Mercados Capitales

Solver y tabla de semaforización para portafolios de renta variable

Presentado por:

Peraza Vanegas Angela Dayanna

Ramos Florez Jefferson Andres

Presentado a:
Edison Alexander Gonzalez Poveda

Grupo: 202410-1A-803

Fundación Universitaria del Área Andina

Facultad de Ciencias Administrativas, Económicas y Financieras
Finanzas y Negocios Internacionales
18 de Marzo de 2024
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 GRUPO
ENERGÍA
BOGOTÁ BANCO AV ENKA DE
FECHA MINEROS COLOMB ETB GRUPO ENERGÍA BOGOTÁ BANCO AV VILLAS
VILLAS
IA
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 GRUPO ENERGÍA BOGOTÁ BANCO AV VILLAS MINEROS ENKA DE COLOMBIA ETB
Rentabilidad -0.00230382130366324000 ### ### ### ###
Riesgo Primario 1.18448257840113 0.0015216449955984 0.02674497 0.0312141302034646 0.02848774

RENTABILIDAD Y RIEGO PRIMARIO

1.40000000000000000000

1.20000000000000000000

1.00000000000000000000

0.80000000000000000000

0.60000000000000000000

0.40000000000000000000

0.20000000000000000000

0.00000000000000000000
GRUPO BANCO AV MINEROS ENKA DE ETB
-0.20000000000000000000 ENERGÍA VILLAS COLOMBIA
BOGOTÁ

Rentabilidad Riesgo Primario

GRUPO ENERGÍA BOGOTÁ BANCO AV VILLAS MINEROS ENKA DE COLOMBIA ETB
Rentabilidad -$ 2,303.82 $ 137.76 -$ 3,416.21 $ 3,188.43 -$ 3,602.20
Riesgo Primario 118.45% 0.15% 2.67% 3.12% 2.85%

RENTABILIDAD Y RIEGO PRIMARIO

$ 4,000.00

$ 3,000.00

$ 2,000.00

$ 1,000.00

$ 0.00
GRUPO BANCO AV MINEROS ENKA DE ETB
-$ 1,000.00 ENERGÍA VILLAS COLOMBIA
BOGOTÁ
-$ 2,000.00

-$ 3,000.00

-$ 4,000.00
$ 1,000.00

$ 0.00
GRUPO BANCO AV MINEROS ENKA DE ETB
-$ 1,000.00 ENERGÍA VILLAS COLOMBIA
BOGOTÁ
-$ 2,000.00

-$ 3,000.00

-$ 4,000.00

Rentabilidad Riesgo Primario

Rentabilidad y riesgo primario:
La capacidad de generar rendimientos se conoce como rentabilidad.
En una inversión, los rendimientos futuros no son seguros. Pueden ser grandes o modestos, pueden no producirse, e incluso puede
significar perder el capital invertido. Esta incertidumbre se conoce como riesgo.
No existe inversión sin riesgo. Pero algunos productos implican más riesgo que otros.
Veamos la relacion de cada factor para cada espacie a continuacion:

BANCO AV VILLAS:
Su rentabilidad primaria oscila sobre 0,00014 y su riesgo primario es 0,0015
Aunque su rentabilidad es considerable, el riesgo es una variante que no se puede descuidar.

GRUPO ENERGIA BOGOTA:

Su rentabilidad primaria es de - 0,0023 y su riesgo primario es de 1,18.
A pesar de la reantbilidad disminuida, el alto riesgo sugiere que esta inversion pueda ser cambiante.

ENKA DE COLOMBIA:
Su rentabilidad primaria es de 0,0032 y su riesgo primario es de 0,0312.
A pesar del valor del riesgo, la rentabilidad es muy favorable.

MINEROS
Su rentabilidad primaria es de -0,0034 y su riesgo primario es de 0,0267.
Esta compañia implementa un riesgo importante en comparacion con su rentabilidad.

ETB
Su rentabilidad primaria es -0,0036 y su riesgo primario de 0,0285
Al igual que Mineros, esta especie cuenta con un riesgo significante en comparacion con su rentabilidad.

Rentabilidad secundaria y riesgo secundario:

En estos items podemos ver que el riesgo secundario es de 1,95

por lo que nos lleva a sugerir un mayor riesgo en la inversion.
 SEMAFORO DE PORCENTAJES POSIBLES DE INVERSION
Considerando toda la informacion previamente mencionada, el analisis de los porcentajes de
inversion sugiere que el total del capital disponible deberia destinarse exclusivamente a
ENKA DE COLOMBIA, esto implica que, con el fin de maximizarla rentabilidad, aunque
tambien conlleve un aumento en el nivel de riesgo, la totalidad de los recursos destinados a
la inversion deberian ser asignados a ENKA DE COLOMBIA. Esto representa el punto
inicial en la escala de posibles asignaciones de inversion.

TABLAS DE INTERVALOS DE RENTABILIDAD Y RIESGO

RENTABILIDAD SECUNDARIA 0.003214782559
RIESGO SECUNDARIO 0.000003871057
FECHA GRUPOAVAL PFCORFICOL CONCONCRET MINEROS ÉXITO
19/5/2022 835 19450 294 2667 13150
20/5/2022 810 19150 294 2680 13100
23/5/2022 810 19500 292 2695 13690
24/5/2022 810 19500 300 2715 13690
25/5/2022 790 19420 298 2690 13750
26/5/2022 790 19200 300 2710 13060
27/5/2022 770 19200 296 2681 12870
31/5/2022 833 20040 300 2903 12870
1/6/2022 834 19700 308 2938 12870
2/6/2022 839 19900 308 3149 12910
3/6/2022 898 19900 307 3139 12780
6/6/2022 898 19900 306 3105 13200
7/6/2022 836 19250 303 3045 13200
8/6/2022 836 19200 300 3040 12980
9/6/2022 822 18850 300 2945 12980
10/6/2022 810 18800 299 2930 12580
13/6/2022 810 18300 295 2885 12580
14/6/2022 810 18320 295 2850 12100
15/6/2022 787 18290 290 2790 12390
16/6/2022 787 18100 290 2815 12390
17/6/2022 802 18100 294 2805 11700
21/6/2022 760 17430 290 2600 10850
22/6/2022 768 17220 287 2490 11360
23/6/2022 845 16830 282 2380 10800
24/6/2022 845 17500 262 2410 11290
28/6/2022 845 16510 280 2415 11290
29/6/2022 845 16500 280 2360 11080
30/6/2022 757 16500 270 2360 11080
1/7/2022 757 16500 270 2310 11080
5/7/2022 757 16600 270 2480 11000
6/7/2022 750 16700 272 2400 11000
7/7/2022 769 16900 278 2390 10700
8/7/2022 769 16840 270 2171 11040
11/7/2022 769 16500 266 2370 11040
12/7/2022 769 16400 265 2340 10900
13/7/2022 750 16210 270 2340 10600
14/7/2022 737 15800 262 2285 10300
15/7/2022 713 15400 260 2230 10500
18/7/2022 713 15800 267 2200 10800
19/7/2022 716 16130 268 2180 10800
21/7/2022 730 16110 265 2170 10200
22/7/2022 745 16110 267 2125 10190
25/7/2022 745 15900 269 2050 10000
26/7/2022 750 15900 267 2010 10000
27/7/2022 750 16300 265 2149 10000
28/7/2022 750 16000 270 2230 10200
29/7/2022 750 16000 270 2200 10200
1/8/2022 760 15800 261 2155 10200
2/8/2022 760 15760 261 2115 10580
3/8/2022 727 15800 261 2060 10580
4/8/2022 727 15600 270 2020 10200
5/8/2022 727 15500 265 2100 10190
8/8/2022 750 16050 270 2099 10150
9/8/2022 750 15300 265 2064 10070
10/8/2022 750 15300 268 2021 10070
11/8/2022 750 15250 269 2010 11120
12/8/2022 750 15390 279 1960 11350
16/8/2022 720 15200 265 1900 11020
17/8/2022 715 15100 270 1820 11280
18/8/2022 724 15100 265 1925 11310
19/8/2022 706 15100 265 1915 11330
22/8/2022 700 15100 265 1895 11460
23/8/2022 700 15500 265 1880 11460
24/8/2022 719 15690 265 1885 11460
25/8/2022 718 15690 265 1885 11460
26/8/2022 691 15690 259 1960 11460
29/8/2022 691 15690 259 1970 11000
30/8/2022 691 15000 254 1940 11000
31/8/2022 691 15850 250 2080 10800
1/9/2022 691 15850 250 1948 10800
2/9/2022 691 15010 250 1970 10800
5/9/2022 691 15010 250 1945 10930
6/9/2022 691 15010 250 1955 11170
7/9/2022 691 15100 245 1930 11170
8/9/2022 691 15200 245 1920 11290
9/9/2022 691 15300 245 1920 11290
12/9/2022 691 15300 245 1920 11300
13/9/2022 691 15120 240 1920 11300
14/9/2022 691 15000 240 1910 11000
15/9/2022 691 15000 235 1885 11000
16/9/2022 691 14500 249 1890 11000
19/9/2022 691 14500 249 1877 11000
20/9/2022 640 14000 249 1850 10500
21/9/2022 659 14500 249 1878 10880
22/9/2022 659 14900 249 1878 10880
23/9/2022 659 14800 249 1850 10690
26/9/2022 659 14000 245 1845 10690
27/9/2022 659 14000 245 1845 10690
28/9/2022 659 14000 245 1845 10700
 29/9/2022 659 14000 245 1795 10700
30/9/2022 659 13500 249 1795 10200
3/10/2022 659 14400 250 1775 10700
4/10/2022 659 14600 260 1825 10650
5/10/2022 659 14600 264 1820 10890
6/10/2022 615 14600 265 1819 10890
7/10/2022 615 14400 262 1800 10890
10/10/2022 615 14400 262 1815 11180
11/10/2022 615 14000 245 1815 11180
12/10/2022 615 14000 255 1810 11180
13/10/2022 615 14000 255 1810 11180
14/10/2022 615 14000 255 1775 11180
18/10/2022 615 14000 250 1725 11000
19/10/2022 560 14000 246 1750 11000
20/10/2022 567 14000 222 1730 11000
21/10/2022 567 14000 240 1725 11000
24/10/2022 567 13300 223 1693 11000
25/10/2022 567 13300 223 1690 11000
26/10/2022 567 13000 227 1680 11000
27/10/2022 590 12700 229 1660 11000
28/10/2022 590 12700 229 1667 11000
31/10/2022 580 12700 228 1680 11000
1/11/2022 590 12800 225 1670 11000
2/11/2022 542 12900 235 1669 10700
3/11/2022 542 12940 240 1640 10700
4/11/2022 542 12800 240 1715 10600
8/11/2022 525 12800 240 1695 10600
9/11/2022 525 12780 240 1695 10900
10/11/2022 525 12780 240 1710 10900
11/11/2022 530 12640 245 1720 10900
15/11/2022 565 13000 245 1750 10800
16/11/2022 565 13000 248 1750 10780
17/11/2022 536 12900 237 1758 10520
18/11/2022 520 13000 237 1758 10530
 GRUPOAVAL PFCORFICOL CONCONCRET MINEROS

-0.03039747718 -0.01554435444 0 0.004862549323

0 0.018111749943 -0.00682596507 0.005581409838
0 0 0.026695283487 0.007393749025
-0.02500130221 -0.00411100271 -0.00635559925 -0.00925075977
0 -0.01139318383 0.006688988151 0.007407441278
-0.02551256892 0 -0.01342302033 -0.01075877564
0.078513265622 0.042819997183 0.013423020332 0.079554825789
0.001199760192 -0.01711164047 0.026317308317 0.011984392709
0.005977304108 0.010101095987 -0.00032472804 0.069355864367
0.067959361835 0 -0.00260162748 -0.00318066426
0 0 -0.00358832549 -0.01089056247
-0.07154145522 -0.033208671 -0.01051258039 -0.01951281422
0 -0.0026007817 -0.00929004691 -0.00164338574
-0.01688821803 -0.01839736514 0 -0.03174869831
-0.01470614739 -0.00265604406 -0.00333890127 -0.00510639407
0 -0.02695580999 -0.01346821705 -0.01547752307
0 0.001092299399 0 -0.01220590568
-0.02829786916 -0.00163889684 -0.01709443336 -0.02127739845
0 -0.01044252413 0 0.008920665758
0.018621574826 0 0.013698844358 -0.00355872262
-0.05403952006 -0.03771907874 -0.01369884436 -0.07589209395
0.010991997614 -0.01212136053 -0.01039870722 -0.04322873455
0.095026196463 -0.0229084908 -0.01757514482 -0.04518222279
0 0.039037872727 -0.07356256718 0.012526259819
0 -0.058234623 0.066445099408 0.002072539602
0 -0.00060587703 0 -0.02303766807
-0.10997337392 0 -0.03636764417 0
0 0 0 -0.0214140945
0 0.006042314456 0 0.071011035643
-0.00929004691 0.00600602406 0.007380107298 -0.03278982282
0.025017762975 0.011904902506 0.021459270452 -0.00417537141
0 -0.00355661311 -0.02883937775 -0.09610547505
0 -0.02039662791 -0.01492565022 0.087702064251
0 -0.00607904608 -0.0041439125 -0.01273902578
-0.02501776298 -0.01165299908 0.01906956272 0
-0.01748531434 -0.02561839571 -0.03007745524 -0.02378490502
-0.03324673407 -0.02564243061 -0.00766287275 -0.02436443887
0 0.025642430613 0.026567027385 -0.01354422511
0.004339008837 0.020670952104 0.003738322111 -0.00913248356
0.019364367182 -0.00124069495 -0.01125715452 -0.00459770925
0.020339684237 0 0.007518832414 -0.02095536518
0 -0.01312108796 0.007462721202 -0.03593200923
0.006955619268 0 -0.0074627212 -0.01970507108
 0 0.024845998587 -0.00714154511 0.066867895589
0 -0.01857638557 0.016832265743 0.036998967812
0 0 0.00148257996 -0.01354422511
0.012978595633 -0.01257878221 -0.0358190978 -0.02066663681
0 -0.0025348556 0 -0.01873591106
-0.04425441362 0.002534855603 0 -0.0263488297
-0.00013754212 -0.01273902578 0.035819097805 -0.01960847139
0 -0.00643089033 -0.01869213301 0.038839833316
0.031146728997 0.034868825651 0.018692133012 -0.00047630389
0 -0.04785602118 -0.01869213301 -0.01681519322
0 0 0.011257154525 -0.0210534092
0 -0.00327332534 0.003724399091 -0.00545771635
0 0.009138444797 0.03650040222 -0.02519024883
-0.04082199452 -0.01242252 -0.05148195584 -0.03109058707
-0.00724842872 -0.00660068403 0.018692133012 -0.04301738508
0.0127886091 0 -0.01869213301 0.056089466651
-0.02588462109 0 0 -0.00520834511
-0.00782643625 0 0 -0.0104987841
0 0.026145280104 0 -0.00794706169
0.027337196218 0.01218354282 0 0.002656044058
-0.00236587683 0 0 0
-0.03834607834 0 -0.02290176429 0.039016652342
0 0 0 0.005089069507
0 -0.04497336564 -0.01949379468 -0.01534556967
0 0.055119299221 -0.01587334916 0.069679920638
0 0 0 -0.06556468849
0 -0.05445285468 0 0.01123033753
0 0 0 -0.01277156568
0 0 0 0.005128216367
0 0.005978098176 -0.02020270732 -0.01287019052
0 0.006600684031 0 -0.00519481688
0 0.006557400546 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 -0.01183445765 -0.02020270732 0
0 -0.00796816965 -0.00041657989 -0.00522194398
0 0 -0.0210534092 -0.01317542116
0 -0.03390155168 0.057465695229 0.002649008172
0 0 0 -0.00690207147
-0.07623739974 -0.03509131981 0 -0.01448911851
0.029255358149 0.035091319811 0 0.015021741696
0 0.027212563525 0 0
0 -0.00673403218 0 -0.0150217417
0 -0.05556985115 -0.01579299883 -0.0027063616
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
 0 0 0 -0.02747425555
0 -0.03636764417 0.015792998829 0
0 0.064538521138 0.004409708489 -0.01120459901
0 0.013793322132 0.039220713153 0.027779564107
0 0 0.015267472131 -0.00274348595
-0.0691012667 0 0.00378072284 -0.00054960155
0 -0.01379332213 -0.01176707447 -0.01050023463
0 0 0 0.008298802815
0 -0.02817087697 -0.06670454097 0
0 0 0.040005334614 -0.00275862244
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 -0.01952642235
0 0 -0.0198026273 -0.02857337244
-0.09368548408 0 -0.01612938193 0.014388737452
0.012422519999 0 -0.10265415406 -0.01149437943
0 0 0.07796154147 -0.00289435803
0 -0.05129329439 -0.07346715188 -0.01872494733
0 0 0 -0.00177357422
0 -0.02281467777 0.017778246021 -0.00593473552
0.039593727281 -0.023347364 0.006586192853 -0.01197619105
0 0 0 0.0042080014
-0.01692492747 0 -0.00219058138 0.007768189647
0.016924927469 0.007843177461 -0.01280088104 -0.00597016699
-0.08431809394 0.007782140442 0.042615143752 -0.00059898175
0 0.003095977705 0.021479031677 -0.01752840284
0 -0.01087811815 0 0.044716838782
-0.03223667447 0 0 -0.01173033979
0 -0.00156372198 0 0
0 0 0 0.008810629682
0.009478743955 -0.01101506023 0.020619287203 0.005830920311
0.0639487246 0.028082968743 0 0.01729149711
0 0 0.011767228496 0
-0.05306477404 -0.00772204609 -0.04496529791 0.004561011328
-0.02973985633 0.007722046094 0 0
 ÉXITO GRUPOAVAL PFCORFICOL
Rentabilidad primaria -0.003880414951 -0.00330244027
-0.00380952842 Riesgo primario 0.027603712346 0.019865708134
0.044053409093
0
0.004373184812 GRUPOAVAL PFCORFICOL
-0.05148470026 20% 20%
-0.01465510224
0
0 GRUPOAVAL PFCORFICOL
0.003103183251 GRUPOAVAL 0.00075572 0.0001036
-0.01012075591 PFCORFICOL 0.0001036 0.00039141
0.032335380643 CONCONCRET 6.15E-05 2.82E-05
0 MINEROS 8.62E-05 0.00014097
-0.01680711832 EXITO 6.69E-05 0.00011725
0
-0.03130146
0 Rentabilidad Secundaria -0.00283737515
-0.03890279867
0.023684243038 Riesgo secundario 2.599919636E-06
0
-0.05730085384
-0.07542376182
0.045933333307
-0.05055227916
0.044371244031
0
-0.01877569684
0
0
-0.00724640852
0
-0.02765153133
0.031281299381
0
-0.01276225161
-0.02790878812
-0.02871010588
0.019231361928
0.028170876967
0
-0.05715841384
-0.00098087306
-0.01882175424
0
 0
0.019802627296
0
0
0.03657770614
0
-0.03657770614
-0.00098087306
-0.00393314175
-0.00791299876
0
0.099184582092
0.020472455105
-0.0295059402
0.023319442345
0.002656044058
0.001766784912
0.011408636247
0
0
0
0
-0.04096743849
0
-0.01834913867
0
0
0.011965168058
0.021720310893
0
0.01068576508
0
0.000885347557
0
-0.02690745292
0
0
0
-0.04652001563
0.035550984264
0
-0.01761751639
0
0
0.000935016431
 0
-0.04785602118
0.047856021178
-0.00468384931
0.022285044789
0
0
0.026281530782
0
0
0
0
-0.01623119493
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
-0.02765153133
0
-0.00938974035
0
0.027908788117
0
0
-0.0092166551
-0.00185356865
-0.02441435817
0.000950118836
 CONCONCRET MINEROS ÉXITO
-0.00176655431 -0.00341620857 -0.0018212576433
0.023901924056 0.026744968783 0.0229574689608

CONCONCRET MINEROS ÉXITO

20% 20% 20% 100%

CONCONCRET MINEROS ÉXITO

6.15E-05 8.62E-05 6.69E-05
2.82E-05 0.00014097 0.00011725
0.00056662 4.28E-05 -1.19E-05
4.28E-05 0.00070943 2.52E-05
-1.19E-05 2.52E-05 0.00052273