Resistance
B
C =50%
Resistance
A
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23rd APRIL-LONG MOMENTUM BREAKOUT HI -CADCHF
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H4
On H4: AUD Strong and CHF Weak
161.8
H1 Take Profit 0.7175
32 pips
B
= 1.6R
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SHORT SETUP
H1 H4
6EMA, 18EMA, 50EMA 6EMA, 18EMA, 50EMA
Average True Range (14 Period)
At Breakout…
6EMA < 18EMA < 50EMA
Price < 18EMA
6EMA < 18EMA < 50EMA
Price < 18EMA
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ENTRY-Place a Sell Limit Order at 50% Retracement Level.
-Ensure retracement is at least 2 ATR or….
Retracement at least 1 ATR with a support/resistance level.
STOP LOSS-Place a Stop Loss 5-10 pips above Support level.
-Distance from Entry to stop loss is 1R.
-Ensure 1R is at least 2 ATR.
TARGET PRICE-Place a Take Profit Order at 161.8 Fibonacci extension Level
-Ensure at least 1.3R profit.
50 EMA
18 EMA
6 EMA
Stop Loss
Resistance A = Resistance 5-10 Pips
Retrace at
Least 1-2 ATR
B: Swing low
1.3 R or More
Take Profit:
Fibonacci Level 161.8 Buy Limit
A
Support
C =50%
A
Support
C =50%
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23rd April CHFJPY H1 Short Momentum Breakout
H1
33 pips
B
= 1.7R
Take Profit 109.70 161.8
H1
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3rd MAY EURUSD M15 SHORT MOMENTUM BREAK
M15
5 pips
Support 1.1171 A
1R = 11 pips
(> 2 ATR)
0.50
Sell Limit 1.1164
14 pips B
= 1.3R
161.8
Take Profit 1.1150
FOREX PATTERNS
-In forex history repeats itself.
-First you draw the highs and lows in the daily timeframe.
-Outline the resistance and support trend lines.
-Here we use the Price action strategy and candlestick patterns.
-NB; High=Target, Shows entry points after breakout of trigger candle, TP-Target
price
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1. Flag
Bullish flag
Flag
Post TP
High Target
TP
Bearish flag
TP
High
Target
TP
Post
Flag
TP
2. Channels
Rising channel Target
TP
High
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Falling channel
High
TP
Target
TP TP
TP
High
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High
TP
Target
High
Neckline Target
TP
Right shoulder
Left shoulder
Head
Neckline
TP
High Target
TP
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4. TRIANGLE
Ascending triangle (bullish)
TP
Target
High
High
High
Target
TP
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Reducing triangle
Bullish TP
Target
High
bearish
High
Target
TP
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Expanding triangle
Bullish TP
Target
High
Bearish
High
Target
TP
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5. Wedge
Rising wedge TP
Bullish
v
TP Target
High
Bearish
TP
Target
v
High
TP
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Falling wedge
Bullish
TP
Target
High
TP
Bearish
High
TP
Target
TP
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6. Double top
High
Target
TP
7. Double bottom
TP
Target
High
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8. Triple top
High TP
Target
TP
9. Triple bottom
TP
Target
High
TP
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