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Higher Education
in Africa
Higher Education
in Africa:
Edited by
All rights for this book reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced,
stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means,
electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without
the prior permission of the copyright owner.
1
The editors would like to thank the following institutions and persons: The
Vienna Institute of Demography (Austrian Academy of Sciences), the International
Institute for Applied Systems Analysis and the University of Graz for providing
extra-funding and in-kind contributions that allowed us to complete this work; Lisa
Janisch for organizing efficiently language editing; Daisy Brickhill, Kathryn
Platzer, Werner Richter, and Matthew Cantele for language editing; and Edith
Lanser for helping with formatting in the last stage of the book production. Thanks
to all. All remaining errors are ours.
Higher Education in Africa ix
need of the labor market and the economy largely explains the advancement
of economic development in many settings (World Bank 2008, Un 2012).
Furthermore, some researchers, while not contesting the need to invest in
basic education, contended that higher education needs to be promoted as
well even if it does not address large segments of the population. For
instance, Bloom, Canning and Chan (2006) point out that the development
of higher education could push forward change and innovation, just as
much as capacity building in many of the poverty-stricken countries. It is
especially key to promote faster technological catchup, in particular if
many of those students in higher education graduate in science and
technology—to supply the scientists, engineers and technicians that are
necessary for the knowledge economy. Also, higher education provides
the opportunity to acquire competences that are crucial to increase private,
but also social and economic returns such as adaptability, team work,
communication skills and the motivation for continuous learning. While
both enrollment in higher education and the share of the productive labor
force with tertiary education are still very low in most sub-Saharan
African countries, some gain can be observed and is projected to continue
as a result of increases in demand and increases in the school-age
population.
Sub-Saharan Africa’s population will most likely reach one billion in
2017 (United Nations 2015), accounting for 13 per cent of the world
population. Its population is the youngest of all world regions, with 43 per
cent of the population under the age of 15, 54 per cent under 20 and 63 per
cent under 24. The share of the population in the age of attending higher
education—set at 18–23 years—includes 11.5 per cent of the population in
2015 and will remain constant until 2035, which means, at the rapid
population growth rates in this sub-region, that this population will
increase by 50 per cent from its 2015 level (110 million) until 2035 (183
million), and will have doubled by 2050 (235 million).
Rapid population growth, together with the rising demand for higher
education largely explains why the number of universities and colleges has
been increasing very fast in sub-Saharan Africa. In 2009, a World Bank
report estimated that between 1990 and 2007, the number of public
universities had almost doubled (from 100 to 200) while the number of
private institutions was increased twenty-fold from 24 to 468. In 2016, the
ranking web of universities counts 862 universities in sub-Saharan Africa,
with more than half of them being located in just four countries: Nigeria
x Introduction
(223), South Africa (124), Kenya (67) and Tanzania (51).2 Brought in
relation to the population in the countries, we find that 8 is the median
number of universities per 1000 population aged 18-23 in sub-Saharan
Africa. Some countries have a higher number of post-secondary
institutions, such as Somalia, Ghana, South Africa, and Botswana. This
growth shows the vividness of the tertiary sector (comprising university
and non-university institutions). However, such an explosion does not go
without problems which are mainly related to the quality of the education
provided in those institutions. While challenges are found both at the level
of public and private institutions, the lack of appropriate regulatory bodies
makes it harder to control the quality of teaching in the private sector, i.e.
whether all education providers meet national and international standards
—this is particularly true for higher education institutions in Francophone
Africa (Saint, Lao and Materu 2014)
Notwithstanding the growth in the number of institutions, sub-Saharan
Africa still has the lowest tertiary gross enrollment ratio in the world—
about 9 per cent—compared for instance to 31 per cent in northern Africa
or south-east Asia. Most countries actually have enrollment ratios in the
tertiary sector even below that figure. This is particularly noticeable in
countries such as Tanzania or Niger where enrollment ratios are below 5
per cent. South Africa, Cape Verde and Botswana are the few countries
with higher enrollments in the tertiary sector, with over 20 per cent, and in
Mauritius no less than 40 per cent of the relevant population are enrolled
in tertiary education programs. Mauritius is in fact the showcase for how
education, together with a national family planning program, can contribute
to reduction in fertility allowing for an economic and development boom.
This book does not pretend to be exhaustive and to cover all issues
related to higher education in sub-Saharan Africa3 but tries to go beyond
the issues that are normally tackled by academic work on higher education
in sub-Saharan Africa, taking the look of practitioners at some issues that
might be less known. The general demographic and statistical picture is
laid out in Part I where the chapter by Anne Goujon & Jakob Eder
presents the figures regarding the evolution of population shares with
different levels of educational attainment, showing the small niche
occupied by higher education in most African countries in comparison
2
Those are estimates based largely on the 2016 ranking web of universities.
http://www.webometrics.info/en [21/04/2016] and searches in Wikipedia for those
countries where no universities were found in the former source, i.e. Chad, Eritrea,
Guinea-Bissau, Congo, Reunion and São Tomé.
3
For those interested into a comprehensive analysis, we would recommend to read
for instance the work of Teferra and Alpbach (2003).
Higher Education in Africa xi
References
Bloom, David, David Canning, and Kevin Chan. 2006. Higher Education
and Economic Development in Africa. Washington, DC: The World
Bank.
Petrakis, Panagiotis E., and Dimitrios Stamatakis. 2002. “Growth and
educational levels: a comparative analysis.” Economics of Education
Review 21:513–521.
Psacharopoulos, George. 1994. “Return to education: A global update.”
World Development 22:1325–1343.
—. 2004. “Return to education: A further update.” Education Economics
12:111–134.
Saint, William, Christine Lao, and Peter Materu. 2014. “Legal
Frameworks for Tertiary Education in Sub-Saharan Africa: The Quest
for Institutional Responsiveness.” World Bank Working Paper No.
175. Washington DC: The World Bank.
Teferra, Damtew, and Philip G. Altbach, eds. 2003. African Higher
Education: An International Reference Handbook. Bloomington:
Indiana University Press.
Un, Leang. 2012. “A comparative study of education and development in
Cambodia and Uganda from their civil wars to the present.” PhD
Thesis, Amsterdam Institute for Social Science Research (AISSR).
United Nations. 2015. World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision.
4
Note that most data presented in the chapters correspond to the time of writing in
2014.
5
The programme is available online: www.oeaw.ac.at/vid/events/event-details
/article/higher-education-mobility-and-migration-in-and-out-of-africa/
[accessed on 30/06/2016].
Higher Education in Africa xv
Abstract
Based on global harmonized data on educational attainment by age and
sex estimated for the year 2010, the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography
and Global Human Capital (IIASA, VID/ÖAW, WU) has reconstructed
past levels of education back to 1970 and projected those levels until 2100
according to several scenarios (Lutz, Butz, and K.C. 2014). This chapter
will present a quantitative analysis of several indicators to show the
overall development of education in Africa, and that of higher education in
particular. This is achieved by analyzing several indicators related to
population shares by levels of education, mean years of schooling, the
gender gap and the change across cohorts in the recent past. We will look
at potential future changes and the linkages between population and
development in higher education. Overall, and not surprisingly, Africa is
very heterogeneous and the share of the working-age population with
higher education is low. However, there has been an increase among
younger cohorts and the gap between men and women has been closing in
1
Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (IIASA,
VID/OEAW, WU), Vienna Institute of Demography/Austrian Academy of
Sciences, Vienna, Austria and World Population Program/International Institute
for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.
2
Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (IIASA,
VID/OEAW, WU), Vienna Institute of Demography/Austrian Academy of
Sciences, Vienna, Austria and Institute for Urban and Regional Research/Austrian
Academy of Sciences, Vienna, Austria.
The Development of Higher Education in Africa 3
recent years. The projections show that fast population growth in many
countries of the continent might bring about large increases in the size of
the cohorts to be enrolled in post-secondary education in the future,
implying substantial investments in the higher education sector.
Introduction
The development of higher education in Sub-Saharan Africa has been and
is still suffering from two interlinked handicaps. In a nutshell, the situation
of the higher education sector on the one hand mirrors that of other
education sectors where large segments of the population in working ages
still have no or low levels of education. On the other hand, because most
African societies are not yet knowledge economies, but rather largely
focused on the agricultural and industrial sectors, it is difficult for
graduates to find employment. This is the case principally for those trained
in the humanities, because the public service and the governmental sector
are unable to absorb all graduates. These phenomena reinforce each other
in a vicious cycle that education and other enabling factors could turn into a
virtuous cycle in the future. At the same time, African countries have long
since entered an education transition and “much of Africa is at the early
stage of “massification” of higher education” (Teferra 2013, xv) which is
caused partly by a compelling social pressure to increase enrollment in
higher education, but also population growth. The purpose of this chapter is
to quantitatively frame the development of the education sector in Africa
during the last fifty years in comparison to other world regions. It also looks
at differences between countries and concretely addresses the issues of
population growth and development of higher education, as well as the
influence of higher education on population growth.
This chapter focuses on human capital, defined as the stock of the adult
population at different levels of education; it is the translation of schooling
enrollment and completion statistics with a time lag. Since the 1950s,
educational attainment in most countries has been measured using
censuses at regular intervals—usually every 10 years. However, this has
not always been the case, particularly in Sub-Saharan Africa. In the last 30
years, only 33 out of the 50 countries have conducted three censuses
which would be considered standard—in the 1980s (in the 1985–1994
period), in the 1990s (in the 1995–2004 period) and in the 2000s (in the
4 Chapter One
2005–2014 period).3 Even when census data were collected, that did not
mean they were accessible. For instance, IPUMS,4 a project located at the
University of Minnesota dedicated to collecting and distributing census
data from around the world could only collect data from five out of the 33
series of three censuses mentioned above (Burkina Faso, Kenya, Malawi,
Mali, Zambia).5 IPUMS has managed partial coverage (of one or two
censuses) in a few more countries, as well as a few older African censuses
of the 1970s. Furthermore, levels of educational attainment are not always
available, or if they are, they may not be in sufficient detail to allow for
coherent categorization according to the International Standard Classification
of Education (ISCED). The lack of data not only affects information on
levels of education, and as registration systems (for births and deaths,
among other things) do not properly function in many countries, some data
have been collected outside of the realm of censuses through several
household surveys: primarily Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS),
and additionally Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey (MICS), Living
Standards Measurement Study (LSMS) and Health and Demographic
Surveillance System (HDSS). These surveys are extremely useful for
supplementing the deficient population data collection system. They also
often include data on the highest level of education and the grades
completed by all members of households. However, there are two main
deficiencies: the first one is inherent to the type of data collection, as
surveys try to be being representative without always succeeding. This is
particularly true in Sub-Saharan Africa where the more remote places,
ethnic/religious minorities, or poverty-stricken households living in slums
are not always covered (Falkingham and Namazie 2002). These areas are,
generally speaking, populated by less educated groups and hence the
surveys often tend to overestimate levels of educational attainment. The
same is true for the elderly population above the age of 50. Even more
pertinent to this chapter, post-secondary education in DHS is aggregated
into one level with no possibility of distinguishing between the different
levels of educational attainment at post-secondary level: for instance,
vocational education, undergraduate or graduate studies (Bauer et al.
2012).
Most of the data used in this chapter originate from back and forward
projections carried out at the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and
3
The data on all censuses carried out in the world are available from the United
Nations Statistics Division: http://unstats.un.org/unsd/demographic/sources/
census/censusdates.htm [14/01/2016].
4
Integrated Public Use Microdata Series.
5
https://international.ipums.org/international-action/samples [14/01/2016].
The Development of Higher Education in Africa 5
Global Human Capital (WIC 2015). The back projections reconstruct the
shares of the population by educational attainment from 2010 back to
1970, taking into account the hierarchical nature of education and that it is
mostly acquired at young ages. Hence by knowing the structure at one
point in time, one can basically reconstruct the past taking into
consideration three parameters that influence the estimation: education
transition at schooling ages (up to the age 34),6 mortality differentials—as
education is a strong factor of heterogeneity in mortality (Huisman et al.
2005; Hummer and Lariscy 2011)—and education differentials in the
population of immigrants. The methodology for the reconstruction is
available from Lutz et al. (2007) and Speringer et al. (2015) and the one
for the projection, centered on expert-based modeling, from Lutz, Butz,
and K.C. (2014) and K.C. et al. (2013). The end product which we will be
using throughout the chapter is the age, sex and education structure
(according to six education categories: no education, incomplete primary,
primary completed, completed lower secondary, completed upper
secondary and completed post-secondary education) for the population of
171 countries—including most countries in Africa7—from 1970 to 2100
(projections according to a set of seven scenarios) in 5-year steps.8
6
Detailed data have shown that in developing countries school transitions,
particularly those to higher levels of education, can occur until late ages but
overwhelmingly do so before age 35.
7
The dataset is limited to countries with more than 100,000 inhabitants in 2010;
data on education were not available for the following African countries: Angola,
Botswana, Mayotte, Eritrea, Djibouti, Libya, Mauritania and Togo.
8
Data are available from www.wittgensteincentre.org/dataexplorer [14/01/2016].
9
Read Potanþoková (2014) for details on MYS calculation methodology and the
challenges involved.
6 Chapter One
Figure 1.1: MYS of population aged 15+ in Africa and sub-regions of Africa, 2010
10
9,0
9
7 6,5
Mean years of schooling
5,8 5,8
6
5,1 5,1
5
0
Africa Eastern Africa Western Africa Middle Africa Northern Africa Southern Africa
Figure 1.2 reveals that the regional data hide the diversity of settings in the
regions. The MYS of the 15+ population in Nigeria (6.5 years) in western
Africa is four times higher than in Niger (1.5 years). The deviation is the
same in eastern Africa where the MYS in Mozambique (2.4 years) is four
times lower than that in Zimbabwe (9.7 years). While the difference is
smaller in the other regions, it is still considerable in northern and middle
Africa. Figure 1.2 basically tells us that regional data have little meaning
in this matter.
Figure 1.2 (next page): MYS of population aged 15+, Africa, 2010
Source: WIC (2015)
The Development of Higher Education in Africa 7
Nigeria
Ghana
Cape Verde
Gambia
Cote d'Ivoire
Western Africa
Sierra Leone
Guinea-Bissau
Benin
Senegal
Guinea
Burkina Faso
Liberia
Mali
Niger
Southern Africa
South Africa
Namibia
Swaziland
Lesotho
Algeria
Northern Africa
Tunisia
Egypt
Morocco
Sudan
Equatorial Guinea
Gabon
Congo
Middle Africa
DR Congo
Cameroon
Sao Tome & Principe
Central African Rep.
Chad
Zimbabwe
Reunion
Kenya
Zambia
Maurius
Tanzania
Eastern Africa
Uganda
Malawi
Comoros
Rwanda
Madagascar
Somalia
Burundi
Ethiopia
Mozambique
Africa
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mean years of schooling
8 Chapter One
Figure 1.3: Standard average deviation in MYS in 2010 from regional average, in 3
clusters, population in age group 25-59
2,5
Eastern Africa
regional average
2,0
Middle Africa
1,5
Northern Africa
1,0 Western Africa
0,5 Southern Asia
0,0
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
Eastern Asia
2,5
South-east Asia
regional average
2,0
Western Asia
1,5
Carribean
1,0 Central America
0,5 South America
0,0 Southern Africa
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
2,5
Central Asia
regional average
2,0
Eastern Europe
1,5
Northern Europe
1,0 Southern Europe
0,5 Western Europe
0,0
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
high MYS but a low share with higher education, a similar phenomenon
can be seen in Gabon, Equatorial Guinea and in most countries in southern
Africa.
In Africa overall, and in most regions, the large majority of the
working-age population has primary education or less (Table 1.1). This
share is almost 80% in eastern Africa and around 70% in middle and
western Africa. In southern Africa, this less educated population makes up
one-third of the working-age population and in northern Africa just over
half (53%). Compared with other world regions, including Asia, Africa
clearly shows a trend towards low education levels beyond primary
education. Only south-central Asia (including the less educated countries
such as Afghanistan and Pakistan, and some states in India) exhibits
similarly low educational attainment.
particularly during the military regime of the 1990s. When democracy was
restored, the goals regarding higher education—to expand enrollment and
improve educational quality—were constrained by the growing lack of
trained lecturers and professors.
Latin
6% 13% 21% 18% 26% 15%
America a
Northern
1% 0% 3% 6% 51% 39%
America
Europe 1% 1% 6% 17% 52% 23%
Oceania 2% 3% 10% 15% 40% 31%
World 15% 6% 17% 21% 26% 14%
a
Including the Caribbean
Source: WIC (2015)
The Development of Higher Education in Africa 13
In order to disentangle the earlier and most recent changes, in the next
section we will compare the share with higher education in the young and
old working-age populations—dividing them arbitrarily into 20–39 and 40–
64 years old. Men and women are represented separately in Figure 1.5.
Comparing the two age groups leads to surprising results. First of all, while
in a large majority of African countries younger cohorts are more educated
than older cohorts, this is not the case everywhere and in 16 countries, the
share of the population with higher education is lower among the 20–39 than
among the 40–64 year olds. Figure 1.5 reveals that this is mostly the case
among men. While the younger generation of women of working age seems
to be more educated than the older one with only a few exceptions,10 the
opposite is true for men in a majority of countries: younger cohorts seem to
have had less access to higher education than older ones.11
This worsening of conditions for men is not unique, and has been
found in other settings: in OECD countries—DiPrete and Buchmann
(2013) show convincingly that the reversal of the gender gap in college
enrollment and university degree completion had already occurred by the
1980s in many countries. This was also the case in Latin America,
however it has been much less documented for Africa. One explanation
could be that, like in Europe, discouraged male students withdraw from
education to enter the job market because of disillusionment regarding
employment prospects and the monetary returns of higher education. As
shown by Fortin et al. in the United States (2015), men tend to have career
plans for occupations early on in their school life, which often do not
require advanced degrees. Moreover, several reports show that in Africa,
the young who do have some education are more likely to be unemployed.
In Africa, unemployment rates tend to be higher among university
graduates than the uneducated or less educated, and in middle-income
compared to low-income countries. However, unemployment rates also
affect more women than men and are particularly high in northern African
countries where actually the increase between the two cohorts was the
strongest for men (AfDB et al. 2012). The mismatch between qualification
and employment opportunities is therefore part of the explanation but not
the only reason.
10
In Namibia, South Africa, Gabon and Congo (sorted from high to low shares in
post-secondary education for the age group 20–39), there was a higher share of
women with higher education among older cohorts compared to younger ones.
11
In Mayotte, Djibouti, Eritrea, Burundi, Lesotho, Chad, Sudan, Morocco,
Gambia, Egypt, Libya, Reunion, Ethiopia, Cote d’Ivoire, Tunisia, Algeria (sorted
from high to low), there was a higher share of men with higher education among
the younger cohorts compared to the older ones.
14 Chapter One
Figure 1.5: Share of men and women with higher education, 20–39 and 40–64 age
groups, 2010, all African countries
0,25
0,2
Share higher education in age group 40-64
Swaziland Egypt
Congo
0,15
Nigeria
Reunion
0,1
Egypt
Libya
0,05
Algeria
Tunisia
0
0 0,05 0,1 0,15 0,2 0,25
Share higher educaon in age group 20-39
While gender gaps in education were frequent in the past, they are now
more likely to occur at the lowest levels of educational attainment, which
are bottlenecks when levels of education are low. At higher education
levels, the gender gaps tend to be less present. Measured by the share of
the population aged 25–29 with post-secondary education, women were
lagging 20 years behind men in 1990, meaning that the share of women
with higher education in 1990 was equivalent to that of men in 1970
The Development of Higher Education in Africa 15
(approximately 3%). In 2010, this gap was down to 10 years, meaning that
the share of women with higher education in 2010 was equivalent to that
of men in 2000 (approximately 7%). At the national level, most countries
experienced a reduction in the gender gap, sometimes even moving
towards its inversion, as shown in the previous section. However, in a few
countries the gap was actually increasing. This happened where enrollment
in higher education was extremely low for both men and women, and the
increase occurred first within the male population before including
women. This is the case for countries such as Benin, Burkina Faso,
Cameroon, the Comoros, Malawi, Niger and Zimbabwe. In some
countries, like Nigeria, the increase for both sexes has been substantial, but
at a faster pace for men, especially in the late 1980s.
The Future
The projections by levels of education present different futures of the
population of Africa. In Figure 1.6, we show the population pyramids of
the African continent for 2060 according to three different scenarios of
educational development (out of the seven scenarios developed): Trend,
Fast Track and Constant Enrollment Rate. According to the Trend
scenario, which takes into consideration the present situation and the most
likely future in view of national and global trajectories, the spread of
higher education in 2060 could reach 17% of the working-age population
(20–64) of Africa—from 6% in 2010—with equal shares of men and
women. This higher-education share will be much lower if we consider the
Constant Enrollment Rate scenario, which freezes enrollment rates at the
level observed in the latest year of observation (around 2010) into the
future. There the share of the population with higher education would not
exceed 7% in Africa by 2060, with a gap of 3 percentage points between
men—8%—and women—5%. In the case of the Fast Track scenario,
where the trend is accelerated, as a result of important investments in the
education sector in Africa, the share of the population of Africa with
higher education would increase to 51%, with perfect equality between
men and women.
Figure 1.6 (next page). Age and education pyramid of the population of Africa in
2010, and in 2060 according to 3 scenarios
Source: WIC (2015)
16 Chapter One
100+ 100+
95 to 99 95 to 99
90 to 94 90 to 94
85 to 89 85 to 89
80 to 84 80 to 84
75 to 79 75 to 79
70 to 74 70 to 74
65 to 69 65 to 69
60 to 64 60 to 64
55 to 59 55 to 59
50 to 54 50 to 54
45 to 49 45 to 49
40 to 44 40 to 44
35 to 39 35 to 39
30 to 34 30 to 34
25 to 29 25 to 29
20 to 24 20 to 24
15 to 19 15 to 19
10 to 14 10 to 14
5 to 9 5 to 9
0 to 4 0 to 4
120 80 40 0 40 80 120 120 80 40 0 40 80 120
Men [in millions] Women Men [in millions] Women
Total populaon: 1.022 billion Total populaon: 2.216 billion
100+ 100+
95 to 99 95 to 99
90 to 94 90 to 94
85 to 89 85 to 89
80 to 84 80 to 84
75 to 79 75 to 79
70 to 74 70 to 74
65 to 69 65 to 69
60 to 64 60 to 64
55 to 59 55 to 59
50 to 54 50 to 54
45 to 49 45 to 49
40 to 44 40 to 44
35 to 39 35 to 39
30 to 34 30 to 34
25 to 29 25 to 29
20 to 24 20 to 24
15 to 19 15 to 19
10 to 14 10 to 14
5 to 9 5 to 9
0 to 4 0 to 4
120 80 40 0 40 80 120 120 80 40 0 40 80 120
Men [in millions] Women Men [in millions] Women
Total populaon: 2.396 billion Total populaon: 2.024 billion
The pyramids also differ in terms of the size of the population. Since the
level of education, particularly that of women, influences the number of
children born, we can see that the population of Africa varies under the
three scenarios: from 2.02 billion in the Fast Track scenario to 2.4 billion
in the Constant Enrollment Rate scenario. In the Trend scenario, the
population would be about 2.2 billion in 2060. The large differences in the
outcomes of the scenarios show highlight the strong effect educational
gains might have on the population size and structure of Africa, and what
would happen if there were no increase in education at all.
Regardless of the scenario, the population increase is major because of
population momentum, meaning the absolute size of the cohorts that are—
or in the near future will be—bearing children. This is relevant for many
African countries because it has implications in terms of the investments
in higher education. According to the Trend scenario, the population aged
25–29 with post-secondary education would increase 5-fold during the
next 50 years, meaning if this were to be achieved, critical investments in
the whole education sector would be necessary. As can be seen from
Figure 1.7, the increase will be tremendous for some countries such as
Ethiopia (5-fold), Mali (12-fold), Mozambique (13-fold) and Nigeria (8-
fold).
18 Chapter One
Figure 1.7: Population (in thousand) aged 25–29 with post-secondary education,
four African countries, 2010–2060, Trend scenario
Ethiopia Mali
1.800 120
1.600
100
1.400
1.200 80
in thousands
in thousands
1.000
60
800
600 40
400
20
200
0 0
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Mozambique Nigeria
140 12.000
120
10.000
100
8.000
in thousdands
in thousands
80
6.000
60
4.000
40
2.000
20
0 0
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
disaffection for higher education among men that has also been observed
in many developed countries.
The next obstacle has to do with future population growth which will
affect the ability of countries to absorb people in higher education. Many
development experts and demographers doubt the ability of most African
countries—especially those along the Sahel belt which have barely
initiated their demographic transition—to seize the demographic dividend
that would arise from having large segments of the population in the
working-age population (e.g. Eastwood and Lipton (2012) and Guengant
and May (2013)). Others are more optimistic (Bloom et al. 2007). The
opening of a window of opportunity requires three important preconditions
(among others) that are missing in those countries. First, rapid fertility
decline, which allows for fast decline in the dependency ratios favoring
productivity. Second, an educated population, whose skills will contribute
to economic development. Regarding the latter, we have shown that the
development of education will require substantially increased funds since
the schooling-age population is bound to increase, and this applies to all
levels of education. Furthermore, if higher education generates the
opportunity, governments and different actors in society must be able to
grasp the potential. The third prerequisite is good governance, which
played an important role in the economic miracle that occurred among the
so-called Asian Tigers (Mason 2001) and it is still missing in many
African countries. Financing the development of higher education and
developing the mechanisms that will allow the integration of the more
highly educated into the labor force will be among the main challenges for
African societies in the future (Teferra 2013).
The data used in this chapter do not allow for two sorts of analysis
which are at the heart of the development of the higher education sector.
The first is quality of education. Since the statistics are based on education
levels attained and years of schooling, they do not contain any information
on the quality of education and we can only speculate about that as we
briefly did in the case of Nigeria. This comment is also valid for the
comparison across countries, where the fact that the same proportion of the
population has achieved a certain level of education does not mean
progress is equivalent in terms of the quality of the curriculum followed in
both countries. The other caveat is, as mentioned above, the lack of
information on the proportion of the group with post-secondary education
which continued to graduate and postgraduate studies, the latter being the
focus of this book. Therefore the data analyzed in this chapter tend to
overestimate the population with completed higher education.
The Development of Higher Education in Africa 21
References
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Promoting Youth Employment. Paris: OECD Publishing.
Ajakaiye, Olu and Mwangi S. Kimenyi. 2011. “Higher Education and
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Journal of African Economies 20 (3):iii3–iii13.
Amaghionyeodiwe, Lloyd A. and Tokunbo S. Osinubi. 2012. “The
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m_Canning_et_al_Demographic_Dividend_in_Africa.pdf?1
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“Educational Inequalities in Cause-Specific Mortality in Middle-Aged
22 Chapter One
MAX HALLER1
Abstract
In this contribution, the recent development of higher education and
academic research in Africa (with particular reference to Sub-Saharan
Africa) is discussed, building on a review of the literature and one small
study by the author. The chapter starts with an outline of the recent
expansion and present state of higher education; while Africa still lags
behind all other continents in this regard, the expansion of education has
been considerable and will continue, given the extremely young
population. In the first section, some issues connected with this expansion
are discussed. In sections two to five, specific structural and institutional
problems for African higher education and academic research are
elaborated: The role of higher education for the reproduction of social
class structures; the potential conflict between Western and African values
in higher education; the ambivalent role of the domination of European
languages in higher education and academic research; and problems of the
internal administration and equipment of universities and their relations
with governments. The concluding section summarizes the findings and
draws some policy implications from them.
1
Prof. em., Department of Sociology, University of Graz, Austria; Member of the
Austrian Academy of Sciences.
Higher Education and Academic Research in Africa 25
Introduction2
The relevance of higher education and scientific research for economic,
social and political development is beyond doubt. Without them, the
industrial and political revolutions of the 18th and 19th centuries would not
have happened, Japan and the state-socialist countries in Eastern Europe
would not have undergone their revolutionary catch-ups in the 20th
century. The recent spectacular economic growth in many South-East
Asian countries was also based on a massive upgrading of the educational
level of their populations, including a strong expansion of the tertiary
sector. Africa, and in particular Sub-Saharan Africa, is still lagging behind
all other major world regions both in terms of general and of higher
education, as shown in the preceding chapter by Anne Goujon and Jakob
Eder. While in most other countries and macro-regions of the global
South, about a third of the work-age population have attained some upper
secondary and post-secondary education, in Sub-Saharan Africa this
proportion is only between a sixth and a quarter. It is comparably high
only in North Africa and the Republic of South Africa and its small
neighbor countries (see Table 2.1 below, p.32).
This chapter has two aims. First, it will add some basic figures about
the development of higher education in Africa, supplementing the general
data about demographic development and educational development
presented in the previous chapter. Second, it will focus on a few social-
structural, cultural and institutional context factors which have been
influential and will contribute to future development. While covering
Africa as a whole, particular focus will be given to Sub-Saharan Africa,
the part of the continent which is the largest in terms of population and
which also poses particular challenges concerning higher education. We
explore five historical and structural issues which affect the connection
between educational upgrading and the expansion of higher education, and
educational upgrading and socio-economic development. These issues
include: (1) The relative youthfulness of higher education and research in
Africa; (2) the high level of socio-economic inequality in nearly all
African societies; (3) the potential conflict between traditional African and
modern Western values; (4) the extreme ethnic and linguistic diversity,
particularly of Sub-Saharan Africa; (5) the specific development of
politics and government, and the relations between governments and
2
Thanks for very useful comments to the draft manuscript are given to Anne
Goujon (VID, Austrian Academy of Sciences, Vienna), Bernadette Müller Kmet,
University of Innsbruck) and Susan Mlangwa (University of St. Augustine,
Graduate Programme, Dar es salaam).
26 Chapter Two
3
See Max Roser, GDP Growth Over the last Centuries, published online
http://ourworldindata.org/data/growth-and-distribution-of-prosperity/gdp-growth-
over-the-last-centuries/ (30.1.2016).
Higher Education and Academic Research in Africa 27
capita even decreased in many countries between 1961 and 2005.4 This
situation is particularly depressing given the dynamic development of
other world regions, which had levels of development that were
comparable to Africa after World War II, such as Latin America or India,
or the astonishing catching-up of South East Asian countries like Taiwan,
Korea and Thailand, and recently also of China. The success of the former
has been attributed by many scholars to their deliberate and successful
efforts to improve the education of their populations. An enormous
emphasis was placed on educational policies in South Korea, for
instance—a country which has experienced spectacular growth in recent
decades. Although after World War II the majority of the population were
still illiterate, today the rate of enrolment in secondary and higher
education is one of the highest in the world; over 90% attend secondary
schooling, and 65% of 25–34 old Koreans have had tertiary education.5
Korean pupils also score the highest globally in international achievement
tests like PISA (Programme for International Student Assessment).
The close connection between higher education and scientific research
on the one hand, and modernization on the other—technological progress,
economic growth, social and political improvement—is beyond doubt.
However, the connection between education and socio-economic progress
is true only in the long-term prospect and in a broad comparative view. If
we look at more restricted periods and specific countries, it is less evident.
Four caveats are in order here. First, some scholars have pointed out that
the expansion of higher education more often follows economic
development, rather than the other way around. (Abdi and Cleghorn 2005,
9; Arnove and Torres 1999) Today, societies can foster industrialization
and massively increase their output by taking over knowledge and
innovations from other countries (although one needs higher education
also to utilize innovative technologies). Second, a strong expansion of
higher education may create problems of its own, both from the viewpoint
of the students and from their career prospects. On the one hand, high
levels of competition in the school system may have unforeseen
consequences. The “all-work, no-play culture” of the South Korean school
4
Looking at the nine five-year intervals between 1961 and 2005, in six African
countries—Central African Republic, Chad, Democratic Republic of Congo,
Gabon, Liberia, Zambia—GDP p.c. declined in six or more periods. Data of the
World Bank, compiled in
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_%28real%29_per_capita_
growth_rate.
5
See http://wenr.wes.org/2013/06/wenr-june-2013-an-overview-of-education-in-south-
korea/
28 Chapter Two
system6, for instance, causes high levels of stress and alarming numbers of
suicides among students who have working-learning days that often end
only at 11 p.m.7 On the other hand, ever since R. B. Freeman’s work The
Overeducated American (1976) an extensive literature has been produced
showing that in many countries the higher school system produces many
graduates who do not find adequate employment. A recent review of the
relevant literature concludes that the impacts of overeducation are not
trivial; it might be costly to individuals and firms, as well as to the
economy as a whole (McGuiness 2006; for a critical discussion of these
studies see Leuven and Oosterbeek 2011). In the Arab-speaking North
African countries, unemployment among the youth and especially among
graduates is already a huge problem. In Egypt, for instance, high-school
graduates account for 42% of the workforce, but for 80% of the
unemployed. It has been argued that this fact constituted a “time bomb”
that contributed significantly to the outbreak of the Arab Spring (Honwana
2013).8 In fact, the MENA region has the highest youth unemployment
globally (followed, ironically, by the EU); it is also alarming that
unemployment rates are higher among university graduates (between 30%
and 60%) than among those with lower levels of schooling.9
Third, it is mainly the development of primary education, complemented
with secondary education that boosts economic growth (Lutz, Crespo and
Sanderson 2008). Fourth, and in connection with this, recent studies using
the findings of international tests on educational achievement (such as
TIMSS-Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study, and
PISA-Programme for International Students Assessments) have found that
it is not mere years of schooling that are relevant for economic growth but
the quality of education, measured by the knowledge that students gain in
each year of schooling. Comparing the cognitive skills learned in the
6
On a somewhat less pronounced level, such problems exist also in Finland which
is also praised as a front-runner in developing the education system.
7
See http://www.npr.org/sections/parallels/2015/04/15/393939759/the-all-work-
no-play-culture-of-south-korean-education (30.1.2016).
8
Wagdy Sawahel, Africa-Middle East: The jobless graduate time-bomb,
University World News, February 2, 2016; see
http://www.universityworldnews.com/article.php?story=201102130832112.
9
Isobel Coleman, “Insight: Youth Unemployment in Middle East, North Africa”,
Middle East Voices, June 14, 2013 (see
http://middleeastvoices.voanews.com/2013/06/insight-youth-unemployment-in-
middle-east-north-africa-86923/). See also Youth Unemployment: Five Challenges
for North Africa, Paper for the regional Conference “Promoting Youth
Employment in North Africa”, Tunis, 16 July 2012 (available at
http://www.oecd.org/dev/emea/Background%20Paper.pdf).
Higher Education and Academic Research in Africa 29
school system over 50 countries it turns out that this is much lower in
Africa and Latin America than in Europe and the English-speaking world
(Hanushek and Woeßmann 2010).
How does the situation regarding higher education in Africa look when
comparing between countries? Let’s have a short look at the recent history
of its higher education systems. (See also Fehnel 2003; Teferra and
Altbach 2003; Tiambe Zeleza and Olukosi 2004a, 21ff.) 10 . Before the
1960s, the period when most African nations gained their independence
from colonialism, only 18 of the 48 African countries had a university or
university college (Sawyer 2004, 1ff.). The colonial powers were not
interested in providing high education to their African subjects. Since the
1960s, the development of the higher education in Africa has passed
through three stages.
The 1960s and 1970s were the period of establishment of universities.
For example, the University of East Africa was established in 1963, and
later (in 1973) divided into the three universities of Makerere, Nairobi and
Dar es Salaam. The new African governments established and supported
these new institutions as “developmental universities” (Court and Coleman
1993; Sawyerr 2004, 5), setting the goals for them to provide skilled
manpower for the state and economy, qualified young academics for the
new universities and useful research for politics and society. The
universities were strongly supported by the new governments (Assié-
Lumumba 2006, 71).
However, in the 1980s and 1990s, the new universities underwent a
serious crisis due to their inability to fulfil the high expectations, as well as
due to changes in national governments, many of which became
authoritarian and initiated bloody internal and external conflicts (Haller
2015, 260–263). The economic crisis of the 1980s also struck SSA
particularly hard, burdening its countries with a heavy legacy of external
debts. Pressure from the influential development agencies, such as the IMF
and the World Bank, was exerted on governments to reduce their foreign
debts, which they did by reducing spending in health and education. The
consequences for higher education were severe. In the mid-1990s, one
observer wrote: “Higher education is in deep crisis in sub-Saharan Africa
[…] the majority of sub-Saharan African countries now face declining
public expenditure on higher education, deteriorating teaching conditions,
decaying educational facilities and infrastructures, perpetual student
unrest, erosion of university autonomy, a shortage of experienced and well
10
For a detailed outline of the influence of the Arab-Islamic world in pre-colonial
times, and of the colonial powers Britain, France, Belgium, Spain, Portugal and
Italy on the development of higher education in Africa see Lulat 2003.
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