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Market Pulse - March 2024
Market Pulse - March 2024
Volume 6, Issue 3
Market Pulse
A monthly review of Indian economy and markets
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Market Pulse
Volume 6, Issue 3
This publication is issued monthly by the
Economic Policy and Research (EPR) department
of the National Stock Exchange of India Limited. It
is a review of major developments in the economy
and financial markets and market statistics for the
month gone by, insights from cited academic
research papers and topical research articles.
Authors
Tirthankar Patnaik, PhD
Prerna Singhvi, CFA
Ashiana Salian
Prosenjit Pal
Ansh Tayal
Anand Prajapati
Shuvam Das
Market Pulse
This report is intended solely for information purposes. This report is under
no circumstances intended to be used or considered as financial or
investment advice, a recommendation or an offer to sell, or a solicitation
of any offer to buy any securities or other form of financial asset. The
Report has been prepared on best effort basis, relying upon information
obtained from various sources. NSE does not guarantee the completeness,
accuracy and/or timeliness of this report neither does NSE guarantee the
accuracy or projections of future conditions from the use of this report or
any information therein. In no event, NSE, or any of its officers, directors,
employees, affiliates, or other agents are responsible for any loss or
damage arising out of this report. All investments are subject to risks,
which should be considered prior to making any investments.
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Table of Contents
Executive Summary ........................................................................................................................ 1
NSE at a glance .............................................................................................................................. 3
Key macro charts............................................................................................................................ 4
Key market charts .......................................................................................................................... 5
Story of the month .......................................................................................................................... 6
Who owns India Inc.? FPI share drops further in Q3, DMF share at record high ............................................................ 6
Macroeconomy ............................................................................................................................. 55
Macro round-up ............................................................................................................................................................. 55
Q3FY24 GDP growth at 8.4% beats expectations ......................................................................................................... 57
Industrial activity moderated but sentiments remain strong ....................................................................................... 65
Headline inflation remained steady; core moderated to series low levels ................................................................... 71
Trade Deficit increased in February led by gold imports ............................................................................................... 76
Union finances: fiscal deficit at 63.6% of RE in 10MFY24, remains in check ............................................................... 81
Global macro snippets: Time for cautious optimism ..................................................................................................... 86
Insights ....................................................................................................................................... 92
Reducing Algorithm Aversion through Experience ........................................................................................................ 92
COVID‑19 Vaccination Effect on Stock Market and Death Rate in India ....................................................................... 94
Naïve Buying Diversification and Narrow Framing by Individual Investors .................................................................. 96
Market performance ..................................................................................................................... 98
Market round-up ............................................................................................................................................................ 98
Market performance across asset classes .................................................................................................................. 103
Equity market performance and valuations ............................................................................................................ 105
Fixed income market performance ......................................................................................................................... 133
Commodity market performance ............................................................................................................................ 141
Currency market performance................................................................................................................................. 147
Institutional flows across market segments in India .................................................................................................. 152
Fund mobilization ........................................................................................................................154
Market Statistics: Primary market ............................................................................................................................... 154
New listings in the month ............................................................................................................................................ 156
Investor growth...........................................................................................................................158
Region-wise distribution of total registered investors ................................................................................................ 158
Region-wise distribution of new investor registrations ............................................................................................... 161
Market activity across segments and investor categories ...............................................................165
Total turnover across segments .................................................................................................................................. 165
Average daily turnover (ADT) across segments .......................................................................................................... 167
Category-wise turnover and investments in NSE’s CM segment ................................................................................ 173
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Category-wise turnover and open interest in NSE’s derivatives segment .................................................................. 174
Category-wise participation in turnover across segments .......................................................................................... 180
Distribution of turnover by modes of trading............................................................................................................... 200
Individual investors’ activity in NSE’s CM and derivatives segment ........................................................................... 206
Distribution of trading activity by turnover .................................................................................................................. 210
Spatial distribution of individual investor activity in the cash market......................................................................... 212
Turnover of top-10 traded symbols during the month ................................................................................................ 219
Record statistics .......................................................................................................................................................... 221
Investment through mutual funds in India ....................................................................................222
Comparison of trading activities across major exchanges globally ..................................................228
Policy developments....................................................................................................................234
Annual macro snapshot ...............................................................................................................236
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
List of Figures
Figure 1: NSE-listed universe: Ownership pattern by total market cap (%) ..................................................................... 10
Figure 2: NSE-listed universe: Ownership pattern by free float market cap (%) .............................................................. 11
Figure 3: NSE-listed universe: Long-term ownership trend across key stakeholders by total market cap ..................... 13
Figure 4: Total promoter ownership trend of NSE-listed companies by total market cap ............................................... 13
Figure 5: Indian and foreign promoter ownership trend of NSE-listed companies by total market cap .......................... 13
Figure 6: DMF ownership trend of NSE-listed companies by total market cap ................................................................ 13
Figure 7: FPI ownership* trend of NSE-listed companies by total market cap ................................................................ 13
Figure 8: Banks, FIs & Insurance ownership trend of NSE-listed companies by total market cap .................................. 14
Figure 9: Individual ownership trend of NSE-listed companies by total market cap....................................................... 14
Figure 10: NSE-listed universe: Long-term ownership trend across key stakeholders by free float market cap ............ 14
Figure 11: DMF ownership trend of NSE-listed companies by free float market cap ....................................................... 14
Figure 12: FPI ownership trend of NSE-listed companies by free float market cap ......................................................... 14
Figure 13: Banks, FIs & Insurance ownership trend of NSE-listed companies by free float market cap ........................ 15
Figure 14: Individual ownership trend of NSE-listed companies by free float market cap .............................................. 15
Figure 15: Monthly SIP inflows into mutual funds ............................................................................................................ 15
Figure 16: Quarterly SIP inflows vs DMF ownership ......................................................................................................... 15
Figure 17: DMF holding in NSE listed universe .................................................................................................................. 16
Figure 18: DMF segregation: active and passive funds ..................................................................................................... 16
Figure 19: Annual growth of DMF holding in the NSE-listed universe .............................................................................. 16
Figure 20: CAGR of DMF holding in the NSE-listed universe............................................................................................. 17
Figure 21: DMF ownership in total market cap of NSE listed companies ......................................................................... 17
Figure 22: DMF ownership in floating market cap of NSE listed companies .................................................................... 17
Figure 23: Net foreign institutional inflows and FPI shareholding in the NSE-listed floating stock ................................. 18
Figure 24: Annual net FII inflows trend ............................................................................................................................ 19
Figure 25: Net inflows by individual investors in the NSE’s CM segment (2002-) ............................................................ 20
Figure 26: Quarterly trend of number of investor accounts with depositories ................................................................. 20
Figure 27: Annual trend of new investor account additions with depositories ................................................................. 20
Figure 28: NSE-listed universe: Sector-wise ownership pattern across key stakeholders (December 2023) ................ 21
Figure 29: DMF sector allocation of the NSE-listed universe (September 2023 vs. December 2023) ............................ 22
Figure 30: DMF sector allocation of the NSE-listed universe over last five years............................................................. 23
Figure 31: FPI sector allocation of the NSE-listed universe (September 2023 vs. December 2023) .............................. 23
Figure 32: FPI sector allocation of the NSE-listed universe over last five years .............................................................. 24
Figure 33: Nifty 50: Ownership pattern by total market cap (%) ...................................................................................... 25
Figure 34: Nifty 50: Ownership pattern by free float market cap (%) ............................................................................... 26
Figure 35: Nifty 50: Long-term ownership trend across key stakeholders by total market cap ...................................... 27
Figure 36: Total promoter ownership trend of the Nifty 50 universe by total market cap ............................................... 27
Figure 37: Indian and foreign promoter ownership trend of the Nifty 50 universe by total market cap .......................... 27
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 38: DMF ownership trend of Nifty 50 universe by total market cap ...................................................................... 28
Figure 39: FPI ownership trend of Nifty 50 universe by total market cap ........................................................................ 28
Figure 40: Banks, FIs & Insurance ownership trend of Nifty 50 universe by total market cap ........................................ 28
Figure 41: Retail ownership trend of Nifty 50 universe by total market cap .................................................................... 28
Figure 42: Nifty 50: Long-term ownership trend across key stakeholders by free float market cap ............................... 29
Figure 43: DMF ownership trend of the Nifty 50 universe by free float market cap ......................................................... 29
Figure 44: FPI* ownership trend of the Nifty 50 universe by free float market cap ......................................................... 29
Figure 45: Banks, FIs & Insurance ownership trend of the Nifty 50 universe by free float market cap .......................... 30
Figure 46: Individual ownership trend of the Nifty 50 universe by free float market cap ................................................ 30
Figure 47: Nifty 50: Sector-wise ownership pattern across key stakeholders (December 2023) ................................... 31
Figure 48: DMF sector allocation of the Nifty 50 universe (September 2023 vs. December 2023)................................. 32
Figure 49: DMF sector allocation of the Nifty 50 universe over the last five years ........................................................... 33
Figure 50: DMF sector allocation vs sector weight in Nifty 50 (December 2023) ............................................................ 33
Figure 51: DMF sector-wise OW/UW in Nifty 50 relative to sector weight in the index (December 2023) ...................... 33
Figure 52: DMF vs Nifty 50—Sector-wise OW/UW trend (bps) .......................................................................................... 34
Figure 53: FPI sector allocation of the Nifty 50 universe (September 2023 vs. December 2023) ................................. 34
Figure 54: FPI sector allocation of the Nifty 50 universe over last five years................................................................... 35
Figure 55: FPI sector allocation vs sector weight in Nifty 50 (December 2023) .............................................................. 35
Figure 56: FPI sector-wise OW/UW in Nifty 50 relative to sector weight in the index (December 2023) ........................ 35
Figure 57: FPI vs Nifty 50—Sector-wise OW/UW trend (bps) ........................................................................................... 36
Figure 58: Nifty 500: Ownership pattern by total market cap (%) .................................................................................... 37
Figure 59: Nifty 500: Ownership pattern by free float market cap (%) ............................................................................ 38
Figure 60: Nifty 500: Long-term ownership trend across key stakeholders by total market cap .................................... 39
Figure 61: Total promoter ownership trend of the Nifty 500 universe by total market cap ............................................. 39
Figure 62: Indian and foreign promoter ownership trend of the Nifty 500 universe by total market cap........................ 39
Figure 63: DMF ownership trend of the Nifty 500 universe by total market cap .............................................................. 40
Figure 64: FPI ownership trend of the Nifty 500 universe by total market cap ................................................................ 40
Figure 65: Banks, FIs & Insurance ownership trend of the Nifty 500 universe by total market cap................................ 40
Figure 66: Individual ownership trend of the Nifty 500 universe by total market cap ..................................................... 40
Figure 67: Nifty 500: Long-term ownership trend across key stakeholders by free float market cap ............................. 41
Figure 68: DMF ownership trend of the Nifty 500 universe by free float market cap ....................................................... 41
Figure 69: FPI ownership trend of the Nifty 500 universe by free float market cap ........................................................ 41
Figure 70: Banks, FIs & Insurance ownership trend of the Nifty 500 universe by free float market cap ........................ 42
Figure 71: Individual ownership trend of the Nifty 500 universe by free float market cap .............................................. 42
Figure 72: Nifty 500: Sector-wise ownership pattern across key stakeholders (December 2023) ................................. 43
Figure 73: DMF sector allocation of the Nifty 500 universe (September 2023 vs. December 2023) .............................. 44
Figure 74: DMF sector allocation of the Nifty 500 universe over last five years ............................................................... 44
Figure 75: DMF sector allocation vs sector weight in Nifty 500 (December 2023) .......................................................... 45
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 76: DMF sector-wise OW/UW in Nifty 500 relative to sector weight in the index (December 2023) .................... 45
Figure 77: DMF vs Nifty 500—Sector-wise OW/UW trend (bps) ....................................................................................... 45
Figure 78: FPI sector allocation of the Nifty 500 universe (September 2023 vs. December 2023) ................................ 46
Figure 79: FPI sector allocation of the Nifty 500 universe over last five years ................................................................ 46
Figure 80: FPI sector allocation vs sector weight in Nifty 500 (December 2023) ............................................................ 47
Figure 81: FPI sector-wise OW/UW in Nifty 500 relative to sector weight in the index (December 2023) ..................... 47
Figure 82: FPI vs Nifty 500—Sector-wise OW/UW trend (bps) ......................................................................................... 47
Figure 83: Institutional share of total market cap (September 2023 vs. December 2023) ............................................. 48
Figure 84: Institutional ownership of floating stock (September 2023 vs. December 2023) .......................................... 49
Figure 85: Individual share of total market cap (September 2023 vs. December 2023) ................................................. 49
Figure 86: Individual ownership of floating stock (September 2023 vs. December 2023).............................................. 49
Figure 87: Number of listed cos with FPI holding >5%..................................................................................................... 53
Figure 88: Number of Nifty500 cos with FPI holding >5% ............................................................................................... 53
Figure 89: Number of listed cos with DMF holding >5% ................................................................................................... 54
Figure 90: Number of Nifty500 cos with DMF share >5% ................................................................................................. 54
Figure 91: Number of listed companies with Banks, FIs & Insurance holding >5% ........................................................ 54
Figure 92: Number of Nifty500 companies with Banks, FIs & Insurance holding >5% ................................................... 54
Figure 93: India quarterly GDP growth trend .................................................................................................................... 59
Figure 94: Quarterly GDP growth by expenditure (%YoY) ................................................................................................ 60
Figure 95: India GDP sector share of growth (%) .............................................................................................................. 60
Figure 96: Gross value added (GVA) across sectors ......................................................................................................... 61
Figure 97: India GVA sector share of growth (%) .............................................................................................................. 61
Figure 98: Quarterly trend of nominal vs. real GDP and GVA growth ............................................................................... 62
Figure 99: Annual real GDP growth trend .......................................................................................................................... 62
Figure 100: Annual real GDP growth trend ....................................................................................................................... 63
Figure 101: India industrial production (3MMA) ............................................................................................................... 67
Figure 102: India industrial production use-based goods (3MMA) .................................................................................. 68
Figure 103: Long-term industrial production trend (12MMA) ........................................................................................... 69
Figure 104: Eight core industries growth trend (% YoY) ................................................................................................... 69
Figure 105: Manufacturing PMI across countries ............................................................................................................. 70
Figure 106: India’s Manufacturing and Services PMI trend .............................................................................................. 70
Figure 107: Headline CPI inflation trend ........................................................................................................................... 72
Figure 108: Category-wise contribution to India consumer price inflation (CPI) ............................................................. 73
Figure 109: Category-wise contribution to India Food and Beverages inflation (CPI) ..................................................... 73
Figure 110: Trend in retail prices of T.O.P. veggies (Rs/kg) .............................................................................................. 74
Figure 111: Trend in retail prices of pulses (Rs/kg) .......................................................................................................... 74
Figure 112: Category-wise contribution to India wholesale price index (WPI) ................................................................ 74
Figure 113: India wholesale price inflation (WPI) ............................................................................................................. 75
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 152: Sector-wise revision in FY24 earnings estimates for top 200 companies since December 2023 .............. 115
Figure 153: Sector-wise revision in FY25 earnings estimates for top 200 companies since December 2023 .............. 116
Figure 154: Sector-wise share in earnings ...................................................................................................................... 116
Figure 155: Nifty 50 NTM P/E trend for last 15 years ..................................................................................................... 117
Figure 156: Nifty 50 NTM P/B trend for last 15 years ..................................................................................................... 117
Figure 157: Nifty 50 NTM P/E (Last three-year trend) .................................................................................................... 117
Figure 158: Nifty 50 NTM P/B (Last three-year trend) .................................................................................................... 117
Figure 159: Five-year trend of Nifty 50 values at different 12-month forward P/E bands ............................................. 118
Figure 160: NTM P/E of MSCI India vs. MSCI EM (15-year trend) .................................................................................. 118
Figure 161: NTM P/B of MSCI India vs. MSCI EM (15-year trend) .................................................................................. 118
Figure 162: NTM P/E of MSCI India vs. MSCI EM (Last three-year trend) ...................................................................... 119
Figure 163: NTM P/B of MSCI India vs. MSCI EM (Last three-year trend) ...................................................................... 119
Figure 164: Nifty 50 forward earnings yield* vs. 10-year G-sec yield ............................................................................ 119
Figure 165: 12-month forward P/E for MSCI India sector indices (Three-year trend) ................................................... 120
Figure 166: 12-month forward P/E for MSCI India sector indices (Long-term trend) .................................................... 121
Figure 167: 12-month forward P/B for MSCI India sector indices (Three-year trend)................................................... 123
Figure 168: 12-month forward P/B for MSCI India sector indices (Long-term trend) ................................................... 125
Figure 169: Correlation of sectoral Nifty indices in February 2024 ................................................................................ 127
Figure 170: Correlation of sectoral Nifty indices in January 2024 ................................................................................. 128
Figure 171: Correlation of sectoral Nifty indices in 2024 till date (Jan- Feb 2024) ....................................................... 129
Figure 172: Correlation of major global indices in January 2024 ................................................................................... 130
Figure 173: Correlation of major global indices in February 2023 ................................................................................. 131
Figure 174: Correlation of major global indices in 2024 till date (Jan-Feb 2024) ......................................................... 132
Figure 175: India 10Y G-sec yield—long-term trend ...................................................................................................... 134
Figure 176: India 10Y G-sec yield—last one-year trend ................................................................................................. 134
Figure 177: India sovereign yield curve .......................................................................................................................... 134
Figure 178: Change in sovereign yields across the curve ............................................................................................... 135
Figure 179: India sovereign bonds term premia ............................................................................................................. 135
Figure 180: Inflation, yields and spreads in India vs. US ................................................................................................ 136
Figure 181: Spreads between 10-year SDL and G-sec yields ......................................................................................... 137
Figure 182: Spreads for one-year AAA-rated corporate bonds across segments .......................................................... 137
Figure 183: Spreads for three-year AAA-rated corporate bonds across segments ....................................................... 138
Figure 184: Spreads for five-year AAA-rated corporate bonds across segments .......................................................... 138
Figure 185: Spreads for 10-year AAA-rated corporate bonds across segments ............................................................ 139
Figure 186: AAA-rated corporate bond yield curve ........................................................................................................ 139
Figure 187: AA+ rated corporate bond yield curve ......................................................................................................... 139
Figure 188: Change in AAA corporate bond and G-sec yields in FYTD (Apr’23-Feb’24) ................................................ 139
Figure 189: Change in AA+ corporate bond and G-sec bond yields in FYTD (Apr’23-Feb’24) ....................................... 139
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 190: Corporate bond term premia between 10-year and 1-year yields .............................................................. 140
Figure 191: Movement in key commodity indices ........................................................................................................... 141
Figure 192: Movement in key commodity indices since 2020 ........................................................................................ 142
Figure 193: Returns of key hard commodities in 2022, 2023 and 2024 till date ........................................................... 143
Figure 194: Returns of key agricultural commodities in 2022, 2023 and 2024 till date ............................................... 144
Figure 195: Returns of key energy commodities in 2022, 2023 and 2024 till date ....................................................... 145
Figure 196: Movement in INR vs. major DM currencies in 2023 and 2024 .................................................................... 147
Figure 197: Movement in INR vs. major EM currencies in 2023 and 2024 .................................................................... 147
Figure 198: Annualized volatility of INR vs other developed and EM currencies ........................................................... 148
Figure 199: Change in INR vs other major currencies (As on February 29 th, 2024) ....................................................... 148
Figure 200: RBI forex reserves and USDINR ................................................................................................................... 149
Figure 201: Real and nominal effective exchange rates of INR ...................................................................................... 150
Figure 202: USDINR and forward premium .................................................................................................................... 151
Figure 203: Net inflows by FIIs in Indian equity and debt markets ............................................................................... 152
Figure 204: Net inflows by DIIs in Indian equity markets .............................................................................................. 153
Figure 205: Region-wise distribution of total registered investors- Long term trend .................................................... 158
Figure 206: State-wise distribution of total registered investors as of February 2024 .................................................. 160
Figure 207: Region-wise distribution of new investors registered each month ............................................................. 161
Figure 208: Region-wise distribution of new investors registered each financial year .................................................. 162
Figure 209: Number of new investors registered in top ten districts (in ‘000) ............................................................... 164
Figure 210: Trends in average daily turnover in NSE’s CM segment .............................................................................. 169
Figure 148: Trends in average daily turnover in NSE’s equity derivatives segment ....................................................... 170
Figure 212: Trends in average daily turnover in currency derivatives segment ............................................................. 171
Figure 213: Trends in average daily turnover in commodity derivatives segment ......................................................... 172
Figure 214: Trends in share of client participation in NSE’s CM segment (%) ............................................................... 181
Figure 215: Trends in client category-wise turnover in NSE’s CM segment ................................................................... 181
Figure 216: Trends in share of client participation in Equity Derivatives (Notional Turnover) at NSE (%) ..................... 183
Figure 217: Trends in client category-wise turnover in Equity derivatives (Notional Turnover) at NSE ........................ 183
Figure 218: Trends in share of client participation in Index Futures at NSE (%) ............................................................ 184
Figure 219: Trends in client category-wise turnover in Index Futures at NSE ............................................................... 185
Figure 220: Trends in share of client participation in Stock Futures at NSE (%) ............................................................ 186
Figure 221: Trends in client category-wise turnover in Stock Futures at NSE ............................................................... 186
Figure 222: Trends in share of client participation in Index Options (premium turnover) at NSE (%) ........................... 187
Figure 223: Trends in client category-wise turnover in Index Options (premium turnover) at NSE .............................. 188
Figure 224: Trends in share of client participation in Stock Options (Premium Turnover) at NSE (%) .......................... 189
Figure 225: Trends in client category-wise turnover in Stock Options (Premium Turnover) at NSE .............................. 189
Figure 226: Trends in share of client participation in Currency Derivatives (Notional Turnover) at NSE (%) ................ 190
Figure 227: Trends in client category-wise turnover in Currency Derivatives (Notional Turnover) at NSE .................... 191
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 228: Trends in share of client participation in Currency Futures at NSE (%) ...................................................... 192
Figure 229: Trends in client category-wise turnover in Currency Futures at NSE .......................................................... 192
Figure 230: Trends in share of client participation in Currency Options (Premium Turnover) at NSE (%)..................... 193
Figure 231: Trends in client category-wise turnover in Currency Options (Premium Turnover) at NSE ........................ 194
Figure 232: Trends in share of client participation in Interest Rate Futures at NSE (%)................................................ 195
Figure 233: Trends in client category-wise turnover in Interest Rate Futures at NSE ................................................... 195
Figure 234: Trends in share of client participation in Commodity Derivatives (Notional Turnover) at NSE (%) ............ 197
Figure 235: Trends in client category-wise turnover in Commodity Derivatives (Notional Turnover) at NSE ................ 197
Figure 236: Trends in share of client participation in Commodity Futures at NSE (%) .................................................. 198
Figure 237: Trends in client category-wise turnover in Commodity Futures at NSE ...................................................... 198
Figure 238: Trends in share of client participation in Commodity Options (Premium Turnover) at NSE (%) ................ 199
Figure 239: Trends in client category-wise turnover in Commodity Options (Premium Turnover) at NSE .................... 199
Figure 240: Trends in share of different modes of trading in Capital Market segment at NSE (%) ................................ 201
Figure 241: Trends in share of different modes of trading in Equity Derivatives segment at NSE (%) .......................... 202
Figure 242: Trends in share of different modes of trading in Currency Derivatives segment at NSE (%) ...................... 203
Figure 243: Trends in share of different modes of trading in Interest Rate Derivatives segment at NSE (%) ............... 204
Figure 244: Trends in share of different modes of trading in Commodity Derivatives segment at NSE (%) .................. 205
Figure 245: Overall net inflows of individual investors in NSE’s CM segment in last eight fiscal years ......................... 206
Figure 246: Annual trend of net inflows of individual investors in NSE’s CM segment .................................................. 207
Figure 247: Monthly trends of active individual investors participation in NSE cash and equity derivative segments . 208
Figure 248: Annual trends of active individual investors participation in NSE cash and equity derivative segments ... 208
Figure 249: Monthly trend of active individual investors participation in currency derivative segments of NSE .......... 209
Figure 250: Annual trend of active individual investors participation in currency derivative segments of NSE ............ 209
Figure 251: Region-wise distribution of monthly individual investors’ turnover in the cash market ............................. 212
Figure 252: Region-wise distribution of individual investors traded in the cash market ............................................... 213
Figure 253: Region-wise share of individual investors’ turnover in cash market (%) .................................................... 214
Figure 254: Region-wise share of individual investors traded in cash market (%) ........................................................ 214
Figure 255: Top 10 states based on turnover of individual investors in the cash market .............................................. 214
Figure 256: Top 10 states based on individual investors traded in the cash market ..................................................... 215
Figure 257: Top 10 states share based on turnover of individual investors in the cash market .................................... 216
Figure 258: Top 10 states share based on number of individual investors traded in the cash market.......................... 216
Figure 259: Top 10 districts based on cash turnover of individual investors ................................................................. 217
Figure 260: Top 10 districts based on individual investors traded in the cash market .................................................. 217
Figure 261: Top 10 districts share based on individual turnover in the cash market ..................................................... 218
Figure 262: Top 10 districts share based on individual investors traded in the cash market ........................................ 218
Figure 263: Monthly trend of total MF schemes and average AUM ................................................................................ 222
Figure 264: Monthly trend of total investment through mutual funds ............................................................................ 222
Figure 265: Monthly trend of total investment through mutual funds ............................................................................ 223
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 266: Share of overall mutual fund AUM across asset classes ............................................................................. 224
Figure 267: Category-wise AUM split .............................................................................................................................. 225
Figure 268: Category-wise share in MF AUM .................................................................................................................. 225
Figure 269: State-wise distribution of Equity schemes AUM in Feb’23 and Feb’24 ...................................................... 226
Figure 270: Monthly trend of total investment through new schemes ........................................................................... 227
Figure 271: Annual trend of fund mobilization through new schemes* ......................................................................... 227
Figure 272: Domestic market cap of top ranked exchanges** ...................................................................................... 231
Figure 273: Number of trades in Cash market of top ten exchanges** .......................................................................... 231
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
List of Tables
Table 1: Ownership trend across promoters and non-promoters in the NSE-listed universe............................................ 8
Table 2: Ownership trend across non-promoter shareholders by total market cap in the NSE-listed universe ................ 8
Table 3: NSE-listed universe: Ownership trend across key stakeholders by total market cap over last three years ...... 10
Table 4: NSE-listed universe: Ownership trend across key stakeholders by floating stock over last three years ........... 11
Table 5: Shareholding of DMFs across active and passive funds in the NSE listed companies........................................ 18
Table 6: Sector allocation of the NSE-listed universe for key stakeholders (December 2023) ....................................... 22
Table 7: Nifty 50: Ownership trend across key stakeholders by total market cap over the last three years ................... 25
Table 8: Nifty 50: Ownership trend across key stakeholders by free float market cap over last the three years ............ 26
Table 9: Sector allocation of the Nifty 50 universe for key stakeholders (December 2023) ............................................ 32
Table 10: Nifty 500: Ownership trend across key stakeholders by total market cap over last the three years .............. 37
Table 11: Nifty 500: Ownership trend across key stakeholders by free float market cap over the last three years ....... 38
Table 12: Sector allocation of the Nifty 500 universe for key stakeholders (December 2023) ....................................... 43
Table 13: Market cap decile-wise share of individuals' portfolio in NSE listed companies .............................................. 50
Table 16: Distribution of total value held by individual investors across market capitalization deciles .......................... 51
Table 14: Market cap decile-wise share of DMFs’ portfolio in NSE listed companies ...................................................... 51
Table 16: Distribution of total value held by DMFs across market capitalization deciles ................................................ 51
Table 15: Market cap decile-wise share of FPIs’ portfolio in NSE listed companies ........................................................ 52
Table 16: Distribution of total value held by FPIs across market capitalization deciles .................................................. 52
Table 16: Market cap decile-wise share in total market capitalization of NSE listed companies .................................... 52
Table 16: Market capitalization of NSE listed companies distributed across deciles ...................................................... 53
Table 21: Quarterly GDP growth trend (2011-12=100) (%YoY)....................................................................................... 59
Table 22: Annual real GDP and GVA growth trend (% YoY) .............................................................................................. 63
Table 23: Revisions in real GDP and GVA growth for the last three years ........................................................................ 64
Table 24: Revisions in real GDP and GVA growth for the first six quarters ....................................................................... 64
Table 25: India industrial production for January 2024 (%YoY) ...................................................................................... 67
Table 26: Consumer price inflation in February 2024 (%YoY).......................................................................................... 72
Table 27: Wholesale price inflation for February 2024 (%YoY) ........................................................................................ 74
Table 28: India monthly trade balance for February 2024 ............................................................................................... 77
Table 29: A quick glance at Centre’s fiscal balances ........................................................................................................ 82
Table 30: A snapshot of government finances for Provisional estimates for Jan’24 ....................................................... 84
Table 31: A snapshot of Government finances in 2024-25 .............................................................................................. 85
Table 32: Performance across equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets (As on Feb 29 th, 2024) ......... 103
Table 33: Performance across global asset classes (As on February 29 th, 2024) .......................................................... 104
Table 34: Performance across NSE equity indices (As on February 29 th, 2024) ............................................................ 105
Table 35: Performance across NSE sector indices based on Price Return Index (As on February 29 th, 2024) ............. 107
Table 36: Top five Nifty 50 Index gainers in February 2024 ........................................................................................... 113
Table 37: Top five Nifty 50 Index losers in February 2024 ............................................................................................. 114
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Table 38: Earnings growth and forward-looking multiples for Nifty 50 Index ............................................................... 115
Table 39: Performance of key Nifty debt indices (As of February 29 th, 2024) ................................................................ 133
Table 40: Annual performance across commodities ...................................................................................................... 146
Table 41: Resource mobilization through equity and debt in the last seven months ..................................................... 154
Table 42: Resource mobilization through equity and debts during last three years (Year-wise) ................................... 155
Table 43: NSE Mainboard during February 2024 ............................................................................................................ 156
Table 44: NSE Emerge platform during February 2024 .................................................................................................. 156
Table 45: Top 10 State-wise issuances on NSE Emerge platform as of February 2024 ................................................ 157
Table 46: Region-wise distribution of total registered investors at end of each fiscal year (in lakhs) ........................... 158
Table 47: State-wise distribution of total registered investors at end of each fiscal year ............................................. 159
Table 48: Number of new investors registered in top 25 states (in ‘000) ...................................................................... 163
Table 49: Number of new investors registered in top ten districts (in ‘000) .................................................................. 164
Table 50: Total turnover across segments in the last six months (Sep’23–Feb’24) ...................................................... 166
Table 51: Total turnover across segments in the last five years (FY20 to FY24TD) ....................................................... 166
Table 52: Average daily turnover across segments in the last six months (Sep’23–Feb’24)......................................... 167
Table 53: Average daily turnover across segments (FY17 to FY24TD) .......................................................................... 168
Table 54: Average daily turnover in NSE’s CM Segment ................................................................................................. 169
Table 55: Average daily turnover in NSE’s equity derivatives segment .......................................................................... 170
Table 56: Average daily turnover in currency derivatives segment ................................................................................ 171
Table 57: Average daily turnover in Interest rate derivatives ......................................................................................... 172
Table 58: Average daily turnover in commodities derivatives ........................................................................................ 172
Table 59: Category-wise flow in secondary markets in last three months (Dec’23-Feb’24) ......................................... 173
Table 60: Category-wise flow in secondary market during FY24TD and FY23............................................................... 173
Table 61: Category-wise turnover and open interest (OI) in equity derivatives in the last two months ........................ 174
Table 62: Category-wise turnover and open interest (OI) in equity derivatives in FY24TD and FY23 ........................... 175
Table 63: Category-wise turnover in currency derivatives in last three months (Dec’23-Feb’24) ................................ 176
Table 64: Category-wise trading turnover in currency derivatives during FY24TD and FY23 ........................................ 177
Table 65: Category-wise trading turnover in interest rate derivatives in last three months (Dec’23-Feb’24) .............. 177
Table 66: Category-wise trading turnover in interest rate derivatives during FY24TD and FY23 ................................. 178
Table 67: Category-wise trading turnover in commodity derivatives in last three months (Dec’23-Feb’24) ................ 178
Table 68: Category-wise turnover in commodity derivatives during FY24TD and FY23 ................................................ 179
Table 69: Share of client participation in NSE’s CM segment (%) .................................................................................. 180
Table 70: Share of client participation in Equity Derivatives segment of NSE (%) ......................................................... 182
Table 71: Share of client participation in Index Futures of NSE (%) ............................................................................... 184
Table 72: Share of client participation in Stock Futures of NSE (%) ............................................................................... 185
Table 73: Share of client participation in Index Options of NSE (%) .............................................................................. 187
Table 74: Share of client participation in Stock Options of NSE (%) ............................................................................... 188
Table 75: Share of client participation in Currency Derivatives segment of NSE (%) ..................................................... 190
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Table 76: Share of client participation in Currency Futures of NSE (%) ......................................................................... 191
Table 77: Share of client participation in Currency Options of NSE (%) ......................................................................... 193
Table 78: Share of client participation in Interest Rate Futures of NSE (%)................................................................... 194
Table 79: Share of client participation in Commodity derivatives segment of NSE (%) ................................................. 196
Table 80: Share of different modes of trading in Capital Market segment of NSE (%) ................................................... 200
Table 81: Share of different modes of trading in Equity Derivatives segment of NSE (%) ............................................. 201
Table 82: Share of different modes of trading in Currency Derivatives segment of NSE (%) ......................................... 202
Table 83: Share of different modes of trading in Interest Rate Derivatives segment of NSE (%) .................................. 203
Table 84: Share of different modes of trading in Commodity Derivatives segment of NSE (%) ..................................... 204
Table 85: Distribution of turnover by range in cash market for all investors .................................................................. 210
Table 86: Distribution of turnover by range in equity options market for all investors .................................................. 211
Table 87: Distribution of turnover by range in equity futures market for all investors ................................................... 211
Table 88: Top-10 symbols based on total turnover of NSE CM segment in February 2024 .......................................... 219
Table 89: Top-10 symbols based on total turnover of stock futures in February 2024 ................................................. 219
Table 90: Top-10 symbols based on total premium turnover of stock options in February 2024 ................................. 220
Table 91: Segment-wise record turnover till February 29th, 2024 ................................................................................. 221
Table 92: Monthly trend of average AUM of mutual funds across categories ................................................................ 224
Table 93: No. of trades (cr) in the top 10 exchanges in cash market* ............................................................................ 231
Table 94: Global market share of trades in the top 10 exchanges in cash market* ....................................................... 231
Table 95: No. of contracts traded (cr) in the top 10 exchanges in equity derivatives segment* .................................... 232
Table 96: Global market share of contracts traded in the top 10 exchanges in equity derivatives segment* ............... 232
Table 97: Number of contracts traded (cr) traded in Stock futures of top-ranked exchanges* ..................................... 232
Table 98: Number of contracts traded (cr) traded in Stock options of top-ranked exchanges* .................................... 232
Table 99: Number of contracts traded (cr) in Index futures of top ranked exchanges* ................................................. 232
Table 100: Number of contracts traded (cr) in Index options of top ranked exchanges* .............................................. 232
Table 101: Number of contracts traded (cr) in Currency futures of top ranked exchanges* ......................................... 233
Table 102: Number of contracts traded (cr) in Currency options of top ranked exchanges* ......................................... 233
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Executive Summary
Indian investors cross the 9-crore mark
Earlier this year, the number of unique investors at the National Stock Exchange crossed the 9-crore mark, with the
total number of accounts at 16.9 crore. It took five months to add the last crore accounts since October 2023. As we
have shown in the Pulse over the past year, the number of investors has seen a steady increase since the pandemic,
tripling in the last five years on easier, faster and safer access to the markets. The trends of rapid digitization and
market performance (positive for the past eight years) have supported this, with the widening geographical spread
showing rising investor awareness. While investors have traditionally been from the Western region of the country, over
42% of the new investors since October are from North India. FY23 was the first year when investors from this part of
country topped the charts by count, and that lead has widened in this fiscal. Over 3.1 crore of the 9 crore investors in
India hail from the North, vs. 2.8 crore from West India. Other large states with rapid increase in the investor base since
FY20 are Bihar (5.6x), Madhya Pradesh (4.4x) and Uttar Pradesh (4.2x). States in the North-East (Counted in East India)
have seen even higher increases.
Trading by investors continued on more or less an even keel across major segments in a shorter February. Turnover in
the cash segment dipped 1.3% in February, while derivatives saw a modest rise in futures (50bps) and index options
(30bps). The number of active investors in the markets, however, continued to rise, crossing in the 1.5-crore mark in
February (48 lakh in derivatives). The extreme skew in the markets continued as well, with over 90% of investors
trading below 10 lakh in the month, contributing to 3% of the turnover. For the options market, 75% of investors
contributed to 2% of the turnover in the month. Accounting for the fewer trading days, the average daily turnover (ADT)
continues to rise, reaching Rs117,000 crore for the equities (vs Rs113,000 crore in Jan’24); the ongoing fiscal year has
seen ADT rise to Rs80,000 crore vs Rs53,000 crore in FY23.
Inflows to the markets remained steady in February, with FIIs back with a vengeance this month, after the sell-off
earlier this year. Flows in March have totalled US$4.6bn (till March 22nd), adding up to US$1.7bn for the calendar, and
a substantial US$25.6bn for this fiscal—the second highest ever—after FY21’s US$37bn. DIIs have remained steady
for the year, while retail investors have caught in the 4th quarter of the fiscal.
Across products in the cash market, ETFs comprise a small but rising component with steadily rising activity; daily
trading this (calendar) year has crossed Rs1000 crore and is significantly higher than the Rs 486 crore seen in FY23.
This ties in with the theme of rising passive investment activity in the market. Nine of the top 10 traded ETF benchmarks
are from NSE. The sustained trend in trading activity at NSE, has vaulted it towards the top of the trading leaderboard
across exchanges worldwide, as trading in the traditional leaders—the two Chinese exchanges (Shenzhen and
Shanghai)—has dipped significantly.
Our quarterly view on market ownership provides an authoritative compilation of the trends since the data was first
available in 2000. The data for December 2023 shows an increase in promoter share, partially driven by PSU
performance. Foreign ownership of the market has dropped for the third quarter in a row to a 11-year low of 18.2%,
despite strong inflows, dragged by the underperformance of Financials, and to some extent substituted by other non-
promoter ownership. While individual investors maintained share at 9.7%, sustained SIP inflows saw Domestic Mutual
Funds (DMFs) share marginally to 8.8% of market, with nearly fifth from passive investments (1.7%). The report also
shows the decile-wise distribution of the FPI, DII and Individual investors’ portfolios in the market. It is interesting to
note the three portfolios differ in their allocation vis-à-vis the market benchmarks.
Back to the markets, Global equities went up further in February, with the MSCI World Index up 4.1% in February,
while emerging markets outperformed, with the MSCI EM Index ending the month 4.6% higher. Global debt remained
under pressure, with the US 10-year yield surging by 44bps to 4.3%. Indian equities edged marginally higher, with the
Nifty 50 Index ending the month with a modest gain of 1.2% but underperformed the global counterparts. The rally in
small- and mid-caps, however, came to a half last month, with the Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Smallcap 250 Indices
falling by 0.5% and 0.7% in February and further by 5% and 8.3% in March thus far respectively. Indian debt traded in
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
a range-bound manner, aided by a higher-than-expected pace of fiscal consolidation and robust foreign capital inflows.
More detail in our Market Roundup.
In the primary markets, capital raising through both equity and debt resumed in February (Rs20,127 crore and
Rs126,182 crore respectively) after a weak January. Capital raised this year through has been over Rs 12 lakh crore
(Rs 10.2 lakh crore through debt and Rs 1.9 lakh crore through equity).
Central banks across the world took momentous steps last month; the Bank of Japan reverted to ‘normal’ monetary
policy, with the first rate hike since 2007, and dispensing with Yield Curve Control and ETF purchases. The Fed stayed
put for now but indicated three cuts later this year. Policy rate decisions across the world have been divergent since
the pandemic, reflecting a preponderance of localized inflation and growth over global macroeconomic trends. In
Japan, for instance, inflation is finally at 2% levels, while in Europe, Germany and UK are both in recession, as per their
latest data, and the ECB might oblige with the first cut in summer. In India, the RBI has stayed put at 6.5% on the repo
since May’22, and the call on first easing would depend on both the recent inflation trajectory, and the stronger-than-
expected economic recovery. Our macro section has the details.
From a macro perspective, 3QFY24 saw India's GDP growth at 8.4%, outperforming expectations and pushing the full-
year growth forecast to 7.6%, a 30 basis points increase from the Central Statistics Office’s initial estimate. A lacklustre
IIP growth (-3.8% yoy), and weak eight core growth in January were matched by resurgent business confidence, with
the Services PMI remaining above 60 for two consecutive months, signalling sustained optimism in manufacturing and
services sectors. Inflation rates in February stood relatively stable at 5.1%, with a slight uptick in Food and Beverages
inflation being offset by a general deceleration in other areas. An interesting emerging theme in our trade is the
composition of merchandise and services, and the narrowing gap between them. Over the past decade, and especially
since the pandemic, the surplus in Services is catching up with the deficit in Merchandise. In January and February, for
instance, the gap was less than US$2bn.
Our Insights section this month has three papers summaries from the CBS team at IIM Ahmedabad. The first of these
three looks at how reluctance to use algorithms in financial decision-making, algorithm aversion, can be reduced by
providing feedback to individuals and comparing individual’s performance with an algorithm. This led to individuals
becoming less overconfident, and hence reduction in their algorithm aversion. The second paper measures the effect
of COVID-19 vaccination on stock markets and mortality rates. Examining their effects, the study finds that
immunization positively correlates with a stable stock market and a decrease in the death rate. The third paper studies
the buying behaviour of retail investors who use the 1/N heuristic to equally split their same-day purchases of multiple
assets, which is called Naïve Buying Diversification (NBD). The authors contrast it with Naïve Portfolio Diversification
and find that people engaging in NBD far more commonly than NPD.
The 5th SEBI-NISM Conference was held at NSE and NISM earlier this month. Panel discussions at NSE were well-
attended and covered a broad range of relevant topics ranging from new ideas in finance, sustainable finance,
infrastructure investment to investor education. Analysts from the EPR team also presented a paper exploring the
linkages between ESG scores and institutional ownership of large-cap Indian companies earlier this month.
Towards the end, it makes sense to track the evolving world of AI again, where blistering growth continues with the
unveiling of the Blackwell chip last week, the first to provide petaflop performance. The growth in computational power
at 1000x in a decade leaves Moore’s Law in the dust and promises an entirely new world during our lifetimes. And we
are yet to see a conventional application of the multiple attempts at quantum computing across the world. Our lives,
growth and the future of our planet depends on how such technology is utilized. On that note, we present the March
edition of the Market Pulse. As always, we look forward to your comments and suggestions.
Tirthankar Patnaik
Chief Economist
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
NSE at a glance
NSE’s positioning and reach
NSE’s global positioning Domestic market share Reach
Largest multi-asset class Rolling 3M share (%)** 1303 Trading members
1 exchange 0.0 40.0 80.0 120.0
99.85%+ Pin codes covered
Third largest equity exchange EQ Cash 92.2 Unique registered
3 (No. of trades, 12% share in
EQ Futures 99.90
9 Crore
PANs
2023*)
Global passive AUM
Largest derivatives exchange EQ Options* 94.7 US$77bn
tracking Nifty indices*
1 (No. of contracts traded, 74% FX Futures 79.0
share in eq. F&O in 2023*) Market cap (As of
FX Options* 99.7 US$4.6trn
Feb’24)
6 Market capitalization*
* Based on premium turnover * Includes domestic and global AUM. As of
* Source: WFE ** As of February 29th, 2024 February 29th, 2024
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY21
FY22
FY23
raised
FY24TD
FY22- listed* Companies Companies
FY24TD listed * migrated to
main board * Market cap to GDP is based on 3M average market
cap and nominal GDP for FY24. Data for FY24TD is
as of February 29th, 2024.
* FY24TD is as of February 29th, 2024 * As of February 29th, 2024
Investor growth
Unique investor base Active investors* New investor registrations
lakhs lakhs
CM Segment Lakh East India North India
350
1,000 294 South India West India
900 FO Segment
900 300 Total
800 727 250 250
700 193.0
594 200 200 171.3
600
150 132.6
500 150
400 91
400 310 100 89.8
275 100
300 50
200 38.5
0 50
100
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
- 0
FY24TD*
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
NSE overtook Shenzhen Stock Exchange to reach the first spot globally in cash market in terms of number of
trades in Feb’24.
NSE continues to have global dominance in Equity Index Options segment with a 98% global share in terms of
contracts traded.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
FY24FAE
-10 0
Jan-22 Jul-22 Jan-23 Jul-23 Jan-24 Feb-16 Feb-18 Feb-20 Feb-22 Feb-24
Nov-23
Jul-23
Sep-23
Mar-23
Mar-24
Jan-23
Jan-24
Feb-14
Feb-15
Feb-16
Feb-17
Feb-18
Feb-19
Feb-20
Feb-21
Feb-22
Feb-23
Feb-24
-300
FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 H1FY24
FY23A
FY24BE
FY25BE
FY24RE
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Market activity
Category-wise gross turnover and share in FY24* Average open interest in February 2024
CM Equity options# Equity futures Equity options Equity futures
Client Client
category Value (Rs Share Value (Rs Share Value (Rs Share category Value Contracts Value Contracts
‘000 Cr) (%) ‘000 Cr) (%) ‘000 Cr) (%) (Rs Cr) (‘000) (Rs Cr) (‘000)
Corporates 2,069 6% 758 3% 4,828 8% Corporates 1,73,255 1,300 45,840 550
FIs 5,274 14% 2,336 8% 12,661 21% FIs 163 1 5 0
DIIs 3,997 11% 22 0% 4,524 8% DIIs 507 5 107 1
Individuals 13,061 36% 9,643 35% 11,677 20% Individuals 5,83,373 7,903 96,646 1,177
Prop 10,300 28% 13,912 50% 21,020 36% Prop 3,55,366 3,993 48,855 598
Others 1,791 5% 1,215 4% 4,475 8% Others 3,34,278 3,399 1,93,296 2,307
*FY24 data is as of February 2024. # Based on premium turnover Note: Notional value is presented here
200
30 20.8 21.0
Thousands
2 1.5 150
20 10.7 100 49 56
10 2.3 2.1 50
1
0 -
-10 1.2 0.9 0 -50
5.1
-20 -100
18.5
FY20
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24TD*
-30 -1
FY18
FY20
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY19
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24TD*
-2
FY15 FY18 FY21 FY24TD* * As of February 29th, 2024
* As of February 29th, 2024 ^ NSE’s CM segment only (Secondary market)
* As of February 29 , 2024
th
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
DMFs, Govt.,
• Government ownership rose further on PSU outperformance: 8.8 10.2
Government ownership—promoter as well as non-promoter—in the
FPI ownership in NSE-listed companies
listed companies, Nifty 500 and Nifty 50 Index increased sharply by
% FPI share in NSE-listed universe
78bps, 87bps and 23bps QoQ to a 24-quarter high of 10.2%, 26-quarter 30 FPI share ex-Financials
high of 10.7% and 15-quarter high of 6.3% respectively. This was partly
attributed to strong relative outperformance of public sector enterprises 20
in the quarter gone by. For instance, while the NIFTY 50 Index generated
10
a 10.7% return in the December quarter, the NIFTY PSE Index
generated 31.1% return over the same period. 0
Dec-17
Dec-01
Dec-03
Dec-05
Dec-07
Dec-09
Dec-11
Dec-13
Dec-15
Dec-19
Dec-21
Dec-23
1
The “India Inc. Ownership Tracker” report examines ownership trends and patterns in Indian companies listed on the NSE since 2001.
2
FII ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians.
3
Overweight (OW), neutral (N) or underweight (UW) stance on any sector is with respect to the sector’s weight in the Index. An OW/UW position on a sector implies more
than 100bps higher/lower allocation to the sector than its weight in the Index. A ‘N’ position on a sector implies an allocation within +/- 100bps of the sector’s weight.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Financials during the quarter, which FPIs have an outsized exposure to. DMF ownership in NSE-listed companies
In fact, excluding Financials, FPI share in the listed space actually Rs cr SIP inflows %
increased by 10bps QoQ to 12% in the December quarter. 60,000 23
DMF share in NSE floating
50,000
stock 18
FPIs continued to play the India story via Financials with an outsized but 40,000
incrementally tapered OW bet on the sector, remained negative on 30,000 13
India’s consumption story with a negatively biased neutral and a strong 20,000
8
UW stance on Consumer Discretionary and Consumer Staples 10,000
0 3
respectively, turned incrementally less bearish on Industrials and
Sep-18
Sep-21
Mar-20
Mar-23
Jun-19
Jun-22
Dec-17
Dec-20
Dec-23
remained negative on Materials amid global slowdown.
• DMFs share rose to fresh all-time high level: DMF share in the NSE
FPI and DMF portfolio OW/UW in Nifty 500
listed universe, Nifty 500 and Nifty 50 increased by 7bps, 12bps and vs. the index (December 2023)
11bps QoQ to fresh all-time highs of 8.8%, 9.3% and 10.2% respectively bps
-168
in the December quarter. Actively managed funds comprise 7.1% of the Cons. Staples -207
28
ownership in the listed universe, while the rest 1.7% is held by passively Energy -150 FPIs
managed funds4. This is in line with robust net investments by DMFs Materials -243 -86 DMFs
15
during this period, supported by a steady rise in indirect individual IT -74
49
participation via the SIP route. Realty 5
Utilities 38
12
DMFs broadly maintained their sector positioning with a reduced but Financials 473
22
strong OW position on bigger financial companies even as they retained Industrials -165
75
a cautious view on smaller companies in the sector, an UW position on Comm Svcs. 45
78
Consumer Staples and commodity sectors viz., Energy and Materials and Cons. Disc. -48
153
an OW stance on Healthcare and Smaller Consumer Discretionary Healthcare -40
160
companies.
-400 -200 0 200 400 600
• Individual investors’ share remained broadly unchanged: Individual New investor account additions
investors’ holding in the NSE listed companies remained largely crore CDSL
4
unchanged at 9.7% in the December quarter, while the Nifty 50 and Nifty NSDL
x 10
3
500 indices saw a 11bps and 7bps QoQ drop in individuals’ share to 8.2%
2
and 8.7% respectively. This corroborates with a significant moderation
1
in net investments by individual investors during this period.
0
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24TD
• Ownership concentration: The share of Nifty 50 companies in total
institutional investments fell for the third quarter in a row by 130bps QoQ
to a 16-year low of 63.2% in the December quarter, a result of the
Decile-wise portfolio share
combination of higher allocation to mid- and small-cap companies and
Total
relative outperformance of these companies. Individuals also saw the Deciles FPIs DMFs Individuals mkt
cap
share of these companies in their overall portfolio falling to a 23-quarter
1 89.5 80.0 65.1 78.9
low of 40.4%. That said, large companies still contribute to a
2 6.9 13.3 14.1 11.2
disproportionate amount to both individual and institutional portfolios, 3 2.3 4.3 8.6 4.8
with the top 200 companies by market cap contributing to 65% of 4 0.9 1.8 4.9 2.4
individuals’ holdings and 90% of institutional holdings. We also compare 5 0.3 0.5 3.1 1.3
the depth of institutional ownership with its width in the market. FPIs 6 0.1 0.1 2.0 0.7
expanded the number of companies held in the December quarter, even 7 0.0 0.0 1.1 0.4
as those with more than a 5% FPI share did not increase meaningfully. 8 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.2
9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1
In line with FPIs, DMFs also expanded their investment pool, but with a
10 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
commensurate increase in the number of companies where DMFs own
Source: CMIE Prowess, AMFI, SEBI, NSE EPR.
more than 5%.
4
Passive mutual funds track an index by maintaining a portfolio that mimics the underlying assets of an index. Active funds are those which involve active investment
decisions on the part of the fund manager.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Table 2: Ownership trend across non-promoter shareholders by total market cap in the NSE-listed universe
Non-promoters (%) ^
Market
Institutional Non-institutional
cap
Banks, FIs Non- Other (Rs lakh
Domestic Other Ind.
& FPIs* Total promoter non-inst. Total Total crore) #
MFs inst. investors
Insurance corporate **
FY07 3.8 5.4 19.2 0.3 28.6 4.2 10.1 3.0 17.3 45.9 34
FY08 3.8 5.4 17.5 0.4 27.1 4.3 9.1 2.9 16.3 43.4 49
FY09 3.8 6.7 14.9 0.3 25.7 4.5 8.7 3.6 16.8 42.4 29
FY10 3.9 6.9 16.4 0.3 27.5 4.5 8.5 3.3 16.2 43.7 60
FY11 3.6 6.9 17.5 0.3 28.2 4.5 8.2 3.2 15.9 44.1 67
FY12 3.6 7.2 17.7 0.2 28.7 4.4 8.5 3.2 16.2 44.9 61
FY13 3.5 6.9 20.7 0.1 31.2 4.3 8.0 3.6 15.9 47.2 63
FY14 3.4 6.8 22.1 0.1 32.3 4.0 8.0 4.0 15.9 48.3 73
FY15 3.9 5.9 22.0 0.6 32.4 4.2 8.7 3.7 16.5 49.0 100
FY16 4.4 6.4 20.8 0.3 31.9 5.8 9.1 2.8 17.7 49.6 95
FY17 4.9 6.2 20.6 0.2 32.0 5.8 9.3 2.9 18.0 49.9 121
FY18 6.1 5.6 20.1 0.3 32.0 5.6 9.0 3.0 17.6 49.6 142
FY19 7.2 5.5 21.0 0.4 34.0 5.0 8.6 3.0 16.5 50.6 150
FY20 7.9 5.5 20.8 0.4 34.6 3.3 8.4 2.7 14.5 49.1 112
FY21 7.2 5.1 21.5 1.2 35.0 3.1 9.0 2.9 15.0 50.0 203
FY22 7.7 4.5 19.2 1.5 32.9 3.6 9.7 3.1 16.3 49.3 261
FY23 8.7 6.1 19.1 2.3 36.2 1.7 9.4 2.8 13.9 50.1 254
Jun-23 8.6 5.9 19.0 2.4 35.9 1.9 9.4 2.7 14.0 49.9 291
Sep-23 8.7 5.7 18.4 2.3 35.2 2.0 9.7 2.8 14.4 49.6 315
Dec-23 8.8 5.6 18.2 2.2 34.8 2.0 9.7 2.8 14.4 49.3 360
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. ^ Ownership shares provided here for non-promoters are based on total market cap and therefore do not add up to 100. Institutional
and non-institutional share add up to the total non-promoter share. *FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians. **Other non-
institutions include other non-institutional non-promoters and government non-promoter. #Market cap is for all companies whose ownership data was available for the
quarter.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Promoter share in NSE listed companies inched up for the third consecutive quarter:
Total promoter share rose
Total promoter ownership in the NSE listed universe rose by 37bps QoQ to 50.7% in the
by 37bps QoQ to 50.7% in
December quarter, marking the third increase in a row. Once again, this was driven the December quarter.
primarily by a strong increase in Government promoter ownership by 77bps QoQ to a six-
year high of 9.7%, partly attributed to continued outperformance of PSUs (Public Sector
Undertakings) relative to the broader market. On the other hand, private Indian promoter
holdings remained unchanged at 33.1%, while foreign promoter holdings slipped for the
sixth straight quarter to a more than ten-year low of 8% (-40 bps QoQ).
Government ownership at six-year highs: Government ownership (promoter as well as
Significant outperformance
non-promoter) in the NSE-listed space has been coming off since 2010, in-line with its
of public sector companies
efforts to garner higher revenues through the disinvestment route, barring a steep rise in the December quarter
last fiscal year, thanks to the LIC issue. The second half of 2023, however, has seen led to Government
government holdings increase meaningfully, with a 98bps QoQ rise in the September ownership rising to a six-
quarter, followed by a 78bps QoQ rise in December to a 24-quarter high of 10.2%. This year high of 10.2%.
has come on the back of significant outperformance of PSUs compared to the broad
market; while the NIFTY 50 Index generated a 10.7% return in the December quarter, the
NIFTY PSE Index generated 31.1% return over the same period.
FPI ownership declined for the third quarter in a row: Notwithstanding strong foreign
FPI ownership declined by
capital inflows during the quarter (US$6.1bn), FPI ownership in the NSE listed universe
20bps QoQ to 18.2%
moderated by 20bps QoQ to an 11-year low of 18.2% in December 2023, even as the despite strong foreign
value held by FPIs in the NSE listed space rose by 13% MoM to Rs 65.5 lakh crore. This capital inflows. Excluding
marks the third quarter in a row to see a drop in FPI share despite net inflows of Financials, the share
US$23.9bn during this period. The was primarily led by underperformance of Financials inched up marginally.
sector during the quarter where FPIs are heavy owners. The Nifty Financial Services Index
rose by 8.5% in the December quarter as opposed to a 10.7% and 12.4% return in the
Nifty 50 and Nifty 500 Indices respectively. Excluding Financials, FPI share in the NSE
listed universe inched up marginally from 11.9% in the September quarter to 12.0% in
the December quarter. In fact, FPI share within the overall NSE listed space dropped or
remained steady across most sectors barring Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
…While DMF share inched up further to fresh all-time highs: DMF’s share in the listed
DMF share rose to record
universe inched up for the second quarter in a row to a record high of 8.8% in the
high levels of 8.8% in Dec
December quarter. This corroborates with sustained buying by DMFs in the quarter gone ’23, in line with steady
by, as evidenced by net inflows of Rs 56,990 crore in the December quarter vs. Rs 53,714 increase in net investments
crore in the previous quarter. A part of this is attributed to rising indirect participation of by DMFs during the
individuals via the SIP route. The SIP inflows rose from a monthly average of Rs 14,404 quarter.
crore in the June quarter to Rs 15,700 in the September quarter to Rs 17,204 crore in the Share of Banks, Financial
December quarter to a run-rate of Rs 19,013 crore in the first two months of the last Institutions and Insurance
quarter. This translates into average SIP inflows in the first 11 months of FY24 (Apr’23- companies fell by 14bps
Feb’24) of Rs 16,359 crore, significantly higher than the average of Rs 12,997 crore in QoQ to 5.6%.
FY23. Out of the total DMF share of 8.8% in the NSE listed companies, passive funds held
about 1.7%, with the balance 7.1% held by active funds, both of which are hovering near
record-high levels.
The share of Banks, Financial Institutions and Insurance companies in the NSE-listed
space moderated for the third quarter in a row by 14 bps QoQ to six-quarter low of 5.6%.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Govt., 10.2
Govt., 9.4
Table 3: NSE-listed universe: Ownership trend across key stakeholders by total market cap over last three years
Private Non-
Foreign Passive Active Banks, FIs Individual
% Indian Govt. FPIs * promoter Others **
promoters DMFs ^ DMFs $ & Insurance Investor
promoters corporate
Mar-21 34.7 6.2 9.4 1.2 6.0 5.1 21.5 3.1 9.0 3.7
Jun-21 35.3 6.5 9.1 1.2 6.0 5.0 20.7 3.2 9.4 3.7
Sep-21 36.0 6.0 8.9 1.3 6.0 4.4 20.5 3.4 9.3 4.1
Dec-21 36.4 5.7 8.7 1.3 6.1 4.4 19.7 3.7 9.7 4.3
Mar-22 36.3 6.0 8.7 1.4 6.3 4.5 19.2 3.6 9.7 4.3
Jun-22 35.2 7.6 9.1 1.5 6.4 4.6 18.4 3.7 9.5 4.0
Sep-22 35.0 7.5 9.5 1.6 6.4 5.7 18.6 2.8 9.2 3.7
Dec-22 34.2 8.6 8.9 1.6 6.5 5.8 18.9 1.8 9.2 4.5
Mar-23 33.2 8.4 8.8 1.7 7.0 6.1 19.1 1.7 9.4 4.7
Jun-23 33.4 8.4 8.7 1.7 6.9 5.9 19.0 1.9 9.4 4.7
Sep-23 33.1 9.4 8.3 1.7 7.1 5.7 18.4 2.0 9.7 4.6
Dec-23 33.1 10.2 7.9 1.7 7.1 5.6 18.2 2.0 9.7 4.5
QoQ change 1bps 78bps -40bps 0bps 7bps -14bps -20bps 1bps -4bps -9bps
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. Note: Ownership across promoters and non-promoters are based on total market cap and add up to 100. *FPI ownership includes
ownership through depository receipts held by custodians. ** Others include other institutional non-promoters, other non-institutional non-promoters and government
non-promoters. ^ Passive mutual funds track an index by maintaining a portfolio that mimics the underlying assets of an index. $ Active funds are those which involve
active investment decisions on the part of the fund manager; share of these funds has been arrived at by subtracting passive AUM from the overall DMF holding.
Institutional ownership in NSE floating stock fell for the second consecutive quarter:
DMF ownership in the NSE floating stock rose for the second quarter in a row by 28bps
QoQ to an all-time high of 17.9% in the December quarter. All other institutional
categories, however, recorded a dip in stake in the floating stock. FPIs’ share moderated
by 13 bps QoQ to near 14-year low of 37.0%. FPI share in the NSE floating stock is now
8.7pp below the peak share seen eight years back (March 2014). Excluding Nifty 50,
however, FPI share in the floating stock remained steady on a QoQ basis at 28.9%. Banks,
Financial Institutions and Insurance companies’ share in the free float of NSE-listed
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 2: NSE-listed universe: Ownership pattern by free float market cap (%)
September 2023 December 2023
Non-promoter Other non- Non-
Other non-institutional Govt., 0.9 institutional non- promoter
non-promoters, 4.7 promoters, 4.7 Govt., 1.0
Individual DMFs, 17.9
DMFs, 17.6
investors, Individual investors,
19.5 19.6
Non-promoter
corporate, 4.0
Non-promoter
corporate, 4.0
Table 4: NSE-listed universe: Ownership trend across key stakeholders by floating stock over last three years
Passive Active Banks, FIs & Non-promoter Individual
% FPIs* Others**
DMFs ^ DMFs $ Insurance corporate Investor
Mar-21 2.5 12.0 10.2 42.9 6.3 18.0 8.1
Jun-21 2.5 12.1 10.0 41.9 6.4 18.9 8.2
Sep-21 2.6 12.2 9.0 41.6 6.9 18.9 8.9
Dec-21 2.7 12.4 8.8 39.9 7.6 19.6 9.1
Mar-22 2.9 12.7 9.1 39.1 7.3 19.7 9.3
Jun-22 3.1 13.3 9.6 38.1 7.6 19.7 8.7
Sep-22 3.2 13.2 11.9 38.5 5.7 19.1 8.4
Dec-22 3.4 13.3 12.0 38.8 3.7 18.9 10.0
Mar-23 3.5 14.0 12.1 38.1 3.5 18.7 10.2
Jun-23 3.5 13.8 11.7 38.1 3.8 18.8 10.3
Sep-23 3.4 14.2 11.5 37.1 4.0 19.5 10.2
Dec-23 3.4 14.5 11.3 37.0 4.0 19.6 10.2
QoQ change 3bps 25bps -19bps -13bps 6bps 6bps -8bps
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. Note: Ownership across key non-promoter stakeholders is based on free float market cap and add up to 100. *FPI ownership includes
ownership through depository receipts held by custodians. ** Others include other institutional non-promoters, other non-institutional non-promoters and government
non-promoters. ^ Passive mutual funds track an index by maintaining a portfolio that mimics the underlying assets of an index. $ Active funds are those which involve
active investment decisions on the part of the fund manager; share of these funds has been arrived at by subtracting passive AUM from the overall DMF holding.
11/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Sector Enterprises) and augmenting its resources for higher expenditure towards
economic development. On the other hand, overall private promoter ownership—Indian
and foreign promoters combined—has increased by ~11.6pp between June 2010 to
December 2021. Promoter share, however, has been inching up since last few years
barring FY23, primarily led by an increase in Government share.
Sharp rise in DMF ownership during 2014-19 supported by rising SIP inflows: Barring
DMF ownership got support
a drop in FY21, DMF ownership has seen a sharp increase over the previous six fiscal from rising SIP investments
years (FY15-FY23), largely reflecting the sustained retail interest in equity mutual funds during FY15-20, only to
as an investment channel through SIPs. Drop in DMF ownership in FY21 (Apr-Mar’21) had see a dip in FY21 and
been largely on the back of moderation in SIP inflows as well as high redemption recover thereafter.
pressures, thanks to macroeconomic slowdown and attendant drop in disposable
incomes that got accentuated by the COVID-19 outbreak. This partly found its way to
Indian equities via higher direct retail investments, as visible from a steady increase in
direct retail ownership during this period. With indirect participation by individual
investors seeing a renewed jump beginning June 2021 via the SIP route, share of DMFs
in the NSE listed universe has risen steadily to record-high levels. Banks, FIs & Insurance
share, on the other hand, has been gradually dropping off since 2012, only to see a
significant jump in FY23 (+158bps).
FPI ownership dropped to sub 20% in FY23 after almost a decade: FPI ownership in
the NSE-listed space saw a gradual increase between 2002 and 2015, except for a brief
period around the 2007-08 financial crisis, but dropped marginally over the subsequent
three years, reflecting negative global cues including the US-China trade war and Brexit
concerns. FPI share picked up over the next two years until December 2019 but fell
sharply during the first two quarters of 2020 post the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic.
This, however, was temporary as huge liquidity injection globally improved risk appetite,
leading to a jump in FPI share in the second half. Since then, FPI share has been trending
down, reflecting weakened investor sentiments in the wake of recurring COVID waves,
China slowdown, Russia-Ukraine war, worsening growth-inflation dynamics, and rapid
monetary tightening by global central banks, notably the US Fed.
Direct individual holding has remained between 8% to 10% for more than a decade
Direct individual ownership
now: Not surprisingly, while individual investments through the SIP route has been rising
fell steadily between 2001
over last few years, barring a steady drop in FY21, direct individual participation in equity
and 2012 and has since
markets remained quite stable—a sign of maturing markets and indirect ownership. rising steadily.
Individual investors’ ownership of the NSE listed universe declined steadily between
2001 and 2012 but has since increased only marginally.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 3: NSE-listed universe: Long-term ownership trend across key stakeholders by total market cap
% Ownership trend of listed companies across key stakeholders by total market cap
Promoters DMFs FPIs
Banks, FIs & Insurance Non-promoter corporate Individual investors
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Jun-01
Jun-02
Jun-03
Jun-04
Jun-05
Jun-06
Jun-08
Jun-09
Jun-10
Jun-11
Jun-12
Jun-13
Jun-14
Jun-16
Jun-17
Jun-18
Jun-19
Jun-20
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jun-23
Jun-07
Jun-15
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. *FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians.
Figure 4: Total promoter ownership trend of NSE-listed Figure 5: Indian and foreign promoter ownership trend
companies by total market cap of NSE-listed companies by total market cap
% Total promoter ownership trend of listed companies by % Govt. Private Indian promoters
total market cap Foreign promoters
60 50
45
55
40
50 35
30
45 25
20
40 15
10
35
5
30 0
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Figure 6: DMF ownership trend of NSE-listed companies Figure 7: FPI ownership* trend of NSE-listed companies
by total market cap by total market cap
% DMF ownership trend of listed companies by total % FPI ownership trend of listed companies by total market
10 market cap cap
25
8 20
6 15
4 10
2 5
0 0
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. *FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 8: Banks, FIs & Insurance ownership trend of Figure 9: Individual ownership trend of NSE-listed
NSE-listed companies by total market cap companies by total market cap
% Banks, FIs & insurance ownership trend of listed % Individual investor ownership trend of listed companies
companies by total market cap
20 by total market cap
8.0
7.5 18
7.0 16
6.5 14
6.0 12
5.5 10
5.0 8
4.5 6
4.0 4
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Figure 10: NSE-listed universe: Long-term ownership trend across key stakeholders by free float market cap
% Ownership trend of listed companies across key non-promoter stakeholders by floating stock
DMFs FPIs Banks, FIs & Insurance Non-promoter corporate Individual investors
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Jun-02
Jun-03
Jun-05
Jun-06
Jun-07
Jun-08
Jun-09
Jun-10
Jun-11
Jun-12
Jun-13
Jun-14
Jun-16
Jun-17
Jun-18
Jun-19
Jun-20
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jun-23
Jun-04
Jun-15
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. *FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians
Figure 11: DMF ownership trend of NSE-listed Figure 12: FPI ownership trend of NSE-listed companies
companies by free float market cap by free float market cap
% DMF ownership trend of listed companies by free float % FPI ownership trend of listed companies by free float
20 market cap 60 market cap
50
15
40
10 30
20
5
10
0 0
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 13: Banks, FIs & Insurance ownership trend of Figure 14: Individual ownership trend of NSE-listed
NSE-listed companies by free float market cap companies by free float market cap
% Banks, FIs & Insurance ownership trend of listed % Individual investor ownership trend of listed companies
companies by free float market cap by free float market cap
18 35
16 30
14
25
12
19.54
20
10
15 16.87
8
6 10
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
SIP inflows continue to rise: SIPs have been a preferred route for individual investors to
invest in equity markets barring FY20-21. After a drop in 2020, that saw individual Average monthly SIP inflows
in FY23 rose by 25.0% YoY
investors shift away from being indirect investors to direct participants in the equity
and further by ~26% in
market, inflows into mutual funds through the SIP route has been rising steadily since FY24 thus far (Apr-Feb’24).
then, barring some moderation in early FY22 due to the virulent second wave of the
pandemic. Monthly SIP inflows in FY23 (Apr’22-Mar’23) averaged at Rs 12,998 crore vs.
Rs 10,381 crore in FY22, rising further to Rs 16,359 crore during the first 11 months of
the current fiscal (Apr’23-Feb’24). Total SIP inflows increased meaningfully from Rs
47,101 crore in the September quarter to Rs 51,611 crore in the December quarter,
contributing to the DMF ownership reaching fresh all-time highs.
Figure 15: Monthly SIP inflows into mutual funds Figure 16: Quarterly SIP inflows vs DMF ownership
Rs crore Rs crore Quarterly SIP flows vs. DMF ownership %
Monthly SIP inflows into mutual funds
25,000 60,000 SIP inflows 19
17
50,000
20,000
15
40,000
15,000 13
30,000 11
10,000 9
20,000
7
5,000 10,000
5
0 0 3
Jun-16
Jun-17
Jun-18
Jun-19
Jun-20
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jun-23
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Oct-16
Oct-17
Oct-18
Oct-19
Oct-20
Oct-21
Oct-22
Oct-23
Feb-17
Feb-18
Feb-19
Feb-20
Feb-21
Feb-22
Feb-23
Feb-24
Jun-16
Jun-17
Jun-18
Jun-19
Jun-20
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jun-23
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
19.1% in the December quarter (vs. 19.3% in Sep’23), with Rs 6.1 lakh crore of AUM. This
is 1.1pp away from the all-time high of 20.1% recorded in December 2022.
Holdings in the NSE listed universe by passive and active funds remained largely
unchanged in the December quarter; out of the 8.7% share of DMFs in the NSE listed
universe, 1.7% is currently held by passive funds, while 7.1% is in the form of active
funds. In terms of free float market capitalization, DMF ownership inched up from 17.6%
to 17.9% in the December quarter, driven largely by active funds (+25bps QoQ to 14.5%),
with passive fund holdings remaining largely unchanged at 3.4%.
Figure 17: DMF holding in NSE listed universe Figure 18: DMF segregation: active and passive funds
Rs lakh crore DMF holding in NSE listed companies % DMF seggregation into active and passive funds
Active funds Passive funds Active funds Passive funds
35 100
30
80
25
60
20
15 40
10
20
5
0 0
Jun-16
Jun-17
Jun-18
Jun-19
Jun-20
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jun-23
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Jun-16
Jun-17
Jun-18
Jun-19
Jun-20
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jun-23
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Source: AMFI, MFI Explorer, NSE EPR. Note: Passive mutual funds track an index by maintaining a portfolio that mimics the underlying assets of an index. Active funds
are those which involve active investment decisions on the part of the fund manager; share of these funds has been arrived at by subtracting passive AUM from the overall
DMF holding.
150.0
108.5
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
60.0
50.0
42.4
40.6 40.8
40.0 37.4
33.1 31.9
30.7
28.4
30.0 26.1 25.5
23.7
10.0
-
Last quarter 1Y 3Y CAGR 5Y CAGR 8Y CAGR
Source: AMFI, MFI Explorer, NSE EPR. Note: Passive mutual funds track an index by maintaining a portfolio that mimics the underlying assets of an index. Active funds
are those which involve active investment decisions on the part of the fund manager; share of these funds has been arrived at by subtracting passive AUM from the overall
DMF holding.
Figure 21: DMF ownership in total market cap of NSE Figure 22: DMF ownership in floating market cap of NSE
listed companies listed companies
% DMF ownership in total market cap of NSE listed % DMF ownership in the floating stock of NSE listed
companies companies
10.0 Total DMFs Passive funds 8.8 20.0 Total DMFs Passive funds
17.9
Active funds 17.5 Active funds
8.0
7.1 15.0 14.5
6.0 12.5
10.0
4.0 7.5
5.0
2.0
1.7 3.4
2.5
0.0 0.0
Jun-15
Jun-16
Jun-17
Jun-18
Jun-19
Jun-20
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jun-23
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Jun-16
Jun-17
Jun-19
Jun-20
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jun-23
Jun-15
Jun-18
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Source: CMIE Prowess, AMFI, MFI Explorer, NSE EPR. Note: Passive mutual funds track an index by maintaining a portfolio that mimics the underlying assets of an index.
Active funds are those which involve active investment decisions on the part of the fund manager; share of these funds has been arrived at by subtracting passive AUM
from the overall DMF holding.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Table 5: Shareholding of DMFs across active and passive funds in the NSE listed companies
Investment (Rs lakh crore) Ownership in NSE total market cap (%) Ownership to NSE floating stock (%)
%
Active Passive Total Active Passive Total Active Passive Total
FY15 3.9 0.1 4.0 3.9 0.1 3.9 7.9 0.2 8.1
FY16 4.0 0.2 4.1 4.2 0.2 4.4 8.4 0.4 8.8
FY17 5.5 0.5 6.0 4.6 0.4 4.9 9.2 0.8 9.9
FY18 7.9 0.7 8.6 5.5 0.5 6.1 11.2 1.1 12.2
FY19 9.4 1.4 10.7 6.3 0.9 7.2 12.4 1.8 14.2
FY20 7.5 1.4 8.8 6.7 1.2 7.9 13.6 2.5 16.1
FY21 12.2 2.5 14.7 6.0 1.2 7.2 12.0 2.5 14.5
FY22 16.4 3.8 20.1 6.3 1.4 7.7 12.7 2.9 15.7
FY23 17.8 4.4 22.2 7.0 1.7 8.7 14.0 3.5 17.4
Jun-23 20.1 5.0 25.1 6.9 1.7 8.6 13.8 3.5 17.3
Sep-23 22.2 5.3 27.5 7.1 1.7 8.7 14.2 3.4 17.6
Dec-23 25.7 6.1 31.7 7.1 1.7 8.8 14.5 3.4 17.9
Source: CMIE Prowess, AMFI, MFI Explorer, NSE EPR. Note: Passive mutual funds track an index by maintaining a portfolio that mimics the underlying assets of an index.
Active funds are those which involve active investment decisions on the part of the fund manager; share of these funds has been arrived at by subtracting passive AUM
from the overall DMF holding.
FPI buying picked up in the December quarter: After significant volatility in foreign Net FII inflows picked up to
institutional inflows flows in FY23, Q1FY24 saw FIIs becoming strong buyers, with a 10- US$ 6.1bn in the December
quarter high net inflow of US$12.5bn. While inflows slowed down to US$5.4bn in the quarter from US$ 5.4bn in
September quarter on the back of global uncertainty, the December quarter saw a the previous quarter.
moderate uptick in FPI buying with US$6.1bn worth of inflows in the quarter. In spite of
strong foreign capital inflows this year, FPI ownership in the NSE listed space continued
to decline, primarily attributed to underperformance of FPI-heavy stocks, particularly
Financials. The first two months of Q4FY24, January and February, have seen renewed
FPI selling, with outflows of US$ 2.9bn, only to see a reversal in March, translating into
net inflows of US$ 2.0bn in the March quarter thus far and US$25.9bn in FY24 till date
(As of March 19th, 2024).
Figure 23: Net foreign institutional inflows and FPI shareholding in the NSE-listed floating stock
US$ mn Net foriegn institutional inflows and FPI shareholding %
25000 Net FII inflows FPI ownership in NSE listed floating stock (R) 50.0
20000 45.0
15000 40.0
35.0
10000
30.0
5000
25.0
0
20.0
-5000
15.0
-10000 10.0
-15000 5.0
-20000 0.0
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Source: Bloomberg, CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. * FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians.
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30 27.1 25.9
24.3 24.8 25.4
20.8
18.1
20 14.7 15.3
10.6 10.2 10.7
10 7.4
5.2 3.2 3.1 2.3 2.1
0
1.2 0.9
-10 5.1
11.1
-20
18.5
-30
FY00
FY09
FY18
FY01
FY02
FY03
FY04
FY05
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24TD*
Source: Refinitiv Datastream, NSE EPR. * Data for FY24TD is as of March 19th, 2024.
Direct individual participation moderated in the last quarter of 2022 and remained on
sidelines in the first two quarters of 2023 as well. While the September quarter saw an
uptick in individuals’ buying with net inflows of Rs 21,564 crore, December saw
individuals turn net sellers again, recording Rs 5,854 crore of net outflows. The trend
seems to have reversed again this year, with net inflows by individuals already crossing
Rs 60,000 crore in just two months alone.
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Figure 25: Net inflows by individual investors in the NSE’s CM segment (2002-)
Rs crore
Net inflows by individual investors
160000 1,42,756
140000
120000
100000 88,347
80000
61,430
60000
40000
20000 5,208
0
-20000
-40000
-60000
2008
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024TD
Source: NSE EPR.
Note: 1. Note: Retail investors: individual domestic investors, NRIs, sole proprietorship firms and HUFs.
2. Net flows include investments in securities in EQ, BE, SM, and ST series including ETFs only.
3. Net flows are calculated as buy traded value – sell traded value.
4. Data for 2024TD is for the period Jan-Feb’24.
Figure 26: Quarterly trend of number of investor Figure 27: Annual trend of new investor account
accounts with depositories additions with depositories
crore Outstanding number of investor accounts crore New investor account additions
16.0 4.0
CDSL NSDL CDSL NSDL
x 10
x 10
14.0 3.5
12.0 3.0
10.0 2.5
8.0 2.0
6.0 1.5
4.0 1.0
2.0 0.5
0.0 0.0
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24TD
Sep-12
Sep-15
Sep-18
Sep-21
Mar-11
Mar-14
Mar-17
Mar-20
Mar-23
Jun-13
Jun-16
Jun-19
Jun-22
Jun-10
Dec-11
Dec-14
Dec-17
Dec-20
Dec-23
Source: SEBI Bulletin, NSE EPR. Data for FY24TD is for the period Apr’23-Feb’23.
Sector-wise ownership of the NSE-listed universe (December 2023): The sector-wise Sector-wise, Utilities
ownership pattern of the NSE-listed universe across key stakeholders in the quarter gone remained the top sector in
(Oct’23-Dec’23) shows that the Real Estate sector continues to lead in terms of promoter terms of Govt. ownership.
ownership at 65.8% (-7bps QoQ), followed by Utilities at 58.8% (+56bps QoQ), Materials
Financials remained at the
at 56.5% (+28bps QoQ), Industrials at 54.2% (+51bps QoQ), Information Technology at top in terms of DMF
53.8% (+12bps QoQ) and Communication Services at 53.6% (-21bps QoQ). Among the ownership, followed by
remaining sectors, the largest increase in promoter ownership was recorded in Consumer Healthcare and Consumer
Staples (+42bps QoQ to 50.6%), followed by Energy (+23bps to 52.2%) and Financials Discretionary.
(+20bps to 41.1%).
Sector-wise, Utilities retained the top spot in terms of Government ownership for the third
quarter in a row, even as it recorded a sharp 82bps QoQ drop to 24.2% in the quarter
ending December 2023. Financials stood second, registering a second consecutive steep
jump in ownership (+164bps QoQ) to a nine-year high of 20.9%. Government holding in
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the Energy sector increased by 136ps QoQ to a 16-quarter high of 20.1% on the back of
significant outperformance of some Government-owned companies including Coal India.
The diversity in DMFs’ share across sectors was fairly low, with Financials leading at
11.0% (+7bps QoQ), followed by Health Care (+61bps QoQ to 10.9%), Consumer
Discretionary (+7bps QoQ to 10.3%) and Communication Services (+12bps QoQ to 10%).
Barring Industrials, all sectors saw an increase in the share of holdings by DMFs.
Financials remained the sector with the highest FPI ownership, even as FPI share in
Sector-wise, FPI share is
Financials continued to drop for the third consecutive quarter (-24bps QoQ to 26.7%).
the highest in Financials at
The share now stands 9.3pp lower than the December 2020 level of 36%. This was
26.7% but with a 9.3pp
followed by Communication Services and Energy at 19.0% (+8bps QoQ) and 18.9% (- drop since Dec’20.
52bps QoQ) respectively. Materials had the lowest FPI ownership in the September
quarter at 11.5%. While Materials, Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples,
Communication Services and Health Care witnessed an uptick in FPI ownership, all other
sectors recorded a QoQ decline.
Figure 28: NSE-listed universe: Sector-wise ownership pattern across key stakeholders (December 2023)
% Sector-wise ownership of the listed universe
Private Indian promoters Govt. Foreign promoters
DMFs FPIs* Banks, FIs & Insurance
Non-promoter corporate Individual investors Others**
100 2.4 2.4 3.6 1.9 2.5
4.9 4.3 4.4 5.3 4.4
6.1 9.2 7.5 6.1 6.4
9.0 8.9
90 10.8 9.9
11.9 11.8 1.2
5.0
10.6 8.6 4.9
5.8 3.9 6.5
80 3.8 4.7 4.6
17.3
19.0 8.2 15.9
70 19.0 16.5 13.2 18.2 11.5
17.5 5.9
13.9 26.7 1.4
7.0
60 10.0 6.8
7.0 10.9 8.7 8.0
10.3 6.5
6.3 0.4 7.3
50 4.4
13.4 8.9
11.0 13.4 5.9
10.2 20.1
40 3.2 1.8 24.2
2.6 25.7
11.5
64.0
30 20.8
0.1 48.6
43.3 44.3
20 39.4 37.1 34.3
29.3 29.1
24.8
10 18.6
0
Comm Svcs. Cons. Disc. Cons. Staples Energy Financials Healthcare Industrials IT Materials Reality Utilities
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. * FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians. **Others include other institutional and non-
institutional non-promoter investors
Sector allocation in the NSE-listed universe for key stakeholders (December 2023):
Both DMFs and FPIs saw
The table below shows sector allocation for key shareholder categories in all NSE-listed their portfolio allocation to
companies as of December 2023. Government ownership remains concentrated in Financials decreasing yet
Financials, Energy, Utilities, and Industrials, together accounting for almost 90% of the again in Q3FY24.
Government’s allocation in the NSE listed space. Consumer sector—Discretionary and
Staples—account for 41.6% (-86bps QoQ) of the exposure of foreign promoters to the
NSE-listed space, followed by Industrials at 20.2% (+29bps QoQ).
Except for an outsized exposure to Financials, DMF portfolio continues to remain more
diversified as compared to FPIs. Both FPIs and DMFs saw their portfolio allocation to
Financials dropping significantly by almost 1pp QoQ for the second consecutive quarter,
partly attributed to the relative underperformance of the Financials sector compared to
the rest of the listed space. The drop in DMFs’ allocation to Financials was absorbed by
Utilities, Real Estate and Industrials during the quarter.
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March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
For FPIs, the decline in their allocation to Financials was compensated for by a 57bps rise
in allocation to Utilities to 4.5% and a 39bps QoQ increase in exposure to Industrials to a
13-year high of 8.7%.
Table 6: Sector allocation of the NSE-listed universe for key stakeholders (December 2023)
Non-
Pvt. Indian Foreign Domestic Banks, FIs,
% Govt FPIs* promoter Individual
promoters promoters MFs Insurance
corporate
Communication Services 3.6 1.0 5.1 3.4 3.2 2.7 2.4 1.9
Consumer Discretionary 11.6 2.6 13.3 12.1 9.9 7.1 14.4 11.6
Consumer Staples 6.6 0.1 28.3 6.3 6.6 12.8 5.2 9.6
Energy 7.9 15.1 0.3 6.1 7.9 11.8 2.4 6.0
Financials 13.2 48.0 5.2 29.4 34.4 24.5 22.0 21.9
Health Care 7.5 0.0 6.4 7.1 5.2 4.0 6.2 5.8
Industrials 10.6 13.5 20.2 11.8 8.7 10.1 11.6 14.8
Information Technology 15.7 0.8 6.0 9.6 10.6 12.5 5.6 9.8
Materials 15.6 6.8 10.7 9.0 7.4 9.5 19.7 14.2
Real Estate 3.3 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.6 0.4 1.6 1.1
Utilities 4.5 12.2 4.2 4.1 4.5 4.5 9.1 3.4
Grand Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. * FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians.
DMFs’ allocation to Financials declined further while that to Utilities and Industrials
increased: DMFs’ exposure to Financials declined by 92bps QoQ to a seven-quarter low
of 29.4% in the December quarter, marking the fourth consecutive drop, resulting in a
3.4pp fall in 2023. DMFs also trimmed allocation to Consumer Staples by 22bps QoQ to
a seven-quarter low of 6.3%. The dips were compensated for by an increase in allocation
to Utilities (+51bps QoQ to 4.1%), Industrials (+29bps to 11.8%), Real Estate (+19bps to
1.2%) and Energy (+14bps to 6.1%). Sectors where DMFs broadly maintained their
exposure at a portfolio level within the NSE listed universe included Communication
Services and Consumer Discretionary.
Figure 29: DMF sector allocation of the NSE-listed universe (September 2023 vs. December 2023)
% DMF sector allocation of the NSE listed universe
Financials 29.4
30.3
Industrials 11.8
11.5
IT 9.6
9.7
Materials 9.0
8.9
7.1 Dec-23
Healthcare 6.9
Sep-23
Cons. Staples 6.3
6.5
Energy 6.1
5.9
Utilities 4.1
3.6
Realty 1.1
1.0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR.
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March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 30: DMF sector allocation of the NSE-listed universe over last five years
% DMF sector allocation of the NSE listed universe
Comm Svcs. Cons. Disc. Cons. Staples Energy Financials Healthcare
Industrials IT Materials Reality Utilities
100
4.3 4.1
90 10.2 9.0
80 8.8 9.6
70 10.8 11.8
5.9
60 7.1
50
32.1 29.4
40
30
6.1
20 6.3
7.1
10 12.1
10.8
0 2.5 3.4
Sep-19
Sep-20
Sep-21
Sep-22
Sep-23
Mar-19
Mar-20
Mar-21
Mar-22
Mar-23
Jun-19
Jun-20
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jun-23
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR.
FPI exposure to Financials continued to decline: FPIs saw their allocation to Financials
FPIs further trimmed
coming off for the third quarter in a row, partly attributed to underperformance of the exposure to Financials, partly
sector relative to the broader market. The December quarter saw a steep 94bps QoQ dip led by relative
in allocation of FPIs to Financials to 34.4%, translating into a drop of 2pp in the fiscal thus underperformance of the
far. That said, Financials still account for nearly 45% of the FPI’s investments in the NSE sector during the quarter.
listed companies. Other sectors which saw dips in FPI portfolio share include Information
Technology (-19bps QoQ to 10.6%), Consumer Staples (-14bps QoQ to 6.6%) and Energy
(-10bps to 7.9%). The highest jump in FPI portfolio share was seen in Utilities, which
increased by 47bps QoQ to 4.7%, followed by a 39bps QoQ increase in Industrials to a
13-year high of 8.7%, a 26bps QoQ rise in Real Estate to 1.6% and a 24bps hike in
Consumer Discretionary to 9.9%.
Figure 31: FPI sector allocation of the NSE-listed universe (September 2023 vs. December 2023)
% FPI sector allocation of the NSE listed universe
Financials 34.4
35.4
IT 10.6
10.8
Cons. Disc. 9.9
9.7
Dec-23
Industrials 8.7
8.3 Sep-23
Energy 7.9
8.0
Materials 7.4
7.3
Cons. Staples 6.6
6.8
Healthcare 5.2
5.2
Utilities 4.5
4.0
Comm Svcs. 3.2
3.2
Realty 1.6
1.4
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. * FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 32: FPI sector allocation of the NSE-listed universe over last five years
% FPI sector allocation of the NSE listed universe
Comm Svcs. Cons. Disc. Cons. Staples Energy Financials Healthcare
Industrials IT Materials Reality Utilities
100 3.0 4.5
6.5
90 7.4
11.1
80 10.6
5.6
70 4.6 8.7
5.2
60
50 40.2
34.4
40
30
8.2 7.9
20
8.0 6.6
10
9.1 9.9
0 3.0 3.2
Sep-19
Sep-20
Sep-21
Sep-22
Sep-23
Mar-19
Mar-20
Mar-21
Mar-22
Mar-23
Jun-19
Jun-20
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jun-23
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. * FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians.
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March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Private Indian
Other institutional Private Indian
Other institutional non- promoters,
non-promoters, promoters,
promoters, 3.0 29.4
2.9 29.4
Banks, FIs & Banks, FIs &
Insurance, 8.1 Insurance,
8.0
Govt., 6.0 Govt., 6.3
FPIs, 25.2 FPIs, 25.1
Foreign Foreign
promoters, promoters,
DMFs, 10.1 6.5 DMFs, 10.2 6.5
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. *FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians.
Table 7: Nifty 50: Ownership trend across key stakeholders by total market cap over the last three years
Private Banks, FIs Non-
Foreign Domestic Individual
% Indian Govt & FPIs * promoter Others**
promoters MFs investors
promoters Insurance corporate
Mar-21 31.2 5.0 6.9 7.9 6.6 27.4 2.7 8.1 4.4
Jun-21 31.6 5.2 6.5 8.0 6.5 26.9 2.7 8.2 4.5
Sep-21 32.2 5.2 6.4 8.1 5.9 26.5 2.6 8.1 5.0
Dec-21 32.4 5.1 6.1 8.5 5.9 25.9 2.6 8.3 5.2
Mar-22 32.5 5.1 5.7 8.9 6.1 25.4 2.6 8.5 5.2
Jun-22 31.3 5.3 6.5 9.4 6.5 24.8 2.7 8.6 4.9
Sep-22 31.2 5.3 6.8 9.3 8.0 25.2 1.7 8.3 4.2
Dec-22 30.9 5.5 6.4 9.5 8.0 25.7 1.2 8.1 4.6
Mar-23 29.8 5.6 6.6 9.9 8.2 25.6 1.2 8.3 4.8
Jun-23 29.9 5.5 6.6 9.7 8.1 25.7 1.3 8.2 5.0
Sep-23 29.4 6.0 6.5 10.1 8.1 25.2 1.3 8.3 5.0
Dec-23 29.4 6.3 6.5 10.2 8.0 25.1 1.3 8.2 5.0
QoQ change 3bps 23bps -3bps 11bps -10bps -4bps 0bps -11bps -7bps
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. Note: Ownership across promoters and non-promoters are based on total market cap and add up to 100. *FPI ownership includes
ownership through depository receipts held by custodians. ** Others include other institutional non-promoters, other non-institutional non-promoters and government
non-promoters.
In terms of the floating stock, FPI share in the Nifty 50 Index increased by 10bps QoQ to
43.3%, 8.5pp away from the highest share of 51.8% witnessed in December 2014. DMF
ownership in the Nifty 50 free float market cap inched up by 25bps QoQ to reach a fresh
all-time high of 17.6% in the quarter ending December 2023. This is now 3.2pp higher
than the pre-pandemic level (December 2019).
The share of Banks, Financial Institutions, and Insurance companies moderated by 12bps
to 13.8% in the December quarter, wiping out the marginal increase witnessed in the
September quarter. Overall institutional ownership in the Nifty 50 floating stock
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Figure 34: Nifty 50: Ownership pattern by free float market cap (%)
September 2023 December 2023
Other non-institutional Other non-institutional Non-promoter
Individual investors, non-promoters, 3.6 non-promoters, 3.6 Govt., 0.4
14.3 Non-promoter Govt.,
Non- DMFs, 17.6
0.4 Individual
Non-promoter promoter
investors, 14.1
corporate, 2.2 DMFs, 17.3 corporate,
2.2
Other
institutional non- Other institutional
promoters, 5.1 non-promoters, 5.0
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. *FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians.
Table 8: Nifty 50: Ownership trend across key stakeholders by free float market cap over last the three years
Banks, FIs & Non-promoter Individual
% Domestic MFs FPIs* Others**
Insurance corporate Investors
Mar-21 13.8 11.5 47.9 4.7 14.2 7.8
Jun-21 14.0 11.4 47.3 4.8 14.5 8.0
Sep-21 14.4 10.4 47.0 4.6 14.4 9.1
Dec-21 15.0 10.4 45.8 4.6 14.8 9.4
Mar-22 15.7 10.7 44.8 4.6 14.9 9.3
Jun-22 16.5 11.4 43.5 4.8 15.0 8.8
Sep-22 16.4 14.1 44.3 3.0 14.6 7.7
Dec-22 16.5 13.9 44.8 2.1 14.2 8.4
Mar-23 17.1 14.1 44.0 2.0 14.3 8.5
Jun-23 16.7 13.9 44.1 2.2 14.2 8.9
Sep-23 17.3 14.0 43.2 2.2 14.3 9.0
Dec-23 17.6 13.8 43.3 2.2 14.1 8.9
QoQ change 25bps -12bps 10bps 0bps -13bps -9bps
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. Note: Ownership across key non-promoter stakeholders is based on free float market cap and add up to 100. *FPI ownership includes
ownership through depository receipts held by custodians. ** Others include other institutional non-promoters, other non-institutional non-promoters and government
non-promoters.
Long-term ownership trend of the Nifty 50 universe: The long-term ownership trend
of the Nifty 50 Index echoes the trend seen in the broader listed universe. Overall
promoter ownership has seen a steady decline since 2009 until March 2019, only to see
a gradual increase over the next one-and-a-half years and decline thereafter. The
decline in promoter share between 2019 and 2019 was primarily led by a sharp drop in
Government ownership, even as private Indian promoters’ holding increased during this
period. Foreign promoters’ share, on the other hand, has remained broadly steady
barring the post-COVID volatility.
The DMF ownership has seen a sharp increase since 2014 barring the drop in 2020 and
is currently only marginally lower than the peak seen over the last 22 years. FPI
ownership saw a steady increase since the Global Financial crisis until early 2015,
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
reaching the highest level of 28.3% in Mar-15 only to hover around similar levels until
Dec-19. Since the onset of the pandemic, FPI share has been gradually falling barring a
significant increase in the fourth quarter of 2020. Contrary to the overall NSE-listed
universe, individual investors’ ownership in the Nifty 50 Index has been steadily rising
over the last eight years, barring a modest drop over the last few quarters.
Figure 35: Nifty 50: Long-term ownership trend across key stakeholders by total market cap
% Ownership trend of Nifty 50 universe key stakeholders by total market cap
Promoters DMFs FPIs
Banks, FIs & Insurance Non-promoter corporate Individual investors
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Jun-01
Jun-02
Jun-03
Jun-04
Jun-05
Jun-06
Jun-07
Jun-08
Jun-09
Jun-10
Jun-11
Jun-12
Jun-13
Jun-14
Jun-15
Jun-16
Jun-17
Jun-18
Jun-19
Jun-20
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jun-23
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. *FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians
Figure 36: Total promoter ownership trend of the Nifty Figure 37: Indian and foreign promoter ownership trend
50 universe by total market cap of the Nifty 50 universe by total market cap
Govt.
% Total promoter ownership trend of Nifty 50 by total %
Private Indian promoters
60 market cap Foreign promoters
40
55 35
30
50
25
45 20
15
40
10
35 5
30 0
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 38: DMF ownership trend of Nifty 50 universe by Figure 39: FPI ownership trend of Nifty 50 universe by
total market cap total market cap
% DMF ownership trend of Nifty 50 by total market cap % FPI ownership trend of Nifty 50 by total market cap
10
30
9 28
8 26
24
7
22
6 20
5 18
16
4
14
3 12
2 10
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. *FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians
Figure 40: Banks, FIs & Insurance ownership trend of Figure 41: Retail ownership trend of Nifty 50 universe by
Nifty 50 universe by total market cap total market cap
% Banks, FIs & Insurance ownership trend of Nifty 50 by % Individual investor ownership trend of Nifty 50 by total
total market cap market cap
20
18
13
16
11 14
12
9
10
7 8
6
5
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Our long-term ownership analysis on the free float market cap of the Nifty 50 Index also
shows that while DMF ownership is currently at the highest ever level of 17.6%, FPI
ownership is nearly 8.5pp lower than the peak of 51.8% seen in December 2014.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 42: Nifty 50: Long-term ownership trend across key stakeholders by free float market cap
% Ownership trend of Nifty 50 universe across key non-promoter stakeholders by floating stock
DMFs FPIs Banks, FIs & Insurance Non-promoter corporate Individual investors
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Jun-02
Jun-03
Jun-04
Jun-05
Jun-06
Jun-07
Jun-08
Jun-10
Jun-11
Jun-12
Jun-13
Jun-14
Jun-15
Jun-16
Jun-18
Jun-19
Jun-20
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jun-23
Jun-01
Jun-09
Jun-17
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. *FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians
Figure 43: DMF ownership trend of the Nifty 50 universe Figure 44: FPI* ownership trend of the Nifty 50 universe
by free float market cap by free float market cap
% DMF ownership trend of Nifty 50 by free float market cap % FPI ownership trend of Nifty 50 by free float market cap
20 55
18 50
16 45
14
40
12
35
10
30
8
6 25
4 20
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. *FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians
29/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 45: Banks, FIs & Insurance ownership trend of Figure 46: Individual ownership trend of the Nifty 50
the Nifty 50 universe by free float market cap universe by free float market cap
% Banks, FIs & Insurance ownership trend of Nifty 50 by % Individual investor ownership trend of Nifty 50 by free
free float market cap float market cap
24 30
28
22
26
20 24
22
18
20
16 18
14 16
14
12
12
10 10
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Utilities retained the top spot in terms of DMF ownership in the Nifty 50 market cap for
the fourth consecutive quarter with a 48bps QoQ increase to a fresh all-time high of
15.5% in the December quarter. Financials remained second at the highest ever level of
15% (+28bps QoQ), followed by Health Care (13.1%, +2bps), Communication Services
(11.3%, -4bps QoQ) and Consumer Discretionary (9.2%, -7bps QoQ).
FPI ownership remained largest in Financials, accounting for 40.4% (+53bps QoQ) of the
market cap of this sector in the Nifty 50 universe. This was followed by Consumer
Discretionary at 23.4% (- 20bps QoQ), Health Care at 23.2% (+30bps QoQ) and Utilities
(22.7%, -67bps QoQ). The largest dip in FPI ownership was seen in Energy, with a 28bps
QoQ decrease to 20.3%.
30/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 47: Nifty 50: Sector-wise ownership pattern across key stakeholders (December 2023)
% Sector-wise ownership of the Nifty 50 universe
Private Indian promoters Govt. Foreign promoters
DMFs FPIs* Banks, FIs & Insurance
Non-promoter corporate Individual investors Others**
100 2.3 2.4 2.2 1.7
1.8 4.5 4.2 5.0 6.4 2.5
13.6 7.3 10.3 6.5
6.7 8.2 7.5 5.9
90 10.0
7.7 9.8
9.2 11.0
4.9 7.1 5.8
80 12.3 4.2
22.7 6.8
22.7
11.2 19.3
70 20.3 23.2
23.3 13.5
18.0
60 11.3 40.4 7.6 15.5
7.4 20.2 2.2
9.2 14.8 13.0 7.6 -
50
15.0 1.2
16.2
6.6 2.9 9.1
40 12.7
0
Comm Svcs. Cons. Disc. Cons. Energy Financials Healthcare Industrials IT Materials Utilities
Staples
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR.
* FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians **Others include other institutional and non-institutional non-promoter investors
Sector allocation of the Nifty 50 universe for key shareholders (December 2023): The
table below shows the sector allocation for key stakeholders in Nifty 50 companies as of
December 2023. The concentration of Government ownership in Financials, Energy and
Utilities sector is much higher at 91.1% in the Nifty 50 universe vs 75.2% in the broader
listed universe. The Consumer sector—Staples and Discretionary, and Communication
Services together accounted for 72.2% of the exposure of foreign promoters to the Nifty
50 companies as of December 2023.
In the case of institutional investors, DMFs have a much higher exposure to Financials at
38% in the Nifty 50 Index vs. 29.3% in the NSE-listed universe, even as the exposure in
both universes declined for the fourth consecutive quarter, translating into a total drop of
nearly 5pp in 2023. DMF exposure to Financials within Nifty50 companies is now 6.7pp
lower than the two-decadal high share of 44.8% just prior to the pandemic in the quarter
ending December 2019. FPIs’ portfolio allocation to Financials within the Nifty 50
universe declined as well for the second consecutive quarter, and now stands slightly
higher than DMF share at 41.5%.
31/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Table 9: Sector allocation of the Nifty 50 universe for key stakeholders (December 2023)
Private Banks, FIs Non-
Foreign Domestic Individual
% Indian Govt FPIs* & promoter
promoters MFs Investors
promoters Insurance corporate
Communication Services 4.9 0.0 8.4 4.0 3.3 3.0 1.8 0.8
Consumer Discretionary 8.5 8.5 17.2 7.9 8.2 5.4 7.5 10.7
Consumer Staples 0.7 0.0 55.0 6.4 5.8 16.6 6.4 14.8
Energy 17.0 35.4 0.0 9.9 11.0 15.6 5.9 12.1
Financials 13.6 30.6 1.7 38.0 41.5 22.7 35.5 25.8
Health Care 5.6 0.0 1.8 5.1 3.7 2.9 4.6 3.6
Industrials 5.7 0.1 8.6 5.4 4.8 8.4 5.2 8.1
Information Technology 31.9 0.0 5.9 12.8 13.3 16.6 6.1 13.7
Materials 12.2 0.2 1.5 5.8 5.6 6.6 26.1 9.4
Utilities 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Grand Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. *FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians
on Consumer Staples for more than eight years now and a neutral stance on Consumer
Discretionary with a negative bias. They also remained negative on commodity sectors
including Energy and Materials, partly reflecting the impact of reduced global demand.
Among other sectors, DMFs maintained their neutral position on Industrials and
Information Technology with a negative bias.
Figure 48: DMF sector allocation of the Nifty 50 universe (September 2023 vs. December 2023)
% DMF sector allocation of the Nifty 50 universe
38.0
Financials
39.1
12.8
IT
13.0
9.9
Energy
9.6
7.9
Cons. Disc.
7.7
6.4
Cons. Staples Dec-23
6.5
5.8
Materials Sep-23
5.5
5.4
Industrials
5.0
5.1
Healthcare
5.4
4.6
Utilities
4.1
4.0
Comm Svcs.
4.0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR.
32/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 49: DMF sector allocation of the Nifty 50 universe over the last five years
% DMF sector allocation of the Nifty 50 universe
Comm Svcs. Cons. Disc. Cons. Staples Energy Financials
Healthcare Industrials IT Materials Utilities
100
5.1 4.6
7.1 5.8
90
12.0 12.8
80
5.5 5.4
70 3.3 5.1
60
50
40.3 38.0
40
30
9.9
20 11.3
6.4
6.2
10
7.9
6.8
0 4.0
Sep-19
Sep-20
Sep-21
Sep-22
Sep-23
Mar-19
Mar-20
Mar-21
Mar-22
Mar-23
Jun-19
Jun-20
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jun-23
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR.
Figure 50: DMF sector allocation vs sector weight in Figure 51: DMF sector-wise OW/UW in Nifty 50 relative
Nifty 50 (December 2023) to sector weight in the index (December 2023)
% DMF sector allocation vs. Nifty 50 weight bps DMF sector-wise OW/UW in Nifty 50
Comm 2.8
Svcs. 4.0 Cons. Staples -275
-279
2.7
Utilities -163
4.6 Energy -153
4.0 Sector weight in Nifty 50 Sep-23
Healthcare Materials -134
5.1
-125
DMF shareholding in Nifty 50 Dec-23
6.0
Industrials IT -73
5.4 -78
7.1 -91
Materials Industrials
5.8 -59
Cons. 9.2 -4
Staples 6.4 Cons. Disc. -16
8.1 124
Cons. Disc. Healthcare
7.9 114
11.4 Comm Svcs. 133
Energy 126
9.9
13.6 Utilities 168
IT 193
12.8
35.3 Financials 311
Financials 278
38.0
33/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
1,500
1,000
500
-500
-1,000
-1,500
-2,000
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR.
Figure 53: FPI sector allocation of the Nifty 50 universe (September 2023 vs. December 2023)
% FPI sector allocation of the Nfity 50 universe
Financials 41.5
42.4
IT 13.3
13.5
Energy 11.0
11.0
Industrials 4.8
4.5
Healthcare 3.7
3.8
Utilities 2.8
2.6
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. *FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians
34/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 54: FPI sector allocation of the Nifty 50 universe over last five years
% FPI sector allocation of the Nifty 50 universe
Comm Svcs. Cons. Disc. Cons. Staples Energy Financials
Healthcare Industrials IT Materials Utilities
100 2.7 2.8
5.6 5.6
90
13.6 13.3
80
2.8 4.8
1.8
3.7
70
60
50 47.4 41.5
40
30
11.0
20 10.8
5.8
5.0
10
7.4 8.2
2.9 3.3
0
Sep-19
Sep-20
Sep-21
Sep-22
Sep-23
Mar-19
Mar-20
Mar-21
Mar-22
Mar-23
Jun-19
Jun-20
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jun-23
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. *FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians
Figure 55: FPI sector allocation vs sector weight in Nifty Figure 56: FPI sector-wise OW/UW in Nifty 50 relative
50 (December 2023) to sector weight in the index (December 2023)
% FPI sector allocation vs. Nifty 50 weight bps FPI sector-wise OW/UW in Nifty 50
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. *FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians.
35/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
1,500
1,000
500
-500
-1,000
-1,500
Jun-01
Jun-02
Jun-03
Jun-04
Jun-05
Jun-06
Jun-07
Jun-08
Jun-09
Jun-10
Jun-11
Jun-12
Jun-13
Jun-14
Jun-15
Jun-17
Jun-18
Jun-19
Jun-20
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jun-23
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Jun-16
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. *FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians.
36/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 58: Nifty 500: Ownership pattern by total market cap (%)
September 2023 December 2023
Other non-institutional
Individual Non-promoter Individual Other non-
Non-promoter non-promoters, 2.1
investors, 8.8 corporate, 1.7 investors, 8.7 institutional non-
corporate, 1.7
promoters, 2.1
Other institutional Other institutional
non-promoters, non-promoters, 2.3
2.4
Private Indian
Private Indian Banks, FIs &
promoters,
Banks, FIs & promoters, Insurance, 6.0
31.8
Insurance, 32.0
6.1
Table 10: Nifty 500: Ownership trend across key stakeholders by total market cap over last the three years
Private Indian Foreign Domestic Banks, FIs & Non-promoter Individual
% Govt. FPIs * Others**
promoters promoters MFs Insurance corporate Investor
Mar-21 34.3 6.2 9.4 7.4 5.3 22.2 3.0 8.6 3.7
Jun-21 34.5 6.6 9.2 7.4 5.2 21.6 3.0 8.8 3.7
Sep-21 35.3 6.2 8.9 7.5 4.6 21.5 2.9 8.8 4.2
Dec-21 35.8 6.0 8.8 7.8 4.6 20.9 2.8 9.0 4.3
Mar-22 35.5 6.2 8.6 8.0 4.7 20.2 3.4 9.1 4.4
Jun-22 35.0 6.2 9.1 8.3 5.0 19.8 3.4 9.0 4.1
Sep-22 34.4 7.6 9.5 8.2 6.0 19.5 2.6 8.5 3.7
Dec-22 33.5 8.8 9.0 8.4 6.1 19.8 1.6 8.5 4.3
Mar-23 32.4 8.6 8.9 9.0 6.3 20.0 1.6 8.7 4.6
Jun-23 32.4 8.7 8.7 8.9 6.2 20.0 1.7 8.7 4.6
Sep-23 32.0 9.8 8.5 9.1 6.1 19.5 1.7 8.8 4.5
Dec-23 31.8 10.7 8.1 9.3 6.0 19.4 1.7 8.7 4.4
QoQ change -18bps 87bps -38bps 12bps -11bps -10bps -1bps -7bps -14bps
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. Note: Ownership across promoters and non-promoters are based on total market cap and add up to 100. *FPI ownership includes
ownership through depository receipts held by custodians. ** Others include other institutional non-promoters, other non-institutional non-promoters and government
non-promoters.
In terms of floating stock, FPI share in the Nifty 500 Index remained largely unchanged
at 38.9%. FPI stake is now 8.6pp lower than the peak share over the last 22 years. On the
other hand, DMFs increased their share in the Nifty 500 floating market cap by 35bps QoQ
to a new record high level of 18.5% in the December quarter. Individual ownership
marginally dipped by 5bps QoQ to 17.4%, 12.3pp below the peak share over the entire
analysis period (March 2001 onwards).
37/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 59: Nifty 500: Ownership pattern by free float market cap (%)
September 2023 December 2023
Non-
Other non- promoter Non-promoter
Other non-institutional
institutional non- Govt., 1.0 Govt., 1.0
non-promoters, 4.2
promoters, 4.3
DMFs, 18.2 Individual DMFs, 18.5
Individual investors, 17.4
investors, 17.5
Non-promoter
Non-promoter corporate, 3.4
corporate, 3.4
Other
Other institutional institutional non-
non-promoters, 4.7 promoters, 4.6
Banks, FIs &
Banks, FIs & FPIs, 38.9 FPIs, 38.9
Insurance,
Insurance, 12.1
11.9
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. *FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians.
Table 11: Nifty 500: Ownership trend across key stakeholders by free float market cap over the last three years
% Banks, FIs & Non-promoter Individual
Domestic MFs FPIs* Others**
Insurance corporate Investor
Mar-21 14.6 10.5 44.0 5.9 17.0 8.0
Jun-21 14.9 10.3 43.2 6.0 17.5 8.1
Sep-21 15.1 9.3 43.2 5.8 17.6 8.9
Dec-21 15.6 9.4 42.0 5.6 18.2 9.2
Mar-22 16.0 9.4 40.4 6.8 18.2 9.3
Jun-22 16.7 10.0 39.6 6.9 18.1 8.7
Sep-22 16.9 12.3 39.8 5.2 17.5 8.3
Dec-22 17.1 12.5 40.3 3.3 17.2 9.7
Mar-23 17.8 12.5 39.4 3.1 17.2 10.0
Jun-23 17.6 12.2 39.6 3.3 17.1 10.1
Sep-23 18.2 12.1 38.9 3.4 17.5 10.0
Dec-23 18.5 11.9 38.9 3.4 17.4 9.8
QoQ change 35bps -15bps 2bps 0bps -5bps -17bps
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. Note: Ownership across key non-promoter stakeholders is based on free float market cap and add up to 100. *FPI ownership includes
ownership through depository receipts held by custodians. ** Others include other institutional non-promoters, other non-institutional non-promoters and government
non-promoters.
Long-term ownership trend of the Nifty 500 universe: Overall promoter ownership in
FPI ownership in Nifty 500
Nifty 500 has also seen a steady decline since 2009 until March 2019, albeit at a slower
saw a steady rise post the
pace than the Nifty 50 Index, entirely led by a sharp dip in Government ownership, while GFC until 2015, hovered in
the share of private Indian promoters has significantly increased during this period. the 21-23% range until
Promoter share, however, has been inching up since 2019, barring a dip in FY23, aided 2021 only to drop
by higher Indian promoter share—with public share rising after the LIC listing and private marginally after that.
share falling since 2021 onwards, while foreign share has remained fairly steady. DMF share in Nifty 500 has
been gradually rising since
DMF ownership in Nifty 500 saw a gradual increase beginning 2014 to reach the highest 2014, barring a dip in FY21,
level in last two decades by December 2019. The fiscal year FY21, however, saw some and is currently slightly
dip in DMF share, partly reflecting moderation in SIP inflows post the COVID-19 lower than peak high levels.
pandemic as well as high redemption pressures. This, however, was more than reversed
in the subsequent years, thanks to a surge in retail inflows via the SIP route. FPI
ownership in the Nifty 500 universe improved meaningfully post the GFC until 2015 but
has since hovered between 21-23% until 2021. FPI share saw a steady decline over the
subsequent few quarters only to rise modestly from the end of 2022, weighed by
38/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Retail ownership in the Nifty 500 Index fell sharply from the north of 16% in 2001 to sub-
8% in 2013, hovered around these levels until December 2019 only to rise steadily until
FY22. The following five quarters, however, saw a slight dip in retail share, mimicking the
trend seen in their trading activity during this period, with a slight uptick in the quarter
gone by.
Figure 60: Nifty 500: Long-term ownership trend across key stakeholders by total market cap
% Ownership trend of Nifty 500 universe key stakeholders by total market cap
Promoters DMFs FPIs
70 Banks, FIs & Insurance Non-promoter corporate Individual investors
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Jun-01
Jun-02
Jun-03
Jun-04
Jun-05
Jun-06
Jun-07
Jun-08
Jun-09
Jun-10
Jun-11
Jun-12
Jun-13
Jun-15
Jun-16
Jun-17
Jun-18
Jun-19
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jun-23
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Jun-14
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Jun-20
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. *FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians
Figure 61: Total promoter ownership trend of the Nifty Figure 62: Indian and foreign promoter ownership trend
500 universe by total market cap of the Nifty 500 universe by total market cap
% % Govt. Private Indian promoters
Total promoter ownership trend of Nifty 500 by total
market cap Foreign promoters
60
40
58
35
56
54 30
52 25
50 20
48
15
46
10
44
42 5
40 0
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
39/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 63: DMF ownership trend of the Nifty 500 Figure 64: FPI ownership trend of the Nifty 500 universe
universe by total market cap by total market cap
% DMF ownership trend of Nifty 500 by total market cap % FPI ownership trend of Nifty 500 by total market cap
10 25
9 23
8 21
19
7
17
6 15
5 13
11
4
9
3 7
2 5
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. *FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians
Figure 65: Banks, FIs & Insurance ownership trend of Figure 66: Individual ownership trend of the Nifty 500
the Nifty 500 universe by total market cap universe by total market cap
% Banks, FIs & insurance ownership trend of Nifty 500 by % Individual investor ownership trend of Nifty 500 by total
total market cap market cap
10 18
9 16
14
8
12
7
10
6
8
5 6
4 4
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR.
Our long-term ownership analysis on the floating stock of the Nifty 500 Index also shows
that while DMF ownership is currently at the highest level since 2001, current FPI
ownership is 8.6pp lower than the peak of 47.5% observed in the quarter ending
September 2014.
40/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 67: Nifty 500: Long-term ownership trend across key stakeholders by free float market cap
% Ownership trend of Nifty 500 universe key stakeholders by floating stock
DMFs FPIs Banks, FIs & Insurance Non-promoter corporate Individual investors
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
0
Jun-02
Jun-03
Jun-04
Jun-05
Jun-06
Jun-07
Jun-08
Jun-09
Jun-10
Jun-11
Jun-12
Jun-13
Jun-14
Jun-15
Jun-16
Jun-17
Jun-18
Jun-19
Jun-20
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jun-23
Jun-01
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. *FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians
Figure 68: DMF ownership trend of the Nifty 500 Figure 69: FPI ownership trend of the Nifty 500 universe
universe by free float market cap by free float market cap
% DMF ownership trend of Nifty 500 by free float market % FPI ownership trend of Nifty 500 by free float market
20 cap cap
54
18 49
16 44
39
14
34
12 29
10 24
19
8
14
6
9
4 4
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. *FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians
41/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 70: Banks, FIs & Insurance ownership trend of Figure 71: Individual ownership trend of the Nifty 500
the Nifty 500 universe by free float market cap universe by free float market cap
% Banks, FIs & Insurance ownership trend of Nifty 500 by % Individual investor ownership trend of Nifty 500 by free
free float market cap float market cap
20 34
18
29
16
24
14
19
12
14
10
8 9
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
DMF share increased in the Nifty 500 universe across all sectors. Health Care overtook
Financials to become the sector with the highest DMF ownership, registering a 61bps
QoQ increase to 11.6% compared to 11.5% in Financials (+10bps QoQ). This was
followed by Consumer Discretionary at 11%(+12bps QoQ), Communication Services
(10.4%, +15bps QoQ) and Industrials (9.2%, -2bps QoQ).
42/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 72: Nifty 500: Sector-wise ownership pattern across key stakeholders (December 2023)
% Sector-wise ownership of the NSE 500 universe
Private Indian promoters Govt. Foreign promoters
DMFs FPIs* Banks, FIs & Insurance
Non-promoter corporate Individual investors Others**
100 2.3 2.4 3.2 2.3
4.8 4.2 4.3 5.4 4.4 3.7
5.2 9.2 7.3 5.4
8.5 8.7 8.1
90 5.2 9.8 10.5 10.4
10.1 8.7 4.9
4.2 6.9 19.6
5.9
80 4.2 5.5 5.2
19.9 8.6 16.1
19.2 17.6 19.0 12.9
70 19.2 15.0 6.7
27.7 7.2
14.4
60 10.4 7.5
7.1 11.6 9.2 8.3 6.6
11.0 6.5 7.4
50 4.2
14.1 8.8
11.5 15.2 5.8
10.5 19.9
40 2.5 25.0
1.5
2.8 27.1
66.0
30 13.2
21.3
48.8
20 42.9 43.6
39.1
35.2 34.5
29.0
23.1 24.6
10 17.8
0
Comm Svcs. Cons. Disc. Cons. Staples Energy Financials Healthcare Industrials IT Materials Reality Utilities
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. * FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians.
**Others include other institutional and non-institutional non-promoter investors.
Sector allocation of the Nifty 500 universe for key stakeholders (December 2023): The
table below shows the sector allocation for key stakeholders in Nifty 500 companies as
of December 2023. Nearly 90% of the Government ownership in the Nifty 500 companies
remained concentrated in Financials, Energy, Industrials and Utilities sectors, even as the
ownership dropped by 38bps QoQ. This was slightly higher than Government exposure to
these four sectors in the overall listed universe (88.7%), but marginally lower than 91.2%
in the Nifty 50 Index. In the case of institutional investors, DMFs have a lower allocation
to Financials at 31.0% compared to FPIs at 30%; this gap increased slightly in the
December quarter. While both DMFs and FPIs reduced their allocation to Financials in the
December quarter, the drop was slightly higher for FPIs. That said, the gap still remains
much lower than the average 8.8% over the last 22-year period.
Table 12: Sector allocation of the Nifty 500 universe for key stakeholders (December 2023)
Private Banks, FIs Non-
Foreign Domestic Individual
% Indian Govt FPIs* & promoter
promoters MFs Investors
promoters Insurance corporate
Communication Services 3.9 0.7 5.4 3.5 3.2 2.7 2.3 1.9
Consumer Discretionary 11.1 2.6 13.0 11.9 9.9 7.1 14.6 11.3
Consumer Staples 6.5 0.0 30.1 6.3 6.7 13.0 5.0 10.4
Energy 8.9 15.3 0.3 6.3 8.1 12.0 2.7 6.9
Financials 13.6 48.4 4.5 30.0 34.5 24.1 24.5 23.6
Health Care 7.7 0.0 6.2 7.2 5.2 4.0 6.5 5.7
Industrials 8.4 13.4 20.3 10.8 8.4 10.0 9.5 13.1
Information Technology 16.9 0.8 5.7 9.9 10.7 12.7 5.1 10.2
Materials 14.9 5.9 9.9 8.8 7.2 9.5 18.2 12.9
Real Estate 3.3 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.6 0.4 0.6 0.7
Utilities 5.0 12.7 4.4 4.2 4.5 4.5 11.0 3.4
Grand Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. *FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians.
43/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 73: DMF sector allocation of the Nifty 500 universe (September 2023 vs. December 2023)
% DMF sector allocation of the Nifty 500 universe
Financials 30.0
30.9
Industrials 10.8
10.6
IT 9.9
9.9
Materials 8.8
8.7
Utilities 4.2
3.7
Realty 1.2
1.0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR.
Figure 74: DMF sector allocation of the Nifty 500 universe over last five years
% DMF sector allocation of the Nifty 500 universe
Comm Svcs. Cons. Disc. Cons. Staples Energy Financials Healthcare
Industrials IT Materials Reality Utilities
100
4.3 4.2
90 9.6 8.8
80 9.0 9.9
70 10.4 10.8
6.0
60 7.2
50
32.8 30.0
40
30
7.7 6.3
20 6.3
6.9
10 11.9
10.6
0 2.4 3.5
Sep-19
Sep-20
Sep-21
Sep-22
Sep-23
Mar-19
Mar-20
Mar-21
Mar-22
Mar-23
Jun-19
Jun-20
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jun-23
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
44/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 75: DMF sector allocation vs sector weight in Figure 76: DMF sector-wise OW/UW in Nifty 500 relative
Nifty 500 (December 2023) to sector weight in the index (December 2023)
% DMF sector allocation vs. Nifty 500 sector weight bps DMF sector-wise OW/UW in Nifty 500
5.6 Utilities 16
Healthcare 7.2 12
9.6 Financials 55
Materials 8.8 22
10.6 Industrials 71
IT 9.9 75
1,000
500
-500
-1,000
-1,500
Jun-06
Jun-07
Jun-08
Jun-09
Jun-10
Jun-11
Jun-12
Jun-13
Jun-14
Jun-15
Jun-16
Jun-17
Jun-18
Jun-19
Jun-20
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jun-23
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
45/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
FPIs’ trimmed their outsized bet on Financials and remained negative on India’s
FIIs maintained their
consumption story: FPIs maintained their perennial outsized OW bet on Financials, albeit outsized bet on Financials
with an incrementally reduced exposure to the sector. In line with the Nifty 50 Index, no and remained bearish on the
sector other than Financials within the Nifty 500 universe had an OW position of FPIs India’s consumption and
compared to the Index in the December quarter. Among other sectors, FPIs remained UW investment story via UW
on Information Technology, Industrials and Consumer Staples, and maintained their positions on Consumer
neutral stance on Consumer Discretionary, Communication Services, Energy, Health Care, Staples and Industrials.
Real Estate and Utilities.
Figure 78: FPI sector allocation of the Nifty 500 universe (September 2023 vs. December 2023)
% FPI sector allocation of the Nfity 500 universe
Financials 34.5
35.4
IT 10.7
11.0
Industrials 8.4
8.1
Energy 8.1
8.2
Materials 7.2
7.1
Dec-23 Sep-23
Cons. Staples 6.7
6.8
Healthcare 5.2
5.2
Utilities 4.5
4.0
Realty 1.6
1.3
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. *FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians.
Figure 79: FPI sector allocation of the Nifty 500 universe over last five years
% FPI sector allocation of the Nifty 500 universe
Comm Svcs. Cons. Disc. Cons. Staples Energy Financials Healthcare
Industrials IT Materials Reality Utilities
100 3.0 4.5
6.4
90 7.2
11.3
80 10.7
5.4
4.6 8.4
70
5.2
60
50 40.5
34.5
40
30
8.4 8.1
20
7.7 6.7
10
9.1 9.9
0 2.9 3.2
Sep-19
Sep-20
Sep-21
Sep-22
Sep-23
Mar-19
Mar-20
Mar-21
Mar-22
Mar-23
Jun-19
Jun-20
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jun-23
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. *FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians.
46/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 80: FPI sector allocation vs sector weight in Nifty Figure 81: FPI sector-wise OW/UW in Nifty 500 relative
500 (December 2023) to sector weight in the index (December 2023)
% FPI sector allocation vs. Nifty 500 sector weight bps FPI sector-wise OW/UW in Nifty 500
Realty 1.1
1.6 Materials -242
-243
Comm Svcs. 2.8
3.2 Cons. Staples -171
-168
Utilities 4.1
4.5 Industrials -184 Sep-23
Sector weight in Nifty 500 -165
Healthcare 5.6 -48 Dec-23
5.2 Cons. Disc. -48
FII shareholding in Nifty 500
Cons. Staples 8.4 -45
6.7 Healthcare -40
Materials 9.6 21
7.2 IT 15
Energy 7.8 43
8.1 Energy 28
Industrials 10.0 Utilities 47
8.4 38
IT 10.6 Realty 43
10.7 49
1,500
1,000
500
-500
-1,000
Jun-05
Jun-06
Jun-07
Jun-08
Jun-09
Jun-10
Jun-12
Jun-13
Jun-14
Jun-15
Jun-16
Jun-17
Jun-18
Jun-19
Jun-20
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jun-23
Jun-11
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. *FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians.
47/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Among institutional investors, Banks, Financial Institutions and Insurance companies had
the highest concentration to Nifty 50 companies at more than 18-year low of 68.6%,
down 4.4pp in 9MFY24, followed by FPIs at a 16-year low of 65.7% (-6.4pp in 9MFY24)
and DMFs at a 23-quarter low of 55.1% (-6.0pp). Notably, all institutional investor
categories saw their share in the listed companies excluding Nifty 500 falling marginally
in the December quarter.
Figure 83: Institutional share of total market cap (September 2023 vs. December 2023)
% Institutional ownership of total market cap across universes
Nifty 50 Top 10% listed cos by market cap Nifty 500 All listed All listed ex Nifty 500
30
25.2 25.1
25
20.8 20.7
19.5 19.4
20 18.4 18.2
15
10.1 10.2
10 8.8 9.1 8.7 8.9 9.3 8.8
8.1 8.0
6.6 6.1 6.4 6.0
5.6 5.7 5.5 5.6
4.3 4.2
5
1.5 1.4
0
FPI DMFs Banks, FIs & Insurance FPI DMFs Banks, FIs & Insurance
48/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 84: Institutional ownership of floating stock (September 2023 vs. December 2023)
% Institutional ownership of free float market across universes
Nifty 50 Top 10% listed cos by market cap Nifty 500 All listed All listed ex Nifty 500
50
43.2 43.3
45 41.2 41.2
38.9 38.9
40 37.1 37.0
35
30
25
20 17.317.418.217.6 17.617.818.517.9
13.2 14.013.0 13.1 13.812.8
15 12.111.5 11.911.3
10.1 10.1
10
3.4 3.3
5
0
FPI DMFs Banks, FIs & Insurance FPI DMFs Banks, FIs & Insurance
…And so is for individual investors…: The drop in the share of Nifty 50 companies in the
overall investments of individuals has fallen by a higher quantum this fiscal year. In fact,
the share of Nifty 50 companies in the overall direct investment portfolio of individual
investors at a 23-quarter low of 40.4% in the December quarter, down 7.4pp in the first
three quarters of FY24, is much lower than the share of these companies in the overall
listed space (47.6%). This indicates incrementally higher allocation to mid and smaller
companies. Individuals owned 19.6% of the total market cap of listed companies
excluding the Nifty 500 universe as of December end, marginally lower than 20.3% in the
previous quarter. In terms of floating stock, this translates into a share of 46.8%.
Figure 85: Individual share of total market cap Figure 86: Individual ownership of floating stock
(September 2023 vs. December 2023) (September 2023 vs. December 2023)
% Individual investors' ownership of total market cap % Individual investors' ownership of free float market
across universes across universes
Nifty 50
Nifty 50
Top 10% listed cos by market cap
Top 10% listed cos by market cap
Nifty 500
Nifty 500
All listed
All listed
All listed ex Nifty 500
25 All listed ex Nifty 500 50 47.5 46.8
20.3
19.6
20 40
15 30
5 10
0 0
Sep-23 Dec-23 Sep-23 Dec-23
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR.
49/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
While FPIs have nearly 90% of their investments made in the top 200 companies by
market capitalisation (top decile), DMFs have a nearly 10pp lower share of such
companies in their investment portfolio. That said, the allocation of the top decile
companies for both DMFs and FPIs is higher than the share of such companies in the
overall market capitalisation. Banks, Financial Institutions and Insurance companies
have an even higher allocation to larger companies, with 99% of their investments held
in the top three deciles.
Table 13: Market cap decile-wise share of individuals' portfolio in NSE listed companies
FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24
Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec
1 79.6 75.1 76.0 73.6 73.8 69.7 70.7 69.0 69.6 70.0 67.8 69.3 69.4 67.3 65.7 65.1
2 10.3 12.5 11.9 12.4 12.7 13.1 13.3 14.1 13.5 13.3 13.3 13.0 12.5 13.1 14.0 14.1
3 5.0 5.2 5.7 6.3 6.3 7.6 7.3 6.9 7.0 6.9 7.4 7.3 7.5 7.8 8.6 8.6
4 2.3 3.1 3.0 3.4 3.4 4.3 4.3 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.5 4.3 4.3 4.7 4.8 4.9
5 1.4 1.9 1.7 2.1 1.8 2.5 2.2 2.7 2.7 2.6 3.2 2.7 2.8 3.1 3.1 3.1
6 0.7 1.0 0.8 1.1 1.0 1.4 1.2 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.8 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.0
7 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.1 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.1
8 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6
9 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR.
50/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Table 14: Distribution of total value held by individual investors across market capitalization deciles
Rs FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24
lakh
crore Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec
1 7.5 9.0 10.5 12.3 13.5 14.9 17.0 17.5 17.6 16.1 16.7 17.7 16.5 18.4 20.1 22.6
2 1.0 1.5 1.6 2.1 2.3 2.8 3.2 3.6 3.4 3.0 3.3 3.3 3.0 3.6 4.3 4.9
3 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.6 1.8 1.9 1.8 2.1 2.6 3.0
4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.7
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.1
6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7
7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4
8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2
9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total 9.4 12.0 13.8 16.8 18.3 21.4 24.0 25.4 25.3 22.9 24.7 25.6 23.8 27.4 30.5 34.7
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR.
Table 15: Market cap decile-wise share of DMFs’ portfolio in NSE listed companies
FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24
Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec
1 87.1 85.2 86.1 84.2 84.9 82.0 83.7 82.0 82.8 82.7 80.0 83.0 81.5 79.6 79.8 80.0
2 9.8 10.4 10.2 11.0 10.8 12.0 11.7 12.4 11.8 12.0 13.4 11.6 12.7 13.8 13.6 13.3
3 2.2 3.0 2.7 3.3 3.1 3.9 3.2 3.7 3.5 3.6 4.2 3.7 3.9 4.4 4.3 4.3
4 0.7 1.0 0.8 1.1 1.0 1.6 1.1 1.4 1.4 1.1 1.6 1.2 1.4 1.7 1.8 1.8
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5
6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR.
Table 16: Distribution of total value held by DMFs across market capitalization deciles
Rs FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24
lakh
Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec
crore
1 7.7 9.2 10.1 11.6 12.5 13.5 15.8 16.0 16.7 15.8 17.0 18.7 18.1 20.0 22.0 25.4
2 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.5 1.6 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.9 2.6 2.8 3.5 3.7 4.2
3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.4
4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6
5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total 8.8 10.8 11.7 13.8 14.7 16.5 18.9 19.6 20.1 19.1 21.3 22.6 22.2 25.1 27.5 31.7
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Table 17: Market cap decile-wise share of FPIs’ portfolio in NSE listed companies
FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24
Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec
1 93.5 92.2 93.2 92.6 92.8 90.9 91.9 90.9 90.9 91.0 89.7 91.3 90.4 89.8 89.5 89.5
2 4.9 5.7 5.1 5.4 5.4 6.6 5.9 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.8 6.0 6.5 6.9 7.0 6.9
3 1.2 1.5 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.7 1.6 1.9 1.8 1.8 2.3 1.8 2.0 2.0 2.4 2.3
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3
6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR.
Table 18: Distribution of total value held by FPIs across market capitalization deciles
Rs FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24
lakh
Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec
crore
1 21.8 25.7 29.3 37.6 40.5 42.9 48.7 47.1 45.6 40.3 44.7 48.1 43.9 49.8 51.9 58.6
2 1.1 1.6 1.6 2.2 2.4 3.1 3.1 3.3 3.2 2.8 3.4 3.2 3.1 3.8 4.0 4.5
3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.8 1.1 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.4 1.5
4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6
5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2
6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total 23.3 27.9 31.5 40.6 43.6 47.2 53.0 51.9 50.2 44.3 49.8 52.6 48.6 55.4 58.0 65.5
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR.
Table 19: Market cap decile-wise share in total market capitalization of NSE listed companies
FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24
Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec
1 87.1 84.6 85.4 84.0 84.4 81.5 82.8 81.0 81.5 82.1 80.0 82.0 80.9 79.6 79.1 78.9
2 8.3 9.5 9.2 9.5 9.6 10.6 10.0 10.9 10.5 10.2 11.0 10.1 10.6 11.1 11.1 11.2
3 2.6 3.1 3.0 3.5 3.3 4.1 3.8 4.1 4.0 3.8 4.3 3.9 4.2 4.4 4.7 4.8
4 1.0 1.3 1.2 1.5 1.4 1.9 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.8 2.2 1.9 2.0 2.3 2.3 2.4
5 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.7 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.3
6 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7
7 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4
8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Table 20: Market capitalization of NSE listed companies distributed across deciles
Rs FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24
lakh
crore Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec
1 97.5 117.1 130.8 156.9 171.4 185.9 213.7 213.0 212.7 197.3 214.0 228.7 205.5 232.0 249.1 283.7
2 9.3 13.1 14.0 17.7 19.4 24.3 25.8 28.6 27.3 24.5 29.3 28.0 26.9 32.3 35.0 40.3
3 2.9 4.4 4.6 6.5 6.7 9.3 9.7 10.7 10.4 9.3 11.4 10.8 10.6 12.7 14.8 17.1
4 1.1 1.9 1.9 2.8 2.9 4.3 4.5 5.1 4.9 4.4 5.8 5.3 5.2 6.6 7.4 8.6
5 0.6 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.4 2.2 2.3 2.7 2.6 2.5 3.2 2.9 2.8 3.7 4.1 4.7
6 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.9 1.6 1.6 2.1 2.3 2.7
7 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.4
8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7
9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3
10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
Total 112.0 138.4 153.1 186.7 203.1 228.2 258.0 263.0 261.0 240.5 267.4 278.9 254.2 291.2 314.8 359.5
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR.
Ownership concentration in terms of no. of companies with holding greater than 5%:
We now compare the depth of institutional ownership with its width in the market. We
consider the FPI portfolio in India since 2001, not in terms of its value, but in terms of the
number of stocks. FPIs meaningfully expanded their invested pool of companies between
2020 and 2022, from near-1200 odd companies in December 2020 to 1450+ by
December 2021 and 1770+ by December 2022. After dropping sharply to about 1470+
in June 2023, the number of companies held by FPIs increased for two straight quarters,
currently standing at nearly 1650 in December 2023. The number of companies where
FPI holding is greater than 5%, however, stayed at 630 (vs 627 in Sep’23), indicating that
while FPIs have expanded their pool of companies, they have not necessarily chosen to
have big bets on them. That said, a part of this increase can also be attributed to several
new companies getting listed this year (194 in Apr’23-Feb’24 vs. 101 in FY23).
In line with foreign investors, the number of companies held by DMFs increased by about
30 to nearly 1250 in the December quarter. The number of companies in which DMFs hold
more than 5% stake also went up commensurately to 527 in the quarter gone by. As a
result, the ratio of count of such companies to the total number of DMF-owned companies
in the NSE-listed universe rose significantly to an all-time high level of 42.4%.
Figure 87: Number of listed cos with FPI holding >5% Figure 88: Number of Nifty500 cos with FPI holding >5%
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
# FPI-held cos. % # %
# of listed cos with FPI share>5% # of Nifty 500 cos with FPI share>5%
2,000 Share of cos. with 5%+ FPI share in FPI-held cos. (R)70% 438 % of Nifty 500 cos (R) 100%
1,800 60% 388 90%
1,600 80%
50% 338
1,400
70%
1,200 40% 288
60%
1,000 30% 238
50%
800 20% 188
40%
600
10% 138 30%
400
0% 88 20%
200
0 -10% 38 10%
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. *FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians
Figure 89: Number of listed cos with DMF holding >5% Figure 90: Number of Nifty500 cos with DMF share >5%
# DMF-held cos % # %
# of Nifty 500 cos with DMF share>5%
# of listed cos with DMF share>5%
1,300 % of Nifty 500 cos (R)
Share of cos. with 5%+ DMF share in DMF-held cos. (R)45% 400 75%
40% 350 65%
1,100
35%
300 55%
900
30%
250 45%
700 25%
200 35%
20%
500
150 25%
15%
300 100 15%
10%
100 5% 50 5%
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. *FPI ownership includes ownership through depository receipts held by custodians
Figure 91: Number of listed companies with Banks, FIs Figure 92: Number of Nifty500 companies with Banks,
& Insurance holding >5% FIs & Insurance holding >5%
# BFI-held cos % # %
# of Nifty 500 cos with Banks, Fis & Insurance share>5%
# of listed cos with BFI share>5%
1,700 Share of cos. with 5%+ BFI share in BFI-held cos. (R) 50% % of Nifty 500 cos (R)
260 55%
1,500 45%
240 50%
1,300 40%
220
35% 45%
1,100 200
30% 180 40%
900
25% 160
700 35%
20% 140
500 30%
15% 120
300 10% 100 25%
100 5% 80 20%
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Dec-23
Source: CMIE Prowess, NSE EPR. BFI = Banks, Financial Institutions, and Insurance Companies.
54/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Macroeconomy
Macro round-up
Growth and inflation holding up; overall trade deficit shrinking
Domestic economic growth has held steady despite global headwinds. The Q3FY24 GDP growth at 8.4% significantly
surpassed expectations, translating into full year GDP growth of 7.6%, up 30bps from the CSO’s First Advance
Estimate. IIP growth slowed down to 3.8% YoY, undershooting market expectations, while the eight core sectors’
output growth moderated to a 15-month low of 3.6% YoY. Business sentiments, however, remain upbeat, with the
composite PMI remaining north of the 60-mark for the second consecutive month, signaling robust optimism in both
the manufacturing and services sectors. Headline inflation remained largely unchanged in February at 5.1%, with a
marginal increase in Food and Beverages inflation offset by a deceleration in prices across the board. At the same time,
core inflation (excl. Food and Beverages and Fuel and Light) dipped down to the series low of 3.3%. The overall trade
deficit meaningfully expanded after a 31-month low recorded in January, led by an increase in the merchandise trade
deficit on account of import growth outstripping exports growth in the month. The services trade balance continues to
remain at record high levels, led by strong services exports growth.
The Centre’s fiscal position remained comfortable, with the cumulative deficit falling by 7.4% YoY to Rs 11 lakh crore
in the first 10 months of the fiscal, supported by an appreciable correction in the revenue deficit despite a healthy
26.5% YoY expansion in capex. Notably, fiscal stability is maintained despite potential shortfalls in the divestment
targets and an overreach in the MGNREGS budget. The Centre’s ability to meet its deficit targets for this fiscal is further
supported by a substantial uptick in tax revenues, bolstering the Centre's capacity to meet its deficit targets for the
current fiscal.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
decline, leading to core inflation decreasing to 3.3% YoY, the lowest in the current
CPI series (since 2012). On a sequential basis, headline inflation increased by 0.2%
MoM after two consecutive months of contractions. WPI inflation decreased to
0.2% YoY from 0.3% YoY in Feb’23 due to moderation in Fuel and Power, and
Manufactured goods, even as all but two subcomponents registering non-negative
growth on a month-on-month basis. Headline CPI inflation is on a downward trend,
with low reservoir levels posing an upside risk to food prices.
• The Union’s fiscal position remains comfortable: Total receipts witnessed 15.5%
YoY in 10MFY24, thanks to healthy direct tax collections (+23.6% YoY)—both
corporate and income tax receipts recorded robust expansion of 20.1% and 27.3%
YoY, respectively. Among indirect taxes, while GST collections remained robust,
with January collections at Rs 1.68 lakh crore (+12.5% YoY), contraction in excise
duties pulled down the overall growth in indirect taxes (+4.9% YoY in 10MFY24).
The Centre maintained its focus on capital spending, as it recorded a robust growth
of 26.5% YoY, reaching ~76% of the revised estimates in the ten months of the
fiscal. Cumulative revenue expenditure saw further moderation in growth to 1.4%
in 10MFY24 from 3.6% YoY in the previous month, owing to a contraction in food
and fertilizer subsidy outgo. Despite challenges, including lower-than-expected
nominal GDP growth, potential slippage in divestment efforts, and budget overruns
in the MGNREGS, the Centre remains poised to achieve its revised fiscal deficit
target of 5.8% for FY24. This outlook is bolstered by two key factors: stronger-
than-budgeted direct tax collections and lower-than-budgeted revenue
expenditure. Furthermore, when compared to the FY2024 RE, an expected
shortfall in capital expenditure serves as an additional buffer.
• Global update— cautious optimism across the board: The global composite PMI
continued to show an uptick, coming in at 52.1% in Feb’24 vs. 51.8% in Jan’24,
marking the fourth straight quarter of increases, showing increasing confidence
across the world in the global economy. The US economy continued to show
strength, with resilient GDP growth coupled with tighter than expected labour
markets. The UK economy also grew by 0.2% MoM in January following a
contraction in the last month of 2023. Chinese prices went up in February after four
straight months of deflation, providing some comfort amidst the difficult recovery
faced by the country.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Interestingly, nominal GDP in absolute terms has been revised downwards by 1.1% and 0.9% in FY23 and FY24
respectively, with FY24 nominal GDP growth now pegged at 9.1% (vs. 8.9% in FAE). This is owing to a negative deflator
in Industry, reflecting the impact of a sharp drop in commodity prices. In fact, the change in deflator of -1.1% in
Industry in FY24 is the lowest in last 68 years.
A significant positive surprise in real GDP growth in Q3 and FY24 is partly led by higher net taxes and weak deflator.
Consumption demand has remained muted, as also reflected from moderating imports growth. That said, the revival
in investments is gaining strength, and should get further support from higher Government capex next year, even as a
durable recovery remains contingent on a broad-based pick-up in consumption demand and private investments. Key
downside risks to the growth outlook include continued weakness in rural demand, slowing global growth and
persistent supply disruptions due to geopolitical tensions.
• Q3FY24 real GDP growth at 8.4% surprised positively; GVA growth in-line with
GDP growth in Q3FY24
expectations: India’s real GDP growth came in 8.4% YoY in Q3FY24, beating the came in a strong 8.4% YoY,
consensus estimate by a wide margin (Consensus: 6.6%). The GVA growth at 6.5% beating market
was broadly in line with expectations. The divergence between the two is led by expectations by a wide
higher tax collections (+12.5% YoY in 9MFY24) and lower subsidy payout (-21% margin.
YoY in 9MFY24). With a 40bps upward revision in Q1 and Q2 GDP growth to 8.2%
and 8.1% respectively, real GDP growth for the first three quarters of FY24 now
stands at 8.2%. GVA growth, on the other hand, stands adjusted at 7.5%, after
upward revision in Q1 growth forecast to 8.2% (+40bps) and Q2 to 7.7% (+30bps).
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
• Industry and Services drove GVA growth: GVA growth in Q3 was primarily led by
Industry and Services, even as Agriculture sector growth remained muted. The
Industry GVA grew by a strong 10.4% YoY in Q3, led by a broad-based acceleration.
Manufacturing GVA growth at 11.6% in Q3 follows a robust 14.4% YoY growth in
the previous quarter (revised up by 50bps). Construction GVA registered a strong
9.5% YoY growth, partly attributed to strong real estate demand, translating into
an average YoY growth of 10.4% in the last seven quarters. Electricity, Water
Services and Other Utilities grew by a similar 9% YoY, while Mining registered a
growth of 7.5%. The Services sector also remained resilient, recording a YoY
growth of 7% in Q3, implying a growth of 7.8% in the first three quarters on top of
an 11% growth in the same period last year. Within Services, Trade, Hotels &
Transport grew by 6.7%, Financial Services by 7% and Public Administration &
Defence by 7.5%. Notably, Core GVA growth—ex Agriculture and Public
Administration, Defence & Other Services—stood at a strong 8.4% YoY, translating
into an 8.7% growth in the first three quarters.
• Second Advance Estimate for FY24 revised up to 7.6%: With significant upward
The SAE for FY24 GDP
revisions in the first two quarters, real GDP growth for FY24 has been revised
growth has been revised up
upwards by 30bps to 7.6%, translating into an implied growth of 6.4% in Q4. This, by 30bps to 7.6%; FY23
however, came on the back of a 20bps downward revision in FY23 GDP growth to revised lower by 20bps to
7.0%. Notably, revision in FY22 real GDP growth has been starker, having seen a 7.0% and FY22 revised
70bps upward revision to 9.8%. Investments (GFCF), with a 10.2% growth, have higher by 70bps to 9.8%.
remained the strongest growth driver of the economy this year. In fact, GFCF as a Real GVA growth for FY24,
however, has been kept
share of GDP stood at an 11-year high of 34% in FY24. Barring the COVID-induced
unchanged at 6.9%.
contraction in FY21, private consumption growth at 3% in FY24 was the lowest in
the last 21 years. Interestingly, contribution from Discrepancies to FY24 GDP
growth at 55% is the highest in the last 15 years. Real GVA growth, however, has
been kept unchanged at 6.9% in FY24, with upward revision in Industry growth
(+1.1pp to 9%) making up for a downward revision in Agri and Services growth.
This, when seen in conjunction with upgrades in the first two quarters, signals a
deceleration in growth momentum in the last quarter, strikingly so in Industry.
• Nominal GDP value revised lower: Interestingly, nominal GDP in absolute terms
has been revised downwards by 1.1% and 0.9% in FY23 and FY24 respectively.
This makes the FY24 nominal GDP growth look optically better at 9.1% (vs. 8.9%
in FAE). This downward revision in the nominal GDP value is owing to a negative
deflator in Industry, reflecting the impact of a sharp drop in commodity prices. In
fact, the change in deflator of -1.1% in Industry in FY24 is the lowest in the last 68
years.
• Growth outlook robust but risks persist: A significant positive surprise in real GDP
growth in Q3 and FY24 is partly led by higher net taxes and weak deflator.
Consumption demand has remained muted, as reflected in weak private
consumption and moderating imports growth. That said, the revival in investments
is gaining strength, and should get further support from a higher Government capex
next year, even as a durable recovery remains contingent on a broad-based pick-
up in consumption demand and private investments. A normal monsoon this year
and Government support ahead of elections should provide some impetus to rural
demand. Key downside risks to the growth outlook include slower-than-expected
recovery in rural demand, slowing global growth and persistent supply disruptions
due to geopolitical tensions.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Gross Value Added (GVA) 21.6 9.8 5.2 3.9 11.3 5.0 4.8 6.5 8.2 7.7 6.5
Agriculture 4.5 5.9 3.0 4.1 2.7 2.3 5.2 5.5 3.5 1.6 -0.8
Industry 53.0 8.5 3.0 2.3 6.8 -2.4 0.6 6.3 6.0 13.6 10.4
Mining and Quarrying 11.3 10.4 5.3 2.3 6.6 -4.1 1.4 4.3 7.1 11.1 7.5
Manufacturing 50.4 5.7 0.3 0.6 2.2 -7.2 -4.8 4.5 5.0 14.4 11.6
Electricity 17.0 11.5 6.6 6.7 15.6 6.4 8.7 6.9 3.2 10.5 9.0
Construction 99.6 14.7 7.3 4.9 14.7 6.9 9.5 10.4 8.5 13.5 9.5
Services 12.9 11.5 7.4 4.9 16.7 9.8 7.2 6.9 10.7 6.0 7.0
Trade, Hotels, Trans., Storage, Comm. 44.0 15.2 8.9 5.0 22.1 13.2 9.2 9.1 9.7 4.5 6.7
Fin. Svcs, Real Estate & Business Svcs. 3.5 7.6 5.3 4.6 10.5 8.7 7.7 7.1 12.6 6.2 7.0
Public Admin., Defence & Other Svcs. 4.1 14.6 8.6 5.2 23.6 7.3 3.5 3.1 8.2 7.7 7.5
Source: CSO, NSE EPR.
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March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
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Figure 98: Quarterly trend of nominal vs. real GDP and GVA growth
2.0
(2.0)
(4.0)
(6.0)
-5.8
(8.0)
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24SAE
Source: CSO, CMIE Economic Outlook, NSE EPR. SAE = Second Advance Estimate.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
10.0 9.4
8.0 8.0 8.0
8.0 6.9 7.2 6.9
6.7
6.1 6.2 5.8
6.0 5.2 5.4
3.9
4.0
2.0
0.0
-2.0
-4.0
-4.2
-6.0
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24SAE
Source: CSO, CMIE Economic Outlook, NSE EPR. SAE = Second Advance Estimate.
Table 22: Annual real GDP and GVA growth trend (% YoY)
Implied
FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24SAE
Q4FY24
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) 3.9 -5.8 9.8 7.0 7.6 6.4
Private Consumption (PFCE) 5.2 -5.2 11.6 6.8 3.0 1.1
Government Consumption (GFCE) 3.9 -0.9 0.1 9.0 3.0 7.4
Gross Capital Formation (GCF) -2.6 -7.9 21.8 5.5 10.2 7.2
Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) 1.1 -7.3 17.8 6.6 10.2 5.7
Exports of goods & services 16.1 -38.8 -51.5 -52.7 517.8 6.6
Imports of goods & services -3.4 -9.1 32.7 13.4 1.5 4.2
Gross Value Added (GVA) 3.9 -4.2 9.4 6.7 6.9 5.3
Agriculture 6.2 4.1 4.5 4.7 0.7 2.7
Industry -1.4 -0.9 12.7 2.1 9.0 3.7
Mining and Quarrying -3.0 -8.6 6.7 1.9 8.1 5.6
Manufacturing -3.0 2.9 10.1 -2.2 8.5 -0.4
Electricity 2.3 -4.3 10.5 9.4 7.5 8.7
Construction 1.6 -5.7 21.3 9.4 10.7 9.8
Services 6.4 -8.2 9.0 10.0 7.5 7.1
Trade, Hotels, Transport, Storage, Comm. 6.0 -19.7 14.9 12.0 6.5 4.4
Fin. Svcs, Real Estate & Business Svcs. 6.8 2.1 5.5 9.1 8.2 9.9
Public Administration, Defence & Other Svcs. 6.6 -7.6 7.6 8.9 7.7 7.2
Source: CSO, CMIE Economic Outlook, NSE EPR. SAE = Second Advance Estimate.
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Table 23: Revisions in real GDP and GVA growth for the last three years
FY22 FY23 FY24SAE
%
Old New Old New Old New
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) 9.1 9.8 7.2 7.0 7.3 7.6
Private Consumption 11.2 11.6 7.5 6.8 4.4 3.0
Government Consumption 6.6 0.1 0.1 9.0 4.1 3.0
Gross capital formation 17.9 21.8 9.6 5.5 9.3 10.2
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 14.6 17.8 11.4 6.6 10.3 10.2
Net trade of goods & services -39.6 -51.5 79.7 -52.7 144.2 517.8
Exports of goods & services 29.3 32.7 13.6 13.4 1.4 1.5
Imports of goods & services 21.8 23.6 17.1 10.6 13.2 10.9
Gross Value Added (GVA) 8.8 9.4 7.0 6.7 6.9 6.9
Agriculture 3.5 4.5 4.0 4.7 1.8 0.7
Industry 11.6 12.7 4.4 2.1 7.9 9.0
Mining and Quarrying 7.1 6.7 4.6 1.9 8.1 8.1
Manufacturing 11.1 10.1 1.3 -2.2 6.5 8.5
Electricity 9.9 10.5 9.0 9.4 8.3 7.5
Construction 14.8 21.3 10.0 9.4 10.7 10.7
Services 8.8 9.0 9.5 10.0 7.7 7.5
Trade, Hotels, Transport, Storage, Comm. 13.8 14.9 14.0 12.0 6.3 6.5
Fin. Svcs, Real Estate & Business Svcs. 4.7 5.5 7.1 9.1 8.9 8.2
Public Admin, defence & Other Svcs. 9.7 7.6 7.2 8.9 7.7 7.7
Source: CSO, CMIE Economic Outlook, NSE EPR. SAE = Second Advance Estimate.
Table 24: Revisions in real GDP and GVA growth for the first six quarters
Q1 FY23 Q2 FY23 Q3 FY23 Q4 FY23 Q1 FY24 Q2 FY24
%
Old New Old New Old New Old New Old New Old New
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) 13.1 12.8 6.2 5.5 4.5 4.3 6.1 6.1 7.8 8.2 7.6 8.1
Private Consumption 19.8 18.5 8.3 8.2 2.2 1.8 2.8 2.8 6.0 5.3 3.1 2.4
Government Consumption 1.8 9.8 -4.1 3.4 -0.6 7.1 2.3 2.3 -0.7 -0.1 12.4 13.8
Gross capital formation 20.8 14.9 6.5 2.4 5.2 2.8 7.8 7.8 7.1 7.5 9.9 10.6
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 20.4 13.9 9.6 4.7 8.0 5.0 8.9 8.9 8.0 8.5 11.0 11.6
Net trade of goods & services -653.1 -193.2 216.8 117.2 6.8 -65.8 -90.4 -90.4 199.0 884.9 95.0 89.1
Exports of goods & services 19.6 19.1 12.2 11.7 11.1 10.9 11.9 11.9 -7.7 -6.5 4.3 5.3
Imports of goods & services 33.6 26.1 23.1 16.1 10.7 4.1 4.9 4.9 10.1 15.3 16.7 11.9
Gross Value Added (GVA) 11.9 11.3 5.4 5.0 4.7 4.8 6.5 6.5 7.8 8.2 7.4 7.7
Agriculture 2.4 2.7 2.5 2.3 4.7 5.2 5.5 5.5 3.5 3.5 1.2 1.6
Industry 9.4 6.8 -0.5 -2.4 2.3 0.6 6.3 6.3 5.5 6.0 13.2 13.6
Mining and Quarrying 9.5 6.6 -0.1 -4.1 4.1 1.4 4.3 4.3 5.8 7.1 10.0 11.1
Manufacturing 6.1 2.2 -3.8 -7.2 -1.4 -4.8 4.5 4.5 4.7 5.0 13.9 14.4
Electricity 14.9 15.6 6.0 6.4 8.2 8.7 6.9 6.9 2.9 3.2 10.1 10.5
Construction 16.0 14.7 5.7 6.9 8.3 9.5 10.4 10.4 7.9 8.5 13.3 13.5
Services 16.3 16.7 9.4 9.8 6.1 7.2 6.9 6.9 10.3 10.7 5.8 6.0
Trade, Hotels, Transport, Storage 25.7 22.1 15.6 13.2 9.6 9.2 9.1 9.1 9.2 9.7 4.3 4.5
Fin. Svcs, Real Estate, Business Svcs. 8.5 10.5 7.1 8.7 5.7 7.7 7.1 7.1 12.2 12.6 6.0 6.2
Public Admin, Defence, Other Svcs. 21.3 23.6 5.6 7.3 2.0 3.5 3.1 3.1 7.9 8.2 7.6 7.7
Source: CSO, CMIE Economic Outlook, NSE EPR.
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Core sector output growth moderated to a 15-month low of 3.6% YoY in January from 4.9% YoY growth in the previous
month, with notable contractions in refinery products and fertilizers, even as the electricity sector and coal production
displayed strength. IIP growth in the first 10 months of this fiscal averaged 6.0%, slightly higher than 5.8% in the same
period last year. India’s economic resilience is visible in other high-frequency indicators as well, aided by recovery in
private investments, strong government capex and a gradual improvement in rural demand. That said, a durable
recovery in consumption is crucial for a credible recovery in industrial activity.
• IIP growth eased to 3.8% YoY in January: IIP growth eased to 3.8% YoY in
January from an upwardly revised growth of 4.2% in the previous month,
undershooting market expectations of 4.1%. This was primarily due to a drop-in
manufacturing activity—accounting for 78% of the total industrial production—to
3.2% YoY in Jan’24 from 4.5% in the previous month, owing to contraction in
computer & electronics (-11.9% YoY), tobacco (-7.4% YoY), and paper products
(-6.3% YoY). In contrast, the Mining production growth improved to 5.9% YoY in
Jan’24 from 5.2% in Dec’23, while the electricity sector registered a growth of
5.6% YoY vs 1.2% in Dec’23. Over the first ten months of this fiscal year, IIP
growth averaged 6.0% YoY, a slight improvement from 5.8% in the same period
last year, with mining leading with an 8.5% YoY increase.
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and the impact of a strong low base effect as growth was negative in the previous
year (-8.2% YoY in Jan’23). On the other hand, consumer non-durables
witnessed a slight dip, contracting by 0.3% YoY in Jan’24 (vs 2.4% YoY in
Dec’23), possibly indicating a slower recovery in consumption demand by low-
and middle-income households. It is interesting to note that the output level of
all use-based segments is above the pre-COVID level of Feb’20 after a gap of 33
months.
• Core sector output growth moderated in Jan’24: The core sector output growth
moderated to a 15-month low of 3.6% YoY in Jan'24 (vs. 9.7% YoY Jan’23). On a
sequential basis, the core sector growth moderated to 2.2% MoM in Jan'24 (vs.
7.0% MoM in Dec’23). This deceleration was primarily led by a contraction of
4.4% YoY in refinery products, which holds the highest weight (28%) in the index,
followed by fertilisers (-0.6% YoY). The Electricity sector, on the other hand, grew
by 5.2% YoY and 8.1% MoM, supported by the increase in coal production of
99.73 million tonnes, clocking its seventh consecutive month of double-digit
growth at 10.2% YoY. In addition, crude oil production broke a two-month
contraction streak and registered a modest 0.6% YoY growth in January. Notably,
in FY24TD (Apr-Jan), steel emerged as the best-performing sector, recording an
average growth of 13.3%, followed by coal at 12.5%. In the first ten months of
this fiscal, core sector output growth moderated slightly to 7.9% compared to
8.4% in the corresponding period of FY23TD.
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70
60.6
60
56.9
50
40
30
20
10
0
Jul-16
Jul-17
Jul-18
Jul-19
Jul-20
Jul-21
Jul-22
Oct-22
Jul-23
Oct-16
Oct-17
Oct-18
Oct-19
Oct-20
Oct-21
Oct-23
Jan-19
Jan-17
Jan-18
Jan-20
Jan-21
Jan-22
Jan-23
Jan-24
Apr-16
Apr-17
Apr-18
Apr-19
Apr-20
Apr-21
Apr-22
Apr-23
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Headline CPI inflation seems to be on a downward trend, having peaked in Dec’23, on the back of broad-based
slowdown in prices. Importantly, the moderation in core inflation has been quite notable, reflecting the impact of weak
rural and external demand. The inflation outlook for next year looks comfortable, with the RBI expecting headline
inflation to fall to the 4% target by the second quarter of the next fiscal assuming a normal monsoon. Further, the
recent cut in LPG prices should provide further support. That said, low reservoir levels may provide some upside risk
to food prices going forward, partly offset by Rabi sowing on par with normal levels. With inflation expected to remain
north of the RBI’s 4% target in the near term and growth holding up strong, we expect no change in rates for now, with
a possibility of easing to emerge only in the later part of the year.
• …As vegetable prices rose by a seven-month high pace: The YoY increase in
food prices was driven largely by a 3.2pp rise in vegetable inflation to 30.3% YoY
and a 4pp expansion in Meat & Fish to 5.4% YoY in Feb’24, partly offset by decline
in fruit (-3.8pp to 4.8% YoY) and spices (-2.8pp to 13.5% YoY) inflation. On a MoM
basis, food prices inched up by a moderate 0.1% after declining for two
consecutive months. In spite of the YoY increase, vegetable prices declined by
0.1% MoM in February, suggesting that vegetable inflation is on the way down.
Onion prices moderated for the second consecutive month to 22.1% YoY in
Feb’24 (vs. 30% in Jan’24), while Tomato inflation inched up to 42% YoY (vs. 38%
YoY in Jan’23). Excluding vegetables, CPI inflation for January stood at 3.7%. Fuel
and light inflation remained in the deflationary zone for the sixth month in a row,
registering a 0.8% YoY decline (-0.1% MoM) in Feb’24.
• Core inflation fell to a 12-year low of 3.0%: Core inflation declined for the ninth
consecutive month, falling to 3.3% YoY in February, significantly below the 4%
level. This is the lowest core inflation print in this CPI series, dating back to 2012.
The dip was driven by moderation in prices across the board. On a sequential
basis, core prices inched up by 0.2% MoM in Feb’24.
• WPI inflation continued to remain benign: WPI inflation continued to decline for
the second consecutive month even as it remained in the deflationary zone,
coming in at 0.2% YoY in Feb’24 vs 0.3% YoY in Jan’24, reflecting the impact of
low global commodity prices. The decline in WPI inflation came on the back of
increased disinflation in the Fuel & Power component, which registered a 1.6%
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YoY decline in February compared to a 0.5% YoY decline in January. At the same
time, Manufactured goods, which constitute more than half of the WPI, also
dipped by 1.3% YoY in Feb’24 (vs. 1.1% in Jan’24). Primary article prices grew by
4.5% YoY, up from 3.8% in the previous month, led by a sharp increase in crude
petroleum and natural gas prices (8.2% YoY in Feb’24 vs 0.2% YoY in Jan’24). On
a sequential basis, WPI registered expansion after two consecutive months of
moderation, increasing by 0.1% MoM. This was on the back of positive momentum
in both Primary articles (0.2% MoM) and Fuel & power (0.2% MoM) components.
11
9
7.8
7
5 5.1
3
3.3
1
(1) -0.8
(3)
(5)
Feb-17 Aug-17 Feb-18 Aug-18 Feb-19 Aug-19 Feb-20 Aug-20 Feb-21 Aug-21 Feb-22 Aug-22 Feb-23 Aug-23 Feb-24
Source: CMIE Economic Outlook, NSE EPR.
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Figure 109: Category-wise contribution to India Food and Beverages inflation (CPI)
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Figure 110: Trend in retail prices of T.O.P. veggies Figure 111: Trend in retail prices of pulses (Rs/kg)
(Rs/kg)
TOP retail prices Pulses retail prices
Gram Urad dal Moong
Potato Onion Tomato (RHS)
70 150 130 Masoor Tur (RHS) 160
60 120
150
100 110
50
100 140
40
50 90
130
30 80
20 0 70 120
Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24 Mar-24 Oct-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24
Source: CMIE Economic Outlook. NSE EPR.
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9.88 9.64
10.0 8.67
5.0
4.83
0.0
-5.0
-10.0
Feb-14
Feb-15
Feb-16
Feb-17
Feb-18
Feb-19
Feb-20
Feb-21
Feb-22
Feb-23
Feb-24
Aug-14
Aug-15
Aug-16
Aug-17
Aug-18
Aug-19
Aug-20
Aug-21
Aug-22
Aug-23
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The services balance remained in surplus at US$16.8 bn in February, underpinned by service exports that stood at an
all-time high of US$32.2 bn. The sustained strength in services exports, alongside a contraction in services imports,
has helped keep current account deficit levels contained. Despite the complex global economic environment, including
geopolitical tensions such as the attacks in the Red Sea, the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, and rising shipping costs,
India's exports have shown resilience, contributing positively to the country's external sector balance. This, along with
strong foreign capital inflows, should translate into a strong BoP surplus this year.
• Trade deficit widened in Feb’24: India’s merchandise trade deficit reversed the
falling trend experienced till last month, rising to US$ 18.7bn in February. This was
on account of a slightly higher sequential rise in imports (+12.7% MoM) as against
exports (+12.2% MoM), indicating an improvement in domestic demand
conditions. In the first 11 months of this fiscal, the trade balance improved with
the deficit contracting by 8.5% YoY, bolstered by a higher contraction in imports of
5.3%YoY vs. the exports at 3.4%YoY in the corresponding period.
• Merchandise imports grew faster than exports; Gold and Non-oil non-gold
demand rise: On a YoY basis, merchandise imports grew at a faster pace compared
to exports, recording a 12.2%YoY growth. This was primarily led by a steep rise in
gold (+133.8%) and strong non-oil non-gold (+8.8%) imports, with the former
partly reflecting the impact of surge in international gold prices. While the non-oil
sector benefitted from a robust demand for electronic goods and surgical
instruments, recording a double-digit growth at 23.2% YoY and 11.4% YoY
respectively, the spike in oil prices contributed significantly to the oil imports. The
surge in non-oil non-gold imports at a 17-month high pace is an indication of
recovery in domestic demand conditions.
• Services exports outperformed: India’s services trade with the world remained
robust, with the net services balance rising to US$ 16.8bn on the back a strong
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growth in exports (+17.3% YoY) which rose by 17.3% YoY to all-time high monthly
figure of US$ 32.1bn in February. Conversely, services imports showed a more
modest uptick, registering a growth of 2.8% YoY to US$ 15.4bn. On a MoM basis,
both services exports and imports grew by 3.6% each. As such, the services trade
surplus widened to a record high of US$ 16.8bn in February. The overall trade
deficit–merchandise plus services—expanded meaningfully on a MoM basis to US$
1.9bn, even as it fell by 52.9% on a YoY basis. In the current fiscal thus far (Apr-
Feb’24), the services exports growth moderated to 6.8% from 43% growth in the
same period last year, while service imports contracted by 2% (vs. +39.1%YoY
FY23TD).
• India’s external position to remain strong despite a weak global backdrop: The
current geopolitical climate, underscored by sustained attacks on shipping routes
and the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, continues to present formidable obstacles for
international trade, with increased shipping costs posing significant challenges.
Moreover, with continent tight monetary policies in western world and major
economies like Japan and UK facing recessionary pressure, the global demand
conditions are experiencing weakness. As a result, the World Trade Organization
(WTO) anticipates a modest 3.3% increase in global trade for 2024. That said,
India’s exports performance has shown resilience, with Government schemes such
as the PLI providing strong impetus to certain sectors. This, along with strong
services exports, is expected to keep current account deficit levels contained this
and the next year.
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Figure 116: Non-oil, non-gold imports Figure 117: Oil imports trend
US$bn % US$bn %
Non-oil non-gold imports % YoY (R) Oil Imports % YoY (R)
45 150 25 250
40
200
35 100 20
150
30
50 15
25 100
20 50
0 10
15
0
10 (50) 5
(50)
5
0 (100) 0 (100)
Feb-18 Feb-19 Feb-20 Feb-21 Feb-22 Feb-23 Feb-24 Feb-18 Feb-19 Feb-20 Feb-21 Feb-22 Feb-23 Feb-24
Source: Ministry of Commerce, CMIE Economic Outlook. NSE EPR.
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Figure 118: Oil imports vs. Brent crude oil prices trend
US$bn Oil imports vs. prices US$/bbl
140
20
120
100
15
80
10
60
40
5
20
0 0
Feb-14 Feb-15 Feb-16 Feb-17 Feb-18 Feb-19 Feb-20 Feb-21 Feb-22 Feb-23 Feb-24
Source: Refinitiv DataStream. CMIE Economic Outlook, NSE EPR.
650 619
18
600
550 16
500
14
450
12
400 10.9
350 10
300
8
250
200 6
Feb-14 Feb-15 Feb-16 Feb-17 Feb-18 Feb-19 Feb-20 Feb-21 Feb-22 Feb-23 Feb-24
Source: Refinitiv DataStream, NSE EPR.
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• Robust revenue receipts on strong tax and non-tax revenues: In the first ten
months of FY24, total revenue receipts rose by 15.5% YoY to Rs 22.2 lakh crore.
This growth was primarily fueled by a robust 11.3% rise in net tax revenues,
totaling Rs 18.8 lakh crore, and a significant 46.4% surge in non-tax revenues to
Rs 3.4 lakh crore due to a rise in dividends and profits (+91.3% YoY to Rs 1.5 lakh
crore). Meanwhile, corporate tax collections saw a 20.1% YoY increase to Rs 7.6
lakh crore, while income tax collections accelerated by 27.3% YoY to Rs 7.5 lakh
crore, resulting in a 23.6% YoY uptick in direct tax collections to Rs 15 lakh crore.
Additionally, monthly GST collections continued to show positive momentum,
reaching Rs 1.7 lakh crore in Febr’24—a 12.5% growth, compared to the 10.4%
growth observed in the previous month. Despite these gains, indirect taxes
recorded a modest 4.9% growth in the first ten months, primarily due to a 6.0%
YoY contraction in excise duties. However, divestment progress remained minimal,
with miscellaneous receipts, including divestments, contracting by nearly 68% YoY
to Rs 12,452 crore, which translate into just 41.5% of the FY24RE.
• FD at 63.6% of FY24RE, fisc in check: In the fiscal thus far, revenue receipt
growth (15.5% YoY) outpaced revenue expenditure growth (1.4% YoY). This led to
a reduction in the revenue deficit to Rs 4.2 lakh crore from Rs 6.8 lakh crore I nteh
same period of the previous year. The gross fiscal deficit also declined to ~Rs 11.0
lakh crore, falling 7.4% YoY from Rs 11.9 lakh crore in 10MFY23, amidst a 26.5%
YoY rise in capex, thanks to strong revenue receipts and lower revenue
expenditure. The recent interim Budget has maintained the Centre’s thrust on
fiscal prudence. The revised estimate for FY24 fiscal deficit is now pegged 10bps
lower at 5.8% of GDP, and that for next year is budgeted to fall to 5.1%.
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250
197.2
200
163.4
155.0
150 140.0
123.8 123.5
105.4 107.0 105.7
92.4 98.2 95.8
100 87.2 90.7
83.2
75.5 74.7 71.7
66.4 63.5 61.7
58.3
50
0
FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY11 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY23 FY24
Source: CMIE Economic Outlook, CGA, NSE EPR.
Figure 123: Centre’s gross fiscal trend (% GDP) Table 29: A quick glance at Centre’s fiscal balances
Fiscal deficit trend (% of GDP) Rs crore FY23 A FY24RE % YoY FY25BE % YoY
10.0 9.2 Net tax
9.0 20,97,785 23,23,918 10.8 26,01,573 11.9
revenues
8.0 Non-tax
2,85,420 3,75,795 31.7 3,99,701 6.4
6.6 6.7 revenues
7.0 6.4
5.9 5.95.8 Non-debt cap
6.0 72,196 56,000 -22.4 79,000 41.1
4.9 4.9 5.1 rec.
4.5 4.7
5.0 4.13.9 Total
24,55,401 27,55,713 12.2 30,80,274 11.8
4.0 3.53.53.4 receipts
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23A
FY24BE
FY24RE
FY25BE
Source: CMIE Economic Outlook, CGA, NSE. BE = Budget Estimates, RE = Revised Estimates, A = Actual. * FY22 actual figures are provisional number released by CGA.
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Figure 124: Direct tax collections trend during Apr-Jan Figure 125: Indirect tax receipts trend during Apr-Jan
Rs. bn Direct tax collections trend % Rs. bn Indirect tax collections trend %
Direct Tax collections % YoY (RHS) Indirect tax collections % YoY (RHS)
16,000 60
14,000 40
14,000 50
12,000 20
12,000 40
10,000
10,000 30 0
8,000
8,000 20 -20
6,000
6,000 10 -40
4,000
4,000 0
2,000 -60
2,000 -10
0 -80
0 -20
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
FY14
FY12
FY13
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
Figure 126: Year average of monthly collections Figure 127: GST collections trend
Rs crore Rs lakh crore
Monthly average GST collections Monthly GST collections
60,000 1.0
0.8
40,000
0.6
20,000
0.4
-
0.2
FY23
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY24TD
0.0
Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
Source: CMIE Economic Outlook, CGA, PIB, NSE EPR.
Figure 128: Revenue and capital exp during Apr-Jan Figure 129: Expenditure mix during Apr-Jan
Rs lakh crore Expenditure break-up % % Share of revenue and capital expenditure in total
Revenue Exp. expenditure trend
Capital Exp. Revenue Expenditure Capital Expenditure
100
40 % YoY growth in revex 50 11.8 11.7 13.3 10.7 14.5 12.6 14.4 11.5 11.8 14.4 15.7
90 17.9 21.5
Millions
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
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Table 30: A snapshot of government finances for Provisional estimates for Jan’24
Items (Rs crore) April-Jan FY23 April-Jan FY24 Implied for Feb-Mar’24
Rs crore Rs crore % YoY Rs crore % YoY
Net tax revenues 16,88,710 18,79,840 11.3 4,44,078 8.7
Gross tax revenues 23,62,677 27,06,197 14.5 7,31,014 5.8
Of which:
Direct Tax 12,16,628 15,03,821 23.6 4,41,179 5.7
Corporation tax 6,29,013 7,55,569 20.1 1,67,106 (15.1)
Income tax 5,87,615 7,48,252 27.3 2,74,073 24.2
Indirect Tax 11,46,049 12,02,376 4.9 2,89,835 5.9
Goods and service tax 7,02,626 7,65,943 9.0 1,90,657 26.4
Custom Duties 1,73,375 1,75,052 1.0 43,628 9.1
Excise Duties 2,43,608 2,28,968 (6.0) 74,632 (1.0)
States Share (6,67,770) (8,20,250) 22.8 (2,84,243) 1.3
Transferred to NCCD (6,197) (6,107) (1.5) (2,693) 49.4
Non-Tax Revenue 2,30,939 3,38,069 46.4 37,726 -31.7
Dividends and profits 77,303 1,47,848 91.3 6,559 (70.9)
Other non-tax revenues 1,53,636 1,90,221 23.8 31,167 (4.5)
Central govt. revenue receipts 19,19,649 22,17,909 15.5 4,81,804 3.9
Non-Debt Capital Receipts 57,194 34,219 (40.2) 21,781 45.3
Recovery of Loans 18,523 21,767 17.5 4,233 (44.5)
Misc. receipts (inc. divestment) 38,671 12,452 (67.8) 17,548 138.3
Total Receipts 19,76,843 22,52,128 13.9 5,03,585 5.2
Revenue Expenditure 25,97,756 26,33,543 1.4 9,06,696 6.1
Interest Payments 7,38,658 8,21,731 11.2 2,33,696 23.1
Major subsidies 3,99,400 3,15,559 (21.0) 1,24,978 (5.0)
Food 1,91,232 1,48,140 (22.5) 64,192 (21.3)
Fertilizer 2,06,606 1,65,549 (19.9) 23,345 (47.8)
Petroleum 1,562.0 1,870.2 19.7 10,369.8 97.3
Other revenue expenditure 14,59,698 14,96,253 2.5 5,48,022 2.7
Capital Expenditure 5,69,892 7,21,187 26.5 2,29,059 37.6
Total Expenditure 31,67,648 33,54,730 5.9 11,35,755 11.2
Fiscal Deficit 11,90,805 11,02,602 -7.4 6,32,170 16.6
Source: CMIE Economic Outlook, CGA, Budget Documents, NSE EPR.
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Going forward, the growth for this year is expected to be at a slower pace compared to 2023, even as the likelihood of
a global recession is remote. While the major central banks have continued to remain cautious about premature easing
even as inflationary pressures are coming off, weakening growth and demand conditions advances the possibility of
policy rate cuts. Along with persistent global inflation, the geopolitical tensions arising from the continued Russia-
Ukraine conflict and disruptions in global shipping due to the Red Sea attacks will continue to act as headwinds facing
global economy.
• The Eurozone economy stays weak: The growth in the eurozone remained feeble
as it expanded marginally by 0.1% YoY in Q4FY24. After recovering in early 2024,
the manufacturing PMI fell to a three-month low of 45.7 in Mar’24 marking the 20th
consecutive month of contraction, while the services PMI improved to 51.1 in
Mar’24 from 50.2 in the previous month marking second month of expansion after
six month of continuous contraction. The inflation rate continued to inch
downwards falling to 2.6% YoY in Feb’24 with core falling to the lowest levels since
March 2022. The European Central Bank revised both the inflation and growth
projections downwards as it kept the policy rate unchanged at 4.5% in the march
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meeting indicating its adherence to bringing inflation to the 2% target despite the
looming recession fears.
• Japan exits zero interest rate policy: Japan saw a momentous shift in its
monetary policy, with the Bank of Japan exiting its negative interest rate policy and
setting the interest rate at 0.1%. This move is significant as it marks the first rake
hike in Japan in 17 years and signals the BoJ’s commitment to curbing rising price
pressures. In line with expectations, the headline inflation rate rose to 2.8% in
Feb’24 (vs. 2.2% in Jan’24), the highest since November last year with core also
rising remaining above the central bank’s 2% target. The unemployment rate
remains low at 2.40 % as of December 2023, reflecting the resilience of the
Japanese labour market. Services PMI rose sharply to 54.9 in Mar’24, marking the
19th straight month of expansion. The manufacturing sector also showed signs of
recovery even while remaining in the contractionary zone with PMI increasing to
48.2 in March, up from the 42-month low of 47.2 recorded in February. Overall,
Japan's economy is showing signs of stability and resilience, with a low
unemployment rate and improving inflation dynamics.
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Insights
Highly cited research paper 1 in the field of Behavioural Science
Reducing Algorithm Aversion through Experience5
Ibrahim Filiz 6 Jan René Judek 7 Marco Lorenz 8 Markus Spiwoks 9
Research Paper summary prepared by Kathryn Nicole Sam 10 and Varuna Joshi 11 7F 8F 8F
1. Introduction
Customers are becoming increasingly concerned about bank charges and this puts pressure on banks to reduce their
costs. In the field of asset management, banks try to reduce personnel costs when serving customers with low-to-
medium amounts of assets. One method of cost-reduction is to use robo-advisors. Besides being cheaper, these
automated advisors avoid errors in investment decisions that human advisors make when relying on gut feelings.
Many people, however, have algorithm aversion—a reluctance to use algorithms, even when they perform better than
humans. Research suggests that many individuals trust themselves more than algorithms despite indications that
algorithms will make better decisions in the long run. The authors observe that overconfidence in one’s own abilities
may play a role in algorithm aversion. However, it is possible that individuals can learn how to be more realistic in
assessing their abilities. Previous research suggested that financial incentives, multiple instances of feedback, and
gradually developing individuals’ experiences help reduce overconfidence.
The aim of this study is to investigate whether algorithm aversion could be reduced by providing individuals with
repeated decision-making situations, clear feedback, and financial incentives. This has been done in the context of
forecasting share prices, through a task where subjects could either make the forecasts themselves or trust an
algorithm.
2. Hypothesis
H1. Some subjects will—at least sometimes—choose not to delegate forecasting to the algorithm.
H2. In the last 5 (10/15/20) rounds of forecasting, the subjects will trust the algorithm significantly more often than
they did in the first 5 (10/15/20) rounds.
Subjects were provided with information about how the price was determined. The stock price was influenced by four
factors (A, B, C, and D), as well as a random influence, ɛ. The random influence had given properties (an expected value
of 0 and a specific probability distribution). Subjects were also informed of the formula for calculating the stock price.
5
Filiz, I., Judek, J. R., Lorenz, M., & Spiwoks, M. (2021). Reducing algorithm aversion through experience. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 31, Article
100524
6
Faculty of Business, Ostfalia University of Applied Sciences
7
Faculty of Business, Ostfalia University of Applied Sciences
8
Faculty of Economic Sciences, Georg August University Göttingen
9
Faculty of Business, Ostfalia University of Applied Sciences
10
Research Associate, Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad (IIMA)
11
Coordinator, NSE-Centre for Behavioral Science, Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad
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In each round, subjects were given the values of A, B, C, and D. They could then make the prediction themselves or rely
on an algorithm. The algorithm used the given data optimally, leading to a correct prediction 70% of the time.
There were, therefore, three possible strategies that subjects could use:
1. Guess the trend of price based on intuition, which would lead to a correct answer in roughly 50% of cases.
2. Calculate the price based on all available information (a pen, paper, and pocket calculator were provided to aid
this strategy). This would lead to a correct answer roughly 70% of the time.
3. Delegate the task to the algorithm. This would also lead to a correct answer roughly 70% of the time.
Strategy 1 results in the lowest payment. Strategies 2 and 3 yield equivalent compensation; however, strategy 2 is time-
consuming and error prone. The rational approach would thus be to choose strategy 3.
The researchers used a t-test to test hypothesis 1. They used regression analysis (linear regression and logarithmic
regression) and a Wilcoxon signed-rank test to test hypothesis 2. They also reported descriptive statistics. The effect
sizes of the learning processes were assessed using both Pearson’s r and Cohen’s d.
4. Summary of Results
• Subjects delegated to the algorithm only 45.9% of the time. The t-test was significant and provided support for
hypothesis 1—subjects chose not to delegate in some cases.
• There was a significant increase in decisions supporting the algorithm over time, supporting hypothesis 2.
Regardless of whether one compares the first 5 rounds with the last 5, the first 10 with the last 10, the first 15
with the last 15, or the first 20 with the last 20, algorithm aversion declined over time.
• The size of the learning effect was moderate when assessed using Cohen’s d, and strong when assessed using
Pearson’s r.
• There were still subjects who continued to use their own decisions towards the end of the experiment. In rounds
36-40, a little less than 49% of decisions were made without the algorithm.
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Research Paper summary prepared by Ram Prasad Behera 16 and Varuna Joshi 17 14F
1. Introduction
The Coronavirus pandemic, declared by the World Health Organization in March 2020, has led to a global health crisis
and economic disaster. Researchers have extensively studied its impact on financial markets, showing adverse effects
on stock prices and other asset classes. However, the arrival of COVID-19 vaccines offered a beacon of hope in India's
fight against the pandemic. Examining their effects, this study finds that immunization positively correlates with a
stable stock market and a decrease in the death rate. Machine learning techniques and statistical data analysis were
employed to analyze this relationship, suggesting that continued vaccination efforts are vital for public health and
economic recovery. With ongoing government and monetary support, India can pave the way for a brighter future.
2. Hypothesis
The study revolves around two main objectives: first, to explore the impact of COVID-19 immunization on the Indian
stock market, and second, to predict the mortality rate in response to the vaccination process.
The study assumes that there is a relationship between COVID-19 immunization efforts and the performance of the
Indian stock market, for which two hypotheses as, Null (H0) and Alternative hypothesis (Ha), are defined –
H0: There will be no significant relationship between vaccination and the stock market in India.
Ha: There will be a significant relationship between vaccination and the stock market in India.
Similarly, for vaccination and death rate, two hypotheses are defined –
H0: There will be no significant relationship between vaccination and the death rate in India.
Ha: There will be a significant relationship between vaccination and the death rate in India.
Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA) examines the relationships between vaccination, stock market performance, and
mortality rates. Descriptive statistics summarize dataset characteristics, while correlation analysis reveals
associations between variables, indicating a positive correlation between vaccination and stock market performance
but a negative correlation between vaccination, and death rate. Hypotheses testing confirms significant relationships
between vaccination, the stock market and death rates. Correlation analysis and descriptive statistics are carried out
using the Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS) program.
12
Jyotirmayee Behera, A. K. (2022). COVID 19 Vaccination Effect on Stock Market and Death Rate in India. Asia-Pacifc Financial Markets, 29: 651-673.
doi:https://doi.org/10.1007/s10690-022-09364-w.
13
Department of Mathematics, SRM Institute of Science and Technology, Kattankulathur, Chengalpattu, Tamil Nadu 603203, India
14
Indian Institute of Technology, Kharagpur, Kharagpur, West Bengal 721302, India
15
Department of Mathematics, SRM Institute of Science and Technology, Kattankulathur, Chengalpattu, Tamil Nadu 603203, India
16
Research Assistant, Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad (IIMA)
17
Coordinator, NSE-Centre for Behavioral Science, Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad
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Machine Learning models, including Linear Regression, Support Vector Regression, KNN Regression, and Random
Forest Regression, are employed to predict stock market closing prices and mortality rates based on vaccination data.
Regression analysis assesses model performance using metrics like R2 value, Mean Squared Error (MSE), and Mean
Absolute Error (MAE). Using statistical and machine learning techniques, the study aims to comprehend the effect of
COVID-19 immunization on the Indian stock market and death rates.
4. Summary of results
Descriptive statistics reveal mean and standard deviation values, indicating no missing data with a sample size of 119.
Correlation analysis shows a significant positive correlation (r = 0.627) between total vaccinated people and stock
market closing prices with a level of significance less than 0.001, suggesting that as vaccination rates increase, stock
prices tend to rise. The null hypothesis was thus rejected in this instance since there is a noteworthy correlation
between immunization and the Indian stock market.
Additionally, a negative correlation (r = -0.389) exists between total vaccinated people and death rates with a level of
significance less than 0.001, indicating that higher vaccination rates correspond to lower mortality rates. Likewise, this
instance also rejects the null hypothesis.
Machine Learning models, including Linear Regression, Support Vector Regression, Random Forest Regression, and
KNN Regression, are applied to predict stock market closing prices and mortality rates based on vaccination data. The
models' performance is evaluated using metrics such as R 2 score, MSE, and MAE. Results show that Support Vector
Regression performs the best for stock market prediction (R 2 = 91%, MSE = 0.006, MAE = 0.058) while the Random
Forest Regression model performs best for mortality rate prediction (R 2 = 87%, MSE = 0.078, MAE = 0.067).
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Neil Stewart23
1. Introduction
This paper is a data study into the buying behavior of retail investors. The paper introduces a term called Naïve Buying
Diversification (NBD). NBD is defined as the behavior exhibited by investors when they balance the values of same-day
purchases of multiple assets. NBD is contrasted to Naïve Portfolio Diversification (NPD), wherein the investor balances
the value of assets in their portfolio.
The study postulates that an average investor uses a 1/N heuristic to divide the amount for the same buy-day
investments such as stocks, funds etc., as opposed to dividing the investment amount using the 1/N heuristic for the
overall portfolio. NBD affects the balance of the portfolio since it is prone to increasing the proportion of a few stocks
as opposed to NPD where the investor is actively rebalancing the portfolio. Portfolio theory states that the balance of
the portfolio is directly proportional to the risk burden of the investor. Despite theory suggesting that NPD is better, this
paper aims to prove that the average investor engages in NBD far more commonly than in NPD.
2. Hypothesis
• H1: Investors engage in Naïve Buying Diversification (NBD) significantly more than Naïve Portfolio
Diversification (NPD).
To analyze NBD, the analysis required multiple-stock buy days to determine whether investors use 1/N heuristic to
divide investment amount into stock products. In the sample, multiple-stock buy days accounted for 30.8% of the total
amount invested over the considered period in the sample. To analyze investor behavior contrasting NBD and NPD, the
study required complete portfolio position before any transaction by the investor. For this part of the study, a
subsample with accounts opened within the data period. This restriction provided 8,982 accounts which constitutes
43.1% of total accounts. This subsample included 25,507 multiple-stock buy days which was 16.3% of buy days in
the subsample.
To test the existence of NBD, the percentage of investment for each stock in the total buy day investment was
calculated. This is to examine whether investors used the 1/N heuristic for investment decisions on the same buy day.
18
Gathergood, J., Hirshleifer, D., Leake, D., Sakaguchi, H., & Stewart, N. (2023). Naive buying diversification and narrow framing by individual investors. The Journal of
Finance, 78(3), 1705-1741. https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.13222
19
University of Nottingham
20
Marshall School of Business
21
Barclays Wealth and Investment Management, Behavioral Finance Group
22
University of Warwick
23
University of Warwick, Warwick Business School
24
Research Associate, Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad (IIMA)
25
Coordinator, NSE-Centre for Behavioral Science, Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad
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The paper also examined multiple products buy days where the investor bought stocks and other products like ETFs.
The study also extended NBD studies to weeks and months where they studied multiple stock buy weeks and buy
months.
4. Summary of Results
The team’s analysis found that investor’s fund allocation exhibited NBD in 39.1% cases of the considered sample when
allowed an error of 0.1 i.e., if the investor had bought 2 stocks on a single day, the fund allocation was within 45-55%.
This range is to include fund allocation where equal allocations would be impossible to indivisible stock values. The
analysis also revealed NBD in stock and fund buy days sample where the prevalence rate was 36.3%. For multiple-
stock buy weeks and multiple-stock by months, NBD prevalence was 14.3% and 10% respectively. The study then
analyzed top-up days to find out whether investors engage in portfolio rebalancing to achieve NPD. From the analysis
of the sample, they found out that only 0.2% of cases engage in NPD while 28.6% engage in NBD. Further analysis with
multiple stock buy weeks and buy months showed the absence of NPD in these cases as well.
The research analyzed all buy days from the overall sample and found that only 0.8% of the portfolio had 1/N balancing.
Even in this case, the occurrence of NBD is much greater than that of NPD. To determine why investors, use the 1/N
heuristic, the study examined investor behavior using two theories, stock-picking hypothesis, and diversification
hypothesis. In the stock-picking hypothesis, investors are attracted to multiple stocks based on media buzz,
information etc., and proceed to invest equal amount in each of these stocks irrespective of the correlation between
them. In the diversification hypothesis, the investor actively chooses stocks with low correlation with the intention of
reducing risk. Empirical data revealed that the investors engage in picking attractive stocks and investing equal
amounts in them.
The team proceeded to analyze the portfolio performance of NBD investors. The analysis of the data revealed that
investors who never engaged in NBD earn approximately one-third higher than investors who engage in NBD. Further
analysis proved that NBD investors do not consider risk reduction. Another way to achieve NPD is through selling stocks
to rebalance the portfolio. The data analysis shows that this phenomenon, which is termed Naïve Selling Diversification
(NSD), is very rare. The research also determined that investors use the 1/N heuristic as a simple way to buy stocks
and distribute the amount easily. This was proved by observing the fact that the invested amount on multiple buy days
was a multiple of the number of stocks invested in. This also rejects the notion that NBD arises due to investors always
investing a constant amount per stock.
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Market performance
Market round-up
India equities take a breather amidst global risk-on
Global equities rebounded in February, aided by robust corporate earnings in the US and a strong rally in Chinese equity
markets, notwithstanding adjustments to rate-cut expectations. Developed equities (MSCI World Index) generated a
return of 4.1% in February (YTD: +7.1%, As of March 19th, 2024), thanks to strong gains reported by the US and
Japanese equity markets. Emerging markets, however, outperformed after remaining on the sidelines over the
previous few months. The MSCI EM Index ended the month 4.6% higher, a large part of which is attributed to strong
rebound in the Chinese equities on the back of economic stabilization efforts and policy support. Global debt remained
under pressure in February, weighed down by recalibrated rate-cut expectations in the light of resilient economic
performance and higher-than-expected inflation readings. The US 10-year yield has surged by 44bps in 2024 thus far
to 4.3% (As of March 19th, 2024), while that in the UK and Europe rose by 52bps and 42bps to 4.1% and 2.4%
respectively.
Indian equities edged marginally higher in February, supported by strong economic fundamentals, and robust
domestic participation. That said, it underperformed the global emerging as well as developed market counterparts
during the month, as stretched valuations resulted in some profit booking, particularly in mid- and small-cap
companies. The benchmark Nifty 50 Index ended the month of February with a modest gain of 1.2%, only to correct
marginally this month (YTD: +0.4%, as of March 19th, 2024). The rally in small- and mid-caps, however, came to a half
last month, with the Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Smallcap 250 Indices falling by 0.5% and 0.7% in February and further
by 5% and 8.3% in March thus far respectively. The Indian debt, on the other hand, traded in a range-bound manner
despite the sell-off in global bond markets, aided by a higher-than-expected pace of fiscal consolidation, lower-than-
expected planned borrowings by the Centre and robust foreign capital inflows.
• Domestic markets remained on sidelines in February: Indian equities edged
The benchmark Nifty 50
marginally higher in February, and touched all-time high levels during the month, Index ended the month of
aided by a pro-growth Interim budget, strong economic growth, favourable global February with a modest
cues and strong domestic participation. That said, it underperformed the global gain of 1.2%, only to
emerging as well as developed market counterparts during the month, as stretched correct marginally this
valuations resulted in some profit booking, particularly in mid- and small-cap month, translating into an
YTD gain of 0.4%
companies. The benchmark Nifty 50 Index ended the month of February with a
(FY24TD: +25.7%, As of
modest gain of 1.2%, touching a fresh all-time high of 22,217 during the month, March 19tt, 2024).
only to correct marginally this month. The small and mid-cap stocks, however, have
seen some correction over the last month or so, thanks to stretched valuations and
the resultant profit booking. The Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Smallcap 250 Indices
fell by 0.5% and 0.7% in February and further by 5% and 8.3% in March thus far,
even as the FY returns still remain quite strong at 52.9% and 56.1% respectively
(As of March 19th, 2024).
Average daily turnover (ADT) in NSE’s cash market rose for the fourth month in a
row by 3.4% MoM in February to fresh record high of Rs 1.17 lakh crore. This
translates into ADT of Rs 80,381 crore in the first 11 months of FY24, nearly 50%
higher than ADT in the previous fiscal year. Average daily turnover (premium) in the
equity options segment rose by 4.7% MoM to a fresh monthly high of Rs 79,889
crore in February, translating into ADT of Rs 61,424 crore in the first 11 months of
FY24, up 29% from ADT in FY23. In the equity futures segment, ADT rose by a
marginally higher 5.3% MoM in February, leading to an ADT of Rs 1.30 lakh crore
during the period Apr-Feb’24, up by 13.5% from that in the previous fiscal year.
• Indian debt continued to trade in a range-bound manner: The global fixed
income markets this year have been characterised by cautious optimism. This is
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• FIIs resumed buying in Indian equities this month; remained strong buyers of
Indian debt: Improving sentiments in China, thanks to policy efforts by the
Government aimed at stabilizing the economy and positive developments in the
manufacturing sector and home prices, led to some shift in foreign capital from
other emerging markets to Chinese equities. India felt the brunt too, with FIIs
turning to modest buyers of Indian equities in February after being heavy sellers in
the previous month. That said, FIIs have resumed the buying spree this month, with
net inflows crossing US$4.8bn in March thus far (As of March 19th, 2024), resulting
in net FII inflows of US$25.9bn in FY24 till date. As far as Indian debt is concerned,
FIIs have remained net buyers of Indian debt for the 12 th month in a row in March,
averaging at US$2.3bn/month during Nov-Feb’24 and translating into total net
inflows of US$14.2bn in FY24 thus far (As of March 19 th, 2024)—the highest in six
years. In fact, net FII inflows of US$2.7bn in Indian debt in February was the
highest in last 79 months. DIIs have also remained strong buyers of Indian equities
for the eighth month in a row in March. Net DII inflows remained broadly steady at
nearly Rs 25k crore in February, only to strengthen further in the current month,
with net inflows tracking a cumulative figure of Rs 38k crore in March thus far. This
translates into total net DII inflows of Rs 1.88 lakh crores in FY24 till date.
• Global equities rebounded in February: The month gone by was marked by
Developed equities (MSCI
significant activity and divergent trends across global equity markets. In the U.S., a World Index) ended
positive earnings outlook and tech sector strength propelled markets higher, February with a strong gain
despite ongoing adjustments to Federal Reserve rate expectations. Japan's equity of 4.1%, while emerging
market faced headwinds from a stronger yen, while China's markets rebounded on markets outperformed with
economic stabilization efforts and policy support. Europe's markets navigated a marginally higher return
of 4.7% during the month.
through inflation concerns and banking sector uncertainties, reflecting the region's
complex economic landscape. These movements underscore the multifaceted
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the first expansion in the services sector in the last seven months. The headline
inflation rate in the Euro area fell for the second consecutive month to 2.6% in
February, with core inflation easing for the seventh month in a row to 3.1%—the
lowest reading since March 2022. On the policy front, the ECB kept the policy rates
unchanged for the third policy in a row at 4.5% and has committed to keeping
interest rates at restrictive levels for as long as required to bring down inflation.
The UK economy remained sluggish and entered into a technical recession in the
second half of 2023. The Manufacturing PMI remained deep in the contraction zone
for the 12th month in a row at 47.5 in February. The Services PMI, on the other hand,
remained in the expansion zone for the fourth month in a row and stood at 53.8 in
February, marginally lower than 54.3 in the previous month. The headline inflation
rate remained unchanged at 4% in January, undershooting market expectations.
On the policy front, the Bank of England by a 6:3 majority voted to keep the policy
interest rate unchanged at 5.25% for the fourth time in a row, citing the need to
keep interest rates restrictive for long to bring down inflation in a sustainable
manner. Out of the other three, two voted for a 25bps hike while one voted for a
25bps cut.
Asia: After a sluggish start to the new year, Asian equities rebounded in February,
aided by strong gains registered by Chinese equities. The Chinese equity market,
after enduring a period of volatility, witnessed a recovery, helped by policy support
measures and positive signals regarding economic stabilization. The Shanghai
Composite Index surged by 8.1% in February, more than reversing the loss in the
previous month. This turnaround was supported by improvements in
manufacturing and home prices, suggesting a gradual strengthening of the
domestic economy weighed down by deferred rate cut expectations and ongoing
growth concerns in China. Among other markets, Taiwan and South Korea also
registered strong gains of 6.0% (TAIEX, YTD: +10.7%) and 5.8% (KOSPI, YTD:
+0.3%) respectively. While strong demand for semiconductors supported Korean
equities, optimism around AI technology boosted investor sentiments for Taiwan
equities. Indian markets remained on sidelines during the month, the benchmark
Nifty50 Index rising modestly, while mid- and small-caps ended the month in red.
This was primarily due to profit booking amid stretched valuations, even as strong
economic growth, robust corporate earnings and strengthened domestic
participation provided downside support.
On the macro front, the Indian economy continued to display resilience, as
reflected from high-frequency indicators. The GDP growth for Q3FY24 at 8.4%
significantly surprised on the upside. This, with upward revisions in the previous
two quarters (40bps each, 8.2% in 9MFY24), now leads to the Second Advance
Estimate (SAE) of 7.6% in FY24, up 30bps from the First Advance Estimate (FAE).
The Manufacturing PMI inched up further to 59.2 in February from 56.9 in the
previous month, marking the 32nd month of expansion in a row. The Services PMI
also remained deep in the expansion zone at 60.3 in February, indicating favourable
demand conditions. Industrial production growth came in at 3.8% in January,
marginally undershooting market expectations of 4.1%. Headline inflation
expectedly remained steady at 5.1% in February, marking the sixth month to see a
sub-6% reading. On the policy front, the RBI’s MPC expectedly kept policy rates
unchanged for the sixth time in a row, reiterating its focus to decisively bring down
inflation to its 4% target.
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• Commodity prices rebounded this year: Following a 12.2% drop in CY2023, the
The S&P GSCI Index rose
S&P GSCI Index—a composite commodity index, rose by 0.5% in February, and
by a modest 0.5% in
inched up by another 4.5% in March, translating into an 8.8% return on a YTD basis February and further by
(As on March 19th, 2024). The surge was primarily led by Energy commodity, with 4.5% in March thus far.
Brent crude oil rising by 2.3% in February (CY24TD: +12.5%) on account of
continued Middle East tensions and attack on red sea driving up the cost of
transporting energy products. Going forward, oil prices may remain under pressure
on the back of increased Chinese travel demand during the Lunar Holiday season,
roll-over of oil production cuts by OPEC+ till mid-2024 and increased demand for
oil on account of rate cuts this year. In February, Industrial commodities excluding
Nickel (+10.3%) and Tin (+1.3%) contracted, however, the trajectory has changed
in the current month, with most of them, barring Nickel and Iron Ore, reporting
considerable gains. Likewise, the precious commodities including Gold and Silver
that sold-off in the first two months of this year reported considerable gains thus
far in March. On the other hand, agri-commodity prices contracted irrespective of
the disruption in the Red-sea route, barring Cotton that rose by 16.4% in Feb’24.
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March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Table 33: Performance across global asset classes (As on February 29th, 2024)
Source: Refinitiv Datastream, NSE EPR. Note: Returns for equity indices are based on total return index values except for Shanghai SE Composite Index.
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Nifty Alpha 50 -1.2 18.9 83.9 29.4 31.9 -1.2 19.0 85.3 30.3 32.8
Nifty100 Alpha 30 7.3 24.9 71.8 22.6 20.1 7.5 25.1 73.5 23.9 21.3
Nifty Alpha Low-Volatility 30 4.8 19.1 54.5 23.8 17.9 5.1 19.4 56.5 25.4 19.4
Nifty Alpha Quality Low-Volatility 30 4.2 16.3 50.7 20.4 17.1 4.5 16.7 52.8 22.3 18.9
Nifty Alpha Quality Value Low-Volatility 30 1.9 18.0 62.9 27.1 20.8 2.2 18.4 65.4 29.6 23.1
Nifty200 Alpha 30 3.4 19.9 82.9 32.7 25.9 3.6 20.1 84.5 34.1 27.1
Nifty Dividend Opportunities 50 2.0 17.6 50.0 24.8 17.7 2.3 18.2 52.6 27.8 20.7
Nifty Growth Sectors 15 2.2 9.7 30.4 16.9 12.9 2.5 10.1 32.4 18.8 14.4
Nifty High Beta 50 0.7 20.6 78.0 26.8 19.3 0.8 20.7 79.1 28.1 20.5
Nifty Low Volatility 50 2.5 12.5 41.6 18.4 17.6 2.6 12.7 43.1 20.1 19.3
Nifty100 Low Volatility 30 3.2 13.1 39.5 17.9 16.3 3.5 13.4 41.2 20.0 18.3
Nifty100 Quality 30 1.8 8.9 33.1 16.0 14.4 2.0 9.2 34.8 17.8 16.1
Nifty Quality Low-Volatility 30 2.5 10.0 34.6 16.6 14.6 2.6 10.2 36.3 18.5 16.4
Nifty200 Quality 30 0.9 8.6 33.1 16.1 14.5 1.1 9.0 35.1 18.2 16.5
Nifty50 Equal Weight 2.2 12.0 42.2 20.7 18.4 2.4 12.2 43.8 22.5 20.1
Nifty100 Equal Weight 4.4 17.2 49.7 19.6 17.9 4.5 17.3 51.0 21.0 19.3
Nifty50 Value 20 2.6 14.5 33.7 20.2 18.2 2.9 15.0 36.0 22.8 20.9
Nifty500 Value 50 3.0 26.4 87.4 38.0 25.6 3.4 26.9 89.8 41.4 28.5
Nifty Midcap150 Quality 50 -1.0 6.3 31.3 14.4 16.3 -0.9 6.5 32.4 15.5 17.6
Nifty200 Momentum 30 3.2 19.7 67.6 28.1 23.0 3.5 19.9 68.9 29.4 24.1
Nifty Midcap150 Momentum 50 -0.4 14.5 68.0 35.5 31.3 -0.3 14.7 69.2 36.4 32.2
Sector Indices
Nifty Auto 6.2 16.3 60.3 26.1 19.6 6.2 16.3 61.5 27.3 21.0
Nifty Bank 0.3 3.7 14.5 9.8 11.5 0.3 3.7 15.5 10.6 12.0
Nifty Private Bank -2.1 -0.1 12.2 7.6 8.6 -2.1 -0.1 13.1 8.2 9.1
Nifty PSU Bank 10.5 37.5 89.4 42.6 20.2 10.5 37.5 90.8 44.2 21.0
Nifty Financial Services -0.4 1.8 13.4 8.3 12.7 -0.4 1.8 14.6 9.1 13.4
Nifty Financial Services Ex-Bank -0.5 3.9 41.5 13.2 14.9 -0.4 4.0 42.9 14.3 15.8
Nifty Financial Services 25/50 -0.3 4.5 28.9 12.1 14.8 -0.2 4.5 30.2 13.2 15.6
Nifty MidSmall Financial Services -2.1 7.7 63.1 17.4 12.4 -2.0 7.8 64.6 18.8 13.5
Nifty FMCG -1.9 1.9 20.2 18.5 13.0 -1.4 2.4 21.8 20.7 15.0
Nifty IT 3.0 15.8 27.2 15.8 19.1 3.0 16.1 29.6 18.0 21.5
Nifty MidSmall IT & Telecom 3.3 16.9 69.2 35.7 34.8 3.4 17.0 70.6 37.1 36.6
Nifty Media -4.7 -10.7 20.3 8.1 -3.6 -4.6 -10.6 20.7 8.8 -2.8
Nifty Metal -0.6 12.9 50.4 27.5 22.5 -0.6 13.0 51.0 29.8 24.7
Nifty Pharma 5.9 17.0 61.8 16.8 16.4 6.2 17.3 63.0 17.7 17.4
Nifty Realty 6.4 27.6 131.6 37.6 31.7 6.4 27.6 132.5 38.0 32.2
Nifty Consumer Durables 1.8 8.9 33.7 15.1 18.1 1.9 8.9 34.3 15.7 18.7
Nifty Oil & Gas 6.8 35.2 65.1 23.0 19.5 7.1 35.5 66.2 24.9 21.7
Nifty Healthcare Index 4.6 16.2 59.4 18.8 18.5 4.8 16.4 60.5 19.6 19.5
Nifty MidSmall Healthcare 1.3 12.4 69.0 16.4 21.8 1.4 12.5 69.9 17.2 22.7
Nifty Transportation & Logistics 5.8 19.4 66.2 26.8 22.2 5.8 19.4 67.3 27.9 23.5
Nifty Housing 1.2 12.3 41.0 18.6 18.5 1.3 12.4 42.3 19.8 19.8
Source: NSE Indices, NSE EPR.
Note: Returns for the period up to one year are absolute returns. Returns for a period greater than one year are CAGR returns.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Table 35: Performance across NSE sector indices based on Price Return Index (As on February 29th, 2024)
Indicator Name Feb-24 1M ago 3M ago 12M ago 1M (%) 3M (%) 6M (%) 12M (%) YTD (%)
Sector indices
Auto 20,412 19,227 17,552 12,732 6.2 16.3 30.3 60.3 9.6
Bank 46,121 45,997 44,482 40,269 0.3 3.7 4.8 14.5 -4.5
Energy 38,838 36,748 29,295 21,682 5.7 32.6 51.0 79.1 16.0
FMCG 54,016 55,071 53,014 44,940 -1.9 1.9 5.7 20.2 -5.2
IT 37,720 36,638 32,582 29,664 3.0 15.8 21.0 27.2 6.2
Infrastructure 8,086 7,860 6,586 5,017 2.9 22.8 36.0 61.2 10.7
Media 2,050 2,151 2,297 1,705 -4.7 -10.7 -10.6 20.2 -14.2
Metals 7,922 7,973 7,017 5,269 -0.6 12.9 19.0 50.3 -0.7
Pharma 19,003 17,939 16,239 11,747 5.9 17.0 25.9 61.8 12.9
Real Estate 911 856 714 393 6.3 27.6 63.1 131.6 16.3
Thematic Indices
CNX PSE 9,139 8,670 6,779 4,390 5.4 34.8 67.5 108.2 16.3
CNX Consumption 9,806 9,628 8,987 7,116 1.9 9.1 18.2 37.8 2.4
CNX Services 27,684 27,386 25,596 22,973 1.1 8.2 12.0 20.5 -0.0
Source: Cogencis, NSE EPR.
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March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
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March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
The Nifty 50 Index ended the month of February with a modest gain of 1.2%, touching
fresh all-time high of 22,217 during the month, only to correct marginally this month,
translating into a 25.7% return in FY24 thus far (As of March 19th, 2024). The small and
mid-cap stocks, however, have seen some correction over the last month or so, thanks to
stretched valuations and the resultant profit booking. The Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty
Smallcap 250 Indices fell by 0.5% and 0.7% in February and further by 5% and 8.3% in
March thus far, even as the FYTD returns still remain quite strong at 52.9% and 56.1%
respectively (As of March 19th, 2024). Within the Nifty 50 companies, strong gains in
Consumer Discretionary, Energy and IT companies were partly offset by sell-off in
Consumer Staples, Materials and Financials in the month gone by. In the last 12 months,
Financials, Energy, Consumer Discretionary and IT together accounted for ~66.5% of the
gain in the Nifty 50 Index in the last 12 months.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 141: Sector-wise contribution to absolute Nifty 50 Index change (points) in February 2024
Figure 142: Sector-wise contribution to Nifty 50 price return in 2024 till date (Jan-Feb’24)
Figure 143: Sector-wise contribution to Nifty 50 Index change (points) in 2024 till date (Jan-Feb’24)
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 144: Sector-wise contribution to Nifty 50 price return in last one year (Mar’23-Feb’24)
Figure 145: Sector-wise contribution to Nifty 50 Index change (points) in last one year (Mar’23-Feb’24)
Figure 146: Nifty 50 Index monthly movement across sectors over last 12 months
Index points NIFTY 50 index movement across sectors
Comm. Cons. Disc Cons. Stap Energy Financials Health
2,000 Industrials IT Materials Utilities Change
1,500
1,000
500
-500
-1,000
Mar-23 Apr-23 May-23 Jun-23 Jul-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24
Source: Refinitiv Datastream, CMIE Prowess, NSE Indices, NSE EPR.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 147: Nifty 50 Index monthly return across sectors over last 12 months
NIFTY 50 index (%) returns across sectors
Comm. Cons. Disc Cons. Stap Energy Financials Health
10% Industrials IT Materials Utilities Change
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
-2%
-4%
-6%
Mar-23 Apr-23 May-23 Jun-23 Jul-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24
Source: Refinitiv Datastream, CMIE Prowess, NSE Indices, NSE EPR.
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
Feb-04
Feb-05
Feb-06
Feb-07
Feb-08
Feb-09
Feb-10
Feb-11
Feb-12
Feb-13
Feb-14
Feb-15
Feb-16
Feb-17
Feb-18
Feb-19
Feb-20
Feb-21
Feb-22
Feb-23
Feb-24
Aug-04
Aug-05
Aug-06
Aug-07
Aug-08
Aug-09
Aug-10
Aug-11
Aug-12
Aug-13
Aug-14
Aug-15
Aug-16
Aug-17
Aug-18
Aug-19
Aug-20
Aug-21
Aug-22
Aug-23
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 149: Nifty 50 sector weightage (February 2023) Figure 150: Nifty 50 sector weightage (February 2024)
Financials,
37.4 Financials, 32.5
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Feb-04
Feb-05
Feb-06
Feb-07
Feb-08
Feb-09
Feb-10
Feb-11
Feb-12
Feb-13
Feb-14
Feb-15
Feb-16
Feb-17
Feb-18
Feb-19
Feb-20
Feb-21
Feb-22
Feb-23
Feb-24
Aug-04
Aug-05
Aug-06
Aug-07
Aug-08
Aug-09
Aug-10
Aug-11
Aug-12
Aug-13
Aug-14
Aug-15
Aug-16
Aug-17
Aug-18
Aug-19
Aug-20
Aug-21
Aug-22
Aug-23
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Consensus earnings CAGR for the period 2023-25 pegged at 13.8%: Notwithstanding
a resilient Q3FY24 corporate earnings performance, consensus earnings estimates have
seen downgrades for this and the next year, reflecting the impact of a delayed rural
recovery, rising cost of funds and macroeconomic headwinds in the US and Europe. The
Nifty50 earnings estimates (Source: Refinitiv Datastream) for 2024/2025 were
downgraded further by 1.5%/0.5% in February, translating into total downgrades of
3.2%/1.2% in the last six months ending February 29th, 2024. This translates into an
expected earnings growth of 13.7% and 13.9% for 2024 and 2025 as on February 29th,
2024, vs. 13.0% and 12.6% as of December-end, respectively, resulting in a two-year
CAGR (2023-25) of 13.8% vs. 12.8% as of December-end.
Our analysis of earnings estimates of top 200 companies by market cap 26 paints a 25F
contrasting picture. The aggregate consensus earnings estimate for this universe for FY24
has been upgraded by 2.1% since December-end, primarily led by upgrades in Energy.
Excluding Energy, the aggregate profit estimate for FY24, however, was cut by a modest
0.6%, led by downgrades in Materials, Financials and Consumer Staples. While Material
companies saw their realisations falling in the light of easing global commodity prices,
Financials are expected to feel the brunt of rising cost of funds, and delayed rural recovery
has kept the topline of Consumer Staples sector muted. Earnings estimate for FY25 also
saw a modest 1.6% increase since December-end, primarily led by upgrades in Energy
and Financials, partly offset by downgrades in Materials and Consumer Staples.
Sustained margin tailwinds, strong urban demand and robust credit growth provided a
boost to corporate profitability in the quarter gone by, even as the top-line growth has
remained in single digits, weighed down by a slower recovery in rural demand and
headwinds from weak global demand. That said, margin tailwinds are expected to fade
from next quarter onwards amid an unfavourable base, thereby necessitating a durable
recovery in domestic demand.
26
The sample set consists of top 200 companies by one-year average market cap ending June 30th, 2023 covered by at least five or more analysts during the previous
12 months using IBES estimates from Refinitiv Datastream.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Table 38: Earnings growth and forward-looking multiples for Nifty 50 Index
As on Change (%/bps)
Metric Periods
29-Feb-24 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y
12-month forward 1049.9 -0.7% 0.6% 3.1% -0.7% 11.2%
2023 932.5 -2.5% -2.9% -3.2% -3.2% -2.5%
% YoY 17.1% -302bps -258bps -247bps -275bps -114bps
EPS (Rs) 2024 1060.4 -1.5% -2.2% -3.2% -2.5% -2.4%
% YoY 13.7% 116bps 81bps 1bps 73bps 10bps
2025 1208.3 -0.5% -0.9% -1.2% -1.4%
% YoY 13.9% 110bps 158bps 232bps 135bps
Price to Book 12-month forward 3.4 4.9% 10.6% 12.5% 2.5% 15.6%
value 2024 3.4 5.8% 13.6% 19.0% 4.7% 28.0%
(P/B) (x) 2025 3.0 5.7% 13.5% 19.0% 6.4%
Source: Refinitiv Datastream, NSE EPR. NTM = Next Twelve Months.
Figure 152: Sector-wise revision in FY24 earnings estimates for top 200 companies since December 2023
% Sector-wise revision in FY24 earnings estimates since December 2023
140.0
Share in aggregate profit upgrades since Dec-end
119.4
120.0 Profit change since Dec-end
100.0
80.0
60.0
40.0
20.0 10.3
4.8 1.8 2.1 0.8 1.9 1.5 2.1
0.4 0.5 0.2 0.3
0.0
(0.1)(0.0) (0.1)(0.0) (0.6)
(4.8)(2.0) (3.8)
20.0 (9.6)
(14.3)
40.0
Energy Utilities Industrials Health Comm. Real EstateCons. Disc. IT Cons. Financials Materials Total
Care Svcs. Staples
Source: Refinitiv Datastream, NSE EPR.
Note: Based on IBES earnings estimates of top 200 companies by one-year average market cap ending June 30th, 2023, covered by at least five analysts at any given
point of time over the last one year. Data is as on March 20th, 2024.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 153: Sector-wise revision in FY25 earnings estimates for top 200 companies since December 2023
% Sector-wise revision in FY25 earnings estimates since December 2023
Share in aggregate profit upgrade since Dec-end
100.0
Profit change since Dec-end
81.7
80.0
60.0
40.0
21.0
20.0
6.1 5.1 3.3 1.9
0.9 1.4 3.2 0.9 2.0 0.5 1.6 1.9 1.4 0.7 1.6
0.4 0.1
0.0
(1.7) (3.1)
(9.2) (10.5)
20.0
Energy Financials Utilities Comm. Industrials Cons. Disc. Real Health IT Materials Cons. Total
Svcs. Estate Care Staples
Source: Refinitiv Datastream, NSE EPR.
Note: Based on IBES earnings estimates of top 200 companies by one-year average market cap ending June 30th, 2023, covered by at least five analysts at any given
point of time over the last one year. Data is as on March 20th, 2024.
30.0
26.9
25.0
20.7
20.0
15.0
Valuations have improved on price-to-book (P/B) basis as well over the last few months,
with Nifty50 currently trading at a 12-month forward P/B of 3.4x—the highest since
November 2021. This implies a premium of ~40% to the average P/B of 2.4x over the last
15-year period.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 155: Nifty 50 NTM P/E trend for last 15 years Figure 156: Nifty 50 NTM P/B trend for last 15 years
Figure 157: Nifty 50 NTM P/E (Last three-year trend) Figure 158: Nifty 50 NTM P/B (Last three-year trend)
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 159: Five-year trend of Nifty 50 values at different 12-month forward P/E bands
Figure 160: NTM P/E of MSCI India vs. MSCI EM (15-year Figure 161: NTM P/B of MSCI India vs. MSCI EM (15-
trend) year trend)
MSCI India currently trades at a premium of 82% to MSCI On 12m forward P/B as well, India’s valuation premium
EM on 12-month forward P/E, down from the recent peak to MSCI EM is much higher at 133%.
of 94% in January 2024.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 162: NTM P/E of MSCI India vs. MSCI EM (Last Figure 163: NTM P/B of MSCI India vs. MSCI EM (Last
three-year trend) three-year trend)
Figure 164: Nifty 50 forward earnings yield* vs. 10-year G-sec yield
Source: Refinitiv Datastream, NSE EPR. * Forward earnings yield for Nifty 50 is calculated as (1/12-month forward PE).
Valuations corrected for several sectors in February: We have also looked at long-term
trends of 12-month forward P/E and P/B multiples across MSCI India sector indices. The
month gone by saw a divergent movement in forward valuations across sectors.
Financials continued to derate, with the 12-month forward P/E falling further closer to
one standard deviation below the long-term average mean. In fact, barring Financials, all
other sectors continued to trade well above their long-term average multiples despite
correction for some of them including Consumer Staples, Healthcare, Information
Technology and Materials.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 165: 12-month forward P/E for MSCI India sector indices (Three-year trend)
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March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 166: 12-month forward P/E for MSCI India sector indices (Long-term trend)
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March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
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March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 167: 12-month forward P/B for MSCI India sector indices (Three-year trend)
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Figure 168: 12-month forward P/B for MSCI India sector indices (Long-term trend)
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March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
In this section, we analyze how different sectoral Nifty indices move in relation to each
other and the benchmark Nifty 50 Index across different time periods. A similar study has
been done for major global indices as well where we compare the movement of the
benchmark Nifty 50 Index with other major developed and emerging market indices.
Sector indices showed a mixed performance last month. The Nifty PSU Bank index
outperformed other sectoral indices by delivering a monthly return of ~10.5 %, The rise
in PSU Bank stocks can be attributed to the improvement in asset quality and lower
valuations compared to private peers. This has been followed by a rise in the oil and gas
index at 6.8 % and Nifty Realty at 6.3%. Nifty Auto showed the worst performance,
declining by 4.7% due to weak demand outlook going forward.
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March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
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March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 171: Correlation of sectoral Nifty indices in 2024 till date (Jan- Feb 2024)
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
All the major global indices ended up in green with SSE Composite rising the most by 8.1
% followed by Nikkei at 7.9%. The divergence between indices was the most pronounced
between MOEX Russia and Nifty 50 at -0.60 and is statistically significant. The correlation
between The MSCI World and MSCI EM Indices turned positive at 0.87 in February from
-0.23 in January. The MOEX Russia Index had a negative relationship with most of the
indices.
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March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 174: Correlation of major global indices in 2024 till date (Jan-Feb 2024)
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Global debt remained under pressure in February…: The global fixed income markets
this year have been characterised by cautious optimism. This is reflected in the
recalibration of rate cut expectations after hawkish commentary by global central banks,
particularly the US Fed, in the light of tight labour markets and higher-than-expected
inflation readings, even as the anticipation of potential rate adjustments later in the spring
remained high. As such, all major central banks maintained status quo on policy rates,
citing the need to see a durable decline in inflation to target levels before implementing
rate cuts. This resulted in sovereign bond yields rising across major advanced economies
over the last two months, further weighed down by stronger-than-expected economic
resilience. The US 10-year yield rose by a steep 30bps in February and another 6bps in
March thus far to 4.3%, while that in the UK and Europe rose by 33bps and 24bps in
February to 4.1% and 2.4% respectively.
…While domestic bond markets traded in a narrow band: The Indian bond markets
have been trading in a tight range since the last few months despite heightened volatility
in global bond markets, as a higher-than-expected pace of fiscal consolidation and lower-
than-expected planned borrowings by the Centre, coupled with easing inflation
trajectory, made up for tight domestic liquidity conditions and surge in global bond yields
last month. Further, foreign capital inflows into Indian debt markets have remained fairly
strong over the last few months, thereby providing downside support. FIIs have remained
net buyers of Indian debt for the 12th month in a row in March, averaging at
US$2.3bn/month during Nov-Feb’24 and translating into total net inflows of US$14.2bn
in FY24 thus far (As of March 19th, 2024)—the highest in six years. In fact, net FII inflows
of US$2.7bn in Indian debt in February was the highest in last 79 months. Consequently,
the 10-year G-sec yield fell by a modest 7bps in February but has remained broadly
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
steady in March thus far at 7.1%. In fact, the domestic 10-year G-sec yield has fallen by
26bps in the last 12 months as opposed to a steep 91bps increase in the US 10-year yield.
Figure 175: India 10Y G-sec yield—long-term trend Figure 176: India 10Y G-sec yield—last one-year trend
% %
India 10-year benchmark g-sec yield-long-term trend India 10-year benchmark g-sec yield movement over
10 7.8 last 12 months
9 7.6
8
7.4
7
7.2
6
5 7.0
4 6.8
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-12
Mar-13
Mar-14
Mar-15
Mar-16
Mar-17
Mar-18
Mar-19
Mar-20
Mar-21
Mar-22
Mar-23
Mar-24
6.6
Mar-23 May-23 Jul-23 Sep-23 Nov-23 Jan-24 Mar-24
Source: Refinitiv Datastream, NSE EPR.
6.00
5.20
4.40
3.83
3.60
2.80
2.00
3M 6M 1Y 2Y 3Y 4Y 5Y 6Y 7Y 8Y 9Y 10Y 11Y 12Y 13Y 14Y 15Y 19Y 24Y 30Y
Source: Cogencis, NSE EPR.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
-5 -2-2 -2 -2 -3
-6 -7 -7 -7
-10 -7
-8 -8 -8 -9
-10 -10 -9
-12 -12 -11
-15 -12
-15 -16
-16 -16
-20 -19
-20 -19
-22 -21 -21
-25 -22 -22
-23
-25
-30
3M 6M 1Y 2Y 3Y 4Y 5Y 6Y 7Y 8Y 9Y 10Y 11Y 12Y 13Y 14Y 15Y 19Y 24Y 30Y
Source: Cogencis, NSE EPR. * As on March 19th, 2024.
250
200
150
100
50
-50
-100
-150
Jan-10 Feb-11 Mar-12 Apr-13 May-14 Jun-15 Jul-16 Aug-17 Sep-18 Nov-19 Dec-20 Jan-22 Feb-23 Mar-24
Source: Refinitiv Datastream, NSE EPR.
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8.5
100
8.0
80
7.5
7.0 60
6.5
40
6.0
20
5.5
5.0 0
May-19
Sep-19
May-20
Sep-20
May-21
Sep-21
Jan-19
Jan-20
Jan-21
Jan-22
Oct-22
Feb-23
Oct-23
Feb-24
Jun-22
Jun-23
Source: NSE Data and Analytics (NDAL), Refinitiv Datastream, CCIL, NSE EPR.
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Figure 183: Spreads for three-year AAA-rated corporate bonds across segments
bps Spreads for 3-year corporate bonds across segments
3Y Corp (-) 3Y G-sec 3Y NBFC (-) 3Y G-sec 3Y PSU (-) 3Y G-sec 3Y HFC (-) 3Y G-sec
360
320
280
240
200
160
120
80
40
0
-40
-80
Jan-19 Jul-19 Jan-20 Jun-20 Dec-20 May-21 Nov-21 Apr-22 Oct-22 Mar-23 Sep-23 Feb-24
Source: NSE Data and Analytics (NDAL), Refinitiv Datastream, NSE EPR.
Figure 184: Spreads for five-year AAA-rated corporate bonds across segments
bps Spreads for 3-year corporate bonds across segments
3Y Corp (-) 3Y G-sec 3Y NBFC (-) 3Y G-sec 3Y PSU (-) 3Y G-sec 3Y HFC (-) 3Y G-sec
360
320
280
240
200
160
120
80
40
0
-40
-80
Jan-19 Jul-19 Jan-20 Jun-20 Dec-20 May-21 Nov-21 Apr-22 Oct-22 Mar-23 Sep-23 Feb-24
Source: NSE Data and Analytics (NDAL), Refinitiv Datastream, NSE EPR.
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Figure 185: Spreads for 10-year AAA-rated corporate bonds across segments
bps Spreads for 10-year corporate bonds across segments
10Y Corp (-) 10Y G-sec 10Y NBFC (-) 10Y G-sec 10Y PSU (-) 10Y G-sec 10Y HFC (-) 10Y G-sec
320
280
240
200
160
120
80
40
0
Jan-19 Jul-19 Jan-20 Jun-20 Dec-20 May-21 Nov-21 Apr-22 Oct-22 Mar-23 Sep-23 Feb-24
Source: NSE Data and Analytics (NDAL), Refinitiv Datastream, NSE EPR.
Figure 186: AAA-rated corporate bond yield curve Figure 187: AA+ rated corporate bond yield curve
% AAA PSU yield curve % AA+ PSU yield curve
31-Mar-22 31-Mar-23 29-Feb-24 31-Mar-22 31-Mar-23 29-Feb-24
8.5 8.5
8.0
7.5
7.5
6.5 7.0
6.5
5.5
6.0
5.5
4.5
5.0
3.5 4.5
1Y 2Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 1Y 2Y 3Y 5Y 10Y
Source: NSE Data and Analytics (NDAL).
Figure 188: Change in AAA corporate bond and G-sec Figure 189: Change in AA+ corporate bond and G-sec
yields in FYTD (Apr’23-Feb’24) bond yields in FYTD (Apr’23-Feb’24)
bps Change in AAA vs. G-sec yields in Apr-Feb 2024 bps Change in AA+ vs. G-sec yields in Apr-Feb 2024
AAA PSUs AAA NBFCs G-Secs AA+ PSUs AA+ NBFCs G-secs
30 20
23 14
11 12
20
12 13 14 10
8 1 1
10
0
0 -2
-1 -10 -5
-2 -8
-10 -10 -9
-7 -7 -11
-10 -9 -11 -11
-20
-20 -16 -19
-21 -20
-24 -24
-30 -30
1Y 2Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 1Y 2Y 3Y 5Y 10Y
Source: NSE Data and Analytics (NDAL), Refinitiv Datastream, NSE EPR.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 190: Corporate bond term premia between 10-year and 1-year yields
bps Corporate bond term premia
400 AAA-PSU AAA-HFCs AAA-NBFCs AAA-Corp
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
-50
-100
Jul-21
Jul-22
Mar-21
Mar-22
Mar-23
Nov-21
Nov-22
Oct-23
Jan-19
Jun-23
Feb-24
Apr-19
Aug-19
Dec-19
Apr-20
Aug-20
Dec-20
Source: NSE Data and Analytics (NDAL), Refinitiv Datastream, NSE EPR.
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Figure 193: Returns of key hard commodities in 2022, 2023 and 2024 till date
(As on March 19th, 2024)
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Figure 194: Returns of key agricultural commodities in 2022, 2023 and 2024 till date
(As on March 19th, 2024)
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Figure 195: Returns of key energy commodities in 2022, 2023 and 2024 till date
(As on March 19th, 2024)
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Figure 196: Movement in INR vs. major DM currencies in 2023 and 2024
(Rebased to 100 on December 30th, 2022)
INR EURO GBP JPY CAD
110
105
100
95
90
85
80
Dec-22 Mar-23 May-23 Jul-23 Sep-23 Nov-23 Jan-24 Mar-24
Source: Cogencis, NSE EPR. Data is updated till March 18th, 2024.
Figure 197: Movement in INR vs. major EM currencies in 2023 and 2024
(Rebased to 100 on December 30tht, 2022)
INR Rand Real Lira Rouble Rupiah
120
110
100
90
80
70
60
50
Dec-22 Mar-23 May-23 Jul-23 Sep-23 Nov-23 Jan-24 Mar-24
Source: Cogencis, NSE EPR. Data is updated till March 18th, 2024.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
The Indian rupee continued to exhibit lowest and declining annualized volatility among
major developed and emerging market currencies. The INR’s annualized volatility stood
at 2.2% as of the end of February 2024, down from 2.4% in the previous month,
compared to the Turkish Lira at 11.5%, Brazilian Real at 10.7%, Japanese Yen at 9.1%,
Pound Sterling at 7.5%, Euro at 6.9% and Chinese Yuan at 4.0%.
Figure 199: Change in INR vs other major currencies (As on February 29th, 2024)
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Rupee overvaluation in real terms gained strength in February: Except for a brief
period of undervaluation in the early months of last year, the Indian rupee, as measured
by the 40-currency real effective exchange rate (REER), has remained in the overvaluation
zone over the past five years. After reaching its peak in July '23 at 105.5, there was a
gradual reduction in the level of overvaluation in the subsequent months, except for Oct-
2023. After remaining steady in January, the extent of rupee overvaluation in real terms
inched up in February, with a REER of 104.7 As of February 2024, implying a 4.7%
overvaluation against a basket of 40 currencies.
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March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
The forward premium of USDINR stayed within a tight range in February 2024: The
forward premium of the INR experienced a notable decline since the onset of interest rate
hiking cycle in both the US and India. Reaching its minimum in November 2023, the forward
premium for one-month, three-month, and six-month periods stabilized between 1.2% and
1.6% in the following months. In February 2024, the forward premium for these periods
traded slightly lower, averaging at 1.2%, 1.5%, and 1.5%, respectively.
5 80
4 78
76
3
74
2
72
1 70
0 68
Feb-19
Oct-19
Feb-20
Oct-20
Feb-21
Oct-21
Feb-22
Oct-22
Feb-23
Oct-23
Feb-24
Jun-19
Jun-20
Jun-21
Jun-22
Apr-19
Aug-19
Dec-19
Apr-20
Aug-20
Dec-20
Apr-21
Aug-21
Dec-21
Apr-22
Aug-22
Jun-23
Dec-22
Apr-23
Aug-23
Dec-23
Source: CMIE Outlook, NSE EPR.
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…while inflows into debt market scaled new highs: FIIs have been net buyers of Indian
debt since the beginning of this fiscal, and February 2024 saw the largest quantum of
buying in FY24 with net inflows of US$ 2.7bn (79-month high). This strengthened buying
in Indian debt comes on the back of the upcoming inclusion of India in the JP Morgan
Bond Index as well as high interest yield differential between Indian and US bond yields.
On a FYTD basis, FIIs have injected a net amount of US$ 14.2bn (as on March 19th, 2024),
compared to net outflows of US$ 1.1bn during the same period last fiscal year.
Figure 203: Net inflows by FIIs in Indian equity and debt markets
DIIs remained strong buyers of Indian equities: DIIs continued to buy in the Indian
equity market, with net inflows of Rs 25,379 crore in the month of February 2024. March
has seen an uptick in the buying sentiment among DIIs, with net inflows of Rs 37,757
crore in the month so far (as on March 19 th, 2024). This translates to cumulative net
inflows of Rs 1.9 lakh crore in FY24 thus far (as on March 19th, 2024), slightly lower than
net inflows of Rs 2.4 lakh crore in the same period last year.
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Fund mobilization
Market Statistics: Primary market
The overall fundraising recorded robust growth in February: The overall fundraising
recorded a robust 81% MoM rise to Rs 1.5 lakh crore during previous month, of which
equity funds raised stood at Rs 20,127 crore (+100% MoM), debt funds raised stood at
Rs 1.3 lakh crore (+88% MoM) and the remaining Rs 880 crore were through fresh listing
of InvITS.
Among equity issuances, 25 new IPOs (+79% MoM) mobilized Rs 7,624 crore (+133%
MoM), of which fresh issuances amounted to Rs 5,977 crore or 78% of the funds raised
and Offer for Sale (OFS) amounted to Rs 1,647 crore. On the other hand, total fund
mobilization from debt issuances recorded a growth of 88% MoM to Rs 1.3 lakh (incl.
reissuances), of which CP issuances amounted to Rs 72,461 crore, followed by NCD
private placements of Rs 52,086 crore and NCD public issues of Rs 1,635 crore.
The total fund mobilization for the current fiscal (As on February 29 th, 2024) stood at Rs
12.3 lakh crore, of which equity raising stood at Rs 1.9 lakh surpassing Rs 1.6 lakh crore
equity raised in FY23, while debt issuances and business trusts stood at Rs 10.2 lakh
crore and Rs 26,206 crore respectively.
Table 41: Resource mobilization through equity and debt in the last seven months
Segments Modes Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24
Fresh listing 1,944 4,785 4,179 2,949 3,814 1,512 5,334
OFS 2,703 3,974 300 9,578 5,118 1,443 1,586
Equity (Main Board) Fresh listing + OFS 4,646 8,760 4,479 12,527 8,932 2,956 6,920
- Primary markets Rights 1,061 241 6 49 - 148 7,891
Preferential allotment 1,274 1,685 1,834 2,277 15,960 1,029 1,160
QIPs 7,400 3,102 5,609 11,364 15,533 3,255 3,400
Fresh listing 313 433 556 331 405 309 643
OFS - 41 29 7 25 13 60
Equity (SME) - Fresh listing + OFS 313 473 585 338 430 323 704
Primary markets Rights - 12 73 31 - - -
Preferential allotment 14 87 44 53 18 22 10
QIPs - - - - 80 - -
Equity (Main Board)
- Secondary OFS - 2,031 1,132 473 1,234 2,320 41
markets
Equity (SME) -
OFS - - - - - - -
Secondary markets
Total equity raised 14,709 16,391 13,763 27,112 42,187 10,054 20,127
Fresh listing - - - - - 2,263 880
Rights 2,862 - 514 - - - -
InvITS
Preferential allotment - 404 - 200 - 2,190 -
QIPs - - - - 669 - -
Fresh listing - - - - - - -
Rights - - - - - - -
REITs
Preferential allotment 400 - - - - - -
QIPs 2,305 - - - - - -
Total business trusts raised 5,567 404 514 200 669 4,453 880
CPs 44,230 70,090 26,609 38,905 35,365 26,794 72,461
Debt NCDs (Private) 31,293 26,803 16,689 55,556 83,626 40,211 52,086
NCDs (Public) 1,455 1,103 2,000 641 1,510 - 1,635
Total debt raised 76,978 97,996 45,298 95,102 1,20,500 67,005 1,26,182
Total fund mobilisation 97,254 1,14,790 59,575 1,22,414 1,63,357 81,512 1,47,188
Source: NSE EPR. Note: In case of debt issuances, data includes reissuances as well.
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Table 42: Resource mobilization through equity and debts during last three years (Year-wise)
Segments (Rs Cr) Modes FY22 FY23 FY24TD
Fresh listing 40,641 14,359 27,212
OFS 70,979 38,080 31,047
Equity (Main Board) - Primary Fresh listing + OFS 1,11,620 52,440 58,259
markets Rights 25,555 5,267 13,301
Preferential allotment 57,883 80,952 33,077
QIPs 31,441 8,212 58,504
Fresh listing 481 1,181 3,910
OFS 23 149 273
Fresh listing + OFS 504 1,330 4,184
Equity (SME) - Primary markets
Rights 355 149 120
Preferential allotment 79 119 302
QIPs - - 80
Equity (Main Board) -
OFS 14,210 11,033 18,224
Secondary markets
Equity (SME) - Secondary
OFS - - -
markets
Total equity raised 2,41,646 1,59,503 1,86,049
Fresh listing 13,841 1,166 8,368
Rights 1,284 - 3,376
InvITs
Preferential allotment - 1,088 7,887
QIPs - 1,216 669
Fresh listing - - 3,200
Rights - - -
REITs
Preferential allotment 950 - 400
QIPs - - 2,305
Total funds raised by business trusts 16,075 3,470 26,206
CPs 8,31,120 7,03,755 5,24,941
Debt NCDs (Private) 3,58,911 5,09,338 4,87,161
NCDs (Public) 5,398 4,343 10,491
Total debt raised 11,95,428 12,17,436 10,22,594
Total fund mobilization 14,53,148 13,80,409 12,34,849
Source: NSE EPR. Note: In case of debt issuances, data includes reissuances as well.
Data for FY24 is as of February 2024.
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Market Pulse
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The total number of SME companies’ listings on Emerge platform reached 435 with a total
fund mobilisation of Rs 9,315 crore as of end of Feb-24, of which 138 companies have
already migrated to the mainboard of the exchange. Maharashtra ranks 1 st in terms of
companies listed on Emerge platform with 124 listings, followed by Gujarat with 123
listings and Delhi with 52 listings.
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Table 45: Top 10 State-wise issuances on NSE Emerge platform as of February 2024
State-wise Number of companies Amount Raised (Rs Cr) M-Cap # (Rs Cr)
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Investor growth
Region-wise distribution of total registered investors
Total registered investors reached 9 crore in Feb’24: The total number of registered
investors stood at an all-time high crossing 9 crore at the end of February, up from around
7.3 crore at the same time last year. Region-wise, North India remained on top with a
registered investor base of 3.2 crore, followed by West India at 2.8 crore, South India at
1.9 crore, and East India at 1.1 crore. The number of investors has shown an accelerated
trend, while it took about nine months to reach from 6 to 7 crore unique investors, it took
eight months to reach from 7 to 8 crore and the rise to 9 crore took only five months.
Figure 205: Region-wise distribution of total registered investors- Long term trend
lakh Total registered investors (in lakh)
1000
Feb-24, 900.0
900
800
Jan-23, 705.7
700
Apr-22, 607.0
600
Oct-21, 506.7
500
Mar-21, 400.3
400
Jan-20, 301.5
300
Jun-16, 201.3
200
100
0
May-20
May-10
Mar-11
Sep-13
Jul-14
May-15
Sep-18
Jul-19
Sep-23
Nov-12
Nov-17
Nov-22
Oct-10
Jan-12
Oct-15
Mar-16
Jan-17
Oct-20
Mar-21
Jan-22
Feb-14
Feb-24
Aug-11
Jun-12
Aug-16
Jun-17
Feb-19
Aug-21
Jun-22
Apr-13
Dec-14
Apr-18
Dec-19
Apr-23
Table 46: Region-wise distribution of total registered investors at end of each fiscal year (in lakhs)
Region FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24TD*
East India 19.0 21.2 24.1 27.0 30.4 39.3 65.7 82.8 105.5
North India 54.3 59.9 68.2 76.7 88.4 117.6 189.4 243.5 317.2
South India 48.4 53.1 59.7 66.6 75.1 97.0 132.5 157.3 186.3
West India 67.7 75.3 87.2 96.7 108.4 139.0 198.1 234.8 281.9
Others #
8.1 7.9 7.8 7.8 7.7 7.5 8.0 8.4 9.1
Total 197.4 217.3 247.0 274.9 310.0 400.3 593.7 726.9 900.0
Source: NSE EPR. *Data for FY24TD is as of February 2024. #Others include Army Personnel Officers and investors for whom state mapping is unavailable.
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as of February end. This was followed by Gujarat at 80.7 lakhs, West Bengal at 51.0 lakh
and Karnataka at 50.8 lakh. These five states together accounted for 48.3% of the
investor base as of February 2024.
Table 47: State-wise distribution of total registered investors at end of each fiscal year
States FY10 FY15 FY20 FY24TD
Count (‘000) Share (%) Count (‘000) Share (%) Count (‘000) Share (%) Count (‘000) Share (%)
Maharashtra 2,277 19.7 3,575 19.9 5,963 19.2 15,557 17.3
Uttar Pradesh 701 6.1 1,248 6.9 2,302 7.4 9,677 10.8
Gujarat 1,498 13.0 2,055 11.4 3,797 12.2 8,068 9.0
West Bengal 711 6.2 1,175 6.5 1,990 6.4 5,096 5.7
Karnataka 708 6.1 1,165 6.5 1,949 6.3 5,078 5.6
Rajasthan 426 3.7 667 3.7 1,328 4.3 5,027 5.6
Tamil Nadu 747 6.5 1,287 7.2 2,182 7.0 4,959 5.5
Madhya Pradesh 289 2.5 518 2.9 984 3.2 4,305 4.8
Andhra Pradesh 583 5.0 1,002 5.6 1,581 5.1 4,153 4.6
Delhi 780 6.8 1,197 6.7 1,853 6.0 4,133 4.6
Bihar 145 1.3 294 1.6 670 2.2 3,728 4.1
Haryana 327 2.8 531 3.0 971 3.1 3,073 3.4
Punjab 229 2.0 389 2.2 704 2.3 2,318 2.6
Kerala 345 3.0 583 3.2 942 3.0 2,212 2.5
Telangana 156 1.3 279 1.6 813 2.6 2,165 2.4
Assam 55 0.5 109 0.6 221 0.7 2,044 2.3
Orissa 121 1.1 250 1.4 494 1.6 1,945 2.2
Jharkhand 140 1.2 258 1.4 444 1.4 1,550 1.7
Chhattisgarh 67 0.6 129 0.7 252 0.8 1,065 1.2
Uttarakhand 66 0.6 123 0.7 234 0.8 920 1.0
Himachal Pradesh 31 0.3 60 0.3 123 0.4 550 0.6
Jammu & Kashmir 40 0.3 65 0.4 112 0.4 472 0.5
Chandigarh 38 0.3 63 0.3 100 0.3 207 0.2
Goa 30 0.3 48 0.3 82 0.3 203 0.2
Tripura 7 0.1 13 0.1 24 0.1 129 0.1
Pondicherry 12 0.1 22 0.1 41 0.1 92 0.1
Manipur 1.1 0.01 4.7 0.03 18 0.1 91 0.1
Meghalaya 3.1 0.03 5.9 0.03 12 0.04 54 0.1
Nagaland 1.0 0.01 2.6 0.01 7.6 0.02 42 0.05
Arunachal Pradesh 1.1 0.01 2.4 0.01 5.7 0.02 38 0.04
Dadra & Nagar Haveli 3.5 0.03 5.8 0.03 9.5 0.03 37 0.04
Sikkim 1.3 0.01 3.2 0.02 7.3 0.02 29 0.03
Andaman & Nicobar 1.8 0.02 3.3 0.02 4.7 0.02 22 0.02
Daman & Diu 2.6 0.02 3.9 0.02 6.2 0.02 20 0.02
Mizoram 0.3 0.00 0.8 0.00 2.6 0.01 16 0.02
Lakhswadeep 0.04 0.00 0.1 0.00 0.2 0.00 1.7 0.00
Ladakh 0.01 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.2 0.00 0.8 0.00
Others 1,007 8.7 823 4.6 773 2.5 924 1.0
Total 11,549 100 17,960 100 31,004 100 90,004 100
Source: NSE EPR. Note: Data for FY24TD is as of February 29th, 2024.
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The fall in Feb’24 was led by 19% MoM contraction in registrations from West India (6.5
lakh to 5.3 lakh), followed by an 11% contraction in East India (2.9 lakh to 2.6 lakh) and
16% in both North India (10.0 lakh to 8.4 lakh) and South India (3.9 lakh to 3.3 lakh).
Despite the MoM dip in Feb’24, North India’s share of new investor registrations inched
up marginally from 42.7% to 42.8% in February. East India also recorded an increase in
its share, moving from 12.5% to 13.3% in the month gone by. The share of South India
remained constant at 16.8% while West India saw a 90bps loss in its share, slipping back
to the Nov’23 level of 27.1%. Total investor registrations in the first 11 months of FY24
(Apr-Feb’24) stood at 1.7 crore, which is 40.2% higher than total registrations in the same
period last year (Apr-Feb’23).
5.0 4 4 4 4 4
3
3 2 3 3
2
0.0
Oct-19
Oct-20
Oct-21
Oct-22
Oct-23
Jun-19
Feb-20
Jun-20
Feb-21
Jun-21
Feb-22
Jun-22
Feb-23
Jun-23
Feb-24
Aug-19
Dec-19
Apr-20
Aug-20
Dec-20
Apr-21
Aug-21
Dec-21
Apr-22
Aug-22
Dec-22
Apr-23
Aug-23
Dec-23
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 208: Region-wise distribution of new investors registered each financial year
lakh New investor registrations per FY
East India North India South India West India Total
250
193.0
200
171.3
150 132.6
89.8
100
50 38.5
0
FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24TD*
Source: NSE EPR. * Data for FY24TD is as of February 2024.
Uttar Pradesh maintains the lead in the new investor registrations: In February, Uttar
Pradesh continued to lead with 3.2 lakh new registrations, registering a significant 6.7%
MoM dip from the last month (3.5 lakh in Jan’24, +102% YoY). Maharashtra yet again took
the second place with close to 3 lakh new registrations in Feb’24 translating into a 86%
YoY growth (-12.6% MoM). While Uttar Pradesh’s share rose marginally to 14.9% (vs
14.8% in Jan’24), Maharashtra saw a significant dip in its share from 14.5% in Jan’24 to
13.7% in February.
New registrations in Gujarat also saw a dip in February, with an 11% MoM decline from
1.8 lakh in Jan’24 to 1.6 lakh in Feb’24, resulting further fall in its share of new
registrations from 11.2% in Dec’23 to 7.6% in Feb’24. Among other top 10 states,
Rajasthan with 1.4 lakh new investors (6.7% share, -7.2% MoM), West Bengal with 1.5
lakh new investors (6.8% share, 0% MoM), Madhya Pradesh (5.5% share, -4.2% MoM,
1.2 lakh new investors), Tamil Nadu (4.5% share, -1.8% MoM, 97k new investors) and
Delhi (4.0% share, -2.3% MoM, 87k new investor) all saw increase in their share for the
month of February. On the other hand, Karnataka (5.0% share, -11% MoM, 1.1 lakh new
investors), saw a decline in its shares of new registrations pan-India and Bihar (5.2%
share, + 27% MoM, 1.2 lakh new investors) sustained with the same share as last month
at 5.2%. The top five states together contributed 48.9% of all new registrations in the first
eleven months of FY24.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Table 48: Number of new investors registered in top 25 states (in ‘000)
State Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24
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March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 209: Number of new investors registered in top ten districts (in ‘000)
'000
Number of new investors registered in top 10 districts (in thousands)
160.0
144.9
Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb
140.0
120.0
96.9
100.0
80.0
60.0
0.0
Delhi-NCR Mumbai Pune Bangalore Ahmedabad Surat Jaipur North 24 Ahmed Nagpur
(MH/TN/RG) Parganas Nagar
Source: NSE EPR.
Note: Top 10 districts are chosen based on last month’s data.
Table 49: Number of new investors registered in top ten districts (in ‘000)
('000) Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24
Delhi-NCR 105.7 88.0 86.4 129.3 150.9 144.9
Mumbai (MH/TN/RG) 64.8 59.1 62.3 93.8 106.5 96.9
Pune 21.9 20.3 22.3 32.6 37.5 32.4
Bangalore 20.2 17.7 19.6 25.7 33.2 29.8
Ahmedabad 20.3 15.9 19.2 45.1 30.9 28.8
Surat 18.9 14.7 17.3 39.3 31.2 28.4
Jaipur 17.7 14.2 14.8 26.4 25.2 23.9
North 24 Parganas 14.4 12.1 13.2 17.9 20.7 20.6
Ahmed Nagar 10.3 9.1 9.6 15.2 17.8 16.0
Nagpur 11.9 11.2 11.8 16.7 17.5 15.7
Source: NSE EPR.
Note: Top 10 districts are chosen based on last month’s data.
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FO turnover demonstrated an uptick during the month: In contrast with the trend in CM
segment, equity derivatives turnover witnessed moderate growth in the month of
February. NSE equity futures witnessed a marginal increase to Rs 38.1 lakh crore (+0.5%
MoM) in Feb-24, with stock futures registering a 1% MoM increase to Rs 29.7 lakh crore,
and index futures, on the other hand, recording a 1.1% MoM drop to Rs 8.4 lakh crore.
Equity options premium turnover, however, registered a marginal drop to Rs 16.8 lakh
crore, of which index options premium turnover stood at Rs 15.1 lakh crore (0.3% MoM
jump) and stock options premium turnover stood at Rs 1.7 lakh crore (-3% MoM drop).
Currency derivatives turnover recorded a significant drop during the month: The
overall currency futures turnover experienced a drop to Rs 4.6 lakh crore (-24.3% MoM)
and currency options premium turnover declined to Rs 1,698 crore (-25% MoM), which
was also the lowest monthly turnover recorded since Sept-21. While a recovery in trading
activity of currency derivatives was underway for three consecutive months post Nov-23,
the month of February marked a significant contraction in trading activity, thanks to a
decline in proprietary trading.
Commodity options premium turnover recorded growth: The total premium turnover in
commodity options recorded a healthy increase of 42.2% MoM to Rs 161 crore signifying
a rising interest for the instrument. On the other hand, the turnover in commodity futures
witnessed a drop of 41.5% to Rs 19 crore during Feb-24. NSE offers 28 derivatives
contracts covering 10 commodities such as bullion, base metals, and energy on its
platform.
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Table 50: Total turnover across segments in the last six months (Sep’23–Feb’24)
Segment (Rs Cr) Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24
Currency derivatives
Currency Futures 6,73,079 5,72,990 5,73,571 6,10,933 6,12,806 4,64,005
Currency Options (Premium) 2,962 1,736 1,702 1,957 2,265 1,698
Commodity derivatives
Commodity Futures 651 258 99 33 32 19
Commodity Options (Premium) - 18 15 58 113 161
Source: NSE EPR.
Table 51: Total turnover across segments in the last five years (FY20 to FY24TD)
Segment (Rs Cr) FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24TD
Currency derivatives
Commodity derivatives
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On the other hand, ADT in NSE’s currency futures contracted to Rs 23,200 crore (-20.5%
MoM) in Feb-24 – the lowest in last 29 months – significantly lower than Rs 29,627 crore
recorded in FY24 and Rs 41,288 crore recorded in the previous fiscal year. While ADT in
currency futures was the lowest since Sep-21, average daily premium turnover for
currency options touched a 3-month low of Rs 85 crore (-21.3% MoM) in Feb-24,
compared to Rs 127 crore recorded during FY24 (as of February 29 th, 2024) and Rs 194
crore during FY23.
Interest rate futures ADT touched Rs 90 crore (-4% MoM) in Feb-24 – the lowest in last
18 months – lower than Rs 126 crore recorded in FY24. While commodity futures ADT
stood at Rs 0.9 crore (-41.5% MoM) in Feb-24 compared to Rs 23.1 crore recorded in
FY24, average daily premium turnover in currency options increased to Rs 7.7 crore
(+42.2% MoM), higher than Rs 1.6 crore recorded in FY24.
Table 52: Average daily turnover across segments in the last six months (Sep’23–Feb’24)
Segment (Rs Cr) Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24
Currency derivatives
Commodity derivatives
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Cash market 20,387 29,410 32,052 36,432 61,839 66,799 53,434 80,381
Equity Futures 62,361 82,959 87,564 87,255 1,09,020 1,18,824 1,14,831 1,30,366
Stock Futures 44,877 63,405 65,109 60,222 72,684 84,834 76,596 1,00,888
Index Futures 17,484 19,555 22,455 27,034 36,336 33,989 38,236 29,478
Equity Options (Premium) 1,797 2,475 3,444 5,295 12,887 27,747 47,744 61,424
Stock Options 385 603 806 925 2,327 4,189 3,746 5,513
Index Options 1,411 1,873 2,637 4,371 10,560 23,558 43,998 55,911
Currency derivatives
Currency Futures 10,288 10,726 19,156 19,931 23,338 29,282 41,288 29,627
Interest rate derivatives 1,272 1,327 1,010 1,485 398 109 107 126
Commodity derivatives
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NSE CM segment ADT recorded another high in February 2024: ADT in NSE CM Segment
registered 3.4% MoM rise to Rs 1.2 lakh crore, which was 1.5x the ADT recorded in FY24
(Apr-23 to Feb-24) and more than 2x the ADT recorded in FY23. The growth in the trading
activity can be attributed increased investor participation and stable macroeconomic
conditions in the country which has improved investor sentiments for Indian equities.
Across products, trading activity has improved in main board equities, SMEs, ETFs, InvITs,
REITs and SGBs over last year same period.
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000 14,148
10,000
0
FY09
FY08
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
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NSE equity derivatives ADT registered growth: NSE equity futures ADT grew to Rs 1.8
lakh crore (+5.3% MoM) in Feb-24 which was ~1.4x the ADT recorded during FY24 (Apr-
23 to Feb-24), of which, stock futures ADT increased to Rs 1.4 lakh crore (+5.8% MoM)
and index futures ADT touched Rs 39,970 crore (+3.6% MoM) during the month.
Similarly, equity options average daily premium turnover (ADPT) increased to Rs 79,889
crore (+4.7% MoM) in Feb-24 which was 1.3x of ADT recorded during FY24 (Apr-23 to
Feb-24). Among equity options, the average daily premium turnover for stock options
grew to Rs 8,198 crore (+1.6% MoM) while ADT in index options expanded to Rs 71,690
crore (+5.1% MoM).
Figure 211: Trends in average daily turnover in NSE’s equity derivatives segment
Rs Cr Rs Cr
Index Futures Index Options
1,40,000 70,000
Stock Futures Stock Options
1,20,000 60,000 5,513
1,00,000 50,000
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY24
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Average daily turnover declined for currency derivatives in Feb-24: The ADT in
currency futures dropped to a 29-month low of Rs 23,200 crore (-20.5% MoM) in Feb-24,
significantly lower than the average recorded during FY23 and FY24 (Apr-23 to Feb-24).
On the other hand, the average daily premium turnover declined to a 3-month low of Rs
85 crore (-21.3% MoM) in Feb-24 which was also significantly lower compared to ADT
recorded in FY23 and FY24 (Apr-23 to Feb-24).
USDINR contracts remained the top-traded contract with 74.3% market share in currency
futures and 98% in currency options turnover, followed by GBPINR with 15.5% share in
currency futures and 1.9% share in currency options.
Currency options
EURINR 8.3 2.4 249.2 2.9 4.5 (37.0) 4.4 5.3
EURUSD - - NA - 0.0 (100.0) 0.0 -
GBPINR 161.6 150.6 7.3 116.7 4.9 2293.4 4.9 156.0
GBPUSD - - NA - - NA - -
JPYINR 0.1 0.2 (51.2) 0.2 0.2 (20.7) 0.2 0.1
USDINR 8,319.6 10,634.3 (21.8) 12,548.9 19,098.7 (34.3) 19,394.6 9,505.2
USDJPY - - NA - 0.0 (100.0) 0.0 -
Source: NSE EPR.
Note: Above table reports premium turnover for Options contracts. Figures in brackets indicate negative numbers.
CY24TD is as of February 2024.
FY23
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY24
FY21
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY22
FY23
FY24
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Average daily turnover in interest rate futures continued to decline in February 2024:
The average daily turnover (ADT) of interest rate futures registered another decline to Rs
90.4 crore (-4% MoM) in Feb-24 which is lower than ADT recorded during FY24 till date.
The ADT of interest rate future recorded four consecutive declines post Oct-23 resulting
in lowest ADT in 18 months.
20.0 1.2
1.0
15.0
0.8
10.0 0.6
0.4
5.0
0.2
- -
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24TD FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24TD
Source: NSE EPR. Note: Above figure reports premium turnover for options contracts. Data for FY24TD is as of February 2024.
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Table 59: Category-wise flow in secondary markets in last three months (Dec’23-Feb’24)
Feb-24 Jan-24 Dec-23
Buy Value Sell Value Net Value Buy Value Sell Value Net Value Buy Value Sell Value Net Value
Category
(Rs Cr) (Rs Cr) (Rs Cr) (Rs Cr) (Rs Cr) (Rs Cr) (Rs Cr) (Rs Cr) (Rs Cr)
Corporates 1,38,889 1,44,677 (5,788) 1,43,079 1,48,759 (5,680) 1,24,586 1,20,332 4,254
Foreign investors 3,20,852 3,34,524 (13,672) 3,03,509 3,41,144 (37,635) 2,79,638 2,57,091 22,547
DII 2,46,867 2,30,819 16,049 2,69,564 2,44,786 24,778 2,27,763 2,23,427 4,336
Individual investors 9,10,610 8,85,563 25,047 9,48,076 9,11,694 36,383 7,72,292 7,86,340 (14,048)
Prop 7,24,645 7,38,552 (13,907) 7,10,130 7,24,536 (14,406) 5,72,829 5,88,485 (15,656)
Others 1,15,808 1,23,536 (7,728) 1,16,823 1,20,261 (3,439) 1,02,486 1,03,919 (1,433)
Table 60: Category-wise flow in secondary market during FY24TD and FY23
FY24TD FY23
Buy Value Sell Value Net Value Buy Value Sell Value Net Value
Category
(Rs Cr) (Rs Cr) (Rs Cr) (Rs Cr) (Rs Cr) (Rs Cr)
Corporates 10,15,842 10,53,467 (37,625) 5,64,935 5,52,195 12,740
Foreign investors 26,33,697 26,40,333 (6,635) 18,97,269 21,26,049 (2,28,780)
DII 20,58,812 19,38,264 1,20,548 16,45,734 14,04,951 2,40,783
Individual investors 65,58,465 65,02,422 56,042 48,79,860 48,30,654 49,206
Prop 51,00,277 51,99,951 (99,674) 36,02,784 36,46,010 (43,226)
Others 8,79,306 9,11,961 (32,656) 7,14,491 7,45,214 (30,724)
Total 1,82,46,399 1,82,46,399 1,33,05,073 1,33,05,073
Source: NSE EPR.
Note: 1. DII – Domestic Institutional Investors, Banks, Insurance companies, Mutual Funds, NBFCs, Domestic Venture Capital Funds, AIFs, PMS clients and New Pension
Systems; Foreign investors – Foreign Institutional Investors, Foreign Portfolio Investors all categories, Foreign Direct Investors, Foreign Venture Capital Investors, Foreign
Nationals (FN), Qualified foreign investor, Depository Receipts, Eligible Foreign Entity and OCBs; Corporate - Public & Private Companies / Bodies Corporate; Individual –
Individual / Proprietorship firms, HUF and NRI; Others – Partnership Firm / Limited Liability Partnership, Trust / Society, Statutory Bodies and Non Govt Organisation.
2. Figures in brackets indicate negative numbers.
3. Data for FY24TD is as of February 29th, 2024.
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While prop. traders accounted for a higher share of turnover across instruments,
individual investors exhibited a higher share of average daily open interest. Individual
investors’ participation was higher in index options, as compared to other instruments, in
terms of premium turnover, however, they accounted for a higher share in stock options
in terms of average daily open interest. Prop. traders, on the other hand, were more active
in stock options in terms of premium turnover and average daily open interest.
Table 61: Category-wise turnover and open interest (OI) in equity derivatives in the last two months
Derivatives Markets Feb-24 Jan-24
Open Open
Open Open
Buy Value Sell Value Interest Buy Value Sell Value Interest
Category Interest Interest
(Rs Cr) (Rs Cr) (No of (Rs Cr) (Rs Cr) (No of
(Rs Cr) (Rs Cr)
contracts) contracts)
Stock Futures 29,69,909 29,69,909 41,30,566 3,38,689 29,41,231 29,41,231 38,14,701 3,04,837
Corporates 2,26,028 2,23,490 4,72,312 38,842 2,00,778 1,98,339 4,37,754 35,887
Foreign investors 7,15,030 7,28,733 69 5 6,56,286 6,58,077 5 0
DII 2,57,358 2,57,257 1,276 97 2,32,008 2,45,597 1,283 95
Individual investors 5,15,884 5,08,969 10,49,754 86,052 5,20,915 5,07,477 9,50,852 75,938
Prop 10,75,150 10,72,180 5,33,637 43,556 11,05,955 11,05,624 5,16,068 40,926
Others 1,80,459 1,79,280 20,73,517 1,70,136 2,25,289 2,26,117 19,08,740 1,51,991
Stock Options 1,72,161 1,72,161 34,40,959 2,92,446 1,77,503 1,77,503 30,79,711 2,47,894
Corporates 5,524 5,719 1,30,877 22,472 5,633 5,834 1,28,008 19,329
Foreign investors 10,376 10,371 3 2 9,005 9,174 3 1
DII 147 344 3 113 144 416 9 114
Individual investors 50,247 49,339 18,84,233 1,22,634 49,884 48,936 16,87,750 1,05,680
Prop 1,02,389 1,02,919 10,93,257 1,05,565 1,09,577 1,09,767 10,08,575 90,851
Others 3,477 3,470 3,32,587 41,661 3,260 3,377 2,55,366 31,919
Index Futures 8,39,361 8,39,361 5,02,685 46,061 8,48,629 8,48,629 4,71,744 43,541
Corporates 1,00,615 99,787 77,291 6,999 1,06,804 1,02,996 59,356 5,396
Foreign investors 1,06,151 1,00,660 - - 1,08,515 1,21,737 - -
DII 24,978 24,070 97 11 25,798 30,788 117 13
Individual investors 2,58,423 2,59,746 1,26,930 10,594 2,59,098 2,48,632 1,12,875 9,585
Prop 2,90,911 2,96,436 64,625 5,299 2,85,582 2,82,736 48,770 4,262
Others 58,283 58,663 2,33,742 23,160 62,832 61,740 2,50,627 24,285
Index Options 15,05,499 15,05,499 1,31,60,884 11,54,497 15,00,376 15,00,376 1,37,03,735 12,03,611
Corporates 37,285 37,820 11,68,993 1,50,784 37,639 37,904 11,84,285 1,53,782
Foreign investors 1,72,816 1,74,431 866 161 1,59,346 1,61,619 723 152
DII 993 949 5,007 395 1,195 1,136 4,550 319
Individual investors 5,25,651 5,20,379 60,19,091 4,60,739 5,19,599 5,13,530 61,86,950 4,76,738
Prop 7,10,285 7,13,068 29,00,157 2,49,801 7,22,362 7,25,386 29,14,990 2,59,925
Others 58,469 58,853 30,66,770 2,92,617 60,235 60,801 34,12,236 3,12,695
Source: NSE EPR.
Notes 1. DII – Domestic Institutional Investors, Banks, Insurance companies, Mutual Funds, NBFCs, Domestic Venture Capital Funds, AIFs, PMS clients and New Pension
Systems; Foreign investors – Foreign Institutional Investors, Foreign Portfolio Investors all categories, Foreign Direct Investors, Foreign Venture Capital Investors,
Foreign Nationals (FN), Qualified foreign investor, Depository Receipts, Eligible Foreign Entity and OCBs; Corporate - Public & Private Companies / Bodies Corporate;
Individual – Individual / Proprietorship firms, HUF and NRI; Others – Partnership Firm / Limited Liability Partnership, Trust / Society, Statutory Bodies and Non Govt
Organisation.
2. Above table reports premium turnover for Options buy and sell value
3. Above table reports notional value for open interest contracts.
3. Open interest is the daily average for the period.
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Table 62: Category-wise turnover and open interest (OI) in equity derivatives in FY24TD and FY23
Derivatives Markets FY24TD FY23
OI OI
Buy Value Sell Value OI Buy Value Sell Value OI
Category (No of (No of
(Rs Cr) (Rs Cr) (Rs Cr) (Rs Cr) (Rs Cr) (Rs Cr)
contracts) contracts)
Stock Futures 2,29,01,602 2,29,01,602 34,02,981 2,57,588 1,90,72,304 1,90,72,304 29,54,001 1,96,961
Corporates 16,40,986 16,41,080 4,19,227 32,505 13,87,369 13,90,603 3,75,470 25,762
Foreign investors 54,19,176 53,88,775 37 3 45,36,549 45,27,145 133 8
DII 20,01,897 20,58,024 2,742 200 16,55,351 16,54,479 5,734 373
Individual investors 38,22,947 37,88,752 8,16,487 60,933 29,73,189 29,69,678 7,04,399 44,987
Prop 82,76,477 82,86,936 4,31,744 32,303 66,87,726 67,00,011 3,19,011 20,741
Others 17,40,119 17,38,034 17,32,744 1,31,643 18,32,119 18,30,388 15,49,253 1,05,090
Stock Options 12,51,362 12,51,362 27,18,794 2,06,658 9,32,701 9,32,701 20,77,068 1,37,103
Corporates 42,033 43,531 1,17,611 16,256 36,794 38,636 84,662 10,430
Foreign investors 55,959 56,435 220 16 28,921 29,474 12 4
DII 1,020 2,650 30 74 1,036 2,592 3 10
Individual investors 3,76,364 3,69,846 14,86,484 88,026 2,95,751 2,86,567 11,64,884 59,121
Prop 7,49,104 7,51,394 8,88,570 75,945 5,22,853 5,26,318 6,27,054 46,457
Others 26,883 27,507 2,25,878 26,341 47,346 49,113 2,00,453 21,080
Index Futures 66,91,401 66,91,401 4,14,956 37,105 95,20,685 95,20,685 3,82,329 34,428
Corporates 7,77,955 7,68,259 51,451 4,570 9,51,358 9,50,303 56,199 5,094
Foreign investors 9,25,749 9,27,279 9 1 11,11,505 11,42,021 4 0
DII 2,28,355 2,35,713 30 3 2,68,247 2,59,380 66 6
Individual investors 20,34,943 20,30,846 1,04,443 8,830 30,27,221 30,16,224 1,13,486 10,214
Prop 22,26,231 22,30,643 45,786 3,912 32,44,234 32,36,995 33,954 3,077
Others 4,98,168 4,98,660 2,13,238 19,788 9,18,119 9,15,762 1,78,621 16,036
Index Options 1,26,91,884 1,26,91,884 1,27,77,573 11,03,810 1,09,55,556 1,09,55,556 77,76,110 7,00,325
Corporates 3,33,487 3,38,616 11,82,450 1,46,473 3,53,695 3,59,874 7,54,909 95,088
Foreign investors 11,04,903 11,19,115 4,116 432 10,35,012 10,37,510 817 131
DII 9,471 9,048 4,685 336 9,496 9,924 3,742 188
Individual investors 44,71,847 44,25,351 57,53,530 4,43,680 38,65,318 38,29,055 35,30,451 2,86,725
Prop 61,94,594 62,16,670 26,33,337 2,34,165 49,25,315 49,45,786 15,86,191 1,53,430
Others 5,77,583 5,83,083 31,99,455 2,78,724 7,66,720 7,73,407 19,00,000 1,64,763
Source: NSE EPR.
Notes 1. DII – Domestic Institutional Investors, Banks, Insurance companies, Mutual Funds, NBFCs, Domestic Venture Capital Funds, AIFs, PMS clients and New Pension
Systems; Foreign investors – Foreign Institutional Investors, Foreign Portfolio Investors all categories, Foreign Direct Investors, Foreign Venture Capital Investors,
Foreign Nationals (FN), Qualified foreign investor, Depository Receipts, Eligible Foreign Entity and OCBs; Corporate - Public & Private Companies / Bodies Corporate;
Individual – Individual / Proprietorship firms, HUF and NRI; Others – Partnership Firm / Limited Liability Partnership, Trust / Society, Statutory Bodies and Non Govt
Organisation.
2. Above table reports premium turnover for Options buy and sell value and notional value for open interest contracts.
3. Open interest is presented as the average for the period.
4. Data for FY24TD is as of February 2024.
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Buy Value Sell Value Buy Value Sell Value Buy Value Sell Value
Category
(Rs Cr) (Rs Cr) (Rs Cr) (Rs Cr) (Rs Cr) (Rs Cr)
FUTCUR 4,64,005 4,64,005 6,12,806 6,12,806 6,10,933 6,10,933
Corporates 34,914 35,707 41,934 41,361 33,021 32,474
Foreign investors 49,520 51,710 47,386 49,674 48,427 48,997
DII 6,071 6,040 6,296 6,598 6,253 6,637
Individual investors 74,368 69,750 92,876 85,734 90,249 87,210
Prop 2,89,268 2,91,526 4,04,063 4,09,720 4,17,708 4,20,575
Others 9,864 9,273 20,251 19,718 15,276 15,040
OPTCUR 1,698 1,698 2,265 2,265 1,957 1,957
Corporates 66 57 104 93 69 73
Foreign investors 97 79 120 106 108 78
DII 0 0 0 0 1 0
Individual investors 321 356 421 453 407 458
Prop 1,162 1,150 1,551 1,540 1,319 1,291
Others 52 56 68 73 52 58
Source: NSE EPR.
Notes: 1. DII – Domestic Institutional Investors, Banks, Insurance companies, Mutual Funds, NBFCs, Domestic Venture Capital Funds, AIFs, PMS clients and New Pension
Systems; Foreign investors – Foreign Institutional Investors, Foreign Portfolio Investors all categories, Foreign Direct Investors, Foreign Venture Capital Investors,
Foreign Nationals (FN), Qualified foreign investor, Depository Receipts, Eligible Foreign Entity and OCBs; Corporate - Public & Private Companies / Bodies Corporate;
Individual – Individual / Proprietorship firms, HUF and NRI; Others – Partnership Firm / Limited Liability Partnership, Trust / Society, Statutory Bodies and Non Govt
Organisation.
2. Above table reports premium turnover for Options contracts.
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Table 64: Category-wise trading turnover in currency derivatives during FY24TD and FY23
Currency Derivatives FY24TD FY23
Interest rate futures turnover declined for four months sequentially: Interest rate
futures turnover registered a month-on-month decline for four months in a row,
contracting 8.6% MoM in the month of Feb-24 to Rs 1,808 crore, with corporates
contributing to 60.3% and 52.3% on the buy and sell side respectively. While corporates’
turnover on the sell side declined 9.2% MoM, it increased 14.2% MoM on the buy side.
Prop. turnover accounting for 26.5% of the overall interest futures turnover in February,
exhibited a significant decline both on buy (-46.9% MoM) and sell (-18.3% MoM) side. In
the current fiscal, the prop. traders accounted for 50.5% of buy turnover and 48.2% of
sell turnover (as on February 29th, 2024), while foreign investors and DIIs’ participation
remained relatively smaller.
Table 65: Category-wise trading turnover in interest rate derivatives in last three months (Dec’23-Feb’24)
Interest rate derivatives Feb-24 Jan-24 Dec-23
Buy Value Sell Value Buy Value Sell Value Buy Value Sell Value
Category
(Rs Cr) (Rs Cr) (Rs Cr) (Rs Cr) (Rs Cr) (Rs Cr)
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Table 66: Category-wise trading turnover in interest rate derivatives during FY24TD and FY23
Interest rate derivatives FY24TD FY 23
Buy Value Sell Value Buy Value Sell Value
Category
(Rs Cr) (Rs Cr) (Rs Cr) (Rs Cr)
Futures 28,053 28,053 26,296 26,296
Corporates 11,542 12,502 8,733 10,125
Foreign investors 63 63 228 233
DII 321 291 1,221 1,405
Individual investors 1,910 1,622 1,403 1,224
Prop 14,153 13,516 14,623 13,229
Others 64 59 88 79
Source: NSE EPR.
Notes: 1. DII – Domestic Institutional Investors, Banks, Insurance companies, Mutual Funds, NBFCs, Domestic Venture Capital Funds, AIFs, PMS clients and New Pension
Systems; Foreign investors – Foreign Institutional Investors, Foreign Portfolio Investors all categories, Foreign Direct Investors, Foreign Venture Capital Investors,
Foreign Nationals (FN), Qualified foreign investor, Depository Receipts, Eligible Foreign Entity and OCBs; Corporate - Public & Private Companies / Bodies Corporate;
Individual – Individual / Proprietorship firms, HUF and NRI; Others – Partnership Firm / Limited Liability Partnership, Trust / Society, Statutory Bodies and Non Govt
Organisation.
2. There were no trades for options contracts.
3. Data for FY24TD is as of February 2024.
Prop turnover in commodity options expanded MoM in February 2024: While prop.
turnover in commodity options showcased an increase of 44.5% MoM in terms of buy and
sell premium turnover in Feb-24, their turnover in commodity futures exhibited a decline
of 33.9% and 32.1% in buy and sell turnover respectively, resulting in the overall
commodity futures turnover dropping by 41.5% MoM to Rs 18.6 crore while commodity
options premium turnover expanded by 42.2% MoM to Rs 161 crore. The share of
individuals in buy and sell premium traded value in commodity options was balanced in
Feb’24, however, they accounted for a higher share (1.5x) in commodity futures buy
notional turnover as compared to sell notional turnover. Prop. traders, however, continue
to hold dominant position in commodity derivatives segment.
Table 67: Category-wise trading turnover in commodity derivatives in last three months (Dec’23-Feb’24)
Commodity Derivatives Feb-24 Jan-24 Dec-23
Buy Value Sell Value Buy Value Sell Value Buy Value Sell Value
Category
(Rs Lakh) (Rs Lakh) (Rs Lakh) (Rs Lakh) (Rs Lakh) (Rs Lakh)
Futures 1,859 1,859 3,177 3,177 3,260 3,260
Corporates - - - - - -
Foreign investors - - - 13 - -
DII - - - - - -
Individual investors 107 72 487 478 259 306
Prop 1,726 1,764 2,609 2,596 2,977 2,932
Others 26 23 82 90 25 22
Options 16,070 16,070 11,301 11,301 5,756 5,756
Corporates 23 23 208 209 121 121
Foreign investors - - 2 2 - -
DII - - - - - -
Individual investors 1,725 1,729 1,144 1,145 440 433
Prop 14,259 14,255 9,866 9,866 4,862 4,866
Others 63 62 81 80 333 335
Source: NSE EPR.
Notes: 1. DII – Domestic Institutional Investors, Banks, Insurance companies, Mutual Funds, NBFCs, Domestic Venture Capital Funds, AIFs, PMS clients and New Pension
Systems; Foreign investors – Foreign Institutional Investors, Foreign Portfolio Investors all categories, Foreign Direct Investors, Foreign Venture Capital Investors,
Foreign Nationals (FN), Qualified foreign investor, Depository Receipts, Eligible Foreign Entity and OCBs; Corporate - Public & Private Companies / Bodies Corporate;
Individual – Individual / Proprietorship firms, HUF and NRI; Others – Partnership Firm / Limited Liability Partnership, Trust / Society, Statutory Bodies and Non Govt
Organisation.
2. Above table reports premium turnover for options contracts.
178/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Table 68: Category-wise turnover in commodity derivatives during FY24TD and FY23
Commodity Derivatives FY24TD FY23
Buy Value Sell Value Buy Value Sell Value
Category
(Rs Lakh) (Rs Lakh) (Rs Lakh) (Rs Lakh)
Futures 5,40,944 5,40,944 1,409 1,409
Corporates 13,843 13,849 349 349
Foreign investors 1,401 1,312 - -
DII 546 547 - -
Individual investors 72,388 72,295 - -
Prop 4,47,130 4,47,246 707 702
Others 5,637 5,695 353 358
Options 38,606 38,606 11,231 11,231
Corporates 445 431 978 1,194
Foreign investors 2 2 - -
DII - - 1 1
Individual investors 3,578 3,572 637 640
Prop 34,011 34,021 9,383 9,065
Others 569 581 23 33
Source: NSE EPR.
Notes: 1. DII – Domestic Institutional Investors, Banks, Insurance companies, Mutual Funds, NBFCs, Domestic Venture Capital Funds, AIFs, PMS clients and New Pension
Systems; Foreign investors – Foreign Institutional Investors, Foreign Portfolio Investors all categories, Foreign Direct Investors, Foreign Venture Capital Investors,
Foreign Nationals (FN), Qualified foreign investor, Depository Receipts, Eligible Foreign Entity and OCBs; Corporate - Public & Private Companies / Bodies Corporate;
Individual – Individual / Proprietorship firms, HUF and NRI; Others – Partnership Firm / Limited Liability Partnership, Trust / Society, Statutory Bodies and Non Govt
Organisation.
2. Above table reports premium turnover for options contracts.
3. Data for FY24TD is as of February 2024.
179/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Share of prop turnover in CM segment increased further in February 2024: The share
of trading activity by proprietary traders’ turnover in CM segment expanded further by
97bps MoM to touch 29.8% in the month of Feb’24 – the highest monthly share since
Apr’19. Their share in the current fiscal (as on February 29 th, 2024) expanded 104bps YoY
to touch a 19-year high of 28.2%. The share of individual investors and DIIs’ turnover, on
the other hand, contracted further by 78bps and 61bps MoM during the month to touch
36.5% and 9.7% respectively. While the share of prop trading in the current fiscal (as on
February 29th, 2024) expanded is at a 19-year high at 28.2%, the share of individual
investors at 35.8% in the current fiscal is the lowest of last eight years. Along with
individual investors, foreign investor and DII investors also witnessed contraction in their
respective shares this year, which was offset by significant improvement in corporates’
share, in addition to prop trading share, which touched a 5-year high at 5.7%.
Foreign investors’ share, which had fallen to 11.5% in FY21 – the lowest since FY04,
showcased a steady rise each year post FY21. The overall share for FY24 reached 15.3%
as of end of November before moderating to 14.5% as on end of February 2024. DIIs’s
share, which had fallen to 7.5% in FY21 due to individual investors shifting to direct
participation in the secondary markets, surpassed 11.5% in FY23 – the highest share for
a fiscal year. Their share in the current fiscal year (as on February 29 th, 2024), however,
was slightly lower at 11% of the overall capital market segment.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
100%
6.1 4.9
90%
80% 28.2
42.5
70%
60%
50% 35.8
40%
36.6
30%
14.5
20%
10% 11.0
2.1
6.8 5.7
0%
FY04
FY03
FY05
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
Source: NSE EPR.
Notes: 1. DIIs: Domestic Institutional Investors include Banks, Mutual Funds, Insurance Companies, NBFCs, Domestic VC Funds, AIFs, PMS clients etc., Foreign investors:
Foreign Institutional Investors include FPIs, FDIs, Foreign VC Funds, OCB and Foreign Nationals etc., Prop traders: Proprietary Traders, Individual investors: individual
domestic investors, NRIs, sole proprietorship firms and HUFs, Others: Partnership Firms/LLP, Trust / Society, Depository Receipts and Statutory Bodies, etc. Figures in
brackets indicate negative numbers.
2. Data for FY24 is as of February 2024.
3. Above data represents share in gross turnover i.e., buy-side turnover + sell-side turnover.
300 266
250
200 180
159
145
150
101
83 87 85
100 71 72
55 56 54 56
31 39
50 12
22 23
-
FY09
FY18
FY03
FY04
FY05
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
181/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Prop turnover in equity derivatives has exhibited rising trend in the last four years:
The share of turnover expanded 694bps YoY in FY24 (Apr-23 to Feb-24) to touch 59.6%,
rising consistently for the last four fiscal years. The rise in the share of prop. traders were
offset by decline in the share of individuals, foreign investors, and corporates. On a MoM
basis, while the share of foreign investors and prop. traders increased, the share of
individual investors and corporates dropped. Notably, the share of individual investors in
equity derivatives segment in the current fiscal is the lowest in last eight years, while that
of foreign investors is the lowest in the last 20 years.
Barring stock futures, individual investors have been active across all products in the
equity derivatives segment, with their share in overall derivatives turnover remaining
fairly steady at 26.3% in FY24 (Apr-23 to Feb-24). They have over a 35% share in Index
options premium turnover, followed by close to 30% each in index futures and stock
options (premium), while that in stock futures is relatively lower at nearly 16%. In
contrast, FPIs have been more active in futures contracts, especially stock futures than
in options contracts.
There was a notable rise in the participation of individual investors in the equity
derivatives segment between FY16-FY21, which aligned with their increased trading
activity in the capital market segment during the same period. While their share of equity
derivatives turnover grew nearly six percentage points during this period, it had been on
a consistently declining trend for the last three financial years. Conversely, the share of
proprietary traders exhibited consistency with an upward trend since the end of FY20,
rising 26 percentage points to nearly 60% of the total turnover in equity derivatives
currently.
Table 70: Share of client participation in Equity Derivatives segment of NSE (%)
MoM chg Apr-23 to Apr-22 to YoY chg
Client category Feb-24 Jan-24 FY23 CY24TD
(bps) Feb-24 Feb-23 (bps)
Individual investors 24.6 25.1 (52) 26.3 27.9 (158) 27.7 24.8
182/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 216: Trends in share of client participation in Equity Derivatives (Notional Turnover) at NSE (%)
Corporates DIIs Foreign investors Individual investors Prop Others
100%
4.9 4.3
90%
80%
70% 46.2
59.6
60%
50%
40%
30% 33.5
26.3
20%
10% 0.2
10.4 5.9
0.1
0%
FY05
FY21
FY03
FY04
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY22
FY23
FY24
Source: NSE EPR.
Notes: 1. DIIs: Domestic Institutional Investors include Banks, Mutual Funds, Insurance Companies, NBFCs, Domestic VC Funds, AIFs, PMS clients etc., Foreign investors:
Foreign Institutional Investors include FPIs, FDIs, Foreign VC Funds, OCB and Foreign Nationals etc., Prop traders: Proprietary Traders, Individual investors: individual
domestic investors, NRIs, sole proprietorship firms and HUFs, Others: Partnership Firms/LLP, Trust / Society, Depository Receipts and Statutory Bodies, etc. Figures in
brackets indicate negative numbers.
2. Data for FY24 is as of February 2024.
3. Above data represents share in gross notional turnover i.e., buy-side notional turnover + sell-side notional turnover.
Figure 217: Trends in client category-wise turnover in Equity derivatives (Notional Turnover) at NSE
Rs lakh Corporates DIIs Foreign investors Individual investors Prop Others
crore
1,60,000
1,45,419
1,40,000
1,20,000
1,00,000
76,447
80,000
60,000
33,905
40,000
12,872
20,000
4,752 6,891
9 43 51 96 147 262 220 353 585 627 631 764 1,112 1,297 1,887 3,300
-
FY17
FY03
FY04
FY05
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
183/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Index Futures
Foreign investors 12.3 13.6 (125) 13.8 11.6 222 11.8 12.9
Figure 218: Trends in share of client participation in Index Futures at NSE (%)
80%
33.3
43.5
70%
60%
50%
30.4
40%
32.2
30%
20% 13.8
7.7
3.5
10%
11.6
0%
FY15
FY03
FY04
FY05
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
184/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
160
134 134
140
111
120
96
91
100 87 87
79 82
76
71 72
80
62
60 51 51
40 30
15
11
20
1
-
FY04
FY15
FY03
FY05
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
Source: NSE EPR.
Notes: 1. DIIs: Domestic Institutional Investors include Banks, Mutual Funds, Insurance Companies, NBFCs, Domestic VC Funds, AIFs, PMS clients etc., Foreign investors:
Foreign Institutional Investors include FPIs, FDIs, Foreign VC Funds, OCB and Foreign Nationals etc., Prop traders: Proprietary Traders, Individual investors: individual
domestic investors, NRIs, sole proprietorship firms and HUFs, Others: Partnership Firms/LLP, Trust / Society, Depository Receipts and Statutory Bodies, etc. Figures in
brackets indicate negative numbers.
2. Data for FY24 is as of February 2024.
3. Above data represents gross notional turnover i.e., buy-side notional turnover + sell-side notional turnover.
Foreign investors 24.3 22.3 196 23.6 23.7 (10) 23.8 23.3
185/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 220: Trends in share of client participation in Stock Futures at NSE (%)
Corporates DIIs Foreign investors Individual investors Prop Others
100%
5.1 7.6
90%
80%
36.2
70% 50.2
60%
50%
16.6
40%
10% 8.9
0.1
8.8 7.2
0%
FY10
FY03
FY04
FY05
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
Source: NSE EPR.
Note: 1. DIIs: Domestic Institutional Investors include Banks, Mutual Funds, Insurance Companies, NBFCs, Domestic VC Funds, AIFs, PMS clients etc., Foreign investors:
Foreign Institutional Investors include FPIs, FDIs, Foreign VC Funds, OCB, and Foreign Nationals etc., Prop traders: Proprietary Traders, Individual investors: individual
domestic investors, NRIs, sole proprietorship firms and HUFs, Others: Partnership Firms/LLP, Trust / Society, Depository Receipts and Statutory Bodies, etc. Figures in
brackets indicate negative numbers.
2. Data for FY24 is as of February 2024.
3. Above data represents gross notional turnover i.e., buy-side notional turnover + sell-side notional turnover.
450 421
381
400 362
350 312
323
297
300
250 223
200 166
151 157
150 110
104 99
76 81 84
100 70
56
26 30
50
6
-
FY09
FY03
FY04
FY05
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
186/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 222: Trends in share of client participation in Index Options (premium turnover) at NSE (%)
90%
80% 32.3
70% 48.9
60%
50%
36.8
40%
30% 35.1
0.5
20%
10% 22.4
8.8
0.1
0%
FY11
FY03
FY04
FY05
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
187/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 223: Trends in client category-wise turnover in Index Options (premium turnover) at NSE
Rs lakh Corporates DIIs Foreign investors Individual investors Prop Others
crore
300
254
250
219
200
150
117
100
53
50
22
7 7 9 13
0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 4 5 4 5 5
-
FY03
FY04
FY05
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
Source: NSE EPR.
Notes: 1. DIIs: Domestic Institutional Investors include Banks, Mutual Funds, Insurance Companies, NBFCs, Domestic VC Funds, AIFs, PMS clients etc., Foreign investors:
Foreign Institutional Investors include FPIs, FDIs, Foreign VC Funds, OCB and Foreign Nationals etc., Prop traders: Proprietary Traders, Individual investors: individual
domestic investors, NRIs, sole proprietorship firms and HUFs, Others: Partnership Firms/LLP, Trust / Society, Depository Receipts and Statutory Bodies, etc. Figures in
brackets indicate negative numbers.
2. Data for FY24 is as of February 2024.
3. Above data represents share in gross premium turnover i.e., buy-side premium turnover + sell-side premium turnover.
Individual investors 28.9 27.8 109 29.8 31.3 (145) 31.2 28.4
188/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 224: Trends in share of client participation in Stock Options (Premium Turnover) at NSE (%)
Corporates DIIs Foreign investors Individual investors Prop Others
100% 2.2
4.2
90%
80%
39.7
70%
60.0
60%
50%
40%
37.6
30%
29.8
20%
0.2
10%
14.1 4.5
0.1
0%
FY16
FY23
FY03
FY04
FY05
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY24
Source: NSE EPR.
Notes: 1. DIIs: Domestic Institutional Investors include Banks, Mutual Funds, Insurance Companies, NBFCs, Domestic VC Funds, AIFs, PMS clients etc., Foreign investors:
Foreign Institutional Investors include FPIs, FDIs, Foreign VC Funds, OCB and Foreign Nationals etc., Prop traders: Proprietary Traders, Individual investors: individual
domestic investors, NRIs, sole proprietorship firms and HUFs, Others: Partnership Firms/LLP, Trust / Society, Depository Receipts and Statutory Bodies, etc. Figures in
brackets indicate negative numbers.
2. Data for FY24 is as of February 2024.
3. Above data represents share in gross premium turnover i.e., buy-side premium turnover + sell-side premium turnover.
Figure 225: Trends in client category-wise turnover in Stock Options (Premium Turnover) at NSE
Rs lakh Corporates DIIs Foreign investors Individual investors Prop Others
crore
30
25.0
25
20.8
20 18.7
15
11.6
10
4.6
4.0
5 3.0
1.9
0.9 1.2 1.2
0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7
0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
-
FY12
FY03
FY04
FY05
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
189/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Table 75: Share of client participation in Currency Derivatives segment of NSE (%)
MoM chg Apr-23 to Apr-22 to YoY chg
Client category Feb-24 Jan-24 FY23 CY24TD
(bps) Feb-24 Feb-23 (bps)
Figure 226: Trends in share of client participation in Currency Derivatives (Notional Turnover) at NSE (%)
Corporates DIIs Foreign investors Individual investors Prop Others
100% 1.3
7.8
90%
80%
70% 59.5
60% 62.1
50%
40%
30% 20.5
10% 18.7
5.0
0% 3.8
FY17
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 227: Trends in client category-wise turnover in Currency Derivatives (Notional Turnover) at NSE
Rs lakh Corporates DIIs Foreign investors Individual investors Prop Others
crore
800 762
700 647
600
500
424
400
300 242
193
170
200
93 105 90 97 101
69 80
100 60
36
3
-
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
Source: NSE EPR.
Notes: 1. DIIs: Domestic Institutional Investors include Banks, Mutual Funds, Insurance Companies, NBFCs, Domestic VC Funds, AIFs, PMS clients etc., Foreign investors:
Foreign Institutional Investors include FPIs, FDIs, Foreign VC Funds, OCB and Foreign Nationals etc., Prop traders: Proprietary Traders, Individual investors: individual
domestic investors, NRIs, sole proprietorship firms and HUFs, Others: Partnership Firms/LLP, Trust / Society, Depository Receipts and Statutory Bodies, etc. Figures in
brackets indicate negative numbers.
2. Data for FY24 is as of February 2024.
3. Above data represents gross notional turnover i.e., buy-side notional turnover + sell-side notional turnover.
191/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 228: Trends in share of client participation in Currency Futures at NSE (%)
90%
80%
70% 59.5
66.9
60%
50%
40%
30% 20.5
15.4
20% 0.0
5.7
0%
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
Source: NSE EPR.
Note: 1. DIIs: Domestic Institutional Investors include Banks, Mutual Funds, Insurance Companies, NBFCs, Domestic VC Funds, AIFs, PMS clients etc., Foreign investors:
Foreign Institutional Investors include FPIs, FDIs, Foreign VC Funds, OCB, and Foreign Nationals etc., Prop traders: Proprietary Traders, Individual investors: individual
domestic investors, NRIs, sole proprietorship firms and HUFs, Others: Partnership Firms/LLP, Trust / Society, Depository Receipts and Statutory Bodies, etc.
2. Data for FY24 is as of February 2024.
3. Above data represents gross notional turnover i.e., buy-side notional turnover + sell-side notional turnover.
202
200
141
150 132
114
93 96
100
75
66 68
59 55
50 52
45
50 36
3
0
FY15
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
192/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 230: Trends in share of client participation in Currency Options (Premium Turnover) at NSE (%)
90%
80%
70% 58.0
66.2
60%
50%
40%
16.5
30%
0.0
20% 22.2
10% 24.3
4.3
0%
FY13
FY11
FY12
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
193/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 231: Trends in client category-wise turnover in Currency Options (Premium Turnover) at NSE
Rs thousand Corporates DIIs Foreign investors Individual investors Prop Others
crore
100 95
90
80
70
57
60
50
50
40
29 30
27
30
20
20 14 15 14 15
12
6
10 2
-
FY16
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
Source: NSE EPR.
Note: 1. DIIs: Domestic Institutional Investors include Banks, Mutual Funds, Insurance Companies, NBFCs, Domestic VC Funds, AIFs, PMS clients etc., Foreign investors:
Foreign Institutional Investors include FPIs, FDIs, Foreign VC Funds, OCB and Foreign Nationals etc., Prop traders: Proprietary Traders, Individual investors: individual
domestic investors, NRIs, sole proprietorship firms and HUFs, Others: Partnership Firms/LLP, Trust / Society, Depository Receipts and Statutory Bodies, etc. Figures in
brackets indicate negative numbers.
2. Data for FY24 is as of February 2024.
3. Above data represents share in gross premium turnover i.e., buy-side premium turnover + sell-side premium turnover.
Table 78: Share of client participation in Interest Rate Futures of NSE (%)
MoM chg Apr-23 to Apr-22 to YoY chg
Client category Feb-24 Jan-24 FY23 CY24TD
(bps) Feb-24 Feb-23 (bps)
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 232: Trends in share of client participation in Interest Rate Futures at NSE (%)
Corporates DIIs Foreign investors Individual investors Prop Others
100% 1.3
90%
80%
49.3
70%
60% 73.9
50%
6.3
40%
30%
2.1
20% 2.3 42.9
10% 20.4
0%
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24
Source: NSE EPR.
Notes: 1. DIIs: Domestic Institutional Investors include Banks, Mutual Funds, Insurance Companies, NBFCs, Domestic VC Funds, AIFs, PMS clients etc., Foreign investors:
Foreign Institutional Investors include FPIs, FDIs, Foreign VC Funds, OCB, and Foreign Nationals etc., Prop traders: Proprietary Traders, Individual investors: individual
domestic investors, NRIs, sole proprietorship firms and HUFs, Others: Partnership Firms/LLP, Trust / Society, Depository Receipts and Statutory Bodies, etc. Figures in
brackets indicate negative numbers.
2. Data for FY24 is as of February 2024.
3. Above data represents gross notional turnover i.e., buy-side notional turnover + sell-side notional turnover.
Figure 233: Trends in client category-wise turnover in Interest Rate Futures at NSE
Rs thousand Corporates DIIs Foreign investors Individual investors Prop Others
crore
1,200
1,053
1,000
843
800
704
642
616
600
491
400
193
200
60 53 53 56
-
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24
Source: NSE EPR. Note:
Notes: 1. DIIs: Domestic Institutional Investors include Banks, Mutual Funds, Insurance Companies, NBFCs, Domestic VC Funds, AIFs, PMS clients etc., Foreign investors:
Foreign Institutional Investors include FPIs, FDIs, Foreign VC Funds, OCB, and Foreign Nationals etc., Prop traders: Proprietary Traders, Individual investors: individual
domestic investors, NRIs, sole proprietorship firms and HUFs, Others: Partnership Firms/LLP, Trust / Society, Depository Receipts and Statutory Bodies, etc. Figures in
brackets indicate negative numbers.
2. Data for FY24 is as of February 2024.
3. Above data represents gross notional turnover i.e., buy-side notional turnover + sell-side notional turnover.
195/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Table 79: Share of client participation in Commodity derivatives segment of NSE (%)
MoM chg Apr-23 to Apr-22 to YoY chg
Client category Feb-24 Jan-24 FY23 CY24TD
(bps) Feb-24 Feb-23 (bps)
Commodity Futures
Corporates 0.0 0.0 - 2.6 23.2 (2,066) 24.8 0.0
DIIs 0.0 0.0 - 0.1 0.0 10 0.0 0.0
Foreign investors 0.0 0.2 (20) 0.3 0.0 25 0.0 0.1
Individual investors 4.8 15.2 (1,036) 13.4 0.0 1,337 0.0 11.4
Prop 93.9 81.9 1,196 82.7 50.0 3,267 50.0 86.3
Others 1.3 2.7 (139) 1.0 26.8 (2,573) 25.2 2.2
Commodity Options (Premium Turnover)
Corporates 0.1 1.8 (170) 1.1 9.5 (838) 9.7 0.8
DIIs 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0 (1) 0.0 0.0
Foreign investors 0.0 0.0 (2) 0.0 0.0 1 0.0 0.0
Individual investors 10.7 10.1 62 9.3 6.1 313 5.7 10.5
Prop 88.7 87.3 142 88.1 81.6 648 82.1 88.1
Others 0.4 0.7 (32) 1.5 2.7 (123) 2.5 0.5
Commodity Derivatives (Notional Turnover)
Corporates 0.2 1.7 (150) 1.1 9.2 (809) 9.1 0.7
DIIs 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0 0 0.0 0.0
Foreign investors 0.0 0.0 (0) 0.0 0.0 1 0.0 0.0
Individual investors 10.1 11.4 (130) 10.4 5.8 458 5.5 10.6
Prop 89.1 86.1 304 87.6 82.9 465 83.1 88.0
Others 0.6 0.8 (24) 0.9 2.1 (116) 2.2 0.7
Source: NSE EPR.
Note: 1. DIIs: Domestic Institutional Investors include Banks, Mutual Funds, Insurance Companies, NBFCs, Domestic VC Funds, AIFs, PMS clients etc., Foreign
investors: Foreign Institutional Investors include FPIs, FDIs, Foreign VC Funds, OCB and Foreign Nationals etc., Prop traders: Proprietary Traders, Individual investors:
individual domestic investors, NRIs, sole proprietorship firms and HUFs, Others: Partnership Firms/LLP, Trust / Society, Depository Receipts and Statutory Bodies, etc.
2. Figures in brackets indicate negative numbers.
3. Above data represents share in gross turnover i.e., buy-side turnover + sell-side turnover.
196/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 234: Trends in share of client participation in Commodity Derivatives (Notional Turnover) at NSE (%)
Corporates DIIs Foreign investors Individual investors Prop Others
100% 0.2 0.2 2.2 0.9
8.1 7.6
90%
80%
45.3
70%
60% 64.6
83.9 83.1
78.0 87.6
50% 6.5
40%
30%
48.0
20% 15.9
Figure 235: Trends in client category-wise turnover in Commodity Derivatives (Notional Turnover) at NSE
Rs crore Corporates DIIs Foreign investors Individual investors Prop Others
3,00,000
2,59,688
2,50,000
2,00,000
1,50,000
1,00,000
55,678
39,490 35,510
50,000
12,725
6,888
-
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24
Source: NSE EPR.
Note: 1. DIIs: Domestic Institutional Investors include Banks, Mutual Funds, Insurance Companies, NBFCs, Domestic VC Funds, AIFs, PMS clients etc., foreign investors:
Foreign Institutional Investors include FPIs, FDIs, Foreign VC Funds, OCB and Foreign Nationals etc., Prop traders: Proprietary Traders, Individual investors: individual
domestic investors, NRIs, sole proprietorship firms and HUFs, Others: Partnership Firms/LLP, Trust / Society and Statutory Bodies, etc.
2. Above data represents share in gross notional turnover i.e., buy-side notional turnover + sell-side notional turnover.
3. Data for FY24 is as of February 2024.
197/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 236: Trends in share of client participation in Commodity Futures at NSE (%)
90% 16.6
25.2
80%
45.3
70%
60%
83.9 82.7
30%
48.0
20%
8.0 24.8
10% 13.4
0.5
7.9 0.5
0% 3.5 1.7 2.6
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24
Source: NSE EPR.
Note: 1. DIIs: Domestic Institutional Investors include Banks, Mutual Funds, Insurance Companies, NBFCs, Domestic VC Funds, AIFs, PMS clients etc., foreign investors:
Foreign Institutional Investors include FPIs, FDIs, Foreign VC Funds, OCB and Foreign Nationals etc., Prop traders: Proprietary Traders, Individual investors: individual
domestic investors, NRIs, sole proprietorship firms and HUFs, Others: Partnership Firms/LLP, Trust / Society and Statutory Bodies, etc.
2. Above data represents share in gross notional turnover i.e., buy-side notional turnover + sell-side notional turnover.
3. Data for FY24 is as of February 2024.
10,000
8,000
6,888
6,000
4,546
4,000
2,000
28
-
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24
Source: NSE EPR.
Note: 1. DIIs: Domestic Institutional Investors include Banks, Mutual Funds, Insurance Companies, NBFCs, Domestic VC Funds, AIFs, PMS clients etc., Foreign investors:
Foreign Institutional Investors include FPIs, FDIs, Foreign VC Funds, OCB and Foreign Nationals etc., Prop traders: Proprietary Traders, Individual investors: individual
domestic investors, NRIs, sole proprietorship firms and HUFs, Others: Partnership Firms/LLP, Trust / Society and Statutory Bodies, etc.
2. Above data represents share in gross notional turnover i.e., buy-side notional turnover + sell-side notional turnover.
3. Data for FY24 is as of February 2024.
198/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 238: Trends in share of client participation in Commodity Options (Premium Turnover) at NSE (%)
Corporates DIIs Foreign investors Individual investors Prop Others
100% 2.5 1.5
9.3 5.7
90%
80%
70%
60% 57.2
73.8 82.1
88.1
50%
40%
30%
20.8
20%
4.8
5.7
10%
12.7 15.7
9.7 9.3
0% 1.1
FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24
Source: NSE EPR.
Note: 1. DIIs: Domestic Institutional Investors include Banks, Mutual Funds, Insurance Companies, NBFCs, Domestic VC Funds, AIFs, PMS clients etc., Foreign investors:
Foreign Institutional Investors include FPIs, FDIs, Foreign VC Funds, OCB and Foreign Nationals etc., Prop traders: Proprietary Traders, Individual investors: individual
domestic investors, NRIs, sole proprietorship firms and HUFs, Others: Partnership Firms/LLP, Trust / Society and Statutory Bodies, etc.
2. Above data represents share in gross notional turnover i.e., buy-side notional turnover + sell-side notional turnover.
3. Data for FY24 is as of February 2024.
Figure 239: Trends in client category-wise turnover in Commodity Options (Premium Turnover) at NSE
Rs crore Corporates DIIs Foreign investors Individual investors Prop Others
900
772
800
700
600 568
500
400
300 261
225
200
100
-
FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24
Source: NSE EPR.
Note: 1. DIIs: Domestic Institutional Investors include Banks, Mutual Funds, Insurance Companies, NBFCs, Domestic VC Funds, AIFs, PMS clients etc., Foreign investors:
Foreign Institutional Investors include FPIs, FDIs, Foreign VC Funds, OCB and Foreign Nationals etc., Prop traders: Proprietary Traders, Individual investors: individual
domestic investors, NRIs, sole proprietorship firms and HUFs, Others: Partnership Firms/LLP, Trust / Society and Statutory Bodies, etc.
2. Above data represents share in gross notional turnover i.e., buy-side notional turnover + sell-side notional turnover.
3. Data for FY24 is as of February 2024.
199/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
There has been a significant shift in the trading modes used by investors in various
segments, especially in cash and equity derivatives segment of NSE over the last two
decades. Investors are increasingly adopting different modes such as Internet-based
Trading (IBT), Direct Market Access (DMA), Co-location (Colo), Algo-trading (Algo), mobile
phones and Smart-order Routing (SOR). Individual investors that predominantly use IBT
and mobile for trading constitute 28.1% and 26% in NSE’s capital market (CM) segment
and equity derivatives segment respectively in the current fiscal (as on February 29 th,
2024).
Table 80: Share of different modes of trading in Capital Market segment of NSE (%)
MoM change Apr-23 to Apr-22 to YoY change
Mode Feb-24 Jan-24 FY23 CY24TD
(bps) Feb-24 Feb-23 (bps)
200/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 240: Trends in share of different modes of trading in Capital Market segment at NSE (%)
Non Algo IBT SOR Mobile Colo Algo DMA
100%
5.7
90%
12.6
80%
70%
34.2
60%
50% 100.0
40%
19.6
30%
8.5
20%
10% 18.5
0%
FY03
FY10
FY04
FY05
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
Source: NSE EPR.
Note: 1. IBT- Internet-based Trades, SOR – Smart Order Routing, Colo – Colocation, DMA – Direct Market Access.
2. The above figures have been computed on the basis of gross turnover.
3. FY24 is as of February 2024.
Table 81: Share of different modes of trading in Equity Derivatives segment of NSE (%)
MoM change Apr-23 to Apr-22 to YoY change
Mode Feb-24 Jan-24 FY23 CY24TD
(bps) Feb-24 Feb-23 (bps)
Non Algo 4.8 5.2 (35) 6.6 8.3 (173) 8.3 5.0
IBT 7.8 7.9 (16) 8.6 9.8 (113) 9.7 7.8
SOR - - 0 - - 0 - -
Mobile 16.6 16.9 (35) 17.4 17.2 21 17.2 16.8
Colo 63.8 63.2 62 61.4 58.9 241 59.1 63.5
Algo 2.1 2.0 10 1.3 0.6 72 0.6 2.0
DMA 4.9 4.8 12 4.6 5.1 (49) 5.1 4.9
Source: NSE EPR.
Note: 1. IBT- Internet-based Trades, SOR – Smart Order Routing, Colo – Colocation, DMA – Direct Market Access.
2. The above figures have been computed on the basis of gross turnover.
3. Notional turnover considered in case of futures and options.
201/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 241: Trends in share of different modes of trading in Equity Derivatives segment at NSE (%)
Non Algo IBT SOR Mobile Colo Algo DMA
100%
4.6
90%
80%
70%
61.4
60%
50% 100.0
40%
30%
17.4
20%
10% 8.6
6.6
0%
FY03
FY04
FY05
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
Source: NSE EPR.
Note: 1. IBT- Internet-based Trades, SOR – Smart Order Routing, Colo – Colocation, DMA – Direct Market Access.
2. The above figures have been computed on the basis of gross turnover.
3. Notional turnover considered in case of futures and options.
4. Data for FY24 is as of February 2024.
Table 82: Share of different modes of trading in Currency Derivatives segment of NSE (%)
MoM change Apr-23 to Apr-22 to YoY change
Mode Feb-24 Jan-24 FY23 CY24TD
(bps) Feb-24 Feb-23 (bps)
Non Algo 26.1 26.0 14 26.0 26.1 (7) 26.2 26.0
IBT 8.3 8.3 1 9.4 9.7 (33) 9.7 8.3
SOR 0.0 0.0 (0) 0.0 0.0 0 0.0 0.0
Mobile 9.9 9.7 22 11.4 11.8 (38) 11.8 9.8
Colo 49.4 49.9 (53) 47.0 47.3 (25) 47.2 49.7
Algo 0.2 0.1 10 1.0 0.7 34 0.6 0.2
DMA 6.0 6.0 6 5.2 4.5 69 4.6 6.0
Source: NSE EPR.
Note: 1. IBT- Internet-based Trades, SOR – Smart Order Routing, Colo – Colocation, DMA – Direct Market Access.
2. The above figures have been computed on the basis of gross turnover.
3. Notional turnover considered in case of futures and options.
202/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 242: Trends in share of different modes of trading in Currency Derivatives segment at NSE (%)
Non Algo Algo IBT SOR Colo Mobile DMA
100% 0.0
5.2
90% 11.4
20.8
80%
70%
60% 47.0
50%
40%
74.4
30% 9.4
20%
26.0
10%
0%
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
Source: NSE EPR.
Note: 1. IBT- Internet-based Trades, SOR – Smart Order Routing, Colo – Colocation, DMA – Direct Market Access.
2. The above figures have been computed on the basis of gross turnover.
3. Notional turnover considered in case of futures and options.
4. Data for FY24 is as of February 2024.
Table 83: Share of different modes of trading in Interest Rate Derivatives segment of NSE (%)
MoM change Apr-23 to Apr-22 to YoY change
Mode Feb-24 Jan-24 FY23 CY24TD
(bps) Feb-24 Feb-23 (bps)
Non Algo 42.7 46.4 (371) 54.3 75.1 (2076) 74.2 44.6
SOR - - 0 - - 0 - -
203/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 243: Trends in share of different modes of trading in Interest Rate Derivatives segment at NSE (%)
Non Algo Algo IBT SOR DMA Colo Mobile
100% 1.7
14.3
90% 16.3
80%
14.5
26.0
70%
60% 13.1
50%
40%
30% 59.4
54.3
20%
10%
0%
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
Source: NSE EPR.
Note: 1. IBT- Internet-based Trades, SOR – Smart Order Routing, Colo – Colocation, DMA – Direct Market Access.
2. The above figures have been computed on the basis of gross turnover.
3. Notional turnover considered in case of futures and options.
4. Data for FY24 is as of February 2024.
Table 84: Share of different modes of trading in Commodity Derivatives segment of NSE (%)
MoM change Apr-23 to Apr-22 to YoY change
Mode Feb-24 Jan-24 FY23 CY24TD
(bps) Feb-24 Feb-23 (bps)
Non Algo 69.2 57.8 1138 61.3 22.3 3904 23.9 65.1
SOR - - 0 - - 0 - -
Colo - - 0 - - 0 - -
DMA - - 0 0.0 - 0 - -
Source: NSE EPR.
Note: 1. IBT- Internet-based Trades, SOR – Smart Order Routing, Colo – Colocation, DMA – Direct Market Access.
2. The above figures have been computed on the basis of gross turnover.
3. Notional turnover considered in case of futures and options.
204/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 244: Trends in share of different modes of trading in Commodity Derivatives segment at NSE (%)
Algo Non Algo IBT SOR Mobile DMA
100% 0.9 1.2
4.4 3.9 4.5
12.9
90%
70%
38.5 61.3
60%
50%
40%
73.2 71.8 71.6
66.4
30%
48.6
20% 37.3
10%
0%
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24
205/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Overall net inflows by individuals in FY24 surpassed FY23 inflows in February: While
net investments started picking up between Aug-23 and Oct-23 by individual investors,
the subsequent months witnessed large outflows by them, which largely offset the
inflows witnessed in the prior months. The momentum in net inflows took a course
reversal in the last two months with an inflow of Rs 61,430 crore, thanks to strong
economic fundamentals, increasing new investor registrations and growing investor
participation in Indian stock market across all client categories. The net flow by individual
investors stood at Rs 56,042 crore in FY24 (April-23 to Feb-24), slightly higher than Rs
49,206 crore recorded in FY23.
Figure 245: Overall net inflows of individual investors in NSE’s CM segment in last eight fiscal years
Rs Cr
Cumulative net inflows by individual investors
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24
2,00,000
1,50,000
1,00,000
50,000
-50,000
-1,00,000
Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
Source: NSE EPR. Note: individual investors include individual domestic investors, NRIs, sole proprietorship firms and HUFs.
206/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 246: Annual trend of net inflows of individual investors in NSE’s CM segment
Rs crore
Net inflows by individual investors
2,00,000
1,64,879
1,50,000
1,00,000
68,359
56,042
49,206
50,000
-50,000
-1,00,000
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24TD*
Source: NSE EPR. Note: Individual investors include individual domestic investors, NRIs, sole proprietorship firms and HUFs. FY24TD data is as of February 2024.
Remarkably, the investor participation recorded a second consecutive high of 1.5 crore
(+4.2% MoM) active individual investors in NSE cash market segment, breaking previous
month’s record. Similarly, the equity derivatives segment witnessed a further increase in
individual investors’ participation to an all-time high level of 49.1 lakh (+3.8% MoM)
unique investors.
207/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 247: Monthly trends of active individual investors participation in NSE cash and equity derivative segments
(In lakhs)
CM Segment FO Segment
160 150.5
140
120
100
80
60 49.1
40
20
Oct-23
Oct-17
Oct-18
Oct-19
Oct-20
Oct-21
Oct-22
Feb-18
Feb-19
Feb-20
Feb-21
Feb-22
Feb-23
Feb-24
Jun-17
Jun-18
Jun-22
Jun-23
Apr-17
Aug-17
Dec-17
Apr-18
Aug-18
Jun-19
Jun-20
Jun-21
Dec-18
Apr-19
Aug-19
Dec-19
Apr-20
Aug-20
Dec-20
Apr-21
Aug-21
Dec-21
Apr-22
Aug-22
Dec-22
Apr-23
Aug-23
Dec-23
Source: NSE EPR. Note: Individual investors include individual domestic investors, NRIs, sole proprietorship firms and HUFs. Active investors here are defined as
investors who have traded at least once in the month.
Figure 248: Annual trends of active individual investors participation in NSE cash and equity derivative segments
(In lakhs)
CM Segment FO Segment
350
294.4
300
250
200
150
91.4
100
50
0
FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24TD
Source: NSE EPR. Note: Individual investors include individual domestic investors, NRIs, sole proprietorship firms and HUFs. Active investors here are defined as
investors who have traded at least once in the year. Data for FY24TD is as of February 2024.
208/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 249: Monthly trend of active individual investors participation in currency derivative segments of NSE
(In thousands)
140
116.3
120
100
82.8
80
60
40
20
0
Oct-17
Feb-18
Oct-18
Feb-19
Oct-19
Feb-20
Oct-20
Feb-21
Oct-21
Feb-22
Oct-22
Feb-23
Oct-23
Feb-24
Jun-17
Jun-18
Jun-19
Apr-17
Aug-17
Dec-17
Apr-18
Aug-18
Dec-18
Apr-19
Aug-19
Jun-20
Jun-22
Jun-23
Dec-19
Apr-20
Aug-20
Jun-21
Dec-20
Apr-21
Aug-21
Dec-21
Apr-22
Aug-22
Dec-22
Apr-23
Aug-23
Dec-23
Source: NSE EPR. Note: Individual investors include individual domestic investors, NRIs, sole proprietorship firms and HUFs. Active investors here are defined as investors
who have traded at least once in the month.
Figure 250: Annual trend of active individual investors participation in currency derivative segments of NSE
(In thousands)
500
443
450
404
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
-
FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24TD
Source: NSE EPR. Note: Individual investors include individual domestic investors, NRIs, sole proprietorship firms and HUFs. Active investors here are defined as investors
who have traded at least once in the year. Data for FY24TD is as of February 2024.
209/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Table 85: Distribution of turnover by range in cash market for all investors
Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24
Turnover range Total net No. of Total net No. of Total net Share in No. of Share in
turnover unique turnover unique turnover turnover unique investors
(Rs cr) investors (Rs cr) investors (Rs cr) (%) investors (%)
<Rs 10,000 566.6 38,20,239 721.7 45,83,473 769.6 0.03 49,49,804 32.8
Rs 1 lakh - Rs 10 lakh 50,941.7 30,06,615 59,644.6 34,89,938 59,860.5 2.4 35,28,886 23.4
Three-fourths of total active investors traded less than Rs 10 lakh in equity options in
February: Following the trend in the CM segment, premium turnover in equity options
also remained flat at Rs 16.8 lakh crore in February. However, the number of active
investors in this segment increased 4% MoM to 48.2 lakh in February as compared to 46.5
lakhs in the previous month. Nearly 77% of the total investors traded less than Rs 10 lakh
contributing Rs 32,384 crore or only 2% of the total turnover in February. Twenty three
percent of investors traded greater than Rs 10 lakh but contributed 98% of the total
premium turnover amounting to around Rs 16.5 lakh crore, of which, 14,022 investors
(0.3% of total investors) traded greater than Rs 10 crore leading to 74% share of the total
turnover.
210/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Table 86: Distribution of turnover by range in equity options market for all investors
Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24
Total Total Total
Turnover range No. of Share in No. of Share in
premium premium No. of unique premium
unique turnover unique investors
turnover turnover investors turnover
investors (%) investors (%)
(Rs cr) (Rs cr) (Rs cr)
<Rs 10,000 127.2 7,82,946 141.5 9,06,641 147.8 0.0 9,73,325 20.2
Rs 10,000-Rs 1 lakh 2,230.9 10,52,473 2,441.3 11,54,194 2,501.3 0.1 11,87,997 24.6
Rs 1 lakh - Rs 10 lakh 26,043.5 13,52,904 28,787.0 14,89,177 29,735.3 1.8 15,35,291 31.8
Turnover distribution remained highly skewed in equity futures for total active
investors in Feb’24: The total turnover in equity futures segment marginally increased to
Rs 38 lakh crore in Feb’24 as compared to Rs 37.9 lakh crore in the previous month. The
number of active investors in this segment marginally dropped to 3 lakhs as compared to
3.04 lakh in the previous month. Nearly 89% of the total active investors who traded less
than Rs 10 crore contributed only 6.3% of the total turnover amounting to Rs 2.4 lakh
crore leading to only 11% investors (32,508) contributing to the rest of the 93.7% of the
total turnover. The investors trading in the range of Rs 10 lakh – Rs 1 crore formed the
highest share of 44% among total active investors.
Table 87: Distribution of turnover by range in equity futures market for all investors
Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24
Turnover range Total No. of Total No. of Total Share in No. of Share in
turnover unique turnover unique turnover turnover unique investors
(Rs cr) investors (Rs cr) investors (Rs cr) (%) investors (%)
Rs 1 lakh - Rs 10 lakh 368.8 10,146 405.5 10,831 414.9 0.0 11,395 3.8
211/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
…accompanied with a rise in the active investor base: In line with new investor
registrations, the number of active individual investors has also been rising across regions
since November 2023. The active individual investor base rose by 4.3% MoM and crossed
1.5 crore in Feb’24. Region-wise, the Northern India saw an addition of 2.97 lakh active
investors during the month to 54 lakh total investors that traded during the month. This
was followed by Western, Southern and Eastern regions, that saw active investor base
rising to 56.4 lakh, 27.4 lakh and 15.5 lakh respectively in February 2024.
Figure 251: Region-wise distribution of monthly individual investors’ turnover in the cash market
Rs lakh cr
East India North India South India West India
8.0
7.0 6.61
6.0 5.67
5.0
3.76
4.0
3.0
2.0 1.54
1.0
0.0
May-…
May-…
Jul-22
Sep-22
Jul-23
Sep-23
Mar-22
Nov-22
Nov-23
Oct-22
Jan-23
Mar-23
Oct-23
Jan-24
Feb-22
Feb-23
Feb-24
Jun-22
Aug-22
Jun-23
Aug-23
Apr-22
Dec-22
Apr-23
Dec-23
Source: NSE EPR. Note: Individual investors include Individual / Proprietorship firms and HUF
212/239
Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 252: Region-wise distribution of individual investors traded in the cash market
lakhs
East India North India South India West India
6.0 5.64
5.40
5.0
4.0
3.0 2.74
2.0 1.55
1.0
0.0
May-…
May-…
Jul-22
Sep-22
Jul-23
Sep-23
Nov-22
Nov-23
Mar-22
Oct-22
Mar-23
Oct-23
Feb-22
Jan-23
Jan-24
Jun-22
Feb-23
Aug-22
Jun-23
Feb-24
Aug-23
Apr-22
Dec-22
Apr-23
Dec-23
Source: NSE EPR. Note: Individual investors include Individual / Proprietorship firms and HUF .
Share of Western region in individual turnover further rose in February 2024: The
distributional pattern of turnover across regions has been getting incrementally more
concentrated to Western and Northern regions. The share of Northern India in overall
individual investors’ turnover saw a marginal fall of 0.1% which has been rising since April
2023, up 3.5 bps since then to 31.8% currently. The share of Western India has been
steadily rising since Nov’23 and stood at 37.1% in the month of February. The share of
Southern and Eastern India, on the other hand, also experienced a marginal fall bring their
share to 21.1% and 8.6% respectively.
The distributional shift has been even starker in terms of active investors: The
distributional pattern of active investors over the past three years has witnessed a notable
shift. The Northern region's share of active investors increased by 51bps to 34.7% in
February 2024, while the Western region saw a decline of 78bps MoM to 36.23%.
Notably, the gap between the two has fallen to a near three-year low of 1.5% now from
12.4% in February 2021. The southern region saw its share remaining fairly steady at
17.6% in February, even though it has been steadily falling for the last three years. The
Eastern region’s share inched up by another 28bps to 10%.
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Figure 253: Region-wise share of individual investors’ Figure 254: Region-wise share of individual investors
turnover in cash market (%) traded in cash market (%)
East India North India East India North India
South India West India South India West India
45% 45%
40% 37.1% 40% 36.2%
35% 31.8% 35%
34.7%
30% 30%
25% 21.1% 25%
17.6%
20% 20%
15% 15% 10.0%
8.6%
10% 10%
5% 5%
0% 0%
Oct-22
Oct-23
Feb-22
Jun-22
Feb-23
Feb-24
Jun-23
Apr-22
Aug-22
Dec-22
Apr-23
Aug-23
Dec-23
Oct-22
Oct-23
Feb-22
Feb-23
Feb-24
Jun-22
Apr-22
Aug-22
Jun-23
Dec-22
Apr-23
Aug-23
Dec-23
Source: NSE EPR. Note: Individual investors include Individual / Proprietorship firms and HUF.
Share of top 10 states in the overall individual turnover fall marginally in February
2024: Individual turnover saw a marginal decline in the top 10 states. Total turnover
within the individual segment contracted by 3.2% MoM, reaching Rs 14.1 lakh crore.
Maharashtra and Gujarat maintained their positions in the top three states in terms of
total individual turnover, with turnover of Rs 3.78 lakh crore and Rs 2.17 lakh crore
respectively, whereas Delhi took over Uttar Pradesh’s position in the top three with Rs
1.28 lakh crore while Uttar Pradesh stood with a turnover of 1.27 lakh crore. The share of
top 10 states saw a broad-based marginal decline of less than 1% from January 2024.
…but the active investor base increased: Aligned with the increase in new investor
registrations, the count of active individual investors surged in the top 10 states,
registering a total increase of 3.8% MoM to 1.2 crore in February 2024. Maharashtra
maintained its lead in terms of active investors, experiencing a 2% increase to 30.1 lakh.
Following closely, Gujarat saw an increase of 1% to reach 19.4 lakh active investors.
Additionally, a significant rise was observed in Uttar Pradesh and West Bengal, with an
increase of 7% MoM to 15.4 lakh and 7.3% MoM to 9.2 lakh active total investors,
respectively.
Figure 255: Top 10 states based on turnover of individual investors in the cash market
Rs lakh crore Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24
5
4 3.78
4
Turnover of active investors
3 2.17
2
2 1.27 1.28
1.05 1.07 1.04
0.89
1 0.77 0.74
0
Maharashtra Gujarat Uttar Pradesh Delhi West Bengal Karnataka Rajasthan Tamil Nadu Haryana Telangana
Source: NSE EPR.
Note: Individual investors include Individual / Proprietorship firms and HUF. The top ten states are chosen based on last month’s data.
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Figure 256: Top 10 states based on individual investors traded in the cash market
In lakhs
35
30.09 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24
30
25
no of active investors
19.39
20
15.41
15
9.24 9.24
10 8.37 7.95 7.23
6.33 5.65
5
0
Maharashtra Gujarat Uttar Rajasthan West Bengal Karnataka Delhi Tamil Nadu Madhya Haryana
Pradesh Pradesh
Source: NSE EPR.
Note: Individual investors include Individual / Proprietorship firms and HUF. The top ten states are chosen based on last month’s data.
…however, there is a moderate decline in active investor base share: The share of
active individual investors in the cash market remained concentrated in a select few
states. The contribution of the top 10 states experienced a moderate decline to 76.4% in
Feb’24, compared to 76.7% in Jan’24 (vs 77.18% in Dec’23). The share of Maharashtra
saw a marginal decline of 42 bps to 19.3% in Feb’24 along with Gujarat’s share also
declining by 41 bps to 12.5% in February. Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, and West Bengal
maintained their positions at the third place with a 9.91% share (+26 bps), fourth with a
5.9% share (+5 bps), and fifth with a 5.9% (17 bps) share respectively among the highest-
contributing states.
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Figure 257: Top 10 states share based on turnover of individual investors in the cash market
21.51%
20%
in cash market
15%
12.36%
10%
7.23% 7.29%
5.95% 6.08% 5.90%
5.08%
4.39% 4.21%
5%
0%
Maharashtra Gujarat Uttar Pradesh Delhi West Bengal Karnataka Rajasthan Tamil Nadu Haryana Telangana
Source: NSE EPR. Note: Individual investors include Individual / Proprietorship firms and HUF. The top ten states are chosen based on last month’s data.
Figure 258: Top 10 states share based on number of individual investors traded in the cash market
20%
19.34%
% Share of active Investors
in cash Market
15%
12.46%
9.91%
10%
5.94% 5.94%
5.38% 5.11% 4.65%
5% 4.07% 3.63%
0%
Maharashtra Gujarat Uttar Pradesh Rajasthan West Bengal Karnataka Delhi Tamil Madhya Haryana
Nadu Pradesh
Source: NSE EPR. Note: Individual investors include Individual / Proprietorship firms and HUF. The top ten states are chosen based on last month’s data.
The top 10 district individual investors’ turnover falls in February 2024…: The
turnover of individual investors in the top 10 districts by turnover experienced a moderate
decline. The total turnover within the individual segment in these districts declined by
3.65% MoM to Rs 7.97 lakh crore. Mumbai and Delhi maintained their positions as the top
two districts in terms of total individual turnover, with a turnover of Rs 2.3 lakh crore (-
5.0% MoM) and Rs 1.9 lakh crore (-3.3% MoM) respectively. The turnover in Kolkata also
witnessed a 7.2% MoM fall in individual investors’ turnover to Rs 45k crore, while Surat
saw a marginal increase of 68 bps maintaining the turnover at Rs 40k crore. Additionally,
Chenni and Bengaluru experienced notable decline of 4.5% and 4.9% MoM, with
turnovers around Rs 28k crore and 65k crore, respectively.
…as the active investor base grows marginally: In line with new investor registrations,
the number of active individual investors registered a slow growth across all districts, with
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a total increase of 2.5% MoM to 47.54 lakh in February 2024. Mumbai continued to lead
in terms of active investors, with a 1.3% increase to 12.65 lakh active investors. Notable
increases were also observed in Delhi (NCR) and Jaipur, rising by 5.4% to 11.9 lakh and
4.7% to 2.1 lakh active total investors, respectively. However, Ahmedabad, although
maintaining its position as the third-largest district in terms of active investors, recorded
a marginal decline of 54 bps in February 2024, totaling 4.5 lakh investors.
3 2.32
1.91
2
1
0.73
0.65
0.47 0.45 0.40
1 0.39 0.36
0.28
0
Mumbai Delhi - NCR Ahmedabad Bengaluru Pune Kolkata Hyderabad Jaipur Surat Chennai
Source: NSE EPR.
Note: 1) Mumbai (MH/TN/RG); 2) Individual investors include Individual / Proprietorship firms and HUF. The top ten districts are chosen based on last month’s data.
Figure 260: Top 10 districts based on individual investors traded in the cash market
Lakhs
14
12.65
11.92 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24
12
10
total active investors
in cash market
6
4.54
4.05
4 3.58 3.33
2.12 1.96 1.70 1.70
2
0
Mumbai Delhi - NCR Ahmedabad Pune Bengaluru Surat Jaipur Kolkata Rajkot Hyderabad
Source: NSE EPR.
Note: 1) Mumbai (MH/TN/RG); 2) Individual investors include Individual / Proprietorship firms and HUF. The top ten districts are chosen based on last month’s data.
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individual investors’ turnover with a 4.1% share, fourth with a 3.7% share, and fifth with
2.7% share respectively among the highest-contributing districts.
…coupled with a moderate decline in active investor base share: The concentration of
active individual investors in the cash market remains predominantly within a few specific
districts. The contribution of the top 10 districts dropped for the third month in a row by
nearly 50bps MoM to 31% in Feb’24—the lowest since the period of our analysis (March
2021). The share of Mumbai saw a marginal decline to 8.2%, down from 8.5% in Jan’24,
while that of Delhi-NCR increased by 9bps MoM to 7.78%. Ahmedabad, Pune, and
Bengaluru remained at the third place in terms of active investor base with a 3.0% share,
fourth with a 2.6% share, and fifth with a 2.3% share respectively, among the highest-
contributing districts.
Figure 261: Top 10 districts share based on individual turnover in the cash market
16%
Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24
14% 13.01%
12%
10.73%
%share of cash turnover
10%
8%
6%
4.12%
3.66%
4%
2.66% 2.52% 2.25% 2.02% 2.21%
1.58%
2%
0%
Mumbai Delhi - NCR Ahmedabad Bengaluru Pune Kolkata Hyderabad Surat Jaipur Chennai
Source: NSE EPR
Note: 1) Mumbai (MH/TN/RG); 2) Individual investors include Individual / Proprietorship firms and HUF. The top ten districts are chosen based on last month’s data.
Figure 262: Top 10 districts share based on individual investors traded in the cash market
Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24
10%
9% 8.25%
7.78%
8%
investors in cash market
7%
% of of individual
6%
5%
4%
2.96%
3% 2.64%
2.33% 2.17%
2% 1.28% 1.38%
1.11% 1.11%
1%
0%
Mumbai Delhi - NCR Ahmedabad Pune Bengaluru Surat Kolkata Jaipur Hyderabad Rajkot
Source: NSE EPR
Note: 1) Mumbai (MH/TN/RG); 2) Individual investors include Individual / Proprietorship firms and HUF. The top ten districts are chosen based on last month’s data.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Table 88: Top-10 symbols based on total turnover of NSE CM segment in February 2024
Symbol (Rs Cr) Feb-24 Jan-24 %Change
The turnover of top-10 scrips in stock futures increased to Rs 6.8 lakh crore (+9.9% MoM)
while the overall segment turnover increased marginally to Rs 29.7 lakh crore (+1% MoM)
in Feb-24. The top-10 scrips contributed 23% (+187bps MoM) of overall turnover in the
segment, with five scrips recording MoM growth and the remaining five scrips
experiencing decline in turnover. HDFC Bank continued to be the top traded scrip for stock
futures segment.
Table 89: Top-10 symbols based on total turnover of stock futures in February 2024
Symbol (Rs Cr) Feb-24 Jan-24 %Change
Similarly, the premium turnover of top-10 scrips in stock options increased to Rs 47,402
crore (+8.4% MoM) while overall segment turnover registered a marginal drop to Rs 1.7
lakh crore (-3% MoM) in Feb-24. These top-10 scrips contributed 27.5% (+290 bps MoM)
of the overall stock options premium turnover in the segment, with four scrips registering
MoM growth and the remaining six scrips registering MoM decline in turnover. State Bank
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March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
of India exhibited a notable growth in turnover during the month, surpassing HDFC Bank
to become the most traded scrip in the segment.
Table 90: Top-10 symbols based on total premium turnover of stock options in February 2024
Symbol (Rs Cr) Feb-24 Jan-24 %Change
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Record statistics
NSE commodity options recorded an all-time high premium turnover in Feb-24:
Commodity options recorded the highest ever premium turnover of Rs 18.5 crore on
February 15th, 2024, surpassing the record registered in January. Stock futures recorded
a lifetime high of Rs 3.5 lakh crore on January 23rd, 2024, which was 2.6x the ADT during
the month and 3x the ADT during the FY24 (Apr-23 to Feb-24).
The turnover in CM segment had registered a record turnover of Rs 1.7 lakh crore as on
November 30th, 2023, which was more than double of the ADT recorded during FY24.
Index options recorded a turnover of Rs 1 lakh crore premium turnover on February 1st,
2023, which was nearly 1.9x higher the daily average of Rs 55,911 crore attained during
FY24. While equity derivatives turnover registered healthy growth in the current fiscal,
index futures, currency futures and currency options recorded highest day turnover in the
previous fiscal year.
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50,00,000
2,000
40,00,000
1,500
30,00,000
1,000
20,00,000
500
10,00,000
0 0
Feb-21
Oct-21
Feb-22
Oct-22
Feb-23
Oct-23
Feb-24
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jun-23
Dec-20
Apr-21
Aug-21
Dec-21
Apr-22
Aug-22
Dec-22
Apr-23
Aug-23
Dec-23
Net Inflow (+ve)/Outflow (-ve) for the month (Rs cr) - RHS
20,00,000 2,00,000
18,00,000
1,00,000
16,00,000
14,00,000 0
12,00,000
(1,00,000)
10,00,000
(2,00,000)
8,00,000
6,00,000 (3,00,000)
4,00,000
(4,00,000)
2,00,000
0 (5,00,000)
Oct-21
Oct-22
Oct-23
Feb-21
Jun-21
Feb-22
Jun-22
Feb-23
Feb-24
Jun-23
Aug-21
Aug-22
Aug-23
Dec-20
Apr-21
Dec-21
Apr-22
Dec-22
Apr-23
Dec-23
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…aided by strong SIP inflows: Individual investors continued buying Indian equities via
direct as well as indirect routes in February. Net inflows by individual investors directly
into NSE listed companies stood at Rs 25,047 crores during the month. Notwithstanding
the underperformance of Indian equities vis-à-vis EMs and DMs, indirect participation via
SIPs has been quite strong. Net SIP inflows into mutual funds touched a fresh record high
of Rs 19,187 crores in February, up 2% MoM, translating into average SIP inflows of Rs
16,359 crore in FY24 vs. Rs 12,935 crores in FY23, implying a robust growth of 26%. The
SIP AUM at Rs 10.5 lakh crore is now nearly one-fifth of the overall industry AUM.
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
Oct-23
Oct-16
Feb-17
Oct-17
Feb-18
Oct-18
Feb-19
Oct-19
Feb-20
Oct-20
Feb-21
Oct-21
Feb-22
Oct-22
Feb-23
Feb-24
Jun-16
Jun-17
Jun-18
Jun-19
Jun-20
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jun-23
Source: AMFI, NSE EPR.
Majority of the overall AUM is actively managed: Out of the overall industry AUM of Rs
54.5 lakh crore as of Feb’24, nearly Rs 45 lakh crore or 83% was actively managed. Within
the pure equity AUM of Rs 29.3 lakh crore (+3.6% MoM), which is 54% of the overall MF
AUM, passive equity funds comprised of 22% or Rs 6.3 lakh crore (+3.3% MoM), of which
ETFs accounted for an 85% share. The balance Rs 23 lakh crore was in active equity funds
(+3.7% MoM). The total debt AUM stood at Rs 16.8 lakh crore as of February-end (+1.7%
MoM, 31% of the overall AUM), out of which only 12%, i.e. Rs 2 lakh crore (+1.1% MoM),
was contributed by passive debt funds, with the balance Rs 14.8 lakh crore (+1.7% MoM)
being actively managed. The AUM of hybrid funds stood at Rs 7.3 lakh crore (+4.7% MoM)
in February, with its share increasing for the eighth month in a row to 13.4% in Feb’24
from 13.2% in the previous month.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Table 92: Monthly trend of average AUM of mutual funds across categories
Rs crore Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24 % share
Total MF AUM 47,79,015 47,80,422 48,74,813 51,09,072 52,89,008 54,52,487 100
Equity 24,54,379 24,48,014 25,16,948 27,25,654 28,30,247 29,33,269 53.8
Active 19,12,484 19,08,538 19,66,076 21,25,193 22,13,373 22,95,989 42.1
Passive 5,41,895 5,39,476 5,50,872 6,00,461 6,16,875 6,37,281 11.7
Index funds 71,560 72,349 75,744 84,527 90,096 96,121 1.8
Domestic 67,825 68,747 71,963 80,549 86,039 91,899 1.7
International 3,734 3,602 3,782 3,978 4,057 4,222 0.1
ETFs 4,70,335 4,67,128 4,75,128 5,15,934 5,26,779 5,41,159 9.9
Domestic 4,61,377 4,58,391 4,65,885 5,06,220 5,16,764 5,30,478 9.7
International 8,958 8,737 9,243 9,714 10,014 10,682 0.2
Debt 16,36,613 16,28,639 16,31,963 16,14,928 16,54,389 16,81,748 30.8
Active 14,38,820 14,29,947 14,32,904 14,15,899 14,54,256 14,79,320 27.1
Passive 1,97,793 1,98,692 1,99,059 1,99,029 2,00,133 2,02,428 3.7
Index funds 1,08,602 1,08,706 1,09,184 1,09,050 1,07,976 1,08,213 2.0
ETFs 89,191 89,986 89,875 89,979 92,158 94,215 1.7
Hybrid 5,96,839 6,12,579 6,30,997 6,69,433 7,00,302 7,33,273 13.4
Others* 91,184 91,190 94,905 99,056 1,04,069 1,04,196 1.9
*Others include Gold and silver ETFs, other ETFs and index funds, solution-oriented schemes, interval schemes, fund of funds investing overseas in active and passive
funds.
Growth is primarily led by active equity schemes: The AUM of active equity or growth-
oriented schemes has been consistently rising since 2020, rising 239% since March
2020. In February, the active equity AUM rose 3.7% MoM/50.3% YoY to Rs 23 lakh crore,
slightly higher than the 3.1% MoM increase in the overall industry’s AUM. A large part of
this is attributed to robust inflows into equity mutual funds through SIPs as mentioned
above. The share of active equity funds in the overall AUM rose further to 42.1% in Feb’24
from 37.5% in the year-ago period. The AUM of active debt-oriented schemes increased
by 1.7% MoM (+11.5% YoY, +14% since Mar’20) to Rs 14.8 lakh crore in Feb’24.
However, the share of the active debt AUM dropped for the eighth month in a row to
27.1% in Feb’24 as compared to 27.5% in the previous month. On a YoY basis, the share
dropped 547bps from 32.6% in Feb’23.
Figure 266: Share of overall mutual fund AUM across asset classes
February 2023 February 2024
Others Others
17% Active Equity 17% Active Equity
38% 42%
Hybrid Hybrid
12% 14%
Active Debt
33% Active Debt
27%
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
50
7.3
40
14.8
30
20
23.0
10
-
Oct-20
Oct-21
Oct-22
Oct-23
Feb-20
Jun-20
Feb-21
Jun-21
Feb-22
Jun-22
Feb-23
Feb-24
Jun-23
Apr-20
Aug-20
Dec-20
Apr-21
Aug-21
Dec-21
Apr-22
Aug-22
Dec-22
Apr-23
Aug-23
Dec-23
Source: CMIE Economic Outlook, AMFI, NSE EPR.
* Others include all passive funds (Index funds and ETFs), solution-oriented schemes, interval schemes, fund of funds investing overseas in active and passive funds.
50.0
42.1
40.0
30.0
27.1
20.0
17.3
13.4
10.0
-
Oct-20
Oct-21
Oct-22
Oct-23
Feb-20
Jun-20
Feb-21
Jun-21
Feb-22
Jun-22
Feb-23
Feb-24
Jun-23
Apr-20
Aug-20
Dec-20
Apr-21
Aug-21
Dec-21
Apr-22
Aug-22
Dec-22
Apr-23
Aug-23
Dec-23
Equity AUM remained concentrated in a few states in February 2024: Maharashtra and
Gujarat together account for 37.3% of the overall equity mutual fund AUM in Feb’24, same
as the previous month. Among larger states, Maharashtra’s and Karnataka’s share inched
up 4bps to 28.93% and 8.1% respectively in Feb’24, while that of Delhi increased by 5bps
to 7.8%. The share of Gujarat, Uttar Pradesh and West Bengal remained unchanged at
8.4%, 6.5% and 6% respectively during the month. These top six states together accounted
for 65.6% of the equity AUM share. The remaining states contributed less than 5% each to
the overall equity AUM of the mutual fund industry.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 269: State-wise distribution of Equity schemes AUM in Feb’23 and Feb’24
February 2023 February 2024
Fund mobilization through new schemes increased in February 2024: In the last five
years, the total fund mobilized through new schemes was highest in 2021 at Rs 96,341
crore. The total number of newly launched schemes had been steadily rising from 81 in
2020 to 228 in 2022. The year 2023 saw a reversal in this trend, with the number of
schemes dropping to 212. Despite that, the fund mobilized through these schemes stood
at Rs 63,930 crore in 2023 as compared to Rs 62,187 crore in 2022. The average fund
mobilized per scheme increased from Rs 273 crore in 2022 to Rs 302 crore in 2023. In
February, the number of new schemes stood at 22 vs. 20 in the previous month, with total
fund mobilization of Rs 11,720 translating into per scheme mobilization of Rs 533 crore,
up 56% MoM. Of the total number of schemes, 1,399 were open-ended schemes, 118
were close-ended and the rest 12 were interval schemes.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Funds mobilized through new schemes (Rs cr) - RHS Average fund mobilised (Rs cr)
4,500 25,000
4,000
3,500 20,000
3,000
15,000
2,500
2,000
10,000
1,500
1,000 5,000
500
0 0
Oct-21
Oct-22
Oct-23
Feb-21
Feb-22
Feb-23
Feb-24
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jun-23
Dec-20
Apr-21
Aug-21
Dec-21
Apr-22
Aug-22
Dec-22
Apr-23
Aug-23
Dec-23
Source: AMFI, NSE EPR.
Rs cr
Amount raised through new schemes
Sum of Funds mobilised Sum of No. of new schemes - RHS
1,00,000 250
80,000 200
60,000 150
40,000 100
20,000 50
- 0
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
We used data from the World Federation of Exchanges (WFE) over the period Jan’21-Feb’24, covering a total of 123
exchanges, 63 of which are from the EMEA region, 36 from Asia-Pacific, and the rest from the Americas. We have also
highlighted NSE's share across asset classes in cash and spot markets based on market capitalization and trading
activity. The key takeaways of the analysis are as follows.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
MoM) followed by SSE with 66 crore trades (-13% MoM) in Feb’24. Among the top
10 exchanges, SZSE, SSE, KRX, CBOE Group and CBOE Europe saw a decrease in
no. of trades ranging between 1-13% in Feb’24.
On an annual basis, SZSE has remained at the top with 945 crore trades in 2021,
1,130 in 2022 and 1,077 crores in 2023 with a global market share of 23%. SZSE
continued to be at the top with 181 crore trades while NSE reached the second spot
in 2024 (as of Feb’24) with 170 crore trades as compared to 140 crore trades by
SSE. NSE’s share had dropped from 11.8% in 2021 to 10.2% in 2022 but increased
to 12% in 2023 and increased further to 19.2% in 2024 (as of Feb’24, based on the
data available). Among the top 10 exchanges, only NSE and JPX saw an increase in
market share.
• NSE continues to lead the global markets in equity derivatives segment: NSE’s
global market share has seen a significant jump in terms of contracts traded with
its share increasing from 35% in 2021 to 56% in 2022 and a whopping 74% in
2023. This share further increased to 87% in 2024 (as of Feb’24) with 2,096 crore
contracts traded. This increase in market share led to a decrease in share of the
rest of the top 10 exchanges except Tehran Stock Exchange which saw an increase
in market share from 1.1% in 2023 to 1.5% in 2024 (as of Feb’24). B3 stood at
second spot with its share dropping from 12.1% in 2022 to 6.3% in 2023 to 1.8%
in 2024 (as of Feb’24), followed by Tehran Stock Exchange whose market share
increased from 1.1% in 2023 to 1.5% in 2024 and Korea Stock Exchange whose
market shares declined from 1.7% to 1.4% during the same period.
• NSE maintained its fourth spot in stock futures in February 2024: NSE stood at
the fourth spot in the stock futures segment with contracts traded dropping slightly
to 3.5 crore (-4% MoM) as compared to 3.6 crore in the previous month. The first
two positions were held by Borsa Istanbul (16 crore contracts traded, +6% MoM)
and Korea Exchange (9 crore contracts traded, -3% MoM) respectively. Among the
top 10 exchanges, ICE Futures Group (+46% MoM) and Athens Stock Exchange
(+39% MoM) witnessed a substantial increase to 9 lakh and 6 lakh contracts traded
respectively in Feb’24.
• NSE maintained its third spot in the stock options for three months in a
row: Major exchanges displayed volatility in terms of contracts traded in the stock
options. Tehran saw a 45% MoM drop in contracts traded to 13 crore and slipped
to the second spot. Nasdaq reached the first spot with a 4% MoM increase to 16.4
crore contracts traded as compared to 15.8 crore in the previous month. After
reaching third spot in the previous month, NSE maintained its ranking despite a 3%
MoM drop in contracts traded to 11.7 crore in Feb’24. CBOE Global Markets and B3
also remained at the fourth and fifth spot respectively with 11.4 crore and 10.9
crore contracts traded in Feb’24. Among the top 10 exchanges, only NSE and
Tehran Stock Exchange witnessed a MoM decrease in contracts traded.
• NSE maintained its global dominance in the equity index options: NSE has
consistently maintained global leadership position in equity index options with
98% market share, despite a slight drop in contracts traded by 5% MoM to 1,006
crores in Feb’24 as compared to 1,057 crores in the previous month. CBOE Global
Markets retained its second spot with 8 crore contracts traded in Feb’24. This was
followed by Korea Exchange with 5.7 crore (-23% MoM), CME Group with 3.7 crore
(+5% MoM) and DBAG with 3.1 crore (-7% MoM) contracts traded respectively in
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March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Feb’24. Among the top 10 exchanges, Taiwan Stock Exchange and Tel-Aviv Stock
Exchange witnessed significant decline to 80 lakh (-53% MoM) and 19 lakh (-26%
MoM) contracts traded in Feb’24. Overall, the top 10 exchanges saw an average
drop of 5% in contracts traded.
• NSE reached the seventh spot in equity index futures: After reaching the eighth
spot in Dec’23, NSE climbed further to seventh spot despite number of traded
contracts traded dropping to 97 lakhs in Feb’24 as compared to 98 lakhs in the
previous month. B3 - Brazil Bolsa Balco continued to lead in this segment with 27
crore contracts traded accounting for 57% global market share. This was followed
by CME Group at 9.6 crores contracts traded (-7% MoM). JPX and DBAG stood at
third and fourth spot with 3 crore and 2.7 crore contracts traded respectively in
Feb’24. All the top 10 exchanges saw a decrease in contracts traded, except JPX
and Borsa Istanbul.
• NSE retained its top rank in the currency derivatives segment: NSE has been the
world's largest exchange in the currency options segment for more than three
years. NSE saw a 22% MoM drop in contracts traded to 24 crores with its market
share dropping slightly to 98.3% in Feb’24 as compared to 98.7% in the previous
month. Johannesburg Stock Exchange, CME Group and Tel-Aviv Stock Exchange —
the next three exchanges in the top-10 — registered 23 lakhs, 8 lakhs and 7 lakhs
traded contracts respectively. After reaching the first position in Nov’23, NSE
maintained its top spot in the currency futures segment despite a 25% MoM drop
in contracts traded to 5.4 crores in Feb’24. B3 stood at the second spot with 4.8
crore contracts traded in Feb’24. The third and fourth position was held by CME
Group and Matba Rofex with 1.6 crores (-10% MoM) and 1.3 crore contracts traded
leading to 11% and 9% market share respectively in Feb’24.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Figure 272: Domestic market cap of top ranked Figure 273: Number of trades in Cash market of top ten
exchanges* exchanges*
a. Domestic market capitalization (US$trn) b. Number of trades - Cash market (cr)
crores Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23
NYSE Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24
120.0
Nasdaq
Euronext 100.0
86.5 84.3
Feb-24 Feb-23
SSE 80.0
Feb-22
65.7
JPX
60.0
NSE
40.8
40.0 34.2
SZSE
26.2 25.4
HKEX 17.4
20.0
11.5
4.7
TMX Group
0.0
NSE
Global
Europe
Nasdaq
NYSE
CBOE
Tadawul
SSE
KRX
SZSE
BIST
JPX
Cboe
0.0 3.0 6.0 9.0 12.0 15.0 18.0 21.0 24.0
Source: WFE monthly statistics, NSE EPR. Source: WFE monthly statistics, NSE EPR.
# Due to unavailability of equity data for the month of Feb’24 for NYSE and # Due to unavailability of equity data for the month of Feb’24 and Jan’24 for CBOE
Euronext, data for the month of Jan’24 has been used for analysis. Global, data for the month of Dec’23 has been used for analysis. Due to
unavailability of equity data for the month of Feb’24 for NYSE, data for the month
of Jan’24 has been used for analysis.
Table 93: No. of trades (cr) in the top 10 exchanges in Table 94: Global market share of trades in the top 10
cash market* exchanges in cash market*
2024 2024
Exchange 2022 2023 Exchange 2022 2023
(Jan-Feb) (Jan-Feb)
SZSE 1,130 1,064 181 SZSE 23.3% 22.8% 20.4%
NSE 496 553 170 NSE 10.2% 11.9% 19.2%
SSE 811 750 141 SSE 16.7% 16.1% 15.9%
KRX 399 473 85 KRX 8.2% 10.1% 9.6%
Nasdaq 454 391 67 Nasdaq 9.4% 8.4% 7.6%
CBOE Global # 383 298 53 CBOE Global # 7.9% 6.4% 5.9%
NYSE # 362 303 51 NYSE # 7.5% 6.5% 5.7%
BIST 88 166 31 BIST 1.8% 3.6% 3.5%
JPX 92 103 21 JPX 1.9% 2.2% 2.4%
CBOE Europe 79 60 10 CBOE Europe 1.6% 1.3% 1.1%
Source: WFE monthly statistics, NSE EPR. Source: WFE monthly statistics, NSE EPR.
# Due to unavailability of equity data for the month of Feb’24 and Jan’24 for CBOE # Due to unavailability of equity data for the month of Feb’24 and Jan’24 for CBOE
Global, data for the month of Dec’23 has been used for analysis. Due to unavailability Global, data for the month of Dec’23 has been used for analysis. Due to
of equity data for the month of Feb’24 for NYSE, data for the month of Jan’24 has unavailability of equity data for the month of Feb’24 for NYSE, data for the month
of Jan’24 has been used for analysis.
been used for analysis.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Table 95: No. of contracts traded (cr) in the top 10 Table 96: Global market share of contracts traded in
exchanges in equity derivatives segment* the top 10 exchanges in equity derivatives segment*
2024 2024
Exchange 2022 2023 Exchange 2022 2023
(Jan-Feb) (Jan-Feb)
NSE 3,378 8,021 2,096 NSE 56.2% 74.1% 86.7%
B3 # 729 680 44 B3 # 12.1% 6.3% 1.8%
TSE 21 122 36 TSE 0.4% 1.1% 1.5%
KRX 187 185 34 KRX 3.1% 1.7% 1.4%
Nasdaq 179 178 32 Nasdaq 3.0% 1.6% 1.3%
BIST 259 195 32 BIST 4.3% 1.8% 1.3%
CME Group 192 167 27 CME Group 3.2% 1.5% 1.1%
NYSE 109 106 21 NYSE 1.8% 1.0% 0.9%
MIAX 77 94 17 MIAX 3.8% 2.2% 0.8%
DBAG 123 114 16 DBAG 1.3% 0.9% 0.7%
Source: WFE monthly statistics, NSE EPR. Source: WFE monthly statistics, NSE EPR.
# Due to unavailability of derivatives data for the month of Feb’24 and Jan’24 for # Due to unavailability of derivatives data for the month of Feb’24 and Jan’24 for
B3, data for Dec’23 has been used. B3, data for Dec’23 has been used.
Table 97: Number of contracts traded (cr) traded in Table 98: Number of contracts traded (cr) traded in
Stock futures of top-ranked exchanges* Stock options of top-ranked exchanges*
2022 2023 2024 2022 2023 2024
Exchange % YoY Exchange % YoY
(Jan-Feb) (Jan-Feb) (Jan-Feb) (Jan-Feb) (Jan-Feb) (Jan-Feb)
BIST 34.9 30.4 30.9 1.7 TSE 0.9 5.5 36.4 567.0
KRX 15.9 14.9 18.2 22.5 Nasdaq 31.7 29.7 32.2 8.2
B3 # 24.9 23.5 11.7 -50.1 NSE 12.1 14.4 23.8 65.4
NSE 4.9 4.7 7.0 51.4 CBOE Global # 26.0 24.3 22.9 -6.0
BME Spanish 0.8 0.6 1.4 123.0 B3 # 28.4 27.0 21.7 -19.5
DBAG 0.9 0.9 0.8 -4.9 NYSE 19.6 19.5 21.1 8.2
TAIFEX 0.8 0.5 0.8 57.8 MIAX 13.7 16.0 17.3 8.1
TFEX 1.2 0.9 0.5 -46.8 ISE 9.9 8.9 12.4 39.5
ICE Fut. Europe 0.2 0.2 0.1 -22.5 DBAG 3.5 2.9 2.9 0.3
Athens 0.1 0.2 0.1 -34.9 IFB 2.4 0.7 2.2 230.6
Source: WFE monthly statistics, NSE EPR. Source: WFE monthly statistics, NSE EPR.
# Due to unavailability of derivatives data for the month of Feb’24 and Jan’24 for # Due to unavailability of derivatives data for the month of Feb’24 and Jan’24
B3, data for Dec’23 has been used. for B3 and CBOE Global, data for Dec’23 has been used.
Table 99: Number of contracts traded (cr) in Index Table 100: Number of contracts traded (cr) in Index
futures of top ranked exchanges* options of top ranked exchanges*
2022 2023 2024 2022 2023 2024
Exchange % YoY Exchange % YoY
(Jan-Feb) (Jan-Feb) (Jan-Feb) (Jan-Feb) (Jan-Feb) (Jan-Feb)
B3 # 77.2 61.8 53.8 -12.9 NSE 398.2 877.1 2,063.4 135.3
CME Group 27.8 21.6 19.8 -8.4 CBOE Global # 9.7 13.4 15.9 19.0
JPX 5.7 3.8 5.9 54.0 KRX 13.1 12.9 13.0 1.0
DBAG 7.3 6.7 5.5 -17.4 CME Group 5.0 4.9 7.2 45.6
SGX 2.8 2.6 2.8 5.3 DBAG 7.2 7.0 6.3 -9.3
HKEX 1.8 2.1 2.6 21.3 TAIFEX 3.0 2.1 2.5 19.6
NSE 1.9 1.6 1.9 19.6 HKEX 0.4 0.6 0.7 15.2
KRX 1.9 1.8 1.8 2.4 JPX 0.4 0.4 0.5 36.8
TAIFEX 1.6 1.3 1.3 5.7 TASE 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.9
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Table 101: Number of contracts traded (cr) in Currency Table 102: Number of contracts traded (cr) in Currency
futures of top ranked exchanges* options of top ranked exchanges*
2022 2023 2024 2022 2023 2024
Exchange % YoY Exchange % YoY
(Jan-Feb) (Jan-Feb) (Jan-Feb) (Jan-Feb) (Jan-Feb) (Jan-Feb)
NSE 17.8 19.9 12.6 -36.4 NSE 45.6 68.5 54.5 -20.4
CME JSE # 0.1 0.4 0.5 10.6
3.1 3.1 3.4 11.6
Group
CME
MTR.BA 2.1 3.0 2.3 -23.5 0.2 0.1 0.2 2.4
Group
KRX 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.5 TASE 0.2 0.2 0.1 -31.2
SGX 0.4 0.6 0.8 38.9 BIST 0.002 0.011 0.020 85.8
BIST 1.4 0.9 0.7 -15.2 BET 0.0001 0.001 0.002 184.7
HKEX 0.0 0.1 0.3 446.2 SGX 0.0002 0.002 0.001 -67.3
TFEX 0.1 0.2 0.2 -18.9 MTR.BA 0.0003 0.0004 0.0002 -51.4
BMV 0.1 0.1 0.1 15.1 BMV 0.0001 0.0003 0.0002 -21.4
Source: WFE monthly statistics, NSE EPR. Source: WFE monthly statistics, NSE EPR.
# Due to unavailability of derivatives data for the month of Feb’24 and Jan’24 for
B3, data for Dec’23 has been used. Due to unavailability of derivatives data for the
month of Feb’24 for JSE, data for the month of Jan’24 has been used.
* ASX - Australian Securities Exchange, BIST - Borsa Istanbul, BME - Spanish Exchanges, BSE - BSE India Limited, HKEX - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing, ISE -
International Securities Exchange, JPX - Japan Exchange Group Inc., JSE - Johannesburg Stock Exchange, KRX - Korea Exchange, LSE – London Stock Exchange, MOEX
- Moscow Exchange, NSE - National Stock Exchange of India Ltd., NYSE – New York Stock Exchange, SGX - Singapore Exchange, SSE - Shanghai Stock Exchange, SZSE -
Shenzhen Stock Exchange, TMX – TMX Group, TSE - Tehran Stock Exchange, TFE - Taiwan Futures Exchange, Tadawul - Saudi Stock Exchange (Tadawul), TASE - Tel-Aviv
Stock Exchange, MIAX - Miami International Securities Exchange, DBAG - Deutsche Boerse AG, India INX - India International Exchange. Only WFE member exchanges
are included in the analysis.
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
Policy developments
India
Key policy measures by the SEBI during March 27 26F
SEBI extends the framework of QSBs to more stockbrokers in order to foster trust and
protect the interest of the investors. Previously, the list of QSBs followed four
parameters: 1. Total number of active clients, 2. Available total assets of clients with
stock broker, 3. Trading volumes and 4. The end of day margin obligation of all clients
March 11th, 2024 of each stock broker.
To strengthen the compliance and monitoring requirements the revised list of QSBs
shall include three additional parameters: 1. Compliance score, 2. Grievance redressal
score and 3. Proprietary trading volumes of the stock broker.
Once the updated list of QSBs is published, the QSBs that are no longer on the list shall
follow and comply the enhanced responsibilities for three additional financial years.
SEBI issued a circular on August 24, 2023, introducing additional disclosure mandates
for Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) meeting certain criteria, with specific exemptions
outlined in Para 8 of the circular. An update to this circular on March 20th, 2024,
exempts FPIs with over 50% of their Indian equity AUM in a corporate group from
these additional disclosures, given they comply with certain conditions, including the
March 20th, 2024 apex company of the corporate group having no identified promoter and the FPI's
holdings in the corporate group (excluding the apex company) not exceeding 50%.
Additionally, the collective holdings in the apex company by such FPIs must be below
3% of its total equity share capital. Custodians and Depositories are tasked with
monitoring this 3% threshold, making breaches public before the next trading day
starts. FPIs meeting these conditions won't need to realign their investments or make
additional disclosures unless the 3% limit is continuously met or exceeded over 10
trading days.
To prevent fraud and misuse of inoperative demat accounts and harmonize account
status across platforms, SEBI has amended its guidelines dated October 06, 2023.
March 20th, 2024
The decision aims to enhance the security of dematerialized securities transfers,
focusing on investor protection and stringent verification processes. The safeguards
include: emphasizing investor education on DIS preservation, barring pre-signed
blank DIS, mandating immediate reporting of lost DIS, ensuring DIS booklet issuance
through proper channels, limiting loose DIS issuance, implementing checks on
27
For more details, please visit http://www.sebi.gov.in:
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Market Pulse
March 2024 | Vol. 6, Issue 3
In January 2023, the MIIs fully implemented the T+1 settlement cycle which started
in a phase-wise manner. Considering the benefits of shortened settlement cycle on
March 21st,2024 cost, time, transparency in charges and enhanced risk management, SEBI approves to
develop a framework for introduction of a Beta version to T+0 settlement cycle in
addition to existing T+1 settlement cycle on optional basis. This Beta version of T+0
settlement cycle will be introduced in equity cash market for a limited set of 25 scrips
along with limited number of brokers.
28
https://www.sec.gov/news/press-release/2024-31
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The support of Mayur Sharma and Shardul Raje is gratefully acknowledged in the preparation of this report.
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