SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9866134121
R Square 0.9734060249
Adjusted R Square 0.9627684348
Standard Error 0.0065802954
Observations 15

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 4 0.01584898864 0.0039622472 91.506254792 7.8043117E-08
Residual 10 0.00043300288 4.330029E-05
Total 14 0.01628199152

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Intercept -0.508848993 0.05400439354 -9.422362884 2.734716E-06 -0.6291782807
X Variable 1 0.6699302596 0.05383424263 12.444314749 2.07E-07 0.549980092
X Variable 2 -0.002460674 0.00119520467 -2.058788578 0.0665220561 -0.0051237557
X Variable 3 0.0093185175 0.13191657261 0.0706394756 0.945077417 -0.2846099231
X Variable 4 -0.016555821 0.00192915903 -8.581885262 6.333546E-06 -0.0208542556

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation Predicted Y Residuals

1 0.171197415 -0.0096999592
2 0.1734929633 -0.0012899644
3 0.1545698694 0.00311192393
4 0.1653026769 0.00801260277
5 0.1921564231 0.00284357688
6 0.2167845832 0.00052038138
7 0.1917249349 0.00700638241
8 0.1692627807 -0.005418278
9 0.1987844193 -0.0039075869
10 0.2303206921 0.00109665889
11 0.2551132466 0.0019004484
12 0.2591530433 -0.0003107963
13 0.235288173 -0.0100866504
14 0.2338530773 0.00731105748
15 0.2046800106 -0.0010897969
 X Variable 1 Line Fit Plot
0.3000
X Variable 2 Line Fit Plot
0.2000
0.3000 Y
0.1000 X Variable 3 Line Fit Plot
Predicted Y

Y
0.2000
Y
0.0000 0.3000
0.1000 Predicted Y X Variable 4 Line F
Y

1.0000 1.2000 0.2000

1.4000 1.6000
0.0000 X Variable 1
0.1000 0.3000
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Y
0.0000 0.2000
X Variable 2 0 00 00 00 00 00 00 00
0
3. . 5.
40.1000 6. 7. 8. 9. 10.

Y
X Variable 3
0.0000
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Upper 95% Lower 95,0% Upper 95,0% X Variable 4
-0.388519706 -0.629178281 -0.388519706
0.7898804272 0.549980092 0.7898804272
0.0002024082 -0.005123756 0.0002024082
0.3032469582 -0.284609923 0.3032469582
-0.012257387 -0.020854256 -0.012257387
lot

Y
e 3 Line Fit Plot
Predicted Y

Variable 4 Line Fit Plot

Y
Predicted Y
Y
00 .00 .00 .00 .00
6. 7 8 9 10 Predicted Y
riable 3
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16
X Variable 4
 GNP Vốn đầu
theo giá tư theo Vốn đầu tư
Lãi suất *
Năm hiện giá hiện CPI (%) Năm thực (ngàn
(%)
hành hành tỉ đ)
(tỉđ) (tỉđ)
1967 79.06 1967
1968 873.4 133.3 82.54 5.16 1 1968 0.1615
1969 944 149.3 86.70 5.87 2 1969 0.1722
1970 992.7 144.2 91.45 5.95 3 1970 0.1577
1971 1077.6 166.4 96.01 4.88 4 1971 0.1733
1972 1185.9 195 100.00 4.5 5 1972 0.1950
1973 1326.4 229.8 105.75 6.44 6 1973 0.2173
1974 1434.2 228.7 115.08 7.83 7 1974 0.1987
1975 1549.2 206.1 125.79 6.25 8 1975 0.1638
1976 1718 257.9 132.34 5.5 9 1976 0.1949
1977 1918.3 324.1 140.05 5.46 10 1977 0.2314
1978 2163.9 386.6 150.42 7.46 11 1978 0.2570
1979 2417.8 423 163.42 10.28 12 1979 0.2588
1980 2633.1 402.3 178.64 11.77 13 1980 0.2252
1981 2937.7 471.5 195.51 13.42 14 1981 0.2412
1982 3057.5 421.9 207.23 11.02 15 1982 0.2036
GNP thực Lãi suất Tỉ lệ lạm
(ngàn tỉ đ) *
% phát %

1.0582 5.16 4.40 1

1.0888 5.87 5.04 2
1.0855 5.95 5.48 3
1.1224 4.88 4.99 4
1.1859 4.5 4.16 5
1.2543 6.44 5.75 6
1.2463 7.83 8.82 7
1.2316 6.25 9.31 8
1.2982 5.5 5.21 9
1.3697 5.46 5.83 10
1.4386 7.46 7.40 11
1.4795 10.28 8.64 12
1.4740 11.77 9.31 13
1.5026 13.42 9.44 14
1.4754 11.02 5.99 15
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.98661341
R Square 0.97340602
Adjusted R S 0.96276843
Standard Erro 0.0065803
Observations 15

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 4 0.01584899 0.00396225 91.5062548 7.80431E-08
Residual 10 0.000433 4.33003E-05
Total 14 0.01628199

CoefficientsStandard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95,0%
Intercept -0.50884899 0.05400439 -9.42236288 2.73472E-06 -0.62917828 -0.38851971 -0.62917828
X Variable 1 0.66993026 0.05383424 12.4443147 2.0739E-07 0.54998009 0.78988043 0.54998009
X Variable 2 -0.00246067 0.0011952 -2.05878858 0.06652206 -0.00512376 0.00020241 -0.00512376
X Variable 3 9.31852E-05 0.00131917 0.07063948 0.94507742 -0.0028461 0.00303247 -0.0028461
X Variable 4 -0.01655582 0.00192916 -8.58188526 6.33355E-06 -0.02085426 -0.01225739 -0.02085426

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation Predicted Y Residuals

1 0.17119741 -0.00969996
2 0.17349296 -0.00128996
3 0.15456987 0.00311192
4 0.16530268 0.0080126
5 0.19215642 0.00284358
6 0.21678458 0.00052038
7 0.19172493 0.00700638
8 0.16926278 -0.00541828
9 0.19878442 -0.00390759
10 0.23032069 0.00109666
11 0.25511325 0.00190045
12 0.25915304 -0.0003108
13 0.23528817 -0.01008665
14 0.23385308 0.00731106
15 0.20468001 -0.0010898
 X Variable 1 Line Fit Plot
0.3000

0.2000
Y
Y
0.1000 Predicted Y

0.0000 X Variable 2 Line Fit Plot

1.0000 1.1000 1.2000 1.3000 1.4000 1.5000 1.6000
15.0000 X Variable 1
10.0000
Y
5.0000 Predicted Y
Y

0.0000

Upper 95,0%
0
X2 Variable
4 6
3 Line
8
Fit
10
Plot
12
X Variable 2
-0.38851971 15.0000
0.78988043 10.0000
Y
0.00020241 Predicted Y
5.0000
Y

0.00303247
-0.01225739 0.0000
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
X Variable 3

X Variable 4 Line Fit Plot

15.0000

10.0000
Y
Predicted Y
Y

5.0000

0.0000
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
X Variable 4
 Y
Predicted Y

2
 Vốn đầu tư
GNP theo
theo giá Lãi suất *
Năm giá hiện CPI (%) Năm
hiện hành (%)
hành (tỉđ)
(tỉđ)
1967 79.06 1967
1968 873.4 133.3 82.54 5.16 1 1968
1969 944 149.3 86.70 5.87 2 1969
1970 992.7 144.2 91.45 5.95 3 1970
1971 1077.6 166.4 96.01 4.88 4 1971
1972 1185.9 195 100.00 4.5 5 1972
1973 1326.4 229.8 105.75 6.44 6 1973
1974 1434.2 228.7 115.08 7.83 7 1974
1975 1549.2 206.1 125.79 6.25 8 1975
1976 1718 257.9 132.34 5.5 9 1976
1977 1918.3 324.1 140.05 5.46 10 1977
1978 2163.9 386.6 150.42 7.46 11 1978
1979 2417.8 423 163.42 10.28 12 1979
1980 2633.1 402.3 178.64 11.77 13 1980
1981 2937.7 471.5 195.51 13.42 14 1981
1982 3057.5 421.9 207.23 11.02 15 1982
 Vốn đầu
GNP thực Lãi suất * Tỉ lệ lạm
tư thực
(ngàn tỉ đ) % phát %
(ngàn tỉ đ)

0.1615 1.0582 5.16 4.40 1

0.1722 1.0888 5.87 5.04 2
0.1577 1.0855 5.95 5.48 3
0.1733 1.1224 4.88 4.99 4
0.1950 1.1859 4.5 4.16 5
0.2173 1.2543 6.44 5.75 6
0.1987 1.2463 7.83 8.82 7
0.1638 1.2316 6.25 9.31 8
0.1949 1.2982 5.5 5.21 9
0.2314 1.3697 5.46 5.83 10
0.2570 1.4386 7.46 7.40 11
0.2588 1.4795 10.28 8.64 12
0.2252 1.4740 11.77 9.31 13
0.2412 1.5026 13.42 9.44 14
0.2036 1.4754 11.02 5.99 15