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Assessing Risks of Releasing Exotic
Assessing Risks of Releasing Exotic
Assessing Risks of Releasing Exotic
2
School of Biosciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TT,
United Kingdom; email: j.s.bale@bham.ac.uk
3
Swiss Federal Research Station for Agroecology and Agriculture, Zürich CH 8046,
Switzerland; email: franz.bigler@fal.admin.ch
4
Department of Applied Biology, University of Helsinki, FIN-00014, Finland;
email: hehokkan@mappi.helsinki.fi
5
Section Entomology, Plant Protection Service, 6700 HC Wageningen, The Netherlands;
email: a.j.m.loomans@minlnv.nl
released, has been used for 90 years, and more than 150 species of natural enemies
are available on demand for the control of about 100 pest species (107). Contrary
to the thorough environmental risk evaluations applied in the search for natural
enemies of weeds (15, 75, 117), potential risks of biological control agents for
arthropod control have not been routinely studied in prerelease evaluations (111,
108), with the exception of several CBC programs for which accurate nontarget
species testing has been used (10, 83). The reason might be that, until now, very few
problems have been reported concerning negative effects of releases of arthropods
for control of arthropods (77), despite more than 5000 introductions in at least
196 countries or islands (45, 46, 106, 107). However, discussion of the risks of
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releases of exotic natural enemies for nontarget species now takes a prominent
place in biological control programs. Retrospective analyses of biological control
projects have provided quantitative data on nontarget effects and illustrated the
need for risk assessments to increase the future safety of biological control (76,
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77). A logical way to reduce the risks of releasing exotic species, and particularly
in ABC, would be to use native species. Nonetheless, many exotic species have
been released without even considering the use of native species (106, 107). In
this review, the terminologies relating to biological control and environmental risk
assessment (ERA) have been taken from recent publications in this area (23, 32,
38, 62, 85).
native species via hybridization between close relatives; and in general, any major
shifts in the balance of native species via direct or indirect mechanisms. The most
serious threat is that of global extinction of a species—all other possible impacts
are relative and may be reversible. We refer to Louda et al. (76) for an extensive
discussion of environmental risks related to the release of exotic natural enemies.
TABLE 1 Cases with clearest evidence for nontarget effects on native insects of released
exotic biological control agents
Suspected effect Introduced natural Affected native
(references) enemy species Location, time
(76, 97)
Reduction in Tetrastichus dryi Trioza eastopi Orian La Reúnion,
population levels (3) Waterston 1978
Reduction in Compsilura concinnata Several species of North America,
population levels (76) (Meigen) native Lepidoptera 1906 onward
(Saturniidae)
Partial displacement of Coccinella Coccinella North America,
native natural septempunctata (L.) novemnotata Herbst; 1973 onward
enemies (33, 119) Coccinella
transversoguttata
Fald.; Adalia
bipunctata (L.)
Partial displacement of Cales noacki Howard Native parasitoids of Southern Italy,
native natural Aleurotuba jelinekii 1980–1994
enemies (114) (Frauenfeld)
Interbreeding with Aphelinus varipes Aphelinus varipes North America,
native natural Foerster, species Foerster, species 1987 onward
enemies (59) complex complex
Lowering Cryptolaemus Dactylopius opuntiae Mauritius, late
effectiveness of an montrouzieri Mulsant (Cockerell) 1940s
introduced natural
enemy for weed
control (43)
67). The new version of this code of conduct (ISPM3) (62), which will become
the international standard, has extended its range from CBC to ABC, native nat-
ural enemies, microorganisms, and other beneficial organisms, and also includes
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natural enemies are strictly monophagous (120), but many are oligophagous and
thus have a restricted host/prey range. Others are polyphagous and have a wide
host/prey choice. We expect that future ERAs will integrate information on the
potential of an agent to establish in an environment, its abilities to disperse, its
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host range, and its direct and indirect effects on nontargets. Contrary to existing
risk assessments and in order to be of practical use, future risk assessments should
be (a) quantifiable, so that the environmental effects of different biological control
agents can be compared and informed decisions made, and (b) consist of a stepwise
procedure so that demonstrably safe agents will be identified early in the process,
with lowest possible costs involved. The ERAs discussed below form an element of
a general risk assessment framework for the regulation of import and release (108)
and consist of the following basic elements: (a) characterization and identification
of the biological control agent, and determination of (b) health risks for humans,
(c) environmental risks, and (d) efficacy.
other parameters such as the same feeding niche or the common habitat of target
and nontarget species that may be more meaningful as nontarget indicators (69,
105). In addition, species of conservation concern may need to be included in
nontarget testing. As a result, the initial nontarget test lists are often composed
of large numbers of species, and testing of all these species would be impossible.
Host range testing in weed biological control may include 40 to more than 100
plant species and is feasible because of the ease of storing plant seeds and plant
rearing. However, arthropod hosts and natural enemies may not be amenable to
laboratory culture, or their rearing is much more complicated. Thus, it has been
proposed that nontarget species be selected from the following three categories
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to design initial test species lists (69): (a) species with phylogenetic/taxonomic
affinities, (b) species with ecological similarities (habitat and/or niche overlap),
and (c) species of conservation concern (beneficial, or rare/endangered). If this
first selection results in an impractically long list, species can be filtered out on
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test results. If none of the nontargets and only the target is attacked, testing can
be stopped because no direct effects are expected on the tested nontarget species
in the field. If in step 1 nontarget organisms are attacked, but attack rates for
nontargets are significantly lower than that for targets, the hazard to nontargets
under field conditions is expected to be low. If nontargets are attacked only at the
end of the observation period in step 2, then the risk of direct effects on these
species is small. However, if nontargets are consistently attacked, and attack rates
on target and nontargets are similar, nontarget effects might be considerable and
further testing is mandatory.
For polyphagous natural enemies, the time-consuming step 3 test and, in some
cases, the even more complicated step 4 test need to be carried out before a
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native area of the natural enemy. If a natural enemy readily attacks nontargets on
their host plants in their natural habitat, it poses a high risk for nontarget effects.
Depending on the multitrophic study under consideration, it is not always nec-
essary to follow the sequence presented in Figure 1. Sometimes steps can be
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Establishment
Depending on the control program and the environment into which an exotic
agent is released, establishment may be the intended outcome or an undesirable
event. Establishment is determined by abiotic and biotic factors. In CBC, prelimi-
nary studies are normally conducted to assess the similarity of climatic conditions
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between the countries of collection and release. Similarly, if an exotic species es-
capes after release into a greenhouse, establishment will depend on the ability of
the organism to survive in a climate that is usually colder than that into which it
was released and from where it was collected, and on sources of native hosts.
ABIOTIC FACTORS The main abiotic factor affecting the establishment of exotic
species in new environments is temperature. Although humidity may play a role,
it alone does not determine establishment. Many successes in CBC have involved
introductions into similar climates, and an inability to survive through winter is a
common cause of failure (27). Although “climate matching” is a useful guide to
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the similarities and differences between native and intended release areas, this ap-
proach is limited and is not a reliable basis for predicting survival and establishment
(50, 51).
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Temperature has a major influence on the key processes that determine estab-
lishment and subsequent spread of introduced natural enemies. For all arthropods
there is a temperature below which there is no development, i.e., the “develop-
mental threshold.” A number of methods can be used to estimate the threshold
temperature, which may lead to variation in the threshold (49–51).
The thermal budget is the number of day degrees required to complete one gen-
eration and, in combination with the threshold temperature, can provide valuable
information on the likelihood of establishment at any intended release site. The
threshold temperature can be related to temperature records to indicate periods in
the year when there will be no development (such as winter), and the organism may
have to enter a dormant state (diapause) to survive. Also, the thermal budget can be
compared with estimates of the annual number of available day degrees above the
developmental threshold to determine the likely voltinism at the intended release
site.
Knowledge of the cold tolerance and overwintering ability of a species is a
vital component in assessing establishment potential. Cold tolerance can be as-
sessed by a number of indices that are best considered in combination rather
than separately. Recognition of the importance of “cold” rather than freezing has
led to more ecologically relevant classifications of insect overwintering strate-
gies (6, 7) that can be applied to novel biological control agents. For species in
which “pre-freeze” mortality is extensive, cold tolerance can be assessed by the
lethal temperature at which a given proportion of the population are killed in
an exposure of fixed duration (LTemp), and the lethal time at which the same
proportion are killed in an exposure at a constant temperature (LTime). These
data can be analyzed to produce estimates of the temperature or time at which
any proportion of the population would be expected to die (10, 50, or 90%), and
then compared with survival under fluctuating field temperatures using outdoor
quarantine cages, again varying the duration of exposure. Explanations for the
failure to establish in a new environment can sometimes be identified by ecophys-
iological comparisons between the introduced and a closely related native species
(8).
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BIOTIC FACTORS The availability of target host/prey in space and time, occurrence
of alternative host/prey, presence of competitors, and access to food are important
biotic factors that influence establishment. Biotic factors are more difficult to assess
than abiotic factors and information from both areas of origin and introduction are
often lacking.
The ability of predators and parasitoids to synchronize their life cycle with their
host/prey (target or alternative) is a fundamental prerequisite for establishment.
This is critical for specialist natural enemies because they cannot use alternative
hosts/prey to sustain populations when the target is not present or not in the right
stage. The degree of synchrony often reflects the likelihood of permanence of host-
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does not allow development of the overwintering natural enemy or because the type
of dormancy is unsuitable for the parasitoid (17). The probability of establishment
in temperate climates is affected by mortality due to climatic extremes and to the
difficulty of adjusting and synchronizing life cycles, especially when hosts enter
quiescent or diapause stages during these unfavorable periods (5).
Availability of adequate food increases parasitoid efficacy, but it is difficult
to demonstrate the influence of food sources on establishment (63). The level
of dependence on food is species specific but also a function of availability and
quality, influencing life cycle parameters, behavior, competitive interactions, and
niche partitioning of parasitoids and predators (64). Parasitoids and predators are
carnivorous, but most species also use plant-derived foods, such as pollen, nectar,
plant sap, and honeydew. Plant foods can have a strong effect on survival and
population dynamics, particularly for obligatory plant-derived food consumers
(115, 116). Facultative consumers can use plant foods to bridge periods of low
host/prey availability (74). Plant-derived food is important, but we lack a full
understanding of the effects of such factors on establishment.
after first release in 1991 and the occurrence outside of greenhouses in winter of
Macrolophus caliginosus following release in 1995 (50, 51).
Studies on the thermal biology of N. californicus (50), M. caliginosus (51),
Delphastus catalinae (A.G. Tullett, unpublished data), Eretmocerus eremicus
(104), and Typhlodromips montdorensis (52, 53) assessed the effects of tem-
perature on development, voltinism, and survival in the laboratory and field. A
strong correlation was observed between survival in the laboratory at 5◦ C and
in the field in winter (Figure 2). D. catalinae, E. eremicus, and T. montdoren-
sis died out quickly in winter, and survival was largely unaffected by variations
in temperature or access to prey. In contrast, some nymphs of M. caliginosus
with whitefly prey survived in the field for more than 200 days. The establish-
ment of N. californicus is attributable to the unintentional release of a diapausing
strain, which can tolerate low temperatures and starvation (65), and the ability of
the nondiapausing strain to survive for two to three months if prey are available
and to reproduce prior to death. A risk assessment protocol of this type allows
candidate species to be tested prior to release and placed into appropriate low-
(D. catalinae, E. eremicus, T. montdorensis), medium- (M. caliginosus) or high-
risk (N. californicus) categories in terms of the likelihood of establishment. Further
tests on host range, nontarget effects, and dispersal would then be carried out as
appropriate.
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Dispersal
The probability that a biological control agent will find a potential nontarget host
depends strongly on the dispersal capacity of the agent. Below we summarize
dispersal characteristics and methods to measure dispersal.
MODES OF DISPERSAL AND ASSOCIATED RISKS Good searching and dispersal abil-
ities are considered valuable indicators of successful biological control agents
(111). Knowledge of dispersal characteristics is also essential for researchers to
assess to what extent the agent could disperse into nontarget habitats. Dispersal
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forms, sex, mating status, egg-load) and the environment (availability of resources,
density of native hosts, landscape elements) largely modify the density-distance
curve obtained. For mass-released agents empirical or diffusion-based models give
the best estimates of mean and quantile dispersal distance, direction, and density
(71, 80). More importantly, analysis of dispersal data can provide qualitative and
quantitative scales for environmental impact assessment (108).
it is highly unlikely that it will, on its own, lead to extinction. Natural enemies gen-
erally leave a host patch before they have found all hosts. Hosts also escape their
enemies in space and time, reducing the chances of extinction. Furthermore, asyn-
chrony between local dynamics allow for large-scale persistence even when local
extinctions occur (48). As a result, pests have seldom if ever been exterminated in
the more than 100 years of insect biological control.
However, effective lowering of population densities in small habitat patches or
tropical islands will increase the likelihood that other factors, including chance
events, will destroy a population completely, in contrast to patterns observed on
large islands or continents (78). Therefore, it can be expected that some species
utilized by biological control agents will become part of the natural extinction/
colonization dynamics. It is unlikely that the extinction rates of these species
differ significantly from that of other species in the same ecosystems.
OTHER INDIRECT EFFECTS AND HYBRIDIZATION Any of the described effects may
result in further changes in the ecosystem, for example, by affecting nonfood re-
quirements (e.g., protection, pollination, and seed dispersal) of other species.
Besides ecological changes, an exotic biological control agent may also cause
genetic changes in other populations in the ecosystem. One possibility is hy-
bridization between the agent and indigenous biotypes of the same or closely
related species. An example is the Aphelinus varipes species complex, in which
biotypes from various parts of the world hybridize, resulting in changed ecological
preferences (59).
country of release (108). Phase 3 involves the risk/benefit analysis of the proposed
release. An appropriate risk analysis for a new biological control agent should
contain risk/benefit analyses of other pest management methods to compare the
risks and benefits with any other control method under consideration and make a
well-informed decision (11, 98, 110). Phase 2 and 3 are reviewed elsewhere (108).
five risk factors: host range, establishment, dispersal, and direct and indirect non-
target effects, which consider different aspects of natural enemy biology and the
environment of the system into which the natural enemy will be introduced.
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At the first step, exotic and native natural enemies are distinguished. For native
natural enemies only one more step (step 6) in the procedure needs to be followed.
For exotic natural enemies, whether already present or absent in the target area,
more steps need to be considered. At step 2, natural enemies that are produced
for ABC programs, in which establishment of the organism in the area of release
is not intended, are separated from natural enemies aimed for CBC, for which
establishment is the aim. For ABC natural enemies one then needs to demonstrate
that they cannot establish (step 3). If they cannot establish, only one more step of
the procedure (step 6) needs to be followed. However, if they can establish, the
environmental risk index (ERI = Likelihood × Magnitude) should be calculated
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for establishment, and if the risk threshold is exceeded, the natural enemy should
not be released (details are given in Reference 110). Problematic natural enemies
are thus eliminated early in the evaluation process. However, if the applicant de-
sires, data can be provided from studies on host range (step 4), dispersal (step 5),
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and direct and indirect nontarget effects (step 6) to enable a reconsideration of the
decision not to release the species. If the risk threshold is not exceeded, the same
procedure needs to be followed as for CBC natural enemies from step 4.
At step 4, the host range issue is addressed. If the ABC or CBC agent is either
monophagous or oligophagous/polyphagous and attacks only related and nonval-
ued nontargets, it should be considered for release. On the other hand, if the agent is
oligophagous/polyphagous and does attack related and unrelated nontargets and/or
valued nontargets, the agent should not be considered for release. However, if the
applicant desires, data can be provided from studies on dispersal (step 5) and direct
and indirect nontarget effects (step 6) to allow reconsideration of the decision not
to release the species. In this case, the process continues with step 5. At step 5,
questions about dispersal of ABC and CBC agents are addressed. If dispersal is
local and mainly in the area of release and numbers that disperse out of the target
area are very low, the assessment should move to step 6. If dispersal outside the
target area is likely and extensive, and if the environmental risk index exceeds
the risk threshold, the agent should not be released. At step 6, issues related to
direct and indirect nontarget effects are considered. If direct and indirect effects
inside the dispersal area are unlikely and at most transient and limited, the agent
can be released. However, if direct and indirect effects inside the dispersal area
are likely and permanent, the agent should not be released. To calculate risk levels
for establishment, dispersal, and direct and indirect nontarget effects, the earlier
published criteria are applied (108), but weighting factors are added (110).
This stepwise risk assessment has been applied to natural enemies that are used
in Europe (37), with the assumption that they were evaluated for release in The
Netherlands. The exercise, which is fully reported elsewhere (110), led to the fol-
lowing conclusions: (a) All native species that were evaluated are considered safe
for release. (b) Exotic species intended for use in ABC that are likely to establish
and exceed the risk threshold are not recommended for release and are detected
early in the evaluation process without the need to study host range, dispersal,
and direct and indirect nontarget effects. (c) Exotic species that are monophagous,
or oligophagous/polyphagous and attack nontargets related to the target, but do
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not attack any valued nontargets, are also detected early in the evaluation without
the need to study dispersal and direct and indirect nontarget effects; these can be
recommended for release. (d) Exotic species that are oligophagous/polyphagous
and attack related and unrelated nontargets and/or valued nontargets are excluded
from release without the need to study dispersal and direct and indirect nontarget
effects.
Some exotic biological control agents that have been released in Europe (e.g.,
Harmonia axyridis, Hippodamia convergens, and Orius insidiosus) had a high eco-
logical risk index in the first quantitative assessment (108). When we re-evaluated
these exotic agents with the new stepwise approach, they were considered unsuit-
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able for release at steps 3 and 4. On the other hand, a species such as Trichogramma
brassicae, also with a high risk index in the first quantitative assessment, was not
eliminated early in the new procedure and could be recommended for release. The
early elimination of obviously risky species, but the acceptance of other species
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that scored, erroneously, a high index in the first quantitative assessment, shows
the improvements of the stepwise assessment (110).
No. 3 will become the standard for all biological control introductions (62). Guide-
lines to prepare dossiers (13, 85) and methods for risk assessment are now available
(12, 108 110). We expect that these guidelines and methods will rapidly evolve
within the next five years.
Ecological factors determining the environmental impact of an exotic agent are
increasingly included in current evaluations. Host range data are now used to reject
or accept introductions (109), and determination of the potential establishment of
exotics based on their thermal biology could provide a relatively simple methodol-
ogy of determining whether exotics can establish in the target area (18). Methods
for assessment of dispersal and of direct and indirect effects on nontargets have
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not been used to a great extent in arthropod biological control but are currently
being developed (12, 80).
Regulation of exotic natural enemies is a subject keenly debated by the biolog-
ical control industry, scientists, and regulators (16, 108). Industry fears lengthy,
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cumbersome procedures leading to high costs and thus, in some cases, the inability
to market a safe natural enemy. On the other hand, regulators within ministries
of environment and agriculture have a responsibility to prevent unnecessary and
risky releases of exotic organisms. When ecological data are used in quantitative,
stepwise risk assessment procedures (110), decisions whether to release can be
taken in a tiered system approach and lengthy procedures can be avoided.
To allow continued use of safe biological control agents, a quick-scan method
can be applied to agents already in use. Such scans may result in white lists of
supposedly safe species for specified (eco)regions. Availability of such lists might
stimulate the wider application of biological control. The present activities con-
cerning ERA will hopefully result in a light and harmonized regulation procedure
that is not prohibitive to the biological control industry and in the selection of safe
natural enemies.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
We thank the following persons for contributions to this review: Ferdinando Bin,
Matthew Cock, Eric Conti, David Gillespie, Thomas Hoffmeister, Peter Mason,
Don Sands, and the participants of the 2004 Engelberg Environmental Impact
Meeting. The Entomology Section of the University of Perugia, Italy, is thanked
for providing the perfect atmosphere for writing this review.
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CONTENTS
SIGNALING AND FUNCTION OF INSULIN-LIKE PEPTIDES IN INSECTS,
Qi Wu and Mark R. Brown 1
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November 2, 2005 13:47 Annual Reviews AR263-FM
viii CONTENTS
467
DEVELOPMENTS IN AQUATIC INSECT BIOMONITORING: A
COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF RECENT APPROACHES, Núria Bonada,
Narcı́s Prat, Vincent H. Resh, and Bernhard Statzner 495
TACHINIDAE: EVOLUTION, BEHAVIOR, AND ECOLOGY,
John O. Stireman, III, James E. O’Hara, and D. Monty Wood 525
TICK PHEROMONES AND THEIR USE IN TICK CONTROL,
Daniel E. Sonenshine 557
CONFLICT RESOLUTION IN INSECT SOCIETIES, Francis L.W. Ratnieks,
Kevin R. Foster, and Tom Wenseleers 581
ASSESSING RISKS OF RELEASING EXOTIC BIOLOGICAL CONTROL
AGENTS OF ARTHROPOD PESTS, J.C. van Lenteren, J. Bale, F. Bigler,
H.M.T. Hokkanen, and A.J.M. Loomans 609
DEFECATION BEHAVIOR AND ECOLOGY OF INSECTS, Martha R. Weiss 635
PLANT-MEDIATED INTERACTIONS BETWEEN PATHOGENIC
MICROORGANISMS AND HERBIVOROUS ARTHROPODS,
Michael J. Stout, Jennifer S. Thaler, and Bart P.H.J. Thomma 663
INDEXES
Subject Index 691
Cumulative Index of Contributing Authors, Volumes 42–51 717
Cumulative Index of Chapter Titles, Volumes 42–51 722
ERRATA
An online log of corrections to Annual Review of Entomology
chapters may be found at http://ento.annualreviews.org/errata.shtml