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Robert WIlliamson IMAS Conference Paper Final
Robert WIlliamson IMAS Conference Paper Final
Robert WIlliamson IMAS Conference Paper Final
Introduction
Since the death of Mao, successive Chinese leaderships and policy makers have
come and gone, but all have looked abroad for policies to solve domestic problems.
This paper begins by reviewing relevant policy transfer literature, and this is followed by
an outline of the dominant trend of policy transfer since the 1980s: voluntary policy
transfer from the West. This has typically been in the form of neo-liberal policies and
NPM inspired downsizing of the public sector, and was seen in China from the 1980s
onwards. This isn’t, however, the only form of policy transfer that has occurred in China,
there has also been significant learning from the Japanese, especially in terms of
Industrial Policy. The final sections outline the major reforms implemented in the
Chinese SOE sector, and conclude with a discussion regarding the relative strengths of
the two strands of policy transfer in China during this period.
Dolowitz and Marsh (2000) define policy transfer as: “The process in which
knowledge about policies, administrative arrangements, institutions and ideas in one
political setting (past or present) is used in the development of policies, administrative
arrangements, institutions and ideas in another political setting.” According to the same
authors, policy makers have looked overseas more and more for policy solutions to their
domestic problems. They attribute this increase in recent decades to a number of
factors, for a start, increased communication between policy makers has been
facilitated by advances in technology. In addition, they also highlight global economic
pressures, increased bilateral/multilateral meetings between politicians and civil
servants, and the rise of international organisations promoting or enforcing particular
SOE REFORM AND FOREIGN LEARNING 4
types of policies. Finally, there are international policy networks, advocacy coalitions or
epistemic communities who play an important role in the promotion and development of
new ideas.
system in the former Soviet Union. Here new institutions and regulations need to be
built from scratch. Policy transfer is also more likely to happen during periods of
uncertainty.
Stone (1999) identifies important constraints and opportunities for transfer,
noting that both “...agency and structural factors will condition the degree of transfer and
the character of implementation.” If you wish to investigate/demonstrate policy transfer,
agency needs to be emphasised. If you wish to see how policy has diffused structurally,
“... it is necessary to look at the opportunities or constraints to transfer shaped by forces
such as time, institutional architecture, political culture, and state structures.” Marsh and
Sharman (2010) write that IR diffusion literature privileges structure and focuses
methodologically on pattern-finding. Policy transfer literature privileges agency and
concentrates on process-tracing. To get a full picture of the process of transfer/diffusion,
an ideal study should combine both. Lee and Strang (2006) talk further about the
distinction between process-tracing and pattern-finding strategies. “Process tracing
research follows the spread of a policy or practice from one location to another.” This
approach “...permits inspection of the role played by external models, and inquiry into
why and how a concrete instance of learning or mimicry occurs.” This is quite different
from pattern finding literature; in contrast, this “...tests a priori hypotheses about
diffusion channels...whether structures of covariance and temporal ordering are
generally consistent with a theoretically specified model of influence.’
This paper follows the process-tracing approach – looking at China’s active
searching for policies from abroad in their transition from a planned economy to a
‘Socialist Market Economy.’
Coercion
SOE REFORM AND FOREIGN LEARNING 7
The dominant trend in policy transfer from the 1980s onwards has been the
adoption of policies that originated in Reagan’s USA and Thatcher’s United Kingdom.
As Simmons and Elkins (2004) put it “...one of the most important developments over
the past three decades has been the spread of liberal economic ideas and policies
throughout the world.” Governments around the globe have been increasingly willing to
open up their national economies to the forces of international trade and markets. In
brief, this has taken the form of deregulation and the removal of impediments to
international trade and investment. The free movement of capital and goods has
SOE REFORM AND FOREIGN LEARNING 8
This spread of neo-liberal policies has had far-reaching implications for State
Owned Enterprises (SOEs). According to Zhang and Freestone (2013) the rationale for
SOEs’ privatisation is that they generally operate less efficiently than private firms,
identifying softer budget constraints that governments provide, agency issues, lack of
competition as well as the policy burden from social goals as the culprits. They outline
three major options open to policy makers when undertaking SOE reforms: changing
ownership; introducing competition; and through managerial or institutional reform.
Kamarck (2000) outlines these kinds of SOE reforms; “SOEs are sold off to non-state
owners, state monopolies are broken through increased market-based competition,
barriers are removed for non-state players and input prices are set by the market.”
Incentives to produce profit are introduced though transforming the structure of
governance, as well as improving the accountability of decision making. The structure
of governance is transformed to introduce incentives to pursue profit as well as decision
SOE REFORM AND FOREIGN LEARNING 9
Marsh and Sharman – (2010) write that learning is the result of rational decisions
by governments to find foreign policy outcomes and apply them at home. Following the
insights of Stone (1999) there must be evidence that these were not the result of some
other modernising force and that there was a degree of domestic debate. On these
grounds, there is clear evidence that China engaged in extensive learning from abroad.
At the end of the 1970s, the Chinese government was facing what Zhang (2014)
describes as “...a profound internal economic and governance crisis.” After the Eleventh
Congress Third Plenary Session in 1978, CCP Leader Deng Xiaoping’s administration
decided to end China’s isolation on the world stage, and to adopt a new economic
strategy after the economic and social disaster that was the Cultural Revolution. As
Zhang and Marsh (2016) put it “China needed to enhance its international
communication and relationships, drawing on the advanced experience and
technological achievements of developed countries.” Vogel (2011) writes that “Deng
believed that for China to modernize quickly, it had to learn about and adapt ideas that
were working overseas.” In order to achieve this, Chinese officials were sent on study
tours overseas, foreign information was translated in to Chinese for officials to study,
and foreign specialists were invited to China. He goes on to say that Deng “...would
encourage other officials to expand their horizons, to go everywhere to learn what
brings success, to bring back promising technology and management practices, and to
experiment to see what would work at home. He would help pave the way by
developing good relations with other countries so they would be receptive to working
with China.” Zhang (2014) notes that Deng Xiaoping himself undertook a number of
overseas trips in the late 1970s, visiting eight countries in all: Burma; Nepal; North
Korea; Japan; Thailand; Malaysia; Singapore and the USA. Furthermore, “...Deputy
Prime Ministers went to 51 countries on official visits in 1978. The places which were
most frequently visited were the USA, Canada and a number of Western European
countries.”
SOE REFORM AND FOREIGN LEARNING 11
This following section focuses on the literature that emphasises the role
Western-style policies and its influence on the reform of Chinese SOEs. These policies
are liberalising reforms to the Chinese economy, significant changes to management
practices and major reforms to the SOE sector. In Post-Mao China – planners looked
overseas for policies to reorganise the economy. Party leaders and advisers were sent
overseas to learn from more industrially advanced countries. The trips that Deputy
Prime ministers took in 1978 are argued by Zhang (2014) to be highly influential
“...these officials brought Western lessons back to China. In interviews, a number of
these officials talked broadly about drawing lessons from the West and adapting them to
Chinese circumstances.”
Heilmann and Shih (2013) note the influence of the Economic Structural Reform
Institute (ESRI) founded in 1982 as a think tank to reformist Premier Zhao Ziyang. This
was affiliated with the State Structural Reform Commission and proposed a
market-oriented approach to industry.
An example of a text that particularly emphasises the Western effects on China’s
economic reform is ‘Growing Out of the Plan’ (Naughton, 1995) – the main argument of
this text is that in the 1980s and 1990s, the state-led planned sector stagnated at the
same time that the non-planned economy grew rapidly. This facilitated the growth of the
market-dominated economy in China and, at the same time, decreased the importance
of the state-led planned sector of the economy. Other authors such Brandt and Rawski
SOE REFORM AND FOREIGN LEARNING 12
(2008) and Huang (2008) also focus on ‘Western-style’ policies when discussing reform
within China. In these papers, the influence of the state is minimised and the multi-year
planning of the Chinese state are viewed as inefficient and a drag on the economy.
Efforts at industrial policy are largely viewed as futile and a distraction from the
important business of neo-liberal reform. Unsurprisingly, the focus in this line of
literature is regulatory reform, privatisation of SOEs, liberalisation of markets and
property rights. Brandt and Rawski (2008) - “...it is increasingly evident that state
ownership acts as a major drag on China's economy. Both national and provincial data
link state ownership with retarded growth, low capital productivity, slow transfer of labour
out of farming, and many other undesirable phenomena.”
Brandt and Rawski (2008) highlight China’s newly-found engagement with world
markets and the abandonment of its former isolationist stance. Imports and exports
grew massively; figures from the Chinese Statistical Yearbook put imports to China at
US$9.75bn and exports at US$10.89bn in 1978. These figures had risen to US$23.5bn
and US$42.2 in 1985, US$148.7bn and US$132bn by 1995 respectively. Current figures
are given as US$2.27tn and US$1.68tn respectively. China has also been a massive
recipient of global foreign direct investment; figures from the Chinese Statistical
Yearbook put FDI inflows in 1984 at USD$5.9bn, this figure rising to USD$91.3bn in
1995, and in 2015 the figure stood at USD$126.2bn. From the 2000s onwards, China
has also become in increasingly important source of outward foreign investment.
They go on to say that planning has been in slow retreat and that this has led to
the prominence of market-based outcomes in the economy. Supply and demand are
given a leading role in determining prices (rather than set by the state), and markets for
materials, products and labour are much more competitive. Overall “… the impact of
market forces continues to deepen.”
Chinese management reforms are outlined by Zhang (2014), writing that Chinese
policy-makers “...actively sought to transfer NPM strategies through international
cooperation programmes.” The public sector was introduced to private sector
management techniques and “...public choice precepts in the management and delivery
of public goods.” This administrative reform, naturally involved a reduction in the role of
SOE REFORM AND FOREIGN LEARNING 13
the government in the economy and dismantling some of the planning institutions of the
planned economy. Zhang and Marsh (2016) write that the focus was particularly on
economic management redesign. The long-term aim was to integrate the modern
qualities of Western economic management with more traditional features of Chinese
administration. In other words, NPM ideas were transferred from the West, but there
was a certain amount of adaption to make them fit in a Chinese context.
Eaton (2013) notes that by1992 China had designated itself to be a ‘Socialist
Market Economy’. The common view of this meaning a steady privatisation of state
assets, significant restructuring of enterprises, plus hopes that “that exposure to the
stock market would invigorate SOEs and compel them to adapt to the rules of the
market economy” Zhang (2014) agrees that at this stage “...the central goals of the
reform in this regard were to liberate the market, foster private enterprise and improve
productivity”
These reforms and their effects on Chinese SOE are analysed in more detail in a later
section.
SOE REFORM AND FOREIGN LEARNING 14
Japanese-style policies
‘Western-style’ reforms are, however, not the only way to deal with SOEs. The
East Asian economies were long looked upon as a kind of ‘economic miracle’ (see, for
example, Chalmers Johnston (1982), Amsden (2000), Wade (1990)), and their policies
towards, in particular, state ownership of companies are divergent from the Western
model. In the countries of East Asia – South Korea, Taiwan, and Japan in particular –
during the post-WWII period, SOEs played leading role in the economy, and there was
an important role for the government/bureaucracy in guiding and shaping these
enterprises. This contrasts strongly with neo-liberal policies and NPM management
reforms. This developmental state, or Japanese, model is briefly outlined below. In the
Japanese model,
“...the firm, with its given constellation of assets, precedes the market and, in some sense,
enjoys a privileged position over the market . In particular, the modern firm...is envisioned not only
as a repository of vast tacit knowledge and innovative capacity, but also as the key nexus for extended
supplier networks and local economies.” Dittmer and Liu (2006)
Steinfeld (2004) calls this the ‘market as salvation’ viewpoint. In other words, if you
wish to drive innovation and development, this is achieved through the fostering and
evolution of existing enterprises, rather than the introduction of new upstart competitors
to the market. It is the large firms that drive the market. Pearson (2005) describes this
model in some detail. She writes that this model of development “...tolerates substantial
government intervention to structure markets, often in favour of particular firms whose
failure would impose unacceptable social costs.” The government concerns itself with
creating ‘national champions’ by enhancing international competitiveness of domestic
firms in targeted sectors. This is commonly referred to as Industrial Strategy. According
to Ashcroft (2017) “Industrial strategy is about coordinating a wide range of economic
policies to achieve particular objectives, which need not be purely economic.” The
number of competitors for these firms in the market is limited so that they don’t suffer
from ‘excess competition’ that might otherwise impact stability and profitability. Pearson
SOE REFORM AND FOREIGN LEARNING 15
(2005) goes on to outline the kinds of strategies that the Japanese government
employed to ensure the success of certain firms. Firstly, stronger and weaker firms were
merged on order to sustain the weaker firms. Increases in competition were all
structured to avoid unnecessary shocks, limited entry to markets as well as introducing
price and service regulations.
There is centralised regulation as well as the presence of cross-industry
comprehensive agencies who play a powerful role in designing industry strategy.
Regulation differs in the sense that in this system there is little transparency or public
accountability and little legislative/political oversight of the bureaucracy. Heilmann and
Shih (2013) point out that government avoidance of direct intervention into firm-level
decisions, as well as preserving a degree of market competition and enterprise
autonomy, were what distinguished this Japanese-style industrial policy from that of a
socialist planned economy. Chan and Unger (2008) note that Japanese enterprises
were also fairly insulated from the influence of the stock market; that this allowed them
to focus more on long-term goals rather than on short-term return to shareholders.
Japanese enterprises relied more on bank-based finance; this meant that they were
“...less beholden to stock market sentiment than in the American or British systems,
they have a greater tendency to retain and reinvest profits, rather than distribute
substantial dividends.”
The parts of the Japanese economic bureaucracy that are highlighted by
Chalmers Johnson (1982) are the Ministry of International Trade and Industry (MITI)
and the Ministry of Finance (MOF).
“The particular speed, form, and consequences of Japanese economic growth are not intelligible without
reference to the contributions of MITI. Collaboration between the state and big business has long been
acknowledged as the defining characteristic of the Japanese economic system.” Johnson (1982)
MITI was responsible for coordination trade policy with other groups in the bureaucracy
and major Japanese banks. MITI’s responsibilities went beyond imports and exports
and is credited with being the ‘architect of Japanese industrial policy’ after WWII, an
arbiter in industrial disputes, providing industries with both formal and informal
administrative guidance.
SOE REFORM AND FOREIGN LEARNING 16
from the experiences of Taiwan and Korea, their role in shaping the policies of China
was minimal due to the absence of direct relations with one another until the late 1980s.
Former Chinese Premier Zhao Ziyang is of great importance in the early days of
Chinese learning from abroad. Deng allowed Zhao to meet Japanese economists and
advisors involved with economic planning, figures such as Okita Saburo and Shimokabe
Atsushi. Saburo arrived in China in January 1979 with the plan to discuss the idea of
establishing a Japanese ‘advisory group’ as well as the role which Japan may play in
the economic development of China. Vogel (2011) notes that this advisory group
continued to meet with Japanese economic officials until 1992, as well as how
impressed Chinese officials were with MITI. Soon “...The Japan External Trade
Organization (JETRO) under MITI had several offices in China...and provided training to
Chinese managers and technicians in various industrial sectors.”
Heilmann and Shih (2013) note that privileged access to high-level Chinese
officials was allowed to Japanese policy advisors. In some cases, they “...became
official advisers who met with State Council leaders on a regular basis between 1979
and 1985.” There were informal ties between the two countries that has developed
since the 1950s as well as through formal bilateral exchanges. These were used as the
basis for the exchange fora between Chinese and Japanese and Chinese officials and
economists that were established in the early 1980s. A large number of Japan’s
economic bureaucracies and their associated services organisations began to
disseminate models of standard Japanese practice.
In addition, Heilmann and Shih (2013) highlight the importance of the fact that
“...Japan's approach to financial assistance was marked by an unusual degree of
synchronization of loan facilities with China's five-year plans.” Their point is that the
ability to implement important policy projects in China was directly influenced by
Japanese aid. The Japanese MOFA state that Japanese Official Development
Assistance (ODA) to China started in 1979. In the period from 1979 to 2017 they quote
a figure of approximately 3.3164 trillion yen (US$297bn) in loan aid (yen loans), 157.2
billion yen (US1.41bn) in grant aid, and 181.7 billion yen (US$1.63bn in technical
cooperation. “Assistance includes more than infrastructure projects. In the area of
SOE REFORM AND FOREIGN LEARNING 18
technical cooperation the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) has accepted
trainees from China for the purpose of providing assistance to cultivate administrative
personnel. As of FY2013 JICA had accepted a cumulative total of over 35,000 trainees
to nurture the human resources required for industrial promotion. JICA has also
dispatched 9,027 experts to China.”
As a result, Heilmann and Shih (2013) describe Chinese planners as “...eager
protagonists of Japanese-style cross-sectoral indicative planning ("guidance planning")
and sectoral industrial policies.” This view is reflected by Chan and Unger (2008) who
write that during the 1980s and 1990s, Chinese scholars of industrial policy were more
interested in the Japanese system than Western corporate models.
Cases of Chinese learning are not restricted to the 1980s and 1990s. Yoshimatsu
(2010), writes that cooperation between China and Japan was ‘revitalised in the
mid-2000s; “...mechanisms advancing mutual interests, intergovernmental networks
became substantial and policy networks involving business actors have gradually
developed.” Yoshimatsu highlights a case in the mid-2000s where Japan and China
cooperated regarding energy saving. An energy conservation forum was held and
“...China and Japan set up tight policy networks to advance cooperation. While the
governments established a committee to supervise the model projects, business actors
and sub-national governments formed cross-border linkages to substantiate
cooperation.” Although not directly relevant to the reform of SOEs, this is further
evidence of policy cooperation and opportunities for the Chinese to learn from Japan.
relinquishing government control. There was also a very different Marxist flavoured
interpretation of success of capitalism to prevailing western ideas at that time. Of
course, there were not just economic objectives; there was also a significant political
dimension to it.
During the early stages of China’s economic reform, and even well into the
1990s, Japan was still considered as a kind of economic miracle. Its remarkable
industrial surge in the post-war period made it famous around the globe. Chan and
Unger (2008) write that it seemed like the Japanese model offered “...a means to
achieve efficient production and technological progress while avoiding what were
considered to be undesirable aspects of market capitalist organization.” There was a lot
of discussion about how to create a Japanese style ‘enterprise culture.’
Japan was, in the words of Heilmann and Shih (2013) “...widely seen as being
closer and more compatible to the Chinese setting than most Western economies.” The
idea that the government could take a guiding role in bringing about China’s economic
rise was attractive. The Japanese state was perceived to have brought about the
economic miracle through their use of industrial policy and “...non-imperative, indicative
planning” and Chinese planners wished to emulate this. It seemed plausible to use
economic incentives to guide industry and was acceptable to a range of across within
the Chinese government. In addition, the period from the early 1980s until the early
1990s is widely held to be the highpoint of Sino-Japanese relations in recent history.
This favourable political made exchanges a great deal easier between the two
countries, before rising nationalism on both sides put the relationship between them
under serious strain once more.
Eaton (2013) writes that early contributions to arguments for large enterprise
groups and Japanese-style industrial strategy “...drew from the Marxian concept of
'monopoly capitalism' in characterizing large enterprises as the 'inevitable product'
(biran chanwu 必然产物) of capitalist development.” In the Chinese interpretation, large
enterprises were inevitable; Marxian economics: the capitalist road leads towards
monopoly. East Asian Economies provided “...ready models and benchmarks with which
to guide their own use of industrial policy to hasten the process of large enterprise
SOE REFORM AND FOREIGN LEARNING 20
SOE reform
The section below splits SOE reform in China from the 1980s until the late 2000s
into two rough halves – the liberalising reforms of the 1980s which were accelerated
under Zhu Rongji, and the period of Industrial Policy which began from around 2003.
(2008) In 1992, regulations were issued that increased the authority of SOE managers
to hire/fire workers, set wages and use asset enterprises. By 1993, after China was
designated a ‘Socialist Market Economy’, they “...began to identify "competitive"
industries where the state had no strategic interest, so that market processes could be
allowed free rein.”
Naughton (2007) writes that post-1993, the links between the government and
SOEs were gradually severed. The amount of competition that they faced increased
and, significantly there was a reduction in the funding that they could obtain from
state-owned banks. “Between 1978 and about 1993, although the state sector had
shrunk in relative importance, it had continued to grow in absolute terms, both in output
and in employment.” After the mid-1990s state-enterprise employment began to
dramatically decline. Xu (2012) ‘Between 1995 and 2001 the number of state-owned
and state-controlled enterprises fell by nearly two-thirds, from 1.2 million to 468,000.’
SOEs shrank from about 40% to 2.6% of all industrial enterprises; 40% of SOE
employees were laid off between 1998 and 2003.
Figures from the Chinese Statistical Yearbook show a fall in urban employment in SOEs
from 78% in 1978 to 21% in 2009, and value added by SOEs and SHEs (enterprises
where the state is the majority shareholder) decreased from 57% to 34% between 1998
and 2008.
McGregor (2012) notes the decrease in size of SOEs versus Town and Village
Enterprises (TVEs) in industrial output. In 1978, SOEs accounted for 77% and TVEs
9%. By 1996, SOEs had fallen to to 33% TVEs increased to 36 percent. Zhang and
Freestone (2013) From the mid-1990s to the mid-2000s, the state sold about 65% of
SOEs and state assets to non-state owned firms, and, from 1998 to 2004, 60% SOE
employees lost their jobs. According to Brandt and Rawski (2008) The state sector in
China accounted for 77.6% of industrial production and 51.8% of non-farm employment
in 1978. They quote figures of 15.2 and 13.1 percent respectively for the state sector's
share in industrial output and non-farm employment by 2004/5. In addition, there was a
reduction of 177,700 in the overall number of state enterprises between 2001 and 2004.
SOE REFORM AND FOREIGN LEARNING 23
was the need to improve productive capacity – strategic industries comprise productive
assets; it is important to control and manage these well to maintain their productivity
levels.
A key policy direction was towards technological upgrading. Chen and Naughton
(2013) note that in this period, there was an increased focus on domestic technological
capabilities “...there was a steady ratcheting up of the commitment to ‘indigenous
innovation’ and ultimately to techno-industrial policies.” Foreign direct investment in
China hadn’t brought about technological upgrading by itself; China was integrated into
the global systems of production for hi-tech goods, but this was almost exclusively at
the lower-end assembly stages. The high-end stages were run by foreign companies
themselves and allowed them to maintain “...control over proprietary technology.”
Secondly they wished to reduce industrial fragmentation and promote regional
balancing; to guide and coordinate industry. In addition, large enterprises could also
take advantage of economies of scale and coordinated supply chains. Other
enterprises, such as state-owned banks were not especially profitable, but are seen as
crucial to China’s economic security.
Regarding the social and political goals of the large industrial strategy, Pearson (2005)
writes that it was central to maintaining social stability. In particular, strategic enterprises
remain an important source of employment.
administrative monopolies, but this has come at the expense of efficiency and has had
negative effects on SME industries in China.
SOE REFORM AND FOREIGN LEARNING 27
Analysis
There is a certain dichotomy in policies that have been employed in the reform of
SOEs in China since the beginning of the reform period in where the policy learning has
come from. On the one hand there has been privatisation of state-owed assets, opening
up to the global economy through trade (including entry to the WTO), and organisational
reform of the public sector; the policies that China learnt from the West. Yet, over the
same period there has been extensive use of industrial policy, including directing of
capital to specific industries, targeting and protecting particular sectors for development,
bailouts of failing banks and setting up of various planning units within the bureaucracy.
Here we see the importance of the role of the state and Chinese industrial policy; there
was significant influence from the Japanese here and strong evidence of learning from
the Japanese experience of development. It is clear that the narrative that the market
has prevailed over planning in China, or that Western-style learning is the only show in
town is certainly an over-simplification.
Both, supposedly opposing, forces were in place simultaneously in the reform
process; of shrinking the size of the state, yet increasing the role of the state in
economic planning. As Eaton (2013) argues, whilst market reforms were under way
“...senior policy-makers were engaged in vigorous discussion and planning for
establishment of a market-conforming model of state control in an open economy. And
large enterprise groups, particularly the 'pilot' enterprises, had pride of place in these
plans.” How can we account for this seemingly contradictory state of affairs?
Firstly, and most obviously, one major set of Chinese reforms explicitly contained
both kinds of policy – industrial policy combined with extensive privatisation; these were
the ‘zhuada fangxiao’ reforms begun under Zhu Rongji, which came after the first wave
of liberalisation. As noted earlier ‘grasping the big’ meant cultivating strong, competitive
large enterprises and enterprise groups and developing them into large cross-regional,
cross-sectional, multi-owner, multi-national big firms. “Letting go the small” implies that
the government allows small and medium-size SOEs to face market forces.
SOE REFORM AND FOREIGN LEARNING 28
There are different factions or coalitions that struggle amongst themselves to push their
own policy agendas. Some of these are more market-friendly, others favour state
planning. It is the shifting influence of these bodies that influences the dominant line of
policy that is followed. As Heilmann and Shih (2013) describe the Hu-Wen period,
“...many previously influential protagonists and brokers of economic liberalization were
sidelined, whereas indicative planners and industrial policy protagonists merged into a
‘centrist’ or ‘statist’ advocacy coalition that became the dominant force in economic
policy-making.” They also go on to say that Chinese economists who advocate
market-based solutions have remained popular with the business community and
finance sector. This leaves the door open somewhat for the pendulum to swing back
towards ‘Western-style’ policies in the future, although under the current leadership of Xi
Jinping, this appears unlikely in the immediate future.
Zheng and Chen’s (2009) paper, for example seems to treat Chinese state power
as absolute, and that they have the power to implement policies at will. There is little
divergence of opinion within the Chinese government or between the government and
the SOEs themselves. There is truth in this – the government is able to retain a degree
influence of influence over SOEs through a variety of tools, such as the appointment of
board members through the State Asset Supervision Administration Commission
(SASAC), or the approval of loans from state-owned banks. There is, however, a line of
literature that stresses the agency that SOE managers have over the policies that they
adopt, as well as their input into the decision-making process itself. Scholars such as Xu
Yi-chong write that the CCP control is relatively weak; SOEs themselves have a certain
degree of autonomy in choosing and shaping decisions that affect them. Other authors
such as Zhang and Freestone (2013) talk about how SOEs shape government policy
priorities, noting, in many cases, little effective supervision of SOEs which allows them
to pursue their own interests. Chen (2010) writes in detail about political struggles over
reforms between bureaucrats who wish to introduce market incentives to improve
competitiveness and those whose interests would be compromised by such reforms.
Downs (2007) uses the example of the Oil Industry in China which has been able to
resist government attempts to introduce increased competition in the sector. “China’s oil
SOE REFORM AND FOREIGN LEARNING 30
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Websites Accessed:
Japanese Ministry of Foreign Affairs:
http://www.mofa.go.jp/policy/oda/region/e_asia/china/index.html