Name: Hour: Date:

Lesson 8.3: Which grade is more likely to go to Prom?

At many high schools, Prom is an annual dance that only Juniors and Seniors can purchase
tickets for. The student council at a large high school is wondering if Juniors or Seniors are
more likely to attend Prom. They take a random sample of 50 Juniors and find that 28 are
planning on attending Prom. They select a random sample of 45 Seniors and 29 are
planning on attending. Construct and interpret a 95% confidence interval for the difference
in proportions of Juniors and Seniors who are planning on attending Prom.

1. What is the point estimate for…

the proportion of Juniors planning on attending prom? ! 0.56

#" = ________

the proportion of Seniors planning on attending prom? !

#$ = ________
0.64

the difference in the proportion of Jrs and Srs planning on attending prom? !
#" − ! -0.08
#$ = ________

2. Check the conditions needed in order to construct a confidence interval.

Independent
✓ so we can generalize to the
Random: Random Sample §
"
Random sample
of 50 jrs . .
.
" population .

"
"
Random sample of 45 Srs
- .
.

✓ so
10%:
50L to ( Juniors at school ) ✓ 45 L fol seniors at school) we can sample

without replacement .

Large Counts: Jrs .

Srs .
SO the sampling distribution
501.563=28 710 ✓
451.647=29710
✓

310 ✓ Of Ñ Ñz is approx normal

501.443=22 310 ✓
.
-

451.361=21 ,

3. Construct and interpret a 95% confidence interval for the difference in proportions of Juniors
and Seniors who are planning on attending prom.

General Formula: Point Estimate ± margin oferror

Specific Formula: A-
ñi±z*ñf+Éñ÷
Work: 081=1.9
( )
-

. =
-081.20 →
-

.
28
,
v12

that the interval from 28 to -12

confident
-

Conclude: we are 95% .

difference in proportion of juniors and

captures the true
seniors
planning on
going to prom .

4. Does the interval provide convincing evidence that Juniors have a lower proportion planning
on going to prom or is it plausible that there is no difference between the two classes?
there is no difference because the
Explain. It is
plausible that not have evidence there is a
interval contains 0 We do .

convincing
(tit) → higher prop of juniors
difference
C- → → higher prop of seniors
.

C- , f) → could be no difference
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Constructing a Confidence Interval for p1 – p2

Important ideas:
confidence
interval for p pz ,
-
""" " "" "
1st proportion is
difference in proportions ( + +) →
greater
state P pis true
,
-

p1@ Two sample 2 interval for p

,
-

pz C- , ) - → 2nd proportion is
① independent Random samples greater
② 101 Condition
.

C- '
+ ) → No convincing
PE±m0E→(p?p^z)±z*✓Ñ¥¥
③ Large counts
evidence of a
④ difference Interval .

contains 0
CMa@
" .

We 951
"

are .
.
. . .

Check Your Understanding

In a social study, a random sample of 150 teachers were selected and an independent random sample
of 100 nurses were selected. Each person was asked if they currently have a second job. The results
showed that 48 of the 150 teachers and 21 of the 100 nurses had a second job. Construct and interpret
a 95% confidence interval for the difference in the proportion of all teachers and nurses that have a
second job.
teachers and
STATE: Parameter: Pt Pn → true difference in the
proportion of all
nurses)
-

nurses that have a second job .

(teachers -

=
.
32
Confidence level: 95-1 .

In =
.
21

PLAN: I ,
-

In =

.
"

Name of procedure: Two sample z interval for Pt -

pn

Check conditions:
10-1
Random : .

✓
Normal Large counts
:

Independent Random samples 150 <

To ( All teachers) 150434=48310 100 C. 211=21710
iÉf50
-

teachers ✓
' '

nurses)
✓
" ✓ 100 Lfo ( All 1501.683=102310 100 C. 791--79310
of 100 Nurses
"
RS
-
-

Wto of
DO: so we
generalize
pz-pnn.
can
the population
sampling
replacement is ok
so sampling dist
approx
to
normal
so

is .
.

General Formula: of
Dont Estimate ± Margin error

④ %)
2*PIYP+ÑnYP÷#
Specific Formula: ±
111=1.96
-

+ → •

Answer: 11+-109
•
→
1.001 , .
219 )
CONCLUDE:
interval from 0.001 to 0-219 captures the thee
we are 95% confident that the
who have a second job
and nurses
.

difference in proportions of teachers

(Teachers -

Nurses )
?⃝